Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-07-24 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks OVER 50.5 | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 777 Over 51 in Calgary Stampeders @ Edmonton Elks (Sat. Sep. 7th, 7:00 p.m. EST CFL+) In one of the quirks of CFL scheduling, this is a rematch from the Labour Day Classic (yes, I intentionally used the British spelling of Labour). Calgary was so disheartened by Monday's loss that Jake Maier will not start at quarterback for the first time in 39 games. That alone speaks volumes about the Stamps' current state. No matter who starts at QB (Logan Bonner gets the nod) for Calgary, it won't slow down the offensive juggernaut that Edmonton has become. The Elks' potent offense has averaged 34.8 ppg over their last five contests. Edmonton QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson just torched the league's worst scoring defense (29.5 ppg) for 486 yards and 3 TDs. When Logan Bonner came in relief of Maier Monday, he went 4-6 for 33 yards. He will undoubtedly do better than Maier, who was benched after going 22-34 for 297 yards and 1 TD but 4 costly picks. Bonner, in his second year in the CFL after a 7-year college career, has put up some impressive numbers collegiately but appears slightly injury-prone. It wouldn't shock me if Maier ended up back in the game. As Monday showed us, high scores are the norm between these two division rivals. The OVER has now gone 8-2 in the last ten meetings between the Elks and the Stampeders. It feels a little like cheating as this was the same play we just had, but if the books give us free money, we'll take it and kindly be on our way. Let's run this right back and take the OVER. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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08-25-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal OVER 51 | 17-21 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #778 Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Elks OVER 51.5 points (Sun., Aug. 25th, 7:00 p.m. CBSSN) It's not often that the second-to-worst team in a league leads everyone in scoring, but that's precisely the case with Edmonton. The Elks' offense scores more points per game (29.6) than anyone. Their 3-7 record is due to a defense that surrenders 28.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Alouettes haven't skipped a beat since starting QB Cody Fajardo went down, going 4-0 with backup Davis Alexander. They've averaged 28.3 ppg over that 4-game stretch, less than a point off their regular season average (28.8 ppg). Edmonton's offense has really been humming over the last five games, putting up 33 points per contest. The Elks also have no problem scoring on the road, ringing up 32 ppg in their five games outside of Edmonton. Finally, these two squads like to light up the scoreboard in their meetings, with the over going 15-8 over the last 23 matchups and an even sweeter 5-1 in the last six times the Elks have visited Montreal. Take the OVER, and good luck. |
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08-17-24 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton OVER 51.5 | 47-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #785 Edmonton Elks @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats OVER 52 points (7p.m., Saturday, August 17 CBSSN). Even though the Elks are in last place in the West, it isn't because of their offense, which ranks 3rd in the league in scoring at 27.7 points per game. However, when you have the league's second-worst scoring defense at 29.2 ppg, you end up with a 2-5 overall record. However, those two wins have come in the last two weeks. Elks QB Tre Ford was injured last week and the venerable McLeod Bethel-Thompson returns to the starting lineup after being benched a couple of weeks ago for the electric Ford. What makes this over so enticing is the struggles that Hamilton has had on defense, where they actually rank below the Elks by giving up 31.9 points per game. The offense also hasn't been a problem for them, as they lead the CFL in passing yards with 2,804 and are the only team to average more than 300 yards per game through the air. In the last five meetings between these two squads, the OVER is 4-1, with the most recent meeting back on July 28th producing a 44-28 Ti-Cats victory. While the score probably won't reach those heights, we feel confident that it will eclipse the total it's currently at. PICK: Take the OVER and good luck! |
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08-09-24 | Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 50 | 25-39 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #776 Under 49.5 in Calgary @ Toronto (7:30p.m., Friday, August 9 CFL+) Toronto will turn to their 3rd-string QB tonight when Nick Arbuckle gets the start for an injured Cameron Dukes. Regardless of who starts, neither one of them has been effective, with the Args ranking dead last in passing yards per game with 197 yards. Luckily for Toronto, Calgary's pass attack isn't much better, ranked 7th out of 9 teams with 247.9 ypg. Take two offenses that can't pass well, add in an Argonaut defense that can shut down the run, and you have the recipe for a beautiful defensive battle. These two teams typically lock horns in low-scoring affairs, with the totals going under 6 out of their last 8 meetings. Take the under, and good luck! |
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08-08-24 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa OVER 48.5 | 22-22 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 774 Ottawa vs. Saskatchewan OVER 48.5 points (Thur., Aug 8th, 7:30 p.m.) In the premier matchup of week 10, the 1st-place Saskatchewan Roughriders host the 2nd-place Ottawa Red-blacks in a cross-divisional matchup. Saskatchewan let us down last week in their 42-31 loss to Edmonton, but not because of their offense, which generated 423 yards and 24 points (they opened the game with a 101-yard kickoff return for a touchdown). In the 1st half of that game, RoughRiders' QB Shea Patterson looked like the college version of himself when he was a dual-threat monster at Mississippi. For whatever reason, he stopped running in the 2nd-half and their offense ground to a halt. Ottawa looks to run their home record to a sterling 5-0 mark, and they're doing that by averaging scoring 25 points a home game. It seems that when Saskatchewan travels, they forget to pack their defense, as they are allowing 27 points per game on the road. The trends also back a high-scoring affair, as the OVER in Saskatchewan's last 19 games is 16-3. In the last 8 meetings between these two squads, the OVER has cashed 6 out of 8 times. Even though the Roughriders will be without RB A.J. Ouellette again due to a hip injury, his replacement, Frankie Hickson, was more than adequate, going for 89 yards on 12 carries. We look for this game to be an offensively exciting matchup where defense is optional. Take the OVER, and good luck. |
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07-14-24 | Ottawa v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 50.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 778 Edmonton Elks vs. Ottawa Red-Blacks UNDER 49 points (Sun., July 14th, 7:00 p.m.). This Sunday night matchup features two of the three lowest-scoring teams in the CFL, with Edmonton putting up 24.5 ppg and Ottawa dead last at 21.0 ppg. Edmonton's defense, meanwhile, has allowed 30+ points just once in its four games and held the potent BC offense to just 24 points in the Elks' last game two weeks ago. When these two teams tangle, defense usually reigns supreme. 8 out of the last 10 meetings have gone under the total, and looking further back in their history, an astounding 15 out of the last 20 games have seen the score fail to eclipse the total. Put two offenses that have difficulty scoring together with two decent defenses, and you get a game that seems destined to continue the pattern of unders in this series. Take the UNDER in the Ottawa @ Edmonton game and good luck! |
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07-06-24 | Calgary v. Montreal UNDER 49.5 | 26-30 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #784 Under in Calgary Stampeders @ Montreal Alouettes (7p.m., Saturday, July 6 CBSSN) Montreal is off to a CFL-best 4-0 start, thanks to the league's 2nd-best offense at 31.8 ppg. However, it's their league-leading defense (18.2 ppg) we're focusing on in this game. The Stampeders are 2-1, scoring only an average of 23.7 ppg. They racked up 32 points in their first victory of the season but at the expense of the league's worst-scoring defense in Hamilton. Since then, they've struggled to punch the ball in. They're staying competitive because of their own defense, which has been porous in yards allowed (372.7 yards/game) but not in points allowed (23.0 ppg). There are some strong trends pointing towards the under as well, such as 7 out of the last 8 Calgary visits to Montreal have gone under the mark. Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal's home, has been a veritable fortress as of late, with an under mark of 11-5 over their last 16 home contests. Finally, dating back to last season, Calgary has posted a 6-3 under mark in its last 9 games. We feel the marquee matchup will revolve around two of the best-scoring defenses in the CFL. Take the UNDER and good luck! |
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06-27-24 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 53.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 772 BC vs. Edmonton OVER 53 (Thur., June 27th, 10:00 p.m.) Two of the top 3 aerial units square off against each other on Thursday. Edmonton and QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson come into this game 3rd in the CFL in yards passing per game at 311. Unfortunately for them, BC has the #1 ranked passing offense, with QB Vernon Adams averaging 328.7 yards/game. What makes this a great OVER wager is Edmonton's defense has been very leaky, giving up 30.3 ppg. There are some significant trends working in our favor as well, such as the over cashing in 4 out of the last 5 Edmonton games and 9 out of the last 12 BC home contests. Take the over here and enjoy the fireworks show. Good luck!! |
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06-08-24 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 46 | 29-21 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 776 Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders OVER (4p.m., Saturday, June 8 CBSSN) Saskatchewan had the 2nd-worst rushing attack last year, so they added 1000-yard rusher AJ Ouellette from Toronto. Edmonton welcomes the 2022 CFL passing yard leader QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson. Unfortunately for the worst 2 defenses in points allowed per game (28.7 for the Elks and 30.6 for the Riders), the changes on defense weren't as progressive. Look for the offense to be a bit further advanced than the defenses in this Saturday game. Take the OVER and good luck. |
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11-19-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal OVER 47 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 53 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #441 OVER in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Montreal Alouettes (6 p.m., Sunday, November 19 FL+) 2023 Grey Cup. While Montreal's defense has been stout during their playoff run to the Grey Cup, stopping Winnipeg's #1 ranked scoring offense (33 ppg during the regular season) is a different story. Montreal's offense has perked up during the postseason as well, averaging 32.5 ppg. These two teams met back in August, and Winnipeg won 47-14, going well north of the total. This will be a fantastic Grey Cup to watch as there should be points aplenty, making the over the best bet. |
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10-20-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #681 Over in Calgary @ BC (10p.m., Friday, October 20) Both meetings have gone under the posted number and we expect there to be at least one over from these two teams. BC is a definite over team as they usually score in the thirties or forties when it comes to total team points. If they do that again on Friday, we should be in good shape to collect with the over. Calgary is fighting for their playoff lives and need to follow-up their strong second half scoring last week into this game. Calgary scored 21 points in the second half last week. |
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10-06-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 12-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take 681 OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks @ Toronto Argonauts (7p.m., Friday, October 6 CBSSN) CFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR Toronto comes into this matchup with the highest-scoring offense in the CFL, averaging 32.9 ppg (Edmonton averages 20.6). These two tangled in June and combined for 74 points. In the last 18 games between the Elks and Args, the OVER is 13-5. |
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09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 48 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 671 OVER 48.5 in Toronto @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 29th 8:00 PM) As stated above, both teams are averaging over 31 ppg. The total has gone over 6 out of 7 times in the Blue Bombers last 7 contests. In the last 12 meetings between these 2 teams, the OVER is 10-2. Take these 2 squads OVER as they put on a display of offensive prowess. |
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09-03-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan OVER 48 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 673 OVER 48 in Winnipeg Jets at Saskatchewan Roughriders (Sunday, Sept. 3rd, 7 p.m. CBSSN) Winnipeg has struggled ATS in its last 5 games, going 2-3 ATS in that stretch. But they haven't struggled scoring in the least, averaging 36.4 ppg while allowing 18.4 ppg. The Roughriders are on the opposite end of that spectrum, surrendering 28.4 ppg while putting up 18.4 ppg. The Jets have gone over 30 points in seven of their games. They could cover the over themselves, but figure to get a wee bit of help for the Roughriders. Either way, expect an offensive display in Sunday night's game. |
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08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 46 | 19-18 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take 673 OVER 47 in the Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders (Friday, Aug. 18th, 9 P.M.) True to their name, the Blue Bombers have the league's best aerial attack at 283.7 and a total offense output of 403.2 YPG. This equates to 30.9 PPG. 2 weeks ago, they hung 50 on the best defense in the league. They also average giving up 3 TDs a game, which is just slightly less than the 22.1 PPG Calgary averages. Winnipeg has gone OVER the total in 5 out of the last 6 games, while the OVER is 4-2 in L/6 when the Blue Bombers visit Calgary. Take the over. |
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08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton UNDER 45 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 671 UNDER 44.5 in Edmonton Elks at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (Thursday, Aug. 17th, 7:30 p.m. CBSSN) This is a battle of the punchless offenses, as the Elks have the lowest-scoring unit (14.9 PPG) and the Ti-Cats the 3rd-lowest (20.0 PPG) The Elks low-scoring offense dates back to last season, as the UNDER is 7-3 in their L10. Their defenses are the worst in the league, so it's just a question of which side does better. Shaky defenses are easier to fix than broken offenses. Take the UNDER. |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan OVER 44 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 678 OVER 44 Saskatchewan vs. Ottawa (Sunday, August 6th, 7 p.m.) While neither of these offenses is anything to write home about (the Redblacks average 21.7 PPG and the Roughriders average 19.7 PPG), their defenses are why this game will go over. Ottawa gave up 353 yards through the air to Hamilton but got 5 interceptions. That won't be the case against Saskatchewan. The over has cashed four out of the last five home games for the Roughriders and six out of the last eight home games versus Ottawa. Take the OVER. |
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08-04-23 | Toronto v. Calgary OVER 51 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 673 OVER 51 in Toronto Argonauts at Calgary Stampeders (Friday, August 4th 9:00 p.m.) The Args have the CFL's most prolific offenses, putting up 36.2 PPG and not scoring less than 31 points all season while their Calgary opponents have averaged 25.3 PPG themselves. What's worse, however, is that the Stampeders give up an average of 27.8 PPG. The OVER is 8-4 in Calgary's last 12 games at home. Expect a shootout and take the OVER. |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 44.5 | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 678 Calgary-Ottawa OVER 44.5 (Sunday, July 23, 7:00 p.m.) RedBlacks scored 31 points last week with 3rd-string QB Dustin Crum leading a wild comeback against Winnipeg. Calgary posted 33 against Saskatchewan as Jake Maier threw for 306 yards. When these 2 met in week 2, they combined 41 points and the offenses were abysmal. They have improved greatly since then and their recent efforts are showing it. Take the OVER. |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan v. BC UNDER 45.5 | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 675 Saskatchewan-BC UNDER 45.5. The Roughriders have averaged 23.2 PPG with starting QB Trevor Harris and while Fine is adequate, there should be a bit of an initial dropoff. Meanwhile, BC's Vernon Adams leads the CFL in yards per game with 291.4 YPG, he's also thrown 8 drive-killing picks. The Roughriders may try to lean on the rushing attack to relieve some of the pressure from Fine. Take the UNDER. |