Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-21 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 3-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Carolina hits the road this week after playing the last two weeks at home. The Panthers are coming off a pair of home losses, 18-21 to Philadelphia and then last week to the Vikings, 28-34. The Panthers continue to struggle on offense without the services of RB Christian McCaffrey who is out again this week with hamstring issue. Carolina ranks 17th in offense, 18th in rushing and 15th in passing. The Giants are now 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They have lost four straight games including last week at home to the Rams, 11-38. The Giants have been missing key elements of the offense. RB Saquon Barkely will miss his second straight game with a ankle injurey. They are also hurting at WR with Kenny Golladay out and John Ross and Darius Slayton both questionable. The Giants offense ranks 16th overall, 25th in rushing and 10th in passing. Carolina does boast a very good defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, 16th vs rush and 2nd vs pass. With the Giants poor rushing offense they will have issues passing against this very good Panthers defense. Play the UNDER. |
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10-24-21 | Jets v. Patriots -7 | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
The NY Jets looking to rebound from last week's loss at Atlanta, 20-27. The Jets are now 1-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Jets have not been a good road team, just 7-19 their last 26 away. They are also 5-15 ATS in their last 20 vs the AFC and 1-6 ATS their last seven overall games. Tough loss last week for the Pats who went back and forth with the Cowboys before losing 29-35. Last time they had this kind of loss (week 1 vs Miami, 16-17) they rebounded nicely with a win over the Jets, 25-6. The Pats usually do well vs bad teams, going 12-3 ATS their last 15 vs losing road teams and 25-10 ATS vs all losing teams. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Jets at Foxboro. I'll take NE here today. |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
San Diego State had their issues on offense last week against a poor San Jose State team. Yes, they won the game, but only by 19-13 and they not only struggled most of the game but failed to cover the 7.5-point line. It doesn't come as a surprise that the Aztecs are just 106th ranked on offense. The defense is still solid though at 8th ranked. The Aztecs are now 6-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Air Force is 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They have covered four straight games, including last week's win at Boise State, 24-17 as a 4.5 point road dog. Air Force has the 56th ranked offense, but most of that is on the ground where they average 336 yards per game. Expect a lower scoring, hard fought battle in this contest. I expect the Falcons though to use that potent ground game to keep the Aztecs offense off the field tonight. Play Air Force. |
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10-23-21 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh -3 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh continues to flex their muscles, coming off a win at Virginia Tech, 28-7. That make the Panther 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. The defense has been very good, ranked 27th overall in the country. The offense has been even better, ranked 5th overall in the country. Clemson is 4-2 S/U and 0-6 ATS on the season. The defense has been solid as usual, but the offense has struggled, scoring over 21 points just once this year and that was against non-FBS opponent South Carolina State, 49-3. The defense is ranked 24th overall while the offense is a poor 115th. Pitt laying around a Field goal here today and with their excellent defense they should be able to keep this Clemson offense in check. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-23-21 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
Huge game for both these Big 12 teams if one of them wants to win the conference title. Oklahoma State is 6-0 S/U and 3-0 in conference play. The Pokes have covered their last four games, including last week's win at Texas, 32-24 as a 5.5-point dog. This club has the 19th ranked defense in the FBS and the 81st ranked offense. Iowa State is coming off a win last week at Kansas State, 33-20 as a 6.5-point favorite. They have covered three of their last four games and are 4-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Tough game to call here today, but getting a touchdown with a 6-0 team that has a very good defense is enough for me. Play Oklahoma State. |
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10-22-21 | Washington v. Arizona UNDER 45.5 | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington Huskies lost their opening game of the season to FBC Montana Grizzlies, 7-13 and that was an omen to how this season has gone. Since then they are just 1-4 S/U and ATS on the season. Their only win coming against the worst defense in the country, Arkansas State, 52-3. Last week, they lost at home to UCLA, 17-24 as a 1-point favorite. The Huskies offense has been poor, ranked 96th on the season. The good news for Washington is that they play a team that has lost a school record 18-games and is coming off their worst game of the year, a 34-0 loss to Colorado. How bad has the Arizona offense been? In six games this season they have yet to crack 20 or more points. The offense is ranked 102nd in the FBS. Tonight we get two very bad offenses meeting. That means lets take the UNDER. |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This AFC contest could come down to a battle of the backup QB's. Browns QB Mayfield is already ruled out for this game and Case Keenum is the starter. The Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has both a quad and foot injury and while he's not listed as out, it could be a tough game for him to play. The Broncos opened the season with three wins, but have now lost three straight after last week's loss to Las Vegas, 24-34. The Browns are also 3-3 on the season after last week's loss at home to Arizona, 14-34. The offense managed just 290 total yards in the loss and had trouble protecting their QB's with five sacks allowed. The Broncos have been a good under team with five of their last seven road games going under. This is thanks to their 4th ranked defense. The Browns also have a very good defense, ranked 3rd overall. And this game looks to be a battle between these top rated units. Turnovers likely also key here today. I'll take the UNDER with QB issues on both sides. |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
UL Lafayette Rajun Cajuns opened the season with a loss at Texas. Since then, they are 5-0 S/U and 2-3 ATS. That includes last week's win over Appalachian State, 41-13. Now they get to feast on the worst ranked defense in the FBS, Arkansas State. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have allowed an average of 584 yards per game, that's 81 more the next worst team (South Florida, 503). It's no wonder then that the Wolves have allowed 52 or more points in four of their six games. The are coming off a loss at home to Coastal Carolina, 20-52 as a 19.5-point dog. This one has the markings of a ULL blowout win here tonight. Lay the points with the road team. |
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10-21-21 | Tulane v. SMU -13.5 | 26-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs are once again a high scoring team as they have at least 31 points in every game this season with a 6-0 S/U and 4-2 ATS mark on the year. They had a less than normal effort last week at Navy as they won 31-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point line. Now they return home here tonight to play Tulane Green Wave. Tulane got pummeled last week at home against Houston, 22-40 as a 5.5-point dog. It was the team's fourth straight loss both S/U and ATS. In addition, they have allowed 61, 28, 52 and 40 point in their last four games. They best effort was a 21-28 loss at home to UAB as a 4-point favorite. Now they face an SMU team that is 7th ranked in the nation in offense. SMU has also won the last five meetings with TULANE, going 3-2 vs the number. Not sure how Tulane will stop this SMU club here tonight. I'll lay the 14-points with the Mustangs. |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
App State would like to forget last week, as they were pummeled at UL Lafayette, 13-41. That snapped their three game win streak in which they scored at least 31 points in each game. App State's offense was non-existent last week with just 211 total yards to 455 by the Rajun Cajuns. App State also had four turnovers in that game. The Mountaineers will need to be much better tonight as they take on 6-0 Coastal Carolina. Carolina has scored 49 points or more in 5-games. Carolina has the nation's #2 ranked offense with 554 yards per game. Only Ohio State is better. These teams have split the last four meetings with the home team winning. Should be another shootout here today, but I believe App State is better then they showed last week. Play App State plus the points. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lost their opening game of the season to Pittsburgh, 16-23. Since then they have rattled-off four straight wins both S/U and ATS. The offense is ranked 8th in the NFL, 5th in rushing and 9th in passing. The Bills are coming off a revenge win over the Kansas City Chiefs last week, 38-20. The Tennessee Titans are 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a road win over Jacksonville, 37-19. Tennessee has the league's 10th ranked offense but they have the league's 3rd best rushing attack. The Titans have rushed for at least 177 yards in four straight games. Derrick Henry is the work horse of this team. Henry leads the NFL in rushing yards with 640. The Titans are a 6 to 7 point dog here tonight. Expect the Titans to look to control this game on the ground and keep the ball out of the Bills hands. I'll take the points at home with the Titans. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas lost their opening game of the season to the Bucs. Since then, they are 4-0 S/U and ATS. They have been hitting on all cylinders with the offense scoring 36 or more points in each of their last three games. Dallas has the NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 440 yards per game. They are ranked 2nd in rushing and 11th in passing. The Patriots are ranked 26th in offense, 27th in rushing and 20th in passing. The Patriots do have a good defense, ranked 5th overall, 15th vs rush and 7th vs pass. While Dallas as the 24h ranked defense. The Pats snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win at Houston, 25-22. This game comes down to the Dallas offense vs the Patriots defense. I'm going to take the dog points at home with the defense in this one. Play New England. |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos -4 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Both of these teams started the season 3-0, only to lose their last two games. Now one of these teams will drop to 3-3 with three straight losses. It's been a rough week for the Raiders. The Raiders lost at home on Sunday to the Bears, 9-20. Then on Monday their head coach, Jon Gruden stepped down as the coach. Rich Bisaccia will be the interim coach for the rest of the season. It will remain to be seen how this whole series of events effects this Raiders team. Denver lost at Pittsburgh after losing the week before at home to Baltimore, 7-23. The offense has just 26 points in the last two games. I'm going to take the Broncos here today. I want to see what effect Gruden's departure has on the Raiders. Play Denver. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 48.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the UNDER on what could be a windy day for passers. Play UNDER the Total. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns -3.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the points with the Browns at home on what could be a windy day for passers. Play Cleveland. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers v. Ravens OVER 51 | 6-34 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Two of the best teams in the AFC meet here on Sunday has the Baltimore Orioles host the LA Chargers. The Chargers are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a huge 4th quarter last week that catapulted them to a win over Cleveland, 47-42. The offense is now ranked 7th overall, 17th rushing and 3rd passing behind Herbert. Baltimore is 4-1 S/U and 2-3 vs the number. They lost their opening game of the season at Las Vegas in OT and have won every game since. They are coming off a 31-25 home win over the Colts last week. Baltimore has the NFL's top rated offense, 4th rushing and 5th passing. The defense isn't as good in year's past, ranked just 25th overall, 7th vs rush and 29th vs pass. These two top offenses should put up plenty of points today. Play the OVER. |
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10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 49.5 | 38-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win at Seattle last week, 26-17. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Rams rank 9th overall on offense, 23rd rushing and 2nd in passing. The defense was supposed to be the core of this team, however they are ranked just 23rd overall on the season. They are 19th vs the rush and 23rd vs the pass. The Giants are just 1-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Dallas last week, 20-44. The Giants have been once again hit by the injury bug. They include RB Saquon Barkley, QB Daniel Jones, WR Kadarius Jones and WF Sterling Shepard. Barkley and Golloday are both out for Sunday with the others all questionable. With so much offense on the sidelines or hurting, not sure how they will score against this Rams defense today. I'll just take the UNDER and hope they don't get blown out too badly. Play UNDER. |
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10-16-21 | NC State v. Boston College +3 | 33-7 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Boston College enters this game with a 4-1 S/U and ATS record. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at Clemson, 13-19, covering the 15.5-game dog line. They will host a NC State team here on Saturday that is also 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Wolfpack are coming off a win at home over La Tech, 34-27. Boston College has the 62nd ranked offense while NC State has the 47th ranked offense. NC State has a top flight defense, ranked 13th overall in the FBS while Boston College is a respectable 28th. These teams didn't meet last year, but BC has covered the last four in this series. I like getting the points at home in this contest. Play Boston College. |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +2 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
SEC action today has Tennessee hosting Ole Miss. Tennessee is 4-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are 2-1 in SEC action after last week's win at home over South Carolina, 45-20 as a 10.5-point favorite. The Volunteers have scored 107 points over their last two games. The offense ranks 19th overall. Ole Miss also has a excellent offense, scoring 43 or more points in four of their five games this year. They are 4-1 S/U and 2-2-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a shootout win over Arkansas, 52-51, though they failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite line. Ole Miss has the nation's 2nd ranked offense with 562 yards per game. Only Ohio State is better with 563 yards. The defense is another story, ranked 102nd in the nation. This is where Tennessee has the edge as they rank 46th. Tennessee is the dog here and I disagree with that. I expected them to be the small 1-2 point favorite. I'll take a shot as this looks to be a SEC Shootout. Play Tennessee. |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +11.5 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as Purdue takes on Iowa. Iowa has jumped to No 2 in the AP rankings with their 6-0 record. That is up from last week's 3rd ranking. Iowa is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Iowa came from behind last week to beat Penn State, 23-20, covering the 2-point home spread. The Hawkeyes have that very good defense, ranked 9th overall in FBS. They actually will face another top ranked defense today in Purdue, which comes in at 14th overall. The Boilermakers are 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. However, they have not allowed more than 27 points in a game and four of their five games at 21 or fewer points. Two very good defenses on tap here today. Purdue getting double digits might be more than Iowa can cover. I'll take that bet. Play Purdue plus the big points. |
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10-16-21 | Kent State +7 v. Western Michigan | 31-64 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
Kent State looks to improve to 3-0 in the MAC with a win today at Western Michigan. Kent State is 3-3 overall on the season and 2-4 ATS. They have won their last two games over Bowling Green, 27-20 and then last week at home over Buffalo, 48-38. Western Michigan is 4-2 S/U and ATS overall, 1-1 in MAC play. The Broncos are coming off a loss last week at home to Ball State, 20-45 as a 11-point favorite. The clubs haven't met since 2017 when Western won at home, 48-20. Kent has a very good offense, ranked 24th in the country. Western is ranked 64th in offense. Kent suffers on defense where they are ranked 110th with Western coming in at 25th. Getting a TD here on Saturday with a very good Kent offense is too much to pass on. Play Kent State. |
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10-16-21 | Pittsburgh -6 v. Virginia Tech | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh looks to build on their win last week at Georgia Teach, 52-21. The Panthers are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. They have been an offensive machine, scoring 41 or more points in every game thus far. That ranks them 3rd in the country in total offense. The defense is good, ranked 40th overall. Virginia Tech is coming off a home loss to Notre Dame last week, 29-32. That makes them 3-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. What disturbs me is that they barely beat FCS team Richmond, 21-10. The offense has not been good, ranked 116th overall. The defense is good, ranked 44th. But they will have their hands full today with the 3rd ranked Panthers offense. I'll take Pittsburgh in this one. |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 32-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Not sure if Texas will be able to get that staggering loss to Oklahoma out of its mouth for this week's contest. Texas comes into this game 4-2 overall and 2-1 in the Big 12. Oklahoma had last week off to prepare for this game and comes in 5-0 overall and 2-0 in conference. Ok State has the nation's 85th ranked offense while Texas is 18th. Problem for Texas is the defense, which ranks 107th overall. They will have to deal with an Ok State team that is 19th overall on offense. With Ok State being rested and Texas maybe not in the right frame of mind, I'll take the undefeated Pokes in this one. Play Oklahoma State and look for an outright win. |
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10-15-21 | California +13.5 v. Oregon | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
California looking to rebound after its trip to Washington State. The Bears lost to the Huskies, 24-31 and then lost to the Cougars, 6-21. That makes them 1-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. Oregon also coming off a loss last week at Stanford, 24-31. The loss was the first of the season for the Ducks who are now 4-1 S/U but only 1-4 ATS. Cal upset the Ducks last season in Oregon, 21-17 as a 10-point road dog. Oregon has the 54th ranked offense while Cal comes in at 61st. Cal is 80th on defense while Oregon is 87th. Despite the difference in records, Cal is really just as good as Oregon. I'm taking the points in this one. Take Cal. |
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10-15-21 | Marshall v. North Texas UNDER 67 | 49-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Marshall looks to snap a four game losing streak here tonight as they visit North Texas. The Thundering Herd opened the season with a pair of nice wins over Navy, 49-7 and then over NC Central, 44-10. Since that 2-0 start they have lost some tough games, including last week's setback to Old Dominion, 20-13, as a 21-point favorite. North Texas is also reeling, after an opening season win over Northwester State, 44-14, the Mean Green have lost four straight. They are coming off a loss last week at Missouri, 35-48 as a 19 point dog. North Texas has the 95th ranked defense while Marshall is 76th. Even though their record isn't good, Marshall has the 8th ranked offense in FBS with 515 yards per game and 358 passing yards per game. The are two teams having their respective issues. We also have a high total of 66 or 66 1/2 here today. I think that's a bit too high for two teams that are both looking for wins. Take the UNDER. |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Week 6 of the NFL starts tonight from Philadelphia as the Eagles host the Bucs. Tampa Bay coming off a historic Tom Brady performance where he threw for over 400 yards and 5 TD's, first time in his storied career he has done both of those in the same game. The Bucs won their second game in a row after dropping that game at the Rams back on Sept 26th, 24-34. The Bucs are now 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. Philadelphia rebounded from their loss at home to Kansas City two weeks ago with a win at Carolina last week, 21-18. The Eagles are 2-3 S/U and ATS on the season. Tampa has the league's 3rd top offense while Philly has the 14th ranked offensive unit. Tampa has the 15th ranked defense while Philly comes in at 9th. Tom Brady is nursing a thumb injury on his thrown hand, but it didn't seem to bother him much last week. TE Rob Gronkowski is still out and he's a top target in the red zone. I'm going to take the TD here at home with the Eagles. |
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10-14-21 | Navy +11 v. Memphis | 17-35 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Navy started the season with a pair of bad losses. They lost their opener at home to Marshall, 7-49 and then at home another bad loss to Air Force, 3-23. They were outscored in those two games, 10-72. However, they seem to have gotten better since. They lost their third game at Houston, 20-28, but covered the 20.5 point line. Then they beat Central Florida, 34-30, against cover a double digit dog line. Last week they gave SMU all they could handle in a 24-31 loss as another double digit dog. That's three decent opponents they have hung tough against and covered the spread. They go to Memphis here tonight. Memphis has gone the other way. After opening the season with a 3-0 and 2-0-1 ATS records, they have lost three straight games. That includes a 31-34 loss at Temple as a 11-point favorite. The problem has been their defense, they have allowed 29 or more points in each of their last five games. The defense ranks 117th in the country. Navy has the 58th ranked defense in the country. Yet, here they are getting double digits again tonight. I'll take the points tonight with Navy. |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette OVER 56.5 | 13-41 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Early Sun Belt action starts the college football week here on Tuesday evening as Appalachian State takes on UL Lafayette. App State has won eight of the last nine meetings between these teams. App State has one of the best offenses, ranked 16th nationally and averaging 35.2 ppg this year. They have a very balanced attack with 197 rushing yards per game and another 284 passing. The Mountaineers are coming off a win at Georgia State, 45-16. ULL lost their opening game to Texas, 18-38 and since then have won four straight games. They are coming off a win at South Alabama last week, 20-18, though they failed to cover the 13-point line. App State should get plenty of points here tonight. Lafayette will likely need to match them to stay in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Colts making their return to their old stomping grounds in Baltimore here tonight. Colts started season 0-3 but finally got a win last week at Miami, 27-17. The defense held the Dolphins to just 203 total yards, though the offense didn't light it up either with 349 yards. Problem is today they have to face a much better team in the Ravens and on the road. The Ravens started the season with a OT loss at Las Vegas. Since then they are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS. They are coming off a road win at Denver, 23-7 where they sacked Denver QB's five times. The Colts have had numerous injury issues including QB Carson Wentz who has battled a pair of ankle injuries. Their offensive line has also been hurting and they are without WR TY Hilton. The Ravens have lots of new faces at running back with Latavius Murray getting the bulk of the action. This means we'll see more passing from QB Lamar Jackson to go along with his running ability. I'll take the Ravens here today as they look to have gotten back on track while the Colts I'm not so sure about. Play Baltimore. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Both teams should get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Take Buffalo. |
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10-10-21 | Giants +7 v. Cowboys | 20-44 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants look to build on their road win at New Orleans last week, 27-21. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They had lost two of their prior three games by three-points or fewer. Dallas is coming off their big home win last week over Carolina, 36-28. The Cowboys are now 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS. Ezekiel Elliot and Pollard led the way rushing last week as part of a 245 yard rushing performance. The Giants have been an excellent road covering team, going 20-6 ATS in their last 26 away contests. They are also 10-4 ATS overall in their last 14 games as a dog. Dallas plays better in the dog role, evidenced by their 4-10 ATS mark their last 14 games as a favorite. Dallas has a 6-2 ATS mark the last eight meetings, but the Giants have covered the last two in the series. Dallas has the third ranked offense and the Giants the 14th ranked offense. RB Elliot is nursing a knee injury, while this has limited his practice he is expected to play Sunday. I'm going to take the points here with the Giants as they just seem to keep covering in the role of a dog. |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
NFC West clash here between the 4-0 Arizona Cardinals and the 2-2 SF 49ers. The NFC West looks to be one of the best divisions of football this year. The 49ers look to get back to winning after a loss last week at home to Seattle, 21-28. Rookie QB Trey Lance got extended play after Jimmy Garoppolo was injured with a calf injury. Looks like Lance will get the start here on Sunday. Lance brings that duel threat of running and passing to this offense. The Cardinals are coming off a dominating performance last week at the LA Rams, 37-20. QB Kyler Murray was 24-of-32 for 268 yards and two TD's. Arizona now has the NFL's top offense with 441 yards per game average. This looks to be a great afternoon game. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday as I like Lance at QB for the Niners as he brings a new and fresh dimension to this offense. Take San Francisco. |
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10-09-21 | Wyoming v. Air Force -5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wyoming Cowboys make the short trek South here today to Colorado Springs to take on Air Force. Wyoming is 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS after last week's win over Connecticut, 24-22 as a 30-point favorite. That's right, they won by just two points as more than a 4-TD favorite. Won't get any easier here today. The Air Force is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Falcons are coming off a win at New Mexico, 38-10 as a 11-point favorite. The defense, with the exception of 49-points to Utah State, has been very good. They haven't allowed more than 14 points in four of their five games. The defense ranks 15th overall in the FBS. Wyoming has the 48th ranked defense. Air Force has the 32nd ranked offense and most of that is on the ground as they average 367 yard per game rushing. Wyoming has the 90th ranked offense. The Falcons laying only 5-points at home is too much for me to pass up on. Take Air Force. |
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10-09-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio (UTSA) is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season after beating UNLV at home last week, 24-17. Though they did fail to cover the 21-point line, their first non-cover of the season. Western Kentucky is 1-3 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The Hill Toppers have had a great offense, scoring at least 31 points in every game. However, the defense has been equally as bad, allowing 33 or more in three of their four games. Western ranks 114th in overall defense, but 8th in overall offense. UTSA has the 46th ranked offense and the 22nd ranked defense. Should be lots of points in this contest. However, getting points with a undefeated team against a team with a terrible defense is right up my alley. Play Texas San Antonio. |
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10-09-21 | Penn State +2 v. Iowa | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Great Big 10 matchup here on Saturday as No 4 Penn State takes on the No 3 Hawkeyes in Iowa. Iowa is 5-0 S/U and 2-0 in the Big Ten while Penn State is also 5-0 S/U and 2-0 in the Big 10. That makes this a monster matchup on Saturday. This promises to be a good old fashioned defensive contest on Saturday. Iowa ranks 8th overall in defense while Penn State is 33rd. Penn State has had a very good redzone defense, allowing just 5-TD's in 15 redzone trips for a very good 41.9% redzone efficiency. Penn State has covered two of the last three meetings with Iowa. The teams met last year in Penn State with Iowa winning 41-21. Penn State has a bit of revenge on their mind after that home beating they took last year. I'll take Penn State and the points here today. |
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10-09-21 | Georgia -14.5 v. Auburn | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
The nations best defense will be on display here in Saturday's matchup between Georgia and Auburn. Georgia ranks #1 overall in total defense allowing a mere 181 total yards per game. They have also not allowed a single TD in the redzone this year and just three field goals in five total trips. That ranks as the nation's top redzone efficiency of 25.7%. Auburn is no defensive slouch themselves, ranking 22nd overall with 299 yards allowed per game. Auburn is 4-1 overall and coming off a come-from-behind win over LSU last week, 24-19. The 2nd ranked Georgia Bulldogs won't give Auburn anytime to relax though. Georgia has allowed ONE touchdown all season. Not sure if Auburn cracks the TD zone here on Saturday. Play Georgia. |
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10-08-21 | Temple +30 v. Cincinnati | 3-52 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
The Temple Owns are big dogs here tonight as they face one of the best in the nation in Cincinnati. Cincinnati is 4-0 on the season and coming off a huge win at No 10 Notre Dame last week. Temple had to come from a 17-point deficit last week to get a win against Memphis, 34-17. Cincinnati is led by Senior QB Desmond Ridder who was 19-of-32 last week for 297 yards. Ridder has now been having his name thrown around the Heisman hunt. Cincy also has a great defense, allowing just 14.5 ppg this year and that ranks 8th in the FBS. Obviously Cincinnati has the winner here tonight. My questions is this, will they have a let down after last week and how much do they care about this Temple team? With the Owls being around 29-point dogs, I can see them squeezing inside that number. Cincinnati might play more younger players here tonight. I'm going to take a shot with the points in this one. Play Temple. |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks coming off a road loss last week at Minnesota, 17-30. That makes the Hawks 2-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They return home here for Thursday night to face the Rams. The Rams had that big win two weeks ago at home over Tampa Bay, 34-24 and then had a let down last week at home to the Cardinals, 20-37. The Rams were outgained 401-465, had eight fewer plays and three fewer first downs. The biggest difference were in turnovers where the Rams had two and Arizona had none. Seattle's offense not as good as in year's past, they rank just 19th overall and 17th in passing. The Rams are 11th overall and 4th in passing. The Rams defense is loaded with stars, however they haven't played that way as they rank 27th overall. Seattle is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL in total defense. Neither team looks to be the defensive units they once were. I'll take the points though tonight as it's not often you get the Hawks and points at home. Play Seattle. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 51.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games overall. Two top 10 offenses here with both having middle of the pack defenses. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders +3 v. Chargers | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders find themselves three-point dogs here on Monday. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road dog. The dog has covered 18 of the last 24 in this series. I'll take the points here with the Raiders. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs -6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks to rebound from their loss at the Rams last week, 24-34. The rushing game couldn't get anything going as they totaled just 35 yards on the ground. Tom Brady had another excellent game with over 400 yards passing (his top this year). Tampa Bay had more yards, more offensive plays and more first downs then the Rams. Yet, they lost by 10 points with 7 points coming late in the 4th quarter. New England also lost week as they lost at home to the Saints, 13-28. Another example of the stats not panning out to the score. The Patriots had 48 more yards, nine more offensive plays and just three fewer first downs than New Orleans. That Pats were also +1 in the turnover ratio. Tampa Bay has the 8th best offense in the NFL (2nd in passing) while New England comes in at 21st. New England has the better defense, ranked 5th overall while Tampa Bay is 27th. This game highlights Tom Brady's return to Foxboro since his Free agent signing with the Bucs. Should be plenty of excitement in the Stadium for this one. For me, Brady is still at the top of his game and I think he will want to send a statement to the Patriots today. Take Tampa Bay. |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Rams | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This game should be interesting today. The Arizona Cardinals have NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 432 yards per game. They are 3rd in passing and 10th in rushing. The Rams offense is ranked 22nd (11th vs rush and 25th vs pass), but we know they are much better then the number show. The Rams are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS after beating Tampa Bay last week, 34-24. The Rams have the 6th ranked passing attack as Mathew Stafford has looked very good since coming over from Detroit. Arizona mounted a big 2nd half comeback last week to beat Jacksonville, 31-19. They had four takeaways and 407 yards of offense. Arizona is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. They will be playing their third road game in four total games this week. Arizona getting 4 or 4 1/2 points here today is just too much to pass on with such a good offense. Play Arizona. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 S/U and ATS as they head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. They are also 0-3 O/U. The Panthers have the NFL's top defense right now. They are first both against the pass and the rush, allowing just 191 yard average per game. They are also third in the league in interceptions (13) and top in QB sacks (14). Dallas is 2-1 after their impressive win at home last week over the Eagles, 41-21. The Dallas defense is ranked 26th in the NFL. It's the offense that shines, ranked 5th overall. Carolina's offense ranks 10th. This game will be the Carolina defense against the Cowboys offense. I will take the UNDER in this one today. |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 42 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 0-3 as we enter week four action. They are coming off a close home loss to the Baltimore Ravens, 17-19. It took a NFL Record breaking field goal of 66 yards by Tucker to not only break the record but get the win for the Ravens as time ran out. Th Lions offense managed just 285 total yards. The Detroit offense ranks just 17th in the NFL (15th in both pass and rush. The Bears are 1-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at home to Cleveland, 6-26. The Bears had a total of 47 yards, yes 47! The Bears started rookie QB Justin Fields who had a disastrous showing. The Bears defense was very good, sacking Baker Mayfield five times. Hard to believe, but the Bears netted just 1 passing yard last week after you take out the 67 yards in nine sacks. These are two pathetic offenses and I wouldn't bet either side. But I will take the UNDER today. |
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10-02-21 | UL-Lafayette -12 v. South Alabama | 20-18 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
UL Lafayette is 3-1 after dropping their first game of the season to Texas, 18-38. Since then they have beaten Nicholls State, Ohio U and last week over Georgia Southern. South Alabama is 3-0 after beating Southern Miss in their opening games and then Bowling Green and Alcorn State. They didn't cover either of those last two games however. Lafayette has won the last five meetings in this series, though they have covered just three of those. Lafayette has the 50th ranked offense in the country. South Alabama is ranked 97th in the country despite playing Bowling Green and Alcorn State. I am going to lay the price here with the visitor. Play UL Lafayette. |
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10-02-21 | Western Kentucky v. Michigan State -10.5 | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky travels to East Lansing, MI here today to face its second Big 10 opponent this season. Last week W Ky faced off against Indiana, but came up 2-points short, 31-33. The Hilltoppers have covered their first three games of the season. Meanwhile, Michigan State is 4-0 on the season and was lucky to get by Nebraska last week, 23-20. MSU had just 71 rushing yards and 183 passing yards. They were not only outgained by 176 yards, but had 33 fewer offensive plays then the Huskers. I look for Michigan State to bounce back this week against this Western Kentucky club and make up for their lackluster performance last week. Play Michigan State. |
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10-02-21 | Army -10 v. Ball State | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Army comes into today's contest a perfect 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They are coming off a win over Miami Ohio, 23-10 as a 7.5-point favorite. Can't say the same for Ball State who after winning their opening season game vs Western Illinois, they have since lost three straight games. The Cardinals are also 0-4 ATS on the season and have scored more than 13 points just once and that was the opener. Ball State is ranked 107th defensively in the country while Army is ranked 15th. Army ranks 60th on offense and averages a nation leading 345 yards per game on the ground. Ball State is 117th on offense. Ball State won't have an answer for the Army rushing game here on Saturday. Look for Army to control the game on the ground and win this one going away. Play Army. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas State +2 v. Georgia Southern | 33-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Arkansas State is 1-3 S/U and 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Two teams with defensive liabilities meet here on Saturday. Arkansas State can't seem to stop the run and Georgia Southern can't seem to stop the pass. Arkansas State did cover last week at Tulsa, losing 34-41 as a 14-point dog. They gave up 308 yards rushing to Tulsa. Georgia Southern lost at home to UL Lafayette last week, 20-28. The loss dropped Ga Southern to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the year. This looks to me like a game where the last team to have the ball might win it all. I do like the visitor a bit more in this one though. Play Arkansas State. |
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10-02-21 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +3.5 | 52-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 3-1 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. Can't really count last week though as they beat up on New Hampshire to the tune of 77-7. That can skew their offensive and defensive numbers. The only real team they played was at home against Tennessee which they won and covered, 41-34. Georgia Tech is 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Tech is coming off it's most impressive win of the season, a 45-22 win over North Carolina as a 11.5-point dog. I like the competition that Tech has played thus far in NCU and Clemson, compared to the relative cream puffs the Panthers have faced. I'll take Georgia Tech here on Saturday. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas v. Georgia UNDER 49 | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
SEC Action here today has Arkansas taking on the Georgia Bulldogs. Arkansas is 4-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Their defense has been great, allowing 10 points twice, 17 and 21 points. The defense ranks 12th nationally, allowing 267 yards per game. They are coming off a win over Texas A&M last week 20-10 as a 5.5-point dog. This will be their first road game of the season here today. Georgia is also 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The Dogs have allowed a total of 20 points on the season and have the nation's top ranked defense with just 186 yards allowed per game. They also have yet to allow a red-zone touch down this year. This looks to be one of the best defensive battles this weekend with two top D's going head to head. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here as points will be at a premium Play UNDER. |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State +9.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Reason: The Battle for the Old Wagon Wheel takes place tonight in Login Utah when No 13 BYU faces off against Utah State. BYU is 4-0 on the season and looks to make a statement as to why they need to be considered for the CFB Playoff finals. They are coming off a win over South Florida, 35-27. Utah State is 3-1 on the season but is coming off a loss to Boise State, 3-27 last week. The teams have split covering the last four meetings with no matchup in 2020. Aggies getting almost 10 points here tonight. This rivalry game usually brings out the best in Utah State, though BYU is the more talented team. I'll take the points and see if the Aggies can rebound from lst week's poor performance. Play Utah State. |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3 | 51-14 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Iowa brings its perfect 4-0 record into today's game at Maryland. The Hawkeyes are off a 24-14 win over Colorado State, though they failed to cover the spread. It was their first cover fail of the season. The defense has been the biggest part of this team. Iowa has the 13th ranked overall defense. They will have a big test here tonight against one of the more dynamic offenses in the country. Maryland is ranked 13th overall in offense in the country. Maryland is 4-0 on the season and has scored 30 points or more in three of their four games. That includes 30 points against a very good West Virginia defense to start the season. The Iowa offense will need to rely on their defense. The offense ranks 122nd in the country and average 293 yards per game. This game really comes down to the Iowa defense against the Maryland offense. For me, I'm getting points at home with a very good offense, I'll take that. Play Maryland. |
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10-01-21 | Houston v. Tulsa -3 | 45-10 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Houston Cougars look to improve to 4-1 here tonight as they visit Tulsa. The Cougars lost their season opener to Texas Tech, 21-38. Since then they have beaten Rice, Grambling and then last week 28-20 over Navy. Meanwhile, Tulsa is 1-3 on the season as they won their first game of the year last week at home over Arkansas State, 41-34. The Golden Hurricane did lose to UC Davis in their opener, 17-19. They then went to Oklahoma State and played well, covering but losing outright 23-28. They also covered against Ohio state, 20-41. Big difference in competition these teams have played. While Tulsa has just one win they have played the better opponents. Tulsa has covered three of the last four in this series, though they didn't play last year due to Covid. I'm going to take the home team here tonight. Play Tulsa. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The Bengals have been a good over team. They are 5-0-1 in their last six as a favorite and 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 vs the AFC. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year, I'll take the OVER here on Thursday. Play OVER. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year I expect Cincinnati to get there share also here today. Jags still looking for that first win and cover, will still be that way after tonight's game. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
It's already come down to this game to see who is first to take the lead in the AL East. With the NY Giants at 0-3 and Washington at 1-2, the winner of this game between 1-1 teams will take the lead in the division. Philly opened the season with a win over Atlanta, 32-6 followed by a loss at home to San Francisco, 11-17. Dallas opened with a narrow loss to the Bucs, 29-31, followed by a win at home over the Chargers, 20-17. Dallas is 4th in the NFL in total offense with 435 yards while the Eagles are 15th with 381. Philly has the better defense, ranked 4th overall while the Cowboys are 28th defensively. The Cowboys are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS their last six vs the NFC East. For me, I'll take the better defensive team here tonight plus the points. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams OVER 55.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. They opened the season with a close win over Dallas, 31-29 and then won and covered last week vs Atlanta, 48-25. Tampa has the 13th ranked offense. The running game hasn't been much, ranked 30th as they average just 67 yards per game. Tom Brady has been hot though, with the passing game ranked 5th overall at 319 yards per game. The Rams have the 16th ranked offense, but Matthew Stafford has been good and has the passing attack ranked 7th overall. The Rams opened with a win over Chicago 34-14 and then last week beat the Colts on the road, 27-24. Both games have gone over. The Bucs are 21-6 O/Un in their last 27 games vs NFC opponents. They are 5-2 O/U in their last seven games. The Rams have gone over in their last four games. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone over. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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09-26-21 | Chargers +7 v. Chiefs | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Two of the most dynamic young QB's matchup here on Sunday as Justin Herbert of the Chargers meets Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. The Chargers look to overcome their loss last week at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers and Cowboys were almost identical in stats with LA having one more turnover. Last year the Chargers won and covered the game in Kansas City, 38-21 as a 7-point dog. The Chargers have covered five of their last six games and are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 10 away games. The Chiefs lost last week in an exciting finish at Baltimore, 35-36. Despite leading late the Ravens mounted a big comeback for the win. KC had 405 yards in the game compared to 485 by Baltimore. The Ravens did have 18 more offensive plays. The Chiefs are only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. I'm going to take the points here today with the Chargers. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions OVER 50 | 19-17 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore followed up their OT loss in Las Vegas week one with a exciting home win over the Chiefs last week, 36-35. They have now gone over in both games. Which is what I'm looking at today. The defense has been horrendous thus far, ranked 31st in the league. Their pass defense is the worst in the NFL. The Lions opened the season with a loss to the 49ers, 33-41. Last week they got beat at Green Bay, 17-35. Both games have gone over. The Ravens have seen six of their last eight road games go over. The Lions have seen 13 of their last 16 home games go over. This one looks to be another high scoring affair for both team. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 45 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 1-1 S/U and ATS as they come into action here on week three. The beat the Bengals at home last week, 20-17. The offense was not good, passing for just 83 yards and rushing for 123 yards. The saving grace was their defense that held Cincinnati to just 248 total yards and had four take aways. The Browns followed their week one loss to the Chiefs with a win at home last week over Houston, 31-21. The Bears have the 8th ranked defense in the league, allowing 317 total yards per game. Their rushing defense is ranked 5th. The Browns are 14th with 350 yards per game allowed. The rush defense is 9th. Problem for the Bears is they have the 30th ranked offense and the 31st ranked passing offense. The Bears have seen their totals go under in 22 of the last 31 times they played on grass. They are also 6-13 O/U their last 19 times as a road dog. I don't see the Bears getting many points here today. Their defense is good enough to keep them close. Play UNDER. |
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09-25-21 | Indiana v. Western Kentucky +9.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Indiana looks to get back to winning today after losing at home last week to Cincinnati, 24-38. The Illini turned the ball over four times in that loss compared to just two take aways. Despite losing by 14, they had 42 more yards, 5 more plays and the same amount of first downs. Turnovers played the key role. Indiana is 1-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Illini play their last non-con game here today before getting solely into Big 10 play. Western Kentucky had last week off after losing to Army the previous week. 25-28. Indiana has just the 116th ranked offense in country after three games with just 316 yards per game. Compare that to W.Ky that is ranked 12th in offense with 532 yards per game. Indiana is a 9 point road dog and for me that's too many points to give a good offensive team. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-25-21 | Clemson v. NC State +10.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
ACC matchup here today has NC State hosting Clemson. Clemson might be one of the biggest disappointments of the season thus far. Clemson had a lackluster win at home last week to Georgia Tech, 14-8. The Tigers had only 284 yards of offense to Tech's 318 yards. They had six fewer plays and just 126 yards passing. The Tigers offense also sputtered in their opening game loss to Georgia, 3-10. Their only good game came against South Carolina State, 49-3. NC State is 2-1 both S/U and ATS as they are coming off win over Furman, 45-7. The Wolfpack opened the season with a nice win over South Florida, 45-0 and then lost at home to Mississippi State, 10-24. Clemson is ranked 114th in the country in offense while NC State is ranked 31st. Both teams have under performed, but Clemson has look pretty bad thus far. I'll take NC State at home today. |
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09-25-21 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +5.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
A Top 25 matchup here on Sunday pits No 7 Ranked Texas A&M against No 16 ranked Arkansas. Both teams are coming into this game 3-0. A&M is coming off an easy win over New Mexico last week, 34-0. The Aggies had 429 yards of offense to just 122 for the Lobos. Arkansas also had little issue last week with Georgia Southern. The Hogs had 633 yards to just 233 for Ga Southern. Arkansas is ranked 22nd in the nation in offense with 492 yards per game. Texas A&M is 33rd with 446 yards. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last five game. Arkansas is getting 5-points here at home today. I think they can win this game outright, but I'll take the points. Play Arkansas. |
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09-25-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State +2.5 | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
If there was already a big game in the SEC, this could be it. The Miss State Bulldogs are 2-1 and are coming off a loss at Memphis, 29-31 for their first loss. They opened the season with win over La Tech, 35-34 and then a win over NC State, 24-10. LSU is also 2-1, opening the season with a loss at home to UCLA, 27-38. They came back and beat McNeese State, 34-07 and then won at home vs Central Michigan last week, 49-21. The LSU rushing game has struggled, gaining just 84 yards vs Central Michigan and now ranks 120th in the county. Miss State has also struggled offensively, ranking 72nd in offense with 4-6 yards per game. The Bulldogs defense has been the strength of this team, ranking 46th nationally as they allow jut 317 yards. In addition, they have one of the lowest red zone efficiencies in the nation at just 37%. Only one TD has been scored against them in five red zone trips by the opposition. I look for Miss State's defense to be the difference here today. Play Miss State. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
One of the last few Independent teams, Notre Dame, takes on the Big 10's Wisconsin here today from Madison. The Irish are 3-0, but it hasn't been an easy stretch. The Irish opened with a 3-point win over Florida State, then a 3-point win over Toledo before a more easy game last week in a win over Purdue, 27-13. Notre Dame's offense is ranked only 70th in the country with 408 yards per game. Wisconsin had last week off after beating Eastern Michigan the week before that, 34-7. They opened the season with a loss against Penn State, 10-16. Wisconsin has the 35th ranked offense with 442 yards average in teir two games. Have to wonder if the Badgers are looking a next week's Big 10 game at home vs Michigan. No one should ever look past the Irish though. Irish are a dog here on Saturday and I like taking dogs who I believe can win outright. I'll take the points here today. Play Notre Dame. |
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09-24-21 | Liberty -6.5 v. Syracuse | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Liberty looks to go 4-0 as they travel to New York tonight to face the Syracuse Orange. Liberty has wins over Campbell, Troy and Old Dominion. The Flames had little issue with Old Dominion last week, 45-17, just covering the 27.5 point line. They held ODU to just 201 total yards to their own 424 yards. Syracuse is 2-1, but padded their stats last week against Albany, 62-24. They wracked-up 686 yards but still turned the ball over twice to just one take away. Their other win was against a poor Ohio team, 29-9. Their loss coming at the hands of Rutgers, 7-17. I'm looking at this last game by Syracuse. The one good team they played held them to just seven points. What does that tell me? This Syracuse team won't hold up well against Liberty tonight. Liberty has the 9th ranked defense right now, allowing just 234 yards through three games. They have only allowed three red zone incursions thus far in 12 quarters of play. I look for this Liberty defense to do just what Rutgers did, hold Syracuse down on offense. Play the UNDER |
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09-24-21 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -3 | 37-17 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
The undefeated Wake Forest Deamon Decons put their perfect 3-0 record on the line tonight at Virginia. Wake is coming off a nice win over Florida State last weekend, 35-14. They had a huge turnover day, taking away six times from Florida State to just two turnovers. They also had 89 offensive plays to just 51 by the Seminoles. Virginia is 2-1 after losing their first game of the season last week to North Carolina, 39-59. North Carolina came just one yard from 700 total yards of offense. Virginia had 577 yards themselves in the loss. But the rushing defense of Virginia was shredded for 392 yards and a 8.3 yards per carry average. Despite Virginia losing last week, they did so against one of the better teams in the conference. Wake is a decent team too, but Virginia will want to rebound after that poor defensive showing last week. And, home crowd means more this year with full stadiums again. I'll take the Cavaliers on the national spot light tonight. Play Virginia. |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are down to their third string QB in Davis Mills. Mills came into last week's game after Tyrod Taylor was injured in the first half. He played ok, tallying just over 100 yards with a TD and an INT. Mills will be thrown to the wolves tonight as he faces a very good Carolina defense. Plus, the Texans aren't very exciting overall on offense, so I look for points to be hard to come by tonight. The Panthers have Darnold at QB and McCaffrey running and catching the ball. I'm no big fan of Darnolds, but he's got the job done so far for the Panthers who smothered the Saints last week. The Panthers only allowing 10.5 ppg thus far. I'll take the UNDER here tonight. |
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09-23-21 | Marshall +7 v. Appalachian State | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
Marshall looks to get back on the winning track here on Thursday night as they take on Appalachian State. Both teams are 2-1 on the season. The Thundering Herd lost last week at home to East Carolina, 38-42 as a 10-point home favorite. They had three turnovers to just one by the Pirates. They did outgain ECU, accumulating a staggering 647 yards of offense but allowing 361 yards. The Herd threw for 433 yards and rushed for 214. Marshall was the preseason favorite to win the Conference USA after welcoming back 13-starters this season to a team that went 7-3 last year. App State had an easy game last week at home against Elon, winning 44-10. They had 528 yards to just 291 by Elon. They did have two turnovers though in the contest. App State was 9-3 last year and 6-2 in the Sun Belt. Marshall is 8-2 ATS their last 10 as a road dog and App State is only 1-5 ATS their last five vs a winning team. They also don't play well as a favorite, going 4-10 ATS their last 14 as a favorite. Marshall getting a TD here today is too much to pass on. Take Marshall. |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers -11.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers looked horrible last week against the New Orleans Saints. The Packers lost 3-38 and had just 229 totals yards and three turnover. Aaron Rodgers was pulled from the game as many speculated he performed that way on purpose because he is unhappy in Green Bay. The Lions almost pulled the shocker of the week as they trailed the 49ers by 28 points and then scored the games final 21 of 28 points to pull close, but lose 33-41. They had almost as many yards as SF (430 to 442) and they had 27 more offensive plays and a +2 turnover ratio. They played even or better than the Niners in most statistical categories. If you only looked at the stats you would figure they had won the game. Question is, who will show up here in week 2, the same Packer team from Week 1 or last year's No 1 ranked offense? The Lions are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 3-7 ATS when the road dog. The Packers usually rebound from losses well, going 16-5 ATS in their last 21 following a ATS loss. I believe Rodgers will be ready to show last week was a fluke and he's ready to return to his old self here against this poor defense of the Lions. I look for the Packers to take out those week 1 frustrations here on the Lions tonight. Play Green Bay. |