Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-18-14 | Georgia v. Arkansas UNDER 58.5 | 45-32 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star SEC Total Takedown* I was extremely impressed by the Georgia Bulldogs defense in their win last week over Missouri. Georgia's defense totally stonewalled a pretty decent Missouri offense led by Maty Mauk in that game. They pitched a shutout on the road in Columbia. Arkansas' defense gave up only 14 points against an Alabama offense with a bunch of weapons too. These are two teams that stop the run well. That's important here because that's pretty much all these two offenses do. That being said, I see a lot of running clock and solid work from both defenses in the front seven. A tight game here with the defenses controlling. Take the under. |
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10-18-14 | Cincinnati v. SMU OVER 61.5 | 41-3 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 21 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The SMU Mustangs are a really bad football team. They did show a little bit of hope on the offensive end in their last game against East Carolina though. As bad as the SMU offense is, they should be able to score several times on Cincinnati who is among the worst defenses in the nation. The Bearcats secondary has been absolutely torn up by everyone this year. SMU's defense is awful, and Gunner Kiel and the Bearcats passing game is excellent. Cincinnati could throw for 500 plus yards in this game and it wouldn't surprise me one bit. I expect Cincinnati to score at least 40 points in this one. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 overall. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 October games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 40 plus points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after losing by 20 points or more. The over is 10-1 in their last 11 following a loss. A 33-1 angle. Take the over. |
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10-18-14 | Clemson v. Boston College UNDER 48.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 94 h 21 m | Show | |
*4 Star ACC Total Value* The Clemson Tigers aren't the same team without DeShaun Watson at quarterback. Watson broke his hand last week in the team's narrow victory over Louisville. The Tigers offense was a mess after Watson left. Cole Stoudt has experience, but he just isn't all that good. Stoudt is also playing slightly dinged up, so Clemson's playbook will probably look a little different this week. Look for more running from Clemson and not quite as quick of a tempo. Boston College will play to force Stoudt to beat them through the air and I don't think he can do it. The Eagles slow the game down and like to run the ball a bunch, so the clock should keep ticking away in this one. I think this one is a real defensive battle. Take the under. |
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10-18-14 | Ball State v. Central Michigan OVER 55 | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 85 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB MAC Total Takedown* The Central Michigan Chippewas have a couple great offensive players in Titus Davis and Thomas Rawls. Both of these guys missed time earlier this year, and the Chippewas offense struggled. Rawls has carried it 40 times in both of the team's last two games. He has quickly become the best running back in the MAC. Davis was great last year and he's getting cranked up again now that he's healthy. He's the best receiver in the MAC, and no one from this Ball State secondary can match his athleticism. Ball State plays quickly and they have found a better quarterback the last couple weeks who helps them move the ball. The Chippewas defense is no better than mediocre. This posted total is a few points too low. Take the over. |
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10-18-14 | Eastern Michigan v. UMass OVER 61.5 | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The UMass Minutemen are a team that have made me a lot of money with the 'over' so far this year. UMass has had tons of trouble scoring the past few seasons, but they got a new quarterback this year and he has sparked the team in a big way. Blake Frohnapfel was stuck behind Rakeem Cato at Marshall the last couple years, but now he is thriving at UMass. With him at the helm, the Minutemen are killing teams through the air. Eastern Michigan's defense is absolutely atrocious, and UMass will likely put up 40 points or more. Eastern Michigan's offense got a spark from a freshman quarterback last week, and UMass' defense is really bad. This number isn't terribly high, and I see the potential for huge plays back and forth all the way through this one. Really bad defenses and improving offenses. The over is 4-0 in E. Michigan's last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. The over is 5-0-1 in UMass' last 6 games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 on turf. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 30-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-18-14 | Western Michigan v. Bowling Green OVER 68 | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB MAC Total* The Bowling Green Falcons have a new offensive system under Coach Dino Babers this year. The Falcons are doing great on offense even without starting quarterback Matt Johnson. Why have they been disappointing overall? Bowling Green went from having the best defense in the MAC, to having one of the worst defenses in the entire nation. Western Michigan has a good young quarterback and a good young running back. The Broncos have scored 34 points or more in four of their six games so far this year. Western Michigan has tons of defensive issues, so Bowling Green should put up a bunch. A back and forth high scoring affair. Take the over. |
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10-18-14 | Tulane v. Central Florida UNDER 45.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 90 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The UCF Knights and Tulane Green Wave are two teams with some severe issues on the offensive end. UCF has an inconsistent quarterback in Justin Holman. Tulane will likely start Nick Montana for a second straight week with starting quarterback Tanner Lee injured. In their last two games, Tulane has put up 6 points and 12 points. The Tulane defense is the reason this team was so improved last year, and they are still solid this year. UCF's defense is always underrated under Coach O'Leary. Neither of these teams like to play fast, so I don't expect very many possessions in this game. This total is set rather low, but it should be even lower. The under is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 after gaining 170 passing yards or less last game. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their last game. The under is 4-0 in UCF's last 4 conference games. The under is 4-0 in the Knights last 4 after giving up 170 yards or less through the air last game. A 16-0 angle. Take the under. |
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10-18-14 | Baylor v. West Virginia OVER 79.5 | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 12 Total Value* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears have scored 115 and 133 points the last two years when they have squared off. They might not score that many points this time around, but I think they'll score a bunch. Both teams air it out early and often, and Clint Trickett is playing some amazing football right now. We know Bryce Petty and the Bears offense can score in a hurry, but so can West Virginia. I think both teams have a good chance to put up 40 plus points here. A back and forth game with lots of quick scores. The total is high, but not high enough. Take the over. |
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10-17-14 | Temple v. Houston OVER 48.5 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Houston Cougars and Temple Owls meet Friday night in Houston. On paper, both of these defenses look solid, but when you look at who they have played you'll see the whole story. Temple's opponents have been Vanderbilt, Navy, Delaware State, Tulsa, and UConn. Only Navy has a decent offense, and that is a triple option attack. Houston's opponents have been UTSA, Grambling, BYU, UNLV, UCF, and Memphis. Only BYU and Memphis have decent offenses there, and those two put up 33 and 24 points on the Cougars. P.J. Walker is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the nation and I see him making plays in this one against an overrated Houston defense. The Cougars will probably play two quarterbacks here (Ward and O'Korn) and the Cougars like to play fast and keep the tempo moving. The over is the play at this low level. I had this line set at 55 points myself. Take the over. |
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10-12-14 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 50 | 0-27 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line is starting to get healthier, and that should help this offense. Chip Kelly's offense is innovative and it has shown to be very good in the past, but this year the Eagles haven't gotten it going yet. Look for Nick Foles and the Philly receivers to get in sync this week. McCoy has been a big disappointment in the backfield, but he has a good past against the Giants defense. Eli Manning has been playing some really good football of late. Manning is getting rid of the football far quicker than he has in the past, and that's working in a big way. This looks like a back and forth high scoring game all the way. Take the over. |
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10-12-14 | Chicago Bears v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 53.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -108 | 112 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons meet in the Georgia Dome on Sunday afternoon. Both of these teams come in with lots of offensive weapons and a quarterback who can sling it around. The two defenses have some major problems in the secondary. Chicago is banged up badly in the secondary, and Matt Ryan is amazing at home. The Falcons receivers are as good as anyone in the league. The Falcons don't have a good pass rush, and without a strong pass rush, Jay Cutler is likely to pick apart this Atlanta secondary. This is a game where I expect a lot of big play touchdowns, so both teams should get the ball a lot of times here. The over is 6-0 in the Bears last 6 vs. the NFC. The over is 5-0 in Chicago's last 5 after gaining 250 passing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after running for 90 yards or less. The over is 5-0 in Atlanta's last 5 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in the Falcons last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-0 in Atlanta's last 6 as a home favorite. A 30-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-12-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Miami Dolphins OVER 49 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 108 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers both like to get off a lot of snaps. There should be plenty of no huddle offense and scoring opportunities in this game. Green Bay's defense has really disappointed this year, and I think they can make just about any quarterback look good. The Dolphins have an impressive running game. Green Bay's offense wasn't too good in the first couple weeks, but Aaron Rodgers has gotten it going of late. Rodgers should be able to carve up a mediocre Dolphins secondary. The Green Bay offense is much more impressive now that it has balance with Lacy in the run game. Plenty of points here. Take the over. |
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10-11-14 | Colorado State v. Nevada UNDER 64.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Nevada Wolf Pack played in a very high scoring game last week. The fact that they played an abnormally high scoring game last week sets up a lot of value on the under in this game. I suspect this line would have been in the upper 50's or about 60 before last weekend. Both Nevada and Colorado State take their time between snaps, so there won't be much hurry up offense in this game. The Wolf Pack defense is much improved from last year. Both teams will keep it on the ground quite a bit here as well. This number is several points too high. The under is 8-0 in Nevada's last 8 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 280 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 200 yards or more on the ground. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 280 passing yards or more on offense last game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 37-0 angle. Take the under. |
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10-11-14 | Florida International v. Texas-San Antonio UNDER 45 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 98 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total Value* These are two teams that are a total mess on the offensive side of the ball. Neither one is able to put together a consistent drive, and they both have tons of quarterback problems. FIU is starting to get more respectable as a team because their defense is playing well. Larry Coker always puts a solid defense on the field. This sets up as one of those really ugly games that no one wants to watch. The winner here might finish in the teens. Take the under. *Note- I would play the under for 4 stars down to 41 and 3 stars if the number is lower than that. Thank you.* |
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10-11-14 | Oregon v. UCLA OVER 68 | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 94 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oregon/UCLA Total DOMINATION* Both Oregon and UCLA were upset at home as double digit favorites last week. This game would have been even bigger had they won last week, but since the playoff system is in place now both teams still have a chance if they win out. These are two fast-paced offenses that do it with big plays. Big plays equal a lot of quick scores and that can lead to some real shootouts. These defenses are both far worse than they were a year ago. Marcus Mariota and Brett Hundley should have some big numbers in this contest. High scoring tight game here. Take the over. |
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10-11-14 | TCU v. Baylor OVER 66 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 72 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star Baylor/TCU Total CASH* The TCU Horned Frogs are known for their defense, but they are unbeaten right now because of their offense. The defense is still solid, but TCU's offense is no longer a liability. Even with their offense being weak last year, TCU lost 41-38 against Baylor in a back and forth game. Baylor kept things under wraps last week against Texas, but the Bears offense will be high-octane again Saturday. TCU has gotten a huge boost from Trevone Boykin's improved play. TCU is also playing at a much faster tempo this year than they have in the past. Both teams should get the ball plenty of times here. Lots of scoring chances. The over is 5-0 in TCU's last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 12-1 in Baylor's last 13 games after giving up 20 points or less last game. A 17-1 angle. Take the over. |
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10-11-14 | Boston College v. NC State OVER 56 | 30-14 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The NC State Wolfpack offense was tremendous a couple weeks ago against Florida State, but they were shut out and completely embarrassed last week in a loss to Clemson. They'll find things much easier going in this one against a mediocre Boston College defense. The Eagles offense has gotten a major spark from Tyler Murphy and the running game. NC State's defense isn't any good, and they've been routinely allowing 40 plus points. It's a battle of two former Florida quarterbacks (the Gators probably want them back now), and I expect both quarterbacks to play well here. The over is 5-0 in BC's last 5 games following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 conference games. The over is 7-0 in NC State's last 7 following an ATS loss. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-11-14 | Rice v. Army UNDER 60.5 | 41-21 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Army Black Knights and Rice Owls meet in a game between two teams that love to run the football. Army virtually never throws the ball, and Rice only throws it occasionally. While I do expect both teams to gain quite a few yards in this one, with the clock ticking away constantly it will be hard for them to get into the 60's. I made this total 55 points, so I see several points worth of value. Without quick scores, a total in the 60's is typically not attainable. Look for long drives that eat up a bunch of time to make it difficult for these two to reach this lofty number. Take the under here. |
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10-10-14 | San Diego State v. New Mexico OVER 46 | 24-14 | Loss | -106 | 76 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Friday Night Lights CASH* The New Mexico Lobos have one of the worst defenses in the nation. That's why when I saw a total of 46 points in this game, I jumped on the over immediately. San Diego State has a freshman quarterback starting here, and I know he didn't play well in his first start, but he should look better against this New Mexico defense. Also, Pumphrey and company should rack up a bunch of yards on the ground against New Mexico. On the other side, the Lobos are improving as an offense. This is a team that gives defenses fits because of their option and pistol looks on offense. Bob Davie's team can run the football effectively against most squads. The final last year was 35-30 when these two met. It might be lower this time around, but I think this game still tops 50 points. The over is 11-5 in New Mexico's last 16 games overall. Take the over. **Added note- This line has moved all over the place throughout the week after I selected it early in the week. I would suggest this as a 4 star play up to 50 points and a 3 star play up to 52 points. Thank you.** |
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10-09-14 | BYU v. Central Florida UNDER 48.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 53 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Thursday TOP Play* The UCF Knights lost a lot when Blake Bortles and Storm Johnson went pro after last season. Not surprisingly, their offensive numbers have suffered in a big way. They still haven't found a reliable option at either quarterback or running back. UCF does continue to play terrific defense though, and they slow the game down by running the ball a lot and bleeding the clock in between plays. BYU is a totally different team without Taysom Hill at quarterback. Hill is out for the year with after suffering a leg injury last week. I expect that to make the BYU offense much more conservative. I also don't believe BYU will play as fast without their leader under center. UCF has played in several sloppy low scoring games already this year, and BYU is very capable of doing the same without their star offensive player. I had this total projected at 42 points, so I'm seeing a good amount of value here. Look for a defensive battle all the way. The under is 5-0 in BYU's last 5 Thursday games. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Take the under big! **Note- This line has moved in a big way since I selected it. I recommend this as a 5 star play down to 45.5 and as a 4 star play down to 44, I would play for 3 stars down to 43. Thank you. ** |
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10-05-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 47 | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Jacksonville Jaguars defense wasn't a huge problem last year, but this year they are arguably the worst in the league. Ben Roethlisberger is playing well in this new Steelers offense, and they are getting a good running game this year as well. Jacksonville hasn't been slowing anyone down, and I don't think they'll slow the Steelers either. Blake Bortles is clearly a big upgrade for the Jaguars at the quarterback spot. Bortles is throwing it well and moving this team up and down the field. This Pittsburgh defense is far weaker than they were a few seasons ago. Both teams should get plenty of scoring chances in this game. The over is 5-0 in the Steelers last 5 after allowing 90 rushing yards or less. The over is 7-0 in the Steelers last 7 games vs. a team averaging less than 75 yards per game on the ground. The over is 4-0 in the Steelers last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in the Jags last 4. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 250 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a SU loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss by 14 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 in Week Five. A 42-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-04-14 | California v. Washington State OVER 76 | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* When Washington State and Cal meet there are two things that are going to happen: there are going to be a ton of passing plays, and they are going to be a bunch of points. I don't like taking totals that are this high, but I do think this one should be even higher. I made this total 82 points. Jared Goff is a very underrated quarterback, and this Cal offense is among the best in the nation. Connor Halliday can air it out with the best of them, and this Cal defense is awful against the pass. Last year's game finished at 66 points, and that was with Cal blowing a ton of scoring opportunities. Cal is much better this year, and this game should be a close one. Watch the scoreboard light up in this contest. The over is 3-0-1 in Washington State's last 4 October games. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more. The over is 4-0 in Washington State's last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-04-14 | South Carolina v. Kentucky UNDER 56 | 38-45 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB SEC Total* The Kentucky Wildcats defense has impressed me this year. Kentucky did a great job defensively against an improving Florida offense, and they didn't allow Vanderbilt to score an offensive point last weekend. South Carolina's defense is much improved in recent weeks, and Kentucky still has a lot of room for improvement on offense. Another key factor in this game will be the weather. Wind gusts of 25 mph are expected during this game, which should lead to problems for the passing games. Expect a lot more running plays which means the clock will just keep ticking. The under is 10-3 in Kentucky's last 13 home games. Take the under. |
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10-04-14 | Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 47 | 24-26 | Loss | -106 | 88 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star Big 10 Total* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights running game isn't very good now without Paul James. He was their star running back and he's out with an injury. Michigan's defense hasn't been the reason for their problems this year. In fact, Michigan ranks ninth in the nation in total defense. Rutgers has a strong defensive front seven, and Michigan has no passing game to take advantage of Rutgers' weakness in the secondary. The weather here is expected to be rainy and windy, which is a big boost for the under. I expect a very sloppy low scoring game Saturday night. Take the under. |
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10-04-14 | Stanford v. Notre Dame UNDER 45.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Stanford/Notre Dame Total* The Stanford Cardinal have the number one ranked defense in the nation. They are first in the nation at defending the pass. Notre Dame's offense is totally reliant on throwing the football right now. The Fighting Irish have no running game and they won't be able to run it against Stanford. The Stanford offense has taken a definite step backward without any elite running back in their stable this year. Notre Dame's defense has been very solid this year. This game will be played in windy conditions that make it tougher to throw which helps the under a lot here. Take the under in this one. |
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10-04-14 | Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 51 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 93 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star Alabama/Ole Miss TOP Total* The Alabama Crimson Tide defense is still elite. Alabama has totally dominated against the Ole Miss offense in recent years, and I think they'll fare very well against them again in this one. Bo Wallace is far too turnover prone, and he makes way too many bad decisions against a swarming defense like Alabama. The Rebels have scored a grand total of 21 points in their last three games against Alabama. Last year, Alabama pitched a shutout against Ole Miss. The Rebels defense is tremendous this year as well. While Blake Sims has been very good so far this year, this will be his toughest test thus far. The Rebels secondary hits hard and flies around the field. I see a low scoring game all the way here as both defenses flex their muscles. Take the under big! |
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10-04-14 | Navy v. Air Force UNDER 56 | Top | 21-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month* The Air Force Falcons and Navy Midshipmen both run the triple option. What does that mean? It means that both of these teams practice against the triple option on defense every single day. That's a huge advantage for the defenses in this game. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and the familiarity with the offense is absolutely the reason why. The main advantage of running a triple option offense is that most defenses aren't well prepared to defend it. That is not the case this weekend. Both teams will run it almost every down, which keeps the clock ticking away. I made the total on this game 48 points, so more than a touchdown lower than this line. The under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. The under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 after throwing for 170 yards or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 games between these teams. A 23-0 angle. Take the under big! |
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10-04-14 | UMass v. Miami (OH) OVER 55 | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 92 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are a much better team than they were a year ago. Miami has the nation's longest losing streak at 21 games, but they have a real shot to snap that losing streak on Saturday. UMass' secondary is atrocious, and Miami's Andrew Hendrix is a quality quarterback. Chuck Martin is the new coach at Miami and he brings a much better offensive philosophy. UMass' defense is still terrible, but their passing game has been good this year as well. They have put up 38 points or more twice this year. I think this one gets into the 60's. The over is 4-0 in UMass' last 4. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after running for 100 yards or less last game. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-04-14 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron UNDER 49.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star MAC Total Value* The Akron Zips and Eastern Michigan Eagles meet Saturday in Akron. The weather will be a factor here as showers and strong winds are expected in Akron on Saturday afternoon. Eastern Michigan's offense is dreadfully terrible. The Eagles "passing attack" is averaging just barely more than 3 yards per passing attempt this year, which is downright awful. Akron's defense has shown some major improvement this year, and the Eagles should struggle to score. Terry Bowden has never been one to run it up a great deal, so I think Akron is happy with a comfortable win here. I had this number at 45 points. Take the under. |
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09-28-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 53 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Dallas Cowboys defense has looked slightly better than expected so far this year, but I believe that might be largely because of the teams they have played against. The 49ers offense has struggled this year, and the Titans and Rams offenses aren't very good. New Orleans' offense is definitely one of the best in the league, and the Saints are going to test the Cowboys in a big way. I don't think the Dallas defense will be able to hold their own against this group. New Orleans puts up a big number. The Cowboys have some great balance on offense right now, and the Saints defense has looked shaky. I see a back and forth affair with both offenses lighting up the scoreboard. Take the over. |
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09-28-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 47 | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* Teddy Bridgewater is the new starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings after the injury to Matt Cassel. Bridgewater should end up being a good quarterback, but I think the Vikings need to keep the playbook pretty vanilla for him early in his career. The Vikings aren't nearly as good of a team without their main star in Adrian Peterson and now opposing teams can really get after the quarterback without the big running threat in Minnesota. Minnesota's defense is improving fast with Mike Zimmer in as the team's new coach. Zimmer is a mastermind on the defensive side of the ball, and I love the way he has this team playing. They did very well last week against a Saints offense that is fantastic. This game will be played outdoors, which limits Matt Ryan's effectiveness. The under is 7-1 in the Falcons last 8 games after scoring 30 points or more last game. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. |
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09-28-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. San Diego Chargers OVER 44.5 | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 47 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been awful this year. San Diego's offense is likely to have a field day here. Phillip Rivers is really playing well right now, and the Chargers have a plethora of weapons for Rivers to get the ball to on the outside. Blake Bortles came in and helped the Jaguars offense get moving last week. San Diego's defense isn't bad, but they aren't an elite unit. I expect Bortles to help the Jaguars offense quite a bit right away. Both teams should have plenty of opportunities to put the ball in the end zone here. A very reasonable number here. Take the over. |
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09-28-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Houston Texans UNDER 41 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 58 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills are both teams that are led by their strong defenses. Buffalo used to have a weak defense, but they have corrected that problem. It starts with a tremendous defensive line led by Mario Williams and Marcell Dareus. All three of the Bills games so far this year have stayed under the total, and that includes their season opener with Chicago that went into overtime. The Texans defense is strong as well. Houston is without Clowney, but they still have Watt, Cushing, and a secondary full of very good players. Both offenses have question marks at the quarterback spot and they struggle to put together long drives. I like the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 4-0 in the Bills last 4 September games. The under is 4-0 in the Texans last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in the Texans last 4 following an ATS defeat. A 12-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-27-14 | Duke v. Miami (Fla) OVER 60.5 | 10-22 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star Duke/Miami Total* The Miami Hurricanes and Duke Blue Devils have had tons of offensive fireworks the last two times they have played each other, and I see no reason to expect anything different this time. Duke's offense isn't missing a beat this year with Boone and Sirk at quarterback. They are improved in the backfield as well. Miami's defense has some serious problems and that certainly showed up last week when they allowed 41 points against a one-dimensional Nebraska offense. Miami has a freshman quarterback, but he's able to have some pretty solid success thanks to the parts around him. The Hurricanes have a star in Duke Johnson at running back, and the play makers at wide receiver are among the best in the nation. I set this total at 68 points. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Missouri v. South Carolina OVER 62 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri/South Carolina Total DOMINATION* The South Carolina Gamecocks secondary has some major problems this year. We saw that not only against Texas A&M, but also against East Carolina and even Vanderbilt at times. Maty Mauk is a far better player than most believe, and he should be able to lead this Tigers offense up and down the field. South Carolina's offensive line will have a big advantage here, and the Gamecocks should run right up and down the field against a Missouri defense that was torched by Indiana last week and struggled against Toledo earlier this year. I also expect this to be a very close game, and there is always a chance we get helped by overtime. The over is 7-0 in Missouri's last 7 games following a game where they had zero turnovers. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass. An 11-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Texas-San Antonio v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 48.5 | 37-41 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Under Radar Total* The UTSA Roadrunners play tremendous defense under the leadership of Larry Coker. Coker is one of the most underrated coaches in the nation. This team totally shut down a very good Houston offense in week one. They were overmatched last game against Oklahoma State, but they'll matchup just fine against Florida Atlantic. The Owls defense is the strength of their team as well. Both of these teams like to play slowly and limit possessions, which is a big help when betting the under. I see very few big plays in this one. Look for long drives and field goals throughout this contest. Take the under. |
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09-27-14 | South Alabama v. Idaho OVER 56.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Idaho Vandals are quietly becoming a pretty good offensive team. Paul Petrino is a good offensive mind, and he has a solid freshman quarterback in Linehan. Idaho should be able to score points on everyone on their schedule this year, but their issues are on the defensive side of the football. The Vandals defense is shredded to pieces on a weekly basis. South Alabama's offense has had a hard time in their last couple games, but a matchup with the Idaho defense should help fix their problems in a hurry. Idaho hasn't allowed less than 36 points in a game yet this year. Plenty of points to go around in this one. The over is 4-0 in Idaho's last 4 home games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 on turf. The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 conference games. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Louisiana Tech v. Auburn OVER 61 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 38 h 60 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Mismatch Total* The Auburn Tigers like to play fast, and everyone knows that. Auburn will relish the opportunity to fix some of their offensive problems from their last game against Kansas State. Coach Malzahn is an offensive guru, and I know he had to be frustrated by the Tigers lack of efficiency on offense that game. Louisiana Tech's defense will be totally outclassed, and Auburn isn't going to let off the gas early in this one. Auburn could certainly put up 50 points by themselves in this one and it wouldn't be a surprise to me. Louisiana Tech's offense is much improved with Sokol at QB and lots of depth at running back. I expect them to be able to score some on an average Tigers defense. I lined this one at 68 points. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Miami (OH) v. Buffalo OVER 56 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 62 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals Takedown* The Buffalo Bulls lost Khalil Mack after last year. He might have been the single most dominant defensive player in the nation last year. Not surprisingly, the Bulls defense has taken a major step backward this year. Miami (OH) didn't win a game last year, and they haven't won this year so far. Still, the Redhawks are clearly a much better team this year. The reason they have gotten much better is their offensive improvements. Hendrix is their quarterback and he used to be at Notre Dame. Chuck Martin is the new head coach and he worked with Hendrix in the past. Miami has been moving the ball much better so far this year. I made this line 62 points. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Bowling Green v. UMass OVER 64.5 | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 94 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star MAC Total* The Bowling Green Falcons are a team I've done well with for 'over' plays this season. Dino Babers has implemented a new system for Bowling Green. The Falcons are playing extremely fast and scoring tons of points. The problem for them is they are also giving up loads of points. I never expected the Bowling Green defense to be this bad after being a strong unit in the past couple years, but for the purpose of playing overs that is an added benefit. UMass is a bad team in general, and they have given up tons of points to poor offenses already this year (Colorado, Vanderbilt, etc). Bowling Green likely puts up a really big number here. UMass is better on offense this year, and everyone has moved the ball easily on BG's defense. Take the over. **Please note this line has moved in a big way since I selected this game on Tuesday- I would play the over for 4 stars up to 66 points and for 3 stars up to 71 points. Thank you.** |
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09-27-14 | Maryland v. Indiana OVER 69 | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star Big 10 Totals TKO* The Indiana Hoosiers picked up a stunning road win at Missouri last week. That win certainly shocked me, and I think the Hoosiers played Missouri at the right time since they caught the Tigers looking ahead to South Carolina. Indiana's defense is among the worst in the nation. They were ripped for 39 first downs in a loss to Bowling Green. The Falcons had a backup quarterback playing in that game. Maryland's defense has been really disappointing this year as well, and injuries are costing them in a big way. Look for Diggs and the rest of the Terrapins wide receivers to have a field day against Indiana's pass defense. Indiana has play makers at RB and WR and they'll have a big day too. I think this game gets to the mid 70's. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Tulane v. Rutgers UNDER 54 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 91 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Rutgers/Tulane Total* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have their top two running backs injured right now. Gary Nova isn't a very good quarterback, and without James or Huggins in the backfield at tailback this offense isn't any good. Rutgers does have a strong front seven on defense though, and I think they'll make it really tough for Tulane to move the football. Tulane's defense is better than most believe, and the Green Wave have played in a lot of low scoring games in the past two seasons. My numbers made this total 49 points, so I see solid value on this game. Look for a sloppy performance from the two offenses. Take the under. |
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09-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43 | 34-15 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total PERFECTION* The Kansas City Chiefs offense can't seem to get on track. They haven't faced an elite defense this year, but they still have had trouble moving the ball. Jamaal Charles may play here, but he is certainly less than 100 percent with a high ankle sprain. The Dolphins defense has been great this year. Even last week when the team allowed quite a few points against Buffalo, those points were largely scored because of offensive turnovers or special teams plays. The defense was very good. I see the Chiefs defense as a solid unit, especially in the front seven. I'm not sure the Dolphins have the type of team to air it out all game long. I see lots of running in this one, which means a clock that keeps on ticking. The under is 6-0 in the Chiefs last 6 September games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dolphins last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 after gaining 90 yards or less on the ground. A 14-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-21-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals will start Drew Stanton in this game. That should mean a more vanilla offense for the Cardinals this weekend. More running the football and safe short passes are in store. The 49ers haven't played well so far this year, but it hasn't been the defense that has been disappointing. In fact, the defense has played very well in both games. Colin Kaepernick is struggling badly, and I don't see him turning it around against a very good Cardinals defense. This Arizona front seven is tremendous, and they have ball hawks like Patrick Peterson and Tyronn Mathieu in the secondary. I think the defenses dominate throughout this game. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Cards last 4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards. The under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 September games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-21-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions OVER 52 | 7-19 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Lions/Packers Totals CASH* The Detroit Lions have some real issues in the secondary. You better believe Aaron Rodgers is going to spot those weaknesses and take advantage of them on a consistent basis in this one. The Green Bay defense has plenty of problems of their own, and Matt Stafford looks very comfortable in the Lions new offense. Detroit is a really dangerous offense on their home turf. It's hard to imagine either team falling short of the upper 20's in this game. It will be a long day for these defenses. Take the over in this NFC clash. |
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09-21-14 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 50 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Value* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to get their points. Chip Kelly's offense is ultra dynamic with McCoy in the backfield and Foles airing it out. The Redskins defense may be a bit better this year, but they haven't faced a good offense yet. They will in this one, and they'll give up a lot of points. Washington's offense has been running great with Kirk Cousins at quarterback, and at least for now he seems like the better option at QB. The Redskins have a good running game and lots of weapons on the outside. This Eagles defense showed their weaknesses in a big way last Monday night in Indianapolis. Take the over. |
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09-20-14 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State OVER 64 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* New Mexico vs. New Mexico State is a solid intrastate rivalry game. These two teams have one thing in common: neither of them are good at all defensively. Both teams give up huge chunks of yardage on a consistent basis. New Mexico rolled up 66 points and 608 yards of offense last year. New Mexico State didn't cash in nearly as often with 17 points, but they did have 451 yards. The Aggies offense looks significantly better so far this year. It's hard to imagine either defense getting many stops in this game. Look for the scoreboard to light up in a big way here. The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 September games. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The over is 5-0 in New Mexico State's last 5 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after rushing for 100 yards or less. A 27-1 angle. Take the over. |
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09-20-14 | Texas State v. Illinois OVER 61.5 | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Illinois Fighting Illini defense allowed 35.4 points per game last year, and they aren't any better this year. Texas State has an underrated quarterback in Tyler Jones. The Bobcats will be able to move the football consistently in this game. On the other side, Illinois' offense has improved with Wes Lunt under center. The Texas State defense is much weaker this year, and I think Illinois' strong offensive front will dominate in the trenches. The Fighting Illini offense has been good this year, and I see them putting up a big number in this game. The Fighting Illini will play fast and put pressure on Texas State right from the start. Take the over in this one. |
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09-20-14 | Virginia v. BYU UNDER 50 | 33-41 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and Virginia Cavs both have terrific defenses. In their matchup last year, neither team was able to get out of the teens. A similar game wouldn't surprise me at all on Saturday afternoon. This Virginia defense has shown how good they are against both UCLA and Louisville this season. BYU's defense is very talented, and the Cougars are always very tough to score against on their home field. The defense is the strength of both teams. Look for Virginia's defense to slow down Taysom Hill, and Virginia's offense is too one-dimensional to be able to have much success against a high quality offense. Take the under. |
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09-20-14 | Florida v. Alabama UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star Florida/Alabama TOP Play Total* The Florida Gators offense should be better under Kurt Roper this year, but I'm not convinced they'll be far better right away against elite defenses. Alabama's defense didn't look great in their season opener against West Virginia, but they were missing leader Trey DePriest at the linebacker spot. In addition, Alabama didn't seem to be terribly interested in that season opener. It was as if they overlooked West Virginia. They aren't going to overlook Florida. This Alabama defense is one of the top five defenses in the country, and I don't see Florida having much success. Florida's defense was solid all of last year despite their horrible record. The Gators defense is very good again this year. Alabama has plenty of question marks at the quarterback spot, and the Gators are going to load up the box in this one. Nick Saban's teams always use up the clock and play slowly. The defenses should have the advantage all the way here. Take the under big! |
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09-18-14 | Auburn v. Kansas State UNDER 66 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star Auburn/Kansas State Totals CASH* Bill Snyder is a very smart man. Snyder is one of the best coaches in the country, and he absolutely knows that it wouldn't be wise for his Kansas State team to get into an up and down affair with Auburn. The Tigers have far more playmakers and are much more likely to win if it is a high scoring game. Just like they did last year against Baylor, I look for Kansas State to try to milk the clock as much as they can and keep the ball away from Nick Marshall and company. The Auburn defense is a little better than they were a year ago, and Kansas State's offense hasn't impressed me thus far. This is a total that is set too high. I think this one should be set in the high 50's, so plenty of value on this line for me. Take the under. |
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09-14-14 | Houston Texans v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 40 | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Houston Texans offense is going to need some work. Houston's offensive line isn't all that good right now, and the passing game will likely struggle for a while with Fitzpatrick at quarterback. On the other hand, the Texans have a dominating defense that should be shutting down most opponents this year. Oakland's offense is a mess right now, and Derek Carr is in for a rough game here against a very good pass rush and a very good secondary. Oakland's defense is better than most believe, and the Raiders should do a good job keeping everything in front of them here. I believe this will be a field goal kicking contest. Take the under here. |
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09-13-14 | Nevada v. Arizona OVER 63 | 28-35 | Push | 0 | 50 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Arizona Wildcats and Nevada Wolfpack both like to get a lot of snaps off. There will be plenty of plays for each offense in this one, and Arizona's backfield combination of Solomon and Wilson. Nevada has a solid secondary, but their front seven isn't any good against the run game. Arizona is going to run it early and often here, and I think they'll have a lot of success. Cody Fajardo is an underrated quarterback and I expect him to find openings in the Arizona secondary that is very inexperienced. Look for both offenses to have little trouble moving the football in this contest. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | Arizona State v. Colorado OVER 68 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Colorado Buffaloes have some major defensive problems. They allowed 38 points against a dreadful UMass offense last week. Last year they allowed 54 points against Arizona State. To put that into context though, you need to understand that Arizona State had 47 points at halftime and 54 points midway through the 3rd quarter before completely calling off the dogs. The Sun Devils defense was elite last year. This year Arizona State has some major problems on defense, so Colorado should put more on the board. Arizona State will probably still get their 45-50 points on Colorado too. A high scoring affair in Boulder on Saturday night. The over is 5-0 in Arizona State's last 5 September games. The over is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. A 17-1 angle. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | USC v. Boston College UNDER 55.5 | 31-37 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Television Total* The Boston College Eagles host USC Saturday night. While Boston College isn't a talented team, they do play very hard for Coach Steve Addazio. The Eagles defense is likely to slow down USC a little more than most expect. Remember that USC is in a very bad spot here, because USC just won at Stanford and is in a letdown situation. Boston College's offense is terrible, and I would be surprised to see them put up anything more than 14 points in this game. Last year's game between these two was 35-7, and a total in the 40's sounds about right to me again this year. Too much value on the under for me to pass this one up. Take the under. |
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09-13-14 | Western Michigan v. Idaho OVER 59.5 | 45-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Idaho Vandals are quietly getting a much better offense. Idaho's quarterback is Mike Linehan (son of Scott Linehan from the NFL) and he is really impressing in this offense. Paul Petrino is getting this Idaho offense moving with a quick tempo offense and a lot of short passes that give their playmakers at wide receiver a chance to work in the open field. Western Michigan's defense was torched by Purdue, and Purdue's offense isn't any good. The Broncos offense is improving though, and Idaho regularly allows 40 points or more in a game. It's hard to imagine either team coming up with many stops in this one. This number is set too low. The over is 5-0 in Idaho's last 5 on turf. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. The over is 5-1 in W. Michigan's last 6 road games. A 24-3 angle. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | Illinois v. Washington OVER 65 | Top | 19-44 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 20 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Total of the MONTH* The Washington Huskies defense has taken a major step backward this year, especially in the secondary. Washington was torched for 52 points and 573 yards of total offense by Eastern Washington last week. The most amazing statistic is that Eastern Washington threw for 475 yards in that game. Wes Lunt gives Illinois a quality quarterback who can move their offense. The Fighting Illini have had defensive problems for many years, and they aren't fixed this year. They allowed 34 points last week against Western Kentucky. Washington's top cornerback is out for this game, which should make things even tougher for the Huskies defense. Both offenses like to play very quickly, so they'll get lots of chances here. I had this total at 75 points, so this is a very big play for me. TOP Total of the Month on Washington/Illinois Over. |
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09-13-14 | Iowa State v. Iowa UNDER 49 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Battle for Iowa Total* Iowa and Iowa State have played some highly physical games against each other the past few years. These games are generally relatively close, and the defenses usually have the edge. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Iowa couldn't get any offense going last weekend against Ball State, and the Hawkeyes are without star OL Scherff. The Cyclones defense appears better this year, and they have fared well against Iowa in recent seasons. Iowa's defense is tough in the trenches, and they should manhandle an Iowa State OL that is very weak. Very little offense from either side in this one. Take the under. |
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09-13-14 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 49 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Louisville Cardinals are transitioning to a totally different offense, and it always takes a while to get things right during that period. Virginia's offense simply can't throw the football, so they rely on the run almost exclusively. Louisville's front seven is good against the run, and I see Virginia struggling to score here. At the same time, Virginia's defense showed me a lot in their loss to UCLA earlier this year. Virginia didn't let UCLA do much of anything in that game, and that is a very good Bruins offense. Louisville's offense is going to have a rough time getting going here. Look for a lot of three and outs in this game, and if teams do get in the red zone I expect plenty of settling for field goals. The under is 4-0 in Louisville's last 4 games on grass. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a win by 20 points or more. An 11-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-13-14 | UMass v. Vanderbilt OVER 45 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 90 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Vanderbilt Commodores and the UMass Minutemen are two absolutely horrible teams. These aren't teams I would ever want to back as an ATS selection, but I'll take the value play on the over here thanks to their terrible defenses. Vandy's defense has been strong in the past couple years, but they aren't this year. UMass has such a horrible defense that they allowed 41 points to an awful Colorado offense last week. It won't be pretty in this one, but I expect the offenses to get enough on the board. Also, defensive or special teams TD's are very likely in a sloppy game like this one. Take the over. |
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09-12-14 | Baylor v. Buffalo OVER 68.5 | 63-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPN CFB 100% Angle Total* The Baylor Bears and Buffalo Bulls meet in non-conference game in Buffalo Friday night on ESPN. Baylor's Bryce Petty is expected to start in this one. Petty was dinged up in the opener, but he will be ready to go here and his Heisman campaign will be on display on national television. Art Briles and this team have made it clear by their comments that they want to give Petty a boost in the Heisman race. In my opinion, that means keeping the foot on the gas and piling up the points. There's little doubt that Baylor can hang a huge number on a Buffalo defense that isn't even close to as good as they were a year ago. Remember, they scored 70 points on Buffalo last year and now they are facing a weakened defense. The Bulls should be able to put up some points on a weakened Baylor defense too. Buffalo has a good passing game, and that should help them keep the chains moving. The over is 8-0 in Baylor's last 8 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games. The over is 7-0 in Buffalo's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 200 yards or more rushing. A 42-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-12-14 | Toledo v. Cincinnati UNDER 59.5 | 34-58 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Toledo Rockets will have a new quarterback for this game. Phillip Ely won the starting job, but he is injured and out for the year now. Without Ely, I look for the Rockets offense to take some time to get used to Woodside as the new starter. Cincinnati's offense is good, but I don't see the Bearcats being able to dominate on the front line against a high quality Toledo defensive line. Toledo was beaten badly by Missouri last week, and I fully expect a much better defensive effort from the Rockets in this one. Cincinnati hasn't played a game all year thus far, which is a very strange scheduling situation. As it is though, the Bearcats offense will likely need a little time to work out the kinks. I see this being a close game between two underrated defenses. Take the under. |
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09-07-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Chicago Bears OVER 47 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Buffalo Bills offense looked bad in the preseason, and that's the only reason this number is set so low. Remember, the Bears defense was absolutely awful last year, and they didn't do much to change that in the offseason. The Bears are going to give up a lot of points this year and make mediocre offenses look good. I think that will happen in this game. On the other hand, Chicago's offense looks set for a big season. Jay Cutler has weapons all over the place at his disposal, and Marc Trestman's system worked well last year. The offense should be that much better in a second year in the same system. Buffalo's cornerbacks are going to have a hard time shutting down Marshall and Jeffery. Expect plenty of points in this contest. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games played on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games played in September. A 13-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-06-14 | Texas Tech v. UTEP OVER 63 | Top | 30-26 | Loss | -112 | 69 h 60 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The UTEP Miners and Texas Tech Raiders meet Saturday night in a game where I expect the scoreboard to be lighting up. Texas Tech is top five in the nation in terms of pace. The Red Raiders are going to put up a bunch of points against a UTEP defense that was among the worst in the nation last year. UTEP's secondary is particularly weak, and Davis Webb and company will chew them up. Texas Tech's defense struggled last week against Central Arkansas, and I expect UTEP's offense to be better this year behind quarterback Jamiell Showers. UTEP might initially want to slow this game down, but once they get behind they'll be unable to do that. I made this total 71 points, so I see a ton of value on the over. The over is 4-0 in Texas Tech's last 4 following a win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 40 points or more last game. An 11-1 angle. Take the over big! |
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09-06-14 | Michigan State v. Oregon OVER 55.5 | 27-46 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Oregon/Michigan State Totals CASH* The Oregon Ducks and Michigan State Spartans meet in what is the biggest game of the year so far in college football. Oregon's fast-paced and high flying offense against Michigan State's strong defense in a matchup that has college football fans salivating. I highly respect Pat Narduzzi (DC at Michigan State), but I'm afraid this Spartans defense has has to replace too many stars. With this being only the second game of the year, there's no way this unit will be as good right now as the Spartans defense was late last year. I think the oddsmakers have lined this total as if it were a game played at the end of last year. Oregon's fast pace should bother Michigan State. Indiana runs a similar fast paced offense with far less talent, and the Hoosiers scored 28 points on Michigan State last year. Connor Cook is playing great at quarterback, and I think he'll find holes in the Oregon secondary to led the Spartans to plenty of points as well. This total is set too low. Take the over here. |
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09-06-14 | Old Dominion v. NC State OVER 65 | 34-46 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* NC State's offense should be much better this year with Jacoby Brissett under center. Brissett was a very highly touted prospect in high school, and I think he has the potential to put up big numbers against the ACC this year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful in recent years. They gave up 80 points to North Carolina last year. Hampton's offense had no trouble moving the ball against them last week. NC State's defense is nothing special at all, and Old Dominion's offense is very good with star quarterback Taylor Heinicke running the show. Both of these teams ranked in the top 37 in the nation in terms of pace last year, so I expect plenty of snaps in this one. Take the over. |
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08-30-14 | UTEP v. New Mexico OVER 63.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The New Mexico Lobos and the UTEP Miners have two of the worst defenses in the nation. New Mexico allowed 6.2 yards per carry and 42.8 points per game last year. UTEP allowd 6.2 yards per carry and 39.3 points per game. These teams met last year and the final score was 42-35. Jamiell Showers and the UTEP offense should be much better this year with Showers getting a lot more reps in this system. UTEP has a couple good RB's as well. New Mexico's option attack (pistol) has been really successful and Bob Davie's team should score a lot of points on teams that can't stop the run this year. UTEP definitely fits right into that mold. I expect a very high scoring game. Take the over. |
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08-29-14 | Bowling Green v. Western Kentucky OVER 56 | Top | 31-59 | Win | 100 | 316 h 40 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total* Bowling Green has a bunch of returning starters on offense, and they are the key guys that will make this offense thrive in 2014. Matt Johnson is the best quarterback in the Mid American Conference. Travis Greene is the best running back in the MAC. Even more importantly though, Bowling Green has a new head coach in Dino Babers. Who is Dino Babers? Babers used to work under Art Briles at Baylor and he helped install Baylor's current fast-paced high octane offense. Babers used that at Eastern Illinois the past two years, and Eastern Illinois scored more than 40 points per game last year. It's all about playing fast and getting off tons of snaps. Western Kentucky lost most of their defense from last year, and I expect Bowling Green to move the ball at will here. It won't surprise me to see massive yardage totals from the Falcons. Western Kentucky has a veteran quarterback and some solid offensive weapons. The Hilltoppers should be able to put some on the board as well. Tons of possessions in this game and a total of only 56. I love the value here. Take the over big! **This line has quickly risen. My numbers had this game at 70 points, so I still suggest a play on this one, but I would rate it 4 stars instead of 5 at the current level. Thank you** |
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08-28-14 | Tulane v. Tulsa UNDER 47 | 31-38 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Opening Night Total DOMINATION* The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had a very disappointing season last year. They got horrible quarterback play and had an inexperienced defense. Tulsa is used to winning and I do expect them to be better this year. Still, Tulsa has major concerns at quarterback and running back this year, and they shouldn't be too dynamic. On the other hand, Tulane isn't used to winning and they had a great season and got to a bowl game a year ago. The Green Wave are due to regress a bit this year, but I think they'll still be competitive. The Tulsa defense returns 10 starters (as many as any team in the nation) and I expect them to be much better defensively than they were last season. Tulane's defense is what led the way last season. The matchup between these two last year finished at 14-7 Tulane. This one will be higher scoring than that, but I don't see it reaching this total. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under. |
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01-12-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Playoff Total of the Year* The San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers met a few weeks ago in San Francisco. Carolina won that game 10-9. Neither offense showed any signs of being able to consistently move the ball against the opposing defense. The 49ers had only 151 total yards of offense. The Panthers had only 278. These are two of the top five defenses in the NFL up against each other. Both teams run the football a bunch, so the clock will keep rolling much of the game. I don't see either of these defenses giving up 20 points here. The winner of this game will be beat up badly on Monday morning. Look for a hard fought game where the defenses are in control.
The under is 8-0 in the Panthers last 8 following a win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the NFC. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. An 18-0 angle. Take the under big! |
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01-06-14 | Auburn v. Florida State OVER 65.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -106 | 671 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star BCS Title Game Total DOMINATION* The Auburn Tigers and Florida State Seminoles will meet for the BCS Championship on Monday January 6 at the Rose Bowl. We won't need to worry about bad weather with the game being played in southern California. Auburn's offense is a well-oiled machine at this point. The Tigers is so hard to stop because they can do so many different things from the same offensive set. Florida State's defense is very good, but they haven't had to play against an offense even close to the caliber of Auburn. Look for Auburn's rushing attack to have more success than most people expect. On the other side, Auburn's defense has been gashed by quite a few opponents this season. The Tigers defense looked terrible against Missouri in the SEC title game, and they'll face a much better offense in Florida State here. Look for Heisman winner Jameis Winston to run more often in this one, and he can do a lot with his feet. Auburn's defense will be overmatched. This is a defense that allowed 424 yards per game this season. These offenses should pile up the points.
The over is 6-0 in Auburn's last 6 games on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a straight up win. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over for the BCS title game. |
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01-05-14 | Arkansas State v. Ball State OVER 64.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB GoDaddy Total DOMINATION* The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Ball State Cardinals both like to keep the game moving quickly. Lots of quick snaps in this one should lead to a bunch of possessions for both teams. Arkansas State has the 25th best rushing attack in the nation, and Ball State's weakness on defense is their rushing defense. Ball State's offense is prolific, and Keith Wenning is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Ball State has scored at least 44 points in 4 of their last 6 games. The Cardinals average 40.1 points per game for the season. Both offenses should have lots of success in this one.
The over is 4-0 in Arkansas State's last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in Ball State's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. A 14-0 angle. Take the over. |
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01-05-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 48.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Cold Hard CASH* The San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers will meet late Sunday at Lambeau Field. The big story here will be the temperature, which will be well below zero. San Francisco certainly isn't used to that kind of cold. While I expect both teams to struggle some with the cold, I'm not sure that hurts the offenses. Aaron Rodgers will have plenty of chances to pick through the 49ers defense. Colin Kaepernick is a riddle that the Packers defense hasn't been able to solve.
The over is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards last game. The over is 5-1 in the Packers last 6 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. |
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01-05-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 47 | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 66 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Bengals Total DOMINATION* The Chargers and Bengals play early Sunday afternoon. The weather forecast for Cincinnati on Sunday looks very ugly. The current weather forecast for gametime calls for windy conditions with rain mixed with snow and freezing rain. This should make it tough for the aerial attacks to get going. Look for both teams to keep it on the ground more than normal. Both run defenses are pretty strong, and the clock should keep ticking away here. These teams played to a 17-10 final in San Diego a few weeks ago. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. Take the under.
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01-04-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 54.5 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -105 | 140 h 2 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Saints/Eagles TOP Play Total* The New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles will do battle Saturday night in Philadelphia. While it will be chilly, the weather report looks good for this one. New Orleans has a high flying passing attack, and the Eagles secondary allowed more yards through the air than any other team in the league. The Eagles have the number one rushing attack in the NFL, and the weakness of this Saints defense is stopping the run. Both offenses should move the ball relatively easily in this one. I think there is a good chance this game tops the 60 point mark. The over is 8-1-1 in the Saints last 10 playoff games. The over is 10-2 in the Eagles last 12 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. A 23-4 angle. Take the over big!
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01-01-14 | Michigan State v. Stanford UNDER 43 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Rose Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Michigan State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal will battle for the Rose Bowl in Pasadena on New Year's Day. These two teams do it the same way. Both of them like to win the battle in the trenches and win with defense. A posted total of 43 is certainly very low, but I had this one projected at 40 points. Neither team will be hurrying things up here. Both teams will run the football very frequently to keep the clock moving. Neither quarterback has proven capable of airing it out successfully all that often.
The under is 6-0 in Stanford's last 6 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Michigan State's last 5 after gaining at least 280 passing yards last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the under. |
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01-01-14 | Iowa v. LSU UNDER 49 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Outback Total Takedown* The LSU Tigers offense has been very good this year, but they'll be without star quarterback Zach Mettenberger here. Iowa's strength is their defense. Without the threat of airing it out deep with Mettenberger, I expect Iowa to be able to key in on the LSU running game here. Iowa's offense isn't very good, and they try to bully the opposition. LSU has a strong defensive front, and I don't expect them to get pushed around by a Big Ten team. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 following a SU win of 20 points or more. The under is 6-1 in Iowa's last 7 at a neutral site. A 14-2 angle. Take the under.
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01-01-14 | Wisconsin v. South Carolina UNDER 51 | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Capital One CASH* The Wisconsin Badgers and South Carolina Gamecocks will do battle in what should be a terrific Capital One Bowl Clash. Wisconsin's defense ranks in the top ten in the nation in every major category. South Carolina's defense has struggled against great passing attacks, but Wisconsin is a running team. Lots of strength in the trenches on both sides here. I expect to see lots of running the football, which makes the clock will keep on ticking. The under is 5-1 in Wisconsin's last 6 January games. The under is 5-1 in S. Carolina's last 6 overall. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in S. Carolina's last 4 following an ATS win. An 18-3 angle. Take the under.
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12-31-13 | Mississippi State v. Rice UNDER 51 | 44-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Liberty Bowl CASH* The Mississippi State Bulldogs played one of the toughest schedules in the nation this year. The Bulldogs only went 6-6, but playing in the SEC and playing a solid non-conference slate, this team saw tons of very good opponents. Mississippi State's defense was very good, especially late in the year. The Bulldogs held Alabama to 20 points, and they held Ole Miss to 10 points in the season finale. Rice is a much improved team, and they can thank their defensive improvement for that. The Owls pass defense is top notch. I don't see either team putting up very many points in this game. The under is 5-0 in the Rice's last 5 at a neutral site. The under is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last 4 at a neutral site. The under is 6-1 in the Bulldogs last 7 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the under.
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12-30-13 | Texas Tech v. Arizona State OVER 71 | 37-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star Holiday Bowl Total DOMINATION* Sometimes you just can't overthink a game. The posted total of 71 is definitely high, but this total is extremely high for good reason. When Texas Tech and Arizona State get together, there are going to be a bunch of plays run and both teams will air it out a bunch here. Texas Tech can throw it against anyone, and Arizona State's offense is well-balanced and should score at least 45 points here.
The over is 6-0 in the Red Raiders last 6 bowl games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in the Sun Devils last 5 games at a neutral site. The over is 10-1 in Texas Tech's last 11 at a neutral site. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. A 30-1 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-30-13 | Middle Tenn State v. Navy OVER 56.5 | 6-24 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Bowl Special* The MTSU Blue Raiders and Navy Midshipmen will kick off the bowl slate on December 30 with a game starting before noon EST. MTSU averages 31 points per game. The Blue Raiders have a balanced offense with veterans and they should be able to get their points against a Navy defense that isn't very good against the pass. Navy's option attack should be very successful against MTSU's poor front seven. Reynolds makes good decisions as the MTSU quarterback, and he should find plenty of running room in this matchup. The over is 7-0 in MTSU's last 7 after gaining 280 yards passing last game. The over is 6-2 in Navy's lats 8 bowl games. Take the over.
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12-29-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals have the number one ranked rushing defense in the NFL. The San Francisco 49ers really can't throw the ball. All the 49ers do is run it, and I suspect they'll have trouble moving it against this stout front seven of Arizona. The Cardinals have quietly been very good this year, especially at home. The 49ers defense has been among the best in the NFL over the last few weeks. This looks like a game where both defenses will force the opposition into a lot of field goal attempts. The under is 4-0 in the Caridnals last 4 against the NFC. The under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 after allowing less than 250 total yards last game. The under is 4-1 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. A 13-2 angle. Take the under.
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12-29-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 17-34 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals often get into defensive battles against each other. The Ravens won a 20-17 battle in Baltimore earlier this year. That game went into overtime after finishing regulation at 17-17. Cincinnati and Baltimore both have plenty to play for in this game, and that makes the under look even better. Neither of these offenses have been consistent this year. The under is 17-3-1 in the Bengals last 21 games following a win. The under is 4-1 in the Ravens last 5 in week 17. Take the under.
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12-27-13 | Syracuse v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 143 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Texas Bowl Total TAKEDOWN* The Syracuse Orange and Minnesota Golden Gophers are very similar teams. Both of them struggle offensively, but their defense has gotten much better in the past couple years. The strong defenses are the reason these two teams are in this spot. Phillip Nelson is questionable for Minnesota in this one. The Golden Gophers really have no passing attack. Hunt has been disappointing at quarterback for Syracuse. The Orange and Golden Gophers have both been in a bunch of very low scoring games this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if both teams fail to make it out of teens in this one. A lot of value on the under in this contest. Take the under.
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12-24-13 | Oregon State v. Boise State OVER 63.5 | 38-23 | Loss | -115 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hawaii Bowl Christmas Eve CASH* The Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos both like to play quickly on offense. There should be a lot of snaps in this game. Oregon State and Boise State have both struggled against the pass this year. Both of these offenses have been great passing the ball. Sean Mannion and Brandin Cooks is one of the best QB to WR combination's in the country for Oregon State. The Beavers defense allowed 105 points in their last two games. Two bad secondaries and two teams who will air it out all game long equals a lot of points here.
The over is 4-0 in Boise's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 games on a neutral field. The over is 4-1 in Oregon State's last 5 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Boise's last 5 neutral site games. A 16-2 angle. Take the over. |
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12-22-13 | New England Patriots v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 45 | 41-7 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Baltimore Ravens picked up a huge win on the road at Detroit last Monday. Kicker Justin Tucker was the hero. The Ravens defense came up big as well, and they have been playing great at home all year. Six of the Ravens last seven home games have stayed under this total. The one that went over the total was their game against Minnesota when there were five TD's in the final two minutes. New England's offense isn't even close to the same without Gronk on the field. Heavy rain is in the forecast for this game, and heavy rain often leads to both teams running the ball more often. I think both teams struggle to get in the end zone here.
The under is 12-3-1 in the Ravens last 16 games in week 15. The under is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 games after allowing 250 yards or more through the air in their last game. Take the under. |
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12-21-13 | UL-Lafayette v. Tulane UNDER 49.5 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star New Orleans Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Tulane Green Wave had a remarkable turnaround this year, and the main reason they were able to be so much better this year was their defense. Tulane's defense ranks 26th in the nation in total defense and they are giving up only 21.2 points per game. The strength of their defense is the front seven. La. Lafayette isn't a defensive juggernaut, but Tulane's offense has been bad all year. Tulane won games with defense. The Green Wave rank 118th in the nation in total offense. Terrance Broadway will either miss this game or be ineffective due to an injury. Look for a low scoring game all the way in this one. The under is 5-0-1 in Tulane's last 6 following a loss. The under is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7 after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in their last game. Take the under.
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12-15-13 | NY Jets v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 41 | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The New York Jets picked up a nice win last week, but I'm still not buying that this team is any good. The Jets offense is a disaster against decent defenses and the Panthers have had the top defense in the NFL this year. Carolina's offense is still one-dimensional and based around the run. The Jets are second in the NFL when it comes to stopping the run. The Jets defense hasn't been their problem this year, and I think they'll hold their own against Carolina.
The under is 6-0 in Carolina's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 during week 15. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 350 yards in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. A 32-1 angle. Take the under. |
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12-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 41.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs are two teams built to win with defense. Tampa Bay completely shut down Buffalo last week, and now that the Bucs have a relatively healthy defense, i think they are one of the top 10 defenses in the NFL. They are 9th in the NFL against the run, and that's really all the 49ers can do on offense. The 49ers defense has been elite over the past few weeks, and Tampa Bay's offense has struggled all year. It's hard to see either offense putting up any more than 21 points here.
The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The under is 6-0 in the Bucs last 6 December games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 week 15 games. A 24-0 angle here. Take the under. |
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12-14-13 | Army v. Navy UNDER 55 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 134 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Army/Navy Cold Hard CASH* The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet this Saturday in another installment of their epic rivalry. These might not be two of the best teams in college football, but watch this game and you'll see how much this game means to both teams. It's a really special rivalry game. Both of these teams run the triple option and they run on almost every single play from scrimmage. The single best angle to handicapping the total in this game is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the option typically is that defenses aren't prepared, but in this game the defenses are very well prepared. I've cashed in on the under in the Army/Navy game in their last three meetings, and I'm going back to the well.
The under is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games in December. The under is 10-0 in Navy's last 10 games following a bye week under coach Ken Niumatalolo. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Navy's last 7 after throwing for 75 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games between each other with Navy as the home team. A 36-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-12-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers offense has really heated up recently. San Diego has scored 37 and 41 points in two of their last three games. Their one poor offensive performance was against a very good Cincinnati defense. Denver's offense has been amazing all year. Denver is averaging 40 points per game through 13 games, which is truly amazing. San Diego slowed down the Broncos pretty well in the first meeting between these two, but history tells us Peyton Manning generally shreds up the defense in his second time seeing them (look at the KC example from a couple weeks ago).
The over is 15-1 in Denver's last 16 games following a game where they had 400 yards or more of total offense. The over is 6-0-1 in the Broncos last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Denver. A 27-2 angle. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this early in the week- I would play this one up to 57.5, but not higher. Thank you* |
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12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 49 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total DOMINATION* The Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears played to a 34-18 final last year. Tony Romo threw five picks in that game. Romo will look for redemption against a Bears defense that has been really bad of late. Chicago is allowing 27.7 points per game this year, and they have allowed at least 20 points in every single game this year. Dallas' defense is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Chicago is averaging 28 points per game, and the Cowboys are averaging 27. Look for both offenses to have plenty of trips into the red zone here. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. The over is 10-4 in the Bears last 14 games. The number is relatively low here, and I expect plenty of points. Take the over.
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12-08-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Denver Broncos OVER 49 | 28-51 | Win | 100 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tennessee Titans have a pretty good defense, but they'll be up against the best offense in the NFL this weekend in Denver. A lot has been made about the fact that it will be extremely cold in this one, but I'm not convinced the cold will really change the way this game is played. There isn't any wind expected during the game, and wind is a quarterbacks worst enemy. The Titans offense has put up at least 23 points in four of their last five games. If they put up 23 points here, this one should sail over the total. Denver is averaging 38.7 points per game this season.
The over is 5-0-1 in the Titans last 6 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a loss. It is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 15 points or less in their last game. The over is 5-0-1 in Denver's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-08-13 | Buffalo Bills v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 42 | 6-27 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs were really having trouble scoring points earlier this year. While their offense isn't great now, they are far better than they were earlier this season. Mike Glennon has settled into the role over the last few weeks, and he goes against a poor Bills defense in this one. Buffalo can run the football well, and Tampa Bay's rush defense has been very shaky of late. A total set this low is usually reserved for games between two top-notch defenses, but neither of these defenses are very good.
The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 6-1 in the Bills last 7 games after allowing 350 yards or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle. Take the over. |
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12-08-13 | Oakland Raiders v. NY Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 56 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders and New York Jets meet in what should be a really ugly game on Sunday afternoon. The Jets have scored 3 points in each of their last two games. They have scored 14 points or less in four of their last five games. Geno Smith is a complete disaster right now. He has thrown 8 INT's since his last touchdown pass. The Raiders defense isn't elite, but they are decent, which should be plenty. The Raiders can't throw it, but they are a good running team. New York's defense is number one in the NFL at stopping the run. This has all the makings of a game where both offenses struggle to get going. The under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 away games following four consecutive overs. The under is 6-1 in the Jets last 7 December games. A 14-1 angle. Take the under big!
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12-07-13 | South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 47 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 48 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game.
The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big! |
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12-07-13 | Texas v. Baylor OVER 71.5 | 10-30 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.
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12-01-13 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 39 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Broncos/Chiefs Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KC's defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denver's defense isn't elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances.
The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the over. |
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12-01-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 40 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns are forced to turn back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback after Jason Campbell suffered a concussion last weekend. Campbell was clearly making this offense better, and Weeden has struggled all year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good, but they have been playing quite a bit better of late. Cleveland's offense isn't any good, but the Browns arguably have one of the top 6 or 8 defenses in the NFL. This should be a sloppy game all the way around, and I think it stays in the 30's. You probably won't want to watch this one, but I like the value on the under. Take the under.
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12-01-13 | Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40.5 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have some serious issues on the offensive side of the football. Miami's offensive line is a total mess right now, and the Jets defensive front should be able to take advantage of that. The Jets offense is decent at running the ball, but stopping the run is the strength of the Dolphins defense. Geno Smith has been a disaster in recent weeks at quarterback for the Jets, and you better believe this will be a conservative game plan offensively for the Jets. Lots of running the football here and the clock should keep ticking. This game should stay in the 30's. Take the under.
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