Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-27-21 | Baylor v. Kansas +3.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Baylor @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Kansas +3.5 (10*) Baylor (18-0) is a terrific team so let’s get that out of the way. However, it’s going to be extremely difficult for them to remain unbeaten going into the NCAA Tournament while playing in an extremely strong conference like the Big 12. The #2 ranked Bears are coming off a flat performance in a 5-point home win over a 2-17 Iowa State team. They closed as a massive 24.0-point favorite in that contest. For starters, Kansas has gone a terrific 47-2 in their last 50 home games. That includes 11-1 this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Texas. Since that Texas loss, Kansas has won 6 straight at home and covered on each of their last 4. The Jayhawks have improved dramatically on the defensive end as the season has progressed. As a matter of fact, over their previous 6 contests Kansas allowed 59.8 points per game and held opponents to a combined 35.4% shooting. The Jayhawks won 5 of those contests and their only defeat came in overtime at Texas. Furthermore, Kansas is 15-1 in their last 16 at home versus Baylor. Their only home loss to the Bears came last season. That should provide extra motivation and emotion for a program which prides itself on defending their home court. Bet on Kansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Washington -4.0 (10*) These 2 teams are clearly headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and lost by 9.5 points per contest. Conversely, Washington is an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS during their previous 7 and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS at home with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Washington has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 outings while averaging 120.6 points scored per game, shooting 50.3% from the field, and converted on 37.7% of its 3-point attempts. That’s not good news for a Minnesota team which has allowed 119.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.2% from the floor in addition to making 40.4% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-26-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Heat | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Utah @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Utah -6.5 (10*) Miami is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable home underdog tonight and for good reason. They will be facing a Utah team which has gone 18-0 ATS in their last 18 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. The Jazz are also 22-2 straight up and 21-3 ATS during their previous 24 games. Additionally, Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite and allowed a mere 97.3 points per game while holding opponents to an ice cold 39.4% shooting. The Jazz have averaged 121.2 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 41.9% from 3-point territory over their previous 5 games. Throughout that identical time span, Utah also averaged making an incredible 19 three-point shots per game. This more about me betting on Utah a lot more than wagering against Miami. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-22-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Oklahoma State +3.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off back-to-back losses to West Virginia and Kansas. The #15 Red Raiders have now gone just 3-4 straight up in their last 7 games played. Texas Tech will be playing with revenge from an 82-77 home defeat to Oklahoma State on 1/2/21. However, I don’t think revenge will be a determining factor in this one. Oklahoma State has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games. Additionally, 3 of those victories came over nationally ranked teams in Kansas, Arkansas, and Texas. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a home underdog versus a visiting team that isn’t performing like a Top 25 team right now. During their previous 5 games, Oklahoma State has held its opponents to a mere 36.9% shooting and that includes 24.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-21 | Kings v. Bulls +2 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Chicago 9:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Chicago +2.0 (10*) Sacramento limps into tonight’s contest having gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games. During that futile stretch, the Kings allowed 124.0 points per game while their opponents shot a scalding hot 52.2% and converted on an alarmingly high 46.2% of its 3-point attempts. Chicago is coming off a 112-105 loss at Philadelphia last night. The Bulls have gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game. Bet on Chicago plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-21 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -7 | Top | 66-56 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss 6:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Ole Miss -7.0 (10*) Ole Miss has played themselves into NCAA Tournament consideration by going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Included in this current successful run was home wins over #20 Missouri by 21 and versus #19 Tennessee. The Rebels have also averaged 82.3 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 52.2% during their previous 3 contests. On the other side of the table is Mississippi State who has gone a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 games and is coming off an embarrassing 72-51 home loss to Vanderbilt. These are 2 teams that are clearly headed on opposite paths. Bet on Ole Miss minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-15-21 | 76ers v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 123-134 | Win | 101 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Utah -7.5 (10*) Dating back to last season, Philadelphia is an abysmal 2-15 ATS as an away underdog of 12.0 or less, and 0-5 ATS if the number is 5.5 to 12.0 (-14.0 PPG). The 76ers have scored 111 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. Philadelphia is 0-4 SU&ATS this season after scoring 100 points or more in 3 consecutive games and they lost by a sizable margin of 13.3 points per contest. Utah has gone an incredible 15-0 SU&ATS in their last 15 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less and they won by 14.7 points per contest. If it’s not broke then don’t fix it. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-06-21 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Illinois 2:30 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Illinois -3.5 (10*) This will be a statement game for #12 Illinois against a #19 ranked conference opponent in Wisconsin. The Illini are much better than even their 12-5 overall record indicates. According to the highly respected Kenpom rankings that accounts for offensive and defensive efficiency in addition to strength of schedule, Illinois ranks #5 nationally. They also have Illinois as having faced the 4th most difficult schedule of all the 347 Division 1 teams. Illinois is coming off a 75-71 overtime win at Indiana in their previous game which extended their unbeaten streak to a modest 3-games. Conversely, Wisconsin has gone a mediocre 4-3 in their last 7 games which includes a pair of losses on their usually extremely strong home court. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 10* Top Play. |