At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Houston.  The Chiefs have their back against the wall, as they're 6-6 with four games remaining.  So, this is a 'must-win' game for the defending AFC Champs.  Kansas City is on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  But it's a super 21-6 ATS at home off three (or more) ATS losses, when it's owned a win percentage greater than 0.350, including 14-1 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS loss.  Houston comes into this Sunday night game off an upset win at division rival, Indianapolis.  However, the Texans are a terrible 9-16-2 ATS off a division upset win.  Take Kansas City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Arizona.  Last week, the Rams were stunned, 31-28, by the Carolina Panthers.  And Los Angeles was a 10-point road favorite in that game.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as road favorites have cashed 78% since 1980 after being upset as a double-digit road favorite.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Chicago.  The Packers have always had a good home field advantage at Lambeau Field.  But it's at its strongest late in the year when the weather turns.  And Green Bay has been especially good at home in its last 3 regular season games when favored vs. foes off a SU win, as it's gone 47-8 SU and 38-14-3 ATS, including 19-1 SU and 16-2-2 ATS vs. .555 (or better) opponents, and 23-1 SU and 19-2-3 ATS when priced from -5 to -10.5 points.  Green Bay is 29-6 SU and 26-9 ATS vs. the Bears in the last 35 meetings.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bengals pulled off a big upset on Thanksgiving night when they blew out Baltimore, 32-14.  Unfortunately, road teams have cashed just 22 of 56 following a win on Thanksgiving.  And Buffalo is 30-13-1 ATS in home games with point spreads of 7 or less points, if its opponent was off an upset win.  Finally, winning teams have gone 175-135 ATS as a home favorite vs. foes off double-digit upset wins.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Colts lost to Houston last week, and are tied with the Jaguars at 8-4, atop the AFC South division.  Indy is an eye-popping 62-38-2 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-0 ATS off an upset division defeat.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Ravens stumbled on Thanksgiving, with a loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.  The good news for John Harbaugh's men is that they're 13-5 ATS off an upset loss, including 9-0-1 ATS vs. .500 (or better) teams like Pittsburgh.  For years, this was a tightly-contested series with 29 of 37 games being decided by 7 or less points.  But that started to change last year, with the Ravens winning the two most recent meetings by scores of 34-17 and 28-14.  Lay the points with Baltimore.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Cleveland.  Last week, the Titans scored a field goal on their opening possession, and never scored again, en route to a 25-3 loss to Houston.  It's true that the Titans have been a poor point spread team, going just 5-7 ATS this year (and 15-37-1 ATS their last 53).  But they're 4-0-1 ATS after scoring less than 6 points.  And the Browns have burned money as a favorite, going 34-54-4 ATS their last 92, including 11-32-1 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record.  Take Tennessee.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Washington game.  The Vikings have gone UNDER in four straight, on the heels of an offense which has scored 19, 17, 6 and 0 in the Vikings' last four games.  We'll look for a bounce today, and take the OVER, as teams have gone OVER after 3+ UNDERS if they scored less than 30 points across their three previous games.  The OVER also falls into a 177-125 Totals system of mine.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide upset Georgia earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with UGA in the rematch, as the Bulldogs are 21-3-2 ATS when favored by 24 points (or less) and playing with revenge.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the Miami-Ohio/Western Michigan game.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Broncos lost, 26-17, in Oxford, as a 2-point underdog.  That game went Over the total of 40 points by three.  This game has a higher O/U line, and we'll take the UNDER, as the 2nd meeting of two teams in a season has gone UNDER 65.3%.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders routed BYU, 29-7, last month.  We had a big play on the Red Raiders in that game, but will side with the Cougars this afternoon.  Indeed, the revenge-minded team has gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the Big 12 Title Game since 2018.  And Big 12 teams playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points have gone 28-11 ATS.  Take BYU.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over UNLV.  Last week, the Broncos edged Utah St., 25-24, but failed to cover the spread, while UNLV blew out rival, Nevada. The good news for Boise, here, is that it is 24-9-2 ATS its last 35 FBS games (and 68-46-4 its last 118) off a point spread loss, including 9-0 ATS its last 9 at home when not laying more than 7 points.  Additionally, Boise has dominated the Rebels, going 9-0 SU in their Mountain West Conference match-ups, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  We'll look for that dominance to continue tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over North Texas.  Last week, Tulane shut out Charlotte, 27-0, while North Texas trounced Temple, 52-25.  This game will be played at Yulman Stadium, in New Orleans.  The Green Wave are a super 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.  And they're 25-10-1 ATS their last 36 at home when not laying more than 7 points.  Even better:  in the post-season, home teams have gone 17-6 ATS when playing an opponent which scored 37+ points in its previous game.  Grab the points with Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the North Texas/Tulane game.  This match-up has the highest over/under line of the 9 Title games this season.  Conference Championship games with O/U lines north of 64 points have gone 61% UNDER.  And the UNDER also falls into a 77-27 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Kennesaw St./Jacksonsville St. game.  Competitively-priced post-season games, with point spreads of 3 or less, and Over/Under lines between 56 and 62 points, have gone UNDER 61.3%.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a Totals system of mine which has gone 301-213.  Take the UNDER.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Troy.  The Dukes are giving up just 16 ppg on the season.   We'll lay the points, as favorites of -21 (or more) points have gone 52-26 ATS in conference games if their defense allowed less than 17 ppg (at Game 10 forward), and their opponent was off back-to-back wins.  Take James Madison.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Dallas.  The Lions have been an ATM machine since Dan Campbell arrived in Motown, and they're especially good when playing an opponent which is not off a loss.  In that situation, the Lions have gone 30-6 ATS so long as the Lions weren't favored by more than 7 points.  And if Detroit lost its previous game, then our 30-6 ATS stat zooms to 10-0 ATS.  With Detroit, indeed, off a loss last week to Green Bay, we'll lay the wood with the Lions on Thursday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Dallas/Detroit game.  Both the Cowboys and Lions enter off high-scoring Thanksgiving Day games.  Detroit lost to Green Bay, 31-24, while Dallas upended Kansas City, 31-28.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game tonight, as Thursday Night games have gone UNDER 62% if both teams' previous game totaled 55+ points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a 358-250 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Denver.  Both of these teams had last week off.  Two Sundays ago, the Commanders lost in overtime to the Dolphins, while the Broncos upset the Kansas City Chiefs.  We'll fade Denver, as it's 0-19 ATS off a SU/ATS home win over a division rival, if it was not getting 4+ points in its current game.  That doesn't bode well for Bo Nix & Co. here.  Nor does the fact that rested home underdogs of 5+ points, with a sub-.333 win percentage, have cashed 69% since 1980.  We'll take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the under in the Arizona/Tampa Bay game.  The Cardinals come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  And each of those three games went OVER the total.  One of the things I like to do is play on the UNDER when a team falls into this situation of coming off 3 high-scoring SU/ATS losses.  Certainly, when a team does that, its defense is often at the root of the problem.  And shoring it up would be a point of emphasis.  Dating back to 1980, our teams in this set have gone UNDER 58.7%, including 8-0-1 UNDER this season.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over UNLV.  The Pack are 3-8 this season, so this is essentially its 'Bowl Game.'  This Silver State battle for the Fremont Cannon has been hotly-contested over the years, with Nevada going 20-13 SU and 14-12 ATS (with seven non-lined games) in the last 33 meetings.  UNLV played one of its best games of the season last week when it blew out Hawaii, 38-10, as a 2-point home favorite.  It outyarded the Rainbow Warriors, 470-231.  But off that big win, we'll fade the Rebels on Saturday, as they fall into a negative 27-90 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams with a win percentage greater than .720 off a SU/ATS win.  Additionally, Mountain West Conference teams are a poor 36.6% the past 46 seasons after covering the spread by more than 20 points, if they were matched-up against a foe off a SU win in their current game.  Grab the points with Nevada.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over SMU.  California was upset by rival Stanford last week, 31-10.  The Bears are a home dog vs. SMU tonight, and play with revenge from a 38-6 loss in Dallas last season.  We'll take California, as .500 (or better) revenge-minded home underdogs have gone 63.3% ATS off an upset loss in ACC Conference games.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Oklahoma.  The Tigers are riding a 5-game ATS losing streak.  But we'll step in and grab the points, as SEC Conference teams have covered 66.1% as road underdogs since 1980 on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, if their opponent was off a SU win.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Vanderbilt.  It's been 12 years since the last time the Commodores owned a better record than their cross-state rival at the time of the match-up.  But that's the case this weekend, as Vandy is 9-2, while Tennessee is 8-3.  Still, the Volunteers have dominated Vanderbilt, with a 38-7 SU record since 1980, including a 36-23 beatdown last year as a 10-point road favorite.  The point spread is much less this season, of course, as Vandy's scoring margin is 2.18 ppg better than Tennessee's.  And Vandy also comes into this game on a 2-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak).  We'll fade the red-hot Commodores, as SEC Conference teams have gone 31.4% ATS as underdogs since 1980 off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Tennessee to blow out Vandy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  Wake Forest plays this game with revenge from a 23-17 loss in Winston-Salem last year.  Last week, the Deacs rolled up 52 points in a blowout win over Delaware.  Off that big game, we'll take the points with the road underdog on Saturday.  Indeed, revenge-minded underdogs that scored more than 50 points in their previous game, in the regular season, at Game 9 forward, have gone 61-37-2 ATS away from home over the last 46 years.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Oregon.  The Huskies come into this game with a lot of momentum, as they blew out Purdue, 49-13, as a 13.5-point favorite, and UCLA, 48-14, as a 10.5-point favorite, in their last two games.  We'll take Washington, as home teams off back to back wins (and also back to back double-digit covers) have cashed 58.4% since 1980 when they weren't favored by 6+ points.  Take the home dog Huskies.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Texas-San Antonio.  The Black Knights suffered an upset loss at home last week vs. Tulsa, 26-25, as a 10-point favorite.  But Army's been a reliable road underdog in Conference games, cashing 60.8%, while the Roadrunners are 1-7 ATS at home vs. foes off an upset loss.  Additionally, .500 (or better) underdogs of more than 6 points, with a defense that allows at least 6.5 ppg less than their foe, have cashed 67% over the past 46 years off an upset loss.  Take Army.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Kennesaw St.  The Flames come into this game off 3 straight upset losses.  We'll take Liberty to bounce back, as NCAA Football teams have cashed 60.5 percent as underdogs since 1980 off 3 straight upset losses, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take the home dog Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston College/Syracuse game.  The Orange allowed 70 points to the Irish last week.  Off that defensive debacle, Syracuse will no doubt want to redeem itself today.  Indeed, NCAA games with O/U lines less than 56 have gone UNDER 63.1 percent if a team allowed more than 65 points in its previous game.  Syracuse is 9-2-1 UNDER after giving up more than 45 points.  And ACC Conference teams have gone 30-13 UNDER their last 43 after giving up more than 45 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over South Alabama.  The Jaguars upset Southern Miss last week, 42-35, as a 2.5-point home dog, for their second straight win.  We'll fade the Jags on the road, as they're 5-18 ATS off back to back wins (including 0-7 ATS on the conference road), and they have also cashed just 35% the past 46 years off an upset win.  Take Texas State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over BYU.  The Knights won last week, 17-14, but failed to cover the spread vs. Oklahoma St.  And that was UCF's fourth straight ATS loss.  We'll grab the points with UCF, as teams off 4+ ATS losses, but a SU win in their previous game, have gone 224-180, 55.4% ATS, since 1980.  Additionally, the Knights fall into an 82-38 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas come into this game off back-to-back wins, and they've covered 5 in a row.  But Toledo has held its last 3 foes to a combined 15 points.  And it has given up just an average of 10 ppg in its seven conference games this season.  The Rockets are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings vs. CMU.  And the Chips fall into a negative 44-83 ATS system of mine which fades certain underdogs off back to back SU/ATS wins.  I look for Toledo to blow out Central Michigan.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes have won 15 straight since losing to Michigan at the end of last season.  And they've gone 12-1-1 ATS in their FBS games.  We'll fade Ohio State in Ann Arbor on Saturday, as defending National Champs have covered just 30.4% since 1980 away from home off back to back ATS wins, if they were unrested.  Grab the points with Michigan.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Temple.  North Texas has won and covered 5 straight games heading into this season finale, while the Owls have lost their last three games.  The Mean Green have racked up 53 and 56 points in their previous two games, so I won't step in front of this freight train.  Indeed, teams playing their final home game of the season, off back to back SU/ATS wins in which they scored 50+ points, have covered 68.1% since 1980.  Lay the wood.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas/Temple game to go UNDER the total.  These two teams met each of the two previous seasons, and both games went UNDER the total including last year's 24-17 game, which went under the total of 63 by 22 points.  This year's line is even higher than last season's, and Temple is 10-3-1 UNDER the total when the O/U line is 62+ points.  Additionally, the UNDER falls into a 94-59-2 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Memphis/Navy game.  The Tigers have played 4 straight Overs coming into this game, while Navy checks in off back-to-back Overs.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for a high-scoring game here.  But consider that NCAA Football teams off exactly 4 Overs have gone 122-85 UNDER the total when the O/U line was 57+ points.  That bodes well for the Under.  As does the fact that this game falls into an 89-55 Totals system of mine.  Take the Midshipmen and Tigers Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons minus the points over Massachusetts.  The Falcons lost last week, as a 2.5-point home favorite, to Akron, 19-16.  They will look to redeem themselves today in Amherst vs. the 0-11 Minutemen.  No team wants to be the one to lose to an 0-11 opponent, so expect BGSU to be focused this afternoon in its final game of the season.  Additionally, Bowling Green is 16-8 ATS on the road off an upset loss.  And winless teams are 0-22 SU and 1-20-1 ATS in their final home game of the season when getting more than 7 points from a conference foe.  Take the Falcons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the San Francisco/Carolina game.  The 49ers come into this game off 3 straight high-scoring games.  But off that string of OVERS, we'll look for a lower-scoring game here, at home, vs. Carolina.  Indeed, San Francisco has gone UNDER 64.5% since 1980 off back-to-back Overs when the O/U line was 48+ points.  And the UNDER falls into 26-9, 132-71 and 357-250 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Tampa Bay/Los Angeles game.  The Bucs have been installed as a big underdog tonight.  And when Tampa is a big dog, the games are generally lower-scoring, as Tampa's 19-7 UNDER when getting more than 6 points.  The UNDER falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which is 356-250-12 since 1980.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  These two teams met in Week 1, and the Eagles defeated Dallas, 24-20.  We'll play against Philly in this re-match, as defending Super Bowl champs are a soft 41-56-4 ATS when playing a revenge-minded division foe it defeated in the season's first meeting.  Moreover, in NFC East division games, underdogs with a losing record have gone 92-65 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars pulled off an upset win last week when they blew out the Chargers, 35-6.  We'll fade the Jaguars on the road today, as favorites -5 (or less) points are 0-11 ATS following an upset win by more than 28 points.  Additionally, the Cardinals are 37-12 ATS at home off back to back losses when playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Arizona/Jacksonville game.  The Cardinals have played back-to-back high scoring games.  They lost to the 49ers last week, 41-22, and the previous game was a 44-22 defeat at Seattle.  We'll take the UNDER, as teams have gone Under 59.3% after back-to-back games that totaled 63+ points, including 63.6% if the O/U line was 48 points or less.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over New England.  Cincinnati is a solid 51-29-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +10 points, including 11-1 ATS its last 12 when playing a non-division foe off a SU win.  It's true that the Patriots are 5-0 SU on the road this season.  But those five wins have been by 6, 3, 6, 18, and 5 points.  And their only win by more than 6 points came against (arguably) the worst team in the League (Tennessee).  Take Cincy + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Seattle.  The Titans are catching double-digits at home this afternoon.  Long-term, double-digit home dogs have gone 131-102-2 ATS since 1980, including 76-48-2 ATS in non-division games.  We'll take the Titans + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/New England game.  The Bengals are allowing 33.4 ppg this season.  We'll look for this game to go UNDER the total, as teams with poor defenses that allow 33.4+ ppg have gone 45-25 UNDER in non-division games.  And the UNDER also falls into a 313-227 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Colts have the league's #1 offense, as they average 32.1 ppg.  The Chiefs rank #9, and score 6.7 ppg less than the Colts.  But Andy Reid's Chiefs have dominated opponents with superior offenses, as KC has gone 19-2-1 ATS vs. foes that score at least 4.9 ppg more than the Chiefs (including 9-0-1 ATS as a favorite).  Lay the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over San Diego St.  The Spartans played their worst game of the last 46 years (as far back as my database goes) when they were routed, 55-10, by Nevada, and failed to cover the minus 10-point spread by 55 points.  We'll grab the points with San Jose St. as teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 45 points are 12-0-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Aztecs have covered just 6 of 20 conference games when favored by more than 3 points vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take the Spartans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Western Kentucky.  LSU won last week, 23-22, vs. Arkansas, but did fail to cover for the fourth straight game.  The Hilltoppers enter on a 3-game win streak, and have been installed as a big underdog in Baton Rouge.  We'll take LSU, as the Tigers are 16-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes off 3+ losses, including 5-0 ATS their last five.  And Western Kentucky is 1-6 ATS away from home vs. foes on 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Jackets eked out a 36-34 win over Boston College, but failed to cover the 17-point spread by 15 points.  That, however, bodes well for Georgia Tech on Saturday, as it's 23-13 ATS in ACC Conference games after failing to cover the point spread by 11+ points.  Meanwhile, Pitt is 21-32 ATS as an. underdog of +10 (or less) points vs. a foe off an ATS loss.  Take Georgia Tech.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  The Gamecocks have been solid as a big favorite over the years, including 46-1 SU and 29-18 ATS when laying more than 11 points to a non-conference foe.  Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina is 1-15 SU and 5-11 ATS when getting more than 11 points.  Take South Carolina to blow out the Chanticleers, and snap its 5-game losing streak this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Kansas St.  The Utes come into this game off back to back blowout, SU/ATS wins over Cincinnati (45-14) and Baylor (55-28).  We'll lay the points with the homestanding Utes, as home teams have gone 108-83-11 ATS in conference games off back to back SU/ATS wins over conference foes by 27+ points.  Take Utah.

At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Temple.  The Green Wave come into this game off a 35-24 win over Florida Atlantic.  Tulane has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Owls, and we'll happily lay the points, noting that Tulane is 9-1 ATS as a road favorite in conference games off a win by more than 7 points.  Even better:  the Owls are 1-13 ATS as an underdog of +8 (or more) points vs. a conference foe off a SU win.  Take Tulane to blow out Temple.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over USC.  We played on Oregon in its last game, a 42-13 blowout of the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  That extended Oregon's ATS record to 27-16-1 its last 44.  We'll fade USC, as it is a wallet-busting 55-90-3 ATS away from home vs. an opponent off a SU win, if the Trojans were not getting 11+ points.  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles  over South Alabama.  Southern Miss's football coach, Charles Huff, has made it a point this week to challenge his players to get the school's first win vs. the Jaguars (after going 0-5 in the first 5 meetings).  Southern Miss loss its first Sun Belt game last week, when it fell, 41-14, to Texas St., as a 3-point home favorite.  But the Golden Eagles are a super 13-3 ATS when priced from +1.5 to -16.5 off an upset loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS on the road.  Take Southern Miss minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers minus the points over Jacksonville St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Sam Houston St. The Bearkats enter off back to back upset wins over Oregon St. and Delaware.  And they were underdogs of +21 and +12 in those games.  We'll fade Fresno tonight, as it has cashed just 29.6% since 1980 off two wins in which it was an underdog of more than 7 points in each game.  Lay the points with Middle Tennessee.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw St. Owls minus the points over Missouri St.  The Owls were upset, 35-26, last week by Jacksonville St.  But Kennesaw was on the road in that game; here they are at home.  And the Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.  Lay the wood.

At 12:45 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs have burned money as a big home favorite, and especially when they weren't off a SU win.  In that situation, since 2001, they're 4-20-1 ATS when laying 29+ points, including 0-9-1 ATS when favored by 38+.  Take Charlotte.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Oklahoma.  Missouri QB Beau Pribula is on track to make his return after a 2-game absence, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Tigers in this SEC match-up vs. Oklahoma.  The Sooners do come into this game off back to back road upset wins over Tennessee and Alabama.  But NCAA favorites of more than 2 points have cashed just 40.8% off back to back road upset wins.  Take Missouri.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas minus the points over Kent State.  The Chips have covered four straight after blowing out Buffalo last week, 38-19.  They'll look to make it 5-in-a-row when they take on Kent St, and have been installed as a road favorite vs. the Golden Flashes, who upset Akron, 42-35 last week.  Central Michigan is 28-14 ATS as a road favorite in MAC Conference games, which bodes well for it tonight.  As does the fact that Kent St. is an ugly 0-45 SU and 15-29-1 ATS when getting 8+ points.  The Golden Flashes fall into a negative 130-215-12 ATS system which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips + the points over Bowling Green.  The Zips were upset, 42-35, as a 7.5-point home favorite last week.  We'll take Akron to bounce back, as Mid-American Conference teams are 55-29 ATS on the road off off an upset home loss.  Take Akron.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Denver Broncos.  The Chiefs had last week off following their upset loss at the hands of Buffalo.  We played against KC in that game, but will switch gears and ride with Patrick Mahomes & Co. today, in Denver, against the 8-2 Broncos.  The Chiefs are generally a great bet off a straight-up loss, provided they're not laying more than 7 points.  In that situation, KC is 20-7 ATS since 2015, including a spectacular 10-1 ATS vs. the league's elite teams that have a win percentage of .666 (or better).  Look for the Chiefs to rout the Broncos.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  This is the Ravens' 3rd straight road game.  I like playing against NFL teams in this situation, and especially if they won and covered their previous two road games.  Since 1980, these road-weary teams have cashed just 38%.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Seattle.  The Seahawks blew out Arizona, 44-22, last Sunday.  But Seattle is a soft 19-34-2 ATS off a win by more than 20 points, including 6-20 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes off a SU win.  Take the Rams.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks to go UNDER the total.  I like playing the Unders in competitively-priced division games, with point spreads below 5 points, if both teams are good teams with at least a .500 record, and the Over/Under is relatively-high with a total of 47+ points.  These games have gone 62% under since 1980.  Take the Rams and Seahawks UNDER.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over San Francisco.  The Cardinals gave up a whopping 44 points to the Seahawks last week, in a 44-22 loss.  The good news for the Cards is that they're 12-1 ATS off a loss in which they allowed 44+ points, including 9-0 ATS at home.  And the 49ers are 0-11 ATS vs. division foes that allowed 31+ points in their previous game.  Take the Cardinals.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  Buffalo was upset last week, 30-13, by its division rival, Miami.  We'll take Buffy to bounce back this afternoon, as it's an awesome 72-22 SU and 60-31-3 ATS as a favorite of 13 or less points (or PK) off a SU loss, including 13-4-2 ATS off a loss by 17+ points.  The Bills also fall into one of my favorite NFL systems, which is 168-88 ATS, which plays on certain teams favored off losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cincinnati/Pittsburgh game.  The Bengals lost to the Bears last week, 47-42, in a very high-scoring game.  Cincy has now gone over the total five straight, but we'll look for a much lower-scoring game here, vs. the Steelers.  Admittedly, the first meeting this season totaled 64 points in a 33-31 Bengals triumph.  But rematches of games that totaled 64+ points tend to go UNDER the total (57.1% since 1980), and this game should follow that 46-year trend.  The UNDER also falls into 69-34 and 87-50 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over the Houston Texans.  Tennessee comes into this game off its Bye week.  And NFL Bye weeks often favor the league's worst teams.  Indeed, rested teams on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak have cashed 60% as underdogs, including 46-26 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take the Titans.

At 9:30 am, on Sunday morning, in a game played in Madrid, Spain, our selection is on the UNDER in the Commanders/Dolphins match-up.  Washington comes into this game with a porous defense which is allowing 28 ppg.  Not surprisingly, it has gone Over the total in a majority of its games this season.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game overseas on this Sunday, as NFL teams with defenses that allow 28+ points have gone UNDER the total 56% since 1980 at Game 9 forward.  Also, the UNDER falls into 105-53 Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, in an early game played in Madrid, Spain, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over Miami.  The Dolphins upset the Buffalo Bills last week, 30-13, as an 8-point underdog.  We'll fade Miami off that win, as it is 9-31 ATS off an upset division win the previous week, including 4-18 ATS as a favorite.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over Fresno St.  The Bulldogs upset Boise State, 30-7, in their previous game.  We'll fade Fresno off that upset win, and grab the points with Wyoming.  Indeed, Wyoming is 10-0-2 ATS away from home vs. foes off an upset win, while Fresno St is 3-9 ATS off a road upset win.  The Cowboys also fall into a 137-61 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  Take Wyoming + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over BYU.  We played against TCU last week, and got the $$$ when Iowa State upset it, 20-17, as a 7.5-point underdog.  We also played against BYU last week in its 29-7 loss at Texas Tech.  I continue to believe the Cougars are overrated, and will fade them at home on Saturday.  TCU falls into a very good 137-50 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to rebound off upset losses.  We'll grab the points with the Horned Frogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs + the points over Washington St.  The Bulldogs were upset, 25-24, by Delaware last week.  We'll back the Bulldogs tonight, as they're 7-0 ATS off an upset loss when playing a non-conference foe.  Even better:  La Tech falls into a 104-44 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Take Louisiana Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Sam Houston St.  Phil Longo's Bearkats notched their first win of the season last week, as they shocked Oregon State, 21-17, in Corvallis.  But it was an improbable win, given that the Bearkats only gained 85 yards through the air (9-of-24) and 72 yards on the ground (on 24 carries).  The Beavers outyarded the Bearkats 474 to 157.  The Bearkats are just 2-7 ATS this season, and have failed to cover by an average of 8.5 ppg.  Delaware also pulled an upset last week, 25-24, vs. Louisiana Tech.  But it was well-earned, as the Blue Hens outyarded the Bulldogs, 399-333.  We'll fade Sam Houston at home today vs. Delaware.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Wake Forest.  it's been an up-and-down season for Bill Belichick's Tar Heels.  They're 4-5 SU (and 4-4 ATS in their eight FBS games).  They have done better on the road, where they are 3-1 ATS.  They'll take on a Demon Deacons squad coming off a big upset win at Charlottesville last Sunday.  I don't want any part of Wake Forest off that upset win.  And especially not at home, as they're 1-14 ATS at home off an upset win, when priced from -7 to +7.5 points.  Wake Forest also falls into a negative 12-70 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Take the Tar Heels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Blue Raiders were upset, 56-30, by Florida International last Saturday.  We'll grab the points with MTSU, as it is 51-40 ATS in conference games off a SU loss.  And it's 23-6 ATS off a loss by more than 21 points, including 8-0 ATS their last eight on the road.  Finally, the Blue Raiders also fall into an 84-24 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Duke.  Virginia's QB, Chandler Morris has been upgraded to "probable" to play in Saturday's game.  We'll grab the points with Virginia, as it falls into a 101-43 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Morris suffered an injury in the 2nd quarter of last week's 16-9 loss to Wake Forest.  Without Morris behind center, Virginia's backup QB, Daniel Kaelin, was rusty and fumbled twice in the loss.  The Cavs are 18-6 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 off an upset loss.  Take UVA.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Texas Tech.  The Knights were upset, 30-27, by Houston last week.  We'll grab the double-digits, as UCF has cashed 79% since 2009 as an underdog of more than 8 points in conference road games, while the Red Raiders are a poor 2-8 ATS off a win, if laying more than 18 to a conference foe.  Take UCF.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats plus the points over Southern Miss.  The Bobcats are 0-5 in Sun Belt Conference play.  But they have not quit.  Far from it.  In last week's loss at Louisana-Lafayette, they were down by 22 points, but continued to fight, and outscored the Cajuns 19-0 to end the game, only to fall by 3 points.  We'll take Texas State as a road underdog on Saturday, as the Golden Eagles are 1-10 ATS at home, with a .666 (or better) win pct., vs. foes off an upset loss.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan St. Spartans + the points over Penn State.  The Nittany Lions suffered a heartbreaking defeat vs. the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers last Saturday.  PSU led by 4 in the waning seconds before Indiana scored a TD to win, 27-24.  I don't want any part of Penn State following that loss, as I look for it to suffer an emotional letdown on the road.  Michigan State has lost its last six games.  But it is 5-1 ATS in those six games, so it's still playing hard.  This is Michigan State's final home game this season.  And the Spartans are 25-13 ATS in their final home games, including 11-3 ATS as an underdog, and 15-3 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Michigan St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd and Georgia St. Panthers to go UNDER the total.  The Thundering Herd come into this game off 6 straight OVERS.  We'll look for that O/U streak to end this afternoon, as teams off 6+ OVERS in a row have proceeded to go UNDER 60% since 2016 if the O/U line was greater than 62 points.  The UNDER also falls into 137-84 and 225-160 Totals systems of mine.  Take the UNDER.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over Oklahoma St.  The Wildcats come into this game off a 23-point loss to Texas Tech two weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with K-State, as it is 88-55 ATS off a point spread defeat.  And it's also 32-6 ATS off a loss by 20+ points, when matched-up against a Big 12 Conference foe.  Take the Wildcats.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Wisconsin.  This is the Hoosiers' final home game of the season.  And teams playing their last home game have gone 75-41 ATS when favored by more than 11 vs. a foe off an upset win.  With Wisconsin off a 13-10 upset win over Washington, we'll fade the Badgers on Saturday.  Take Indiana.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Panthers are playing really well right now.  They have won and covered 5 straight games.  And I like playing on home dogs of more than 6 points that are off 3+ wins, and who own a .700 (or better) win percentage.  Those teams have covered 64% since 1980.  Take Pitt.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Charlotte.  UTSA was blown out, 55-23, by South Florida last week.  I like the Roadrunners to bounce back as they fall into an 88-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites to bounce back off blowout losses.  Charlotte has been horrid (16% ATS) at home vs. foes off upset losses, while UTSA is 18-13 ATS in conference games off a double-digit loss.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners and Charlotte 49ers UNDER the total.  Each of these teams has given up 33+ points per game this season.  We'll take the UNDER, as match-ups between two poor defensive teams have gone 65.1% UNDER the total when the O/U line was greater than 58 points, and each team's defense allowed 33+ points (at Game 9 forward).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Minnesota.  The Ducks have been installed as a big favorite vs. the Gophers.  And we'll lay the points, as Oregon is 59-1 SU and 36-21-3 ATS when priced from -21 to -38.5 points.  And the Ducks fall into a 134-73 ATS system of mine which play on certain favorite of more than 3 TDs.  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans + the points over Old Dominion.  The Trojans were upset by Arkansas St, 23-10, in their last game.  And that defeat snapped a 5-game SU/ATS win streak for the Trojans.  Tonight, they'll look to snap ODU's 2-game win streak.  And the good news for the Trojans is that they're 18-4 ATS their last 22 road games, including a perfect 6-0 ATS vs. foes off an ATS win.  More good news:  ODU is an ugly 5-16-1 ATS as a favorite, including 2-10-1 ATS at home.  Grab the points with Troy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Massachusetts.  The Huskies are 2-7 this season, but the Minutemen are even worse, at 0-9.  We'll fade UMass, as winless double-digit home dogs are an ugly 12-29 ATS vs. conference foes with a losing conference record.  Northern Illinois also falls into a 280-183 ATS system of mine based on its blowout loss last week at Toledo.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers over the Philadelphia Eagles.  The Packers have been installed as a small favorite vs. the defending Super Bowl champs.  We'll lay the points, as Green Bay is 68-36-2 as a home favorite of 13 or less points.  Even better:  defending Super Bowl champs have covered just 26% since 1980 off a SU/ATS win when playing a revenge-minded foe off an upset loss.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers upset Indianapolis last week, 27-20, as a 3-point underdog, while the Chargers bested Tennessee, 27-20.  Last season, the Chargers lost at Pittsburgh, 20-10.  We'll take Jim Harbaugh's men to avenge that loss, as the Steelers are a dreadful 15-23-2 ATS when playing on the road vs. revenge-minded, non-division foes, including 1-9 ATS if their covered by 10+ points in their previous game.  Take the Chargers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns minus the points over the New York Jets.  The Browns had last week off to rest and prepare for this road game vs. the Jets.  We'll lay the points, as road favorites have gone 121-88 ATS following their Bye week.  Even better:  favorites have gone 11-1-1 ATS away from home vs. the Jets, if our favored team was off a SU loss, and the Jets were off a SU win.  Take Cleveland.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  The Jags won the first meeting between these rivals this season, 17-10.  We'll take the Texans to avenge that defeat, as they're 12-6 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And the Jags are 9-18-2 ATS on the road vs. foes seeking revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Houston.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Carolina.  The Panthers have been installed as a favorite just shy of a touchdown.  We'll take the underdog Saints, as they're 7-0 ATS vs. Carolina when priced from +4 to +8 points.  New Orleans is also 21-9 ATS vs. winning division foes, if the Saints were off a loss, and its opponent was off a win.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears/New York Giants game.  New York generally goes UNDER in its non-division games, as it's 66-36 UNDER its last 102, including 5-0 UNDER its last five vs. the Bears.  Likewise, the Bears are 50-33-1 UNDER in its non-division game where the O/U line was 41+ points.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on this Sunday.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Baltimore/Minnesota game.  The Ravens had a lot of injuries earlier in the season, and it especially showed on the defensive side of the ball.  Indeed, the Ravens' gave up 35.4 ppg over their first five games.  But since then, the Ravens' defense has allowed 17, 16 and 6 points.  I look for yet another strong performance here vs. the Vikings, who are 14-8 UNDER in their last 22 as a home underdog.  Take the UNDER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Carolina game.  The Saints come into this game off 5 straight unders.  We'll look for a higher-scoring game today, as team off 5+ Unders have proceeded to go OVER the total more often than not over the last 46 seasons, including 7-0 OVER their last 7 (and 28-15 Over their last 43).  Take the OVER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Ravens have dominated NFC Conference foes, and espeically if Baltimore wasn't getting 7+ points.  In that situation, the Ravens are a solid 40-25-2 ATS their last 67.  Baltimore also falls into a 64.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites off SU wins.  Lay the points with the Ravens.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy.  The Irish are on a 2-game ATS losing streak.  But that's a positive indicator for them in this game, as the Irish are 7-0 ATS their last seven following back-to-back ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, Navy is an ugly 1-6 ATS this season in its FBS games, including 0-5 ATS its last five.  Lay the points with Notre Dame.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.