Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-25-15 | Boise State v. Virginia UNDER 49 | Top | 56-14 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAF --Sharp Money Total Crusher-- (Under 49) I think the books have set too high of a total here for tonight's prime time matchup between Boise State and Virginia. Both of these teams are strong defensively and that should have these two average offenses struggling to sustain drives and finish them off with touchdowns. Boise State will be without starting quarterback Ryan Finley, which means they are going to have an inexperienced signal caller making his first start on the road, a situation that doesn't figure to end well. Virginia's offense is limited and the Broncos are more than capable of keeping them in check. The energy and intensity that comes with playing in front of a national audience only adds to the value here with this total. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 20 points. Give me the UNDER 49! |
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09-22-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
50* MLB --Grand Slam Total Top Play-- (Under 8) This has a pitchers duel written all over it and we are getting a great number here to back the under. Cleveland's Danny Salazar has a 3.47 ERA and 1.117 WHIP over 27 starts and was dominant last time out against the Tigers, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. He's faced the Twins twice this season and allowed just 3 runs in 13 innings with 21 strikeouts. Minnesota's Ervin Santana enters with a sizzling 2.05 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over his last 3 starts, allowing just 5 runs on 16 hits with 22 strikeouts in 22 innings. UNDER is 30-19 in the Indians 49 road night games this season and 38-17-1 in their last 56 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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09-20-15 | Arizona Cardinals v. Chicago Bears OVER 46 | 48-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NFL --Smart Money Total Crusher-- (Over 46) I think we are going to see a lot of offense in this one. Arizona has a stingy defense, but it's not nearly as good on the road as it is at home. Offensively the Cardinals are underrated, as this team has one of the better offenses in the league when Carson Palmer is healthy at quarterback. Chicago's defense is still adjusting to the transition from a 4-3 to a 3-4 and will continue to struggle. They allowed Aaron Rodgers to complete 18 of 28 attempts and gave up 4.1 yards/carry. As for the Bears' offense, I was impressed with them against Green Bay, as they put up over 400 yards of offense. They may not have Alshon Jeffery, but I still think there's enough here for Cutler to get them in the endzone. Plus, with Arizona's strong run defense, Cutler will be forced to throw a lot, which will likely lead to at least a couple turnovers and quick scores for the Arizona defense. Give me the OVER 46! |
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAF *SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH* (Under 53) I don't see any value on the spread in this one, but I absolutely love the UNDER. Alabama does not have the same offensive explosion as last year, but are improved defensively. For Ole Miss, all the talk has been about the offense, but I've been more impressed with the defense. I think we are going to see two of the best defenses in the country, potentially the best two, go to battle. I think we could see a similar type battle to Alabama's 2011 home game against LSU, where the game ended with a final of 6-9. Even if there's a little more offense than that, I don't see it getting into the 50's. Give me the UNDER 53! |
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09-19-15 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame UNDER 55.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF *SMART MONEY TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 55.5) Notre Dame has lost their starting quarterback and running back in their first two games. While I was impressed with backup quarterback DeShone Kizer, I don't think the Irish offense will be as explosive with him as the starter. While the offense might take a step back, Notre Dame still has a very good defense and one that is well equipped to slow down Justin Thomas and the Georgia Tech triple-option attack. Keep in mind they play Navy every year, so their familiar with the triple-option scheme. Defense is also going to get an emotional boost here from the home crowd. They were dominant at home against Texas. Georgia Tech also has a very good defense. While they have played two cupcake opponents, they have dominated on the defensive side of the ball and should be able to keep Kizer and the rest of the offense in check. Give me the UNDER 55.5! |
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09-18-15 | New Mexico v. Arizona State UNDER 65 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 65) This may seem like a low total given these two teams combined for 81 points in Arizona State's 58-23 blowout win at New Mexico last year, but I actually think the value is on the UNDER. Both teams bring a lot back defensively. Sun Devils returned 9 defensive starters and the Lobos brought back 7. Both will have a much better understanding of what the other team is looking to do offensively. New Mexico likes to run the football and that's going to eat up some clock and I don't see the Sun Devils trying to run up the score late with two huge games on deck against USC at home and UCLA on the road. These prime time games also tend to bring out the best defensively and I think ASU could make life extremely difficult on New Mexico, who scored just 21 points last week against Tulsa at home. Under is 13-4 in Arizona State's last 17 home games with a total set at 63 or more points. ROLL THE UNDER 65! |
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09-18-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL KNOCKOUT* (Under 7.5) Tyler Wilson vs Drew Smyly might not seem like a pitchers duel, but that's exactly what I'm expecting in this one. Wilson has made 2 starts and allowed just 2 runs in each outing. Smyly is a known commodity and looks to be back in form after missing a big chunk of the season with an injury. In his last outing, which was at home against a strong Red Sox offense, he tossed 6 scoreless innings, allowing just 4 hits and racking up 11 strikeouts. Under is 13-3 in Rays last 16 games off a 1-run loss to a division rival and 13-4 in Orioles last 17 road games with OBP of .260 or worse over their last 3. ROLL THE UNDER 7.5! |
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09-15-15 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* (UNDER 9) I believe the books have made a big mistake here with this total, as it's been slightly inflated due to the fact that both starters are coming off a poor showing. Even with the bad outings, both have thrown the ball extremely well of late. Houston's McHugh has a 3.26 ERA and 1.190 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Texas' Derek Holland has a 2.25 ERA and 0.792 WHIP over his last 3 starts. McHugh is 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA over 3 starts against the Rangers and Holland has allowed just 7 runs in 22 1/3 innings over 4 home starts. ROLL THE UNDER 9! |
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09-12-15 | Arizona v. Nevada OVER 63 | 44-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF *COLLEGE GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER* (OVER 63) I expect both offenses to score at will in this one. Arizona has big time playmakers on offense in sophomore quarterback Anu Solomon and sophomore running back Nick Wilson. The Wildcats have averaged over 30+ ppg in each of Rich Rodriguez's first 3 years on the job. They put up 42 points against UTSA in the opener and I see them flirting with 40 again. That's because their offense will have to continue to push to score, as their defense figures to give up a lot. Wildcats allowed 32 points and 525 yards to a UTSA team that only returned 2 offensive starters. Nevada has a more than capable offense and will score more than enough to push this well over the mark. ROLL THE OVER 63! |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* NFL *PRO GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER* The public is all over the OVER in this one, as the perception here is that we have two high-powered offenses. The bookmakers know that the majority of the action was going to come in on the OVER and I believe they have inflated this total, creating some great value here on the UNDER. Pittsburgh is without several key pieces offensively in running back Le'Veon Bell, wide out Martavis Bryant and center Maurkice Pouncey. As for New England, I don't think there offense is going to be in sync out of the gate with all the distractions surrounding Brady and Deflategate, plus they are without running back LeGarrette Blount and wide out Brandon LaFell. Starting center Bryan Stork is doubtful and wide out Julian Edelman will be playing on a bum ankle. Too many key pieces missing for this one to be a shootout. Roll the UNDER 51.5! |
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09-07-15 | Ohio State v. Virginia Tech OVER 53 | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (Ohio State/Virginia Tech OVER 53) Instead of worrying about whether or not Ohio State covers the 2 touchdowns spread, I think the smart play here is on the total over 53. The Buckeyes proved at the end of last year that their offense can put up points on anyone and I don't expect it to be any different against Virginia Tech. At the same time, I think the Hokies offense will be much improved and will definitely benefit here from Ohio State missing star linebacker Joey Bosa. These two teams combined for 56 points last year with both offenses working behind an inexperienced quarterback in a new system. Ohio State also saw at least 55 combined points in each of their final 14 games of 2014. ROLL THE OVER 53! |
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09-05-15 | Wisconsin v. Alabama UNDER 49.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -116 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (Under 49.5) I don't expect to see a whole lot of offense in this one. There's nothing tricky about Wisconsin's offense, as they are going to line up and try and run it right at you. That plays right into the strength of this Alabama defense, as they tend to struggle a lot more with mobile quarterbacks who run a spread offense. On the flip side of this, Alabama loses a lot offensively, as they have just 3 starters back. They will be sending out an inexperienced quarterback and are going to lean on the run. Wisconsin will be in the 1st year under head coach Paul Chryst, but they retained defensive coordinator Dave Aranda. I see both teams focusing on the ground game, which is going to eat up the clock and have this one finishing under the mark. Roll the UNDER 49.5! |
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09-05-15 | Louisville v. Auburn OVER 57.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF *OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT* (Over 57.5) There's no question that bringing in Will Muschamp to be the defensive coordinator is going to help Auburn improve on that side of the ball, but it's going to take some time. Louisville on the other hand has just 4 starters back on defense. Both head coaches are well known for their offenses and I believe both will be on full display inside the Georgia Dome today. Roll the OVER 57.5! |
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09-04-15 | Washington v. Boise State UNDER 55.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAF *TOTAL CRUSHER* (UNDER 55.5) I think this is way to high a total for this matchup. Washington's offense is going to be awful this year. Last year's starting quarterback Cyler Miles left the team in the offseason and he was a huge loss (completed 67%, 2,397 yards, 17-4 TD-INT). The Huskies also have just 1 starter back on the offensive line. Boise State loses underrated starting quarterback Grant Hedrick (completed 71% of his attempts) to graduation, as well as leading rusher Jay Ajayi (1,800 yards 28 TDs). Both offenses figure to struggle to sustain drives. As long as we don't see a ton of turnovers that lead to quick scores, this should fly under the total. Roll the UNDER 55.5! |
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08-31-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Really like the value we are getting here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Not only do we have two strong starters on the mound in Chris Archer and Wei-Yen Chen, but both offenses are struggling at the moment. The Rays have scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5, while the Orioles are averaging just 2.9 runs/game over their last 7. Archer is poised for a bounce back start after giving up 4 runs in his last outing at home against the Twins (complete game shutout prior to that start) and Chen enters with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 21-9 in Chen's last 30 home starts and 13-3 in the Rays last 16 road games after going 5 straight games with fewer than 10 hits. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-29-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 42 | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NFLX *TOTAL CRUSHER* |
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08-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Should be all kinds of offense in this one, as both teams will be sending out starters who have really struggled of late. Cincinnati will give the rock to Keyvius Sampson, who has a 8.03 ERA and 2.433 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza and his 7.56 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in his last 3 outings. It's not just recent form where both of these guys have struggled. Sampson has a 5.79 ERA and 1.757 WHIP overall and Garza has a 5.52 ERA and 1.522 WHIP overall. OVER is 6-1 in Cincinnati's last 7 against a team with a losing record and 9-1-1 in Garza's last 11 home starts against a team with a losing record. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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08-28-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value here with this total set at 7.5. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney is coming off an ugly showing at home against the Blue Jays, but Toronto's offense is simply that good. Heaney has been rock-solid otherwise, as he owns a 3.39 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 11 starts. A big key here is the fact that he has a 2.13 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 4 road starts. Cleveland will send out Danny Salazar, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 22-12 in LA's last 34 after a win by 2 runs or less and 20-10 in the Indians last 30 against the AL West. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-26-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR* Love the value here with this total and more than willing to pay a little extra juice to get 7. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer is coming off a complete game shutout in his last outing and is 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA and 0.781 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Twins. Minnesota will send out Tyler Duffey, who has looked sharp in his last 2 after giving up 6 runs in 2 innings at Toronto in his MLB debut. Duffey has allowed just 2 runs in his last 2 starts (13 2/3 innings) with 15 strikeouts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 over L2 seasons in Rays 8 games after a contest where 17 or more combined runs were scored (avg score in these games has been 5.1)! Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-22-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 15-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I really like the UNDER here in this matchup. Angels' starter Andrew Heaney might not have the most overpowering stuff, but he's been very effective since joining the rotation. He's got a 2.43 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 10 starts. He's more than capable of keeping this high-powered Blue Jays offense in check at home. Toronto will send out Marco Estrada, who has been straight dealing of late with a 1.42 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in 19 starts. UNDER is 14-4 in Blue Jays last 18 after scoring 9 or more runs and 15-5-2 in Angels last 22 home games when listed as an underdog. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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08-21-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I really like the value we are getting with this total at 8 runs. Houston's Michael Fiers has a dominant 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts, while the Dodgers' Brett Anderson is 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA over his last 5 road starts. LA is only scoring 3.8 runs/game and hitting .235 as a team in interleague play, while the Astros are scoring just 3.0 runs and hitting a mere .221 as a team over their last 7. UNDER is 15-5 in Dodgers last 20 road games after scoring 2 runs or less and 19-9 in the Astros last 28 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in their last game. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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08-20-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 104 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe this is a great spot to back the UNDER in today's matchup between the Rays and Astros. Tampa Bay's Chris Archer was rocked for 7 earned runs on 11 hits and 3 walks in his last start. It was only the third time this season that Archer allowed 5 or more earned runs. In each of the previous two instances he bounced back by allowing 2 runs or less. I'm expecting a similar outcome here with the Astros struggling offensively with just 3.3 runs/game and a .236 team average over their last 7. At the same time, I'm not expecting much offense from the Rays, who will face the red-hot Collin McHugh, who has a 1.80 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-19-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe the books have made a huge mistake here setting this total at a whopping 8.5 runs. The Red Sox don't figure to do much offensively, as they will be up against Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, who is coming in off back-to-back complete games in which he allowed 2 runs on 4 hits with 17 strikeouts. The high total is likely due to the fact that the Red Sox will be sending out Joe Kelly and his 5.69 ERA and 1.515 WHIP in 19 starts. However, Kelly is coming in off back-to-back strong starts and will be facing a Cleveland offense that has scored exactly 1 run in 3 of their last 4 games. UNDER is 24-9 in Indians last 33 road games as a favorite of -125 to -150 and 14-5 in their last 19 road games with a total set at 8.5-10 runs. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-17-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* This is a great spot to back the UNDER 7.5 on the total, as we have to strong starters on the mound. Houston will send out Scott Kazmir, who has a 1.42 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 2.12 ERA and 1.076 WHIP overall in 22 starts. Tampa Bay will send out Erasmo Ramirez, who has quietly had a strong year. Ramirez is 9-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 18 starts. He's been even better of late with a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 10-2 in the Rays last 12 as a road dog of +125 to +175! Roll the UNDER 7.5 |
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08-13-15 | New York Yankees v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 | 8-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* This might not seem like a pitcher's duel with Nathan Eovaldi going up against Trevor Bauer, but I really like the value here with the total set at 8 runs. Eovaldi has a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts and Bauer has a 2.86 ERA in his last 3 outings. These two teams combined for just 3 runs yesterday. The Indians aren't a great offensive team and the Yankees have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7. UNDER is 6-1 in those 7 games for New York. UNDER is also 8-1 in Bauer's last 9 starts with a money line of -125 to +125 and 19-4 in the Yankees last 23 games after batting .200 or worse as a team over their last 5. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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08-10-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe there's some hidden value here in the UNDER 7 on the total, as we are getting to sneaky good pitchers facing off in pitcher-friendly Petco Park. San Diego's Ian Kennedy has been on the rise and owns a 2.10 ERA in his last 5 home starts. Kennedy will also benefit from facing a Reds offense that is scoring just 1.9 runs and hitting .189 as a team over their last 7. Cincinnati will send out David Holmberg, who has allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his first 2 starts, which came against a couple of really strong teams in Pittsburgh and St Louis. UNDER is 14-3 in Reds' last 17 after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight games and 13-3 in the Padres last 16 after not committing an error in 4 straight games. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-09-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* There's too much value here to not take the UNDER in today's matchup between the Reds and Diamond backs. Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has a 2.41 ERA and 1.127 WHIP over 11 road starts, while Arizona's Pat Corbin has a 2.65 ERA and 1.059 WHIP at home. Corbin also will take advantage of facing a slumping Reds offense, which is scoring just 2 runs and hitting .198 as a team over their last 7 games. UNDER is 20-7 in the Reds last 27 road games with a total set at 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I'm not expecting many runs to be scored in Saturday's matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers. The game will be played at pitcher-friendly PNC Park and both teams are sending out quality starters. The Dodgers will give the ball to newly acquired Mat Latos, who has been rock-solid of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Latos has also been strong on the road, posting a 2.44 ERA and 1.125 in 8 road starts. Liriano has a 2.92 ERA and 1.061 WHIP in 20 starts and a 2.50 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 13-4 in the Dodgers last 17 road games when it's played during the day. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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08-07-15 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I'm not expecting a lot of runs in tonight's showdown between two of the AL's best starting pitchers. Houston's Dallas Keuchel is 13-5 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 22 starts and Oakland's Sonny Gray is 11-4 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 22 starts. Keuchel owns a 2.83 ERA in 9 career starts against the A's and Gray has a 2.67 ERA in 4 career starts against the Astros. UNDER is 22-8 in Houston's last 30 road games after allowing 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. Roll the UNDER 6.5! |
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08-04-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 6.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Even with a total set at 6.5, I don't think the books have set the bar low enough for today's showdown between two of baseball's best starters. The Rays send out Chris Archer, who owns a 2.74 ERA in 10 road starts and a 1.35 ERA in his last 3 outings. Opposing Archer will be White Sox ace Chris Archer, who has a dominant 2.60 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 9 home starts. UNDER is 31-19 in the Rays 50 road games this season and 21-9 in the White Sox 30 home games this season when listed as a favorite of -110 or higher. Roll the UNDER 6.5! |
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07-29-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has been at his best away from home, as he's got a 2.67 ERA and 1.156 WHIP over 10 road starts. He takes on a St Louis offense that is averaging just 2.6 runs and hitting a mere .206 as a team over their last 7 games. On the flip side of this, the Cardinals will send out John Lackey, who has been sensational at home with a 1.97 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 11 starts. I just don't see either offense doing much of anything in this one. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-29-15 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* With the way the Marlins are struggling offensively and how well Miami starter Tom Koehler has looked both of late and at home, I don't expect to see many runs at all in this one. Koehler has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 1.79 ERA in 7 starts at home, where the UNDER has cashed in 6 of those 7 starts. Washington will send out Doug Fister, who has a 1.14 ERA and 0.760 WHIP over 3 career starts against Miami and the Marlins are scoring just 2.9 runs and hitting .239 as a team over their last 7 games. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-28-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Both the Orioles and Braves come into this game struggling at the plate. Baltimore is scoring just 3 runs and hitting .199 as a team over their last 7 games, while Atlanta is managing just 2.6 runs and hitting .234 as a team over their last 7 games. The Braves will send out Julio Teheran, who has allowed 3 runs or less in 4 straight starts and the Orioles counter with Ubaldo Jimenez, who has a 2.06 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in 7 home starts. UNDER is 14-3 in Atlanta's last 17 after scoring 1 run or less and 7-2-1 in Jimenez's last 10 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER! |
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07-27-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe the books have made a big mistake here with setting the total for this game at 7.5. Both the Royals and Indians are struggling offensively right now. KC is averaging just 3.6 runs over their last 7 and Cleveland is putting up just 2.6. The real key here is the starting pitching. Royals' starter Edinson Volquez has a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 and a 3.64 ERA in 9 road starts. Indians starter Cody Anderson has a 1.91 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over 5 starts, including a 0.63 ERA and 0.837 WHIP in his 2 starts at home. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-25-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 6.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I cashed in on the White Sox/Indians UNDER 7 on Friday and I'm firing back with the UNDER again on Saturday, even with a lower total set at 6.5. Chicago will send out their ace Chris Sale, who has a 2.82 ERA and 1.120 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Sale also has owned the Indians of late, allowing just 2 runs on 9 hits in his last 17 innings against them. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts. Carrasco has also been strong in recent outings gainst the White Sox, allowing just 4 runs in his last 27 innings against them. Roll the UNDER 6.5! |
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07-24-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* We have two quality starters on the mound in today's AL Central division matchup between the Indians and White Sox and both have received little to no run support this season. Cleveland's Corey Kluber has received just 2.74 runs/game from his offense in 2015 and Chicago's Jose Quintana has received an MLB-low 2.63 runs/game. Kluber has a 2.01 ERA over his last 3 and a 2.74 ERA at home. Quintana was hit hard in his last start, but has a 2.73 ERA in 12 night starts and prior to his last outing had not allowed more than 3 earned runs in 9 straight starts. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-22-15 | Miami Marlins v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5. The Marlins will be sending out their ace in Jose Fernandez, while the Diamondbacks counter with one of the more underrated starters in Robbie Ray. Fernandez has posted a 2.37 ERA and 0.947 WHIP over his first 3 starts and Ray has a 2.29 ERA and 1.073 WHIP over his 9 starts in 2015. UNDER is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 and 12-4-1 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series. Roll the UNDER! |
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07-21-15 | New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | 7-2 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I have no problem laying a little extra juice here to get the total at 7, as I don't see these two teams getting to that number with today's starting pitching matchup. The Mets send out Jacon deGrom, who has a 2.65 ERA and 0.902 WHIP over 8 road starts and went into the break with a 1.27 ERA and 0.750 WHIP over his last 3. The Nationals counter with Joe Ross, who was sensational in his last two starts, allowing just 3 runs with 19 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings of work. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-20-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* I believe we are seeing an inflated total here due to the struggles that Dodgers starter Brandon Beachy had in his first start back. Not pitching up to his potential in his first start back wasn't a big surprise given the near 2-year layoff, but I saw enough to believe he's going to bounce back strong. It will help facing an Atlanta offense that is averaging just 2.3 runs and hitting .205 as a team over their last 7 games. On the flip side of this, the Braves send out underrated starter Matt Wisler, who has a 2.65 ERA over his last 3 and a dominant 0.68 ERA and 0.900 WHIP over 2 home starts. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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07-17-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I don't see either of these offenses doing much of anything in this one. Chicago's Kyle Hendricks has been lights out of late, as he hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight starts. Atlanta's Julio Teheran has a disappointing 4.56 ERA overall, but has a dominant 2.04 ERA and 0.925 WHIP over 8 home starts. UNDER is 6-1 in Hendrick's last 7 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. UNDER is also 8-2 in Atlanta's last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-12-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* This is a great pitching matchup and I think there's a ton of value here on the UNDER at 7. The Angels' Andrew Heaney has been lights out, posting a 1.77 ERA in 3 starts and I was really impressed with how well he threw last time out at Coors Field. Seattle's Taijuan Walker got off to a bad start, but has been a completely different pitcher of late. Walker hasn't suffered a losing decision since June 3 and had a 1.68 ERA over a 7 start stretch here recently. He's finally pitching up to his potential and I look for these two future aces to dazzle on Sunday. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-11-15 | Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Both of these offenses are struggling to get anything going offensively over the last couple of weeks and I look for that to continue here. Washington's Jordan Zimmermann has been sensational in his last 3 starts, posting a 0.40 ERA and 0.706 WHIP, allowing just 1 earned run in 22 2/3 innings. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez struggled in his first two starts back from the DL, but returned to his early form in his last outing, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. I look for Gonzalez to build off that strong start against the slumping Nationals offense. Love the value here with this total. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-11-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Chicago Cubs UNDER 6.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* While the total for this one has been set at just 6.5, I have a hard time seeing these two teams combining for 7 or more runs. These two teams only managed 1 run in yesterday's series opener and the pitching matchup today features both teams' aces and both are throwing the ball extremly well of late. White Sox send out Chris Sale, who has allowed 3 runs in 17 innings over his last 2 starts, while the Cubs give the ball to Jon Lester, who hasn't allowed an earned run in 14 innings over his last 2 starts. Roll the UNDER 6.5! |
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07-09-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Love the value we are getting with this total set at 8 runs. Hard to expect the Twins offense to produce much against Detroit's ace David Price, who has gone 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA in his last 6 against Minnesota and 3-0 with a 1.21 ERA in his last 3. The reason we are seeing a high total is due to the fact that the Twins Mike Pelfrey has a 9.94 ERA and 2.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts. However, Pelfrey has been dominant at home, posting a 1.80 ERA in 7 starts. UNDER is 30-14 in Tigers last 44 after a win by 2 runs or less, 6-1 in the Twins last 7 against a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts as a home dog of +110 to +150. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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07-07-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* The value here is clearly on the UNDER. Baltimore's Kevin Gusman has impressed in his first two starts of the season after being primarily used out of the bullpen. In his last outing, he allowed just 4 hits over 6 1/3 scoreless innings and figures to keep it going against a Twins offense that has scored 2 or less in 4 of their last 6. Minnesota will send out underrated starter Kyle Gibson, who has a 2.92 ERA in 8 home starts and a strong 1.83 ERA over his last 3 outings. He too was dominant in his last start, giving up just 4 hits over 8 scoreless innings. UNDER is 13-3 in the Orioles last 16 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games 13-3-2 in the Twins last 18 vs a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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07-07-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Absolutely love the value we are getting here with this total set at 9. Sure we have two strong offensive teams playing in hitter friendly Globe Life Park, but this is simply too many runs to not take the UNDER with today's starting pitching matchup. Rangers' starter Yovani Gallardo has been sensational of late. He hasn't allowed a run in his last 4 starts, where he's given up a total of just 14 hits in 26 1/3 innings of work. 5 of his 6 starts at home have gone UNDER the total as he's posted a 2.23 ERA at Globe Life. Arizona's Robbie Ray has seen the UNDER cash in 3 of his 4 road starts, due in large part to his 1.75 ERA and 0.857 WHIP. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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07-06-15 | Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I think we are getting great value here with the total set at 7 runs, given the starting pitching matchup. Houston's Dallas Keuchel is one of the leading Cy Young candidates for 2015, as he's 10-3 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.957 WHIP over 17 starts. Keuchel has been dealing of late with a 1.96 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who is coming off two dominant performances. Carrasco allowed 2 runs on 5 hits in 8 innings at home against the Tigers on 6/24 and followed that up with a near no hitter, as he didn't allow a hit until 2 outs in the 9th at Tampa Bay. Look for both offenses to struggle to get anything going. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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07-03-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
50* MLB *INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Love the value here with the total set at 7.5 runs. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 1.69 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 7 road starts and the UNDER is 6-0-1. Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton has a 1.98 ERA and 1.061 WHIP over 4 home starts and the UNDER is 3-1. UNDER is 7-1 in the Indians last 8 games as a road dog of +110 to +150 and 20-9-1 in their last 30 interleague road games. UNDER is also 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and a perfect 5-0 in Morton's last 5 interleague starts. |
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07-02-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* While the Rockies are coming off a series at Oakland where they managed to score just 4 runs, I like the value we are getting here with the total for tonight's series opener against the Diamondbacks. Colorado's Chris Rusin has a 5.30 ERA and 1.655 WHIP over 6 starts and an even worse 6.35 ERA and 1.898 WHIP in 4 road starts. Arizona's Jeremy Hellickson hasn't been much better. Hellickson has a 5.38 ERA and 1.422 WHIP in 15 starts and a 5.45 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 7 home starts. OVER is 6-2 in their previous 8 games this season, including a perfect 3-0 in their 3 games at Arizona. OVER is also 89-47 in games with a total of 9 to 9.5 where you have a team (Rockies) that is coming off 5 straight games where they had 10 or less hits in the second half of the season. Roll the OVER 9! |
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07-02-15 | Texas Rangers v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 2-0 | Win | 102 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I love the value we are getting here with this total sitting at 8.5 runs. The Rangers' Yovani Gallardo has gone 3 straight starts without allowing a single run, including a near complete game shutout at Toronto in his last start (8 2/3 innings). Going back even further, Gallardo hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in 7 straight starts. Baltimore will be sending out Kevin Gausman, who pitched well in his first start of the season on 6/20, holding the Blue Jays to just 2 runs on 4 hits in 5 innings. Gausman will be catching a Rangers offense that was just held to 4 hits in yesterday's 2-4 defeat. UNDER is 14-5 in Gallardo's last 19 starts with a total of 8 to 8.5 and 13-4-2 in the Orioles last 19 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their last game. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-01-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Miami Marlins OVER 7 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* This might seem like a fair total for today's pitching matchup between Chris Heston and Dan Haren, but I think the value here is clearly with the OVER. Heston is one of the more overvalued starters due to his no hitter. In reality he's still a rookie and has a 4.43 ERA over 7 road starts. Haren has pitched better than expected in Miami, but is trending in the wrong direction with a 4.42 ERA in his last 3 starts and will be facing a Giants offense that averages an impressive 5.1 runs and is hitting .280 as a team on the road. OVER is 21-7 in San Francisco's 28 road games this season against a right-handed starter and 18-4 in the Marlins last 22 after 4 straight games with 10 or fewer hits. Roll the OVER 7! |
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06-29-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5. Not the two most recognized starters, but two that are pitching extremely well at the moment. Kansas City's Joe Blanton has allowed a mere 2 runs on 7 hits in his first two starts, spanning 11 innings for a 1.64 ERA and 0.636 WHIP. Houston's Lance McCullers has a 1.17 ERA and 0.913 WHIP over 4 home starts and a 2.33 ERA and 1.036 WHIP overall. UNDER is 8-1-2 in the Royals last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 20-6-1 in their last 27 against a team with a winning record and 20-5-1 in the Astros last 26 against the AL Central. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-26-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The Indians will be hitting the road for the first time following a 7-game homestand, while the Orioles are returning home from a lengthy 8-game road trip. On top of that, both teams are coming off a big division series. Cleveland just got done playing Detroit and Baltimore just faced off against Boston. I just don't see the focus being there for the every day players, giving a big advantage to the two starters. The Indians send out reigning Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who has allowed 1 run in his last 2 starts (14 2/3 innings) against the Orioles. Orioles send out Wei-Yin Chen, who is pitching lights out with a 1.86 ERA over his last 3 starts. UNDER is 7-2 in Chen's 9 home starts this season and 12-2 in Kluber's last 14 starts when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-25-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 106 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with positive juice on the over in this matchup. These two combined for 10 runs in the series opener on Tuesday and while they only managed 6 runs yesterday, both offenses are poised to put up a solid number. Orioles will be turning to Miguel Gonzalez, who will be making his first start off the DL. Gonzalez also has an ugly 6.04 ERA in 5 road starts. Boston counters with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 7.71 ERA at home. This will also be Rodriguez's 2nd start this month against the Orioles and I think that's a big edge to Baltimore's bats. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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06-24-15 | Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* These two teams put up a big number in yesterday's series opener (14 runs), but I think it's aided to create some great value on the under tonight. Oakland's Kendall Graveman has been throwing lights out of late with a 1.64 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also has a stellar 1.78 ERA over 6 road starts on the season. Texas' Wany Rodriguez is also throwing the ball extremely well with a 2.37 ERA and 1.211 WHIP over his last 3. Rodriguez has a 5.06 ERA at home, but in his last start at home he held the Twins to 1 run on 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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06-20-15 | Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* There's simply too much value here on the UNDER at 8.5. The Rangers will be sending out Nick Martinez, who has a 1.47 ERA and 1.064 WHIP over 6 road starts and a 1.69 ERA over 5 day starts. Chicago's Carlos Rodon has a 1.50 ERA and 1.278 WHIP over 3 home starts and will be taking on a Texas offense that has managed a whopping 2 runs on 8 hits over their last 2 games. UNDER is 9-1 in Chicago's last 10 home games after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight and 9-0 in their last 9 home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less last time out. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-19-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Really like the value we are getting here with the UNDER at 7.5. Washington will likely be without Bryce Harper, who left yesterday's game with a hamstring injury. Harper makes the Nationals offense go and I look for them to struggle to get anything going against veteran A.J. Burnett, who is 6-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over 13 starts. Pittsburgh has scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 of their last 11 and Washington's Joe Ross just allowed 2 runs on 7 hits over 8 strong innings in his last start. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-18-15 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* In their 3 games during this 2 and 2 home/away split the Rockies and Astros have combined to score at least 9 runs and have pounded out 25 over their last 2. With how well the ball flies at Coors Field and the Astros ability to go deep up and down their lineup, I look for the offenses to continue to shine this afternoon. The Rockies will be starting David Hale, who has a 5.21 ERA over his last 3 starts and Houston will be sending out Collin McHugh and his 8.44 ERA and 1.687 WHIP over his last 3 outings. OVER is 8-1 in the Astros last 9 after scoring 8+ runs and 31-16 in the Rockies last 47 home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. Roll the OVER! |
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06-17-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 6.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* This defies logic as we have to aces facing off against one another, but you have to keep in mind of the talent these two teams have offensively and the fact that the game is being played in hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. Not to mention the wind is expecting to be blowing straight out to left-field. David Price has thrown back-to-back complete games and chances are he won't be as good as he was last two times out. OVER is 7-0 in Reds last 7 with a bullpen ERA of 3.00 or better over their last 10 and 13-4 in the Tigers last 17 after playing 17 or more straight games at home. Roll the OVER! |
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06-16-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Both offenses should be on full display in this one. Philadelphia's Jerome Williams has an awful 7.18 ERA and 1.851 WHIP over 6 road starts this season, while Baltimore's Chris Tillman has a 5.40 ERA and 1.499 WHIP over 7 home starts. Orioles could surpass this total on their own, as they are averaging 4.8 runs/game at home and 5.6 over their last 7. OVER is 14-3 in Williams' last 17 road starts as an underdog of +150 to +200 and 20-4 in the Phillies last 24 games after the bullpen allowed no runs in 3 straight games. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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06-10-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* We are seeing an inflated total here due to the Mariners sending out Taijuan Walker, who has a 5.80 ERA and 1.475 WHIP in 11 starts. Walker is much better than his numbers would suggest and he's showed some real positive signs of late. He's completed 8 innings in each of his last 2 starts, allowing just 3 runs on 7 hits with only 1 walk. That includes a start against the Indians, where he held them to just 2 hits in 8 innings. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 1.75 ERA over has last 5 starts and just recently held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 7 innings or work. I look for both offenses to struggle in this one. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-09-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I'm not expecting a lot of offense in this one. Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez has been lights out over his first two big league starts, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 14 2/3 innings of work. Baltimore will send out Miguel Gonzalez, who has been rock-solid when he takes the mound at home. Gonzalez is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in 6 home starts. He's also got a strong 3.26 ERA over 8 career starts against the Red Sox. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-08-15 | San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting here with this total set at 7.5. Atlanta's Shelby Miller has a 1.67 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 4 home starts, 3 of which have finished under the total. The reason we are seeing a total over 7 is the Padres' Ian Kennedy comes in with a 6.60 ERA. The key here is that Kennedy is coming off a strong start, allowing just 2 runs on 6 hits with 8 strikeouts in 6 innings. UNDER is 8-1 in Miller's 9 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs and 11-4 in Kennedy's last 15 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-07-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 202 | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* Game 1 would have went UNDER the total had it not been for overtime. With the Cavaliers now without Irving, there only hope is going to be to bear down defensively and hope James can be special offensively. The key here is Cleveland can't get into a shootout against the Warriors and I look for them to slow the tempo way down with James running a lot of isolation plays in the halfcourt. I just don't see there being enough possessions given how good these two teams are defensively for this one to go over the mark. Pound the UNDER 202! |
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06-06-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 | 2-8 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I'm backing the under in this matchup, as 8 runs is too much given the starting pitching matchup we have here. LA's Garrett Richards hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his last two starts against the Yankees. New York's Adam Warren has a 2.05 ERA and 1.091 WHIP over 4 home starts and has seen each of his last 3 starts go under the mark. UNDER is 6-2 in Richards last 8 road starts against a team with a winning record and 4-0 in Warren's last 4 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-06-15 | Texas Rangers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* I'm backing the under in today's showdown between the Rangers/Royals. The Rangers Wandy Rodriguez enters with a 2.03 ERA and 0.968 WHIP over 5 road starts. All 5 of those starts have finished under the total. The Royals Yordano Ventura has a 2.14 ERA and 0.762 WHIP over his last 3 starts, all of which saw fewer than 8 runs. UNDER is 22-8 in the Royals last 30 home games played on Saturday. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 204 | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA FINALS *TOTAL DOMINATOR* I look for nerves to play a big factor here in Game 1, as most of the players on these two rosters have never experienced the adrenaline that comes with playing in the NBA Finals. I believe it's going to lead to some sloppy play offensively and guys missing some shots they normally would make. However, that extra energy should payoff defensively. Golden State is one of the most efficient defensive teams and have the DPOY in Green to matchup against James. On the flip side, the Cavs are playing extremely well defensively right now. Roll the UNDER 204! |
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06-04-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* MLB *GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* Neither of these teams are swinging a hot bat. The Royals have scored just 6 runs in their last 3 games combined and the Indians have managed just 2 a piece in their last two games. On top of that we have two underrated starters on the mound. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 0.99 ERA over 4 road starts (Under is 4-0) and Kansas City's Chris Young has a 0.54 ERA in 3 home starts. Add in two very strong bullpens and I don't expect to see many runs crossing the plate in this one. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-03-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB *AL TOTAL CRUSHER* Love the value we are getting with this total sitting at 7.5. The value comes from having two underrated starters on the mound in Tampa's Nate Karns and LA's Hector Santiago. Karns has a 2.16 ERA over his last 3 starts and has been spectacular on the road, posting a 0.79 ERA and 0.662 WHIP over 4 starts. Santiago has a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 and a 1.49 ERA in 6 home starts. UNDER is 13-4 in the Rays 17 road night games this season, 13-3-1 in their last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less and 27-12-1 in Angels last 40 home games against a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER! |
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06-02-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* MLB *MLB GRAND SLAM TOTAL TOP PLAY* These two starters faced off last Tuesday in Minnesota and it ended up in a 2-1 pitcher's duel. I'm expecting a similar low-scoring affair tonight. Boston's Clay Buchholz has a sensational 1.99 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.97 ERA in his last 5 outings against the Twins. Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey has a 2.77 ERA on the season and a 1.93 ERA over 2 career starts against the Red Sox. UNDER is 16-5 in Boston's last 21 home games after 2 straight games without a home run and 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-28-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* TOTAL |
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05-23-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 115-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
50* NBA PLAYOFFS *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* TOTAL |
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05-22-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 12-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* I cashed in on the Red Sox/Angels UNDER 8.5 in yesterday's 3-1 final and I'll gladly take the UNDER again in the second game of the series with the same total. Boston's offense is in a major funk right now (1.9 runs/game L7) and will be going up against the red-hot Garrett Richards (1.69 ERA over L3). Boston's Rick Porcello is also in top form right now, posting a 2.41 ERA over his last 3. In his last two starts against the Angels, Porcello has allowed just 1 earned run in 14 innings of work. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-21-15 | Texas Rangers v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 111 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* The value is clearly on the under in today's matchup between the Rangers and Red Sox. Boston's Clay Buchholz is starting to turn things around. He's got a 3.92 ERA and 1.162 WHIP over his last 3 starts. In his last outing he limited the Mariners to just 1 run on 3 hits with 11 strikeouts in 8 innings of work. As for Rangers starter Wandy Rodriguez, he's got a 1.42 ERA and 0.789 WHIP over 3 road starts, with all 3 of those going under the total (2 of Buchholz 3 home starts have also gone under). Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-20-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL DOMINATOR* The Indians and White Sox have went UNDER the total in each of their last 12 meetings and I expect the streak to hit 13 after the conclusion of tonight's game. Cleveland will send out Shawn Marcum, who will be making his first start since July of 2013. Marcum looked sharp in 5 innings of relief against the Tigers earlier this season and has posted a 1.36 ERA over his last 5 minor league starts. Chicago's Carlos Rondon has had some control problems in his first two big league starts, but his 13 strikeouts in 10 innings over his first two starts provide a ton of optimism. Rondon was also much better in his lone home start, allowing just 2 runs on 4 hits over 6 innings. With both offenses in a funk, 8 is a big number here. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-20-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 197 | 97-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL CRUSHER* Atlanta has had a full 4 days of rest since closing out the Wizards and the Cavaliers have enjoyed 5 days off since finishing off the Bulls. With fresh legs and two explosive offensive teams, I look for Game 1 to fly over the total posted of 197. One of the big keys here is the extra time off should prove to be huge for Irving, who was really limited against Chicago. You also have to keep in mind that each of the 4 meetings during the regular season featured at least 205 points with both meetings in Atlanta reaching at least 210. Roll the OVER 197! |
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05-19-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* The books have set the bar too low for this total The Giants come in having scored 30 runs in their last 3 games and have recorded 10+ hits in 8 of their last 9 overall. I look for them to stay hot at the plate against the Dodgers Carlos Frias, who has a 5.40 ERA and 1.400 WHIP on the road. I also expect LA to put up a decent amount of runs here. Tim Hudson is 1-3 with with a 4.57 ERA and 1.346 WHIP over 7 starts and has a 5.74 ERA at home. Roll the OVER 7! |
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05-15-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* It's not been the start the Red Sox were hoping for with Clay Buchholz, but I'm confident he's going to get this thing turned around. Buchholz snapped a 5-start losing streak in his last outing, allowing just 3 runs over 6 1/3 innings of a 6-3 win at Toronto. He's getting ready to face a Seattle offense in a bit of a funk, as the Mariners have scored just 3 runs in their last 2 games. Boston doesn't figure to do a whole lot offensively either. The Red Sox are hitting an awful .188 against southpaws this season and will be going up against lefty J.A. Happ, who has a 2.33 ERA and 1.086 WHIP over 3 home starts. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-15-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194 | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* All 5 games so far in the series have finished UNDER the total with 188 being the highest scoring game to this point. I look for the streak to continue. Memphis is a defensive-minded team and know there only hope is to grind out a win in a low-scoring game. Facing elimination and getting Allen back in the lineup, should have the Grizzlies locked in defensively. The problem for Memphis is they can't score enough even when their D plays well. The Grizzlies offensive output continues to falter as the series progresses and I don't see the Warriors letting up on that side of the ball with a chance to advance to the conference finals. Roll the UNDER 194! |
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05-14-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 192 | 94-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL DOMINATOR* Theses two teams flew over the total in Game 5, combining for 207 points in Cleveland. I don't think we are going to see anywhere close to that kinda of scoring output in Game 6 at Chicago. The last time these two teams played in Chicago, they combined for just 170 points. The Bulls season is on the line and this is a team that defines itself on the defensive end. Chicago is going to bring every ounce of energy they have on that side of the ball. Cleveland's focus could be lacking, knowing they have a game to spare and get the all-important Game 7 at home. Bulls intensity defensively and their inability to score consistently on offense, should have this one going well below the mark. Roll the UNDER 192! |
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05-13-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 195.5 | 78-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL DOMINATOR* The books continue to set the total too high for these two teams. Each of the first four games in the series have seen a combined score of 188 or less points. I don't see any reason why that trend will come to an end in the all important Game 5 with the series tied at 2-2. Memphis had done an outstanding job defending the 3-point line in the series before allowing the Warriors to go 14 of 33 (42%) from long distance in Game 4. Even with that hot shooting from the outside, Golden State still only managed 101 points. Roll the UNDER 195.5! |
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05-12-15 | San Diego Padres v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value we are getting in this one with the total set at 7.5. Seattle's James Paxton has overcome a poor start to 2015 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.178 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Ian Kennedy of the Padres is also coming into this game throwing the ball extremely well. Kennedy has allowed just 3 runs on 10 hits over his last two starts (13 innings). Dating back to July 7 of last year, Kennedy has a 2.65 ERA over his last 9 road starts. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-10-15 | Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY Really like the value here with the total sitting at 7.5. Angels' Garrett Richards has been dealing of late, posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts, lowing his season ERA down to 2.52. Richards has been especially tough to hit at home, where he's allowed just 3 earned runs in 14 innings of work. I look for Richards to keep the Astros offense in check in this one, while Houston starter Scott Feldman keeps LA from putting up a big number. Feldman has pitched well against the Angels of late, as he hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 7 starts against them. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-09-15 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* Love the value here with the total set at 7.5. The Phillies have an anemic offense that comes in scoring just 2.8 runs/game with a .228 average. Mets starter Jon Neise hasn't had any problems keeping Philadelphia's offense in check over his career, as he's got a 2.92 ERA and 1.214 WHIP over 20 career starts. The key here is that we can also anticipate a tough day at the plate for New York. Phillies starter Aaron Harang as a sensational 2.35 ERA and 0.965 WHIP over 6 starts and a 0.00 ERA and 0.419 WHIP over 2 home starts. To top it off, Harang has allowed a total of just 4 earned runs over his previous 5 starts against the Mets (31 innings). Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-08-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 195.5 | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA *TOTAL KNOCKOUT* I believe we are in for the lowest scoring output of the series. These two teams combined for just 191 in Game 1 and 197 in Game 2 at Cleveland. Chicago simply didn't show up defensively in Game 2 and yet that still almost finished under the mark. With the series shifting to Chicago, I look for a huge defensive effort here from the Bulls. On top of that, I look for the Cavs roll players to cool off from long-distance on the road. Keep in mind Cleveland hit a ridiculous 12 of 26 (46%) from behind the 3-point line in Game 2 (only 7 of 26, 27% in Game 1). Roll the UNDER 195.5! |
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05-06-15 | Oakland A's v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 0-13 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL TOP PLAY* The books have set the mark too high for tonight's contest between the A's and Twins. Not only do we have two underrated starters on the mound, but the wind will be blowing in at roughly 15 mph at Target Field. Oakland will send out Scott Kazmir, who has a 1.62 ERA and 0.930 WHIP over 5 starts against the Twins' Kyle Gibson, who has a sensational 0.61 ERA and 0.954 WHIP over two home starts. Both offenses are also coming off a poor showing in yesterday's 2-1 win for the A's, adding more value to a low-scoring affair in this one. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-06-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* The Yankees come into this game averaging 5.1 runs/game on the road, while the Blue Jays are averaging 5.2 runs/game at home. Both offenses get even better when facing a left-handed starter, which will be the case today. New York is average 5.5 runs/game against a southpaw starter and Toronto is averaging 5.7. Adding to this is the fact that we have two struggling starters taking the mound in C.C. Sabathia and Mark Buehrle. Sabathia has a 5.40 ERA and 1.389 WHIP over 5 starts and Buehrle has a 6.75 ERA and 1.929 WHIP over 5 starts. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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05-05-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The Rays have seen each of their last 9 games finish below the the total, as they continue to pitch well and struggle to do much of anything offensively. I'm expecting that trend to continue tonight with Tampa sending out Drew Smyly against Rick Porcello of the Red Sox. Smyly has a 3.37 ERA and 0.843 WHIP over 2 starts, while Porcello comes in off a dominant start at home against Toronto, where he allowed 1 run on 2 hits over 7 innings. Smyly has a 3.57 ERA over 3 career starts against the Red Sox and Porcello has a 3.21 ERA in 7 career starts against the Rays (Under is 6-1 in his 7 starts). Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-03-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Miami Marlins OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL KNOCKOUT* The Marlins are swinging a hot bat, as they come in averaging 5.3 runs and hitting .328 as a team over their last 7 games. Miami has scored 7 runs in two of their last 3 games and I wouldn't be shocked if they eclipsed this total on their own. Philadelphia will be sending out Severino Gonzalez, who was rocked for 7 runs on 10 hits in 2 2/3 innings in his MLB debut against the Cardinals. Roll the OVER 8! |
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05-02-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH* I believe we are seeing a high total here due to the fact that Seattle starter Taijuan Walker comes in with a 6.87 ERA and 1.831 WHIP over his first 4 starts. Most of the damange with Walker's ERA and WHIP came in his first two starts. He's allowed 1 earned run over his last two outings, giving up just 10 hits with 13 strikeouts over 12 1/3 innings. Walker held the Astros to just 1 run on 4 hits earlier this season. As for the other side of things, Houston's Collin McHugh is 3-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.176 WHIP over 4 starts and was sensational in his lone home start of 2015. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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05-02-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I think this is a great value play here with the total sitting at 7.5. Detroit will be sending out their ace in David Price, who has a 2.25 ERA and 1.250 WHIP over 2 road starts and a 1.29 ERA and 0.714 WHIP over 3 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City counters with Edinson Volquez, who has been better than they expected. Volquez has a 1.91 ERA and 0.847 WHIP over 4 starts. Don't see either team doing much offensively in this one. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-01-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 109 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL DOMINATOR* Chicago comes in averaging just 3.1 runs/game on the road and the Twins are scoring just 3.9 runs/game on the season. I think 8 is a big number here and expect this one to easily go under the total. White Sox will send out Jose Quintana, who is coming off a strong start at home against the Royals, allowing just 2 runs over 7 innings. Minnesota's Kyle Gibson has a 1.35 ERA at home and a 2.89 ERA over his last 3 starts. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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04-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOTAL* Really like the value we are getting here with this high total in tonight's showdown between the Royals and Tigers. Detroit's Alfredo Simon is 4-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in his first 4 starts. He's allowed just 2 earned runs over his last 22 innings of work. Kansas City counters with Danny Duffy, who is quietly getting better with each start. Duffy got rocked in his season debut, but has since posted a 2.70 ERA over his last 3. Duffy has a respectable has allowed just 4 earned runs combined in his last 3 against the Tigers. Roll the UNDER 8! |
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04-29-15 | New York Mets v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB *NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH* The books have set the total too high for tonight's matchup between the Mets and Marlins. New York will be sending out veteran Bartolo Colon, who is 4-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.885 WHIP over his first 4 starts of 2015. One of those includes a game against the Marlins, where he allowed just 1 run on 6 hits over 7 innings of a 4-1 win. Miami's Mat Latos will oppose Colon and is a big part of the value we are getting here. Latos has a 7.31 ERA and 1.875 WHIP over 4 starts, but has allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts and has shown improvement with each outing. Latos held the Mets to 2 runs on 6 hits over 5 innings earlier this year and has a 2.63 ERA and 1.152 WHIP over 9 career starts against New York. Roll the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-28-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB *AL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH* The books have set up a favorable total here to back the UNDER. Detroit's Anibal Sanchez bounced back from a couple bad starts with his best outing of the season. Sanchez held the Yankees to just 1 run on 1 hit over 6 1/3 innings. He's got a 2.34 career ERA against the Twins and in a previous start against Minnesota this season he threw 6 2/3 shutout innings. Mike Pelfrey has been better than expected to start the year and he too is coming off his best start. Pelfrey threw 7 shutout innings at Kansas City, giving him a 2.65 ERA and 1.294 WHIP over his first 3 starts. Runs will be hard to come by for both teams. Roll the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-28-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* I look for both teams to struggle to get their offenses going in this one. The Brewers are atrocious offensively and will be facing Cincinnati's ace Johnny Cueto, who has a 2.92 ERA and 1.063 WHIP over 17 career starts against Milwaukee. He's pitched at least 8 innings in each of his last 3 starts against the Brewers, and allowed just 3 runs combined. Milwaukee's Kyle Lohse limited the Reds to 2 runs on 3 hits over 7 innings in his last start and has a 2.69 career ERA and 1.082 WHIP against Cincinnati. Roll the UNDER 7! |
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04-27-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* Seattle's Taijuan Walker finally pitched up to his ability in his last start, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings of work. However, Walker comes in with a 10.66 ERA over 3 starts, which is why we are seeing such a big total. I look for both offenses to struggle in this one, as Texas counters with undervalued Yovani Gallardo, who has given up just 5 earned runs in his last 3 starts and threw 6 shutout innings against the Mariners back on 4/17. UNDER is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 with a total set at 9 to 10.5 runs and 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite. Roll the UNDER 9! |
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04-25-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB *TOTAL TOP PLAY* The average runs scored in Diamondbacks' home games this season is 8.9 and I see no reason why tonight's contest won't eclipse the 9 run mark. Pittsburgh's A.J. Burnett is not as good as his 2.00 ERA would suggest, as he comes in with a 1.33 WHIP over 3 starts. He's somehow managed to allow just 4 earned runs, despite giving up 19 hits and 5 walks over 16 innings of work. On the other side we have Rubby De La Rosa, who has allowed 13 runs on 23 hits (4 HRs) and 5 walks over his first 3 starts. De La Rosa was especially bad in his lone home start in 2015, giving up 6 runs in just 5 1/3 innings. Roll the OVER 8.5! |
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04-24-15 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* The starting pitching matchup of Dallas Kuechel and Scott Kazmir might not sound like a pitchers duel, but that's exactly what I'm expecting from these two underrated starters. Kuechel is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his first 3 starts, while Kazmir is 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.787 WHIP in his first 3 starts. Kuechel has allowed a total of 4 earned runs in his last 3 outings against the A's and Kazmir has given up just 5 earned runs his last 3 vs the Astros. Roll the UNDER! |
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04-24-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 203 | 73-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA PLAYOFFS *LINE MISTAKE* I believe we are seeing a huge overreaction here to the fact that these two teams combined for 218 points in Game 2. You have to keep in mind that 30 of those points came in overtime, as the two only combined for 188 in regulation. They only combined for 199 in Game 1. Series tend to get lower scoring as the progress and I especially think that will be the case with this one being locked up at 1-1 and the Spurs more than likely having to slow the pace down with Parker at less than 100%. Roll the UNDER 203! |