50* MLB *NL EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH*

I'm expecting a very low-scoring game tonight between these two division rivals. Washington will send out Jordan Zimmerman whose one bad start at Boston has his numbers way off. Zimmerman has allowed a total of 3 earned runs in his last 3 starts against the Marlins. Miami counters with Mat Latos, who has also pitched much worse than his ability to start the season. Latos has shown signs of progress in each of his last two starts and has a 2.66 ERA over 7 career starts against the Nationals. UNDER is also 9-1 in Latos' last 10 starts against an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

This is do or die for the Celtics down 0-2 heading home for Game 3. Boston doesn't have the size inside or the talent offensively to beat this Cleveland team in a halfcourt game. The Celtics are going to be looking to push the pace and should be able to get a few more shots to fall at home. Keep in mind Boston scored 91 points in Game 2, despite shooting a mere 38.8% from the field. Cleveland is going to score, as the Celtics have no answer for James and Irving. It's also about that time that J.R. Smith shows up to the playoffs (3 for 15 from 3-point distance). Roll the OVER 203.5!

50* MLB *AL CENTRAL PLAY OF THE MONTH*

We are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that today's starters just recently faced off against each other in a 8-5 Twins win last Thursday in Minnesota. Royals' starter Jason Vargas has been a much stronger pitcher at home than on the road. Prior to his poor outing against the Twins last week, Vargas had allowed a total of 3 earned runs over his previous 4 starts against Minnesota. Twins starter Tom Milone is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA over his first two starts of 2015. UNDER is 78-37 (68%) when you have a total of 7 to 8.5 where the home team is starting a pitcher that has walked 1 or fewer in each of his last two outings and a bullpen that hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight games. Roll UNDER 8!

50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY*

Really like the value we are getting here with the total sitting at a hefty 9 runs. Detroit will send out Alfredo Simon, who is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA over his first two starts of 2015, improving to 6-1 with a 1.72 ERA over his last 7 April starts. C.C. Sabathia will be on the mound for New York. While he's allowed 4 earned runs in each of his first two starts, he's pitched much better than that. He's walked just 1 batter over 12 2/3 innings and has 15 strikeouts. Sabathia has a 2.51 ERA over his last 4 starts against the Tigers. Roll UNDER 9!

50* MLB *SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL TOTAL DESTROYER*

Tonight's showdown features Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright against Cincinnati's Mike Leake. This might seem like a pitchers duel on paper, but I'm expecting both offenses to steal the spotlight. Leake has a 5.16 ERA and 1.383 WHIP over 13 career starts against St Louis, while Wainwright has a 4.51 ERA and 1.288 WHIP over 17 career starts versus the Reds. OVER is 73-34 (68%) over the last 5 seasons (5-0 this year) in games where you have a team coming off 4 or more consecutive wins and a winning record on the season. Roll the OVER 7!

40* MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER*

We are getting some great value here with this small total, which is largely due to the fact that the Mets are sending out their ace Matt Harvey. In his last start, Harvey allowed 3 runs on 5 hits and the big key here is that he's failed to pitch past the 6th inning in each of his first two starts. New York's offense is red-hot, scoring 4+ runs in 5 straight games and I look for them to put up another big number here against Tom Koehler and the Marlins. OVER is 73-34 (68%) over the last 5 seasons (5-0 this year) in games where you have a team coming off 4 or more consecutive wins and a winning record on the season. Roll the OVER 6.5!

40* MLB *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

I'm expecting a pitchers duel tonight in Los Angeles. Houston's Dallas Keuchel has been rock solid over his first two starts of 2015, allowing just 2 earned runs over 14 innings of work. He's allowed 2 earned runs or less in 2 of his last 3 starts against the Angels. LA counters with C.J. Wilson, who after a dominant first start against the Mariners, was hit hard at home by the Royals. This is a prime bounce back spot for Wilson against the light-hitting Astros, who are averaging just 1.9 runs/game at home behind a horrible .175 team average and .256 OBP. Roll the UNDER 8!

40* MLB *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

Cincinnati's Johnny Cueto held the Cardinals to just 1 earned run on 4 hits back on April 11, but he's not fared well when taking the mound in St Louis. Cueto has a 5.80 ERA over his last 9 starts away from home against the Cardinals. Michael Wacha will take the mound for St Louis. He was also the opposing starter back when Cueto faced off against the Cardinals earlier this season. While Wacha pitched well in that start, he allowed 8 runs on 12 hits in 8 2/3 innings over his last two starts against the Reds in 2014. Both offenses should benefit from having just seen these two starts, which makes this an easy play for me. Roll the OVER 6.5!

50* MLB *AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

Too much value here on the total sitting at 7.5. Oakland's Sonny Gray is a legit Cy Young candidate and has been lights out in his first two starts of 2015, allowing just 1 run on 7 hits over 15 1/3 innings of work. While Kansas City's Jeremy Guthrie allowed 4 runs in his first start, he was able to go 7 innings and the A's have not been as strong offensively on the road, where they come in with a .290 OBP. Both of Gray's starts against KC last year ended with 4 runs or less, including a 0-1 pitchers duel against Guthrie. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

50* MLB *DIAMOND TOTAL TOP PLAY*

The Brewers offense was struggling as it was and now will likely be without the services of one of their top offensive weapons in Carlos Gomez. The Brewers come in averaging just 2.9 runs/game and are hitting just .229 with a .276 OBP to start the season. I look for John Lackey of the Cardinals to bounce back from a rough first start and keep Milwaukee's offense in check. At the same time, I'm not expecting a lot of runs here from St Louis either, as Michael Fiers has saved his best for the Cardinals. Fiers has a 1.40 ERA and 1.130 WHIP over 4 career starts against the Cardinals. He limited them to just 3 runs over 13 2/3 innings in his 2 starts against them last year. Roll the UNDER 7.5!

40* MLB *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

Edinson Volquez was dominant in his debut with Kansas City, limiting the White Sox to just 1 run on 4 hits over 8 innings. I look for him to have no problem keeping a struggling Minnesota offense in check. While the Twins Kyle Gibson wasn't sharp in his first start of 2015, he's 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 1.086 WHIP over 3 career starts against the Royals. In his two outings vs Kansas City last season, he held them to just 1 runs on 7 hits over 13 1/3 innings of work. Roll the UNDER 8.5!

40* MLB *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

These two teams combined for 12 runs in yesterday's series opener. That combined with the way the overs have been hitting are going to have the public all over the OVER with this one sitting at 6.5. I believe the books are showing their hand with this total and I'll take my chances on the the UNDER in his one. Arizona's Jeremy Hellickson struggled in his first start at home, but should be in line for a bounce back start against a struggling Padres offense in pitcher-friendly Petco Park. I'm also expecting a strong showing here from San Diego starter Odrisamer Despaigne, who can in for relief of an injured Ian Kennedy and tossed 4 2/3 perfect innigns. Despaigne had a 3.36 ERA over 16 starts as a rookie in 2014, including a 2.96 ERA in four starts against Arizona (1.32 ERA in two meetings at home). Roll the UNDER 6.5!

50* MLB *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY*

I'm expecting a low-scoring affair today between the Orioles and Yankees. New York will be sending out Michael Pindeda, who when healthy has pitched like a Cy Young candidate. Orioles will counter with Wei-Yin Chen. While Chen struggled in his first start on the road, he's been extremely reliable at home. UNDER is 33-16 in Chen's last 49 starts with a money line of +125 to -125 and 27-10 in the Orioles last 37 home games against division opponents. Roll the UNDER 8!

40* MLB *OVER/UNDER LOCKDOWN*

With Francisco Liriano not available for personal reasons, the Pirates are forced to call up 24-year-old Casey Sadler to make his first ever big league start. Sadler did make 6 relief appearances last year with Pittsburgh and was torched for 9 runs on 12 hits and 5 walks over just 10 1/3 innings of work. Milwaukee will start Kyle Lohse, who got rocked in his first start, allowing 8 runs on 10 hits in just 3 1/3 innings. All signs point to both teams putting up a big number. Roll the OVER 8.5!

50* MLB *MONEY LINE TOP PLAY*

Two inexperienced starters taking the mound in this one and I look for this game to fly over the total of 8. Both of these teams have a potent offensive attack. Cincinnati will start Risel Iglesias, who is making his big league debut, while the Cardinals counter with Carlos Martinez, who had a 4.03 ERA over 57 appearances in 2014. Roll the OVER 8!

50* MLB *TOTAL TOP PLAY*

This game screams for a bunch of runs, as both teams used up their bullpen in last night's 19-inning marathon. It's going to require both teams to stick with their starters even if they get into trouble early and there's a good chance both starters could struggle. New York will send out Adam Warren, who has primarily been used out of the bullpen (3 career starts) and Boston counters with Joe Kelly, who has been bothered by a biceps injury. Roll the OVER!

50* MLB *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

Atlanta scored 7 runs in the 1st and 4 in the 9th in yesterday's 12-2 win over the Marlins. While it was a nice showing offensively for the Braves, this is not a good offensive team and I look for the finale to resemble more of the opening game in the series that saw a combined 3 runs scored. Miami's offense is ice-cold to start the year and I think people are underestimating Shelby Miller. UNDER is 10-1 over the last two seasons in Marlins home games when they are revenging 2 straight home losses to an opponent. Roll the UNDER 7!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL CRUSHER*

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, I'm not expecting either team to look to push the pace and neither plays at a very fast tempo anyway. The key thing here is that this game means a lot to Memphis, who is currently tied for 2nd in the west with Houston. Washington on the other hand seems content with the No. 5 seed as they have already started rest players. Grizzlies should dictate the tempo and whenever that's the case the under is a wise investment. Roll UNDER 188!

50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The Spurs have won all 3 of the previous meetings this season, which sets up a very profitable system on the total in this matchup. UNDER is 31-9 with a total of 200 to 209.5 when you have a team playing with triple-revenge against an opponent off a road win by 10+ points. Adding to this is the fact that the UNDER is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 off a road win by 10+ and 0-4 in the Nuggets last 4 road games when listed as a dog of 12.5 or more points. Roll the UNDER 208.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL SMASH*

This is too many points for how important a game this is to these two teams, plus you have the Clippers coming off a huge game last night at home against Golden State. Teams coming off a home loss against the Warriors and are playing as a road dog on no rest have seen the UNDER cash 6 out 7 times this season. Adding to this is the fact that the UNDER is 16-6 in Blazers last 22 home games with a total set at 210 or more points and 15-6 in their last 21 home games against teams who give up 99+ points/game. Roll the UNDER 210.5!

50-STAR NBA *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

The Trail Blazers recently lost starting shooting guard Wesley Matthews for the rest of the season and are also expected to be without the services of starting power forward LaMarcus Aldridge, starting small forward Nicolas Batum and backup center Chris Kaman. That leaves Portland with a thin bench, which I believe is going to have them looking to slow down the pace of this game against the Warriors. Golden State has continued to play extremely well without Klay Thompson, but could struggle to come out motivated here against a depleted Portland roster in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 4th in the last 5 days overall. UNDER is 12-4 in Portland's last 16 home games against teams averaging 103+ ppg and 15-3 in their last 18 home games with a total set at 200 or more points. Roll the UNDER 205!

40-STAR NBA *OVER/UNDER TOTAL SMASH*

Both teams will be missing key parts of their offense and I look for that to translate into a low-scoring game that finishes well below the mark set here. The Celtics will be without Jared Sullinger, Isaiah Thomas, and Marcus Smart, while the Pistons will be missing big man Greg Monroe. On top of this Detroit is only averaging 95.8 ppg over their last 5 and Boston has scored fewer than 100 in 4 of their last 6. UNDER is 10-1 in Pistons last 11 road games after covering 2 of their last 3 and 13-3 in the Celtics last 16 after covering 3 of their last 4. Roll the UNDER 196.5!

40-STAR NIT *OVER/UNDER ANNIHILATOR*

Both of these teams are feeling the heartbreak of missing out on the NCAA Tournament and I believe the disappointment is going to carry over to the defensive side of the ball in this opening round NIT matchup. Montana comes in averaging 71.3 ppg, while the Aggies are scoring 70.7 ppg at home. OVER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Roll the OVER 134!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL CRUSHER*

Both of these teams are struggling offensively right now, as each comes in averaging just 91.8 ppg over their last 4. I'm expecting that trend to continue and for this one to finish well below the mark tonight. These two teams combined for just 183 points in their previous meeting this season. UNDER is 21-5-1 in Memphis's last 27 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 off a SU win by more than 10 points and 7-2 in their last 9 vs the Eastern Conference. UNDER is 10-3 in Detroit's last 13 overall, 9-3 in their last 12 following a loss and 5-1 in their last 6 vs the Southwest. Roll the UNDER 185!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL CRUSHER*

This is too high a total for this matchup. The Knicks are clearly outmatched here, which is evident by the massive spread. Blowouts tend to lead to lower scoring games and I expect that to be the case here. Knicks play at a painfully slow pace and I don't expect Golden State to be looking to up the tempo in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, especially after just playing on the road in the high altitude of Denver. UNDER is 39-10 (80%) since 1996 in games where you have a total set at 200 to 209.5 with a home team that is averaging 102+ ppg against an opponent that is only scoring 92-98 ppg, after 42+ games and after a loss by 10+ points. Roll the UNDER 202.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

This is too many points for this matchup. The Knicks offer little to no threat offensively and are coming in off a game at home against the Kings where they scored just 86 points on 36.6% shooting. The Pacers are only allowing 95.2 ppg at home and just held a similarly bad team in the 76ers to just 74 points in their last contest. New York isn't a great defensive team, but the Pacers aren't a great offensive team and I look for a strong effort here from the Knicks off that ugly 38-point home loss to the Kings. UNDER is 21-9 in New York's last 30 off 3 or more consecutive games that finished over the total and 7-0 in the Pacers last 7 home games after winning 3 of their last 4. Roll the UNDER 189!

40-STAR NCAAB *OVER/UNDER TOTAL SMASH*

I believe the books have set the mark too low for this matchup. In the last 13 meetings between these two teams, the OVER has cashed 11 times. Notre Dame comes into this game averaging 79.1 ppg and Louisville is scoring 70.2 ppg. The Fighting Irish have score 85+ in two of their last 3 games and the Cardinals are coming off an 81-point effort at Florida State. While Louisville has held each of their last 3 opponents under 60 points, the OVER is 11-2 in their last 13 after allowing 60 points or less in 3 straight games. OVER is also 10-1 in Notre Dame's last 11 against a team with a winning SU record and 10-1 in the Cardinals last 11 against a team with a winning SU record. Roll the OVER 136!

40-STAR NCAAB *TOTAL SMASH*

The books missed the mark on this one. Indiana comes in averaging an impressive 82.9 ppg at home and Iowa is averaging 76.0 ppg during their current 4-game winning streak. Last time these two teams played, they combined for 179 points and while I don't expect to see that kind of scoring, I do think they eclipse 150 points without much problem. OVER is 11-1 in Iowa's last 12 games after playing 5 straight as a favorite and 8-0 in their last 8 road games after playing a road game where both teams scored 75+ points. Over is also 11-4 in their Hoosiers last 15 home games and 6-0 in their last 6 after playing 2 straight as a favorite. Roll the OVER 144.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL KNOCKOUT*

The books have set the mark too high in this one. The Pacers are one of the league's best defensive teams, especially when playing at home. That's not a good sign for the 76ers, who are one of the worst offensive teams. Philadelphia has eclipsed 98 points just once in their last 8 games and come in having scored less than 90 in each of their last two. UNDER is 31-19 in the Pacers last 50 games off a home win and 13-4 in the 76ers last 17 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more points. Roll the UNDER 189.5!

50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The books have set the mark too high in this one. These two teams combined for just 178 points at New York in their most recent meeting on Jan. 2 and I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar low-scoring game here. The Knicks have scored 97 points or less in each of their last 10 games and are averaging just 89.3 ppg during this stretch. UNDER is 16-5 in the Knicks last 21 against a team with a losing record and 11-2 in the Pistons last 13 after allowing 100+ in their last game. Roll the UNDER 194!

50-STAR BIG 10 *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

These two teams met just a couple of weeks ago (Feb. 12) at Rutgers and combined for just 112 points with a total of 124.5. The books have simply not adjusted enough here. The fact that these two teams recently played only adds more value to the under, as they will be more familiar with what the other team is looking to do offensively. UNDER is 8-2 in Purdue's 10 home games with a total listed and a perfect 6-0 in Rutgers last 6 road games after scoring 65 points or less in 2 straight games. UNDER is also 35-10 (78%) since 1997 in games where you have a total of 129.5 or less with the home team off an upset conference win against an opponent off a conference loss of 20 or more points. Roll the UNDER 123.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

The Bulls will have to rely even more on their defense right now with the unfortunate news that Derrick Rose will have to undergo another knee surgery. On top of that, their offense figures to struggle without Rose on the floor to bail them out of possessions. Chicago just played at home against the Bucks in a game that saw a combined 158 points and I'm expecting a similar type of game against a Hornets team that scored 81 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 and rely heavily on their defense to win games. UNDER is 11-2 in the Bulls last 13 off 2 or more consecutive home wins and 9-1 in their last 10 home games off a contest with a combined score of 175 or less. UNDER is also 12-2 in the Hornets last 14 road games in the month of February. Roll the UNDER 188.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL ANNIHILATOR*

We are seeing an inflated total here due the Timberwolves having scored and allowed 100+ points in 4 of their last 5, but the thing you have to keep in mind is that those 4 games came against some of the top scoring teams in the league. The addition of Garnett has brought a new attitude to the Timberwolves and I look for that to carry over to a renewed intensity defensively. The Wizards have been a funk offensively. John Wall isn't shooting well at all and they are without Bradley Beal. The Wizards have scored 96 or less in 4 of their last 5 and will be looking to slow down the pace in this one with it being their 4th game in 6 days. UNDER is 12-3 in the Wizards last 15 after a combine scored of 205 or more and 10-2 in the Timberwolves last 12 after a road games where both teams scored 100+ points. Roll the UNDER 203!

40-STAR NCAAB *OVER/UNDER TOTAL SMASH*

The books have set the mark on the total too low, as my numbers have this one finishing closer to 135-140 points. Richmond is averaging 68.1 ppg at home, while VCU is scoring 70.1 ppg on the road. The average combined score in the Spiders last 5 games is 131.2 and 142.0 in the Rams last 5. We are simply seeing value here due to Richmond coming off a low-scoring game against George Washington (56-48). The OVER is a perfect 6-0 in the Spiders last 6 games after a contest where both teams scored 65 or fewer points. Roll the OVER 128!

50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

I'm expecting a defensive showdown in Detroit today between the Wizards and Pistons. UNDER is 12-2 in Washington's last 14 games in the 2nd half against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and 12-3 in the Wizards last 15 games after a combined score of 205 or more points in their last contest. Roll the UNDER 195.5!

40-STAR NBA OVER/UNDER *TOTAL ANNIHILATOR*

The books have set the total too high for this huge Western Conference showdown. Both of these teams are looking to come out strong after the All-Star break and we can expect max defensive effort here with both teams well rested. On the flip side of this, I look for both offenses to come out flat after the long break, which should have this one finishing well below the mark. UNDER is 16-6 in Thunder's last 22 home games when listed as a favorite of 6-points or less and 17-5 in the Mav's last 22 road games against good rebounding teams (3+ rebounds/game). Roll the UNDER 212!

50-STAR NBA OVER/UNDER *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

I think we are getting an inflated total here due to both of these teams coming off high-scoring games against the league's best offensive team in Golden State. These two teams have finished UNDER the total in each of their last 5 meetings, plus UNDER is 23-11 in Kings last 34 at home when playing with double-revenge and 16-5 in the Mavs last 21 road games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 3+ boards per game. Roll the UNDER 209!

10* Timberwolves/Mavericks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206

The Mavericks offense has struggled to find their rhythm since acquiring Rondo in a trade, but he's not expected to play tonight. Minnesota plays no defense and I look for Dallas to put up a big number offensively. The key here is that the Timberwolves should be able to keep it close enough to push this over the mark. OVER is 21-9-1 in the Timberwolves last 31 games when their opponent comes in having scored 100 or more in their last game and 7-3 in the Mavs last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Roll the OVER 206!

10* Seahawks/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 47.5

I think this game could go either way and there's really no value betting the spread, which is why I turned my full attention to the total. I think there is a ton of value on the UNDER, as we have two of the best defenses in the league that are going to make life miserable for the opposing offenses. The Seahawks strength offensively is without question their running game, while the strength of the Patriots stop unit is their defense. Seattle's league-best pass defense, also matches up extremely well with New England's 9th ranked passing attack. I'm expecting a lot of empty possessions with both teams having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns when they do make it into the redzone. Roll the UNDER 47.5!

10* Heat/Celtics NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 187

Value here is with the total. UNDER is 28-7 (80%) since 1996 in games where you have a total set between 180 to 189.5 points that features an average offensive team (92-98 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after scoring 85 or less. UNDER is also 14-4 in Miami's last 18 road games when listed as the underdog and 10-1 in the Celtics last 11 off back-to-back losses. Roll the UNDER 187!

10* Clippers/Spurs NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 202.5

Value here is on the total. UNDER is 39-14 (74%) in all games with a total of 200 to 209.5 where you have a team that's won 60% to 75% of their games that are playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Roll the UNDER 202.5!

10* Warriors/Jazz NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 205

I'm expecting a shootout tonight in Utah between the Warriors and Jazz. OVER is 11-2 in the Warriors last 13 road games after a game with 30 or more assists, 4-0 in their last 4 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 4-1 in their last 5 games played on Friday. These two teams combined for 221 points at Utah back on Jan. 13. Roll the OVER 205!

10* Bulls/Warriors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 212

Great system backing a play on this one finishing below the mark. UNDER is 104-55 (65%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 or more points where you have a top level team (75% or better) that has covered 3 of their last 4 against a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER 212!

10* Nuggets/Clippers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 215.5

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, I look for this one to finish well below the mark of 215.5. Neither team is going to be playing at their normal pace and the Nuggets have not been good offensively in their last 2 road games against quality teams, scoring just 79 at Golden State and 89 at Dallas. Clippers are only giving up 98.3 ppg at home. UNDER is 12-3 in Los Angeles' last 15 home games after a combined score of 205 points and 5-1-1 in Nuggets' last 7 road games against teams that have won more than 60% of their home games. Take the Under!

10* 76ers/Pelicans NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 188

The Pelicans aren't going to be overlooking the 76ers in this one, as they got embarrassed at Philadelphia 81-96 back on Jan. 16. With New Orleans focused, I look for this one to finish well below the mark. 76ers have gone OVER the total just once in their last 12 games and have failed to surpass 90 points in 5 of their last 7. UNDER is 15-4 in Philadelphia's last 19 off a loss by 15+, 9-0 after allowing 60 or more in the first half and 16-7 this season when listed as a road underdog. Take the Under!

10* Celtics/Warriors NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 214

Great long-term system in play. OVER is 117-65 (64%) since 1996 in games where you have a team off two road wins by 5 points or less. OVER is also 13-2 in Celtics last 15 after 3 or more consecutive unders and 8-0 in the Warriors last 8 after covering at least 8 of their last 10 games. Take the over!

10* Pacers/Magic NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 208.5

Each of the last 20 meetings in this series have finished with a combined score of less than the total posted here. Also a strong system in play. UNDER is 41-16 (72%) when you have a team off 4 or more straight loss against an opponent off 5 or more straight losses. Take the under!

10* Magic/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 206

This is way too many points for these two teams. The Knicks play at a snails pace and the Magic aren't exactly flying up and down the floor. These two teams only combined for 192 points in New York in their previous meeting this season. UNDER is 8-3 in the Knicks last 11 overall and 13-5 in the Magics last 18 road games against bad teams that have won less than 40% of their home games. Take the UNDER!

10* Spurs/Nuggets NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 203.5

UNDER is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 road games when they come having covered the spread in 3 or more straight games, 14-5 in Denver's last 19 games against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game, 5-1 in San Antonio's last 6 road games and 13-3-1 in Nuggets last 17 after allowing 100+ in their last game. UNDER is also 49-24 (67%) over the last 5 seasons in games where you have a team that allowed 80 or less (Spurs) against an opponent that has allowed 105 or more in each of their last 2. Take the UNDER!

10* Thunder/Heat NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 199

UNDER is 13-3 in the Thunder's last 16 road games when listed as a favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, 23-12 in the Heat's last 35 when listed as an underdog and 13-3 in Miami's last 16 non-conference games. UNDER is also 74-39 (66%) over the last 5 seasons in games where you have a team off a win by 10 or more points (Heat) against an opponent off a combined score of 215 or more in each of their last two games. Take the UNDER!

10* Hawks/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 200.5

UNDER is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Chicago and there's also a strong system back this one to finish below the mark. UNDER is 28-7 (80%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 to 209.5, where you have a team that has beat the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. 

10* Hawks/Celtics NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 205

Not expecting a lot of defense in this one and got a strong system supporting this one to go over the mark. OVER is 51-29 (64%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 or more points where you have a road team that is an average defensive team (92-98 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points.

10* Pacers/76ers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 188.5

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and the Pacers off an overtime game against the Celtics, I'm not expecting a lot of defense to be played in this one. 76ers don't play any defense as it is and Indiana has allowed 100+ in 3 straight. OVER is 16-5 in Pacers 21 road games this season and 9-1 in their last 10 games when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Take the over!

10* Hornets/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 199.5

Charlotte is only average 93.6 ppg on the road this season and the Raptors are giving up just 95.4 ppg at home. I'm fully expecting the Raptors to win here in a blowout, which should have this one finishing well below the mark of 199.5. Keep in mind in last year's 3 meetings the highest total was 190, so clearly we are getting some value here. UNDER is 21-10 in Charlotte's last 31 after covering 2 or more consecutive games and 19-7 in Raptors last 26 home games after allowing 110+ points in 2 straight games.

10* Knicks/Grizzlies NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 191

These two teams both play at a painfully slow pace. New York ranks 29th at 92.4 and Memphis is 27th at 93.9. The Knicks have scored 82 or fewer points in each of their last 4 games and Memphis is coming off an 85-point performance against the Nuggets. This game has blowout written all over it, but I think the real value here is with the UNDER 191.

10* Nuggets/Timberwolves NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 209

Minnesota has allowed 100 or more points in each of their last 11 games and I look for that streak to continue, as the Nuggets come in averaging 101.9 ppg on the season. The important thing here is Denver doesn't play any defense, especially on the road, where they are giving up 106.9 ppg. The average score in this series over the last 3 years is 215 points.

10* Bucks/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 191.5

The Knicks play at a painfully slow pace offensively and its a big reason why the UNDER is 11-5 in their 16 home games this season. With all the injuries that New York is dealing with right now, I look for this to be an ugly low-scoring game today against the Bucks. UNDER is 10-2 in Knicks last 12 home games against teams who allow 99+ points/game.

10* Cardinals/Panthers NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 38

10* Clemson/Oklahoma CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 49

10* Broncos/Bengals NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 47

10* Titans/Jaguars NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 38.5

10* Suns/Hornets NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 200.5

10* Mavericks/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 203

10* Hornets/Cavaliers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 199.5

10* Chargers/Broncos NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 50.5

10* Pistons/Kings NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 196.5

10* Clippers/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 209

10* Warriors/Mavericks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 215

10* Pistons/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 204

10* Pacers/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 198.5

10* Trail Blazers/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 200

10* Cavaliers/Thunder NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 204.5

10* Nets/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 195

10* Clippers/Pacers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 200

10* Kansas/Georgetown CBB Top Play

BET: UNDER 135.5

10* Kings/Lakers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206

10* Raptors/Cavaliers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 206.5

10* Jazz/Kings NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 197.5

10* Falcons/Packers NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 54.5

10* Giants/Titans NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 46.5

10* Suns/Rockets NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 208

10* Arizona/Oregon CFB Top Play

BET: UNDER 74

10* Cavaliers/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 208

10* Pelicans/Warriors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 206

10* Cowboys/Bears NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 51

10* Mavericks/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 207

10* Bulls/Hornets NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 192.5

10* Thunder/Pelicans NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 196

10* Nuggets/Jazz NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 208

10* Magic/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206.5

10* Giants/Jaguars NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 44.5

10* Texas Tech/Baylor CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 79

10* Purdue/Indiana CFB Top Play

BET: OVER 57.5

10* Pelicans/Hawks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 204.5

10* Seahawks/49ers NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 39.5

10* Raptors/Hawks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 204.5

10* Pistons/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 192.5

10* Ravens/Saints NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 50.5

10* Jets/Bills NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 42

10* Bengals/Texans NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 43.5