Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-12-21 | South Dakota State v. Alabama -11.5 | 88-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Alabama basketball started its season on a strong note, blowing out Louisiana Tech 93-64 Tuesday night inside Coleman Coliseum. Meanwhile, South Dakota State opened its season by beating Bradley 81-65 on Tuesday. Last season, SDSU recorded its seventh regular-season Summit League title in the last nine years. The Jacks return all five starters and 10 letter winners from a season ago, including 99.3% of their minutes and 99.7% of their points. Despite of this they go against a Alabama group despite of a core of new players are as talented as anyone in the league thanks to top tier recruiting and transfers. The Crimson Tide are fully invested in the analytics-driven theory that three-point shooting will be the difference maker for their championship objectives, and that according to my projections gives them an edge as the game progresses. Crimson Tide are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. ALABAMA is 10-2 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.4 ppg. CBB Road underdogs of +375 or higher vs. the money line (S DAKOTA ST) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 85 points or more are 9-177 SU L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.5 ppg. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ALABAMA) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points are 215-138 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-11-21 | Northern Arizona +15.5 v. Washington | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Huskies were voted 11th in the Pac-12 Preseason Poll after a 5-21 season including a 4-16 mark in conference play and Im betting things dont get much better this season. Even here vs a lower tier opponents laying this many points is not a recipe for success for their betting backers. N ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.Lumberjacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Lumberjacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record as well as going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.Lumberjacks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss which was the case in their opener.Lumberjacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 6-23 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.Huskies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Play on Northern Arizona to cover |
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11-10-21 | Robert Morris +16.5 v. UCF | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
UCF is a talented big team, but Robert Morris might surprise them here a bit tonight, behind HC Toole , and knows how to slow a game down in the half court. UCF Im sure will oblige and carry on at a snails pace like they usually do. Advantage getting points is the call CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Robert Morris to cover |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Last night we saw ,MAC hoops programs perform admirably against their Big Ten advisories. The Akron Zips looked very strong against Ohio State and Eastern Michigan over powered Indiana down the stretch in the 2nd half. Now a Bulls team with 5 returning starters and plenty of experience, also looks like a side that could give a revamped Michigan side that lost alot of their scoring from last season some problems.This is a Buffalo program that ranked in the top-25 Division I teams in defensive effective FG%, as well as defensive 3P% and offensive rebounding conversion rate and that defensive prowess Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-09-21 | UMKC +8.5 v. Minnesota | 56-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Top scorer Brandon McKissic moved on but now but UKMC return two of their four double-digit scorers and have a tenacious group of rebounders to compliment them. Meanwile, Minnesota finished last season losing 8 of their L/9 games and now have a boatload full of transfers in the lineup which Im betting will see them take time to jell. Thats not conducive to covering tonights spread according to my projections. |
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11-09-21 | Jacksonville State +8.5 v. Wichita State | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State returns 96% of its scoring from an 18-win team and has a talented group that includes high-major transfers,. With that said Jacksonville State poses a formidable opposition for the higher brand name Wichita State Shockers. Key problem with the Shockers could be their rebounding that saw them finish 20 worst defensive rebounding teams in Division I. They will obviously try to address this but against this type of opponent the correction process could be paused right out of the gate. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Plus this interesting anomaly that shows them cashing 16 of their L/19 Tuesday night tilts. Harper is 39-21 ATS as an underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST. Jacksonville State to cover |
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11-09-21 | Miami-OH +10 v. Georgia Tech | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-21 | Appalachian State v. Iona -6 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Gaels posted a strong MAAC Tournament showing ripping though all their opponents to get the big dance, and once again look like a cohesive unit and hoops program on the rise. App State is a solid group but Im betting their over matched. Pitino is 21-7 ATS L/28 in home games in November games in all games he has coached.Play on Iona to cover |
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11-09-21 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Villanova UNDER 132.5 | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mount Saint Marys is a big team, and they wont be easily pushed around by Villanova.Malik Jefferson ,Mezie Offurum, Nana Opoku are all 6-foot-8 or taller and will have not problems bumping heads here in what will be a physical approach to this game to slow down their top tier opponent. the Mount ranked first in defensive efficiency in their conference last season and ranked 10th in all of College Hoops in field goal percentage, allowing a 45% conversion rate . The Mount also ranked ninth nationally in field goal percentage at the rim and must not be underestimated int heir ability to coheres Villanova into a muted offensive output . With the mount losing top offensive player Chong Qui they in turn will have problems with offensive flow. I know Villanova can light it up, especially from three point land , but they did run at slower pace than expected when adjusted to tempo ranking 334th in the nation. Im expecting a grinding affair, here today and a score that remains on the low side of the total. MOUNT ST MARYS is 22-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-05-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 82 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-03-21 | Houston +5 v. Baylor | 59-78 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-30-21 | UCLA +7 v. Michigan | 51-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-30-21 | USC +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-85 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-30-21 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 153 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |