Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-11-18 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 211 | Top | 98-122 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@NO to go Under the total. |
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04-09-18 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 200 | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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03-30-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@OKC to go Under the total.
The NBA Playoffs are just a few weeks away, and as teams jockey for playoff position, we see a lot more intensity on defense. I bet on the under in the Thunder's 108-105 loss to Portland, and here is what I had to say before the game: "Both the Blazers and the Thunder rank among the top defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th and 7th in opponent’s scoring average. The Thunder are just one game back of Portland in the Northwest, and there is just two games separating 3rd place Portland and 6th place New Orleans in the Western Conference standings. The Blazers have won all three of their games against the Thunder this season, and two of those three games fell short of the total. The total for tonight’s game is higher than it was in any of those previous three contests." The Thunder host the Denver Nuggets tonight, and these two teams have gone under in two of three previous meetings this season. Once again, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous three games. I'll place a value bet here on what appears to be an inflated total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-18 | Heat v. Pacers UNDER 207 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@IND to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech v. Villanova OVER 144.5 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@IND to go UNDER the total.
I bet the under in the Pacers loss at New Orleans on Wednesday, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers and the Pelicans are two teams that jockeying for playoff position, and they have a history of playing low scoring games. Eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of the listed total. Both teams have stepped up their intensity on defense in recent weeks, and the result has been lower scores across the board. That being said, tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. It's also higher than it was in any of Indiana's last 10 games overall, and nine of those games went under." Tonight's game against the Clippers is quite similar, and I expect another hard battle. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings, and the under is 6-0 in Pacers last six home games. The under has cashed in four of the Clippers last five visits to Indiana. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-18 | Pacers v. Pelicans UNDER 219.5 | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on IND@NO to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-19-18 | Stanford v. Oklahoma State UNDER 153.5 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STAN@OKST to go UNDER the total.
It's difficult to say what kind of effect the new rules in the NIT will have on scoring. So far I can't see a lot of evidence that scoring is down across the board, but it certainly does appear that visiting teams are struggling from beyond the arc. According to SB Nation, in the first nine games of the tournament, eight of nine road teams shot below their season average from three-point range. One of those games was Oklahoma State hosting Florida Gulf Coast, and the Cowboys held the Eagles to just 68 points. Both teams struggled from three-point range in that game, with Oklahoma State shooting just 6-of-22 and FGCU hitting 10-of-27. The total for tonight's game in Stillwater is far higher than it has been in previous meetings between these two teams. The Cowboys have gone under in an incredible 11 straight non conference games, while the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight non-conference games. Oklahoma State has also failed to reach the total in 16 of their last 21 in Stillwater. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Nevada v. Cincinnati UNDER 136.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NEV@CIN to go UNDER the total.
The Wolfpack scored just 68 points in regulation in their first round matchup versus Texas, while Cincinnati gave up just 53 points in their first round win over Georgia State. I am expecting a gritty game here when they meet in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. . I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." That trend has held true here in the NCAA Tournament so far, and the Bearcats have failed to reach the total of five of their last six overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse v. Michigan State UNDER 129.5 | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@MSU to go Under, I bet on Syracuse in their First Four matchup versus Arizona State, and I took the under in their first round matchup versus TCU. Here is what I said before they beat the Sun Devils: "Both teams won a total of 20 games, and both teams were 4-6 away from home. Both teams have lost five of their last eight overall. The biggest difference I can see here between these two teams, is the strength of schedule in the ACC compared to the PAC12. Syracuse has faced Top 25 teams eight times this season, while Arizona State has only faced four ranked teams. The Orange were eliminated in the second round of the ACC Tournament by defending national champs North Carolina, while Arizona State was beaten in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament by unranked Colorado. The last time the Orange slipped into the Big Dance as a bubble team, they went all the way to the Final Four before being eliminated by the Tar Heels." The Orange will be a massive underdog here in their second round matchup versus Michigan State, and I think the venue here is particularly significant. I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." That trend has held true here in the NCAA Tournament, and Michigan State comes in as winners of five of their last six overall, but only one of those wins came by more than eight points. Jesse Schule |
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03-18-18 | Butler v. Purdue UNDER 143.5 | 73-76 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Tennessee UNDER 131 | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-16-18 | Syracuse v. TCU UNDER 136.5 | Top | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SYR@TCU to go UNDER the total. The Orange allowed just 56 points in their First Four matchup versus Arizona State in Dayton Ohio I bet on the under in that game, and one of the reasons I gave in my analysis was the history of low scoring games at the particular venue. Here is what I said prior to the game against Arizona State: I am expecting Arizona to struggle against this elite Orange defense, and the venue may contribute to that. "Four teams played in Dayton Ohio in First Four games last night, and three of those four teams shot well below 40 percent from the field. The only exception being UCLA, and they only scored 58 points." I am not sure we should expect any more scoring here against a far better defensive team in TCU. I had a look at the venue, and it turns out I was riding the under here in the Horizon League Tournament. Here is what I had to say prior to the Horizona League Final: "Four teams played in the Horizon League Tournament Semi Finals at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit last night, and not one of those teams scored 60 total points. In fact two of those teams (Cleveland State and Oakland) failed to score as many as 45 points." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse UNDER 143.5 | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on SYR@ARZST to go UNDER the total. Can you remember when Arizona State was ranked in the Top 5? They were ranked #3 overall in the AP rankings after winning their first 12 games of the season. They have since lost 11 of 19 games, and they should consider themselves quite fortunate to have made it into the tournament. They will be a small favorite in their first round matchup against Syracuse, and there is actually quite a lot of similarities between the two teams. Both teams won a total of 20 games, and both teams were 4-6 away from home. Both teams have lost five of their last eight overall. The biggest difference I can see here between these two teams, is the strength of schedule in the ACC compared to the PAC12. Syracuse has faced Top 25 teams eight times this season, while Arizona State has only faced four ranked teams. The Orange were eliminated in the second round of the ACC Tournament by defending national champs North Carolina, while Arizona State was beaten in the first round of the PAC12 Tournament by unranked Colorado. The last time the Orange slipped into the Big Dance as a bubble team, they went all the way to the Final Four before being eliminated by the Tar Heels. I am expecting Arizona to struggle against this elite Orange defense, and the venue may contribute to that. Four teams played in Dayton Ohio in First Four games last night, and three of those four teams show well below 40 percent from the field. The only exception being UCLA, and they only scored 58 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure v. UCLA OVER 153 | 65-58 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCLA/SBON Over. |
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03-13-18 | Magic v. Spurs UNDER 205 | 72-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-09-18 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 108-125 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go UNDER the total. |
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03-07-18 | Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 152.5 | 82-74 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
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03-06-18 | BYU v. Gonzaga OVER 143 | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU@GONZ to go OVER the total. |
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03-06-18 | Cleveland State v. Wright State UNDER 133 | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
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03-01-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State UNDER 139 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VALPO@MOSU to go UNDER the total.
The Missouri State Bears have beaten Valparaiso twice already this season, and both those games fell well short of the total. These teams meet in the Conference Tournament tonight at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis. The venue might actually be fairly significant, as after doing a little research on previous games at the Scottrade Center, it would appear that unders have been the trend. Back in 2016 there were several NCAA Tournament games played in this building, and the majority of those games fell well short of 140 total points. Both these teams have averaged below 70 points per game this season, and neither team has allowed opponents to average as many as 70 points per game. In fact in neutral site games, both these teams have allowed less than 64 points per game. The Bears have gone under in five of their last six at a neutral site, while the Crusaders have failed to reach the total in 18 of their last 26 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-18 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Baylor UNDER 157 | Top | 64-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State OVER 152 | 80-71 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKST@ISU to go Over the total. The Cyclones has lost eight of their last 10 overall, but both of those wins were at home. Both those games were high scoring, beating Oklahoma 88-80, and winning by a score of 93-77 over West Virginia. Iowa State has gone over the total in seven of their last eight overall, while the Cowboys have gone over the total in four of their last five. Oklahoma State has gone over in nine of it's last 14 road games, while the Cyclones in 21 of their last 26 versus the BIG12. Neither of these teams have been impressive defensively, and I expect to see a shootout here in tonight's game. Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to average more than 80 points per game on the road, while the Cyclones have given up an average of 83 points per game over their last five. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 212 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@UTAH to go OVER the total. |
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02-26-18 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 141 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEX@KU to go OVER the total. |
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02-23-18 | Manhattan v. Iona OVER 143.5 | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MAN@IONA to go OVER the total. The Manhattan Jaspers have been playing their best basketball of late, winning three of their last five overall. The two losses during that span came by a combined five points, and they scored 70 point or more in each of their last four games. They have a tough assignment tonight, playing on the road at Iona. The Gaels are 7-3 at home, and they've scored almost 80 points per game on their home floor. The over is 7-1-1 in Iona's last nine overall, and the Jaspers have gone over in four straight. The Gaels have lost back to back games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a loss. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-18 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin UNDER 140 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@WIS to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers have had a terrible season, partly due to injuries. They have still played spectacular defense, especially at home. Wisconsin allows just 65.6 points per game at home, and they are coming off a 57-53 home win over Purdue. They host the Minnesota Golden Gophers tonight, and Minnesota has really struggled of late. The Gophers have lost eight straight, and they failed to score 70 points in five of those games. They lost their last game at Wisconsin by a score of 66-49, and I expect a similar low scoring game here tonight. The total for tonight's game is far higher that it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between these two teams. Even though the Badgers have played a little better lately, they still have averaged just 64.4 points per game in their last five overall. The under is 5-2 in the Badgers last seven home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-18 | Duquesne v. St. Joe's UNDER 142.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DUQ@JOES to go UNDER the total. Here is what I said prior to a recent home game for St. Joes: "The Red Hawks have gone over in their last two games, but had gone under in six straight prior to that. St. Joe's is averaging just 64.4 points over it's last five games, and the Minutemen have averaged just 66.9 points per game on the road. Five of the last six meetings between the two teams have gone under the total, and the under 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. Both teams have injury concerns, and I feel that the chances are that a pair of bottom feeders that are shorthanded are going to struggle to combine to score enough points to push this number as high as listed total." While that game ended up going over, I expect tonight's game to be a lower scoring affair. Four of the last five meetings between the two teams have gone under. The Red Hawks allow less than 70 points per game at home, while the Dukes allow less than 70 points on the road. Duquesne is only averaging 68 points per game over it's last five overall, while St. Joe's is averaging just over 70 points per game during that span.
Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-18 | NC State v. Syracuse UNDER 141 | 74-70 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@SYR to go UNDER the total.
The Syracuse Orange are a significant favorite at home versus NC State tonight, and the Orange are one of the top defensive teams in the country. They don't score a lot of points, averaging under 70 points per game on the season. They've only allowed 58.8 points per game at home, and that's probably why the total has been lower than 140 in all of their last 10 games. Tonight's total appears to be a little inflated, especially when you consider that the Wolfpack have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 road games. The Orange have gone under in six of their last eight at home in the dome. Tonight's total is higher than it was in four of the last five head to head meetings between the two teams, and higher than it was in each of the last three meetings in Syracuse. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-18 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 208.5 | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Grizzlies last game was a 110-92 loss at Oklahoma City, and I had the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings." Take UNDER.GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-18 | Maryland v. Nebraska UNDER 143 | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD@NEB to go Under the total.
Both Maryland and Nebraska have been competitive in the BIG10 this year, but Nebraska is only three games out of first place. The Huskers are 13-1 at home, while Maryland is 1-7 on the road. This game is a big game for both teams, and we shouldn't expect to see any easy buckets. Both teams are holding the opposition to fewer than 70 points per game this season, and Nebraska has allowed just 67.5 points per game at home. Nebraska comes in as winners of five straight, but the quality of those wins is a little suspect. While their last five games were against the bottom five teams in the conference, they do have a few impressive results on their resume. Those include a home win over Michigan, a road win at Wisconsin, and a three point loss at first place Ohio State. Nebraska is 8-1 ATS in it's last nine home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-18 | Grizzlies v. Thunder UNDER 207 | Top | 92-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@OKC to go UNDER the total.
The Thunder might be shorthanded tonight, as Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony are both battling injuries. Neither played in a loss at LA on Thursday, and the Thunder scored just 88 points in that game. They face a Grizzlies come in as one of the lowest scoring teams in the league (29th), averaging just 99 points per game. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 5th in opponent's scoring average. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four straight, while the under is is 19-6-1 in Grizzlies last 26 games playing on three or more days rest. The Grizzlies have really been struggling lately, failing to score 90 points in each of their last three games. Given the history, as well as the injuries, it seems odd that the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-18 | Illinois State v. Valparaiso UNDER 141.5 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ILST@VALPO to go UNDER the total.
I had the under in Valparaiso's last home game, a 69-63 win over Indiana State. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Valparaiso Crusaders have been having a rough first season in the Missouri Valley Conference. They come into tonight's home game versus Indiana State as losers of five straight. They have failed to reach the total in four of their last six overall, and even the two games that went over didn't see as many points as tonight's total. In fact, tonight's number is as high as it has been in any of Valparaiso's last 10 games. The Crusaders have only scored an average of 66.8 points per game at home, and have averaged less than that over their last five overall. This team is nowhere near as talented as the team that finished first in the Horizon League last year, but they are still pretty solid defensively, especially at home. They have failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 18 overall, and the under is 10-4 in their last 14 when coming off a loss. The Sycamores won at home by a score of 73-64 when these teams met back in December, and I see no reason why tonight's total is five points higher than it was in that game. This number appears to be a little inflated." Illinois State comes into tonight's game missing two of it's top three scorers, and that's going to make it tough here against a strong defensive team. I like Valpo to win a low scoring game here at home. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-18 | Massachusetts v. St. Joe's UNDER 143 | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MASS@JOES to go UNDER the total.
The Minutemen have gone over the total in four straight games, but the listed total for today's game at St. Joe's is higher than it was in any of those four games. The Red Hawks have gone over in their last two games, but had gone under in six straight prior to that. St. Joe's is averaging just 64.4 points over it's last five games, and the Minutemen have averaged just 66.9 points per game on the road. Five of the last six meetings between the two teams have gone under the total, and the under 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. Both teams have injury concerns, and I feel that the chances are that a pair of bottom feeders that are shorthanded are going to struggle to combine to score enough points to push this number as high as listed total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-18 | Marquette v. St. John's OVER 152.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MARQ@SJU to go OVER the total. |
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02-08-18 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 137.5 | 78-69 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@ILL to go UNDER the total. The last time these two teams played, I cashed in on under 137.5 when Wisconsin won at home by a score of 75-50 back in January. Here is what I said before that game: "The Badgers return home after losing three straight on the road, and they scored an average of just 56.6 points in those losses. I bet on the under in their last game, a 78-50 loss to Purdue. Illinois is still looking for it's first win in the BIG10, and they have failed to score 70 points in three straight road losses. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in four straight. Tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series, and higher that it had been in seven of the Badgers last 10 overall. The last time these two teams met, they combined to score just 100 points, with Wisconsin winning 57-43 last January. " Given the history, I believe this total is roughly five points too high. |
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02-06-18 | St. Joe's v. Davidson UNDER 145 | 62-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on JOES@DAV to go under the total.
Richmond beat Davidson by a score of 69-58 back in December. I bet on the under in that game, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Davidson Wildcats are sitting in second place in the Atlantic-10 behind Rhode Island. They are 4-1 in conference play, and 5-0 at home. Ladies and gentleman, this isn't Steph Curry's Davidson team, these boys are earning their stripes with strong defensive play rather than sharp shooting. The Wildcats have only scored an average of 69 points over their last five games, but they have held opponents to just 53.8 points per game during that span." Davidson has now failed to reach the total in 12 of it's last 16 home games, and the Red Hawks have gone under in six of their last seven overall. Davidson won at St. Joe's last year by a score of 75-60, and four of the last five meetings between these two teams saw a total of less than 140 points. Both these teams have been pretty solid defensively, each allowing roughly 65 points per game over their last five overall. Expect another low scoring battle in tonight's contest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-18 | Wisconsin v. Maryland UNDER 132.5 | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@MD to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers are really struggling, coming off back to back home losses to Nebraska and Northwestern. They only scored a combined 115 points in those games, and they barely hit over 50 percent of their free throws in the loss to the Cornhuskers. Maryland comes into today's games as losers of five of their last six, and the Terps have failed to reach the total in five straight. Both teams have averaged less than 70 points per game over their last five, and both teams have played well defensively during that stretch. Wisconsin has only managed to score 56.6 points per game on the road this year. Maryland is still the favorite at home, despite their leading scorer battling injury, and the status of several other starters in question. The under is 9-4 in Maryland's last 13 home games, and the under is 6-2-1 in Badgers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-18 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208 | 73-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
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01-30-18 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers host the Blazers in their first game without Blake Griffin. The Blazers come in as winners of five of their last six, and during that span they gave up an average of just over 102 points per game. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just over 103 points per game this season. The Clippers had been playing some high scoring games with Griffin in the lineup, but they will be shorthanded here tonight, with Avery Bradley injured and Tobias Harris unlikely to play. These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 heat to head meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Only one of the previous 10 meetings in this series saw as many as 220 combined points. The under is 17-7-1 in the Trail Blazers last 25 games following an ATS win. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 197 | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
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01-29-18 | Iona v. Fairfield OVER 154 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IONA@FAIR to go OVER the total.
The Fairfield Stags scored just 65 points in a loss at Iona earlier this season, but I expect them to have more success offensively here at home tonight. Fairfield is averaging over 80 points per game in five games since the loss to the Gaels. During that span they have allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Gaels are scoring their fair share op points, averaging just shy of 80 points per game over their last five. The most recent head to head meetings between these two teams went under, but they had gone over in four straight previously. Tonight's total is lower than it was in any of those previous five meetings. The over is 10-4 in the Gaels last 14 visits to Fairfield, and the over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games. Don't be surprised if this turns out to be a high scoring game that goes right down to the wire. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-18 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 144 | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
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01-28-18 | Oakland v. Wright State UNDER 148.5 | 51-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OAK@WRST to go UNDER the total.
I bet on Oakland as a big underdog on the road at Northern Kentucky on Friday, and they won outright by a score of 83-70. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Oakland Grizzlies finished in first place in the Horizon League last year, and they won more than their fair share of road games in the process. They were 10-2 on the road last year, and they have won three of four road games in the Horizon League so far this season. The Grizzlies are on the road at North Kentucky tonight, looking to avenge a home loss to the Norse earlier this season. Oakland led 47-41 at halftime in that game, but the Norse pulled away in the second half, winning by a score of 87-83. The Grizzlies had won and covered in each of the previous three meetings, including a 79-70 win at Northern Kentucky last January. Oakland comes in averaging over 85 points per game over their last five, which is 10 points more than the Norse have averaged during the same span. Northern Kentucky may be 7-1 in the Horizon League, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and that was their win at Oakland." Now just days later, they are a favorite (or pickem) on the road at Wright State, the Horizon Conference leader. Wright State already won at Oakland earlier this year by a score of 86-81 in OT (142 points in regulation). Wright State is 10-1 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average 57.3 points in those games. The under is 10-1 in the Raiders last 11 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Kentucky v. West Virginia UNDER 149 | Top | 83-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UK@WVU to go UNDER the total.
The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-2 in their last five overall, with losses to Florida and South Carolina. Three of those five games went over the total, but not one of those games saw enough combined points to reach tonight's total. The Wildcats are on the road at West Virginia, playing in the BIG12/SEC Challenge. The Mountaineers have lost three of their last four overall, and they have averaged just 70.6 points per game over their last five. Both these teams are known to be defensive powerhouses in their respective conferences, and they have a long history of playing low scoring games. In five meetings dating back to 2005, none of those games saw more than 146 combined points. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine road games, and nine of their last 10 versus the BIG12. The under is 5-2 West Virginia's last seven games, and their last home game was an 86-51 win over Texas. I expect both teams to have to work hard for every point tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-18 | Celtics v. Clippers UNDER 218 | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Celtics are playing their second game of a back to back in LA after losing to the Lakers last night. The bookmakers are expecting tonight's game against the Clippers to be a high scoring affair. The total seems a little too high considering Boston boasts the leagues top defense. The last time these two teams played the total was set at 218, and it ended up a push with the Clippers winning 116-102 at home last March. A lot has changed since then, and this Boston team rarely plays such high scoring games these days. Boston has failed to reach the total in four of it's last five when playing the second game of a back to back. These two teams have failed to reach the total in nine of the last 11 meetings at the Staples Center, and the under in 19-9 in the last 28 meetings overall. This number looks to be a bit inflated. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-18 | NC State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 141 | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@PIT to go UNDER the total.
Pittsburgh is 0-7 in the ACC, and tonight's home game against the NC State Wolfpack will be one of just a few realistic chances for this team to pick up a win in conference play. The Wolfpack are 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of just 57 points in those losses. The Panthers offense has been dreadful, even at home where they have scored just 67.4 points per game. They aren't too bad defensively though, giving up just 68.7 points per game at home, and 70.8 points per game overall. The Wolfpack have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight road games, while Pittsburgh has gone under in 13 of it's last 16 at home. The Panthers have failed to score 60 points in six of their last seven, and they have gone under in seven of their last eight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-18 | Cavs v. Spurs UNDER 208.5 | 102-114 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLE@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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01-23-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa UNDER 142 | 67-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@IOWA to go UNDER the total. The Hawkeyes and the Badgers have a recent history of playing close, low scoring games. They have gone under in three of the last four meetings, but had gone over in six straight prior to 2015. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The most noticeable difference with these two teams since they played to 59-57 Hawkeyes win at Madison in the last meeting, is that Wisconsin's offense has really dropped off. The Badgers were in the middle of the pack in the BIG10 last year, but they come into tonight's game dead last in scoring in the conference averaging just over 68 points per game. They have scored just 54.2 points per game on the road, and have averaged just 63 points over their last five games. Their defense however remains formidable, ranking 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring average. They have failed to reach the total in 31 of their last 43 road games, and tonight's number is higher than it was in all but four of those contests. The last time the Badgers played at Iowa they won by a score of 67-59, which is 15 points fewer than the projected total for tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-18 | Ball State v. Kent State UNDER 147 | 80-88 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play BALL@KENT to go UNDER the total.
I bet on the under in Kent State's home win over Ohio a few weeks ago, and I expect another low scoring game here is they host Ball State. Here is what I said prior to the game against the Bobcats: "You don't see a lot of high scoring games in the MAC, and previous games between Kent State and Ohio have been low scoring. They have failed to reach the total in seven of the last nine meetings, but the listed total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous contests. The Golden Flashes are coming off an 80-69 loss at Miami-Oh, and their leading scorer Jaylin Walker only played 13 minutes, suffering an undisclosed injury. His status for tonight's game remains in question. Ohio is 1-2 in conference play, failing to reach the total in all three games. The Bobcats have averaged just 69.3 points per game on 38.7 percent shooting while losing all three of their home games. Ohio has gone under in six straight MAC games, while the Flashes have gone under in nine of their last 12 within the conference." Both the Golden Flashes and the Cardinals have struggled offensively in recent games. Ball State has scored just 66 points per game over their last five, and they are coming off a 71-53 loss to Miami-Oh. Kent State has failed to reach the total in 12 of it's last 15 MAC games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 160 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
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01-22-18 | Bulls v. Pelicans OVER 225 | 128-132 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI@NO to go OVER the total. The Bulls are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming into New Orleans as winners of four of their last five. They scored an average of 115 points in those games, and they rank 4th in the NBA in scoring since the New Year. They will play at New Orleans tonight, and both these teams are more interested in scoring than they are about playing defense. The Pelicans have won four of their last five, and have scored over 112 points per game during that span. History tells us that these two teams have scored a ton of points in previous meetings, especially in New Orleans. The over is 11-3-1 in Chicago's last 15 visits to The Big Easy. Chicago has gone over in eight of it's last 10 road games, and 15 of it's last 20 overall. The Pelicans have gone over in 20 of their last 28 home games, and 12 of their last 16 when coming off an ATS loss. Another high scoring game at the Smoothie King Arena seems inevitable tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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01-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Valparaiso UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-54 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on L-IL@VALPO to go UNDER the total. |
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01-20-18 | Pittsburgh v. Duke UNDER 153 | 54-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PIT@DUKE to go UNDER the total. The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest favorites on the board today, but I have my sights set on the total here in their home game versus Pittsburgh. These two teams played at Pittsburgh just over a week ago, and Duke won by a score of 87-52. The game fell well short of the total of 155, and these two teams haven't combined to score 150 points in any of the last six meetings dating back to 2007. The Panthers can't score, they come into this game averaging just 53.8 points over their last five games. As bad as they are offensively, they are actually above average defensively. They have allowed an average of 72 points per game on the road, and they have actually given up fewer points than Duke over the last five overall. Not one of Pittsburgh's last 10 games has seen a combined 150 points, and that includes blowout losses at Virginia Tech, Louisville and Syracuse. The under is 23-6 in Pittsburgh's last 29 road games. Take UNDER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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01-19-18 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 218 | 108-100 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-19-18 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 137.5 | 50-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-19-18 | Iona v. Monmouth OVER 153 | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-18-18 | Minnesota v. Maryland UNDER 150 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MINN@MD to go UNDER the total. |
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01-18-18 | Denver v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 152 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DEN@NEOM to go OVER the total. |
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01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
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01-17-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State UNDER 139.5 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on VALPO@MOSU to go UNDER. |
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01-16-18 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State UNDER 164 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on OKLA@KSU to go UNDER the total.
The Sooners can move into a first place tie with Kansas if they win tonight in Manhattan. The Wildcats are just 2-3 in the BIG12 so far, but they are 8-1 at home. Oklahoma comes into tonight's game as winners of back to back home games against TCU and Texas Tech. Trae Young scored 43 points in the win over the Horned Frogs on Saturday, and he looks like he is getting better as the season goes on. Kansas State won't be able to keep up with the Oklahoma offense, the Wildcats are averaging just 75 points per game over their last five. They are one of the better defensive teams in the BIG12 though, allowing just 61.1 points per game at home. An injury to their top playmaker isn't going to help, Kamau Stokes is the team's assist leader, and third leading scorer. The junior guard has missed the last two games with a foot injury, and he's listed as (out indefinitely). The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the last 10 head to head meetings between the two schools. In fact, not one of the last 10 head to head meetings saw enough points to reach tonight's total. The Sooners have failed to reach the total in two of their last three, and the exception was an overtime game against TCU. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-18 | Wisconsin v. Purdue UNDER 137 | 50-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WIS@PURDUE to go UNDER the total.
The Badgers are struggling, just 9-9 overall and 2-3 in the BIG10. Their problem isn't their defense, they are allowing opponents to average less than 65 points per game. They have allowed less than 65 points in five of their last six overall. Purdue has picked up right where it left off last year, sitting at the top of the conference standings with a 6-0 record. They are also one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they have held opponents to just 58.5 points per game at home. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings. The Badgers have only averaged 55 points per game on the road, and they have gone under in six straight road games. Purdue has gone under in five straight versus BIG10 teams, and I expect another low scoring battle here tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 229 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total.
The defending champion Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They have scored 120+ points in seven of their last 10 overall, and they have scored 120+ points in seven straight with Steph Curry in the lineup. The Cavs are also one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, however they rank near the bottom of the league in points allowed. They have given up 120+ points in three of their last four overall, and they have lost three straight. The Warriors have dominated this series, winning six of the last seven meetings. While the most recent meeting was a low scoring game with the Warriors winning 99-92, Steph Curry did not play in that game. The previous four games in this series all went over the total, and Curry played in all of those games. The Warriors have gone over in seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last eight at Cleveland. The Cavs have gone over in four of their last five home games, and the over is 9-0 in their last nine home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Minnesota v. Penn State UNDER 148 | 95-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Minnesota vs Penn State Free Pick January 15, 2018.
I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season." Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Ohio State and Purdue, the Gophers haven't shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster. Since the injury to Coffey, they have averaged less than 60 points per game. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, it's in fact higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between these two schools. Penn State has failed to reach the total in nine of it's last 11 home games, while the Gophers have gone under in five straight overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 205 | 118-107 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHA@DET to go UNDER.
The Pistons have been great at home this season (13-5), and they host the struggling Charlotte Hornets in an early game on Martin Luther King Day. The Hornets are coming off a home loss to Oklahoma City by a score of 101-91. They have lost five of their last six against the Pistons, and they are just 5-13 on the road this season. Detroit beat the Hornets by a score of 102-90 in the most recent meeting at the Palace in their season opener back in October. The Pistons have won five straight home games, and they have beaten some of the league's top teams during that stretch (Spurs and Rockets). They rank 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 101.5 points per game. The Hornets have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, while the Pistons have gone under in six of their last eight at home. The under is is 12-5-1 in the Pistons last 18 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. I like the Pistons to win a low scoring game here at the Palace. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 226.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on HOU@PHX to go OVER the total.
The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets OVER 206.5 | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@CHA to go OVER the total. |
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01-12-18 | Ohio v. Kent State UNDER 153.5 | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OHIO@KENT to go UNDER the total. |
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01-10-18 | UNLV v. Air Force OVER 150.5 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNLV@AFA to go OVER the total. The UNLV Rebels are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 88 points per game. That is a huge improvement from last season, but their defense still has a long way to go. They rank 255th nationally allowing over 75 points per game. They have given up more than 80 points in three of their last four, and the one exception was an 82-76 win over San Jose State. The Spartans are the cellar dwellers of the Mountain West, and that 76 point total is their best this season against a team from their own conference. Air Force isn't known as an offensive powerhouse by any means, but they scored 75 points in a home loss to Nevada their last time out. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last nine meetings, and the number of 150.5 seems way too low. I can't see either of these two teams scoring less than 75 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-07-18 | Knicks v. Mavs OVER 207 | 100-96 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@DAL to go OVER the total. The Mavs are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference, but they are on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last six overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last four games. The Knicks are really struggling, they have lost seven of their last eight overall. They allowed an average of 107 points in those losses, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The total for tonight's game appears to be a bit low, as the Knicks have gone over the number in four of their last five, while Dallas has gone over in four straight. The Mavs have gone over in five of their last six versus Eastern Conference teams, and with not a lot at stake here between a couple of teams in the midst of a rebuild, don't expect to see a defensive battle. The Mavs are coming off a 127-124 loss to the Bulls, and Chicago shot over 56 percent from the field in the game. I expect to see a similar flow to tonight's game. Take OVER. GL,
Jesse Schule |
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01-07-18 | William & Mary v. Drexel OVER 154.5 | 85-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM@DREX to go OVER the total. The CAA is not a conference known for it's defense, and two of the worst defensive teams will meet when Drexel hosts William and Mary today. I bet on William and Mary in their win over Hofstra, and here is what I said before the game: "The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. They come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record." They won that game despite giving up 87 points to a pretty average opponent. They have since won back to back road games, scoring an average of 87 points in those victories. Both these teams have given up well over 80 points per game in their last five, and they have both scored almost that many during that span. The total for tonight's game is more than 10 points lower than it was in the last two meetings, and the Dragons have gone over in five straight versus CAA teams. The over is 18-4 in William and Mary's last 22 conference games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-06-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 137.5 | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC@UVA to go UNDER the total. The last game between these two teams saw a combined 96 points. I bet the under in that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Virginia Cavs had lost four straight before busting loose and scoring 70 points in a win at North Carolina State Saturday. They return home to host the red hot UNC Tar Heels, in this season's second meeting between the two teams. North Carolina won at home in the previous meeting, despite scoring a season low 65 points. The Tar Heels might be hard pressed to score that many here in the rematch, as the Cavs have held opponents to just 51.1 points on 36.7 percent shooting at home. The Cavs lost 54-48 in overtime at home to Miami, and lost 65-55 to Duke. They crushed Louisville by a score of 71-55, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Tar Heels have already clinched at least a share of the ACC Title, and even if they lose tonight's game, they can clinch with a win at home versus Duke on Saturday. This looks like a bit of a let down spot for the Tar Heels, and they could also get caught looking ahead to that game against Duke.The under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 games as a home underdog, and 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games as a favorite." The total for today's game is actually higher than it was this time last year, despite all the trends pointing toward another low scoring game. The Cavs have held opponents to an average of 50 points at home this season, and they rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 52.7 points per game overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-17 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 211 | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on CHI@MIL to go OVER the total. |
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12-26-17 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
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12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 209 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on TOR@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206 | Top | 92-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
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12-23-17 | Connecticut v. Auburn UNDER 149 | 64-89 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
9* |
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12-21-17 | Montana State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 156.5 | 71-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on MTST@NEOM to go OVER the total.
The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks opened the season with an 89-90 loss to Montana State. They host the Bobcats in a rematch tonight, and I expect to see another high scoring game. I bet on the Mavs in their home win over Arkansas State, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Mavericks only have one win, but that came in their only previous home game against Drake. To their credit, the Mavs have had a tough schedule. They've played four games against Power Five schools (Louisville, Washington, TCU and Oklahoma) and seven of their 11 games have been true road games. They have won nine of their last 13 at home in Omaha. They have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall." They just barely hung on to win that game by a score of 77-74. Scoring isn't a problem for the Mavs, but they have been downright terrible defensively, allowing 87.8 points per game over their last five. These two teams have played three times since 2015, and they went over in all three of those games. Tonight's total is significantly lower than it was in any of those previous three meetings. The over is 7-0 in the Mavs last seven versus Big Sky teams. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-17 | Bowling Green v. Green Bay UNDER 161 | 81-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on BGRN@GB to go UNDER the total. The Bowling Green Falcons have been involved in some high scoring games lately, and the same can be said for Green Bay. The two teams will play in Wisconson tonight, and the bookmakers have set the total sky high. Last year the Falcons lost to Green Bay by a score of 77-61, failing to reach the listed total of 157. Actually they have fallen well short of that number in each of the last four head to head meetings, but tonight's game has a total far higher than that. While both these teams are terrible defensively, giving up a lot of points, neither team shoots for a particularly high percentage. The Falcons have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and Green Bay has gone under in eight of it's last nine versus teams from the MAC. The Falcons have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five versus teams from the Horizon Conference. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-17 | St. Joe's v. St. John's UNDER 146.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on JOES@SJU to go UNDER the total.
The St. Joseph's Hawks are coming off a 72-59 win over Maine, but had lost back to back games to Villanova and Temple prior to that. They will be an 8-point underdog here against the Red Storm in Connecticut. St. Johns is one of the top defensive teams in the country, allowing just 61.9 points per game so far. They held the Hawks to just 61 points in a 63-61 win the last time these two teams met. The Red Storm have been even better defensively over their last five games, holding the opposition to just 59.8 points per game on 35.3 percent shooting. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight games played at a neutral site. St. Johns has gone under in five straight overall, and seven of their last eight when listed as a favorite. I am predicting the Red Storm win this game by a score of 71-62 (or in that neighborhood). I expect the winner to score less than 75, and the loser to score less than 70. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-17 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217 | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHX to go UNDER the total.
The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-17 | Villanova v. Temple UNDER 150.5 | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Villanova vs Temple Free Pick December 13, 2017. |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
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12-10-17 | Gonzaga v. Washington OVER 153 | Top | 97-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ@WASH to go OVER the total. The Huskies are coming off an impressive upset win over #2 ranked Kansas, but they are a significant home underdog in tonight's game against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning three straight and nine of the last 10. History tells us that we can expect a high scoring game, as four of the last five have meetings have gone over. The total for tonight's game is almost 10 points lower than it was in all five of those previous meetings. Both teams come in averaging over 80 points per game, and Gonzaga has allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Huskies have scored at least 70 points in all nine of their games so far, and they are averaging 83.7 points per game at home. The over is 17-8 in the Huskies last 25 non-conference games. Gonzaga has gone over in four straight non conference games, and seven of their last 10 when coming off a loss. The Huskies lost last year's game versus Gonzaga by a score of 98-71, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-17 | Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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12-06-17 | Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 95-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total.
The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* |
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11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-17 | Hawks v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@DET to go UNDER the total. The Hawks have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they've averaged just 100 points per game in those losses. They are playing at the Palace in Detroit tonight, and I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here. The Pistons are sitting in first place in the Central Division, and it's no thanks to their 16th ranked offense. Detroit has been taking care of business on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. They rank 8th overall in scoring defense, and they are 5-1 at home. They've held their opponents under 100 points in five of their six home games so far. These two teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. That results in a much higher number here for tonight's game. The last three times these teams faced each other, the boomakers set the total below 200. The under 15-7-2 in Hawks last 24 road games, and they have several key players nursing injuries heading into tonight's game. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
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11-08-17 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 229 | 101-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@GS to go Under the total.
The Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, scoring over 118 points per game. They are coming off a 97-80 win over the Miami Heat, marking the first time they won a game without reaching 100 points since April of 2016. It was a dominant performance defensively, blocking 10 shots and holding the heat to 36.1 percent shooting. Tonight's game against Minnesota will feature two of the league's premier shot blockers, as both Kevin Durant and Karl Anthony Towns are ranked in the Top 5 in blocks per game. Minnesota is coming off five straight wins, holding opponents to less than 100 points in each of their last three. They have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors, who have only covered in one of their last 10 versus the Wolves. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams, and seven of those 10 games went under. I expect both these teams to continue a trend of strong defensive play, in what should be a competitive game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-17 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@BOS to go UNDER the total. |
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11-07-17 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205 | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 196 | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
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11-01-17 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
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