Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-17-22 | Michigan +5.5 v. Iowa | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
9* MICHIGAN (BLOWOUT) Michigan is just 3-6 on the road, but I think it'll take Iowa down to the wire today. The Hawkeyes are 13-2 at home. The Wolverines are off a 68-57 home loss to Ohio State as 3-point favs. That's noteworthy in this case, as Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite and in which it was held to 60 points or less in. Iowa is off 3 straight victories. Most recently it was a 98-75 win over Nebraska. With a game at Ohio State this weekend, I think the home side will clasically get caught "looking ahead." Iowa is also just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS win in which it scored 95 or more points in. In a contest that I see being decided late, the official call here will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine +29.5 | Top | 86-66 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE (WC GOM) Am I suggesting that the Waves will post one of the biggest regular seson upsets in College basketball history tonight, or do I believe that Gonzaga will win this game, but that this spread is much too large? Clearly, it's the latter of those 2 scenarios. I love how this one sets up for Pepperdine to keep it much closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Gonzaga is No. 1 in the nation, but it's just 13-8-2 ATS overall. With a game at home against 17-9 Santa Clara, I think the visitors take the foot off the gas in the second half. Pepperdine lost 117-83 at Gonzaga as a 30-point underdog on January 8th (but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss of 25 or more points!) In every conceivable way the Bulldogs are the better team here, but this spread is simply too large when we take into account the overall situation; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Jazz v. Lakers +4 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Are the Lakers a good team that's been the victim of unfortunate circumstances this year? I think the answer is both yes and no. Certainly LA's record would indicate that it's a bad team (26-31.) The good news? There's still time to correct things and to earn a spot in the playoffs. The Lakers are also 17-13 at home this season. The Jazz have had to overcome a few injury issues, and covid problems, but the enter the all star break with a great 36-21 record. They haven't been at their best on the road though, where they are 15-11 this season. The Lakers are off a tight 117-115 loss at Golden State, easily covering with the 6-point spread. The Lakers can't afford to take tonight off though, and I expect anotherfull four-quarter effort tonight. The Jazz are off a 135-101 win over Houston, which is noteworthy here as they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a SU/ATS win of 30 or more points. I say this one means A LOT more to the desperate Lakers! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Rockets +15.5 v. Suns | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
8* ROCKETS (DESTRUCTION) Clearly, the Rockets are terrible. They're just 15-41 overall. They've been better for bettors though, going 22-33-1 ATS. They're coming off 5 straight SU/ATS losses in a row (and note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after 5 or more consecutive ATS/SU setbacks.) Not suprisingly, they play with revenge here after a listless 115-89 loss to the Suns as 8.5-point dogs on November 14th. Clearly, the Suns are a great team. They're 47-10 SU, and 32-25 ATS. They've won 6 straight, but they lost ATS last time out against the Clippers, winning 103-96, and not coming close to covering the large 12-point spread. I expect a similar final score here as well, as Phoenix prepares for the All Star break. No outright win for Houston, but much closer than expected; the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Seton Hall v. Connecticut -5.5 | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
9* UConn (9* BLOOD-BATH). The 15-8 Seton Hall Pirates are only 4-4 on the road, while the 17-7 Connecticut Huskies are 10-2 at home. After a 74-68 loss to Xavier, the Huskies bounced back with a 63-60 win over Saint John's in their most recent outing. They play with revenge here after falling 90-87 to Seton Hall in OT on January 8th (they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent.) Seton Hall had its 3 game win streak snapped in a 73-67 loss at Villanova in its most recent action. With a home game against lowly DePaul this weekend, I say the visiting side gets caught looking ahead. The stage is set for a blowout; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | Hornets v. Wolves -7 | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show | |
8* WOLVES (DESTRUCTION) I think this is a great spot to continue to ride the red hot Wolves. Minnesota has won 6 of its last 8. That includes a 129-120 victory over the Pacers in Indiana. The Wolves play with revenge here after falling 133-115 at Charlotte back on November 26th. Minnesota has a tough Toronto team coming to town tomorrow night before the All Star break, so expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Charlotte has NOT been playing well at all of late. It's still scoring lots, but it's also one of the worst defensive clubs in the league, as it enters having lost 7 of its last 8. That includes a 125-118 loss at home to Memphis in its most recent. With a home game against Miami to close out the first half, I say the visitors get caught looking ahead as well. The conditions are certainly correct for a home side rout; the official call will be to lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | Mavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 107-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (REVENGE GOM) Dallas had won four straight before a 99-97 loss at home to the Clippers. The game previous to that they beat LA 112-105. The Mavericks have looked a lot better of late despite trading Kristaps Porzingis and they do indeed play with revenge here after a 125-110 loss at home to the Heat in early November. Miami has sure been playing well, as it's won 5 in a row, but note that it's just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after five or more SU victories in a row. And with a game at Charlotte, followed by a trip to the Big Apple after the All Star Break, I think the Heat get classically caught "looking past" their non-conference opponent today. In a game that I see being decided in the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | Iona -4.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
10* IONA (GOW) Iona is 20-5. It's coming off a 70-62 win over Monmouth at home, unable to cover the 8.5-point spread. It won't be taking Saint Peter's lightly today on the road, as while it did beat the Peacocks 85-77 at home on January 30th, it failed to cover the 10-point spread. Saint Peter's is 11-9, but it's off a poor 58-49 loss at home to Rider as a 7.5-point fav (note that the Peacocks are a disturbingly poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 50 or less points in.) The stage is set for a blowout of epic proportions; the official call will be to lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-14-22 | Rockets +14.5 v. Jazz | Top | 101-135 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) Are the Rockets a good team that's just been an unfortunate victime to crazy circumstances? Are the Jazz over-rated and not as good as their record would indicate? No, on both counts. The Rockets have struggled for varying reasons, but they're not a great team this year. Utah has had to struggle through some covid issues as well this season, but the Jazz are now primed for a deep playoff run. I simply feel that this is a few too many points to be giving up here, as I expect Utah to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Houston comes in off four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Most recently a 139-120 loss at home to the Raptors (they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 though after a SU/ATS home loss in which they allowed 135 or more points in.) Utah comes in off 5 straight wins and covers (and it's just 3-6 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) With a much "bigger" game at the Lakers on Wednesday, the Jazz are in danger of looking ahead here as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-13-22 | Green Bay +6 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 44-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
10* WISCONSIN GREEN BAY (ASSASSIN) Wisconsin Green Bay is just 4-20 overall, which includes going 0-12 on the road. The Phoenix are off a 71-62 loss to NKU. They only average 61.7 PPG. Milwaukee is just 8-18. It's off a monumental 60-57 win at home here over Wright State as a 9-point underdog and I believe that a predictable letdown is imminent here. The Panthers only average 65.2 PPG. The Phoenix play with revenge here as well after falling 63-49 to the Panthers at home on January 5th. I expect the visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover as the game comes down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-12-22 | Lakers +7 v. Warriors | Top | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Are LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook really as bad as their win/loss record would indicate? I'd say no. Clearly, chemistry is an issue. Both Davis and James have missed significant time this year. All three will be playing today though and I believe the Lakers have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Warriors are off a 116-114 home loss to the Knicks as 9-point favorites. The Lakers are off an embarrassing 107-105 loss to the Blazers, and I expect them to risk life and limb today to try and get back into the winners circle. This one is coming down to the wire, so grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-12-22 | Florida State +8.5 v. North Carolina | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
9* FLORIDA STATE (CRUSHER) Florida State got caught looking ahead to this game after falling 56-51 to lowly Pittsburgh on Wednesday. I say the Seminoles bounce back here though and while they likely won't win this one outright, we can expect a good-old fashioned back-and-forth battle for sure in my opinion. UNC doesn't have any excuses either for its 79-77 win over Clemson, as it barely held on for the victory. FSU averages 71.2 PPG, while allowing 69.2, while UNC averages 78.1, while conceding 72.8. FSU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 55 or fewer points in. I expect this to be another tight battle for the Tar Heels; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-12-22 | Texas +5.5 v. Baylor | 63-80 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
8* TEXAS (DESTRUCTION) In this battle, I expect it to come down to the final moments. Texas averages 68.7 PPG, while Baylor averages 77.8. Baylor got crushed by Kansas by 24 points, before then bouncing back with a 75-60 win over K-State on Saturday. Texas is off a big upset win over Kansas, holding on for the 79-76 victory. The Longhorns' defense leads the nation, conceding just 55.8 PPG. The Bears concede 62.2. Look for the Longhorns' tough defensive play to keep the competitive late; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +7 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
10* MILWAUKEE (MAULING) After 4 straight victories, I expect the Raiders to have a bit of a mental lapse here. Milwaukee has struggled this year, but after losing 6 in a row, I expect the Panthers to play with desperation here and to, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Wright State has "righted" the ship after a shaky start, but with a game against Northern Kentucky next, I expect it to look past its lowly, but dangerous opponent tonight. Milwaukee plays with revenge here as well after an 80-75 home loss to Wright State back on December 30th. The Panthers covered with the ten-point spread in that contest and all signs point to that comfortably happening again tonight; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-10-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +12.5 | Top | 132-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the visiting side will get caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent today to its much more high-profile contest at LaMelo Ball and the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. The Grizz are off a relatively simple 135-109 win at home over the Clippers, which is significant to note as they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU/ATS home win of 20 or more points. Memphis may very well elect to rest some of its starters here. Detroit is just 12-42. It's off a poor 116-86 road loss at Dallas, but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 89 or less points in. Clearly the Grizz have the uppherhand in every category, but I expect them to take the foot off the gas down the stretch. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-10-22 | Ohio -12.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10* OHIO (MAC BOB) I think the 19-4 Ohio Bobcats will lay the hammer down here on the 6-14 CMU Chippewas. Ohio will be especially motivated here and will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish after a poor 77-62 loss to Toldeo in its last outing. Conversely, CMU is poised for a predictable letdown off an upset overtime 89-85 win over Ball State. Situationally speaking, they don't set up much better than this. Ohio averages 74.4 PPG, while conceding 66.5, while CMU averages 65.8 PPG, while allowing 79.3. The Chips are also a terrible 2-6 ATS in their last 8 following a SU win. Look for Ohio to dig deep here and to pour on the offense from start to finish; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-09-22 | Alabama -5.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA (SEC BOB) Alabama is coming off B2B double-digit losses, falling to Auburn and Kentucky. Suffice it to say, I LOVE the Tide to bounce back here on the road. They're now 14-9 overall (just 4-6 in SEC action.) Ole Miss is off a 62-57 loss to Florida. The Rebels are 12-11 overall and 3-7 in conference action. The bottom line is, I have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace with the Tide, who average over 80 PPG. They've struggled defensively in conceding just over 75 PPG, but they catch a break here facing this more methodically-paced Rebels offense. Ole Miss has done a decent job defensively as well, but its lack of offensive punch is the difference today; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-09-22 | Wake Forest v. NC State +2.5 | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show | |
8* NC STATE. Wake Forest is 19-5 overall, but just a pedestrian 4-3 on the road this year. NC State is only 10-14 this season, including just 7-7 at home. The Wolfpack enter off 4 straight losses, most recently falling 69-57 to Notre Dame as 1-point favorites at home. Wake is off B2B wins, most recently pulling away for a 68-60 win at Florida State as a 2-point underdog. Wake Forest is led by the dynamic Alondes Williams, who averages 19.8 PPG. Somehow they managed a win last time out despite committing 26 turnovers. The Wolfpack have a dominant player as well in Dereon Seabron, who averages 18 PPG. After their last upset win on the road, I believe the Deacons finally stumble here against the determined home side; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-08-22 | Michigan -1.5 v. Penn State | 58-57 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
8* MICHIGAN (DESTRUCTION) This is just Penn State's 2nd home game in the last 27 days. Michigan enters off a loss, but I expect it to build off its 82-76 setback to No. 4 ranked Purdue on Saturday. Keep your eyes on Hunter Dickinson, who had a career-best 28 points in the losing cause. Michigan's better at home than on the road, but I say this is a great spot for a bounce back. The Nittany Lions are 7-3 at home. They're off a 51-49 loss at Wisconsin, which is significant to note as they're just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a SU road loss in which they were held to 50 or less points in. Look for Dickinson to be too much for Penn State to handle today; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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02-08-22 | Lipscomb +15 v. Liberty | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
9* LIPSCOMB (ASSASSIN) Am I calling for an outright victory here? I am not. But I do think that Lipscomb has everything in place to sneak in under the radar here and score a comfortable ATS cover with all the points it's been given in this one. The Bisons are off a 77-68 loss at home to Florida Gulf Coast. They do average a decent 74.9 PPG though. The Flames average only 73.3, but boast one of the strongest defenses in the nation. That said, with a game at 14-8 Jacksonville up next, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. Finally, note that Lipscomb is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a conference road do in the +14.5 to +17.5 points range; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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02-08-22 | Fordham v. St Bonaventure -11.5 | Top | 51-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
10* ST. BONAVENTURE (MAULING) Fordham is just 10-11. It's coming off a 72-69 loss to Saint Joseph's. The Rams margin of error most nights is slim, as they average 68.8 PPG, while allowing 68.1. St. Bonaventure is 12-7, including going 7-2 in its last 9 at home. The Bonnies average 70.4 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Three players average in double figurs for the Rams, while five players do the same for the Bonnies. St. Bonaventure is winning games by an average of 9 points at home, while the Rams have seen their point production drop to 63.7 on the road; lay the points, expect a rout! AAA Sports |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -9.5 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN COLORADO (GOW) Northern Arizona is 8-14, including just 2-6 on the road. Northern Colorado is 11-11, including 5-3 at home. Northern Colorado just won 74-71 at Northern Arizona on Saturday, unable to cover the 5.5-point spread. UNCO has now lost 4 straight ATS, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Bears average 77.5 PPG, while the Lumberjacks average only 69.2. Revenge, they say, is a dish best served cold. That said, the Lumberjacks simply don't have the firepower to keep up with the home side. Northern Colorado will be cautious to not take the foot off the gas pedal this time after the "close call" last time out; lay the points, expect an ATS rout! AAA Sports |
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02-07-22 | Knicks +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (GOW) Outright victory? Anything is possible. But I do expect the Knicks to play with some heart here today and to keep it competitive throughout. The Knicks are off a disappointing 122-115 OT road loss at the Lakers. With a tough game at Denver tomorrow night, followed by a contest at Golden State, tonight's outing takes on added importance for the visiting side. Utah has broken its 5 game slide with B2B victories. Donovan Mitchell is back in the line-up, but with Golden State coming to town on Wednesday, starters could be rested here. It's a perfect situational set of circumstances that are working in favor of this hungry Knicks side today; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-06-22 | Akron v. Miami-OH +1 | Top | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
10* MIAMI OHIO (MAC GOM) I base my picks on many different factors. I've always felt that beling flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping games is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. Often plain old "common sense" or the "eye test" is the best way to approach a game. Other times, getting into every tiny stat and detail is important. Other times, stats, trends or lop-sided numbers is the correct angle to take. This one boils down to common sense. Miami Ohio plays with immediate revenge here after falling 66-55 at Akron two nights ago. The Zips only average 71.7 PPG, while the Redhawks average 75.5. Miami Ohio is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent; lay the short points, expect a decisive victory! AAA Sports |
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02-06-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Missouri State | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
8* Loyola Chicago (DESTRUCTION) The Ramblers hit the road at 17-4 overall and 8-2 in league play. Missouri State has an 8-3 record in conference action. The Bears started the season at 4-4, but they've since won 13 of their last 16 games. This is going to be a great game, but I expect the visiting side to find a way to deliver. Loyola Chicago is off a 78-64 win over over Illinois State on Wednesday. It averages 110.7 points per 100 possessions. They also allow a league-low 94.9 points per 100 possessions (also lead the conference in turnover rate at 19.7 percent.) Missouri State is off a 69-54 win over Southern Illinois. It averages 113.1 points per 100 possessions, while posting a middle of the pack 101.0 defensive rating, which ranks 4th in the MVC. I say the Ramblers suffocating defensive play is the difference here! AAA Sports |
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02-05-22 | Knicks v. Lakers -2 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Yes, both teams are struggling big time this year. For different reasons though. The Knicks are a mess, but the Lakers are getting healthier (despite LBJ still sidelined a couple mre games.) LA is off a tight 111-110 loss at home to the Clippers, but Anthony Davis has been superb since his return from injury. The Knicks are off a 120-108 home loss to the Grizzlies and they have a tough road game here, with upcoming contests at Utah, Denver, Golden State and Portland. Look for the hungrier home side to comfortably pull away for the win and cover; lay the poitns! AAA Sports |
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02-05-22 | Louisville +6.5 v. Syracuse | 69-92 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
8* LOUISVILLE. The 11-11 Louisville Cardinals are on the road to take on the 11-11 Syracuse Orange. This one has the "feel" of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Louisville is off a tight 90-83 OT loss to UNC, while Syracuse is off an 89-82 win over NC State. The Cardinals both average and concede 69 PPG this year, while Syracuse averages 77.8 and allows 75.5. Louisville rallies here with coach Chris Mack now gone and while I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-05-22 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech +2 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
8* Georgia Tech The Clemson Tigers are 12-9, while the Georgia Yellowjackets are 9-12. GT lost to VT by a score of 81-66 in its most recent outing, while Clemson beat Florida by a score of 75-69. The Tigers are just 2-2 in their last 4 though. They average 73 PPG, while allowing 67.1. GT averages 69.8 PPG, while allowing 69.7. The last time these teams played, Clemson won by a score of 74-72 as a 4-point fav. Expect a similar hard-fought battle here, one that's decided in the final moments; so because of that, grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-04-22 | San Diego State v. Colorado State -2.5 | 57-58 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 49 m | Show | |
8* CSU (ASSASSIN) The Colorado State Rams are 16-3 this season, including 6-3 in Mountain West action. The SDSU Aztecs on the other hand are 12-5 and 4-2. The Rams play with revenge here after falling 79-49 to SDSU back on January 8th. SDSU hasn't been perfect. It comes in complacent here in my estimation after a blowout 72-47 victory over New Mexico on Monday (note that it's just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS win in which it held its opponent to 50 or less points in.) SDSU averages 64.6 PPG, while allowing 56.8. Since that 30 point loss to the Aztecs though, the Rams won 5 straight, including against Utah State, a team SDSU just lost to previously. But they won't be lacking for motivation now after 2 more straight losses, most recently falling 84-78 to Wyoming in OT. The Rams though are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 in trying to revenge a 20 points or greater road loss to an opponent. Revenge is a dish best served cold is what they say, and it's supposed to be FREEZING in Colorado tonight; the play is CSU! AAA Sports |
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02-04-22 | Harvard +4.5 v. Brown | Top | 65-50 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (GOM) Harvard is 10-7 and 2-3 in Ivy League play after a tight 78-74 loss to Penn on Friday. Noah Kirkwood leads the Crimson with 18.1 points and 3.3 assists per game. Harvard has three players averaging in double digits in scoring and overall it averages 75.4 PPG. Brown is just 10-12 overall and 2-5 in league play. It's coming off a 74-72 loss to Cornell on Sunday. The Bears average 71.9 PPG. This is a revenge game for Harvard, and I say that's the difference-maker here today. Brown won the first meeting 84-73 as a 3.5-point road fav. Expect this one to be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-03-22 | Nicholls State v. Incarnate Word +10 | Top | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* INCARNATE WORD (BOB) Nicholls State is 13-9, while Incarnate Word is 4-18. The Colonels enter in off a 2nd straight win, getting past Houston Baptist by a score of 73-61. Nicholls averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2. Will the Colonels get caught looking past their lowly opponent today? That's what I'm reckoning! Incarnate Word has lost 5 straight. It's off a 78-68 loss to SE Louisiana. The Cardinals average 66.7 points per game, while allowing 76.7. Not a recipie for success obviously, but they've been better at home than on the road. Incarnate Word is also 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games as an underdog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range. Look for the visiting side to stumble here as it gets caught looking past its opponent; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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02-03-22 | Eastern Michigan +16.5 v. Ohio | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
8* EMU (PUNISHER) Am I suggesting that the 8-12 EMU Eagles are going to go into Ohio and knock off the 17-3 Bobcats straight up? I'm of course not calling for that at all. I do though think the stage is set for a much closer battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. EMU enters off an 86-66 blowout loss to Toledo, while Ohio comes in off an 87-63 victory over Ball State. The Eagles average only 71.6 PPG, while allowing 74.8. Ohio doesn't blow teams out of the water with an offense that averages 74.6 points per game, but the Bobcats make up for it on the other end by conceding just 66. I say the mighty home side comes out a bit complacent here and takes the foot off the gas in the 2nd half. Eastern Michigan is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 as a conference road dog in the +15.5 to +17.5 points range as well. No outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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02-02-22 | Florida State +3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* FSU (CRUSHER) Florida State is 13-7 and Clemson is 11-9 this year. The Seminoles are off back-to-back losses, most recently it was an 85-72 loss at home to Virginia Tech as a 1.5-point favorite. Clemson crushed Pittsburgh 75-48, but then it came up short in its most recent game, a 71-69 setback to Duke. This is the first meeting between the schools this year, with the next one coming in Tallahassee on the 15th. But Florida State has actually been quite good on the road this year, it has an 83-81 win at NC State on January 1st, a 76-71 win at Syracuse in the middle of the month and a 61-60 win at Miami on January 22nd. In fact the Seminoles are only one of four teams in the ACC with a winning conference road record. Florida State is also 3-0 against Miami and Duke, the current No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the ACC Standings. And if the Seminoles win today it would mark the school's record 17th consecutive season that they've won at least seven conference games under Leonard Hamilton, Now for Clemson, I just think its primed for a letdown here after that "CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR" loss to Duke. It had a chance down 67-65, but it had a three-ball rim out. After that crushing loss, I say the Tigers stumble here again against this deep Florida State team! AAA Sports |
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01-31-22 | West Virginia +14.5 v. Baylor | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* WVU (GOW) WVU is coming off a 77-68 loss to Arkansas. WVU won't be lacking for motivation today after 5 straight losses. Baylor is off an 87-78 loss to Alabama and while it sits in 2nd in the Big 12 with a 6-2 record, I say it gets caught looking past its opponent today to its huge matchup at Kansas on February 5th. And really, they don't set up from a situational standpoint much better than this. WVU is under the radar, undervalued after so many losses. Baylor has been consistently over-priced this season with its spreads, and that caught up to it last time out. I say it does again here with such a big road game on deck next. Outright win?! Of course not! But expect this one to be competitive until the final moments; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-30-22 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +5.5 | Top | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
10* ECU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The 14-6 Cincinnati Bearcats are going to get caught looking past the 11-8 ECU Pirates today in my opinion. David Dejulius averages 13.4 points and 2.4 assists for the Bearcats this season. They're coming off a road loss at Temple and I say they're now ripe for the picking. ECU plays with revenge here after falling 79-71 at Cincinnati at the start of January (that's important to note as ECU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss to an opponent.) Outright win?! Anything is possible! That said, let's grab the points for sure! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | BYU v. Pacific +14 | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
8* PACIFIC. The 17-5 BYU Cougars are on the road to take on the 5-13 Pacific Tigers. BYU's 3 game win streak came to an end last time out in a loss to Santa Clara. Pacific plays with revenge here though after falling 73-51 on the road as a 17-point underdog. BYU averages 74 PPG, while allowing 68.8, while Pacific averages 65.1 PPG, while allowing 68.7. I say Pacific catches BYU at the right time here (also note that the Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss to an opponent!) AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | South Florida +6 v. Tulsa | 45-76 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
8* SOUTH FLORIDA. South Florida has a 6-12 record after falling 74-54 to SMU in its most recent outing. Tulsa is just 6-12 itself after dropping a 97-63 decision to Tulane. USF scores 89.4 points per 100 possessions while allowing 97.3, while Tulsa scores 101.8 points per 100 possessions while allowing 105.6. This is a very evenly matched game, and home-court advantage isn't a factor here in my opinion. The outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | Pepperdine +20 v. St. Mary's | Top | 57-81 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE. Outright victory? I'm of course not calling for that. But I do think the lowly Waves can sneak in under the radar today. Pepperdine has lost 7 straight, most recently falling 64-56 to San Diego. The Gaels are going to get caught complacent here after their 72-70 upset win over San Francisco as a 2.5-point underdog. Pepperdine averages 67.2 PPG, while allowing 76.2, while Saint Mary's averages 72 PPG, while allowing 59.1. With a game at Portland up next, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half; no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Knicks +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (ASSASSIN) The Knicks are struggling for varying reasons, but I think they can fly under the radar here and at the very least, make this one interesting for the home town crowd until the final moments. New York has lost 5 of its last 6 and it's now just 23-26 this year. The Knicks are dealing with many injuries and COVID problems (as are most teams.) On the other end of the court, the Bucks had their 3-game win streak snapped in a 115-99 defeat to Cleveland: “They played lights out tonight,” Milwaukee coach Mike Budenholzer assessed after. "I don’t know what the right analogy is, but they played really well. They beat us pretty good. Live ball turnovers is when transition defense is the toughest, and we made a lot of them.” The Bucks have a tougher game against Denver on Sunday, and they get caught looking ahead to that one; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Manhattan +6.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 51-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* MANHATTAN (MAULING) The Jaspers defeated Sienna 76-58 on Friday, with Jose Perez scoring 32-points. But Manhattan then lost 78-62 to Monmouth on Sunday. The Jaspers average 73.5 points per game, while Saint Peter's averages only 65.9. Saint Peter's is 8-7 overall this year, while Manhattan is 10-6. This is the first matchup of the year, but the Jaspers lost the last matchup 68-54 as 6.5-point dogs. I say they keep it a lot closer than that this time around; the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) Outright win? That would be sweet if you're a Wolves fan. I mean, it's a very real possibility, as this spread isn't too large or anything. However, I think the safest call is to grab as many points as you can here for a couple different reasons. Both teams come in off wins. The Wolves pulled away for a 109-107 road win over Portland last time out, while Golden State handled the Mavericks 130-92 on Tuesday. Note though that GS is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 points or less in. They're also just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the West, while the Wolves are 6-2 ATS in the same position. With a much more high-profile game against Brooklyn at home here on Saturday night, I say the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Detroit | Top | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* BLUES (EXPRESS) Calgary is off B2B blowout wins, but I think it'll have difficulties here in St. Louis. Most recently the Flames clobbered Columbus 6-0 on the road. St Louis though plays with revenge here after a 7-1 setback at Calgary just last week. The Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss of 5 or more goals to an opponent as well. Calgary is back home for a game against the Canucks next, so I think it gets caught looking ahead to that more winnable game. The Blus are 16-4-1 at home this year. Look for that streak to get added to tonight; lay the reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-26-22 | Northwestern +8 v. Michigan | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG 10 GOY) Northwestern is 9-8 this season. while Michigan is 9-7. The Wildcats though are going to be eager to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss today, while I do think that Michigan could be caught a little complacent. Northwestern has indeed lost 2 in a row, but against 2 really good teams, losing 82-76 to 15-3 Wisconsin, before then dropping an 80-60 contest against 16-3 Purdue in its most recent. Boo Buie led the way in the loss with 17 points and three assists. Michigan is just 5-5 in its last 10, but it broke a 3-game slide with B2b victories, first beating Maryland 83-64, and then most recently pulling away for an 80-62 win at Indiana. The Wolverines shot a season-best 64.7 percent from the floor and Hunter Dickinson had 25 points and nine rebounds. But with a game at rival Michigan State this weekend in what will be one of the most highly anticipated Big Ten games of the season, I think that the Wolverines do finally get caught looking ahead here and take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal. I say this one MEANS more to the Wildcats; grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* ILLINOIS (BOB) Michigan State is off a huge win over a red hot Wisconsin team as a 5-point dog and I think it's now primed for a predictable letdown here. Illinois on the other hand has lost 2 in a row. Despite being 4-0 on the road, I like the Illini to bounce back here at home where they are 8-2 so far this season. The Spartans average 75.3 PPG, while the Illini average 79.3. Illinois though is essentially in a must win scenario here as it tries to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss. The setback to Maryland is a concern, but note that's 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -6.5-points range. I expect the "hungrier" home side to play with desperation, while everything points to a small letdown finally here for the surging Spartans; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-24-22 | CS Sacramento +2.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
10* SACRAMENTO STATE (GOW) The Sacramento State Hornets are 5-9 this year. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks are 6-11. Two evenly matched teams here. This one's going to come down to the wire! The Hornets have lost 3 straight. Most recently it was a frustrating 73-72 OT loss to Idaho. Sacramento State averages 65.4 PPG, while allowing 70. It looked a lot better on both ends of the court last time out and I expect it to build. The Lumberjacks are off a listless 58-48 loss to Montana. They average 69.3 PPG, while allowing 72.7. Sacramento State though is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 following a SU loss and 4-1-1 ATS in is last 6 vs. teams with a win % below .400. Conversely, Northern Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall. You know what, I think that the outright upset is a very real possibility; however the official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Michigan +4 v. Indiana | Top | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BIG 10* GOM) The 8-7 Wolverines are hungry for another win here after defeating Maryland 83-64. The Hoosiers are 14-4, and off a tight 68-65 win over Purdue on Thursday. Both teams are among the best in the nation defensively. Each is pretty comparable on the offensive end. Clearly, Indiana has the home-floor advantage here, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -7.5 points range. Hunter Dickinson and the Wolverines on the other hand are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which they score 80 or more points; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | UC San Diego +9.5 v. CS-Fullerton | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UC SAN DIEGO (BLOWOUT) CSU Fullerton has won six in a row, so I expect it to come in complacent here against 8-9 UC San Diego. The Tritons have lost four in a row, but note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after three or more SU losses in a row. Fullerton averages 72.5 points and allows 67.3, while San Diego averages 69.7 points and allows 68. Look for the Tritons to sneak in through the back door with the large amount of points they've been afforded here! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | West Virginia +9 v. Texas Tech | Top | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* WEST VIRGINIA (BLOOD-BATH) Am I calling for an outright win? I am not. However, this one is going to be a complete "nail-biter" in my opinion. Yes, WVU has lost B2B games, but it was against some really stiff competition, falling 85-59 to Kansas and 77-68 to Baylor. Texas Tech enters complacent here after going 4-1 in its last 5 (with wins over Kansas, Baylor and Iowa in that span.) WVU averages 68.9 PPG, and it allows 63.6. Texas Tech averages 73.7 PPG, and it concedes 58.7. But as I say, I think that TT is going to get caught looking past the Mountaineers today to its much more high-profile contest at Kansas on Monday night! WVU won this game 82-71 as a 6.5-point dog last year. As I stated above, no outright win this time, but expect another close one; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-21-22 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The lowly Rockets have been playing better of late. The mighty Warriors have been struggling somewhat. Houston plays with revenge here after a 12 point loss earlier in the season, and it comes in off a momentum-building 116-111 win at Utah. The Rockets have in fact now won 3 of their last 4. Golden State on the other hand has lost 3 of its last 5. That includes a 121-117 OT home loss here just last night to the lowly Pacers. And with Utah, Dallas, Minnesota and Brooklyn all coming to town next, can anyone say "look-ahead spot?!" Finally, note that the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss to an opponent. No outright, but the stage is set for a tight battle; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-20-22 | Pelicans +4 v. Knicks | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN) I like the Pels here to sneak in under the radar. They're coming off a 104-92 loss to Boston. New York is off a 112-110 home loss to the Timberwolves. New Orleans had an 18 point halftime lead in its last game, but it stumbled down the stretch. The Knicks are just unable to close out anyone though, as evidenced by the last-second loss to Minnesota last time out. This New York offense has been consistently inconsistent all season and I think it'll have difficulties containing this hungry visiting side. This one comes down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Georgia +22 v. Auburn | 60-83 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
8* GEORGIA (ROUT) Am I suggesting to play the Georgia Bulldogs on the money line here? Of course not. But I definitely think this is far too many points for Auburn to be giving up here. The Bulldogs will be super hungry after starting league play 0-6. Most recently it was a 73-66 loss to Vanderbilt. Auburn is 16-1 and it's coming off an 80-71 win over Ole Miss. Clearly, Auburn is the better team here, but with Kentucky coming to town this weekend, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. It's a perfect set of off court circumstances working in favor of Georgia today. Also note that the Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after 2 or more SU/ATS losses in a row; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. Mavs | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
8* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great spot bet on the hungry and undervalued Raptors here. Two nights after beating the Bucks by a score of 103-96, the Raptors fell 104-99 at Miami as 4-point dogs on Sunday. Dallas has turned things around after a shaky start to the season, but it needed to come from behind in its last game here to beat OKC by a score of 104-102 as 11.5-point favs. And with rival Phoenix coming to town tomorrow, starters could see more rest time than normal this evening against their feisty non-conference opponent. Dallas is playing in the shadow of Phoenix these days, so that's a game that it's had circled on the calendar. Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Expect that trend to continue here; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Colgate v. Bucknell +10.5 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* BUCKNELL (MAULING) Bucknell is eager to stop an extended losing streak, and Colgate stands in its way. Colgate is the defending Patriot League champion, but it's had plenty of issues this season as well. The Bison have indeed dropped seven straight after a 63-55 setback at American most recently. On November 20th Colgate would post an amazing 100-85 win over Syracuse, but it would then go on to lose eight of its next nine games. It's since bounced back with wins over Army and Navy. Bucknell though has won its last 5 home games against Colgate, including a 71-70 nail-biter in the last matchup at Sojka Pavilion in 2020. Bucknell is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home dog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range as well. No outright here, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG TEN GOM). After 6 straight wins, I say that Wisconsin takes a step back here mentally finally against this hungry and tough Northwestern home side. The Badgers enter off a 78-68 win over Ohio State, while Northwestern is off a 64-62 win over Michigan State as 9.5-point underdogs. Wisconsin is led by Brad Davison. It averages 72. points per game, while allowing 65.1. The Wildcats will be hungry here though, as they lost 4 in a row previous to their most recent win. Northwestern averages 76.8 PPG, while allowing 68.3. The Badgers aren't a high-scoring team. I say the "wheels on the bus" finally fall off here. Look for NORTHWESTERN to build off its latest performance and to find a way to deliver here at home as well! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +1.5 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (NON-CONF GOM). The 21-22 Minnesota Timberwolves are off a huge 119-99 win over league-leading Golden State. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here?! The Knicks have won six of their last ten games, but their three-game win streak was snapped in last night's 97-87 loss to a red-hot Chalotte team. With a game at Atlanta tomorrow night, the visitors are gonig to get classically caught "looking ahead" here. The 22-22 Knicks can't afford that same luxury though after last night's loss. Minnesota is still just 9-12 on the road, while New York is still 11-10 at home. Look for the hungry home side to deliver in friendly confines! AAA Sports |
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01-17-22 | Suns v. Spurs +5.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Spurs (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Suns are 33-9 overall. They've won 3 straight. THey're off a 138-108 road win at Detroit. I think Phoenix gets caught looking past the Spurs though. San Antonio is without question the hungrier of these two teams. It's coming off a momentum-building 101-94 win over the Clippers. This is a double-revenge game as well already for the Spurs after dropping both earlier contests to Phoenix this season. With 2 nights off before a big game at Dallas to end this trip, the Suns also get caught looking-ahead in this one. Outright victory? I think entirely possible (so sprinkle a little on the ML as well!) That said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Florida International +7.5 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 39-50 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* FIU (BLOWOUT) Both teams are 10-6 SU. FIU is just 5-8-1 ATS, while MTSU is 10-2-2 ATS. I think these lop-sided trends start correcting themselves here though. FIU is off eight straight ATS losses, which is definitely significant to note as the Golden Panthers are still 14-7 ATS in their last 21 after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Most recently it was an 84-56 setback to Auburn. That's also noteworthy, as FIU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS loss of 25 or more points. FIU plays with revenge here as well after a 67-56 loss to the Blue Raiders as 4-point favorites last year. MTSU has broken a two-game slide with B2B SU/ATS wins/covers, but note that it's just 1-6 ATS in its last seven off a SU/ATS victory in which it held its opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Probably no outright, but definitely right down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Michigan +10 v. Illinois | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BLOWOUT) The Wolverines will be highly motivated here after their 75-67 loss to Rutgers. Overall they average 72.8 PPG, while allowing 66.8. The Illini average 80.8 PPG, while allowing 65.0. Hunter Dickinson averages 16.1 points per game for the Wolverines. Kofi Cockburn averages 22.0 for the Illini. With 13-2 Purdue coming to town on Monday, I expect Illinois to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Listen, I'm not calling for an outright win or anything like that at all, but expect Michigan to bounce back, fight hard and to keep this one close; grab all those points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Suns v. Pacers +5.5 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* PACERS (A$$A$$IN) Clearly, the Suns are the much better team in this matchup. However, I think that the situation and this spread favor the home side. The Suns are off a 99-95 road win at Toronto on Tuesday, but they're just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a SU road victory in which they held their opponent to 95 points or less in. Indiana had its three game ATS win streak snapped last time out in a 119-100 home loss, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 100 or less points in. With a "cream puff" at Detroit up next, the Suns are vulnerable here to a bit of a mental letdown as well. I say the Suns play down to the level of their competition here. Outright win? Probably not. But this one will definitely be decided in the final moments, so the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10* Wolves (A$$A$$IN) I like the Wolves to sneak in under the proverbial radar here and to, at the very least, give the red hot Grizz a run for their money today! Minnesota comes in off a 128-125 road loss at New Orleans on Tuesday. The Grizz are on a ten-game win streak and just knocked off league-leading Golden State by a score of 116-108 on Tuesday. Can anyone say classic "letdown" spot?! Both teams almost concede the identical number of points (Wolves allow 109.2, Grizzlies allow 107.9). Ja Morant and company are in unchartered territory right now and regression is imminent in my opinion. With Dallas coming to town tomorrow night, I also forsee the home side getting caught "looking past" its opponent. Outright win?! Maybe (consider sprinkling a little on the ML!) In the end though, my official call is to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Northern Kentucky +3.5 v. Youngstown State | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* NKU (MAULING) I look for the hungry 5-8 NKU Norse to give the 9-7 Youngstown Penguins a run for their money today! Both teams have been terrible of late, losing four of their last five. Each plays at a similar pace and their offensive and defensive numbers are also very comparable. However one thing to take note of here, is that NKU is actually 15th in the country in offensive rebounding, while the Penguins are 84th. These second-chance opportunities are going to be the difference-maker in this one. If history is any precedence, then NKU has to LOVING its chances here, as note that it has in fact won 8 of the last 10 matchups in this series. Outright victory?! With a spread like this, clearly that's a possibility. But all that said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-11-22 | Suns -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) The Suns are 30-9 and the Raptors are 20-17. Phoenix probably got caught looking ahead to its Eastern road swing in its 123-100 loss at home to Miami on Saturday. Toronto looks poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after its slim 105-101 home win over the lowly Pelicans. Deandre Ayton, Jae Crowder and JaVale McGee are all back for the Suns now though after a stint on the COVID list. Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet have been fantastic for Toronto, but the home side does lack depth compared to Phoenix. Toronto has won six straight, and that fact has actually driven down this line in favor of Toronto. I say the Suns come prepared to play in the first game of their road trip. So lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-11-22 | Toledo v. Miami-OH +1 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
8* PLAY on Miami Ohio This the Redhawks first conference home game and they play with "double revenge" after dropping both contests against the Rockets last season. Toledo is 11-4, most recently beating NIU by a score of 94-63. But Miami Ohio is out to take out its frustrations as well after an OT loss against Bowling where it led by 9 at half-time. If history is any precedence though, then the RedHawks have to be loving their chances today as they're 42-20 all time at Oxford in this series. Look for Miami Ohio to keep the foot on the gas in the second half and to find a way to deliver on Tuesday! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Pacers +7 v. Celtics | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* PACERS (ASSASSIN) This play is contrarian. The Pacers are 15-25, including only 3-15 on the road. The C's are 19-21, including 12-8 at home. Boston has been trading wins/losses over its last four games. Two nights after collapsing and losing 108-105 in New York, the C's won 99-75 at home over the Knicks. This is the opener of a home and home set and I expect Indiana to take it very seriously. Note that Boston is also just 2-7 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 80 or fewer points in. Expect Indiana to build off its impressive 125-113 home win over Utah and to take this one right down to the wire! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +3 | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNC Greensboro (GAME OF WEEK) This is a makeup game for one that was postponed on January 1st. This is UNCG's third game in five days and I believe the schedule actually benefits the home side. UNCG is off a 72-56 road win at VMI on Saturday, led by 18 points and 6 boards from Kobe Langley. Wofford is off a 68-57 road win at ETSU, led by 22 points from BJ Mack. UNCG is 5-1 at home this year though and it's held its last three opponents to under 60 points. This is an evenly matched contest, and in scenario's like that, I LOVE grabbing as many points as I can. And that's the play here, grab the points on UNCG! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Northeastern +7.5 v. Towson | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
10* CAA GOY on Northeastern Northeastern is the hungrier "dog" in this fight. It comes in off 3 straight losses. Towson has had two cancelations of late, as well as conference loss to Drexel on Monday. Northeastern comes in rested after a week off. Most recently the Huskies fell 71-70 to William and Mary on New Year's Eve. Five players average double digits in scoring for Northeastern. Towson fell 65-61 in Drexel in its most recent outing, but it's still 9-5 overall. Towson has four double-digit scorers. Both teams are dealing with serious COVID issues, but Northeastern will be the healthier of the two now. Look for the much more determined visiting side to fight tooth and nail until the end. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | The Citadel +14.5 v. Chattanooga | Top | 67-85 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
THE CITADEL (10* SOUTHERN GAME OF YEAR). These teams split their season series last year, with each side winning on its home floor. Chattanooga will continue that trend today, as I am NOT calling for an outright upset here. That said, this is WAY too many points to be giving up in my opinion. Chattanooga is 12-3, most recently holding on for a 75-67 win over Wofford on Wednesday. Malachi Smith leads three players in double figures at 20.4 points per game. The Citadel average 82.6 points per game though, while the Mocs average 77.9. The difference is on the defensive end, but I expect the Bulldogs' up-tempo play to keep them in this one late. As I stated off the top, no outright victory for the visiting side here, but we can absolutely expect it to make it interesting! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Xavier v. Butler +5.5 | 87-72 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
8* SLAM-DUNK on Butler. Xavier is 1-1 in league play, most recently coming in off a road loss at Villanova. Butler is also 1-1 in Big East action after falling to Seton Hall at home. Xavier comes to town off a 17-day layoff. In the loss to Villanova, Xavier actually held an 8-point half-time lead. Dwon Odom had 13 points. The Musketeers are 11-2, but I say that rest leads to rust tonight. The Bulldogs have had two games postponed due to COVID this year. In their last game they looked a bit rusty themselves, falling 71-56 to No. 24 Seton Hall. Butler has a big OT win over Oklahoma this year and I say that "home court" is something that can't be overlooked as a major advantage for the Bulldogs here. Expect the home side to control the pace and to grind out a solid ATS cover here! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Wizards v. Bulls -7 | Top | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
10* BULLS. The 19-19 Washington Wizards are off a terrible 114-111 home loss to Houston and I believe that they're ripe for the picking in this one. Chicago has won eight in a row, but it's failed to cover in three straight. That includes a much tighter than expected 102-98 win here over Olrando. But that three nights ago. With so much time off to rest and prepare for this one, we can absolutely expect the home side to push the pace of this one from start to finish. The Wizards have struggled offensively this year, but they've also struggled defensively. This isn't a good combination to win games most nights. When these teams played in Washington on January 1st, Chicago scored the 120-119 victory and it was unable to cover the 2-point spread. I say the Bulls come in focused and run up the score from start to finish this time around though! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Columbia +17.5 v. Princeton | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
10* COLUMBIA (IVY LEAGUE GAME OF YEAR). Columbia will be motivated to get into the winners circle today. It's just 3-9 following its 79-69 loss to Sacred Heart ont he 13th of Decemer. It's following two games were postponed, and in my opinion, "rest" is NOT going to lead to "rust" today. In fact, I beleieve the extra time off will benefit the Lions here in the second half of the season. Liam Murphy had 20 points in the loss to Sacred Heart. Columbia averages 67.8 PPG, while Princeton averages 82.1. The Tigers are coming off a 100-59 rout of Kean to move to 10-3. This is the opener of Princeton's Ivy League schedule though and I think it'll have a much tighter fight than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Tigers win this game, but Columbia gets the comfortable cover! AAA Sports |
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01-06-22 | Sam Houston State +3.5 v. Tarleton St | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* Sam Houston State (WESTERN ATHLETIC GAME OF YEAR). The Sam Houston State Bearkats are 7-8, while the Tarleton State Texans are 6-9. While both teams started out slowly, each has looked better of late. The Bearkats have won three in a row, while the Texans have won five of their last seven. Sam Houston State averages 73.5 PPG, while allowing 67.1. Tarleton State averages only 63.2 PPG, while allowing 63.4. The Bearkats on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, while the Texans are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a home favorite in the -3.5 to -5.5-points range. Sam Houston State is heating up and in a contest that I see being decided in the waning moments, I'll gladly grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-05-22 | Pistons v. Hornets -9.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Hornets (BLOOD-BATH) Off B2B victories, I believe that Detroit will stumble here. Most recently it was a monumental 115-106 win over the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks. The Hornets on the other hand will be anxious to return to the winners circle after a listless 124-121 loss in the nation's capital in their last outing. The problem for the Pistons here is that they average only 101.1 PPG, while allowing 110.1. Saddiq Bey was huge for Detroit in its last win with 34 points and eight boards, but I just don't see lightning striking twice here. Charlotte has in fact lost two in a row, so it'll be hungry here. The Hornets average 114.9 PPG, while allowing 116.7. But they catch a break here facing this "on again, off again" Detroit offense. I expect a blowout of epic proportions, so lay those points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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01-05-22 | Gardner-Webb v. Charleston Southern +9.5 | 88-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
8* Charleston Southern (DESTRUCTION. I think the 6-7 Gardner-Webb Bulldogs will have their hands full today with the 3-9 Charleston Southern Buccaneers. The Bulldogs average 73 PPG, while allowing 65.9. D’Maurian Williams is averaging 14.2 points and two assists. The Bucs average 72.9 PPG, while allowing 80.3. Tahlik Chavez is averaging 10.2 points and two assists, while Kalib Clinton is averaging 9.8 points and 4.9 rebounds. Yes, Gardner-Webb is the better team in this fight, but not by this many points on the road. I look for the hungry home dog to fight tooth and nail here in this "winnable" game. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-04-22 | Providence v. Marquette +2.5 | Top | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Marquette (BIG EAST GAME OF YEAR) Providence is 13-1 overall. Its only loss was against Virginia at a neutral site. Marquette is 8-6 and it comes in starving for a win today after four straight losses. Five of the Golden Eagles' last six games though have come against Top 50 teams. The Friars have so far exceeded expectations and now they hit the most difficult part of their schedule. Overall the Friars average 69.8 points per game while allowing 61.1. The Golden Eagles are ranked 67th in defensive efficiency rating and they are ranked 39th overall as far as pace is concerned. I say regression is imminent for Providence. Marquette comes in focused here and as the hungrier team. Finally, note that the Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a divisional home dog in the +1.5 to +3.5-points range. The outright is possible, but grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-04-22 | Spurs +6 v. Raptors | Top | 104-129 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Spurs (PLATINUM CLUB) I think the Spurs catch the Raptors at a good time here. San Antonio is off a 117-116 loss at Detroit. The Spurs though remain one of the league's highest scoring teams, averaging 111.5 PPG. With a tough upcoming schedule, including a game at Boston tomorrow night, I believe Greg Popovich has his troops prepared to play today. The Raptors are off a relatively simple 120-105 home win over New York and they've won two in a row, but Nick Nurse will likely rest many throughout this game with a contest at Milwaukee tomorrow night. The Raptors only average 106.9 PPG as well. Outright?! Anything is possible, but I do definitely expect this to be very competitive and that's the reason why I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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01-03-22 | Grizzlies v. Nets -7 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF MONTH on Nets. The bottom line here gentlemen is that these are two very good teams. Memphis has been playing well of late, but I think it's overmatched here facing this Nets team that's coming off a poor loss to the Clippers in their last outing, allowing a whopping 40 points in the fourth quarter, an effort which promted Steve Nash to asses: "We deserved to lose that game." Both James Harden and Kevin Durant had huge nights, but Brooklyn stumbled down the stretch. Memphis is off B2B home wins, but it's still just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS home victory in which it held its opponent to 105 or less points in. I think Harden and Durant lay the hammer down here after that pathetic effort last time out. Lay the points, this one gets UGLY! AAA Sports |
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01-02-22 | Ohio State v. Nebraska +10 | Top | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR on Nebraska. The Buckeyes are 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS. Ohio State comes to Nebraska off a 73-55 win over Wisconsin as a 5-point favorite. The issue here for Ohio State is that its last three games have been canceled due to COVID-related issues. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Nebraska on the other hand is 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS. Nebraska can't afford to look past anyone. It broke a five-game slide last time out in a relatively simple 88-74 victory over Kennesaw State. Ohio State is 48th in offensive efficiency and it allows just 67.3 PPG. Nebraska on the other hand is ranked 267th offensively and 267th defensively. On paper, the Huskers are overmatched, but this is a great "situational" play here. And it's strong from a trend standpoint as well, as Ohio State is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine when playing with two or more weeks of rest between contests. No outright, but VERY tight in the end! AAA Sports |
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01-01-22 | Warriors v. Jazz -4 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Jazz. The Warriors are 27-7, but they're off a listless 89-86 defeat to Denver. With a night off before a home game againt the Heat, Golden State will have to very careful to not get caught looking ahead today. This is the first matchup of the year between the clubs, but the Jazz enter having won six in a row. Utah is the highest scoring team in the league, averaging 116 PPG, and its guard rotation matches up well against Stephen Curry and company. The Warriors are ranked seventh in scoring, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 90 points or less in. Look for Utah to come out and push the pace from start to finish. The play is the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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12-30-21 | Michigan -3.5 v. UCF | Top | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MICHIGAN With four losses on the season, Michigan has tumbled out of the rankings. But we don’t think it’ll be long until the Wolverines find themselves back in the Top 25. The last time they played, it was a 37-point win over Southern Utah. Not every game is going to be that easy, but tonight’s contest at UCF should be another comfortable victory where Michigan covers the spread. Juwan Howard’s team destroyed UCF last year in Ann Arbor, winning 80-58 as 13-point favorites. They don’t even need to win by half that margin tonight. UCF seems to be getting a bit too much credit for a four-game win streak that hasn’t included any tough matchups. A game at Temple two weeks ago was the only real challenge of sorts. The Golden Knights were blown out by their toughest opponent so far, Auburn, who beat them 85-68 back on Dec 1. Michigan is the toughest team UCF will have faced (besides Auburn) thus far. This is the smallest spread for any Michigan game in 2021. They’ve been favored in every game. It’s been an underachieving start to the season for the Wolverines, but tonight they assert themselves in a major way. They are 10-3 ATS L13 as road favorites while UCF has failed to cover the last four times it has faced an opponent with a win percentage of .600 or better. Play on MICHIGAN AAA |
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12-29-21 | Thunder v. Suns -14.5 | Top | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHX Even at full strength, Oklahoma City would stand little chance of winning this game. But the Thunder aren’t even close to being full strength entering Wednesday. Six players were in protocol for last night’s 117-111 loss in Sacramento. That includes star rookie Josh Giddey, the team leader in both rebounds and assists. Coach Mark Daigneault was also absent last night. All these absences, coupled with the fact they played last night, means OKC is very likely to be blown out tonight in Phoenix. The Suns are hoping to avert what would be their first three-game losing streak of the season. After losing Christmas Day to Golden State, they fell at the buzzer to Memphis on Monday. The Suns’ last win came against the Thunder, 113-101, back on 12/23. We think the final margin will be a lot larger tonight as the favorite is hungry and more motivated this time. They’d just beaten the Lakers the previous time they faced the Thunder. Phoenix is pretty clearly one of the three best teams in the NBA this season. We’d consider Oklahoma City among the three worst. This promises to get ugly in a hurry. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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12-29-21 | Tennessee v. Alabama -2.5 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ALABAMA Tennessee is coming off a very impressive win over Arizona last week, so they’ve got to be feeling pretty good about themselves heading into the SEC opener at Alabama. But the Crimson Tide are ranked in the Top 20 as well. It’s been a bit of a shaky December in Tuscaloosa with the Tide losing two of its last three games, including one-point setback to Davidson in their last game. But this is an Alabama team that has beaten both Gonzaga and Houston this year. You probably aren’t going to find a team that has a better two wins on its resume. The Crimson Tide’s recent issues on the defensive end - they’ve given up 79 or more points in four of the last five games - should only serve as motivation for tonight’s game. Teams are still only shooting 43.1% against the Tide for the year and 39.3% here in Tuscaloosa. The Tide have been great at defending the three-point line as well. At home, they allow just 26.3% of attempts to be made from behind the arc. Tennessee has played just one true road game so far and that was at Colorado. The Volunteers have not shot the ball well outside of Knoxville as they were held to 53 and 52 points in neutral court losses to Villanova and Texas Tech. This is a good spot to jump on Bama. Play on ALABAMA AAA |
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12-28-21 | Thunder v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SACRAMENTO Laying points with Sacramento might sound a bit dicey, but we are expecting an inspired effort tonight from the Kings after interim head coach Alvin Gentry called Sunday “the most disappointed I’ve been in 34 years in the NBA.” The Kings were outscored 78-52 in the second half by Memphis as they lost a third straight game by 15 or more points. But tonight they are welcoming in Oklahoma City. Despite four wins in its last five games and being 6-0 ATS in their last six, the Thunder remain one of the worst teams in the NBA. They are last in the NBA in scoring and get outscored by 11.8 points/game on the road. So expect the rare, comfortable win for Sacramento on Tuesday. The Kings are also looking to avenge a two-point road loss from last month. That game in OKC saw them blow a 14-point halftime lead. Play on SACRAMENTO AAA |
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12-28-21 | Yale +13 v. St. Mary's | Top | 60-87 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on YALE It’s been two weeks since Yale took the court. The favorites to win the Ivy League this year have suffered through a disappointing start to 2021-22, going just 6-7 in their first 13 games. They lost at home to Monmouth two weeks ago and you can bet the Bulldogs have been seething ever since. Tonight, they find themselves on the opposite side of the country, playing St. Mary’s, who is 11-3 SU and gearing up for conference play. The Gaels will host 12-1 San Francisco on New Year’s Day and there’s a good chance that the players & coaches might be more focused on that game than they are this one. So laying double digits in this spot seems like a dicey proposition. We know that St. Mary’s is 8-0 at home and only gives up 55.9 points/game. But this is too many points vs. a good Yale team that will be motivated, trying to avoid a third straight loss. Play on YALE AAA |
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12-27-21 | Mavs v. Blazers | Top | 132-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Portland has just three wins in its last 14 games. But at least they’re at home where they started the year out on a 10-1 tear. With Thursday’s game vs. Brooklyn postponed, the Blazers have had five days off to prepare for Dallas tonight. The Mavericks turned in a game effort Christmas night vs. Utah, only losing by four as 13.5 point underdogs. But they continue to be very undermanned with Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr and three others in protocol. Portland is also without five players, but at least they’ve got Damian Lillard, who has averaged 38 points on 54.8% shooting (48.4% on threes) over his past three games. Like Portland, Dallas has been slipping of late, dropping four of its last five games. So we’ve got two struggling teams that will be short-handed Monday night. We side with the home team due to Lillard and the fact they are better rested. The Mavs’ only road win in the last 17 days came at Oklahoma City. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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12-27-21 | Brown v. Syracuse -9.5 | Top | 62-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* on SYRACUSE Syracuse will be looking to end a two-game losing streak when it welcomes Brown to the Carrier Dome on Monday. Those two losses for the Orange both came to old Big East rivals. First, it was Villanova and then it was Georgetown. It’s also been 16 days since Jim Boeheim’s team took the court. It’s been a 17-day layoff for Brown, who is coming off a five-point loss to Vermont. Before that, the Bears had won and covered four in a row, though none of the teams they beat were as good as Syracuse. The key here is who will get off to a better start? Rust could certainly be a factor for both teams. We believe the home side is better equipped to handle the situation. Something we should mention from the loss to Georgetown is that the Orange led by 10 at halftime. Boeheim has five players on the roster, one of which is his son, averaging at least 12 points/game. Brown has only one player that averages that many. The Orange have been scoring a lot at home thus far and are just too potent offensively for their Ivy League opposition. Play on SYRACUSE AAA |
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12-26-21 | Nuggets -4 v. Clippers | Top | 103-100 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DENVER Add Paul George’s name to the list of Clippers who won’t be in action Sunday. Los Angeles was already without Marcus Morris Sr, Reggie Jackson, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luke Kennard and Jason Preston and of course Kawhi Leonard, who hasn’t played at all this season. Looking at that list of players, only Kennard has a shot to play tonight. The Clippers did somehow pick up a win on Wednesday, but tonight’s effort should more closely resemble the team that had lost three in a row before that. Meanwhile, Denver should be really motivated after losing to Charlotte on Thursday, a game in which it had a 17-point lead going into the fourth quarter. That was the Nuggets second straight loss and third in the last four games. Nikola Jokic is still playing well though, averaging 26.2 points and 13.1 rebounds his L10 games. He went for 29-21 on Thursday. The Nuggets are a lot closer to “full strength” than the Clippers are right now and that makes them very attractive here in a game they’ll desperately want to win. Play on DENVER AAA |
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12-25-21 | Warriors +6 v. Suns | Top | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE This is our best matchup on Christmas Day. The two best teams in the West face off as the 26-5 Suns host the 26-6 Warriors. The last time they met, we took the Warriors laying 6.5 at home. They covered for us in a 118-96 win and in the process ended Phoenix’s 18-game win streak. That is one of only two losses the Suns have suffered in the last 27 games. Despite them potentially not being at full strength for Saturday, we again will side with Golden State, this time as our 10* Game of the Month. As long as Steph Curry and Draymond Green are both healthy, and they are, the Warriors should not be getting this many points from anybody. They have a better statistical profile than the Suns and the players that are potentially going to be absent (Poole, Lee, Wiggins) collectively aren’t worth more than 1-2 points to the spread. Grab the points. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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12-23-21 | Thunder v. Suns -14.5 | Top | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHOENIX Oklahoma City has won three in a row. That’s not a sentence we anticipated writing. The Thunder defeated the Nuggets on Wednesday night, 108-94, a game where we were on the wrong side. We’ll again be on the opposite side of the Thunder here tonight, only this time, look for us to be right. Phoenix is clearly the “real deal” having won 24 of its last 26 games including a four-game win streak heading into tonight. The Suns have covered the spread in all four wins as well, winning by an average of more than 18 points per game. Each of the last three wins have been by 18 or more. The Thunder are still one of the league’s bottom teams and have been outscored by more than 20 points/game when playing with zero rest. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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12-22-21 | Illinois -13.5 v. Missouri | Top | 88-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 10* on ILLINOIS This game takes place in St. Louis and is known as the “Braggin Rights Game.” Last year, in the midst of the pandemic, a decision was made to “flip a coin” for home court advantage. Missouri won the coin toss and then the game, 81-78 as a 3.5 point underdog. You can bet Illinois remembers that and will be out for revenge Wednesday night. This Fighting Illini team isn’t as strong as the one that earned a #1 seed in last year’s NCAA Tournament. But they are a lot better than Missouri, who comes in at 6-5 with losses to the likes of Kansas City and Liberty. The Tigers also got blown out by 37 against Kansas earlier in the month. Illinois’ only loss this month came against an Arizona team that is among the very best in America. We’re a bit perplexed that the Illini aren’t in the Top 25. The revenge angle definitely matters here and we look for the Illini to make a big statement. It promises to be a dark day for Missouri athletics as we’re also fading the football team in the Armed Forces Bowl. Play on ILLINOIS AAA |
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12-22-21 | Nuggets -5.5 v. Thunder | Top | 94-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DENVER Oklahoma City just picked up a win, which is not something that happens all that often. We had them plus the points on Monday as they beat Memphis 102-99 in a huge revenge spot. Remember that the Grizzlies had previously handed OKC the largest loss in NBA history (73 points) back on December 2nd. Even more rare is the fact the Thunder have now won two straight games. They also beat the Clippers 104-103 on Saturday. Since winning four in a row in early November, the Thunder have not strung together more than two straight wins at any point. So tonight is a good time to fade them. Denver, who is also coming off an upset win, has had the last four days off. The Nuggets were supposed to play in Brooklyn Sunday, but the Nets’ COVID outbreak had other ideas. In their last game, Denver put up 133 points against Atlanta. Over their last six contests, the Nuggets are scoring almost 120 points/game. If they can maintain that average, then it’s “smooth sailing” tonight. Oklahoma City can’t score even close to 120. They are last in the league at 99.2 points/game. Honestly, the Nuggets won’t even need 120 to cover here. They swept the season series last year and OKC never scored more than 101 in any of those three games. Play on DENVER AAA |
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12-21-21 | Xavier v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on 'NOVA Xavier takes an 11-1 record into Philly tonight. The Musketeers have won seven straight games and already pulled three upsets this year. They did not cover the spread in their last game, however. As 11-point favorites, Xavier could only beat Marquette 80-71. It’s much tougher opposition on Tuesday. We say that knowing full well that Villanova has lost two straight games, one to #1 Baylor and the other to Creighton. Both those losses were on the road though. Poor shooting was the culprit in each loss. Nova made only 22.2% of its field goal attempts when they faced Baylor. They were “up” to 33.3% vs. Creighton. From three-point range, they went a combined 10 of 50 in the two games. At home, that’s not going to happen. The Wildcats have averaged 90.7 points in their three previous home games. Xavier has lost seven in a row here and failed to cover the spread in all seven losses. With four losses already on this season’s resume, Nova can’t afford another. Look for a strong effort at both ends tonight. Lay it! Play on VILLANOVA AAA |
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12-20-21 | Thunder +8.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OKC Memphis has gone a very impressive 10-2 so far without Ja Morant. But one of those two losses was last night, 105-100 to Portland as 4.5 point home favorites). Now the Grizzlies are set to play again, without rest, Monday vs. Oklahoma City. Since the Morant injury, there’s been just one time the Grizzlies were asked to play back to back nights. On that occasion, they lost the first game but came back to win the second, 108-95 over the Lakers. But when analyzing this win streak, one can see the oddsmakers haven’t really taken the Grizzlies all that seriously. Now they (the oddsmakers) have them laying a big number tonight vs. Oklahoma City. Of course, everyone remembers the last time these teams played. Memphis won in record-setting fashion, 152-79. It was the largest single game margin of victory in NBA history. Tonight is the Thunder’s shot at revenge. OKC just beat the Clippers on Saturday. They are 3-3 straight up since that humiliating defeat earlier this month. We won’t say they’ll win tonight, but take the points as Memphis is in a bad spot and unlikely to continue playing as well as they have without Morant. Play on OKLAHOMA CITY AAA |
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12-20-21 | Western Carolina v. Georgia -10 | Top | 79-85 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UGA Georgia has had their problems recently, but should roll tonight, at home vs. Western Carolina. The Bulldogs are looking to put an 80-67 loss to George Mason behind them. The loss, which took place Saturday, was here in Athens and the ‘Dawgs were 2.5 point favorites. Falling into a 14-0 hole to start the game was the “death knell” as UGA was playing for the first time in 11 days and first time since losing a second starter to a season-ending injury. We understand the current “state of the program” may not sound great in Athens, but this Western Carolina team that’s paying a visit on Monday is pretty bad. The Catamounts have not played in over a week. Their last game was a one-point loss to UNC-Asheville. Georgia still did a good job on the offensive glass vs. George Mason, but somehow came away with only seven second chance points. Their size advantage in this matchup should result in a lot more inside scoring, whether it’s on first or second chance opportunities. Western Carolina relies heavily on the three, but Georgia’s size will make them struggle in that area tonight. The Bulldogs beat Memphis here earlier this month. There’s no reason to think they can’t blow out this Western Carolina team. Play on GEORGIA AAA |
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12-17-21 | Heat -4.5 v. Magic | Top | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI Playing shorthanded, the Heat were still able to go to Philadelphia and win the other night. So winning at Orlando here doesn’t seem like a big ask. The Magic are quite bad this year, which was to be expected. But perhaps things have gone even more poorly than anticipated? The team’s record is 5-24 and they have the worst point differential in the league right now. Since Nov 17, the Magic have won just one game. They’ve lost six in a row, which is one shy of the losing streak they were on at the end of November. So it’s 13 losses in the last 14 games. The Heat have taken it to the Magic recently by winning each of the last three matchups, including a 17-point victory back in October. Orlando’s rotation is depleted now, just like Miami’s, the key is we believe the Heat are more apt to deal with the absences. Miami has won three of its last four games, beating Milwaukee, Chicago and Philly, all top tier Eastern Conference teams. Surely they can beat the lowly Magic by more than the oddsmakers are asking for here. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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12-16-21 | Jackson State v. Drake -15 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DRAKE Drake looks to cover the spread for the first time since 11/14! The Bulldogs are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games, although they’ve won four of them straight up. The level of competition has been stronger than what they’ll face here, a Jackson State team that’s 2-8 and has been to less than 40 points in two different games. The schedule has been murderous so far for Jackson State as they have played nothing but true road games. This is the 11th in a row to start the year as well as the third in the last five days. The Tigers have to be running out gas at this point. They’ve done a decent job of covering the spread (7-3 ATS), but at some point a team has nothing left to give. That’s what we expect the case will be tonight for the road team. Jackson State only averages 56.3 points/game. Drake is averaging 81.3 points/game at home and at some point the Bulldogs HAVE to cover the spread. Why not tonight? Play on DRAKE AAA |
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12-15-21 | Wolves v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DENVER Denver has a 12-game win streak over Minnesota that dates back to the 2018-19 season. They swept the last three season series and won 93-91 (as a 1.5-point dog) in the Twin Cities back in October. Now the Nuggets are dealing with a lot of illness and injuries at the moment. But that didn’t prevent them from building a 33-point lead over Washington in the last game. Before that, they went to San Antonio and won by 15. Be aware that the game vs. the Wizards only got close after Nikola Jokic got ejected. Denver has been outstanding at the defensive end in home games this season, giving up only 99.4 points/game. The Timberwolves come in shooting just 40.4 percent their last five games and 42.4% for the year. Prior to a 116-111 win in Portland the other night, the T’wolves had dropped five in a row, three by double digits. Their recent defensive efforts have been terrible with eight of the last nine games seeing them give up 110 or more points. Lay the points in this one. Play on DENVER AAA |
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12-14-21 | Warriors -4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GSW Steph Curry will look to become the NBA’s all-time leader in three-pointers made when his Warriors visit New York on Tuesday. Curry is only two threes shy of Ray Allen’s record entering this game. Considering he made five last night, it would seem like a lock that history will be made tonight in Madison Square Garden. You have to figure Curry’s teammates will want to make the record-setting day a victorious one as well. Laying only a few points here to the struggling Knicks seems to be a “no-brainer.” This line is relatively short because Golden State was in action Monday. They beat Indiana 102-100, but it was the third game in a row where they did not cover the spread. Seeing as the Warriors lead the league in point differential, a win by more than what the oddsmakers are calling for tonight doesn’t sound so far-fetched. The Knicks aren’t as good as the Pacers. NY has dropped three straight games and six of its last seven. At home, they lost by 15 to the Bucks on Sunday. It was their third double digit loss in the past five games. Don’t overthink this one. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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12-14-21 | Northwestern State v. LSU -34.5 | Top | 49-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LSU LSU is still undefeated and should win in a romp tonight. Now you probably already knew that by looking at this pointspread. It is quite high. But Northwestern State truly has zero shot at being competitive in Baton Rouge. The Demons are 2-8, both wins coming in non-lined games. They beat Dallas Christian Saturday. But not all the news was good. A flu bug has made its way through the Northwestern State locker room, affecting both players and coaches. Even at full strength, Northwestern State could not compete here. With players out, tonight’s game should get ugly in a hurry. There have been three games this season that the Demons have lost by 30 or more points. One was to Houston, the only top 15 team they’ve faced. LSU isn’t in the top 15, but probably should be as they’re off to their best start in over 20 years at 9-0. The Tigers’ six home wins have been by more than 30 points/game and they’ve covered the spread every time. They should mirror Houston’s 41 point win over Northwestern State and continue their climb up the rankings. Play on LSU AAA |
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12-13-21 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHOENIX Thanks to Golden State’s loss Saturday night, Phoenix (21-4) now has the best record in the NBA. The Suns are on the road tonight, facing the Clippers. This is obviously a big game for both teams. But with the Suns having won 20 of their last 21 games, how can you not like them laying such a short number? Defensively, they are one of the best teams in the NBA, allowing only 104.4 points/game and 43.4% shooting. Only Golden State allows fewer points per possession. The Suns are also a top five offensive team in the league. This is where they are vastly superior to the Clippers, who are only 24th in offensive efficiency. Phoenix doesn’t have Devin Booker right now, but the Clippers are playing without both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. This is going to be the Clippers’ 9th game in the last 16 days. Phoenix has had a much “lighter schedule” of late. The only team to beat the Suns since October is Golden State. Without George and Leonard, the Clippers can’t do what the Warriors did. LA is only 6-12 ATS at home this year. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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12-13-21 | Cal Poly v. Portland -4.5 | Top | 77-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PORTLAND Portland is looking to bounce back from an upset loss at the hands of VMI ten days ago. The Pilots were five point favorites but lost to the Keydets 90-82. Before that, they had won seven of eight with the only loss coming by three to Montana State. They’d also covered five straight going into the VMI matchup. We like the home team here because they are well rested while visiting Cal Poly is playing a second road game in three days. Cal Poly was able to shoot 54.5% from three in its 61-58 upset over Portland State on Sunday. The Mustangs went into that game as 3.5 point underdogs. It was their second close game in a row after losing by one at San Diego on December 5th. This will be CP’s fourth consecutive road game to start the month. The win at Portland State on Saturday was the first win on the trip. Don’t see them winning two in a row as the three-point shooting from the last game can’t be matched (CP shooting only 30% from three for the year) and Portland’s offense (85.2 points/game) is just too much. CP has scored more than 61 only twice against Division I opponents this season. Play on PORTLAND AAA |