Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-21 | Nets -6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NETS @ ROCKETS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Brooklyn Nets will be playing on no rest after defeating the Mavs in Dallas last night, I don't think they need fresh legs to take care of business against this Rockets team. Sure, the Rockets are coming into this contest riding a six-game winning streak, but it's somewhat of a fraudulent heater and they have not played a quality team like Brooklyn during that stretch. The Nets have dominated this series in recent years, and they've had plenty of success against the spread in Houston, going 6-1 ATS over the last seven visits. 10* play on Brooklyn Nets. |
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12-07-21 | Nets -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY - NETS @ MAVS The Brooklyn Nets have won eight of 10 away games on the season while Dallas is only 6-5 SU at home and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home underdog. I expect a strong performance from the Nets who had won back-to-back games and six of their last seven before taking an 111-107 home loss to the Bulls in their last game. The Mavs are trending in the wrong direction with losses in four of their last five games (all home losses). 10* play on Brooklyn Nets. |
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12-07-21 | Lightning -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NHL PUCKLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Montreal Canadiens have won only six of 26 games on the season. Of their last eight losses, five came by two goals or more. The Tampa Bay Lightning have won six of their last eight, winning four of those games by at least two goals. This will be the first meeting of the season, but Tampa Bay has absolutely dominated the series in recent years, winning eight of the last nine meetings straight up and covering the puckline in four of those wins. At this price, Tampa Bay -1,5 is definitely worth a shot. 10* play on Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5. |
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12-06-21 | Thunder v. Pistons UNDER 206.5 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder took a 152-79 beating by Memphis on Thursday, the biggest loss in NBA history. I expect the Thunder to tighten up defensively for this matchup with the Pistons, and poor shooting has been an issue for both teams all season. OKC is averaging 98.1 ppg (30th) while Detroit is averaging only 98.9 points per game (29th). Under is 23-9 in Thunder last 32 road games. Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-05-21 | Ravens v. Steelers +4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S RAVENS @ STEELERS BEST BET The Baltimore Ravens are coming off back-to-back wins SU and ATS, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here in this matchup with AFC North rivals Pittsburgh. The Steelers are a fantastic 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog, and I expect them to show up here after getting humiliated at Cincinnati last week. The Ravens have struggled with consistency, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. 10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 34 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S MICHIGAN/IOWA BIG TEN MAJOR WAGER The Iowa Hawkeyes take on the Michigan Wolverines in the Big Ten Championship game, and I think we're getting terrific value on the underdog in this matchup. Both teams are elite on the defensive side of the ball, and while the stats say that Michigan has an edge offensively, I don't think it's THIS big of a difference. Additionally, the Wolverines might be feeling a bit too good about themselves following last week's 42-27 upset win at home over Ohio State. Michigan was constantly underestimated by the oddsmakers during the regular season, but I think the script has flipped for the Big Ten Championship Game. Wolverines are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolverines are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as a favorite. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Hawkeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 10* play on Iowa Hawkeyes. |
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12-03-21 | Clippers -120 v. Lakers | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT CLIPPERS @ LAKERS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Clippers have been beaten badly in three straight games, but I expect them to show up here for this rivalry game against the Lakers. The Clippers have covered the spread in seven straight head-to-head matchups, and the Lakers have consistently been overvalued by the betting market this year going only 8-15 against the spread. 10* play on Los Angeles Clippers. |
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12-03-21 | Monmouth v. Niagara UNDER 140.5 | Top | 57-49 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* CBB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Niagara Purple Eagles are 5-1 to the under on the season. The Monmouth-NJ Hawks are averaging 75.7 points per game, but they scored only 61 in an upset win at Cincinnati in their last game. Defensively, the Hawks have looked good in their last two games and under is 5-2 in their last 7 road games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-02-21 | Oregon State v. California -2.5 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE-NIGHT PAC-12 CBB BOOKIE BREAKER BAILOUT The Oregon State Beavers are 1-6 SU and ATS on the season. The Beavers have lost three games outright as favorites, and tonight they'll face a Cal team that has been undervalued by the bookmakers all season and has covered the spread in five of its last six games. Neither team has looked all that great when on the ball, but note that Cal is averaging 70.5 points per game at home while Oregon State has averaged only 54.0 points per game away from home. 10* play on California Golden Bears. |
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12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder -3 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S TOP-RATED MAJOR MONEYMAKER The Houston Rockets are coming off three straight wins, including a 102-89 triumph against this very same OKC team a couple of days ago. All those three wins came at home though, and now the Rockets go on the road where they are 0-11 SU on the season. The Rockets are 0-2 ATS away from home when getting spotted less than double-digits, and the Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Note that while the Thunder have dropped six consecutive games and eight of their last nine, they've covered the spread in six of their last seven. OKC won 101-89 when they hosted the Rockets on November 17, and I expect them to avenge the most recent loss with a big outing tonight. 10* play on Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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11-30-21 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 217 | Top | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are 5-0 to the under in their last five games as road underdogs. They are allowing only 102.7 points per game away from home, well under their overall average of 106.2 ppg allowed. Brooklyn is also both scoring fewer and allowing fewer at home than its overall average. Under is 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 home games. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-29-21 | Blazers v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 107-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (SIDE) The Portland Trail Blazers have lost nine of 10 road games straight up and they are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS as a favorite of fewer than eight points this season. In their last game, the Jazz put a 127-105 beating on New Orleans, they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Portland is one of the worst teams in the league on the defensive end, and I don't see them keeping this one close. 10* play on Utah Jazz. |
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11-29-21 | Wizards v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Wizards are 13-7 to the under on the season, but two of their last three games have gone over the total. Here they'll face a San Antonio team that is both scoring and allowing 113 points per game at home. Over is 11-2 in Spurs last 13 home games. Over is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games as a home underdog. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-28-21 | Rams +100 v. Packers | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -100 | 133 h 5 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED NFC SIDE The Los Angeles Rams have had an extra week to heal up and regroup from back-to-back blowout losses. In their last game, the Rams took a 31-10 loss at San Francisco. They are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is reportedly in 'a lot of pain' after suffering a toe injury in last Sunday's 34-31 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. "It's going to be another painful week next week," Rodgers said. "And then hopefully feel better over the bye." Here Rodgers will face a Rams defense that ranks third in the NFL with 2.9 sacks per game. 10* play on Los Angeles Rams. |
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11-28-21 | Warriors -2 v. Clippers | Top | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
NBA BIG BET ALERT - MIKE'S WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Golden State Warriors are 17-2 SU and 14-4-1 against the spread on the season. They have the best scoring defense in the league with only 100.9 points allowed per game on average, and the Clippers are averaging only 106.0 points per game. The Clippers have lost three of their last five straight up, despite closing as favorites in each game. In their last game, the Clippers defeated Detroit 107-96 but they are only 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* play on Golden State Warriors. |
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11-28-21 | Titans v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-36 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 8 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* WEEK 12 TOTAL The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-27-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -12.5 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* LATE-NIGHT PELICANS @ JAZZ BOOKIE BREAKER The Utah Jazz should be highly motivated after taking a 98-97 home loss to this very same Pelicans team only yesterday. The Pelicans are still only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog, and they're not nearly as deep as the Jazz who I really expect will dominate this game from start to finish. 10* play on Utah Jazz. |
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11-27-21 | Notre Dame -20 v. Stanford | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 55 m | Show |
NCAAF GAME OF THE WEEK - TOP-RATED 10* SATURDAY NIGHT *BEST BET* Stanford took a 41-11 home loss as a 2.5-point underdog to California last week. Now they'll face a 10-1 SU (8-3 ATS) Notre Dame team that is dominant on both sides of the ball and just put a 55-0 beating on Georgia tech last time out. The No. 6 Fighting Irish have covered the spread in six straight games, and I don't see them slowing down here as they're aiming for the College Football Playoff. 10* play on Notre Dame Fighting Irish. |
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11-27-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.25 v. Norwich City | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -58 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* PREMIER LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH Norwich have recorded back-to-back wins, defeating Brentford and Southampton, but they're still second from the bottom in the table, and this looks like a very difficult matchup against a Wolves team that is sitting in sixth place, just one place outside of European qualification. Wolves are on an impressive run with just one defeat in their last seven EPL games (W5, D1). 10* play on Wolverhampton. |
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11-26-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 120-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
BUCKS @ NUGGETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Milwaukee Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite and I think they'll be able to take advantage of a shorthanded Denver team. Denver's injury list: Hyland PG Doub Fri - Ankle Jokic C Ques Fri - Wrist Dozier SG out for season - Knee Porter Jr. PF Out indefinitely - Back Cancar SF Out indefinitely - Hip Murray SG Out indefinitely - Knee The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 10* play on Milwaukee Bucks. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S BILLS @ SAINTS THANKSGIVING EVE *BEST BET* The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-25-21 | Connecticut -115 v. Michigan State | Top | 60-64 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY UCONN VS MICHIGAN STATE NCAAB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Connecticut Huskies are undefeated on the season and they are averaging 96.6 points per game, the second-best mark in the nation. The Huskies are making 43.6 percent of their shots from behind the arc, while Michigan State is shooting only 30.9 percent from three-point range. Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. Spartans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 neutral site games as an underdog. 10* play on UConn Huskies. |
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11-24-21 | Blazers -2.5 v. Kings | Top | 121-125 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BLAZERS @ KINGS NBA BAILOUT The Kings are reeling, coming into this game on a four-game losing streak and they have covered the spread in only one of their last nine games. The Blazers on the other hand have heated up lately and they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Sure, the Blazers bring a 1-7 away record into this matchup, but note that they are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 head-to-head meetings in Sacramento. 10* play on Portland Trail Blazers. |
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11-24-21 | Rangers -118 v. Islanders | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
NHL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S EASTERN CONF *BEST BET* I like the Rangers to take care of business against their long-time rival Wednesday night. The Islanders have yet to win a game home at UBS Arena on only two attempts, but still ... The Isles suffered a sixth straight regulation defeat with a 3-0 loss to the Leafs last time out, and they're severely shorthanded due to injuries and COVID-19 protocols. The Rangers on the other hand are healthy, and they're off to a hot start to the year. They've won five of their last six games. 10* play on New York Rangers. |
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11-23-21 | Heat -9.5 v. Pistons | Top | 100-92 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Pistons have one of the worst records in the league, and they are 3-9 ATS in conference games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog (dating back to last season). Tonight the Pistons host a Miami team that has been a major positive surprise, and while this is a big number to cover, note that The Heat are 5-1 ATS as favorites of six or more points this season. They've been asked to cover nine or more twice, and covered both times. 10* play on Miami Heat. |
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11-23-21 | Benfica v. Barcelona FC -143 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* CHAMPIONS LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH Barcelona has won back-to-back Champions League game after dropping the first two rounds of the group stage. Benfica is trending in the opposite direction, with back-to-back UCL losses and nine goals conceded in those two games. This is a revenge game for Barca after losing 3-0 at Benfica earlier this year. 10* play on Barcelona. |
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11-22-21 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 216 | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HORNETS @ WIZARDS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Each of the last four head-to-head meetings has gone under the total, a 97-87 Hornets win at Charlotte last week included. I think the oddsmakers have set the total too high once again when the teams clash in Washington Monday night. The Wizards are a slow-paced team, entering this contest with the third-lowest pace factor (the number of possessions a team uses per game) in the NBA, and the under is 8-1 in Wizards' last 9 overall. Charlotte is playing at a faster pace, but note that the under is 14-6 in Hornets' last 20 games as a road underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 29 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH Great spot to back the Seahawks after coming out completely flat in a shutout loss at Green Bay last week. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. The Cardinals are not the same team without injured star QB Kyler Murray, and while he returned to practice Wednesday, I don't think the Cards will risk him here with their bye on deck. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-20-21 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 48.5 | Top | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 35 h 12 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL BEST BET The New Mexico Lobos rank dead last in the nation with only 13.6 points per game. The Lobos have found their ground game, averaging just under 190 rushing yards per game over their last three games, but they still struggle to get scores. While New Mexico might have some success moving the ball on the ground, they'll take a lot of time off the clock which will help the under. On the defensive side of the ball, the Lobos have been totally fine, ranking 44th against the pass and 45th against the run. Each of Boise State's last five games has gone under the total, and they have allowed an average of only 17.4 points per game during that stretch. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-20-21 | Rutgers +17.5 v. Penn State | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY 12 PM ET TOP-RATED 10* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Rutgers Scarlet Knights won 38-3 at Indiana as a 6.5-point underdog last week. While winning this one might be a reach, I like Rutgers to at least keep it within the number. Penn State is coming off a tough matchup with Michigan (21-17 loss), and four losses in their last five games have seen the Nittany Lions drop out of the Top 25. Rutgers is allowing only 218 passing yards per game (49th), and I think they'll hang around. Scarlet Knights are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Scarlet Knights are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November. Nittany Lions are 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. 10* play on Rutgers Scarlet Knights. |
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11-19-21 | Clippers -3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 81-94 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
CLIPPERS @ PELICANS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY (SIDE) The Los Angeles Clippers will be playing on no rest after taking a 120-108 loss to Memphis Thursday night. They are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest, and I don't think they'll have too much trouble against a New Orleans team that has won only two of 16 games on the season. The Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. 10* play on Los Angeles Clippers. |
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11-19-21 | Warriors v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | Top | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK The Golden State Warriors will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back set after winning 104-89 at Cleveland last night. They are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest and under is 13-3 in Warriors last 16 games as a road favorite. The Detroit Pistons are averaging only 92.2 points per game. They are 24-15 to the under when their opponent plays on 0 rest, dating back to the start of last season, and under is 9-2-1 in Pistons last 12 games as a home underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-18-21 | Spurs +2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 90-115 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
SPURS @ WOLVES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I think we'll ee a reaction from the Spurs after getting beaten quite badly in three straight games. In their last game, the Spurs took a 106-92 loss to the Clippers in LA, but they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, which they are facing here with the Wolves only 3-6 SU at home. Minnesota defeated Sacramento by 10 points in their last game, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 10* play on San Antonio Spurs. |
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11-18-21 | Marquette v. Ole Miss -3.5 | Top | 78-72 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
CBB MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK The Marquette Golden Eagles are 3-0 SU on the season, but only 1-2 ATS. They are allowing 71.0 points per game (219th), and here they'll face an Ole Miss team that has scored 87.5 points per game through its first two games of the season. Marquette has struggled with its shooting from behind the arc, complete opposite of Ole Miss who has shot 39.2% (65th) from three-point land. I don't see Marquette keeping up with the Rebels' shooting. 10* play on Ole Miss Rebels. |
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11-17-21 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 209 | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Orlando Magic are averaging only 99.9 points per game (28th). They put up 111 points at Atlanta last time out, but here they'll face a tough Knicks team that held Indiana to 37% shooting from the field in a 92-84 win a couple of days ago. The Knicks are holding opponents to 43.0% shooting on the season (5th), and under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings at Madison Square Garden. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 117-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - EAST/WEST TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR The Golden State Warriors and the Brooklyn Nets boast some of the most prolific scorers in the league, but these are also two teams that can turn it up on the defensive end. The Warriors have the best defensive rating (number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) in the league and Brooklyn has the fourth-best rating. I think the betting market got this total all wrong. Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 overall. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1-1 in Nets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-15-21 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* RAMS @ NINERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER The Niners can ill afford to drop this game against the Rams as a loss here would make their road to the playoffs all but impossible. "I definitely think there's a big hunger to win," San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday. "I think there's a huge sense of urgency. ... There's a different type of disappointment, a different type of frustration. But the hunger, the energy, that's all still there." San Francisco's 3-5 record does not look good on paper, but they have played a really tough schedule and I think they'll be the hungrier team in this one. Niners' quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has passed for more than 300 yards in back-to-back games, and the Rams can be hit through the air, giving up 249 passing yards per game (17th). The 49ers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. The rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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11-15-21 | Magic +10.5 v. Hawks | Top | 111-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MAGIC @ HAWKS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Hawks snapped a six-game losing streak with a dominant 20-point win against the reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Massive flat spot warning here as they take on a 3-10 Orlando team that is very easy to look past, especially with a tougher opponent in the NY Knicks on deck. I expect to see the Hawks playing down to the competition in this one and that the Magic will keep this close until the very end. 10* play on Orlando Magic. |
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11-15-21 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 200 | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY We saw only 190 points when theese two teams clashed here at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse a couple of days ago. The total for that game closed at 202 points, and I don't think the bookmakers have adjusted enough. Up until this point of the season, only one contest has closed with a total of 200 points or lower. That was back on November 10 when Cleveland hosted Washington, a game the Cavs lost 97-93. The Cavs boast the second-best scoring defense in the league, and they are in the bottom 10 for pace with only 99.3 possessions per game while Boston is right there as well with 99.1 possessions per game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-14-21 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 0-17 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 4 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week, and they are expected to get Russell Wilson back under center after missing more than a month with a fractured middle finger. The Packers on the other hand spent a lot of energy in a hard-fought loss at Kansas City last week with backup QB Jordan Love. Rodgers was absent for the loss while in the league's COVID-19 protocol after testing positive, and even if Rodgers is back for this game, he would be reinstated until Saturday at the earliest and as such having spent quite some time in quarantine. Seahawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-13-21 | Miami-FL -2.5 v. Florida State | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Miami-Florida Hurricanes are playing well at the moment. They've won three in a row straight up, including upset wins against NC State and at Pittsburgh, and they are 3-1 ATS in their last four games. The Hurricanes are averaging a solid 454 yards of total offense per game (24th) and QB Tyler Van Dyke ranks 19th in the nation and fifth in the ACC with an average of 268.1 passing yards per game. He has thrown for 1,100+ yards and ten touchdowns and no picks over the last three games. Florida State is trending in the opposite direction, having lost back-to-back games and failed to cover the number in both. FSU's starting QB Jordan Travis missed last week's 28-14 loss to North Carolina State due to a flu bug, and although he's expected to get the start here, who knows what kind of shape he'll be in. 10* play on Miami-FL Hurricanes. |
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11-12-21 | Knicks -115 v. Hornets | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Good spot to fade the Hornets who ended a five-game skid with a 118-108 upset win at Memphis on Wednesday. The Knicks meanwhile have alternated wins and losses over their last four games, and I think they'll come through with a good game here coming off a home loss against Milwaukee. Knicks are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. Hornets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. 10* play on New York Knicks. |
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11-11-21 | Raptors +2 v. 76ers | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* RAPTORS @ SIXERS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Raptors will play on no rest, but I think they'll snap back with a strong performance after taking a beating at Boston last night. They came into that game on two days rest, so one could argue that the Sixers are in a tougher scheduling spot as they'll be playing their third game in four nights. Additionally, Philly is shorthanded with several players sidelined, and I think the Raptors have a good chance of winning this one outright. 10* play on Toronto Raptors. |
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11-10-21 | Hornets +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HORNETS @ GRIZZLIES NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Charlotte Hornets have dropped five straight games SU and ATS, but I think thye're undervalued here as they wrap up a five-game road trip to the Western Conference. They showed good fight in an OT loss to the Lakers last time out, and the Grizzlies are in a potential flat spot after winning three of their last four SU and ATS. 10* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BLAZERS @ CLIPPERS LATE NIGHT TOTAL - 10:05 PM ET START The Clippers and the Blazers clashed twice in October, which the teams recording one lopsided win each. What was true for both contests was that the teams barely combined for 200 points, and yet we're seeing a total in the 220s here for the third head-to-head of the season. While both teams have the potential to explode and put 120+ points on the board, I think this will be yet another low-scoring affair between two familiar foes. Under is 5-2 in Clippers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. Under is 7-3 in Blazers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-08-21 | Hawks +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HAWKS @ WARRIORS LATE-NIGHT SHOWDOWN The Golden State Warriors are off to a red hot 7-1 straight up and 5-3 against the spread start to the year, and they're coming into this contest riding a three-game winning streak SU and ATS. The Atlanta Hawks meanwhile have won only four of 10 games on the season, and they have dropped each of their last three SU and ATS. This looks like a good spot to back Atlanta to get a W though. The Warriors will be playing on no rest after blowing the doors of the Rockets in a 120-107 triumph Sunday night while Atlanta has had a day off since opening a four-game road trip out west with a loss at Phoenix on Saturday. I think the betting market has overreacted to recent results, the Hawks are not this bad and I think they'll be fired up for this one. 10* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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11-07-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Rams | Top | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* TTIANS @ RAMS SUNDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN The Tennessee Titans are traveling to Los Angeles riding a four-game winning streak, and they have won six of their last seven straight up and against the spread. For this game they'll be without NFL's leading rusher Derrick Henry, but I still think the Titans can keep this one relatively close. The Rams have won four in a row, but they have failed to cover the spread as big favorites in their last two games. Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rams are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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11-06-21 | LSU v. Alabama -28.5 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -108 | 44 h 43 m | Show |
LSU @ ALABAMA NCAAF GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Home teams off a bye and favored by at least 22.5 points are 31-16-1 (66%) against the spread dating back to the start of the 2018 season. "We had a really good bye week," Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban said. "I think we got some players rested up. We got some guys healed up. We also got three good workdays in where the players responded really well. I was pleased with the way last week really went." The Tigers are also coming out of their bye week but they are missing several key players because of injuries. 10* play on Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY ARMY @ AIR FORCE NCAAF GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL) I don't think the bookmakers can make the total for this Academy matchup low enough. These two teams are No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation at running the ball, but also No. 7 and No. 13 at stopping the run as their defense gets plenty of practice. We should see both teams getting stopped at midfield plenty and the clock will keep running. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10 | Top | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NETS @ PISTONS TGIF NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Pistons took a home loss to Philadelphia last night. They failed to cover the spread, which sets up a favorable situation here against Brooklyn Friday night. Home teams that are underdogs of eight points or more and on a three-game losing streak against the spread are 25-15-1 (62.5%) ATS since the start of the 2016 season. Additionally, the Nets tend to play down to lesser competition, going only 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on Detroit Pistons. |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
NUGGETS @ GRIZZLIES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS on the season, but I think the betting market got the spread for this game wrong. Sure, the Grizzlies defeated the Nuggets 106-97 here at FedExForum on Monday, but it's hard to beat this Nuggets team two games in a row, and they should be able to adjust and have a better plan for how to stop Ja Morant this time around. 10* play on Denver Nuggets. |
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11-02-21 | Kings +9 v. Jazz | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
TOP-RATED KINGS @ JAZZ NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Jazz are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season but I think they are asked to cover too many points in this matchup with the Kings Tuesday night. This is a potential flat spot for Utah who is coming off a 107-95 win at reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Sacramento on the other hand will be looking to snap back from a loss at Dallas. The Kings are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. 10* play on Sacramento Kings. |
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10-31-21 | Blazers v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
BLAZERS @ HORNETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Good spot to fade the Blazers who are coming off a massive revenge win over the Clippers after getting humiliated in LA earlier in the week. The Hornets on the other hand should come out with more motivation after taking a 15-point loss at Miami in their last game. Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* play on Charlotte Hornets. |
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10-31-21 | Jaguars v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 103 h 14 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL) The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | 49ers -4 v. Bears | Top | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Bears are averaging an NFL-worst 255.4 yards of total offense per game, and this looks look a bad matchup against a San Francisco team that ranks no. 6 in total defense and no. 5 against the pass. Offensively, the Niners are getting slightly healthier again and QB Jimmy Garoppolo should be sharper than he was in last week's 30-18 loss to Indianapolis. The Niners are a winless 0-4 in their last four games, but they've played a rather tough schedule and they should be able to get the job done against Chicago. Additionally, we can note that Bears head coach Matt Nagy is on the Covid-19 list, so special teams Chris Tabor will serve as head coach and outside linebacker Kahlil Mack has been ruled out due to a foot injury. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
CELTICS @ WIZARDS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY These two teams battled it out in Boston just a couple of days ago, a game the Wizards won 116-107. That game went under by the hook, and I think we'll see an even lower scoring affair here as the teams have had a chance to get familiar with each other. The Wizards have allowed 104, 107 and 111 points over their last three games and under is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 games as a home favorite. Additionally, under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 51 | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Michigan has the 10th best total defense in the nation and the 2nd best scoring defense with only 14.3 points allowed per game. Michigan State was held to 241 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win at Indiana in its last game. I fully expect to see a defensive grind between these two arch-rivals. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -106 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S WORLD SERIES BEST BET The Braves and the Astros have the World Series tied at one apiece after splitting two games at Houston. I like Atlanta to take game 3 home at Truist Park. Astros righty Luis Garcia is 1-1 with a 9.64 ERA in three starts this postseason and he has been pitching a lot better at home than on the road all season. Braves' righty Ian Anderson is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three outings in the current playoffs and he is 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA in seven career postseason starts. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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10-27-21 | Hawks -6 v. Pelicans | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
HAWKS @ PELICANS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Hawks lost their only road game of the season so far (at Cleveland), but I think they match up well against this Pelicans team. New Orleans has the 26th worst offensive efficiency rating in the league while Atlanta has the fifth-best defensive efficiency score, allowing only 92.8 points per 100 possessions. The Pels are struggling without injured forward Zion Williamson, and without him, they do not have enough star power to compete with Trey Young and the rest of the Hawks. Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans. Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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10-27-21 | Orlando City SC v. Columbus OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
SOCCER MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S MLS GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) Orlando is 18-13 to the over 2.5 goals on the season and Columbus is 17-14 to the over. Orlando's games have seen an average of 2.9 goals over the season, the third-highest mark in MLS. We saw five goals when these two teams faced off last month, and this should be another high-scoring affair. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-26-21 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | Top | 110-122 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT NUGGETS @ JAZZ NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT Both Utah (no. 2) and Denver (no. 8) rank top 10 for defensive efficiency and they are 23rd and 24th respectively for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game). They are a combined 5-0 to the under on the season and Denver has the worst turnover ratio in the league. The Nuggets will be playing on no rest after taking a 99-87 home loss to Cleveland on Monday. I think they'll do everything they can to make this game as slow as possible. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-25-21 | Stars -123 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
NHL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED GAME OF THE WEEK Great spot to back the Stars who have had two full days of rest since defeating the Los Angeles Kings on October 22, their second straight win. The Blue Jackets will be playing on only one day of rest since taking a 5-1 beating by Carolina on October 23. The Blue Jackets only goal came on a power play, and now they'll face a Dallas team that has been one of the best teams in the league on the defensive end. The Jackets are 6-21 in their last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. 10* play on Dallas Stars. |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans +5.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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10-23-21 | Mavs -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Tough spot for Toronto who will be playing on no rest after blowing the doors off the Celtis in Boston last night for their first win of the season. The Mavs are in a bounce-back spot after coming out completely flat in a 113-87 loss to Atlanta in their season opener. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* play on Dallas Mavericks. |
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10-23-21 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 63 | Top | 40-48 | Win | 100 | 56 h 31 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-22-21 | Jazz -5.5 v. Kings | Top | 110-101 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT JAZZ @ KINGS NBA BASKET BRAWLER *BAILOUT PLAY* Both teams started the season with a win but in very different ways. The Jazz did not disappoint as they defeated Oklahoma City 107-86 as a 14-point favorite while Sacramento managed to win 124-121 as a 6.5-point underdog at Portland. The Jazz can clamp down on the defensive end in a way the Kings simply can not, and they have a much deeper team. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. They won all three of last season's matchups by an average of 29 points. 10* play on Utah Jazz. |
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10-21-21 | Canucks v. Blackhawks -125 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH The Blackhawks are still looking for their first win of the season. They outshot the Islanders 40-29 in a 4-1 home loss last time out, and they are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a home loss of three or more goals. I think they'll finally bag the elusive W here against a Canucks team that has opened the season with a 1-2-1 record. The Hawks will play their second straight at home while this will be the Nucks' fourth straight game on the road. The home team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on Chicago Blackhawks. |
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10-21-21 | Mavs v. Hawks -138 | Top | 87-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
MIKE'S MAVERICKS @ HAWKS 10* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams return the same core as last season when Dallas won both meetings straight up while splitting ATS. I like the Hawks to be the team to open with a win though, and to cover the spread in the process. The Hawks are 12-3 ATS over the last 15 meetings though, including 6-2 ATS home in Atlanta where they're always difficult to beat. Hawks are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite. Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. 10* play on Atlanta Hawks. |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S NLCS MAJOR WAGER The Dodgers are not in do-or-die mode, but they're just one loss away from being there, after opening the series with a pair of losses at Atlanta. Now they get to return home to Chavez Ravine where they've been dominant all season long. The Braves are 0-5 as road dogs when the opponent is a favorite of -170 or more and veteran right-hander Charlie Morton was tagged with five runs in 4 1/3 innings when he faced the Dodgers with the Rays in Game 3 of the World Series last year. I think we're getting a terrific price on a desperate Dodgers team that can't afford to drop this one. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BILLS @ TITANS MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN I think the Tennessee Titans will keep this Monday night matchup reasonably close. Sure Buffalo is elite on both sides of the ball, but the Titans are among the best at running the ball, which means they can keep the Bills offense off the field while also keeping the clock moving to shorten the game, limiting the Bills' chances of pulling away. Additionally, Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill's weapons are getting healthier, and I think the Titans will put up a fair amount of points. We can also note that Buffalo has been fairly "lucky" with their opponents averaging 2.0 fumbles per game, and these things tend to even out. Lastly, this is a potential flat spot for Buffalo after blowing the doors off the Chiefs on the road at Kansas City Sunday night in Week 5, and Titans' coach Mike Vrabel is 13-5 (72%) ATS as a dog of three points or more. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 2 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Cowboys are off to a hot start, covering the spread in each of their five games and winning four straight up since losing to the reigning Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay in their season opener. I think they're overvalued here though, facing a Patriots team that lost by only two points to the Bucs here at Gillette Stadium a couple of weeks ago. Bill Belichick is money as an underdog (Pats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog) while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We can also note that the Cowboys are on the road following three straight road games, which historically is a tough spot. 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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10-17-21 | Vikings v. Panthers UNDER 46 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 42 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 32-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) Texas held a 28-7 after one quarter in last week's matchup with Oklahoma. It all went downhill from there though as the Sooners came back to win 55-48. I think it will be tough for the Texas players to recharge mentally and physically after that battle, and here they'll face an undefeated 5-0 Oklahoma State team that already has a road win as an underdog at Boise State. Cowboys' running back Jaylen Warren rushed for 125 yards and two touchdowns on 36 carries in a 24-14 home victory over then-No. 21 Baylor on October 2, and he should have a big game against a Texas defense that's allowing 200+ rushing yards per game. Additionally, the Okie State has a big rest advantage coming off its bye week. Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Texas. 10* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* RED SOX @ ASTROS ALCS GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER The Red Sox have made it all the way from the Wild Card game to the ALCS, but I think Houston will prove too difficult, at least here in the first game of the series. Houston left-hander Framber Valdez (11-6, 3.14 ERA) was not at his sharpest against the White Sox in his ALDS start, but the team still won the game 9-4 and Valdez has posted a 1.59 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against the Red Sox. Boston lefty Chris Sale (5-1, 3.16 ERA) was lit up for five runs on four hits and a walk in just one inning against Tampa Bay in his last start. Sale made only nine starts this season as he worked his way back from Tommy John surgery. Red Sox are 5-13 in their last 18 games as a road underdog. Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Red Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* DODGERS @ GIANTS NLDS GAME 5 *BEST BET* Giant's righty Logan Webb (11-3, 2.97 ERA) held the Dodgers to five hits and fanned 10 through 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win on October 8. Webb is 6-0 with a minuscule 1.96 ERA home at Oracle Park this season. Dodgers' left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA) held the Giants to one run in three hits with five ks through five innings in his last start. Urias is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA on the road this season. I think runs will come at a premium for both teams, and I would not be surprised to see a 2-1 type final score for either team. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
COLTS @ RAVENS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY* The Ravens are coming off a 23-7 win against Denver. They held the Broncos to only 254 yards of total offense, and they sacked the Denver QBs five times. Now they'll face a Colts team with a banged up offensive line, and I think it's fair to assume Colts' quarterback Carson Wentz will be blitzed relentlessly. As for the Ravens, they don't do not only run the ball often, they also do it well, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt (4th). Indianapolis held Miami to only 35 rushing yards on 16 attempts last week, but note that the Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and they've been better defending the pass than the run throughout the season. Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Ravens are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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10-11-21 | Brewers v. Braves -103 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
EARLY BREWERS @ BRAVES NLDS GAME 3 *TOP PLAY* The Braves stole Game 1 in Milwaukee. I think they'll defend the home-field advantage with a win here with right-hander Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA) on the mound. Anderson limited the Brew Crew to one run on two hits through six innings of a 5-1 victory on May 15. Anderson posted a 5-1 record in 11 home starts during the regular season and he was 3-0 with a 4.39 ERA five September starts. Milwaukee righty Freddy Peralta (10-5, 2.81 ERA) was just 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA in five September starts. The Brewers bats were cold down the stretch while Atlanta closed out the regular season as one of the hottest teams in baseball. I expect the Braves to run away with this. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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10-10-21 | Dolphins v. Bucs UNDER 48 | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 16 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71 | Top | 17-66 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER - GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Buckeyes are coming off a 52-13 win at Rutgers. Over is 21-6-1 in Buckeyes last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, and they should have no trouble with this Maryland team that put up just 14 points and 271 yards of total offense in a loss to Iowa last week. The Terps defense had been decent prior to that outing, and under is 7-1 in Terrapins last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-07-21 | Rams -129 v. Seahawks | Top | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 14 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - RAMS @ SEAHAWKS TNF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Rams to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Arizona while we also fade Seattle who avoided a three-game losing streak with an upset win at San Francisco. Additionally, the Seahawks have a ton of injuries which will make playing on a short week rather difficult. Seattle has the worst total defense in the league giving up 444.5 ypg, and the worst run defense, The Rams rank fourth in the league in passing (298.3 ypg) and sixth in scoring (28.8 ppg), and QB Matt Stafford just bounce back after having a season-low passer rating of 89.5 against the Cardinals. Rams are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Rams are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Seahawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Los Angeles Rams. |
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10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros -131 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER I think we're getting a great price on Houston in this one, especially considering that the White Sox are only 5-18 SU (+39.4% ROI fading) as road dogs in 2021. Houston righty Lance McCullers Jr. (13-5, 3.16 ERA) has made two starts against the White Sox this year, holding them to three runs and four hits in 13 innings with 14 strikeouts. White Sox righty Lance Lynn (11-6, 2.69 ERA) gave up six runs on eight hits through only four innings in his lone start against the Astros this year. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* CARDS @ DODGERS NL WILD CARD SHOWDOWN The Cardinals closed out the regular season as one of the hottest teams in baseball, but now they'll face a Dodgers team that wrapped up the regular season by winning each of their last six games and averaging nine runs over its past five games. Their 106 wins on the season would have won every division except for their own NL West where they finished one game behind the Giants. Dodgers' right-hander Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA) has yet to take a losing decision (7-0, 1.98 ERA) since coming over from the Nats. While Cards' veteran Adam Wainwright (17-7, 3.05 ERA) has been terrific lately as well, I don't see him shutting down this Dodgers' team in a one-and-done type of game. The Dodgers went 29-15 against the runline (ROI of 17.5%) as home favorites of -200 or more during the regular season. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* YANKEES @ RED SOX AL WILD CARD TOP PLAY Both teams have potent lineups, but I expect runs to come at a premium for both the Yankees and the Red Sox here in the AL Wild Card game. Yankees' right-hander Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA) owns a 2.68 ERA in 13 career postseason starts while Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA) has posted a 1.61 ERA in six career postseason outings (two starts). Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at Fenway Park. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-03-21 | Giants +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Saints are 2-1 SU and ATS and the Giants 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, but I think New Orleans is asked to cover way too many points in this one. While the Saints are third in scoring defense allowing only 14.0 ppg, they are also second-to-last in passing offense coming into this contest averaging only 113.7 passing yards per game. It will be tough for the Saints to get separation, and the Giants have played close games since their opening loss to Denver, losing the last two games on last-second field goals. Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. 10* play on New York Giants. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas State +2 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 33-59 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
CFB MAJOR WAGER - TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Both Arkansas State and Georgia Southern are 1-3 SU on the season, but the Red Wolves are 3-1 ATS while the Eagles are only 1-3 ATS. I think the road team has a good chance at winning outright at Allen E. Paulson Stadium on Saturday. Arkansas State QB James Blackman has had a great start to the season, coming into this week averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt and the Red Wolves ranking 7th in the nation with 360.5 passing yards per game. Georgia Southern has struggled to stop the pass, and UL Lafayette QB Levi Lewis threw three touchdown passes in a 28-20 win at Georgia Southern last week. The Red Wolves have their issues on the defensive side of the ball, but I think their explosive offense will get them the W (at least ATS) in this one. Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Red Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. 10* play on Arkansas State. |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 51-14 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* IOWA @ MARYLAND FRIDAY NIGHT CFB BOOKIE BREAKER Both No. 5 Iowa and Maryland have started the season 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Terps have not really been tested since opening the season with an underdog win against West Virginia, but they've gotten the job done while putting up some solid numbers on both sides of the ball. Iowa opened the season with a couple of wins against two competitive teams in Indiana and Iowa State, but it has looked kind of sluggish in its last two games. Iowa had to claw back from a halftime deficit in last week's 24-14 win against Colorado, and the Hawkeyes put up only 278 yards of total offense, just barely outgaining the Rams. Maryland's explosive offense is averaging 519 yards of total offense per game, and while those numbers are skewed due to the strength of schedule, I do like the home team to keep this close. 10* play on Maryland Terrapins. |
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09-30-21 | Phillies v. Braves -142 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB NL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Phillies have dropped three in a row, the last two here at Atlanta. The Braves have won nine of their last 10 and here they hand the ball to Ian Anderson (8-5, 3.60 ERA) who is a solid 4-1 with a 3.58 ERA home at Truist Park on the season. Anderson has faced the Phillies four times this year, holding them to eight runs on 19 hits with 24 strikeouts over 23 1/3 innings of work. The Phillies hand the ball to Kyle Gibson (10-8, 3.60 ERA) who is just 3-5 with a 4.29 ERA in his road starts. Gibson is a winless 0-3 (1-4 team record) over his last five starts, with 22 runs allowed over 27 2/3 innings of work. 10* play on Atlanta Braves. |
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09-29-21 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Pirates are averaging an MLB-worst 3.91 runs per game. Cubs' right-hander Kyle Hendricks (14-7, 4.81 ERA) owns a 3.69 ERA in 23 career starts against the Pirates who counter with Roansy Contreras who will make his MLB debut. Contreras has compiled a 2.64 ERA while pitching for Double-A Altoona and Triple-A Indianapolis this season. The reeling Cubs have lost seven straight. Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Pittsburgh. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-28-21 | A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR (AL TOTAL) Oakland right-hander Chris Bassitt (12-4, 3.16 ERA) held Seattle to one hit with four Ks through three scoreless innings in his last start since a 36-day layoff due to a shattered cheekbone. Bassitt has posted a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts. Seattle left-hander Tyler Anderson (7-10, 4.48 ERA) will open in what will be a bullpen game for the home team. Oakland's bats have been cold lately, and I think the Mariners relievers can keep them in check. Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 games as a favorite. Under is 8-3-1 in Athletics last 12 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*) The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Seahawks v. Vikings +2 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Vikings are 0-2 on the season, but they could just as well have been 2-0. Also, both were on the road (at Arizona and Cincinnati) and each of the losses came on the last play of the game. Offensively, the Vikes have looked very capable with 400+ yards of total offense per game, and running back Dalvin Cook should have plenty of success against a Seattle defense that has allowed 160+ rushing yards per game (31st). Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +5.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 28 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - NOTRE DAME @ WISCONSIN CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Notre Dame is coming into this contest an undefeated 3-0 on the season. This will be the Fighting Irish's first game as an underdog, but I like them to keep it close against a Wisconsin team that lost outright as a 5.5-point home favorite against Penn State on September 4. The Badgers are phenomenal against the run, but their secondary is vulnerable and Notre Dame QB Jack Coan can sling it, averaging over 300 passing yards per game with nine TD passes on the season. 10* play on Notre Dame. |
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09-22-21 | Orioles v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - 10* IL TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH The Phillies have a .208 batting average over their last three games, and they've scored only five runs during that stretch. This looks like a good spot for Baltimore left-hander Keegan Akin (2-10, 6.93 ERA) to better his numbers, and he had a couple of solid starts prior to his last three outings. Baltimore has scored more than three runs in only one of their last eight games, and their .239 batting average for the season is one of the worst marks in baseball. Phillies' All-star right-hander Zack Wheeler (14-9, 2.83 ERA) is having a great year, and he has a 2.04 ERA in his three career starts against the Orioles. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-21-21 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Marlins rookie left-hander Trevor Rogers (7-7, 2.71 ERA) has made three career starts against Washington, resulting in a 3.86 ERA. Nats' lefty Josh Rogers (1-0, 2.60 ERA) held the Marlins to one hit, one walk, and no runs while striking out six in five innings last week. The Marlins won the opener of this series 8-7 on Monday. Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2-1 in Nationals last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Marlins' last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. |
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09-20-21 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Rays' righty Shane Baz may be making his MLB debut, but he's a top-prospect that has posted a 1.76 mark in 10 starts while holding opposing hitters to a .174 batting average in Triple-A this season. Also, Baz will be backed up by a Rays bullpen that is among the best in baseball. As for Toronto left-hander Robbie Ray (12-5, 2.64 ERA), the American League Cy Young Award candidate's numbers speak for themselves. In seven career outings against the Rays, Ray is 2-2 with an ERA of 2.45. Under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-19-21 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK I think the Saints are getting way too much respect here after putting a 38-3 beating on the Packers in their season opener. Carolina did not look too shabby either as it opened the season with a solid 19-14 victory against the New York Jets. Sure, the Jets are one of the weakest teams in the NFL, but Carolina is at home for a second straight week while the Saints are on the road in a potential letdown spot. The Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and the underdog is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. 10* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 49.5 | Top | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Eagles opened the season with a 32-6 win against Atlanta. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was held to 164 passing yards on 21-of-35 passing and no touchdown passes. The Niners are coming off a shootout win at Detroit, a game where the teams were a combined 5-for-5 in the red zone. I expect a much better defensive performance from San Francisco in this one. Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8 in Eagles' last 30 home games. Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State -4.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 57 h 52 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Both teams are coming into this contest a perfect 2-0 straight up and against the spread. The 22nd-ranked Auburn has not really been tested though, coming into its contests as a 37-point favorite against Akron and a 49.5-point favorite against Alabama State. I don't think the Tigers are way overrated after blowout out a couple of no-name teams, and I don't think they are quite prepared for what they're about to come up against in this one. No. 10 Penn State opened the season with a 16-10 road win as a 5.5-point underdog at then-No. 12 Wisconsin and it defeated Ball State 44-13 last time out. The Lions really impressed in their win against the Badgers, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. I think they'll slow down Auburn's untested offense enough to win and cover. Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Nittany Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Nittany Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Penn State Nittany Lions. |
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09-18-21 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 52.5 | Top | 8-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH The No. 6 Clemson Tigers have allowed a total of only 13 points through their first two games of the season. Georgia Tech put up 45 points in a 28-point victory last week, but as a 20-point favorite against Kennesaw State. While Georgia Tech's defense has not really been tested yet, giving up only giving up 123.5 passing yards per game (8th) is impressive, and it's a better number than Clemson's 133.5 (13th) passing yards per game allowed. Under is 6-2-2 in Yellow Jackets last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-18-21 | Brentford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -115 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - PREMIER LEAGUE SOCCER GAME OF THE MONTH Wolverhampton picked up their first Premier League win of the season last weekend, following an 0-3 start. They have decent talent, and I expect the Wolves to go on a bit of a run now, continuing with a home win against Brentford. Wolves are unbeaten in the past four league head-to-head meetings, and Brentford is cooling off, coming off back-to-back losses. 10* play on Wolves. |