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Mike Lundin Football Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-12-25 Packers v. Eagles UNDER 45.5 Top 10-22 Win 100 11 h 13 m Show

4% PACKERS/EAGLES NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I feel like both the Green Bay Packers and the Philadelphia Eagles' offenses have been stealing the headlines, but note that the Eagles rank No. 1 in total defense and the Packers No. 5.

Philly won 34-29 when they hosted the Packers back in September, but playoff clashes typically play out very different than regular season matchups.

We can also note that Eagles' QB Jalen Hurts has been missing time with a concussion, and Packers' QB Jordan Love has been bothered by a right elbow injury sustained in their Week 18 loss to Chicago. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

01-11-25 Chargers v. Texans UNDER 42 Top 12-32 Loss -105 15 h 7 m Show

5% LAC/HOU NFL WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Houston Texans stumbled down the stretch, with a total of only 44 points scored over their last three games and an average of 17.4 ppg over their last five games. Both teams rank in the top 10 for total defense and the bottom 10 for total offense. I expect a tight, low-scoring wild card clash. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-29-24 Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 37.5 7-41 Win 100 32 h 53 m Show

COWBOYS/EAGLES NFL TOTAL

The Dallas Cowboys are starting to shed their early-season struggles, winning four of their last five, including two outright as underdogs. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles are dealing with a tough spot, coming off a divisional loss to Washington and now without Jalen Hurts, who is sidelined with a concussion. Despite Philly’s backup QB stepping in, the total looks a bit low, considering the offensive talent on both sides. I like Dallas to cover the spread and the over to hit in what could be a high-scoring affair.

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

12-27-24 Oklahoma v. Navy UNDER 43.5 Top 20-21 Win 100 3 h 24 m Show

4% OKLA/NAVY ARMED FORCES BOWL TOTAL TOP PLAY

Both teams boast strong defenses, and the Navy will likely struggle to move the ball against an Oklahoma unit, allowing just 2.9 yards per rush attempt, ranking sixth in the FBS. With Navy lacking a significant passing threat, their best chance will be to lean heavily on their ground game and control the clock.

Oklahoma comes into this matchup shorthanded on both sides of the ball, with several key defenders and offensive players opting out to prepare for the NFL Draft. This could keep the game close and limit scoring opportunities.

4% PLAU ON THE UNDER. 

12-22-24 Giants v. Falcons UNDER 43 Top 7-34 Win 100 10 h 39 m Show

4% GIANTS/FALCONS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Giants hold the league's worst scoring average, while the Atlanta Falcons aren't much better offensively. Atlanta recently benched their $180 million QB Kirk Cousins, and last week's 15-9 win in Vegas does little to alleviate concerns about their sputtering offense. This matchup shapes up as a battle of struggling offenses. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-21-24 Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 41.5 Top 19-27 Loss -105 57 h 4 m Show

4% TEXANS/CHIEFS SAT NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The KC Chiefs will most likely have to do without star quarterback Patrick Mahomes, but they still boast one of the best defensive units in the league and Houston has won its last two games with its defense.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-20-24 Tulane v. Florida OVER 48.5 Top 8-33 Loss -112 12 h 57 m Show

4% TULANE/FLORIDA GASPARILLA BOWL TOP PLAY

The Tulane Green Wave have stumbled late in the season, suffering a 34-24 loss to Memphis and a 35-14 defeat at Army. However, I expect their offense to bounce back in the Gasparilla Bowl against Florida this Friday.

The Gators' defense has been inconsistent, and with former Oregon five-star recruit Ty Thompson making his first college start under center for the Green Wave, the element of surprise might work in Tulane's favor.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER.

12-19-24 Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 41.5 Top 27-34 Loss -105 16 h 21 m Show

5% MAX BET ALERT - DEN/LAC TNF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

On paper, the Denver Broncos' four-game winning streak looks like it has been fueled by a humming offense, but the truth is that they have struggled to generate offense and have scored plenty off takeaways. That's not sustainable, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair here against a Chargers team off three consecutive 17-point games. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-17-24 Memphis v. West Virginia OVER 60.5 Top 42-37 Win 100 9 h 59 m Show

4% MEM/WVU CFB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Memphis Tigers have been putting up impressive numbers down the stretch, and the same is mostly true for the West Virginia Mountaineers, a couple of duds aside. Memphis' defense has looked sharp but can be hurt through the air, and as for Tigers' QB Sam Henigan, he has passed for 3,208 yards and 23 touchdowns against six interceptions this season and will be looking to end his CFB career with a bang. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

12-16-24 Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 Top 12-30 Win 100 32 h 28 m Show

4% BEARS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY

Matchups between these two division rivals tend to be low-scoring affairs, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 15. The Bears rank dead last in total offense, averaging just 288.5 yards per game, and they managed a measly 162 yards and 13 points in interim coach Thomas Brown's debut last week.

Defensively, the Bears are capable of holding their own, and while Vikings QB Sam Darnold has a couple of elite weapons at his disposal, I think Chicago’s defense can keep this game tight and the scoring to a minimum.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-15-24 Chiefs v. Browns UNDER 41.5 Top 21-7 Win 100 13 h 42 m Show

5% MAX BET ALERT - CHIEFS/BROWNS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off back-to-back 19-17 victories, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see another similarly tight final score here.

The Cleveland Browns have shown flashes of improvement on offense with Jameis Winston under center, but Kansas City's defense remains one of the most underrated units in the league.

The Chiefs are 12-1 this season, not because of their usual offensive firepower but due to their defensive dominance.

I expect a relatively low-scoring affair in this matchup.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-08-24 Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 Top 30-18 Loss -110 89 h 36 m Show

5% SEA/ARI NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Arizona Cardinals defense had stepped up in recent games, something the Seahawks saw firsthand when these two teams clashed in Seattle on Nov 24.

The Seahawks still won 16-6 though, and they had played five consecutive unders prior to last week's 26-21 win over the Jets.

The Cardinals have seen their last four games stay under the closing total, and I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-08-24 Browns v. Steelers OVER 43.5 14-27 Loss -110 12 h 25 m Show

BROWNS/STEELERS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Cleveland Browns have found new life on offense with Jameis Winston at the helm, putting up 24+ points in three of his five starts and a solid 56 points over their last two games. However, the defense has slipped, giving up 24+ points in four of their last five outings. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh QB Russell Wilson is hitting his stride, making this matchup one to watch for fireworks on the scoreboard.

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

12-07-24 Marshall v. UL-Lafayette OVER 57.5 Top 31-3 Loss -105 18 h 24 m Show

5% MARSHALL/ULL CFB CONF CHAMP WKND TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Marshall Thundering Herd really found their scoring touch down the stretch, and the same is true for the ULL Ragin Cajuns.

Both teams have struggled against the run all season and are averaging over 5.0 yards per rush attempt, so the injury to ULL's starting quarterback Ben Wooldridge is not too much of a concern, as they should be able to move the ball effectively with a strong trio of running backs. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

12-01-24 Chargers v. Falcons OVER 47.5 Top 17-13 Loss -110 11 h 54 m Show

5% LAC/ATL MAX BET ALERT - NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a 30-23 loss to Baltimore but had scored 26+ points in four straight games prior. Their last three games have gone over the total, and I expect the Chargers to keep lighting up the scoreboard, while the Atlanta Falcons, fresh off their bye, rebound from lackluster offensive performances at New Orleans and Denver. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

11-30-24 Michigan v. Ohio State UNDER 42.5 Top 13-10 Win 100 8 h 35 m Show

5% MICH/OSU CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Ohio State Buckeyes boast the nation’s best scoring defense, allowing just 241.7 yards per game, while the Michigan Wolverines are no slouches, holding opponents to 316.3 yards per game. Michigan has leaned heavily on its ground game all season, and as nearly three-touchdown underdogs, their best strategy will be to shorten the game with long, methodical drives to keep Ohio State’s explosive offense off the field.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-28-24 Giants v. Cowboys OVER 37.5 20-27 Win 100 12 h 32 m Show

GIANTS/COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Dallas Cowboys are fresh off a 34-26 win at Washington, and I think Cooper Rush and the rest of the boys will be able to pile up points against a Giants team that is missing key pieces on defense. Dallas has also had its own issues on defense lately, allowing 26 points or more in six straight games, so I think the Giants can do some damage, even with Tommy DeVito at QB, to push this one over a low total like this. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

11-25-24 Ravens v. Chargers OVER 50 30-23 Win 100 14 h 23 m Show

RAVENS/CHARGERS TOTAL

This looks like a good spot to fade the Los Angeles Chargers following four consecutive wins SU and ATS. The Baltimore Ravens are set to bounce back from a disappointing 18-16 loss at Pittsburgh and while they are 1-3 ATS in divisional games on the season, they're 4-2-1 ATS against opponents from outside their division.

I also like the over as I expect the Ravens to bounce back offensively following the lackluster outing against the Steelers. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER.

11-24-24 Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 Top 29-19 Loss -110 16 h 36 m Show

5% DEN/LV AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Denver Broncos have held four of their last five opponents to 16 points or fewer, with the lone exception being a 41-10 loss at Baltimore. The Raiders, however, are no Baltimore, and they’ll likely struggle against a Broncos defense that ranks 3rd in total defense this season.

Meanwhile, the Raiders' offense ranks 30th in total offense, making this a tough matchup for them to generate points.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-24-24 Chiefs v. Panthers UNDER 43 Top 30-27 Loss -110 13 h 33 m Show

5% KC/CAR NFL INTERCONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Carolina Panthers have seen improved production since turning back to Bryce Young at quarterback. Their defense has also stepped up in back-to-back wins over the Giants and Saints, and I expect a relatively low-scoring game here against a Kansas City Chiefs team focused on tightening up defensively after allowing 30 points in a loss to Buffalo last week.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-23-24 Penn State v. Minnesota UNDER 45.5 26-25 Loss -110 11 h 38 m Show

PSU/MIN CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The No. 4 Penn State Nittany Lions are fresh off a dominant 49-10 win over Purdue, continuing their trend of dismantling opponents this season. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are coming off a bye but stumbled in their last outing, losing 26-19 as a home favorite to Rutgers on Nov. 9. Penn State's D has been excellent all season and I expect this to be a fairly low-scoring affair. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-23-24 Wake Forest v. Miami-FL OVER 67.5 14-42 Loss -105 7 h 10 m Show

WF/MIA CFB BOOKIE BOMBER

The Miami Hurricanes have faced some high totals this season but still boast a 7-2-1 record to the over. After a humbling 28-23 loss at Georgia Tech last week, I expect a strong bounce back from their offense. Meanwhile, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons should do their part to contribute to what looks like a shootout.

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

11-23-24 North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 52 Top 21-41 Loss -105 7 h 11 m Show

5% UNC/BC CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Boston College Eagles have allowed 31 points or more in three consecutive games, but they've been fairly good against the run all season which happens to be UNC's preferred way of moving the ball. As for the Tar Heels' defense, it's been solid holding its last three opponents to a total of 49 points, and not against total cupcake opponents either.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-17-24 Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 46.5 Top 21-30 Loss -110 14 h 22 m Show

4% CHIEFS/BILLS NFL TOP PLAY

It feels like I'm repeating myself every time I bet on a Kansas City Chiefs game, but their defense continues to be underrated.

While the bookmakers are starting to adjust, the Chiefs are still 5-4 to the under this season.

They've once again overestimated the scoring potential here, likely influenced by the marquee quarterbacks.

On the Bllls' side, their defense has also proven capable of stepping up, holding four of its opponents to just 10 points each.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-17-24 Packers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 Top 20-19 Win 100 11 h 60 m Show

5% NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Green Bay Packers are coming off their bye week but lost 24-14 to Detroit on November 3. They had scored 24 points or more in four straight games leading up to that loss, but now they'll face a tough defense in the Chicago Bears, who are holding opponents to 18.6 points per game (7th). The Bears are still only 4-5 on the season due to a consistently sputtering offense that has scored a combined 27 points over three consecutive losses.

The Packers' defense has struggled recently, allowing 22+ points in three straight games, but 21 points from either team should be more than enough to win this game. I rarely call out exact scores, but 20-17 Packers. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-16-24 Tennessee v. Georgia UNDER 47 Top 17-31 Loss -110 17 h 56 m Show

5% TEN/UGA CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

Tennessee has hit the under in five of its last six games, while Georgia is 3-2 to the under in its last five, including a 28-10 loss to Ole Miss. While the Vols average a solid 470 yards per game (8th), much of that production has come against weaker competition, and their offense has not been able to replicate those numbers against elite teams.

With familiarity between these two programs favoring defensive game plans and the last two meetings staying under the total, this matchup sets up as another potential grind-it-out, lower-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-11-24 Dolphins v. Rams OVER 48.5 Top 23-15 Loss -110 15 h 31 m Show

5% MAX BET ALERT - NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

With Tua Tagovailoa back from his latest concussion, the Miami Dolphins have put up 27 points in each of their last two games, though they lost both.

Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams are riding a three-game winning streak, scoring 76 points during that stretch.

Matthew Stafford has been sharp, throwing for six TDs and just one INT over the last two games, and Miami’s defense just gave up three passing touchdowns to Josh Allen last week.

All signs point to an action-packed Monday night showdown at SoFi Stadium.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

11-10-24 Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 Top 14-16 Win 100 12 h 54 m Show

5% DEN/KC AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Denver Broncos are 6-3 to the over this season, with each of their last five games going over the total. However, I expect a lower-scoring game when they visit KC on Sunday.

Matchups with their divisional rival tend to stay on the lower side, and while KC has allowed more points recently, I don’t see Denver finding much success offensively here, as KC's D is still one of the best units in the league IMO.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-10-24 Giants v. Panthers UNDER 40.5 17-20 Win 100 8 h 28 m Show

EARLY GIANTS/PANTHERS NFL @ GERMANY

The Carolina Panthers are 7-2 to the over for the season, but I don't think this New York Giants team has the weapons to take advantage of their struggling defense.

The Giants have scored more than 18 points in only one of their last four games, and while the Panthers have looked a bit more lively in recent weeks, they have virtually no running game, and the Giants are fairly good against the pass. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-09-24 Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech OVER 63.5 Top 23-28 Loss -110 6 h 35 m Show

5% MIA/GT CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Miami-FL Hurricanes rank No. 1 for both total offense and yards per play. Quarterback Cam Ward has 3,146 passing yards and 29 touchdowns, and Georgia Tech has been better at stopping the run than against the pass.

The Yellow Jackets have been outscored 52-19 over their last two games, but I think this will be a high-scoring affair against a Miami team that has allowed 31 points or more in four of their last five games. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

11-03-24 Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 48.5 Top 26-20 Win 100 13 h 48 m Show

5% LAR/SEA NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Seahawks struggled offensively last week, scoring just 10 points against the Bills, and now face a Rams team that has seen two of its last three games go under the total. The Rams, coming off a solid 30-20 win over the Vikings, benefited from the return of receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua; however, Nacua is questionable this week with a knee injury.

While both teams have scoring potential, the total here feels inflated given the matchup and recent trends. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-03-24 Chargers v. Browns UNDER 42.5 Top 27-10 Win 100 9 h 21 m Show

4% CHARGERS/BROWNS NFL TOP PLAY

The Cleveland Browns scored a season-high 29 points against the Baltimore Ravens last week.

They certainly look more lively with Jameis Winston under center instead of Deshaun Watson, but the Chargers' defense is still their biggest strength. The Chargers have held four straight opponents to 17 points or fewer.

In fact, the Chargers have yet to allow more than 20 points in a game this season and I think this will be a low-scoring affair. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-02-24 Duke v. Miami-FL UNDER 55.5 Top 31-53 Loss -115 9 h 22 m Show

5% DUKE/MIA ACC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The No. 5 Miami-FL Hurricanes rank No. 1 in the nation in average points scored (46.8) and boast the best total offense in CFB with 560+ yards per game, but this week they'll face a resilient Duke defense that is allowing just 327 yards per game (34th) and 18.6 ppg, and it has been especially effective against the pass.

The Hurricanes' defense is almost as good as their offense, holding opponents to 299 yards per game (14th).

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-27-24 Bills v. Seahawks UNDER 45.5 Top 31-10 Win 100 13 h 59 m Show

5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Buffalo Bills are coming off a 34-10 win over the Tennessee Titans, but I think they'll find it a bit more difficult to put points on the board this week, against a Seattle team that limited the Atlanta Falcons to just 14 points last week.

Bills QB Josh Allen is coming off a big game, but has otherwise had an underwhelming season. 

As for the Seahawks, Geno Smithh has had the offense rolling, but they're likely to be without star receiver DK Metcalf who suffered a knee injury last week. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-27-24 Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 45.5 31-26 Loss -110 6 h 54 m Show

FALCONS/BUCS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

With Tampa Bay missing both of its leading receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, their offense is severely handicapped and forced to lean on unproven young receivers. Atlanta also comes in struggling after an ugly offensive showing, managing just 14 points with costly fourth-quarter turnovers last week.

Both teams are dealing with key injuries across the board, likely pushing them to more conservative, low-risk play-calling. All signs point to a lower-scoring game.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-26-24 Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech UNDER 53.5 Top 6-21 Win 100 5 h 31 m Show

5% GT/VT CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Virginia Tech Hokies are 5-2 to the over while the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-2 to the under. I expect a low-scoring game as the visitors will try to shorten the game as a double-digit underdog, and the Hokies are due for regression offensively following a string of impressive outings. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-20-24 Panthers v. Commanders OVER 51.5 Top 7-40 Loss -110 15 h 0 m Show

5% NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Carolina Panthers are allowing an NFL-worst 33.8 points per game, and the red-hot Washington Commanders are averaging 378.0 total yards per game, good for the fifth-best mark in the league.

Defensively, the Commanders have not been quite as sharp, allowing 354 yards per game (22nd) and 6.3 yards per play (30th).

The Panthers have scored 20 points or more in three of their last four games and veteran QB Andy Dalton has thrown for 896 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions across four starts since taking over for Bryce Young.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

10-19-24 Georgia v. Texas OVER 57 Top 30-15 Loss -115 15 h 36 m Show

5% UGA/TEX SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Texas Longhorns are averaging 43.2 points per game (7th) and the Georgia Bulldogs 33.5 points per game (37th). The Bulldogs defense is good, but gave up 41 points at Alabama on Sep 28 and while the Longhorns elite D has held opponents to 6.3 ppg (1st), this is a big step up from what they've faced so far. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

10-13-24 Bengals v. Giants UNDER 47 Top 17-7 Win 100 34 h 47 m Show

5% CIN/NYG INTERCONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 41-38 loss to Baltimore, but I expect a very different type of game when they visit the New York Giants on Sunday night.

The Bengals have scored 30-plus points in each of their past three games while the Giants have not allowed more than 21 points since their 28-6 Week 1 loss to Minnesota.

The Bengals D is a mess, but the Giants lack weapons to take advantage. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-12-24 Cincinnati v. Central Florida UNDER 58.5 Top 19-13 Win 100 13 h 2 m Show

5% CIN/UCF BIG 12 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Cincinnati Bearcats held Houston and Miami-OH to a combined 16 points before getting torched on defense in a 44-41 loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago. After a bye week to work on their defensive issues, they’ll now face a UCF team that has scored just 34 points across its last two games. Additionally, the Knights don't have the advantage of a bye week after battling the Gators hard in the Swamp last week.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-11-24 Northwestern v. Maryland OVER 45.5 Top 37-10 Win 100 13 h 41 m Show

5% BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Maryland Terrapins are 4-1 to the over on the season. They are perfect 3-0 to the over as favorites, and tonight they're a double-digit home favorite against a Northwestern team that gave up 41 points as a 13-point underdog to Indiana last week.

The Wildcats have been effective at stopping the run, but they're giving up 7.4 yards per pass attempt, and the Terps are averaging 304.8 passing yards per game (17th).

Additionally, Maryland is coming off its bye and will be looking to get rolling again following a 42-28 loss to the same Indiana team that beat Northwestern last week. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

10-07-24 Saints v. Chiefs UNDER 43 Top 13-26 Win 100 13 h 31 m Show

4% SAINTS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Kansas City Chiefs may be 4-0, but they've looked far from dominant. Averaging just 5.7 yards per play (17th), they’ve only done enough and keep finding ways to edge out their opponents.

While the last four primetime games have hit the over, I expect a lower-scoring affair here as I trust the Chiefs' defense more than their offense until they find their rhythm.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

10-06-24 Bills v. Texans OVER 47 Top 20-23 Loss -110 77 h 32 m Show

5% BILLS/TEXANS AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

I expect the Buffalo Bills' offense to snap back after scoring just 10 points against the Baltimore Ravens. The Houston Texans rank fifth in total defense, but they're giving up a fair amount of points, and the Bills are averaging 30.5 points per game (2nd) for the season despite laying an egg last week. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

10-05-24 Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 45 Top 6-52 Loss -105 9 h 3 m Show

5% CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Purdue Boilermakers have struggled to score points as underdogs, and their offensive coordinator, Graham Harrell, was fired following last week's 28-10 loss at home against Nebraska. Their offensive analyst will take over play-calling duties, and to see immediate improvements might be a tough ask.

The Wisconsin Badgers have struggled defensively against Alabama and USC, but this looks like a good spot to get back on track. Offensively, the Badgers have scored only 31 points across their last two games. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-30-24 Seahawks v. Lions OVER 46.5 Top 29-42 Win 100 14 h 15 m Show

4% SEAHAWKS/LIONS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Seattle Seahawks have allowed just 248.7 yards per game (2nd), but this will be a big step up in competition compared to the offenses they've faced.

The Detroit Lions are well-balanced and can attack both on the ground and through the air, and Seattle's QB Geno Smith should have success against a Detroit secondary that is giving up over 216 passing yards per game. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

09-29-24 Rams v. Bears UNDER 40.5 Top 18-24 Loss -110 12 h 50 m Show

5% NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Chicago Bears have struggled offensively in recent weeks, but their defense has kept games relatively close. The Los Angeles Rams could be in a potential flat spot after their come-from-behind win over the 49ers, and they're dealing with key injuries on offense.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-28-24 Colorado v. Central Florida OVER 62 Top 48-21 Win 100 12 h 52 m Show

5% CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Colorado Buffaloes are coming off a 38-31 win over Baylor and have scored 30+ points in two of their four games on the season.

Meanwhile, UCF has racked up 137 points across their last three games. They're averaging over 375 rushing yards per game and should find success against a Colorado defense allowing 4.0 yards per carry (73rd).

While UCF has been solid against the run, they've struggled against the pass, and they'll be tested by Colorado QB Deion Sanders, who's averaging 335 passing yards per game.

This is a classic strength vs. weakness matchup, favoring both offenses, and I fully expect this game to go over the posted total.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

09-23-24 Commanders v. Bengals UNDER 47 38-33 Loss -110 11 h 56 m Show

3% COMMANDERS/BENGALS TOTAL

The Cincinnati Bengals can’t afford another loss after starting the season 0-2. Despite last week's 26-25 defeat at Kansas City, there were plenty of positives in a game they could’ve—and arguably should’ve—won. I expect a focused Bengals team in Week 3. The Washington Commanders are coming off a 21-18 win over the Giants, but coming off a win I think they’ll struggle to match the home team’s motivation in this game.

In addition to the Bengals to cover the spread, I also like the under. Note that the over/under is 2-6 in primetime games in 2024 and 17-27-1 in all games. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER.

09-22-24 49ers v. Rams UNDER 43.5 24-27 Loss -110 12 h 28 m Show

NINERS/RAMS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

I like the LA Rams to bounce back defensively after getting torched by Arizona in Week 2. They matched up well against the Niners' offense last season, and while San Francisco has looked sharp defensively, they’ll be without key offensive weapons.

Running back Christian McCaffrey is out, wide receiver Deebo Samuel (calf) is likely to miss a couple of games, and tight end George Kittle (hamstring) is doubtful.

Meanwhile, the Rams' offense faces its own challenges with injuries along the offensive line.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-22-24 Panthers v. Raiders UNDER 40 Top 36-22 Loss -105 36 h 53 m Show

5% INTERCONFERENCE NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Carolina Panthers have struggled mightily on offense, and this week they'll be making a change at quarterback, moving from 2023 No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young to veteran Andy Dalton. However, based on Dalton's recent seasons, it's unclear how much of an upgrade that will be.

The Las Vegas Raiders are capable of moving the ball, particularly through the air, but the Panthers have shown they can defend the pass effectively, allowing just 7.5 yards per attempt.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-22-24 Texans v. Vikings UNDER 46.5 7-34 Win 100 9 h 6 m Show

TEXANS/VIKES NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Minnesota Vikings' offense has been surprisingly effective with Sam Darnold at the helm, but this week they face a Houston Texans defense that's allowed just 254 yards and 20 points per game in 2024. Texans QB C.J. Stroud, the reigning Rookie of the Year, will also have his hands full against a tough Vikings defense. As more film becomes available on Stroud, I expect some regression.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-21-24 USC v. Michigan UNDER 44 24-27 Loss -105 14 h 45 m Show

USC/MICHIGAN CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The USC Trojans are coming off a shutout win over Utah State. Their defense will be well-rested coming off a bye week, and the Michigan Wolverines have been holding opponents to a solid 304.3 yards per game (65th).

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-21-24 Houston v. Cincinnati UNDER 48 Top 0-34 Win 100 10 h 22 m Show

5% CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Houston Cougars are 3-0 to the under for the season. They have scored a total of just 52 points, but they've looked great on the defensive side of the ball and held opponents two 238.7 yards per game (11th). Offensively, they've looked more mediocre, and injuries doesn't help their case.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off back-to-back unders, and I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-19-24 Patriots v. Jets UNDER 38.5 Top 3-24 Win 100 12 h 36 m Show

4% PATS/JETS T.N.F. TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Jets' defense has underperformed compared to projections, but this could be a good opportunity to bounce back against a New England Patriots team averaging a paltry 4.8 yards per play. The Pats rely heavily on their rushing attack to move the ball, which, even when successful, drains a lot of clock. 

The Patriots' defense has looked solid, as expected. Through the first two weeks of the season, they have allowed the fifth-fewest points per game (16.5). They've struggled somewhat against the pass, but Aaron Rodgers has yet to surpass 200 passing yards with the Jets.

I'll gladly take the under in this feisty Thursday night rivalry game.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-15-24 Colts v. Packers UNDER 40.5 Top 10-16 Win 100 10 h 34 m Show

5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a 34-29 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Brazil.

Jordan Love suffered a sprained MCL in his left knee late in the game and is expected to miss this Week 2 matchup with the Indianapolis Colts. Malik Willis is expected to start under center instead for the Packers, and while he's made three NFL starts, note that Willis did not throw for 100 yards in any of those games.

The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a 29-27 loss against the Houston Texans, but I expect a lower-scoring and short game today as both teams are likely to rely on their running game to move the football. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-14-24 Hawaii v. Sam Houston State UNDER 49.5 Top 13-31 Win 100 34 h 53 m Show

5% CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are off to a 1-1 start, despite holding their opponents to no more than 16 points per game. This upcoming contest marks their first road game of the season, and their offensive performance has historically dipped when playing away from home.

The Sam Houston State Bearkats, who recently transitioned to the FBS level, began their season with an impressive 34-14 victory over Rice, followed by a 45-14 loss to UCF, who dominated with their rushing attack.

The Bearkats have been strong against the pass, and I believe they match up well against Hawaii. They should be able to contain the Rainbow Warriors’ passing game.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-09-24 Jets v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 Top 19-32 Loss -110 13 h 5 m Show

4% JETS/NINERS M.N.F. TOP PLAY

One must wonder how Jets veteran QB Aaron Rodgers will perform in his first start in over a year and a half, after going down with a season-ending Achilles injury in the opening series of last season. He certainly could have hoped for an easier opponent to make his comeback against, but the Jets also have one of the best defensive units in the NFL, which makes me think this will be a low-scoring game.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-08-24 Cowboys v. Browns UNDER 41 Top 33-17 Loss -110 79 h 47 m Show

5% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The game features two of the league's top defenses, and the Browns will be without key players, including running back Nick Chubb. Cleveland's quarterback Deshaun Watson has yet to return to his previous form, and offensive chemistry may be an issue early in the season. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-07-24 Texas v. Michigan UNDER 45 Top 31-12 Win 100 121 h 0 m Show

5% CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Texas Longhorns opened the season with a shutout win over the Colorado State Rams while the Michigan Wolverines are coming off a 30-10 win over the Fresno State Bulldogs. 

I was particularly impressed with the Longhorns defense, which held Colorado State's QB to just 10-of-18 passing for 59 yards, and the Wolverines defense looked sharp as well. I think this will be a low-scoring affair. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

09-05-24 Ravens v. Chiefs UNDER 47 Top 20-27 Push 0 17 h 1 m Show

4% RAVENS/CHIEFS TNF TOP PLAY

The Kansas City Chiefs defense is never getting enough credit, IMO, and the Ravens will, as always, be run-heavy with their dual-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson and especially now with the addition of Derrick Henry in the backfield. Additionally, early-season scores tend to be low as offenses work out the kinks with fresh faces and new schemes. 

The Chiefs defeated the Ravens 17-10 in the AFC title game last season and I think this will be another low-scoring game. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

08-31-24 Virginia Tech v. Vanderbilt OVER 48 Top 27-34 Win 100 32 h 55 m Show

5% CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Virginia Tech Hokies return several key pieces from an offense that averaged 29.5 points per game (45th) last season, including quarterback Kyron Drones, who threw 17 touchdowns while also running for 818 yards and five touchdowns. The Vanderbilt Commodores averaged a more modest 20.6 (104th), but they should improve this season with a new offensive coordinator and two new quarterbacks. 

I expect the Hokies to score the majority of the points against possibly one of the worst defenses in the country, but I'd rather take the over than VA Tech to cover, as I think Vanderbilt will put up a fair amount as well. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

02-11-24 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 22-25 Win 100 20 h 20 m Show

MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS TOTAL

I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. 

In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

01-28-24 Lions v. 49ers OVER 51 Top 31-34 Win 100 41 h 39 m Show

MAX BET ALERT: 5* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Detroit Lions are coming off a 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are 12-7 to the over on the season. Sure, here they'll face a much better defense, but even so, the Niners D has not been quite as dominant as in previous seasons.

Detroit has a lot more upside with the ball in their hands than on defense, and I like the over in this game even with this total which is on the higher side, especially for a playoff game.  

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

01-20-24 Packers v. 49ers UNDER 51 Top 21-24 Win 100 21 h 27 m Show

MAX BET ALERT - 5* GB/SF DIV PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Green Bay Packers put up 48 points against the Cowboys in Dallas in the Wild Card round, but they'll face a much tougher defense here against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Playoffs. The Niners have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL holding opponents to 17.5 points per game, and I think they'll be able to take an early lead and then start to bleed clock.  

I would lean to the 49ers to cover the spread as long as it's under 10, but I'm worried about the backdoor cover and feel that the under is a much better play. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

01-14-24 Packers v. Cowboys UNDER 50.5 Top 48-32 Loss -110 16 h 18 m Show

MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

Sure, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 37.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium and the Green Bay Packers have looked much better than expected with Jordan Love as the starting QB, but I think this total is way too high for a postseason game. 

Both teams have played quite well on the defensive side of the ball in recent games and the under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

01-07-24 Bears v. Packers OVER 45 Top 9-17 Loss -110 17 h 47 m Show

MAX BET ALERT: 5* BEARS/PACKERS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Chicago Bears are coming off a 37-17 win over Atlanta. They have scored 27 points or more in three of their last four games, the exception a 17-point outing against a Cleveland Browns team that boasts the best defense in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers have scored 33 points in back-to-back games and 20 points or more in each of their last seven games. 

Over is 12-2 in Packers last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

01-06-24 Texans v. Colts UNDER 47.5 Top 23-19 Win 100 17 h 6 m Show

MIKE'S 4* TEXANS/COLTS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Indianapolis Colts are 11-5 to the over while the Houston Texans are 10-6 to the under. 

The Colts won 31-20 when they clashed with Houston back in September, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair as I expect both teams to be relatively conservative as they're playing for the AFC South title. 

Houston rookie QB CJ Stroud has been stealing most of the headlines from the rest of the team (and deservedly so), but the Texans defense has been sneaky good.

The Texans limited the Titans to three points last week; the under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-31-23 Packers v. Vikings OVER 46 Top 33-10 Loss -110 84 h 2 m Show

MAX BET ALERT: 5* PACKERS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are in the hunt for a wild card, and both teams have found their groove when on the ball. The Packers have scored 20 points or more in six straight games and the Vikes have proven to be surprisingly competitive with Nick Mullens under center. 

The over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in December and 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

12-24-23 Cowboys v. Dolphins UNDER 50 Top 20-22 Win 100 80 h 23 m Show

5* MAX BET ALERT: COWBOYS/DOLPHINS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Both teams are 8-6 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a low-scoring affair relative to the posted total. While the two teams' offenses usually get the headlines, note that they're both top 6 for total defense. The under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games and 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-21-23 Saints v. Rams UNDER 46 Top 22-30 Loss -110 18 h 48 m Show

MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY

The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. 

The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-11-23 Packers v. Giants UNDER 37 Top 22-24 Loss -110 16 h 41 m Show

MIKE'S 4* PACKERS/GIANTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Giants are 9-3 to the under on the season. They are averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game (31st) and an NFL-worst 258.7 yards of total offense per game. The Packers have scored 23, 29, and 27 points through a three-game winning streak, but note that the under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 Monday night games and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in Giants last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-10-23 Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 49 20-17 Win 100 36 h 33 m Show

MIKE'S BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both teams are 8-4 to the under on the season. The Chiefs defense is one of the most underrated units in the NFL and their offense hs not looked quite right lately. Through their last five games, the Chiefs have been held to 9, 21, 17, 31 and 19 points.  

The Bills took a 37-34 loss in Philadelphia before their bye week. The under is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-10-23 Lions v. Bears UNDER 43 Top 13-28 Win 100 50 h 1 m Show

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Detroit Lions are averaging 27.2 points per game overall, but that number drops a bit when they're playing on the road. The Bears rank 2nd in total defense home at Soldier Field with an average of only 261.6 yards allowed per game. 

The Chicago Bears offense has been anemic all season, and they've been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Detroit won the first meeting of the season 31-26 back on Nov 19, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring game this time around. 

The under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-03-23 Colts v. Titans UNDER 42.5 Top 31-28 Loss -110 12 h 55 m Show

MIKE'S 5* COLTS/TITANS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Tennessee Titans have scored more than 17 points in only one of their last seven games.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has come around following a poor start to the year and has held opponents to 13, 6, and 20 points through their last three games.

Offensively, the Colts will be without the 2021 NFL rushing champion Jonathan Taylor who underwent thumb surgery earlier this week. 

The under is 6-0 in Colts' last 6 games as a road favorite and 31-14 in their last 45 games in December.

The under is 18-6 in Titans' last 24 home games and, 6-2 in Titans last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 6-2 in Titans last 8 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

12-02-23 Oklahoma State v. Texas OVER 55.5 Top 21-49 Win 100 10 h 6 m Show

MIKE'S 5* BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are averaging 30.2 points per game and while Texas is holding opponents to 325.3 yards per game (27th), they are much better at stopping the run than the pass.

Okie State has a well-balanced offense that ranks 50th on the ground and 40th through the air, and Texas has injuries on the defensive side of ball. 

As for the Cowboys' defense, there are holes to exploit and they've given up 30+ points in consecutive games, both as favorites, and now they're coming up against one of the best teams in the nation.

I would not be surprised if both teams put up 30+ points in this game, and I love the over. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

11-27-23 Bears v. Vikings UNDER 44 Top 12-10 Win 100 14 h 33 m Show

MIKE'S 5* M.N.F. TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Vikings are 8-3 to the under on the season and the under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Chicago Bears had scored 13, 17 and 16 points in their past three games before putting up 26 points in a loss at Detroit last week. They looked a lot better with Justin Fields back under center, but this is still a bad Bears offense and the Vikes are allowing only 320.6 yards per game (12th).

The Bears have more success running the ball than throwing, but stopping the run is the Vikes strength on D, so this is an unfavorable matchup for Chicago. 

As for the Vikings offense, Kirk Cousins is done for the year, and star wideout Justin Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring injury. He's been reported as "unlikely to play", and I fully expect him to sit as their bye week is coming up. There's no reason for them to gamble and not let Jefferson heal up completely. 

The Vikings won 19-13 when these two teams clashed in Chicago back in October. I would not be surprised if we see a similar scoreline tonight. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

11-26-23 Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 43.5 Top 31-17 Loss -110 14 h 60 m Show

MIKE'S 5* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under.

The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games.

The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-25-23 Virginia Tech v. Virginia OVER 52.5 Top 55-17 Win 100 15 h 31 m Show

MIKE'S 5* ACC TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Virginia Tech Hokies are 7-4 to the over while the Virginia Cavaliers are 8-2-1 to the over.

Virginia has allowed 27 points or more in each of its last five games while the Hokies have allowed 34+ points in two of their last three games.

The Cavaliers rush defense is among the worst in the nation and Virginia Tech is averaging a solid 168.7 rushing yards per game. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

11-20-23 Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 Top 21-17 Win 100 11 h 30 m Show

MIKE'S 4* EAGLES/CHIEFS M.N.F. TOTAL TOP PLAY

I've said it before and I'll say it again; the Kansas City Chiefs' defense just might be one of the most underrated units in the NFL. That might seem like a weird statement about a team that just won the Super Bowl, but they rarely get the headlines despite ranking 4th in total defense while allowing only 15.9 points per game which ranks 2nd in the NFL.

The Chiefs are 7-2 to the under on the season and since the beginning of last season, they are 9-4 to the under against teams with a win percentage of 50% or more.

The Eagles' offense is flying high, but I think the Chiefs will dictate the tempo of this game and make it a low-scoring affair.  

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-19-23 Cardinals v. Texans OVER 48 Top 16-21 Loss -110 8 h 29 m Show

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Arizona Cardinals picked up their second win of the season when they defeated Atlanta 25-23 last week.

That was QB Kyler Murray's first game since suffering an ACL injury in December last year, and we should see a more effective Arizona offense now in the second half of the season. 

The Houston Texans are coming off a 30-27 win at Cincinnati and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud keeps impressing under center. I think this will be a shootout as I expect solid play from both quarterbacks while both teams rank in the bottom third for total defense. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

11-13-23 Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 Top 24-22 Win 100 15 h 45 m Show

MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET

The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. 

Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. 

The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-12-23 Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 39 Top 17-49 Loss -110 20 h 17 m Show

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. 

The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... 

The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-09-23 Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 Top 13-16 Win 100 21 h 50 m Show

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run.

As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-05-23 Rams v. Packers UNDER 38.5 Top 3-20 Win 100 12 h 13 m Show

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on.

As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points.

This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-04-23 Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 62 24-27 Win 100 14 h 59 m Show

MIKE'S CFB BEDLAM TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Oklahoma Sooners are 5-3 to the over while the Oklahoma State Cowboys have a 4-4 over/under record, but I think this game will go under the posted total.

Both offenses have been clicking, but the two teams are very familiar with each other and last season, the Sooners won 28-13 with a closing total of 69.5 here in Stillwater. 

3* PLAY ON UNDER. 

11-04-23 Army v. Air Force UNDER 32.5 23-3 Win 100 13 h 4 m Show

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The bookmakers keep lowering the totals for the service academy games but never seem to be able to set them low enough.

As for Army vs Air Force matchups, only one of the last six meetings went over this total.

Air Force is allowing only 237.9 total yards per game (3rd) while Army ranks 71st with 378 total yards allowed per game.

The reasoning for this under is simple: both teams will run the ball all game long, and the clock with keep ticking during long drives. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10-28-23 UMass v. Army OVER 50 Top 21-14 Loss -110 26 h 9 m Show

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The over/under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' eight games this season and 4-3 in Army's seven games.

The Minutemen will have fresh legs coming off their bye week, and they'll be eager to get back on the scoreboard after getting shut out in a brutal 63-0 loss at Penn State two weeks ago.

Believe it or not, but Army is in even worse shape after getting shut out in back-to-back games(!) against Troy and LSU. This looks like a good spot for Army's running game to get going again against a UMass defense that is allowing 223.4 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry. 

No one expects a lot of points, but I think we'll see floodgates open here following the score-draught. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

10-23-23 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 Top 17-22 Win 100 18 h 21 m Show

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league.

Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10-22-23 Browns v. Colts UNDER 41 Top 39-38 Loss -109 5 h 4 m Show

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? 

Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. 

As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10-19-23 Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 31-24 Loss -110 14 h 31 m Show

MIKE'S JAGS/SAINTS T.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

The New Orleans Saints are 6-0 to the under while Jacksonville has a 3-3 over/under record. I would not be surprised to see the Jags coming out flat on offense here after putting up 37 points on the Colts last week. QB Trevor Lawrence injured his left knee late in the game and was limited at practice on Tuesday and Wednesday, and here the Jags will face a Saints defense that ranks 5th in total defense and 5th against the pass. 

3* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10-16-23 Cowboys v. Chargers UNDER 51 Top 20-17 Win 100 18 h 39 m Show

4* TOP PLAY - COWBOYS/CHARGERS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Chargers have one of the best QBs in the league in Justin Herbert, but they do not pose much of a threat on the ground and here they'll run into one of the best pass defenses in the league. I also expect the Dallas defense to come out extra motivated after giving up 42 points to the Niners last week.

While the Chargers will come out fresh from their bye, I think Dallas will do its best to slow down the pace, and offensively, the Cowboys have mustered a total of only 26 points through its last two road games. 

On the season on the season, Monday and Thursday games are a combined 9-4 to the under and all games with a closing total of 50 or higher are 5-2 to the under.

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10-14-23 Georgia v. Vanderbilt OVER 55 Top 37-20 Win 100 10 h 11 m Show

4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S GEORGIA/VANDERBILT TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-0-1 to the over on the season, and I expect to see another high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Saturday afternoon. 

The Bulldogs are as per usual boasting one of the best defenses in the nation, but Vandy QB Ken Seals has thrown for 539 yards, four touchdowns, and one INT while starting the Commodores' past two games instead of AJ Swann who could not stop turning the ball over, and despite Swann's struggles, the team ranks 37th on the season with 274.4 passing yards per game. 

As for the Bulldog's offense, they rank 8th for total offense and they have the 10th best scoring offense in the nation averaging 40.7 points per game. They just put up 51 points on Kentucky, and here they'll face a Vandy defense that ranks  12th in the SEC in pass-efficiency defense. 

4* PLAY ON OVER. 

10-12-23 Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 50 Top 8-19 Win 100 81 h 26 m Show

5* BEST BET - Mike's Broncos/Chiefs NFL Total of the Month

The Broncos' defense is almost historically bad so this could get ugly in a hurry, but I still like the under as KC can go into time management mode and churn clock with long drives after jumping out to a big lead. The Broncos have looked decent when on the ball in recent weeks, but here they'll face a Chiefs defense that may not get a lot of headlines, but certainly can hold its own.

Since the start of last season, Chiefs games with a total closing at 50 points or higher are 11-4 to the under. 

5* play on UNDER. 

10-09-23 Packers v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 Top 13-17 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show

Mike's 4* Packers/Raiders M.N.F. Total BEST BET

'The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results.

Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game.

Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. 

I like the under even more though. Green Bay ranks 29th in total offense and 24th in yards per play. Vegas ranks 28th in total offense and 22nd in yards per play. Vegas has not scored more than 18 points in any games this season, but its defense ranks around average. The over/under is 1-3 in Vegas' games this season. 

4* play on UNDER. 

10-08-23 Chiefs v. Vikings OVER 52.5 Top 27-20 Loss -110 10 h 53 m Show

4* BIG BET - Mike's Chiefs/Vikings NFL Total of the Week

The Minnesota Vikings are 3-1-1 to the under on the season as they average only 22.5 points per game (25th) despite averaging 370.8 yards per game (9th) and 6.4 yards per play (3rd).

Untimely turnovers have cost them, but I think we'll see a locked-in Vikes offense here against a KC defense that might not be quite as good as the numbers would suggest. KC is allowing only 15.0 points per game, but its last three opponents have been Jacksonville, Chicago, and the NY Jets.

As for the Chiefs offense, you never have to worry about them putting up points.

I expect to see this one go over the total. 

4* play on OVER. 

10-07-23 Georgia Tech v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 23-20 Win 100 36 h 14 m Show

Mike's Georgia Tech/Miami-FL CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 4-1 to the over on the season, but I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair.

Miami-Florida has held its four opponents to 3, 33, 7, and 7 points, and while they've played a soft schedule, you can only defend against who's in front of you, and they've done it well. Also, the Hurricanes are coming off their bye week, so they're coming into the game fresh and healthy and expect to get several key defensive starters back from injury.  

3* play on UNDER. 

10-07-23 Oklahoma v. Texas UNDER 61 Top 34-30 Loss -110 28 h 15 m Show

5* BEST BET - Mike's Oklahoma/Texas Total of the Month

The Texas Longhorns are 4-1 to the under on the season. They've allowed more than 14 points in only one game, and that was a in their 34-24 win at Alabama in Week 2. Oklahoma has held its opponents to 0, 11, 17, 6 and 20 points. The Sooners have the No. 3 scoring offense in the nation, but this will be their first game against a ranked opponent. Both teams are capable of putting up big numbers, but I think defense will rule this game. 

5* play on UNDER. 

10-01-23 Broncos v. Bears OVER 46.5 Top 31-28 Win 100 11 h 46 m Show

4* BIG BET - Mike's Broncos/Bears NFL Total of the Week

The Denver Broncos came into the season with a supposedly strong defense but question marks whether veteran QB Russell Wilson still got what it takes.

Instead, Denver ranks dead last in total defense and yards allowed per play. while offensively, the Broncos rank 15th in total offense and 5th in yards per play.

The Bears defense ranks 30th in total defense and yards allowed per play. I think this will be a high-scoring affair. 

4* play on OVER. 

09-18-23 Browns v. Steelers UNDER 38.5 22-26 Loss -112 12 h 45 m Show

Mike's Browns/Steelers NFL Total BOOKIE BREAKER

The Steelers took a 30-7 loss to the Niners in Week 1 while Cleveland is coming off a 24-3 win over Cincinnati. 

The Steelers offense is extremely limited with Kenny Pickett under center (he finished last season with more INTs than TDs), and they'll be without receiver Diontae Johnson and running back Anthony McFarland Jr.

The Browns' defense looked extremely solid against the Bengals and held Joe Burrow to 82 yards passing. 

Still, never underestimate the Steelers, especially not at home, as an underdog, off a loss, against a divisional rival.

I think Mike Tomlin will have a plan in place to keep this a tight and low-scoring game. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

09-17-23 Commanders v. Broncos UNDER 38 35-33 Loss -110 102 h 48 m Show

Mike's 4* Commanders/Broncos NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Washington defeated Arizona 20-16 in Week 1, but while they got the win it wasn't pretty. The Commanders had only 248 yards of total offense, and would most likely have lost to just about any other team in the league with that kind of performance.

Denver meanwhile took a 17-16 loss to Las Vegas, and while Russell Wilson completed 27 of 34 pass attempts and threw for two TDs, note that he finished with only 177 passing yards.

I'm not sure if even Sean Payton can get what's needed out of Russell Wilson, and here they'll run into a very tough Washington defense. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

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