Mike's Jets/Cowboys NFL Total BOOKIE BOMBER

Dallas shut out the Giants on primetime in Week 1, and here they'll face a Jets team that will be without Aaron Rodgers for the rest of the season, and there's a major drop-off to backup QB Zach Wilson. The Jets still have an elite defense though. They return eight starters from a unit that ranked No. 4 in scoring and No. 4 in yards allowed last season and they limited the Bills to only 16 points in their Week 1 matchup. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Bears/Bucs NFL Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Bears took a 38-20 loss to Green Bay in Week 1 while Tampa Bay recorded a 20-17 upset win at Minnesota. I think the Bears' defense will do a lot better here against a Tampa Bay team that will struggle to move the ball this season, but I don't think points will come easy for Chicago either. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Vikings/Eagles T.N.F. Total BOOKIE BREAKER

The Vikings took a 20-17 home loss to the Bucs in Week 1 and now they have to travel to Philly to take on last season's Super Bowl runner-up, the Eagles. Philadelphia opened the season with a 25-20 win against New England, and I have a feeling that few teams will be able to put up that many points against the Pats this season. 

The Vikings defense was never really put to the test by the Bucs, but they sure will in this one. Offensively, the Vikes committed three turnovers and had several costly penalties that hurt their offense.

I like Philly to rack up a decent amount of points, but playing from behind should force Minnesota to open up, and they have the weapons to make a lot of damage.  

Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Bills/Jets NFL Total BOOKIE BREAKER

We'll see two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL take the field here when the Bills and Josh Allen visit the Jets and Aaron Rodgers for our first Monday night matchup of the season. 

Do not sleep on the defenses though: The Bills finished last season ranked seventh in total defense while the Jets finished fourth in the NFL in total defense. Also, it might take a couple of games for Rodgers to click with his new weapons. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Eagles/Patriots NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Teams coming off a loss in the Super Bowl tend to start the next season slow and with the Pats, you just know that Bill Belichick will have a great plan on the defensive side of the ball.

The Eagles held opponents to an NFL-best 292.8 yards per game last season. The Pats ranked 26th in total offense and they're coming into this game with a banged up offensive line.  

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Panthers/Falcons NFL Total BOOKIE BOMBER

Both Atlanta and Carolina ranked bottom-10 for total offense last season, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair here as both sides' rebuilding process continues.

Atlanta had success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock.

As for the Panthers', they're handing over the keys to rookie QB Bryce Young, the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, but is he ready to play with the big boys?

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

4* Ball State/Georgia CFB Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Ball State took a 44-14 loss at Kentucky in Week 1, and it won't get any easier here at two-time defending national champion Georgia who opened the season with a 48-7 win over UT Martin.

This early in the season, we have no reason to believe that Georgia will do anything but keep the foot on the gas to set the tone for what should be another successful season. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Lions/Chiefs T.N.F. Total BOOKIE BU$TER

The Chiefs are as per usual bringing a stacked offense led by Patrick Mahomes. Detroit had a slow start to last season but closed out strong as QB Jared Goff played some of the best football of his career.

This is a high total, but not high enough IMO as I think we'll get the season started with a primetime shootout. 

Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. 

4* LSU/FSU CFB Total TOP PLAY Game of the Week

Florida State won 24-23 when these two teams battled it out last season. The total was set at 51 for that game, and for this contest, we're seeing an even bigger number.

Sure, both teams have dangerous offenses led by elite quarterbacks, but don't underestimate the defenses. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's CFB Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

This will undoubtedly end with a blowout win for Alabama, but I think they'll slow down the tempo once going up a couple of scores.

The Tide have a new QB under center as Bryce Young has moved on to the Carolina Panthers in the NFL, and they've seen a huge turnover overall. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee State will do everything in its power to shorten the game to avoid a blowout. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's CFB Total BOOKIE BU$TER

The Texas A&M Aggies shut out New Mexico in a 34-0 as a 30-point home favorite in 2021. They're once again a huge favorite here in 2023, and I would honestly not be surprised if they blanked the Lobos again. New Mexico averaged only 13.1 points per game last season and they've lost their starting quarterback from the previous season. Texas A&M averaged only 22.8 points per game last regular season. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

10* CHIEFS/EAGLES SUPER BOWL TOTAL MAX BET

The over in the Super Bowl is a public bet pretty much every year, but the public is not always wrong.

While the Chiefs defense turned up the heat late in the season, they're still allowing 21.7 ppg and they allowed 20 points in both the divisional round and the conference championship game. The Eagles have been dominant on both sides of the ball all season and they've scored 38 and 31 points in their two playoff games. 

I see a 28-27. 30-28 win for either team. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NINERS/EAGLES 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Niners and the Eagles are top two for total defense this season, with both sides allowing only just over 300 yards per game. San Fracncisco's third-string quarterback Brock Purdy has been putting up strong numbers, but now he'll face an Eagles team that held Daniel Jones to 135 passing yards in the divisional round. The Niners should have decent success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock. 

Under is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 playoff road games. Under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* JAGS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The line total has gone up a couple of points since the opener, but I like the under here. Sure, Jacksonville's wild Wild Card win over the Chergers was a shootout, but do you expect Trevor Lawrence to throw four picks and four touchdown passes again? Jacksonville's defense has played a lot better doown the stretch than it did at the beginning of the season and KS's defense is somewhat underrated, with the offense stealing all the headlines. 

Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Kansas City won 27-17 when the two teams clashed back in November. I would not be surprised to see a similar scoreline today. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

RAVENS/BENGALS BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL

Cincinnati is a big favorite as the Ravens are expected to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley instead of the injured Lamar Jackson. Still, the Ravens have shown that they can win games with their defense, and this is an interesting spot as these two teams met in the regular season finale. Huntley missed that game due to shoulder and wrist injuries, but I expect him to take the field. 

Under is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. AFC North. Under is 12-3-1 in Bengals last 16 vs. AFC.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK  - 10* LIONS/PACKERS MAX BET

The Lions are 10-6 to the over on the season and over is 13-6 in Lions last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Packers are coming off a 41-17 win over Minnesota, and their offense has been heating up at exactly the right time. Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games in January.

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

10* QUICK LANE BOWL TOTAL TOP PLAY

Bowling Green was held to 14 points and 279 yards of total offense in a loss at Ohio in its last game. Falcons QB Matt McDonald McDonald was intercepted three times and New Mexico State ranks 14th in the nation against the pass. New Mexico State's offense has been hot, but QB Diegoa Pavia suiffered a hamstring injury against Valpo last time out. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFC TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* BUCS/CARDINALS BEST BET

I expect the Bucs defense to step up in a big way after giving up 30+ points in back-to-back weeks. Arizona is already eliminated from postseason contention and will be starting third-string quarterback Trace McSorley. As fort the Bucs offense, they've not looked right all season and under is 8-1 in Buccaneers last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - LOUISVILLE/CINCINNATI BEST BET

We'll see two interim head coaches and a backup QB for Louisville as Malik Cunningham has opted out of the game to prepare for the NFL Draft. Running back Tiyon Evans has opted out as well. These are two solid defenses and the under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games overall and 6-2 in Bearcats last 8 games overall.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/TEXANS BEST BET

We should see fireworks here as Deshaun Watson returns to Houston, but this time quarterbacking the Cleveland Browns instead of the Texans. The Browns have averaged a respectable 23.9 points per game (11th) even without Watson and he'll no doubt be fired up for this one. 

Houston is not exactly known for putting points on the board, but expect the offense to bring it here to keep up with Watson. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

RAVENS/JAGS TOTAL

The Ravens are on a roll, coming into this game on a four-game winning streak and 7-3 over their last 10 games. They held Carolina to three points and just over 200 yards last week and they sacked Carolina quarterback Baker Mayfield four times. Now, they'll face a Jacksonville team that has been limited to 17 points in three of its last four games.

The Jags have had extra time to prepare as they're coming off their bye week, but I think they'll find it extremely hard to put up points against this Ravens D. I like the Ravens and the under. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MOUNTAIN WEST CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* MAJOR WAGER

I expect a shootout when Hawaii visits San Jose State Saturday afternoon. Hawaii is 8-4 to the over for the season and while their offense doesn't travel all that well, neither does their defense and the over is 3-2 in their five road games. The over is 4-1 in Hawaii's five games with a total of 57 or higher this season. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

LOUISVILLE/KENTUCKY CFB TOTAL

This looks like a good spot back Kentucky to bounce back from a 16-6 loss to Georgia last week. While they failed to get their offense going, the defense held strong. The Wildcats are allowing only 19.6 points per game and they rank 19th nationally for total defense with 321.2 yards allowed per game. The Wildcats are 21-6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 home games. Their defense can carry them to a win here and I also like the under. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER.

NFL Total Game of the Month - Pats/Vikes 10* BEST BET

The Vikes took a 40-3 home loss to Dallas last week. I expect a much better performance from their defense here, but their offense might struggle again against a Pats defense that held the Jets to three points and 103 yards of total offense in a 10-3 win last week. Under is 14-3 in Patriots last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/BILLS BEST BET

The Bills put up 30 points on Minnesota last week but still lost the game. It was an uncharacteristically poor performance defensively from the Bills who are 7-2 to the under on the season while holding opponents to 16.8 ppg. The Browns have been held to 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

CHARGERS/NINERS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Niners are coming off their bye week. The under is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games following a bye week and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Chargers put up only 20 points on a below-average Atlanta defense last week, and now they'll face one of the best defensive units in the league. It's also worth noting that the Niners are one of the slowest teams in the league at 29.7 seconds per play, and I expect them to hold the ball for the majority of the game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

COWBOYS/PACKERS TOTAL

The Packers are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak. They're extremely banged up and here they'll face a Dallas team that is coming out of their bye week and put up 49 points on Chicago last time out.

The Packers have struggled to stop the run all season long and Dallas is averaging a respectable 4.7 yards per carry (13th) and 28.1 rushing attempts per game (10th). 

I also like the under as I expec the Cowboys to get an early lead and then keep running to take time off the clock. 

Cowboys are 35-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC. Under is 11-3-1 in Cowboys last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

TITANS/CHIEFS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Titans are 5-2 to the under on the season and they've allowed 10 points in each of their last two games. The Chiefs beat the Niners 44-23  on October 23, but the under is 12-3-1 in Chiefs last 16 games following a bye week. The Titans held Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs to three points when they faced off last season. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill missed Thursday's practice and was limited on Friday. He was listed as questionable on the Friday injury report. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* VOLS/BULLDOGS MAJOR WAGER

The Vols are 5-3 to the over while the Bulldogs are 5-2-1 to the under. THey rank No. 1 and No. 2 for total offense, but Georgia's defense is also one of the best in the country and I expect the home team to control the tempo of this game. It has yet to allow more than 22 points in a game this season and under is 9-4 in Bulldogs last 13 conference games and 35-17-3 in Bulldogs last 55 home games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - NINERS/RAMS 10* TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Niners are 5-2 to the under on the season, the Rams 5-1 to the under. These two teams know each other extremely well, and the first meeting of the season saw a total of only 33 points scored. Under is 9-1 in 49ers last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Under is 21-7 in Rams last 28 home games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* USF/HOUSTON CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Houston Cougars are 6-1 to the over the USF Bulls are 5-2 to the over. USF has allowed 40+ points in three of their last four games. Over is 8-1 in Cougars last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S TEXANS/RAIDERS NFL TOTAL

Both teams are coming off their bye week, and I think the Raiders will find it difficult to pull away from a Houston team that has been surprisingly competitive, at least against the spread. The Raiders on the other hand have not been nearly as good as expected, and Davante Adams and Darren Waller are dealing with injuries. The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

In addition to Houston covering the spread, I also like the under, as  Under is 8-2 in Texans last 10 road games, 6-1 in Texans last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 4-1 in Raiders last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S VIKES/DOLPHINS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER TOTAL

The Vikes have put up 28, 28 and 29 points through a three-game winning streak. They have however also allowed 24, 25 and 22 points. Miami starting QB Tua Tagovailoa was cleared from the concussion protocol on Saturday but will not be active for this game. Instead, rookie third-string quarterback Skylar Thompson is set to make his first NFL start. Don't know all that much about Thompson, but I do know teams have had no trouble moving the ball against the Vikes. 

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bucs defense has been phenomenal. The one blemish is their 41-31 loss to the Chiefs, but ... Pittsburgh does not have Patrick Mahomes at QB.

In fact, the Steelers will have rookie QB Kenny Pickett under center for his second career start. Pittsburgh ranks 29th in the league with 89 rushing yards per game so I just don't see how they'll be able to move the ball in this one.

There is of course the risk of the Bucs running up the score, but their offense has not looked all that great either. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S RAIDERS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

Showtime Mahomes on primetime against a Raiders team that is allowing 24 ppg should be an automatic over, right? Not so fast.

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 4-0 to the under in Monday night games with a total of 50 points or more and the under is 5-0 in Chiefs last five Monday games overall.

Under is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 Monday games and 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, which they did in a 32-23 win against Denver last week.

Sure this could turn into a shootout, but I'll take my chances with the under. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S LIONS/PATRIOTS NFL BOOKIE BA$HER

This is about as square of a bet as it gets, but Detroit's mix of a potent offense and soft decent is ideal for overs. 

Detroit is 1-3 despite averaging an NFL-best 35 points per game. Their defense is absolutely atrocious, and even veteran QB Brian Hoyer or rookie QB Bailey Zappe, whoever gets the start under center for the Pats, should be able to move the ball. Over is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 home games.

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

CFB GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* ARMY/WAKE FOREST TOTAL

Army is 3-1 to the over this season, but I expect this to be a low-scoring affair. Wake Forest is holding teams to 3.8 rushing yards per attempt and the Black Knights have attempted only 35 passes all season. 

Under is 18-7-1 in Black Knights last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-2 in Black Knights last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* BRONCOS/RAIDERS TOTAL

The Broncos have yet to score more than 16 points in a game with Russell Wilson at the helm. They've still managed to ride their defense to back-to-back wins and now they'll face a struggling Raiders team that is one of only two teams without a win. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two AFC West rivals.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S TULANE/HOUSTON NCAAF TGIF TOTAL

The Cougars are 4-0 to the over and Tulane 3-1 to the under. Tulane's defensive numbers look good on paper, but this will be the best offense they've seen so far. The Cougars have scored 30 points or more in each of their first four games of the season, but also allowed 27 points or more. Their points allowed per game average is 35.8. Tulane is averaging 33.8 ppg. 

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

NINERS/BRONCOS TOTAL

The Broncos have a lot of things to figure out, especially on offense where Russell Wilson not has been nearly the hit most expected and new HC Nathaniel Hackett has struggled with the playcalling. The Broncos have been held to 16 points in each of their first two games of the season, and now they'll face a stout San Francisco defense that has held opponents to an NFL-best 210 total yards per game. Sure, they've faced Chicago and Seattle, but still... 

Offensively, the Niners came alive in their 27-7 win over Seattle last week, and that was without star tight end George Kittle who could be back for this game. The Broncos are on fade alert until they show us a reason not to, pretty much solely because of their struggling offense. I expect this game to go way under the total. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S RAIDERS/TITANS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Tennessee managed only 187 yards of offense when they got humiliated in a blowout loss to the Bills on Monday, but they should have more success moving the ball here against a Raiders defense that is allowing 384 yards per game. Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 11-5 in Titans last 16 games following a straight up loss.

8* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BILLS/DOLPHINS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bills were dominant on both sides of the ball in their Monday night win over Indianapolis. They held the Colts to seven points, 12 first downs, and fewer than 200 yards of total offense.

Miami has looked good in its first two games, defeating New England and Baltimore. Tua Tagovailoa looks like he's about to have a breakout season, but this Bills defense is really, really good.

Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S VIRGINIA/SYRACUSE TOTAL

Syracuse is an undefeated 3-0 SU and ATS on the season and 3-0 to the under. They've held opponents to an average of 16.7 points per game and Virginia has averaged only 17.7 ppg over its first three games of the season.The Cavaliers still have two wins against one loss, thanks to their stout defense, but last week as a 9-point favorite against Old Dominion, they just barely escaped by scoring the winning field goal as time expired. I don't see the Cavaliers keeping pace with Syracuse in this one. 

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Orange are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in September.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* NFL MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Giants ran the ball for 238 yards on 32 carries in their 21-20 win against Tennessee. Expect them to come into this game with the same game plan against a Panthers team that gave up 217 rushing yards to Cleveland in Week. The Giants will burn a lot of clock when holding the ball, and the same should be true for the Panthers if they rely on Christian McCaffrey to move the sticks. 

Under is 7-2 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 20-5-1 in Giants last 26 games overall.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER

Nebraska is 1-2 on the season with disappointing setbacks to Northwestern and Georgia Southern. Head coach Scott Frost was fired after last week's loss and Mickey Joseph will take over as the interim coach. Oklahoma has allowed just 16 points through two solid performances against UTEP and Kent State teams. Offense has not been an issue for the Cornhuskers, but they're likely to struggle to move the ball here and Oklahoma is relatively conservative when on the ball.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S UCONN/MICHIGAN TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

UConn was held to 202 total yards in a 48-14 loss as a 23.5-point dog against Syracuse last week. This game could have a similar storyline as they once again are severely outmatched on paper, this time against Michigan. The Wolverines have allowed a total of 17 points through their first two games. Both went under the total. 

Under is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 vs. INDEP. Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 vs. Big Ten.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOP PLAY

The Colts have a new QB in Matt Ryan, but the veteran has tons of experience and plenty of weapons around him. He'll settle in just fine and Jonathan Taylor is one of the top running backs in the league. The Texans are in rebuild mode, and they are inexperienced on both sides of the ball, but on defense in particular. The Colts to win seems like a no-brainer, but I'm not ready to lay this many points on the road and I like the over a lot better. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER

Both teams are 1-0 on the season after a 69-10 win for Baylor over Albany while BYU defeated South Florida 50-21.

Two high-scoring games, and as a result I think the bookmakers have overreacted and set the total for this game too high.

One or both teams could easily come out completely flat here.

Under is 13-6 in Bears last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 14-6 in Cougars last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S APP STATE/TEXAS A&M NCAAF TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Appalachian State is coming off a wild 63-61 loss to UNC. The two teams combined for 62 points in the fourth quarter, of which App State contributed 40.

Now they'll face a tougher defense in a Texas A&M team that held Sam Houston State to zero points and fewer than 200 yards in its season opener.

Under is 7-0 in Aggies last 7 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Under is 25-7-1 in Mountaineers last 33 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NCAAF TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER

Florida State opened the season with a 47-7 rout of Duquesne while this will be LSU's first game of the season and their first with Brian Kelly as head coach. FSU did most of their damage against Duquesne on the ground, but QB Jordan Travis had a solid game going 11-for-15 with 207 yards. LSU's secondary was questionable last season and they're replacing several starters in the backfield. 

As for LSU's offense, Brian Kelly is coming in with a new system, but he has a lot of talent and weapons to work with and I think they'll figure it out early. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S NCAAF BOOKIE BOMBER

Illinois already has a game under its belt a 38-6 triumph over Wyoming. They held the Cowboys to just over 200 yards of total offense and Wyoming only threw for 30 yards. Here they'll face an Indiana team that is unlikely to put up big yards and points on the regular.

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S WVU/PITT NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER

Pittsburgh is returning eight offensive starters, but it lost QB Kenny Pickett to the NFL and wide receiver Jordan Addison to USC. The Mountaineers have lost some players on the defensive side of the ball but are still returning a strong unit. As for the Panthers defense, they are returning seven starters from a unit that led the ACC in rush defense and No. 2 nationally in sacks. 

8* PLAY ON UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The first meeting of the season ended with a 38-20 Buffalo win. Both teams put 40+ points on the board in the Wildcard Round and I expect this to be a wild and high-scoring affair. Bills' defense is great, but KC started running the ball better down the stretch so the Bills' can not focus all their efforts on Mahomes. Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 games as an underdog. Over is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games as a favorite. Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

10* play on OVER. 

MIKE'S MONDAY NIGHT CARDNIALS/RAMS TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams two regular-season meetings saw 57 points and 53 points respectively, but I think we'll see a much tighter and lower-scoring affair when they clash in the Wildcard Round Monday night. Arizona's offense has regressed throughout the season, and both head coach Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray will be making their postseason debuts. They gave up 38 points to Seattle in Week 18, but under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. As for the Rams, they have an elite defense but much like the Cards, their offense is on a downward trend. Under is 17-5 in Rams last 22 games as a home favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/CHIEFS WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers won four of their last six games, but they sure did not do so with their offense as Big Ben has looked off all season and even more so down the stretch. The Steelers' defense has kept them in the games, and they have been particularly good against the pass. The Chiefs do not pose much of a threat on the ground, and I think KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be under a lot of pressure. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* GEORGIA/BAMA CFB CHAMPIONSHIP GAME TOTAL

Georgia's defense looked unbeatable during the regular season, but Bama still managed to score 41 points on the Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game. 

Bama head coach Nick Saban is familiar with the Bulldogs defensive schemes as Georgia head coach Kirby Smart was Saban's defensive coordinator at Alabama for several years. I think the Bulldogs will put up their fair share of points as well though, and I like the over. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 Bowl Championship games. Over is 10-4-1 in Crimson Tide last 15 games in January. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on OVER. 

TITANS/TEXANS TOTAL

The Tennessee Titans put up 34 points against Miami in their last game, and I don't think they'll have any trouble moving the ball against Houston in Week 18. The Texans were held to seven points at San Francisco in their last game, but they scored 41 points against the Chargers in their last home game. 

Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games as a road favorite and 11-3 in Titans last 14 road games. Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as a home underdog. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

8* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars gave up 50 points to the Patriots last week, but now they'll face a Colts team that has averaged only 23 points per game through its last three games. Jags QB and No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence has had a rough rookie year, and Colts' defense has played at a very high level down the stretch, giving up 0, 17, 16 and 23 points through its last four games.  

Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games overall. Under is 12-3 in Jaguars last 15 games as an underdog. Under is 11-4 in Jaguars last 15 games overall.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S SUNDAY NIGHT VIKINGS/PACKERS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Minnesota Vikings' quarterback Kirk Cousins will not take the field after testing positive for COVID-19 and star wideout Adam Thielen was placed on injured reserve Wednesday with a left ankle injury. To have a chance to stay in the game, the Vikes' defense will have to be at its very best and I think they'll rise to the occasion. It is expected to be very cold weather at Lambeau, and I think points will come at a premium for both teams. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BUCS/ JETS MONEYMAKER (TOTAL)

There is a good chance that the New York Jets will come out flat here, coming off their second win of the season. It is a big, big difference between taking on Jacksonville as a favorite compared to coming into a game as a double-digit dog to the reigning Super Bowl champions. Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. The Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS as double-digit favorites dating back to the start of the 2020 season. 

I also like the under as I don't see the Jets putting up a lot of points against a Bucs defense that has given up a grand total of 15 points over the last two weeks. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY TAXSLAYER GATOR BOWL TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

I think the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl matchup between No. 17 Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will be a high-scoring affair. 

Rutgers can play freely and without pressure after replacing the No. 23 Texas A&M who had to pull out due to a combination of season-ending injuries and COVID within the program. Rutgers lost its last game 40-16 to Maryland, and here it'll face a Wake Forest team that was second in the ACC with 41.2 points scored per game. Dual-threat quarterback Sam Hartman threw for 36 touchdowns and added 11 scores on the ground. 

Defensively Wake Forest was not sharp down the stretch giving up 42 points or more in four of its last five games. 

10* play on OVER. 

IOWA STATE/CLEMSON CHEEZ-IT BOWL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both the Clemson Tigers and the Iowa State Cyclones rank top 10 nationally for total defense, but I think the bookmakers have set the total for this game too low. 

Clemson scored 30 points or more in each of its last five games, with only one of those games going under the total. Iowa State closed out the regular season with a 48-14 win against TCU and they are 6-3 to the over through their last nine games. 

8* play on OVER. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 16 TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a 19-13 win against Tennessee. I think their defense will show up once again here against a Kansas City offense that has been fairly inconsistent this season. Under is 6-1-1 in Steelers' last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 8-3-1 in Steelers' last 12 games following a straight-up win.

In their last two games, the Chiefs have put up 49 points against the Raiders and 34 points against the Chargers (last score a touchdown in OT). The Steelers' defense is a lot better, especially against the pass, and the Chiefs are not much of a threat on the ground. Defensively, the Chiefs have gotten better throughout the season, and Pittsburgh is not winning games with its offense. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NINERS @ TITANS TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to back an angry Tennessee Titans team to snap back from a loss to Pittsburgh. They've now dropped three of their last four games and need to start picking up wins to stay clear at the top of the AFC South. 

The Niners are also in need of Ws, coming into this game with the sixth-best record in the NFC, but they might be a bit gassed out after winning two in a row and five of their past six. 

In addition to the Titans to cover the spread, I also like the under as they most likely will have to ride their defense to success. 

Under is 6-2 in Titans last 8 home games. Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* CHIEFS @ CHARGERS T.N.F. TOTAL MONEYMAKER

The Kansas City Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak, fueled by a defense that has held opponents to 10.8 points per game during that stretch. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs have not been all that hot, a 48-9 win against the Raiders at Arrowhead last time out excluded. 

The Chargers' defense has also played reasonably well in recent weeks, and they're particularly strong against the pass. Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes has a 27-to-12 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the season, and I think he's in for a tough one here against a divisional opponent that knows him well. 

Under is 6-2 in Chiefs' last 8 games overall. Under is 11-3 in Chargers last 14 games as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 13-8 this season in games with a total of 50 points or more and the road team favored (3-1 to the under in divisional games). 

10* play on UNDER. 

RAMS @ CARDIALS TOTAL

The Arizona Cardinals won 37-20 in LA on October 3, but I expect a much better performance from the Rams in this one. Los Angeles quarterback Matthew Stafford was 26-of-38 for 295 yards and three TDs in a win against the Jaguars last week while Kyler Murray is still finding his footing following a three-game absence because of an ankle injury.

The Rams have been money against the spread in recent years, going 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. 

In addition the Rams covering the spread, I also like the over. Over is 9-1 in Rams last 10 games as an underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

BEARS @ PACKERS SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL MONEYMAKER

The Green Bay Packers won 24-14 when these two teams clashed at Green Bay on October 17. Now we got a cold December game at Lambeau, and I fully expect this to be another low-scoring affair. The Bears are averaging only 298.8 total yards of offense (30th) and 16.8 points per game (30th). Under is 16-5 in Bears last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games in December.

8* play on UNDER. 

RAVENS @ BROWNS TOTAL

The Cleveland Browns have alternated wins and losses through their last six games. They lost their lat game (at Baltimore mind you!), and I like the Browns to bounce back with a win coming off a loss yet again. They've had an extra week to rest and prepare coming out of their bye week while Baltimore was in a dogfight with the Steelers last week. 

Additionally, Cleveland's defense has been excellent at home, holding opponents to 256.5 yards of total offense and 4.9 yards per play. 

A well-rested Cleveland team off its bye in a revenge spot against a beat up and tired Ravens team? Yeah, I'll bite. 

In addition to Cleveland winning and covering the spread, I also like the under. The Ravens are 5-1 to the under in their road games this season. Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S NFC MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Atlanta Falcons have averaged only 10.3 points per game over their last four games. They have virtually no running game, and now Matt Ryan is asked to toss the ball around in a cold and possibly windy Bank of America Stadium. The Carolina Panthers are holding opponents to 291 yards per game (2nd), but they're lacking on the other side of the ball averaging just 19.7 points per game. They've lost three of their last four games, putting up a total of only 20 points in the three losses.

These two teams combined for 32 points when they clashed in Atlanta on October 31. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S NAVY VS ARMY COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTAL 

The military academy games are almost always low-scoring affairs due to their inclination to run the ball rather than throw it, and recent meetings between Army and Navy have been no different. Each of the last 10 meetings has gone under the total, and last season's matchup saw only 15 points scored, with Navy generating 162 yards of total offense and Navy only 117 yards of total offense. 

8* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ BILLS TOTAL
The Buffalo Bills have traded wins and losses over their last six games. They're coming off a 31-6 triumph at New Orleans which means obviously means that they are due for a loss here against the Patriots Monday night! Joking aside, this is a bad time to face a New England team that is playing its best football since Brady left, coming off six straight wins SU and ATS. Additionally, The Patriots are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Buffalo.
I don't see many points being scored though, so I'm also recommending a bet on the under. Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games as an underdog.
8* play on UNDER.  

RAVENS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off back-to-back wins SU and ATS, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here in this matchup with AFC North rivals Pittsburgh. 

The Steelers are a fantastic 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog, and I expect them to show up here after getting humiliated at Cincinnati last week. The Ravens have struggled with consistency, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

In addition to Pittsburgh covering the spread, I think this will be a low-scoring affair. Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-3 in Steelers last 10 games as a home underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

HOUSTON/CINCINNATI TOTAL

I like the underdog No. 21 Houston here in the American Athletic Conference championship game on Saturday. No. 4 Cincinnati is an undefeated 12-0 on the season while Houston has one loss, but note that the Cougars have won 11 straight since a 38-21 loss to Texas Tech in íts season opener. The stats are very similar for both teams on both sides of the ball, and I don't think the Cougars are getting enough respect here. 

In addition to Houston covering the spread, I also like the over as both quarterbacks are capable of coming up with big plays. Over is 11-3-1 in Cougars last 15 games as a road underdog. 

8* play on OVER. 

GEORGIA/BAMA TOTAL

The Georgia Bulldogs will be looking to defend their No. 1 ranking with a win here in the Southeastern Conference championship game against Alabama on Saturday. The No. 3 Crimson Tide have one loss on the season, and it could easily have been a couple more. It was only last week they were in big, big trouble against Auburn, while Georgia shut out Georgia Tech in its last game. I expect Georgia to get the job done in a relatively high-scoring affair. 

Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings. Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games as a favorite.

8* play on OVER. 

RAMS @ PACKERS SIDE

The Los Angeles Rams have had an extra week to heal up and regroup from back-to-back blowout losses. In their last game, the Rams took a 31-10 loss at San Francisco. They are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.

Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is reportedly in 'a lot of pain' after suffering a toe injury in last Sunday's 34-31 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. "It's going to be another painful week next week," Rodgers said. "And then hopefully feel better over the bye." Here Rodgers will face a Rams defense that ranks third in the NFL with 2.9 sacks per game. 

Edit: Aaron Rodgers did not practice Friday, making him a nonparticipant all week. I think the Rams' defense will make it extremely difficult for Packers to move the ball. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON NFL BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL 

The Carolina Panthers have the No. 2 scoring defense in the NFL and they rank No. 1 against the pass. Miami ranks 31st in the league with only 77.4 rushing yards per game, so I doubt the home team will put up many points in this one. As for the Dolphins' defense, it has been playing well over the last three weeks, allowing only 9, 10, and 17 points. 

Under is 7-1 in the Panthers' last 8 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in the Dolphins' last 7 games as a home underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* WEEK 12 TOTAL

The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. 

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS @ SAINTS THANKSGIVING EVE *BEST BET*

The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER LATE ARIZONA STATE VS OREGON STATE TOTAL BAILOUT - 10:30 PM ET START

The Oregon State Beavers have found their offense, scoring 34+ points in three of their last four games and they've put up 475 yards of total offense in each of the last two. The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a 35-30 triumph at Washington. 

The Sun Devils won the season finale 46-33 last year, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings overall and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oregon State. Over is 11-2 in Sun Devils last 13 games as a road favorite. Over is 5-1 in Beavers last 6 games as a home underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

CFB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL BEST BET

The New Mexico Lobos rank dead last in the nation with only 13.6 points per game. The Lobos have found their ground game, averaging just under 190 rushing yards per game over their last three games, but they still struggle to get scores. While New Mexico might have some success moving the ball on the ground, they'll take a lot of time off the clock which will help the under. On the defensive side of the ball, the Lobos have been totally fine, ranking 44th against the pass and 45th against the run. 

Each of Boise State's last five games has gone under the total, and they have allowed an average of only 17.4 points per game during that stretch. 

10* play on UNDER. 

SAINTS @ TITANS TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to fade a Tennessee team that has been a bit too hot lately for it to be sustainable. The Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS, the last four as underdogs, including a 28-16 triumph as a touchdown dog at LA Rams on Sunday night. They prevailed without star running back Derrick Henry who will miss this game as well, and I think the Titans will find it a lot harder to move the ball in this one. 

The Saints look primed to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Atlanta last week, and I would not be surprised if they win this one outright. 

Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 home games.

8* play on UNDER.

LIONS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one. 

The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games. 

In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been placed on the reserve/Covid-19 list and he is ruled out for this game. I really don't see Pittsburgh putting a lot of points on the board, and in addition to Detroit covering the spread, I also like the under.

8* play on UNDER.

FALCONS @ SAINTS TOTAL

The Saints will start Trevor Siemian under center as Jameis Winston must undergo season-ending surgery to fix a torn ACL. It's not a massive blow with the team averaging only 180.9 yards per game, but I think it will have an impact as Atlanta can really focus on stopping the run. Atlanta gave up only 19 points against Carolina last week but managed only 13 points and 213 yards of total offense themselves. 

Under is 29-11 in Falcons last 40 games in November. Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games in November. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY ARMY @ AIR FORCE NCAAF GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

I don't think the bookmakers can make the total for this Academy matchup low enough. These two teams are No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation at running the ball, but also No. 7 and No. 13 at stopping the run as their defense gets plenty of practice. We should see both teams getting stopped at midfield plenty and the clock will keep running. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS TOTAL

The Chargers are fresh off their bye week, but I still think the Pats will give them all they can handle in a low-scoring affair here at SoFi Stadium Sunday afternoon. 

Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will almost certainly try and keep the Chargers' explosive offense off the field by running the football, and NE should have good success with that approach as no team in the NFL allows more rushing yards per carry than the Chargers. 

The under is 6-1 in Patriots' last 7 games as an underdog, New England is allowing only 20.0 points per game (6th), and both teams are outside of the top 10 for pace. Additionally, we can note that the under is 5-1 in Chargers' last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Chargers' last 7 games following a bye week.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT -  MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. 

Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on UNDER. 

BENGALS @ JETS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging only 272.3 yards of total offense per game and an NFL-worst 13.3 points per game. Here they'll face a Bengals defense that has the no. 5 scoring defense in the NFL and just held the Ravens to 17 points last week. Under is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-2 in Jets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.

8* play on UNDER. 

PURDUE @ NEBRASKA TOTAL

Purdue is allowing only 16.3 points per game (9th) and 160.4 passing yards per game (5th). The Boilermakers are 6-1 to the under on the season, and I think they can contain this Nebraska offense to stay within the number and keep the final score under the posted total. Offensively, the Boilermakers can throw the football but they rarely have much success running the rock.

In their last game, the Boilermakers took a 30-13 home loss to Wisconsin but they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home and 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. The Cornhuskers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

RUTGERS @ ILLINOIS TOTAL

Illinois is averaging only 18.0 points per game and the Hoosiers are 6-1-1 to the under on the season. Rutgers has been held to under 14 points in four straight games, a 21-7 loss at Northwestern last time out included. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

Michigan has the 10th best total defense in the nation and the 2nd best scoring defense with only 14.3 points allowed per game. Michigan State was held to 241 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win at Indiana in its last game. I fully expect to see a defensive grind between these two arch-rivals. 

10* play on UNDER. 

BEARS @ BUCS TOTAL

The Chicago Bears are 5-1 to the under on the season and they average an NFL-worst 246.2 yards of total offense per game. Their defense has been holding up though, and I think they'll be able to keep Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers in check. Brady will be without two reliable weapons in tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) and wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle). The Bucs are a big favorite (rightly so), and I think they'll pull away early and then keep the Bears at arms' length while controlling the clock.

8* play on UNDER. 

JETS @ PATRIOTS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging an NFL-worst 13.4 points per game while the Pats have the no. 9 scoring defense with 21.2 points per game allowed. Eight of the last 11 meetings have gone under the total, and the Pats lack offensive firepower as well. New England gave up 550+ yards and 35 points to Dallas last week, but under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. I expect this to be a defensive grind. 

8* play on UNDER. 

CHIEFS @ TITANS TOTAL

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

In addition to the Titans covering the spread, I don't think the bookmakers can make the number for the total big enough. 

Over is 8-1 in Titans last 9 games as an underdog. Over is 26-9-1 in Titans last 36 games overall. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on OVER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. 

The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. 

The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

10* play on OVER. 

UMASS @ FLORIDA STATE TOTAL

Florida State is 4-2 to the under on the season. The Seminoles are averaging only 26.7 points per game and their 68.0 plays per game rank 88th in the nation. The Minutemen average even fewer with 63.8 plays per game, which ranks 123rd of 130 teams. UMass has played three straight unders and they held UConn to 13 points when they snapped a 16-game losing streak two weeks ago.

8* play on UNDER. 

CARDINALS @ BROWNS TOTAL

The Cardinals are coming off a 17-10 win against San Francisco. I expect to see another low-scoring affair involving Arizona as they visit Cleveland in Week 6. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is dealing with a shoulder issue while the Browns will as usual focus on running the ball, which will keep the clock moving. Under is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 road games. Under is 7-3 in Browns last 10 games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

PACKERS @ BEARS TOTAL

The Bears are 4-1 to the under on the season, much because of an offense that averages only 240 yards of total offense (32nd) and 16.8 points per game (30th). On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears have been a lot better and they held Vegas to nine points last week. The Packers have seen each of their last two games stay under the total and under is 6-2 in Packers last 8 games as a road favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

TEXANS @ COLTS TOTAL

Houston is averaging only 17.8 points per game (29th) and 282.6 yards of total offense (29th). They have put up a grand total of 31 points through their last three games. Indianapolis is coming into the game as a double-digit favorite. I think they'll run away with the game early and then keep the Texans at a distance while eating a lot of clock. 

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. 

Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. 

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

BILLS @ CHIEFS SUNDAY NIGHT PRIMETIME SHOWDOWN

Two of the NFL's best offenses will clash at Arrowhead when Kansas City hosts Buffalo on Sunday. I think the oddsmakers have set the total a tad too high though. 

Buffalo ranks no. 1 for several defensive metrics like total defense, passing defense, and scoring defense. Additionally, no other team has more takeaways than the Bills' 10. Buffalo shut out Houston last week, and I would not be surprised if we see KC's offense comes out a bit flat after putting up 42 points at Philadelphia last week. 

8* play on UNDER.