5% NBA FINALS TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-1 to the under on the road this postseason and with the Indiana Pacers in a do-or-die game, I expect them to be locked in on D. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Oklahoma City Thunder were held to just 107 points in their Game 3 loss, continuing a trend of reduced offensive efficiency on the road during the playoffs.

With the series now 2-1 in favor of Indiana, this is as close to a must-win as it gets for OKC.

Falling into a 3-1 hole would be a massive challenge to climb out of, even with homecourt advantage.

Expect both teams to bring a heightened defensive intensity in what should be a tightly contested battle.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The totals posted by bookmakers have steadily dropped throughout the series, and this number is well below the opening lines for the first four games, all of which closed around 230 points.

Given that it's a Game 7, this adjustment makes sense. I expect a defensive battle more in line with Game 4’s 92-87 final.

There will be no room for a run-and-gun approach as every possession will matter, and longer offensive sets should drive the total down.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA WEST PLAYOFFS R2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The first two games of the series both went over the total, and I expect another high-scoring game here in Game 3. The Thunder put up 149 points in the last game and Denver's defense has looked shaky all series. They're still only tied and will need another solid offensive performance to take back control of the series. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

THUNDER/GRIZZLIES TOTAL

The Thunder have completely controlled the first two games of this series, winning by 51 and 19 points while holding the Grizzlies to just 80 and 99 points. They’ve done it without MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing at his peak, which speaks volumes about the depth and discipline of this team.

OKC is 32-8 SU and 26-13-1 ATS on the road this season, and there’s no reason to expect a major swing just because the series shifts to Memphis. Their defense has set the tone, and that should carry them to another comfortable win and cover.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Detroit Pistons won 115-106 when these teams met on April 10, but I expect tighter defense and fewer points in Game 1 of this playoff series.

While Detroit saw plenty of overs to close out the regular season, the intensity shifts in the postseason, and you can bet the Pistons will lock in defensively against a familiar rival.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

CLIPPERS/WARRIORS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER

I think we'll see a defensive battle when the Golden State Warriors and LA Clippers clash with playoff positioning on the line in the season finale.

Steph Curry summed it up best: "It should be like a Game 7 kind of vibe."

With both teams desperate to avoid the play-in, expect playoff-level intensity, especially on the defensive end.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Denver Nuggets have scored 120, 124 and 117 points in their last three games and with playoff seeding still on the line, I expect another full-effort offensive performance in their regular season finale. The Houston Rockets are locked into the No. 2 seed and have shown little urgency on defense lately, giving up 134 and 140 points in their last two.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Timberwolves will play on no rest following a 141-125 win at Memphis last night, as will the Brooklyn Nets after a 133-108 loss to Atlanta. The Nets have split their last six games, with all but one going over the total, and I think both teams will look to push the pace and exploit tired legs in a fast-tempo shootout.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

LATE 4% WOLVES/GRIZZLIES NBA TOP PLAY

Games involving the Memphis Grizzlies or the Minnesota Timberwolves have trended toward the over much of the season, but recent form suggests a shift. The Grizzlies are 3-0 to the under in their last three, and the Wolves have seen two straight stay under the total. With bookmakers tightening their numbers down the stretch, I wouldn't be surprised to see more unders ahead.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Sacramento Kings are 42-36 to the over on the season, but they've gone 7-3 to the under in their last 10 as oddsmakers have started adjusting to their pace and style. The Detroit Pistons are coming off two strong defensive efforts, and their last three have gone under the total. With both teams trending that direction, I think this one stays under the total.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Timberwolves have won four straight and had scored 123+ in three consecutive games before a 105-90 win at Brooklyn. The 76ers have struggled to get stops down the stretch, and the Wolves already beat them 126-112 at home a month ago. With defense seemingly optional in Philly right now, this looks like another high-scoring affair.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

RAPTORS/BULLS TOTAL

The Toronto Raptors are officially on a heater, riding a four-game SU and ATS win streak, and I like their chances to keep it close against the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday.

Chicago is coming off back-to-back losses to Dallas and OKC, and now they'll face a Raptors team eager to avoid a season sweep after dropping the first three meetings.

Toronto has stepped up defensively in recent games, and I expect them to cover in what should be a relatively low-scoring battle. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

BLAZERS/HAWKS NBA TOTAL

The Portland Trail Blazers are heading to Atlanta on a four-game losing streak, but they should at least be able to put up points against a Hawks team that has allowed 119-124 points over their last four games. The Hawks are 17-9-1 to the over against teams from the West and that's a trend I expect to continue here against Portland. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

HEAT/SIXERS NBA TOTAL

This looks like a potential flat spot for the Miami Heat after three straight wins and five covers against the spread in a row.

The Philadelphia 76ers have had their season ruined by injuries. While wins have been few and far between lately, they've been putting up a decent amount of points in most games. I like the Sixers to get the cover in a relatively high-scoring game in this one. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a 126-113 win over the Knicks, and while they've shown increased efficiency on the offensive end in recent games, I think this matchup with the Brooklyn Nets will be a relatively low-scoring affair.

The Nets have not scored more than 103 points once during a five-game slide, and here, they'll face a Clippers team ranking fourth in scoring defense for the season. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% MAVS/MAGIC NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Mavericks are severely shorthanded and should find scoring difficult against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.

The Magic have held their last three opponents to 105, 106 (Lakers) and 104 points, and they are 17-9 to the under on the season against teams from the West. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Boston Celtics have held their last three opponents to fewer than 100 points, and the Phoenix Suns have also been playing well defensively of late, and coming off a 108-106 win over the Milwaukee Bucks.

Additionally, Celtics forward Jayson Tatum is doubtful due to an ankle injury, which would hurt the Celtics' offense. 

The Celtics are 20-13 to the under as road favorites, while the Suns are 8-5 to the under as home underdogs. I think this will be a relatively low-scoring game. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% CAVS/BLAZERS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Portland Trail Blazers are coming off a 129-116 loss to Boston and now face another Eastern Conference contender in the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Despite a recent four-game skid, the Cavs have still been scoring at a high clip, averaging 121.5 points during that stretch before routing the Jazz 120-91.

The Blazers had won four straight before falling to Boston, and with both teams capable offensively, this looks like a strong spot for the over.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Philadelphia 76ers have allowed 125+ points in five straight games and now play on no rest after a 132-119 loss to Atlanta. The New Orleans Pelicans are in a similar spot, giving up 136 points to Detroit on Saturday and also playing the second night of a back-to-back. With tired legs often impacting defense more than offense, this looks like a prime spot for another high-scoring shootout.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

SIXERS/HAWKS NBA TOTAL

The shorthanded Philadelphia 76ers have been lit up plenty lately and have allowed 125 points or more in four straight games. Tonight, they'll face a hot Atlanta Hawks team that has won seven of their last 10, but not due to standout defensive outings but rather improved efficiency on the offensive end.

For the season, the Hawks rank 27th for points allowed and 5th for points scored...

I expect this to be a shootout. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

SPURS/RAPTORS NBA TOTAL

The San Antonio Spurs and the Toronto Raptors have come alive down the stretch.

The over/under is 8-2 in the Spurs' last 10 as they've found their scoring touch and with neither team in the playoff conversation, I expect the play to be a fast and open game as they give their youngsters a chance to shine. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

HORNETS/HEAT NBA TOTAL

The Miami Heat are ice cold and they've scored more than 100 points in only one of their last five games. The Charlotte Hornets are coming off a 141-106 loss at OKC, and while they've allowed big numbers in several of their last games, I think they can hold off the misfiring Heat. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% GRIZZLIES/CLIPPERS NBA TOP PLAY

The LA Clippers have scored 119 points or more in four straight wins. The Memphis Grizzlies are in a bounce-back spot after two losses, the most recent a 115-99 loss at Portland on Wednesday.

The Clippers won 128-114 in the last meeting, and I expect another high-scoring affair. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams are on no rest after high-scoring games, with the Bulls falling 127-121 in Phoenix and the Kings pulling off a 123-119 upset over Cleveland on Wednesday.

Fatigue usually impacts defense more than offense, and the trends back it up; Chicago is 6-3-1 to the over on no rest, while Sacramento is 8-5 to the over.

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

RAPTORS/SUNS LATE NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER

The Phoenix Suns took a 107-106 loss to the LA Lakers on Sunday and here they'll face a Toronto Raptors team that has heated up down the stretch. The Raptors have held four of their last five opponetns to 105 points or fewer and I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

SIXERS/ROCKETS NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER

The shorthanded Philadelphia 76ers will play on no rest off a 130-125 win in Dallas last night, and I think we'll see another high-scoring game when they visit the Houston Rockets Monday night. The Rockets are firing on all cylinders, coming off six wins, and scoring has not been an issue. I think they can rack up the points against an exhausted Philly team. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The San Antonio Spurs have struggled defensively since losing Victor Wembanyama for the season and they are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are coming off a 113-93 loss as an underdog to the Orlando Magic. That opponent play a very different style and tempo than the Spurs though, and I think they'll put up far more points here as a road favorite. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

KINGS/WARRIORS NBA TOTAL

The Sacramento Kings head to Chase Center after back-to-back losses to the Clippers and Knicks, surrendering 133 points to New York. Now, they face a red-hot Warriors team firing on all cylinders offensively.

While the Kings have given Golden State trouble in recent history and should keep it close, they’ll need to score to cover—making the over an appealing play as well.

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% LAL/MIL NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Los Angeles Lakers are dealing with injuries and have scored just 101 and 108 points in back-to-back losses.

The Milwaukee Bucks are also somewhat banged up (not as bad as the Lakers though) and have scored 109, 100 and 114 points in three consecutive losses.

I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% WOLVES/NUGGETS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams are coming off +140-point outings, and I think they can run up the score against each other when they clash at Ball Arena on Wednesday.

The Wolves won 133-104 when they hosted the Nuggets back in January, and they'll have center Rudy Gobert back in the lineup for a second consecutive game after missing 10 games with back spasms.

As for the Nuggets, Aaron Gordon will be a game-time decision but Russell Westbrook has been filling in just fine. 

4% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MIL/IND NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

I expect both the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers to bring strong defensive efforts into this game as they look to end a two-game losing streak and a three-game slide, respectively.

Both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damien Liliard are listed as day-to-day and probable, bad news as the Bucks struggled to get the offense going with both on the court in a 112-100 loss to Cleveland last time out.  

I expect this to be a relatively low-scoring affair. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Houston Rockets are coming off a 146-117 blowout win over the Pelicans, but here they'll face a much tougher defensive test against an Orlando Magic team allowing an NBA-best 106.2 points per game.

The Magic just held the Bucks to 109 points in a road win, and with both teams priding themselves on defense, I expect a relatively low-scoring battle.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

LAKERS/NETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER

The Brooklyn Nets are coming off a 105-102 loss at Charlotte, their seventh setback in a row. They lost 102-101 when they visited the Los Angeles Lakers on Jan 17 and considering the Lakers' injury situation, I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

HORNETS/HEAT NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Charlotte Hornets snapped a nine-game losing streak with a win over Brooklyn last time, but they still struggled on the offensive end in the 105-102 victory. The Miami Heat have scored 107, 104 and 109 points in three straight losses and I think both teams will find it difficult to run up the score in this one. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% SAC/LAC NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a 105-95 win over the New York Knicks and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair when they host the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. 

Both teams are looking to improve their playoff prospects in the Western Conference, and this could easily turn into a playoff-type game where defense is prioritized over offense.

That's been the case in the previous two meetings this season, both of which took place in November, when the Clippers won 107-98 and 104-88. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

KINGS/MAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 132-117 loss to Milwaukee and will face another tough test when the Sacramento Kings come to town Monday night. The Kings are riding a three-game winning streak, mostly fueled by inspired performances on the defensive end. Their last three games have gone under the total, and the total for this game also looks too high. 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Miami Heat will play on no rest off a 116-112 OT loss to the Knicks. The Washington Wizards are coming off a 113-110 win at Charlotte and have improved on the defensive end in recent games. 

The Heat won 118-98 back in November when these two teams last clashed, and I expect another relatively low-scoring game here. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Charlotte Hornets were held to under 100 points for a fourth straight game in a 103-96 loss at Dallas on Thursday. The Washington Wizards are coming off a 129-121 loss to Portland but had played three straight unders prior to that high-scoring game.

The Wizards tend to play low-scoring games against fellow teams with a losing record, and the same is true for the Hornets. I think this one will stay under the total. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

CAVS/CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER

The Boston Celtics have an over/under record of 3-11 against Eastern Conference teams with a winning percentage over 50% and I think we'll see a low-scoring battle here when they face off with the "beast of the east". 

The Cavs have the best record in the conference at 48-10, and I think this game will play out similarly to when the Celtics won 112-105 in Cleveland on Feb 4. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

4% CLIPPERS/BULLS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Chicago Bulls won 112-99 when these two teams clashed back on Jan 20 and I expect a letdown game from the Bulls after putting up 142 points in a win over Philadelphia last time out.

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

CELTICS/PISTONS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER

The Boston Celtics have played excellent defense in recent games and I expect another solid outing against a Detroit team they limited to 99 points on Dec 12. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

RAPTORS/PACERS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER

The Toronto Raptors held Boston to 111 points last time out and while the Indiana Pacers have been involved in high-scoring games lately, several still went under the total due to inflated numbers, which I think is the case here again. 

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a 105-104 win over Orlando and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair when they host Cleveland on Sunday. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the league and just held the Knicks to 105 points. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

HEAT/SPURS NBA TOTAL

The San Antonio Spurs are coming off a dominant 144-118 win over Milwaukee on Friday, but this sets up a tough back-to-back spot against a well-rested Miami team. The Spurs are just 2-4 ATS on no rest (0-2 ATS after a win) and 8-12 ATS following a victory this season. The Heat have had two full days to regroup since their 126-106 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday, giving them a significant edge in preparation and fresh legs.

In addition to the Heat, I also like the over as the Spurs tired legs will make it difficult to get stops. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER.

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New York Knicks have seen inflated totals of 234 points or more in their last three games, yet two still soared over. They’ve put up 143, 143, and 122 points in those contests, and now they face a Lakers squad fresh off a 134-96 rout of the Wizards.

Expect a high-paced shootout as LeBron James and Jalen Brunson go toe-to-toe, pushing the tempo and lighting up the scoreboard.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

ROCKETS/HAWKS NBA TOTAL

The Houston Rockets will play on no rest off an upset win at at Boston last night, but this is a team that's impossible to fade at the moment while the Atlanta Hawks are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five. I also like the over as I could see the Rockets getting a bit sloppy on the defensive end but still make up for it on offense. 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Memphis Grizzlies are 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games, and the New York Knicks just erupted offensively in a 143-120 win over the Sacramento Kings. While this will be their first meeting of the season, the over/under trend in their last 10 head-to-head matchups sits at 8-2. Despite the inflated total, I like the over here as across the NBA, games with a total of 240 or more have hit the over 18 times compared to 14 unders and one push.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CHA/PHX NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Charlotte Hornets defeated the Phoenix Suns 115-104 on Tuesday, their last time out, while the Phoenix Suns have answered with home wins over Atlanta and Utah. Games between these two teams tend to be relatively low-scoring and with fresh legs on defense for the Hornets and the Suns playing on no rest, I don't think the final score for this matchup will break 220.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Toronto Raptors have been extremely vulnerable on the defensive end lately and the Detroit Pistons have shown great efficiency during an 8-2 run. I expect them to  bounce back with a strong performance after being held to 104 points in a loss to Golden State on Thursday.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Clippers have scored 114 points or more in four of their last six games, and games involving the San Antonio Spurs tend to go over the total. This total is low because of the Clippers' 12-20-0 over/under record, but they've started to gel offensively, and we could see heavy legs on defense following a 116-113 win in New Orleans last night. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% SPURS/WOLVES NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Spurs have displayed scoring woes on the road all season, and the Wolves have one of the best scoring defenses overall. We saw just 198 points scored when these two teams clashed at San Antonio on Dec 15, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair tonight. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

WOLVES/MAVS TOTAL

Early games in the NBA tend to be relatively low-scoring affairs, and I don't see why that wouldn't be the case again here in this matinee matchup in Dallas. The Timberwolves have played well below expectations, and here they'll face a Dallas team that allows just 106.3 ppg at home, well under its 112.0 ppg mark overall. 

The Wolves have been held to 107, 103, and 104 points through a three-game slide. I expect another low-scoring loss for Minnesota here.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Houston Rockets have been playing total lockdown defense in recent games and the OKC Thunder are allowing just 103.8 points per game (2nd) on the season while the Rockets are just behind them in third place for scoring defense. "I think we're the top two defenses," Rockets coach Ime Udoka said. "They're very stingy on that end and they do it in a different way. They're one of the best at creating turnovers and drawing (players) into a crowd. They give up some things as well, but they really protect the paint at a high level."

It's hard to disagree with the Rockets coach, and I expect a tight defensive battle here in this NBA Cup semifinal. 

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - CHA/CHI NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Chicago Bulls have a 15-10 record to the over this season, but inflated totals suggest the bookmakers are catching on. The struggling Charlotte Hornets have dropped eight of their last nine games, and the offense has taken a major hit following LaMelo Ball's absence due to a calf strain. This matchup sets up well for the under, as scoring could be at a premium.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

3% NBA TOTAL

This looks like an excellent opportunity to fade the Golden State Warriors after their upset win over Houston last night. Snapping a five-game losing streak might relieve some pressure, but it also sets them up for a potential letdown. The Minnesota Timberwolves, meanwhile, are finding their stride with three straight wins following a rough patch, and they have the momentum to take advantage here.

Even if Stephen Curry and Draymond Green return for Golden State, the Wolves bring enough firepower and defensive focus to cover the spread.

I also lean toward the under, expecting both teams to prioritize defense in their first clash of the season, especially with the unique setup of a two-game, same-site series over three days. This has the makings of a gritty, hard-fought contest.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

HAWKS/BUCKS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER

The Atlanta Hawks are 15-7 to the over this season, but their trend toward high-scoring games dips significantly when facing teams with winning records. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have tightened up defensively, and this total seems inflated due to their early-season numbers rather than their recent form.

3% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% OKC/GSW NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

This looks like a good spot to back the Golden State Warriors to bounce back from a highly disappointing 128-120 loss as a double-digit home favorite over Brooklyn. They're usually good at responding to losses and 14-6 to the over, coming off a loss as a favorite, dating back to the start of last season.

The OKC Thunder are in a potential flat spot coming off a 130-109 win at Sacramento, and note that the Warriors won 127-116 when they hosted OKC on Nov 10. 

Steph Curry is questionable, but I like the line without him on the floor.

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

We might see heavy legs on defense from the Orlando Magic following a 104-93 loss to the Clippers here in LA last night. The LA Lakers are coming into this game on a six-game winning streak fueled by hot shooting as they scored 120 points or more in four of those six wins. The Magic won 120-101 when they hosted the Lakers back on Nov 4, and I expect at least as many points in this game. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

4% HOU/MIL NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Houston Rockets are 8-6 to the under while the Milwaukee Bucks are 8-5 to the under. I expect to see a big drop in production from the Rockets following their 143-107 win at Chicago last night.

Since the start of the 2022 season, the Rockets are 6-3 to the under following a 135+ point game, and I think the Bucks will struggle to get good looks against a Rockets team that has held opponents to 106.1 ppg on the season (3rd). 

4% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Orlando Magic have seen their last three games go under the total, and it would be in their best interest to keep the tempo slow here after a 114-89 win over Charlotte on Tuesday night. The high-paced Indiana Pacers come in rested after a 132-121 win over the Knicks on Sunday, but expect the Magic to do everything they can to control the pace and disrupt the Pacers' rhythm.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% MAX BET ALERT - NBA WEST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The last three Kings games have stayed under the posted total, and three of the Suns' last four have done the same. While both teams are strong offensively, which can lead to inflated totals, their defenses are solid and often undervalued. This could set up for another relatively low-scoring game tonight.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

RAPTORS/CLIPPERS TOTAL

The Toronto Raptors had covered the spread in seven straight games before their 122-107 loss to Sacramento on Thursday. With two days off since that loss, they’re in a good spot to cover here against a Clippers team riding a three-game SU and ATS winning streak.

This is only the second time the Clippers have been favored by more than four points, and the last time they were, they lost outright as an 8-point favorite against Portland.

The Raptors are averaging a healthy 118.0 points per game (6th), but they've struggled on the other end of the hardwood giving up 124.7 ppg (30th). 

3% PLAY ON THE OVER

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Chicago Bulls are 5-2 to the over for the season, and they've allowed 120 points or more in five of their last seven games.

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 134-127 loss to the Indiana Pacers. They tend to push the tempo a bit more than usual at home at American Airlines Center, and I fully expect that to be the case here as a double-digit home favorite. 

5% PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5% NBA NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

While the Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans are both known for their scoring ability, the Pelicans have struggled recently, averaging under 100 points per game over their last three.

Given this, the betting market seems to have set an inflated total for this matchup.

It’s also worth noting that NBA games with totals of 228 or higher have hit the under at a 15-9 clip this season.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5% NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

This is Game 1 of a back-to-back set, and both teams are coming off subpar outings offensively.

The Golden State Warriors' last two games have gone under the total, and now Steph Curry will miss this and also Friday's matchup with an ankle injury.

5% PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

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The Celtics could not get the job done in Game 4, but I don't see any other outcome than a big bounce back and a blowout win back home in Boston following Friday's historical 40-point loss. 

I also like the under, as the Celtics did a great job shutting down the Mavs' offense through the first three games of the series, and I expect them to be locked in defensively again. 

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S WOLVES/MAVS NBA TOTAL

The Dallas Mavericks have made Minnesota look more like the "Tpuppies" than the "Twolves" and they now look to copy the Boston Celtics and complete the sweep of their NBA conference finals series. The Mavs are 5-2 ATS in seven meetings this season and the confidence level in the Minnesota camp must be low heading into this game, knowing they have an uphill battle ahead even if they were to steal this one. 

I think the Mavs will close out the series in another relatively high-scoring affair. 

3* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* CELTICS/PACERS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I'm not quite sure what the bookmakers and betting market are thinking, as they refuse to raise the total in this series, but I'm happy to take advantage of what I think is a major mistake!

The over is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings and both teams last five games here in the playoffs. 

Granted, the Pacers will most likely be eliminated tonight, but I don't think they'll go without a fight, and the only way they know how to play is fast-paced basketball. Give me the over. 

4* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 3* WOLVES/MAVS NBA TOTAL

While not technically an elimination game for the Minnesota Timberwolves, it might as well be, as their chances of reaching the NBA Finals would be slim to none if they were to go down 3-0 in the series. They finished the regular season with the best scoring defense in the league, and I think they'll step up the intensity on the defensive end again and make it difficult for the Mavs. 

I like the Wolves to cover the spread in a low-scoring game. 

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S CELTICS/PACERS G3 NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Indiana Pacers desperately need a win after two losses in Boston.

Both games in Boston went well over the total, and I'm surprised to see a lower total for Game 3 in Indiana.

The Pacers will surely bring a lot of energy and push the tempo in front of the hometown crowd, and it's not like they're capable of adjusting their style anyway. 

3* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Boston Celtics won the opener of the Eastern Conference finals 133-128 in OT, but the game went well over the total before the extra period. The Indiana Pacers are incapable of playing defense, and while this total is a tad higher than Game 1, I don't think the bookmakers have made the proper adjustment yet. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Indiana Pacers have started to play defense, and the New York Knicks have, in turn, found ways to slow down the Pacers hectic pace. The last three games in this series have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 6 as the home team looks to fight off elimination. 

Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-2 in Knicks last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S MAVS/THUNDER TOTAL

The Oklahoma City Thunder tied the series with a 100-96 win in Dallas Monday night. With two potential home games in what is now a best of three series they're back in the drivers seat. They're 36-9 at home for the season and I think they'll make the most of their homecourt advantage tonight. 

Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

In addition the Thunder to win and cover the spread, I also like the under. 

Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 overall.Under is 45-22 in Mavericks last 67 overall. Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a road underdog.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

I still can't believe Game 3 did not go over the total, and I think the bookmakers are making a HUGE mistake with this total. Only a 5-minute scoring slump late in the fourth quarter stopped that game from reaching 230+ points, and I don't see the fast-paced Pacers being able to pace themselves (no pun intended). 

In addition to the over, I also like the New York Knicks to cover the number as they have proven capable of adapting to Indiana's pace. 

Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

Defense is not only optional but seemingly not allowed when the Indiana Pacers take the court. We have seen 238 and 251 points, respectively, in the first two games of the series at Madison Square Garden, and I think we'll see more of the same when the series moves to Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Add the fact that the Knicks will be without arguably their best defender, OG Anunoby, and I think we have a solid case for an over. 

Over is 36-16 in Pacers last 52 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Over is 7-0 in Pacers last 7 home games. Over is 8-1 in Knicks last 9 games as an underdog.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/CAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

With a Game 7 between two teams with more upside on the defensive end than the offensive end, I don't think the bookmakers can make the total low enough. 

Under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 First Round games. Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 First Round games.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* CLIPPERS/MAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Mavericks will be looking to close out the series at home after taking a 3-2 lead in the series with a 123-93 win in LA. They've held the Clippers to 93 points or fewer in three of the five games, and I expect them to make life very difficult for the Clippers tonight. 

Under is 11-3 in Mavericks last 14 games as a home favorite. Mavericks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 10-3 in Clippers last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Milwaukee Bucks are still alive in the series following a 115-92 win in Game 5. They were without  Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, both listed as doubtful for this game, but figured out how to stop the high-scoring Pacers on the defensive end. 

I expect them to stick to the same game plan in Game 6, and Indiana does not strike me as a team that adapts well. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* HEAT/CELTICS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The last two games have seen just 188 and 190 points, respectively. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair as the Boston Celtics look to wrap up the series with a win as a double-digit favorite. 

Under is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 playoff games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S SIXERS/KNICKS TOTAL THRASHER

The over/under is 2-2 in this series, and I expect another under despite seeing the lowest total so far. The Knicks have been playing suffocating defense and have made things difficult for the Sixers for most of the series.

Now, Philly's star center, Joel Embiid, is banged up again. I don't see him missing the game, but if he's even remotely limited the Sixers offense will suffer big time. 

Under is 21-6 in 76ers last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Knicks last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

I expected much, much more from the Phoenix Suns in this series. On paper, they have all the talent needed to make some serious noise in the post-season.

The Suns' stars have failed to gel as a team, though, and they have found it difficult to compete against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.3 points per game. 

Now down 3-0 in the series, I think we'll see the Suns' stars getting even more desperate and, as a result, take even worse shots, leading to a low-scoring game in which the Wolves should have an edge. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.  

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In addition to the Thunder to win and cover the spread, I also like the under. Under is 24-9-1 in Pelicans last 34 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 games as a favorite.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

5* NBA EASTERN  CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

This is a low total, and if we combine the spread with the total the bookmakers project the Celtics to win 111.5 - 97.5.

I think Heat will score 100+, but I'm still not sure that will be enough to cover the number; the Celtics are an offensive juggernaut that has scored 130+ points in back-to-back games while barely breaking a sweat.

Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S MAVS/THUNDER NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The OKC Thunder are looking to secure the top spot in the conference, while the Dallas Mavericks have their No. 5 seed and a first-round matchup with the LA Clippers locked in.

I don't expect to see much life from Dallas in this game, and the Thunder should be able to slow down once they've taken a comfortable lead. 

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S HORNETS/CAVS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

This seems like too low a total for a contest of exhibition character, where defense will not be a priority. 

3* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S ROCKETS/JAZZ TOTAL

I don't see why a Houston Rockets team already eliminated from the playoffs should be this big of a favorite. Sure, the Jazz have been a punching bag in recent weeks (0-10 SU, 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games), but they're 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record, and they lost by only one point when they hosted the Rockets on March 29. 

In addition to Jazz to cover the spread, I also like the over. Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 overall. Over is 15-7-2 in Rockets last 24 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.

3* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Boston Celtics have had the No. 1 seed in the conference locked up for quite some time, and their only focus for now is to stay healthy, so they're unlikely to fight hard on the defensive end. 

The New York Knicks will be fired up as they push for the No. 2 seed in the East, and they are coming off back-to-back 120+ point games.

Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 overall.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MAVS/HEAT TOTAL 

This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Mavericks, who are in a potential flat spot following a 130-104 win in Charlotte last night, their fourth win and cover in a row. The Miami Heat will also play on short rest following a 117-111 win in Atlanta Tuesday night, but they have the homecourt advantage. 

Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

In addition to Miami to cover the spread, I also like the over. The Heat have averaged 117 ppg through their last three games, and the over is 6-0 in their last 6 overall.

3* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 44-32-1 to the over for the season, and I expect them to give us a strong effort on the offensive end tonight following a 126-112 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last game. 

Over is 21-7 in Thunder last 28 games following a straight up loss. Over is 8-2 in Thunder last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as an underdog.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S WARRIORS/MAVS TOTAL

This looks like a tough spot for the Golden State Warriors, who will on the road for a second straight night following their 133-110 win in Houston last night. They're riding a six-game winning streak but will now face a Dallas team that is even hotter with eight wins in nine games.

The Mavs will also play on short rest, but they've not had to travel, and this is a revenge spot for the Mavs after losing 104-100 when they visited the Warriors on April 2. 

In addition to the Mavs to cover the spread, I also like the under. Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Under is 43-15-1 in Mavericks last 59 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The over/under is 1-4 in the last five meetings and the under is 35-16-1 in Rockets last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S LATE-NIGHT MAVS/WARRIORS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Dallas Mavericks won 109-99 when they hosted the Golden State Warriors on March 13, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair when they clash at Chase Center Tuesday night. 

Under is 18-7-1 in Warriors last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Under is 19-9 in Warriors last 28 overall. Under is 56-27 in Mavericks last 83 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns are coming into the week in sixth and eighth place, respectively. With both teams in need of wins down the stretch, I think we'll see a low-scoring game of playoff character when they clash on Monday night. 

Under is 21-6 in Pelicans last 27 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

5* NBA EAST vs. WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Minnesota Timberwolves are holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.2 points per game on the season, but I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this Sunday night matchup with the Chicago Bulls. 

Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-0 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Lakers will play on short rest following a 128-124 loss to the Bucks in Milwaukee last night.

Tired legs typically equal high-scoring games for the Lakers, who are 8-0-1 to the over in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest.

The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a 128-103 loss to the Denver Nuggets, and they've allowed 118 points or more in four of their last five games. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* MAVS/KINGS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY (10:00 PM)

The Sacramento Kings will play on short rest following a 108-96 win over the Philadelphia 76ers and they have held their last five opponents to an average of 102.4 ppg. The Dallas Mavericks have also been feisty on the defensive end of late with only 105, 107, 97 and 105 points allowed through their last four games. 

Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 55-27 in Mavericks last 82 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S WARRIORS/HEAT TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to fade the Miami Heat who are in a potential letdown spot after blowing the doors off the Cavs on Sunday while at the same time backing the Golden State Warriors to rally after back-to-back losses. 

Heat are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

In addition to the Warriors to win the game, I also like the under. 

Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S CELTICS/HAWKS NBA TOTAL

The Boston Celtics have scored 119 points or more in eight straight games. They defeated the Hawks 125-117 in Boston on Feb 7. That game went under the closing total of 244 points, but we're seeing a much lower number for this game.

Over is 40-16 in Hawks last 56 Monday games. Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Over is 5-1-1 in Celtics last 7 games as a favorite.

3* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MIKE'S CAVS/HEAT TOTAL

This looks like a good spot to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back-to-back losses SU and ATS.

The Cavs are coming off a 104-91 loss to the Timberwolves in Minnesota, but note that they're 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.

They'll visit a Heat team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

In addition to the Cavs covering the spread, I also like the under as I think the total is this low for a very good reason as both teams are dealing with injuries. Under is 20-6 in Cavaliers last 26 road games. Under is 12-4 in Heat last 16 home games. Under is 35-16 in Heat last 51 overall.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER.