5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. 

The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY

The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. 

The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* COWBOYS/BILLS NFL SUNDAY TOP PLAY

This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys following five straight wins, including a 33-13 win over their rivals the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Dallas is 10-3 on the season, but only 3-3 on the road. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

The Buffalo Bills are only 7-6 on the season and in second place in the division and will most likely have to win out to catch the first-place Miami Dolphins. Desperation breeds motivation and I think we'll see a hyper-focused Bills team beat Dallas. 

4* PLAY ON THE BUFFALO BILLS. 

MIKE'S 5* BRONCOS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

This looks like a great spot to fade the Denver Broncos who have been playing over their heads lately, winning six of their last seven games outright, with three wins as underdogs.

The Detroit Lions meanwhile are getting no respect following a humiliating 28-13 loss to the Bears in Chicago, but they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE LIONS. 

MIKE'S 4* CHARGERS/RAIDERS NFL TOP PLAY

The Chargers will have to do without injured starting QB Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, but I think the rest of the team will rally behind QB Easton Stick who will make his first NFL start despite five seasons with the team.

The Raiders have QB issues of their own as they've averaged just 11.5 points over their last four games with rookie Aidan O'Connell quarterbacking the team. We might see Jimmy Garoppolo back under center for Vegas here, but I still think the Chargers can keep this close. 

The Chargers are 40-18-4 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

4* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S 4* PACKERS/GIANTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Giants are 9-3 to the under on the season. They are averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game (31st) and an NFL-worst 258.7 yards of total offense per game. The Packers have scored 23, 29, and 27 points through a three-game winning streak, but note that the under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 Monday night games and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in Giants last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* SEAHAWKS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a potential flat spot for the San Francisco 49ers who are riding a four-game winning streak and defeated the Eagles 42-19 in Philadelphia last week.

I would not be surprised if they struggle to bring full focus for this game, especially after winning 31-13 in Seattle on Nov 23, and even if they do, this is a lot of points to cover. 

The Niners have all but clinched the division while Seattle's season is on the line.

5* PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS.  

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Detroit Lions are averaging 27.2 points per game overall, but that number drops a bit when they're playing on the road. The Bears rank 2nd in total defense home at Soldier Field with an average of only 261.6 yards allowed per game. 

The Chicago Bears offense has been anemic all season, and they've been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Detroit won the first meeting of the season 31-26 back on Nov 19, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring game this time around. 

The under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NINERS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Philadelphia Eagles will play an elite opponent for a fourth straight game following wins over Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo. Now they'll run into a San Francisco team that has answered a three-game losing streak with three wins.

I think the Eagles are due for a letdown game, and you can't play anything but your absolute best to keep up with this Niners team. 

The 49ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 49ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

5* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

MIKE'S 5* COLTS/TITANS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Tennessee Titans have scored more than 17 points in only one of their last seven games.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has come around following a poor start to the year and has held opponents to 13, 6, and 20 points through their last three games.

Offensively, the Colts will be without the 2021 NFL rushing champion Jonathan Taylor who underwent thumb surgery earlier this week. 

The under is 6-0 in Colts' last 6 games as a road favorite and 31-14 in their last 45 games in December.

The under is 18-6 in Titans' last 24 home games and, 6-2 in Titans last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 6-2 in Titans last 8 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 4* SEAHAWKS/COWBOYS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Cowboys have won three straight games in blowout fashion since a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in Philly on Nov 15.

Since then, they've defeated the Giants 49-17, the Panthers 33-10, and most recently the Commanders 45-10 on Thanksgiving. Tonight they'll face a Seattle team that took a 31-13 loss to the Niners at home last Sunday.

There's no need to overthink this. Give me the scorching hot Cowboys on extra rest. 

4* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

MIKE'S 5* M.N.F. TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Vikings are 8-3 to the under on the season and the under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Chicago Bears had scored 13, 17 and 16 points in their past three games before putting up 26 points in a loss at Detroit last week. They looked a lot better with Justin Fields back under center, but this is still a bad Bears offense and the Vikes are allowing only 320.6 yards per game (12th).

The Bears have more success running the ball than throwing, but stopping the run is the Vikes strength on D, so this is an unfavorable matchup for Chicago. 

As for the Vikings offense, Kirk Cousins is done for the year, and star wideout Justin Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring injury. He's been reported as "unlikely to play", and I fully expect him to sit as their bye week is coming up. There's no reason for them to gamble and not let Jefferson heal up completely. 

The Vikings won 19-13 when these two teams clashed in Chicago back in October. I would not be surprised if we see a similar scoreline tonight. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* BILLS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Buffalo Bills can not be too pleased about their 6-5 record, but they're coming off a 32-6 win over the Jets and I think everyone would agree that they are a better team than their record would suggest. 

The Philadelphia Eagles are in a potential letdown spot after defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead Monday night. They're riding a four-game winning streak which includes marquee wins over Miami, Dallas, and the aforementioned Kansas City, but it's really difficult to sustain that level of play extended amount of time, even for a top team. They're due to come out flat eventually, and I'll gladly take the points on the Bills in this game. 

The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

5* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS.

MIKE'S 5* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under.

The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games.

The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* PACKERS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Green Bay Packers are coming off an upset win over the Chargers, but I think they'll lose big here in Detroit on Thanksgiving.

The Packers are far from healthy, and they'll face a Lions team that is on a roll with seven wins while going 6-2 ATS in its last eight games, including a 34-20 win at Lambeau Field back in late September.

The Lions did not cover in last week's 31-26 win over the Bears but note that the Lions are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

5* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

MIKE'S 4* EAGLES/CHIEFS M.N.F. TOTAL TOP PLAY

I've said it before and I'll say it again; the Kansas City Chiefs' defense just might be one of the most underrated units in the NFL. That might seem like a weird statement about a team that just won the Super Bowl, but they rarely get the headlines despite ranking 4th in total defense while allowing only 15.9 points per game which ranks 2nd in the NFL.

The Chiefs are 7-2 to the under on the season and since the beginning of last season, they are 9-4 to the under against teams with a win percentage of 50% or more.

The Eagles' offense is flying high, but I think the Chiefs will dictate the tempo of this game and make it a low-scoring affair.  

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

I think the Los Angeles Rams are due for a strong outing here following their bye week and back-to-back road losses at Dallas and Pittsburgh.

In their last game (on Nov 5), the Rams took a 20-3 loss at Lambeau Field, but they should be able to put more points on the board here as QB Matthew Stafford is expected to be back on the field after missing the last game due to injury. If Stafford can't go, the Rams now have a more than capable backup in Carson Wentz.

The Seahawks are allowing 283.3 passing yards per game (22nd), so this looks like a favorable matchup for the Rams. The Seahawks are 3-1 SU in their last four games but 0-4-1 ATS in their last five. 

5* PLAY ON THE RAMS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Arizona Cardinals picked up their second win of the season when they defeated Atlanta 25-23 last week.

That was QB Kyler Murray's first game since suffering an ACL injury in December last year, and we should see a more effective Arizona offense now in the second half of the season. 

The Houston Texans are coming off a 30-27 win at Cincinnati and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud keeps impressing under center. I think this will be a shootout as I expect solid play from both quarterbacks while both teams rank in the bottom third for total defense. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 5* BENGALS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 30-27 loss to Houston, but that did not come as a surprise to me who predicted that they would have a letdown game following four straight wins SU and ATS.

I expect the Bengals to come out fully focused again for this divisional matchup against Baltimore who also saw a four-game winning streak end last week, with a 33-31 loss to Cleveland.

These are two very evenly matched teams in my opinion, and I would not be surprised to see this game come down to a last-drive field goal. Let's take the points on the underdog. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET

The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. 

Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. 

The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. 

The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... 

The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run.

As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on.

As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points.

This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from a humbling 24-9 loss at Denver. They had won six consecutive games before that setback, and here they'll get the opportunity to showcase their talent to a whole new crowd at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany.

The Miami Dolphins are 6-2 straight up and against the spread, but they were completely outmatched the two times they faced quality opponents in Buffalo and Philadelphia.

The Chiefs are the reigning champs, and still the team to beat IMO.

Since the start of last season, the Chiefs are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS off an ATS loss and 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS off a straight up loss. 

5* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

5* GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S BENGALS/NINERS NFL BEST BET

The San Francisco 49ers have hit a bit of a slump, coming off back-to-back road losses at Cleveland and Minnesota. QB Brock Purdy is doubtful and missed practice on Wednesday while in the NFL's concussion protocol. There's a significant drop off to backup QB Sam Darnold, and here the Niners will face a Bengals team that is coming off its bye week and has played a lot better as Joe Burrows is getting close to full health. I have the Niners as the better team, but the spot favors Cincy, and we're spotted more than a field goal. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league.

Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season, but this is a team that usually struggles to cover.

Over the last three seasons, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and the Chargers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog last three seasons.

The Chargers are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season and that is one reason why the betting market is undervaluing the Chargers in this spot. 

4* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? 

Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. 

As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

4* TOP PLAY - COWBOYS/CHARGERS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Chargers have one of the best QBs in the league in Justin Herbert, but they do not pose much of a threat on the ground and here they'll run into one of the best pass defenses in the league. I also expect the Dallas defense to come out extra motivated after giving up 42 points to the Niners last week.

While the Chargers will come out fresh from their bye, I think Dallas will do its best to slow down the pace, and offensively, the Cowboys have mustered a total of only 26 points through its last two road games. 

On the season on the season, Monday and Thursday games are a combined 9-4 to the under and all games with a closing total of 50 or higher are 5-2 to the under.

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S COLTS/JAGS GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars return home from two weeks across the pond and off an upset win over the Bills. The travel could become an issue for Jacksonville against a Colts team that has won three of its last four games outright. Gardner Minshew will quarterback Indianapolis, but I'm not sure he's that much of a downgrade from injured Anthony Richardson.

Over the last three seasons, the Colts are 14-10 ATS as an underdog while the Jags are 3-7 ATS as favorites (0-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 7 points). 

4* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

5* BEST BET - Mike's Broncos/Chiefs NFL Total of the Month

The Broncos' defense is almost historically bad so this could get ugly in a hurry, but I still like the under as KC can go into time management mode and churn clock with long drives after jumping out to a big lead. The Broncos have looked decent when on the ball in recent weeks, but here they'll face a Chiefs defense that may not get a lot of headlines, but certainly can hold its own.

Since the start of last season, Chiefs games with a total closing at 50 points or higher are 11-4 to the under. 

5* play on UNDER. 

Mike's 4* Packers/Raiders M.N.F. Total BEST BET

'The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results.

Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game.

Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. 

I like the under even more though. Green Bay ranks 29th in total offense and 24th in yards per play. Vegas ranks 28th in total offense and 22nd in yards per play. Vegas has not scored more than 18 points in any games this season, but its defense ranks around average. The over/under is 1-3 in Vegas' games this season. 

4* play on UNDER. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Chiefs/Vikings NFL Total of the Week

The Minnesota Vikings are 3-1-1 to the under on the season as they average only 22.5 points per game (25th) despite averaging 370.8 yards per game (9th) and 6.4 yards per play (3rd).

Untimely turnovers have cost them, but I think we'll see a locked-in Vikes offense here against a KC defense that might not be quite as good as the numbers would suggest. KC is allowing only 15.0 points per game, but its last three opponents have been Jacksonville, Chicago, and the NY Jets.

As for the Chiefs offense, you never have to worry about them putting up points.

I expect to see this one go over the total. 

4* play on OVER. 

4* TOP PLAY - Mike's Ravens/Steelers NFL Game of the Week

This looks like a great spot to back the Steelers to bounce back from a disappointing 30-6 loss as a 3-point favorite at Houston. The Steelers are not good as favorites, but Mike Tomlin knows how to get his squad fired up as underdogs, especially when it comes to divisional games. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Steelers are 6-3 ATS as underdogs against division opponents. 

The Ravens meanwhile are in a potential flat spot following a 28-3 rout of the Browns in Cleveland. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Ravens are 9-17 ATS as favorites and 1-4 ATS off a win against a divisional rival. 

4* play on the Steelers. 

Mike's 4* Seahawks/Giants MNF TOP PLAY

The Seahawks are coming off back-to-back wins against Detroit and Carolina, but I think they'll come up short here against a Giants team that is finally back home following a pair of road games.

The Giants got shut out by Dallas in a 40-0 loss on primetime in their home opener of the season, which should make them even more amped up for this primetime home game.

There is a chance that Giants RB Saquon Barkley will take the field for the first time of the season, which would be a huge boost for their offense. With or without Barkley though, I expect to see a focused Giants team getting the win. 

4* TOP PLAY on the Giants. 

5* NFL MAX BET - Mike's Ravens/Browns Game of the Month

The Ravens took a 22-19 OT loss to the Colts last week, and they're heading to Cleveland with a banged-up squad. Here they'll face a Cleveland team boasting arguably the best defense in the league.

The Browns have only allowed six points in their two home wins this season, and while I'm not completely sold on their QB Deshaun Watson, the team is very good at moving the ball on the ground (4th in rushing yards per game). 

5* MAX BET on the Browns. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Broncos/Bears NFL Total of the Week

The Denver Broncos came into the season with a supposedly strong defense but question marks whether veteran QB Russell Wilson still got what it takes.

Instead, Denver ranks dead last in total defense and yards allowed per play. while offensively, the Broncos rank 15th in total offense and 5th in yards per play.

The Bears defense ranks 30th in total defense and yards allowed per play. I think this will be a high-scoring affair. 

4* play on OVER. 

MAX BET ALERT - Mike's 5* Eagles/Bucs NFL Game of the Month

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have proven to be a lot harder to defeat than most predicted. They've opened the season with wins over Minnesota and Chicago, and while tonight's opponent will be a much tougher test, I still like the Bucs to keep it within the number. 

The Eagles have defeated the Pats by five points and Minnesota by six points, but they have allowed 326 passing yards per game and 5.7 yards per play overall (29th). 

Bucs QB Baker Mayfield is playing with a lot of confidence and averages 7.2passing yards per attempt. 

5* MAX BET on the Bucs. 

Mike's 4* Patriots/Jets NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY

The Patriots are in big need of a win following home losses in one-score affairs against Philadelphia and Miami, and I like the Pats here against a Jets team they've dominated in recent seasons. The Jets were supposed to be the better team this year, but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center, not Zach Wilson.

Bill Belichick won't start the season 0-3, and if the Pats win they're more likely than not to cover the spread. We can also note that the Pats are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less over the last three seasons, while the Jets are 12-18 ATS as an underdog.

4* TOP PLAY on the Patriots. 

Mike's 4* Giants/Niners T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Giants got stomped by Dallas in Week 1, and they needed a 17-0 fourth quarter to scrape by a weak Arizona team in Week 2. Here they'll have to do without star RB Saquon Barkley who left the win against Arizona early with an ankle injury, and I just don't see how the Giants will be able to keep up with a Niners team that is superior on both sides of the ball. 

The Niners are 2-0 on the season after winning 30-7 at Pittsburgh in Week 1 and 30-23 at LA Rams in Week 2. Two dominant performances, and their Week 2 win could've/should've been bigger. I expect the 49ers to rout their opponent here in their home opener. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the 49ers with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Bears/Bucs NFL Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Bears took a 38-20 loss to Green Bay in Week 1 while Tampa Bay recorded a 20-17 upset win at Minnesota. I think the Bears' defense will do a lot better here against a Tampa Bay team that will struggle to move the ball this season, but I don't think points will come easy for Chicago either. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's 4* Ravens/Bengals NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY

The Bengals were held to three points and 142 yards of total offense in their Week 1 matchup with Cleveland. QB Joe Burrow suffered a calf injury during training camp that made him miss one month of the preseason, and he looked completely off. Here he'll face a solid Baltimore team that is coming off a 25-9 win over the Texans. 

Since the start of the 2019 season, the Ravens are 13-3-1 ATS as underdogs. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the RAVENS with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Vikings/Eagles ATS TOP PLAY of the Day

The Vikings do not have the defense to compete with Philly, but they have the weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Turnovers and penalties hurt them badly in Week 1 against the Bucs, but I think we'll see a much better Vikings offense in this one. The Vikings will also have a chip on their shoulder after losing to Tampa Bay as a big favorite, and divisional matchups are never a gimme. Additionally, the Eagles have been hit with injuries on defense. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the Vikings with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Eagles/Patriots NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Teams coming off a loss in the Super Bowl tend to start the next season slow and with the Pats, you just know that Bill Belichick will have a great plan on the defensive side of the ball.

The Eagles held opponents to an NFL-best 292.8 yards per game last season. The Pats ranked 26th in total offense and they're coming into this game with a banged up offensive line.  

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

10* CHIEFS/EAGLES SUPER BOWL TOTAL MAX BET

The over in the Super Bowl is a public bet pretty much every year, but the public is not always wrong.

While the Chiefs defense turned up the heat late in the season, they're still allowing 21.7 ppg and they allowed 20 points in both the divisional round and the conference championship game. The Eagles have been dominant on both sides of the ball all season and they've scored 38 and 31 points in their two playoff games. 

I see a 28-27. 30-28 win for either team. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* AFC PLAYOFFS BEST BET

The move from the opening line to this number suggests that the market is concerned about the health of Patrick Mahomes (high ankle sprain), but I am not worried. He'll play, and he'll be efficient, as always. 

We won with Cincinnati last week, and while they looked terrific in their dismantling of the Bills, this number is also an overreaction due to that performance. Don't get me wrong, the Bengals are a very talented team ... just not quite as good as KC. 

10* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

NINERS/EAGLES 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Niners and the Eagles are top two for total defense this season, with both sides allowing only just over 300 yards per game. San Fracncisco's third-string quarterback Brock Purdy has been putting up strong numbers, but now he'll face an Eagles team that held Daniel Jones to 135 passing yards in the divisional round. The Niners should have decent success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock. 

Under is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 playoff road games. Under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* BENGALS/BILLS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

Buffalo might be the best team in the AFC, but this is a lot of points to give to a team as talented as the Bengals. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has been inconsistent lately. Sure, he has thrown 12 touchdown passes over the last four games, but also five interceptions in the last three. For the season, the Bills rank 31st in the NFL with 1.8 giveaways per game while Cincy ranks 8th with 1.5 takeaways per game. 

Bengals are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

10* JAGS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The line total has gone up a couple of points since the opener, but I like the under here. Sure, Jacksonville's wild Wild Card win over the Chergers was a shootout, but do you expect Trevor Lawrence to throw four picks and four touchdown passes again? Jacksonville's defense has played a lot better doown the stretch than it did at the beginning of the season and KS's defense is somewhat underrated, with the offense stealing all the headlines. 

Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Kansas City won 27-17 when the two teams clashed back in November. I would not be surprised to see a similar scoreline today. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* CHARGERS/JAGUARS NFL WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET

I really like the Chargers here in Jacksonville Saturday night. The Jags have struggled against the pass all season long (28th) and here they'll face a Chargers team that averages 269.6 passing yards per game (3rd). The Chargers had won four on the bounce before losing at Denver in the regular season finale, after knowing they had already secured a wild-card spot. Jacksonville surged down the stretch as well after opening the season 2-6, but I have the Chargers as the much better team. 

Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

10* PLAY ON LA CHARGERS. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK  - 10* LIONS/PACKERS MAX BET

The Lions are 10-6 to the over on the season and over is 13-6 in Lions last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. The Packers are coming off a 41-17 win over Minnesota, and their offense has been heating up at exactly the right time. Over is 10-1 in Packers last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games in January.

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - RAMS/SEAHAWKS MAX BET

The Rams are banged up but still battling. They have lost eight of their last 10 games straight up, but they are 4-2 ATS in their last six and I think we'll get an honest effort from them here against a Seattle team that needs a win to maintain their hopes earning a wild-card spot. Seattle is not fully healthy either, and its top three running backs all missed practice time this week. 

Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Seahawks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up win.

10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BIG BET ALERT

Deshaun Watson's return from suspension has not had nearly the positive impact that the Browns would've hoped for. They've been held to 10, 13, and 10 points over their last three games and here they'll face a Washington team that ranks fourth in the NFL for total defense.

Washington gave up 37 points at the Niners last week, but they were only marginally outgained.

The Browns are eliminated from the playoffs while the Commanders must win to keep their playoff hopes alive. I don't care whether Taylor Heinicke or Carson Wentz quarterbacks the Commanders, their defense, and their running game should get them the win and cover. 

10* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. 

NFC TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* BUCS/CARDINALS BEST BET

I expect the Bucs defense to step up in a big way after giving up 30+ points in back-to-back weeks. Arizona is already eliminated from postseason contention and will be starting third-string quarterback Trace McSorley. As fort the Bucs offense, they've not looked right all season and under is 8-1 in Buccaneers last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - GIANTS/VIKES BEST BET

Last week, Minnesota came back from a 33-0 deficit to beat the Colts and win yet another one-score game. The Giants are coming off a 20-12 win at Washington and are coming into this game holding the No. 6 spot in the NFC. The Vikes have clinched a playoff spot, and while they might find a way to win this one outright, I like the Giants to cover. 

Giants are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.

10* PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS. 

10* COWBOYS/JAGS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This looks like a potential flat spot for the Cowboys following four straight wins and with the Eagles on deck next week. The Jags are only 5-8 on the season but can still win the division. so they'll show up. The Cowboys are relying on their running game to move the ball rather than their passing game but the Jags run defense is decent and I think they'll keep this close. 

10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* NON CONFERENCE BEST BET ATS

The Vikings are 10-3 on the season, but they've been fairly lucky being on the right side in several one-score games and here they'll face Colts team that will be looking to pick up the pieces following a 54-19 loss at Dallas two weeks ago. They kept it close until getting outscored 33-0 in the final period, and they've had extra time to prepare for this one. 

Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Vikings are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

10* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH ATS - PANTHERS/SEAHAWKS BEST BET

The Seahawks are 0-3 ATS in their last three games and failed to cover the last two as favorites. They won by only four points against the extremely banged up LA Rams and now they'll face a Panthers team that has been playing well lately, going 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

The Panthers defense has been playing at a very high level, and I do not see the Seahawks pulling away. 

10* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

10* RAIDERS/RAMS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Rams will need to keep relying on their backups at many positions as the injuries are mounting up. Still, that was the case last week as well when they lost by only four points as a seven-point underdog to Seattle last week, and I think they can keep it close here as well against a Raiders team that is in a potential flat spot following three straight wins, two as underdogs. Raiders are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

10* PLAY ON LA RAMS. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/TEXANS BEST BET

We should see fireworks here as Deshaun Watson returns to Houston, but this time quarterbacking the Cleveland Browns instead of the Texans. The Browns have averaged a respectable 23.9 points per game (11th) even without Watson and he'll no doubt be fired up for this one. 

Houston is not exactly known for putting points on the board, but expect the offense to bring it here to keep up with Watson. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* JAGS/LIONS BEST BET ATS

I expect a letdown game for the Jags following their upset win against Baltimore last week. The Jaguars are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win, 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Lions are on a 4-0 run ATS and they've had extra time to prepare since taking on Buffalo on Thanksgiving. The Lions are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

BILLS/PATS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and here they'll face a Pats team that has played well in recent weeks. The Patriots have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they look to avenge last a 47-17 loss to the Bills in last season's playoffs. The Pats are not putting up a ton of points, but they are well coached and their defense rarely lets them down. 

10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

STEELERS/COLTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Steelers took a 37-30 loss as a 3.5-point home underdog against Cincinnati last week. They rarely fail to cover the spread two games in a row though. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Colts are having a tough season and they are 1-4 in their last five games. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE MONTH - RAVENS/JAGS 10* BEST BET

The Ravens are on a roll, coming into this game on a four-game winning streak and 7-3 over their last 10 games. They held Carolina to three points and just over 200 yards last week and they sacked Carolina quarterback Baker Mayfield four times. Now, they'll face a Jacksonville team that has been limited to 17 points in three of its last four games.

The Jags have had extra time to prepare as they're coming off their bye week, but I think they'll find it extremely hard to put up points against this Ravens D.

10* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

NFL Total Game of the Month - Pats/Vikes 10* BEST BET

The Vikes took a 40-3 home loss to Dallas last week. I expect a much better performance from their defense here, but their offense might struggle again against a Pats defense that held the Jets to three points and 103 yards of total offense in a 10-3 win last week. Under is 14-3 in Patriots last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

10* play on UNDER. 

Top-rated 10* 49ers/Cardinals M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Niners may not be built to blow teams out of the water, but I think they match up well against the Cardinals. Arizona QB Kyler Murray missed last week's game with a hamstring injury, and if he takes the field here he'll be running for his life against the best defense in the NFL. Murray was a limited participant in practice this week, as was backup QB Colt McCoy who led the team to an upset win against the Rams last week. Following that win, I would not be surprised to see the Cards come out flat tonight. 

49ers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Monday games. Cardinals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* RAIDERS/BRONCOS BEST BET

The Broncos and the Raiders might be two of the most disappointing teams this season. The Broncos took a 17-10 loss at Tennesee last week but they are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Raiders are 0-5 SU on the road this season and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record (Denver is 2-2 at home). 

10* PLAY ON DENVER BRONCOS. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BROWNS/BILLS BEST BET

The Bills put up 30 points on Minnesota last week but still lost the game. It was an uncharacteristically poor performance defensively from the Bills who are 7-2 to the under on the season while holding opponents to 16.8 ppg. The Browns have been held to 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* TITANS/PACKERS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Packers came from behind to beat Dallas last week, but I'm still not sold on this team at all. While the Packers have been overvalued for most of the season, the betting market has been undervaluing the Titans all season long and they have covered the spread in seven straight games, winning six of those outright. The Packers are awful against the run, and the Titans have the second-leading rusher in the league in Derrick Henry. 

10* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS

CHARGERS/NINERS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Niners are coming off their bye week. The under is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games following a bye week and 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Chargers put up only 20 points on a below-average Atlanta defense last week, and now they'll face one of the best defensive units in the league. It's also worth noting that the Niners are one of the slowest teams in the league at 29.7 seconds per play, and I expect them to hold the ball for the majority of the game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR ATS - 10* MAJOR WAGER

The Packers are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak. They're extremely banged up and here they'll face a Dallas team that is coming out of their bye week and put up 49 points on Chicago last time out.

The Packers have struggled to stop the run all season long and Dallas is averaging a respectable 4.7 yards per carry (13th) and 28.1 rushing attempts per game (10th). 

10* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

RAVENS/SAINTS M.N.F. 10* TOP PLAY

This looks like a good spot to back the Saints to build on a dominant 24-0 win against Vegas last week. They're at home for a second straight week while Baltimore will play on the road for a second straight week after winning at Tampa Bay on October 27. Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Ravens are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.

10* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS. 

TITANS/CHIEFS S.N.F. TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Titans are 5-2 to the under on the season and they've allowed 10 points in each of their last two games. The Chiefs beat the Niners 44-23  on October 23, but the under is 12-3-1 in Chiefs last 16 games following a bye week. The Titans held Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs to three points when they faced off last season. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill missed Thursday's practice and was limited on Friday. He was listed as questionable on the Friday injury report. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* PACKERS/LIONS TOP PLAY

The Lions are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak, but the Packers are in almost equally rough shape coming off four straight losses.

This is the Packers' third straight game away from home while the Lions have remained home in Detroit since a 31-27 home loss to Miami last week.

Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

10* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

TOP-RATED 10* EAGLES/TEXANS T.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

I'm still not 100% sold on the Eagles, but they are looking more and more like the real deal. They are running the ball very well, and this could get ugly for the Texans who rank dead last against the run. Additionally, the Texans are beat up on defense and their offense is just terrible. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.

10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA EAGLES. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - NINERS/RAMS 10* TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Niners are 5-2 to the under on the season, the Rams 5-1 to the under. These two teams know each other extremely well, and the first meeting of the season saw a total of only 33 points scored. Under is 9-1 in 49ers last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Under is 21-7 in Rams last 28 home games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S RAVENS/BUCS T.N.F. 10* TOP PLAY

The Bucs are 3-4 on the season. Tom Brady is clearly frustrated with his teammates and distracted by issues in his personal life. The Bucs defense has been strong against the pass but weaker against the run, and we all know Baltimore runs both often and well (2nd in the NFL with 5.4 yards per carry). 

The Ravens are coming off a 23-20 win over Cleveland. They have traded wins and losses all season, but I think they'll be able to add to the Bucs misery. Buccaneers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.

10* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

NFC/AFC GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S BEARS/PATS M.N.F. BEST BET

I love Chicago in this spot as the Pats are getting way too much respect following their blowout win at Cleveland last Sunday. The Bears meanwhile are getting no respect whatsoever after three straight losses, the most recent at home against a weak Washington team. That was a Thursday night game, so the Bears have had extra time to prepare for this one. I would not be surprised to see Pats rookie QB Bailey Zappe with a poor outing as he might be feeling a bit too confident after throwing for 309 yards and two TDs on 24-of-34 passing against the Browns.

10* PLAY ON CHICAGO BEARS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* ATS MAJOR WAGER

This looks like a great spot to back a Jacksonville team coming off a 13-6 home loss to Houston.

The Jaguars put up 422 yards of offense and outgained their opponent by 174 yards, but two INTs from QB Trevor Lawrence cost them dearly. I expect the Jags' offense to do well here against a Colts defense that ranks 30th in the league with only four takeaways on the season. 

The Colts are coming off an OT win at Denver on Thursday Night Football, but it was a struggle and I honestly still can't wrap my head around how the Broncos gifted them the game. Also, these two teams have already faced each other once this season, on Sep 18 when the Jags won 24-0. 

10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bucs defense has been phenomenal. The one blemish is their 41-31 loss to the Chiefs, but ... Pittsburgh does not have Patrick Mahomes at QB.

In fact, the Steelers will have rookie QB Kenny Pickett under center for his second career start. Pittsburgh ranks 29th in the league with 89 rushing yards per game so I just don't see how they'll be able to move the ball in this one.

There is of course the risk of the Bucs running up the score, but their offense has not looked all that great either. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

AFC GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BENGALS/RAVENS S.N.F. BEST BET

The Bengals are rolling again after a slow start to the season Over the last two weeks, they have outscored the Jets and the Dolphins by a combined score of 45-27 and they've had extra time to rest and prepare after beating Miami on Thursday night football.

The Ravens on the other hand are coming off a physical game against Buffalo, a game they lost.

Divisional rivalries are almost always close, and I love the Bengals in this spot. 

Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC. Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North. Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S RAMS/NINERS M.N.F. 10* TOP PLAY

The Niners are 1-2 on the season after taking a disappointing 10-11 loss at Denver last week. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and they have owned the Rams in recent regular-season meetings, winning each of the last six.

The Niners have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they get a chance to avenge a loss to the Rams in last season's NFC Championship game. 49ers are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 Monday games.

10* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* BRONCOS/RAIDERS TOTAL

The Broncos have yet to score more than 16 points in a game with Russell Wilson at the helm. They've still managed to ride their defense to back-to-back wins and now they'll face a struggling Raiders team that is one of only two teams without a win. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two AFC West rivals.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* VIKINGS/SAINTS MAJOR WAGER

The Vikes are 2-1 on the season but needed a fourth-quarter rally to defeat Detroit last week.

The Saints are 1-2 on the season after taking a 22-14 loss at Carolina in Week 3. They outgained the Panthers by 426 yards and Jameis Winston threw for 353 yards, but two picks ruined the day. Winston should have a big game here against a Vikes defense that ranks 29th against the pass.

Also, after starting the season 0-3 ATS, it's almost a guarantee that the Saints are undervalued by the betting market while they really shouldn't. Since the start of the 2015 season, teams who are 0-3 ATS in Week 4 are 13-6 (68%) against the spread. 

Take the Saints to cover at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday. 

10* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS. 

MIKE'S DOLPHINS/BENGALS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Dolphins are 3-0 on the season after defeating Buffalo last week, but this looks like an extremely tough spot for the visitors. Not only are they on the road, but they'll be playing on a short week after an upset win in which their opponent held the ball for more than 40 minutes.

The Dolphins defense must be gassed, and the Bengals finally got their offense going in a 27-12 win at NY Jets in Week 3. 

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* NINERS/BRONCOS ATS MAJOR WAGER

The Broncos have a lot of things to figure out, especially on offense where Russell Wilson not has been nearly the hit most expected and new HC Nathaniel Hackett has struggled with the playcalling. The Broncos have been held to 16 points in each of their first two games of the season, and now they'll face a stout San Francisco defense that has held opponents to an NFL-best 210 total yards per game. Sure, they've faced Chicago and Seattle, but still... 

Offensively, the Niners came alive in their 27-7 win over Seattle last week, and that was without star tight end George Kittle who could be back for this game. The Broncos are on fade alert until they show us a reason not to.

10* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BILLS/DOLPHINS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bills were dominant on both sides of the ball in their Monday night win over Indianapolis. They held the Colts to seven points, 12 first downs, and fewer than 200 yards of total offense.

Miami has looked good in its first two games, defeating New England and Baltimore. Tua Tagovailoa looks like he's about to have a breakout season, but this Bills defense is really, really good.

Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/BROWNS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

Something is not right with Cleveland who just barely won at Carolina in Week 1 and lost to the Jets in Week 2. Pittsburgh is coming off a weak outing against New England, but that was following an upset win at Cincinnati in Week 1. I expect the Steelers to show up again here against a divisional opponent. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* ATS MAJOR WAGER

We won with the Steelers as an underdog at Cincinnati in Week 1, but despite the win, note that they were outgained by 165 yards. Now they're a short home dog against a Pats team that was held to just one score (a touchdown) in a loss to Miami in their season opener. This line is a typical overreaction based on the results of the first game. I will most likely be backing Steelers as dogs again this season, but I'm gonna need more points than this. It's also worth noting that Pittsburgh LB T.J. Watt is expected to miss the next six weeks due to injury. 

Steelers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* NFL MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Giants ran the ball for 238 yards on 32 carries in their 21-20 win against Tennessee. Expect them to come into this game with the same game plan against a Panthers team that gave up 217 rushing yards to Cleveland in Week. The Giants will burn a lot of clock when holding the ball, and the same should be true for the Panthers if they rely on Christian McCaffrey to move the sticks. 

Under is 7-2 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 20-5-1 in Giants last 26 games overall.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

PERFECT 8-0 RUN - MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Chiefs are good but they are asked to cover too many points here as an overreaction to their blowout win in Arizona. The Chargers have a lot better defense than the Cardinals and Justin Herbert has as good of an arm as Patrick Mahomes. Chiefs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Since the start of the 2020 season, the Chargers are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs. Chargers are 36-16-4 ATS in their last 56 games as a road underdog. Chargers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with KC. 

10* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOP PLAY

The Colts have a new QB in Matt Ryan, but the veteran has tons of experience and plenty of weapons around him. He'll settle in just fine and Jonathan Taylor is one of the top running backs in the league. The Texans are in rebuild mode, and they are inexperienced on both sides of the ball, but on defense in particular. The Colts to win seems like a no-brainer, but I'm not ready to lay this many points on the road and I like the over a lot better. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* MAJOR WAGER

Say what you want about Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin, but he knows how to rally the troops when coming into a game ss a an underdog. With the Steelers, Tomlin is 43-27-5 as an underdog, and the Bengals are in a prime letdown spot in their first game since losing the Super Bowl to the Rams. 

Last season, the Bengals swept the season series against Pittsburgh. Time for revenge, and the Steelers are actually in a better spot offensively now that Ben Roethlisberger has retired as he was a shadow of his former self last year. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

TOP-RATED 10* SUPER BOWL LVI BEST BET

Looking at the metrics, there is not much separating these two teams. 

Additionally, all the pressure is on the Rams playing at SoFi Stadium, and I'm not all that impressed by what we saw from them in the NFC Championship Game.

Ultimately, the Niners didn't have the QB to take advantage of the Rams' dodgy secondary, but now they'll face a Bengals team that is averaging an NFL-best 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Cincy QB Joe Burrow has averaged 280 passing yard per game through their three playoff games. 

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The San Francisco 49ers have already upset Dallas and Green Bay here in the playoffs, and they're once again spotted points when facing the LA Rams in the Conference Championship. This will be the third meeting of the season, with San Fran looking to complete the three-game sweep after winning both at home and here in LA as 3.5-point underdogs during the regular season. The Niners' defense is playing at a very high level, and they clearly match up very well against the Rams who are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The first meeting of the season ended with a 38-20 Buffalo win. Both teams put 40+ points on the board in the Wildcard Round and I expect this to be a wild and high-scoring affair. Bills' defense is great, but KC started running the ball better down the stretch so the Bills' can not focus all their efforts on Mahomes. Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 games as an underdog. Over is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games as a favorite. Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

10* play on OVER. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - 49ERS/PACKERS GAME OF THE WEEK

The San Francisco 49ers upset Dallas in the Wildcard Round, and I think their Divisional Round matchup with the Packers will go down to the wire. The run-heavy Niners should have good success against a Green Bay defense that is giving up 4.7 yards per rush (31st), which goes up to 5.6 rushing yards per attempt at home! The first meeting of the season ended with a 30-28 Packers win at San Francisco on September 26. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in January.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

MIKE'S MONDAY NIGHT CARDNIALS/RAMS TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams two regular-season meetings saw 57 points and 53 points respectively, but I think we'll see a much tighter and lower-scoring affair when they clash in the Wildcard Round Monday night. Arizona's offense has regressed throughout the season, and both head coach Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray will be making their postseason debuts. They gave up 38 points to Seattle in Week 18, but under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. As for the Rams, they have an elite defense but much like the Cards, their offense is on a downward trend. Under is 17-5 in Rams last 22 games as a home favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/CHIEFS WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers won four of their last six games, but they sure did not do so with their offense as Big Ben has looked off all season and even more so down the stretch. The Steelers' defense has kept them in the games, and they have been particularly good against the pass. The Chiefs do not pose much of a threat on the ground, and I think KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be under a lot of pressure. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots split their two regular-season meetings. Buffalo won the last one in a blowout at Foxboro on December 26, but I expect this to be a much tighter game. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and who would you rather have on the sidelines in a playoff game other than Bill Belichick? Surely, The Hoody will have a plan for how to stop Buffalo's explosive offense. The Pats rank 2nd in the NFL against the pass, and I expect them to keep Josh Allen in check. 

10* play on New England Patriots.