Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-25-17 | East Carolina v. Memphis OVER 79 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 36 h 26 m | Show | |
Memphis is rolling having won six in a row as a team. They've put up 56, 66 and 70 during this win streak and they are playing for a lot here. The Tigers want to win their half of the AAC and ECU's defense is very giving. They are allowing over 50 points per game away from home and allowed 52 at Houston and 63 at UCF. The offense has shown some spunk too so I think they can contribute a lot to this total. Memphis has gone over in five of six home games and 13 of their last 19 there. This one should see a ton of points. |
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11-24-17 | Vanderbilt v. Seton Hall OVER 140.5 | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
I think this is a bit of a lower total for two offenses who don't mind playing with some pace. Vandy was punked by UVA last game, but it was because the offense struggled to get on track. The Commodores have a lot of weapons offensively that they've shown several times already this season. So does Seton Hall who is averaging over 80 points per game. The Pirates are shooting 49.2% from the field. Since this one should be close, I think free throws will come into play at the end. |
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11-24-17 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 50 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 69 h 46 m | Show | |
Well folks, we made it to the end of the regular season and now it's rivalry time in the conference. You know the numbers so I don't need to rehash the streak and how things have gone for the Hoos. While the record is different, the two teams on the field aren't that different. Tech has better offensive numbers, but they also had an easier schedule. It's very hard for me to trust this side of the ball. They've scored just 76 points over their last four contests as Josh Jackson has been inconsistent. Last week, the Hokies won 20-14 at home against Pittsburgh and it was uninspiring. UVA gave me my lock of the year last week as we got an unfocused Miami team for long enough that they couldn't overcome the 19/20 point spread. I have a feeling that Kurt Benkert is going to play one of his better games against a Tech secondary that is very beatable. Tech may have won 20 of their last 25 in this series, but they've only covered 15 of those contests. The total is way too high for this one so I think the Under is worth a look and so is the home team. UVA has covered 17 of their last 27 games as an underdog. I don't know if we will even need the points because I think the Hoos can win outright. That said, as long as it stays at 7 or above, I love the Cavs. The other factor to consider is that it probably won't sound like Blacksburg as I'm assuming most UVA fans have kept their tickets for this one instead of selling them in disgust. |
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11-24-17 | Toledo v. Cornell OVER 153.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
Toledo hits the road to play a Cornell team that's horrendous on defense. The Big Red are allowing opponents to shoot 46.3% from the field while allowing 82.8 points per contest. They gave up 98 points to UMass-Lowell. Toledo has been very good on offense outside of the Syracuse game. They've scored 98, 87 and 72 in their three wins so far this season. Cornell has gone over in 10 of their last 17 home games. I think this one sees plenty of pace. |
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11-24-17 | Ohio v. Buffalo OVER 60.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 3 m | Show | |
Ohio's slim hopes to make the MAC title game went up in smoke last week. Now they head to Buffalo to play a Bulls team that needs a win to become bowl eligible. These two have combined for 13 overs in 22 games with eight of those coming from Ohio. Their offense is putting up over 40 points per game while the Buffalo defense has struggled at times. The UB offense has started to work as of late as they continue to feed Anthony Johnson who is one of the best WRs in the MAC. Buffalo has gone over in four of their five home contests. I think we get a looser Bobcat squad and a focused Bulls team who want to go bowling. |
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11-23-17 | Portland v. North Carolina OVER 153.5 | 78-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
It's the PK80 and Portland vs. North Carolina is one of the earliest games. The Pilots have wins over Oregon Tech and Walla Walla to go with a loss to Portland State. The team wants to run it seems as they've scored 75 points or more in each contest. They'll have a small advantage in that this game will be close to home, but they have no shot vs. the Heels. North Carolina's offense has rolled so far with efforts of 86, 93 and 96. They have wins over Stanford, Bucknell and Northern Iowa. The defense has struggled at times so I think there will be some pace in this one. I think this goes over the total. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 45 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
The Under has been a great play in the Lions/Vikings series with it hitting in four of their last five meetings. The two teams met in Minnesota back in October with the Lions winning 14-7. Both teams were horrendous on offense and that's seemingly been the tradition as both defenses has been strong. These two also played last Thanksgiving with Detroit winning 16-13 in a close low scoring affair. The Vikings are running it better right now and the Lions have struggled against the run the last two weeks. Minnesota's passing game might be better now too, but they managed just 197 yards through the air back in October. Minnesota has gone under in 26 of their last 43 games. I think this is a lower scoring game. |
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11-22-17 | Detroit v. St. Louis OVER 154 | 72-70 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Detroit has had a heck of a time so far this season with their coach suspended indefinitely by the school. On the court they are 2-2 with wins over Houston Baptist and Michigan-Dearborn. They lost by 31 to Seattle and by 32 against Virginia Tech. This team wants to run and plays next to no defense as three opponents have put up over 100 points. The Billikens are 3-1 on the season with wins over the Hokies, Rockhurst and Seattle and the loss coming to Providence. They want to play controlled basketball and don't want to get into a track meet if they can prevent it. They did play two overs against Virginia Tech and Providence. I think this one goes over the total and could get quite ugly for the Titans if they continue their lack of defense. |
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11-21-17 | Davidson v. Nevada OVER 160.5 | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Two of the best long range teams in the country play as Nevada hosts Davidson. The Wildcats are shooting 53.2% from the field and 45.3% from long range entering this one. They are averaging 109 points per contest and will need to bomb away if they hope to win this one. Nevada has gone over in all four of their games because they shoot just under 50% from the field. Nevada has gone over in 19 of their last 26 non-conference games. Defense will be at a premium in this one as each team threatens 100 points in a close contest. |
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11-20-17 | Eastern Illinois v. San Diego State OVER 142.5 | 63-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
San Diego State is starting to play faster and looser now that Steve Fisher is gone. They'll take on EIU who is 1-2 so far this season. The Panthers lost 72-68 at Nebraska and 56-54 at Western Illinois. The team did play a shootout in an 80-79 victory over IUPUI. JaJuan Starks and Terrell Lewis lead the way for them. The coach said they will have to play quicker to counteract the Aztecs size. Malik Pope and Trey Kell lead the way. To me, it's about time they used their athleticism to their advantage. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-20-17 | Long Beach State v. West Virginia OVER 158.5 | 62-91 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Long Beach State is playing another murderous stretch away from home that takes them to Morgantown. The 49ers are coming off a loss at Oregon State 89-81 two days ago in a contest that saw them allow the Beavers to shoot almost 56% from the field. They won at San Francisco 83-71 and have their usual myriad of transfers and talent. West Virginia is averaging over 90 points per game and is still working on their rotations. LBSU has some vulnerable point guards who will struggle against the press. Long Beach State has gone over in 23 of their last 33 road games and 25 of their last 34 as an underdog. I think this one is going to see a ton of points. |
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11-19-17 | Ball State v. Oregon OVER 156.5 | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Ball State loves to run and has gone over in 24 of their last 36 games against teams with a winning record. They allowed 108 points at Oklahoma and 78 at Dayton. This is a team with a bit of offensive firepower themselves. Oregon lost a lot of talent, but has put up over 100 points in their last two games as well. There will be plenty of pace in this one. I think it goes over the total. |
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11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants OVER 45 | 9-12 | Loss | -130 | 69 h 56 m | Show | |
The Chiefs are coming off their bye week and traveling to New York where the Giants continue to not show up week after week. The team seemingly has packed it in on Coach McAdoo who is not going anywhere. They allowed 31 points to an awful 49ers team last week after giving up 51 to the Rams at home. The good thing is that the Giants offense is showing a pulse as of late. KC's defense is vulnerable in certain areas. I think they spent the bye trying to figure out how Kareem Hunt will be used as he's tailed off big time since a hot start. The Giants have gone over in two straight and five of their last seven contests. I think this one is a bit higher scoring even if most of the points come from the Chiefs. |
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11-19-17 | Bucs v. Dolphins OVER 41 | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm a glutton for punishment for even looking at this game. This should have been the bye week for Miami and Tampa Bay, but the hurricane took care of that in week number one. Both teams have been a huge disappointment with Jameis Winston struggling for the Bucs. They won last week at home against the Jets because of a rare good effort by the defense. I don't know if that happens again against a Dolphins team that has the short week to prepare for this one. They lost 45-21 at Carolina last Monday Night and have now given up 72 points the last two weeks in primetime. Miami has hit the over in four straight while Tampa Bay has gone under in three straight. To me, this one is going to feature a lot of points as each team's defense has had issues stopping their opponent. Tampa Bay has gone over the total in seven of their last eight when the number is between 35.5 and 42 |
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11-18-17 | Nevada v. Pacific OVER 154 | 89-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
Nevada has been rolling so far this season with three impressive offensive wins over Santa Clara, Rhode Island and Idaho. In each game they scored 88 points or more and two of them featured the Pack shooting 50% or better. The defense was good for the most part except the URI game. Pacific has been underwhelming so far in two games falling to Stanford 89-80 and UC Davis 62-58. Pacific has 23 steals and 43 fouls so far this season so they are very aggressive. That works well when you have the over with the opponent either turning it over or getting to the free throw line quickly. To me, Nevada could reach 100 points if all breaks well. |
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11-18-17 | Connecticut v. Boston College UNDER 51 | 16-39 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston College takes on UConn on Saturday without starting quarterback Anthony Brown. The Eagles are coming off a 17-14 loss to NC State. Their offense has shown flashes but now they'll probably have to rely on AJ Dillon. UConn's defense is pretty terrible, but I think they can keep BC in check. Their offense is bad too and BC's defense has had success against the lesser offenses it's faced. The scene is not your typical football stadium either so there may be an adjustment period. Last year these two teams played a 30-0 game. I think this one is an under. BC has gone under in 10 of their last 12 as a favorite and 24 of their last 35 overall. |
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11-18-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 160 | 67-51 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
Fort Wayne has been on a nice over kick as of late. The Mastodons are a potent offensive team who has scored 70 points or more in all three of their games so far this season. The problem comes in their defense which allowed 71 to Delaware State at home and 85 on the road at Oakland. Illinois-Chicago has played two higher scoring games the last two times out beating Delaware State 95-55 while falling to St. Joe's 86-82. They should win this game and don't mind running like IPFW wants to do. I'll take the over in this one. |
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11-18-17 | Georgia Tech v. Duke UNDER 47 | 20-43 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
The situation here screams for a Duke victory with Georgia Tech coming off an emotional home win over Virginia Tech and a big one at home against Georgia next week. Duke is also facing their second straight triple option team with a bye week to prep for the first one. The problem with that is that Duke is awful offensively and probably can't take advantage of it. They've scored just 73 points over their current six game losing streak. The defense hasn't been that bad and that's what we are holding our head here for. Georgia Tech's triple option has had it's issues on the road at times scoring just 10 at Clemson and 24 at Miami. Duke has gone under in 15 of their last 18 at home. This series has seen seven unders in their last 11 meetings. To me, this one is a lower possession lower scoring game with Duke having a small shot to cover. |
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11-18-17 | Texas State v. Arkansas State OVER 58.5 | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
Texas State has played a lot better as of late with Damian Williams under center. They've scored 92 points the last three weeks and would have won some of those games if only their defense was better. The defense has been gashed terribly through the air which is how Arkansas State wants to beat you if they can. The team is coming off a 24-19 loss at South Alabama last time out. They've also not been home for around a month so you know ASU will be highly motivated. Their last two home games were 43-25 and 51-17 wins so the over has been a good play there. I think that these two teams put on a show and we go over the total. |
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11-18-17 | SMU v. Memphis OVER 71.5 | 45-66 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
Defense is optional in this one as two teams with a potent offense play in Memphis. The Tigers have won five straight scoring 30 points or more in all five of those games. They are passing for a ton of yards with Riley Ferguson under center. The problem with the Tigers is that their defense isn't very good. They can't stop the run or the pass which is what SMU does well. The Mustangs have scored 30 points or more in three of four and five of their last seven. These two have combined for 11 overs this season. Memphis has gone over in 12 of their last 18 home games. I think this one is a shootout. |
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11-17-17 | Fresno State v. Arkansas OVER 154 | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs have been good so far this season and they've got six players who average nine points or more. Deshon and Jahmel Taylor are their best two scorers. They've got size, speed and athleticism to match an Arkansas team who has the same. The Razorbacks have won two games rather easily against solid mid majors Bucknell and Samford. They've averaged 98 points in the two contests and should not meet much resistance in a Fresno team that has allowed opponents to shoot just under 50% from the field. FSU has gone over in 18 of their last 28 games as an underdog. I think this one sails over the total. |
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11-16-17 | Southern Miss v. Michigan OVER 136 | 47-61 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
Michigan has gone over in 30 of their last 45 games as a favorite and 21 of their last 32 when the total is in the 130s. The Wolverines are led by Charles Matthews and Duncan Robinson along with Moritz Wagner who should play even though he got hurt last game. They beat Central Michigan 72-65 last time out allowing their second straight opponent to shoot better then 40% from the field. Southern Miss beat S. New Orleans 79-69 in their opener. There should be some improvement there this season, but not enough to win this game. I think this one should go over the total. |
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11-15-17 | Nevada v. Santa Clara OVER 146 | 93-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
Nevada has been rolling offensively in two wins so far this season as they are averaging 88 points per game and that's with a contest against Rhode Island. The Wolf Pack is deep and they've got a ton of talent as well. The Martins are fantastic as well as Jordan Caroline. Santa Clara crushed it's Division III opponent 120-70 shooting 62.3% in the win. The Broncos have gone over in 26 of their last 37 games as an underdog. Nevada has gone over in 27 of their last 49 games as a favorite. This one should be played with some pace and go over the total. |
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11-15-17 | Niagara v. Minnesota OVER 153.5 | 81-107 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Niagara is trying for their second straight upset after knocking off St. Bonaventure on the road 77-75 last time out. The defense held the Bonnies to just 39.3% shooting from the field. Traditionally defense has been an issue for the Purple Eagles who can score, but rarely stop the opponent. Minnesota is coming off an 86-74 road win at Providence and already has a 92-77 win over USC Upstate as well. Jordan Murphy is off to a great start to his season. Minnesota has gone over in 20 of their last 33 home games. This one should go over the total. |
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11-14-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Davidson OVER 154 | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
There should be plenty of pace and plenty of points in this one. Davidson made 26 three pointers in their first win of the season. Their defense is very subpar so they'll need shooting efforts like that in order to win ballgames. UNC Wilmington also wants to play with pace to hide their subpar defense. They beat UNC Wesleyan 105-81 in their season opener. |
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11-14-17 | VMI v. Duquesne OVER 148.5 | 61-77 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
VMI is going to be one of the worst teams in college basketball as they lost 102-67 at NC State on Friday. The Keydets allowed the Wolfpack to shoot 50.7% from the field in that one. Duquesne won their first game 80-70. They want to get out and run a bit because of their offensive limitations. Duquesne has gone over in 12 of their last 20 games as a favorite and 13 of their last 22 at home. I think this one is an over. |
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11-13-17 | North Texas v. Nebraska OVER 144 | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Nebraska beat EIU 72-68 last time out in a game where we pushed on the over. There's been talk of Coach Miles wanting to push the pace a little bit. He's got some returning talent in Glynn Watson to go along with intriguing talent in James Palmer from Miami. North Texas beat up on it's lesser opponent 122-65 last game. They want to run and get things going a bit because they have lesser talent and have quicker guards to play. North Texas has gone over in 26 of their last 39 games as an underdog. Nebraska has gone over in 18 of their last 28 games with a total in the 140s. Give me the over. |
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11-13-17 | Western Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 137.5 | 51-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
Cincinnati has a little bit more talent this year and they want to play just a bit faster. They've gone over in 17 of their last 28 home games and should be able to get whatever they want against a WCU team that lost 85-57 last time out. The team returns all five starters so they might be able to contribute a little bit in terms of the total. Two years ago these two teams played in Cincy and the Bearcats won 97-72. Probably a little less points for the Catamounts this time but I think it goes over. |
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11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 46.5 | 41-16 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 7 m | Show | |
New England will be fresh and ready for Denver after its bye week. These two teams have played two unders in their last three meetings. Brock Osweiler and the Denver O did not look very good in Philadelphia last time out and figure to struggle against Matt Patricia's defense, which has had two weeks to prepare. Denver's D was embarrassed last week and won't play that badly again. New England has a four-game streak of scoring no more than 24. Tom Brady has not been his best the last few meetings against the Broncos. Denver has gone under in 13 of its last 22 at home. I think this one is an under. |
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11-12-17 | Howard v. Indiana OVER 146 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The Bison head to Indiana to play the Hoosiers. Howard lost their last game 84-75 at George Washington allowing the Colonials to shoot 53.4% from the field. Indiana will be glad to find some scoring after they were blasted by Indiana State. The Hoosiers gave up 90 points to the Sycamores and only scored 69 themselves. I think this is a lower total then I expected. With some pace, this one goes over. |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins UNDER 42.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 30 m | Show | |
The Redskins had the most improbable win in football last week, beating the Seahawks on the road with a really banged-up squad. Washington is still pretty injured and now gets a Minnesota team that is rolling and fresh off of its bye. The Redskins’ defense is holding up for the most part. They held Seattle to 14 points on the road and are led by Josh Norman and Zach Brown. Minnesota's offense doesn't scare me much with a RB committee and a passing attack led by Case Keenum. The good thing for the Vikings is their defense has held six straight opponents to 17 points or fewer. Minnesota has gone under in 25 of its last 41 contests including 12 of the last 18 on the road. To me, this one is a field position game that will be close and low scoring. |
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11-12-17 | Chargers v. Jaguars UNDER 41 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 72 h 29 m | Show | |
The Chargers are heading to Florida fresh off of their bye week to try and solve Jacksonville. The Jaguars are holding their opponents to just 156.4 passing yards per game and 14.6 points per contest overall. Los Angeles is not exactly lighting up the scoreboard with 21 points or fewer in its last three games. Luckily for the Chargers, the defense has kept the team in games. These teams have each played three unders in their last four games. Jacksonville beat the Bengals 23-7 last week without Leonard Fournette, who was benched for a violation of team rules but will be back on Sunday. Los Angeles has gone under in 16 of its last 26 games as an underdog including four of six this season. |
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11-11-17 | Eastern Illinois v. Nebraska OVER 140 | 68-72 | Push | 0 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Eastern Illinois had trouble scoring last year but so far in the exhibition season, they've shown that they can light it up. EIU beat Illinois in an exhibition game, but then lost to a division II school a few days later. They've got four seniors and some intriguing pieces. Nebraska has plenty of scoring led by James Palmer from Miami. The Huskers have gone over in 18 of their last 28 games when the total is in the 140s. I think this one will be close too because EIU has some talent. |
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11-11-17 | Purdue v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
The Boilers have played four straight unders as the defense and offense are in good under shape. The once strong unit has lost a quarterback and has put up just 74 points over their last four. The defense is actually not getting enough credit for what they've been able to do holding five of their last seven opponents to 17 points or less. Northwestern has to be a bit fatigued winning three straight overtime contests. Their offense has shown some balance as of late and the defense has been really strong especially against the run. Northwestern has gone under in 14 of their last 19 home games and 20 of their last 35 overall. I think this one is an under. |
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11-11-17 | Texas Tech v. Baylor OVER 70.5 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 48 m | Show | |
The Red Raiders have lost four straight and are heading to Arlington to face off against Baylor. The Bears picked up the win last week at Kansas 38-9. They may have found their quarterback and a bit of their offensive stride entering this one. The Red Raiders defense has allowed over 40 points five times this season and could do again Saturday. The good thing is that they should be able to move the ball on a bad Baylor defense. Playing indoors in Arlington will also help as the elements won't be involved. I think this one is a Big 12 shootout. |
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11-11-17 | Connecticut v. Central Florida OVER 64 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 40 h 45 m | Show | |
UCF gets UConn at home on Saturday. The Golden Knights have scored 73, 63 and 40 the last three home contests they've had. This offense can beat you on the ground and through the air. In comes UConn who has allowed 30 points or more in six of their last eight games including 38 at UVA, 49 at SMU and 70 to Memphis at home. The Huskies offense has shown some flashes of brilliance, but I'm counting on UCF to do most of the heavy lifting with this total. There's no lookahead factor for either squad too so I expect a full effort from both. |
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11-11-17 | UL-Lafayette v. Ole Miss OVER 66.5 | 22-50 | Win | 100 | 40 h 43 m | Show | |
Ole Miss has gone over in six straight and it's a mixture of good offense and bad bad bad defense. The Rebels are happy after a three point win at Kentucky last time out 37-34. The backup quarterback has been playing well and should continue to do so against a Lafayette team that is very giving on defense. The question is if they can take advantage of a leaky Ole Miss defense who has allowed 34 points or more in six straight. ULL lost 45-21 at Texas A&M back in September at their place. Now there's been some injuries that will change things, but I think this one should go over the total especially if the team out of the SEC isn't focused. |
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11-10-17 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oakland OVER 165 | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
It's another season of almost instantly betting the over in Fort Wayne games. The Mastodons return Jon Konchar and several other options so scoring won't be an issue. Their problem comes on the defensive end where they allowed over 80 points on the road. The Dons have gone over in 37 of their last 56 games. Oakland loves to get up and down as well. They trend heavily to the over and Kendrick Nunn is going to be a very potent scorer. Quite simply, these two teams should put up at least 80 and we'll go over the total. |
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11-10-17 | Ball State v. Dayton OVER 143 | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
It's a rebuilding year for Dayton who lost four starters and their head coach. Now it's Anthony Grant's job to continue the Flyers success. He has some intriguing pieces in Josh Cunningham, Xeyrius Williams and Kostas Antetokounmpo who is related to the Greek Freak. Grant played with tempo at VCU and may look to do the same with his young team. We know Ball State likes to run. They've got a lot of returning talent and a lot of shooters who will cause the Flyers fits. They have gone over in 37 of their last 58 games including 14 of their last 20 when the total is in the 140s. Early on in the season, there are more fouls called and with this being close, I think we get over the total with both teams shooting late FTs. There will be pace in this one. |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 42 | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 38 m | Show | |
The bye week won't fix what ails the Giants as they host the Rams on Sunday. Janoris Jenkins is not playing after not reporting to the team quick enough off the bye week. The defense has been good for the most part although they are spending way too much time on the field. Eli Manning has no run game to speak of and he's running out of pass catchers with all the injuries. On the other side is a Rams squad that has allowed 33 points their last three games total. Jared Goff is making this offense work although Todd Gurley is doing a lot of the work. To me, this one seems like a lower scoring contest. The Rams have gone under in 23 of their last 39 games. Yes, they have skewed to the over this season, but I think both teams defenses will be fresh and ready for this one. |
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11-05-17 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 43.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 88 h 37 m | Show | |
Carolina traded Kelvin Benjamin away taking away one of their better weapons as they continue to play without Greg Olsen. Now the offense is led by Devin Funchess and Christian McCaffrey who has become a dangerous pass catcher. Atlanta's defense isn't that great, but it's been good against the run and has allowed more then 300 yards passing just once and that was against Aaron Rodgers. The Falcons offense has been broken and isn't the same without Kyle Shanahan. They've gone under in three of their last four and don't look like themselves. Carolina's defense has been fantastic and will be glad to be finally home after four of their last five on the road. These two have played 16 unders in their last 21 meetings in Carolina because the Falcons offense is completely different outside the dome. |
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11-04-17 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 56 | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
I like taking the unders in games against the academies because most times these teams know what the other is going to do. The Air Force game against Navy did not go under unfortunately, but Army's contest with Tulane did. Both of these teams run the ball really well and Army had two weeks to get ready for the Air Force. That time off will make a difference as we've seen when squads get an extra week to prepare for Navy. Air Force has a lot of weapons and Arion Worthman is running the offense well. Neither defense is great, but they are going to be familiar with each other. The under has hit in nine of their last 13 lined meetings. Air Force won last year 31-12 on the road. I think this one is an under. |
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11-04-17 | Appalachian State v. UL-Monroe OVER 61 | 45-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
It should be a shootout in Monroe as they host App State. The Warhawks have gone over in four of their last six games as their defense has been pretty leaky. They've allowed 30 points or more in three straight and five of their last six. The offense has been humming at times though so they'll contribute to any shootout. The Mountaineers are coming off a tough loss to the Minutemen on the road and are playing their third game away from home over a four week span. Taylor Lamb has been doing good work while the defense has been a bit leaky themselves. Monroe has gone over in 22 of their last 33 including 16 of their last 22 in conference. This one has shootout potential. |
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11-04-17 | Illinois v. Purdue UNDER 48 | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 50 m | Show | |
Purdue's once hot offense has sputtered as of late scoring just 45 points the last three weeks against Wisconsin, Rutgers and Nebraska. They've been struggling at quarterback and are experiencing growing pains under Jeff Brohm. The defense has done good work though especially against the opponents with lesser weapons. Illinois probably qualifies there with all the injuries they've dealt with and their own quarterback inefficiencies. The Illini has shown some improvement on defense themselves and it comes with the linebackers getting healthy. They've gone under in two straight while the Boilers have done so in three straight and five of their last six. I think this one is a lower scoring game with two defenses capable of stepping up. |
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10-28-17 | Tennessee v. Kentucky UNDER 46 | 26-29 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 42 m | Show | |
Things couldn't get much worse for Tennessee who has scored just 33 points over their last four contests with three of those at home. John Kelly is suspended at running back and he was one of their best weapons. The passing game has been terrible and the team may have quit on Butch Jones. Kentucky's defense hasn't been great this season, but they've handled teams with lesser weapons. The Wildcats offense has struggled at times. Outside of a 40 point explosion against soft Missouri, they've hovered around 23 points per game. The under has hit in 10 combined games for these two this season. I think the Wildcats offense struggles to move it at times and we get an under. |
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10-28-17 | Air Force v. Colorado State OVER 69 | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
Colorado State is finally home for conference playing having won four straight. The Rams have had just one home conference game and their offense is rolling. They put up 51 in Hawaii and 44 at home against Nevada. Nick Stevens is doing well under center. The defense is alright and has not had extra time to prepare for the Falcons who are rolling themselves. Air Force has scored 38, 45, 34 and 45 in their last four games. They've scored double digits in the fourth quarter the last few contests as well. The problem is them is that their defense has been pretty bad and will be stressed by a balanced CSU attack. AFA has gone over in five of their seven contests this season while CSU has done so in three of their last five. This series has produced seven overs in their last 10 meetings in Fort Collins. |
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10-28-17 | San Jose State v. BYU UNDER 51.5 | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
Two of the worst teams in the country play just a week after BYU played ECU in another snoozer. The Cougars have not won a game and have scored just 77 points so far this season. They struggled to move it into the end zone last week at ECU who was allowing 600 yards of offense per game. The Spartans aren't that good defensively either, but why should we gain confidence things will change. I can't imagine this game will have a great atmosphere and that BYU's confidence is that great. San Jose State's offense hasn't been much better although they did score 26 points last week in Hawaii. To me, this is a situation where both teams struggle to move the ball and if they do it will be on the ground where both are vulnerable. The Under has hit in 22 of BYU's last 34 games including six of eight this year. One could consider a potential parlay of the underdog and the under in this one as well. |
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10-28-17 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia OVER 73 | 50-39 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
This should be a Big 12 special as the Cowboys take on the Mountaineers. Bedlam is next week so focus could be a bit of an issue in this tough road game. Oklahoma State has put up 50 or more three times already and should be able to do that against West Virginia who has allowed 30 or more in four straight and five of their seven games overall. We hit with the over in the Baylor and Kansas games as the offense did some work, but the defense was like a sieve. The over has hit in all but one Mountaineer game this season. It's very simple, I think both sides get it done offensively and we see a ton of points. |
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10-27-17 | Florida State v. Boston College UNDER 47 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Boston College has won two straight and three of their last four, but they've struggled against the class of their schedule. They've scored 20 against Notre Dame, 7 against Clemson and 10 against the Hokies. BC wants to grind you out with the run so they don't have to burden Anthony Brown and the passing game. The defense has been good at times this season. On the other side you have a FSU team that's rapidly losing motivation this season. They picked up a tough three point loss at home to Louisville and are now in danger of not even making a bowl game. The offense has struggled with James Blackman under center while the defense has not lived up to it's potential either. The last two seasons we've seen BC score a total of seven points against the Noles. FSU has gone under in nine of their last 12 road games while BC has gone under in 12 of their last 17 at home. Low scoring contest on a Friday night in Chestnut Hill. |
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10-22-17 | Seahawks v. Giants UNDER 40 | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 90 h 39 m | Show | |
Just like we all predicted, the Giants got their first victory of the season as a double digit dog in Denver last week. The playcalling duties was taken away from the head coach and that led to a win. The offensive numbers weren't great, but the defense was pretty close to lights out. Eli Manning gets his second straight tough defense this week as Seattle heads east off a bye week. The Seahawks have scored 73 points over two games and 37 over three others so their offense is inconsistent. They have gone Under in 18 of their last 30 games against the rest of the conference. I don't know if the Giants can use smoke and mirrors again this week. I see it being a low scoring game. |