Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-23-24 | Xavier +8.5 v. Creighton | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Xavier +8.5 Xavier is playing its best basketball of the season right now under head coach Sean Miller. The Musketeers are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with their two losses coming by 1 at Villanova and by 5 at home to UConn. They beat Seton Hall by 20 at home, won outright at Providence as underdogs by 20 and crushed Butler by 14 at home. Creighton has been grossly overvalued for over a month. The Bluejays are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They beat Seton Hall in triple-OT on Saturday and will still be feeling the after effects of that grueling game. They should not be laying 8.5 points at home to Xavier tonight. Creighton is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games beating St. John's by 1 as 6-point favorites, Providence by 9 as 11-point favorites, losing outright to Villanova as 9.5-point favorites and only beating Alabama by 3 as 7-point favorites. Xavier is a perfect 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss this season. The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a SU win where they failed to cover the spread. Xavier is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 games vs. a team with a winning record. They have a way of playing up to their level of competition, and the Musketeers will give the Bluejays a run for their money tonight. Bet Xavier Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | St. Joe's v. Massachusetts -3 | 78-77 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on UMass -3 The UMass Minutemen have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season under head coach Frank Martin. He has turned this program around already going 12-6 SU & 13-5 ATS this season. That includes 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS at home with a huge home-court advantage. They beat Duquesne by 19, La Salle by 16 and George Washington by 14 in covering each of their last three home games. This is a terrible spot for St. Joe's. The Hawks are coming off three consecutive home games, including a 2-point win as 7.5-point favorites over Duquesne on Saturday at the buzzer. That makes this a letdown spot for the Hawks. St. Joe's is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last three true road games. They lost by 7 as 3-point dogs at Charleston, by 4 as 5.5-point favorites at Rhode Island and by 3 as 3-point favorites at St. Louis. This will be one of their toughest road tests of the entire season tonight. UMass is 7-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season. The Minutemen are 7-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season. Bet UMass Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Texas v. Oklahoma -4.5 | Top | 75-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
20* Texas/Oklahoma ESPN No-Brainer on Oklahoma -4.5 Oklahoma has lost its last three meetings with Texas by a combined 5 points total. It's safe to say the Sooners will be out for revenge tonight, and they finally have the goods to get that revenge. Porter Moser's team is his best in Norman, while the Texas Longhorns have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. Oklahoma is 15-3 SU this season including 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS at home. The Sooners won and covered both Big 12 home games this season beating Iowa State by 8 as 1.5-point favorites and West Virginia by 14 as 12.5-point home favorites. I have no doubt they win this game by 5-plus points over Texas tonight. The Longhorns are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They lost by 21 at Marquette, won by 1 at Cincinnati and lost outright at West Virginia as 6-point favorites in their three true road games this season. This is a letdown spot for Texas as well coming off a win over Baylor at the buzzer over the weekend. That followed up an upset loss to UCF as 8.5-point home favorites. Texas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off a close win by 3 points or less. The Longhorns are 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Bet Oklahoma Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Butler v. Georgetown +3.5 | 90-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgetown +3.5 First-year head coach Ed Cooley has the Georgetown Hoyas improving rapidly in recent weeks. The Hoyas are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 4 at home to Seton Hall as 6.5-point dogs, losing by 13 at UConn as 21-point dogs and losing by 1 at Xavier as 12-point dogs. Now the Hoyas will want revenge on Butler after losing by 10 on the road to the Bulldogs in their first meeting this season on December 19th. This is an overvalued Bulldogs team that has gone just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are ripe for the upset tonight. Butler is 0-7 ATS vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Bet Georgetown Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-21-24 | Memphis v. Tulane +3.5 | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Tulane +3.5 Memphis is overvalued due to going 10-1 SU in its last 11 games overall. The Tigers have been winning a ton of close games and have gone just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They beat Vanderbilt by 2 as 15.5-point home favorites, Austin Peay by 11 as 20-point home favorites, Tulsa by 3 as 9.5-point road favorites, SMU by 3 as 7-point home favorites and UTSA in OT by 6 as 19-point home favorites. Their luck finally ran out last time out as they lost 74-73 outright as 10-point home favorites to South Florida on Thursday. Now they only have two days to get ready to Tulane. The Green Wave have had the last three days off since a loss at UAB. We've seen what the Green Wave are capable of at home as they took Florida Atlantic to the wire as 7-point dogs in a 85-84 loss. They are 8-2 SU at home this season with the other loss coming by 3 points to George Mason. So they haven't lost any home game by more than 3 points this season, making for a 10-0 system backing the Green Wave pertaining to this 3.5-point spread. Tulane upset Memphis in both regular season meetings last season winning 96-89 as 4-point home dogs and 90-89 as 7-point road dogs. The Green Wave are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a road loss. Tulane is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games after playing a game as a road underdog. The Tigers are ripe to get upset again today. Bet Tulane Sunday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | College of Charleston v. NC-Wilmington -2.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on UNC-Wilmington -2.5 I love the spot for UNC-Wilmington today. They will be playing with triple-revenge after losing all three meetings with Charleston last season, including a 5-point loss in the conference tournament after a 2-point home loss earlier in the year. They blew a late lead in the conference tournament and have not forgotten. They get their revenge in their first meeting of 2023-24 this season at home. Wilmington has played a road-heavy schedule this season but has taken advantage of its home games, going 5-0 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by 32.4 points per game. They also upset Kentucky 80-73 as 18-point road dogs to flash their potential. Charleston isn't as good as last season when they made the NCAA Tournament. The Cougars are 5-4 SU but 3-6 ATS in all games played away from home this season. They are coming off an 82-78 road loss at Towson as 11-point favorites. They also lost by 16 at Florida Atlantic as 14-point dogs, and they lost on a neutral to Duquesne by 18, Vermont by 9 and Wyoming by 7 despite being favored in all three of those games. Charleston is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after winning three of its last four games. Wilmington is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games after covering two of its last three games coming in. Wilmington is 6-0 ATS in its last six games with a total of 150 to 159.5. Wilmington is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game. Bet UNC-Wilmington Saturday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | North Texas v. Charlotte +1.5 | 44-56 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte +1.5 This is a great spot to 'sell high' on North Texas. The Mean Green have gone 6-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last six games overall against a very soft, home-heavy schedule. They beat East Carolina 60-59 as 3-point road favorites last time out. Their luck runs out today and they will get upset by Charlotte. Charlotte is 7-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season. The 49ers upset Florida Atlantic as 8-point dogs four games ago to show what they are capable of at home. They went on to avoid letdowns winning and covering against Tulsa, UTSA and Rice with two of those three games on the road. North Texas is just 3-5 SU in all games played away from home this season. Charlotte is 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven home meetings with North Texas. The 49ers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games following a road game. Bet Charlotte Saturday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Clemson -2 v. Florida State | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Clemson -2 This is a great spot to 'buy low' on Clemson and 'sell high' on Florida State. Clemson is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall and highly motivated for a victory. The Tigers have had the last three days off to get ready for this game against Florida State, and I expect them to put forth their best effort of the season. The Seminoles are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. They are coming off an 84-75 upset win at Miami as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday. They only have two days off to get ready for this game, and they are still celebrating that win over one of their biggest in-state rivals. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Clemson today, and I expect a sloppy game from the Seminoles. Clemson is 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with Florida State. Bet Clemson Saturday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Duquesne +6 v. St. Joe's | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Duquesne +6 This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Duquesne Dukes. They have opened 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in conference play and will be highly motivated for a victory today. They have played a brutal schedule with road games at UMass and Loyola-Chicago as well as home losses to Dayton and Richmond. They were competitive in all four games. They will be competitive in this game as well, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pull off the outright upset to get that elusive first conference victory. St. Joseph's isn't exactly crushing either, going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last three games overall despite facing a much softer schedule with upset losses to Rhode Island and Saint Louis on the road as well as Loyola-Chicago at home. Their lone win came against a very bad La Salle team at home. Duquesne won both meetings with St. Joe's last season in blowout fashion by 14 at home and by 12 on the road. Bet Duquesne Saturday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | North Carolina v. Boston College +8.5 | Top | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston College +8.5 The North Carolina Tar Heels are overvalued after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. They were in a sleepy spot against Louisville at home last time out and needed a late run to pull away and win by 16 as 21-point favorites. Now they are once again in a sleepy spot and laying too many points on the road at Boston College today. Boston College has had the last four days off to get ready for UNC while the Tar Heels have only had the last two days off, so the Eagles have a big rest and preparation advantage. I like what I've seen from this team especially at home where Boston College is 7-2 SU with both losses coming by 6 points each. They haven't lost at home by this kind of margin all season, making for a 9-0 system backing the Eagles pertaining to this 8.5-point spread. UNC is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Boston College is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game. We'll 'buy low' on the Eagles who are 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 'sell high' on the Tar Heels today. Bet Boston College Saturday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | USC v. Arizona State -2 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona State -2 I love this spot for Arizona State. They are coming off consecutive losses at Washington and at home to UCLA and will be highly motivated for a victory as a result. They had won four consecutive games prior to these losses with four outright wins as underdogs. Now they are back home where they are 7-1 SU this season. They take on an injury-ravaged USC team that is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall losing by 8 at home to Washington State, by 10 at Colorado and by 15 at Arizona. It won't get any easier for them today because of these injuries. USC is without Isaiah Collier (15.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG), and both Boogie Ellis (18.7 PPG) and DJ Rodman (7.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG) are questionable. If all three are out, they will be without three of their top four scorers. It's too much to overcome even if they are only without Collier. Bet Arizona State Saturday. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Marquette v. St. John's +1.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
15* Marquette/St. John's Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +1.5 I love the spot for St. John's today. They are coming off two consecutive road losses at Creighton and at Seton Hall. But now they are back home where they are 7-1 SU this season and highly motivated for a victory when they host Marquette today. Marquette is not playing well at atll. The Golden Eagles are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall. They lost by 3 at Seton Hall and were upset at home by Butler as 12-point favorites in two of their last three games. They have not played well on the road, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three true road games losing by 11 as 3-point favorites at Wisconsin, by 15 as 4-point favorites at Providence and by 3 as 5-point favorites at Seton Hall. They are once again favored on the road here when they shouldn't be. Bet St. John's Saturday. |
|||||||
01-18-24 | UC San Diego +6.5 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 65-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
20* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on UC-San Diego +6.5 UC-San Diego has quietly gone 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall. The Tritons' only loss came by 4 as 9-point dogs at California. Earlier this season, they only lost by 1 to San Diego State as 13.5-point dogs. They haven't lost any of their last 10 games by more than 6 points. This team is grossly undervalued right now. UC-Irvine is 5-1 SU but just 2-4 ATS in its last six games overall. The Anteaters have been living good winning a bunch of close games, especially at home. They won by 7 as 12-point favorites over UC-Riverside, by 8 as 12-point favorites over CS-Fullerton and by 3 as 9-point favorites over UC-Davis. Their luck may run out tonight against a Tritons team that is more than capable of pulling off the upset. San Diego is 11-4 ATS in all games this season. Irvine is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better. The Anteaters are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games. The Tritons won outright as 12.5-point underdogs at Irvine last season. Bet UC-San Diego Thursday. |
|||||||
01-18-24 | South Florida +11.5 v. Memphis | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on South Florida +11.5 Memphis is overvalued due to its current 10-game winning streak. The Tigers have been winning a ton of close games and have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. They beat Vanderbilt by 2 as 15.5-point home favorites, Austin Peay by 11 as 20-point home favorites, Tulsa by 3 as 9.5-point road favorites, SMU by 3 as 7-point home favorites and UTSA in OT by 6 as 19-point home favorites. Now the Tigers are laying too many points once again to a South Florida team that can hang with them for 40 minutes. South Florida is 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. The Bulls upset Florida State by 16 as 7-point dogs on a neutral, upset Loyola-Chicago by 13 as 1-point home dogs, and their lone loss come by 4 as 4.5-point dogs at UAB. South Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games after going over the total in its previous game. Memphis is 1-7 ATS at home this season. The Tigers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as home favorites of 10 points or more. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games following four or more consecutive wins. Memphis is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games vs. a good team (60-80%). Bet South Florida Thursday. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | Top | 80-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +11.5 The Vanderbilt Commodores are catching too many points tonight at home against Auburn. The Commodores have quietly gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall losing by 2 as 15.5-point dogs at Memphis, beating Dartmouth by 16 as 13.5-point home favorites, losing by 3 as 12.5-point home dogs to Alabama and losing by 8 as 8.5-point dogs at LSU. They were even competitive in their 13-point loss at Ole Miss as 10-point dogs, and that's an Ole Miss team that is 15-1 this season. If the Commodores can nearly upset Alabama at home and Memphis on the road, they can certainly stay within 11.5 points of Auburn. It's time to 'sell high' on the Tigers, who have gone 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall against a pretty soft schedule. They have only played two true road games all season and one of them resulted in an upset loss at Appalachian State as 7.5-point favorites. Vanderbilt is 12-3 SU & 8-5 ATS in its last 15 home meetings with Auburn. The Commodores upset the Tigers 67-65 as 3-point home dogs last season. Plays against road teams as a favorite or PK (Auburn) - a hot team having covered six or seven of its last eight games, a top-level team winning 80% of its games or more against a losing team are 45-12 (78.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Rhode Island +8.5 v. St Bonaventure | 64-99 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Rhode Island +8.5 The Rhode Island Rams are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall beating Northeastern by 11 as 2-point home favorites, upsetting St. Joe's by 4 as 5.5-point home dogs, upsetting Davidson by 5 as 5-point road dogs and upsetting UMass by 12 as 2.5-point home dogs. This run has coincided with getting their best player in David Green (15.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG) eligible and playing. He has returned for the past four games. Now he and Jaden House (14.8 PPG) are forming a dynamic tandem. St. Bonaventure is coming off an upset home loss to Fordham as 10.5-point favorites. That folled up an 11-point loss at Richmond as 2-point favorites. The Bonnies have no business being favored by 8.5 over the Rams tonight given how these teams are trending. St. Bonaventure is 10-25 ATS in its last 35 home games off a home loss. The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 4-plus points per game after 15-plus games. Bet Rhode Island Wednesday. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -6.5 | Top | 77-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
20* Mississippi State/Kentucky ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Kentucky -6.5 This is one of the best Kentucky teams that John Calipari has had in his tenure in Lexington which is saying a lot. The Wildcats are 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS this season and have been undervalued. I love the spot for the Wildcats after getting humbled on the road with an OT loss at Texas A&M. Now the Wildcats are back home where they are 8-1 this season and outscoring opponents by 21.3 points per game. They host a Mississippi State team that has only played two true road games all season, and both resulted in upset losses by 8 as 8.5-point favorites at Georgia Tech and by 6 as 3-point favorites at South Carolina. Kentucky is 8-0 SU in its last eight home meetings with Mississippi State with all eight wins coming by 6 points or more. Bet Kentucky Wednesday. |
|||||||
01-16-24 | Air Force v. Colorado State -15.5 | 69-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado State -15.5 I love the spot for the Colorado State Rams tonight. They are coming off two consecutive very tough road losses at Utah State and Boise State. Now they return home focused to get back on track and won't be taking this game lightly against the awful Air Force Falcons. Colorado State is 8-1 at home this season with wins over the likes of Colorado and New Mexico as well as a neutral court win over Creighton by 22. The Rams are a legitimate NCAA Tournament contender this season. Air Force is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall. They lost outright as favorites at home to Eastern Washington, Northern Colorado and San Jose State. They also lost by 26 at home to Utah State, a team that is on Colorado State's level. They lost by 13 at Nevada as well. The spot also favors Colorado State because they have had the last six days off and haven't played since last Tuesday. So they have had a full week to correct their mistakes and are pissed off. The Falcons have only two days to get ready for the Rams after losing to San Jose State on Saturday. Bet Colorado State Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-16-24 | Purdue v. Indiana +10.5 | Top | 87-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana +10.5 We've already seen Purdue suffer both of their losses on the Big Ten highway this season. They lost 92-88 as 5-point favorites at Northwestern and 88-72 as 7.5-point favorites at Nebraska. They should not be laying 10.5 points on the road at Indiana tonight. The Hoosiers are 9-1 SU at home this season with their lone loss coming to Kansas by 4 as 7-point dogs. They led that game 90% of the way and only lost it in the final minutes. They beat Minnesota by 12, Ohio State by 6 and Maryland by 12. Assembly Hall is one of the toughest places to play in the country. Mike Woodson and the Hoosiers have had Matt Painter and the Boilermakers' number in recent meetings. Indiana is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Purdue. They won outright 79-71 as 7-point road dogs, 79-74 as 1.5-point home favorites, only lost by 2 as 10-point road dogs and won by 3 as 4-point home dogs. Purdue is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a road favorite or PK. The Boilermakers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record 15-plus games into the season. Indiana is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. top-level teams that win more than 80% of their games. The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points pre game. Bet Indiana Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-15-24 | Iowa v. Minnesota -1 | Top | 86-77 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
20* Iowa/Minnesota Big Ten No-Brainer on Minnesota -1 The Minnesota Golden Gophers are one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball. They are 12-0 SU & 14-2 ATS this season, including 11-1 SU & 12-0 ATS at home. Their only home loss came when they blew a 20-plus point 2H lead to Missouri in a 2-point defeat. They beat Nebraska and Maryland at home in Big Ten play. The Iowa Hawkeyes have always had huge home/road splits under Fran McCaffrey. That's the case again this season as the Hawkeyes are terrible on the road. The Hawkeyes are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, losing by 8 at Creighton, by 19 at Purdue, by 25 at Iowa State and by 11 at Wisconsin. Minnesota is 10-0 ATS as a favorite this season. The Golden Gophers are 10-1 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season. Bet Minnesota Monday. |
|||||||
01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
20* Washington/UCLA Pac-12 No-Brainer on Washington PK The UCLA Bruins continue to get too much respect for what they did in previous seasons. But this is a dreadful UCLA team and one of the worst we have seen this century. The books have failed to catch up to how poor this team really is. UCLA is 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The two wins came against UC-Riverside by 1 as 17.5-point favorites and Oregon State by 7 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by CS-Northridge as 17.5-point favorites, upset at home by Maryland by 9, upset at home by Stanford by 6 and upset by California at home by 9. The Bruins hit rock bottom last time out with a 90-44 road loss at Utah. The team looked to have quit on head coach Mick Cronin. It's not going to get any easier for the Utes today against an underrated Washington team. The Huskies have gone 10-6 this season against the 29th-toughest schedule in the country. They rank 40th in adjusted offense and 81st in adjusted defense as a very balanced team. All six of their losses came by 7 points or less, so they are close to being much better than 10-6. Washington is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Huskies are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread. Washington is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 road games following two consecutive home games. UCLA is 1-7 ATS in all home games this season. Bet Washington Sunday. |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Oklahoma State +13.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 42-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State +13.5 The Iowa State Cyclones are in a massive letdown spot today. They are coming off a 57-53 upset home win over No. 2 Houston. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Oklahoma State, and that will make it difficult for them to cover this inflated 13.5-point spread. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cowboys off consecutive losses to Baylor and Texas Tech. This is an Oklahoma State team that just has Iowa State's number. The Cowboys are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Cyclones including two upset road wins by 8 as 6.5-point dogs and by 17 as 4-point dogs. Plays against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (Iowa State) - a hot team having covered 6 or 7 or their last 8 games ATS who are also winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 91-50 (64.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. It's time to 'sell high' on the Cyclones. Bet Oklahoma State Saturday. |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Cincinnati v. Baylor -6.5 | 59-62 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Baylor -6.5 The Baylor Bears have moved their home games to Foster Pavilion where it's like a small school atmosphere with fans right down on the court and a much more hostile atmosphere for road teams. The Bears have been impressive in their first two games here beating Cornell 98-79 as 16-point favorites and BYU 81-72 as 4.5-point favorites. Now they host a Cincinnati team that is coming off two huge games against BYU and Texas. I don't think the Bearcats will have much left in the tank here for Baylor. This will be their toughest road game this season. They needed OT to beat Howard on the road and lost by 5 at Xavier. They also lost by 14 to Dayton on a neutral, and this team just isn't very good away from home. Baylor is 11-3 ATS in all games this season. The Bears are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. Cincinnati is 27-50 ATS in its last 77 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Bet Baylor Saturday. |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Drake v. Southern Illinois +3 | Top | 76-58 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +3 The Drake Bulldogs are coming off a massive 89-78 home win over Indiana State. It's time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs now as they are road favorites at Southern Illinois when they shouldn't be favored at all. Drake has been very disappointing in its last two road games. The Bulldogs lost outright as 5.5-point favorites at UAB. Then they lost outright by 22 as 5.5-point favorites at Belmont. Now they must take on a Southern Illinois team that has one of the biggest home-court advantages in the MVC. The Salukis are 9-1 SU & 8-1 ATS at home this season. They beat Belmont by 10, Illinois-Chicago by 12, St. Louis by 39 and also upset Oklahoma State at home. Drake is 0-6 ATS in its last six games off a home win where they scored 85 points or more. Bet Southern Illinois Saturday. |
|||||||
01-13-24 | Houston v. TCU +5.5 | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on TCU +5.5 The TCU Horned Frogs are 8-0 at home this season and coming off a 80-71 win over Oklahoma. That followed up a near upset of Kansas on the road by 2 as 9-point dogs. This Horned Frogs team is better than they get credit for. They should not be catching 5.5 points at home to Houston. The Cougars have not fared that well on the road this season. They were just upset 57-53 at Iowa State as 2.5-point favorites. They only beat Xavier by 6 as 8.5-point favorites in their previous true road game. They are going to find it tough winning on the Big 12 highway this season. TCU is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Plays on home underdogs or PK (TCU) - a very good shooting team making 48% of their shots or better, while also a dominant rebounding team outrebounding their opponents by 7-plus boards per game are 31-6 (83.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet TCU Saturday. |
|||||||
01-13-24 | San Diego State v. New Mexico -2.5 | Top | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on New Mexico -2.5 New Mexico has one of the best home-court advantages in the country inside 'The Pit'. The Lobos are 8-0 at home this season and will take down the San Diego State Aztecs today. San Diego State is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 road games this season. The Aztecs only beat San Jose State by 3 as 10-point favorites, lost outright at Grand Canyon by 6 as 2.5-point favorites and only beat UCSD by 1 as 13.5-point favorites. This will be their toughest road test of the season today. Bet New Mexico Saturday. |
|||||||
01-11-24 | UCLA v. Utah -8 | 44-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah -8 I like the spot for the Utah Utes tonight. They return home after two disappointing road losses to Arizona State and Arizona. Now the Utes are back home where they are 8-0 SU & 5-3 ATS and outscoring opponents by 19.1 points per game. The Utes take a step down in class against a UCLA team that continues to get too much respect for what they did in previous season. But this is a dreadful UCLA team and one of the worst we have seen this century. The books have failed to catch up to how poor this team really is. UCLA is 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in its last nine games overall. The two wins came against UC-Riverside by 1 as 17.5-point favorites and Oregon State by 7 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by CS-Northridge as 17.5-point favorites, upset at home by Maryland by 9, upset at home by Stanford by 6 and upset by California at home by 9. They will lose by double-digits to the Utes tonight. Bet Utah Thursday. |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Indiana State +2.5 v. Drake | 78-89 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana State +2.5 Wrong team favored here. Indiana State is the best team in the MVC this season and will prove it once again tonight. The Sycamores are 13-2 SU & 9-5 ATS this season. Their two losses came on the road at Alabama and on the road at Michigan State. But they beat Bradley 85-77 on the road, and many expect Bradley to compete for a conference title alongside Drake. Drake is 12-3 against a very soft schedule that ranks 265th in the country, about 110 spots easier than the slate Indiana State has faced. The Bulldogs are coming off a 22-point loss at Belmont despite being 5.5-point favorites. They also lost were also upset at UAB three games ago, and that's a UAB team that is way down this season. They lost by 24 on a neutral to Stephen F. Austin earlier this season as well. This team is way overrrated. Indiana State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games off a conference win by 10 points or more. The Sycamores are 7-0 ATS vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet Indiana State Wednesday. |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Providence v. St. John's -7 | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on St. John's -7 It was always going to take some time for Rick Pitino to get the St. John's Red Storm gelling in his first season as head coach. Well, the time is now as they are playing their best basketball of the season. St. John's is 9-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games overall and has been grossly undervalued. The Red Storm have impressive wins over Utah by 9, Xavier by 15, Butler by 16 and Villanova by 10 during this stretch. They also had an impressive road loss by 4 as 11-point dogs at UConn to show what they are really capable of. Now the Red Storm host a Providence team that just lost second-leading scorer and leading rebounder Bryce Hopkins (15.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG) two games ago to a season-ending injury. The Friars were upset at home by Seton Hall as 6-point favorites in the game they lost Hopkins. They also lost by 9 at Creighton in their first full game without him over the weekend. I expect them to lose by 8-plus on the road tonight to the Red Storm as well. St. John's is 7-0 ATS after winning three of its last four games this season. The Red Storm are 7-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or lower this season. Bet St. John's Wednesday. |
|||||||
01-09-24 | Indiana v. Rutgers -2.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Rutgers -2.5 I love the spot for Rutgers tonight. The Scarlet Knights will be highly motivated for a victory coming off two consecutive road losses to open Big Ten play by 4 at Ohio State and by 9 at Iowa. They have one of the biggest home-court advantages in the Big Ten and are 7-1 SU at home this season. The Indiana Hoosiers will be playing just their 3rd true road game of the season. They did pull the upset at Michigan by 3, but we are quickly seeing how Michigan is a very flawed team going just 3-9 SU in their last 12 games overall with losses to McNeese State and Long Beach State. That win doesn't look that impressive now. In their other road game, they lost 86-70 at Nebraska as 4.5-point dogs. Rutgers simply owns Indiana, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with their lone loss coming by 6 on the road. They beat Indiana 63-48, 74-63, 59-50 and 66-58 in going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Hoosiers. Indiana is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK. Rutgers is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games vs. good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. Bet Rutgers Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-07-24 | Maryland v. Minnesota -1 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota -1 What more does Minnesota have to do to get some respect? The Golden Gophers are 11-3 SU & 13-1 ATS this season. I'll keep backing them as long as the books are going to keep setting bad lines on them. They should be more than 1-point home favorites over the Maryland Terrapins tonight. Minnesota is 10-1 SU & 11-0 ATS at home this season. Their lone loss came after blowing a 20-plus point lead to Missouri in the 2H to lose by 2. They host a Maryland team that is 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS on the road this season with their lone win coming at lowly UCLA, which is getting upset by everything this season and is way down. Maryland lost by 57-40 at Villanova as 6.5-point dogs and 65-53 at Indiana as 2-point dogs. Minnesota is 9-0 ATS as a favorite this season. Bet Minnesota Sunday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Colorado v. Arizona State +3.5 | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
15* Colorado/Arizona State Pac-12 ANNIHILATOR on Arizona State +3.5 The Arizona State Sun Devils are grossly undervalued right now. They have pulled off three straight outright upsets as underdogs beating Stanford and California on the road as well as dismantling Utah 82-70 at home as 6-point dogs last time out. The Colorado Buffaloes have been grossly overvlaued of later. They are 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall. They only beat Washington by 4 as 8.5-point home favorites and Washington State by 7 as 7.5-point home favorites. They were crushed 97-50 at Arizona as 13-point dogs last time out. The biggest reason for Colorado's recent struggles is the fact that they are without two of their three best players in Tristan De Silva (15.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Cody Williams (14.0 PPG). It's very difficult for them to even be competitive without these two, and they certainly should not be favored on the road over Arizona State without them. Arizona State is 6-0 SU at home this season. Colorado is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in neutral/true road games and have been terrible on the road for years. Colorado is 127-167 ATS in its last 294 road games. Arizona State is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games following an ATS win. The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following two or more consecutive ATS wins. They are a streaky team, and they stay hot with their 4th consecutive upset victory tonight. Bet Arizona State Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -2.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Iowa State/Oklahoma Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma -2.5 The Iowa State Cyclones are overrated due to their 11-2 start against the 347th-ranked schedule in the country. Their schedule really couldn't have been much easier to this point. They have only played on true road game and that came against DePaul, one of the worst teams in the country. This will be Iowa State's toughest test of the season to date, and I expect them to fail. They take on an Oklahoma Sooners team that looks to be among the contenders to win the Big 12. The Sooners are 12-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road to North Carolina. The Sooners are 9-0 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 26.7 points per game. Iowa State is 20-40 ATS in its last 60 road games with a line of +3 to -3. Oklahoma is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games vs. teams that win more than 80% of their games. Bet Oklahoma Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Missouri State v. Bradley -4 | Top | 60-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Bradley -4 Bradley is 9-5 against the 82nd-toughest schedule in the country. Missouri State is 9-5 against the 274th-ranked schedule in the country. That nearly 200-spot difference in strength of schedule is a big reason I'm laying the points with Bradley at home today. Missouri State has not looked good on the road this season. They are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games losing by 17 at Drake, by 4 at Middle Tennessee and by 1 at Tulsa. Bradley is on Drake's level and a contender to win the MVC. They will prove it today. Bradley won both meetings with Missouri State last season. They won 58-40 as 2.5-point road dogs and 64-54 as 9.5-point home favorites. Bradley has one of the best home-court advantages in the country going 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games. The Braves are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a win by 10 points or more. Missouri State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 65 points or fewer in two consecutive games. Bet Bradley Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Auburn v. Arkansas +2.5 | 83-51 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Arkansas +2.5 The Arkansas Razorbacks are a young team that is improving with each passing week under one of the best head coaches in the country in Eric Musselman. They are 7-1 at home this season which includes an upset win over Duke. The Razorbacks should not be home underdogs to the Auburn Tigers today. Auburn has only played one true road game all season. They lost that game 69-64 at Appalachian State as 7.5-point favorites. They have had big home/road splits under current head coach Bruce Pearl. Arkansas is 18-4 SU in its last 22 home meetings with Auburn. The Tigers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as road favorites of 3 points or less or PK. The Razorbacks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Bet Arkansas Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Murray State v. Evansville -1.5 | 81-59 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Line Mistake on Evansville -1.5 Evansville is 10-4 SU & 10-3 ATS and one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. Murray State is 5-9 SU & 5-8 ATS and one of the most overrated. I'll gladly lay the short number on the Purple Aces at home today. Murray State is 0-6 SU in neutral/true road games this season. The Racers were also upset at home as double-digit favorites by SE Louisiana. Evansville is 6-0 SU at home where they are outscoring opponents by 23.6 points per game. Murray State is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 road games. The Racers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following two or more consecutive wins. Bet Evansville Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Providence v. Creighton -10 | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Creighton -10 The Creighton Bluejays have one of the best home-court advantages in the country. Look for them to beat Providence by double-digits to cover this number at home Saturday. Creighton has played the 29th-toughest schedule in the country so they are battle-tested. Providence has faced the 171st-ranked schedule. The Friars have only played one true road game, and they lost that game badly 72-51 as 5-point dogs at Oklahoma. This will now be their toughest test of the season. Making it even tougher is that they lost their best player in BJ Hopkins (15.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG) to a season-ending injury in their 61-57 upset home loss to Seton Hall as 6-point favorites in their last game. They stand very little chance of keeping this game competitive on the road in their first game without Hopkins. Creighton is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after failing to cover the spread in four of its last five games. Providence is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game. Bet Creighton Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee -5.5 v. Detroit | 84-61 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Wisconsin-Milwaukee -5.5 Wisconsin-Milwaukee just got its best player back from injury in BJ Freeman (19.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG). Freeman averaged 17.0 PPG and 5.1 RPG last season for the Panthers. He was out from November 25th to December 31st. Freeman returned to action against Wright State on December 31st and poured in 23 points in a 91-83 victory. He had 15 points and 5 boards in a 100-95 loss at Oakland as 5.5-point dogs last time out. He means everything to this team, and they are an undervalued commodity moving forward with a healthy Freeman. Now the Panthers will blow out the worst team in all of college basketball in Detroit. The Titans are 0-16 this season and just lost their best player in Jayden Stone (18.9 PPG) to injury. They are 3-13 ATS this season and consistently getting too much respect from the books as people keep betting them hoping to catch a falling knife. The losses have been real ugly of late for Detroit. They lost by 18 at home to Wisconsin-Green Bay as 2.5-point dogs, by 35 at IUPFW as 13-point dogs and by 12 at IUPUI as 2.5-point favorites. They haven't even come close to covering in their last three games, and they won't come close Saturday, either. Detroit is 0-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games this season. The Titans are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | Marquette v. Seton Hall +5 | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Marquette/Seton Hall Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on Seton Hall +5 Seton Hall is starting to make some headway under second-year head coach Shaheen Holloway. The Pirates are 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall. They upset Missouri on a neutral, upset UConn by 15 as 7.5-point home dogs and upset Providence by 4 as 6-point road dogs during this stretch. If they can upset UConn at home, they certainly have a great shot to upset Marquette as well. We just saw Marquette get upset in their Big East road opener, losing 72-57 as 4-point favorites at Providence. They are coming off a big home win over Creighton by 5, which sets them up for a letdown spot here as well. Holloway is 46-28 ATS as an underdog as a head coach. Bet Seton Hall Saturday. |
|||||||
01-06-24 | North Carolina v. Clemson -1.5 | 65-55 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
15* UNC/Clemson ACC Early ANNIHILATOR on Clemson -1.5 The Clemson Tigers are 11-2 SU & 9-4 ATS this season with both of their losses coming on the road to Memphis and Miami. The Tigers are back home now coming off that loss to Miami, and they are 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS at home this season. This is a legit NCAA Tournament and ACC title contender, and they will prove it with a win and cover at home against UNC today. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Tar Heels, who are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. We saw them lose to Kentucky and UConn on a neutral prior to that. UNC has somehow only played one true road game all season to this point, so they won't be prepared for the kind of atmosphere they are going to face at Clemson Saturday. UNC Is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. The Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games with a line of +3 to -3. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after a game with a combined scored of 155 or more points. These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Tigers today. Also, Clemson is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games with a line of +3 to -3. Bet Clemson Saturday. |
|||||||
01-04-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee +7.5 v. Oakland | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +7.5 Wisconsin-Milwaukee just got its best player back from injury in BJ Freeman (20.0 PPG, 5.6 RPG). Freeman averaged 17.0 PPG and 5.1 RPG last season for the Panthers. He was out from November 25th to December 31st. Freeman returned to action against Wright State last time out and poured in 23 points in a 91-83 victory. He means everything to this team, and the Panthers should not be 7.5-point road underdogs to the Oakland Golden Grizzlies tonight with him in the lineup. Oakland is 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall with the two wins coming against Eastern Michigan and Younstown State. They were upset by 21 at home by IUP-FW, they were upset at home by Toledo, they lost by 17 at Michigan State, lost by 24 at Dayton and lost by 8 at Cleveland State. The Golden Grizzlies aren't playing well enough right now to warrant being 7.5-point favorites here. Oakland is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after a game with 5 or fewer offensive rebounds. Milwaukee is 149-113 ATS in its last 262 games as road underdogs. The Golden Grizzlies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game. Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Thursday. |
|||||||
01-04-24 | Towson v. Monmouth +3.5 | 43-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Monmouth +3.5 Monmouth has been grossly undervalued all season going 7-6 SU & 9-3 ATS. The highlights include an upset road win at West Virginia 73-65 as 14.5-point dogs, an upset win on a neutral over Belmont 93-84 as 6.5-point dogs, a narrow 4-point loss at Cornell as 12.5-point dogs, a narrow 9-point loss at Seton Hall as 14-point dogs, and an easy cover in a 16-point loss at Oklahoma as 22.5-point dogs. Now Monmouth is back home where they are 4-1 SU this season with their lone loss to Princeton, which is 12-1 this season and one of the best mid-major teams in the country. Towson State is not that. The Tigers are also 7-6 this season while playing a much softer schedule than Monmouth. The Tigers have played the 241st-ranked schedule in the country. All six of their losses have come by 8 points or more. The seven wins have come against Coppin State, Robert Morris, Morgan State, UMass, UMBC, Nicholls State and Arcadia. They haven't beat a decent opponent yet with the exception of UMass. Monmouth is 6-0 ATS after covering two of their last three games this season. Bet Monmouth Thursday. |
|||||||
01-04-24 | College of Charleston v. Hofstra -1 | Top | 73-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
20* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Hofstra -1 Hofstra is 1-4 SU in its last five games overall with all four losses coming on the road to Saint Louis, Duke, UNLV and St. John's. They only lost by 5 to a very good St. John's team last time out. They will be highly motivated for a victory when they return home tonight. It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Pride after losing four of their last five. They have played a brutal schedule this season, a schedule that ranks 22nd-toughest in the entire country. They have only played four home games all season and have shown well, beating South Florida 82-63 as 5.5-point home favorites and Norfolk State 74-58 as 9-point favorites in their last two home games. It's a great time to 'sell high' on College of Charleston coming off five consecutive victories. All five wins came at home against a very soft schedule. They were last seen on the road losing 90-74 at Florida Atlantic as 14-point dogs on December 10th. They also lost by 18 to Duquesne, by 9 to Vermont and by 7 to Wyoming on a neutral earlier this season. Hofstra is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite. The Price are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 conference games. Hofstra is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after four straight games committing 14 or fewer turnovers. Bet Hofstra Thursday. |
|||||||
01-03-24 | Stanford v. UCLA -4.5 | 59-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
15* Stanford/UCLA ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -4.5 It's a great time to 'buy low' on UCLA and 'sell high' on Stanford tonight with the perfect storm here. UCLA is 1-5 SU in its last six games overall as the Bruins have been one of the biggest disappointments in the country up to this point. But I expect the Bruins to fire back here at home tonight against a Stanford team coming off one of the biggest wins of the entire season. They throttled Arizona 100-82 at home on December 31st to pull off the upset as 12-point underdogs. They shot a ridiculous 58.1% from the floor as everything they looked at went in. Things won't come nearly as easily against UCLA, which ranks 39th in adjusted defense. Remember, this is a Stanford team that lost by 22 to Northern Iowa, by 14 to San Diego State and by 12 to Santa Clara earlier this season. That win over Arizona was the aberration, not the norm for this Cardinal team. UCLA owns Stanford, going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings with all four wins coming by 9 points or more. Jarod Haase is 4-12 ATS in road games off a conference win by 10 points or more as the coach of Stanford. Mick Cronin is 10-2 ATS in home games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game as the coach of UCLA. Bet UCLA Wednesday. |
|||||||
01-02-24 | New Mexico v. Colorado State -3.5 | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
15* New Mexico/Colorado State MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado State -3.5 Colorado State is not only one of the best mid-major teams in the country but one of the very best college basketball teams in the country, period. The Rams are 12-1 this season with their lone loss coming to St. Mary's when they were short-handed. They have wins over two of the best teams in the country in Creighton (69-48) and Colorado (88-83), and they should be more than 3.5-point home favorites over New Mexico tonight. Colorado State lost two key players in Jalen Lake and Josiah Strong for a stretch of games recently. But they just got Lake (8.2 PPG) back from injury and will be getting Strong (8.5 PPG) back later this month. And they still have four players averaging 12.2 PPG or more this season. Somehow New Mexico has only played one true road game this season. The Lobos nearly lost outright at New Mexico State in a 73-72 win as 14.5-point favorites in that lone true road game. We know the Lobos dominate at home with one of the best home-court advantages in the country. But they struggle on the road, and I'll gladly fade them here in only their 2nd true road game this season. Colorado State is 7-1 ATS vs. teams with a winning record this season. Colorado State is 5-1 SU in its last six meetings with New Mexico with all five wins coming by 6 points or more. Bet Colorado State Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-02-24 | Northwestern +6 v. Illinois | 66-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Northwestern +6 Illinois just lost its best player in Terrence Shannon Jr. (21.7 PPG) to a suspension due to rape charges over Christmas Break. That's a big blow to their season and a huge distraction right now. They should not be favored by 6 over Northwestern tonight without Shannon Jr. Northwestern is 10-2 this season with a win over Purdue. The Wildcats have been a thorn in Illinois' side in recent meetings as well going 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings not once losing by more than 7 points despite playing three of those on the road. Northwestern is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 road games after playing a game as a favorite. The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games coming off an ATS loss. Bet Northwestern Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Indiana State +9 v. Michigan State | 75-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Indiana State +9 Indiana State is one of the best mid-major teams in the country. The Sycamores are 11-1 this season with their lone loss coming on the road to Alabama. They rank 34th in adjusted offense and can fill it up, and they are improved defensively ranking 101st in adjusted defense. I think they can give Michigan State a run for its money today. It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Spartans. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. But we saw the Spartans get upset earlier this season at home by another great mid-major in James Madison as 16.5-point favorites. This could be a flat spot for the Spartans coming off Christmas Break and with a Big Ten game against Penn State on deck. Indiana State is 30-16 ATS in its last 46 games overall. The Sycamores are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games off a win by 10 points or more. Bet Indiana State Saturday. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Texas-Arlington +8 v. North Texas | 52-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on UT-Arlington +8 North Texas lost its star PG to Kansas State in the transfer portal. The Mean Green only brought back one starter this season and were gutted. They have a reputation of being one of the best mid-major teams in the country from previous seasons, but that is no longer the case this season. They continue to get too much respect for that reputation. The Mean Green are just 5-5 SU this season with their five wins coming against Mississippi Valley State, Angelo State, Towson State, Nebraska-Omaha and Northern Iowa in OT. When they have stepped up in class they have lost to Fordham, Mississippi State, Boise State, LSU and St. John's. I like what I've seen from this UT-Arlington team on the road this season. They only lost 80-82 as 14.5-point dogs at New Mexico, 69-76 as 11-point dogs at Grand Canyon and 66-77 as 13.5-point dogs at Texas Tech. They took all three of those very good teams to the wire, and North Texas isn't nearly as good as those three squads. Arlington is 71-49 ATS in its last 120 games as a road underdog. The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in all games this season, including 4-1 ATS in road games. Bet UT-Arlington Saturday. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Toledo +5 v. West Virginia | 81-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Toledo +5 West Virginia is rebuilding this season after moving on from Bob Huggins to Josh Eilert. They have five new starters this season and it has not gone well. The Mountaineers are 4-7 SU & 4-7 ATS this season and they have no business being 5-point favorites against Toledo today. West Virginia's four wins this season came by 8 over Missouri State, by 13 over Jacksonville State, by 4 over Bellarmine and by 6 over Drexel. There are some very concerning losses as well. They lost by 8 to UMass as a 3-point favorite on a neutral and were upset by Radford as a 6.5-point home favorite. They were also blasted by Pitt by 17 at home and were upset as 14.5-point home favorites by Monmouth. Toledo is one of the better mid-major teams in the country. They took three other mid-major powers to the wire in losses to New Mexico by 8, UC-Irvine by 6 and Indiana State by 2. They upset Oakland and upset Wright State in their two true road games this season. I fully expect them to upset West Virginia today. Toledo is 49-29 ATS in its last 78 games overall. The Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games after giving up 9 or fewer offensive rebounds in two consecutive games. West Virginia is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games after losing two of its last three games. Kowalczyk is 16-4 ATS after a game where they made 33% of their shots or worse as the coach of Toledo. Bet Toledo Saturday. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | SMU -5.5 v. Murray State | 92-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
15* CBB Friday Night BLOWOUT on SMU -5.5 Steve Prohm is one of the worst head coaches in the country. He was fired from Iowa State, and he returned to Murray State where he previously had success. It was a disaster last season in his first season back, and it hasn't gone any better this season, proving that he's one of the worst in the business. Murray State is just 3-8 SU & 3-7 ATS this season. The Racers just lost outright two games ago at home to SE Louisiana as a double-digit favorite. Then they were blown out by 14 as 1.5-point favorites at Arkansas-Little Rock to suffer their 8th loss in 9 games. Murray State has compiled this awful record against the 278th-ranked schedule in the country. Now they must face one of the best teams they have all season in SMU. And the biggest difference between these teams is defense, where Murray State ranks 316th in adjusted defense while SMU ranks 34th and actually gets after it on that end. Prohm just doesn't coach defense. SMU won its last road game 68-57 at Florida State as a 5.5-point dog. This will be a pretty big step down in class for the Mustangs, who have already faced the likes of FSU, ASU, Dayton, Wisconsin and Texas A&M. Murray State won't have its normal home-court advantage with students home for Christmas. I expect the Mustangs to treat this is a business trip. The Mustangs are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 December games, while the Racers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 December games. Bet SMU Friday. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Drake -3 v. UAB | Top | 78-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
20* Drake/UAB CBB No-Brainer on Drake -3 The Drake Bulldogs are one of the best mid-major teams in the country. They should have beaten Miami in the NCAA Tournament but blew a double-digit lead late. Miami went on to the Final Four. Drake brought back almost everyone from that team and is off to an 11-1 start this season. UAB has been one of the best mid-major programs in the country for the last handful of years. However, that's clearly no longer the case when you look at the results for the Blazers thus far. But they are still getting respect for what they have done in the past, so there is value in fading them still. UAB is 6-5 SU & 4-6 ATS this season with some very troubling results. They only beat Alcorn State by 3 as 16.5-point favorites. That gives them a common opponent with Drake, which just beat Alcorn State 92-55 as 18-point favorites. That result tells you all you need to know. But UAB has also lost at home to McNeese State by 21 as 5.5-point favorites, was upset at home by Southern Miss as 9.5-point favorites, and got crushed at Arkansas State by 19 as 4.5-point favorites. UAB is now 1-9 ATS in its last 10 December games. The Blazers won't have much of a home-court advantage at all with this being an afternoon game at 3:00 EST and students home for Christmas. I expect the Bulldogs to treat this as a business trip. Bet Drake Friday. |
|||||||
12-21-23 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Bradley -10.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Bradley -10.5 I love the spot for Bradley tonight. They opened the season 6-0 SU & 5-0-1 ATS but have since gone 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games with a step up in competition. It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to end this skid, and I think they get a double-digit blowout victory as they are taking a big step down in class tonight. SIU-Edwardsville is 7-5 this season but ranked 268th in KenPom. They have really struggled on the road, going 0-5 SU in true road games losing by 16 at Dayton, by 18 at Missouri, by 12 at South Alabama, by 23 at Troy and by 12 at Ball State. So they have lost all five road games by 12 points or more, and Bradley (122nd) is ranked higher than South Alabama (183rd), Troy (210th) and Ball State (241st) in KenPom. Bradley is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 home games with one of the best home-court advantages in the country. The Braves are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games following an ATS win. Edwardsville is 13-27 ATS in its last 40 December road games. Bradley is 11-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game. Bet Bradley Thursday. |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Cal-Irvine +8.5 v. New Mexico | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on UC-Irvine +8.5 UC-Irvine is one of the most underrated mid-major teams in the country. The Anteaters are 7-4 SU & 8-2 ATS this season with all four losses coming by 10 points or less, including three by 8 points or fewer. They are once again catching too many points tonight at New Mexico. UC-Irvine only lost by 1 at San Diego State as 8.5-point dogs two games ago and SDSU is every bit as good as New Mexico. They only lost by 4 at Duquesne as 5.5-point dogs, upset USC 70-60 as 11.5-point road dogs and crushed New Mexico State 91-74 as 9-point home favorites. Speaking of New Mexico State, that is a common opponent of these two. New Mexico only beat New Mexico State 73-72 as 14.5-point favorites, failing to cover the spread by 13.5 points. The Lobos are coming off that win over their in-state rivals and won't be as motivated to beat UC-Irvine tonight. Bet UC-Irvine Wednesday. |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Liberty v. Utah Valley +5.5 | 79-64 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Utah Valley +5.5 Utah Valley is 6-5 SU & 6-3 ATS this season. The Wolverines are 4-0 SU & 2-0 ATS at home. They upset Seattle 78-72 as 3-point home dogs and upset Weber State 70-54 as 2-point home dogs. They are coming off consecutive covers as road underdogs at Oregon State and at Utah as well. The Wolverines now host a Liberty team that I believe is grossly overvalued due to a home-heavy schedule in the early going. In fact, the Flames have played just one true road game this season, and that resulted in a 83-58 blowout loss at Florida Atlantic. They should not be favored by 5.5 points on the road today. I've seen Liberty play a few times this season and what stands out to me is just how short they are as a team. The Flames rank dead last (362nd) in the country in average height. Utah Valley ranks 119th and will have a big advantage on the boards in this one. Utah Valley is 31-12 ATS in its last 43 games overall, including 9-1 ATS in its last 10 December games. The Wolverines are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games after covering three of their last four games. Utah Valley is 24-5 ATS in its last 29 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Wolverines have been grossly undervalued for multiple seasons now. Bet Utah Valley Wednesday. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | Marquette v. Providence +4.5 | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
15* Marquette/Providence FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Providence +4.5 Marquette is overvalued right now after early season wins over Illinois, UCLA, Kansas and Texas. Since that Texas win, they failed to cover against Notre Dame and were nearly upset by St. Thomas in a 5-point home win as 23-point favorites. I think they are being overvalued again today on the road at Providence. Providence is 8-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.4 points per game. That includes a 72-59 win as 1.5-point dogs to Wisconsin. That gives these teams are common opponent as Marquette actually lost 75-64 at Wisconsin as 3-point favorites. The Friars are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. good ball handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game. Bet Providence Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | Troy State +13 v. Ole Miss | 53-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Troy +13 It's time to 'sell high' on the Ole Miss Rebels. They are 10-0 this season but very fortunate to still be unbeaten. Nine of their 10 wins have come by 11 points or fewer including narrow wins against the likes of Alabama State (10), Eastern Washington (11), Detroit (1), Sam Houston State (3, Temple (1) and Mount St. Mary's (9). Ole Miss has also faced the 256th-ranked schedule in the country, and as you can see the competition has been weak. I think Troy can stay within 13 tonight. The Trojans have just one loss this season by more than 12 points. Troy went on the road and only lost by 12 at Dayton as 13.5-point dogs. They also have a 1-point loss at Oregon State as 7.5-point dogs and a 1-point loss at Eastern Kentucky as 5.5-point dogs. They have actually done their best work away from home and are 5-1-1 ATS in all lined games this season. Ole Miss is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a combined score of 155 points or more. The Rebels are 1-8 ATS in home games with a total of 140 to 149.5 over the last three seasons. Troy has had the last six days off to rest and prepare for Ole Miss. The Rebels have only had the last two days off and won't be nearly as fresh or prepared. Bet Troy Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Murray State v. Arkansas-Little Rock +1.5 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
15* CBB Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Arkansas-Little Rock +1.5 Steve Prohm is one of the worst head coaches in the country. He was fired from Iowa State, and he returned to Murray State where he previously had success. It was a disaster last season in his first season back, and it hasn't gone any better this season, proving that he's one of the worst in the business. Murray State is just 3-7 SU & 3-6 ATS this season. The Racers have been awful on the road, going 0-5 SU in neutral/true road games this season. They also just lost outright at home to SE Louisiana as a double-digit favorite for their 7th loss in 8 games. They should not be favored on the road tonight. Arkansas-Little Rock is 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this season, including 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home games coming in. They also have a massive rest advantage. They have had the last four days off to prepare for this game, while Murray State just lost to SE Louisiana on Saturday and only had one day to get ready, plus the travel. It will be the 3rd game in 6 days for the Racers as well. Murray State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games when playing a marginal losing team (40-49%). Bet Arkansas-Little Rock Monday. |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Oakland +16.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
20* CBB GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland +16.5 Oakland is one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball. The Golden Grizzlies have gone 6-5 SU & 9-2 ATS this season. They upset Xavier as 15-point road dogs, only lost to Ohio State by 6 as 19.5-point road dogs and only lost to Illinois by 11 as 24-point road dogs. They have shown they can play with the big boys, and they will give Michigan State a run for its money tonight. Michigan State has been one of the most overrated teams in the country. The Spartans are 5-5 SU & 4-6 ATS this season despite coming into the season being ranked in the Top 5 in the country. They lost outright at home to James Madison as a 16.5-point favorite and lost outright to Wisconsin by 13 as a 5-point home favorite. The spot really favors Oakland tonight. They have had the last 9 days off to rest and prepare to play Michigan State. The Spartans are coming off an upset win over Baylor in Detroit on Saturday to hand the Bears their first loss of the season. They are in a letdown spot off that win, and they won't be prepared to face Oakland with just one day to get ready for them. Oakland is 8-0 ATS off a non-conference game this season. The Golden Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games following a win. Oakland only lost by 13 to Michigan State last year and by 12 to the Spartans the year prior. They are getting too many points once again here in this annual meeting. Bet Oakland Monday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Alabama +7.5 v. Creighton | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
15* Alabama/Creighton FOX ANNIHILATOR on Alabama +7.5 It's a good time to 'buy low' on Alabama. They have gone 2-3 SU & 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule. The three losses came to Ohio State, Clemson and Purdue. The Crimson Tide have now faced the 21st-toughest schedule in the entire country and are battle-tested to say the least. Creighton is good at beating up on the weak. But the Bluejays have struggled in a couple games this season that are very concerning. They lost outright 69-48 as 9-point favorites on a neutral to Colorado State and outright 79-64 as 13.5-point favorites on a neutral to UNLV. They got blown out in both of those games. Now this is a tough spot for Creighton having just two days since the UNLV game to get ready to face Alabama. Meanwhile, Alabama has had an entire week to get ready for Creighton after having the last six days off since a tough 92-86 loss to Purdue on a neutral. Many consider Purdue the best team in the country. Alabama is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after making 10 or more 3-pointers in consecutive games. Alabama ranks 1st in adjusted offense, 6th in effective FG percentage and 5th in 3-point percentage this season. Creighton hasn't faced a team as good as Alabama yet, and they shouldn't be 7.5-point favorites here. Nate Oats is a perfect 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of the Crimson Tide. Bet Alabama Saturday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Arizona v. Purdue | Top | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
20* Arizona/Purdue No-Brainer on Arizona PK The Arizona Wildcats look like the best team in the country and continue to lack the respect they deserves. The Wildcats are 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS this season, outscoring opponents by 30.1 points per game on average. They have the big men inside that will finally give Purdue trouble. We've seen Arizona already handle a pair of Big Ten teams in Wisconsin 98-73 and Michigan State 74-68. The Wildcats also went on the road and beat Duke 78-73, handing the Blue Devils their first loss at Cameron Indoor in a couple seasons. Purdue lost 92-88 (OT) to Northwestern. The Boilermakers have had to escape with several victories, beating Gonzaga by 10, Tennessee by 4, Marquette by 3 and Alabama by 6. Their luck runs out today against a superior team here in Arizona, which ranks 2nd in adjusted defense and 6th in adjusted offense, the only team to rank in the top 6 in both categories this season. Bet Arizona Saturday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | San Francisco v. Utah State -2 | 53-54 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Utah State -2 Utah State is loaded this season. The Aggies are 10-1 and outscoring opponents by 17.0 points per game. This will basically be a home game for them being played in Salt Lake City, UT. San Francisco is 8-3 this season and has not fared well when stepping up in class. The Dons have losses to Boise State, Grand Canyon and Arizona State. Utah State is a team that is on Grand Canyon's level and better than both Boise State and Arizona State. Utah State is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 neutral court games. The Aggies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. teams that make 48% of their shots or better. Bet Utah State Saturday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Clemson v. Memphis -2.5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Clemson/Memphis ESPN+ ANNIHILATOR on Memphis -2.5 The Memphis Tigers are really starting to play well under Penny Hardaway. He always gets the top recruits so it can take some time for his team to gel. But they have certainly shown those signs of gelling of late, beating VCU 85-80 as 2-point road favorites and upsetting Texas A&M 81-75 as 8.5-point road dogs in their last two games coming in. Memphis has faced the 11th-toughest schedule in the entire country to this point. The Tigers have only had two home games all season. Now they finally get to play at home for the first time since November 17th, and they will be excited to do so. They have unbeaten Clemson coming to town. I think it's telling that Clemson is the unbeaten and ranked team here and actually is an underdog at unranked Memphis. I think Memphis proves it is the better team here. The Tigers are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Bet Memphis Saturday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Baylor -3 v. Michigan State | 64-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
15* Baylor/Michigan State FOX ANNIHILATOR on Baylor -3 The Baylor Bears are one of the best teams in the country and oddsmakers are failing to catch up to how good they are. Baylor is 9-0 SU & 7-1 ATS this season. They beat Auburn and Florida on a neutral and now they will take down this overrated Michigan State team today. Baylor ranks 2nd in adjusted offense and 44th in adjusted defense. Michigan State is 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS this season and consistently overvalued. The Spartans were upset at home by James Madison as 16.5-point favorites in the opener, which would be a sign of things to come. They lost by 9 to Duke on a neutral, by 6 to Arizona, by 13 at home to Wisconsin and also by 7 at Nebraska. While Baylor ranks 1st in the country in 3-point percentage, Michigan State ranks 301st. The Spartans shoot just 29.5% from 3 as a team. That shooting discrepancy will come into play here in a big way and will be a key reason why the Bears run away with this one. Michigan State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after making 88% of their free throws or better last game. Bet Baylor Saturday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Ball State v. Indiana State -13 | 72-83 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Indiana State -13 Indiana State is one of the best mid-major teams in the country. The Sycamores are 9-1 SU & 7-2 ATS this season with their only loss coming on the road against Alabama. They are outscoring opponents by 17.6 points per game on the season despite facing the 140th-ranked schedule. Ball State is 8-2 but that has come against the 319th-ranked schedule. Both losses came in two of their three true road games and both were in blowout fashion. They lost 74-50 at Evansville and 90-64 at Arkansas-Little Rock. Their lone road win came at Detroit by 3, and Detroit is 0-10 this season. This will be by far the toughest test of the season for the Cardinals. Indiana State is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as a double-digit favorite. The Sycamores are 17-3 ATS in their last 20 games off a win by 10 points or more. Indiana State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after making 13 or more 3-pointers last game. Bet Indiana State Saturday. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Kansas v. Indiana +8 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
20* Kansas/Indiana CBS No-Brainer on Indiana +8 The Indiana Hoosiers have one of the best home-court advantages in the country. They should not be catching 8 points at home to the Kansas Jayhawks today in what is going to be a hostile atmosphere for the visitors. Indiana is 4-0 at home this season, which includes a 65-53 win over Maryland as 2-point favorites. The Jayhawks are a very motivated team coming off their worst loss of the season to Auburn on a neutral. Their only other loss came to defending champion UConn on a neutral. Kansas will be playing its first true road game of the season. The Jayhawks got to host UConn and were fortunate to come away with a victory. They are also coming off a 73-64 home win over Missouri as a 13-point favorite. Off those two big wins recently, I don't think we get their best effort today, especially in their first road game. Indiana is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games vs. top-level teams that win more than 80% of their games on the season. It is actually outscoring opponents by 13.3 points per game in this spot. Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Indiana) - after losing by 18 or more points ATS last game, in non-conference games between two teams from power conferences are 23-6 (79.3%) ATS over the last five seasons. This is a 'buy low' spot on the Hoosiers off that loss to Auburn. Bet Indiana Saturday. |
|||||||
12-15-23 | Cleveland State v. Bradley -9.5 | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley -9.5 I love the spot for the Bradley Braves. They opened 6-0 SU & 5-0-1 ATS this season, but have since gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall against a brutal schedule. They suffered road losses to Murray State and Akron plus a home loss to Indiana State, which looks to be one of the best mid-major teams in the entire country. Now I know we are going to get a very inspired effort from Bradley tonight to try and end this skid. The Braves take a big step down in class here against Cleveland State, and a double-digit blowout in their favor should be the result. Cleveland State is 6-5 SU & 5-4-1 ATS this season. But the Vikings have gone 0-5 SU in all true/neutral road games this season. They lost by 7 at Eastern Michigan, by 25 at Youngstown State, by 13 at St. Mary's and by 6 at Kent State. And while Bradley has faced the 43rd-toughest schedule in the country, Cleveland State has faced the 216th. This big difference in SOS is a big reason I'm on the Braves. Bradley is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite or PK. The Braves are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. The Braves are 8-0 ATS in their last eight non-conference home games. They have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the entire country. Bet Bradley Friday. |
|||||||
12-13-23 | Creighton -12.5 v. UNLV | 64-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Creighton -12.5 The Creighton Bluejays got a wake up call with a bad loss to Colorado State on November 23rd. That's a really good Colorado State team, but it refocused them and we have seen what they are capable of when locked in in their three games since. Indeed, the Bluejays are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall winning 79-65 as 8-point road favorites at Oklahoma State, 89-60 as 4-point road favorites at Nebraska and 109-64 as 31-point home favorites over Central Michigan. I fully expect another blowout win in Creighton's favor in this neutral court game actually called the Jack Jones Classic at Dollar Loan Center in Henderson, NV. No, I'm not the actual sponsor. UNLV has been overvalued all season off to a 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS start this season. The Rebels lost a lot in the transfer portal. Their three wins this season have come against Stetson, Pepperdine and Akron. They were actually upset 85-71 by Stetson as 20-point home favorites in their opener, a sign of things to come for this team. They lost by 8 as 3-point dogs to FSU on a neutral and by 17 as 3-point favorites to Richmond on a neutral. Now Creighton will be by far the best team they have faced this season, and I don't expect it to go well for them. Doug McDermott is 172-133 ATS as a favorite as the coach of Creighton. McDermott is 19-6 ATS following two straight blowout wins by 20 points or more as a head coach. Bet Creighton Wednesday. |
|||||||
12-12-23 | Monmouth +15 v. Seton Hall | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Monmouth +15 Monmouth has been one of the most underrated teams in college basketball. The Hawks are 5-4 SU & 6-2-1 ATS this season with just one loss by more than 15 points despite playing the 99th-toughest schedule of 362 teams in the country. That came to Princeton, which is 9-1 this season. The Hawks lost by 11 at George Mason as 11-point dogs, upset West Virginia by 8 as 14.5-point road dogs, upset Belmont by 9 as 6.5-point dogs on a neutral and only lost by 4 at Cornell as a 12.5-point road dog. I think they can hang with Seton Hall on the road tonight. Seton Hall has been grossly overvalued here of late. The Pirates have gone 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. They lost by 8 to USC at 4-point dogs on a neutral, lost by 13 to Iowa as 1.5-point dogs on a neutral, only beat Northeastern by 13 as 15-point home favorites, lost by 18 at Baylor as 11-point dogs and lost by 7 at home to Rutgers as 3.5-point favorites. When you look at what Rutgers and Iowa have done recently, those losses look even worse. Keep in mind they also only beat St. Peter's by 11 as 17-point favorites at home earlier this season. The only three games they covered were against overmatched competition in Farleigh Dickinson, Albany and Wagner. Monmouth is not overmatched here. Bet Monmouth Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-10-23 | Memphis +8 v. Texas A&M | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis +8 The Memphis Tigers are catching too many points against the Texas A&M Aggies today. Memphis just reloads under Penny Hardaway and has been impressive this season. The Tigers are 6-2 this season with their only losses coming to Villanova and Ole Miss. The Tigers have been through the gauntlet once against testing themselves in the non-conference with the 28th-toughest schedule in the country to this point. Their highlights have been a 70-55 upset road win at Missouri as 3-point dogs, a 71-67 upset win over Michigan on a neutral as 1-point dogs and a 84-79 upset win over Arkansas on a neutral as 1-point dogs. They ran out of gas against Villanova playing for a 3rd consecutive day. They only lost by 3 at unbeaten Ole Miss, and they won by 5 at VCU as 2-point favorites. Texas A&M already has two losses this season as well with a 96-89 loss to FAU on a neutral and a 59-47 road loss at Virginia as 3-point dogs. They played close games against Ohio State, Oreal Roberts and Iowa State that were all decided by 8 points or fewer, and I think this one is decided by 8 points or fewer as well. Memphis is 32-16 ATS in its last 48 games as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs. Texas A&M is 15-30 ATS in its last 45 games following a home win where they scored 85 points or more. Penny Hardaway is 28-15 ATS as an underdog as the coach of Memphis. Bet Memphis Sunday. |
|||||||
12-10-23 | Colorado v. Miami-FL | Top | 90-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
20* Colorado/Miami ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Miami PK The Miami Hurricanes made the Final 4 last year and brought back three starters from that team. All three are off to good starts with Wooga Poplar averaging a team-high 16.5 points, Norchad Omier averaging 16.1 points and a team-high 9.8 rebounds, and Nijel Pack averaging 13.5 points and 4.1 assists. Bensley Joseph (9.1 PPG, 3.3 APG, 2.1 SPG) has taken over a starting role this season and is a Swiss army knife, doing a little bit of everything for this team. Florida State transfer Matthew Cleveland took the place of NBA draft pick Jordan Miller, and he is filling those massive shoes nicely averaging 14.8 points and 4.4 rebounds. This team is absolutely loaded to say the least. Miami is 7-1 SU & 5-3 ATS this season with their lone loss coming on the road at Kentucky. Now they are on a neutral where they have thrived in recent seasons making deep runs into the NCAA Tournament. They take on a Colorado team that is getting too much respect from the books. Colorado is 6-2 this season with 5-0 at home against weak competition and 1-2 in road/neutral games. They only beat Richmond by 5 as 9-point favorites on a neutral, lost outright to Florida State by 6 as 6-point favorites on a neutral, and lost by 5 at Colorado State as 3.5-point dogs. The Buffaloes have some of the biggest home/road splits in all of college basketball for years. This will be an early body clock game for them tipping at 2:00 EST, and they aren't used to playing this early in the day. Colorado is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games following a win by 10 points or more. Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after playing a home game. The Hurricanes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games with a line of +3 to -3. Bet Miami Sunday. |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Cal-Irvine +10 v. San Diego State | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
20* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on UC-Irvine +10 UC-Irvine is one of the better mid-major teams in the country. The Anteaters are 6-3 SU & 6-2 ATS this season. They pulled the 70-60 upset as 12.5-point dogs at USC. They did lose by 4 at Duquesne as 5.5-point dogs and by 10 at Utah State as 6.5-point dogs, so they have been through the gauntlet. They have faced the 25th-toughest schedule in the entire country and won't be phased by San Diego State. The Aztecs came into this season way overvalued after making the championship game of the NCAA Tournament last year. San Diego State is 7-2 SU but 2-6 ATS this season. They are fortunate to have escaped with a bunch of close wins over bad teams. They lost at BYU by 9 in and only beat Cal San Diego by 1 as 13.5-point road favorites in their only two true road games. They also failed to cover in a 12-point win over Long Beach State, a 3-point win over Washington and a 9-point win over California. They only beat Division II Point Loma by 20 at home prior to that 1-point escape at Cal San Diego. They were upset by Grand Canyon last time out. They have no business being double-digit favorites here. UC-Irvine is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games vs. good offensive teams that score 77 or more points per game. The Anteaters are 35-12 ATS in their last 47 road games off a road loss by 10 points or more. Bet UC-Irvine Saturday. |
|||||||
12-09-23 | St. Mary's +5.5 v. Colorado State | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
15* St. Mary's/Colorado State CBSSN ANNIHILATOR on St. Mary's +5.5 A lot was expected of St. Mary's coming into the season. But after a slow start with some mixed results against a brutal schedule that ranks 40th in the country, I think the time is now to 'buy low' on the Gaels. They have a chance to get a signature win here against a Colorado State team that is overvalued after a 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS start this season. We saw Colorado State fail to live up to expectations last game, only beating Denver 90-80 as 20.5-pint favorites. They have been through the gauntlet with Creighton, Colorado and Washington in their three games prior. They won't have much left in the tank for St. Mary's, especially since they are missing two of their best players. Colordado State is without Jalen Lake (7.7 PPG) and Josiah Strong (8.5 PPG), who both got injured recently and aren't expected to return until January. The Rams will be short-handed until then, and now is a good time to fade them especially since they are getting a lot of hype with their unbeaten record. Colorado State is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 home games following three or more consecutive overs. The Rams are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after forcing 11 or fewer turnovers in two consecutive games. St. Mary's is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games following an ATS loss. Bet St. Mary's Saturday. |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Arkansas v. Oklahoma -3.5 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma -3.5 Porter Moser is building a juggernaut at Oklahoma like he did at Loyola-Chicago before. The fruits of his labor are paying off this season as the Sooners are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS this season. They have six home wins all by 21 points or more, plus impressive neutral court wins over both Iowa (79-67) and USC (72-70). This won't be a home game but it might as well be played in Tulsa, Oklahoma. They take on an Arkansas team that just hasn't fare well at all away from home. The Razorbacks are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in neutral court games this season. They only beat Stanford by 3 as 6.5-point favorites, were upset by 5 by Memphis and were crushed by 15 by North Carolina. The Razorbacks are getting too much respect for their recent upset home win over Duke. Arkansas is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as a favorite this season. The Razorbacks are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. explosive offensive teams scoring 84 or more points per game. Bet Oklahoma Saturday. |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Indiana +7 v. Auburn | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
15* Indiana/Auburn ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Indiana +7 The Indiana Hoosiers have been impressive this season. They are 7-1 with their only loss coming against defending national champion Connecticut. They have been very impressive in their last three games beating Harvard by 13 as 7-point favorites on a neutral, topping Maryland by 12 as 2-point home favorites and upsetting Michigan 78-75 as 6.5-point road dogs. Auburn is 5-2 this season but none of the five wins were that impressive as they came against overmatched competition. They also lost 69-64 at Appalachian State as a 7.5-point favorite and have been favored all seven games, so they have been overvalued. They lost 88-82 to Baylor on a neutral in the opener. This one will be played on a neutral as well. Auburn is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games away from home following an upset loss as a road favorite. Bruce Pearl is 4-12 ATS after forcing the last opponent to commit 8 or fewer turnovers as the coach of Auburn. Bet Indiana Saturday. |
|||||||
12-09-23 | Grand Canyon +5.5 v. Liberty | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Grand Canyon +5.5 Grand Canyon is one of the best mid-major teams in the country. The Antelopes are 7-1 SU & 5-3 ATS this season. They beat San Diego State and San Francisco already this season. And now they will give Liberty all they can handle. Liberty is 7-2 SU & 6-2 ATS and getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers from what they did against some soft competition. When they stepped up in class they lost 83-58 to Florida Atlantic and didn't look like they belonged at all. They followed that up with a 76-67 upset loss to Charleston. Liberty is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games with a total set of 140 to 149.9 points. Grand Canyon is 31-15 ATS in its last 46 games vs. good offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game. Bryce Drew is 16-7 ATS as an underdog as the coach of the Antelopes. Drew is 9-2 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 12-plus points per game as their head coach. Bet Grand Canyon Saturday. |
|||||||
12-06-23 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +2.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota +2.5 Not much was expected of the Minnesota Golden Gophers coming into this season which has made them an undervalued commodity. The Gophers are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS this season with their three losses coming to Missouri by 2 as 2.5-point dogs, to San Francisco by 18 as 5-point road dogs and to Ohio State by 10 as 13-point road dogs. The Gophers have been particularly tough at home going 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS with their lone loss coming to Missouri by 2 after blowing a 20-point lead in the 2H. Home-court advantage is huge in the Big Ten Conference in particular. Nebraska has played seven of its first eight games at home this season with the lone neutral court game coming against Oregon State. The Huskers are coming off their first loss of the season, a 60-89 blowout home loss to Creighton. Now they hit the road for the first time this season, and they should not be favored over Minnesota. The Huskers have benefited from playing the 355th-ranked schedule out of 362 teams in the entire country. Nebraska is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games after going under the total in its previous game. The Huskers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or lower. Bet Minnesota Wednesday. |
|||||||
12-05-23 | Seton Hall v. Baylor -11 | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Baylor -11 Scott Drew has yet another juggernaut at Baylor. The Bears are 8-0 SU & 6-1 ATS this season as they have been grossly undervalued. They have beaten the likes of Auburn and Florida on a neutral already this season to test themselves, so they will be ready for Seton Hall tonight. Seton Hall is 5-2 SU & 3-4 ATS this season. They failed to cover against St. Peter's and Northeastern in lackluster home wins by 11 and 13 points, respectively. They tested themselves on a neutral against both USC and Iowa and did not fare well. They lost by 8 to USC and by 13 to Iowa. Now this will be their first true road game of the season against the best opponent they have faced by far, and I don't expect it to go well for them. Baylor has 10 days off after this so they should be fully focused. The Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games after three straight games forcing 14 or fewer turnovers. Drew is 19-7 ATS after scoring 85 points or more in two straight games as the coach of Baylor. Bet Baylor Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-05-23 | San Diego State v. Grand Canyon +2.5 | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Grand Canyon +2.5 Grand Canyon is 6-1 this season and one of the best mid-majors in the country. They are ready to take down a team like San Diego State, which came into this season way overvalued after making the championship game of the NCAA Tournament last year. They remain overvalued tonight as road favorites over Grand Canyon. San Diego State is 7-1 SU but 2-5 ATS this season. They are fortunate to have escaped with a bunch of close wins over bad teams. They lost at BYU by 9 in and only beat Cal San Diego by 1 as 13.5-point road favorites in their only two true road games. They also failed to cover in a 12-point win over Long Beach State, a 3-point win over Washington and a 9-point win over California. They only beat Division II Point Loma by 20 at home prior to that 1-point escape at Cal San Diego. Their luck runs out tonight. Brian Dutcher is 2-10 ATS in road games off a close win by 3 points or less as the coach of San Diego State. Bryce Drew is 36-19 ATS in home games off a home win as a head coach. Bet Grand Canyon Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-05-23 | Providence v. Oklahoma -4.5 | 51-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
15* Providence/Oklahoma ESPNU ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma -4.5 Porter Moser is building a juggernaut at Oklahoma like he did at Loyola-Chicago before. The fruits of his labor are paying off this season as the Sooners are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS this season. They have five home wins all by 21 points or more, plus impressive neutral court wins over both Iowa (79-67) and USC (72-70). Providence is 7-1 this season as well but has played five games at home against weak competition. The two neutral court games weren't impressive at all as they lost outright to Kansas State and only beat Georgia by 7. Both those teams aren't very good this season. This will be by far their toughest test yet, and it will be their first true road game as well. Providence is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games after playing five consecutive games as a favorite. Oklahoma is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 8-plus points per game. Bet Oklahoma Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-05-23 | Florida Atlantic -2 v. Illinois | Top | 89-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
20* FAU/Illinois ESPN No-Brainer on Florida Atlantic -2 Florida Atlantic made the Final 4 last year and brought back all 5 starters from that team. You would think this team would have been overvalued given that's the case, but it has been completely opposite. FAU has been exceeding expectations again going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS with impressive wins over Butler, Loyola-Chicago, Texas A&M, VA Tech, Liberty and Charleston. FAU ranks 7th in adjusted offense and 37th in adjusted defense. The Owls have played the 52nd-toughest schedule in the country. And the strength of schedule discrepancy between them and Illinois (345th) is a big reason I'm taking the Owls tonight. Illinois is 6-1 this season but against a weak schedule. They lost their toughest game, a 71-64 home loss to Marquette. They have a road win over Rutgers, which is way down this season. And their five home wins have come against teams that are ranked 145th or worse, including four against teams ranked 274th or worse. FAU is 18-4 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games. The Owls are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games following three consecutive non-conference games. Oddsmakers just can't catch up to how good this team really is, and they failed to do so again tonight. Bet Florida Atlantic Tuesday. |
|||||||
12-04-23 | San Jose State v. North Dakota State -2.5 | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
15* CBB Monday Night BLOWOUT on North Dakota State -2.5 I love the spot for North Dakota State tonight. They want revenge from a 78-65 road loss at San Jose State in their last game on November 27th. They have been thinking about that game for a week and have had the last six days off to rest and prepare to beat the Spartans in the rematch at home this time around. San Jose State doesn't have that same luxury. They have actually played two road games since that home win over North Dakota State. The Spartans lost at Cal Poly outright as 9-point favorites on November 29th, lost by 17 at Montana as 3-point dogs on November 2nd, and now they have just one day to get ready for San Jose State. They will be playing in their 4th different city in 8 days and are running on fumes right now. They won't have much left in the tank for the Bison. North Dakota State has played a road-heavy schedule this season with six of their first eight games away from home. They did beat Montana 78-69 as 8.5-point road dogs, which is the same team that just beat San Jose State by 17. In their two home games they rolled to 27 and 29-point victories. I think they roll again tonight given the revenge factor and the massive rest and preparation advantage. Bet North Dakota State Monday. |
|||||||
12-03-23 | Murray State v. Illinois State -1.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
15* CBB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Illinois State -1.5 It's time to 'sell high' on Murray State off their upset home win over Bradly as 3.5-point dogs. Bradley was looking ahead to their game against Indiana State. Murray State has not been good beating Tennessee Tech by 6 as 12.5-point home favorites, losing to WKU by 5 as 1-point home favorites, losing to App State by 10 as 2.5-point neutral dogs and losing to UNC-Wilmington by 2 as 5.5-point neutral dogs. Now Murray State will finally have to play their first true road game this season. Illinois State has only played two home games this season and won both. They also won a true road game at Illinois Chicago outright by 5 as 5.5-point dogs last time out. That was a very impressive win. They upset Long Beach State by 9 as 6.5-point dogs on a neutral as well. I like what I've seen from this team enough to know they will cover as a short home favorite here. Murray State is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games following an ATS win. The Redbirds are the way better defensive team holding opponent 9.1 points per game below their season averages this year. Murray State only holds opponents to 1.1 points per game below their season averages. Bet Illinois State Sunday. |
|||||||
12-03-23 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh -1.5 | 79-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Clemson/Pittsburgh ACC ANNIHILATOR on Pittsburgh -1.5 The Clemson Tigers are in a massive letdown spot today. They are coming off a 85-77 upset road win as 8-point underdogs at Alabama on November 28th. Now I expect them to fall flat on their faces at Pittsburgh this afternoon. Meanwhile, the Panthers will be highly motivated for a victory after getting upset by Missouri at home as 7-point favorites last time out. So this is also a 'buy low' spot on the Panthers off an upset loss, and a 'sell high' spot on the Tigers off an upset win. Clemson is 7-18 ATS in its lat 25 road games following a road win. Brad Brownell is 2-9 ATS in road games off a road win as the coach of Clemson. Pittsburgh is 29-12 ATS in its last 41 games overall. The Panthers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. Jeff Capel is 18-7 ATS vs. top-level teams that win more than 80% of their games as the coach of Pittsburgh. The Panthers will hand the Tigers their first loss of the season today. Bet Pittsburgh Sunday. |
|||||||
12-02-23 | George Mason v. Toledo -3.5 | 86-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Toledo -3.5 I love the spot for Toledo today. After opening the season with blowout home wins over Detroit 94-60 as 15.5-point favorites and LA-Lafayette 87-78 as 7.5-point favorites, they have been on the road since November 11th against some great teams. Toledo upset Wright State 78-77 as 2.5-point road dogs, then hung with New Mexico in a 92-84 loss, UC-Irvine in a 77-71 loss and Indiana State in a 76-74 loss all on neutral courts. All four of those teams rank in the Top 120 in the country in KenPom, including the last three 76th or higher. It's safe to say Toledo is going to be highly motivated for a victory when they return home for the first time in three weeks. While Toledo has played the 47th-toughest schedule in the country, George Mason has faced the 260th. That's a big reason GMU is 6-1 this season and overvalued now as a result. Five of the seven games came at home against Monmouth (231), Austin Peay (272), Cornell (110), East Carolina (209) and NJIT (352). They only beat South Dakota State (124) by 2 on a neutral and were upset by Charlotte (134) by 5 on a neutral. Not only will this be the first true road game for George Mason, but it will also be the best opponent they have faced yet this season. I don't expect it to go well for them. Toledo is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite or PK and the Rockets have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the country. The Rockets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game. Bet Toledo Saturday. |
|||||||
12-02-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oakland -5 | 98-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Oakland -5 Oakland is a perfect 8-0 ATS in its eight games this season and remains grossly undervalued. You could tell this team was going to be good when they gave two good Big Ten opponents all they could handle in their first two games of the season. The Golden Grizzlies only lost by 6 at Ohio State as 19.5-point dogs and by 11 at Illinois as 24-point dogs. They blasted Bowling Green 81-62 in their lone home game this season as 2.5-point favorites. They only lost by 8 to Drake on a neutral as 9-point dogs, upset Loyola-Marymount by 5 as 6-point dogs, upset Marshall by 7 as 2.5-point dogs. They then upset Xavier as 15-point road dogs and avoided the letdown by crushing Detroit by 15 as 6.5-point road favorites. Now Oakland is back home for only the 2nd time all season. Now they will have no problem getting back motivated to play a conference game against IPFW, who looks like one of their biggest threats to win this conference. However, IPFW's 7-1 start is more fool's gold than anything because they have played such a soft schedule. Indeed, while Oakland has played the 27th toughest schedule int he country, IPFW has played the 333rd-ranked schedule out of 363 teams. That's the reason they were 7-1 more than anything. In their toughest game this season, they lost 76-60 as 13.5-point dogs at San Francisco. I would argue Oakland is the best team they will have played yet this season, and it won't go well for them. Bet Oakland Saturday. |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Texas Tech v. Butler -2.5 | 95-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Butler -2.5 The Butler Bulldogs are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They have gone 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS this season despite facing a very tough schedule. Their two losses came against two of the best teams in the country in Michigan State and Florida Atlantic on the road. They only lost to FAU by 5 as 5.5-point dogs, and FAU has been blasting everyone else. Butler handled Penn State 88-78 as a PK on a neutral and Boise State 70-56 as 1.5-point dogs on a neutral in the two games following those two losses to MSU and FAU. Now they get a Texas Tech team that looks down this season based on results. Texas Tech is 5-1 SU but 2-4 ATS in its six games this season. The Red Raiders only beat Texas A&M Corpus Christi by 9 as 24.5-point home favorites. They lost by 16 to Villanova on a neutral as 3.5-point dogs, and that's a Villanova team that has already been upset twice as double-digit home favorites this season. They only beat a bad Northern Iowa team by 2 as 7-point favorites on a neutral as well. Texas Tech is 1-16 ATS in its last 17 games vs. Big East opponents. Butler is 7-0 ATS in its last seven November home games. Bet Butler Thursday. |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Colorado v. Colorado State -2.5 | 83-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
15* Colorado/Colorado State Rivalry ANNIHILATOR on Colorado State -2.5 Colorado State is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS this season and currently 27th in KenPom as one of the best mid-major teams in the country. All six wins this season have come by 8 points or more, with none being more impressive than their 69-48 win as 9-point dogs on a neutral to Creighton last time out. Normally this would be a letdown spot for the Rams, but that's simply not the case with hated in-state rival Colorado coming to town. The Rams have lost three consecutive meetings with the Buffaloes including a blowout road loss last season. They want revenge, and they will get it tonight. Colorado State has played the much tougher schedule (129th) than Colorado (251st) as well. Colorado is 0-3 ATS in its last three games overall with some concerning results. The Buffaloes only beat Richmond by 5 as 9-point favorites on a neutral, lost outright to Florida State by 6 as 6-point favorites, and failed to cover against a rebuilding Iona team in a 17-point home win as 19-point favorites. Their other three wins all came at home against bad teams in Towson, Grambling and Milwaukee. This will be their first true road game of the season. Colorado is 9-20 ATS in its last 29 non-conference games. The Buffaloes are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games after a win by 10 points or more. Colorado has been one of the worst road teams in the country for several years running. Bet Colorado State Wednesday. |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Bradley -3.5 v. Murray State | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Bradley -3.5 The Bradley Braves are 6-0 SU & 5-0-1 ATS this season despite facing a tough schedule that ranks 149th in the country. They have beaten the likes of Utah State (61st in KenPom), Tulane (99th), Vermont (119th) and UAB (127th). All six wins have come against teams that rank in the Top 166. Murray State is 2-3 SU & 1-3 ATS this season despite facing the 295th-ranked schedule in the country. They lost to Western Kentucky by 5 as 1-point home favorites, UNC Wilmington as 5.5-point dogs on a neutral, by 10 to Appalachian State by 2.5-point dogs on a neutral and only beat Tennessee Tech by 6 as 12.5-point home favorites in their lone win against a Division 1 team. Steve Prohm is one of my favorite head coaches to fade, while Brian Wardle is one of my favorite head coaches to back. Prohm is 0-6 ATS in home games following a non-conference game as the coach of Murray State. Bradley is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 games as a favorite. The Braves are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a bad team that wins 20-40% of their games. This is an absolute mismatch and the Braves should be bigger favorites tonight. Bet Bradley Wednesday. |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Cal-Irvine +6 v. Duquesne | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on UC-Irvine +6 UC-Irvine is 6-1 this season and ranked 63rd in KenPom as one of the better mid-major programs in the country. The Anteaters have been very impressive during their current six-game winning streak where they have also gone 5-0 ATS. They beat USC outright 70-60 as 12.5-point road dogs. They beat Pepperdine by 16 as 5.5-point favorites on a neutral. They beat Toledo by 6 as 1.5-point favorites on a neutral. And they backed it up with a 15-point win over Rice as 8-point favorites on a neutral. Now they are catching 6 points on the road against Duquesne when this line should be much closer to a PK. Duquesne is 4-2 this season with a win over Cleveland State by 1 as 10-point home favorites, an outright home loss to Princeton as 5.5-point favorites, and a 10-point loss at Nebraska as 6-point dogs. Irvine has played the 68th-ranked schedule in the country while Duquesne has played the 207th. Irvine is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 November games. Duquesne is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games after two straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers. Irvine is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. good offensive teams that score 77 or more points per game. The Dukes are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. good shooting teams making 48% or better on the season. Bet UC-Irvine Wednesday. |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 73-95 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
20* Miami/Kentucky ESPN No-Brainer on Miami +7.5 The Miami Hurricanes made the Final 4 last year and brought back three starters from that team. All three are off to good starts with Wooga Poplar averaging a team-high 18.0 points, Norchad Omier averaging 15.8 points and a team-high 9.2 rebounds, and Nijel Pack averaging 16.0 points and 4.0 assists. Bensley Joseph (11.6 PPG, 4.2 APG, 2.4 SPG) has taken over a starting role this season and is a swiss army knife, doing a little bit of everything for this team. Florida State transfer Matthew Cleveland took the place of NBA draft pick Jordan Miller, and he is filling those massive shoes nicely averaging 16.8 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.4 assists. This team is absolutely loaded to say the least. Miami blasted New Jersey Tech 101-60 as 25-point favorites in the opener and then easily handled UCF 88-72 as 9.5-point favorites. They had a letdown against FIU in a non-cover in a 86-80 win, likely looking ahead to the Bahamas Championship Tournament. But they got back to their covering ways, beating Georgia 79-67 as 8-point favorites and topping Kansas State 91-83 as 3-point favorites. Now I expect the Hurricanes to give Kentucky a run for its money tonight. Kentucky lost 89-84 to Kansas as 7-point underdogs on a neutral in its lone game against a decent opponent this season. They failed to cover as massive home favorites against Texas A&M Community College, Stonehill and St. Joseph's while also beating up on bad New Mexico State and Marshall teams. They needed OT to beat St. Joe's as a 15-point home favorite just two games ago. They are missing some key 7-footers inside right now and are all guard-oriented, which makes this a great matchup for Miami, which has some of the best guards in the country plus Omier inside. Kentucky is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game. Miami is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games as a road underdog or PK. The Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% or better. The Hurricanes are a veteran team that relishes these challenges on the road in hostile environments. Bet Miami Tuesday. |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Oakland +15.5 v. Xavier | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
15* CBB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oakland +15.5 What more does Oakland have to do to get some respect from the books? Oakland is 3-3 SU & 6-0 ATS this season against a brutal schedule being listed as underdogs in all six games. They upset Loyola-Marymount 74-69 as 6-point dogs, upset Marshall 78-71 as 2.5-point dogs and crushed Bowling Green 81-62 as 2.5-point favorites. But more impressive than the wins are actually the three losses. Oakland only lost 79-73 at Ohio State as 19.5-point underdogs, lost 53-64 as 24-point dogs at Illinois and lost 85-77 as 9-point dogs on a neutral to Drake. If they can hang with those three teams, they can certainly hang with Xavier. Xavier already has two losses this season to Purdue by 12 and to Washington by 3. Three of the four wins were against bottom feeders in Robert Morris (by 4), Jacksonville and Bryant. And now Xavier has a massive game with No. 6 ranked Houston on deck and could easily be looking ahead to that game and overlooking Oakland. Bet Oakland Monday. |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Monmouth +6 v. Pennsylvania | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Monmouth +6 Monmouth has been undervalued this season at 4-2 SU & 4-1-1 ATS and the Hawks continue to be undervalued here as 6-point underdogs to the Penn Quakers. Monmouth won outright as a 14.5-point dog at West Virginia earlier this season. These teams have two common opponents the last two days, and it's easy to see Monmouth is the better team when looking at this results. Monmouth beat Belmont 93-84 and beat Lafayette 63-53. Penn only beat Lafayette 74-72 and lost outright to Belmont 84-79. But the kicker here is that Penn went to OT against Belmont yesterday and will be the more tired team as a result. Their three best players played 43, 36 and 35 minutes in that OT loss and won't have much left in the tank for Monmouth, which was able to rest its starters late yesterday due to the blowout nature of their game against Lafayette. Nobody played more than 29 minutes for them yesterday. Monmouth is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games after allowing 60 points or less. Penn is 15-30 ATS in its last 45 home games after a loss by 6 points or less. Plays on road teams (Monmouth) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in non-conference games between two teams from mid-major conferences are 22-4 (84.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet Monmouth Sunday. |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Ohio State v. Santa Clara +7.5 | 86-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Santa Clara +7.5 Santa Clara is absolutely legit this season. The Broncos are off to a 6-0 start this season with two upset wins over Pac-12 teams. They won 89-77 at Stanford as 7.5-point dogs and upset Oregon 88-82 as 5.5-point dogs on a neutral yesterday. I fully expect them to give Ohio State a run for their money tonight. Ohio State has been very disappointing thus far. The Buckeyes are 4-1 SU but 1-3-1 ATS this season. They only beat Oakland by 6 as 19.5-point home favorites, lost to Texas A&M by 7 as 1.5-point home favorites, pushed in a 24-point win over Merrimack as 24-point favorites and failed to cover in a 17-point win over Western Michigan as 21.5-point home favorites. That's why their upset win over Alabama as 6.5-point dogs yesterday came out of nowhere. But now the Buckeyes are getting too much respect for that win, and this is now a letdown spot for them. Bet Santa Clara Saturday. |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Illinois-Chicago -1 v. George Washington | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Illinois-Chicago -1 Illinois-Chicago has been very impressive this season. The Flames are 4-1 SU & 4-0 ATS this season. They only lost by 11 at Cincinnati as 15-point dogs, upset Loyola-Chicago 72-67 as 11.5-point road dogs and crushed Middle Tennessee 70-40 as 3.5-point dogs yesterday. They will still be fresh for this game today which gives them a big advantage over George Washington. The Revolutionaries will not be fresh for this one. They just went to double-OT to beat Ohio 99-94 yesterday. Three starters played at least 40 minutes for George Washington yesterday. They won't have much left in the tank for the Flames tonight. Bet Illinois-Chicago Saturday. |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Alabama -6 v. Ohio State | Top | 81-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
20* Alabama/Ohio State Emerald Coast Classic No-Brainer on Alabama -6 Alabama is absolutely loaded this season. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS while scoring at least 98 points in every game thus far. They beat Morehead State 105-73 as 22-point favorites, topped a very good Indiana State team 102-80 as 18-point home favorites,crushed South Alabama 102-46 as 20.5-point favorites and covered in a 98-67 win over Mercer as 30.5-point favorites. They have covered their first four spreads by a combined 50 points and remain undervalued here. Ohio State has been very disappointing thus far and the results lead me to believe they cannot hang with a team the caliber of Alabama. The Buckeyes are 3-1 SU but 0-3-1 ATS this season. They only beat Oakland by 6 as 19.5-point home favorites, lost to Texas A&M by 7 as 1.5-point home favorites, pushed in a 24-point win over Merrimack as 24-point favorites and failed to cover in a 17-point win over Western Michigan as 21.5-point home favorites. Ohio State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after playing two consecutive games as a favorite. Alabama is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 November games. The Crimson Tide are 23-13 ATS in their last 36 games as favorites. Alabama is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. good ball-handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game. Nate Oats is 12-2 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 to 12 points as the coach of the Crimson Tide. Bet Alabama Friday. |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Texas Tech v. Michigan -2 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
15* Texas Tech/Michigan ESPNU ANNIHILATOR on Michigan -2 The Michigan Wolverines have impressed me this season. They have opened 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS with wins over St. John's on the road and Stanford on a neutral yesterday. They also took a very good Memphis team to the wire in a 4-point loss prior to beating Stanford. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are clearly down a couple notches this season. They are 4-1 SU but 1-4 ATS with some concerning results. They only beat Texas A&M Corpus Christi by 9 as 24.5-point home favorites. They lost by 16 to Villanova as 3.5-point dogs. They only beat Northern Iowa by 2 as 7-point favorites yesterday. Michigan needs to be favored by more against this squad. Michigan is 55-33 ATS in its last 88 games as a neutral court favorite or PK. Texas Tech is 46-70 ATS in its last 116 neutral court games. The Red Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games vs. good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4-plus boards per game. Bet Michigan Friday. |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Seton Hall v. USC -4 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
15* Seton Hall/USC FS1 ANNIHILATOR on USC -4 The USC Trojans have one of the best backcourt tandems in the country in Boogie Ellis and Isaiah Collier. Ellis is averaging 21.0 points per game while Collier is averaging 21.0 points per game as well. After beating Kansas State 82-69 as 3-point favorites and then covering against CS-Bakersfield, the Trojans ran into some injuries. Ellis didn't play in their upset loss to UC-Irvine, and Kobe Johnson (15.0 PPG) has missed two games as well. But now both guys are healthy and expected to play in this tournament. There's also a chance the Trojans get the debut of Bronny James, Lebron's son, for this tournament though I'm not expecting it. They don't need him to beat Seton Hall. While USC has tested themselves already against Kansas State and UC-Irvine, Seton Hall is not prepared for this tournament at all. The Pirates have played the 330th-ranked schedule out of 362 teams. So there's not much you can gather from their 4-0 start against St. Peter's, Farleigh Dickinson, Albany and Wagner. This is a massive step up in class for them, and they will fail. USC is 14-3 ATS in road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game. Andy Enfield is 13-4 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or PK as the coach of USC. Bet USC Thursday. |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Michigan State v. Arizona -5 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
20* Michigan State/Arizona FOX No-Brainer on Arizona -5 The Arizona Wildcats are absolutely loaded this season. They are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS despite being favored by 25 points or more four times, they covered all four. They also upset Duke 78-73 as 5-point road underdogs, handing Duke their first loss at Cameron Indoor since current head coach Jon Scheyer took over for Coach K. That gives these teams a common opponent as Michigan State lost 74-65 as 4-point underdogs on a neutral court to Duke. I think that's a telling sign of how this game is going to go for the Spartans. If they couldn't have with Duke on a neutral, they're certainly not going to be able to hang with Arizona. Michigan State was also upset 79-76 as 16.5-point home favorites by James Madison earlier this season. This team has been grossly overvalued since opening as a Top 5 team. They don't have shooting as they are hitting just 26.3% from 3-point range this season. Arizona shoots the 3 at a 41.5% clip to compare. Plays against underdogs (Michigan State) - off a blowout win by 30 points or more against an opponent that has scored 75 points or more in five consecutive games are 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet Arizona Thursday. |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Bradley -4 v. UTEP | 63-59 | Push | 0 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Bradley -4 The Bradley Braves are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this season against a tough schedule. They went on the road and beat UAB 73-71 as 4.5-point dogs, beat Utah State 72-66 as 5.5-point home favorites and topped Tarleton State 86-63 as 10-point home favorites. They also beat Tulane 80-77 as 1-point favorites and controlled the game throughout as it only became close late. UTEP is getting too much respect for its 5-0 start against a much softer schedule. The five wins came against McMurray, U of Oklahoma Science and Arts, UC-Santa Barbara, Austin Pey and Cal. Those last two wins against AP and Cal went to the wire. This will be by far their toughest test of the season to date, while Bradley has already faced three teams that are better than UTEP and beat them all. Bradley is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite. The Braves are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring 80 points or more last game. The Braves are the class of the MVC right alongside Indiana State and Drake. Bet Bradley Wednesday. |
|||||||
11-22-23 | High Point v. Hofstra -5.5 | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Hofstra -5.5 Hofstra is absolutely loaded this season and it's showing up in this tournament. They beat Buffalo 102-68 as 9.5-point favorites and Wright State 85-76 as 2.5-point favorites the past two days. They have one of the best guard tandems in the country in Thomas (22.0 PPG) and Dubar (19.6 PPG). These guards will lead them to another blowout victory over High Point today. High Point has had to work much harder for its two victories the past two days beating a rebuilding Iona team 82-68 and then topping Illinois State 74-72 yesterday. This is a big step up in class for them. Keep in mind this team lost to Wofford and Queens prior to this tournament. Hofstra is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games as a favorite. Hofstra is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. Bet Hofstra Wednesday. |