01-25-21 |
Celtics -5 v. Bulls |
Top |
119-103 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Celtics -5 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-24-21 |
Cavs +6.5 v. Celtics |
Top |
103-141 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Cavs +6½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-23-21 |
76ers v. Pistons +7.5 |
Top |
114-110 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Pistons +7½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-22-21 |
Rockets +3.5 v. Pistons |
Top |
103-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rockets +3½ -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-21-21 |
Lakers v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 |
Top |
113-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers/Bucks under 228½ -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-20-21 |
Pistons +5 v. Hawks |
Top |
115-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Pistons +5 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-19-21 |
Thunder v. Nuggets -9.5 |
Top |
101-119 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Nuggets -9½ -114
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-18-21 |
Bucks v. Nets OVER 237.5 |
Top |
123-125 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bucks/Nets over 237½ -103 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-16-21 |
Magic +9.5 v. Nets |
Top |
115-122 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Magic +9½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-15-21 |
Mavs v. Bucks OVER 227.5 |
Top |
109-112 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Mavs/Bucks over 227½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-14-21 |
Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
109-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rockets/Spurs under 221½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-13-21 |
Bucks v. Pistons OVER 226.5 |
Top |
110-101 |
Loss |
-106 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bucks/Pistons over 226½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-12-21 |
Jazz v. Cavs OVER 205.5 |
Top |
117-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Jazz/Cavs over 205½ -108
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-10-21 |
Bulls v. Clippers UNDER 224 |
Top |
127-130 |
Loss |
-113 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bulls/Clippers under 224 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-09-21 |
Heat -6 v. Wizards |
Top |
128-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat -6 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-08-21 |
Bulls +10 v. Lakers |
Top |
115-117 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bulls +10 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-07-21 |
Wolves +10.5 v. Blazers |
Top |
117-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Wolves +10½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-06-21 |
Rockets v. Pacers OVER 225.5 |
Top |
107-114 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rockets/Pacers over 225½ -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-05-21 |
Bulls v. Blazers UNDER 234.5 |
Top |
111-108 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Bulls/Blazers under 234½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-04-21 |
Thunder v. Heat -8.5 |
Top |
90-118 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat -8½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-03-21 |
Lakers -9.5 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
108-94 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -9½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-02-21 |
Thunder +7.5 v. Magic |
Top |
108-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Thunder +7½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-01-21 |
Grizzlies +4.5 v. Hornets |
Top |
108-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Grizzlies +4½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-31-20 |
Kings v. Rockets OVER 228.5 |
Top |
119-122 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Kings/Rockets over 228½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-30-20 |
Hawks v. Nets OVER 238.5 |
Top |
141-145 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Hawks/Nets over 238½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-29-20 |
Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 216.5 |
Top |
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Knicks/Cavs under 216½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-28-20 |
Rockets +7 v. Nuggets |
Top |
111-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Rockets +7 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-27-20 |
Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 227.5 |
Top |
124-73 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Mavs/Clippers under 227½ -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-26-20 |
Pacers -4.5 v. Bulls |
Top |
125-106 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Pacers -4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-25-20 |
Nets v. Celtics +3 |
Top |
123-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Celtics +3 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-23-20 |
Hawks -2 v. Bulls |
Top |
124-104 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Hawks -2 +100 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-22-20 |
Warriors v. Nets OVER 229.5 |
Top |
99-125 |
Loss |
-104 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Warriors/Nets over 229½ -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-14-20 |
Pelicans v. Heat -3 |
Top |
114-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat -3 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-13-20 |
Wizards v. Nets -6.5 |
Top |
114-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Nets -6½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-12-20 |
Pacers -4.5 v. Cavs |
Top |
104-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Pacers -4½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-11-20 |
Knicks +4 v. Pistons |
Top |
90-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Knicks +4 -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-11-20 |
Lakers -5 v. Heat |
Top |
106-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -5 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-06-20 |
Lakers v. Heat +8 |
Top |
102-96 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +8 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-04-20 |
Lakers v. Heat +9.5 |
Top |
104-115 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +9½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-02-20 |
Heat +10.5 v. Lakers |
Top |
114-124 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +10½ -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-30-20 |
Heat v. Lakers -4.5 |
Top |
98-116 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -4½ -107
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-27-20 |
Celtics -3 v. Heat |
Top |
113-125 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Celtics -3 -102
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-24-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 |
Top |
114-108 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Nuggets +6½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Celtics v. Heat +3 |
Top |
117-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-10-20 |
Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 |
Top |
110-100 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Lakers/Rockets under 219½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-17-20 |
Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 216 |
Top |
125-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Jazz/Nuggets under 216 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-09-20 |
76ers +150 v. Blazers |
Top |
121-124 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on 76ers +150 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-04-20 |
Celtics v. Heat +145 |
Top |
106-112 |
Win
|
145 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Heat +145 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-02-20 |
Wizards v. Nets UNDER 236 |
Top |
110-118 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Wizards/Nets under 236 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-31-20 |
Kings v. Spurs OVER 216 |
Top |
120-129 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Kings/Spurs over 216 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
07-30-20 |
Clippers v. Lakers -4 |
Top |
101-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Lakers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
05-05-20 |
76ers GC -2.5 v. Raptors Uprising GC |
Top |
56-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on 76ers GC -2½ -115
Analysis will be posted shortly
|
02-28-20 |
Kings +4 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
104-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kings +4 -109 I love the value here with Sacramento. The Kings have covered 4 straight out of the All-Star break and clearly are playing with a different sense of urgency than we had seen. I not only like them to cover, but I think they win here outright. Memphis is in a bad spot right now. Just when everyone seemed to catch on with how good rookie Ja Morant was, the Grizzlies suffered two massive injuries to Brandon Clarke and Jaren Jackson Jr. Those two are far from big names, but without them Memphis has looked like a bottom feeder. Grizzlies have gone 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS since the break and each of the last 3 came by double-digits. I also think there's some value here due to Kings point guard De'Aaron Fox showing up as questionable on the injury report. As well as Sacramento playing on no rest after a game last night in OKC. I expect Fox to play. It felt like last night's injury was more made up than anything. Kings are 6-2 ATS this season when playing on no rest. Take Sacramento!
|
02-05-20 |
Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 218 |
Top |
98-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Northwest Div TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Jazz under 218 -109 I love the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Jazz hosting the Nuggets. After losing 4 straight where the defense has not been playing well, I think we are going to get a big time effort from Utah at home in this one. One of the reasons the Jazz's defense was slipping was the team was just worn down. They should be refreshed here playing on a full 3 days of rest. Last time out Utah lost 107-124 at Portland as a 8-point favorite and that's worth noting. UNDER is 26-9 in the Jazz's last 35 off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more. Another big thing here is Denver will be playing this game on no rest, as they had to host the Blazers last night. Look for a Nuggets team that ranks 29th in pace to play even slower than normal on no rest. UNDER is also 31-9 (78%) last 5 seasons in games where you have a team off 2 or more consecutive road losses in a matchup of two good teams that have won between 60% to 75% of their games. Take the UNDER!
|
02-02-20 |
Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 216 |
Top |
123-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Nuggets/Pistons under 216 -110 I really like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just don't see either one of these offenses being in sync with this early start time. The game is tipping off at 12:30 EST, which means it's going to feel like playing at 10:30 am for the Nuggets. This also figures to be a tired Denver team, who just finished up a back-to-back Thursday/Friday at Milwaukee after a game at home against Utah the night before. Detroit could only manage 92 points on 35% shooting at home against the Raptors in their last game and it doesn't figure to be much better for them in this one. UNDER is 15-5 in the Nuggets last 20 games against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Take the UNDER!
|
01-28-20 |
Suns +7.5 v. Mavs |
Top |
133-104 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Western Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Suns +7½ -105 I love the value here with Phoenix catching a big number against the Mavs tonight. This is just a really tough spot for Dallas, who were in action last night at Oklahoma City, which concluded a really tough 3-game road trip that started in Portland and also had them playing at Utah Saturday. They were able to knock off OKC last night 107-97, but caught a big break with Chris Paul not playing and they got a big lookahead game on Thursday at Houston. It's really asking a lot of Dallas to be at their best in this one. Suns can be a dangerous team when they are on and it will definitely help matters that they have been off since Sunday. Phoenix has also been a good bet away from home when getting points. Suns are 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road as an underdog. They are also 8-2 ATS last 10 meetings in the series with a 5-1 ATS mark in their last 6 games at Dallas. Take Phoenix!
|
01-27-20 |
Magic v. Heat -5 |
Top |
92-113 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Southeast Division PLAY OF THE MONTH on Heat -5 -109 Easy play here on Miami laying a short number at home against the Magic. The Heat are dealing with some injuries right now, which is keeping this line a lot lower than it should be. Butler, Dragic and Nunn are all questionable to play. Dragic and Nunn were held out of their last game, a 117-122 loss at home to the Clippers, while Butler hurt his ankle and wasn't able to return. I think there's a good chance Dragic and/or Nunn return for this one, but even if they don't it's hard to not like Miami in this one. That's because the Heat are a ridiculous 20-2 at home this season and to only lose by 5 without all those guys against the Clippers says a lot about the depth of this team. Miami hasn't played since Friday and are 9-1 this season on 2 days of rest. Magic are also in a really tough spot. Orlando had to play an emotional game yesterday at home against the Clippers after the news of Kobe Bryants death. This team has gone just 1-6 on no rest this season and there's an added challenge here with how tough it was to play yesterday's game given the horrific news. Take Miami!
|
01-26-20 |
Raptors v. Spurs UNDER 223 |
Top |
110-106 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raptors/Spurs under 223 -109 Love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's afternoon showdown between the Spurs and Raptors. I just think both of these teams are going to be looking to slow things down a bit. Toronto is playing their second straight on the road and 4th away from home in their last 5 overall. It's also the Raptors 6th game in the last 10 days. Spurs will be playing their second straight at home, but prior to that were on the road for 6 of 8 games and they are also on little rest with this being their 5th game in 8 days. You also have two teams that have been playing well and I think both will bring the defensive intensity in this one. There's just also something about playing on Sunday. UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Raptors last 4 on Sunday and 6-1 in the Spurs last 7. These two teams also played recently, as the just faced off in Toronto on Jan. 12th. That game only saw a combined score of 209. Spurs really did a good job of slowing the game down and making the Raptors play at their pace, something they should be able to do even more at home. Take the UNDER!
|
01-20-20 |
Lakers v. Celtics +2.5 |
Top |
107-139 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics +2½ -110 I love this spot and price with Boston as a home dog against the Lakers. Celtics do have both Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown listed as questionable, but I think there's a good shot both guys could play here. Walker missed Boston's last game with a sore knee, but played 38 minutes and scored 40 points against the Bucks on Thursday (didn't leave the game). Brown has missed the last two with a sprained thumb. Lakers also have a big name on the injury report, as Anthony Davis is also questionable. I think it's less likely Davis goes, as he's missed the last 5 (listed as questionable for all 5). Davis was not part of team workouts yesterday, so it's hard seeing them just throwing him out there for this game. This is also a huge game for Boston, not only because it's against Lebron and the Lakers, but they are desperate for a win after losing their last 3. Hard to bet against them as a home dog. Celtics are 16-5 at home, 41-25 ATS last 3 seasons as a dog and 12-3 ATS last 15 as a home dog. Take Boston!
|
01-12-20 |
Spurs v. Raptors -3 |
Top |
105-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Vegas No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Raptors -3 -110 Love the value here with the Raptors laying a small number at home against the Spurs. While Toronto likely won't get back Siakam and Gasol until later this week, they will be welcoming back Powell to the mix. Regardless of who has been in and out of the lineup, Raptors continue to play at a very high level, especially on the defensive end. Spurs simply can't be trusted on the road with how little defense they play. San Antonio just lost at Memphis and gave up 134 in the process. Spurs are now a mere 5-12 on the road this season, giving up 117 ppg. San Antonio is also just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 after giving up 125 or more in their previous game, while Raptors are 16-7 ATS last 23 vs a team with a losing record and 5-1 ATS last 6 off a game where they failed to cover. Take Toronto!
|
01-06-20 |
Jazz v. Pelicans +3.5 |
Top |
128-126 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Pelicans +3½ -115 I love the value here with New Orleans getting points at home against the Jazz. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Pelicans, who are as healthy as they have been all season and playing their best stretch of basketball this year. New Orleans is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The only loss coming by 10-points at the Lakers. I get Utah is also playing some of their best basketball. Jazz have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11, but this is not a good spot. Utah is playing their 3rd and final game of a 3-game road trip and have already secured a winning trip with wins at Chicago and Orlando. The other thing to note with the Jazz and their recent run is the majority of these wins have come against bad teams. In fact, only one of the 10 wins in their 10-1 run have come against a team that has a winning record. Take New Orleans!
|
12-31-19 |
Clippers v. Kings +7 |
Top |
105-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kings +7 -105 I love the value here with Sacramento as a big home dog against the Clippers. Kings are going to get up for this one against what many consider to be one of the favorites to win it all. Sacramento is also trying desperately to put an end to their losing streak which is up to 7 games now. Thing is the Kings have been so close in a number of these games during their skid. In fact, 5 have been decided by single-digits, including each of the last 4. Clippers are off a ugly 13-point loss at home to Utah and are just 3-4 in their last 7 games. I think this will be a tough spot for LA to get up with it being New Year's Eve and them returning home after this game for 4 in a row. Clippers also won't have the services of Beverley and he's a guy that really ignites the energy of this team. Kings are 18-8 ATS last 26 after a loss by 6 or more, 12-4 ATS last 16 off a cover and 9-1 ATS last 10 when off a road loss where they covered as a dog. Take Sacramento!
|
12-30-19 |
Pistons v. Jazz -9 |
Top |
81-104 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* NBA -Sharp Money PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jazz -9 -110 This is an easy play here on the Jazz, who should have no problem winning by double-digits at home against a depleted Pistons team. Detroit has 4 key contributors who won't suit up for this game in Blake Griffin, Reggie Jackson, Markieff Morris and Luke Kennard. It would have been hard enough for the Pistons to keep this close if they were full strength. They had the services of Griffin in their last game at San Antonio, but still managed to lose that game 136-109. Detroit's only win in their last 7 games is against a bad Wizards team at home. All 6 losses have been by 11 or more points. Utah is also coming in playing some of their best basketball. Jazz have won 7 of their last 8, including a 120-107 win at the Clippers last time out as a 7-point dog. Take Utah!
|
12-27-19 |
76ers -2.5 v. Magic |
Top |
97-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Vegas No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on 76ers -2½ -110 I think the books have made a huge mistake here with the 76ers basically at a pick'em on the road against the Magic. I get Philadelphia has had their struggles on the road and are coming off a massive win over the Bucks on Christmas Day, but I just don't see them having much trouble with Orlando. It would be one thing if the Magic were playing well, but they are just 2-6 over their last 8 games and only covered twice in their last 7 games. Not to mention Orlando is a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games in the month of December and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games as an underdog. Another key thing here is revenge. Magic embarrassed the 76ers 112-97 at home back in November. That actually sets up a very profitable system on Philadelphia. Favorites revenging a road loss of 10 or more and off a home win by 10 or more are 62-28 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Philadelphia!
|
12-25-19 |
Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 |
Top |
109-121 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Christmas Day GAME OF THE YEAR on 76ers +3½ -105 I absolutely love the value here with Philadelphia as a home dog against the Bucks. As difficult as it may be to bet against Milwaukee right now, I just think the price is too good with the 76ers as a home dog. I really think Philadelphia is going to win this game. The 76ers definitely have the talent to go toe to toe with the Bucks, but more importantly they have the size to give Milwaukee trouble. Not to mention the 76ers have one of the league's best home court advantages. Philadelphia is 15-2 SU at home, where they are outscoring teams by 9.7 ppg. 76ers are 26-9 ATS last 35 at home against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home dog. Bucks on the other hand are just 3-7 ATS last 10 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Philadelphia!
|
12-20-19 |
Pistons v. Celtics -7 |
Top |
93-114 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics -7 -110 I got no problem laying the points with Boston at home against the Pistons. Celtics should have no problem winning here by double-digits against a struggling Detroit team that will not only be without Blake Griffin, but also Luke Kennard and Christian Wood. Boston won't have Gordon Hayward but at this point they are accustomed to not having him. They also don't need him to put away this Pistons team. Celtics are also well rested playing just their 2nd game in the last 7 days and coming off a big momentum building win at Dallas where they rallied in the 2nd half for a 109-103 win. Pistons have gone 3-14-1 ATS last 18 vs a team with a winning record, 1-7-1 ATS last 9 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games (Celtics are 10-1 at home) and 3-8 ATS last 11 off a double-digit loss at home. Take Boston!
|
12-19-19 |
Nets v. Spurs -2.5 |
Top |
105-118 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK on Spurs -2½ -106 I absolutely love the value here with the Spurs at basically a pick'em at home against the Nets. This hasn't been anywhere close to the kind of start to the season that most expected for San Antonio and their latest 107-109 loss to Houston, where they blew a 25-point lead, speaks to the season they are having. With that said, I do feel like there's some positives with building up a 25-point lead on the road against the Rockets. It could be a sign of them turning the corner. Had they won that would have been 4 out of their last 5. With a full 2 days off before this game I think we get a big effort here from the Spurs. As for the Nets, they continue to play well without Kyrie, but a lot of that success has come against bad teams. This is also not an ideal scheduling spot playing on the road for the 3rd time in the last 6 days. Spurs are 15-5 ATS last 20 games at home in the month of December and 21-9 ATS last 30 at home with a line of +3 to -3. Take San Antonio!
|
12-18-19 |
Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs |
Top |
109-103 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Celtics -1½ -109 I absolutely love the Celtics here at basically a pick'em at Dallas. The Mavs shocked just about everyone in their last game, as they snapped the Bucks 18-game winning streak in Milwaukee without one of the best players in the league in Luka Doncic. Dallas won the game 120-116 as a 10-point dog. Not to take anything away from that win, but you have to think some of that was Milwaukee not giving the Mavs the respect they deserved. They had to think they could just coast and beat Dallas without Doncic. On the flip side the Mavs were highly motivated to show they can win without their star. Boston isn't going to make the same mistake here. In fact, the Celtics should be 100% locked in after losing their last two and being fully rested after having the last 5 days off. Boston is 8-2 ATS last 10 times they have played on 4 or more days of rest and are 11-2 ATS on the season vs a team with a winning record. Take Boston!
|
12-13-19 |
Bucks v. Grizzlies +10.5 |
Top |
127-114 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Grizzlies +10½ -109 I love the value here with Memphis as a double-digit home dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee has won 16 straight and are fresh off a 15-point win over the Pelicans without Antetokounmpo and he's questionable to play here. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Bucks gave him another night off, especially against a sub-par team like Memphis. The Grizzlies have won two straight since star rookie Ja Morant returned from a 4-game absence and this team is more than capable of keeping this close with him on the floor. I also think this is a tricky spot for Milwaukee. They just played 3 straight at home and will return home for 3 more after this contest. Real easy for them to just kind of take this game off and go through the motions. Bucks are a mere 7-24 ATS in their last 31 off 3 or more consecutive home wins and just 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. Grizzlies are returning home after 4-straight on the road. Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS last 11 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days. Take Memphis!
|
12-05-19 |
Rockets v. Raptors -2 |
Top |
119-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Raptors -2 -109 The Raptors are worth a look here as I think we are getting some exceptional value with Toronto laying a short number at home against the Rockets. Toronto comes into this off a crushing OT loss at home to Miami and they are 7-1 ATS last 8 times off a loss by more than 10 points. As for the Rockets, they will have had just 1-day off since their double-overtime loss at San Antonio on Tuesday. Five different players for Houston logged at least 40 minutes with Westbrook, Harden and Tucker all playing 48+. I just don't see the Rockets have a whole lot left in the tank in this one. That game against the Spurs ended 235-233 and that's worth noting, as Houston is a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a contest that had 245 or more combined points. Also, underdogs that have won 60% to 70% of their games and are off a game that went over the total by 30 or more are just 5-26 (16%) ATS if they are playing a team with a winning record. Take Toronto!
|
11-22-19 |
Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 228 |
Top |
119-122 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets/Clippers under 228 -109 This number doesn't make any sense to me. I just don't see these two teams coming close to 230 points. Houston is a tired team. They will be playing their 5th game in 7 days. Playing their 4th game in 6 days they managed just 95 points and shot just 42% from the field on Wednesday at Denver. Now they face a Clippers team that I believe can be the best in the league when they want to be on the defensive side of the ball. I fully expect a max effort on that side of the ball from LA at home against Harden and Westbrook. They definitely got the guys to slow those two down. Houston's offense gets a lot of praise, but they better defensively than they get credit for. Clippers offense only scored 90 on 40% shooting against the Thunder on Monday and then had 107 (in OT) on 42% shooting against the Celtics. UNDER is 16-4 in the Rockets last 20 road games as a dog of 6 or less and 19-5 in their last 24 on the road after going under in their previous game. Take the UNDER!
|
11-21-19 |
Pelicans v. Suns -3.5 |
Top |
124-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - TNT PRIME TIME PLAY OF THE MONTH on Suns -3½ -110 Love the value here with Phoenix as a small home favorite against the Pelicans. I get New Orleans has won two straight, but let's not get carried away. Those two wins were both at home against a couple of struggling teams in the Warriors and Blazers. New Orleans is still just 5-9 overall and are 1-5 on the road, where they are giving up a ridiculous 120.8 ppg. Phoenix has lost 3 of 4 and will be without their two big free agent pickups in Ricky Rubio and Aron Baynes, but they still got more than enough talent to beat the Pelicans by 4 at home. Keep in mind that two of their 3 losses in their last 4 were home games against two of the best teams in the league in the Lakers and Celtics. The other a mere 4-point loss against a red-hot Sacramento team. Take Phoenix!
|
11-17-19 |
76ers v. Cavs +7 |
Top |
114-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cavs +7 -105 Love the value here with the Cavs as a big home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is just 2-5 SU in their last 7 and have failed to cover 4 straight. 76ers are not a good road team and are playing their 3rd straight away from home. Cavs might be one of the least talented teams in the league, but they are playing hard under first year head coach John Beilein. This team has been routinely undervalued by the books and that's evident by Cleveland's 6-3-2 ATS record. 76ers are 1-9 ATS last 10 on the road against a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Cavs are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home and 5-1 ATS last 6 on 2 days of rest. Take Cleveland!
|
11-15-19 |
Pistons -3 v. Hornets |
Top |
106-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Pistons -3 -109 I think we are getting a great price with Detroit as a slim road favorite against the Hornets. Charlotte is off to a better start than most expected with 4 wins in their first 11 games, which puts them on pace to eclipse their win total of 23.5. I'm not buying into the early success and believe this team is going to struggle to find wins going forward. We've seen clear signs of this of late, as they have lost 4 straight, which includes a couple of home losses to bad teams in the Pelicans and Grizzlies. Pistons are just 4-8 to start the year, but did play a good chunk of their early schedule without Blake Griffin. While they enter having lost 3 straight, all 3 were by single-digits and two of those on the road. I expect a big effort here from Detroit on Friday and they are simply the better team and it's just not asking much for them to cover the small number. Pistons are 22-10 ATS last 32 when playing a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Detroit!
|
11-07-19 |
Blazers v. Clippers OVER 228 |
Top |
101-107 |
Loss |
-109 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Clippers over 228 -109 I look for the Blazers and Clippers to fly past the total when the two face off in LA tonight. These are two of the most efficient offenses in the league right now. Clippers are No. 3 in offensive efficiency and the Blazers are just two spots back at No. 5. On top of that, both of these teams rank in the top half of the league in pace of play and the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. I do think the Clippers can be a top tier defensive team if they choose, but I don't see them having the energy on that side tonight playing in the second game of a back-to-back. OVER is 30-18 in the Clippers last 48 home games and 11-2 in their last 13 at home if they are playing their 3rd straight at home. Take the OVER!
|
11-01-19 |
Spurs -6.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
127-110 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Late Night PLAY OF THE MONTH on Spurs -6½ -108 I'm not sure how you pass up on the Spurs in this spot. I know San Antonio is playing on no rest after a hard fought loss against the Clippers last night, but the Warriors have looked awful to start the season and now must play without Steph Curry. Golden State really doesn't have a guy they can go to at the point to fill the void left by Curry. Not to mention they were already lacking scoring outside of the former league MVP. Add in the awful defense they have played and I don't care who the Spurs send out there they should win here by double-digits no problem. Warriors just 12-30-1 ATS last 43 at home. Spurs have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and the favorite has covered 11 of the last 15 in the series. Take San Antonio!
|
10-29-19 |
Hawks v. Heat -8 |
Top |
97-112 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Hawks/Heat Southeast GAME OF THE MONTH on Heat -8 -105 This line is begging you to take the Hawks and the public is taking the bait. I just don't think we are going to get the kind of effort needed from Atlanta to keep this close. Hawks are off a gut-wrenching 105-103 loss at home to the 76ers last night. A game the Hawks led by 9 after the 1st quarter and still had the lead going into the 4th quarter. Another factor here is the schedule makes this one a little less enticing for the Hawks, as they will turn around and host Miami on Thursday. As for the Heat, they are off to an impressive 2-1 start that includes a 5-point win at Milwaukee. They did that without their prized new addition of Jimmy Butler, who will make his debut tonight. Heat's only home game was the season opener and they won by 19 over Memphis. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more in 2 straight are 95-51 (65%) ATS since 1996 when facing an opponent off a loss by 3 or fewer points. Take Miami!
|
10-28-19 |
Magic +4.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
95-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Magic +4½ -105 Most are going to be tempted to take the Raptors here laying what looks like a short number at home against the Magic, who have failed to cover each of their first two games. I like Orlando quite a bit at this price. What people are going to overlook with Toronto is them playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, all 3 at different venues. This is only the second game in the last 5 days for Orlando. Magic simply haven't shot the ball well in their first two games and are due for a few more shots to fall. Hard to see Toronto's defense being at it's best playing 3 in 4. Road dogs who had a losing record the previous year and off a road loss are 37-12 ATS (76%) ATS last 5 seasons. Take Orlando!
|
10-27-19 |
Blazers v. Mavs -2 |
Top |
121-119 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Mavs -2 -109 The Mavs are definitely worth a look here as a slim home favorite against the Blazers. I think Dallas is even better than anticipated and the Mavs have started out 2-0. Portland on the other hand is a team that came into this season way overvalued after last year's trip to the Western Conference Finals. Portland won last time out at Sacramento, but that's not saying much given how bad the Kings have looked to start the season. I just don't think this will be a very profitable team on the road, especially early on, as it will take some time for the books to adjust to how much worse off this year's team is. Mavs are 6-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a winning road record and the Blazers are a mere 2-8 ATS last 10 times they have played the Mavs on the road. Take Dallas!
|
10-26-19 |
Pelicans +11 v. Rockets |
Top |
123-126 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Southwest Division PLAY OF THE MONTH on Pelicans +11 -110 I absolutely love the value here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog against the Rockets. I think with the Pelicans off a hard fought loss last night, most will be looking to fade them in the second of a back-to-back against a Houston team looking to rebound from a loss to the Bucks in their season opener. I just think there's enough talent with New Orleans, even without Zion, to keep this within single digits. Big thing here on no rest is the Pelicans are a very deep team. They had 10 guys play at least 14 minutes last night with no one playing more than 33. Houston has a lot of star-power, especially with the 1-2 punch of Westbrook and Harden. It has a chance to be special, but it's going to take some time for the chemistry to form. Thus making the Rockets a team to fade early on, especially when they are big favorites like this. Take New Orleans!
|
10-25-19 |
Blazers v. Kings OVER 225 |
Top |
122-112 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Kings over 225 -110 I look for the Blazers and Kings to fly past the total tonight. Sacramento let the Suns of all teams shoot 50% from the field in their season opener. That says a lot about this team and the effort they will be giving on the defensive side of the ball. The offense did manage just 95 points on 39% shooting, but I would expect a much better showing from the offense at home. Blazers also due for a much better shooting night after connecting on just 41% against a really good Denver team. OVER is 18-7-1 last 26 Blazers games after they failed to cover the spread and 8-1-1 in their last 10 vs a team with losing record at or below 40%. Take the OVER!
|
10-23-19 |
Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 218 |
Top |
108-100 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Blazers under 218 -109 You will hear a lot about the offensive playmakers on both sides of the ball in this game, but I think we are going to see the two defenses shine. This season opener means a little more, especially to the Nuggets, as the Blazers knocked them out of the playoffs last year. I also think Portland is still a team playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just continue to not get the respect they feel they deserve. This team just went to the Western Conference Finals and yet no one is picking them as a title contender. I expect as close to a playoff-like atmosphere as you can expect this early in the season. I also think we are getting a few points of value here with the books inflating the total in a nationally televised game. Take the UNDER!
|
10-22-19 |
Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 |
Top |
102-112 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Clippers under 226½ -110 I think the books have completely missed the mark with the total in tonight's highly anticipated season opener between the Clippers and Lakers. I think we are seeing a high number because the Lakers brought in AD and the Clippers added Kawhi and George. However, George is not ready to play and Lakers will be without Kuzma. You got two of the very best defensive players on the same team in Leonard and Patrick Peverley. Lakers got LeBron and AD and a bunch of guys that can play defense in Rondo, Howard, Bradley Green, etc. I'm expecting playoff like intensity from both teams in this game and a bit of a slower pace. Total should be closer to 215 than 225. Take the UNDER!
|
06-13-19 |
Raptors +3.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
114-110 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Finals - Game 6 NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors +3½ -109 I cashed in on the Warriors as a dog in Game 5 at Toronto. A big reason for that is, I just just didn't think the Raptors would be able to match the fight of Golden State and the return of Durant. Warriors had their way early with Durant in the lineup, but the offensive woes returned after he left. After putting up 62 points in the first half, Golden State managed just 44 in the second half. Warriors made a ridiculous 20 3-pointers in Game 5 and yet they still needed a ridiculous comeback in the final couple minutes to squeak out a 106-105 win. That's a massive concern, as it's unlikely Golden State shoots that well again. The Raptors already won twice at Oracle in the series and their intensity will be up a notch in this one. I don't see this thing extending to a Game 7. Take Toronto!
|
06-10-19 |
Warriors +4 v. Raptors |
Top |
106-105 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Finals - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Warriors +4 -115 As difficult as it may be to back Golden State after just watching them lose two straight at home, I don't the series ends tonight. With or without Durant. However, I do think we are finally going to see Durant and just having him on the floor changes the game. If he plays, it's going to be a heck of lot harder on the Raptors defense, as they can't just focus all their attention to Curry and Thompson. The biggest thing I like here is that we got a defending champ with their backs against the wall. Golden State definitely has more to offer. This is also a sticky spot for the team up 3-1. It's not easy to match the intensity of the team facing elimination when you know in the back of your mind that a loss isn't the end of the world. Take Golden State!
|
06-07-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors -5 |
Top |
105-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
29 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Finals - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Warriors -5 -105 While I definitely would prefer Klay Thompson play, I want to point out that I love Golden State to win and cover in Game 4 regardless if he's on the floor. As of right now he's listed as probable, while Durant is listed as out, so you have to assume he's playing. Either way the effort simply wasn't there on the defensive end of the floor in Game 3 and there's no doubt that's been the focal point in the lockerroom leading up to this game. Golden State might be the defending champs, but they know they are all but done for if they lose this game. I think a better effort defensively and Toronto not shooting it as well from deep as they did in Game 3 will get the job done. The Warriors have the fire-power with Curry to score enough to not just win but win going away. Take Golden State!
|
06-05-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 |
Top |
123-109 |
Loss |
-109 |
56 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Finals - Game 3 NO LIMIT Top Play on Warriors -5½ -109 Even if Durant and Thompson don't play for Golden State, I'm all over the Warriors to win and cover at home in Game 3. Toronto had their chance to go up 2-0 but couldn't get it done and it's always the toughest bouncing back from a loss in a game that you felt like you should have won. Either way, I just don't see Golden State losing in this spot. The Warriors needed to win Game 2 and did just that. I think Game 3 is even that much more important. This is where the home-court shift will lead to a more lopsided outcome for the Warriors, as they should get a lot more out of their role players. Take Golden State!
|
06-02-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors -1.5 |
Top |
109-104 |
Loss |
-109 |
60 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Finals - Postseason GAME OF THE YEAR on Raptors -1½ -109 I love the Raptors as a small home favorite in Game 2. We cashed in an easy winner on Toronto in Game 1 and with Kevin Durant not suiting up for Golden State in Game 2, I see no reason why we should expect anything different. Toronto's home court edge is underrated and like I said in the write-up for Game 1, I just think this is a really tough matchup for the Warriors without Durant. They got 55 points from Curry and Thompson in Game 1 and it wasn't nearly enough. Toronto also won going away with a pretty average game from Kawhi. Raptors depth is also huge in this series, especially with Iguodala likely playing at less than 100%. Take Toronto!
|
05-30-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors +1 |
Top |
109-118 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* NBA - Warriors/Raptors Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors +1 -115 I really like Toronto to take Game 1 of the NBA Finals at home against the defending champs. Without Durant I think the Raptors matchup extremely well with Golden State. Marc Gasol has the ability to hang with Draymond, while Leonard and Lowry can slow down Curry and Thompson. I know Klay is a great defender, but I just feel like Kawhi is on a different level and without Durant the Warriors really don't have a great answer for him. Add in the home court edge in Toronto and the depth edge that the Raptors have and I think they should be a bigger favorite here. Let's also not forget that Toronto won both of the regular-season meetings with the Warriors, including a 20-point win as a 8-point dog at Golden State. Raptors are 21-8 ATS last 29 at home after winning 4 of their last 5 and 34-16-2 in their last 52 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Toronto!
|
05-25-19 |
Bucks v. Raptors -2 |
Top |
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
36 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Bucks/Raptors NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE MONTH on Raptors -2 -110 My money is on the Raptors to make it 4 straight wins to close out the series with Milwaukee and move on to the NBA Finals. As good as Antetokounmpo is, you could argue that Toronto's Kawhi Leonard has been the best player on the floor in this series, especially of late. More than anything, I think Leonard's got the much better supporting cast. Bucks just aren't getting production from their bench and a lot of that has to do with the great defense of Toronto. I just think with all the momentum the Raptors have, playing at home will be more than enough to propel them to victory in this one. Take Toronto!
|
05-23-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 217.5 |
Top |
105-99 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bucks under 217½ -110 While each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER the total, I absolutely love the UNDER in Game 5 on Thursday. With the series tied 2-2, this feels like a must-win for both team, so we can expect a max effort here from both sides. With both teams giving all they got on the defensive side of the ball, I think we are poised to get our lowest scoring game of the series. Keep in mind that neither team even got to 100 points in regulation of Game 3 and there were just 208 scored in Game 1. UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Raptors last 10 on the road and 13 of the Bucks last 19 off a loss. Take the UNDER!
|
05-16-19 |
Blazers +8 v. Warriors |
Top |
111-114 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Western Conf Finals GAME OF THE MONTH on Blazers +8 -110 Really like the value here with Portland as a near double-digit dog in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals. I wasn't surprised to see the Blazers struggle in Game 1. In fact, I had a strong play on Golden State in that one. I just thought it was asking a lot for Portland to play well in that spot. It's hard enough playing on the road in the postseason at Golden State. It's that much harder when coming off a Game 7, especially when that Game 7 was played in altitude. While it's only been one day between games, I think we see a very different Blazers team tonight. The other huge key here is that Durant is not expected to play. I get that Curry and Thompson were great in Game 1, but it will be tough for the two to combine for another 62 points and 12 made 3-pointers. Not saying the Blazers will win, but I expect this to be a dog fight the whole way. Take Portland!
|
05-15-19 |
Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks |
Top |
100-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Bucks/Raptors Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Raptors +6½ -110 I really like the value here with Toronto as a pretty decent road dog in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Bucks. I know the Raptors just played Game 7 against the 76ers on Sunday, but two days is more than enough to recover. I actually think the Bucks are the team that is going to be most affected by rest. Milwaukee only needed 5 games to put away the Celtics in the second round and thus haven't played in a week. I think no game action for that long really makes it tough on a team to come out sharp. I look for the Raptors to take control early and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they went on to win the game. Take Toronto!
|
05-14-19 |
Blazers v. Warriors -7 |
Top |
94-116 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Warriors -7 -110
Analysis will be posted shortly
|
05-12-19 |
76ers v. Raptors OVER 207.5 |
Top |
90-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
56 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on 76ers/Raptors over 207½ -109 I know that the defensive effort will be there for both teams in Game 7, but I just can't pass up on the value here with the OVER at this price. While both teams have flashed great defense in the postseason, especially the Raptors, I just think there's too much offensive fire-power on the floor for these two to not reach at least 210 points. Each of the last 2 games have went OVER the total and both of those were blowouts. I think this one is going to be a lot closer and even more high-scoring than the last two. OVER is 17-6 in the 76ers last 23 road games with a total set between 200 and 209.5. Over is also 34-19 in the Raptors last 53 when revenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. Take the OVER!
|
05-10-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets -6 |
Top |
118-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
35 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Playoffs - Warriors/Rockets Game 6 VEGAS INSIDER on Rockets -6 -110 I'll back Houston in a must-win at home against the Warriors in Game 6. With Golden State up 3-2 in the series, it's win or season over for the Rockets. In a change of events from last year, the Warriors will be the ones trying to close out a series without one of their best players. Last year the Rockets had a 3-2 series lead before losing Chris Paul to an injury. Warriors won Game 6 at home 115-86 and followed that up with a win at Houston in Game 7. Rockets will look to take a similar path, as Golden State will be without Kevin Durant. I get the Warriors still have Curry, Thompson and Green, but Houston now without a doubt has the best player on the floor in Harden and in my opinion are the better defensive team. I think the Rockets roll here. Take Houston!
|
05-09-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers +2 |
Top |
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on 76ers +2 -110
Analysis will be posted shortly
|
05-04-19 |
Warriors +4 v. Rockets |
Top |
121-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Wiseguy Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Warriors + A lot of people will be quick to lay the short number with Houston at home in Game 3, as everyone sees this as a must-win for the Rockets, who are down 0-2 in the series. No denying how big a game this is for Houston, but I believe the Warriors will also be out to send a message. Last thing Golden State wants to do is give Houston life and I think they come out extremely motivated to go up 3-0. While the Rockets more than held their own on the road in Games 1 & 2, they continued to struggle from the field. Houston hasn't eclipsed 110 points in 5 straight and have shut under 45% from the field in 4 of their last 5. Warriors are 15-5 ATS last 2 seasons in the 2nd half of the year vs a team with a winning record and have covered 7 of their last 8 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Rockets are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 when playing on 3 days of rest. Take Golden State!
|
05-03-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 |
Top |
123-116 |
Loss |
-109 |
14 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks UNDER No need to overthink this one. Big time value here with the UNDER at this number. While Game 2 went OVER the mark, it do so just barely and was a bit of a fluke given how poorly both teams shot overall. Despite scoring 123 points, the Bucks only shot 43.8% from the field. Boston was even worse at 39.5%. The only reason the game went over is the Bucks made 20 3-pointers and the two combined to go 49 for 58 (84%) from the free throw line. These two only combined for 202 points in Game 1 and I still think we have yet to see a true defensive game between these two. I think the Celtics defense is really going to benefit from playing at home, and Milwaukee is going to be extremely motivated to take back homecourt in the series. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to break 100 points. Take the UNDER!
|
05-02-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 215 |
Top |
95-116 |
Win
|
100 |
56 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors UNDER I just don't know how you don't play the UNDER at this number given what we have seen in the first two games of the series. Game 1 had a total of 223 and it ended up with a combined score of 203. They lowered the total down to 219.5 for Game and it still wasn't close. This time they only managed 183 points. I don't see any reason to expect anything but another low-scoring game. Toronto has yet to allow an opponent to shoot better than 42% from the field in any game this postsesaon. They have held the 76ers under 40% in both games. They have also not allowed more than 96 points in any game since Game 1 of the first round against Orlando. You also have to factor in that Embiid is not 100% and when he's not right the 76ers offense can really struggle to score in the halfcourt. I think Philly understands that for them to win this series they have to play with same defensive intensity that they brought to the table in Game 2. Take the UNDER!
|