Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-06-24 | Alabama +12 v. Connecticut | Top | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 14 m | Show |
Alabama vs UCONN 8:49 ET | State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona 10-Unit bet on Alabama +12 points. The line for this game is going to climb to at least 12 points and if a UCONN betting frenzy takes place, the line has the potential to move to 13.5 or more points. My experience and intuition tell me to be patient when placing this bet and look for a higher number than I received when loading up this bet. LIVE Betting Strategy With the total at 160.5 points, which is the highest in any Final Four or Championship game since at least 2006 and the first to reach 160 points, scoring volatility is going to be extreme. UCONN went on a 30-0 scoring stretch in their region championship win over Illinois. I do not expect anything like that extreme condition to take place in this game, but my expectation is for several scoring runs of 8 to 12 points by both UCONN and Alabama. If that occurs, then take advantage of the opportunities those scoring runs present. Consider betting 50% preflop and then add 25% more following a UCONN scoring run of 8 or more points using the timeout or a stoppage of play due to a foul called or TV timeout to add 25% more on Alabama during the first half of. action. You may get pricing that is less than the closing line or the line you booked preflop. Do not hesitate booking these two bets if the price is below your preflop number because that implies that Alabama has done quite well even after the 8+ point run by UCONN. This implies two scoring runs of 8 or more points by UCONN, which is reasonable to expect. If we get into under 10 minutes left in the first half, then look to get 25% placed on Alabama at a price of 17.5 points and 25% more at 19.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has gone 10-4 SU and 10-3-1 ATS good for 77% winning bets since 2006. The requirements needed to produce the betting opportunity are as follows: · Game takes place in the Final Four and Championship game. · Any team that has made 76% or more of their free throws for the season. If the foe has made 75% or fewer of their free throws on the season, has seen the team that has made 76% or more of their free throws produce a 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS record good for 82% winning bets. |
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04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall OVER 145 | Top | 67-84 | Win | 100 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
Georgia vs Seton Hall NIT Semifinals | Hinkle Fieldhouse | Indianapolis 8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 145 points and is valid to 146.5 points. These two teamsd are playing at Hinkle Fieldhouse which will provide different site lines for the players on these teams. I have seen many games go under at this venue in the NCAA Tournament over the years. So, to hedge that a bit, consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% at a price of 141.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAAB situational team and head coach trends support this bet on the OVER. · Georgia is 14-2 Over in road games and are coming off a game away from home (neutral or away). · Georgia is 16-4 Over when coming off a win away from home (neutral or away) by three or fewer points. · Georgia is 8-1 OVER after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past two seasons. · Head coach Holloway is 17-4 Over for his career after his teams had won four or five of their last six games. · Head coach White is 8-1 Over after winning four or five of his team’s last six games. · White is 37-17-2 OVER after covering the spread in two or more of his previous games for his career. From my predictive model, Georgia is projected to score 74 or more points and make 9 or more 3-pointers. In past games in which Georgia met these measures has seen the Over go 20-5 for 80% winning bets since 2019. |
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03-31-24 | NC State +7.5 v. Duke | Top | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
“Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!” NC State vs Duke5:05 ET |8-Unit Bet on NC State plus the 7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 10.5 points during the first half of action. Seeds of 10 or more in the Regional Final are 3-0 ATS and seeds that five worse (lower) than their foe (11-4=7) are 4-3 SU and 7-0 ATS in the Regional Final. · NC State is 8-1 ATS after the 15th game of this season when facing a foe that is outscoring their foes by 4 or more PPG. · NC State is 8-1 ATS after the 15th game of this season when facing a foe that is averaging 12 or fewer turnovers per game. · NC State is 17-3 ATS on a neutral court since 1997. From my predictive models we are looking and expecting NC State to score 75 or more points and commit the same or fewer turnovers than Duke. IN past games when NC State met these performance measures has seen them go 14-7 SU and 15-6 ATS for 71% winning bets when priced as the dog and spanning games played since 2017. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut UNDER 155.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
Illinois vs Connecticut
6:09 ET | TD Garden 8-Unit Bet Under the total priced at 154.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points. Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 159.5 points during the first half of action. This game will take on the same look that the Alabama vs UNC game did where they got off to a meteoric pace, which allowed us to get all four in-game pieces of the total booked with the highest one being at 189.5 points. So, allow the scoring chaos to work in your favor. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 58-24 Under record good for 71% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under the total priced between 150 and 159.5 points. · The game is played in a neutral court setting. · One of the teams (Illinois) is coming off an upset win. · That team is priced as a 3.5 or more-point underdog. Here’s a snapshot of some key metrics for both teams: Illinois:Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE): 127.2Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjDE): 92.6Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG%): 57.2%Turnover Rate (TOR): 14.7%Offensive Rebound Percentage (ORB): 16.2%Defensive Rebound Percentage (DRB): 36.2%Free Throw Rate (FTR): 26.6%Two-Point Percentage (2P%): 59.2%Three-Point Percentage (3P%): 43.5%Connecticut:Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AdjOE): 126.8Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjDE): 94.9Barthag: 15.9655Effective Field Goal Percentage (EFG%): 56.2%Turnover Rate (TOR): 16.3%Offensive Rebound Percentage (ORB): 13.8%Defensive Rebound Percentage (DRB): 37.9%Free Throw Rate (FTR): 24.2%Two-Point Percentage (2P%): 42.4%Three-Point Percentage (3P%): 23.0% |
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03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 145.5 | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Creighton vs Tennessee10 ET | Little Caesars Arena | TBS/truTV8-Unit Best bet UNDER 144.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.
Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at 147.5 points and the remaining 15% at 149.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 45-23-1 UNDER record good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Tennessee) has allowed 60 or fewer points in two straight games. If the team is favored, the Under has gone 24-11-1 good for 69% winning bets. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 21-9 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under the total priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Tennessee) is coming off a game in which they shot 36% or worse form the field. |
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03-29-24 | Duke +4 v. Houston | Top | 54-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Duke vs Houston9:39 ET | CBS | American Airlines Arena
8-Unit Best Bet on Duke +4.5 points and is valid to +3.5 points. Consider betting 6-Units preflop and then look to get Duke at +1.5 points or even pick-em during the first half of action for the remaining 2-Units. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 12-7 SU and 16-2-1 ATS record good for 89% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · The game occurs in the Sweet 16 and beyond. · A team (Duke) has covered the spread by more than 30 points in the first two rounds. · They make less than 75% of their free throws. · The total is 140 or fewer points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 14-15 SU and 22-7 ATS record good for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · The game is in a neutral court setting. · Our team (Duke) covered the spread by 25 or more points in their previous game. · The opponent (Houston) has seen the total play Over by 55 or more points spanning their previous 10 games. |
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03-29-24 | NC State +6.5 v. Marquette | Top | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
NC State vs Marquette 7:09 ET Friday March 29 | American Airlines Arena 8-Unit bet on NC State +6.5 points and is valid to 4.56 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 10-25 SU and 11-23-1 ATS record good for 32% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet against a team in the Sweet-16 Round that is on a two-game win streak exact. · The opponent is on a three or more-game win streak. If the team on the 2-game win streak is the favorite, they fall to 4-6 SU and 1-9 ATS. Teams from the Sweet-16 on through the Championship game that have achieved 10 straight games with not more than 12 turnovers in any of the games has produced a 13-11 SU record and 11-5-2 ATS record for 65% winning bets. If the dog in these games, they have gone 5-7 SU, but 8-3-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2014. Free throw shooting is an important part of winning basketball games and even more so in the NCAA Tournament. From the Sweet-16 Round to the Championship game, teams that are making 76% or more of their free throws going up against a team that makes less than 76% of their free throws have produced a 26-16 SU record and 29-12-1 ATS good for 71% winning bets since the 2013 season. NC State Wolfpack Season Record: 24-14, Season Record: 24-14, 18-20 ATS, 22-16 OVER Key Players: The Wolfpack’s success has been driven by the strong play of their guards, who will need to continue their form to advance. Injury Report: No significant injuries reported1. Offensive and Defensive Rankings: They have shown a balanced approach with an average score margin of +3.7, ranking them 103rd in offense. Defensively, they’ve allowed 72.7 points per game, placing them at 183rd2. Marquette Golden Eagles Season Record: 27-9, 22-14 ATS, 21-15 Under Key Players: Marquette’s offense has been powered by their efficient shooting, particularly from beyond the arc. Their key players’ ability to stretch the floor will be crucial. However, NC State has elite speed and quickness on the perimeter to make it very difficult for Marquette to spread the floor. Offensive and Defensive Rankings: Marquette boasts a potent offense, ranking 46th with 78.5 points per game. Their defense has been solid, allowing 69.7 points per game, which ranks them 91st. Keep in mind they are among the best in this category when adjusted for pace of play andf both teams like to play up tempo, especially on missed opponent shots in transition. Matchup to Watch: The perimeter shooting of Marquette against the defensive hustle of NC State’s guards will be a key battle. The ability of NC State to disrupt Marquette’s rhythm from the three-point line without getting out of position will determine the outcome. Statistical Rankings: Marquette’s effective field goal percentage stands at 55.2%, reflecting their offensive efficiency over the course fo the season. NC State’s defense has the guard play to disrupt the ball movement and three-point shooting of Marquette. This game will likely come down to NC State containing Marquette’s high-powered offense and if Marquette can defend against the Wolfpack’s dynamic guard play. Obviously, I think both matchups will be won by NC State and their late season winning run continues. |
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03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Illinois vs Iowa State 10:09 ET | TD Garden Boston 8-Unit best bet on Illinois +1.5 points and is valid to pick-em My predictive model is expecting that Illinois will score 80 or more points and will out rebound ISU by at least 7 boards in total. Illinois, in this role, has gone 38-2 SU and 28-8 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Teams playing in the Round of 16 and beyond that have had a stretch of 10 games in which they committed no more than 12 turnovers in any of those games and is priced as the dog have gone 14-12 SU and 11-6-2 ATS for 65% winners since 2014. Illinois is 13-3 ATS when facing a winning record opponent this season; 20-9-1 ATS when facing strong ball handling teams averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Illinois is 11-2 ATS after a win by 15 or more points this season; 9-1 ATS after scoring 75 or more points in three consecutive games. Actually Illinois has scored 80 or more points in each of their last four games and teams that have done so while in the NCAA Tournament are 7-2 SU in the Sweet 16. Illinois Fighting Illini Season Record: 28-8 | 22-14 ATS (61%) | 26-10 Over (72%). Key Players: Terrence Shannon Jr., who has been powering Illinois’ offense with an impressive 23.3 points per game, and Coleman Hawkins, contributing across the board. Injury Report: No significant injuries reported. Statistical Rankings: Illinois boasts a strong offensive efficiency, ranking 3rd with an adjusted efficiency of 125.3. Their defense is not far behind, with an adjusted efficiency of 101.1, placing them at 97th nationally1. Iowa State Cyclones Season Record: 29-7 | 24-11 ATS (69%) | 19-16 Under Key Players: The Cyclones have a balanced team, but keep an eye on their sophomore guard Tamin Lipsey and senior guard Curtis Jones. Statistical Rankings: Iowa State’s defensive prowess is notable, with their adjusted defensive efficiency ranking in the top tier. However, specific rankings from Barttorvik.com are not available at the moment. Matchup Analysis This game will likely be a classic offense vs. defense showdown, with Illinois’ high-scoring offense trying to break through Iowa State’s robust defense. The battle in the paint and rebounding efforts are expected to favor Illinois in this matchup and if they win both of those, they certainly have a great opportunity to post a convincing win advancing them to the Elite-8. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama +4.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC 9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA 8-Unit bet on Alabama plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the dog. Since 2016, there have been 17 NCAA Tournament games with a posted total of 160 or more points. In these games, the favorites are 13-4 SU and 6-10-1 ATS and 11-6 Under good for 65% winning wagers. These games occurred in the first four rounds of the NCAA Tournament. Alabama is coming off an 11-point win over Grand Canyon and shot 36% from the field. Alabama is the top-rated offense in the nation per my predictive models and they have bounced back with solid efforts coming off poor offensive games by their standards. Alabama is 24-14 ATS when coming off a double-digit win spanning the past two seasons. From my predictive model, UNC is just not in a good situation knowing that Alabama has an 86% probability of scoring 80 or more points. UNC is just 3-15 ATS in games away from Chapel Hill when allowing 80 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina UNDER 173.5 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC 9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA 8-Unit bet UNDER the total of 173.5 points and is valid to 170 points. Scoring volatility is going to be scorching at times during the first half of action between these teams. So, consider betting 60% preflop and then look to add 10% more of your 8-Unit betting amount at 176.5 points, 10% more at a 179.5 points, 10% more at 181.5 points and the final 10% amount at 184.5 points. I also do not recommend a parlay, as I rarely bet them, because you will make more money if you simply bet these opportunities individually over the course of a season. The exception to that rule is when I get two significant MLB dogs of +150 or more where I will take 2-Units and parlay them using the money lines. With that said be sure to get on board the MLB full season package, which is on sale now on the web site for 40% off the regular price. In the NCAA Tournament, totals of 165 and more have gone 12-4 Under since 2014. The crypto arena is an NBA stadium where the Lakers and the Clippers call home. The venue is significantly bigger than where these two teams are accustomed to playing and with that change the player’s site lines change. Many times players do find it hard to find their shooting touches from range and lends itself to seeing the Under win the money. |
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03-27-24 | VCU v. Utah -6 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 54 h 52 m | Show |
VCU vs Utah3-27 | 9 ET | NIT quarterfinals8-Unit bet on Utah -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points.
The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 70-23 SU and 54-38-1 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites of 2.5 to 9.5 points. · The favorite is from the Big Ten, SEC, Big-12, ACC, Big East, or the PAC-12 · The dog is not from any of those conferences. · The favorite averages 12 or fewer turnovers per game If the game occurs after the 20th game of the season, these favorites improve to an 8-3 ATS mark for 73% winning bets. |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -5 | Top | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
UNLV vs Seton Hall7 ET | NIT Quarterfinals8-Unit bet on Seton Hall -5.5 points and is valid to -7 points.
The following NBA betting algorithm has earned an 80-27 SU and 63-41-3 ATS mark good for 61% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. · The favorite is from a Major 1-A Conference. · The dog is a member of a second-tier conference. · The total is between 140 and 145 points. |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern +14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Northwestern vs UCONN
7:45 ET | NCAA Tournament | Second Round | Barclays Center | Brooklyn, NY8-Unit best bet on Northwestern +14.5 points and is valid if the remain a double-digit underdog, which is a near 100% probability to happen. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a solid 105-62-4 ATS good for a highly profitable 64% winners. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. · Facing a favorite that has covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last seven games. · The favorite has won 80% or more of their games on the season. Now, check this one out. If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, these underdogs have been ferocious going 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets since 2013. From the predictive model, we learn that NW is 25-6 SU and 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets when they have made 38% or more of their 3-pointers and scored 74 or more points in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-24-24 | Grand Canyon v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Grand Canyon vs Alabama
7:10 ET | NCAA Tournament | Second Round | Spokane Veterans Arena8-Unit best bet on Alabama minus the points and is valid to -7.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 170-105 ATS good for a highly profitable 61% winners making a total of 45 units in profits. The requirements are: · Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. · The favorite makes at least 36% of their three pointers. · The favorite is coming off a game in which they shot 60% or better form the field. · The underdog allows 32 to 36% three-point shooting. Alabama is 22-8 ATS when the total has been between 160 and 169.5 points; 16-8 ATS as a favorite this season. Alabama head coach Oats is 21-9 ATS when allowing 85 or more points in the previous game; 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 90 or more points. This game presents a classic offense vs. defense showdown, with Alabama’s potent scoring ability clashing with Grand Canyon’s defensive acumen. It’s set to be an exciting matchup with plenty of implications for the Sweet 16. The analytical situations favor Alabama to win this game by double-digits and advance. Key Players: Grand Canyon: Look out for Tyon Grant-Foster, who is coming off a 22-point game and is known for his scoring prowess, averaging nearly 20 points per game. Alabama: Mark Sears is a player to watch, averaging 21 points per game and coming off a 30-point effort against Charleston. |
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03-23-24 | Texas v. Tennessee UNDER 146 | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Texas vs TennesseeSaturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament8-Unit best bet UNDER the total priced at 146.5 points.
The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 86-49-1 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet Under in a neutral site game. ü The total is between 140 and 149.5 points. ü One of the teams led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament the Under has gone 11-3 for 79% winning bets. If the foe (Texas) is not ranked and the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, the Under has gone 67-30-1 for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The Matchup Preview and Things to Watch
Round of 64 Results: Texas showcased their defensive prowess by defeating Colorado State with a score of 56-44. The Longhorns’ defense was the highlight, with Dylan Disu leading the scoring with 12 points and Tyrese Hunter making a significant impact despite scoring only 8 points.
Key Players: Keep an eye on Max Abmas, who leads the team with an average of 17.1 points per game. His matchup against Tennessee’s defense, particularly against Zakai Zeigler, will be critical.
Round of 64 Results: Tennessee had a commanding 83-49 victory over Saint Peter’s, asserting their dominance early on and maintaining it throughout the game.
Key Players: Dalton Knecht, the SEC’s player of the year, and Santiago Vescovi, known for his three-point shooting, are the players to watch. Their performance against Texas’ defense, especially against the likes of Tyrese Hunter, will be pivotal.
Matchup to Watch: The defensive strategies of both teams will be under the spotlight, with Texas’ Tyrese Hunter and Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler both being key defensive players for their respective teams. |
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03-23-24 | Washington State v. Iowa State UNDER 129 | Top | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Washington State vs Iowa StateSaturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament
8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 128.5 points and is valid to 126.5 points. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 131.5 and the remaining 15% at 135.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 15-6-1 Under record good for 71% winning bets in the last 10 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are: ü Bet the Under with a team that won their conference Championship (Iowa Sate). ü That Champion is facing a team that did not win their conference championship. ü The total is priced between 120 and 137 points. |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State +4 v. North Carolina | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Michigan State vs North Carolina Saturday Round-2 NCAA Tournament8-Unit Bet on Michigan State +4 points and is valid if they remain the dog.
The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 71-40-4 ATS record good for 64% winning bets in the last 15 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are: ü Bet on underdogs priced between pick-em and 4.5 points. ü The total is at least 135 points. ü The dog’s pace of play is a bit slower averaging 72 or fewer possessions per game. ü The underdog is seed between 5 and 16. |
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03-22-24 | College of Charleston v. Alabama -9.5 | Top | 96-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
COLL OF CHARLESTON (27 - 7) vs. ALABAMA (21 - 11) 7:35 EST | TRU TV | Spokane8-Unit bet on Alabama -9.5 points and is valid -11 points. The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 83-20 SU (87%) and a 70-30 ATS record for 70% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 10 points. ü The game is part of the NCAA Tournament ü The dog is seeded 13 through 16. ü The dog has won four or more consecutive games. From the predictive model we learn that Alabama is 11-0 and 10-1 ATS when scoring 84 or more points, committing 12 or fewer turnovers, and making at least 80% of their free throws in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-22-24 | Yale v. Auburn UNDER 141 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 1 m | Show |
YALE (22 - 9) vs. AUBURN (27 - 7)
4:15 ET Friday | 8-Unit bet Under the posted total priced at 140.5 points and is valid to 138.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 144.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games. · The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament. · The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games. The following betting algorithm has produced an 89-52 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Auburn) is coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival. · Both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games. If the team is playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 73-41-1 for 64%. If both teams are playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 65-35-1 for 65% winning bets. Matchup Analysis: Offense vs. Defense: Auburn’s scoring prowess will clash with Yale’s stingy defense. Can Yale slow down Auburn’s fast-paced attack?Rebounding Battle: Both teams have strong rebounders. The battle on the boards will be crucial.Three-Point Shooting: Auburn loves the long ball, while Yale focuses on inside scoring.Keep in mind when playing totals that many of these mid-majors, like Yale will be playing in significantly larger arenas with different site lines than they are accustomed to at their quaint 2 to 5 thousand capacity venues. The Unders have performed very well when college basketball teams of any stature play in the football stadiums like the Luke Oil in Indianapolis, for instance. More on these developments in the rounds ahead. |
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03-22-24 | UAB v. San Diego State -6.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
UAB vs San Diego State1:45 ET | TNT | Spokane8-unit Bet on San Diego State -7 points and is valid to -7.5 points.
ü UAB is 1-8 ATS away from home following three consecutive games in which they committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. ü SDST head coach Dutcher is 22-11 ATS off a loss to a conference foe. ü Dutcher is 38-17 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 77 or more PPG after the 15th game of the season. From my predictive model, we are enlightened by the fact that SDST is 46-1 SU and 31-10-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when they have scored at least 77 points and had the same or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. UAB is just 9-15 SU and 6-16-1 ATS for 27% when allowing 77 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers spanning the past 5 seasons. |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 147.5 | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
MOREHEAD ST (26 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (26 - 8) 3:10 EST | TRU TV | CHI Health Center, Omaha 8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 147.5 points and is valid to 145.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Both teams have near the best predictive scoring variance in their respective conferences, and both have more consistent first half scoring than second half. So, it stands to reason that these teams will get out to faster than expected start and the total will rise into the 150’s at some point during the first half of action.
The following betting algorithm has produced a 23-14-2 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.One of the teams (Illinois) is scoring at least 76 or more PPG.That team is coming two games in which they and the foe each scored 75 or more points.That team won their two previous games.The opponent is allowing an average of 63 or fewer PPG.The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games. · The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament. · The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games. Both teams meet the requirements of this system. |
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03-20-24 | VCU v. Villanova -8.5 | Top | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
VCU vs Villanova NIT Tournament 8-Unit best bet on Villanova -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 400-251 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: • Bet on -3.5 to -9.5 home favorites. • The favorite is from a Major Division 1 conference. • The underdog is not a member of a Major Division 1 conference. From the predictive models, Villanova is 178-14 SU (93%) and 92-40-1 ATS (70% when scoring 75 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers than their foes. When the game has been in Tournament action they have gone 16-0 SU and 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets. Radio: Villanova IHeart Radio Network (Play-by-Play: Ryan Fannon; Analyst: Whitey Rigsby)All-Time Series: Villanova leads 1-0, with their only meeting resulting in a 77-53 victory for Villanova back on November 24th, 2013.Villanova Wildcats: Record: 18-15 overallKenPom Ranking: #35Key Player: Unfortunately, Villanova will be without the services of Jordan Longino, who suffered a knee injury against DePaul.Offensive Strategy: Villanova should focus on aggressive dribble penetration and off-ball movement to create quality scoring opportunities. They’ll need to overcome VCU’s shot-blocking prowess.Defensive Focus: Guarding the three-point line will be crucial, as VCU shoots 35.7% from beyond the arc.VCU Rams: Record: 22-13 overallKenPom Ranking: #80Coach: In their first season under Ryan OdomStrengths: VCU earned quality out-of-conference wins over Samford (home) and Penn State (neutral). They also beat George Mason on the road during Atlantic 10 Conference play.Conference Tournament Performance: VCU defeated Fordham, UMass, and St. Joseph’s in the A10 Conference Tournament before falling to Duquesne in the championship game.Defensive Challenge: VCU effectively challenges shots and limits opponents to one possession. Their ability to contest shots without fouling will be crucial.Turnover Battle: VCU can be turnover-prone, and Villanova will look to capitalize on this.
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03-20-24 | UNLV v. Princeton -3 | Top | 84-77 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 53 m | Show |
UNLV vs Princeton NIT Tournament 8-Unit best bet OVER the total priced at 138.5 points. The current marketplace shows a building trend to the Over so I think betting at least 50% of your 8-unit amount now and then look to add closer to preflop. Another option is to bet 70% amount preflop on the Over and then look to get the remaining 30% amount at a price of 134.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a record good for 67% winning bets. The requirements are: • Bet the Over. • The road team (UNLV) is coming off a close loss of three or fewer points. • The host is coming off a game in which they and the foe each scored 80 or more points. From the predictive models, both teams have an 86% probability of scoring 70 or more points. Moreover, we are expecting Princeton to score 76 or more points and commit less than 10 turnovers and make 86% or more of their free throws. In past games when Princeton has met these projections the Over has gone 7-0. The OVER has gone 14-3 when Princeton has had 10 or fewer turnovers and scored 75 or more points. Game Preview and MatchupsPrinceton Tigers: Record: 24-4Conference: Ivy LeagueHead Coach: Mitch HendersonKey Players:1. Jaden Dixon (Guard): A dynamic playmaker, Dixon leads the Tigers in scoring and assists. His ability to create shots and distribute the ball will be crucial.2. Ryan Thompson (Forward): Thompson dominates the boards and provides a strong inside presence. His rebounding and defensive skills are vital for Princeton.3. Marcus Harris (Center): Harris anchors the paint on both ends. Look for his shot-blocking and efficient scoring in the low post.UNLV Rebels: Record: 19-12Conference: Mountain WestHead Coach: Kevin KrugerKey Players:1. Bryce Hamilton (Guard/Forward): Hamilton is the Rebels’ leading scorer and a versatile offensive threat. His ability to score from beyond the arc and attack the rim will challenge Princeton’s defense.2. Royce Hamm Jr. (Forward): A transfer from Texas, Hamm brings athleticism and shot-blocking prowess. His energy on both ends of the floor impacts the game.3. David Jenkins Jr. (Guard): Jenkins is a sharpshooter who can catch fire from three-point range. Princeton must close out on him to prevent open looks.Matchup Analysis: Offense:Princeton relies on ball movement, disciplined sets, and efficient shooting. Their perimeter game, led by Dixon and Thompson, can stretch defenses.UNLV’s offense revolves around Hamilton’s scoring ability. They look to push the pace and capitalize on transition opportunities.Defense:Princeton emphasizes team defense, rotating well and contesting shots. Harris protects the rim effectively.UNLV’s defense is anchored by Hamm’s shot-blocking. They’ll aim to disrupt Princeton’s offensive flow.X-Factors:Princeton: Their ability to control the tempo and limit turnovers.UNLV: Jenkins’ three-point shooting and defensive intensity. |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 148.5 | Top | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Illinois3:30 ET | Target Center
8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 147.5 points. Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 154.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting. · The total is priced between 140 and 150 points. · A team (Wisconsin) is avenging a same-season loss in which the foe (Illinois) scored 85 or more points. |
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03-17-24 | Florida v. Auburn -5 | Top | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Auburn vs Florida
1:00 ET | Bridgestone Arena 8-Unit Bet on Auburn -5.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The Sports Betting AlgorithmThe following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 25-9 SU and 22-12 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on a favorite priced between 2.5 and 7.5 points. ü The game is part of the Conference Championship. ü Both teams are not playing their first game of the tournament (playing on back-to-back days), ü The dog is not ranked in the Top-25 poll. ü The total is priced between 150 and 160 points The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 26-22 SU and 26-20 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are: ü Bet on a neutral court favorite. ü Facing a foe that has allowed 80 or more points in each of their two previous games. ü That foe is averaging 84 or more PPG on the season. If our favorite is priced between 4.5 and 8.5 points they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS. |
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03-16-24 | Iowa State v. Houston OVER 121.5 | Top | 69-41 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Houston 6 ET 10-Unit Max Bet Over the posted total currently priced at 122 points and is valid to 123.5 points. Big 12 Tournament Championship: The top two teams in the Big 12 conference face off in the championship game: Iowa State Cyclones and Houston Cougars. Both teams have been on fire recently, winning 17 of their last 18 games. Houston boasts the nation’s third-longest active winning streak with 11 consecutive wins. Iowa State and Houston share similarities defensively. They both rank in the top five for near-shot proximity allowed (per Haslametrics).Additionally, they excel in their ball screen coverages on the perimeter, disrupting opponents’ ball handlers. Keep an eye on Iowa State point guard Keshon Gilbert, who ranks 11th in the Big 12 for percentage of possessions and 15th in assist rate.However, facing Houston’s Jamal Shead, who leads the country in Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating, Gilbert may have a tougher time distributing assists. In the regular-season meetings, Gilbert had four-plus assists against Houston, but we’re intrigued by the plus-money value for him to have three or fewer assists in the tournament final. The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-6 Over record good for 78% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: · Bet the Over that is priced between 120 and 129.5 points. · One of the teams (ISU) has allowed 65 or fewer points in each of their three previous games. · The opponent (Houston) has won each of their last three games by double-digits. From my predictive models we are expecting both teams to attempt a combined total of 115 or more shots and make at least 75% of their free throws. The Over is 19-2 in Houston games and 11-3 Over in Iowa State games when these measures are met or exceeded. “Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!” |
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03-16-24 | Texas A&M +3 v. Florida | Top | 90-95 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Florida vs Texas A&M The following betting algorithm has produced an 11-8 SU (58%) SU record and a 13-5-1 ATS mark for 72% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet on a team facing a foe that is coming off an upset win over a Top-10 ranked team. · The game is played in the conference tournament. · The total is 150 or more points. If the total is priced at 147.5 or more points, these teams have gone 18-10 (64%) SU and 20-7-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. |
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03-16-24 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne OVER 133.5 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
St. Bonaventure vs Duquesne
3:30 ET | Barclays Center 8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 134.5 points and is valid to 137 points. Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 129.5 points during the first half of action. The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Over in a neutral court setting. · The Over is priced between 130 and 139.5 points. · A team (Duquesne) has seen the total play Under by 54 or more points spanning their previous 10 games. If the team is favored then the Over improves to a highly profitable17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets. From the predictive model, we are expecting Duquesne to shoot 46 or better from the field, make 78% or more of their free throws, and commit no more than 13 turnovers. The Over is a perfect 10-0 in previous games in which Duquesne met or exceeded these measures. St. Bonaventure is expected to shoot 46% or better form the field. In past games that the Bonnies have played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 16-0. In past games that Duquesne has played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 32-4. In game played involving Duquesne in which both teams shot 46% or better from the field and those teams combined for no more than 25 turnovers has seen the OVER produce an 18-2 record and in game involving the Bonnies the Over has produced a 14-0 record. |
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03-15-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 146.5 | Top | 66-93 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Indiana vs Nebraska
9 ET | BTN| Target Center 8-Unit bet UNDER the total priced at 145.5 points. Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at a price of 149.5 points and 20% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Betting all your 8-Unit amount preflop is always a sound strategy and I provide the live betting strategy as an added extra. The following betting algorithm has produced a 27-13 SU (68%) SU record and a 24-15-1 ATS mark for 62% and an impressive 28-10-2 Under record good for 74% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · After game number 15. · One of the teams (Nebraska) is averaging between 74 and 78 PPG. · That team scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game. · That team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 67 to 74 PPG. Over the past three seasons this algorithm is 8-2 Under for 80% winning bets. |
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03-15-24 | Seattle University v. Grand Canyon -5.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Seattle U vs Grand Canyon Consider betting 80% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Grand Canyon favored by 3.5 or fewer points during the first half of action. The Sports Betting Algorithm The following betting algorithm has produced a 79-20 80% SU and 61-36-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on neutral court favorites. · The matchup features both teams with solid defenses allowing between 63 and 67 PPG. · The favorite is coming off three consecutive double-digit wins. If our team has won 22 or more games, they have gone 8-0 SU and ATS for 100% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -7.5 | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
UNC vs Pittsburgh
7 ET | ESPN| Capital One Arena, Washington DC 8-Unit bet on UNC -7.5 points and is valid to -8.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 108-73 SU (60%) SU record and a 98-79-4 ATS mark for 55% and an impressive 115-64-2 Under record good for 64% winning bets. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points. · One of the teams (UNC) is coming off a game in which they scored 45 or more points in the first half. · Both teams are playing on consecutive days. If our team is favored they have gone to an impressive and highly profitable 32-6 SU and 26-11-1 ATS goods for 70% winning bets since 2014. If our team is ranked in the Top-10 they soar to a 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS record for 78% winning bets and if favored by 7 or more points are a perfect 7-0 ATS. |
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03-14-24 | Xavier +15.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 60-87 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
Xavier vs UCONN The following betting algorithm has produced an 11-34 (24%) SU and 32-12-1 ATS for 73% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs that are allowing between 74 and 78 PPG. · The favorite is allowing an elite 63 to 67 PPG. · The favorite has scored 40 or more points in each of the first halves of their two previous games. Xavier head coach Miller is 21-8 ATS away from home (neutral or road game) when facing a team that is outscoring their opponents by 12 or more PPG in games played in the second half of the season. |
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03-13-24 | Kansas State v. Texas -4.5 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Kansas State vs Texas Big-12 Second Round Conference Tournament The following betting algorithm has produced a 39-18 SU and 26-16-1 ATS for 62% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are: · Bet on neutral court teams that have scored 80 or more points in three consecutive games. · That team is outscoring their opponents by 3 to 8 PPG. · Facing a foe that has posted a scoring differential between -3.5 and +3.5 PPG. If the matchup is against a conference foe, these teams have produced a 31-10 (76%) SU and 21-9 ATS for 70% winners in lined games. |
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03-12-24 | Denver +10 v. South Dakota State | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Denver vs South Dakota State 9:30 ET | CBSSN |Denny Sanford Premiere Center This is the Championship game in the Summit League Tournament with the winner getting a bid to the NCAA Tournament. Denver Pioneers (17-16, 8-10 Summit League) vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits (21-12, 14-4 Summit League) What’s At Stake: The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are set to battle the Denver Pioneers for the Summit League Championship. The Jackrabbits have had a strong season within the league, boasting a 14-4 record against Summit League opponents and a 7-8 record in non-conference play. They’ve shown some weakness in close games, with a 3-4 record in matches decided by 3 or fewer points. On the other side, the Denver Pioneers have had a challenging season, with an 8-10 record against Summit League teams. They rank ninth in the league, allowing an average of 80.6 points while holding opponents to 46.6% shooting. Despite this, Denver has an impressive offense, averaging 81.4 points per game, which is 10.5 more points per game than South Dakota State typically allows. Top Performers: For the Jackrabbits, Zeke Mayo has been a standout player, averaging 18.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists. The team’s recent form is also notable, with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, averaging 76.7 points and shooting 49.7% from the field. The Pioneers, although 4-6 in their last 10 games, have been averaging 73.5 points and have shown their capability to put up a strong defensive presenceaveraging 6.6 steals and 3.1 blocks per game. The Sports Betting Algorithm The following betting algorithm has produced a 30-51 SU (37%) SU record and a 49-30-2 ATS mark for 62% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Bet on underdogs. The dog has lost to the spread by 42 or more points spanning their previous five games. The host has seen the total go Under by 55 or more points spanning their previous 5 games. If the road team is playing on back-to-back days, they are a perfect 3-0 SUATS since 2014. If the game occurs after game number 25, these dogs have gone 12-15 SU (44%) and 18-9 ATS (67%) since 2014. |
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03-12-24 | Stony Brook v. College of Charleston -9.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
Stony Brook vs College of Charleston 7:00 ET | CBSSN |Entertainment and Sports Arena, Wash DC Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look for some scoring volatility that can provide an opportunity to add the remaining 30% amount at 7.5 points during the first half. Another option is to bet the remaining 30% after a Stony Brook scoring run of 10 or more unanswered points. The Matchup: The Charleston Cougars, with a record of 26-7 (15-3 CAA), will face off against the Stony Brook Seawolves, who have a record of 20-14 (10-8 CAA). What’s at Stake: The winner of this game will secure an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. Performance Trends: Charleston has been performing strongly, with a 10-0 overall record and going 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games, while Stony Brook has gone 7-3 overall and winning 8-2 ATS record including 7 straight winners ATS in the same span. Regression is highly likely for Stony Brook since they are facing a very strong COC team deep with talent. SB is just 2-14 ATS away from home when facing a team that is scoring 77 or more PPG on the season. COC is 15-3 ATS after game number 15 and facing a team that draws only 17 or fewer fouls per game spanning the last three seasons. SB head coach Ford is a money-burning 4-13 ATS away from home and ridig a four or more game win streak. From my predictive model, we are expecting COC to score 80 or more points and have fewer turnovers than SB. In past games in which COC met these performance measures has seen them go 32-1 SU and 22-6 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past three seasons. |
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03-11-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga OVER 150 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Gonzaga 11:30 ET | ESPN2 | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas West Coast Conference Semifinals 8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points. Consider betting 50% of your 8-Unit Best Bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at 145.5 points, and 25% more at 142.5 points during the first half of action. Gonzaga is 26-19 Over following a game in which they allowed less than 40% shooting and shot better than 50% from the field. They have seen the Over go 17-10 over the past five seasons following a game in which they shot better than 50% and with the current game less than 150 points. San Fran is 35-25 Over for 58% in games with a total of less than 150 points and coming off a game in which they allowed 45% or lower shooting since 2019. IN games against Gonzaga with a total less than 150 points, San Fran has seen the Over go 8-4 for 67% since 2014. Gonzaga head coach Mark Few is 65-50 Over in all March games; 16-5 Over in road and neutral games coming off an upset win as an underdog. From my predictive models, Gonzaga has an 83% probability of scoring 80 or more points, shoot at least 49% from the field, and make 78% or more of their free throws. In past games over the last five seasons Gonzaga is 23-1 SU, 12-8 ATS, and 16-4 Over when scoring 80 or more points against San Fran. The Over has posted a highly profitable 13-4 Over record good for 77% winning bets when they have allowed 80 or more points and allowed higher than 49% shooting in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-10-24 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +1.5 | Top | 73-51 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Rutgers 2:00 ET | BTN | Jersey Mike’s Arena 8-Unit bet on Rutgers +1.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has earned a 20-16 SU and 26-10 ASTS record good for 72% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home dogs including pick-em. · The home team is playing on fewer days of rest than the visitor. · The road team is coming off an ATS win priced as a double-digit favorite. · The game is the last game of the regular season. From my predictive model we learn that Ohio State is just 3-21 SU and 4-19-1 ATS in road games against a conference foe when scoring fewer than 70 points since 2019. |
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03-09-24 | Cal-Riverside v. UC-Santa Barbara -4 | Top | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
UC-Riverside vs UC-Santa Barbara 10 ET | 8-Unit bet on UCSB -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points My predictive models are projecting that UNCB will score at least 75 points and shoot at least 50% from the field. In past home games UCSB has posted a 30-2 SU record and 28-3-1 ATS mark for 90% winning bets over the past five seasons when meeting these performance measures. UCR is just 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS for 12% when allowing these performance measures in road games since 2019. |
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03-09-24 | New Mexico +3.5 v. Utah State | Top | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
New Mexico vs (22) Utah State 8 :30 ET | CBSSN | Dee Glen Smith Spectrum 8-Unit bet on New Mexico 2.5 points and is valid to pick-em. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 17-40 SU record and a 39-18 ATS record good for 68.4% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs including pick-em. · The road team is coming off a game in which they allowed 35 or lower shooting. · The home team is coming off three games in which they shot 50% or better from the field in each game. |
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03-08-24 | Boise State +8 v. San Diego State | Top | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Boise State vs (21) San Diego State 10 ET | FS1 | Viejas Arena 8-Unit bet on Boise State +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 28-140 SU record and a 107-60-1 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs of six or more points. · That dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe. · The favorite is coming off an upset road loss. If the opponent is ranked, our underdogs have gone 4-30 SU and 22-12 ATS for 65% winning bets. If our underdog is playing on two days of rest they have then gone 12-37 SU and 35-14 ATS for 71.4% |
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03-08-24 | Pepperdine -3.5 v. San Diego | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Pepperdine vs San Diego West Coast Tournament – Second Round 9 ET | ESPN+ | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas 5-Unit bet on Pepperdine -2.5 points and is valid to -3.5 points. If the line drops to make Pepperdine a -2 or fewer favorite consider betting the money line. Teams, like Pepperdine that are coming off a historic win and led at the half of that game by 30 or more points in a conference tournament game have gone to post a 7-1 ATS record. Pepperdine led at the half 56-9 (that is not an error) and went on to win the game 102-43. This is the 8th seed Pepperdine Wave taking on the 5th seeded San Diego. When the team seeded lower (had a lower win percentage in conference games) is favored it is telling that the seeds just might not reflect the current playing levels of the teams. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has earned an 88-40 SU and 70-41-2 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on any team priced between the 3’s · Both teams are averaging 70 to 74 PPG. · The team has led by 20 or more points at the half in each of their last two games. · The game takes place after the 15th game. If our team led by 27 or more points at the half of their previous game, they have gone on to a 19-9 SU and 17-8-3 ATS record for 68% winning bets. |
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03-07-24 | Southern v. Alabama State +1 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Southern vs Alabama State
8:30 ET |8-Unit Bet on Alabama State using the money line or the spread if that is more attractive at your sportsbook. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 87-51 SU and 86-50-2 ATS (63.2%) winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: « Bet on home teams that have won 40 to 49% of their games. « Game occurs in March. « The total is 130 or more points. If the opponent has a winning re3cord, the results improve to 35-35 SU and 45-23-2 ATS for 66.2% winning bets. |
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03-07-24 | Southern Utah v. Stephen F Austin -8.5 | Top | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Southern Utah vs SF Austin State
7:30 EST 8-Unit best bet on Sf Austin -9 points and is valid to -10 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-5 SU and 18-8-2 ATS (69%) winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: « Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. « The favorite has scored 65 or fewer points in each of their last two games. « The dog has allowed 75 or more points in each of their last two games. « The game takes place after game number 25. |
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03-06-24 | Indiana +5.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Indiana vs Minnesota
9 ET | BTN | Williams Arena 8-Unit Bet on Indiana +5.5 points and is valid to 4.4 points. « From the predictive models we learn that Indiana is 15-4 SU and 14-2-3 ATS when they have scored 74 or more points and had 12 or fewer turnovers facing a conference foe on the road. « From the predictive model we learn that Minnesota is just 8-29 SU and 8-20-2 ATS in lined games when they have allowed 74 or more points and forced 12 or fewer turnovers hosting a conference opponent. « Indiana head coach Woodson is 8-1 ATS in road games after a game in which his team made 78% or more of their free attempts spanning the last three seasons. |
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03-05-24 | St. John's v. DePaul +19.5 | Top | 104-77 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
DePaul vs St. Johns 9 ET | FS1 8-Unit bet on DePaul +19.5 points and is valid to 16.5 points. The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned a 31-3 SU and 21-12-1 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets since 2012. The requirements are: « Bet on underdogs priced at 11.5 or more points. « That dog has lost their last three games to conference foes. « The favorite is coming off an upset road win « The game number is from 25 on out to the end of the season. If the foe is playing on three or more days of rest (STJ is on 5 days of rest) our inflated underdogs have gone 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets. |
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03-05-24 | North Florida v. Austin Peay UNDER 145 | Top | 98-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
North Florida vs Austin Peay 8 ET | ESPN+ | F&M Bank Arena 8-Unit bet on the Under 146 points and is valid down to 144.5 points. NFU is 27-14 Under in games with a total priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the past three seasons; 18-6 Under in road games where the total is priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the previous three seasons; 13-4 Under in road games following a game in which they made 13 or more 3-point shots in games played over the past three seasons. From the predictive model, NFU has seen the Under go 10-3 for 77% winning bets when allowing 75 or fewer points and getting between 34 and 39 rebounds in games played over the past 5 seasons. |
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03-05-24 | Bowling Green v. Western Michigan -1.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Bowling Green vs Western Michigan 7 ET | ESPN+ | University Arena (MI) 8-Unit bet on the WMU -1.5 points and is good a 2.5-point favorite. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 49-15 SU record and averaged a –162 wager earning a solid 35% ROI over the past seven seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams priced between the 3’s. · The total is between 143 and 149.5 points/ · The home team has lost to the spread by 55 or more points spanning their previous 10 games. · The road team has seen their last five games play Over the total by 40 or more points. |
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03-05-24 | Purdue v. Illinois UNDER 164 | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Purdue vs Illinois 7:00 ET | Peacock | State Farm Center 8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 163.5 points and valid to 161.5 points The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned 24-14 Under mark good for 64% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: « Bet the Under when it is priced between 160 and 169.5 points. « The home and road teams are dominant rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by at least 6 boards per game. « The game occurs after game number 15 The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned an 18-8 Under mark good for 70% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are: « Bet the Under in games with the total priced between 160 and 159.5 points. « One of the teams (Purdue) is on a three-game Over streak. « Both teams’ defenses allow between 67 and 74 PPG. « The game take place in the second half of the season after game number 15. |
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03-04-24 | Northern Colorado -3.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Northern Colorado vs Northern Arizona 8 ET | ESPN+ | J. Lawrence WalkupSkydome 8-Unit bet on Northern Colorado –3.5 points and is valid to –5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 42-8 SU and 37-13 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Bet on favorites that are coming off a win by three or fewer points. The dog has allowed 85 or more points in each of their last two games. |
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03-04-24 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. Norfolk State -11.5 | Top | 50-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Maryland Eastern Shore vs Norfolk State 7:30 ET | 8-Unit bet on Norfolk State minus the 11.5 points and is valid to –13.5 points. I fully expect NFST’s head coach Robert Jones to be fully prepared to play a dominant game and earn their 20th win of the regular season. They sit atop the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference with a 9-3 record, but just one game ahead of the South Carolina State Bulldogs. So, a win keeps them in the bid for the top-seed in the Tournament too. The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned a 31-3 SU and 21-12-1 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets since 2012. The requirements are: Bet on a team that has won 60% or more of their games. That team has lost eight or more of their last 9 games to the spread. That team is a double-digit favorite hosting a conference opponent. The total is priced between 130 and 139.5 points. |
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03-03-24 | Evansville +11 v. Belmont | Top | 66-83 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Evansville vs Belmont 5 :00 PM ET | ESPN+ 8-Unit bet on Evansville +10.5 points and is valid to 10 points. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 12-125 SU record and 85-52 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets since 2013. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs priced between 10 and 19.5 points. · That road team has lost three consecutive games against conference foes. · The current opponent is coming off a road upset win. If the total is between 150 and 155 points, these road dogs have produced a 2-18 SU record and 13-7 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets. |
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03-03-24 | Michigan +12 v. Ohio State | Top | 61-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Michigan vs Ohio State 4 ET | CBS | Value Center Arena 8-Unit bet on Michigan plus the 11.5 points and is valid to 10 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 168-105-6 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on double-digit road underdogs. · That dog is coming off three consecutive games forcing no more than 11 turnovers in each game. · The host has gone five consecutive games forcing no more than 14 turnovers in each game. |
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03-03-24 | Siena +17.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 57-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
Siena vs Quinnipiac 2 ET | 8-Unit bet on Siena +16.5 points and is valid to 14.5 points. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 12-125 SU record and 85-52 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets since 2013. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs priced between 10 and 19.5 points. · That road team has lost three consecutive games against conference foes. · The current opponent is coming off a road upset win.
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03-02-24 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's -2 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Gonzaga vs St. Mary’s10 PM EST | University Credit Union Pavilion10-Unit bet on St. Mary’s -2.5 points and is valid to -3.5 points.
Consider betting 60% preflop on SMU and then look to add 20% more at pick-em and 20% more at +3.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 17-6 SU record and a 15-8 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites. · The favorite is ranked higher in the latest AP poll than the foe. · The favorite won the first meeting of the season on the road by five or fewer points. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 172-44 SU record and a 135-77 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites including pick-em. · The home favorite is a very strong defensive team allowing 63 or fewer points on the season. · The road team has won their last three games by double-digits. · The road team is averaging 76 or more PPG.
From my predictive models, SMU is 27-1 SU for 96% and 21-5-1 ATS for 81% winning bets over the past two seasons when scoring 74 or more points. 86% probability that SMU will score 74 or more points based on the predictive models’ projections. |
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03-02-24 | Pacific +10 v. San Diego | Top | 69-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Pacific vs San Diego 10 ET | EDSPNM+ | Jenny Craig Pavilion 8-Unit bet on Pacific +9.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 66-543 SU record and a 359-222 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on Bet on road underdogs of 9 or more points. · Our road team has lost their last two games by double-digits to conference foes. · Our road team is avenging a same-season loss.
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03-02-24 | Penn State +6.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Penn State vs Minnesota 8-Unit bet on Penn State +6.5 points and is valid to 4.5 points. This line is more likely to increase ahead of the tip-off, so patience may be rewarded with a 7.5 or even 8.5 point betting line. Penn State is 20-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games have been played in each of the last two seasons; 19-8 ATS when facing good shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots after 15 or more games over the last three seasons; 27-13 ATS when facing a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game after game number 15 of each of the past three seasons; 18-4-1 ATS after losing four or five of their previous six games spanning the last three seasons. Minnesota is just 4-24 SATS in home games following a game in which they allowed 55% or higher shooting. From the predictive models., we learn that PSU is 35-7 SU and 29-7-2 ATS good for 81% winning bets over the past five seasons when scoring 75 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. |
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03-02-24 | Towson +4 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Towson State vs UNC-Wilmington2 ET | CBSSN8-Unit Bet on Towson State +3.5 points and is valid to +1.5 points.
The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 19-14 SU record and a 23-10 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs that won their previous game on the road by 15 or more points · The foe is coming off a game in which they scored 59 or fewer points in a home loss
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03-02-24 | North Carolina-Asheville v. Radford +1 | Top | 71-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
UNC-Ashville vs Radford2:00 PM EST | ESPN+8-Unit Bet on Radford using the money line if the4 spread has them priced as no more than a 2-point favorite. If the spread moves to -2.5 or greater favorite then bet the spread number.
The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 73-43 SU record and a 72-41-3 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a team priced between a 3.5-point dog and a 3.5-point favorite. · That same team has led at the half by 7 or more points in each of their last three games. · That same team is facing a foe that scored 75 or more points in each of their last three games. |
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03-02-24 | Villanova +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 71-60 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
Villanova vs Providence Noon Fox Amica Mutual Pavilion 8-Unit bet on Villanova +2.5 points and is valid if Nova remains the dog. The following NCAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 33-10 SU record and a 34-8-1 ATS mark good for 80%% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on teams priced between the three’s. · The game features two teams scoring between 67.5 and 74 PPG on the season. · The game occurs after the 15th game of the season. · Our team (Villanova) led by the half by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. Villanova goes for the season sweep in a very difficult venue to play at in Providence. However, Nova is playing their best basketball of the season and certainly can win this game. From my predictive models, Villanova is 21-3 SU and 16-5-3 ATS since 2021 wqhen they have scored 77 or more points and committed 12 or fewer turnovers.
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03-01-24 | Harvard +2.5 v. Brown | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Harvard vs Brown 7 ET 8-Unit bet on Harvard +2.5 points and is valid down to pick-em The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 55-72 SU record and a 86-39 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs including pick-em. · That road team is avenging a same-season loss as a favorite to the host. · Host is coming off two wins by 5 or fewer points in each one, From my predictive models we learn that Cal Baptist is 15-0 SU and ATS when scoring 74 or more points, having fewer turnovers, and committing no more than 13 turnovers in games played since 2017. |
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02-29-24 | Stephen F Austin v. California Baptist -1 | Top | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
SF Austin vs Cal Baptist 10 ET 8-Unit bet on Cal Baptist using the money line up to -135. If the money line is higher than -135 bet Cal Baptists using the spread. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 184-114 SU record good for 62% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams that have lost to the spread by 42 or more points over their previous seven games. · Facing a foe that has seen their last seven games play Under the total by 42 or more points. · The home team is favored by not more than 4 points and includes Pick-em. From my predictive models we learn that Cal Baptist is 15-0 SU and ATS when scoring 74 or more points, having fewer turnovers, and committing no more than 13 turnovers in games played since 2017. Last day to get March Madness Subscription at 50% off the regular price. Do not miss out getting on board our 4th-rtanked college basketball capper today.
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02-29-24 | Michigan +8 v. Rutgers | Top | 52-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Michigan vs Rutgers From my predictive models we learn that Michigan is 20-5 SU and 19-4-1 ATS when scoring 70 or more points and committing no more than 12 turnovers in games played since 2017. My model calls for an 84% probability that Michigan will meet or exceed these measures, which also implies a 16% chance they will not. Last day to get March Madness Subscription at 50% off the regular price. Do not miss out getting on board our 4th-rtanked college basketball capper today. |
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02-28-24 | California +13.5 v. Colorado | Top | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Cal vs Colorado 8 ET 8-Unit bet on Cal plus the 13.5 points and is valid down to 11.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 144-78-4 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs priced between 11.5 and 17 points. · Conference matchup. · After game number 15 · The total is 140 or more points. · The dog has forced 13 or fewer turnovers in five consecutive games. · The foe has forced 10 or fewer turnovers in each of their last three games. |
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02-27-24 | Northern Illinois +15 v. Toledo | Top | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Northern Illinois vs Toledo 8-Unit bet on Northern Illinois (NIU) +15 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog, which obviously they will. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 144-78-4 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. · Our road team is avenging a same-season double-digit loss. · Our road team is coming off a double digit loss to a conference rival. |
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02-26-24 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Houston Christian +13 | Top | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Texas A&M Corpus Christie vs Houston Christian The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 83-51 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2013. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. · That dog has lost three consecutive games to conference foes. · The foe is coming off an upset road win. If the opponent is playing on one day of rest exact their record soars to 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets. |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -6.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Nebraska 6:30 ET | BTN 8-Unit Bet on Nebraska -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points. The following NCAAB algorithm has earned a 80-18 SU and 65-33 ATS record for 66.3% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites including pick-em. · Home team led at the half of their previous game by 5 or more points. · The Visitor has scored 75 or more points in each of their three previous games. |
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02-25-24 | Iona v. Mt. St. Mary's UNDER 145.5 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Iona vs Mount St. Mary’s 2:00 ET | ESPN+ 8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 145.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points. The following NCAAB algorithm has earned a n 85-53 record good for 62% over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the under when priced between 143 and 152 points. · The home team has lost the spread by 52 or more points spanning their previous 10 games. · The visitor has seen their last five games play Over the total by 30 or more points. |
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02-24-24 | Loyola Marymount v. Pacific +8.5 | Top | 86-63 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Loyola-Marymount vs Pacific 10 ET | ESPN+ | Alex G Spanos Center 8-Unit Bet on Pacific +7 points and is valid to 6 points The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 90-42 Under for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points. · The dog has lost three straight games to conference foes. · The opponent is coming off a terrible road loss in which they scored fewer than 60 points. Loyola is 3-12 ATS in road games with a total priced between 140 and 149.5 points; 1-10 ATS after four consecutive games getting outrebounded by 6 or more boards. |
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02-24-24 | Villanova +12 v. Connecticut | Top | 54-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Villanova vs UCONN 8 PM EST | FOX | Gampel Pavillion 10-UNIT Bet on the Villanova Wildcats plus 11.5 points and is valid to 10-points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 4-38 SU and 30-9-3 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on double-digit underdogs. · The dog has seen their last seven games play Under the total by 42 or more points. · The favorite was defeated by 18 or more points to the spread in their previous game. Nova is 7-1 ATS when facing a team that is shooting 45% or higher in games played this season. Nova has done well in the month of February and has generated a ton of momentum heading in to the Conference and NCAA Tournaments. Head coach Neptune is 17-5 ATS in February games and 34-17-1 ATS when playing their second game spanning a week. From the predictive model we are looking for Nova to make 10 or more 3-pointers, commit 12 or fewer turnovers and make 85% of their free throws. In past games in which they met these performance hurdles has seen them produce an exceptional 31-5 SU record and 23-9 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets. |
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02-24-24 | Georgetown v. DePaul UNDER 150.5 | Top | 77-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Georgetown vs DePaul 8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 150 points and is valid to 148.5 points The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 90-42 Under for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet the Under in a game priced between 145 and 150 points. · The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. · The opponent has seen their last five games play Over the total by 35 or more points. Georgetown is 18-7 Under when facing a team that is allowing 45% shooting in games played in the second half spanning the past 10 seasons. DePaul is 29-12-1 Under after having three consecutive games in which they forced 11 or fewer turnovers in each game. |
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02-24-24 | North Carolina -2.5 v. Virginia | Top | 54-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
(10) North Carolina vs Virginia 8-Unit bet on UNC -2.5 points and is valid to -3.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 59-15 SU and 46-26-2 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites. · The game is a conference matchup. · The road team covered the spread as a double-digit favorite in their previous game. · The road team is playing on 5 or 6 days of rest. The No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels (20-6, 12-3 ACC) will face the Virginia Cavaliers (20-7, 11-5 ACC) in a crucial ACC showdown on Saturday, February 24th at 4 p.m. ET at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville. The game will be televised on ESPN and streamed on fuboTV1. Both teams are coming off losses in their previous games. North Carolina fell to Syracuse 81-75 on the road, snapping a four-game winning streak. Virginia suffered a humiliating 75-41 defeat at the hands of rival Virginia Tech, their worst loss in the Tony Bennett era. The Tar Heels and the Cavaliers have contrasting styles of play. North Carolina is one of the most explosive offensive teams in the country, averaging 82.8 points per game, second in the ACC and 14th in the nation. They also lead the nation in rebounding margin (+11.5) and offensive rebounding percentage (40.8%). Virginia is known for its stifling defense, holding opponents to 59.8 points per game, first in the ACC and fifth in the nation. They also rank first in the nation in turnover percentage (12.9%) and second in three-point percentage (40.7%). The key players to watch for North Carolina are senior guard RJ Davis, who leads the team in scoring (21.3 ppg) and assists (3.6 apg), and senior forward Armando Bacot, who averages a double-double of 14.6 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. For Virginia, senior guard Reece Beekman is the team’s top scorer (13.9 ppg) and playmaker (5.8 apg), while senior forward Jay Huff is a dominant presence in the paint, averaging 12.8 points, 7.1 rebounds and 2.5 blocks per game. The all-time series between the two teams is heavily in favor of North Carolina, who leads 134-62. However, Virginia has won eight of the last 10 meetings, including a 68-58 victory in the quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament last season. The Cavaliers have also won eight straight home games against the Tar Heels, dating back to 2012. |
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02-24-24 | Stephen F Austin +4 v. Utah Valley | Top | 62-71 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
SF Austin State vs Utah Valley State 8-Unit Bet on SF Austin +4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 59-15 SU and 46-26-2 ATS for 64% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites. · The game is a conference matchup. · The road team covered the spread as a double-digit favorite in their previous game. · The road team is playing on 5 or 6 days of rest. Road underdogs that have lost 10 or more games against the spread are 7-4 ATS for 64% winning bets. |
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02-23-24 | Fairfield v. Quinnipiac -3 | Top | 85-81 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Quinnipiac vs. Fairfield 8-Unit bet on Quinnipiac -3 points and is valid to -4 points. On Friday, February 23, 2024, the Quinnipiac Bobcats (19-6, 11-3 MAAC) will host the Fairfield Stags (16-10, 10-5 MAAC) in a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC) clash at M&T Bank Arena in Hamden, Connecticut. Let’s dive into the details: Team Notes:· Fairfield Stags (16-10, 10-5 MAAC): The Stags are coming off a 94-80 victory over Mount Saint Mary’s, with Caleb Fields leading the way with 26 points.Fairfield has won four of its last five games.On offense, the Stags are scoring an average of 76.3 points per game (ranked 108th nationally).Their shooting percentages are 45.3% overall and 37.4% from beyond the arc.Caleb Fields is the top scorer, averaging 16.0 points per game, followed closely by Jalen Leach with 15.8 points per game.Jasper Floyd facilitates the offense with an average of 4.6 assists per game.Defensively, Fairfield allows an average of 71.3 points per game (ranked 164th).Peyton Smith protects the rim with an average of 0.8 blocked shots per game.· Quinnipiac Bobcats (19-6, 11-3 MAAC): Despite losing their last two games, the Bobcats maintain a 1 ½-game lead atop the MAAC standings over Fairfield and Niagara.Quinnipiac was defeated by Niagara 80-66 in their most recent outing.Offensively, the Bobcats score an average of 78.3 points per game (ranked 68th nationally).Their shooting percentages are 44.6% overall and 34.6% from three-point range.Free throw shooting is a strength for Quinnipiac, ranking 13th nationally at 78%.The game pace for Quinnipiac is relatively high, contributing to their offensive output.Basket Assisted Points per Game:Quinnipiac relies on ball movement and teamwork to create scoring opportunities.Their style of play emphasizes assisted baskets rather than individual heroics.Look for players like Jalen Pickett and Seth Pinkney to facilitate ball movement and find open teammates.Prediction:My predictive model is expecting Quinnipiac to score 77 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games played over the past five seasons, Quinnipiac is 23-2 SU and 15-3-1 ATS for 83% winning bets when meeting these performance measures. Fairfield is 2-14 SU and 4-1 ATS when allowing 77 or more points and have the same or more turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. |
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02-23-24 | Iona v. Rider -1.5 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
Iona vs Rider 7:00 Est | ESPN+ | Alumni Gymnasium 8-Unit bet on Rider -1.5 points and is valid to -3.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 31-10 SU record and 31-10 ATS good for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons The requirements are: · Bet on any team priced between the 3’s. · Both teams average 67 to 74.5 PPG on the season. · The game takes place after the 15th one. · That team is coming off a game in which they led at the half by 20+ points. |
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02-22-24 | Elon +10 v. Northeastern | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
Elon vs Northeastern 7 ET | Matthews Arena, Boston 8-Unit bet on Elon+9.5 points and is valid to 8.5 points The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 17-20 SU record and a 28-9 ATS record for 76% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: § Bet on dogs priced between a 3.5 and 9.5 point dog. § That dog is avenging a same season loss. § That Dog is coming off an upset win where they were priced as a 12.5 point or greater dog.
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02-21-24 | Navy -1.5 v. Loyola Maryland | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Navy vs Loyola-Maryland 7 EST Navy has lost their last 8 games and is on a remarkable 0-10-1 ATS losing streak, but according to the predictive models, this will change tonight. Loyola split their road trip to the Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton area in PA (ABE) defeating and covering against Lafayette and losing, but covering against Lehigh. Navy skipper DeChellis is a solid 48-21 ATS following four straight games committing no more than 14 turnovers in each game; 18-6 ATS after five such games. From the predictive models we are expecting a slow pace to this game with neither team attempting more than 55 shots and with Loyola committing three or more turnovers than Navy. In past games matching these measures, Navy has gone 15-3 SUATS. Bet Navy. |
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02-19-24 | Iowa State v. Houston -9 | Top | 65-73 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
(10) Iowa State vs (1) Houston 9 ET | ESPN | Fertitta Center 10-Unit Bet on Houston minus the 9 points and is valid to 10.5 points.
Remember, these 10-UNIT MAX plays win at 67% ATS of the time, but that also means they lose 33% of the time. I am a 100% no hype person when it comes to trading the financial markets and sports betting opportunities. Yes, no doubt, I am quite confident when these plays are identified with my pre3dictive models, but please do yourself a favor and remind yourself there are NO LOCKS and I do not possess psychic powers or even a crystal ball (smile). Bet smartly always whether a 10-UNIT or an 8-Unit or even a 5-Unit best bet. Currently 77% of the handle is on ISU and this may be enough pressure to move the line down throughout the afternoon ahead of the 9 PM ET tipoff. The price as a dog is deflated on ISU meaning the models see this line fairly priced at -13.5 points. So, anything south of 9.5 points is a great betting opportunity. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 81-47-2 ATS record good for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: ü Bet on any team ü Facing a foe that has covered five or more consecutive games ATS. ü That foe has won 80% or more of their games on the season. If the team is playing at home and facing a conference foe, their record soars to 23-15 SU and 29-8-1 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past five seasons. Drilling down a bit farther, if our home team is favored, they are a perfect 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets over the past five seasons. The No. 10 Iowa State Cyclones (20-5, 9-3 Big 12) will face the No. 3 Houston Cougars (22-3, 9-3 Big 12) on Monday night at Fertitta Center in a battle for the top spot in the conference. Both teams are coming off impressive wins over ranked opponents on Saturday and have split their two previous meetings this season. Iowa State: Seeking More than Just the Big-12 Championship The Cyclones have won seven of their last eight games and have covered the spread in five straight, including an 82-74 victory over No. 15 Texas Tech on Saturday. Iowa State is led by freshman guard Tamin Lipsey, who averages 13.2 points, 5.5 assists, and 2.9 steals per game. Lipsey is shooting 43.6 percent from the field and 36.3 percent from beyond the arc. He scored 18 points and dished out seven assists in the win over the Red Raiders. Iowa State also has a balanced scoring attack, with four other players averaging double figures. Sophomore guard Keshon Gilbert is second on the team with 14.2 points per game, followed by senior forward Curtis Jones (10.1), freshman forward Milan Momcilovic (12.0), and junior center Robert Jones (8.6). The Cyclones are a potent offensive team, averaging 78.7 points per game on 47.6 percent shooting, including 35.3 percent from three-point range. They also rank 24th in the nation in assists per game (16.5) and third in steals per game (10.7). On the defensive end, Iowa State is one of the best teams in the country, allowing only 62.5 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting. The Cyclones are especially effective at forcing turnovers, as they rank second in the nation in turnover margin (+6.3) and third in turnover percentage (25.4). Iowa State also has a solid rebounding margin (+2.9) and blocks per game (3.0). Houston: Dominant on both ends of the floor The Cougars have won three straight games, including an 82-61 rout of No. 9 Texas on Saturday. Houston is led by senior guard Jamal Shead, who averages 12.8 points, 5.8 assists, and 2.3 steals per game. Shead is shooting 44.1 percent from the field and 34.1 percent from three-point range. He had 16 points, six assists, and four steals in the win over the Longhorns. Houston also has a deep and talented roster, with four other players averaging at least 9.1 points per game. Senior guard LJ Cryer leads the team with 15.3 points per game, followed by senior forward J’wan Roberts (9.1), sophomore guard Emanuel Sharp (12.3), and junior center Ja’Vier Francis (6.0). The Cougars are a solid offensive team, averaging 73.9 points per game on 43.4 percent shooting, including 34.6 percent from three-point range. They also rank fifth-best in the nation in turnovers per game (8.7) and 13th in offensive rebounds per game (14.9). However, Houston’s main strength is its defense, which ranks first in the nation in points allowed per game (55.0), field goal percentage defense (37.2), and defensive efficiency (86.3). The Cougars are also among the best in the country in three-point percentage defense (28.8), rebounding margin (+8.2), steals per game (10.0), and blocks per game (5.0). Houston has held 19 of its 25 opponents to 60 or fewer points, and has not allowed more than 70 points in any game this season. They Houston defense has held 14 opponents to season scoring lows so far in 2023. Iowa State is one of those 14 teams, who defeated the Cougars 57-53. I see the Cougars reestablishing the ISU scoring low tonight. The Cougars will look to extend their home dominance and sweep the season series against Iowa State on Monday. Houston has not lost at Fertitta Center since Feb. 22, 2023, when it fell to Cincinnati 69-68. The Cougars have won by an average of 19.6 points per game at home this season, and have held their opponents to 51.1 points per game on 35.2 percent shooting. Houston will need to continue its defensive excellence and exploit Iowa State’s weaknesses on the boards and at the free-throw line. |
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02-18-24 | Rutgers +4.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Rutgers vs Minnesota 6:30 ET | Big Ten network | Williams Arena The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 163-68 SU record and 138-64 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: ü Bet on road team. ü That road team is coming off a win but failed to cover the spread. ü The home team is coming off a conference loss allowing 80 or more points. |
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02-18-24 | Niagara v. Quinnipiac -5.5 | Top | 80-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
Niagara vs Quinnipiac 8-Unit Bet on Quinnipiac minus the 6 points and is valid to 7.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 26-15 SU record and 31-8 ATS record good for 80% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on teams with 7 or more days of rest. ü That team is coming off a horrid loss by 15 or more3 points and was priced as the favorite. From the predictive models, we are looking for Quinnipiac to score 80 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games when they have met these performance measures has led them to a 17-1 SU record and 15-2-1 ATS mark good for 89% winning bets since 2019. |
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02-18-24 | Purdue v. Ohio State UNDER 147 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Purdue vs Ohio State 1 ET | CBS | Value City Arena 8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 145.5 points and is valid down to 142.5 points. This game is expected to feature scoring runs by both teams and there will be intervals where the teams are combining to score 5 or more points per minute spanning three minutes. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% at 149.5 points and 15% more at 153.5 points during the first half of action. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 26-21 SU record and 24-23 ATS record and 31-16 Under good for 66% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: ü Bet the under with a price between 143 and 152. ü The home team has failed to cover the spread by 55 to 65 points over their previous 10 games. ü The visitor has seen their last five games play Over by 35 or more points. If the game occurs after the 15th of the season, the Under has produced a 28-11 record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. |
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02-17-24 | Portland +6 v. Pepperdine | Top | 70-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Portland vs Pepperdine 10:00 ET | ESPN+ 8-Unit bet on Portland +5.5 points and valid down to 4.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 35-61 SU record and 63-32-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on Underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. ü The dog has lost three straight games to conference foes. ü The dog is coming off a horrid road loss in which they scored 60 or fewer points. Game Notes: The Portland Pilots are heading to the Firestone Fieldhouse on Saturday night to face off against the Pepperdine Waves in West Coast Conference action. Here’s a preview of the game: Portland Pilots (9-18, 3-9 WCC):The Pilots are on a three-game losing streak after a 71-66 road loss against the San Diego Toreros.Freshman guard Tyler Harris played well in their last game, recording 19 points, 10 rebounds, and contributing defensively.The Pilots’ defense has struggled throughout the year, giving up an average of 80.3 points per game, but Harris’ defensive presence will be a positive factor for them in this gameInjury Report:Guard Vincent Delano: Redshirt (OUT)Guard Jude Harris: Redshirt (OUT)Forward Cyprian Hyde: Redshirt (OUT)Forward Alimamy Koroma: Undisclosed (OUT)Pepperdine Waves (10-17, 3-9):The Waves are coming off a brutal 103-59 road loss against the Saint Mary’s Gaels.Sophomore forward Jevon Porter stepped up in their last game, posting 13 points and contributing defensively. |
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02-17-24 | LSU +7.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
LSU vs South Carolina 3:30 ET | SECN The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 11-11 SU record and 18-4 ATS record good for 82% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on Underdogs after game number 15. ü The matchup is two teams shooting 32 to 36.5% form beyond the arc. ü The favorite is coming off a game shooting 38% or worse and allowing at least 60% shooting in their previous game. The No. 11 South Carolina Gamecocks (21-4, 9-3 SEC) will host the LSU Tigers (12-12, 4-7 SEC) in a conference matchup at Colonial Life Arena in Columbia. The game will tip off at 3:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on SEC Network1. South Carolina is coming off a blowout loss at Auburn, where they scored only 61 points and allowed 101. The Gamecocks will look to bounce back and extend their four-game home winning streak. South Carolina is led by junior guard Meechie Johnson Jr., who averages 14.4 points per game and shoots 33.6% from three-point range. The Gamecocks also have a balanced scoring attack, with four other players averaging at least nine points per game. South Carolina ranks 35th in the nation in points allowed per game (65.4) and 63rd in assists per game (15.2). LSU has lost three straight games and five of their last six, falling to the bottom of the SEC standings. The Tigers have struggled defensively, giving up 74.8 points per game, which ranks 265th in the country. LSU also has a negative turnover margin, averaging 12.8 turnovers per game while forcing only 11.6. The Tigers are led by senior guard Jordan Wright, who averages 15 points per game and 1.8 steals per game. Wright is also a threat from beyond the arc, shooting 33.9% from three-point range. LSU also has a talented big man in sophomore center Will Baker, who averages 12.6 points per game and 53.9% from the field. This game could have implications for the SEC tournament seeding, as South Carolina is currently tied for second place in the conference, while LSU is in 12th place. Both teams will try to end their losing streaks and gain some momentum heading into the final stretch of the regular season. |
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02-17-24 | Samford v. Mercer +10.5 | Top | 84-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
Samford vs Mercer 2 ET | 8-Unit Bet on Mercer +10 points and is good to 9.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 38-119 SU record and 85-55-3 ATS record good for 61% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: ü Bet on losing record home teams ü The visitor has seen their last five games play Under the posted total by a combined 30 or more points. ü The visitor has 80% or more of their games on the season. If the game occurs after game number 20 of the season, our home teams have gone 16-64 SU and 49-27-1 ATS for 65% winning bets. If our team is priced as a double-digit dog has improved their record to 6-32 SU and 25-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2006. |
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02-16-24 | Brown +13.5 v. Princeton | Top | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Brown vs Princeton 7:00 ET | ESPN+ | Jadwin Gymnasium The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a SU record and 118-86-3 ATS record good for 58% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on road dogs priced between 11.5 and 17 points. ü The game takes place after game number 15 and is a conference showdown. ü The total is 140 or more points. ü Our road team has forced |
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02-15-24 | Utah Valley v. California Baptist -2.5 | Top | 69-46 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Utah Valley State vs Cal Baptist 10:00 ET | 8-Unit bet on Cal Baptist -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 112-31 SU record and 89-54 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on favorites between 2.5 and 9.5 points. ü The favorite is coming off an upset road loss. ü The underdog is coming off a huge home win by 20 or more points. If the game is after game number 15 of the regular season, these favorites have gone 70-11 SU and 55-26 ATS for 68% winning bets. If the line drops below -2.5 it remains a valid bet since my predictive models have them on the radar if they do not become a favorite. |
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02-15-24 | Pacific +16.5 v. Santa Clara | Top | 53-79 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Pacific vs Santa Clara 10:00 ET | 8-Unit bet on Pacific +17 points and is valid to 14.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 15-116 SU record and 83-46-2 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on road underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. ü The road team is avenging a same season double-digit loss at home. ü That road dog is coming off three consecutive losses to conference foes. |
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02-15-24 | Gonzaga v. Loyola Marymount +16 | Top | 91-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Gonzaga vs Loyola Marymount Gersten Pavillion | 9:00 ET | CBSSN The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 13-194 SU record and 118-86-3 ATS record good for 58% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. ü That underdog has lost their last three games all to conference foes. ü The favorite is coming off an upset road win. If the host has won 33 to 45% of their games, their record improves to 29-17-1 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2006. The Gonzaga Bulldogs (18-6, 8-2 WCC) will look to extend their four-game road winning streak when they face the Loyola Marymount Lions (10-14, 3-7 WCC) on Thursday, February 15, 2024, at the Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles. The game will be televised on CBS Sports Network at 9:00 PM ET. The Bulldogs are coming off an impressive 89-85 victory over the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, where they overcame a 15-point deficit in the second half. Anton Watson led the way with 23 points and 10 rebounds, while Graham Ike added 21 points and nine boards. Ryan Nembhard and Nolan Hickman also scored in double figures, with 16 and 14 points respectively. Gonzaga shot 51.6% from the field and 40.0% from the three-point line, while holding Kentucky to 42.9% and 31.6%. The Lions have lost four straight games, including a 77-64 defeat to the San Francisco Dons on Saturday. Alex Merkviladze was the only Lion to score in double digits, with 16 points and six rebounds. Dominick Harris, Justin Wright, and Will Johnston combined for 27 points, but shot just 9-of-28 from the field. Keli Leaupepe, who averages 9.9 points per game, was held to just four points on 2-of-9 shooting. Loyola Marymount shot 38.5% from the field and 26.1% from the three-point line, while allowing San Francisco to shoot 50.0% and 40.0%. Gonzaga has dominated the series against Loyola Marymount, winning 24 of the last 25 meetings. The last time the Lions beat the Bulldogs was on February 18, 2010, when they pulled off a 74-66 upset at home. The Bulldogs have won the last 12 games at the Gersten Pavilion by an average margin of 19.8 points. The last time the Lions came within single digits of the Bulldogs at home was on January 31, 2015, when they lost 72-55. Nevermind the history lesson as this is simply too many points to give the Lions and the projections from my predictive models show a reasonable probability that they can keep the final deficit to 10 or fewer points. |
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02-15-24 | Minnesota v. Purdue -16.5 | Top | 76-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Purdue 8:30 ET | 8-Unit bet on Purdue -16.5 points and is valid to -17.5 points.
The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 112-31 SU record and 89-54 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: ü Bet on home favorites including pick-em. ü The favorite has scored 75 or more points in three consecutive games. ü The underdog is coming off a huge offensive game scoring 85 or more points. If the game is after game number 15 of the regular season, these favorites have gone 70-11 SU and 55-26 ATS for 68% winning bets. If the line drops below -2.5 it remains a valid bet since my predictive models have them on the radar if they do not become a favorite. From the predictive model, Purdue is 83-3 SU and 40-13-1 ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points and committing the same or fewer turnovers than their foe in home games. |
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02-15-24 | Seattle University -3.5 v. Southern Utah | Top | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Seattle vs Southern Utah 8:30 ET | 8-Unit bet on Seattle -4 points and is valid to -5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 45-8 SU record and 39-13-1 ATS record good for 75% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. ü The favorite is allowing 67 to 74 points per game. ü The game occurs after the 15th game of the season. ü The favorite is coming off game in which they allowed 45 or more points in the first half. ü The dog is scoring between 74 and 78 points per game. |
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02-14-24 | Western Carolina +7.5 v. Samford | Top | 62-88 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Western Carolina vs Samford 8-Unit bet on Western Carolina +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 21-29 SU and 35-15 ATS (70%) record since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on road underdogs including pick-em. ü The road team has committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each of their last four games. ü The host is coming off a game committing 8 or fewer turnovers. ü The host is coming off a double-digit SUATS win. From the predictive model we learn that WCU is 24-17 SU and 28-7-1 ATS for 80% winning bets in road games in which they scored 75 or more points and had the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. |
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02-14-24 | Oakland +1.5 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
Oakland vs Purdue Fort Wayne 7 ET | ESPN+ |Allen County War Memorial Coliseum 8-Unit bet on Oakland using the money line if the spread is priced between -1.5 and +1.5. If Oakland is priced as a 2 or more-point favorite or dog then use that line instead of the money line. Oakland is likely to remain the underdog in this matchup. The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced a 52-26 ATS record good for 67% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on road underdogs including pick-em. ü The road team held their previous opponent to 35% or worse shooting. ü The host has shot 50% or higher from the field in each of their last three games. From my predictive models, we learn that Oakland is 40-9 SU and 34-10-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when they have scored 75 or more points and had 15 or fewer turnnovers in games played over the past five seasons.
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02-13-24 | Michigan +16.5 v. Illinois | Top | 68-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Michigan vs Illinois 7 ET | Peacock | State Farm Center 8-Unit Bet on Michigan plus the 15.5 points and is valid to 13.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 5-38 SU record and 30-13 ATS record for 70% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: ü Bet on road dogs priced between 11.5 and 17 points. ü The game takes place after game number 15 and is a conference showdown. ü The total is 140 or more points. ü Our road team has forced 13 or fewer turnovers in each of their last five games. ü The host has forced 10 or fewer turnovers in each of their last three games. |
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02-13-24 | Iowa State +2 v. Cincinnati | Top | 68-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
(10) Iowa State vs Cincinnati 7 ET | ESPN2 | Fifth Third Arena 8-Unit Bet on Iowa State plus 1.5 points and is valid to a -1.5-point favorite. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 42-74 SU record and 71-45 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: ü Bet on road dogs including pick-em. ü Our road team has committed 11 or fewer turnovers in each of their last four games. ü The host committed 8 or fewer turnovers in their previous game. ISU is 7-1 ATS after allowing 25 or fewer first half points in their previous game; 12-4 ARS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ISU head coach Otzelberger is 23-13 ATS after allowing 25 or fewer points in the first half of their previous game. Cincinnati head coach Miller is just 4-13 AZTS following a game in which his team got two or fewer steals. From the predictive model, we are looking for ISU to score 74 or more points and commit 12 or fewer turnovers. In this role they have earned a 26-4 SU mark and 22-8 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Cincinnati is 8-21 SU and 11-17-1 ATS (39%) when allowing 74 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. |
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02-12-24 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Nicholls State +3.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Texas A&M CC vs. Nicholls State 8-Unit Bet on Nicholls State +3.5 points and is valid if the remain the underdog. TAMCC is on a 7-game ats win streak and note that teams like them that are playing on the road and coming off a road loss have gone just 9-23 SUATS for 28% winning bets. From my predictive models we are looking for Nicholls State to score 72 or more points and shoot at least 45% from the field. In past games since 2019, Nicholls State is 60-7 SU and 19-10-1 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2019. The reason the SU record has far more games listed than the ATS record is that Nicholls State was not lined often in years past. |
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02-11-24 | Minnesota v. Iowa -6.5 | Top | 85-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Iowa 3 PM EST Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit amount preflop on Iowa and then look to add 25% more at -3.5 points during the first half of action. Minnesota is 19-40-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9.5 points; 37-59 ASTS in road games after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in their previous game. Iowa head coach McCaffery is 23-10 ATS in home games after allowing 85 or more points in the last game; 28-10 ATS in home games and having lost the previous game by double-digits. From the predictive model we learn that Iowa is 56-7 SU and 44-14 ATS for 76% winning bets when scoring at least 78 points and getting at least 17 assists in games played over the past five seasons. |
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02-10-24 | St. John's v. Marquette -7.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
St. Johns vs Marquette For Live in-game netting strategies consider betting on Marquette preflop and then look to add 15% more at -4.5 points and 15% more at 2.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 162-122 ATS for 57% winning tickets sine 2015. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites. Ø That favorite has scored 75 or more points in three consecutive games. Ø The dog is coming off a game in which they scored 85 or more points. From the predictive model we learn that Marquette is 91-3 SU and 62-30-2 ATS for 67.4% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points and getting at least 15 assists in home games. |
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02-10-24 | Tarleton State +8 v. Seattle University | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Tarleton State vs Seattle 6 ET | ESPN+ | Redhawk Center Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 11.5 points during the first half of action. TS is just 7-1 ATS following a game that played Under. Seattle is 12-28 ATS after winning three of their last four games; 3-12 ATS after winning four of their last five games. Tarleton head coach Gillispie is 14-5 ATS in road games with a total between 130 and 139.5 points. From the predictive model we learn that Tarleton is a jaw-dropping 35-0 SU and 17-1-1 ATS for 94% winning bets when scoring 70 or more -points and holding their foes to less than 45% shooting. |
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02-10-24 | NC State v. Wake Forest -7.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
NC State vs Wake Forest Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum 5-Unit Best Bet on Wake Forest -7.5 points and is valid to -8.5 points The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 162-122 ATS for 57% winning tickets sine 2015. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Ø That favorite is outscoring their opponents buy double-digits. Ø That favorite led by 20 or more points at the half of their last game. From the predictive model we learn that Wake Forest is 95-10 SU and 68-20-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points in home games. Wake Forest is 61-4 SU and 43-8-1 ATS for 84% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers. For Live in-game netting strategies consider betting on Wake Forest preflop and then look to add 15% more at -4.5 points and 15% more at 2.5 points. |
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02-09-24 | San Jose State v. Colorado State -15.5 | Top | 47-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
San Jose State vs Colorado State 9:30 PM EST 8-Unit bet on CSU -15.5 point and is valid to 16.5 points San Jose State is just 0-6 ATS when facing solid shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after 15 or more games this season; 2-10 ATS when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season; 1-10 ATS in road games after two straight games making 53% of their free throws or worse. From my predictive models, CSU is expected to score 80 or more points (85% probability) and when they have in past games, they have earned a 30-10 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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02-08-24 | Texas-Arlington v. California Baptist -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Texas-Arlington vs Cal Baptist 10 ET 8-Unit Bet on Cal Baptist minus the 3.5 points and is valid to -5 points. Cal Baptists is 35-19 SU and 23-13 ATS for 63% winning bets following a game in which they shot 42% or worse form the field. From the predictive model, Cal Baptists is 14-2 SUATS when scoring 74 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past 5 seasons. |