Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-06-16 | Maryland v. Indiana -5.5 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indiana as they host Maryland in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by more than 8 points. Hoosiers finally getting a little more respect from the betting public, but they are still a vastly under rated team. They have a 14-3 record in a very difficult conference and still feel they have a ton of work ahead of them. I like this playing in the present mantra and looking forward at what still needs to be done. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is just 15-40 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997; Indiana is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season; Maryland is 13-44 ATS (-35.4 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997 Fundamental Discussion Points You can see that the key metric is for Indiana to score more than 81 points. Indiana ranks 10th best in offensive scoring at 82.8 PPG, and an exceptional 5th best in three point shot percentage. They rank 3rd in overall shooting percentage at 50.2% and second best with a 1.220 shooting efficiency rating. Even though Maryland has an excellent defense, I just do not see them holding up against the Hoosiers, who can score from anywhere on the court, especially the three. Take Indiana. |
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03-05-16 | South Carolina +4.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 76-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
50* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Arkansas in SEC action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is a very strong 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) facing good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons; 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games when playing their 2nd game in 3 days since 1997. SC head coach Martin is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) facing good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game Fundamental Discussion Points SC is an excellent rebounding team ranking 13th averaging 41 boards per game. Arkansas defense ranks 236th allowing 37 boards per game and ranks 234th allowing 9.6 offensive boards per game. SC ranks 9th best getting 12.3 offensive boards per game. So, you can readily see that SC will dominate the glass and get far more multi-shot possessions than Arkansas. This is critical given that Arkansas does have shooters and they can score in bunches. I see SC controlling the flow and winning going away. |
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03-05-16 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Kansas State as they take on Texas Tech in BIG-12 action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-18 over the last 5 seasons good for 70.5% ATS: PLAY ON road teams as an underdog or pick (KANSAS ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 20 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas St is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. KSU is 4-1 straight up against Texas Tech over the last 3 seasons. Weber is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of Kansas St. Fundamental Discussion Points A unique game with KSU coming in off a blowout win and TTU coming in off a blowout loss. Texas Tech's loss comes off of WVU in which KSU lost by less earlier in the year. Kansas State will have more second chances this game as they grab 2.5 more rebounds a game than Texas Tech. Kansas St ranks an excellent 21st in the country in offensive boards a game. They also swipe 2 more steals a game than TTU. KSU is ranked as high as 35th in the country only allowing 34.3 points per game in 2nd halves this season. Kansas State can grab the opportunities to win this game. Pick Kansas State. |
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03-05-16 | Georgetown v. Villanova -14 | Top | 71-84 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Georgetown in BIG EAST action set to start at Noon ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by at least 17 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-21 ATS over the last 5 seasons good for 68.7% ATS: PLAY ON a home team (VILLANOVA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 4 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons;13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons; a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a game committing 12+ less turnovers than opponents over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Villanova is 2-0 against the spread and SU at home versus Georgetown over the last 3 seasons. Nova has a significant 2.5% higher effective FG percentage than Georgetown which outranks them (29th and 111st respectively). Villanova does beat Georgetown in all statistical categories by significant margin except blocks. Georgetown is a very sloppy team ranking 342nd with 23 fouls a game this season. That alone will give Nova more free points than they need. Villanova will simply outclass Georgetown to blow them out today. Pick Villanova. |
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03-04-16 | The Citadel v. Mercer -10 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Mercer as they take on the Citadel in the first round of the Southern Conference Tournament set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Mercer will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-14 ATS mark good for 75.4% winners since 2010. Play on a favorite (MERCER) after 5 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 6 or more consecutive losses. Here is the second system that has gone 35-14 ATS for 71.4% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (THE CITADEL) terrible defensive team allowing 84+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Citadel is a horrid 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; Mercer is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game. Fundamental Discussion Points Mercer is 4-0 against the spread versus Citadel over the last 3 seasons. Citadel is THE WORST team in the country by a far margin allowing 95.2 opponents points per game. This is because they are THE WORST in allowing opponents two point percentage, opponents FGs and FTs made per game, and more. They almost allow 50 points in the second half in games this season! Mercer grabs a huge 5 more rebounds per game than Citadel. Citadel is also worst, giving up more than 29 free throws a game as Mercer is ranked 34th in sinking it from the line. There is just so many more opportunities for Mercer to destroy Citadel in this game. Pick Mercer. |
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03-04-16 | Southern Illinois +6 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 60-66 | Push | 0 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Southern Illinois as they take on Northern Iowa set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Southern Illinois will lose this game by five or fewer points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. S Illinois is a good 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997. Hinson is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) off a home win as the coach of S Illinois. N Iowa is a bad 50-76 ATS (-33.6 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points Southern Illinois grabs 6 more rebounds a game than N Iowa which will allow them more opportunities in this game. They also swipe 2 more steals a game than N Iowa. Besides those two statistical categories these two teams are fairly close in the other categories. Less than 1 percent difference in their opponents effective FG percentage and less than .5 difference in score margin this season. Southern Illinois can keep this close. Pick Southern Illinois. |
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03-03-16 | California +6.5 v. Arizona | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on California as they take on Arizona in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cal will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-36 over the last 5 seasons good for 65.7% ATS: PLAY AGAINST home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. California is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games this season. Cal is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points California is playing really well on their hot streak of 7 looking for their eighth win in a row. They are fourth in the country only allowing 43.5% opponents effective FG percentage. They are SECOND BEST in the country suffocating opponents to only shoot 40% two pointers this season. Cal is comparable offensively with Arizona so they can use their excellent defense to shut down Arizona and come away with a victory. Pick California. |
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03-03-16 | Northwestern v. Penn State | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they host Northwestern in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at as they take on set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Penn State will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season and they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Penn State is 2-1 ATS and SU against Northwestern over the last 3 seasons. They are also 10-4 straight up at home against Northwestern since 1997. Back in January PSU on the road beat Northwestern and crushed the spread against them. Since then NW has been a poor 3-7. PSU steals more per game and grabs more second chance offensive rebounds than Northwestern. They will use that to their advantage increasing their good record against Northwestern. Pick Penn State. |
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03-03-16 | Quinnipiac +5 v. Rider | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
50* graded play on Quinnipiac as they take on Rider in First Round Metro Atlantic Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Quinnipiac will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2010. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (RIDER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a close win by 3 points or less. This system has gone 15-1 ATS over the past 3 seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is a money losing 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points Quinnipiac is BEST in the country grabbing 43.7 rebounds a game which in this matchup is 8.1 more rebounds a game than Rider this season. They also allow a significant 2.7% less effective FG percentage than Rider. Quinnipiac is good at blocking shots being 39th in the nation blocking almost 5 shots a game. Quinnipiac will get way more second chances and block some crucial points in this game. Pick Quinnipiac. |
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03-02-16 | Eastern Illinois +6 v. Murray State | Top | 62-78 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Eastern Illinois (EIU) as they take on Murray State in the first round of the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament set to start at 9:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that EIU will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. EIU is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. MS is just 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers Fundamental Discussion Points Neither of these teams are all that good ranking in the lower half of the 351 team D-1 basketball database. However, we are looking at this matchup only and not making any comparisons at all to Top-25 teams. In this game, I really like EIU Guard Trea Anderson. Who is averaging a team-high 15.0 PPG on 49% shooting averaging just 24 minutes per game. However, his minutes played has increased steadily over the season and he will go at least 30 minutes tonight. Just last Thursday, EIU defeated MS 85-74 and Anderson had 22 points on 10-16 shooting and was 2-3 from beyond the arc. Take EIU. |
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03-02-16 | Oregon v. UCLA +2.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Oregon in a critical PAC-12 Conference matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-46 mark over the last 5 seasons good for 63.8% ATS: PLAY ON home teams as an underdog (UCLA) - off a road loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win scoring 85 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Alford is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games as the coach of UCLA. Fundamental Discussion Points In this series UCLA is 21-18 straight up against Oregon since 1997. UCLA rebounds way better than Oregon, ranking 26th in the country grabbing 40.1 rebounds a game. Oregon ranks a lowly 207th with 5 less rebounds a game. Also all 6 of Oregon's losses are on the road this season. UCLA will grab more second chances to outscore Oregon tonight. Pick UCLA. |
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03-02-16 | Miami (Fla) +2.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 68-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami (FL) as they take on Notre Dame in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami (FL) will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Now, the Money Line needs to be at +140 and higher in order to validate the combination wager based on ROI calculations. I do expect ND public money to come pouring in throughout the morning hours and may be enough to drive the line to +3 and that level just might be enough to get the +140 level attained. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-19 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an underdog or pick (MIAMI) in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season; 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points It’s Senior night at Notre Dame and represents the last home game of the season. Still, Miami is the better team and I fully expect them to win this game. There is a mountain of reasons Miami is ranked 7th in the nation and Notre Dame is NOT ranked. |
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03-01-16 | Baylor +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baylor as they take on Oklahoma in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baylor will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Baylor is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Sooners are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. Fundamental Discussion Points Rebounding will be a big factor in this game. Oklahoma loves the ‘three’ and when not made create long rebounds that Baylor must control. However, on the Baylor offensive glass is where I see the biggest matchup advantage. Baylor ranks third in the nation offensive rebounding percentage at 41%. That means nearly half of Baylor’s possessions result in multi-shot possessions. I think Baylor will be very focused at both ends of rebounding and this will give them the chance to gain a huge upset win. |
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02-29-16 | Kansas v. Texas +2 | Top | 86-56 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas as they take on Kansas in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, we need +140 to validate the ML portion of this combination wager based on calculated ROI metrics. If you don’t get +140, then simply wager 25* amount using the line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42=18 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2010. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a money burning 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams committing 80%) after 15 or more games this season; 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Further, revenge is a factor and Texas is a very strong 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season. |
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02-28-16 | Arizona State +6.5 v. Colorado | Top | 69-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Colorado in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ASU is a solid 14-5 against the money line (+10.3 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons; ASU head coach Hurley is 23-9 against the money line (+13.2 Units) after playing a road game in all games he has coached Fundamental Discussion Points ASU not a good team, however, they matchup very well against Colorado. ASU defends the perimeter well. Colorado lives and dies by the three. They rank 21st in the nation shooting 38.8% from beyond the arc, but just 328th in 2-point shooting. This is the key matchup that I believe ASU can control and keep them close with a chance to win at the end of the game. |
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02-28-16 | Duke v. Pittsburgh | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they host Duke in ACC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pitt will win this game by more than three points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, is not likely at all that we will see a +140 money lie, which is the minimum required to validate the combination wager based on ROI calculations. Simply wager 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pitt is a very strong 52-18 ATS (+32.2 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points Duke has resurrected their season with some gutty performances, but their defense still remains quite poor. They rank 246th allowing 14.2 assists per game, 256th with a 1.207 opponent assist-to-turnover atio, 197th with a 44.1% opponent shooting percentage. Pitt ranks 12th best with a 1.498 assist-to-turnover ratio, and 8th with 17.5 assist-per-game. That ball movement and a huge edge in rebounding will drive the Panters to this important win today. |
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02-28-16 | Xavier v. Seton Hall +2 | Top | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Seton Hall as they take on Xavier in Big East Conference action set to start at 12:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seton Hall will win this game by three or more points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. However, we will need to see a continued public betting frenzy on Xavier to get to +140 on the Money Line to validate this prescription. If you do not get +140 or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount on the line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-16 mark on the money line for a solid 73.3% winners and has made 28. 1units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SETON HALL) after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SH is a solid 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Seton Hall has a pesky intense defensive presence that ranks 22nd in the nation allowing just 39% opponent shooting. It will be this defense that will be the dominant reason they win this game. Take Seton hall. |
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02-27-16 | Villanova -8.5 v. Marquette | Top | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Villanova as they take on Marquette in BIG EAST Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by 14 or more points. Additional projections see ‘Nova shooting better than 46% from the field and will go 12-for-27 from beyond the arc. Villanova will have a 5+ board edge in rebounding and will have at least two fewer turnovers. Marquette will shoot less than 44% from the field and will make just 5-for-15 ‘threes’ Villanova will not have to respect the perimeter and can force Marquette to try and compete shooting ‘three’s. Long rebounds and fast break scoring is a ‘Nova forte. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 199-133 (60%) ATS PLAY AGAINST Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARQUETTE) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, with just two starters returning from last season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Marquette is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making greater than 45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Villanova is a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. Marquette is a poor 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Villanova is 5-1 against the spread versus Marquette and 2-0 against the spread at Marquette over the last 3 seasons. Nova has a much better effective shooting percentage offensively and defensively against opponents than Marquette does. Villanova is ranked 40th and Marquette is ranked a much lower 105th in effective shooting percentage. Nova is also a solid rank 20th in the country only allowing 45.1% opponents effective shooting percentage. Villanova can beat up on Marquette again today. Pick Villanova. |
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02-27-16 | Lehigh v. Army | Top | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on Lehigh as they take on Army set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Lehigh will win this game. Projections call for Lehigh to shoot well at 46.5% from the field and make a nice 9-of- 19 3-point shots. Slight edge to Lehigh in rebounding and ball handling metrics. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pace of the game will be an important factor in Lehigh winning this game. They are a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game since 1997; 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game. Further, we see from the power trend database that Lehigh is a fantastic 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing |
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02-27-16 | Texas Tech +13.5 v. Kansas | Top | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas Tech as they take on Kansas in BIG-12 action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tech will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and just might pull off the shocking upset. Kansas is rolling and has won eight straight games and covered all. The public is on this horse, but now the price setting is significantly inflated by public enthusiasm. In fact so far 78% of all initial best are small sized wagers on Kansas. Certainly a red flag condition and provides additional confidence playing Tech. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 23* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-43 ATS good for 66%. PLAY AGAINST Home teams as a favorite or pick (KANSAS) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a top-level team (greater than 80%) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas Tech is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Kansas's last loss was to Iowa State, whom Texas Tech beat to start their current 5-0 run. Look for Texas Tech to take advantage of the free points from the line, since they are 25th in the country shooting 74.7% free throws. Tech is also good at getting to the line ranking 37th while Kansas is ranked a low 142nd in committing fouls per game. When two good teams on hot streaks meet, you want the team that makes the least mistakes. In this case it's Tech committing 2 less turnovers a game than Kansas. Pick Texas Tech. |
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02-25-16 | UTEP +7 v. Old Dominion | Top | 53-74 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas El Paso (TEP) as they take on Old Dominion (ODU) set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TEP will lose this game by fewer than seven points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this play is a proven system that has produced a 69-28 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTEP) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more and is now facing an opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. ODU is a money burning 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good ball handling teams committing Fundamental Discussion Points Contrasting styles in this matchup with TEP a solid offensive team while ODU is a defensive-minded unit. TEP ranks 79th in scoring offense at 76.9 PPG, 33rd averaging 16 assists-per-game, and 48th with a 0.588 assist-to-FGM ratio. ODU Ranks a distant 289th in scoring offense and 220th with a 0.506 assist-to-FGM ratio. Worse yet is they rank 338th in 3-point shooting percentage. This will allow UTEP to play far more zone and pack the paint forcing ODU to try and make shots from the perimeter. Take Texas El Paso. |
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02-23-16 | Kansas -2 v. Baylor | Top | 66-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Kansas as they take on Baylor in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by more than six points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 110-43 ATS (+62.7 Units) when they make 46% or more of their three point attempts in a game; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season. Baylor is a near imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when their opponents make 46% or more of their 3 pointers in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Kansas is rolling again in the BIG-12 winners of seven straight games and covered all of them. Kansas ranks 19th in scoring offense and 14th in overall shooting efficiency. Baylor ranks 199th allowing 70 PPG and 255th with a 1.098 opponent shooting efficiency. Baylor does have a strong offense that ranks 56th in scoring and 32nd in shooting percentage and 56th in overall shooting efficiency. They move the ball very well as evidenced by their 20th ranking in assist-turnover ratio at 1.471. However, Kansas’ defense is solid ranking 35th with a 46% opponent shooting percentage and 55th posting a 1.012 opponent shooting percentage. So, just by these metrics you can see that Kansas is the better team at both ends of the court, especially on the defensive end. Bears were hammered in the first meeting by Kansas and revenge is not involved in this matchup. Sometimes, when you get hammered by an elite team even playing at home cannot remove that competitive doubt. Take Kansas. |
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02-22-16 | Virginia v. Miami (Fla) -1 | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami (Fla) as they take on Virginia in ACC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game by four or more points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, we need a +140 or higher ML level to validate the ROI for the combination wager. The line is pick-em now, so it is unlikely even with the public betting heavily on UVA that the ML will get to that level. So, simply wager 25* using the line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play against a road team (VIRGINIA) in a game involving two excellent FT shooting teams making >=73% after 15+ games, hot shooting team with 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; Miami is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points UVA has a very good stifling defense based on most of the popular metrics. However, they rank 96th in opponent shooting percentage and 103rd in allowed 3-point FG. Miami is extremely good shooting team in the paint and rank 32nd in overall shooting percentage and I believe they will move the ball well getting the best shot. Miami also has a darn good defense in their own right and I expect UVA to struggle to find consistency on the offensive end. Take Miami. |
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02-21-16 | Wichita State -11.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 84-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wichita State as they take on Indiana State in NCAA cation set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wichita State will win this game by 14 or more points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-6 ATS mark good for a remarkable 84% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (WICHITA ST) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game), after a game shooting 57% or higher and allowing 43% or lower. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wichita is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game this season; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Indiana State is a money burning 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
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02-21-16 | Michigan +9 v. Maryland | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Michigan as they take on Maryland set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Michigan will lose this game by fewer than eight points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Michigan is a solid 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game; 74-40 ATS (+30.0 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game; Fundamental Discussion Points Maryland has lost their last 2 games. The last time the Terps lost 3 straight games as a ranked team was in 2004-05 (4 straight). If they stay in the top 10, the last time they lost 3 straight as a top-10 team was in 2000-01 (4 straight). Now, that is a nice history lesson and certainly the public sentiment if that Maryland will defend their home court and play very well to stop the skid and right the ship. Truth is that this team has almost come off the rails. Most evident is their last loss at lowly Minnesota, so confidence is at a season-low and now having to face a Michigan squad looking to get completely off the bubble. |
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02-15-16 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 142.5 | Top | 67-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
50* graded play ‘OVER” Kansas-Oklahoma State in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 150 points will be scored in this game. I also have a 25* graded play on Oklahoma State so this offers up a very rare wagering opportunity. Always remember, you must be all about discipline and not for one second believing money has been won before it is even wagered at the window. Do not wager more than you have to lose. This should all be about fun, a little excitement, learning, and making a little more cabbage over time. For this play consider making a Reverse Parlay for a 7* amount using Oklahoma State and ‘OVER’ So, 50* amount on the ‘over’, 25* amount Ok State, and optional 7* reverse parlay wager. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-31 mark good for 68% winners since 1997. Play ‘over’ with home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KANSAS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season. Supporting the cowboys is a system that has gone 49-17 ATS for 74% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (KANSAS) after 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, an explosive offensive team scoring >=76 PPG against an average offensive team scoring 67 to 74 PPG after 15+ games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ok State is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 56-30 OVER (+23.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 26-3 OVER (+22.7 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kansas is a solid 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in home games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Kansas is one of the best and most efficient scoring offenses in the nation. They rank 19th scoring 81 PPG, 20th in effective FG percentage, 7th in 3-point shooting, 17th in overall shooting efficiency. As a result, this game will be faster paced and will give Ok State solid chances to score in transition as well. Kansas players know they are the better team and know they simply need to score above their season average and make a push toward 100 points. However, this offensive focus, leads to diminished defensive presence and will allow Ok State to keep it close. |
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02-14-16 | South Florida v. Temple -14.5 | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they host South Florida in A-10 Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by at least 20 POINTS Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is a stout 107-48 ATS (+54.2 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 70-35 ATS (+31.5 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game; 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Temple ranks 64th in the nation and SFU a distant 254th in my metrics ‘money ball’ type database. SFU ranks 332nd in scoring offense, 343rd in assists-per-game, 344th in both assists/FGM and assists-to-turnover ratio at 0.66. This reflects how challenged SFU is in every game they play. They have far fewer assist than turnovers and the same will occur in this game. Temple plays sound fundamental basketball. They rank 29th in assists-to-turnover ratio and 65th in scoring defense. Take Temple. |
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02-13-16 | Washington v. Colorado -3.5 | Top | 80-81 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Colorado as they host Washington in early PAC-12 action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game by more than six points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (COLORADO) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is just 48-108 ATS (-70.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; Colorado is a solid 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion PointsWashington plays fast and ranks 4th in scoring offense in the nation. Problem for them is the defense suffers ranking 329th allowing 80.5 PPG. Colorado has the offense to stay with the Huskies, but it is their defense that will cause major problems for the Huskies. That defense ranks 4th in the nation posting an impressive 0.407 assist-to-FGM ratio. They also create turnovers and have a solid 0.954 assist-to-turnover ratio. This means they create more turnovers than assists allowed and reflects strong defensive presence. Further, Washington ranks just 240th in shooting % despite scoring 84.5 PPG and reflects a rush to take shots far too soon in a possession and not working the ball for the best shot. Colorado is the play. |
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02-13-16 | Texas A&M v. LSU -1.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on LSU as they host Texas A&M in SEC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. as they take on SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by at least four points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. A&M is a money burning 35-81 ATS (-54.1 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; LSU is a rock solid 83-40 ATS (+39.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons; 45-21 ATS (+21.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game. Further, A&M is a horrid 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points A&M held LSU star Simmons to a season matching low of 10 points in their 71-54 win back on January 19. That is an ancient memory now that A&M comes into this game losers of three straight and the last one being an emotionally difficult one. In their last game, A&M missed two free throws with just 2.3 seconds on the clock in a 63-62 loss at a weak Alabama team. The hangover will still be stinging this afternoon. Take LSU. |
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02-13-16 | Kentucky v. South Carolina +2.5 | Top | 89-62 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Carolina as they take on Kentucky in SEC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will win this game Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Note that the ML must be at +140 or higher. If its not, then simply wager a 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play against road teams as an favorite or pick (KENTUCKY) in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams making between 65 and 69%, good ball handling team committing |
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02-08-16 | Oklahoma State v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on TCU as they take on Oklahoma State in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU wins this game by more than four points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. The line currently shows TCU at +1 and we need this line to rise to reach the ML thresh hold of +140 needed to validate the ROI. So, if you don’t get +140 or higher on the ML, then simply wager a 25* play using the line. If it does reach +140, then make a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKST is just 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game; 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers (+- 3)as opponent over the last 3 seasons. Further, OKST is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Take TCU. |
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01-31-16 | Oregon v. Arizona State +2 | Top | 91-74 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. However, the money line just be at +140 or higher. If not, then simply wager a 25* amount using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-9 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 1997. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) good shooting team making between 45 and 47.5% and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 42.5 and 45%, hot shooting team with 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon is just 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Take ASU. |
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01-31-16 | Wichita State v. Evansville +4 | Top | 78-65 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
25* graded play on Evansville as they take on Wichita State set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Evansville will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wichita State is an imperfect 0-5 against the money line (-8.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; Evansville is a solid 22-8 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-2 against the money line (+8.2 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Evansville. |
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01-31-16 | Northwestern v. Iowa -13 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iowa as they take on Northwestern in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game by 17 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NWU is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of |
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01-30-16 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
50* graded play on Kansas as they take on Kentucky in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by at least 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-37 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams winning >= 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Calipari is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less; 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game. Kansas HC Self is a solid 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached; 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games in all games he has coached. Here is a second system that has produced favorable results posting a 174-44 mark good for 80% winners and has made 58 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (KANSAS) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games and is now playing a team with a winning record. Take Kansas. |
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01-30-16 | Austin Peay -4.5 v. SE Missouri State | Top | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on Austin Peay as they take on SE Missouri State set to tip at 5:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Austin Peay will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-25 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE MISSOURI ST) in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing 45 to 47.5% shooting and after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SEMST is a money losing 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a combined score of 110 points or less. Take Austin Peay. |
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01-30-16 | Murray State v. Tennessee-Martin +2.5 | Top | 59-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee-Martin as they take on Murray State in NCAA action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tenn-Martin will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 18* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. One caveat though is that the money line must be +140 or higher to validate the combination wager. If it is lower than +140, then simply wager a 25* amount on the line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. T-M is a solid 11-6 against the money line (+10.8 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Tenn-Martin. |
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01-30-16 | Washington v. USC -7.5 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on USC as they take on Washington in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USC will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. USC is a solid 47-18 ATS (+27.2 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games when they score 81 or more points in a game this season; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Washington is just 46-107 ATS (-71.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; 12-34 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. Take USC. |
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01-30-16 | Virginia v. Louisville -6 | Top | 63-47 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Louisville as they take on Virginia in ACC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. as they take on SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by at least 9 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 75-37 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOUISVILLE) cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UVA is just 41-87 ATS (-54.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Louisville has been a solid 112-50 ATS (+57.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. UVA is not in a good situation against Louisville noting they are just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take Louisville. |
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01-30-16 | West Virginia v. Florida -1 | Top | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Florida as they take on West Virginia in NCAA action set to start at Noon. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Florida will win this game by 5 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WVU is a money losing 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in road games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals since 1997. Florida has shot under 40% in just three games this season. They are 3-0 ATS in the next game after a very poor shooting night and I fully expect them to win this game easily tonight. Take Florida. |
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01-28-16 | Washington v. UCLA -6 | Top | 86-84 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Washington in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by more than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-40 ATS mark good for 73-40 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UCLA) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is just 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons; UCLA is a solid 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. UCLA also has a favorable matchup noting a 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) record facing good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take UCLA. |
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01-28-16 | Oregon v. Arizona -7.5 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona has been a solid PAC-12 Investment noting they are 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons; 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. Looking at some strong marchups for Arizona too as they are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Take Arizona. |
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01-28-16 | Iowa v. Maryland -4 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Maryland as they take on Iowa in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Maryland will win this game by at least 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 82-43 ATS mark good for 65.6% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA) up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 37% or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Iowa is just 32-95 ATS (-72.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 17-63 ATS (-52.3 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game; 21-45 ATS (-28.5 Units) in games where both teams score 75 or more points. Further, Maryland has a great matchup noting they are a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games vs. top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games. Take Maryland. |
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01-26-16 | Xavier v. Providence | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
35* graded play on Providence as they take on Xavier in a huge Big East Conference showdown set to start at 8:30 PM ET. Providence is in the AP Poll for a ninth straight week for the first time since 1977-78, and this clash with Xavier (17-2, 5-2) will be the first between top-10 teams at its downtown home since the arena opened in 1972. Coming off a huge road win at Philadelphia defeating 4th ranked Villanova in OT only provides greater positive momentum tonight. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Providence will win the game by at least 6 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Providence is a solid 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Looking at some matchups we see that Providence is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Providence defense has really stepped up their play. They rank 73rd in opponent assist-to-turnover ratio and 18th best forcing opponents into an average of 14.8 per game. They are generating a turnover in 18% of opponents possessions and that presence will be a dominant reason they win this game tonight. Take Providence. |
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01-25-16 | Kansas +2.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Kansas as they take on Iowa State in NCAA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kansas will win this game by more than five points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. However, you must get +145 on the money line to validate the risk/reward profile and ROI for the combination wager. If the Ml is less than +145, then simply wager a 25* play using the line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons; ISU is a money losing 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 29-73 ATS (-51.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game. Take Kansas. |
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01-24-16 | St. Joe's -10 v. La Salle | Top | 69-48 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Josephs as they take on LaSalle in A-10 action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STJ will win this game by 14 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STJ is a solid 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game this season; LaSalle is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they attempt 13 or less free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Looking at the matchups we see additional advantages favoring STJ. They are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing |
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01-24-16 | Dayton -7.5 v. Fordham | Top | 64-50 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dayton as they take on Fordham in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dayton will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-5 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (DAYTON) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting >=20/game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower. This system has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS over the past three seasons. Of the 28 winning wagers, 14 of them or 50% covered the spread by 7 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dayton is a solid 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Take Dayton. |
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01-24-16 | North Carolina -10.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 75-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Carolina as they take on Virginia Tech in ACC action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by 14 or more points. I also have a 10* play ‘under’ as defined by the Algorithm. So, consider making a 10* play ‘under’ and add a 5* parlay with UNC and the ‘UNDER’ for added ROI. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in quicker paced games where they attempt 63 to 69 shots over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; V-Tech is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. UNC is a vastly superior team compared to V-Tech and the UNC defense will control and contain the Hokies offense. In their last game, the Hokies took advantage of sloppy and near-lazy Notre Dame defensive play shooting over 50% and only losing the game by 2 points. You can bet UNC has seen that film and they will be fully focused to take the Hokies out of the game early. |
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01-23-16 | Maryland +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
35* graded play on Maryland as they take on Michigan State in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Maryland will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 28* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 90-51 ATS mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play against any team (MICHIGAN ST) excellent shooting team making >=47.5% and now facing a solid defensive team allowing opponents to shoot between 40 and 42.5% after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; MSU is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after 3 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons. Looking at the efficiency metrics, Maryland is the superior team, especially on offense. They rank 2nd in 2-point shooting % at 59.4% for the season while MSU ranks 50th in that category. Overall shooting efficiency sees Maryland ranking 3rd best in the nation while MSU ranks a distant 31st. MSU has a strong defensive presence, but I do not see them holding up against the physical style that Maryland brings to the game. Take Maryland. |
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01-23-16 | Oklahoma -1 v. Baylor | Top | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Baylor in Big-12 Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 7 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Baylor is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when their opponents make 46% or more of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Oklahoma enters this showdown in a fantastic situation noting a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’ over the last 3 seasons. Tale the Sooners. |
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01-23-16 | Northwestern +9 v. Indiana | Top | 57-89 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northwestern as they take on Indiana in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northwestern will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-14 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) good free throw shooting team making 69 to 73% and is now facing an average free throw shooting team making 65 to 69%, after 2 straight games attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Northwestern enters this game with a favorable matchup. They are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Take Northwestern. |
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01-23-16 | St. Louis +6 v. Massachusetts | Top | 86-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on UMASS in A-10 Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STL will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the liner and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 64-27 ATS for 70% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAINT LOUIS) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UMASS is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing |
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01-22-16 | Valparaiso -8.5 v. Wright State | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Valparaiso as they take on Wright State in Horizon Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VALPO will win this game by at least 11 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 49-16 ATS mark good for 75.4% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (VALPARAISO) a good offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG against a poor offensive team scoring between 63 and 67 PPG, after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Valpo is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Looking at matchups the database spills out the fact that Valpo is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. Take Valparaiso. |
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01-22-16 | St. Peter's +6.5 v. Iona | Top | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Peters as they take on Iona in MAAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Peters will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 111-58 ATS mark good for 65.7% winners since 2010. Play on an underdog (ST PETERS) in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%), after 3 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STP is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season. Iona loves the ‘three’ and this matchup favors STP as they are a solid 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. Take St. Peters. |
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01-22-16 | Rhode Island +5 v. George Washington | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Rhode Island as they take on George Washington in A-10 Conference action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. Time change from 7:00 to 5:00 to complete game before the Jonas blizzard rolls into the DC area. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rhode Island will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at winning this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams committing |
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01-21-16 | Gonzaga +3.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
35* graded play on Gonzaga as they take on St. Mary’s in West Coast Conference action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Gonzaga will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 29* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Gonzaga is a solid 21-10 against the money line (+20.7 Units) facing excellent 3 point shooting teams making >=41% of their attempts; 12-1 against the money line (+11.0 Units) in road games facing poor pressure defensive teams forcing |
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01-20-16 | Georgia -2.5 v. Missouri | Top | 60-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
35* graded play on Georgia as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by at least 8 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-11 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Georgia is a solid 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Missouri is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Looking at the matchups we see that Georgia is a rock solid 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) facing poor pressure defensive teams forcing |
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01-19-16 | Clemson +10 v. Virginia | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Clemson Tigers as they ta k on the Virginia Cavaliers in ACC action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* plat using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clemson is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog this season. Clemson has played very well over the last five games. I will admit, in this play we will live and die by the ‘three’. Clemson does well spreading the defense with their solid perimeter shooting during this five game win streak. UVA is certainly a strong team, but a weakness is defending the perimeter where they rank 134th allowing 7.3 3-point shots made per game. Clemson keeps it close late and may pull off the shocking win. |
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01-19-16 | NC State v. Pittsburgh -8.5 | Top | 78-61 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburg as they take on NC state in ACC conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 10 points. NC State is just 14-38 ATS (-27.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 21-63 ATS (-48.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game; Pittsburgh is a solid 4-30 ATS (+51.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game; 71-26 ATS (+42.4 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game. Pitt is ranked 20th in the nation in scoring offense and will be going up against a suspect NC State defense that ranks just 142nd in scoring defense. More revealing is that Pitt ranks 7th best with a 1.647 assist-to-turnover ratio while NC State ranks 241st with a 1.128 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Take Pittsburgh. |
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01-19-16 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss +1 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on Mississippi as they take on South Carolina in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Mississippi will win this game by at least four points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, we need a money line of +145 and higher to validate the combination wager. So, unless we see a flurry of wagers on SC, which could easily happen, simply make this a 25* wager using the line only. If we reach the +145 thresh hold then make a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. South Carolina is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Mississippi is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Mississippi. |
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01-18-16 | Oklahoma +2 v. Iowa State | Top | 77-82 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on the Iowa State Cyclones in BIG-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 7 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-4 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 1997. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IOWA ST) revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points against opponent off 2 consecutive close wins by 5 or less over a conference rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Sooners are a solid 90-44 ATS (+41.6 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game; Iowa State is just 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game; 29-73 ATS (-51.3 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game. Oklahoma is struggling to win games, but they are winning and learning how to win during difficult games. Most evident is their last game where they defeated West Virginia at home 70-68 and shot just 33% from the field. They failed to cover but won and have failed to cover in 6 of the last 7 games. Many other analysts will say this is a sign of weakness when looking statically at ATS trends. However, this is the exact situation that does create value and that value is squarely on a much better Oklahoma team. |
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01-17-16 | American v. Army -16 | Top | 45-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Army as they take on American University in Patriot Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Army will win this game by 20 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. American is just 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Rare that you’d ever see Army as a huge favorite on the hardwood, but given this matchup, it is for sound reasons. American ranks 350th in the NCAA in scoring offense at 53.4 PPGF. Moreover, they rank 323rd with 10.5 assist per game, 350th getting just 27.6 rebounds per game, 339th in assist-to-turnover ratio at 0.700. They play a very slow style of game trying to shorten the game given their vast offensive weakness. So, their defensive stats appear to be better, but are skewed significantly by the slow-style tempo. Army ranks 21st on scoring offense at 82.3 PPG, 11th in assists at 18.1, and 63rd in assist-to turnover ratio. Moreover, they rank 5th in three-point shooting at 10.5 MADE shots. Take Army. |
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01-16-16 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
50* graded play on Oklahoma as they host West Virginia in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 74-26 mark good for 67% winners since 1997. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA) cold team failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams winning >= 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WVU is a weak money burning 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; Oklahoma is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Looking at team strength trends, WVU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Here is a supporting situational trend noting that WVU is a weak 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. Perhaps the strongest supporting trend is that HC Huggins is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals as the coach of West Virginia. |
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01-16-16 | Ohio State +10.5 v. Maryland | Top | 65-100 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 39 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State as they take on Maryland in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at Noon ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a decent shot at the the improbable upset. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 25* play using the line and adding a 3* play to the money line for 28* amount of risk. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons; Maryland is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Turgeon is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games as the coach of Maryland. Both teams are not offensive power houses. What I really like is how strong OSU defense has become and I think they will be the dominant reason Maryland struggles to even win in this matchup. Take Ohio State. |
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01-15-16 | Evansville v. Illinois State +5 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Illinois State as they host Evansville in NCAA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Illinois State will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-33 mark good for 67% winners since 2010. Play against road team using the money line (EVANSVILLE) average 3PT shooting team making between 32 and 36.5% against an average 3PT defense allowing between 32 and 36.5% after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. IS is a solid 15-7 against the money line (+9.4 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Illinois State. |
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01-14-16 | Iowa v. Michigan State -7.5 | Top | 76-59 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Michigan State as they take on Iowa in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MSU is a solid 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) facing good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) facing dominant rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons. Take Michigan State. |
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01-13-16 | San Diego State -2.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Diego State as they take on Colorado State in NCAAM Hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will win this game by at least 5 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SDST is a rock solid 88-28 ATS (+57.2 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; Colorado State is just 26-53 ATS (-32.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponent over the last 3 seasons. Further, we note that CST is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 22 or more fouls over the last 3 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-13-16 | Oklahoma -8.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 74-72 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Oklahoma Sooners as they take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys in Big-12 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-10 ATS for 77% winners since 1997. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oklahoma is a solid 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 37-13 ATS (+22.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; Cowboys a money burning 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots over the last 3 seasons; 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Further, we see that Oklahoma is a solid 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Take the Sooners. |
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01-13-16 | Houston +8.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 59-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Houston as they take on the Cincinnati Bearcats in NCAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Huston will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a reasonable opportunity to win the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-6 ATS mark good for 82.4% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 115 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cincinnati is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams shooting percentage defense of |
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01-09-16 | Florida International +8.5 v. Marshall | Top | 81-99 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on the as they take on SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an underdog or pick (FLA INTERNATIONAL) an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing >=78 PPG, after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FIU is a solid 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game; Marshall is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Florida International. |
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01-09-16 | Arizona State +5.5 v. UCLA | Top | 74-81 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State as they take on UCLA in PAC-12 action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. ASU is a solid 16-2 against the money line (+15.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 5-1 against the money line (+6.7 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season. Take Arizona State. |
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01-09-16 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +5.5 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Georgia Tech as they take on UVA in ACC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that G-Tech will lose this game by fewer than four points and has a great shot at the win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* wager using the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. G-Tech is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, they are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers. Take Georgia Tech. |
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01-08-16 | Illinois-Chicago +17 v. Detroit | Top | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
25* graded play on Illinois-Chicago (I-C) as they take on Detroit University (DU) in NCA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that I-C will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. This is obviously a huge dog, so you may not have access to a money line wager. If you do, the spread will be wide and I would simply recommend taking whatever line you may get. Better to have the play validated just in case a 16 point dog does get a shocking win. I always a few of these types of underdogs cash the SU side, but I never know which dogs will win. So, playing them all in a disciplined manner is the key. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 60-=23 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1997. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (IL-CHICAGO) after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more 3 straight games. Take Illinois-Chicago. |
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01-07-16 | Louisville -5.5 v. NC State | Top | 77-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Louisville as they take on NC State in ACC Conference basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win the game by at least 8 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a solid 111-48 ATS (+58.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game; 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; NC State is a weak 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game; 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game. Take Louisville. |
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01-04-16 | Oklahoma +6 v. Kansas | Top | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma as they take on Kansas in a huge BIG-12 Conference matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oklahoma will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Sooners are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons; 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing |
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01-01-16 | Western Illinois +8 v. Nebraska-Omaha | Top | 80-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Western Illinois as they take on Nebraska-Omaha in College Hoops action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WIU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a reasonable shot at the upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WIU is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game. N-Omaha is a money losing 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread; 2-10 against the money line (-9.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Western Illinois. |
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12-31-15 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. James Madison | Top | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on the College of Charleston as they take on James Madison in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that COC will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning SU. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making an 18* play using the line and a 7* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 56-24 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 2010. Play on a road team (COLL OF CHARLESTON) good 3PT shooting team making >=36.5% and is now facing an average 3PT defense allowing between 32-36.5%, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. JMU is just 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Take COC and expect the upset. |
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12-26-15 | Louisville v. Kentucky UNDER 140 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on ‘UNDER’ in the NCAA Hardwood showdown between Louisville and Kentucky set to start at 12:00 PM ET ST. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 135 points will be scored in this game. Neither team is projected to get 70 points and there is a 65% probability that both teams score 65 or fewer. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. This play is a ‘total’ so you need access to the ‘adjusted lines’, which have grown in popularity this season. So, if you are able yo get those adjusted lines ALWAYS look to the dog line as it makes no sense from a ROI point to risk greater vig on a higher total line. So, you may see 130/132 for the adjust ‘under’ and a return of +200/+200. Wager a 21* play ‘under’ using the posted total and then add a 4* play using the adjusted total. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville is a very good team and have outscored their opponents by 30 PPG so far this season. However, this is by far the best opponent they have faced to date. Louisville ranks second in the nation in scoring defense. Kentucky is a solid 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in home games facing elite defensive teams allowing |
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12-22-15 | Kansas v. San Diego State +7 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
35* graded play on San Diego State as they host Kansas in NCAA hardwood action set to start at 7:100 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 30* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on home teams as an underdog or pick (SAN DIEGO ST) in a game involving two excellent defensive teams allowing |
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12-19-15 | Oklahoma State v. Florida -8 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Florida as they take on Oklahoma State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Florida will win this game by more than 10 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-4 ATS mark good for 86% winners since 2010. Play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (FLORIDA) and is a poor shooting team making between 40 to 42.5% and is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing |
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12-19-15 | Indiana State v. St. Louis -3.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on Indiana State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game by more than 6 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana State is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Take St. Louis. |
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12-19-15 | Purdue -4.5 v. Butler | Top | 68-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Butler in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by more than 8 points. Butler is the best scoring offense in the nation averaging 91.7 PPG, but they will struggle big facing a very strong Purdue defense that ranks fifth best in the nation allowing just 57.5 PPG. Purdue ranks third best in total rebounding and this will minimize second chance scoring opportunities for Butler. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons; Butler has been a money burning 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game. Take Purdue. |
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12-18-15 | Southern Illinois +3 v. Murray State | Top | 88-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Southern Illinois as they take on Murray State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Southern Illinois will win this game. Currently, SIU is a 3 point dog. Given this favorable projection, I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the line and a 5* play usig the money line as longs as you get +145 or higher. It is imperative to get at least +145 for these combination wagers to validate the added risk from using the money line portion. If it is not above +145, then simply place a 25* play using the line only. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SIU is a near-perfect 12-1 against the money line (+11.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-5 against the money line (+8.4 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-12-15 | UCLA +8 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Gonzaga in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great shot at the SU win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play using the line and a 4* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Since being the HC of the Bruins Alford is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread; 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. Take the UCLA Bruins. |
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12-12-15 | Dartmouth +11.5 v. Stanford | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dartmouth as they take on Stanford in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dartmouth will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a decent shot at getting a shocking upset win too. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford has been a money losing 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Dartmouth HC Cormier is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game; 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. Take Dartmouth. |
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12-12-15 | Stony Brook v. Northeastern -1.5 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Stony Brook in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 4:00 PM ET SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NE will win this game by at least five points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play on a home teams (NORTHEASTERN) off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, with four starters returning from last season. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NE is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. NE is also a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Take Northeastern. |
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12-12-15 | Marquette v. Wisconsin -7.5 | Top | 57-55 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Marquette in NCAA action set to start at 1:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wisconsin will win this game by at least 10 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Badgers are a solid 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts; 102-68 ATS (+27.2 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents; 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game; 56-17 ATS (+37.3 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game. Take Wisconsin. |
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12-12-15 | Auburn -1 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Auburn as they take on Tennessee State in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game by more than 5 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play against a home team (MIDDLE TENN ST) an average offensive team scoring between 67-74 PPG and now facing a poor defensive team allowing between 74-78 PPG, after a combined score of 125 points or less 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. MTST is a weak money losing 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Auburn. |
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12-12-15 | Delaware State +29.5 v. Michigan | Top | 33-80 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Delaware State as they take on Michigan in NCAA basketball action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Delaware State will lose this game by fewer than 25 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play there is zero shot for the upset, so simply play it as a 25* play using the line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites of 10 or more points (MICHIGAN) off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a struggling team ( |
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12-11-15 | Eastern Washington +18 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 51-84 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on Eastern Washington as they take on Pittsburgh in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that EWU will lose this game by fewer than 18 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. However, the probability for a SU upset is quite minimal. However, if you do have a money line simply add a 2* wager to the 25* play using the line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. EWU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; Pittsburgh is a money losing 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing |
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12-08-15 | Idaho State +13.5 v. Portland | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
25* graded play on Idaho State as they take on Portland in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Idaho State will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% ATS winners since 1997. Play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (IDAHO ST) after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or zero starters returning from last season. This system has gone 5-1 ATS over the last five seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Idaho State is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Further, Idaho State is a solid 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Idaho State. |
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12-05-15 | Pennsylvania +7 v. George Mason | Top | 44-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn as they take on George Mason in NCAA hoops action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Penn will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot at getting the road win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 21* play on the line and a 4* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 79-38 mark good for 68% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PENNSYLVANIA) that is an average offensive team scoring between 67 and 74 PPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 PPG, after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games facing poor free throw shooting teams making |
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12-05-15 | Drake +3.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 63-75 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Drake as they take on Bowling Green in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Drake will win the game. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play we need the line to move to +3 from +2 currently in order to get a validated ROI. The ML portion must be at +145 or higher and if it does reach that level then make a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drake is a solid 71-28 ATS (+40.2 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game; 61-21 ATS (+37.9 Units) when they make 46% or more of their three point attempts in a game; Bowling Green is just 20-60 ATS (-46.0 Units) when their opponents make 46% or more of their 3 pointers in a game. Take Drake. |
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12-05-15 | Harvard +23 v. Kansas | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Harvard as they take on Kansas in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 3:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Harvard will lose this game by fewer than 20 points. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play, it is very unlikely you will see a ML or even an adjusted line for this game. So, just play it was a straight 25* play. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harvard HC Amaker is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week as the coach of Harvard; 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season in all games he has coached, Take Harvard. |
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12-04-15 | Manhattan +10 v. Siena | Top | 54-89 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on Manhattan as they take on Siena in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Manhattan will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a decent shot at pulling off the upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATSA mark good for 81% winners since 1997. Play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MANHATTAN) pathetic team shooting =45% on the season and is now facing an opponent hot shooting team with 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Siena is just 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season. Further, we see that HC Masiello is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog as the coach of Manhattan. |
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12-03-15 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Cal Poly -8.5 | Top | 75-73 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cal-Poly Slo as they take on IUPU – Ft. Wayne in NCAA hoops action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cal Poly will win this game by at least 11 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UIPUFW is a weak 3-11 against the money line (-11.8 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season; 3-7 against the money line (-12.1 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Cal Poly is coming off a 30-point win to Antelope Valley on November 28th. Antelope Valley is a Community College located in Palmdale, CA and has been offering college accredited classes for 34 years. So, stands to reason there would be no line on that game and that Cal Poly easily won the game. Cal Poly has played two strong programs losing by just 5 points to UCLA and just 2 points against UNLV. By comparison, IUPUIFW last played Navy and were hammered by 22 points and earlier this season lost by 14 to Valpo. Now, they play their toughest opponent yet by far and that step in competition will be far too much for them to overcome. Take Cal Poly Slo |
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12-03-15 | Kentucky v. UCLA +7 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Kentucky in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at pulling off the upset. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a near=perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 against the money line (+7.0 Units) in home games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-3 against the money line (+11.3 Units) in home games facing strong teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Take UCLA. |
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12-03-15 | Western Michigan +6 v. James Madison | Top | 57-63 | Push | 0 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on Western Michigan as they take on James Madison in NCAA hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WMU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. This game grades almost exactly like the UCLA game, which is rare to have two games graded this high that have similar lines and projections. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 19* play using the line and a 6* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. James Madison is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games facing good ball handling teams committing |
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12-02-15 | Wisconsin +5 v. Syracuse | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wisconsin as they take on Syracuse in NCAA Hoops action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wisconsin will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot at an upset win. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 20* play using the money line and a 5* play using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 53-22 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on an underdog (WISCONSIN) after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-02-15 | Penn State +2 v. Boston College | Top | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Boston College in NCAA action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win the game. As a bonus consider making a three-team round robin parlay not exceeding more than 1 5* play on each one of the three parlays. If you really want to attack this card, consider using the money line and a 3* amount in a round robin parlay. Given this favorable projection I always like making these DOGS combination wagers comprised of a majority of money placed with the line and a smaller amount placed on the money line. For this play consider making a 15* play using the line and a 10* play using the money line. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. BC is a weak 2-11 against the money line (-10.3 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-14 against the money line (-11.9 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons; 3-19 against the money line (-18.0 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons; 4-20 against the money line (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 0-20 against the money line (-25.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Penn State. |