Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-29-24 | Stars v. Golden Knights +111 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Vegas Golden Knights. BEST BET. Game 44. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. The Golden Knights are a darn good…no, they are a damn good hockey team. Obviously, we all know there are the defending Stanley Cup Champions. And we are all aware this season they struggled a bit more than most expected. However, just before the postseason began, they got healthy with the return of several key players. They opened up this Round 1 series taking both Games 1 and 2 in Dallas. Game 3 was to be played at The Fortress. And it was a very competitive game. But the Las Vegas home team fell short in overtime. Being up 2-0 is huge in the playoffs. We all know that. The Golden Knights must win this evening or the series becomes tied 2-2 and returns back to Dallas. The entire scenario changes and the odds of Vegas taking this series declines significantly. They know this. There's no way they' are going to drop back-to-back games on their home ice. There's no way they're going to allow the Stars back into this series. Take the Golden Knights. Thank you. |
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04-27-24 | Panthers -120 v. Lightning | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Florida Panthers. BEST BET. Game 27. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. In today's NHL, sweeping a team in the postseason isn't the easiest thing to do. However, the Florida Panthers are a monster away team, and seem to have the Tampa Bay Lightning’s number. Obviously. we know they're up 3-0 in this series. Going back a bit, they have taken seven of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. If you're worried about being on the road at the Amalie Arena, don't be. The Panthers are one of the stronger road teams in hockey, and have taken four straight meetings on their opponent’s home ice. While Tampa Bay has now dropped seven of their last nine overall, Florida is riding a seven-game win streak. I just don't see them letting the Lightning have any glimmer of hope and letting them back in this series. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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04-21-24 | Avalanche v. Jets -105 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Winnipeg Jets. BEST BET. Game 56. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This matchup might not be the flashiest or the most watched series in the first round. However, there is money to be made in it. The Colorado Avalanche are a very good team. They did finish the regular season with 50 wins and 107 points. But to be quite honest, when they take it on the road, they're just not as strong as when they're playing at home. As a host this season, this team was 39-9-1, while as a visitor, they are 19-16-6. They also top the NHL in scoring, averaging over 3.7 goals per game. But, this season, they've allowed over 3.1 goals per game. And if you remember, even Superman had kryptonite. And Colorado's kryptonite seems to be Winnipeg. The Jets have taken all three meetings in this series this season, outscoring the Avalanche by a combined, 17-4. Going back a little bit further, they've taken six of the last eight meetings. I always believe that momentum means a lot, particularly in the NHL. And Winnipeg finished the regular season as one of the hottest teams in hockey, winning their final eight contests. This does include four consecutive victories at the Canada Life Centre. On their own ice this season, they are very respectful, 27-11-3, en route to an overall record of 52-24, accumulating 110 points. That was good enough to finish as the second seed in the Western Conference. They average over 3.2 goals per game, while only allowing 2.4 goals per game, which was good enough to rank them second in the League. FYI, Colorado finished the campaign winning just four of their final 10 outings, which doesn't include a 1-3 record on the road. Winnipeg has their number, comes in here red-hot, and is playing at home in front of their loyal fans. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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04-16-24 | Braves -113 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves. Best Bet. Game 975. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. One of the best teams in the National League will take on one of the worst in the American League here in Game 2 of this series between the Atlanta Braves and the Houston Astros. Atlanta took Game 1 yesterday, 6-1. Granted a season ago, Houston had their way in this rivalry. But this season the Astros are just struggling at 6-12 overall. No matter how you slice it, the Braves, both on the mound and at the plate, are far superior. Currently, Atlanta ranks number one in the Majors in scoring, averaging over 6.47 runs per game, number one in Team Batting Average at .301, and number one in OPS, at .852. Houston's numbers in batting average and OPS and even home runs are impressive. They're just not consistent. That would be one thing if that was all it was. But they also rank 29th in the League with a Team ERA, a whopping 5.35. Today's matchup is scheduled to be Reynaldo Lopez and Hunter Brown. Going back to September of last season, the Braves have won four of their right-handers last five starts. Oh, and by the way, in those five starts, he has yielded a combined for earned runs in over 23.1 innings pitched. This game gets ugly. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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04-15-24 | Islanders -115 v. Devils | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
New York Islanders. Game 37. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. Yes, I am well aware the Devils have taken all three meetings with the Islanders this season. However, New Jersey is eliminated from any postseason opportunities, while New York is still fighting for a slot. Not only that, but the Islanders come in here running hot. They won six in a row before Saturday's, 3-2 shootout loss on the road at the Rangers. I just don't see the Devils looking to play spoiler here. I don't see them jeopardizing any of their talent. Take New York. Thank you. |
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04-08-24 | Dodgers -130 v. Twins | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Los Angeles Dodgers. April IL GOM. Game 975. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Unless you've been living on another planet for a while, you are well aware the Los Angeles Dodgers are once again one of the preseason teams predicted to buy not just for the pennant, but for the World Series. This is a very good team. They are loaded, both on the mound and at the plate. I really like today's matchup even more because they took their first humiliating beating of the season yesterday, getting thumped on the road at the Chicago Cubs, 8-1. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. And furthermore, they take embarrassing defeats even more seriously. I look for them to bounce back today against the struggling Minnesota Twins here. For starters, the Dodgers have taken nine of the last 10 meetings with the Twins going back to 2017. Just over the last season or two, they are 6-1 in this Inter League matchup. Let's talk about the pitchers: James Paxton gets the nod on the road, while Bailey takes the mound at home. The Los Angeles left-hander is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA on the campaign. Over his career, he has made seven starts against the Twins, in which he owns a very respectful record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.61. In 38 innings pitched against them, he has walked 11 and struck out 46. This does not bode well as the Twins are averaging just 3.00 runs per game as it is and rank between 27th and 30th in most every major offensive category. Oh, by the way, they also have knocked just three home runs and stolen just two bases. I don't see them keeping pace with the Dodgers on the scoreboard. Los Angeles averages over 5.75 runs per game and ranks in the top-10 in just about every offensive category. Overall, their pitching needs some improvement. But today's starter negates all that, as I mentioned earlier. For Minnesota, today's starter is 0-1 with a whopping ERA of 54.00. He has only one appearance against the Dodgers in his career, and that was back in May 2023. He pitched well against them. This season’s lineup won’t be giving any run support here today. Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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04-07-24 | Marlins v. Cardinals -137 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -137 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
St. Louis Cardinals. NL Game of the Week. Game 908. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. Every season it seems the Cardinals are predicted to be a major force to be reckoned with. Now I will admit after starting this regular season off at 3-4, we were scratching our heads a bit. However, all of those games were played on the road, and since they started playing at Busch Stadium, they are a perfect, 2-0, which happens to be wins in both Games 1 and 2 against the Miami Marlins. As you know, Miami is the only winless team in baseball, at 0-9. We can look at stats from last season and we will find the Marlins seem to struggle in the NL on the road, going 38-43 away from home. This is not a very good team overall. And when traveling, things go from bad to worse. To add insult to injury, the Cardinals right-hander, Kyle Gibson is significantly superior than Marlins right-hander, Max Meyer. Even if you look at their early season’s statistics, both at the plate and on the mound, you will find St. Louis is far and away the better team. They average nearly one run more per game offensively, while they're pitching staff gives up nearly a run and a half less per game. Take the home team here. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
Purdue Boilermakers. BIG DANCE GOY. Game 656. 11:20 AM PST/2;20 PM EST. Both Tennessee and Purdue deserve to be here. However, make no mistake of it, the Volunteers are not in the same class as the Boilermakers. Purdue enters this matchup knowing that they took down Tennessee in a late-November matchup, at home 71-67. Since November, the Boilermakers have improved significantly. Don't get me wrong, the Volunteers are a damn good team. But when you have arguably the best college basketball player in the country as you're starting center, it's certainly going to give you a very large advantage. Zach Edey is one of the best college basketball players I have ever seen. He's an absolute monster. Forget about stopping him. Even if you tried to slow him down, the rest of the starters for Purdue are some of the most unselfish players in the country. On any given day any one of them can step up and take a game on his shoulders. Tennessee is accustomed to playing opponents that can score as much as them. Purdue can do just that my friends. And to make matters worse, they have a very good defense, are second in the nation in shooting from downtown, and on both ends of the court, possess a top-10 rebounding core. This game will get out of hand. Take the Boilermakers. Thank you. |
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03-30-24 | Golden Knights -115 v. Wild | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
Vegas Golden Knights. Best Bet. Game 5. 12:35 PM PST/3:35 PM EST. The Defending Stanley Cup Champions don’t quite seem to be the same team that they were a season ago. As a resident of Las Vegas for 35 years, I can tell you I know this team very, very well. They have turned things around a little bit of late, getting a little bit hotter, winning four of their last five, which does include two of three on the road. They have had their way against Minnesota, taking six of the last eight meetings. This is a very smart, well-disciplined, well-coached team and they know what it means to go into the month of April winning. Take the Golden Knights. Thank you. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
North Carolina Tar Heels. SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 636. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Whether you are a novice or an expert in college basketball, you are familiar with the history of the Tar Heels. North Carolina is one of the most successful teams in the history of college basketball. Hubert Davis is the head coach of UNC. In his three seasons at the helm, it's been a hell of a ride. Going back even further, his career has been very impressive. He went to North Carolina, winning a national championship, and even averaging over 21.4 points per game in his senior season. He was a first-round draft pick to the New York Knicks, played on six teams in the NBA. He became an assistant coach of the Tar Heels back in 2012, and a few years ago named the head coach. In his first season at the helm, Davis team reached the National Championship game. Oddly enough last season, the team missed the Tournament altogether. Now this season, they come in as a number one seed in the West Region. I believe it was last year's absence that really lit a fire under this team and motivated them to win. They know they cannot take their opponent here lightly. Alabama is a heck of a team. They finished fifth in the SEC, and own an overall record of 23-11. They are a very good team. But I think we could all agree that when they travel away from the confines of their own home court, they lose a little bit of luster. They are just 5-5 away from home straight up this season. And just 4-4 SU on neutral sites. While, their offense is explosive, their defense is getting shredded for over 80.4 points per game. They're playing against a team which is as complete and well-balanced as any team in the country. The Tar Heels possess height, muscle, speed, strength, depth, and intelligence. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke -12 | Top | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Crusher play. Game 760. 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. Facing Duke in Tournament play following the Blue Devils back-to-back defeats to end their regular season/conference tournament campaign, is going to prove to be fatal for Vermont. Yes, the Catamounts finished first in the American East. However, this is a team, which really doesn't step up out of their comfort zone very often. As a matter of fact, the only time this season they stepped up and out, would be in mid-December on the road at Virginia Tech when they got crushed, 73-51. Duke has no problems putting the hurt on opponents. As a matter fact, you can even say that they take enjoyment in it. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace with them on the scoreboard here. The Blue Devils average over 80.2 points per game, hit over 48% from the field, 38% from downtown… all this and they are great on the boards as well. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Colorado State Rams Tournament Round 1 Best Bet. Game 731. 3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST. Guys, giving Colorado State points in a matchup like this I feel as a real mistake. I know there are just the seventh seed in the Mountain West, while Texas is the eighth seed in the Big 12. However, the Rams are surging. They have won five of their last six straight up, and they are playing their best basketball of the campaign so far. Texas has dropped five of their last 10 outings, straight up, and have only covered four of those 10. When asked to step up out of their comfort zone and out of conference play, this team meets all challenges. This is way too many points to give a very talented, very game Colorado State team. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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03-15-24 | Florida +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 102-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Florida Gators. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 825. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Guys, in all sincerity, I think this line should be closer to Pick ‘em. The oddsmakers are being very generous in making Alabama this much of a favorite. I know how good of a team they are. Not looking to ruffle any feathers here. But this team loses a little something when they travel. That's for sure. I mean they're just 3-7 away from home this season. When it comes to neutral site games, I believe they are a dismal 1-4 straight up on neutral site games this season. The Gators can keep pace offensively with the Crimson Tide, for sure. Plus, they are monsters on both end of the court on the glass. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Creighton | Top | 64-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Seton Hall Pirates. Game 751. 6:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. This is a very exciting matchup, in my opinion. The Big East’s third and fourth seeds square off here. The Blue Jays have had their way with the Pirates in this series. They've taken three in a row, both straight up and against the spread, which does include the only matchup this season in January. However, in that matchup, Creighton needed three overtimes to eke out a three-point victory. However, one of Seton Hall's best, Kadary Richmond had his worst night in memory, shooting just 8-for-32. Here is something to think about in this matchup; first of all, revenge. Next, ensuring a top four seed for the upcoming conference tournament. And lastly, the fact that they've won and covered three in a row, they come in here with some momentum. This is way too many points to give a very game and capable Pirate’s team. Take Seton Hall. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Alabama -5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 103-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 753. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Sometimes records can be very misleading. For instance, Mississippi's overall, 19-8 mark. At first glance, it is very impressive. I mean they're just one victory away from achieving the goal of a 20-win regular season. However, this team was 13-0 in non-conference play. I've got to tell you, some of the teams they went up against, you would be hard-pressed to recognize. Lol. They've had some real pushovers. Their conference record is what intrigues me. They are just 6-8 against SEC opponents this season. Let's face, they've lost by 26 at the hands of Tennessee, 23 at Auburn, by 14 at home vs. Auburn, at South Carolina, at Kentucky, and here by 13 points versus South Carolina on Saturday. Oh, by the way, the Gamecocks were without their leading scorer. This team folds like a cheap suit when going up against solid conference opponents. And let's face it, Alabama is a solid opponent. This is a team that also owns a 19-8 overall record, which does include an amazing, 11-3 mark in SEC play. They have dominated ‘Ole Miss, winning and covering six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Two of their three remaining regular season matchups after this game, happens to be against upper tier conference opponents in Tennessee and Florida. This is a big victory for the team. I don't see the Rebels slowing down, let alone stopping the Crimson Tides No. 1 scoring offense, which counts over 91.1 points per game. They're in trouble in the paint, from downtown, and on both end of courts on the boards here. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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02-27-24 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 631. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Granted, the Panthers fell to the Tigers back in the beginning of December, 79-70 at home. But that was very early on in the campaign, and their new additions were still trying to mesh and find their rhythm. But since that defeat, Pitt has rattled off a 13-6 overall record, which includes conference road victories at Duke, Georgia Tech, NC State, and Virginia. Predictions currently figure Clemson projected to make the field of 68 teams come Tournament time. However, although they own almost an identical record, Pitt is reported to be just outside of the Tournament field. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning and covering eight of their last 10 outings. They were out rebounded in the first meeting with Clemson, but have since significantly improved at both ends of the court on the boards. They are also one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation at defending the arc. Too many points to give them. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-25-24 | Minnesota +7 v. Nebraska | Top | 55-73 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Minnesota, Golden Gophers. Smart Money Move. Game 857. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Yes, I am aware Nebraska is in astounding, 16-1 at home this season. But are you aware Minnesota is 23-3 against the spread this season? The Golden Gophers took down the Cornhuskers in their only meeting this season back in December at home, 76=65. If you're worried about them being on the road, don't be. Last March, they took down the Nebraska on their own court, 78-75. The Golden Gophers are money, riding a nine-game cover streak. I just think this is way too many points to give a team that matches up pretty evenly. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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02-25-24 | UAB +2.5 v. Tulane | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
UAB Blazers. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game, 853. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Someone needs to explain to me why a team that is 9-4 in conference play and 17-9 overall is getting points against the team which is 4-9 in the conference and owns a 13-12 overall mark. It just doesn't make sense to me. I actually have the visitor a small favorite here. Yes, Tulane has an explosive offense. But their defense is getting shredded for over 80.1 points per game. Throw into the mix they are inferior at both ends of the court on the boards in this matchup, and it's just doesn't make sense to me to make UAB, an underdog. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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02-25-24 | Florida Atlantic -125 v. Memphis | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
FAU on the Moneyline. AAC GOM Game 833. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Sitting in second place, a few games behind South Florida, Florida Atlantic has a real shot at the conference title. Another big, AAC victory here will put them one step closer to their goal. They face a heated rival that is struggling at the moment. And in my opinion, things are going to go from bad to worse for Memphis. The Tigers head coach, Penny Hardaway has juggled his rotation so much you never know who will be on the floor. And now they've been hit with a huge blow. Fifth year senior forward, 6’9”, 260 lb. Malcolm Dandridge will be sitting due to eligibility issues. He's a big man with a big presence down low. And without him they're will not be able to get as many second chance opportunities, nor will they get too many boards on the defensive side. I look for the 16th ranked offense of the Owls to shred them here, particularly from beyond the arc, where they hit over 36.5%. Take FAU on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -145 | Top | 70-69 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
UCLA on the Moneyline. Pac 12 Payday Game of the MONTH. Game 864. 4:00 PM PST at 7:00 PM EST. My friends, I'm a big believer in revenge. Especially on the college basketball court. Following a seven-game straight up win streak in this series, UCLA took an embarrassing, 90-44 defeat against Utah back on January 11. Since then, the Bruins have won and covered eight of nine outings. Meanwhile, the Utes, since that big game win over the Bruins, are just 3-6 straight up, and a lowly 2-7 against the spread. Oh, by the way, they have failed to win or cover the last four games played on the road. Take UCLA. Thank you. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 3 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 * Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170 Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170 Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120 10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 * 11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money 12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 ** 13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 ** |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
Over. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 |
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02-03-24 | Oregon State +10 v. USC | Top | 54-82 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Oregon State Beavers. Pac 12 GOM. Game 767. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Of course, I am aware Oregon State has not won a game yet on the road at 0-5 this season. However, USC isn’t much better. First of all, the Trojans possess the conferences worst record at 2-8 Pac-12 action. They are also just 5-5 straight up at home this season. They enter today's contest on a six-game straight up slide and have failed to cover their last three consecutive outings. The Beavers have won the last two meetings with the Trojans SU, and have covered five consecutive matchups. This is just way too many points to give in a rivalry between two teams that play each other very closely, know each other very well, and dislike each other very much. Take Oregon State. Thank you. |
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01-31-24 | Richmond -130 v. Fordham | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Richmond Spiders on the moneyline. NCAAB January Top Release. Game 691. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I have the line in this game between -5.0 and -7.0 for the visitor. They sit at top the Atlantic 10 at a perfect, 7-0 in conference play, and an overall 15-5 on the campaign. They have won 10 in a row Straight up, covering nine of those 10. And have had their way in this rivalry. Richmond has taken five in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings over Fordham. The Rams are a dismal, 9-11, which does include a 3-4 mark in A 10 play, and are on a 1-3 cold streak, both SU and ATS. The best player on the floor is guard, Jordan King, who averages over 19.0 points per game. But it will be the Spiders defense that will shine here. They rank 34th in the nation, allowing just 64.9 points per game and 12th in college basketball in field goal percentage allowed. They will frustrate their opponent here tonight and win big. Take Richmond on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC Championship Game Winner. Game 319. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 317. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. National Championship Game Winner. Game 288. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC North Game of the Month. Game 478. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFC South Game of the Month. Game 479. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-06-24 | Texans -125 v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Houston Texans on the Money line. NFL Consensus Game of the Week. Game 469. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. It seems as though every year during the last week of the regular season, you need graphs, charts, and diagrams to understand which teams need victories, which teams are eliminated, and which teams could certainly better their playoff situation. This game is very simple, a win and you will be in the postseason. Now there is a game being played earlier in the Jaguars/Titans matchup. If the Jaguars win, they take the division. If they lose, and the Texans win, Houston will take the division. Let me start off with something that really stuck out to me…the Texans are 7-0 ATS their last seven division road games. That is huge my friends. Quarterback, CJ Stroud has led this team to their first winning season since 2019. Now they want a playoff berth. In last week’s, 26-3 win at home against the Titans, the offense showed no signs of rust as Stroud made his return. The offensive line also looks very sharp, only allowing one sack. I see the Rookie of the Year candidate putting up some of his best numbers of the season here against a very vulnerable, Colts secondary. Indianapolis also ranks 27th in the league against the rush. That means Devin Singletary will get a lot of touches here and move the chains on the ground with his legs, opening up Stroud and the passing game. Defensively, Houston matches up well here with Indianapolis. I see a real mismatch in this contest. Oh, one more item, the Texans also have revenge as a motivator as they dropped the first meeting with the Colts back in mid-September at home. The line is moving between a -1.0 and a -1.5. So just err on the side of caution, take Houston on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks | Top | 138-141 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML. Best Bet play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 237 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 279. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 11 m | Show |
Play LA. Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Play Dallas. Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -116 v. Air Force | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
James Madison Dukes on the MONEYLINE. Game 225. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm asking you to take this game on the money line only because I see the line ping-ponging around a bit, and I want make sure we don't get hooked somewhere. Personally, I have the line much higher than the oddsmakers. I feel the Dukes should be favored by at least a touchdown or more. Having said that, this is James Madison's first ever Bowl appearance. And trust me when I tell you, they've been waiting for this moment for years. I know the Sun Belt isn't recognized as one of the strongest conferences in college football. However, this team is 11-1 straight up this season, covering eight of their 12 games. My friends this is no fluke. If you go back five years, this team has accumulated an overall record of 52-9. That's pretty impressive. This season their only setback was at the hands of Appalachian State in a heartbreaking, three-point loss. If you look at some of their opponents, they beat some very good teams; Virginia, Troy, Utah State, South Alabama, Georgia Southern, Marshall, Georgia State, and Coastal Carolina. That's just a few of the good teams they took down. I know Air Force is known to have a phenomenal rushing attack. But this is a team, after starting the season 8-0, that has dropped their last four outings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back to the rushing attack, it is quite impressive. However, take into consideration James Madison ranks No. 1 in the nation against the rush. They have allowed a mere, 61.5 yards per game of the ground this season. And if you want to go on further and say the Falcons are better than some of their opponents this season on the ground, the Dukes had extra time to prepare for their ground game here. They also come in here allowing just 18.5 points per game, and snagging 13 takeaways. This is a problem for Air Force as they tend to turn the ball over quite a bit. The Falcons are also going to be in for a long day defensively, although they are good against the run, the Dukes are an amazing team on the ground, and balance it out with the 17th ranked passing attack in college football. Take James Madison here for sure. Thank you. |
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12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -147 | Top | 134-127 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Houston Rockets on the ML. Game 544. 5:10 PM, PST/810 PM EST. I don't think there's a team in the NBA so far this season that has been more “Jekyll and Hyde” than the Houston Rockets. Outside of the Detroit Pistons, the Rockets own the poorest road record in the league. However, they own the best home record in the NBA as well. That's right, they are 11-1 at the Toyota Center this season. The last time they failed to cover a home game was in their home opener back on October 29. They come off back-to-back road losses and return home tonight in front of a friendly crowd to face an Atlanta Hawks opponent that has been less than stellar overall, at 11-15 straight up. Talk about pointspread poison…the Hawks have covered just one game since November 25, going 1-10 ATS. Granted they possess an explosive scoring offense. However, they are going up against the NBA's second-best scoring defense. As a matter fact, the Rockets rank in the top-five in every major defense category. On the offensive side of the ball I look for Houston to get an enormous amount of second-chance shots with a very strong, very big, rebounding core, ranking sixth in the NBA averaging over 45.5 rebounds per game on the offensive of glass. If Atlanta tries to shoot from the perimeter, they are once again going to be in trouble as Houston possesses the top three-point shooting defense in basketball. I think this line is off. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 324. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons -2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta Falcons. Game 307. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play. possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 49 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Game 127. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers -125 v. Bengals | Top | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers om the moneyline. Game 259. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Pittsburgh has a chance to better themselves in the Division, while putting some distance between them and the disappointing, AFC North’s last-place squad, the Cincinnati team. They have done well when facing Division opponents this season, going 2-1 SU, while the Bengals have failed to win any meetings against AFC North opponents thus far in the 2023 regular season. The Bengals have had a few extra days to rest and prepare. But it won't matter. There is certainly a fire under the Steelers backsides, as this week, head coach, Mike Tomlin fired offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, and replaced him with Eddie Faulkner. Quarterback, Kenny Pickett will be at the helm, with the luxury of Najee Harris, heading up the ground attack. Say what you want about Pittsburgh’s statistics, but you can't argue with the 60.5% completion rate for the QB, or the fact he heads an offense that ranks second in the league, committing just eight turnovers. This will be the game that Pickett will put up his best numbers, facing the League’s, 27th ranked pass defense. But it won't stop there as the ground game will be very successful lining up against the NFL’s 30th ranked rushing defense. We all know Jake Browning will be the starter for the Bengals. He took his first significant snaps more than a week ago in a loss on the road at Baltimore. Despite having a solid workhorse in the backfield in Joe Mixon, the offense ranks 30th in the League on the ground. Without a solid, rushing attack, the Cincinnati offense is in real trouble here. Pittsburgh will exact a bit of revenge as they have lost and failed to cover four of the last five meetings in this heated rivalry. I know the Steelers are on the road and laying a small number here. I believe they will dominate this contest. But just to err on the side of caution, take the Steelers on the money line. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -13 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 213. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The only way Alabama will stay in the College Football Playoff hunt is with an annihilation of Auburn this Saturday. You may not realize this, but since their September 9 surprise loss at home against Texas, this team has rattled off nine consecutive straight up victories, going 7-2 ATS. They have gone out of their way to crush every Conference opponent they have gone up against. Let's face it, they have had Auburns number. This is a team that has taken seven of the last nine meetings in this Conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those nine against the spread. This does include three consecutive wins, by an average of 17.6 PPG. The Tigers, at 6-5 are Bowl-eligible and really don't need to keep their foot on the gas here at all. They just want to get away with their lives. The Crimson tide quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured very nicely this season. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal and a solid ground attack as well. He has not made many mistakes at all this season. Thus, why the “O” ranks 16th in scoring, averaging over 36.5 points per game. But it has been their defense that has been solid and stellar all season long, ranking 14th in the nation, allowing a mere 17.4 points per game. If Auburn has a weakness, and trust me, they have more than one weakness, it is going up against aggressive defenses. They don't have a passing game. They solely rely on their ground game. So, Alabama can and will key on this. And I promise you, their linebackers will spend more time in the Auburn backfield, and the Auburn players themselves. The Crimson Tide as I mentioned earlier doesn't just need a win, they need a big win. They will get it. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers -6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 56 h 18 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 109. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings +2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. Game 473. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | Top | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Game 472. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS. They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Georgia -9 v. Tennessee | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Georgia Bulldogs. Game 329. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The top-RANKED Georgia Bulldogs cannot take their foot off the gas HERE. With only a few games remaining in the regular season, they have Tennessee up here, then a road game at Georgia Tech, and then finish the season on neutral ground against Alabama in the SEC Title game. There are a few other undefeated teams that round out the top-five in Ohio State, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington. This week a few of those teams have tough conference competition. And next week the No. 2 and No. 3 teams, the Buckeyes, and the Wolverines square off against one another. So, if the Bulldogs keep their foot on the gas, run the gauntlet and stay perfect, they guarantee themselves a spot in the CFP. Even if they drop the game against Alabama and win everything else big time, they should still be in that CFP. The Volunteers just got spanked a week ago at the hands of the Tigers, 36-7. There is no way they could face this weeks opponent on either side of the ball as they are outclassed. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Oklahoma -24.5 v. BYU | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
Oklahoma Sooners. Game 371. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. You know, folks, Oklahoma is not happy about missing the CFP. This is the team that was running perfect through the end of October. Then losses on the road at Kansas and that Oklahoma State snuffed out any chance they had at the CFP. They did follow that up with an annihilation, 59-20 over West Virginia. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. This is a team that had high expectations this season. One thing for sure, they still have a chance at the Conference title. But they must win their last two games. Please remember they have covered point spreads of 37.0, 16.5, 28.0, 13.5, 20.5, and 13.0. Not only do they have to win, they have to absolutely annihilate the remaining opponents. That starts with BYU this week and finishes with TCU next week. Trust me when I tell you, they will crush both. The Cougars have had a hard time this season. As a matter fact, since the end of September things have gotten very hard for the team. It just so happens that coincided with Conference play. BYU was just 2-5 straight up in Big 12 action. And have only covered three of their 10 outings this season overall. That does include just two games in Big 12 play. Just over the last three outings, they lost by 31 at the hands of the Longhorns, 31 at the hands of the Mountaineers, and 32 at the hands of the Cyclones. Don't think that they have any dreams about even making a bowl. They just want to get this season over and done with. Their offense is atrocious. Their defense is atrocious. They have no team leadership. And let's be honest, their coaching is horrible. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly outclassed. This game will get ugly. Take the sooners. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan -4 v. Penn State | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
Michigan. Game 149. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Yeah, yeah, yeah…we have all read the news about Michigan not having been tested thus far this season. But can you blame them? Just because the opposition has been less than stellar, it doesn’t take away from the fact the Wolverines are the strongest team in the nation. Despite the off-the-field news, they will go out of their way to crush a Nittany Lions foe that gave the Buckeyes all they can handle. Just like Michigan hasn’t faced solid teams, Penn State fell short when they went up against a strong adversary. This is the Wolverines opportunity to make a statement. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
New York Jets. Game 476. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST. Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Crash the Boards Game 521. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Guys, there is no alternate universe that the Cleveland Cavaliers should be a favorite over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken the last 10 meetings in a row straight up, going back to June, 2018, covering nine of the 10 meetings. They enter this matchup red hot, winning their last five outings, which includes all four away games thus far this season. They are also 3-1 ATS as a visitor in this short season. Guard, Klay Thompson is listed as questionable here. That's going to be closer to a gametime decision. Obviously, we would want him on the floor. But please remember this team is deep with talent and have one of the smartest coaching staffs in the League. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 on the season straight up, covering just one of their six contests. They have lost and failed to cover all three games played at home so far. They possess a very low-scoring, lackluster offense, averaging nearly 12 points per game less than tonight's opponent. That would be bad enough, but the Warriors enter this match up with a top-10 defense as well. Oh, by the way, look for one of the sharpest-shooting outside teams in basketball to absolutely shred the Cavaliers from beyond the arc as well. They Golden State. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys/Eagles OVER. NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK. Games 471/472. Sunday, November 5, 2023. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
Under in the NYG/LV matchup. Games 469/470. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you. |
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11-01-23 | Nuggets -125 v. Wolves | Top | 89-110 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets MONEYLINE. Crash The Boards play. Game 545. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Denver is looking to remain unbeaten as they are 4-0 this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 14.3 points per game. Minnesota is a talented team. But they just don't look to be in sync as of yet. Once again, this season, the Nuggets possess one of the most aggressive defenses in the NBA. I just don't see the sputtering Timberwolves offense, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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10-30-23 | Mavs -135 v. Grizzlies | Top | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks MONEYLINE. Game 513. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. I'm Sicilian folks, I know a lot about revenge (lol). Let's put a pin in that and come back around to it in a moment. I will tell you that if this number was higher, I would be apprehensive. But I think it's a very short price to lay. The oddsmakers know the Mavs are a fan favorite, so they inflate the number on them often. However, this is a low number and I feel it is an off number. Let's face it, the Memphis Grizzlies are a good team. However, at 0-3 straight up and 1-2 ATS so far this season, we are seeing them suffer due to the fact they are banged up with injuries. We all know all-universe player; Ja Morant is out until the end of December due to a suspension. They have quite a few supporting cast members also out. But I think the biggest key absence is going to be at center, with Steven Adams. Without him in the paint this team is getting manhandled. Last March, the last time these two teams met, the Grizzlies took down the Mavericks, 3-0. They took them down on March 11, March 13, and March 20. Luka Dončić does not like losing folks. He is surrounded by a supporting cast of playmakers. In the back court, Kyrie Irving is averaging nearly 20 points per game (19.5), while Tim Hardaway Jr. is right behind him at 18.o points per game. Joining Luka Dončić, upfront, Dereck Lively II is one of the most pleasant surprises so far in this young season. Throw in the mix, Williams, Green, and Kleber, and this team is just way too much for tonight's opponent. As I mentioned earlier, revenge is a dish, best served cold. Look for Dallas to exact same revenge from last year's March meetings. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline. NFC NORTH GOM. Game 267. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET. It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers. Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Packers -120 v. Broncos | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers on the moneyline. BEST BET. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Does anyone remember when the Denver defense was feared? It seems like years have passed since those days. But it all sincerity, they were supposed to be a force to be reckoned with this year. And yet this team is 1-5 SU, failing to cover a single outing yet in the 2023/2024 campaign. Not only that, but their so called, “stop- unit” ranks dead last in the League. That's right, they are 32nd in points allowed (33.3 PPG), 30th in passing yards allowed (268.0 PY), 32nd in rushing yards allowed (172.3), and their offense has twice as many turnovers as their defense has takeaways (11/5). Because their “D” is so overworked and tired, their “O”, which was never a great offense, let's face it, is absolutely horrible. They rank in the bottom half in the NFL in every major category. Mind you, Green Bay, at 2-3, isn't all that great either. But I think we can all agree that they’ve been a bit more competitive this season, than many thought. And for us, sports bettor's, they have covered three of their five outings. The status of starting running back, Aaron Jones is still uncertain as of this post (check status). However, if he does not play, AJ Dillon has proved he can step in and contribute without missing a beat. And let's face it, as I mentioned earlier, the Denver defense ranks dead last against the run. The ability to move the chains on the ground will certainly open up the passing game for Jordan Love. Russell Wilson's numbers are horrible, ranking 27th in a league with a QBR of 39.8. He will have another long day here, going up against the much-improved, ninth-ranked pass defense of Green Bay. In my opinion, the Packers should be a favorite in this matchup of anywhere from 1.5-3.0. If you recall in the beginning of this breakdown, I mentioned about anybody remembering when the Broncos defense was feared. Here's another question I post to you; does anyone remember when playing at home was a must play on Denver? It seems like it was just yesterday that playing at Mile High was a definite play on the home team. Well, this team has failed to cover all three games played at Empower Field this season. Take Green Bay on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Toledo v. Miami-OH +2 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 48 m | Show |
Miami-Ohio. MAC GOM. Game 362. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Oddly enough, these two MAC teams haven't met in over a decade. Both teams hold 3-0 records in Conference play as well as 6-1 overall marks. But when it comes to covering the spread, that's where they differ. Toledo is on a 0-5 ATS no cover streak. But checking our stats going a little further, they are also 0-8 ATS when coming off of a win as a favorite as well as 2-11 ATS their last 13 overall as a favorite. Meanwhile, Miami Ohio has not just won their last six games straight up, they've also covered their last six games as well. The Redhawks are a little more well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The wrong team is favored here. Take Miami-Ohio. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
Oklahoma. Consensus GOM. Game 390. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. UCF Head Coach, Gus Malzahn stated starting quarterback, John Rhys Plumlee is close to 100% and is expected to see action here (check status). In my opinion, although the play-caller is talented, it will not matter. His numbers weren’t all that great when he was on the field. The Knights are on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. They have failed to cover all three of their road games this season. And going back to last season, failed to cover six in a row away from home. Normally, I would look to fade Oklahoma following the Red River Rivalry. But this team is playing on another level. Following their road win and cover as an underdog to Texas, they had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are not just 6-0 straight up this season, they are 6-0 against the spread as well. The Sooners have a real chance to run the gauntlet and go undefeated during the regular season and make a case for the CFP. Oklahoma quarterback, Dillon Gabriel is salivating here. He has a chance to go up against his former team, and show them why he left. The Knights defense has allowed 44, 36, and 51 points in consecutive contests. The Central Florida offense solely relies upon their ability to run the ball. This doesn't bode well as Oklahoma's stop-unit ranks 32nd in the nation against the rush. The Sooners have already covered pointspreads of 13.5 and 20.5 over Conference foes. This game gets ugly. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup. Total of the MONTH. Game 395/396. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams -7 | Top | 9-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 272. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles -6 v. Jets | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Consensus play. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -3.5 | Top | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 48 h 58 m | Show |
Oregon State. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 190. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. All I keep reading is how good the Bruins defense is. However, they stepped up in class once this season and got spanked a few weeks back against Utah. On the other hand, Oregon State has looked strong against solid opposition. They are 5-1 straight up, going 4-2 against the spread. They opened the season against a couple of pushover foes, earning wins and covers. Then they took their foot off the gas winning, big but not covering a huge pointspread against San Diego State. I'll give them a mulligan in their heartbreaking three-point road loss against rival, Washington State a few weeks back. However, they bounced back and took control of their destiny beating Utah at home and Cal on the road, with authority. By the way, they covered both of those outings too. This is a team that gets us sportsbettors paid at home, covering 14 of their last 15 contests at Reser Stadium. Quarterback, DJ Uiagalelei has matured quite nicely, and found a home as the head of this team. They possess a solid ground attack. Defensively they're holding teams to under 20 points per game and I've already snagged four takeaways. I believe they're going to make it a very long day for Dante Moore, UCLA’s freshman quarterback that only has five games under his belt as a starter. With a more experienced quarterback, a significantly stronger rushing attack, a smart head coach, and playing at home, we must take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | Auburn +11.5 v. LSU | Top | 18-48 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
Auburn Tigers. TD play. Game 159. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Whispers around the Las Vegas sportsbooks are that there's going to be some serious money coming in on LSU this Saturday. And why not? They rank 22nd in the nation. And following their road loss to Mississippi, they bounced back last week and took down Missouri as a visitor too. They return home to face an Auburn opponent riding a two-game straight up losing streak. But my friends, sportsbetting is about situations and matchups. And the situation here tells me the Tigers of Auburn are going to catch the Tigers of LSU at the right time. First of all, Auburn has covered the last four meetings in this series, winning two of those matchups straight up. The other two matchups, they lost by three and four points. They play LSU tough, my friends. Guys, Louisiana State was supposed to have an awesome defense this season. But to be quite honest, every halfway decent opponent they went up against, has put up points on them; Florida State 45, Arkansas 31, Mississippi 55, and Missouri 39. They certainly have a very talented quarterback at the helm, and a solid running back in the backfield. But Auburn owns some pretty good statistics as well, ranking 25th in the nation in points allowed, yielding just 18.2 points per game. They're equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. And offensively they possess one of the most complete rushing units in college football, ranking 19th, and averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. It is this area that I feel benefits Auburn the most. They will run the ball a lot, wear down the LSU defense, control the clock, and keeping the LSU defense on the field, while keeping their offense off it. Giving Auburn double-digits as they look to rebound from two straight up losses, and had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare is a mistake. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois v. Maryland -13 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 34 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. No Limit. Game 128. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Facing Maryland, following their first loss of the campaign, will prove to be fatal for Illinois. The Terrapins have too much fire power for the "not so" Fighting Illini. Maryland has played some solid football this season. And as far as covering the spread, following a couple of pushover opponents to start off the season, in which they pulled starters, and took the foot off the gas late in the games, they then covered three straight against the likes of Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. To be quite honest, last week’s loss at Ohio State was a lot closer than the score. Speaking of covering the spread, this team is 6-1 ATS their last seven as a home favorite of eight or more points. Meanwhile, Illinois has failed to cover any of their six contests in 2023. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover any outings in the calendar year of 2023, failing to cover seven straight games, going back to last season. Turnovers have been an issue for the Fighting Illini, and facing a Terrapins opponent here that has not turned the ball over offensively, and yet has snagged eight takeaways defensively, will be the nails in the coffin here. I'm both sides of the ball, Maryland outclasses Illinois. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs -3 v. Vikings | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. High Roller. Game 471. 1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est. Following their season-opening loss in which they were shorthanded for sure, Kansas City has now rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, on the other end of the spectrum, Minnesota opened the season up going 0-3, both straight up against the spread, but came up with a big win last week on the road at Carolina to also earn their first cover of the campaign. But I've got to be honest, my friends, their defense has been absolutely atrocious and beating the Panthers is no big achievement. A big mistake made by sports bettor's out there is judging a team by their previous performance. I can tell you the Chiefs did not play their best game last week when they did eke by the Jets on the road. This is a game they have to get back on track, get all their ducks in a row, and get their foot on the gas. Facing an inexperienced quarterback that just can't seem to get a grasp of the NFL in Bryce Young is a far cry from going up against the most accomplished quarterback in the league today in Patrick Mahomes. Don't expect the Vikings defense to have the same success here this week at all. As a matter of fact, they are in for a huge let down for sure. On the opposite side of the ball, the Kansas City defense has really been superb, allowing just 15.0 points per game. My friends, please remember that the Vikings offense ranks dead least in the league in turnovers. I expect that number to skyrocket and for them to keep their 32nd ranking in tact after this contest. I look for this game to get out of hand. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. No Limit Game 452. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Guys, I am well aware that Jacksonville has become a fan favorite in London. And they did not have to travel last week following their win against Atlanta across the pond. But Buffalo has revenge in their eyes. These two teams met at Wembley stadium in 2015 when the Jaguars came out victorious, 34-31. Losing doesn't sit well with the Bills. Speaking of the team, following their season-opening embarrassing loss on national TV to a jets team minus Aaron Rodgers, the team has now won and covered three consecutive outings against some solid competition. In all sincerity, the Jaguars haven't had to face an opponent as complete as the Bills yet this season. Trevor Lawrence is struggling. And now has to line up against one of the most ferocious stop-units in the NFL. As a matter fact, Buffalo ranks fourth against the pass sixth in total yards allowed, second in points scored, and first in takeaways, snagging 11 already. And now that Josh Allen is back on track and doing what he does, I see him absolutely dissecting the 21st ranked pass defense of Jacksonville. This game is going to get out of hand while Buffalo gets their revenge. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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10-07-23 | Michigan -17.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 52-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. Oddsmakers mistake. Game 401. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. My friends, Michigan is sitting pretty right now. They are a perfect 5-0, ranked second in the nation in the polls, and don't have a very tough opponent for quite a while until November 11, when they face Penn State. Normally you would think that you don't want to lay this type of wood when they have several weeks of pushover opposition upcoming. But they can't let themselves get stale, that's for sure. They also can’t put in a lackluster performance in which a result might be drop in the polls. These days style points mean a lot my friends. They have dominated Minnesota, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering eight of those 10, which includes wins and covers in the last two meetings. Speaking of the Golden Gophers, they got their first cover since last December last week, against the Ragin' Cajuns. This is a team that has really not impressed at all. They couldn't cover against Nebraska, Eastern, Michigan, North Carolina, or Northwestern. It was the last two games that I really focused on. Granted, they were on the road in both of those outings, but they got crushed at the hands of the Tar Heels offense, and then against the very mediocre Wildcats, they were just simply outplayed. The Wolverines possess one of the most well-balanced offensive units in college football. They average over 34.4 points per game and they've only committed one turnover. Defensively, they are the top stop-unit in the nation, allowing a mere 6.0 points per game, ranking 11th against the pass and 14th against the rush. By the way, they've already snagged five takeaways, too. This game will get seriously out of hand. But remember it's only the second game back for Coach Harbaugh, and last week against Nebraska on the road, they devoured the Cornhuskers, 45-7. This team will go above and beyond with their coach back on the sidelines to crush the Golden Gophers. As I mentioned earlier, style points mean a lot right now, especially being they’re playing some less than great opposition in the upcoming schedule. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Patriots v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 48 h 34 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. Consensus Play. Game 274. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 EST. My friends, I think the line is a little off here. I think it should be closer to a -9 or even -10. Yes, I know Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots got a win ND cover last week on the road against the Jets. But haven’t they beat them like 15 straight times? Let’s look at their performance prior to last week when they beat a Jets team with a shaky quarterback. They opened up the season losing, 25-20 at home against Philadelphia, and then followed it up also at home, losing to Miami, 24-17. Last week’s win and cover was a rarity. That was their first win since January 1. And that was the first cover since December 12 of last year. I know “the Hoodie” is an amazing coach. But he just doesn’t have the personnel any more, my friends. Let’s look at Dallas. They opened up the campaign annihilating the New York Giants on the road, 40-0, then followed that up with a Week 2 win at home against the New York Jets, 30-10. Last week as an 11-point favorite, they lost outright on the road to Arizona, 28-16. This is a perfect “bounce back” situation for the Cowboys. I know they took a serious blow when they lost CB, Trevon Diggs. But this team is loaded and they have a lot of play makers on defense. I mean they rank third in points allowed, yielding just 12.7 points per game. They’ve already snagged seven takeaways as well. They are a little bit better against the pass than they are against the rush. But let’s face it, the New England 26th ranked scoring offense…to put it very simply, is lackluster. I doubt Mac Jones will have any success in the air here, even without Diggs in the secondary. And in all sincerity, their rushing attack isn’t very threatening. Defensively, they put up some decent numbers overall. But they did give up 25 points to the Eagles and 24 points to the Dolphins. Last week when they only allowed the Jets to put up 10 points…well guys, that’s the Jets. I see Dallas bouncing back with authority here getting the win and cover at home. By the way, the Patriots are just 1-3 ATS their last four on the road, while the Cowboys are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played in their house. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -140 | Top | 28-3 | Loss | -140 | 125 h 16 m | Show |
Cleveland Browns on the moneyline. NO LIMIT Play. Game 260. Sunday, October 1, 2023. 10:00 AM PST/1:00PM PM EST. The Cincinnati Bengals were predicted to run away with the AFC North. After three games into the regular season, they dwell in the division cellar at 1-2. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, and Cleveland Browns are all tied at 2-1. This past Monday night, the Bengals eked by the Rams, 19-16, still not showing much. This upcoming week Cincinnati will go up against Tennessee, while Pittsburgh faces Houston. This is an ideal opportunity for Cleveland to beat a division rival and make a statement to the rest of the AFC North. This is an interesting matchup as the Browns have won and covered two of the last three meetings with the Ravens, which includes the most recent matchup, last December, 13-3. Losing running back, Nick Chubb is a significant blow to Cleveland. They did pick up a well-known face in ball-carrier, Kareem Hunt last week to combine with RB, Jerome Ford. However, their ground game really couldn’t get it going in their 27-3 victory at home against Tennessee. They must establish the run here. And I feel they will. It seems each year they possess one of the top rushing offenses in the NFL. One thing for sure, they can still score points. They have accounted for 24.3 points per game thus far this season. And when you have Deshaun Watson as your quarterback, you know he’s going to also keep defenses honest with his legs. No matter what, their defense once again is ferocious. As of post, they rank number one in overall yards allowed, number one passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, and number one in points allowed. The stop-unit is the reason why they have won two games already. Their offense did cough the ball up quite a bit through Games 1 and 2. But reports are head coach, Kevin Stefanski was pleased after this past Sunday’s victory as Watson did not throw any INT’s and the team only lost one fumble. They are definitely improving. The Ravens, despite a winning record, have looked quite lackluster this season. They took down the Texans, and did beat a banged-up, Joe Burrow and the Bengals on the road. But just couldn’t do anything right against the mediocre, Colts this past weekend, losing 22-19. I think they are in real trouble here this upcoming week. Just looking at last week’s numbers, Lamar Jackson, accounted for 303 of their 364 total yards of offense. Facing a defense like they are going to face this week I feel Jackson’s numbers will plummet. The Browns DC, Jim Schwartz is a pretty sharp guy, and he certainly has the personnel to throw a lot of different schemes at Jackson and force mistakes. Going back to last season, Cleveland is 5-1, both straight and against the spread their last six games played at home. Playing at Cleveland Browns Stadium, in front of some of the loudest, rowdiest, and most loyal fans, against a hated rival is going to be an added factor for the Browns here. There is no love lost between these teams. I feel the Ravens are in big trouble. Just in case the number moves, take Cleveland on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -145 | Top | 20-48 | Win | 100 | 44 h 10 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills on the money line. Bookie Buster. Game 254. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, last week I was all over Miami in their 70-20 blowout at home against Denver. Yes, it’s true, they have won all three of their outings this year, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last year, they have covered six consecutive outings. But after last week’s massacre, they are in a huge “letdown” mode here as they must face the very dangerous Buffalo bills. I know the Dolphins play the Bills very tough, as all three of last year’s matchups we’re settled by three or less points. However, there is no place for Miami to go but down following last week’s performance. Please understand this will be the Dolphins third road trip in the last four weeks. And playing up in Orchard Park is always a tough task for any visitor. Their season-opening loss on the road on Monday Night Football to the Jets without Aaron Rodgers, motivated the Bills to then go out and destroy the Raiders at home, 38-10, and then go on the road and shred the Commanders, 37-3. That Week 1 MNF game raised a lot of concerns about Josh Allen and the team in general, as they turned the ball over again and again. However, their last two contests, they’ve only coughed the ball up once. And their defense has really stepped up.Miami’s statistics are a bit skewed due to their blow out of Denver last week. In just about every offensive category, they top the NFL. But they’ve also turned the ball over three times on offense against some less than stellar defenses. And to be quite honest, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. This is by far the best offense and the best defense they have had to face yet this season. Buffalo ranks second in the league in scoring and second in the league in points allowed. I doubt very much the Dolphins will be able to slow down Josh Allen and the juggernaut, which is the Bills “O”. On the flipside, the Buffalo stop-unit has looked absolutely ferocious, topping the league with nine takeaways, and only allowing 11.7 points per game. The clock strikes midnight for Cinderella here and the carriage will turn back in to a pumpkin. Just in case the line moves, let’s err on the side of caution and play Buffalo on the money line. Thank you. |
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09-30-23 | LSU -140 v. Ole Miss | Top | 49-55 | Loss | -140 | 41 h 22 m | Show |
LSU on the moneyline. OM PLAY. Game 201. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. My friends, this game caught my eye the moment the lines came out. And I’ve got to tell you, every day that I’ve looked at this matchup since, I’ve liked it more and more. Following their season-opening loss on the road at Florida State, LSU has rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. At 3-1 straight up, Mississippi’s record in my opinion can be a bit misleading. They played Mercer, Tulane, and Georgia Tech before losing to Alabama. In all sincerity, I think they got a little bit lucky, against both the Green Wave and Yellow Jackets matchups. The Tigers took last year’s meeting at home, 45-20. Dual-threat quarterback, Jaden Daniels is putting up some serious numbers. He leads an offense that ranks 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging over 42.8 points per game. This is a unit that does not turn the ball over, while they rank in the top-10 in both total yards and passing yards, and 37th in rushing yards. They will control the clock and keep their opponents defense on the field. The Rebels just don’t have the ground game to keep the Tigers defense honest and control the tempo at all. I just don’t see Mississippi keeping pace offensively with LSU here. Take the Tigers on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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09-24-23 | Bills -6 v. Commanders | Top | 37-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 51 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Ten Dimes. Game 463. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Buffalo Bills have extremely high expectations again this season. They are tired of being a bridesmaid. Following their season-opening loss to the Jets, sans Aaron Rodgers, they bounced back last week to absolutely crush the Raiders. Not only did their defense step up, play strong, and create turnovers, but Josh Allen played mistake free football. Great effort from running back, James Cook as well. Going back to Allen, he really wants to shake the reputation of being mistake-prone. I understand the Washington Commanders are off to a 2-0 start. But before we begin handing out Lombardi Trophies to Ron Rivera and his team, let’s please remember that this team has a lackluster offense, and a defense that sprung a lot of leaks a season ago. Their supposed “stop-unit” allowed the lackluster, Denver Broncos “O” to post 33 points on them last week. Quarterback, Sam Howell has a whopping, three starts at this level under his belt. And trust me when I tell you, none of the defenses he had to lineup against were as tough, as talented, or as angry as a defense he’s going to face this week. That Week 1 loss the Buffalo Bills experienced will not only make them a better team, it will make them a team looking for vengeance. They outclass the Washington Commanders in every aspect of the game. Lay the points with Buffalo. Thank you. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
Washington State. No Limit. Game 376. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Both teams are 3-0 straight up. Both teams are 2-1 against the spread. But that’s where their similarities end. Oregon State has faced the likes of San Jose State, UC Davis, and San Diego State. Meanwhile, Washington State has gone up against Colorado State, Wisconsin, and Northern Colorado. Granted their last opponent leaves a lot to be desired. But they have gone up against some very stiff competition and have played very well. They can counter the Beavers strong rushing attack with an extremely stout run defense. And I just don’t see Oregon State slowing down their explosive passing attack. Prior to last season’s meeting, the Cougars had won eight consecutive matchups in this rivalry straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. They will get revenge from last year’s loss. Take Washington State. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | Penn State -14 v. Illinois | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
Penn State Nittany Lions. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 127. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM PST. My friends, Penn State should be at least an 18 to 21-point favorite in this matchup. If there is a true mismatch on the board this Saturday in college football, this game is it. My friends, it was just last season that the Illinois defense was making headlines. This season, not so much. They have failed to cover both outings so far, as they eked by Toledo, 30-28 as a 7.5-point favorite and then lost, 34-23 on the road at Kansas, as a 3.5-point underdog. Their defense has sprung a big leak. Granted, Penn State really didn’t have any opposition thus far, winning and covering at home against both West Virginia and Delaware. But don’t forget that this team has been money against the spread, covering nine straight games going back to last season. Might I remind you they’ve been big favorites on more than one occasion during that span. This is their first conference matchup, and the Nittany Lions must make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. Penn State has gotten the better of Illinois, winning and covering three of the last four overall meetings. Going back a bit, they have covered three of the last four contests played at Illinois as well. Without the defensive mind of Ryan Walters, who departed for Purdue, I just don’t see the Fighting Illini putting up much of a fight against the well-balanced offense of the Nittany Lions. They have a smart coach, a seasoned quarterback, and a seven-game straight up winning streak going back to last year. PSU needs to make a splash in this conference. And what better way than to shred Illinois here. Take Penn State. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | Florida State -24.5 v. Boston College | Top | 31-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Florida State Seminoles. ACC Game of the Month. Game 117. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. With Clemson already at 1-1 overall, which does include an 0-1 conference record, Florida State has a legitimate shot at taking the ACC crown this season. This team came out of the chute and blasted LSU as a one-point underdog in Week 1, 45-24. If there was going to be a letdown situation, it would’ve been last week when they did cover as a 31-point favorite over Southern Miss at home, 66-13. This is their last game against a pushover before they take on some serious conference opponents. They have Clemson up next. This is their last opportunity to fine tune their offense and defense. And trust me, they are not going let their foot off the gas against an ACC foe. They face a Boston College opponent here that fell way short in their season opener, dropping a 27-24 home game against Northern Illinois as an eight-point favorite. If they were going to show some moxie, they would’ve done it last week when they eked by Holy Cross by only three points as a double-digit favorite. Over the last four seasons, the Seminoles have taken four meetings against the Eagles, both straight up and against the spread. Last year’s matchup saw an absolute beat down as Florida State thumped Boston College, 44-14. Offensively, the Eagles are very little threat as they’re having trouble both on the ground and in the air. Defensively, it’s going to be a long day for their defense, going up against one of the most explosive offenses in the country, that is accounting for over 55.5 points per game. The Seminoles are equally strong on the ground and in the air. They have a very solid, rushing attack to control the tempo and the clock, while their explosive air assault can go down field at well. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 58 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. NFL ANGLE PLAY. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. With a new quarterback at the helm and signing their running back to a long-term deal, the Las Vegas Raiders are entering the 2023 regular season with excitement. Many out there will say the same for the Denver Broncos. However, an aging quarterback with a lackluster offense, which in turn had their defense spending too much time on the field last season and springing leaks, I feel this team is in trouble. For the Raiders, what better team to face than the Broncos. For us sports bettors, they have covered nine of the last 10 meetings, going back to September, 2018. They have also won eight of the last 10 straight up, which includes six consecutive matchups with their division rival. Jimmy Garoppolo had a 40-17 regular season record as a starter in six seasons with the San Francisco 49ers. He’s got some big receivers, including superstar wideout, Davante Adams. In the backfield, Josh Jacobs, who had 1,653 yards rushing a season ago is a workhorse. With a solid passing game and an incredible ground attack, this offense is going to be very hard to defend. Speaking of defense, Las Vegas certainly beefed up their stop-unit in the off-season. Let’s face it, Wilson is not the quarterback he once was. He doesn’t have the legs as he did in his youth. And without a solid ground attack, I feel the Broncos “O” is going to struggle once again this season. On paper, it looks like Denver has edges both overall on the roster and in coaching. But the last time this team beat the Raiders by more than one-point on their home field, was back in 2017. Playing in Mile High doesn’t offer the big advantage it once did. If you recall a season ago, the Broncos failed to cover four of their first five at home. This is way too many points to give a very hungry visitor, which has had their way in this series for years. By the way, Denver has failed to cover six straight as a divisional home favorite. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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09-02-23 | Boise State v. Washington -14 | Top | 19-56 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
Washington Huskies. HIGH ROLLER. Game 198. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. My friends, this might be one of the biggest mismatches on the college football board this Saturday. To say that the Pac 12 is in a state of flux, would be an understatement. The USC Trojans were supposed to run away with this conference this season. However, after watching their defense allow San Jose State to put up 28 points on them as they failed to cover last week, we must admit that they might have the same problems they had in recent years. Their defense, their defense, their defense!. Both the Oregon Ducks and the Washington Huskies are touted to vie for the PAC 12 title. And right now, I have to be honest, the Huskies are sitting in the catbird seat. There is no question Boise State is a solid team in the Mountain West. They are supposed to be the top team in the conference this season. If you recall, they went up against Oregon State in Week 1 of last season and got blown up, 34-17. Let’s be honest, they just don’t face the same level of competition as does their opponent here this weekend. Their “all-universe” quarterback, Hank Bachmeier has departed the team and is now wearing a Louisiana Tech uniform. The Broncos are also missing some of their coaching staff, who have also departed for bigger and better. Maybe the writing is on the wall. Guys, there is no way they can keep pace offensively with the high-flying squad headed by Michael Penix Jr. A season ago, the Huskies offense ranked number one in passing yards, number two in total yards, and number four in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also didn’t turn the ball over too much, ranking second in college football in that category. Statistics can be quite deceiving my friends. Last season, Boise State possessed one of the best pass defenses in the land. However, when you go up against run-heavy offenses, like they did (Wyoming, Air Force, San Diego State, UTEP, New Mexico, Oregon State) the statistics are going be padded for sure. This is not just a step up in class for their pass defense. This is a step up, step up, step up, like they’ve never experienced before. This is a true mismatch. Lay the two TDs with the Huskies. Thank you. |
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08-26-23 | Raiders -5 v. Cowboys | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. Preseason Game of the Year. Came 131. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST Under head coach, Josh McDaniels, Las Vegas is 6-0 straight up and against the spread in preseason play. Dallas has not only failed to win either of their two outings this August, but they failed to cover both as well. Last week against Seattle, several of their key contributors got banged up. This does include a couple of their ball carriers. The undersized Deuce Vaughn isn’t going to be laid out to dry for too long here. They can’t afford to not have an able running back going into Week 1 of the regular season. The Raiders aren’t touted to do too well this year. So, I do expect them to come out here and put up some big numbers to excite their dedicated fans base and season-ticket holders. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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08-22-23 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Guardians | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. MLB DOUBLE PLAY. Game 923. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Once again, as crunch time approaches, Los Angeles is heating-up, winning 13 of their last 14 contests. They know they are on a possible collision course with Atlanta come the postseason. These are the two best teams with the two best records in the N.L. The Dodgers are not just a force at home this season, they are doing pretty well on the road as well, going 33-26 away from home in 2023. Not only that, but this season, during Interleague play, they have dominated A.L. opponents, taking 10 of their last 14 meetings. Going in the opposite direction is the Cleveland Guardians, which do own the second-spot in the American League Central. However, they sport a losing record of 59-66. This is a team barely staying afloat at Progressive Field at 32-31 at home. Not only have they had trouble with their own league, but against National League opponents this season they are just 17-21. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. Scheduled to take the mound today are Bobby Miller and Noah Syndergaard. The Dodgers right-hander owns a very respectable record of 7-2 with a 3.70 ERA this season. The Guardians right-hander is just 2-6 with a 6.57 ERA. Yes, he does know the Los Angeles team well as he was on their roster as a starter earlier this season. But this won’t help him here. Over his last three outings, Miller is 1-0 to 1.15 ERA. And on the road, he is a perfect, 4-0 with a 2.19 ERA. Over his last three outings, Syndergaard is an atrocious, 1-3 with a whopping ERA of 8.40. And at home this season, he is just 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA. The Dodgers explosive offense averages more than a run and a half per game then does the Guardians 28th ranked lineup. Take Los Angeles on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-14-23 | Angels v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 0-12 | Win | 110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Texas Rangers on the run line. MLB DOUBLE PLAY. Game 906. 5:05 PM PST/8:05 PM EST. Texas enters Game 1 of this series on an 8-2 run, leading the AL West by 2.5 games, with the AL’s second-best mark of 70-48. Los Angeles is on a 3-7 cold streak, dwelling in the divisions fourth spot, 11.5 games back at 59-60. The Angels, which possess a 34-44 road record this season, go into Globe Life Field to face the Majors best home team, the Rangers, owning a 40-20 record in their stadium. Sandoval and Scherzer are scheduled here today. The Los Angeles left-hander is 6-8, with a 3.86 ERA this season, as the team has lost five of his last seven starts. The Texas right-hander owns a very impressive, 11-4 mark with an ERA of 3.88 on the campaign. Over his career, he has faced today’s opponent six times, dominating them, with a 4-1 record and a 2.45 ERA. Over their last 10 contests, the Angels have accounted for three or less runs eight times while their pitching staff has allowed five or more runs six times. Meanwhile, in their last 10 outings, the Rangers offense has exploded for five runs or more seven times, while their pitching staff has only allowed more than three runs just once in that same 10 game time span. Take Texas on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-13-23 | 49ers v. Raiders +4 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 52 h 2 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. NFL Week 1 Best Bet. Game 134. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. As of this week, the San Francisco 49ers are touted to be one of the top teams in football this season. Most sports books have them taking the NFC West with ease. And most sports books have them as one of the top two teams in the NFC. Meanwhile, questionably the most talked about team in pro football, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected to finish last in the AFC West, and only win 6.5 games. There might be a little animosity here dating back to when both teams were in the same state. But there’s definitely some animosity being the quarterback for San Francisco over recent seasons is now wearing a Las Vegas jersey. Oh, by the way, to add gasoline to the fire, the last time these two teams faced one another, San Fran won in OT at Allegiant, 37-34. That game was played last January 1. Reports are that Brock Purdy is most-likely not going to play here (check status). But the offense certainly is chock-full of talent at the quarterback slot. I don’t expect head coach, Kyle Shanahan to put any of his playmakers at risk for too long. Raiders head coach, Josh McDaniels is known to put forth an effort in August action. Overall, this team is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS their L7 in preseason games. There is a lot of pressure on the Las Vegas coaching staff, players, and front office to win here. I do see them coming out here and playing very strongly and making a splash. Giving them this many points at home is a mistake. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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08-11-23 | Commanders v. Browns -3 | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
Cleveland Browns. Friday Night Lights Winner. Game 116. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Cleveland came out and took down the New York Jets this preseason already with just backups. Deshaun Watson is expected to play here a bit. But it is the deep, strong ground game of the Browns that will control the tempo and the clock here. This is a team that wants their in-state rival, division favorite, Bengals to know they are not a pushover this season. Washington covered just one preseason contest over the last two Augusts. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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08-10-23 | Texans v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
New England Patriots. Thursday Night Winner. Game 104. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The line in this contest moved because it was announced that CJ Stroud is expected to start. Trust me my friends, they won’t jeopardize him for too long. And after him taking the reins will be Case Keenum. Enough said! Mac Jones is not expected to see any action here. Not to fret, the second and third stringers have not been set as of today. So, I expect some solid competition with the backup quarterbacks here tonight. The New England offense is also loaded at the running back and wide receiver positions. So, you’re going to see some good talent on the field throughout the entire game. My friends, New England is picked to be dead last in the AFC East. That doesn’t sit well with their coach, their team, or their fans. Look for a good showing at home in front of their loyal fans in Foxboro. By the way, they are also 7-3 ATS, the last four years (three preseasons). Take the Patriots plus the 3.5. Thank you. |
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07-31-23 | Padres -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
San Diego Padres on the run line. Top-Rated Play. Game 907. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. San Diego has won three in a row and six of their last 10. Meanwhile, Colorado is just awful, donning the worst overall record in the National League. Lugo and Gomber are set to take the hill today. The Padres right-hander has faced the Rockies 10 times, three of them starts, and is 3-0 with a 2.64 ERA in 30 2/3 innings. He has been significantly more reliable. Once the Colorado hurler gets in trouble, things go from bad to worse for the Rockies, as their pitching staff ranks 29th, with a Team ERA of 5.49. Take San Diego on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-30-23 | Rays v. Astros -108 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Houston Astros. MLB GOM. Game 966. 11:10 am pst/2:10 pm est. The Astros took Game 2 of this series with authority yesterday, 17-4. These two A.L. powerhouses are going in opposite directions as the Rays continue to slide, losing seven of their last 10, while the Astros are riding a 7-3 surge. Littell and Bielak are scheduled here today. No one expects the Rays right-hander to go more than a few innings. This is huge for us as the once solid, T.B. bullpen, has been getting plowed lately. Houston is money, and this time of year, expect them to step up. Especially against a team they may face come the postseason. Take the Astros. Thank you. |
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07-29-23 | Twins -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 7-10 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins on the run line. Double Play release. Game 913. 4:10 PM PT/7:10 PM EST. Minnesota has played solid baseball since the Opening Day of the season. However, they hit a little bit of a speedbump the last few games, dropping three in a row. This is a quality team, my friends. They are well aware of the fact that Cleveland sits just 1.5 games behind them in the Central Division. The Guardians are the only true threat in the division. They need to put some W’s on the board and they need them now. What better team to face than Kansas City. The Royals possess the second worst overall record in baseball at 29-76. Oh, and by the way, just for the record, they are 31.5 games back in the Division. This is a team that’s already making reservations for golf outings and vacations for October (LOL). The Royals did take Game 1 of this series yesterday. However, to say the Twins have gotten the better of them would be an understatement. Minnesota has taken nine of the 11 meetings in this Division rivalry this season. The last time they dropped a game to today’s opponent was at the end of April. They then rattled off four consecutive victories over their division rival. This is a team that averages nearly a run more per game while they’re pitching staff allows nearly 1.5 runs less per game. Speaking of pitching, today’s schedule starters are Bailey Ober and Jordan Lyles. The Twins right-hander is 6-4 with a 2.76 ERA on the campaign. The team has won five of his last seven turns. As a matter of fact, he has gone 10 consecutive starts allowing three or less runs. His last three outings, he is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA. And when a visitor this season, he is a very impressive 4-1 with a 2.41 ERA. The Royals right-hander is 1-12 with a 6.19 ERA on the campaign. In five career starts against Minnesota, Lyles is 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA, taking both losses this season. As a matter fact, he has made 19 starts in 2023, as the team has dropped 17 of his 19 turns. At home, he is winless this season, going 0-6 with a 4.91 ERA. I look for Minnesota to bounce back here today and make a statement and further dominate their division opponents. Take the Twins on the runline. Thank you. |
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07-27-23 | Cubs +102 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-3 | Win | 102 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Chicago Cubs. Double Play GOM. Game 503. 4:45 PM PT/7:45 PM ET. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again, baseball is the streakiest of all the major sports when it comes to sports betting. And inside of baseball, without question in my opinion, the Chicago Cubs are the streakiest team. They are the hottest team in the Majors, winning five in a row and seven of their last eight. They enter Game 1 of this series with the Cardinals with confidence, knowing they took the last three meetings less than a week ago against them. As a matter of fact, Chicago, sits just six games back in the NL Central, a full five games ahead of St. Louis in the division. This is a big game for the Cubs today folks, as they can reach a .500 record with a victory here. That’s right, they sit at 50-51 on the campaign and this is a very big game for them to get over the hump. St. Louis, on the other hand has fallen way short of expectations this season. They enter this series-opener, dropping four of their last six enroute to an overall record of 46-57. To be quite honest, they are just as shaky at home as they are on the road this season. Today’s schedule starters are Justin Steele and Miles Mikolas. The Chicago left-hander is a very impressive, 10-3 with a 2.95 ERA in 2023. In three starts against St. Louis this season, he is 3-0 with a 2.95 ERA. The team has won five of his last six overall turns. When he takes to the road this season, he is a very solid 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA. The St. Louis right-hander is 6-5 with a 4.33 ERA on the campaign. This season, he is winless against Chicago, going and 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA in two starts against them. He is allowing 3.2 earned runs per start on the campaign. To be quite honest, he has only had one solid year in the big leagues, and that was back in 2018. His last three starts he is 1-0 with a whopping ERA of 5.14. And playing at Busch Stadium this season, he has 2-2 with a 4.95 ERA. When he gets in trouble my friends, and he will get in trouble, the Cardinals will go to a pitching staff and a bullpen that ranks 23rd in baseball, with a Team ERA of 4.61. Oh, by the way, they also ran 25th in Quality Starts. This doesn’t bode well as the Chicago lineup has exploded, accounting for 7.3 runs per game just over their last 10 contests. Take the Cubs. Thank you. |
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07-14-23 | White Sox v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves on the run line. Double Play release. Game 976. 4:20 PM PST/7:20 PM EST. Going into the All-Star Break, Atlanta won eight of their final 10 games. They currently sit in first place in the NL East, with an 8.5 game lead, possessing the best overall record in baseball, at 60-29. Way on the other side of the spectrum is the Chicago White Sox, which sit in fourth place in the AL Central, eight games back, at 38-54. They happen to be one of the poorest road teams in the Majors, going a dismal, 17-29 away from home this season. These two teams have not faced each other in four years. But I have to tell you, the White Sox are in way over their head here. They score nearly a run and a half less per game, while their pitching staff yields almost a full run more per game than today’s counterpart does. Speaking of pitchers, Michael Kopech and Charlie Morton are schedule starters today. The Chicago right-hander is 3-7 with a 4.08 ERA on the campaign. Although he has never faced today’s lineup in his career, he’s had problems with control. Just over his last three turns, he has issued 16 walks in just over 12 innings pitched. By the way, he is winless on the road this season, going 0-2 away from home. And the team has lost his last four starts. The Atlanta right-hander is 9-6 with a 3.43 ERA in 2023. His last three outings, he seems to have gotten stronger, going 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA. Meanwhile the team has won his last four outings. I just don’t see the White Sox competing here on the scoreboard at all. Takes the Braves on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-06-23 | Blue Jays -118 v. White Sox | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Toronto Blue Jays. |
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07-01-23 | Rays -110 v. Mariners | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play. Game 919. 4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST. Winners of three and a row and the best overall record in the Majors, the Tampa Bay Rays are showing no signs of slowing down. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday, thumping the Seattle Mariners, 15-4. That was the first meeting between these two teams this season. However, going back a bit, the Rays have taken six of the last seven meetings. Meanwhile, the Mariners after striving for a bit, seem to have hit a wall. They have dropped three in a row and seven of their last 10 to sink down to fourth place in the American League West. Both at the plate and on the mound, Tampa Bay significantly outclasses Seattle. They possess both the third ranked, scoring offense and team batting average in baseball. By the way, they also rank second in OPS, first in stolen bases, and third in homeruns. Their offense is absolutely exploding. In all sincerity, the word “erratic” best describes the Mariners lineup. As far as starting pitchers today, Tyler Glasgow, and George Kirby are scheduled. The Tampa Bay right-hander is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA on the campaign. While he hasn’t faced Seattle in his career, he has had a heck of a season thus far, as the team has won five of his last six turns. The Mariners right-hander is 6-7 with a 3.26 ERA in 2023. Despite two decent appearances, he has lost his last two outings. As a matter fact, the team has dropped five of his last seven turns. As the All-Star Break approaches, the Rays do not want to let their foot off the gas…at all. By the way folks, they are 40-18 their last 58 versus a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Mariners are just 3-9 their last 12 versus the American League East. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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06-30-23 | Rays -125 v. Mariners | Top | 15-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play. Game 969. 7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM, EST. Tampa Bay continues to play the best baseball in the Majors. Not only do they possess the best overall record in baseball at 56-28, but they are starting to surge again. Furthermore, they have had their way with Seattle, taking six of the last eight matchups. This is the first meeting this season between these two American League rivals. Speaking of the Mariners, they currently sit in fourth place in the American League West, 10-games back at 38-41. They have dropped two in a row and six of the last nine coming into this series opener. They have a lot of trouble playing the American league East, going a mere 3-8 the last 11 matchups with the division. McClanahan and Miller are scheduled starters today. The Rays left-hander is 11-1 with a 2.23 ERA in 2023. In two career stats against the Mariners, he is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA. He has made 16 starts on the campaign, as the team has gone 13-3 in those starts. To be quite honest, he has been the most dominating pitcher in the American League, in my opinion this season. Only once in those 16 starts has he allowed more than three runs. On the road he is a whopping 6-1 with a 2.58 ERA. The Seattle rookie right-hander is 5-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 2023. He will be facing Tampa Bay for the first time in his short career. To be quite honest, although he has a promising future, he has gotten plowed quite a few times this season, especially just over the last month, as the team is dropped three of his last five turns since May 29. In three of those, turns he gave up significant runs early. Tampa Bay seems to be beating everyone in the League. But when facing teams with a losing record, they are 39-18 the last 57 in that situation. Take the Rays. Thank you. |
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06-27-23 | Brewers +132 v. Mets | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Milwaukee Brewers. Game 903. 4:10 PM, PT/7:10 PM, ET. Milwaukee took Game 1 of the series yesterday, continuing to stride, as they have won seven of the last 10 contests. Meanwhile, New York has dropped seven of the last nine, continuing to struggle. The Brewers have taken all four meetings with the Mets this season. Teheran and Peterson are scheduled to start today. The Milwaukee right-hander is 2-2 with a 1.53 ERA on the campaign. And over his career, he has faced the Mets 29 times, which includes 28 starts, going 10-9 with a 2.98 ERA. The New York left-hander is 1-6 with an ERA of 8.08 in 2023. In three games, which includes two starts against the Brewers, he is 0-1 with a 10.38 ERA. Milwaukee is 4-0 the last four versus the National League East and 4-1 the last five versus a team with a losing record. New York is 1-4 the last five versus the National League Central and 2-7 the last nine at home. Take the Brewers. Thank you. |
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06-23-23 | Braves -142 v. Reds | Top | 10-11 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Atlanta Braves. Game 903. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. The two hottest teams in baseball face each other today. The Braves, which have won eight straight, travel to Great American Ball Park to face the Reds, which have won 11 in a row. Kudos to both teams. But I do see a big disparity here, my friends. Atlanta has been winning since Opening Day of the season. And they continue to be the best road team in baseball at 24-11. With all respect to Cincinnati’s win streak, let’s face it, their opponents during that streak have been St. Louis, Kansas City, Houston, and Colorado. Only one of those teams sport a winning record. And to be honest, the Astros have struggled this season looking very mortal. Smith-Shawver and Weaver are scheduled here. The Atlanta right-hander is making just his third start of the season, which means his third start of his young career. He has pitched quite well, allowing a total of three earned runs in 13 innings pitched the season, sporting a 1-0 record with a 2.03 ERA. The Cincinnati right-hander is just 1-2 with a 6.47 ERA. In his last four starts, in which he has received no decisions whatsoever, the team had won all four, despite him allowing 18 earned runs in just 19 innings pitched. Over his career, he has not done well against today’s opponent, going 1-3 with a 4.91 ERA. As I mentioned earlier, the Braves have played more consistent baseball since the beginning of the season. And they are a great road team. They have won four consecutive games played on the road, 13 of the last 16 games played versus right-handed starters, 38 of the last 53 games played during Game 1 of the series, 36 of the last 51 games played versus the NL Central, and 19 of the last 26 games played overall. Take Atlanta here. Thank you. |
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06-16-23 | Rays -103 v. Padres | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 979. 6:40 PM, PT/9:40 PM, EST. My friends, there is no way the Rays should be this small of a favorite over the Padres here. Tampa Bay owns the best record in baseball and starts one of the best pitchers in the Majors today. Tampa Bay has been playing on another level than any other team in baseball this season. Just over recent weeks, they are riding a 10-3 run. Going back a bit, they have dominated San Diego, winning nine of their last 10 meetings. This does include five of their last six meetings played at Petco Park. Once again, this season, the Padres have been underachieving and erratic. They have sunk to fourth place in the NL West at 33-35. Playing at home has not been a benefit for the Padres, which are they are two-games under .500 at Petco Park, at 17-19. Shane McClanahan and Yu Darvish are set to take the mound today. The Tampa Bay left-hander is a whopping, 10-1 with an ERA of just 2.18 this season. Away from home, his numbers don’t fade at all, going 5-1 with a 2.79 ERA. The San Diego right-hander is 5-4 with a 4.30 ERA on the campaign. To be quite honest, in four of his last five turns, he has given up significant earned runs. I expect him to once again get lit up here facing baseballs second-ranked scoring lineup. The Rays are 38-15 their last 53 games played versus teams with a losing record, 7-2 their last nine games played following a win, and 21-7 their last 28 games played during Game 1 of a series. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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06-15-23 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins. MLB Game of the Month on the runline. Game 912. 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. The Twins are starting to run away with the American League Central, now possessing a 3.5-game cushion. Meanwhile, the Tigers, which weren’t expected to do much this season, are seven games back in the division, sitting in fourth place. This is the first meeting between these two division rivals this season. But coming into this series opener, Minnesota is starting to heat up, winning four of their last five, while Detroit is on a 1-11 slide. The Tigers happened to be one of the worst road teams in baseball, at 12-21 as a visitor in 2023. They rank 29th in scoring, 29th in team batting average, 24th in team ERA, and 20th in errors. No matter how you slice it, they are outclassed here today. The Twins bats have begun to heat up, while their pitching staff has been solid all season long, currently ranked second in the Majors, with a team ERA of 3.50. Matthew Boyd and Sonny Gray are schedule starters here today. The Tigers left-hander is 3-5 with a 5.55 ERA on the campaign. And in 22 career starts against the Twins, he is 8-8 with a 4.56 ERA. Over his last three turns (which the team has lost all three), he is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA. The Minnesota right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA on the season. Over his career, in eight games, which includes seven starts against Detroit, he is 4-1 with a 2.47 ERA. At home this season, he has been stellar, going 3-1 with a 1.71 ERA. The Tigers are 0-6 their last six games played on the road, 1-10 their last 11 games played versus right-handed starters, 1-9 their last 10 games played following a loss, 1-5 their last six games played versus teams with a winning record, and 1-4 their last five games played during Game 1 of a series. Take the Twins on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -136 v. Heat | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets on the money line. Crash the Boards GOY. Game 517. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a much stronger team than the Miami Heat. They came into this series, better-rested, deeper, and hotter. They took Game 1 with authority, only to lose a heartbreaker in Game 2. The series is now tied up as it moves to Miami. The Nuggets cannot afford to allow the Heat to go up 2-1. Denver has had their way with Miami in this match up on the boards. However, very uncharacteristic for them, neither are they are hitting as many from downtown as they usually do, nor are they stopping the Heat from being successful beyond the arc. These are two areas in which the Nuggets excelled this season. They were one of the top teams in the NBA, both offensively and defensively from three-point land. They know if they are going to shut down the Heat, they must hit more shots from the outside, while beefing up their defense from the outside as well. This is a well-coached, healthy team that knows if they just tweak one or two things here, they will win the NBA Championship. But it all starts with a big victory here tonight. They are an excellent bounce-back team, covering seven of their last 10 games played following a straight up loss. They are also 9-4 ATS their last 13 games played on two days rest and 5-3 ATS their last eight games played overall. On the other hand, Miami is just 5-13 ATS their last 18 games played on two days rest and 2-5 ATS their last seven home games played following a road trip of seven or more days. They are also 0-4 ATS their last four games played at home versus the Nuggets and 10-26 overall the last 36 meetings with the Nuggets. Take Denver on the money line. Thank you. |
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05-30-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 927. 5:05 PM PST/8:05 PM EST. Tampa Bay own the best overall record in baseball. They have also lost the least amount of games. Furthermore, they have been embarrassed less than any other team in the Majors this season. Yesterday, they were blanked, 1-0 at the hands of Chicago. They were only shut out two previous times in 56 games this season. I look for them to bounce back very strongly here and make a statement. Prior to yesterday’s victory, the Cubs were riding a four-game losing streak, in which they allowed 35 combined runs. The undefeated, Shane McClanahan takes the hill on the road today. The Tampa Bay left-hander is 8-0 with a 1.97 ERA this season. He has been money, my friends. Taking the bump at home is Kyle Hendricks, who sports is 0-1 record with a 6.23 ERA. To be honest with you, he’s only had one outing this season, and he got lit up for three earned runs in 4.1 innings pitched. In only his second start, he hast to go up against one of the most dangerous lineups in baseball. Tampa Bay ranks in the top-two in every major offensive category. And I look for them to light him up like it was the Fourth of July. Tampa Bay averages nearly a 1.5 runs more per game, while allowing over a half a run less per game. Take the Rays on the runline. Thank you. |
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05-29-23 | Heat +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Miami Heat. Crash The Boards Play. Game 509. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. It’s no secret that Miami took the first three games of this series, only to drop Games 4, 5, and 6. Game 6, we did see Jimmy Butler and company come to life, playing a lot more competitively than the two previous matchups. We all know the statistics that in 150 times teams were down 3-0, never, and I mean never has a team come back to win a seven-game series. Miami doesn’t want to be the butt of all jokes my friends. I expect them to come in here very competitively, fight for every loose ball, and crash the boards like they did in the first few meetings of this round. On the other side of the spectrum, the Heat can also make history themselves. They can be only the second team in the ever to make the NBA Finals as the number eight seed. If you recall, games 1 and 2 of this Eastern Conference Finals series were played at the TD Garden and Miami won both. They have also covered 15 of their last 21 meetings played in Boston, 11 of their last 15 games played on one days rest, five of their last seven games played following a straight up loss, five of their last seven games played on the road, and 11 of their last 15 games played overall. Take the points with the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 203 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Heat/Celtics OVER. Games 509/510. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I think we all get the fact that this Game 7 matchup, we will see a very competitive contest. Having said that, do we really think that the odds makers are not looking to trap us here? With a total set of 203, it is by far the lowest total set in this series. Just FYI, my friends, every single game in this series would have gone over a total set at 203. Let’s forget about the fact that five of their last six meetings between these two Eastern Conference rivals played in Boston have gone over the total. Let’s forget about the fact that 10 of Miami’s last 12 games played on the road have gone over and 16 of their last 22 overall games have gone over the total. Let’s furthermore forget about the fact that 12 of the Celtics last 17 games played on one days rest have gone over the total and 11 of their last 16 games played overall have also gone over the total. My friends, these are two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference, and moreover in the entire NBA. And yes, both play very good defensive basketball. But I think we can all agree that both teams want to win this Game 7. We are going to see the best from both squads offensively, as well as some very good input from both benches. Take the over. Thank you. |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Miami Heat. Slam Dunk Top-Rated GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 549. 5:30 p.m. PST/8:30 PM EST. After taking the first three games of the Eastern Conference finals, on Wednesday, the Miami Heat were outhustled and outplayed, losing to the Boston Celtics, 116-99. Obviously, the Celtics are a very good team folks. However, this long season has taken its toll on them. They went six tough games with the Hawks in the first round, and seven very physical matchups with the 76ers in the second round. Everything did go right for Boston in Game 4. However, Miami is a very good team also. And they match up very well with a Celtics. The Heat also know that if they allow their opponent to get another win here tonight, they can easily let this series slip away. There is another item also my friends. The Denver Nuggets closed out the Western Conference Finals over the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. So, every day that the Eastern Conference Finals continues, the Heat be allowing the Nuggets to get another day of rest, another day to heal, and another day to prepare for them. I do expect Boston to show up here once again tonight at home. However, giving Miami this many points is a huge mistake. Boston is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played following a straight up win, 2-5 ATS their last seven games seven games played versus teams with winning record, 1-4 ATS their last five games played on one days rest, 2-5 ATS their last seven games play at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five Conference Finals games. Take the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-24-23 | A's v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Seattle Mariners on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 924. 6:40 PM PST/ 9:40 PM EST. Seattle took Games 1 and 2 of this series to now extend their domination of Oakland, winning all five meetings this season. The A’s own the worst record in all of baseball at 10-40, which includes losing six in a row, and nine of their last 10 outings. Things go from bad to worse, as they travel, sporting the worst road record in the Majors. Currently, they have dropped nine straight as a visitor. Waldichuk and Miller are scheduled today. The Oakland left-hander has gotten plowed, to say the least. The Seattle right-hander has pitched well, proving he is reliable. The Mariners average nearly a run more per game offensively, while they’re pitching staff yields more than 3 1/2 runs per game less. Seattle is 12-2 their last 14 home games played versus left-handed starters, 8-3 their last 11 games played versus the American League West, 5-2 their last seven games played at home. During their current losing streak, Oakland has been outscored by 29-10. Take Seattle on the runline. Thank you. |