Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 213.5 | Top | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Over in the Celtics/Heat matchup. Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR. Games 541/542. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. We all know Miami took both Games 1 and 2 on the road in this series with authority. Now, they go home to the Kaseya Center to host Game 3. Let’s face it, not many out there gave this team a snowballs chance in hell to win the series. But now they’re up 2-0 and are at home. This tells us that the Boston Celtics have to come in here and win to keep their hopes alive for advancement. My friends, both games in this round have gone over the total. As a matter fact, four of the last five meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Today’s total is ripe to go over as well. While Boston overall, scores a little bit more offensively, Miami is a little tougher defensively. But both of these teams match up pretty well for another high-scoring affair on my friends. As far as the Celtics are concerned, the over is 11-2 their last 13 games played on one days rest, 10-2 their last 12 games played on the road, and 10-3 their last 13 games played overall. As far as Miami goes, the over is 17-5 their last 22 games played on one days rest, 10-2 their last 12 games played at home, and 21-7 their last 28 games played overall. My friends, take the over here. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Over in the Los Angeles Lakers/Denver Nuggets matchup. Western Conference Top-Rated Total Of the Month. Games 535/536. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Game 1 of this series saw a combined score of 258-points as the game went over the closing number of 222.5. The oddsmakers set the total a little higher here because they know Game 2 is shaping up to be another high-scoring affair. These two teams have met five times just since late October. And with the number set on today’s game, four of those five would’ve gone over the total. Coming into today’s matchup, Los Angeles has played to three consecutive overs and 15 overs in their last 21 games played overall. They’ve also gone over in 13 of their last 16 games played on the road. As far as Denver goes, eight of their last 11 games played has gone over the total as well. Meanwhile, these two teams have played to seven overs in their last nine meetings played at the Ball Arena. With the Nuggets winning the opener, you can expect a lot more scoring here by Los Angeles to try to take this game. I expect them to be more competitive here. I think it we can all agree that as strong as these two teams are offensively, their defenses do not match up well with one another. You’ll see a heavy dose of Anthony Davis in the paint, while guards D’Angelo Russell and Lonnie Walker will bounce back from the poor performances in this series opener. As far as the Nuggets are concerned, they have six players averaging double-digits this post season. You can look for the combination of Jokic and Murray to light up the scoreboard once again, as the pair are combining for 57.3-points per game in the 2023 Playoffs. Take the over. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets. WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 532. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a better team than the Los Angeles Lakers. I know these two teams have split out (both straight up and against the spread) four meetings this season. But let’s face it, when the Nuggets play at the Ball Arena, their game rises to another level. Overall, on the season they are 40-7 straight up at home. Not only that, but they’ve covered 23 of their last 32 games played as host. Let’s face it, the Lakers lose a little bit of their luster when they travel, as they are just 22-25 straight up away from home this season. Moreover, for our purposes, they’ve only covered one of their last five outings played as a visitor. By the way, Denver won and covered both meetings against Los Angeles this season at the Ball Arena. Having said that my friends, the Nuggets also come in here a bit better rested, having had an extra day off to rest, heal, and prepare. Furthermore, they have played three less contests this postseason than did the Lakers. Especially, with that tough, fast-paced series Los Angeles just came off of going six full games with Golden State. I believe they are going to come in here a little tired, especially come the second half. They will run out of gas. To make things worse for L.A., Denver is more accurate from beyond the arc, and overall, from the floor. They also come into this matchup possessing the league’s top-ranked defensive rebounding unit. This means Los Angeles will not get as many second-chance shots as they are accustomed to getting. The Lakers have only covered one of their last seven meetings played in Denver. Meanwhile, Denver has covered five of their last six games played on three or more days rest, 11 of their last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight games played following a straight up win. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Twins -105 v. Guardians | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins. Game 913. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Very quietly, the Minnesota Twins have taken control of the American League Central with a four-game lead. This is a team that has a winning record, both at home and on the road. Something that is a rarity these days. The Cleveland Guardians sit in third place in the division, 4.5-games back. They have lost three straight outings, including Game 1 of the series yesterday, 2-0. A season ago, the Guardians had their way with the Twins, taking eight of the final nine matchups between these division rivals. However, 2023 is a very different campaign for them. Their offense, or should I say, lack of offense, ranks at or near the bottom in every major category. They rank 27th in scoring, 29th in batting average, 30th in OPS, and 30th in home runs. I am afraid things are going to go from bad to worse for the team as they go up against the Majors third-ranked pitching staff here. I mean their lineup has accounted for three runs or less in 12 of their last 16 outings. Sonny Gray and Logan Allen are schedule starters here. The Minnesota right-hander is off to an amazing start, going 4-0 with an anemic ERA of 0.77, which leads the Majors. He has made six starts this season, in which the team has won five of those 6 turns. And by the way, he has not allowed more than one earned run in any outing in 2023. The Cleveland left-hander is off to a good start as well, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA. However, he has only made two starts. He hasn’t worked out the kinks yet. Playing at home would normally benefit a team. But the Guardians are a dismal 4-9 at Progressive Field this season. They are also 0-5 their last five games played during Game 2 of a series, 1-4 their last five games played versus right-handed starters, at 1-5 their last six games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Orioles -156 v. Royals | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Baltimore Orioles. Double Play. Game 917. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Playing in the most the competitive division in baseball with the Major Leagues top team, the Baltimore Orioles are getting too much ink. However, very quietly they are just 3.5-games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the division and overall possess the third best record in the Majors at 19-9. This does include a 10-5 away mark. They travel to Kauffman Stadium to face a team with the second-worst record in all of baseball, the Kansas City Royals. K.C. is just 7-22, which does include the poorest home record in the Majors, A deplorable, 1-12 when hosting. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. But the Orioles enter today’s Game 1 matchup on the 1122 run, while the Royals are just 3-12 their last 15 outings. Both at the plate and on the mound, Baltimore is just simply far better. They average almost two runs a game more, while their pitching staff allows more than a run less. Just over the last nine outings, the explosive Baltimore lineup has accounted for five or more runs twice. Tyler Wells and Ryan Yarbrough are scheduled for today. The Baltimore right-hander is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA this season. The team has won four of his five turns and he has looked spectacular so far. The Kansas City left-hander is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA on the campaign. Both as a starter and as a reliever, he has made quite a few appearances in 2023. However, the team has lost each of his last three appearances. The Orioles are 35-16 their last 51 games played in Game 1 of a series, 8-2 their last 10 games played following a win, 6-1 their last seven games played on the road, 6-1 their last seven games played versus left-handed starters, and 7-1 their last eight games played versus the AL Central. I can give you a ton of stats and trends about the Royals. But they are all ugly. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers. Game 550. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST Up 3-2, Los Angeles cannot afford to allow Memphis to tie this series up. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena certainly benefits the Lakers, as they have covered four consecutive meetings against the Grizzlies on their home court. What furthermore prompts me to side with them here in this game 6 matchup is the fact that they were absolutely humiliated in Game 5 on the road, 116-99. That was an embarrassing loss. And that’s something that does not sit well with King James and company. Whether you love him or love to hate him, LeBron James is one of the most successful postseason players in the history of the NBA. He wins when it counts. Memphis has won just one of their last six games played on the road, seven of their last 22 road games played versus teams with the winning home record, none of the last six games played following a straight up win, and just three of their last seven games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-28-23 | Rays -144 v. White Sox | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays. GAME OF THE MONTH Game 919. 4:10 PM PST for 7:10 PM EST. Many people thought in the preseason that Tampa Bay and Chicago had a good shot at fighting it out for the American League Pennant down the road. However, a month into the campaign, Tampa Bay sits atop the American League East at 21-5, which by the way, is the best overall record in baseball, while Chicago dwells in fourth place in the Central at 7-19. The Rays, which have won seven of their last nine, travel to Guaranteed Rate Field to take on a White Sox squad riding an eight-game slide. Tampa Bay swept Chicago three games to none at home, less than a week ago. Both on the mound at the plate, they outclass their opponent here as they top the Majors in both Team ERA (2.83) and RPG (6.58). Eflin is certainly off to a much better start than Giolito. And over their careers, he has fared much better against today’s opponent than his counterpart. Chicago is just 1-4 their last five games played at home, 7-20 their last 27 games played versus the AL East, and 1-10 their last 11 games played against right-handed starters. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Los Angeles Angels on the run line. AL West Game of the Month. Game 962. 1:07 PM PST/4:0 7 PM EST. Without question, the Oakland A’s are the worst team in baseball. Just in the last week of April, at 5-20, this team is already 9.5-games back in the NL West, dwelling in the division cellar. Their offense ranks 27th in both runs scored and Team batting average, accounting for just 3.68 runs per game and hitting just .225. Their pitching staff is the poorest in the Majors, with a Team ERA of 7.97. They face a division rival in the Los Angeles Angels, which has had their number. LA has taken four of the six meetings between these two teams this season, including the last two matchups. The Angels, on the other hand, possess some pretty good stats. They rank fifth in baseball, accounting for over 5.24 runs per game. And their pitching staff is still in the top half, with a Team ERA of 3.98. Speaking of pitchers, JP Sears and Shohei Ohtani are scheduled here today. The A’s left-hander is 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA’s on the campaign. He has allowed at least two earned runs in every outing this season. The Angels right-hander is 3-0 with an anemic 0.64 ERA in five starts on the campaign. He has yet to give up more than three hits in a game. He will be facing Oakland for the 12th time over his career, which is the most he’s faced any Major League team. He has a 4-4 record against them in his career, with a 2.66 ERA. My friends, Oakland is struggling so badly, they have dropped eight of their last 10 games overall, and only twice in those last 10 outings, have they scored more than three runs. Their lineup is deplorable to say the least. And I doubt that they are going to have any success here against Ohtani. Let alone, against a bullpen that has certainly improving. THE A’s are just 1-5 their last six games played at the Angels, 1-4 their last five games played versus the AL West, 18-43 their last 61 games played versus right-handed starters, and 17-40 their last 57 games played on the road. By the way folks, each of the four victories Los Angeles has over Oakland, this season, not one has come by just one run. Take the Angels on the run line. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-17-23 | Warriors -115 v. Kings | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors on the money line. Fast Break Play. Game 523. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. A lot of things went wrong for Golden State in Game 1 of this series with Sacramento. And yet they still only lost by three points. The Warriors are one of the most experienced postseason teams in the NBA. They entered the playoffs winning five of their last six games straight up, and covering four of those games against the spread. They also know that if they go down two games to none, it will be very, very tough to dig themselves out of that hole. I look for this team to step up defensively and frustrate the Kings here tonight. I also look for Steph Curry to lead his team and take this game to on his shoulders. They are 4-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS loss and 32-15 ATS their last 47 Conference Quarterfinals games played. Sacramento is just 1-4 ATS their last five games played after scoring 125 points in the previous game and 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home. Take the Warriors on the moneyline. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Over in the Brooklyn Nets/Philadelphia 76ers matchup. Slam Dunk Play. Games 521/522. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Game 1 of this series saw a combined score of 222 points as the over came in once again. Four of the last five meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry have gone over the total. This matchup, we see two explosive offenses. I think we could all agree that both defenses do not match up well against today’s opponents. Coming into today’s matchup, Brooklyn has played to three overs in the last four outings while Philadelphia has played to four consecutive overs. The stats don’t just stop there as the over is 6-0 on the Nets last six games played following a straight up loss, four of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, and five of their last seven games played on the road. For the 76ers, the over has come in four of their last five games played following a straight up win, five of their last seven home games played against teams with a winning road record, and four straight games played following their defense yielding 100 or more points in the previous game. Take the over. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves. RD 1 GOY. Game 513. 7:30 PM PST. Coming into the postseason healthier than your first-round opponent means a lot. There is no question the Timberwolves enter today’s Game 1 matchup with the Nuggets with a bit of a healthier edge. Not only that, but something else I put a lot of stock in going into the playoffs, is momentum. Minnesota has won four of the last five games straight up, covering all five of those outings. They also come in here a little fresher. Denver has not taken the floor since the ninth of the month. And has only won two of the last seven outings straight up. The Timberwolves have covered six of the last seven meetings overall. And going back a bit 24, of the last 31 matchups played in Denver. They have also covered five of the last six games played on the road. This is way too many points to give a very game team that comes in here healthier and riding some momentum. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors/Sacramento Kings UNDER the total. RD 1 TOTALS GAME OF THE YEAR. Games 507/508. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. With two of the top scoring offenses in the NBA facing two of let’s just say “less than stellar defenses”, you can expect a lot of scoring. However, this is the highest total they have set in the four matchups between these two teams this season. As a matter of fact, this is one of the highest totals set in a playoff game, as far back as I can remember. If you do your math correctly, these two teams have to combine for approximately 60 points per quarter for this game to go over. That means everything must go right for this game to go over the total. As you know very rarely in the NBA does everything go right. And even more rarely, in a Game 1 of a playoff series does everything go right. The under is 7-2 overall the last nine meetings in the series and 4-0 the last four meetings in the series played in Sacramento. Take the under. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-09-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. Best Bet Play Game 966. 10:10 AM, PST/110 PM EST. Pertaining to Tampa Bay yesterday, I made a statement saying, “You can’t argue with success, let alone perfection.” Well folks, the Rays are the only undefeated team left standing in the Majors, at 8-0. This is team that has outscored opponents 64-18 thus far. Not a single game in their eight contests has been decided by less than four runs. This includes games 1 and 2 of this series with the A’s. They have taken Oakland down by a combined score of 20-5. Going back to last season, they have won five consecutive matchups in this rivalry. And my friends, the lowest margin of victory in those five games was three runs. The Rays are doing it both on the mound and at the plate. They currently own the No. 1 pitching staff in baseball, possessing a Team ERA of 2.13. As a matter fact, they rank in the top-three in just about every major category. When batting, they also top the majors in scoring, averaging over 8.00 runs per game. Offensively, they rank in the top-four in just about major category. On the other hand, Oakland is struggling. They are tied for the worst record in the American League as well as dwelling in the West’s cellar at 2-6. Both on the mound and at the plate, their statistics are some of the worst in baseball. They rank 28th in pitching, with a whopping Team ERA of 7.00. They also rank 26th in scoring, averaging a dismal, 3.38 runs per game. Today, James Kaprielian and Drew Rasmussen are schedule starters. The Oakland right-hander was shelled on April 3 for five runs on seven hits in just five innings pitched. A season ago, he was just 5-9 with a 4.23 ERA in 26 starts. The Tampa Bay right-hander held Washington to just two hits over six shutout innings, with seven strikeouts and no walks, also back on April 3. In his only career start against Oakland, Rasmussen earned a victory approximately one year ago, giving up one run and on just one hit in five innings pitched. A season ago, in 28 games started, he was a very respectable, 11-7 with an anemic ERA of 2.84. The A’s are just 18-40 the last 58 games played on the road, 10-21 the last 31 games played versus right-handed starters, 7-19 the last 26 games played versus the American League East, and 1-6 the last seven games played overall. Take the Rays on the run line. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-08-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -4 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Texas Longhorns. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 646. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. This is the matchup that being depleted will prove to be fatal for Xavier. The Musketeers are without a couple of key cogs in the wheel. Yes, I know they can score points. But let’s face it, they are going up against a team that scores just about as much as them. And an opponent that defensively can frustrate here immensely. Texas has the size, the speed, and the depth to take this game on their shoulders, control the tempo, and send Xavier home packing. The Longhorns also had better success playing out of their conference this season. They had early season wins over Gonzaga, Stanford and yes, even Creighton. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering every single postseason game thus far. I think both teams have very strong backcourts. But the difference in this matchup will be the Longhorns having the height and the muscle in the paint to dominate. Take Texas. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Miami Hurricanes No Limit Play. Game 643. 4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Houston is a monster team. I’m not looking to take anything away from the Cougars. However, I think we can all agree, this team gets vastly overvalued by oddsmakers. Case in point, they have only covered five of the last 15 outings. This team possesses one of the best backwards in the nation. But for the first time in a long time, they do not have the best backcourt on the floor in a matchup. Wong and Miller are the driving force behind the Miami Hurricanes. Not only can the tandem score, they can rebound, they can steal, and let’s face it, they are amazingly unselfish, earning assists. I know Houston possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. But Miami has a very complete offense and as I mentioned earlier, they are very unselfish. It is so hard to key on any one or two players on the floor. They are also vastly superior from the free throw line, which I believe will play a major factor in this game. One more thing folks. On a regular basis, playing in the ACC definitely benefits a team like Miami, which faces tougher opposition from day-to-day than does Houston in the AAC. By the way, the Cougars are just 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS the last six NCAA Tournament games played and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played versus teams are the winning percentage of 1.600. Take Miami. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Second Round GOY. Game 852. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST With a victory today, it will mark Gonzaga‘s eighth consecutive NCAA Tournament reaching the Sweet 16. The first month of the season was a little shaky for the Bulldogs. They lost games against Texas, Purdue, and Baylor. Then something happened. They got back on track to turn the season around and between December 5 and March 17, only dropped two outings. I am well aware two of their losses came against Big 12 teams. But as I mentioned a moment ago, those took place in November and the first two days of December. They are playing on another level at this moment. They are playing like the Gonzaga team that we are used to seeing at this point. On the other hand, TCU has only won 5 of the last 12 outings straight up. And have only covered three of those 12 contests. Let’s face it, they eked by Arizona State in the last round with a 72-70 victory. It’s one thing to have a decent defense. And the Horned Frogs do have a decent defense. However, facing the number one scoring offense in the nation is a whole different monster. Even if they could slow down the Bulldogs, a bit, I just don’t see them competing offensively on the scoreboard here. They do not possess the personal upfront to even battle in the paint in this matchup. And if the game moves to the outside, well, we all know how good the Bulldogs are from downtown. The Horn Frogs have failed to cover six consecutive games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have covered five consecutive outings following an ATS loss. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -125 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
Memphis Tigers on the money line Wiseguy move. Game 780. 6:20 PM PST/9:20 PM EST. Florida Atlantic possesses an outstanding record of 31-3 this season. They have a talented back court of Davis and Martin. They also can score. And own a very solid defense. But the best tandem on the floor are Memphis’ Kendrick Davis and DeAndre Williams. The guard/forward duo accounted for 28.5-points per game, 11.3-rebounds per game, 8.5-assists per game, and 3.6-steals per game during the regular season. In the postseason, they took it up a notch accounting for over 54-points per game. The Tigers are a stellar squad. They just took down three solid opponents in the AAC Tournament, including the Cougars in the final. If you think that was an anomaly, on the last day of the season they lost a heartbreaker to that you seem Houston team 67-65. And a few weeks before that, suffered an eight-point lost to the No. 1 team in the nation at that time. This team can play basketball and they play against a much tougher level of opponent. Personally, I made this line closer to seven-points. This team is 4-0 ATS the last four games played following a straight up win, 5-1 ATS the last six games played on a neutral site, 4-1 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Tigers to roar here on the money line. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-17-23 | Drake v. Miami-FL -130 | Top | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Miami Florida Hurricanes on the moneyline. Day 2 Round of 64 Top Play. Game 770. 4:25 PM, PST/7:25 PM EST. If you recall, last year’s NCAA Tournament saw the Miami Hurricanes, making it to the Elite Eight. This team is chock-full of talent, experience, and depth. Sports fans, this number is a little low here and that is because Miami’s forward, Norchad Omier is questionable. Reports are that his ankle is fine and he will suit up and be on the floor for this contest. Now always do your due diligence and check the status of a major player prior to game time. But I feel he’s going to play. Even if he does not, this team has way too much talent upfront, in the back court, and on the bench for Drake. The Bulldogs only stepped up in class a few times this season, getting smoked by the Spiders, 82-52 and the Billikens, 83-75. I know they ran through the Missouri Valley Tournament and took down the conference’s top-team, Bradley. I think we can all agree the Braves are a far cry away from the Hurricanes. Miami has faced and beaten much better opponents than their adversary here today. They also possess arguably one of the best back courts in the nation of Wong and Miller. I see the duo controlling the tempo and the pace of this game. The Hurricanes have covered 15 of the last 20 games played following an ATS loss, 11 of the last 15 games played following a straight up loss, and 35 of the last 51 games played against teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take Miami on the moneyline. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Round Of 64 Top Play. Game 782 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM With all respect to the Golden Eagles, they do not belong on the same court as the Blue Devils. I know this team had a nice Cinderella story a few years ago in the Tourney. I also know they were 18-0 in the Summit League and are riding a 17-game win streak. But folks, who did they beat? They started off the campaign with an eight-point loss to Saint Mary’s. A week later got devoured by Houston, 83-45. And another week after that, they took a 10-point defeat on the road at Utah State. So, my friends, they stepped up in class three times and got beat all three times this season. Duke is a monster team with a monster roster. They are no strangers to the NCAA Tournament. They have intelligence, height, muscle, speed, and depth. They enter this matchup winning nine consecutive games, straight up against a much higher level of opposition than their counterpart is accustomed to facing. It’s true, Oral Roberts does have a 7‘5“ player on their roster. And he’s a damn good player at that. However, Duke has four players on their roster 7 foot or taller. They also don’t choke. A couple of the big names on the Golden Eagles are known to have choked when it comes to bigger games. Facing the Blue Devils, in the first round of the Big Dance is the biggest game this team will ever see. You can expect Duke to dominated both ends of the court and particularly on both the offensive and defensive glass. Oral Roberts has failed to cover four consecutive games against teams with a winning record, 12 of the last 15 games played versus teams is a winning percentage above .600, and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 702. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Many out there, including the Pitt Panthers themselves, didn’t think they would be playing in the First Four brackets. However, dropping four of the final seven games is the reason why. This is a very deep and talented squad with a very smart coach. Let’s not forget they play in a very good conference. As a matter fact, they finished tied for second place in conference play at 14-6, and with an overall record of 22-11. The first few weeks of the season were very difficult on the team as they were still trying to find their sea legs. Then they got into a groove and started winning. Moreover, they started taking down some very solid opposition. Please remember they play in one of the most competitive conferences in college basketball. And have they held their own. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. During the regular season, they were led by four double-digit scorers and a slew of solid rebounders. They have strength upfront, and quickness in the back court. Mississippi State is known for defense. They rank in the top-10 in the nation, in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed. However, (and there’s always a however), however, offensively, they are absolutely deplorable. There is no aspect of their offense that brings any hope to this team contending on the scoreboard with Pitt today. They have just one double-digit scorer in forward, Tolu Smith. He is only one of two solid, frontcourt, big men for this team. While they were loaded at the guard position, they just don’t have the talent up front to compete in this matchup. By the way, they have failed to cover four straight games. Not only that, but they have failed to cover five straight games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, the Panthers have been money, covering 11 of the last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record and 21 of the last 28 games played overall. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-12-23 | Dayton v. VCU -145 | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
VCU Rams on the moneyline. Game 654. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. VCU dominated the Atlantic 10 conference with a 15-3 record. They enter today’s matchup on-fire, winning eight straight contests and covering six of the last seven. Winning the Conference Tournament at the Barclays Center here today will leave the Selection Committee no doubt for the team when seeding for the Big Dance. At full strength, the Rams can and will take advantage of a depleted Flyers roster. They have covered 10 of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record and seven of the last nine games played on neutral sites. Take VCU on the moneyline. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-12-23 | Texas A&M +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 63-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 655. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Say what you want about the 4th ranked Alabama team, but when it comes to Texas A&M, the Aggies have had their number. The Crimson Tide has lost and failed to cover five consecutive meetings with the Aggies. This includes the only matchup this season, a little more than a week ago being defeated, 67-61. Texas A&M, since Christmas has been striding, going 19-3 straight up (this includes this post season). Their defense has stepped it up over recent months, and once again today will frustrate their opponent. They possess one of the only rebounding cores in this conference that could compete up front with Alabama. We can expect another physical matchup, which will certainly benefit Texas A&M, as they are significantly better from the free-throw line. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Aggies have covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 26 of the last 35 games played following a straight up win, and 38 of the last 56 games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-11-23 | Duke -145 v. Virginia | Top | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils on the moneyline. Game 631. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. It is no secret Virginia tends to be overvalued by the odds makers. I understand they are coming into this matchup a small underdog. But this team has been pointspread poison for anyone who follows them, covering just two of the last eight outings. Meanwhile, Duke certainly has momentum, running red-hot, winning eight consecutive outings straight up, and covering five of the last seven. I am well aware the Cavaliers took down the Blue Devils exactly one month ago at home in overtime, 69-62. That was the last defeat Duke suffered. They turned their entire outlook around and started playing with grit. Even in that matchup, Duke was much better from both the free throw line and beyond the arc. Not only that, but they absolutely dominated the glass. And that is where I believe this game will be won. The blue Devils rebounding prowess on both sides of the court will be a key factor in them winning this contest. By the way, they are 100% healthy. A rare occurrence for this time of the year. However, Virginia lost forward Vander Plas a few games ago. During the regular season, he was one of the better rebounders and a solid force upfront. He will be sorely missed in this matchup and they will pay for his absence. Duke has covered five of the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Blue Devils on the money line. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas -125 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Kansas Jayhawks on the money line Game 624 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. In my opinion, currently there is no team playing as goo as the Kansas Jayhawks. Yes, they are playing for the Big 12 Tournament title. But they are also playing for the number one overall seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. They are the favorite to grab the top overall seed, but a less than stellar performance today would also bring into consideration, Alabama or Houston. That does depend on their results today as well. Having said that, the Jayhawks must go all out here today against a very formidable opponent. The Longhorns finished the regular season in second place in the conference. They also enter this matchup winning the last three straight up and the last four ATS. It is quite fortuitous for Kansas to be facing Texas here in the championship game. Exactly one week ago today, on the road the Jayhawks took an embarrassing 75-59 defeat at the hands of the Longhorns. One thing that doesn’t go over well with Kansas, is an embarrassing defeat. Remember, they are also playing with extra motivation as their coach, Bill Self is recuperating from a medical procedure. In all honesty, Texas looks solid for the number two seed for the Big Dance. I’m not saying they are not going to go all out here. But they look to be locked into their position. Both teams have a major player listed as questionable here today. There is no doubt that the Jayhawks are deeper, which certainly benefits their starting-five as they will come in a little fresher here today. The Longhorns have only covered seven of the last 22 games played following an ATS win, six of the last 20 games played following a straight up win, and three of the last 10 games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, Kansas is 5-1 ATS the last six games played following an ATS win, 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 756 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Kansas State had the better record in Big 12 play. Kansas State had a better overall record. And Kansas State is higher-ranked. So, for the life of me, why are they an underdog here today? If I have ever seen a trap, this looks like it folks. The Wildcats finished the regular season campaign winning four the last five, both straight up and against the spread. They also took the most recent meeting with the Horned Frogs, approximately one month ago. Granted, both teams are 3-0 neutral sites this season. But TCU should not be favored here today my friends. They are just 3-6 straight up and 2-7 ATS the last nine outings. And I believe they are going to have a tough time today against the frustrating KSU defense. Kansas State is also money in the bank when playing solid opposition, covering eight of the last 11 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Texas Christian has only covered one of the last six games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Make no mistake of it my friends, this is the game the Horned Frogs will severely miss the big man in the middle, Lampkin. The Wildcats are very strong upfront, will dominate the glass, and win this game. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-05-23 | Maryland +4 v. Penn State | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Best Bet. Game 767. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I am well aware of the fact the Terrapins are 10-0 at home in conference play but a dismal 1-8 on the road. They also know this stat as too. Coach, Kevin Willard also knows his team is one of seven Big Ten squads all tied for second place in the standings at 11-8. This game is a must win for Maryland. They took the first meeting in this matchup at home and come off a loss. They are an outstanding bounce-back team, not having suffered back-to-back defeats since early-January. They have also covered four of the last five following both, a SU and an ATS loss. For us bettors, they have turned it up recently, covering nine of the last 13 games played overall. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-04-23 | TCU -135 v. Oklahoma | Top | 60-74 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
TCU Horned Frogs on the money line. Game 649. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. A victory here today would give TCU their first winning conference record since the 2000/2001 campaign. It is no secret that the Big 12 is arguably the toughest conference in college basketball today. This would be a big victory for the Horned Frogs to close out the regular season. Not only that, but it would give them some extra momentum going into the conference tournament. They took down the Sooners 79-52 at home in the only meeting against them this season, back on January 24. That win and cover gave TCU the third consecutive in this rivalry. And let’s face it, a loss here, no matter how good they play in the conference tournament, would definitely influence the Selection Committee for the Big Dance. Oklahoma is the league doormat, dwelling in the cellar at 4-13. At both ends of the court and on the boards, TCU is significantly stronger, and they know it. The backcourt tandem of Miles jr. and Baugh, which are combining for over 30.2-points per game, 7.2-rebounds per game, 8.8-assists per game, and-3.1 steals per game will control the pace and the tempo of this contest. One more item my friends, a victory here would give the Horned Frogs the No. 5 seed in next weeks Big 12 tournament. The Sooners have only covered two of the last eight at home. Take TCU on the moneyline. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-28-23 | Clemson +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Clemson Tigers. Game 619. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite these two teams both tied for 3rd-place in the ACC at 13-5, only Clemson has a shot at least for a share of the conference’s top-spot. A couple of things have to go their way, but it is still mathematically possible. Both teams need this win as neither want to be in a situation falling out of the top-four in the standings for the upcoming ACC tournament. I am fully aware of the fact Virginia is 13-1 straight up at home this season, covering five of their last six as host. I really do feel that they may lose this game outright, let alone cover. This is a team struggling right now, losing their last two straight up and failing to cover the last four in a row. On the other hand, the Tigers have won and covered three of the last four and come off perhaps their best performance of the season. They stomped the Wolfpack on the road, 96-71 has a 5.5- point underdog a few nights ago. They come into this contest tonight with momentum. Granted the Cavaliers defense is very frustrating. But it just can’t compensate for their lack of office anymore. They face a Tigers “O” averaging over 75.7-points per game and just shy of 37% from beyond the arc and almost 80% from the line. Without question Clemson possesses the much stronger front court with Tyson, Hall, and Schieffelin. I look for the big men to dominate on the glass, allowing successful transition. The road team has covered six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Clemson has covered 10 of the last 14 games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-27-23 | Nevada -5 v. Wyoming | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Nevada Wolfpack. Game 865. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Although a few things have to happen, Nevada still has a chance for a share of the top-spot in the Mountain West Conference. In my opinion, they are also on the right side of the cut line for the Big Dance. However, a loss here to the leagues bottom-dwelling Wyoming squad, might just put some doubts in the minds of the Selection Committee. The Wolfpack seems to have gotten stronger as the season progressed. Just over the last month or so, they have won six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread. Sorry to say things didn’t go too well for the Cowboys this campaign. And it seems things have gone from bad to worse for this team, dropping and failing to cover the last three. During their current slide, the average margin of defeat is a whopping 9.6- points per game. Offensively, defensively, and on the boards, this team is significantly outclassed in tonight‘s matchup. They just do not Possess the talent to run with Nevada here. Whether it be in the back court where they are thin because guard, Reynolds has been out, Or upfront in the absence of forward, Ike, this team just cannot contend with guards, Lucas, and Blackshear, or big men, Baker and Williams. As I said earlier, they are significantly outclassed. The road team has covered 11 of the last 16 meetings. The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 22-8-2 ATS the last 32 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-22-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Providence Friars. Game 657. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I’ve been doing this for over four decades, and I just can’t figure out why the Huskies are this much of a favorite over the Friars. I understand that Connecticut possesses a 13-2 record at home, while Providence owns a 4-5 away mark. However, that’s where the advantages for the home team here end. Providence has won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, which includes a 73-61 outright win and cover in the only meeting this season, at the beginning of January at home as a 5.5-point underdog. Since December, not only have the Friars won 15 of 19 contest straight up, they have also covered 15 of those 19 outings. They enter this matchup running hot, winning and covering the last several games. Granted, their overall road record isn’t the most impressive. But they have covered seven of the last nine as a visitor. There isn’t a lot of time left in the regular season, and the Friars, which are sitting in second place in the Big East, three-games behind the Golden Eagles, have a chance at taking the conference. To do so, they must continue to keep their foot on the gas. Since December 31, the Huskies are just 6-7 straight up. Going back a bit further, prior to Christmas, they have crushed bettors, going a mere 5-10 ATS. Granted UConn possesses a very good defense, but they just can’t compensate with their erratic offense. Particularly when facing solid adversaries. Both teams are excellent on the boards. Both team score about the same. But I do see a major advantage for the visitors here getting this many points. I think the odds makers are way off here, sports fans. By the way, Connecticut has covered just two of their last seven against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Take Providence. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 707. 2 PM PST/5 PM EST. The Panthers are enjoying their best league campaign since joining the conference a decade ago. They are tied for the top spot with the Cavaliers at 12-3 in league play. They enter today’s contest riding a six-game straight up win streak, covering their last five outings. As a matter fact, they have been a covering machine. Pitt has covered 12 of the last 13 on the road, nine of the last 11 versus teams with a winning record, and 20 of the last 26 overall. They’re starting-five consists of four double-digit scores. Trust me when I tell you they will light up Virginia Tech here. The Hokies have fallen. They no longer possess a defense that puts the fear into opponents offenses. This is a team with a lackluster offense that just isn’t good enough to compensate for their lack of defense. They are also crushing bettors, covering just four of the last 14 overall. The ‘dog has covered nine of the last 12 meetings. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-16-23 | Purdue v. Maryland +2 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Big Ten Game of the Month. Game 750. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. There is no question Purdue is a very good team. However, they’re starting to show cracks. They have dropped two of their last three, both straight up and against the spread at Indiana and at Northwestern. Now they go on the road and play a Maryland team which is owns a very respectable 13-1 record at home this season. Maryland has been a thorn in the side of Purdue when it comes to ATS. They have covered seven of the last eight meetings for us bettors. And if you look at the past several meetings, they have been decided by three, one, one, and three-points. They play this team very tough. As a matter fact, the Terrapins are playing some pretty good basketball themselves, winning five for the last six straight up and seven of the last 10 against the spread. Both teams are relatively healthy. And both teams match up well with one another. The big difference here is the fact the Boilermakers are starting to struggle and they are not the greatest road team. They’ve only covered one of their last five as a visitor. By the way folks, Maryland has covered 16 of the last 21 at home. And the underdog has covered four straight in this rivalry. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-10-23 | New Mexico -6 v. Air Force | Top | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
New Mexico Lobos. HIGH ROLLER Game of the Month. Game 891. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The Lobos finished 2022 as the last remaining unbeaten team in college basketball. Since the New Year began, they slid a bit splitting out their last 10 games. They are a respectable 19-5 overall, which includes a 6-5 mark in the Mountain West Conference. This team needs to get back on track right now if they’re going to make a run at the Big Dance. And what better opponent to face to do just that than the Falcons. They have taken three consecutive meetings over their conference rival straight up, winning by an average mark of 7.6-points per game. This does include an 81-73 home victory approximately two weeks ago. Air Force is absolutely atrocious. They are just 3-9 in conference action, enroute to an overall, 12-13 record. The last several weeks, things have gone from bad to worse for the team as they are currently riding a six-game straight up a losing streak in which they have failed to cover four of those six outings. New Mexico will light up the scoreboard this evening behind their 16th ranked scoring offense, which averages over 81.8-points per game. By the way folks, a major mismatch here is their 11th ranked field goal shooting squad (which hits 49% from the floor), matching up against the nations 206th ranked field goal percentage defense. Oh, by the way guys, the Falcons average over 15.4-points per game less. And on both sides of the court, they are outclassed on the boards here as well. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Take the Lobos. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Boise State. Best Bet. Game 883. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. My friends, this line is way off here. This should be a Pick ‘em or at most, the Aztecs should just be maybe a one-point favorite only because they are at home. These are the two best teams in the Mountain West Conference, tied for the top-spot in the League at 8-2. Overall, the Broncos own a little bit better of a record at 18-5, while the Aztecs are 17-5. A season ago, Boise State took all three meetings over San Diego State straight up covering two of the three. Interestingly enough, all three meetings were settled by a combined seven-points. These two teams play each other very tough, my friends. Offensively, they are very similar. But defensively the Broncos are much stronger. They rank 12th in the nation yielding just 60.7-points per game. They’re also 24th in field-goal percentage allowed and fourth in three-point percentage allowed. Both teams have had a few days off to rest and prepare. However, BSU certainly comes in here hotter, winning eight of the last nine straight up and six of the last eight against the spread, while SDSU is just 4-2 their last six straight up and have only covered five of their last 10 against the number. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. The Broncos have covered 20 of their last 26 on the road. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have only covered four of the last 14 at home. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-31-23 | Kansas State +7 v. Kansas | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. BIG 12 GOM. Game 633. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The seventh ranked Wildcats will look to take their first regular-season sweep over the eighth ranked Jayhawks in years. They took the first meeting at home in overtime just two weeks ago, 83-82. Granted, Kansas is a pretty darn good home team. But this year‘s Jayhawks squad has started to struggle. They’ve lost three of their last four overall straight up, and five of their last six overall against the spread. As far as us bettors are concerned, K State has been money, covering eight of their last nine contests coming into tonight’s matchup. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 35 of their last 52 on the road, 10 of their last 11 against teams with a winning record, and their last four straight overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-29-23 | Bengals -125 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -125 | 128 h 26 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals on the money line. AFC Game of the YEAR. Game 323. Sunday, January 29, 2023. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, with all respect to Patrick Mahomes and his success, he is not above getting rattled. He has lost the last three meetings against Cincinnati, all since January, 2022. For our purpose guys, Kansas City has also failed to cover all three of those meetings as well. That has got to be weighing on the mind of Mahomes as well as the rest of the team. To add to the pressure, all three of those matchups were when the quarterback was 100% healthy. Granted, he will have some time to rest his ailing ankle. But much of the offenses success comes from his ability to be mobile. The Chiefs “O” must also lineup across from one of the nastiest and stingiest “D’s” in the NFL. The Bengals stop-unit ranks sixth in the league, allowing just 20.1-points per game. They are incredibly strong against the run. And to be quite honest with you, even though overall they may be 23rd against the pass, they have contained some very good opposing quarterbacks in the air. Obviously, KC has a lot of talent with Pacheco on the ground and Kelsey and Smith-Schuster in the air. But I do feel this team has significantly more pressure on their shoulders than does Cincinnati. Speaking of the Bengals, not only are they winning, they seem to be improving with each passing week. And come in here red-hot, winning 10 in a row straight up, and missing 10 straight covers by a mere, half-point. I mentioned pressure a moment ago. If you look at the way Joe Burrow is leading this entire team, they are playing with an enthusiasm and an excitement you rarely see in the NFL these days, let alone come to playoffs. They are getting the job done and also having a little fun in the process. We know that the Kansas City defense has had issues at times this season against well-balanced offenses. While Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked aerial assault in the League, while Joe Mixon has absolutely taken it up a notch. Overall, on the season the numbers are a bit skewed on the ground for Cincy. But don’t let that fool you at all, the running back is more than adequate to move the chains on the ground and allow Burrow to open up the passing game and exploit the weaknesses on the Chiefs defense. He also has an arsenal of playmakers at his disposal in Chase, Higgins, Boyd, and even Mixon coming out of the backfield. I think we can all agree the Chiefs are seriously overvalued by the oddsmakers. Now I know the line has moved a bit and now the Bengals are a slight favorite as of this post, but I still feel even with no points and taking Cincinnati on the money line, that they are the play and offer us enormous value. We know Mahomes has won the big game in February. If you’re worried about Burrow doing the same, don’t be. This is a team that went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of suffering a hangover this year, have risen to be one of the best teams in the NFL this season. Not only that, but if you recall, Burrow did win on a national platform a few years ago bringing a National Title to LSU in a perfect 15-0 season. Take the Bengals on the money line. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-29-23 | 49ers +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 13 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. NFL POSTSEASON ANGLE PLAY. Game 321. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question in my mind both the 49ers and Eagles deserve to be in the NFC Championship game. I mean finally we can throw away the bones and just eat the meat on an NFC matchup folks. Guys, an enormous amount of Philadelphia’s success comes from their ability to run the football. Hence it comes from their offensive lines ability to manhandle opposing defensive lines. That’s not going to be the case here this week, folks. San Francisco’s defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, No. 1 in total yards allowed, and No. 2 at stopping to rush. Oh, by the way they also rank 2nd in the League in takeaways, snagging 28 turnovers. And there is no way this defensive front is going to get manhandled. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Eagles offensive line. They are very good. But they’re not going to be able to manhandle their opponent here. That is going to seriously stunt their ground game. Jalen Hurts is a good quarterback. But I don’t think he would be the same quarterback put in other systems in the NFL. He’s also not 100%. And I think that will be an issue as well. Let’s face it guys, he isn’t the greatest passer in the world. And I really feel the San Fran secondary is going to add to their NFL-high 20 INT’s this season. You can also look for DE, Nick Bosa to have one of his best performances of the campaign as he goes up against LT, Jordan Mailata (Big mismatch, folks). Now defensively, Philly is pretty damn good as well. They are tops in the League against the pass and rank eighth in points allowed. They’re also pretty good at snagging takeaways, themselves. However, the 49ers “O” does not make many mistakes and does not turn the ball over very often. That is huge inn the playoffs, sports fans. Now, I keep hearing about how Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. Well folks, he spent four years as a starter in the Big 12. And he was on quite a few big game platforms in those four years. Now he’s in the NFL as a rookie. Yes, we all know he is a rookie. Well, he’s got seven games as a starter under his belt, which in case you’ve forgotten, are all victories. Guys, one more item on the subject of Purdy: when you are a “less-experienced” QB, you tend not to take any chances and force making plays. Therefore, make less mistakes. Keep that in mind. Listen folks, if you’re cooking in the kitchen and you’ve got Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle in the recipe, that’s going to be a pretty damn fine meal. Throw in the mix, Deebo Samuel, and you got the best food on the planet. I don’t feel the Eagles defense will be able to contain every one of those weapons. Particularly, McCaffrey coming out of the backfield. He will be a big reason why San Francisco moves the chains at will here. By the way folks, Philly has only covered one of the last six games played in the month of January, one of the last five games played versus NFC opponents, and one of the last five games played overall. On the flipside, San Francisco has covered 20 of the last 26 in the month of January, 20 of the last 26 versus NFC foes, and 23 other last 31 overall. Take the points with the 49ers and get paid. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-28-23 | Xavier +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Xavier Musketeers. GOM. Game 613. 9:15 AM PST/12:15 PM EST. Guys, the line is way off here as it should be closer to a pick ‘em or even maybe a -1 fav for Xavier. Atop the Big East and the No. 13 team in the nation, the Musketeers are confident, knowing they took down the Blue Jays earlier this month, 90-87, extending their dominance over their Conference rival for the fourth consecutive meeting, and for our purposes, four Ats covers in the last five matchups. Xavier devoured Creighton on the boards, 40-29. This time around, they will once again own the glass, possessing the bigger, stringer front court. Overall, they are healthier and deeper. The Musketeers have covered four of their last five on the road, 13 of their last 16 versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight overall. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-22-23 | Bengals +5.5 v. Bills | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals. 98% ANGLE PLAY. Game 315. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, I will tell you that both Cincinnati and Buffalo might have gotten a little lucky last week. I will also tell you that this is where Buffalo Bills fans are going to be very angry at me, that Josh Allen is one of the dumbest quarterbacks in this league. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes…a lot of stupid mistakes. Let’s face it, when he was at Wyoming, they had literally one of the worst ranked offenses in the nation. They had such a good defense, they kept him winning for a bit. He came to Buffalo and he is surrounded by good personnel. But he still makes stupid mistakes and he puts the defense in predicaments where they get tired. You know who isn’t a dumb quarterback… Joe Burrow. He won at LSU, he went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of being in a hangover this year, this is a quarterback that has led his team to nine consecutive straight up victories, covering eight of the nine. Well let me rephrase that. Depending on when you bet the Bengals last week, you either won, pushed, or lost by a hook. I do believe both offenses will have success in the air. Both will struggle a bit on the ground, but eventually will get their ground games going. But this is going to come down to mistakes. And the Bills rank 30th in the NFL, committing over 27 turnovers. And you know what? Most of them fall on the shoulders of Allen. Yes, he has talent athletically. I’m not going to debate that. But his mind is mush. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes. I am going with the smarter, more stable, proven winner in Burrow. This game is going to be a tight one, coming down to whichever team makes fewer mistakes. And that will be Cincinnati. The Bills have only covered two of the last seven at home, one of the last six against teams with a winning record, and only two of the last seven playoff games. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven played the month of January, 36-17 ATS the last 53 on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in the playoffs. Take the points with the Bengals. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 27 m | Show |
OVER in the BENGALS/BILLS matchup. AFC STRONGEST TOTAL OF THE SEASON. Games 315/316. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, make no mistake of it, this is the most anticipated matchup in this conference this season. Yes, Saturdays Jacksonville/Kansas City contest certainly has some excitement. But I think we can all agree that no matchup in the AFC has been as anticipated as the Cincinnati/Buffalo meeting. As we all know these two teams met on January 2, and after the unfortunate incident to Damar Hamlin, the game was suspended and eventually canceled. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning the last nine games straight up, while Buffalo has won eight in a row coming into Sunday’s contest. The Bengals have played to three overs in their last four outings, while the Bills are on a four-game over streak. You’re looking at two of the highest-scoring teams in the League as Cincy averages 26.1-points per game and Buffalo accounts for 28.4-points per game. Granted, both defenses ranked in the top-six, but as the season progressed, both stop-units have looked a little bit fatigued. Both quarterbacks are certainly two of the best in the game today. Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked passing attack and they will have a lot of success in the air against the 15th-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Josh Allen leads the seventh-ranked aerial assault and they too will have a lot of success throwing the ball against the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the League. Both offenses have stellar ground attacks. Joe Mixon is a workhorse. And Devin Singletary is the same. Both offenses will establish the run to keep the opponents defenses honest, and then pass off of the run. I sincerely feel that neither defense is going to be able to stop either offense from throwing the ball, moving the chains, and crossing the goal line. In my opinion this will be one of the highest-scoring games for either one of these teams this season. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two conference rivals. Expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 25 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 150. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST I am sure you recall these two teams met a week ago. Cincinnati took the game, 27-16. Lamar Jackson is out again here. As you all know, he hasn’t taken the field since December 4. And hasn’t played any significant amount of time since November 27. Let’s face it, the offense’s entire success revolves around Jackson working his magic, allowing the ground game to keep defenses honest. Even when he was healthy, in all sincerity, this team really wasn’t scoring a ton of points guys. In my opinion, Cincy is just about the most well-balanced team right now in the NFL. Offensively, they’re averaging over 26.1-points per game. And you can expect the first-ranked passing offense, led by Joe Burrow to light up the sky here against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Baltimore. Overall, they’re rushing stats aren’t very impressive. However, Joe Mixon is more than adequate folks…he really is. On the flipside, the Bengals defense is allowing just 20.1-points per game and has seemed to have gotten stronger over the last month, yielding just 16.7-points per game over the last four outings. My friends, coming into the postseason, Cincy has rattled off eight consecutive wins and depending on your line last week, eight consecutive covers as well. At the very worst, you got a push last week guys. I don’t normally look at momentum coming into the postseason in the NFL because the playoffs are a whole different monster. But understand that Joe Burrow and company made it to the big game a season ago. He has won in the playoffs and a few years back on a huge platform playing for LSU. This is a team full of talent and are playing with an enthusiasm and excitement that we very rarely see these days. I know it’s a big number, but understand the Bengals have covered the last six games played at home, are 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 versus AFC opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five playoff games. Lay the points here with Cincinnati. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-09-23 | TCU +12.5 v. Georgia | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 30 m | Show |
TCU Horned Frogs. National Championship Game Winner. Game 287. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. What many sports bettors fall victim to this time of year is overthinking the National Championship Game. Obviously, with nine days between the College Football Playoff and the Title Game, you’re going to read countless articles, columns, trends, streaks, etc. My friends, don’t overthink this matchup. There is no questioning the Georgia Bulldogs have earned the No. 1 spot in the nation and deserve of all their praise and accolades. However, making this team nearly a two-touchdown favorite is a mistake. The odds makers are hoping that you buy into all the media and the hype the last few weeks. Yes, the Bulldogs are 14-0 this season. Yes, the Horned Frogs lost one game, sporting a 13-1 straight up record. I will not argue I feel Georgia is a little stronger in the trenches in this matchup. However, they are also overvalued quite a bit by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four outings. Their defense, which overall has been very impressive the season, has gotten plowed for 71 combined points over the last two games. And I feel they have significantly more pressure on them to win here on Monday. Not only that guys, but I think we can all agree that perhaps Buckeyes head coach, Ryan Day made a couple of bad in-game decisions last week. Granted, TCU did lose the Conference Championship in overtime to Kansas State a month ago. But it also showed this team and their coaching staff what they need to work on. I also don’t want you to solely judge the Horned Frogs by their decisive win over the Wolverines last week. Yes, Michigan is certainly one of the most complete teams in College Football this year. And TCU handled them pretty well. But looking at this team overall, this season they have knocked off five ranked teams, including three as an underdog. Many were worried that their biggest ball-carrier, Kendre Miller was sidelined. But I think we can all agree, Emari Demercado can fill in on the rushing game without missing a beat. On this platform, mistakes and turnovers usually play a key part in the outcome of the game. And once again, TCU is significantly better on both sides of the ball as they do not commit nearly as many turnovers as Georgia, and while they do snag more takeaways than the Bulldogs. One more item folks…they are money. They are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games played and 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 overall games played. Oh, by the way Georgia has failed to cover each of their last four nonconference games folks. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very talented and scrappy bunch like the Horned Frogs led by a quarterback, who perhaps possesses more heart and grit than any other QB in the nation. Take TCU. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers. Late Bailout Play. Game 460. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. The Packers control their own destiny. They win and they’re in. Their division rival, the Lions need a bit of help as well as a victory here today. As a matter fact the Lions might be eliminated even before this game starts. They need the Seahawks to lose to the Rams this morning. If Seattle wins, Detroit has no chance of making the postseason. Not only does Green Bay have momentum, winning and covering four straight games coming into this contest. But they are led by one of the most seasoned veterans in the game today in Aaron Rodgers. He gets to go up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. By the way speaking of defenses, the Green Bay stop-unit has held their last four opponents to an average of just 17-points per game. To make matters worse, the home team has covered the last six meetings between these two rivals. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7.5 | Top | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 37 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. Cash Money Play. Saturday, December 31, 2022. Game 276. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. My friends, for once there is no questioning the Final Four teams that made this year’s College Football Playoffs. Normally, we’re engulfed in controversy about teams that made it and certain teams that should’ve made it. That’s not the case this season. And I expect the Peach Bowl between Ohio State and Georgia is a highly anticipated matchup as well as this game that I’m going to talk about, the Fiesta Bowl between Texas Christian and Michigan. Both teams certainly deserve to be here. The Horned Frogs possess a 12-1 mark, with their only defeat coming in the Big 12 Championship game at the hands of the Wildcats. The Wolverines, at 13-0 have already set a school record for most victories in a season. They’re also looking to finish undefeated for the first time since 1997, when they won a share of the National Championship, back then when it was decided by the polls. Guys, I’m not going to get in to some big debate over my next item, but I don’t think anyone would really question the fact that the Big Ten is a bit stronger than the Big 12. The Big 12 is chock-full of offenses that can light up the scoreboard. However, the Big Ten is made up of good, well-balanced offenses, along with defenses that could shut down opponents’ offenses. Looking at TCU‘s schedule this season, they had quite a bit of problems with opponents like Oklahoma State, Texas, and even Baylor. And as we all saw in the December 3, Big 12 Title game, Kansas State really took it to them as quarterback, Max Duggan and the offense looked very vulnerable. As far as Michigan goes, they didn’t have too many close games this season. As a matter of fact, the only opponent that gave them a tough time the entire campaign was Illinois. But as we came to find out, the Fighting Illini’s defense was the real-deal. Speaking of that loss to the Wildcats, the very smart head coach, Jim Harbaugh and his staff watched the game tapes of that contest and will take a page out of it as to how to slow down the quarterback and the rushing attack. Granted, the Horned Frogs offense is equally good on the ground and in the air, resulting in scoring 40.3 points per game. However, they haven’t faced a defense like they’re going to face here this week. The Wolverine stop-unit ranks fifth nationally, allowing just 13.4-points per game and was equally tough against the rush as well as a pass. They will shut down the ground game of TCU as did Kansas State. Thus, putting more pressure on Duggan, throwing a lot of different schemes at him and a lot of blitzes. Trust me when I tell you they will force him to make mistakes here in this game. Defensively, the Horned Frogs leave a lot to be desired. Overall, they give up 25.0-points per game. They rank 83rd against the pass and 64th against the rush. Well, I’ve got to tell you, the Michigan offense is so deep and so talented, they will keep their opponents “D” off-balanced this entire game and backpedaling. Come the second half, the TCU defense will be gasping for air. I know Blake Corum is out. But backup running back, Donovan Edwards is outstanding. He tallied 872 yards rushing, averaging 7.5-yards per rush and seven touchdowns. Just against the mighty, Ohio State defense a month ago, the ball-carrier rushed for 216 yards and two touchdowns. He then put up 185 yards on the ground and another touchdown in the Big 12 Championship against Purdue. The Wolverines will exploit the Horned Frogs weaknesses on defense. Furthermore, they will keep that defense on the field and the TCU offense off it, resulting in their “O” not getting into any rhythm at all. And as I mentioned earlier the Horned Frogs have yet to face a defense as complete, as talented, and as ferocious as they will face here against the Wolverines. TCU is 3-7 ATS the last 10 Bowl games and 4-11 ATS the last 15 neutral site games. Michigan is 5-2 ATS the last seven nonconference games and 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 overall games. Take the Wolverines. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Kansas State v. Alabama -7 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Bowl Game of the Season. Game 272. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Guys, I’m not going to break this game down like I normally do in detail. I am going to break it down for you in common sense. ‘Bama quarterback, Bryce Young and linebacker, Will Anderson will be playing this game. Many expected both to opt out at this point. But being that they have not, tells me a few things about the Sugar Bowl. Especially because of the 13 Crimson Tide players who entered the transfer portal, only one was a starter. Granted, I know Nick Saban‘s Alabama squad has not been a covering machine when it comes to Bowl games. However, this years squad is a lot different than past squads. First of all, they did not make the College Football Playoff. And anything short of that, Saban feels is a losing season. While they have a 10-win campaign this year, this is a team that following their second loss of the season back in November to LSU, a one-point overtime defeat, has since rattled off three consecutive straight up victories. As a matter fact, both of the Crimson Tides defeats the season came on the final plays of the game against the Volunteers and the Tigers. And both of those opponents were highly-ranked at the time. Saban will go out of his way to have his boys prepared, revved up, motivated, and ready to prove to the pollsters that this year was a fluke. No matter who is under center for the Wildcats, I think we can all agree that Kansas State is not a passing team. Their offense relies upon the rush. They have an excellent RB in Deuce Vaughn. But the ‘Bama defense ranks 30th nationally against the rush. And guys, they have faced some pretty darn good rushing attacks this season. If they can slow down Vaughan, and I believe they will, this leaves whichever quarterback is at the helm, Howard or Martinez, a sitting duck. Alabama‘s pass rush is one of the best in the nation and they rank 16th overall in passing yards allowed. While K State plays in the Big 12 and faces a lot of very high-powered offenses, I just don’t see them slowing down, let alone stopping the well-balanced ‘Bama offensive juggernaut. This is a team that averages over 40.8-points per game, while playing some of the toughest defenses in the nation. That is unfamiliar territory for the Wildcats, guys. Once again, I feel that Nick Saban is going out to prove a point in this matchup, especially because this game goes off before the two CFP contests. He can really make a statement here. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six Bowl games, 10-4 ATS the last 14 nonconference games, and 4-1 ATS the last five games in December. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Lions -140 v. Panthers | Top | 23-37 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
Detroit Lions on the moneyline. NFL Game of the Month. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Momentum means a lot in the NFL in the month of December. The Detroit Lions have momentum. They enter Saturday’s matchup winning six of the last seven straight up and as far as us bettors are concerned; they have covered seven straight outings. This is a team that has not been to the playoffs in over six years. Head coach, Dan Campbell has them believing not only that they can get to, but they could win in the postseason as well. But they have to get there first. Standing in their way this week is the Carolina Panthers. Granted this team has covered six of the last eight games. But they are banged up, depleted, and fatigued. I know the Lions defense leaves a lot to be desired. But I doubt they’re going to be in too much hot water here this week against one of the worst offenses in the league. On the opposite side of the ball, Detroit has become a monster scoring machine. They face a Carolina defense that over the last few weeks has been outmuscled and steamrolled for a combined 48 points. Detroit is 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus the NFC, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Air Force v. Baylor UNDER 43.5 | Top | 30-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Under in the Air Force/Baylor Armed Forces Bowl. NCAAF Total of the Month. Games 227/228. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just for the record, the Baylor Bears enter this Bowl matchup having played two unders in their last three outings following having played six consecutive overs. As the season progressed the odds makers looked to trap you. We all know the type of game plan Air Force plays, thus resulting in five unders in their last six outings. Having said all that, both defenses are amazing. The Bears, which play in the explosive Big 12, allow just 26.6-points per game. The Falcons, ranked number one in the nation, in both yards allowed and passing yards allowed. They rank eighth in rushing yards allowed and third in college football in points scored, yielding a mere 13.3-points per game. The matchups here are very interesting. The Bears, which are a good team offensively, will have a lot of problems. This is a team that primarily relies upon the run to open up their passing game. Well, the Falcons are amazing at stuffing the rush. On the flipside, Air Force we all know, tops the nation in rushing. That is one area that Baylor was very good at defensively in the conference. They allowed only 137.6 yards per game on the ground. Two items that really stood out to me here; Baylor coach Dave Aranda, who really got the head coaching position he currently holds due to the fact that he was the defensive coordinator for Ed Orgeron during the 15-0 National Championship season of 2019 for LSU. He just recently fired his defensive coordinator, Ron Roberts and is taking over the reins here. You can bet your kid‘s college fund that he has prepared his defense for the explosive rushing attack they will face here this evening. Switching it around, we all know the Falcons are the best in the nation at running the ball. Well, they use up a lot of clock on the ground. They don’t score a lot of points, but they use up a lot of clock. The under is 4-1 in the Bears last five games played versus the MWC, 4-0 in their last four games played at a neutral site, and 4-0 in their last four games played in the month of December. The under is 16-5 in the Falcons last 21 nonconference games, 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, and 4-1 in their last five Bowl games. Take the under. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Raptors v. Knicks -125 | Top | 113-106 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Whether you look on the 3-DAY, the 7-DAY, or the 30-DAY leader boards in the NBA, it doesn’t matter, because you will find the name Joe D’Amico there. Once again, this season, since the opening day of the campaign, I have been a fixture on the NBA leaderboard. Tonight, I have just one big money maker for you on the pro basketball hardwood in my 41-16 NBA FAST BREAK PLAY. I have it posted right now for you. New York Knicks. Fast Break. Game 540. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Sports fans, you cannot find two teams trending in more opposite directions than the Toronto Raptors and the New York Knicks. Toronto is on a six-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. New York is riding an eight-game hot streak, both straight up and against the spread. While the Raptors had a night off following with their overtime loss at the 76ers, the Knicks had six players score in double-digits last night at the Garden in their 132-94 crushing victory over the Warriors. Granted, in some of their losses during their current losing streak, Toronto played some very close games. However, coming off that overtime loss is going to find them very fatigued here tonight. Their offense is basically nonexistent, ranking 22nd in scoring, 28th in field-goal percentage, and 29th in three-point percentage. This does not bode well as they must face a New York defense that ranks in the top-10 in several major categories. New York is also one of the healthiest teams in the NBA, while Toronto has several players out and a few also listed as questionable this evening. The Raptors are just 2-8 ATS their last 10 games played on the road, 0-4 ATS their last four games played on one days rest, and 1-5 ATS their last six games played versus teams with a winning record. New York is 4-0 ATS their last four games played at home, 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 teams played on zero days rest, and 4-0 ATS their last four games played versus teams with a losing record. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | Top | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 27 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. AFC EAST GOM. Game 310. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Following four consecutive straight up victories, Buffalo needs a win this week to earn an AFC playoff spot and bring them one step closer to an AFC East title. The Bills dominated the Dolphins, taking seven consecutive meetings in this division rivalry prior to the very strange September 25 “Butt punt“ game resulting in a 21-19 loss on the road. Revenge plays a big factor in this contest this week. But so does Buffalo trying to further widen their lead in the AFC East. They face a Miami team that has lost back-to-back games the last several weeks. The Dolphins offense has sputtered, tallying a combined 34-points in losses and no covers to the 49ers and the Chargers both on the road. This is their third straight outing away from home. Miami is not known to play well in cold-weather places and their record In Orchard Park, New York is not very good, as they are just 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 meetings there. The Dolphins have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. As a matter fact, they rank 29th in the league, averaging just 89.8 yards per game on the ground. Being that they are no threat on the ground, the Buffalo defense, which ranks second overall in the league, allowing at 17.0-points per game, can key on their passing attack. They have had success in the air. However, the last few weeks, their aerial assault has crash-landed, producing almost as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Bills have a very well-balanced offensive attack, averaging sixth in the air and eighth on the ground. Overall, they are fourth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.2-points per game. Their ground assault will keep the Dolphins defense honest while Josh Allen opens up the sixth ranked passing game against the 23rd ranked pass defense in the league, and work his magic. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20’s and wind gusts of over 35 miles per hour for this game. And possible chance of snow. All things that work in Buffalo’s favor. One more item folks. The Bills in their only other attempt this season facing a team that has beaten them previously, crushed the Jets last week 20-12. They are very good when seeking revenge. Miami is 0-4 ATS their last four games played following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS their last six games played on the road, and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS their last six games played in Week 15, 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their last 10 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Guys I am all over the NFL LEADERBOARDS. My pro football has been HOT, HOT, HOT. And going into Conference Championships and Bowl Season the upcoming weeks in college football, I will crush every sports book on the planet. I have been documented at as much as 90% during this time of year in NCAA FOOTBALL. I have had Bowl campaigns in which I brought you nearly perfect Bowl seasons. This I the time of year you MUST follow a winning capper and I am one of the mot successful cappers in December and January in the history of this business. Grab a discount and ensure yourself a winning season. I also posted my two strongest college hoops releases thus far this short campaign today: 52-15 NCAAB LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE which are 1-0 this season already and my PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK. I have them posted individually and in a DISCOUNTED 2-PACK. Thursday’s FREE WINNER: New England Patriots. Game 302. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Do you know what I hear out of the Buffalo camp? I hear that travel has been an issue for this team, short weeks has recently been an issue for this team, and weather has been an issue for this team. You know what I don’t hear? Anybody taking responsibility for any of their issues. Guys, I’m not looking to put down the Buffalo Bills or their fans. But I will tell you looking closely at their record so far this season, this team is only a couple of unlucky plays away from being a sub .500 team. Yes, guys they will make the playoffs. But this isn’t the powerhouse many out there believe they are. First of all, Josh Allen is a good quarterback. But he’s not a genius guys. He is far from it. He still doesn’t know when to tuck the ball and take a sack or throw it out of bounds. Their offense has over 19 turnovers already. And they all fall on the shoulders of Josh Allen. This doesn’t bode well when you’re facing a defense like the Patriots possess. Not only did they allow just 18.4 points per game, but they’ve also snagged 16 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But to be very honest with you, the Buffalo defense is overworked and tired. Their last three outings, they’ve allowed 81 points to Minnesota, Cleveland, and Detroit. Every week their defense is leaking a little more and more. My friends, I feel this is the week that running back Rhamondre Stevenson will really break out against an overworked and tired Buffalo defense. This will allow Mac Jones to open up their passing game a bit. I also think you might catch the Bills maybe looking ahead a bit. Between this game and the next two contests, they are facing three division rivals in the Patriots, the Jets, and the Dolphins. The next three weeks will decide who takes the AFC East my friends. And right now, it isn’t looking like Buffalo. By the way, I think of all the players that are injured this week, linebacker Von Miller’s absence will be the most significant. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, New England is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played at home and 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus AFC opponents. I really like the line on this game. So, I am siding with the Patriots. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Kansas v. Kansas State -11.5 | Top | 27-47 | Win | 100 | 56 h 39 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. VEGAS INSIDER MOVE GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 140. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. You know guys, when Kansas began the campaign at 5-0, both straight up and against the spread, people were out there talking that this was a Cinderella team and they were making headlines. But I’m here to tell you that the carriage has turned into a pumpkin and their 15 minutes of fame is over. Following their fast start, the Jayhawks have since gone just 1-5 straight up and just 2-4 against the spread. Now, I get it, this is a big rivalry. But, Kansas, let’s face it, they’ve done the bare minimum to become a bowl eligible. Now that’s a pat on the back for a head coach, Lance Leipold. But guys, they don’t need to even try here. Kansas State head coach, Chris Klieman has gone out of his way, taking a lot of pride beating up… nay in crushing their rival since he’s taken charge of the team, winning and covering the last three meetings by 28, 41, and 25-points. A win here gives the Wildcats what they want most, a rematch with the Horned Frogs in next weeks Big 12 Title game. Having a backup like Will Howard has done well for this team. The quarterback has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions filling in for injured starter, Adrian Martinez. Not only will the Wildcats dissect the Jayhawks 109th pass defense in the air. They will also decimate them on the ground with the 17th ranked rushing attack in the nation on the legs of Deuce Vaughn. The running back averages over 5.2 yards per carry. And has already accumulated over 1,148 rushing yards. He’s also pretty dangerous coming out of the backfield as a receiver, folks. On the flipside of the ball, KU will have a hell of a time trying to move the chains, let alone get in the end zone against the 15th ranked scoring defense of KSU. The Wildcats only allow a mere 18.7-points per game. And they have held some very good defenses in check once again this season. They have momentum, winning and covering their last two, and are riding an 8-3-1 ATS streak the last 12 overall. FYI guys, the Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS the last 13 meetings in this rivalry. Take the Wildcats to crush here and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Coastal Carolina +14.5 v. James Madison | Top | 7-47 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 33 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 175. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Due to their transition to the FBS level, James Madison is ineligible to participate in the Conference Championship game. In my opinion it wouldn’t matter. No matter what, making the Dukes a 14-point favorite over the 9-1 Chanticleers is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. This astounds me. Coastal Carolina won this conference in 2020, was one-game off the lead last season, and enters this match up with a one-game lead in the Sun Belt East, and is getting two touchdowns. As I said, this astounds me. They enter this matchup coming off a bye week because their game with Virginia was canceled. They are well-rested, healed, and very prepared for this match up with James Madison. Now maybe the line is way off because their starting quarterback, Grayson McCall is out. But the talented Jared Guest is expected to get the start. And if he falls into trouble, five year QB, Bryce Carpenter is ready to take his place. This team is strong enough and well-balanced enough to handle they’re starting quarterback sidelined here. Listen guys, the Dukes aren’t playing for anything. Just maybe some pride. But is pride enough to make this team a two touchdown favorite? I mean they’ve lost three of the last five straight up, failing to cover four of their last five. And to be honest with you, the games they lost weren’t even close. Their defense has been throttled in four of those last five, all ATS losses, allowing 45, 26, 34, and 40-points. This team is tired, overworked, and frustrated that they can’t play in the Championship game. The Chanticleers are 20-9 ATS the last 29 on the road. The Dukes are 1-10 ATS the last 11 versus teams with a winning record. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Lions v. Giants -3 | Top | 31-18 | Loss | -120 | 124 h 14 m | Show |
New York Giants. High Roller Play Sunday, November 20, 2022. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. -3. Consensus. The New York Giants are sitting in second place in the competitive NFC East, just one-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Many people out there feel that the Eagles schedule wasn’t the toughest so far this season. And judging from their performance on Monday night against the Washington Commanders, I think we all can visibly see they have some weaknesses that can be exploited. Just FYI my friends, they have trouble against teams that can run the ball and control the time of possession. And over the following few weeks, they are facing opponents that have strong rushing attacks. My point being, New York has a very good opportunity to win this division. But they can only do so if they keep their foot on the gas. They face a Detroit Lions team here that ranks 32nd in the league defensively. That’s right, they are dead-last in points allowed, getting steamrolled for over 29.3-points per game. To be quite honest, every major defensive category they rank amongst the worst in the NFL. But the one that truly stands out to me in this game, is their 31st ranking against the rush. Let’s put a pin in that and come back around to it. Detroit had only one straight up victory up until the last few weeks. They did beat Green Bay at home and Chicago on the road this month. But let’s talk turkey (so close to Thanksgiving LOL). Neither the Packers nor the Bears have any sort of offense. We all know that Aaron Rodgers is struggling as the team possesses the poorest record and some of their worst statistics in as far back as we can remember. As far as Chicago goes, no one expected them to do too much this season, and yet they’re still underachieving. By the way folks, these are two teams that Detroit knows very well and see several times each season, sharing the same division. Going back to New York, following their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign in late-September, they then rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. They did lose a few weeks ago in Seattle. But last week they absolutely decimated Houston at home. This tells me they will start rolling again. Now offensively the Giants possess the third-ranked rushing attack in football. Saquon Barkley has accumulated over one 931 yards rushing and six touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him this week. Not only that but he also has 29 receptions. He will star in his own highlight reel here in this matchup. He will keep the Lions defense honest, move the chains, and cross the goal line at will. His presence will also allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. The quarterback has very quietly passed for just under 1,600 yards on a 65.8% completion rate, with eight touchdowns and only two interceptions. He doesn’t make many mistakes. He’s not flashy. But he doesn’t have to be in this offense. This is also a unit that makes very little mistakes altogether, only committing three turnovers thus far this season. With the running attack New York possesses, they will control the time of possession, keep the Detroit defense on the field, and most importantly, Jared Goff and the Lions offense off it. When Goff and the “O” is on the field, they will have a tough time against a Giants “D” that is holding opponents to under 20-points per game (19.6 PPG). The Giants are 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played versus teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of November, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Packers | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. NFC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 261. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Without question, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Also, without question he is one of the most successful quarterbacks of this generation. What is questionable is the fact that some think the Green Bay Packers can turn things around the season. Well sports fans, we are more than halfway through the regular season and they are just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread. They have dropped five in a row straight up and five of the last six against the number. The offense ranks 27th, accounting for a dismal 17.1-points per game. Yes, the defense has been more than adequate. They rank second against the pass and only allow 20.9-points per game. But they are tired and overworked. There was a high-hopes for this team as a true NFC competitor. They took a season-opening loss at Minnesota. Then they followed that up with three straight up victories. But since October 2, the Packers have failed to win a single contest. There once explosive offense has mustered just 15.8-points per game during their current slide. Because of this, their fatigued stop-unit is starting to spring leaks. I am well aware of the fact that they have taken three in a row against the Cowboys, both straight up and against the spread. But these aren’t the same two squads that have met in recent years. Dallas comes into this matchup winning six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. And had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare. The Cowboys offense is adequate. But what makes them so good is they make so few mistakes. It has been their defense that has very quietly been one of the league’s best, holding opponents to just 16.6-points per game, ranking third in that category, fourth in passing yards allowed, 10th in total yards allowed, and fifth in takeaways, snagging 14 turnovers. This is particularly a place where the Packers have struggled, committing 13 turnovers thus far. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this NFC rivalry. Meanwhile the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus NFC opponents, and 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played overall. The Packers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 2-6 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Vikings v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. NO LIMIT GOM. Game 254. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, let’s face it the line in the Vikings/Bills matchup should be closer to eight or nine-points. It is this low due to the fact that we are uncertain as to the status of Josh Allen as of this point. If he goes, this line will skyrocket. If he doesn’t, then it looks like backup quarterback Case Keenum will be at the helm. And people are all nervous about this. With all respect, I could step up and take the helm and guide this team to victory. They rank third in the league in scoring, lighting up scoreboards for over 27.5-points per game. Now they do own the third-ranked passing attack in the NFL. Even if Allen does not go and Keenum is under center, please remember he is a 10-year veteran of the NFL. And he has put up some solid numbers on a couple of different teams. He has a receiving corps so good and so deep that trust me when I tell you, he can put up good numbers in the air here. But overall let’s not forget the fact that this team is one of the better rushing teams in the league. So, they can crutch on their ground game to open up the passing game. And that is all moot because they own the top-ranked defense in the NFL. They have been shutting down offenses all season long, allowing just 14.8-points per game. I mean they rank in the top-10 in every single defensive category. Now let’s talk about the Minnesota Vikings. In my opinion they are the luckiest team in the NFL. They are certainly not nearly as good as their 7-1 record. I think they’ve gotten darn lucky folks. I mean they needed the final two-minutes to beat the Commanders by just three-points, they beat Kyler Murray after he admittedly spent the night before without sleep playing Call of Duty (true story), they beat the Dolphins with a third-string quarterback, they beat the Bears by seven when they were really struggling, they needed a missed field goal to beat Andy Dalton and the Saints, they did beat the Lions, which are own one of the worst defenses in the league, they lost to the Eagles badly and beat the what now we have come to realize, a very overrated Packers. Like I said, they’re a very lucky team. No matter what they do offensively, they have to line up against a ferocious defense that knows they may have to compensate for a backup quarterback on offense. Plus, guys this team is horrible at defending the pass. As I said if Josh Allen plays this line is going to soar. And he’s gonna’ light them up in the air. And if he doesn’t, Case Keenum is good enough to light them up too. No, he’s not is flashy as Allen or as successful, but in this system against this pass defense, he could put up some good numbers. To add insult to injury, the Bills come off their first loss since September. And they are 6-1-2 ATS the last nine following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home, and 11-4-1 the last 16 in the month of November. Take Buffalo no matter who is at the helm here. But get it in early just in case Allen does start on this line skyrockets. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Kansas State v. Baylor -135 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -135 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
Baylor Bears on the moneyline. Vegas Insider Move GOM. Game 182. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. TCU comes in to Week 11 with a two-game lead atop the Big 12 at 6-0. Baylor, Kansas State, and Texas are all right behind them, tied at 4-2. However, the Bears are riding a three-game win streak and do control their own destiny in reaching the conference title game. That’s right, over the last several weeks they’ve taken down Kansas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma, covering all three contests. Kansas State on the other hand has struggled recently, dropping two of their last three straight up and only covering one of their last four. The Bears have taken the last four meetings in this series straight up, covering two of the four, including last season’s 20-10 win and cover. On both sides of the ball, the Bears significantly outclass the Wildcats. They rank 14th nationally in scoring, averaging 38.3-points per game, behind a very well-balanced offense. They will have no problems moving the chains on the ground here with their 18th-ranked rushing attack, steamrolling Kansas States 74th-ranked run defense. Offensively, the Wildcats own one of the poorest units in the conference passing the ball. No surprise there because they are a true force on the ground. However, the Bears are extremely strong at stuffing the run. Not only that, but they have forced 11 turnovers already this season. Kansas State quarterback Adrian Martinez is their offense, And the Baylor “D“ has faced and contained better QBs already this season. The Bears are 9-2 ATS the last 11 games at home, 23-9 ATS the last 32 games following a straight up win, and 16-6 ATS the last 22 overall games. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Purdue v. Illinois -6.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
Illinois Fighting Illini. BIG TEN GOM. Game 174. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Brett Bielema has reared the Illinois defense into a true force. They rank first nationally in yards allowed, takeaways, and points allowed, second in passing yards allowed, and fourth in rushing yards allowed. This is a unit that yields just 10.4-points per game, yielding a mere 235.2 yards per game. They’ve already snagged 16 takeaways. They have held every single opponent this season to 23-points or less, holding five offenses to single-digits. In this conference that is just astounding. This doesn’t bode too well for Purdue. They score enough points, for sure. However, they rank 98th in rushing. This tells you they solely rely on the pass. And once again the Fighting Illini pass defense ranks second nationally, yielding just 152.6 yards per game. The Boilermakers have won five of the last six meetings in this series straight up. But have failed to cover the last three. I’m here to tell you folks that these are two very different squads this season than in previous seasons. Believe me the worm has turned. Illinois running back Chase Brown leads the nation with 1,344 yards rushing. He eats up a ton of clock, keeping defenses honest and eventually wearing them down. More importantly, because the Fighting Illini dominate the time of possession, they keep their own defense fresh and rested. This team sits in first place in the Big Ten West at 4-2 in conference play. They need victories folks. Iowa, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Minnesota are all sitting just behind them at 3-3. Let’s not forget the Boilermakers have dropped their last two straight up and their last three against the number. Illinois comes in here a bit angry losing their last outing to the Michigan State 23-15 as a 16.5-point favorite. Look for them to bounce back here as they are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams a winning record, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played overall. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Titans +12.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show |
Tennessee Titans. AFC GOW. Game 471. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, I’m not looking to ruffle any feathers here. I know the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL. But who the heck are they to be laying this type of wood against the Tennessee Titans? I get it, the Titans are having some quarterback issues. But no matter who is under center, the Tennessee offense is not a passing offense. This is a team that has accumulated a 5-2 straight up record, and for our purposes also a 5-2 ATS record, with the 31st ranked passing attack. So, I’m not going to let the odds makers trap me into thinking that if Tannehill can’t go and it’s Willis, that the Titans aren’t still the play here. This is a team that relies upon the rush. I know the Chiefs are good against defending the run. But they have yet to face a ground attack like the caliber of this one. Not only will Tennessee give them a heavy dose of Derrick Henry, who by the way is going to play sports fans, not only will they get a heavy dose of Henry, but Tennessee will also have the luxury of eating up a lot of clock, keeping the Chiefs defense on the field. Let’s not forget, no matter who is at the helm, KC ranks 30th in the league defending the pass. Defensively, I know the Titans are going to give up some yardage in the air to Patrick Mahomes. But I doubt that the Chiefs are going to have any success on the ground here at all against one of the stingiest run defenses in the league. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings in this series, both straight up and against the spread. This includes last years, 27-3 drubbing. They have also covered five straight coming into this matchup, are 4-0 ATS the last four versus the AFC, 5-2 ATS the last seven on grass, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Just in case you’re keeping count, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four following a straight up win, 0-5 ATS the last five versus AFC opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four in Arrowhead. Take Tennessee folks. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
Baylor. BIG 12 GOM. Game 359. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no doubt in my mind that the odds makers are looking to trap you in this game. Oklahoma is point spread poison, covering only twice since the beginning of September. On both sides of the ball, they are overmatched, outgunned, and outclassed in this contest. Baylor enters this game possessing one of the most well-balanced scoring offenses in the nation. They are equally good on the ground as they are in the air, accounting for over 38.4 points per game. As you may or may not know, the Sooners possess one of the worst defenses, not just in the conference, but in the nation. They are allowing just short of 30 points per game and rank 114th in total yards allowed and 113th in rushing yards allowed. Oh, by the way they also rank 90th in passing yards allowed. This doesn’t bode well against the explosive Bears offense. Defensively, Baylor can counter the Oklahoma rushing attack with one of the stingiest and nastiest run defenses in the land. They have also covered the last four meetings in the series. And took the last years matchup 27-14. Once again, the Sooners are overvalued. If you go back to the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma, the Bears have covered nine of the those 11. And this is the best Baylor team we’ve seen in years. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-30-22 | Giants +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 49 m | Show |
New York Giants. NFC GOW. Game 269. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.
|
|||||||
10-30-22 | 49ers -110 v. Rams | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 44 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers on the moneyline. NFL GOM. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. A lot of people thought that when San Francisco brought in Christian McCaffrey, that their woes would be behind them. Well, they came back down to reality last week in a devastating 44-23 loss at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. However, I think this is the week you’re going to see Christian McCaffrey have a very successful game and Jimmy Garoppolo, most likely have one of his best performances thus far this season. McCaffrey only had two days to acclimate himself with his new playbook and get in sync with Jimmy G. I look for him to have a very good game this week. Take note Deebo Samuel is out. But, coming off that embarrassing loss a week ago will really motivate the 49ers here. Please understand that the Los Angeles offense is one of the worst in football. They rank at or near the bottom in just about every major offensive category, including the most important one, which is scoring. The average just 17.3 points per game. They must now face one of the most ferociously stop-units in the NFL, coming in here angry and looking for redemption following last weeks loss. The San Fran “D” allows just 19-points per game. They are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. I don’t see the Rams having any success offensively in this matchup. I feel you’re going to see a lot of three-and-outs and multiple turnovers, thus resulting in the Los Angeles defense spending a lot of time on the field. Eventually by the second half they will tire-out and get exploited. Let’s not forget the 49ers have beaten the Rams seven consecutive regular season meetings. They’ve also covered the last six overall meetings in a row. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four versus the NFC West, while the Rams are 1-4 ATS the last five at home. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 0-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
Oklahoma State. NO LIMIT. Game 179. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Guys, whether Martinez plays or not for Kansas State, I still don’t see the lackluster Wildcats offense going score-for-score with the explosive Cowboys “O“. Let’s face it, no matter who is at quarterback for the Kansas State, it won’t matter. The Oklahoma State offense ranks fourth nationally in scoring, accounting for over 44.7 points per game. Spencer Sanders will light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed over 2,030 yards passing with 15 touchdowns in the air. Let’s not forget he is a dual-threat, adding another 352 yards rushing and eight scores on the ground. This is a very well-balanced unit that can and will keep the K State defense on the field. This is a team that has also taken the last three meetings in this series straight up with the average margin of victory coming by nearly 9-points per game. They are 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 conference games, 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games, and 33-16-2 ATS the last 51 overall games. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-23-22 | Chiefs -116 v. 49ers | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs on the moneyline. BEST BET. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. With the news of Christian McCaffrey being traded to San Francisco, the line dropped in this game. At the beginning of the week this is a game I circled because it stood out to me. Getting Kansas City off that tough heartbreaking loss at home in front of their loyal fans against Buffalo last week seem the right way to go. Since the news of the McCaffrey trade, the line has dropped. I have to tell you I like it even more now. McCaffrey certainly will bolster the offense. But understand that the Falcons exploited the 49ers weaknesses last week in the 28-14 dismantling of San Francisco. I’m not going to argue the fact that injuries have hurt San Francisco. This is the reason why they sputtered a week ago. Nothing has changed on that front. Key cogs in the wheel are still out. And Kansas City isn’t a team that you want to face coming off a loss. They are now tied with Los Angeles in the AFC West and need a big win here to build up a little bit of confidence and give them some momentum. I know the Chiefs are dealing with their own injuries in their secondary. Guys, I just don’t see the lackluster 49ers offense keeping pace with the mighty Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes score-for-score. Let’s not forget Kansas City is pretty damn good at stopping the run. And that is where San Francisco’s strength comes offensively. Under a field goal is a gift to here. Take Kansas City and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
Take UCLA. PAC 12 GOM. Game 375. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The last two unbeaten teams in conference play in the Pac 12 square off here. After a season opening embarrassing 49-3 loss at the hands of Georgia, Oregon has since run off five consecutive wins. The one thing that does concern me is that they haven’t played the same level of competition as UCLA. The Bruins, over their last two outings, have taken down both the Huskies and the Utes. Mind you they were underdogs in both of those contests. Overall UCLA has a bit stronger of a defense, yielding six points per game less. Both are good at stopping the pass and both are good at stuffing the run. Both offenses are good at passing. And both offenses are very, very, strong at rushing. So, what does that tell you about this game? It tells me it’s going to be a very tight matchup. Throw into the mix that after this week, the Bruins schedule softens a bit. And the fact the last two meetings were both settled by three-points. This adds up to be a very close game. Way closer than the point spread. UCLA is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. Pac-12 foes, and 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Take the Bruins. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Syracuse +14.5 v. Clemson | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. OM GOM. Game 353. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. For quite a while now, the only coach worthwhile up in Syracuse was Jim Boeheim. Well, that isn’t the case anymore. Dino Babers has his team a perfect 6-0. This does include being the only other undefeated team in the ACC Atlantic, other than Clemson. Not only that, but this team has been money to us bettors, going 5-1 against the spread this season. Clemson is a very good team. You may not realize this, but they’ve won 11 straight going back to last season. But I think we would all agree, this is not the same Tigers team we are used to seeing over the last several years. You know what’s funny is the Orange have covered six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. And the bulk of that was during the Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence eras. Last year with DJ Uiagalelei at the helm, Syracuse came very close to beating them outright, losing a heartbreaker, 17-14. Believe it or not, the Orange enter this matchup with the number six ranked defense in the country, yielding a mere 13.2 points per game. They’re equally strong against the pass and the rush. Clemson‘s defense ranks 26th, allowing 19.7 points per game. But they have gotten shredded in the air. Garrett Shrader has the luxury of having Sean Tucker in his backfield to keep the Tigers defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Orange are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in the month of October, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played against conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. The Tigers tend to get overvalued, particularly at home where they have only covered three of their last 11 games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-16-22 | 49ers -5.5 v. Falcons | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 11 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. 10 Dimes Play. Game 265. Sunday, October 16, 2022. 10:00 AM PT/1:00 PM ET. -5.5 Consensus line. (As an early release I know the line can move. I have this number closer to -8.5. If it moves to -7, we are still good. If it goes to a 7.5, I would advise you just to err on the side of caution and buy it down to a TD). My friends, I have the line in this game closer to -8.5. Now obviously releasing this on a Tuesday we see -5.5. This is due to several reasons that I want to inform you about. For starters, it is the second of back-to-back road games for San Francisco. And their third road game in four weeks. Let’s put a pin in that. We are going to return to it in a moment. The number is also a little low due to the fact that the 49ers, as of posting this release have a few players that were injured in Carolina on Sunday. Cornerback, Emmanuel Moseley will be out, safety Jimmy Ward broke his hand, defensive lineman, Nick Bosa is dealing with a groin injury, and kicker, Robbie Gould tweaked his knee. The status of Bosa and Gould will be determined sometime this week. But early reports are optimistic that they will play on Sunday. Let’s go back to me addressing the 49ers playing on the road. Something you must know and something I feel is a significant advantage for the visiting team here, is that head coach Kyle Shanahan, over the last few seasons has implemented staying over on the east coast when he has back-to-back road games. They happen to stay at the very posh Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia. And just FYI, the last two seasons they stayed on the east coast which preceded with wins over the Eagles and Jets. They have had a lot of success utilizing extended stays on the road going 7-1 straight up their last eight implementing this option. Going back to the injuries, I don’t know if there is another team in the NFL this season that has adapted to banged-up players as well as San Francisco. They are deep at key positions. And following quite a few major injuries to starters this team is 3-1 both straight up and against the spread their last four games. I am well aware of the fact that the Atlanta Falcons are a perfect 5-0 against the number this season. But the clock strikes midnight this Sunday for this team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is a very difficult matchup for Atlanta. To begin with, their passing unit is absolutely deplorable, ranking 30th in the league accounting for just 166.8 yards per game in the air. Their strength has come from their rushing attack. Well without Cordarrelle Patterson, their leading ball-carrier (out with a knee injury), they ran for only 151 yards combined against Tampa Bay in Sunday’s 21-15 road loss. When your quarterback leads the team in rushing with 61 yards, it’s an issue. By the way two of their rushes combined for more than a third of the rushing yards. Without Patterson pounding the ball on the ground, Mariota is going to be running for his life the entire game. He must face the NFL’s top-ranked defense here. The ferocious, 49ers stop-unit leads the league in points allowed (12.2), total yards allowed (249.2), and rushing yards allowed (71.4), and also ranks third in passing yards allowed. (177.8). Jimmy Garoppolo is looking very comfortable at the helm. As a matter fact, with each passing week, his performances are getting better and better. He gets to lineup against Atlanta’s 29th-ranked pass defense. You we’ll see the quarterback have enormous success in the air here. He has the luxury of a backfield that ranks eight in rushing, averaging over 138.8 yards per game on the ground. There is no way the inferior Falcons “D” can slow down, let alone stop this well-balanced offense. Throw in to the mix, playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel and San Francisco will be able to move the chains and score at will here. It won’t just be Garoppolo‘s numbers that will go up, so will running back, Jeff Wilson Jr. tight end, George Kittle, wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk, and as I mentioned, you can expect a lot from Samuel as well. Despite the Falcons against the spread success this season, they are just 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played versus NFC opponents. Take the 49ers here. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 31 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. MNF GOM. Game 480. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. I live in Las Vegas. And I also have the opportunity to watch the Raiders practice on a regular basis. I know this team inside and out. Don’t think for a second that getting a win last week is going to inspire this squad. It was no fluke that they begin the 2022 campaign 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And now that they got a win under their belt, trust me when I tell you they’re going to fall back down to Earth here. Serious “let down” mode folks. The Chiefs are looking to remain atop the AFC West by continuing their stellar play thus far this season. After starting the campaign 2-0, Kansas City did fall in a tough match up at Indianapolis several weeks ago. However, their bounce back in an outstanding performance in Tampa Bay last week showed just how good this team really is. That loss to the Colts a few weeks ago show them what they need to work on and improve. And now they are better than ever. Just in this series they have dominated Las Vegas, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings straight up as well as sporting an 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread marks at Arrowhead Stadium. Derek Carr has talent. I will not debate that. But he makes very poor decisions. Especially when he is under pressure. That is exactly what Kansas City is going to do in this matchup. They’re going to blitz, blitz, blitz, throwing, throw a lot of different packages and schemes at him and pressure him badly. They are going to force him to turn the ball over for sure. There is no way the Raiders 24th ranked defense can’t even slow down, let alone stop the Chiefs offensively. The juggernaut which is the Patrick Mahomes-lead “O“, ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. This includes the most important category, scoring. They are accounting for over 32.3 points per game. This does not bode well for the lowly Raiders “D” which is getting plowed for over 25-points per game. On the flipside, please understand that the only success Las Vegas has had offensively thus far, is establishing the run and then passing off of it. Well, the Chiefs stop-unit tops the NFL against the rush. They are only allowing 65.8 yards per game on the ground. Las Vegas is 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on the road and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played on grass. Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played at home and 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on Monday Night. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-08-22 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -23.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 386. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Let’s talk about Texas A&M going to Bryant-Denny Stadium to face Alabama. Obviously, the big news this entire week is if the Crimson Tide quarterback, Bryce Young will play. Well reports over the last day or so are that he has practiced and he has looked pretty strong. Officially we’re not going to know as of posting this release. If he plays great. If he doesn’t, remember one thing. The Crimson Tide is stacked at key positions higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast café. Jalen Milroe is a very good quarterback. He’s the back up for the number one team in the nation. He was a great high school football star. The only difference is, he has a little less experience at this level. That’s all. Don’t overthink it. Just between us guys, I’m 53 years old, and although I was an all-state quarterback in high school only 5’6’, I could step in and lead Alabama to a victory here. Over the last several weeks we have seen Georgia leapfrog Alabama in the rankings when they had a better performance on a gameday. Then last week the Crimson Tide had a stronger performance than the Bulldogs and reclaimed the number one spot. Having said that, Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban does not want to relinquish the top-spot in the polls. He knows that he’s coming up against some good conference opponents, and he needs to keep his foot on the gas. Offensively, Alabama although has a very strong passing game, strongly depends on their rushing attack. They currently rank seventh in the nation averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground. Not only that, but they don’t make mistakes offensively. They don’t turn the ball over. They’ve had one turnover so far this season. And believe me, if Young does not play, the game plan will be run the ball, and pass off the run. And most importantly tuck the ball or throw it out if you don’t have a play. As we all know Texas A&M was a preseason darkhorse to make the College Football Playoff. After five games they sit at a disappointing 3-2 with a lackluster offense that is accounting for just 21.8 points per game. They rank about 100th or worse in just about every major offensive category. And they have to line up against one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the nation. The Tide only allow 11-points per game and rank in the top-10 and every major defensive category. Trust me when I tell you it will be a long, long day for the Aggie‘s. Texas A&M comes off a 42-24 spanking at the hands of Mississippi State a week ago. A game in which they were supposed to be a lot more competitive folks. Now they step up in class again even higher. We all know how much Nick Saban likes beating ex-assistant coaches. And Jimbo Fisher is no different. Don’t overthink this contest guys. Texas A&M doesn’t belong on the same field as Alabama. The Crimson Tide need to keep their foot on the gas to retain their number one ranking. And one more factor that prompts me to side with ‘Bama here. The Aggies bested the Tide last year at home. Saban and his boys did not forget that. They will open up a big can of whoop ass here. Texas A&M is just 1-5 ATS the last six on the road. Alabama is 17-5 against the number the last 22 at home. Don’t be afraid to lay the wood here. Roll Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-02-22 | Vikings -3 v. Saints | Top | 28-25 | Push | 0 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. No Limit Play. Game 251. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-01-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Florida State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
Wake Forest. Consensus Game of the Month. Game 123. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Don’t put too much stock to the fact that the Seminoles are undefeated and ranked. They played two deplorable opponents. And they also beat two teams that they should’ve beat in LSU in Louisville. Let’s face it, neither the Tigers nor the Cardinals are the teams that people thought they would be this season. On the other hand, Wake Forest is coming off their first defeat of the season. Not only was it a loss, but it was an overtime heartbreaking loss to Clemson. Can you say “bounce back?” Granted, their previous opponents were less than stellar. I’m not going to argue that fact. I look for Sam Hartman to light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed 962 yards passing, on a 64% completion rate, with 13 TD’s and just two INT‘s. He has a backfield of two solid ball-carriers in Justice Ellison and Christian Turner. They have rushed for a combined 361 yards on the ground with three TD’s. This well-balanced offense will keep the Florida State defense on the field. The Demon Deacons have won and covered each of the last two meetings in this series. The Seminoles are 11-23-3 ATS the last 37 versus teams with a winning record. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky. SEC Game of the Month. Game 175. 9 AM PST/12 PM EST. My friends, if the line in this game was totally accurate, Mississippi should only be a one or a two-point favorite at most. Throw into the mix that Kentucky will see the return of running back, Chris Rodriguez and they become a small favorite here. That’s right, their best ball-carrier in years will come back after serving a four-game suspension. If you recall a year ago, between the regular and postseasons, the RB accumulated over 1300 yards and 10 TD’s on the ground. And now that the Wildcats have a running game to go with their stellar passing-attack, they are one of the most dangerous teams in the conference. I understand the Rebels have a good defense. But they haven’t faced anybody yet. So far, their opponents have been Troy, Central Arkansas, Georgia Tech, and Tulsa. Not one of those were they not a double-digit favorite. They are in for a rude awakening here stepping up in class big time. On the flipside, Kentucky does have a solid defense. Let’s face it, they kept quite a few offenses in check this season and going back a bit, since last season. I doubt Mississippi will have any luck in the air against the 15th ranked pass defense in the country. The Rebel strength offensively comes through running the ball. And that doesn’t bode well here as the Wildcats only allow 108.3 yards per game on the ground. The wrong team is favored here my friends, trust me. Kentucky is 23-7-2 ATS the last 32 versus teams with a winning record, 7-3-1 ATS The last 11 versus conference opponents, and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-25-22 | Rams -3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 4 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. NFL Game of the Month. Game 485. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. They opened up the season against the Bills and got shellacked. They followed up last week with a win over Atlanta. Now odds makers overvalued them last week, making them a double-digit favorite while they only won by four-points. That was the team just getting back on track after their season opening loss. On the other hand, the Cardinals were thumped in their season-opener by Kansas City at home. Now I was in the stands for their trip to Las Vegas last week as they beat the Raiders in overtime. Guys in all honesty, Arizona didn’t beat Las Vegas. Las Vegas beat themselves. Following that game, the Cardinals are due for a big let down here. And trust me, the Rams are just the team to put them in that let down spot. Los Angeles has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings straight up, going 9–1-1 against the spread since 2017. FYI, just in case you’re keeping score, they are 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals defense ranks 32nd in scoring, getting plowed for over 33.5 points per game. Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford is going to absolutely dissect and decimate the 31st ranked passing defense in football. Look for Los Angeles to get back on track here, lighting up the scoreboard offensively, while their defense gets a well-needed dominating performance. The road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 overall meetings in this series. The Cardinals are 0-6ATS the last six at home, 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS the last five versus the NFC. My friends the Rams are going to make a statement in this match up. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-18-22 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show |
Dolphins/Ravens Under. NFL Total Blockbuster. Games 263/264. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m going to keep this analysis just like me, very short and extremely sweet. (Lol) Last year’s meeting between these two teams resulted in a total of 32-points scored. As a matter fact, coming into this match up eight of the last 11 Dolphins contests have gone under the total. And seven of the Ravens last 10 have gone where? That’s right, under the total as well. Both offenses seem to be a little bit out of sync at the moment, looking like it’s going to take a little while for the squads to mesh and get in a groove. However, both defenses are looking pretty strong right now. Both head coaches are looking to continue their winning ways. And therefore, will not tolerate any mistakes or turnovers by their teams here. I think this is going to be a very slow-moving game as both teams will try to establish the run. Something they’ve yet to do this season. The under is 5-0 in the Dolphins list five on the road as well as seven of their last nine versus the AFC. It is also 6-0 in the Ravens last six as a favorite and 5-2 in their last seven versus the AFC as well. Take the under here in a very low scoring contest. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Georgia -24.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Georgia Bulldogs. SEC Game of the Month. Game 121. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. My friends, the Georgia Bulldogs leapfrogged the Alabama Crimson Tide in the polls this week to take over the No. 1 spot in the nation. Stetson Bennett has matured quite well, growing into an amazing quarterback. So far this season, he has thrown for 688 yards, with a 75.4% completion rate, three TDs and zero INTs. He will dissect the South Carolina Gamecocks defense that allowed Arkansas to light them up for 44-points a week ago. The Gamecocks are dealing with a banged up secondary here. This does not bode well going against the highflying offense of the Bulldogs. Offensively, South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler has been utterly unimpressive, throwing three interceptions against just two touchdowns. More importantly guys, if Georgia doesn’t annihilate South Carolina here knowing that Alabama faces Louisiana Monroe later today, they may lose their top-ranking. Kirby Smart is not going to let that happen. They must keep their foot on the gas here, run the score up, and leave no doubt for pollsters. They took last year’s September meeting by score of 40-13. And this year’s matchup should be even more of a mismatch. The Gamecocks are 3-12 ATS the last 15 versus the SEC and 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS the last 26 following an ATS loss and 35-16 ATS the last 51 on the road. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-11-22 | Saints -5 v. Falcons | Top | 27-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Saints. High Roller play. Game 455. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. It is imperative that as the season begins the New Orleans Saints get a big division win here. The Atlanta Falcons are a team in transition to say the least. This is a true rebuilding year for them. And is an ideal opportunity for New Orleans to make a statement in the NFC South. The Falcons are in real trouble in this series opener. They are without Matt Ryan for the first time since 2008. This team was one of the worst in all of the NFL a season to go offensively. And it doesn’t look like they made too many improvements to better themselves. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Atlanta. By the way the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six overall meetings in the series. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-11-22 | Eagles -4.5 v. Lions | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. |
|||||||
09-03-22 | Arizona v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
San Diego State. Bookie Buster. Game 206. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Let’s go to Snapdragon Stadium where the Arizona Wildcats visit the San Diego Aztecs. My friends, I doubt I will hurt anyone’s feelings if I come out and state that Arizona football absolutely sucks. Let’s face it, this team is on a 1-23 straight up run. On the flipside, San Diego State is a very complete and solid football team. They come off a 12-2 season. Once again, this year they are known to have a phenomenal ground attack, while also possessing a ferocious stop-unit. They now have Braxton Burmeister at the helm to bring a new dynamic to the offense, a passing attack. Not only does this team come in here excited to have a new 35,000-seat stadium, but they will come out here confident, knowing that they went 2-0 against Pac-12 opponents a season ago. One of those wins was a 38-14 victory over Arizona. Overall, this team is 6-2 against ATS the last eight versus this conference, including straight up wins over Utah, UCLA, and Stanford. I just don’t see how the Wildcats can possibly either move the chains on this stingy defense, or slow down this powerful, now double-threat offense. Arizona is 5-12 against the spread the last 17 nonconference games, 8-24 against the spread the last 32 road games, and 0-4 against the spread the last four versus the Mountain West Conference. Under a touchdown here as a gift. Take the Aztecs. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-31-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Kansas City/Chicago over. American League Central Total of the Month. Games 921/922. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The long regular season has started to take it’s tall on these two clubs. Particularly their pitching staffs. Kansas City ranks 27th with a Team ERA of 4.74. While Chicago ranks 20th with the Team ERA of 4.06. As a matter of fact, the last four meetings in this series, all in the month of August have gone over the total, combining for 45 runs scored. Coming into today’s match up, the Royals have gone over in six of their last seven outings. And the White Sox, three of their last four. Bubic and Lynn are scheduled starters. Bubic is 2-9 with a 5.62 ERA. August has not been kind to the left-hander. He is 0-3 with a 6.12 ERA in five starts in the month. Lynn is 3-5 with a 5.00 on the campaign. He is certainly not a kid anymore. That’s for sure. The over is 5-1 in the Royals last six versus right-handed starters and 4-1 in the White Sox last five at home. Take the over. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-30-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. Interleague Game of the Month. Game 975. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Tampa Bay has dominated Miami, taking five consecutive meetings in this series, including both matchups this season. And the Rays have taken seven of their last nine overall outings to earn a Wildcard spot in the American League. And with just a seven-game deficit behind the Yankees in the A.L. East, they can gain some ground with some victories for sure. The Marlins are just deplorable. They have gotten crushed in Interleague play, going 16-36 to last 52 against the American League. None of their statistics are any better, as they are 17-41 the last 58 versus teams with a winning record, 14-37 the last 51 versus the American League East, 6-20 the last 26 at home, McClanahan and Luzardo are scheduled starters here today. The Tampa Bay left-hander is 11-5 with a 2.20 ERA on the campaign. And in two career starts against the Marlins, he is 2-0 with an ERA of just 0.82. This includes a 4-0 win back at the end of May when he dominated the Miami lineup, striking out nine batters in six scoreless innings. Luzardo is 3-5 with a 3.34 ERA on the season. He has faced Tampa Bay just once in his career, approximately one year ago when you gave up two runs in four innings pitched in a loss. The Rays are 38-15 the last 53 versus the NL East, 7-1 the last eight versus left-handed starters, and 5-1 the last six or following a win. Take Tampa Bay on the run line. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-26-22 | Patriots v. Raiders | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. NFL Touchdown Game of the Month. Game 116. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. These two teams saw plenty of one another this week, as they practiced together Tuesday and Wednesday. Thus far this preseason, New England is 1-1 straight up, while Las Vegas is 3-0 straight up. They are a combined, 5-0 against the spread. Having said that, reports are that some major starters will see action here in the first half. But there is no way Bill Belichick is going to jeopardize his starting quarterback or some of his key offensive players for too long in this contest. As we all know, the Patriots are the most successful team in the history of the NFL. But this team is not the team we are so accustomed to seeing over the last two decades or so. While they are touted to finish either second or third in the AFC East (depending on the book you like to wager at), they are slated to only win 8.5-games. Barring a major issue or injury, the Buffalo Bills will run away with their division. Any hope that this offense has depends on Mac Jones as their future. As I stated earlier, they will not jeopardize him. On the other hand, the team getting the most ink in the news the last several seasons, is certainly the Las Vegas Raiders. They’ve had a notorious coach come and go. They’ve had several players already caught up in legal issues and are also gone. They play in the most modern stadium in sports today, in the most exciting city in the world today. However, all this and yet they are still expected to finish last in the AFC West and win just 8.5-games. This is a team very deep at major positions, with several household names trying to earn spots both on the second and third strings. Understand that they have a big payroll and they must continue to win to keep individual home game ticket sales up and season-ticket holders happy. The players know this as well as the fans. Sharing the division with three teams that are significantly higher-rated stresses urgency for the team to go into the regular-season undefeated. This will give the team some momentum while exciting their fan base. Once again, they are deeper at major positions and the urgency is there for them to go into the regular season as big winners. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-24-22 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Houston Astros on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 966. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Houston Astros have played just about the most consistent baseball we have seen this season. They currently own the best record in the American League at 79-45. With a combination of solid hitting and stellar pitching, this team is a true force to be reckoned with. They rank eight in the Majors in scoring, averaging 4.59 runs per game. And second in pitching, with a Team ERA of 3.07. As a matter fact, they rank in the top-10 in just about every offensive and pitching category there is. They have had their way with the Minnesota Twins this season, taking all four meetings against them. They have outscored their American League rival by a combined 21-5, blanking the Twins in two of those games. Minnesota has turned ice-cold, riding a four-game slide, and dropping nine of their last 14 outings. Over the last week or so, their offense has absolutely sputtered, accounting for just nine-runs in the last five contests. And that’s just not going to do it in a match up with a Houston lineup that has exploded. As far as pitching goes, today Dylan Bundy and Framber Valdez are scheduled. Bundy is 7-5 with a 4.60 ERA on the campaign. And in nine career appearances, which includes eight starts against the Astros, he is 0-3 with a 4.10 ERA. Valdez owns some very respectable numbers, going 12-4 with a 2.72 ERA this season. He is unbeaten over his last six starts, going 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA. And in his career, in six lifetime appearances, which includes three starts against the Twins, he’s 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA. The Twins are 0-4 the last four versus the American League West, 0-4 the last four versus teams with a winning record, and 1-6 the last seven on the road. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-20-22 | Steelers +3.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 107 h 13 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers. High Roller Play. Game 417. Saturday, August 20, 2022. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. +3.5. The Pittsburgh Steelers are a team steeped in tradition. For the first time in as far back as we can remember, they are kicking off a campaign without Ben Roethlisberger at the helm. This is partially the reason why they’re only touted to win 7.5-games this season. They are expected to finish dead-last in the AFC North. And are an NFL longshot at 100-1 to win the Super Bowl. Well, this team has a very loyal fan base that expects a playoff-caliber squad every season. Let’s put a pin in that. We will circle back around to it. The Jacksonville Jaguars are without question, once again in a rebuilding year. There is talent on this team. The future is certainly in the hands of players like Trevor Lawrence. However, no one expects too much from them this season. They are predicted to win just 6.5-games. Most preseason prognosticators have them finishing third in the AFC South. And they too are 100-1 to win the Super Bowl. The big difference in these two teams is the fact that the Jaguars fan base is growing each season despite knowing that they are still rebuilding. There is no urgency for the team to win right now. We can also look at the depth charts. Pittsburgh is certainly deeper at key offensive positions. They have a slew of known quarterbacks fighting for second third and fourth string slots. Not to mention a couple of household names trying to make the squad in the backfield and as receivers. Known traditionally as a defensive powerhouse, they will establish their “D” here. Steelers long time head coach, Mike Tomlin has been in Pittsburgh over 15-years. One thing he likes to do each August, is get some wins in preseason play. Going back the last four preseasons, the Steelers are 10-3 straight up an 8-4-1 against the spread. Tomlin is a coach that actually puts forth effort in exhibition play. Well, newly acquired Jaguars head coach, Doug Pederson would love to make a splash. But he certainly isn’t going to jeopardize any of his key players before the regular season begins. Just for the record, the Jaguars are 1-8 straight up and 3-6 against the spread the last three preseason campaigns. I love the line here +3 1/2. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
|||||||
07-31-22 | Mets -140 v. Marlins | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
New York Mets. Grand Slam Play. Game 957. 10:40 AM PST/1:40 PM EST. The New York Mets are the hottest team in the Majors, winning five straight. This does include GAMES 1 and 2 of the series against Miami, outscoring the Marlins by a combined 10-4. To say the Mets have dominated their division opponent would be an understatement. They have taken four of the last five meetings at LoanDepot Park and are an overall 10-4 the last 14 meetings. New York has shown consistency all season long both on the mound and at the plate. The offense ranks sixth in scoring, while they’re pitching staff ranks fifth in Team ERA. This does not bode well for a Miami team which has been the epitome of inconsistency in both areas. Their lineup has struggled, while their pitching staff has begun to show fatigue. Taijuan Walker and Pablo Lopez are scheduled here. Walker owns an 8-2 record on the campaign with a 2.67 ERA. Lopez is 7-5 with a 3.03 ERA. The Mets are 6-1 the last seven on the road, 4-0 the last four versus right-handed starters, and 35-16 the last 51 versus the NL East. Miami is 0-6 to the last six at home, 0-5 the last five home games versus right-handed starters, and 0-5 the last five versus division opponents. Take the Mets. Thank you. |
|||||||
07-10-22 | Yankees -125 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-11 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
New York Yankees. Game 977. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. New York took Games 1 and 2 of this series with authority only to lose Game 3 in the 10th inning last night. Well folks, the Yankees do not take losing lightly. They certainly don’t take losing lightly to their archrival, the Red Sox. While Boston does occupy second place in the competitive American League East division by just a half-game, this team is certainly starting to show signs of fatigue. The lineup has been erratic at best, while they’re pitching staff has allowed five or more runs in nine of the last 12 contests. This does not bode well when that pitching staff has to face the top-scoring lineup in baseball. That’s right, New York accounts for over 5.22 runs per game, which tops the league. They also lead the league in OPS and home runs. All this while they possess the Majors No. 2 ranked pitching staff. Speaking of pitching, James Taillon and Nick Pivetta are scheduled starters today. The Yankees hurler is 9-2 with a 3.63 ERA on the campaign. And in for career starts against Boston, he owns a 2-0 record with a 1.46 ERA. The Red Sox starter is 8-6 with a 3.68 ERA in 2022. And in his career in four appearances, which includes three stars, is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA versus the Yankees. New York is 5-2 the last seven meetings in Fenway Park and 10-3 the last 13 overall meetings with Boston. They are also 23-8 the last 31 versus the American League East, 39-12 the last 51 versus right-handed starters, and 24-8 the last 32 following a loss. The Red Sox are 1-4 the last five versus the American League East, 1-4 the last five versus right-handed starters, and 1-4 the last five at home. Take the Yankees. Thank you. |
|||||||
06-22-22 | Dodgers -140 v. Reds | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Best Bet GOM play. Game 953. 3:40 pm pst. The Los Angeles Dodgers are in a dogfight at the moment with the San Diego Padres. They both currently possess the top-spot in the competitive, NL West division. With the All-Star break just around the corner, Los Angeles knows they need every win they can get right now. And playing Cincinnati is just what the doctor ordered to achieve their goal. The Dodgers have taken seven consecutive meetings with the Reds going back to last season. This includes all five matchups this season. They have outscored their NL rival by a combined 34-10 in 2022. This includes an 8-2 drubbing yesterday in Game 1 of this series. Today, Tyler Anderson takes the mound. The left-hander is 8-0 with a 2.82 ERA on the season, striking out 63, and walking just 11, in 67 IP. The team has won his last six turns. For the Reds, Luis Castillo gets the nod. The right-hander is 2-4 with a respectable, 3.33 ERA on the campaign. However, the team has lost his last three outings. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Dodgers rank No. 2 in the Majors. Their pitching staff has a Team ERA of just 2.90, while their lineup is averaging over 5.06 runs per game. Cincinnati is purely outclassed both on the mound and at the plate in this match up. The Reds are 0-4 the last four as an underdog, 0-6 the last six at home, and 0-5 the last five overall. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
|||||||
06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game of the Year. Game 520. 5:00 pm pst. My friends, make no mistake of it, Boston dominated Game 1. They came in with a game plan, executed it, and took a very crucial road victory. Well, Golden State desperately needs to win Game 2. Not only to even up to series, but to establish their presence in this matchup. This isn’t the “due-for” factor or the “zig zag” theory. This is logic. The Warriors have not lost back-to-back games this postseason. As a matter fact they have not dropped two games in a row in over two months. In the series opener, Golden State only shot 44% overall from the floor, 42% from beyond the arc, and only went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 11 out of 15 free throws. They also allowed Boston to put up 120 points. That has only happened twice this entire postseason. And they faced some very good offenses. You can expect both teams to be basically at full force in this match up. Anyone that can suit up and play, will suit up and play. Having said that, look for the Warriors to make their shots on offense, play a little more physically, go to the line and make their free throws, and do what they do defensively. And that is to frustrate opponents’ offenses. There is no way Steve Kerr, Steph Curry and company will drop a second game at home and go down two games to zero in the series. They are also 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played at the Chase Center, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you.
|
|||||||
06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game 1 Winner. Game 518. 6:00 pm pst. There is no question both of these teams belong here. But there are certainly more than a few advantages on the side of the Warriors. First of all, they’re playing at home where they sport a 39-10 SU record this season. They have also covered four straight at the Chase Center. Next, they had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Championship series. And lastly, which I feel is the most important, this is a whole different monster of an opponent than the Celtics have faced in the playoffs. In the first several rounds, Boston had to deal with very good opponents. But each of the opponents have one main player they had to contain. That is not the case here. Golden State is chock-full of talent. And they can beat you both inside and out. Not only that, but an enormous amount of the Celtics success comes in transition. They are excellent in transition. However, they will not have that same opportunity here in this match up with the Warriors. Golden State owns one of the nastiest, most frustrating, and well-disciplined defenses in the NBA. They can swarm you man-to-man, they can play zone, they are excellent on the boards, they can steal the ball, they can create turnovers, and they can force a lot of mistakes. There is one more major factor here in the first game of the NBA finals that significantly benefits the Warriors. Their players have a lot more postseason experience. They don’t rattle very easily in big game situations. Obviously, the Celtics have played well. They got to the Finals. But they certainly have some cracks and the Warriors can and will exploit those cracks. Boston is 2-5-1 against the spread the last eight games following a straight up win. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread the last six games overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-29-22 | Celtics -140 v. Heat | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Boston Celtics. Game 509. 5:30 pm pst. Boston had a chance to finish off the series at home on Friday. The Celtics are no stranger to winning under pressure in the postseason. If you recall they took the final two matchups with the Bucks to take that series. Both teams have a few players listed as questionable here. However, Miami’s injuries are a little more significant. With Lowry and Herro being the most important. As of post, reports are that Lowry, hampered with a hamstring issue will play. And most likely, Herro, dealing with a groin issue, will not. Check status on both as these are just early morning reports. Through their 17 games played this playoffs campaign, the Boston Celtics have never not covered back-to-back games. For our purposes this is huge. Look for The Boston scoring leaders, Tatum and Brown to take this came on their shoulders and light up to scoreboard. The Celtics are 4-1 against this spread the last five games played at the FTX arena, 6-0 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, and 6-1 against the spread the last seven games played as a road favorite. Take Boston. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Game of the Year. Game 563. 6 pm pst. Taking Game 1 and 2 of this series at home, the odds makers are looking to beat you here. But we aren’t going to fall for the trap as the Warriors have won and covered three straight in the postseason. Their frustrating defense along with their very deep, talented, and experienced bench and crafty team, is just too strong in the series for Dallas to handle. Giving them points here is a huge mistake. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-18-22 | Mavs +5 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Western Conference Finals Game of the Year. Game 539. 6 PM PST/9 PM EST. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Golden State Warriors series win over the Memphis Grizzlies. But their opponent was without superstar Ja Morant for a few contests. The Dallas Mavericks got better as the series with the Phoenix Suns progressed. Their offense was on-fire while their defense really stepped up to hold the Suns powerful “O” intact the last several games. The Warriors are an excellent team and certainly deserve to be here. However, the Mavericks own a frustrating defense overall and particularly from beyond the arc where Golden State excels. Looking at the health of both teams, Dallas is quite a bit healthier as they’re only listed injured player is Hardaway Jr. On the other hand, the Warriors have several guys, significant cogs in the wheel, that will be missing here or at the very least, banged-up. This was evident recently where they struggled to cover the spread. They are just 3-5 their last eight games against the spread these playoffs. They haven’t exactly been blowing away opponents. On the other hand, The Mavericks covered four of their last five coming into the Western Conference Finals. And this season have had their way in this Conference rivalry winning and covering three or four meetings with Golden State. Going back a bit, they are 6-1 against the spread the last seven meetings in Golden State and 7-3 the last 10 overall meetings with Golden State. The Warriors are 0-5 against the spread the last five games played following a straight up wind. This is way too many points to give the very scrappy, Dallas team. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-03-22 | Warriors -128 v. Grizzlies | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. 2nd Rd GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 533. Tuesday, May 3, 2022. 6:30 pm pst/9:30 pm est. MONEY LINE -130 Consensus. It’s no coincidence that once Golden State started getting healthy, they started piling up victories. This is one of the most talented, experienced, and well-coached teams in the NBA. And they entered the postseason with several of their stars well-rested. Sports fans, the Memphis Grizzlies certainly earned their second-place seeding in the Western Conference. This is a very good team that can score points on just about any opponent. However, once the playoffs arrive, you can throw whatever you did in the regular season right out the window. A few things this team lacks are playoff experience and a true on-the-court battle-tested leader. Ja Morant is going to be a superstar in this league for years to come. But we did see him play erratically through the first round, struggling in three of the games. As I mentioned earlier, this team can score. Many may not realize it, but very quietly the Warriors possess the NBA’s third-ranked scoring defense. As a matter fact, they rank in the top-five defensively in every major category. In Game 1, their explosive offense was hampered due to a couple of key factors. For starters Draymond Green got tossed after playing only 17-minutes. Next, starters Steph Curry and Klay Thompson along with big-time bench contributor, Gary Payton II, all found themselves in foul trouble in the first period. This significantly impacted head coach, Steve Kerr’s gameplan along with his ability to rotate players in and out. Memphis isn’t accustomed to facing teams that can keep pace with them offensively. Throw into the mix that Golden State’s defense is one of the most frustrating in basketball. And their veterans have an enormous amount of postseason experience under their belts. And this adds up to the Warriors getting a big Game 2 victory. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-28-22 | Mavs +1 v. Jazz | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Slam Dunk play. Game 565. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Very simply, Dallas is just playing better basketball than Utah. They started the series very competitively without their superstar, Luka Doncic. Yes, in his first game back they dropped the game, but they still played very competitively as the forward was getting his sea legs. Well, Game 5 had a much different outcome. The Mavericks blew away the Jazz 102-77 to give them four consecutive covers in this series. Without question Utah has a lot more pressure on them here. They play in front of their home crowd who is used to them not succeeding in the postseason. That will weigh on their shoulders during this matchup. And less pressure, momentum, and having Doncic on the floor and healthy, there is no question in my mind that the Mavericks win this game. Throw into the mix that Donovan Mitchell is a little banged-up and that spells DOOM for Utah. The Mavericks are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings at the Jazz, 4-0 against the spread the last four games played on the road, and 20-8 against the spread the last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. SD play. Game 536. 6:30 pm pst. With The series tied 2-2, Dallas doesn’t just want this victory here tonight, they need it. It seems as though the Mavericks, which have covered Games 2, 3, and 4, have the recipe for frustrating Utah. As everyone knows, star forward, Luka Doncic returned in Game 4. Don’t overthink the fact that when he finally got back on the floor that the team lost. He really didn’t get into a rhythm until just before the half. That would concern me more than anything if I were the Jazz. Dallas has covered four of the last five matchups in this rivalry at home and eight of the last nine overall. This is an issue for Utah, as they are not a strong road team. They are also not very good in the role of an underdog or when playing on just one days rest. They sport a 6-19-1 against the spread mark the last 26 games played on the road, an 0-4 against the spread mark the last four games played as an underdog, an 1-9 against the spread mark the last 10 games played on one days rest. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-24-22 | Warriors -4 v. Nuggets | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Month. Game 523. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Up 3-0, Golden State can get some extra rest by putting Denver here away as their next matchup will be between the Memphis/Minnesota winner. That series is tied 2-2. The Warriors haven’t just won every game in this series, they’ve won each one with ease. And for us sportsbettors, they have covered all three as well, winning by an average margin of 13.6 points per game. The Nuggets aren’t just losing this series, they have a dropped the last four overall straight up. And they have also dropped seven of the last nine against the spread. Denver is just simply way in over their heads here as they have failed to cover the last five meetings with Golden State, 18 of the last 24 games played at home, and the last five played as a home underdog. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-21-22 | Warriors -1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State. NBA 1st RD GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 573. 7:00 pm pst.10:00 pm est. It’s no coincidence that when Golden State started getting healthy, they started winning games. Not only have they won seven in a row straight up, they are also 7-1 against the spread the last eight. Of course, this includes Games 1 and 2 of this series thumping Denver by 16 and 20-points. The starting five of Curry, Poole, Thompson, Wiggins, and Green are enough to give any opponent nightmares. Throw into the mix the fact that their bench has been stepping up as well, and this is one outstanding basketball team. Denver doesn’t have neither the starters nor do they have the depth to compete in this matchup. Please understand this, with superstars like Curry and Middleton now healthy, the Warriors can post 120-points on any team in the NBA. However, you may not realize that for most of the season several of their big-name players were sideline with injuries and yet they still ranked third in the league on “D” and top-five in every major defensive category. Now they are at full strength and if you can believe it are getting better with each game. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with the Nuggets and 31-12 against the spread the last 43 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Nuggets are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played at home and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as a home underdog. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Raptors. LVSM. Game 521. 3:00 pm pst. Sports fans, Toronto has been locked into this seeding for quite a while now. So, the Raptors enter the postseason very well rested. Not only that but they start the playoffs red-hot, winning 14 of the last 18 game straight up and covering 12 of those 18 outings. To add to their advantages, this team is one of the few participating in the postseason that are at full strength, with no injuries. They can certainly match Philadelphia in scoring and are significantly better on the boards. And in my opinion, that is where this game will be won. The 76ers have several players that are still out and a few more that are a little banged up. Therefore, rotating fresh legs is not in the cards for them. And for us who wager on games, they have failed to cover seven of the last nine overall entering this matchup. Speaking of matchups, Toronto has taken three or four straight up in the series this season while covering all for meetings with Philadelphia. They are also 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played on the road, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as an underdog, and 5-1 against the spread the last six Conference Quarterfinal games. Take the Raptors. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-14-22 | Cardinals +130 v. Brewers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
St. Louis Cardinals. NL Central Game of the Month. Game 901. 12:10 PM PST. My friends, the St. Louis Cardinals have already jumped out to take a lead in the NL Central. The funny thing is, they are the only team in this division that is either trying to get newly-acquired players acclimated or in a rebuilding year. The other teams in this division will certainly take time to start to gel and get into a flow. That’s not the case here with this team. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders, ranking second in both leagues in scoring, averaging over 6.25 runs per game. They own a Team Batting Average of .271 which is good enough to rank third in both leagues, rank second in OPS at. 874, rank second in stolen bases with 14, and have already slammed eight home runs. Their opponent today, the Milwaukee Brewers have high hopes for the year. However, right now are falling way short of expectations as their offense ranks among the worst in both leagues. And let’s face it, their pitching leaves a lot to be desired as well. These two teams certainly know each other very well. The Cardinals have had their way in this series, taking six of the last seven meetings overall. And while visiting American Family Field, have taken the last four matchups in a row. Today, they send one of the National Leagues most experienced pitchers to the mound in Adam Wainwright. The right-hander looked very sharp in his first start of the campaign, tossing six scoreless innings and striking out six batters to earn a victory a week ago against the Pirates. In his career, “Uncle Charlie“ is 20-12 with a 2.60 ERA in 49 games against Milwaukee including 42 starts. A season go he was 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA in five starts versus the Brewers. Brandon Woodruff gets the nod at home. The right-hander had an awful first outing, only lasting 3.2 innings in last weeks 9-0 defeat at Wrigley Field. In his lifetime, he is 3-3 with a 3.30 ERA in 10 games versus St. Louis, including eight starts. He was 0-2 with a 3.97 ERA in four starts against the Cardinals last season. St. Louis is 9-1 the last 10 games as an underdog, 8-1 the last nine games during Game 1 of a series, 8-1 the last nine road games versus right-handed starters, and 22-6 the last 28 overall road games. Oh, by the way, they are also 15-4 the last 19 versus the NL Central and 4-1 the last five following an off day. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Duke. Game 704. 5:45 pm pst Sports fans, the drama surrounding this Final Four matchup is unrivaled. North Carolina and Duke have been going out each other for as far back as I can remember. Obviously, there’s the story surrounding Coach Mike Krzyzewski retiring after this Tournament. And obviously, the team wants to win for him. There’s also all the brouhaha surrounding the fact that Duke took the first meeting this season back in February by 20-points and then in Coach K’s final game at Cameron Indoor Stadium North Carolina shredded them by 13-points. Hubert Davis is a good coach. He’s done a lot with his Tar Heels team this season. But he is certainly outmanned and outclassed here. It goes without saying he doesn’t have anywhere near the coaching experience as his counterpart. Nor does he have his big game intelligence or savvy. The Blue Devils score more offensively and allow less defensively. They’re also one the most accurate teams in the country both from beyond the arc and overall, from the floor. Let’s not forget the fact that they are one of the best in the nation on the offensive boards. North Carolina can score and is accurate from downtown as well. And also grab a lot of offensive rebounds. But the mismatch you’re going to see is between the Duke offense and the North Carolina defense. There is a huge disparity in ability, talent, and statistics. The Blue Devils can go to the well for fresh legs throughout the game as they are a little bit deeper and have that monster frontcourt with four big men in the starting lineup. The Tar Heels are 8-18-1 against spread the last 27 neutral side games played as underdog and 2-6 against spread eight NCAA Tournament games played as an underdog. Take Duke. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Atlanta. EC GOM. Game 586. 4:40 pm pst. Both teams here are hoping for playoffs appearances. Currently the Cavaliers are seventh in the East. Atlanta, at the moment is in tenth and they are trying to catch an eighth-place Brooklyn team and a ninth-place Charlotte team. Both played last night as a Cavaliers took a 120-112 loss at home against the Mavericks while the Hawks visited Oklahoma City and beat the Thunder, 136-118 to give the team their third consecutive win and cover. They had a short plane ride home for today’s matchup. The Cavaliers have been bitten badly by the injury bug. Allen has been out for a while joining Rondo, Wade, and Sexton. However just added to the injured list is center, Evan Mobley. Now with him out this team seems like they just can’t score at all. They have failed to cover six in a row and nine of the last 11 outings. As a matter fact, they lost and failed to cover the two most-recent meetings with Atlanta, coming at the end of December and mid-February. And that was when they were at full strength. The last few weeks the Hawks have taken it to another level winning eight of the last 11 straight up. This is a team that is back at to where they used to be, dominating opponents on their home court, where the Hawks are 13-6 against the spread the last 19 games played at the State Farm Arena. Cleveland’s numbers are just horrible as they are 0-7 against the spread the last seven games played on zero days rest, 5-11 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 2-6 against the spread the last eight games played on the road. Look for superstar, Trae Young to once again light up the Cavaliers as he has accounted for 35 and 41 points in the last two meetings. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |