Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-05-20 | Florida -17.5 v. Tennessee | 31-19 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 39 m | Show | |
Florida. NL. Game377. 12:30 pm pst. Want to make money? Keep going against Tennessee. The Volunteers are on a five-game slide both SU and ATS, never coming within double-digits. And they won’t here. Dan Mullen enjoys crushing Jeremy Pruitt. Since arriving in Gainesville, he has won and covered both meetings by a combined, 81-24. UF has just two games remaining on their schedule in which to make a case for a CFP spot. This matchup and their regular season finale in The Swamp against LSU. Add into the mix Kyle Trask and the nation’s No. 2 passing attack face one of the worst secondaries in the SEC, giving the star quarterback an ideal opportunity to boost his Heisman votes. The Gators are 5-1 ATS the last six in Knoxville. The Vols are 3-9 ATS the last 12 as a home ‘dog. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Ball State v. Central Michigan +2.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
CMU. LVSM. Game 366. 11:00 am pst. Jim McElwain has outclassed and outcoached just about everyone since taking the reins at CMU. His offense has put up 27 or more on every opponent going back over a year. The Chippewas are 7-2 ATS L9 vs. winners. Cardinals are 8-20 ATS L28 as a favorite. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Oklahoma State v. TCU +2.5 | 22-29 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
TCU. TD. Game 394. 9:00 am pst. A home ‘dog getting points is always on the radar, but the Horned Frogs have played their best football of 2020 over the last month going 3-1 both SU and ATS against some decent foes. The once-feared Cowboys “D” has gotten lit up. They have allowed three of their last four opponents to put up no less than 41 points. Take TCU. Thank you. |
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11-28-20 | Duke +1.5 v. Georgia Tech | 33-56 | Loss | -121 | 95 h 58 m | Show | |
I have seen this line move a bit in Duke’s direction. That is because they should be a favorite here. The oddsmakers are looking to trap you. We’re not falling for it, folks. Statistically, the Blue Devils are better on both sides of the ball and have taken five of the last six meetings SU and more importantly, all six ATS. The combination of quarterbacks, Brice and Holmberg are starting to click, while running back, Durant (651 yards rushing, 6 TD’s) has barreled for three 100 plus yards performances over the last four games. He is going to run amok over the Yellow Jackets lax run defense (97th). Duke’s ball-hawking “D” (7 takeaways) will get to Georgia Tech’s mistake-prone quarterback, Jeff Sims (10 INT’s in only 177 pass attempts this season) and create turnovers. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Yellow Jackets and 9-2 ATS the last 11 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 3-13 ATS the last 16 at home and 6-16 ATS the last 22 overall. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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11-28-20 | Maryland v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 11-27 | Win | 100 | 88 h 52 m | Show |
Move over Archie Miller, there’s a new sheriff in town. Tom Allen has his Hoosiers 4-1 and ranked 12th in the nation. After suffering their first defeat of 2020 (6-0 ATS) to Ohio State, Indiana will floor it here against a stale Maryland team that hasn’t played since a November 7 win at a winless Penn State. The other Tagovailoa will come in here rusty and overconfident. He is exciting but does not have the experience to compete in this matchup and is certainly not in the class of his counterpart, Penix Jr. The IU quarterback (1,564 yards passing, 14/4) has running back, Scott (373 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) and a quartet of incredible wideouts including superstar, Fryfogle (642 yards receiving, 7 TD’s). The Terrapins are awful defensively and will have no answer for the Hoosiers either on the ground or in the air. This is a “D” that got burned for over 43 points by the Wildcats and 44 points by the Golden Gophers. This just might be one of the biggest mismatches on the board this week. The home team is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings. Maryland is 3-9 ATS the last 12 on the road and 5-11 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog. Indiana is 5-1 ATS the last six at home, and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. winners. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina OVER 68 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
Take OVER in the ND/UNC matchup. This is my ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 135/136. 12:30 pm pst. Two ACC (this season) powerhouses meet here as the No. 2 Fighting Irish and the No. 25 Tar Heels take the field. Notre Dame, which averages over 37.6 PPG, has put up points against just about every opponent this in 2020. They will be able to pass the ball with success here against the 92nd ranked pass defense in college football, while their devastatingly talented rushing attack moves the chains. North Carolina, which accounts for over 43.1 PPG can light up the scoreboard on any team in the nation with their well-balanced (11th passing, 15th rushing) offense. The Fighting Irish have gotten burned for over 71 points the last two outings against the Tigers without Trevor Lawrence and an Eagles squad that is not known for their offensive prowess. The Tar Heels one flaw is their “D”, which has gotten torched for over 30.8 PPG. These teams have combined to play 10 overs and just 6 unders this season. Five of the last seven ND games have gone over the total while UNC has played to four straight overs. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13.5 | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my LVSM. Game 148. 10:00 am pst. Iowa seem tot be getting better as the season progresses. Over the last three weeks, the Hawkeyes are 3-0 both SU and ATS, winning by an average margin of 30.3 PPG. The offense is rolling behind QB, Petras and the tandem of RB’s, Goodson and Sargent (762 YR, 12TD’s combined). Nebraska owns a very poor defense, particularly against the rush (115th). Offensively, the Cornhuskers only threat is on the ground. But the 14th ranked rush “D” of the Hawkeyes will contain the run. Overall, Iowa allows only 16.0 PPG. Nebraska is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. winners, 1-6 ATS L7 on the road, and 3-10 ATS L13 in conference play. Iowa is 7-3 ATS L10 vs. losers, 3-1-1 ATS L5 at home, and 3-0-1 ATS L4 in conference play. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Take ISU. This is my NL. Game 143. 9:00 am pst. Last years meeting was won by Iowa State. The Cyclones own the Big 12’s top-spot at 6-1 in conference play. They have the Mountaineers on deck, a team they easily handled last season. So, I wouldn’t worry about a look-ahead situation here. Brock Purdy will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 111th ranked pass defense of Texas. They have Breece hall to keep the Longhorns “D” honest. The running back has amassed over 1,169 yards rushing and 15 TD’s. They will keep Sam Ehlinger in check with a very nasty stop-unit that ranks 30th, yielding a mere, 23.4 PPG. Not too shabby for the Big 12. The Longhorns are 1-3-1 ATS L5 following a bye week, 1-6 ATS L7 on Friday, and 1-4-1 ATS L6 inn conference play. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn -10.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 18 m | Show | |
Auburn. SEC GOM. Game 416. 4:00 pm pst
Both teams were on a streak prior to a small Covid-19 hiatus. Tennessee is on a four-game loss and no cover streak while Auburn won and covered their last two outings. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that those four Vols losses were all by double-digits (11, 21, 24, 23 points). Bo Nix has led the Tigers offense with confidence making zero miscues the last several outings. The quarterback can rely on running back, Tank Bigsby (114.2 yards per game the last four) to keep the UT defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Volunteers have had trouble scoring (20.7 PPG) against just about every opponent, especially when facing the tougher SEC foes. And the Tigers own a tough “D”. The last time these two teams met, Tennessee prevailed, 30-24 as a 14.5-point underdog. Auburn hasn’t forgotten that stinging loss and will exact their revenge here. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS the last six following a bye week, 10-3 ATS the last 13 as a home favorite, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 vs. teams with a losing record. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +1.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
Nevada. GI. Game 388. 12:30 pm pst. Dillon Gabriel is putting up numbers not seen in Reno since Colin Kaepernick reined. Playing on their home field is a big edge for any MWC team. Not only that but SDSU is a one-dimensional offense and Nevada matches up very well on the stop side of the ball and will contain the Aztecs offense. The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS the last eight in conference play. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | UCLA v. Oregon -17 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
Oregon. 10 STAR WINNER Game 332. 7:30 pm pst. Chip Kelly returns to the stadium and the team he helped build. As the head coach of the Oregon Ducks, he racked up a 46-7 record, won the Pac-12 a few times, went to two Rose Bowls, a National Championship game, and a Fiesta Bowl. After a short stint in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers, he went back to the college football ranks to coach the UCLA Bruins. The team is just 1-1 this season and if you ask me, the offense relies a bit too much on their mediocre quarterback, Dorian Thompson-Robinson. He’s got some talent but makes a lot of mistakes. It seems that once again, the Bruins can not defend the run at all. Well sports fans, in comes the juggernaut which is the Oregon Ducks ground assault. Through just two outings already, Oregon ranks 6th in the nation in rushing, donning three 100+ yard ballcarriers. Quarterback, Tyler Shough is the next big name in the Pac-12. This kid is a stud, folks. Both in the air and on the ground, this dual-threat play-caller can do it all. He will be his own highlight reel in this matchup. UCLA will not have an answer for him. Oregon has taken the last eight meetings in this series SU, going 5-3 ATS. The Bruins are 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five on the road. The Ducks are 5-1 ATS the last six following a SU win, 5-2 ATS the last seven in conference play, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. I figured this game to be around a three touchdown or more blowout guys. My advice is to start working your arms out now because come Saturday you are going to do so many pushups, you won’t be able to count your winnings. QUACK QUACK. Take the Ducks and win. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati -5.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 36-33 | Loss | -107 | 77 h 53 m | Show |
Cincinnati. EIM. Game 343. 12:30 pm pst. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this week and certainly one of the most anticipated in the AAC this season. I have won with the Bearcats four or five times in this column in 2020 and I’m going to ride that train again here. Cincy ranks 7th nationally and must stay undefeated to have a chance at the CFP. Not only are they winning games, they are covering too, riding a four game ATS streak. Central Florida does score a bit more behind college football’s top-ranked passing units and also owns the top “O” in total yards. Their two losses happened in two shootouts with Tulsa and Memphis. They have yet to face a defense as ferocious and well-balanced as they will here. The Bearcats stop-unit allows a mere 12.4 PPG and has snagged 12 turnovers. The defense will contain the UCF offense. Expect Cincinnati havoc-wreaker, DE Myjai Sanders (five sacks) to get to UCF quarterback, Dillon Gabriel and force mistakes. The Knights are 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play and 1-6 ATS the last seven at home. Under a TD is a gift.Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Indiana +21 v. Ohio State | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Indiana. TD play. Game 357. 9:00 am pst. Giving a team that is 4-0 both SU and ATS with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, Michigan, and Michigan State, nearly three touchdowns astounds me. Yes, Ohio State is one of the most-well-balanced teams in the nation. But, they, knowing how good Indiana is playing, will come in here with a conservative game plan as not to make mistakes. The Hoosiers have momentum and are 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings with the Buckeyes. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 52-44 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
CMU. WWW. Game 314. 4:00 pm pst. Jim McElwain and his Chippewas team are looking a bit sharper at this point in the season, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Broncos are 2-7 ATS L9 on the road and 4-17 ATS L21 following an ATS win. The Chippewas are 7-1 ATS L8 at home and 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play. Take Central Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | SMU +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
Take SMU. AAC GOM. 4:00 pm pst. SMU’s sole defeat this season came against the AAC’s top team and the 7th ranked team in the nation, Cincinnati. Yet again this season, the Mustangs own an explosive offense posting over 40.5 PPG. There are NFL teams that would be envious of their backfield. Quarterback, Shane Buechele (2,581 yards passing, 66.8% completion rate, 20/3) and running back Ulysses Bentley IV (774 yards rushing, 10 touchdowns) are one of the most exciting and talented 1-2 punches in college football. That would be impressive enough for anyone to side with them here. But they are also joined by one of college football’s top receiving corps (13th). The quartet of Rice, Granson, Page, and Gray (126 receptions, 1,801 yards receiving, 14 touchdowns combined) will give the Tulsa secondary nightmares for years to come. The Golden Hurricane is no slouch. But in all reality, they just don’t have the firepower to keep pace offensively here. You can count on Tulsa’s mistake-prone quarterback, Zach Smith to continue his INT streak (he has tossed at least one pick in every game thus far). The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. SMU is 5-2 ATS the last seven at Tulsa and 5-2 ATS the last seven overall. Tulsa is 0-4 ATS the last four as a home fav and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall as a favorite. Take the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -4 | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Tulane. TD. Game 204. 9:00 am pst. We have all heard the saying “Looks can be deceiving.”The Black Knights 6-1 record is impressive. But being impressive on paper and impressive on the field are two totally separate things. On paper, it’s all about statistics. On the field, it’s about who you have played. Let me shed some light on the subject, sports fans. They beat Middle Tennessee State, Louisiana Monroe, Abilene Christian, The Citadel, Texas San Antonio, and Mercer. They weren’t an underdog in any of those matchups. As a matter of fact, the disparity in the opposition was so vast, they were a fav of 24-31 points in four of those outings. Army stepped up in class just once this season and got smoked by Cincinnati, 24-10. And guys, the game wasn’t nearly as close as the score made it look. Tulane has gotten bettors paid, covering five of the last six games coming in to this meeting. Not only that, but they have gone up against much stronger adversaries. Head coach, Willie Fritz has won and covered the last three meetings in this series. He has outcoached and outclassed the BK’s head coach, Jeff Monken. Defensively, once again, the Green Wave owns a tough stop-unit against the run. They rank 35th nationally, yielding only 128.0 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback, Michael Pratt and his tandem of 500-yards rushers, Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll possess the firepower to light up the scoreboard here. As importantly, they have the ground game to control the pace, keep the Black Knights defense on the field, and their offense off of it. Army is 1-3-1 ATS the last five vs. the AAC, 2-5 ATS the last seven on the road, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Tulane is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. INDEP, 17-5 ATS the last 22 at home, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a fav. Take the Green Wave. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Miami-Florida. GI. Game 155. 9:00 am pst. 9th-ranked Miami comes in here red-hot and brimming with confidence winning three straight and six of seven overall in 2020. Virginia Tech is banged-up and comes off a loss to Liberty as a 17-point favorite. Dual-threat quarterback, D’Eriq King (1,828 yards passing 16/4 in the air, 406 yards rushing two TD’s on the ground) will decimate the Hokies cardboard defense. On the flipside, V Tech is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying on the run. The ‘Canes have held some solid rushing attacks and will contain this one here. The Hokies are 6-13 ARS L19 as a favorite. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Wake Forest +13.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 53 h 42 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. EIM. Game 149. 9:00 am pst.
You’d be hard-pressed to find a team that is more Jekyll and Hyde than the Tar Heels. Consistency is important in both football and in sports betting. And, one thing for sure, the Demon Deacons have been a consistent moneymaker, covering five of six outings this season. Wake Forest has been competitive in every contest on the campaign, including an opening-season loss, which they covered to Clemson. Smart and savvy Wake quarterback, Sam Hartman (1,253 yards passing, 62% completion rate, 4/0) doesn’t make mistakes, nor does the rest of the offensive unit (one turnover through six games). As a matter of fact, the team is +14 in turnover margin. Not bad for a squad that puts up over 37.0 PPG. Giving a clever head coach like Dave Clawson two touchdowns is a mistake. The Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS the last 15 as a road ‘dog. The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS the lasts seven following an ATS win. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
CMU Game 155. 5:00 pm pst. CMU thrashed Ball State last year, 48-10 to give the team their sixth consecutive ATS cover over their conference rival. NIU starts five freshmen on defense. Chippewas head coach, Jim McElwain is one of the sharpest minds in college football today and will exploit the inexperienced stop-unit here. CMU is 19-6-2 ATS L27 as a road favorite, 5-1 ATS L6 overall as a favorite, 4-1 ATS L5 in conference play, and 7-3 ATS L10 overall. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Ball State | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
EMU. Game 117. 4:00 pm pst. Too many points to lay for a BSU team that can’t lay wood, especially at home where they are 6-15 ATS the L21 in the role as a home fav. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals are a dismal, 12-25 ATS L27 overall when playing host. EMU is a very game team, covering four of the L5 coming in to this matchup and outside of last season’s six-point loss, they took the previous three meetings in this series both SU and ATS. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Cardinals and 23-7 ATS L30 as an underdog. Take EMU. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Washington State v. Oregon State -1.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Oregon State. This is my Pac-12 Payday. Game 362. 7:30 pm pst. Oregon State is a moneymaker, riding a 9-2 ATS streak. Washington State lost their QB and their three top receivers from a unit that ranked No.1 in the nation in passing a season ago. They really don’t seem to have the tools to come near duplicating those stats. The Beavers have a good defense, and a very good rushing attack. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS L5 in November and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -6.5 | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 60 m | Show |
Take FAU. This is my BB play. Game 396. 3:00 pm pst. Western Kentucky covered just one game by a half-point since last November. The Hilltoppers now rank towards the bottom in every major offensive category (106th total yards, 101st passing yards, 91st rushing yards, 105th scoring, 115th turnovers). Things will go from bad to worse facing an Owls defense that allows a mere, 13.3 PPG. They have also won and covered the last three meetings in this series and are 5-1 ARS L6 at home, 6-2 ATS L8 in November, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take FAU. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 72 h 27 m | Show |
We cashed in with the Bearcats last week here in the and once again this week, we will do it again. Cincinnati is a perfect, 5-0 in 2020. For the next month, this team faces four AAC creampuffs until their season-finale against the other undefeated conference rep, Tulsa. They must keep their engine revved for both style points and as not to get stale. They catch an overrated Houston team here that has stepped up in class three times this season, and as a result went 0-3 both SU and ATS (Navy, BYU, UCF). The Cougar defense is getting burned for over 34.8 PPG. In comes Desmond Ridder and the high-flying Bearcats “O” (39.6 PPG). That would be enough. But the Houston offense is going to get stuffed by the nation’s 7th raked stop unit of Cincy (12.0 PPG allowed). The Cougars are 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Fresno State -11 v. UNLV | 40-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my NL. Game 363. 12:30 pm pst. This just might be the worst UNLV squad I have seen in decades. They have already suffered two beatings at the hands of San Diego State and Nevada. They really don’t possess and physicality and are once again going to be manhandled here. Fresno State, which has won and covered the last two meetings in this series, showed an enormous amount of heart, as they bounced back from an opening-season loss to Hawaii, to shellack Colorado State last week. With very little threat of a pass rush and a lax secondary, look for improved Bulldogs quarterback Jake Haener to have a career day here against the Rebels. Fresno State is 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on the road, 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 in conference play, and 33-16-2 the last 51 overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -37.5 | 9-62 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Oklahoma. This is my GI play. Game 372. 12:30 pm pst. Without an undefeated team and because two of the one-loss reps are facing each other this week, Oklahoma has a real chance to rise in the conference standings. They need victories, big victories. Facing a team that accounts for just 16.2 PPG while yielding 46.2 PPG can also give the Sooners the well-needed style points they need. The 0-6 ATS Jayhawks just can’t get withing a slew of TD’s against any foe. FYI, this team started to look like the team they are known to be last week when a few key players returned to their offensive unit. The home team is 7-2 ATS L9 meetings. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Nebraska v. Northwestern -3.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Take NW. This is my ETVGW. Game 380. 9;00 am pst. Northwestern isn’t just a good football team, they are also believing they are a good football team. The thumped Maryland 43-3 then came from a 17-point deficit to beat Iowa in Iowa last week. The Nebraska team is shaky, particularly on defense. Well, NW possesses a very well-balanced offense that will steamroll here. The Cornhuskers are 2-6-1 ATS L9 meetings in this series, 15 ATS L6 on the road, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-06-20 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -7.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Take SD STATE. This is my FNL play. Game 312. 6:00 pm pst. Two 2-0 (SU and ATS) MWC teams square off here. SJ State has a solid passing game but facing the SD State defense will change all that. The Aztecs have not allowed an opponent to score more than 23 points since the end of the 2018-2019 campaign. That includes such foes as UCLA, CSU, Wyoming, Nevada, FSU, Hawaii, BYU, and yes, even SJ State. As a matter of fact, they have taken seven in a row SU in this series, going 5-2 ATS. QB, Baker (300 YP, 3/0) and his quartet of ball-carriers, Bell, Bell, Byrd, and Williams, who each have over 100 yards rushing already (combined for 626 YR, six TD’s in 2020) will shred he inferior SJ State defense, which is certainly stepping up in class here. The Spartans “D” got scorched a season ago for over 444.6 YPG, and ranked 125th vs. the rush. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS L4 at home, 7-3 ATS L10 on Friday, and 4-0 ATS L4 overall. Take San Diego State. Thank you. |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Colorado State | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Colorado State (0-2 SU) did play two tough defenses in BSU and FSU. But, Wyoming also has a pretty darn tough “D”. Whoever head coach, Stave Addazio puts at the quarterback slot, it will be a moot point. The Rams just do not have the talent to score points on strong defensive units. Especially without a true ball-carrier. Wyoming bounced back from their season-opening loss to Nevada to downright terrorize Hawaii last week. The Cowboys have a smart quarterback and by far the best athlete on this field tonight, in dual-threat running back, Xazavian Vallady. A 1000-yard rusher last year, Vallady already has 250 yards rushing and 76 yards receiving this year. Outside of their 2020 opener, Wyoming has held every opponent to 22 or less points since the end of the 2018 campaign. They have won and covered the last four meetings in this series, are 6-1 ATS L7 vs. teams with a losing record, and 5-1 ATS l6as a road fav. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-04-20 | Ohio v. Central Michigan +2 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
CMU, which had a good regular season a year ago isn’t too worried on offense. They return a ton of talent on that side of the ball. There is some question though on defense, where they lost several starters. But, in this conference, as we all know, it’s about offense, offense, offense and how many points you can put on the board. Ohio took a hit on offense, defense, and Special teams, including the loss of seven all conference selections. I mean guys, this is a team that really lost their entire top layer of talent. The Chippewas have won and covered the L4 meetings in this series and are 6-1 the L7 at home. The Bobcats are 3-7 both the L10 on field turf and overall. When a season begins, you have to side with the team with proven playmakers…and that’s CMU. Take the Chippewas. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | San Diego State -7.5 v. Utah State | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
Take SD STATE. This is my NL. Game 143. 6:30 pm pst. Right about now, Aggies head coach, Gary Andersen is wishing current Green Bay Packers backup quarterback, Jordan Love was still sporting a Utah State uniform. The team mustered a lowly 92 passing yards (203 total yards) in their season-opening 42-13at Boise State. Things will go from bad to worse here as new starter, 5'11, 200 lb., Jason Shelley has to line up against the unorthodox, 3-3-5 stop-unit. You can expect a heavy dose of the Aztecs gang of ball-carriers to control the tempo here and take no prisoners. An added factor to further motivate San Diego State is revenge. After winning and covering the three previous meetings, they lost last year's matchup. The Aztecs are 7-2 ATS the last nine as a favorite and 4-1 ATS the last five in October. Take San Diego State. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia | 41-44 | Loss | -130 | 44 h 1 m | Show | |
Take UNC. This is my HR. Game 113. 5:00 pm pst. Virginia and their lackluster offense (23.8 PPG) can not match the mighty North Carolina "O" (37.8 PPG) score for score. The Tar Heels have too much firepower and come in here with confidence after crushing the Wolf Pack last week, 48-21. They are also motivated by triple-revenge. UNC has the far superior squad and they know it. The road team is 5-1 ATS L6 meetings. UNC is 4-1 ATS L5 at UVA, 5-1 ATS L6 on grass, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losers, 7-2 ATS L9 as a fav, and 6-2 ATS L8 overall. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | Texas +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Texas. Game 163. 1:00 am pst. With RB, Chuba Hubbard looking mortal this season and the fact that Sam Ehlinger is a BIG GAME QB, taking the points in this rivalry matchup between two teams that know each other well is a gift. The road team is 10-3 ATS L13 meetings in this series. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | TCU v. Baylor +3 | 33-23 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Baylor. This is my SMP. Game 176. 12:30 pm pst. On both sides of the ball, Baylor has better number, bigger playmakers, and are playing at home. Don’t get caught in a trap here by the odds makers. The Bears have played very competitive against some very tough opponents and step down in class here for sure. Giving them a FG at home is a mistake. The Horned Frogs are 11-26 ATS L37 on grass, 7-17 ATS L24 in conference play, and 10-29 ATS L39 as a favorite. The Bears are 4-0 ATS L4 on grass, 6-1-1 ATS L8 in conference play, and 8-1-1 ATS L10 as an underdog. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | Kansas State +6 v. West Virginia | 10-37 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Take K state. This is my LATE INFO. Game 117. 9:00 am pst. Kansas State is currently a 3.5-point underdog as they visit West Virginia. Sometimes you must be cautious in a look-ahead situation. K State has a showdown with the only other unbeaten Big 12 rep, Oklahoma State next game. But, this is a team riding a four-game win and cover streak. As a matter of fact, three of those wins came against teams that were superior on paper. Quarterback, Will Howard has led the team to three straight wins in place of injured starter, Skylar Thompson. West Virginia, which was supposed to be known for their defense, is looking very beatable. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS L5 on the road. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 36 h 51 m | Show |
Take Cincinnati. This is my GOM. Game 138. 9:00 am pst. Cincinnati has been plowing through opponents en route to a 4-0 start. Granted, they've faced a few powder-puffs, but last Saturday's 42-13 thumping of SMU as a 1-point 'dog has confirmed this team is a force to be reckoned with. This is a very healthy team led by dual-threat quarterback, Desmond Ridder on offense. Defensively, the Bearcats have held their last three foes to a combined, 30 points, containing the Black Knights ground assault and completely shutting down the SMU potent attack. Memphis, which has only covered once since last November (1-6 ATS run) is going to sorely miss their most productive and experienced receiver, Damonte Coxie here (left this week to enter the draft). The Tigers "D" is getting burned for over 33.0 PPG this season. Memphis is 2-8 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 0-5 ATS the last five as a road 'dog.Under a TD is a winner.Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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10-30-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa -16.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Tulsa. This is my FNL winner. Game 108. 6:00 pm pst. The Golden Hurricanes defense is for real, ranking 15th nationally, allowing just 18.3 PPG. they are equally good against the pass and the rush. Offensively, their ground game is starting to rev up, which doesn't bode well for a Pirates stop-unit that hasn't stopped any runners lately, getting plowed for 12 rushing TD's over the last four games. ECU is 0-4 ATS L4 meetings in this series, 7-17 ATS L24 on the road, 8-20 ATS L28 in October, 4-10 ATS L14 on field turf, and 0-7 ATS L7 on Friday. take Tulsa. Thank you. |
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10-29-20 | Colorado State -1.5 v. Fresno State | 17-38 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
CSU has taken five of the last six meetings in this series SU, going 4-2 ATS. You can bet Rams HC, Steve Addazio is going to establish the run again vs. a defense that yielded 323 YR last week while his veteran QB, Pat O'Brien, who threw for 2,803 YP and 13 TD's a season ago, lights up the Bulldogs' defense here. FSU has some QB concerns after Haener tossed three INT's against an unthreatening Hawaii 'D". The rams are 5-0 ATS L5 as a fav, 7-3 ATS L10 in conference play, and 8-2 ATS L10 on Thursday. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS L4 at home, 1-4 ATS L5 in conference play, and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take CSU. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Air Force -7 v. San Jose State | Top | 6-17 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
Take Air Force. MWC GOM. Game 379. 7:30 pm pst. Air Force has won and covered the last three meetings in this series by an average of 13.6 PPG. San Jose State will once again have no answer for the potent, Air Force triple-option that will control the clock and keep the Spartans defense on the field and gasping for air come the second half. The Falcons are in top-shape as they showed in their 40-7 dismantling over the Middies on October 3. They come in here rested, healed, and focused. The Falcons are 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play, 4-0 ATS L4 in October, and 4-1 ATS L5 overall. Take Air Force. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | West Virginia -3 v. Texas Tech | 27-34 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 26 m | Show | |
Take West Virginia. TD play. Game 355. 2:30 pm pst. These are two teams going in opposite directions. Texas Tech hasn't beaten a conference opponent since early last November. Things go from bad to worse as the Red Raiders give transfer QB, Columbi his first start for the team. West Virginia has won and covered their last two outings, both against league foes. QB, Jarrett Doege (1,042 YP, 8/3) and RB, Leddie Brown (606 YR, 4 TD's) leas a well-balanced attack. Defensively, the Mountaineers own one of the toughest units in the nation. The favorite is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings. Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS L5 and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. West Virginia is 4-1-1 ATS L6 in conference play and 5-1-1 ATS L7 overall. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Kentucky -4.5 v. Missouri | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
Take Kentucky. TEN DIMES. Game 403. 1:00 pm pst. The 1-2 Missouri Tigers are in a big letdown situation here after eking out a 4-point win over this seasons train wreck, LSU Tigers. But that game was two weeks ago. This team has been idle and will once again show rust. RS frosh QB, Bazelak is in way over his head here as he lines up against a nasty Kentucky "D" that is allowing a mere, 20.0 PPG and has forced a combined 10 TO's the last two weeks in wins and covers over Mississippi State and Tennessee. The Missouri "D" is getting plowed for over 38.0 PPG. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series, 8-2 ATS L10 as a favorite, and 7-0 ATS L7 on field turf. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS L5 in October, 2-8 ATS L10 in conference play, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Alabama -21 v. Tennessee | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 42 h 59 m | Show |
Take Alabama. Even a Covid-19 scare couldn't stop Nick Saban from beating and beating up a former assistant last week. As Alabama put up 41 points on the highly-touted Georgia defense, Saban took his record against former assistants to 22-0, taking down Kirby Smart. An ex-defensive coordinator, Jeremy Pruitt is in the crosshairs this week as the Crimson Tide face the Volunteers. Mac Jones and Najee Harris lead the nation's second-ranked scoring offense (48.5 PPG). Very few units in college football can match this team score-for-score. Tennessee is not one of those units. They stepped up in class the last two weeks, and the Vols could only muster a combined 28 points in two losses and two no covers vs. the Bulldogs and Wildcats. UT quarterback, Jarrett Guarantano (four TD's/three INT's) just won't be able to move the ball in the air. Especially without the luxury of a true ground game (57th, 134.8 YPG) to keep the 'Bama "D" honest. Saban has owned any UT head coach he's faced since taking the reins at Alabama, winning 13 consecutive meetings SU, and going 9-4 ATS. The Crimson Tide is 8-1 ATS the last nine at the Vols and 6-2 ATS the last eight in October. The Volunteers are 8-18 ARS the last 26 at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Kansas v. Kansas State -20 | 14-55 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Kansas State. OM play. Game 360. 9:00 am pst. Wanna' make money? Just keep riding the train against KU until college hoops starts. The only sunlight that shined upon Kansas just got darkened by a cloud. Running back, Pooka Williams has opted out for the season. This doesn't bode well for a Jayhawks team that just can't seem to stay within 21 points of any Big 12 opponent. After a surprising opening-season loss to the feisty Arkansas State teams, Kansas State has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers against teams that appear to be better on paper (Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU). Quarterback, Will Howard will continue to fill in nicely for the injured, Skylar Thompson. The backfield is solid. The receivers are outstanding. And FYI, the Wildcats have not turned the ball over this season. Look for Les Miles' team to sink deeper into the abyss. On both sides of the ball, Kansas is once again in trouble. The Jayhawks are 3-8 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the Big 12, and 0-5 ATS the last five overall. The Wildcats are 9-3 ATS the last 12 following an ATS win, 5-0 ATS the last five in conference play, and 9-3 ATS the last12 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Take UAB. TV GAME WINNER. Game 310. 5:00 pm pst. UAB is a very talented and healthy team with their only defeat in 2020 coming to Miami-Florida. The offense is putting up points behind a very stout, veteran OL consisting of four seniors. They have yielded just three sacks through five games. ULL does not get a lot of pressure on opposing QB's to begin with (four sacks). The trio of ball-carriers, Brown, McBride, and Brown JR., have combined for over 878 yards rushing and nine TD's. They will keep the ULL defense honest while tandem QB's, Lucero and Johnston III hook up with the dangerous duo of wideouts, Watkins Jr. and Mitchell. The Blazers aggressive "D" (15 sacks) will make it impossible for the Ragin' Cajuns to pass the ball. ULL is 2-6 ATS L8 vs. CUSA, 0-5 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-6 ATS L7 overall. UAB is 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the Sunbelt, 26-9-1 ATS L36 as a home 'dog, and 9-1 ATS L10 in the month of October. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa -10.5 v. South Florida | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Tulsa. FNL play. Game 307. 4:30 pm pst. Due to the current health situation, Tulsa hasn't played since their 34-26 outright win and cover over UCF as a 20.5-pt underdog on October 3. This is a very well-rested and healthy squad. The Golden Hurricanes offense will shred the porous Bulls "D" that has been burned for over 163 points in their current four-game skid. Look for the talented Tulsa stop-unit (21.0 PPG allowed, 3.5 sacks per game) to steamroll the South Florida OL that has given up 12 sacks just over the last three contests. The Golden Hurricanes have covered three straight, seven of the last eight on the road, and 10 of the last 12 on grass. The Bulls are 4-10 ATS L14 at home. Take Tulsa. Thank you. |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Arkansas State. In this very unique college football campaign, being idle has been fatal to many teams. Mistakes, penalties, and rust has been issues. Well, Appalachian State, which haven't covered since the beginning of December (0-4 ATS L4), haven't played a game in four weeks. The coronavirus has thrown a monkey wrench in to the Mountaineers schedule. This is a very good team, but not having played in a while will hurt them here as they face a Red Wolves squad that has played three games in the month of October with an offense that has erupted for 109 points in the last two weeks, both wins and covers. While the Appalachian State pass defense has been solid, their timing will be off against quarterback, Logan Bonner (938 yards passing, 11/3) and his stellar trio of wideouts, Jonathan Adams Jr., Dahu Green, and Brandon Bowling (86 receptions, 1,232 yards receiving, 16 TD's combined). Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS L5 on field turf, 4-1 ATS L5 as a 'dog, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Red Wolves. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Boston College +13 v. Virginia Tech | 14-40 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
Take BC. This is my STL play. Game 112. 5:00 pm pst. Virginia Tech's once feared stop unit has sprung a leak, allowing over 37.0 PPG. Notre Dame transfer, quarterback, Phil Jurkovic is putting up numbers not seen since Matt Ryan was at the helm. More importantly, he is making almost no mistakes. The Eagles won the last two meetings, covering the last three and seven of the last nine. They are also 20-5-1 ATS L26 in conference play and 19-7 ATS L26 as a road 'dog. The Hokies are 4-11 ATS L15 as a favorite and 1-4 ARS L5 overall. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +8 | 28-16 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Take UTSA. This is my OM play. Game 152. 10:30 am pst. This line is way off. Should me much closer to 1.5-3 points. UTSA has played very competitively against better opponents while Army only face one decent team and got crushed (Cincinnati). Their two wins against FBS foes that are a combined 1-9 and their two other victories were against Abilene Christian and The Citadel. The Roadrunners are 5-0 ATS L5 as a 'dog, 5-1 ATS L6 in October, and 8-3 ATS L11 overall. The Black Knights are 6-17 ATS L23 as a road favorite, 1-5 ATS L6 in October, and 16 ATS L7 vs. winners. Take UTSA. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Clemson -27 v. Georgia Tech | 73-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Clemson. This is my TD play. Game 131. 9:00 am pst. Georgia Tech frosh quarterback, Jeff Sims has never faced a defense as complete or as ferocious as Clemson. The Tigers have no problem running up scores against conference foes as they did last week against the Hurricanes, 42-17. Clemson is 4-0-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 11-3 ATS L14 on the road. Georgia Tech is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. winners and 2-9 ATS L11 at home. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Kansas v. West Virginia -21.5 | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
Take West Virginia. This is my BIG 12 GOM. Game 128. 9:00 am pst. The sad-sack, Kansas team is 0-3, both SU and ATS. As a matter of fact, they have crushed bettors, covering just once since last October (1-6 ATS last seven). Averaging a dismal, 14.7 PPG this season, Kansas is stuck in the past. This doesn't bode well here as they line up against a very progressive, West Virginia Mountaineers team. Head coach, Neal Brown brought over some schemes from his days at Troy and they are starting to pay off. West Virginia comes in here brimming with confidence, after last week's overtime win and cover over Baylor. The offense will steam roll here with Bowling Green-transfer, quarterback, Jarret Doege and running back, Leddie Brown, while the defense shuts down the lackluster, Kansas "O". The Jayhawks are 3-13 ATS the last 16 following a bye week and 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play. Take West Virginia. Thank you. |
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10-16-20 | BYU -4.5 v. Houston | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 35 h 10 m | Show | |
The fact that BYU had a close game with a lesser opponent in UTSA this past week, will actually make the BYU Cougars a better team. Perhaps, they have played a bit of a light schedule, but they still have four games under their belt, including three contests over the last three weeks to sharpen their skills. Due to the current health situation, Houston has had to endure four cancellations and one postponement. As expected, in their first outing, the Houston Cougars were rusty, turning the ball over five times against the Tulane Green Wave, which put up whopping 31 points. BYU owns a well-balanced offense that will keep Houston on their toes. Quarterback, Zach Wilson (1,241 yards passing, 8/1) has the offense running like a Swiss clock. This is a huge step up in class for Houston. On the opposite side of the ball, expect BYU to force as many or more turnovers than Tulane did a week ago.BYU is 8-2 ATS the last 10 following an ATS win and 11-5 ATS the last 16 on the road. BYU |
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10-16-20 | SMU -6 v. Tulane | 37-34 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Take SMU. LI MOVE. Game 107. 6:00 est This line is a bit short because SMU lost two offensive starts their last outing. However, the Mustangs are loaded at both the RB and WR positions and have had a week off to prepare here. They have taken five in a row SU in this series, going 4-1 ATS> Tulane lost both AAC matchups this season, blowing leads in both, and failing to cover in both as well. The Green Wave is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. AAC, 2-5 ATS L7 as an underdog, and 2-10 ATS L12 on Friday. Take the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame -20.5 | Top | 26-42 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 49 m | Show |
Despite some recent health issues for Notre Dame, this game is set to go. I read an interesting column this week claiming that the Seminoles have out recruited the Fighting Irish over the last several seasons. HMM. But since 2017, they are just 19-23 compared to the Notre Dame record of 35-6. That might further motivate Brian Kelly in this one. Mike Norvell named Jordan Travis the starter here. In his three seasons, the quarterback has completed just 21 passes, with two TD's and two INT's. He doesn't have the experience or the savvy to go up against the ferocious Irish "D". But, the real problem FSU faces is on defense. They were manhandled by both Georgia Tech and Miami-Florida (both SU and ATS losses) and looked confused in their win and no cover last week against nobody, Jacksonville State. This doesn't bode well here as they face a very well-balanced Notre Dame "O". Notre Dame doesn't have a tough opponent until November when they face Clemson. So, they must stay sharp here. The Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS the last eight on the road and 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 overall. Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS the last 11 at home and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take Notre Dame. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +10 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my OM play. Game 335. 1:00 pm pst. I have been doing this a long time and I can not figure out this line. Yes, Kansas State quarterback, Thompson (check status) is listed as questionable. But, backup, Howard looked like a veteran filling in last week getting an outright win at home vs. Texas Tech. Not only do the Wildcats get the bettors paid as an underdog (22-7 ATS the last 29 in the role) but they have been money in this series, covering four of the last five meetings. The Horned Frogs defense is a far cry from the once-feared unit they were only a few years ago. They have been torched by just about every opponent they have lined up against the last year and change. Kansas State is 4-0 ATS the last four in conference play and 8-3 ATS the last 11 overall. TCU is 7-15 ATS the last 22 vs. the Big 12 and 8-22 ATS the last 30 at home. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College +6.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Boston College. This is my STL play. Game 312. 1:00 pm pst. NC State exposed Pitt's weaknesses. BC quarterback, Phil Jurkovec will exploit those weaknesses here. These two rivals match up well, so expect a very tight game. A lot tighter than the spread. The Panthers are 1-4-1 ATS L6 as a fav and 1-5-1 ATS L7 overall. The Eagles are 15-5-1 ATS L21 as a 'dog and 20-6-1 ATS L27 in conference play. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +2 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my LVSM. Game 320. 9:30 am pst. To be honest, the wrong team is favored here. Syracuse owns the better units on both sides of the ball here. The winless Duke team can't move the ball offensively and are getting flattened defensively. They are 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, 3-9 ATS L12 as a fav, and 2-6 ATS L8 vs. the conference. Take the Orange. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +3 | 53-45 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Texas. This is my RRR winner. Game 324. 9:00 am pst. Back-to-back SU losses to KSU and ISU has taken the wind out of Oklahoma's sails and has put them out of a CFP. Sam Ehlinger and the Texas team know with a win here, they are very much alive for the coveted, Big 12 crown and can also get some payback for the last two meetings. The Longhorns are 7-1 ATS L8 meetings in this series and 11-5-1 ATS L16 as a 'dog. The Sooners are 1-7 ATS L8 vs. conference opponents and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7 v. Georgia | 6-27 | Loss | -113 | 43 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Auburn. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 153. 4:30 pm pst. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Since taking over the reins at Auburn, head coach, Gus Malzahn has suffered three consecutive losses at the hands of Georgia head coach, Kirby Smart, and six defeats in the last eight overall meetings with their conference rival. This is the meeting that will cost the Bulldog's revolving door quarterback issue dearly. Whether it's USC-transfer, Daniels (just received medical clearance, last start August 2019), the shaky Bennett, or redshirt freshman Mathis under center, look for the experienced Tigers defense to wreak havoc on any quarterback Smart names here. They have the size and the speed to exploit this issue in this matchup. Auburn sophomore quarterback, Bo Nix (233 yards passing, 3/0) looks to be on top-form after breaking down the competitive Kentucky defense a week ago. He can keep the Georgia "D" on the field and on their heels come the second half. The Tigers are money as they are 11-4 ATS the L15 overall. Buy the half point just to air on the side of caution here. Take AUBURN. Thank you. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -17.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. This is my CRUSHER. Game 144. 12:30 pm pst.
Alabama is not just the No. 2 ranked team in the nation, they are also one of the healthiest. Role players, play makers, coaches, and even the towel boy will be suited up here as they are one of the few college football squads presently at full strength.Head coach, Nick Saban enjoys only one thing as much as winning titles, and that's beating former assistants, like Jimbo Fisher. As a matter of fact, Saban is 19-0 SU vs. his former assistant coaches. Trying to match up with the well-balanced Alabama offense is going to be a nightmare for Fisher and the Texas A&M stop-unit.The Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take ALABAMA. Thank you. |
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10-03-20 | TCU v. Texas -11 | 33-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Texas. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 142. 9:00 am pst. The once feared TCU defense is no more. Their stop-unit showed no improvement from last season, as they allowed the pedestrian Iowa State "O" to put up 37 points last week. One of the Heisman contenders not named Trevor Lawrence, Texas, gunslinging quarterback, Sam Ehlinger (688 yards passing 10 TD's, one INT in 2020) leads the top-scoring offense (61.0 PPG) in the nation. Look for him to hook up with standout receivers, Moore and Schooler at will and burn the Horned Frogs (lack of) defense. After seeing the Sooners go down this past week, the Longhorns won't take this matchup lightly, knowing they can take control of the conference here. TCU is1-6 ATS L7 in the month of October, 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, and 6-15 ATS L21 vs. the Big 12. Take TEXAS. Thank you. |
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09-26-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -17.5 | Top | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Take Baylor. This is my BIG 12 GOM. Game 408. 4:30 pm pst. Any optimism Kansas had for the 2020 season was quickly snuffed out in their 38-23 loss to Sun Belt rep, Coastal Carolina. Les Miles must think he is still at a top-ranked Louisiana school, where he didn't need to go out and recruit to replace graduates. He is going to need a miracle to improve on last year's, 3-9 squad. We finally get to see Baylor after two cancellations. There is some talk that the Bears might be a step down on the defensive side of the ball. But, considering they return several key role players from a stop-unit that allowed just 19.3 PPG last season, I wouldn't worry too much. Especially with quarterback, Charlie Brewer (7,147 yards passing, 64.8% completion rate, 48/18 TD/INT) back at the helm. Baylor is 10-0 SU the last 10 meetings with Kansas, going 9-1 ATS (eight straight covers by 40.5 PPG). Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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09-26-20 | Louisville +3 v. Pittsburgh | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Louisville. This is my LVSM. game 401. 9:00 am pst. The Pittsburgh defense will come in here way overconfident after facing Austin Peay and Syracuse. well, they now must line up against the very talented and well-balanced Louisville squad here. The Cardinals "O" will move the chains, keeping, the Panthers "D" on the field, and gasping come the second half. Louisville is 5-2 ATS the last seven in September and 4-1 ATS the last five overall. Pittsburgh is 8-20 ATS the last 28 as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS the last five overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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09-19-20 | Louisiana Tech +5.5 v. Southern Miss | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Louisiana Tech. This is my DOW. Game 125. 4:30 pm pst. Louisiana Tech opens up another very promising season under Skip Holtz while Southern Miss comes off a 32-21 loss to South Alabama as an 11.5-pt favorite. The Golden Eagles will be distracted even more here after their head coach resigned this week. Yes, the Bulldogs lost quarterback, Smith but, 1000-yard rusher, Henderson returns. The underdog is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. Louisiana Tech is 8-3 ATS L11 as an underdog and 12-5 ATS L17 on the road. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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09-19-20 | Central Florida -7.5 v. Georgia Tech | 49-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Take Central Florida. This is my HR play. Game 109. 12:30 pm pst. One mistake many bettors make is judging a team solely by their last performance. Georgia Tech upended Florida State in Week 1. But the Seminoles gave away the contest. Central Florida, which is the favorite to take the ACC crown, is a monstrous team. They return most of their offensive role players from last seasons' Top-10 squad (43.0 PPG). On the flipside, the Knights possess an experienced, veteran "D" that will get to Yellow Jackets frosh quarterback, Josh Sims, and force the youngster to make mistakes. Look for their stellar, ball-hawking secondary (all four starters return) to make his life miserable here. Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS L6 nonconference games, 1-8 ATS L9 home games, and 2-7 ATS L9 September games. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
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09-19-20 | Appalachian State -4.5 v. Marshall | 7-17 | Loss | -117 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Appalachian State. This is my STL play. Game 121. 12:30 pm pst. Even though Appalachian State didn't cover last week, this week, they get us the money. Yes, Marshall flattened Eastern Kentucky in their opener with only four offensive starters back, however they will have no such luck in this matchup. The Mountaineers haven't given up more than 20.2 PPG over the last five seasons. Appalachian State, with Zac Thomas at the helm, joined by solid running backs, Marcus Williams Jr. and Camerun Peoples, and wideout, Thomas Hennigan, will light up the scoreboard here on an outclassed, Marshall team. The Mountaineers are 7-2 ATS L9 in the month of September, 12-3 ATS L15 on the road, and 9-3 ATS L12 nonconference matchups. Take Appalachian State. Thank you. |
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09-12-20 | Clemson -32.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 37-13 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 53 m | Show |
Take Clemson. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 407. 4:30 pm pst. The preseason, top-ranked, Clemson Tigers are on a mission this season. After going 13-0 in the regular season a year ago, they ousted Ohio State from the Bowl semifinals, only to lose badly to LSU in the Title game. This is an ideal matchup to kick off the campaign and make a statement to the rest of college football. They crushed Wake Forest the last two seasons by a combined, 115-6. Don't put too much stock into the whispers that the Tigers lost a lot of talent to the NFL again. This team is stacked higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast joint. Their entire defensive line returns and will cut through the Demon Deacons OL like butter, get pressure on the quarterback, and force turnovers. On the flipside, Trevor Lawrence, who Wake Forest could not slow down in recent meetings, is back with an all-star cast. Look for Lawrence to make a serious push out of the gate, in the Heisman race. Clemson is 19-7-1 ATS the last 27 games in the conference, 10-1 ATS the last 11 games as a road favorite and 20-7 ATS the last 27 games played overall. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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09-05-20 | SMU -22 v. Texas State | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Take SMU. This is my BEST BET play. Game 239. 1:30 pm pst. This line officially opened at -17 and quickly jumped up to -22.5. It's hovering around 23.5. SMU comes off a 10-win season in which they started off at 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS. It took a very good Memphis team to put up 54 to their 48 to hand them their first loss. They love to run up scores. Guys, they are infamous for covering big numbers in August, September, and October. Now, they did lose their top-two ball carriers. But, reports are that they won't miss a beat with their new backfield personnel. This is an offense that accounted for over 43.0 PPG a season ago and this season sees the return of their gun slinging QB, Shane Buechele, who threw for 3929 yards a year ago, with 34 TD's against just 10 INT's. He has an arsenal at his disposal as his six top receivers all return as well. This is bad news for a Texas State secondary that ranked 106th vs. the pass last year, with an overall defensive unit that has only four starters returning. The Mustangs will own the time of possession, keeping the Bobcats "D" on the field and win this game by 4 or more TD's. Lay the 22.5. Take SMU. Thank you. |
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09-03-20 | Central Arkansas v. UAB -20 | 35-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Take UAB. This is my TOUCHDOWN PLAY. Game 248. 5:00 pm pst. UAB, which is the clear favorite to win the CUSA, are 4-0 vs. FCS foes under Bill Clark, winning by an average of 28.0 PPG. They return 18 starters, including their top passer, top rusher, top WR, and their top five tacklers. Central Arkansas, which did win their opener against Austin Peay last Saturday, comes off a short week. In that game, they had 11 trips inside the 35 yard line and six times walked away without a single point. They now must face a far more experienced and superior defense here. Expect the Blazers, with their impressive "O" to move the chains often and keep the Bears "D" on the field and tired. Look for them to come out on a mission especially after finishing last season with two poor outings. UAB is 20-7-1 ATS the last 28 at home and 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of September. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -115 | 152 h 37 m | Show |
Take Clemson. Game 283. 5:00 pm pst. Whether you are a novice sports bettor or a seasoned veteran, it is vital to know why a game has been given the number it has. The line on the College Football Playoff Title Game is at 5.5 as of post. LSU has a record of 14-0 playing in the SEC, arguably the toughest conference in college football. Personally, I feel the line should be closer to 6.5 or even 7.0, given that the game is being played in New Orleans, Louisiana. If the location would have been in Dallas, Texas, the line would have been a 3.0. The odds makers know the general public, which are favorite bettors to begin with, are thinking the same thing and will bet this number up. I feel for betting purposes the line is exactly where it should be. I think many out there might be overlooking just how good of a coach and a team, Dabo Swinney and Clemson is. In his 12 years as the head coach of the Tigers, Swinney has compiled a record of 130-30 and two National Championships. The team is 29-0 the last two seasons. Let's not forget their two Nationals Titles have come over Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide. As game time approaches, there will be Clemson money coming in. Some by fans and some by the "sharps." Now it's time to touch on the elephant in the room. As a handicapper, I must always look at a team's record, recent performances, and strength of schedule. Yes, LSU faces a tougher slate of opponents. But, we must not overlook the amount of close games they played this season. Texas, Florida (closer than the score), Auburn, and Alabama were all very tight games. At times, their offense needed to score to win, as their defense got beat. In the high-flying ACC, none of Clemson's foes could put up points on their fast and ferocious, defense. So I am not putting too much stock in the disparity between these two teams schedules. Isaiah Simmons is going to be the one you read about the day after the game. The Butkus Award winner is not only an incredible linebacker, but he drops back and acts as a safety. He is a threat to the LSU both behind the line of scrimmage and in front. Quarterback, Joe Burrow has yet to face a player of his ability. Trust me when I say, Burrow will have nightmares about him for years to come. Burrow deservedly won the Heisman. He is an amazing athlete that we have watched mature way beyond his years. He can run and he can throw. More importantly, he thinks well on his feet and reads and reacts to defenses as quick as any quarterback in the nation. All this and yet, many say that Trevor Lawrence, if was eligible this year to enter the draft (not eligible until 2021), would go before Burrow. To be honest, it's would be a good argument. Lawrence has never lost a game he has started at the collegiate level. I like Burrow and think he has a bright future in the NFL. However, Lawrence will have a better game because he faces a defense that leaks at times. He has already faced and conquered solid SEC defenses in the Title game. Because of this, he has confidence entering this Title game. Lawrence can and will exploit the leaks and shine here. I believe this game will be tighter than most think and will come down to the team that makes fewer mistakes. The team that wins this game will be because their defense was able to stop the others quarterback. Burrow and the LSU "O" has not faced a "D" like that of Clemson. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette -14 | 17-27 | Loss | -103 | 171 h 52 m | Show | |
Take ULL. Football is all about the matchups. So, don't hesitate to lay two TD's here as the Ragin' Cajuns are far superior on both sides of the ball. ULL puts their seventh ranked rushing attack (265.3 yards per game) against the Mia-Oh 81st ranked rush defense. Look for the three-headed monster of running backs, Mitchell, Calais, and Ragas (2,755 yards rushing, 32 TD's combined) to devour the porous, Redhawks defense. Miami-Ohio owns some of the nation's poorest offensive numbers. Things will go from bad to worse here as they must line up against the 20th ranked ULL defense (19.9 PPG allowed). The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS the L4 nonconference games and 17-7 ATS the L24 overall games. Take ULL. Thank you. |
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01-03-20 | Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada | 30-21 | Win | 100 | 95 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Ohio. Nevada will be without three defensive starters for this game, nose tackle, Hausia Sekin, safety, Austin Arnold, and cornerback, Daniel Brown, and also linebacker, Gabriel Sewell for the first half (suspensions). Even if these players were playing, the Wolf Packs, 102nd ranked defense would have their hands full with the Bobcats, 20th ranked offense. Ohio comes in here red-hot, having thumped Bowling Green and Akron by a combined, 118-27. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS the L4 Bowls, 5-1 ATS the L6 on neutral sites, 18-8 ATS the L26 nonconference games, and 19-7 ATS the L26 vs. winners. Take Ohio. Thank you. |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 71 h 45 m | Show |
Take Cincinnati. Boston College comes into this matchup without several key faces. Head coach, Steve Addazio was fired. Although Ohio State's co-offensive coordinator , Jeff Hafley will take the reins next season, wide receivers coach, Richie Gunnell will serve as interim head coach here. The Eagles rank 107th in passing and are known as a running team. But, workhorse running back, AJ Dillon (1,685 yards rushing, 14 TD's) is sitting this one out to prepare for the upcoming NFL draft. The high-flying Cincy team comes off back-to-back losses to Memphis (both covers), following a nine-game SU win streak, with a lot to prove. Boston College is 2-7 ATS the L7 Bowls and 1-5 ATS the L6 nonconference games. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +5.5 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Baylor. Outside of blowing up a less than stellar, Georgia Tech team, the Georgia offense has not performed well over recent months. To be quite honest, Bulldogs quarterback, Jake Fromm tends to fold like a cheap suit in big games. Baylor comes in here getting the bettors paid, covering five straight and has played very well against solid opposition. The Bears are 6-1 ATS the L7 as an underdog and 5-2 ATS the L7 Bowls. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota v. Auburn -7 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Auburn. With all respect to Minnesota and their 10-2 record, they scaled back their nonconference slate to no Power 5 teams. But, yet still had trouble with and failed to cover against South Dakota State, Fresno State, and Georgia Southern. On the other hand, Auburn had just about the toughest schedule in the nation. The Hawkeyes and badgers went head to head with the Golden Gophers and beat them. Well, a combination of the Tigers stout and stingy defense (18.6 PPG allowed) and a healthy dose of dual threat quarterback, Bo Nix will be too much for them here. Auburn is 6-0 ATS the L6 nonconference games, 10-2 ATS the L12 as a favorite, and 10-3 ATS the L13 overall. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show |
Take Alabama. Jim Harbaugh is not a bad coach by any means. He is a pretty sharp guy. He is just not successful when it comes to Bowl games, going 0-3 the last three Bowl contests. Now, he faces the experienced, Nick Saban and an Alabama team that feels playing in anything but a CFP is an insult. Behind arguably the best wide receiving corps in the nation and a bruising running attack, the Crimson Tide has too much offense for the Wolverines to both contend with on defense and keep pace with on offense. Michigan is 1-4 ATS the last five Bowls. Alabama is 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. the Big Ten. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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12-31-19 | Georgia State v. Wyoming -7 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Wyoming. Both offense are one dimensional, with most of their success coming on the ground. The big difference here are the facts that the Panthers are horrible defending the rush and the Cowboys are one of the best in the nation at defending it. Wyoming, which plays a higher level of competition, is also 8-1 ATS the L9 vs. the S-Belt, 5-2 ATS the L7 in December, and 4-1 ATS the L5 Bowls. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-31-19 | Kansas State v. Navy -2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Navy. The awkward, Navy option is extremely difficult to defend. Throw into the mix Malcolm Perry (1,804 yards rushing, 21 TD's on the ground, 1,027 yards passing, 6 TD's in the air) and any defense in the country is in trouble. The Middies played and beat some very good opponents. Kansa State is a good team, however, they too are one dimensional, solely relying on the run. Well, Navy counters with the 17th ranked run defense in the nation. The Middies will control the clock with their option offense while slowing down the Wildcats "O" with their stingy run "D". Navy is 5-0 ATS the last L5 Bowls and 12-3-1 ATS the L16 overall. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you. |
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12-30-19 | Virginia v. Florida -14 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 150 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Florida. Game 252. 5:00 pm pst. Make no mistake of it, the Orange Bowl just may be the biggest mismatch this Bowl season. The 10-2 Florida Gators are on a three-game win and cover streak (covered six of last seven) against better competition. Quarterback, Kyle Trask (2,636 yards passing, 67.6 percent completions rate, 24/6) will shred the 70th ranked lax, pass defense of Virginia here. The Cavaliers offense, which has put up points on lesser foes, is going to be brutalized by the nation's eight ranked defense (14.4 PPG allowed). The Gators have won three straight Orange Bowls, by the average of 23.0 PPG. In front of a friendly, Florida crowd, they will continue their streak. Florida is 7-2 ATS the L9 Bowl games and 7-2 ATS the L9 nonconference games. Take the Gators. Thank you. |
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12-30-19 | Western Michigan v. Western Kentucky -3 | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 142 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Western Kentucky. Game 246. 9:30 am pst.
Western Michigan had only one very strong performance in 2019, a 37-34 OT win against Ohio. Other than that, the Broncos have fallen short when facing strong adversaries. Western Kentucky owns the best scoring defense in the CUSA (20.1 PPG allowed). WMU won't have the same success here that they had in MAC play. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS the lasts seven in December and 2-8 ATS the last 10 as an underdog. The Hilltoppers are 4-1 ATS the last five in December and 7-2 ATS the last none overall. Take Western Kentucky. Thank you. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Clemson. Game 243. 5:00 pm pst. Disregard the baloney about the Tigers strength of schedule. Clemson is the most well-rounded team in the nation. They have won the last two meetings against the Buckeyes (2014, 2016), both in the postseason. This is a team possessing an enormous amount of speed on both sides of the ball and a very stout offensive line. But I am betting not just on the players, but on the coaches here. Dabo Swinney's (9-1 ATS the last 10 in the postseason), substantial big game, bowl experience, and success will play a big part over the first year head coach, Ryan Day. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five vs. the ACC. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU UNDER 76 | 28-63 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 21 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER. Games 241/242. 1:00 pm pst.
When two of the best offenses in the country square off, logic tells you to play the over. That's what the odds makers are hoping you'd do. Don't fall into the trap here. As good as the offenses are, the defenses are just as talented. We have two savvy quarterbacks and two very smart head coaches. Look for both offensive units to establish the run and then pass off of it. You won't see too many mistakes in this matchup, either on the field or on the sidelines. I do see scoring here, but not enough to justify the high total. The under is 8-2 in the Sooners last 10 vs. the SEC, 18-3-2 in the Sooners last 22 in December, 5-3 in the Tigers last seven on neutral sites, and 5-1-1 in the Tigers last seven nonconference games. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-28-19 | Iowa State v. Notre Dame -3.5 | Top | 9-33 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show |
Take Notre Dame. Game 238. 9:00 am pst. This is a very short number to lay with a talented, Notre Dame team that is on a five-game SU streak, covering the last four. The Iowa State defense had major problems this season when facing well-balanced offenses. It doesn't get too much more complete than the Irish "O", which ranks 13th, averaging over 37.1 PPG. The Cyclones own a one-dimensional offense, revolving around quarterback, Brock Purdy and the passing game. Well, he must face the ferocious, third ranked pass "D" in the nation here. ISU is 2-5 ATS the last seven nonconference games, 0-4 ATS the last four neutral site games, and 1-5 ATS the last six December games. Take Notre Dame. Thank you. |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force -3 | 21-31 | Win | 101 | 81 h 36 m | Show | |
Take Air Force. Game 236. 7:15 pm pst. The 10-2 Air Force Falcons are a very good team on both sides of the ball. They possess one of the nation's best scoring offenses (34.3 PPG), spearheaded by the No. 3 ranked rushing attack in college football. The Falcs will decimate the 78th ranked rush defense of the Cougars here. On the flipside, Washington State is lethal in the air, but has no running game to speak of. Air Force can key on the pass with one of the strongest and stingiest stop units in the land (19.8 PPG allowed). The Falcons are 21-7 ATS the L28 nonconference games and 5-2 ATS the L7 Bowl games. Take Air Force. Thank you. |
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12-27-19 | USC v. Iowa -2 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 78 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. Game 234. 5:00 pm pst. Iowa plays some of the toughest competition in the country being in the Big Ten and yet their fifth ranked defense hasn't allowed a single opponent to put up more than 24 points this season. USC is no defense and all offense. Against this "D" on this platform, expect the Trojans to "O" to get very frustrated and make mistakes. Southern Cal is 0-4 ATS the L4 Bowls, 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. the Big ten, and 0-7 ATS the L7 neutral site games. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 50 h 28 m | Show | |
Take L Tech. Game 224. 1:00 pm pst. Louisiana Tech has won the last nine games started by J'Mar Smith. The quarterback leads a very potent offense (34.0 PPG) that will move the chains on the solid Miami defense. The Hurricanes can pass the ball, especially against the Bulldogs secondary. But, without any running attack whatsoever, the 'Canes won't be able to eat away any clock, keeping Smith and the 'Dogs "O" off the field. On a side note, Skip Holtz has won all of his Bowl games the last five years and playing in front of a friendly, Shreveport crowd will help to extend his streak. L Tech is 6-1 ATS the last seven Bowls, 6-2 ATS the last eight in December, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 as an underdog. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | Top | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 27 m | Show |
Take Boise State. This is my LAS VEGAS BOWL WINNER. Game 216. 4:30 pm pst. Chris Peterson, who left Boise State after eight seasons for Washington, is coaching his final game for the Huskies. U-Dub is a good team, but at 7-5, fell way short of preseason expectations. Boise State, which won its final six games of the season en route to a 12-1 mark, is in a bowl for the 18th consecutive year. As of posting this, it looks like Jaylon Henderson will continue to quarterback the Broncos, although Hank Bachmeier has been cleared to play. Both teams match up well, but playing in Sam Boyd Stadium gives a big edge to Boise State, which has won this event four times since 2011 and is also 3-0 vs. UNLV on this field over that span. On a side note, this team was getting points just once in 2019, when they bested Florida State, 36-31 as a 6.5-point 'dog. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS the last seven as an underdog and 7-3 ATS the last 10 bowl games. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
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12-21-19 | SMU v. Florida Atlantic +3.5 | 28-52 | Win | 100 | 47 h 37 m | Show | |
Take FAU. This is my BOCA RATON BOWL WINNER. Game 212. 12:30 pm pst. Without a doubt, the wrong team is favored, as I feel the Owls should be a FG fav. Maybe the odds makers are putting too much stock in the fact that defensive coordinator, Glenn Spence is the interim head coach in the wake of Lane Kiffin's departure for 'Ole Miss. This is the home stadium for FAU which lost their opening two games on 2019 to Ohio State and UCF, before rattling off 10 wins in their final 11 outings, all by double-digits. Both offenses can light up the scoreboard, but the FAU defense (led nation in takeaways and interceptions) is much tighter than the leaky, SMU "D" (31.8 PPG allowed). The Owls are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. winners, 7-3 ATS the last 10 in December, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Florida Atlantic. Thank you. |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | 11-48 | Loss | -108 | 45 h 10 m | Show | |
Take CMU. This is my NEW MEXICO BOWL WINNER. Game 207. 11:00 am pst. Under head coach, Jim McElwain (MAC Coach of the Year), CMU had the biggest turnaround in college football from a season ago (1-11 to 8-5). The Chippewas possess a very well-balanced offense (40th pass, 40th rush) that accounts for over 31.9 PPG. Quarterback, Quenten Dormady (2,148 yards passing, 14/6) and running back, Jonathan Ward (1,404 all purpose yards, 16 TD's) are a potent, 1-2 punch. San Diego State is known to have one of the stingiest defenses in the country (12.8 PPG allowed), however, the statistics are skewed as the team has only faced one offense ranked among the top 61 nationally. It won't be so easy as they line up against a stout offensive line that allowed Dormady to be sacked just 11 times this season. Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS the last six nonconference games. San Diego State is 3-8 ATS the last 11 in the month of December. Take Central Michigan. Thank you. |
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12-14-19 | Army +10.5 v. Navy | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Army. Game 303. 9:00 am pst. In one of the biggest traditions in college football, Army faces Navy for the 117th time to compete for the Commander-In-Chief's Trophy. These squads happen to be two of the healthiest in the nation. Prior to the Black Knights current-three game win streak in this series, the Midshipmen dominated for 14 consecutive years. The 2018 meeting landed on the number to give the bettors a push, however, Army have covered seven of the previous against Navy. Statistically, both teams mirror one another. The Middies rank first nationally in the rush (361.1 yards per game on the ground) while the Black Knights rank second (311.7 yards per game on the ground). Both own just about the poorest numbers in the air, both are decent vs. the pass, and very strong vs. the run. Quarterback's, Malcolm Perry and Kelvin Hopkins Jr. are dual-threat's, with Perry having a bit more success with his arm. But, don't be surprised as there will probably be more Elvis and Bigfoot sightings in the stands than there will be pass attempts as both play callers lead their squads in rushing. The double digit point spread urges me to take the underdog here, which kills just as much clock as the favorite. Take Army. Thank you. |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my BIG TEN GOY. Game 120. 5:00 pm pst. Ohio State is the most complete team in college football. Not only that, but they get us bettors paid, going 9-3 ATS this season. This includes a 38-7 shellacking of Wisconsin just six weeks ago. We all know how explosive the Buckeyes are offensively (No. 1, 49.9 PPG). But it is their defense that will shine here (No. 4, 11.8 PPG allowed). You see on a team full of playmakers and future NFL players, the best player on the field, and maybe in the country, is defensive end, Chase Young, who has tallied 16.5 sacks in 10 games (two-game suspension). He will wreak havoc on the 96th ranked passing unit of the Badgers and allow the rest of the Buckeyes "D" to focus on Jonathan Taylor and the ground game. These two Big Ten rivals met three times in recent years in the same situation, with OSU winning and covering all three. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Clemson. This is my STL play. Game 122. 4:30 pm pst. We're laying more wood than a union carpenter here. And it doesn't scare me one bit. It's hard to believe that Clemson's schedule is under the microscope as some feel, despite a 12-0 record, the Tigers don't belong in the CFP. Dabo Swinney will have his boys put the pedal to the metal here to leave no doubt. This is a team (9-3 ATS) that has covered six of the last seven outings and have won each by no less than 31 points. Virginia is in real trouble here. The Cavaliers pose no threat on the ground (110th) and in the air, face the nation's top pass defense. Oh, by the way, the Tigers also rank No. 1 in scoring "D", allowing a mere, 10.1 PPG. Clemson is 14-3 ATS the last 17 on neutral sites, 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 in the conference, and 17-5 ATS the last 22 overall. This game is going to get uglier to watch than the MNF hit Lawrence Taylor put on Joe Theisman back in the day.Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU -6.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
Take LSU. This is my TD play. Game 118. 1:00 pm pst. Georgia would certainly benefit from a good showing here. But wanting to play well and actually doing so are two entirely different things. To contend with the nation's top team, you must be a complete squad. Well, Georgia falls short offensively. The 76th ranked passing offense is going to once again be without wide receiver, Lawrence Cager (ankle) and will not have the use of wide receiver, George Pickens until the second half (disciplinary). Quarterback, Jake Fromm has barely completed 50 percent of his passes over the last month. The Bulldogs can run the ball but facing the ferocious Tigers stop-unit with a one-dimensional offense, is going to be an uphill battle. On the flipside, Heisman-candidate, Joe Burrow leads the nation's No. 2 offense in both passing and more importantly, scoring. While Georgia is good, LSU is great. The Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record and 15-7 ATS the last 22 games played vs. conference foes. Take LSU. Thank you. |
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12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6 | 26-21 | Loss | -116 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Take CMU. This is my 95% ANGLE PLAY. Game 106. 9:00 am pst. The MAC West has fared well in the championship game, winning 9 of the L13. CMU enters the title game covering 9 of the L10 with the #1 offense in MAC play (515.0 YPG). Miami-Ohio ranks 115th in passing, 98th in rushing, and 96th in scoring. The Redhawks just can't keep pace offensively in this matchup. The Chippewas are 5-1 ATS the L6 in conference play, 5-0 ATS the L5 as a favorite, and 6-1 ATS the L7 overall. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 58 | 38-45 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the ULL. This is my TOM. Games 107/108. 9:00 am pst. ULL has played to 6 UNDERS over the L7 outings while APP State has played to 6 UNDERS in the L8 contests. Both teams play tough defenses as the Ragin' Cajuns rank 11th, yielding 17.8 PPG and the Mountaineers ranks 18th, allowing just 18.8 PPG. The UNDER is 6-1 in ULL's L6 in conference play, 4-0 in ULL's L4 vs. winners, 5-2 in APP State's L7 in conference play and 6-1 in APP State's L7 vs. winners. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-30-19 | UAB -3 v. North Texas | Top | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
Take UAB. This is my CUSA WEST GOY. Game 421. 1:00 pm pst. There is no room in sports betting for playing teams you like. But, I have released UAB several times this season and they haven't let us down yet. They are in the running for the CUSA West crown (tied at 5-2 with Louisiana Tech and Southern Mississippi). There is a chance that Tyler Johnston III (questionable, check status) will return to action here. Even if the quarterback remains sidelined, the Blazers are all about the defense (fifth vs. the pass, ninth vs. the rush, 17th in scoring). I don't see how a North Texas team that won't be able to score can compete here. This is a team that suffered outright losses to such nobodies as Houston, Middle Tennessee State, Charlotte, and Rice. Let me repeat that last one again, Rice. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series, 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 vs. the CUSA, and 9-2 ATS the last 11 vs. losers. The Mean Green are 2-6 ATS the last eight at home, 3-13 ATS the last 16 vs. the CUSA, and 7-19 ATS the last 26 overall. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama -3 v. Auburn | 45-48 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. This is my LVSM play. Game 397. 12:30 pm pst. With all respect to Tua Tagavailoa, who is an amazing athlete, this is an Alabama Crimson Tide football team. Did it really surprise anyone that Mac Jones is succeeding? He has a 71.4 percent completion rate, 841 yards passing, and 7/1. Hands down, the play caller is the best quarterback on the field here. Bo Nix has had problems when facing the SEC's top teams (Auburn put up just 13 points vs. Florida, 20 vs. LSU, and 14 vs. Georgia, all SU losses). Whether 'Bama gets to the College Football Playoff is uncertain. One thing for sure, a loss puts them out. Nick Saban will not allow this to happen. Nix is not the greatest passer to begin with and will be under pressure the entire 60 minutes. The stout, Crimson Tide defense will force him to make mistakes.This is the time of year when Alabama shines as they are 5-2 ATS the last seven in November. If the line remains at 3.5, err on the side of caution and buy it down for the extra few cents. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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11-30-19 | Clemson -27 v. South Carolina | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Take Clemson. This is my STL. Game 369. 9:00 am pst. The Tigers, which rank third in the polls, must go all out here, as a less than stellar performance can jeopardize their chances of making the final four. Clemson is 8-2 ATS in 2019 when laying 24 or more points. South Carolina is 1-4 SU and ATS their L5 outings and are totally outclassed on both sides of the ball here. The Tigers tank fourth in scoring (45.9 PPG, and second defensively (10.7 PPG allowed). The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the L5 non-conference. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. losers and 9-1 ATS the L10 on the road. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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11-29-19 | Texas Tech +10 v. Texas | 24-49 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Take Texas Tech. This is my TD play. Game 321. 9:00 am pst. The road team has covered the last five meetings, while the last four matchups have been decided by seven, four, eight, and three points. Not much has changed to warrant a double-digit point spread. Both teams can pass the ball well and neither can stop the pass. Very simply, this is too high of a spread, especially to give a Red Raiders squad that treats this contest each year, like it is a Bowl game. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS the last five against conference foes, 4-9-1 ATS the last 14 in the month of November, and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a losing record. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
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11-28-19 | Ole Miss +2.5 v. Mississippi State | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Mississippi. This is my TD play. Game 311. 4:30 pm pst. To be quite honest, the wrong team is favored here. I feel Mississippi should be a favorite of three points. Yes, both teams are 2-5 in conference play and the Rebels are 0-4 SU on the road in 2019, however, they are 3-1 ATS as a guest and an overall, 7-4 ATS on the campaign. Ole Miss comes into this contest well-rested, having not played since a November 16th cover vs. LSU, the team's third consecutive cover and their sixth in the last seven outings. Mississippi State will be overconfident, having just thumped Abilene Christian, 45-7. This is a team that has not looked sharp at all this season. The matchup heavily favors Mississippi with the nation's seventh ranked rushing attack consisting of four solid ballcarriers. On the flipside, the Rebels will neutralize the Bulldogs ground game with their 34th ranked run defense. There is no home field advantage here, as the road team has covered the last four meetings. Mississippi is 6-1 ATS the last seven in the conference. Mississippi State is 1-5 ATS the last six in the conference. Take Mississippi. Thank you. |
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11-23-19 | San Diego State +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 11-14 | Push | 0 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
Take San Diego State. This is my DOW. Game 215. 8:00 pm pst. San Diego State, which is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as a visitor in 2019, owns a top-10 defense (13.7 PPG allowed) that will completely shut down the one-dimensional offense of Hawaii. The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS the L7 at the Rainbow Warriors. The Rainbow Warriors are 15-35-1 ATS the L51 in the conference. Take SD State. Thank you. |
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11-23-19 | Boise State -8.5 v. Utah State | 56-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
Take Boise State. This is my 94% ANGLE PLAY. Game 213. 7:30 pm pst. The odds makers are looking to trap you here as this line should be higher than double digits. Nationally-ranked Boise State (9-1 overall, 6-0 conference) is not just looking to stay atop the Mountain West, they are seeking a possible, New Years Bowl Six bid. The Broncos enter this meeting brimming with confidence, as they have dominated the Aggies, taking 11 of the last 12 matchups SU, and are a whopping, 12-3-2 ATS the last 17, including 8-1 ATS the last nine in Logan, Utah. This is a mismatch on both sides of the ball. Utah State quarterback, Jordan Love (questionable) has more INT's (14) than TD's (13). The Aggies rushing game faces one of the best run defenses in college football (23rd, 118 yards per game allowed on the ground). On the flipside, the Broncos mighty, balanced offense (30th pass, 53rd rush, 36.1 PPG) will score at will whether Hank Bachmeier (questionable) is at the helm or not. BSU is 7-3-2 ATS the last 12 in the conference. USU is 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU win. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |