Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-23-19 | Louisiana Tech v. UAB -6 | 14-20 | Push | 0 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
Take UAB. This is my CUSA WEST GOM. Game 190. 12:30 pm pst. Normally, I don't solely judge a team from its previous performance, but without quarterback, J'Mar Smith (suspended), the Bulldogs offense came to a complete halt in the 31-10 drubbing at the hands of the Thundering Herd. UAB, which has won and covered the last two meetings in this CUSA West rivalry, owns 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS marks at home in 2019. The Blazers are all about the defense with one of the nation's fastest and most ferocious (18.7 PPG allowed) stop-units. As of posting this, the starting quarterback (Johnston III or Hopkins) has not been named. Either way, the offense will put up enough points to get us paid. UAB is 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 at home and 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 in the conference. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Air Force -22.5 v. New Mexico | 44-22 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Air Force. This is my STL play. Game 217. 11:00 am pst. New Mexico, which is riding a seven-game SU losing streak, will have no answer for the 2nd ranked rushing attack (314.4 YPG on the ground) in the nation, while their lackluster, 108th ranked offense (22.0 PPG) is in for a long day against the Falcons stout, stop-unit that yields just 20.9 PPG. Air Force is 4-0 ATS the L4 in the conference. New Mexico is 5-16 ATS the L21 vs. conference foes, 2-10 ATS the L12 at home, and 7-20 ATS the L27 overall. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Oklahoma State -5.5 v. West Virginia | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Oklahoma State. This is my TD play. Game 129. 9:00 am pst. Sports betting isn't about a teams win/loss record. It's about covering the spread. Oklahoma State is the best team in the Big 12 at getting the bettors paid, with an 8-2 ATS mark this season. The Cowboys possess a monster offense, lighting up opponents for over 36.5 PPG. The Mountaineers are in "let down" mode here as they just bested the Wildcats as a 14-point underdog, following a five-game SU slide. Changing quarterback's is not going to help the anemic, 112th ranked offense (21.4 PPG). West Virginia just won't be able to keep pace here. Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Toledo v. Buffalo -8 | 30-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my TD play. Game 106. 4:30 pm pst. Toledo, which has yet to cover a road game this season (1-4 ATS) solely relies upon their ground game. Well, they face the 5th ranked rush defense of Buffalo here. On the flipside, their 106th ranked run "D" lines up against Patterson and Marks (1,919 yards rushing, 13 TD's combined) who lead the nation's 17th ranked ground assault (226.5 YPG on the ground). The Rockets are 1-5 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Bulls are 13-4 ATS the L17 at home. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Utah State | 21-26 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Wyoming. This is my CONTRARIAN. Game 353. 1:00 pm pst. The masses jumped on USU because Wyoming QB, Chambers is out but his backup, Vander Waal has filled in without hitch. The Cowboys don't get a lot of ink but they are a solid team, they can run the ball very very well, and control the tempo, while keeping the Aggies defense on the field. They can also stop the run, therefore forcing the USU offense to many three and outs. The Aggies can not stop the pass so look for the Cowboys to do damage both in the air and on the ground. Wyoming is 8-3 AYS the L11 overall, 5-1 the L6 on the road, and 5-2 ATS he L7 in the conference. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -34 | Top | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
Take Clemson. This is my ACC-ATL GOM. Game 338. 12:30 pm pst. The naysayers will be siding with the 7-2, Wake Forest team getting nearly five TD's here. This will be a fatal mistake. Third ranked Clemson will not give the selection committee any reason to drop them from the top-four. They took last year's meeting, 63-3 and are just as talented this year. Jamie Newman was picked-off twice in last week's, 36-17 loss and no cover at the hands of the Hokies. Well, the second ranked Tigers pass "D" (137.2 yards per game allowed) and third ranked scoring "D" (11.5 PPG allowed) will terrorize the Demon Deacons quarterback and give him nightmares for years to come. Look for Clemson running back, Travis Etienne (1,214 yards rushing, 13 TD's) and quarterback, Trevor Lawrence (67.1 percent completion rate, 2,303 yards passing, 23/8) to remind everyone just who is the defending national champion. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS the last five vs. winners, 5-2 ATS the last seven at home, and 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 in the conference.Take Clemson. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Alabama -17.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
Take Alabama. This is my SEC WEST GOY. Game 397. 9:00 am pst. I am not coming in with 'Bama because they were my only paid game loss in last week's Saturday card, I am coming in with them because they need to win and win big here. They suffered their first defeat of the season last week and dropped to No.4 in the rankings. The top-three teams, LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson are all in action today, but later on in the day. Nick Saban and company does not take losing lightly to begin with, but they must run the score up here. Tua Tagavailoa will use this game to fine tune himself, still hobbled by his ankle injury. This is still the fourth ranked aerial assault in the nation. Mississippi State can not pass the ball at all (103rd). The offense relies upon the running game. Look for Alabama's "D" to make a statement here after getting plowed for 171 yards on the ground in last week's loss to LSU (39 yards over their average). The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-14-19 | Buffalo -5.5 v. Kent State | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my MAC EAST GOM. Game 311. 4:00 pm pst. Buffalo, which has won and covered the L2 years vs. Kent State, enters tonight's contest riding three-game SU and four-game ATS streaks. Kent State hasn't won in over a month as they are on an 0-3 SU slide. The Golden Flashes have no "flash" whatsoever when it comes to offense (24.9 PPG), which doesn't look to promising here as they face the nation's 36th ranked scoring defense. The Bulls own one of college football's most potent ground attacks that will devour the 128th ranked rush defense of the Golden Flashes. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS the L9 meetings in this series. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. Kent State and 8-2 ATS the L10 vs. losers. Take the Bulls. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Clemson -32.5 v. NC State | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Clemson. This is my STL play. Game 117. 4:30 pm pst. I don't normally lay this type of lumber but the Tigers aren't a normal college football team. The No.4 Clemson squad may have an opportunity to leapfrog the loser of the LSU/Alabama matchup with a good showing here. NC State comes off back-to-back losses and has only covered once since August (1-6 ATS run). It won't matter who the Wolf Pack has calling the plays. But, if quarterback, Devin Leary is once again under center, the redshirt freshman may need to increase the coverage on his life insurance policy. Clemson owns the nation's second ranked pass defense (134 yards per game allowed in the air) and the overall sixth ranked stop unit (11.7 PPG allowed). Just in case you were wondering, they have no problems running up scores (Beat Georgia Tech by 38, Syracuse by 35, Charlotte by 42, Florida State by 31, Louisville by 35, Boston College by 52, Wofford by 45). The Tigers are 8-1 ATS the last nine on the road, 14-3 ATS the last 17 vs. conference foes, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 overall. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | North Texas v. Louisiana Tech -5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
Take L Tech. This is my TD play. Game 186. 1:00 pm pst. Since a season opening loss to Texas, Louisiana Tech has rattled off seven consecutive wins SU, going 5-2 ATS, including a perfect, 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS marks at home. North Texas, on the other hand, has covered just once over the last month and a half (1-4 ATS L5) and is winless on the road at 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) on the campaign. The Bulldogs feel they have a chance at a New Years Day Bowl and will keep their foot on the gas. The Mean green are 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the Bulldogs, 2-8 ATS the L10 in conference play, 1-7 ATS the L8 on the road, and 3-12 ATS the L15 overall. Take L Tech. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | LSU v. Alabama -5.5 | 46-41 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. Game 168. 12:30 pm pst. The general public moved this line from a TD down to a -6 as of deadline and as contrarian, I like it even more now. Tua Tagovailoa (questionable) is listed as a game time decision, but reports are that quarterback returned to practice and is moving quite well. Counterpart, Heisman frontrunner, Joe Burrow heads up the nation's No.2 passing unit. But he faces his toughest test yet with an Alabama pass defense that yields a mere, 180.1 yards per game in the air, tallying 11 interceptions. The success of the Tigers offense relies on the passing game. Unlike recent years, they do not have a solid rushing attack, therefore this Tide defense can key on the pass. The Crimson Tide have the edge in the trenches which will allow the nation's fifth ranked aerial assault to exploit the Tigers 60th ranked pass "D". Nick Saban is one of the best coaches in the nation preparing his team for big games, so look for him to extend his winning streak in this series to nine straight (6-2 ATS last eight). Take Alabama. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Kansas State +7 v. Texas | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my DOW. Game 183. 12:30 pm pst. Don't fool yourself, with three straight wins and covers, Kansas State is for real. Quarterback, Skylar Thompson (60.5 percent completion rate, 1,336 yards passing, 7/1) is playing with confidence and has the team believing they can win. He faces a "leaky" Texas defense (97th, 31.5 PPG allowed) that hasn't held any offense in check since a week three meeting with Rice. Look for the Wildcats swarming and stingy secondary (18th, 186.2 yards per game in the air allowed) to frustrate Longhorns quarterback, Sam Ehlinger. KSU head coach, Chris Klieman will have his offensive unit do what they do best, run, run, run. They will control the tempo, the clock, and the outcome here. The Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS the last 12 meetings with the Longhorns, 4-1 ATS the last five on the road, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Illinois +14.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Take Illinois. This is my 91% Angle Play. Game 135. 12:30 pm pst. The odds makers are giving Michigan State way too much credit here as I feel this line should be single digits. Under Lovie Smith, Illinois has improved by leaps and bounds this season, as they have won three straight, while covering four in a row against such notables as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Purdue. Granted, MSU steps down in class a bit after consecutive losses to Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Penn State, but the Spartans have become point spread poison, riding a four-game no cover streak. Without much of a running game, the offense is left in the hands of erratic quarterback, Brian Lewerke. The potent rushing attack of Reggie Corbin and Dre Brown (1,019 yards rushing, nine TD's combined) will keep the Michigan State "D" honest and keep this game very close. The Fighting Illini are money in conference play going 4-0 ATS the last four vs. Big Ten opponents. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the Big Ten, 1-6 ATS the last seven at home, and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a bye week. Take Illinois. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | SMU +6 v. Memphis | 48-54 | Push | 0 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Take SMU. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 359. 4:30 pm pst. One of the biggest matchups this Saturday is in the American Athletic Conference. SMU has the opportunity to make a New Year's Day Bowl, while avenging five straight losses to their conference rival, Memphis. Both have explosive offenses, but the Mustangs own the edge as running back, Xavier Jones will control the clock and keep the 93rd ranked run defense of the Tigers on the field and gasping for air come the second half. SMU's fast and ferocious pass rush (second nationally, 36 sacks) will wreak havoc on Memphis quarterback, Brady White. Take SMU. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Texas State v. UL-Lafayette -22.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
Take ULL. This is my TD play. Game 350. 2:00 pm pst.
At 5-2 SU (6-1 ATS), UL Lafayette is looking to take a stronghold of the Sun Belt West. Playing Texas State (2-5 SU, 1-5-1 ATS) will allow the Ragin' Cajuns to do just that. They have won and covered the last six meetings with the Bobcats. Even to my surprise, ULL has the No. 3 ranked rushing unit in college football (286.9 yards per game on the ground). Wanna' talk mismatch? The Texas State defense ranks 118th vs. the rush. The Bobcats only score 18.1 PPG and come into this contest with some key players banged up on offense. Outside of a season opening loss and cover to Mississippi State, Lafayette has held all opponents to 25 or less points. The backfield trio of ball-carriers, Ragas, Mitchell, and Calais (1,641 yards rushing, 22 TD's combined) will flatten the Texas State "D" like a pancake. The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. losers, 4-1 ATS the last five vs. conference foes, and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take ULL. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Kansas State -5.5 v. Kansas | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
Take Kansas State. This is my BIG 12 GOY. Game 347. 12:30 pm pst. There are certain angles that many bettors subscribe to, with one of the most popular being the infamous, "let down" spot. There will be many out there believing that Kansas State is in such a situation after beating Oklahoma last week, 48-41, as a 23.5-point 'dog. However, the Jayhawks bested the Horned Frogs two weeks ago, 24-17 as a 4.5-point underdog. The "let down" would have happened a week ago. With back-to-back wins and covers, I feel K State is brimming with confidence and starting to stride. I know Kansas enters this game on a three-game cover streak and has covered the last three in this series, however, there are new coaches involved this season, looking to start new traditions and this team just falls short on talent. The Wildcats are healthy and match up well here. Behind the legs of running backs, Gilbert and Brown, they have a potent rushing attack (165.4 yards per game on the ground). This will allow dual-threat quarterback, Thompson (1,207 yards passing 7/1 in the air, 204 yards rushing, eight TD's on the ground) to work his magic against the nation's 106th ranked defense (32.8 PPG allowed). The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Jayhawks, 7-3 ATS the last 10 on the road, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Michigan -21.5 v. Maryland | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Michigan. This is my STL play. Game 323. 9:00 am pst.
After riding a seven-game ATS drought (going back to last season), Michigan has turned it around to become point spread gold, covering four of the last five outings. The team has dominated Maryland, winning and covering the last four meetings by a combined score of 164-34. I am very impressed with coach Harbaugh's prep work, so I am not afraid of a "sandwich" situation, as the Wolverines just decimated the Fighting Irish, 45-14, and have the Spartans up next. Harbaugh won't allow a slip up here. The Terrapins have not fared well in the conference, donning 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS marks, getting shredded by the Nittany Lions, Golden Gophers, Hoosiers, and Boilermakers, posting just 42 points in those matchups, while yielding 185 points. Look for Michigan quarterback, Shae Patterson to have huge performance against the Maryland 116th ranked pass defense. Take Michigan. Thank you. |