Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-12-23 | Giants v. Cowboys -16.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show |
NFC East matchup here on Sunday has the last place 2-7 NY Giants traveling to Texas to take on the 2nd place 5-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Giants have lost two straight games after losing last week in Las Vegas, 6-30, as a 1.5-point dog. The Giants offense has been horrible, scoring 14 points or fewer in each of their last four games. They had just 277 total yards last week. The Giants average 11.2 ppg and 268.9 ypg on the season. They allow 24.1 ppg and 338.3 ypg. Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 27.5 ppg on the season and 346.5 yards. They are coming off a loss at Philadelphia last week, 23-28, as a 3-point dog. They will return home where they are 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season and average 37 ppg while allowing just 11 ppg. Bad spot for the Giants today. Not only do they not score but they face a Dallas team that will be looking to rebound from that loss last week. I'll lay the big points here today with Dallas as I believe the line should be at least a touchdown more than it is now. Play Dallas. |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers look to snap out of a three game losing streak here today at Jacksonville. The once undefeated Niners are now 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. They have dropped games at Cleveland, at Minnesota and last week at home to the Bengals, 17-31. They now find themselves tied for 1st in the NFC West with Seattle. They still have a very good +78 point differential. They allow just 17.5 ppg and 315 yards. The Jaguars lead the AFC South by two games over the Houston Texans. The Jags have won and covered five straight games. They are also 2-3 O/U during that stretch. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.5 ppg and 342.8 ypg. The offense has been decent but not great with 24.1 ppg. Both teams are led by their defenses first and I look for those units to shine here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this game. |
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11-12-23 | Packers v. Steelers -170 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers finally snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over the LA Rams, 20-3. The Packers held the Rams to just 68 yards rushing and 119 yards passing in the win. The win improved the team to 3-5 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. They average 20 ppg while allowing 19.9 ppg. They only average 300 yards per game while allowing 320 ypg. They will face a 5-3 S/U and ATS Pittsburgh team here on Sunday that bounced back after their loss to Jacksonville two weeks ago, 10-20. The Steelers beat the Titans last week, 20-16, as a 3-point favorite. The Steelers have now won and covered three of their last four games including wins over the Ravens and Rams. I like the Steelers once again here today. Play Pittsburgh, but lets take the line out of this one and play them on the Money Line. |
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11-12-23 | Texans v. Bengals OVER 47 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are 4-4 S/U and ATS on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans coming off a win over Tampa Bay, 39-37, but just failed to cover the 2.5-point favorite line. They are just 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the road this season. The Texans average 23.4 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg and have a plus-22 point differential. They will take on the Cincinnati Bengals today. The Bengals are 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. The Bengals have won four straight both S/U and ATS after last week's win vs Buffalo, 24-18, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have beat the Bills, 49ers and Seahawks the last three weeks. The Bengals held the Bills to 249 total yards and the 49ers to 347 yards, both below their 363.6 season average. After a slow start to the season the Bengals appear to be playing their best football of the season. The Bengals have scored 55 points the last two weeks against some of the elite defenses in the NFL. They should have little issue putting up points on this Houston team today. Take the OVER. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -15.5 | Top | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
USC having a fine season, but they have struggled against the best teams. The Trojans are 7-3 S/U and 2-8 ATS and score 45.5 ppg with 485.5 yards per game. The problem is the defense, which allows 34.5 ppg and 436.5 yards. That was apparent again last week as their offense tried to stay with Washington, but couldn't keep them from scoring in a Huskies 52-42 win. The Trojans have now allowed a whopping 101 points in their last two games. It won't get any easier this week at they travel to Eugene to face the high scoring Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 8-1 in and in 2nd place in the PAC 12 behind 9-0 Washington. Oregon averages 47.4 ppg and 540.1 yards. They are coming off a blowout win over Cal last week, 63-19, as a 27-point favorite. The Ducks should have little trouble scoring on this USC defense today. The Oregon defense is much better than USC, as they allow just 16 ppg and 301 yards. USC likely will get their points in this one, but they won't be able to match this Oregon offense. Play Oregon. |
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11-11-23 | Auburn v. Arkansas -2.5 | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
SEC Matchup here on Saturday has Auburn looking to become bowl eligible as they sit at 5-4 on the season and 4-5 vs the number. The Tigers have won two straight games after a three-game losing streak. They are coming off a win over Vanderbilt, 31-15, as a 12.5-point favorite. They have covered their last two games. The Tigers average 27.2 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. They also average 357.8 ypg while allowing 357.6 ypg. They sit tied for fourth in the SEC West standings. After today's contest, only two games remain on the schedule, at home vs New Mexico State and then a home game vs Alabama. Arkansas is 3-5 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. The Razorbacks snapped a four game losing streak last week at Florida, 39-36, as a 3-point dog. The Hogs had one of their best offensive games of the season with 481 yards, well above their 327.4 ypg average. They also were above their season 27.9 point average. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with games at Florida International and at home vs Missouri to close the season. Not out of the question to get to six wins, but they have to win out to do that. I'll take Arkansas here today. |
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11-11-23 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State -2 | 42-14 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Sun Belt Conference action here today has the 5-4 App State Mountaineers taking on 6-3 Georgia State. James Madison has this conference locked-up with a 9-0 record and Coastal Carolina, Ga Southern and Ga State all right behind at 6-3. App State has won two straight games after winning last week at home over Marshall, 31-9, as a 3-point favorite. They have struggled on the road though, going 1-3 S/U and 1-2-1 vs the spread. They have also been outscored 28.8 to 32.5 on the road this year. The Georgia State Panthers should be going to a bowl but after today they do have to go to LSU before finishing at Old Dominion. A win here today would go a long with with two tough road games coming up. The Panthers look to snap a two game losing streak. They lost at home to conference champ James Madison, 14-42 and two weeks ago at Ga Southern, 27-44. This is a important game for Ga State and it's their last home game of the season so I expect a great effort today before the home faithful in their final game of the season on the home turf. Play Georgia State. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 45.5 | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Big 10 powerhouses meet here on Saturday as Penn State welcomes Michigan. Michigan will put its perfect 9-0 record and playoff hopes on this matchup today against 8-1 Penn State. Michigan easily beat Penn State last year, 41-17 in Ann Arbor. Michigan will be without HC Jim Harbaugh who has been suspended for this game. Michigan has dominated this season, scoring 40.7 ppg while their staunch defense has allowed just 6.7 points and 231.4 yards per game. The Wolverines coming off a win over Purdue last week, 41-13, but failing to cover the 31-point line. This will be their first big test against this Penn State that has an equally impressive defense that allows just 11.9 ppg and 234.9 yards. Penn State coming off that win last week at Maryland, 51-15, as a 7.5-point favorite. Both these teams are impressive on defense and neither likely to break here today. I won't pick a side in this one, but I will be on the UNDER. |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +3.5 | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers are trying to catch the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West but it's not going so well. The Chiefs won on Sunday in Frankfurt over Miami, improving to 7-2 on the season. Now the Chargers can just get back to the .500 mark at 4-4 with a win here on Monday Night in New York vs the Jets. The Chargers average 24.9 ppg while allowing 24.0 ppg. They also average 362.4 ypg while giving up 390.9 ypg. The Chargers snapped a two-game losing and spread streak last week with their win over the Bears, 30-13, as a 9.5-point favorite. The Jets are 4-3 S/U and 4-2-1 vs the spread this season. The Jets trail the Dolphins and Bills in the AFC East. However, both the Bills and Dolphins lost on Sunday, so this is a key spot for the Jets to improve to 5-3 and pick up a game on both the teams ahead of them. The Jets have a excellent defense, which allows 18.4 ppg and 329.3 ypg. The offense isn't so good, scoring just 18 ppg and 273.3 ypg on the season. The Jets have won three straight games though, going 2-0-1 ATS vs the spread. They are coming off a win over the Giants, 13-10. They also led the high flying Eagles offense to just 14 points in that win two weeks ago. Now the Jets find themselves a home dog to a team with a losing record. I'll take the points at home here on Monday. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals OVER 50.5 | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. The way the Bengals have finally been playing offensively and I will look to play the OVER here on Sunday evening. Play OVER. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. I like the Bengals at home here on Sunday night. Play Cincinnati. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +2.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
The AFC South is one of the worst divisions in football as three of the four teams have just three wins. That includes the Indianapolis Colts who are 3-5 and have a -24 point differential. The Colts are trailing 6-2 first place Jacksonville by three games. The Colts average 25.6 ppg while allowing 28.6 ppg. They average 362.4 ypg while allowing 371.3 ypg. QB Anthony Richardson is out for the rest of the season after sustaining a shoulder injury. That leaves Gardner Minshew as the starter. The Colts have lost three straight games, including last week at home to New Orleans, 27-38, as a 2-point dog. Now they hit the road to face the Panthers. Carolina won its first game of the season last week at home over Houston, 15-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. The Panthers average just 18.1 ppg while allowing 28.4 ppg. They also average 284.6 ypg and allow 326 ypg. QB Bryce Young had one of his better starts, completing 22-of-31 passes for 235 yards, one TD and no INT's. With Richardson out, I like the Panthers to get win number two here on Sunday. Play Carolina. |
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11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 38 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals hoped to welcome back QB Kyler Murray who has been practicing with the team. But, he's still out for this week. That leaves the starting duties to Clayton Tune. Tune will be thrown to the dogpound of Cleveland here today and they will be chomping at the bit to get to the young QB. Arizona already scores just 18.9 ppg on the season with 318.6 ypg. I expect those number to be even less on Sunday against this Browns defense. Arizona is just 1-7 S/U and 4-4 vs the spread this year. They did break a four game spread losing streak last week vs the Ravens. They lost at home to Baltimore, 24-31, as a 9.5-point dog. That was more points then they had the prior two weeks combined (19). The Cleveland Browns defense allows just 19.9 ppg and 260 ypg on the season. They are 4-3 and tied with the Bengals for last in the AFC North. However, they trail Pittsburgh by just one game and first place Baltimore by two games. They are coming off a loss last week at Seattle, 20-24, covering the 4.5-point line. I look for the Browns to give the Cardinals all kinds of problems on offense. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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11-04-23 | LSU v. Alabama OVER 61 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
SEC Action has two of the best matching up here this evening as Alabama hosts LSU. Alabama is tied with Ole Miss in the SEC WEst at 7-1 with LSU on their heels at 6-2. One glaring stats stands out and that is LSU is a perfect 8-0 over the total this year. That is a big part due to the 47.4 ppg that the LSU Tigers average. The defense hasn't been what it was in the past, allowing 26.5 ppg and 396.5 ypg. But their 553.1 ypg is whooping amount. Alabama is 4-2-2 over/under the total. They are coming off a win over Tennessee, 34-20, going over the 47.5 point total. The Tide average 30.6 ppg and 366 ypg. The defense is better then LSU, allowing 16.5 ppg. There should be plenty of points scored in this one. I'm taking the OVER. |
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11-04-23 | Washington v. USC +3 | 52-42 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Huge PAC 12 contest here today as #5 Washington travels to LA to take on #20 USC. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 and looking to get into the playoff picture while USC is 7-2 and hopes to play spoiler here today. Two of the best QB's in college will matchup with Washington Michael Penix Jr taking on USC QB Caleb Williams. The Huskies coming off a win at Stanford last time out, 42-33, but didn't come close to covering the 27.5-point spread. USC had to come from behind last week to eek out a win at Cal, 50-49. Right now Huskies' QB Penix Jr leads the nation in passing and is the odds on favorite to win the Heisman. Williams is second in passing and will be considered in the Heisman voting. Both these teams have great offenses led by future NFL QB's. You can make a case for either side here tonight. For me, I like a home dog like USC that wants nothing more than to spoil Washington's chances at that playoff bid. I'll take the points in this one. Play USC. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -3 | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
The Big 12 is loaded with teams that can be bowl eligible so wins will be important for all these teams. That includes these two today. Kansas is 6-2 and tied for 2nd with Oklahoma State. Iowa State is 5-3 and tied wit BYU and West Virginia. The Jayhawks coming off that big win last week over Oklahoma, 38-33. First time in ages that the Jayhawks have beaten the Sooners and the fans tore down the goal posts at the end of the game. Now they take on Iowa State that has won and covered three straight games, including last week at Baylor, 30-18, as a 3-point road dog. The Cyclones last loss came to Oklahoma, 20-50. Iowa State averages 23.9 ppg while allowing 19.7 ppg. They don't pile up the yards though with just 338.3 ypg while allowing 329.6 ypg. Kansas averages 35.7 ppg and 443 ypg. Big offensive advantage here to the Jayhawks. Iowa State has the better defense and I look for that to be the difference here today. I'll lay the small points with the home team. Play Iowa State. |
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11-04-23 | Penn State v. Maryland +9 | 51-15 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday has Maryland hosting Penn State. Penn State is 7-1 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. The Nittany Lions only loss coming a few weeks ago at Ohio State, 12-20 as a 4-point dog. The Lions won last week at home over Indiana, 33-24, but failed miserably to cover the 31-point chalk line. The loss carried over to last week's game as the offense had just 342 total yards of offense. Penn State is behind both 8-0 teams in the Big 10 East, Michigan and Ohio State. Maryland is 5-3 S/U and sits behind the aforementioned teams and Rutgers too. The Terapins have lost three straight both S/U and ATS, including last week at Northwestern, 27-33, as a 14.5-point favorite. The Terps can score, averaging 32.6 ppg and 418.5 ypg of offense. They are holding opponents to 20.4 ppg and 341.4 ypg. Maryland getting almost double digits at home here today. I expect their offense to give the Lions all they can handle. Take the points with Maryland. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today as Kansas State takes on the Longhorns of Texas from Austin. Kansas State is 6-2 S/U and ATS on the season and one of the best rushing teams in the nation with a 226 ypg average. The Wildcats average 37.4 ppg while allowing only 15.9 ppg. They also average 464.8 ypg while allowing 344.3 ypg. They are coming of a rout of Houston last week, 41-0 where they held the Cougars to just 208 total yards. They will face a 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS Texas team here today. The Horns also one of the best rushing teams, averaging 180.3 ypg. They are tied with Oklahoma for the Big 12 conference title with Kansas State, Kansas and Oklahoma State all one game back. The Horns average 34.5 ppg while allowing just 16 ppg. Texas coming off an easy win over BYU last week, 35-6, covering the 20.5-point spread. Still, they have covered just one of their last three games. Should be a great game here today. If Kansas State can use their running game to control the ball and clock they should be in this one at the end. I'll take the points with Kansas State. |
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11-04-23 | Arkansas +3 v. Florida | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Arkansas looks to get a much needed win here today as they are just 2-6 overall on the season. The Razorbacks are also 4-3-1 vs the number as they head to Florida to face the Gators. The Hogs are last in the SEC West with a 2-6 conference record, which doesn't bode well in the bowl picture. They average 26.5 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. They also average 308.3 ypg while allowing 334.5 ypg. The Hogs need a win desperately after dropping six straight including last week vs Mississippi State, 3-7 as a 6.5-point favorite. The defense keeps them in games though, allowing just 24 points to Alabama, 27 to Ole Miss in their last two weeks. Florida is 5-3 on the season and fourth in the SEC East. They are coming off that loss last week at home to Georgia, 20-43, failing to cover the two TD dog line. That snapped a two game win/spread cover for the Gators. Florida averages 28 ppg while allowing 22.9 ppg. I'm taking the road dog here today. Play Arkansas. |
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11-03-23 | Boston College +3 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
A couple of former Big East schools meet here today as Syracuse hosts Boston College. BC coming off a win over U Conn last week, 21-14, but failing to cover the 14.5-point spread. Syracuse coming off a loss at Virginia Tech, 10-38. The BC Eagles started the season at 1-3 but have since won four straight. Syracuse started the season 4-0 and have since dropped four straight games to even their record at 4-4. The have been outscored in those four games 34-150. They have also dropped all four vs the spread. Momentum seems to be all on the side of Boston College as we come into this contest. I'll take BC here plus the points. |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -2.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to climb back to the .500 mark here on Thursday night as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans have a -8 point differential this season. The Titans will also be without QB Ryan Tannehill who will miss this game with a ankle injury. In his place will be Will Levis. Levis will make his second NFL start here tonight. Levis made his debut last week at home vs the Atlanta Falcons and threw for FOUR touchdowns in the win, 28-23 as a 2.5-point dog. That win snapped a two-game losing streak for the Titans. It also eclipsed a 18.9 ppg average for this Titans team. Still, they are a good deal back of first place and 6-2 Jacksonville. The Steelers are tied with Cincinnati and Cleveland in the AFC North at 4-3. They all trail the 6-2 Baltimore Ravens. The Steelers also have a -34 point differential. They average just 16.1 ppg and allow 21.0 ppg. The Steelers offense manages just 271.7 ypg while allowing 382.6 ypg. The Steelers coming off a loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-20 last week. They managed just 261 total yards in the loss. That loss snapped a two-game winning streak by Pittsburgh. I'm taking the Steelers at home. The Steelers and J.J Watt have a better defense then the Falcons so we likely won't see Levis throw for another four TD's here tonight. Play Pittsburgh. |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green -5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
It's a Big MAC attack here on Wednesday as this conference takes center stage as Ball State and Bowling Green face off. Ball State comes into this game 2-6 S/U and 3-4-1` ATS on the season. Bowling Green comes in 4-4 S/U and 5-3 vs the number. The Ball State Cardinals are last in the MAC West and won't be going to the Bowl season. The Cardinals offense is pretty pathetic, averaging 16.1 ppg and 295.1 ypg. The defense allows 29 ppg and 361.9 ypg. The Cardinals snapped a four game losing streak last week with a win over Central Michigan at home, 24-17, as a 5.5-point dog. The Bowling Green Falcons can still make a bowl, but they need to wi here tonight. They sit third in the MAC East. The Falcons average 22.2 ppg and 302.9 ypg. They allow 25 ppg and 331.0 ypg. The Falcons have won two straight games including last week over Akron, 41-14 as a 7.5-poing home favorite. This is a running team, as they have over two hundred yards in each of the last two wins and fewer than 100 yards passing. Ball State allows 125 rushing yards per game and that should be good news for this Bowling Green running game. I'll take the home team in this one. Play Bowling Green. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -7 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders couldn't have looked much worse then they did last week in their loss at Chicago, 12-30. They hade just 39 yards rushing and without their starting QB they had just 196 yards passing. They couldn't stop the Chicago rushing attack as the Bears piled-up 173 yards on the ground. Good news is that QB Jimmy Garoppolo (back) has been upgraded to probable after missing that game last week. How effective he will be will remain to be seen however. The 5-2 Detroit Lions having one of their best seasons in many years. They are in first place in the NFC North and can extend that tonight over the second place Vikings who just lost their QB Kirk Cousins for the season. The Packers and Bears look to be no show as both have just two wins. The Lions will look to rebound from their worst performance of the season last week at Baltimore, 6-38. It was their worst offensive output and they allowed over 500 yards to the Ravens. That loss snapped both a four game win streak S/U and against the number. I look for the Lions to rebound from that bad performance last week. The Raiders have no answer if they lose their QB again, which could happen with every play. I'll take Detroit. |
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10-29-23 | Browns v. Seahawks UNDER 37.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns are 4-2 on the season and tied for 2nd in the AFC North with Pittsburgh, both trailing 1st place 5-2 Baltimore. The Browns have a +19 point differential this season. The Browns came off that huge win over San Francisco two weeks ago, 19-17, with a win at Indianapolis last week, 39-38. The Browns average 22.3 ppg while allowing 19.2 ppg. They also gain 319.2 ypg while allowing just 243 ypg. They face a 4-2 Seattle team that is back in the hunt for 1st place in the NFC West after the 49ers have dropped their last two games. Seattle has a +26 point differential. They are coming off a win last week vs the Cardinals, 20-10. They have also gone under in three straight games as the defense has been very good. They have been allowing just 19.7 ppg and scoring 24 ppg. Cleveland also a better under team this year with a 2-3-1 O/U record. I look for another lower scoring game here on Sunday. Take the UNDER. |
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10-29-23 | Falcons v. Titans UNDER 35.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons find themselves alone in 1st place atop the NFC South with a 4-3 record. The South is one of the weakest divisions in football with the other three teams all below the .500 mark. The Falcons also have a -18 point differential. They will face the AFC South last place Tennessee Titans who are 2-4 on the season. The Titans have lost two straight games including last time out vs Baltimore, 16-24, as a 5.5-point dog. The Titans average just 17.3 ppg while allowing 19.5 ppg. They average 283.5 ypg and allow 339.0 ypg. Both teams don't score well as the Falcons average 16.4 ppg and allow 19.0 ppg. The Falcons are also 1-6 Over/under while the Titans are 1-5 over/under. Two offenses that don't generate a lot meet here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this one. |
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10-29-23 | Texans v. Panthers +3.5 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans look to get above .500 with a win today at Carolina. The Texans are 3-3 and in 2nd place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Jacksonville. The Texans have a +22 point differential. Meanwhile, Carolina looking for its first win of the season at 0-6 and in last place in the NFC South. The Panthers have a -74 point differential this season. Houston is coming off a win at home over the Saints last week, 20-13 as a 2-point dog. They had just 297 yards compared to the Saints 430 yards. Carolina coming off a loss at Miami last week, 21-42, as a 14-point dog. The Panthers average 18.7 ppg while allowing 31 ppg. This will be a battle among the top two QB draft picks from last season with the Panthers Bryce Young against the Texans CJ Stroud. Everyone keeps waiting for Young to make an impact. Growing pains can be difficult for a rookie in the NFL. I'm going to take the home dog here with Carolina and see if Young can finally be a factor. Play Carolina. |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
The Jacksonville Jaguars won their fourth straight game after last week's win at New Orleans, 31-24, as a 2.5-point dog. The Jags haven't been dominating, but good enough. They average 24.7 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. They also average 336.3 ypg while giving up 354.4 ppg. The rushing defense has been very good, allowing just 80.6 ypg on the season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 4-2 S/U and ATS despite averaging just 17.2 ppg while giving up 21.2 ppg. The Jags 5-2 record has them in first place in the AFC South, with Houston and Indy the next closest teams at 3-3 and 3-4. Pittsburgh is in a crowded AFC North where the Ravens lead with a 5-2 record. Pittsburgh and Cleveland are at 4-2 and Cincinnati at 3-3. The Steelers have a -24 point differential, but somehow keep winning. This is a strange one for me. Not sure why the Jags are favored. But, that's ok, I'll take it. Play Pittsburgh! |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
Late evening action here on the Saturday schedule has a pair of PAC-12 teams facing off as Arizona hosts Oregon State. Oregon State comes into this contest with a 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS record. Arizona is 4-3 S/U and 6-1 vs the spread. Oregon State won at home two weeks ago against UCLA, 36-24, as a 3.5-point favorite. They had last week off. That makes three wins in row since their loss to Washington State for the lone blemish on their record. The Beavers average 38.1 ppg while allowing 20.3 ppg. They also average 445.1 ypg while allowing 343.9 ypg. Arizona also had last week off to prepare for this game. They snapped a two game losing streak two weeks ago at Washington State, 44-6, as a 7.5-point road dog. They have now covered their last three games, all as underdogs. Arizona averages 31.9 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They have 452.4 ypg and allow 333.4 ypg. Arizona covers spreads, especially as a dog. They are a home dog here today and I'll be on the points with this one. Play Arizona. |
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10-28-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +14.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday has Wisconsin hosting Ohio State. Ohio State kept its perfect record in tact as the Buckeyes improved to 7-0 a big win last week over Penn State, 20-12, covering the 4-point favorite spread. That was a huge win for the Buckeyes and will have them in the current playoff picture. It was also the teams third cover in a row and 4-0-1 ATS their last five games after starting the season 0-2 vs the number. Not only does the Buckeyes offense rank 33.7 ppg, but they have one of the best defenses in the country, allowing just 10 ppg and 260 total yards. Ohio State has its sights set on that Nov 25th clash with currently 8-0 Michigan in the regular season finale. Wisconsin lucky to be in the Big 10 West where they don't have to contend with either Ohio State or Michigan. The Badgers are 5-2 and a half game back in the West behind Iowa. Wisconsin averages 26.9 ppg while allowing 18.3 ppg. They also average 396.4 ypg while allowing 334.9 ypg. Getting somewhere around two TD's at home with Wisconsin too much to pass up on here today. The Buckeyes should be in a bit of a letdown spot after that big win last week. I'll take the points with Wisconsin. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Boise State | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
Two teams with postseason aspirations meet today in this Mountain West clash between Wyoming and Boise State. Wyoming can take a big step to a Bowl game with a win today that would improve them to 6-2 on the season. As for Boise, a win and they even their season at 4-4, a loss and they could be behind the eight ball for the postseason. Wyoming is 4-2-1 vs the spread after last week's loss at Air Force, 27-34, though they covered the 12.5 point dog line. That snapped a three game win streak for the Cowboys. Wyoming averages 26.3 ppg while allowing 25.6 ppg. They also allow more yards then they gain with a 324.7-380.7 mark. Boise State looks to rebound after their loss at Colorado State two weeks ago, 30-31, as a 8.5-point chalk. The Broncos had last week off to stew over that loss, their second in their last three games. The Broncos average 29.7 ppg but allow 30.9 ppg on the season. They also allow 428.3 ypg while averaging slightly less at 425 ypg. I like the Cowboys getting points in this since I believe they can win straight up. Play Wyoming. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue +2 v. Nebraska | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as a pair of West division teams matchup. Purdue is last in the West with a 2-5 conference record, while Nebraska is fourth at 4-3. Purdue had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They looks to snap a two-game losing streak, including last game vs Ohio State, 7-41. The Boilermakers average 23 ppg while allowing 29.9 ppg on the season. They also average 370.7 ypg and allow 396.3 ypg. The Huskers coming off a win last week at home vs Northwestern, 17-9, but failed to cover the 11-point line. That makes them 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Nebraska averages just 18.7 ppg and allows 19.3 on the season. They also average 330 ypg while allowing 313.6 ypg. I'll take the well rest Purdue team in this one plus the points. Play Purdue. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon v. Utah +6.5 | 35-6 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Huge PAC-12 contest here as Oregon travels to the Beehive state to face Utah U. Both teams come into this contest at 6-1 S/U. Oregon rebounded from their first loss of the season two weeks ago at Washington (33-36) with a win over Washington State, 38-24, but failed to cover the 19.5-point chalk line. This Oregon team is very dynamic with Nix at QB after transferring to Oregon this year. They average 553.4 ppg and 47 ppg on the season. They are also very balanced with over 200 yards rushing average. Utah coming off a big win over USC last week, 34-32, as a 7-point dog. That's two wins in a row that they have scored 34 points. They only allow 296 ypg and 15 ppg this season. This should be one of the marquee games on Saturday. Utah getting almost a TD at home too much for me to pass on. I'll take Utah and see if they can keep the ball out of the hands of this dynamic Oregon offense. Play Utah. |
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10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills UNDER 43.5 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bills have struggled of late, losing in England to the Jaguars, 20-25, struggling against the Giants in a low scoring win, 14-9, and then losing last week at New England, 25-29. They have failed to cover the spread in three straight and have gone under in two of the last three games. QB Josh Allen has six TD passes the last three games but also has three INT's. The Bills had just 339 total yards last week, 81 on the ground. The defense is still good, but not as good as last year. Tampa Bay is 3-3 S/U and ATS and has gone under in five of their six games. They average just 17.2 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 13-16. That makes just 19 total points scored the last two weeks. Could be even worse this week as QB Baker Mayfield landed on the injury report. Mayfield is questionable with a knee injury. Not sure the Bucs will get many points if Mayfield doesn't play. Even if he does, how mobile can he be against this Bills defense. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Not sure how the oddsmakers favor a team by a field goal or more when they are 0-7 on the season. But, that's just what they did with Sam Houston State tonight who is still looking for its first win of the season after seven losses. The Bearkats lost last week to Florida International, 27-33, again a favorite, this time 5.5-point chalk. The Kats are also 3-4 vs the number and 1-4 ATS their last five games. They average just 13.4 ppg while allowing 25.9 ppg. The Kats also average just 283.1 ypg while allowing 383.3 ypg. UTEP isn't great either, in fact the Miners won't be going to a bowl as they sit at just 2-6 S/U and ATS. The Miners lost to New Mexico State last week, 7-28, as a 3-point dog. The Miners average more yards then the Bearkats with 353.8 ypg. They average 16.4 ppg and give up 26.4 ppg. The Miners are a run first offense and average around 40 rushing attempts per game so I look for them to control the ball and the clock in this game. Conversely, Sam Houston doesn't have much of a run attack which will find them behind the sticks a lot in this one. This is a good matchup for UTEP as I look for the Miners run game to control the ball, the clock and the final score. Play UTEP. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs looking to take a commanding lead in the division. The Raiders are 3-3 while the Chargers are 2-3. The Chargers, despite having a losing record, have a +3 point differential. They rallied late last week, but Herbert's INT on the final drive locked the win for the visiting Cowboys, 17-20, as a 1.5-point dog. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for the Chargers. The Kansas City offense hasn't been as explosive this year as in recent seasons. However, the defending champions defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. The Chiefs have a +59 point differential this season thanks in big part to the defense. Chargers already in a must win spot this early in the season. I'll take the points with LA here on Sunday. |
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10-22-23 | Raiders v. Bears UNDER 38 | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders knew when they got QB Jimmy Garappolo that his health was always a question. He's already been hurt twice this year and missed time. The first time with a concussion and last week he had to be taken to the hospital with a bank injury. Jimmy G is going to miss this game as we await which QB the Raiders will start. The Raiders are 3-3 on the season with a -31 point differential as they sit in 2nd in the AFC West. The Bears can sympathize with Vegas though as they also will be without their starting QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a hand injury and will miss today's contest. Tyson Bagent will start this one for the Bears. Vegas has been a good under team this year with five of their six going under. Opposite for the Bears as five of their six have gone over. Vegas can win its third straight with a win here on Sunday. They average just 16.7 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg. The Bears coming off a loss last week to the Vikings, 13-19, as a 3-point dog. That was also their first under of the season. The Bears average 21.3 ppg and allow 29.3 ppg. Neither team will look to throw a lot in this game. Expect a lot of rushing and ball control. I'll take the under in what should be a snoozer. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 40.5 | 25-29 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Could the Bill Belichick era be coming to an end in New England? This is the worst start he's had and it won't get any easier here on Sunday as the Bills come into Foxboro. The Patriots are 1-5 on the season and have yet to win a home game in three chances. They have a -80 point differential, worst in the AFC. The Pats offense has scored 20 points or more just one time this season and that caem in their opening week loss to the Eagles, 20-25. Since then they have hit 17 points twice and held to three points vs the Cowboys and no points by the Saints. Last week they lost at Las Vegas, 17-21, as a 3-point dog. Their last five games have gone under the total. The Bills offense was jet lagged last week after returning from London, England the week before. The offense managed just 14 points in their win over the Giants, 14-9. That made two straight under plays and three of their last four going under. The weather will be fair with a chance of showers and winds around 13 mph. I don't expect the Pats to get much here and their defense will be on the field a lot in this game. I'll take the UNDER. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
NFC South meeting here between the top two teams in the division. The Bucs are 3-2 and in first place with a +2 point differential. The Falcons are 3-3 with a -21 point differential. The Falcons are just 1-5 vs the spread and average 331 yards per game while allowing 278.2 yards. They also average 16.5 ppg while giving up 20.0 ppg. The Falcons lost last week at home to Washington, 16-24, as a 1.5-point favorite. They held Washington to just 72 rushing yards and 121 passing yards despite losing. Tampa Bay also coming off a loss last week as the dropped their home game to the Detroit Lions, 6-20, as a 3-point dog. They had just 46 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They average 18 ppg while allowing 17.6 ppg on the season. Weak division here so the winner could be .500 or even below. I'll take the Falcons plus the points in this one. |
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10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants UNDER 37.5 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The NY Giants come into this one dead last in the NFC East with a 1-5 record. The Giants have the worst point differential in the NFC by far with a -96. The Giants have lost four straight games including last week at Buffalo, 9-14, though they covered the 15.5-point dog line. That was the first cover of the season for the Giants. They are also 1-5 O/U with their last four games going Under the total. Washington is 3-3 S/U and has a -43 point differential. The Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak with a win last week at Atlanta, 24-16, as a 1.5-point dog. They are 3-3 O/under on the season. The Commanders average 22.2 ppg while allowing 29.3 ppg. Neither team's offense will set anyone on fire, that's for sure. I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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10-21-23 | Duke +14.5 v. Florida State | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Saturday as 5-1 Duke taking on 6-0 Florida State. The Blue Devils are 4-2 vs the number while FSU is also 4-2 ATS. Duke's only loss was that seven point loss at home to Notre Dame, 14-21, as a 5.5-point dog. FSU expects to win the ACC with an undefeated season thus far. Duke goes as their QB goes in Riley Leonard. Leonard has been nursing an ankle injury with his status questionable for today. Duke has an excellent rushing game, ranking 19th in the country. The FSU Seminoles have a well balanced offense, ranking 37th in passing and a running game around the middle of the pack in the nation. Duke getting double digits looks like a gift here today. But only if Leonard actually plays. They do have the rushing game to lean on, but that also opens up with Leonard in the game. I'll take the points with Duke today. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota. |
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10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 46 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Marquee matchup of the day has a pair of 6-0 teams facing off as Penn State travels to Columbus to face Ohio State. The loser could be on the outside looking in on the CFB Playoff picture. Penn State is 6-0 S/U and ATS while they are also 4-2 Over/under. Ohio State is 6-0 S/U, 3-2-1 ATS and 1-5 Over/Under. Both of these teams are ranked in the nation's top 10 and along with Michigan are all vying for the Big 10 East title. The Nittany Lions defense is outstanding, ranking 1st in total yards allowed, first in passing defense and points allowed. They also average 4.5 sacks per game. Penn State has scored at least 30 points in every game this year while allowing 13 or fewer in every game. Ohio State's defense has allowed just 9.7 ppg while the offense has averaged 36 ppg. They also allow just 263 yards per game. I usually favor the defenses when both units are great as they are today. Neither team allows much and I look for that to continue here today. Play the UNDER. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Big 12 showdown from Gaylor Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium as the Sooners host Central Florida. Central Florida Golden Knights started the season 3-0 before dropping their last three games. They are coming off a loss at Kansas, 22-51, as a 2.-5 point favorite. Oklahoma is coming off one of its biggest wins in some time in the Red River Classic as they beat Texas, 34-30 as a 5-point dog. That makes the Sooners a perfect 6-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Now have to think they could be in for that letdown week after that emotional win last week. The Sooners have all the great numbers, they average 45.2 ppg while allowing just 14 ppg. They average 506.7 yards while allowing 353 yards. Central Florida can score, averaging 35 ppg and 516 yards per game. The Knights getting 17.5-points here on Saturday. I feel Oklahoma will be somewhat flat in this game and take this 3-3 UCF team for granted. Take the points with UCF. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -2 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one. |
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10-17-23 | Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 | Top | 35-42 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year! |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +2 | 20-17 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys can cut the Philadelphia Eagles NFC East lead down to just one game with a win here on Monday night. The Eagles lost their first game of the season on Sunday opening the way for the Cowboys to close the gap. Dallas is 3-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at the 49ers, 10-42. The Cowboys defense gave up more points to the 49ers then they did in the previous four games combined. They will face a Chargers team that started the season 0-2 but have since put together wins over the Vikings and then two weeks ago over the Raiders, 24-17. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for this game. The Chargers average 27.5 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have averaged 388.8 ypg while giving up 404 ypg. Dallas has lost its last two road games by a combined 26-70 score. Now they hit the road again. I'm taking the Chargers who had a week off to prepare for this game and are a small home dog. Play LA Chargers. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Interconference battle as the NFC Philadelphia Eagles take on the AFC NY Jets. The Eagles bring a top 10 total defense into today's contest. The Jets were great last year on defense but have slipped to 22nd this year. The Jets do have the 14th ranked pass defense while the Eagles are 25th. The Eagles shine on the rush defense, ranked tops in the NFL allowing just 61.2 ypg on the season. The Eagles put their 5-0 record on the line here today at the Jets. They are coming off a win at the LA Rams, 23-14, with the game going under. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers in the first quarter of the first game of the season. Zach Wilson has been ok, but nothing great. He has four TD's and five INT's. He has also thrown for over 200 yards just one time. With the Eagles top ranked rush defense, that will put a lot of pressure on Wilson on Sunday. The weather won't be as bad here at the Meadowlands as it will be in other parts of the East, but still may play some factor. The winds will be from 12 mph and gusting above that on Sunday. I don't see Wilson doing much and they surely won't run much against this Eagles defense. I'll be on the UNDER today. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 9-26 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
NFC West clash here on Sunday has the Arizona Cardinals playing at the LA Rams. Both teams finding the going rough thus far with the Cardinals at 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Rams are 2-3 S/U and 2-1-2 ATS. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 over/under while the Rams are 2-3 O/Un. Arizona coming off a loss last week at home to Cincinnati, 20-34 with the game going over. The previous week they gave up 35 points to the 49ers in another over. The defense has allowed 27.2 ppg and given up 375.6 ypg. They have average 21.6 ppg with 329 ypg. The Rams had a tough game vs the Eagles last week at home in a loss, 14-23. The Rams have averaged 22.4 ppg while giving up 21.6 ppg on the season. The Rams finally get a team they should be able to score against after some tough outings. The Cardinals seem to be able to put up points even without QB Kyler Murray who has missed all the games this year with an ACL injury. I'm taking the over here on Sunday. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins UNDER 47.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of the haves and have nots. The Miami Dolphins have it all right now with a 4-1 record both S/U and ATS. The Carolina Panthers have nothing as in wins with a 0-5 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS record. The Panthers are 2-3 O/U while the Dolphins are 3-2 O/U. The Panthers offense is in trouble. The coach hates the QB while the owner wanted this QB. The QB in question is Bryce Young. Young has five TD's on the season and four INT's. He has yet to throw for more than 247 yards. With the team averaging just 18.2 ppg this year, even the Panthers will find scoring tough here on Sunday against a Miami team that has given up some points. One thing that catches my eye is that Miami has to play at Philadelphia next week. Difficult to get up for this Panthers team with a huge matchup on tap next weekend. I'll take the UNDER here as I look for Miami to be a bit distracted. Play UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns UNDER 36 | 17-19 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Interconference game here on Sunday has the undefeated San Francisco 49ers taking on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns will be without starting QB Deshaun Watson who is nursing an injured shoulder. PJ Walker looks to get the start here on Sunday. The Browns offense managed just three points at home last week in their loss to the Ravens, 3-28. That makes three of four games going under this year. The defense is very good too, holding two of their four opponents to just a field goal. The 49ers look to be the team to beat this year with a perfect 5-0 record and 4-0-1 spread record. The defense has held opponents to just 13.6 ppg and 266.8 ypg. Once again, weather looks to play a part in this outcome. While the showers look to be light, the winds will be blowing 16 mph or gusting more than that for this one. The 49ers defense is tough enough without the wind helping them out. Can also say the same for the Browns with their excellent defense. Add to that Watson being out and the browns are going to find moving the ball through the air next to impossible. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-15-23 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings head to Soldier field for a NFC North battle with the Chicago Bears. Both these teams are 1-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Vikings are 1-3-1 Over/under while the Bears have gone over in all five games. The Vikings coming off a loss at home to the Chiefs, 20-27 with the game going under the 52.5 point total. The Bears hadn't scored more than 20 points in any of their first three games. However, they have since scored 28 vs the Broncos and 40 vs the Commanders. The defense has been pretty bad with their best effort last week in their win at Washington, 40-20. Weather looks to play a part in this game with scattered rain showers. But more important to the total are the winds, which will be 20 MPH or more. Wind effects totals more than any other element in my experience and today's weather combined with these two teams has me playing the UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts. |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The big annual rivalry between USC and Notre Dame will take place today from South Bend, IN. USC puts its 6-0 record online here Saturday and hopes of a college playoff berth. A loss could pretty much sink those playoff hopes. USC is only 2-4 vs the number, but that's mainly because they have been laying big numbers. While they have won their last three, they have failed to cover as 21-point favorites or more. That includes a close call at home vs Arizona last week in which the Trojans just got by with a 2-point win as a 21-point favorite. USC allowed 506 yards to the Wildcats while gaining just 365 themselves. Notre Dame is 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. The Irish have averaged 34.1 ppg while allowing 15.9 ppg on the season. They have averaged 437.9 ypg and allowed 279.7 ypg. The Irish lost their second game of the season last week at Louisville, 20-33, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Irish had just 44 yards on the ground and 254 passing yards. The Trojans can't let their guard down here on Saturday evening if they want that playoff berth. I'll take USC plus the few points. Play USC. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois +13.5 v. Maryland | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-4 Fighting Illini will travel to to the 5-1 Maryland Terps in this Big 10 battle. Illinois is coming off a loss last week to Nebraska, 7-20, as a 3-point favorite. The Illini have yet to cover a spread this season. They have averaged 377.3 ypg while allowing 401.8 ypg. The Illini average 19.2 ppg and give up 28.8 ppg. Maryland is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season last week at Ohio State, 17-37, as a 18 point dog. They held the Ohio State team to just 64 rushing yards, but gave up 320 passing yards. Maryland has averaged 429.3 ypg while giving up 337.5 ypg. They also score 35 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. Have to think their might be a big of a letdown here this week after that tough game at Ohio State last week. I'll take the points with Illinois in this one. |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5 v. Rutgers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Early Big 10 Action here on Saturday has Michigan State playing at Rutgers. Michigan State has pretty much owned Rutgers, winning nine of the last ten meetings between these teams. Michigan State started the season by winning its first two games, but have since dropped three straight, including two weeks ago at Iowa, 16-26, as a 10-point dog. The Spartans had last week off to prepare for this game. The Spartans are 2-2-1 vs the spread. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 3-2 S/U and 4-0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Wisconsin last week, 13-24, as a 13-point dog. Rutgers has averaged 336 ypg while allowing 283.7 ypg this year. The Big 10 East is tough this year with four teams having five wins while Rutgers comes in with four wins and Michigan State is last with a 2-3 record. I like this Spartans team off the bye week to prepare for this game. I'll take the points in this one. Play Michigan State. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4 v. Utah State | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Mountain West clash here tonight has Fresno State visiting Utah State. Fresno is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The have a turnover ratio of +7 this season and have outscored their opponents by a 33.5-18.2 margin. The Bulldogs have averaged 408 yards per game while allowing 289.8 yards per game this season. Fresno looks to rebound from its first loss of the season after last week's setback at Wyoming, 19-24, as a 5-point road favorite. The defense has allowed over 10 points twice in their five games this year. The Utah State Aggies are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have a +2 turnover ratio and have average 38.2 ppg while allowing 32.2 ppg. The Aggies average 462.8 ypg while allowing 407.2 ypg. Utah State has won two straight games after last week's win over Colorado State, 44-24. Utah State lost at home to James Madison and on the road at Air Force, both as dogs. Their wins have been when they are the favorite. As the dog tonight I expect another loss for the Aggies tonight. Play Fresno State. |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night. |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers visit Las Vegas to finish up Week 5 NFL action against the Raiders. The Packers are 2-2 on the season and have +4 point differential with 100 points scored and 96 points allowed. The Raiders are 1-3 and have a -39 point differential with just 62 points scored and 101 points allowed. The Packers look to rebound from their home loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 20-34. The loss was also their first spread loss as they are now 3-1 vs the number and 3-1 Over/Under on the season. The Packers average 25 ppg while allowing 24 ppg. They also average 280.8 ypg while allowing 352.5 ypg. The Raiders are 1-3 S/U, 1-2-1 vs the number and 1-3 Over/Under. Vegas is coming off a loss at the LA Chargers, 17-24, pushing the 7-point dog line. Good news is that they get back QB Jimmy Garoppolo who missed last week's game with a concussion. Garoppolo has six INT's and five TD's on the season. Neither teams defense all that good. I'll take the over in this one. |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -175 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Sunday Night Football has the 3-1 Dallas Cowboys playing at the 4-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cowboys have a +83 point differential, best in the NFL as they have scored 124 points and allowed 41 points. San Francisco has a +67 point differential, scoring 125 points and allowing 58. The Cowboys are also 3-1 vs the number this year. They average 360 yards per game while allowing 259.8 ypg. QB Dak Prescot averages 227 ypg with four TD's and one INT. Tony Pollard leads the rushing, but was likely expected to be more productive than his 77.8 ypg average. He has just two TD's and one fumble on the season. The 49ers average 398 yards per game while allowing 284.3 ypg. Brock Purdy leads the team at QB with 254.8 ypg, five TD's and no INT's. Chrisitan McCaffrey averages 114.8 ypg with Six TD's and just one fumble. These teams pretty evenly matched and we might be seeing a preview of the NFC Championship here. For me, I'm taking the 49ers on the Money Line in this one. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams. |
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10-08-23 | Titans v. Colts OVER 43 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Great news today for the Colts as RB Jonathan Taylor will be returning to the team. The team and Taylor agreed to a three-year contract. The Colts activated Taylor off the PUP list Saturday leaving only Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara as RB that will make more money. Taylor can see action here today vs the Titans. The Colts are in a four way tie in the AFC South as all the teams are 2-2 on the season. The Colts have scored 97 points and allowed 99 points this year. The Titans, also in the division have scored 72 points and allowed 70 points this year. The Titans are coming off a win vs the Bengals last week, 27-3. The Colts lost the Rams last week, 23-29 and have gone over in three of their four games. The return of Taylor should give this entire team a shot in the arm and with that I'm looking for a higher scoring game. Play the OVER. |
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10-08-23 | Saints v. Patriots UNDER 39 | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
Interconference matchup here has the AFC East 1-3 New England Patriots taking on the NFC South 2-2 New Orleans Saints. The Saints come into this game with a -14 point differential, scoring 62 points and allowing 76. QB Derek Carr has been upgraded to probable for this game with a shoulder injury. The Patriots also have a negative point differential of -42, scoring 55 points and allowing 97 on the season. Despite their new QB, the Saints have averaged just 15.5 points per game while allowing 19 ppg. They average 285.3 ypg an allow 304.3 ypg. Carr has averaged 190.8 ypg with just two TD's and two INT's in his four games. Last week in their loss to Tampa Bay, 9-26, Carr had just 127 yard with no TD's. In fact, Carr hasn't thrown a TD since week two at Carolina. The Patriots aren't much better on offense, coming off a loss last week at Dallas, 3-38. They have score 20 points or more just one time in four games and that came in a week one loss to Philly, 20-25. Two offenses that are not good with defenses that are above average. I'll take the UNDER. |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
AFC North clash here on Sunday has the division leading 3-1 Baltimore Ravens visiting the 2nd place 2-2 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens have a +41 point differential with 99 points scored and 58 points allowed. The Steelers are not so lucky as they are in the red with a minus-38 point differential with just 62 points scored and 100 points allowed. The Ravens are 1-3 over/under this season. They have allowed just 14.5 points per game while scoring 24.7 ppg. They are coming off a easy win at Cleveland last week, 28-3, going under the 38.5 point total. The teams only over came in week two at Cincinnati in a win over the Bengals, 27-24. The Steelers have had issue scoring this season with just a 15.5 points per game average. They lost last week at Houston, 6-30, going under the 41.5 point total. Their only over came in week two vs the Browns in a win, 26-22. Steelers QB Kenny Pickett was upgraded to probable for this game with a knee injury. Have to wonder how mobile he will be in this one if he does play. With the anemic Steelers offense I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +6 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Early game from London England here on Sunday. The Jags will be playing their second straight game from London. The Jags had little trouble in last week's game over the pond as they beat the Atlanta Falcons, 23-7. The defense held the Falcons to just 287 total yards. That improved the Jags to 2-2 and tied with the other three teams in the AFC South, all with 2-2 records. The Jags have a +2 point differential as they have scored 72 points and allowed 70. The Buffalo Bills have a +84 point differential, scoring 139 points and allowing only 55. They are coming off that showdown with the Miami Dolphins last week in which they dominated from start to finish in a win, 48-20. The Bills have dominated their last three opponents since that opening week shocking loss at the Jets, 16-22. One thing in this game is the possible letdown the Bills might have after that emotional win over the Dolphins last week. I'll take the points with the Jags who seem to play very well in London. Play Jacksonville. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one. |
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10-07-23 | Kentucky v. Georgia UNDER 47.5 | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
Big SEC clash here on Saturday has Georgia hosting Kentucky from Sanford Stadium. Both teams coming into this one undefeated. Kentucky coming off a big win over Florida last week, beating the Gators by 19-points, 3-14 and easily covering the 1-point spread. That made them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS. The issue though for Kentucky will be the offensive line where just three regulars are left. They are also hurting at running back as they are down to just two backs. Kentucky will rely on their excellent defense, ranked 18th in the country in total yards and top 10 vs the run. Georgia comes in 5-0 but has yet to cover a spread at 0-4-1 ATS. They have also seen three of their five games go under. Georgia also hit by injuries as four players will be out and five questionable. This one again looks to be on the lower scoring side as both teams nurse injuries and both teams rely on very good defenses. I'll take the UNDER here on Saturday. |
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10-07-23 | Marshall +6.5 v. NC State | 41-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference matchup here on Saturday. The Marshall Thundering Herd come into today's contest at North Carolina State with a 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS record. They have rushed for an average of 169 yards per game this season while passing for 243.3 yards per game. Marshall is coming off a win over Old Dominion, 41-35, but failed to cover the 14.5 point spread. NC State is 3-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack averages 151 yards on the ground and 194.2 yards passing. The Wolfpack is coming off a loss at home to Louisville, 10-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. It was the Pack's first cover of the season after four straight losses to start the season. NC State trying to rebound from a 4-9 campaign last season. Marshall is 58th in the country in passing offense and 53rd in rushing offense. NC State is 3-2 on the season but just 1-2 at home and 1-1 in the ACC. The Pack are just 106th in passing offense and 71st in rushing offense. Marshall getting 6.5-points here today and for me I can see the Herd winning this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play Marshall. |
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10-07-23 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 57 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Two undefeated Big 10 teams meet here on Saturday as 4-0 Ohio State host 5-0 Maryland from Columbus, OH. The Maryland Terps have a seven game win streak dating back to last season. Ohio State had last week off after their late win over Notre Dame the week prior. Maryland coming off their win over Indiana, 44-17. QB Taulia Tagovailoa threw for a career high five TD passes in the game. Ohio State just getting by Notre Dame two weeks ago in what was a pretty easy early season schedule where they faced Indiana, Youngstown State and Western Kentucky. Ohio State has an outstanding defense, allowing just 255.5 yards per game (6th in nation) with 149 yards passing yards allowed (5th in nation. They held Sam Hartman of Notre Dame to just 175 yards passing with one TD. Ohio State's offense hasn't been all that great, getting 23 points vs Indiana and rushing for just 126 yards vs Notre Dame. Maryland's offense will find the road much more difficult against this Ohio State defense. For me, I'm looking for a lower scoring contest here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 60 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Red River Rivalry from Dallas, TX as Texas takes on Oklahoma in one of College football greatest rivalries. Both teams with aspirations of a football playoff berth as Texas comes in ranked 3rd at 5-0 and the Sooners also 5-0 and ranked 12th. Oklahoma coming off a blowout win over Iowa State last week, 50-20. The Sooners rank sixth in total offense, 8th best in passing and 56th in rushing. Texas coming off a blowout win last week over 24th ranked Kansas, 40-14. They had 661 total yards of offense, 336 yard rushing and 325 passing. They rank 12th in total offense, 23rd in rushing and 25th in passing. Both these teams are great offensively and both limit turnovers. I will be taking the OVER here today. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants OVER 47 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks look to improve to 3-1 as they travel to the Meadowlands to take on the NY Giants. After opening with a loss to the Rams in week one, the Hawks have won at Detroit, 37-31 and then last week beat Carolina, 37-27 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hawks have also gone over the last two games as they have 37 points in each of those contests. The NY Giants are 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. They have averaged just 14.3 ppg while allowing 32.7 ppg. They lost last week at San Francisco, 12-30 as 10.5-point dogs. They have allowed 138 yards rushing and 223.7 yards passing on the year compared to just 88 rushing and 165 passing of their own. The Giants haven't stopped anyone thus far and the way the Seahawks have been playing I don't see them doing much here either. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City. |
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10-01-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC West matchup here on Sunday has the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals playing at the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are forced to play with their QB in Kyler Murray who will miss this game. However, he could return for their next game. Surprisingly though, the Cardinals are 3-0 vs the spread. They covered the 7-points in their opener at Washington, then covered vs the Giants and then shocked everyone last week with an outright win at home over the Dallas Cowboys as a 11-point dog. RB James Conner has been great with 98 yards last week and 106 the week before. The 49ers look like one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They have scored 90 points while allowing just 42 for a +48 point differential. Only the Buffalo Bills have a better point differential (+56). Brock Purdy has been efficient at QB with FOUR TD's and no INT's. He had 310 yards last week vs the Giants. But it's RB Christian McCaffrey who leads the team with 117 rushing yards per game and three TD's. The Niners are 14 point favorite or there about. With Dallas up next for the 49ers I expect them to not really concentrate much on this big dog today. I'll take the Cardinals and see if they can remain perfect vs the number. Play Arizona. |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 40.5 | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Key NFC South matchup here today has the 2-1 Tampa Bay Bucs traveling to New Orleans to take on the 2-1 Saints. Tampa Bay lost its first game of the season last week with a 11-25 loss at home to Philadelphia as a 5-point dog. The Bucs managed just 41 yards rushing and 133 yards passing while giving up 472 total yards. QB Baker Mayfield had a season low 146 yards with his first INT of the season. The Saints lost QB Derek Carr last week and what looked to be a bad shoulder injury actually wasn't as bad as he is upgraded to questionable for today's game. If he can't go then Jameis Winston will once again start. Winston was 10-for-16 last week and 101 yards in their 17-18 loss. The Saints led 17-0 but once Carr went down they heart went out of the team as they lost to the Packers. The Saints have just 53 points in three games while allowing 50. The Bucs have 58 points while allowing 59. Both teams more defense then offense. I don't expect the Saints to risk Carr here on Sunday and they will be cautious with Winston. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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10-01-23 | Bengals v. Titans UNDER 41 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are just 1-2 to start the season. Good news is that they are tied with Houston and Jacksonville while the Colts are just 2-1. They just need to find some offense as they have just 45 points in three games. The Titans were held to just three points last week at Cleveland in a 3-27 loss. The offense had just 94 total yards in the loss. Derick Henry has averaged just 54.3 rushing yards per game thus far while Ryan Tannehill has just 182.7 yards passing with one TD and three INT's. The Bengals QB Joe Burrow's injured calf evident in their opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. But considering the excellent Browns defense, maybe that wasn't such a bad performance. They lost in week two at home to the Ravens, 24-27 before getting their first win last week vs the Rams, 19-16. Burrows had his season high in passing yards with 242. They still need a better running game as they have 75, 66 and 67 yards in their three games. I don't expect a lot of points here today with two teams looking to establish a running game. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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09-30-23 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here on Saturday as TCU hosts West Virginia from the Amon Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. TCU won this matchup last season, 41-31 as a 7-point road favorite. West Virginia lost its opener to Penn State, 15-38. However, they have ton three straight over Duquesne, Pitt, and last week over Texas Tech, 30-13, as a 6-point dog. They have at least 146 yards rushing in each game. They have also covered their last three games. TCU also opened with a loss to Colorado, 42-45, but have since beaten Nicholls State, Houston and last week over SMU, 34-17. They are 2-2 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs have averaged 208.3 yards on the ground and 292.8 yards through the air. Their defense has held opponents to just 85.8 rushing yards. TCU has averaged 38.3 ppg, good for 23rd in the nation. They are 23rd in passing and 20th in rushing. I don't see West Virginia being able to move the ball well against this TCU defense and keep up with the dynamic TCU offense. TCU a double digit favorite but I have to believe that they will cover this game by at last a TD over that number. Play TCU. |
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09-30-23 | Notre Dame v. Duke +6 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one. |
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09-30-23 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +6.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC Classic here from AT&T Stadium as Arkansas hosts Texas A&M. The Aggies have won nine of the last 10 meetings with the Razorbacks. A&M is 3-1 S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming at Miami in week 2, 33-48 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies had a nice win to go to 1-0 in the SEC last week over Auburn, 27-10, as a 10-point favorite. The Aggies have one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging 149.5 ypg and getting 209 last week vs Auburn. Arkansas opened the season with a pair of wins over Western Carolina and then Kent State. However, they lost in week three to BYU, 31-38, and then last week last at LSU, 31-34, covering the 17.5-point dog line. They played their best game last week at LSU with 137 yards on the ground and 289 yards passing. Arkansas is a 6-point dog here on Saturday. A&M will be without QB Conner Weigman who has a foot injury. QB Max Johnson is probable and expected start. I'll take the points here with Arkansas. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | 31-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Two ACC teams meet here on Saturday as the 4-0 Syracuse Orange host the 2-2 Clemson Tigers. The Tigers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the Orange, including last year's 27-21 win as a 14-point favorite. Clemson looking to rebound from that wrenching loss last week at home to Florida. They led all the way until OT when Florida pulled out the win, 31-24. Clemson kicker Jonathan Weitz missed a 29-year field goal late in the 4th that could have won the game for the Tigers. Clemson lost their opening game at Duke, 7-28 before winning games vs Charleston Southern, 66-17, and Florida Atlantic, 48-14. Syracuse is 4-0 after beating Army last week, 29-16, pushing the 13-point line. The Orange are now 3-0-1 vs the number. They had an easy win vs Colgate, 65-0, then beat Western Michigan, 48-7, and a nice win at Purdue, 35-20. These two team very close in the power ranking and Syracuse a TD home dog here. I think Syracuse makes this a close game and possibly pulls out their 5th win. Play Syracuse. |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +1.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Two new members of the Big 12 will meet here on Friday as Cincinnati plays BYU in Provo. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-2 and 0-1 in the Big 12 after losing at home last week to Oklahoma, 6-20. The Cats had 376 yards of offense, but could manage just two field goals. What has hurt the team most thus far are turnovers, as they rank 84th in the nation in turnover differential. BYU is 3-1 after losing its first game of the season last week to Kansas, 27-38. The Cougars led at halftime, 17-14, but were outscored 21-3 starting the second half and never could come back. BYU is 41st in turnover differential. The offense has looked good, though the defense has had some issues thus far. BYU at home as a dog here on Friday is a bit more than I can pass on. The Cougars have the offensive weapons to stay in this game and I look for an outright win by BYU. Play BYU. |
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09-25-23 | Rams +3 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bengals a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl. They are 0-2 and have scored 27 points in two games. Now QB Joe Burrows has been hurt and while it looks like he will play tonight, he can't be close to 100%. The Rams are 1-1 after their two games. The Rams opened with that come from behind week 1 win at Seattle, 30-13. Then last week came up a big short at home against the 49ers, 23-30, pushing the spread. QB Matthew Stafford has looked good for the most part, though he did have two picks last week by the 49ers and just one TD on the season. The Bengals Joe Burrow only had 82 yards in their season opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. Then last week in the loss to Baltimore, 24-27, he had 222 yards with two TD's and one INT. Coaching edge goes to the Rams. The Rams have looked better overall and I can't be sure that Burrow can give 100% here. Take the Rams. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Week three of the NFL concludes here tonight with the Buccaneers hosting the Eagles. With Dallas and Washington both losing on Sunday, a win by the Eagles will put them alone in first in the NFC East with a 3-0 record. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 and with Atlanta and New Orleans both losing Sunday the Bucs can be the only team in the NFC South with a 3-0 record. The Eagles have average 178 yards on the ground this year and 162.5 yards through the air. Their defense has allowed just 52 rushing and 326 passing. Tampa Bay's defense has also been very good, allowing 54 yards rushing and 248.5 yards passing. Philly QB Jalen Hurts has two TD's and one INT on the season. He passed for 170 yards in the opener at New England and 193 yards last week vs Minnesota. Baker Mayfield came over to the Bucs in the offseason. He has three TD's and no INT's. At Minnesota in week one he threw for two TD's and 173 yards. Last week vs the Bears he threw for 317 yards and one TD. Both teams have played well early in the season, but the difference for me here tonight is getting points at home with Tampa Bay. I'll take the points in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle. |
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09-24-23 | Saints v. Packers -113 | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The 2-0 New Orleans Saints hit the road to take on the 1-1 Green Bay Packers. The Saints offense has scored just 36 points in two games but allowed just 32. The Saints opened with a home win over Tennessee in week one, 16-15 and then a road win in week 2, 20-17. They failed to cover vs the Titans and pushed last week. The defense has allowed just 282 totals yards per game thus far. New QB Derek Carr has thrown for 306 yards vs Tennessee with one TD and one INT. He then threw for 228 yards on the road last week with one INT and no TD's. Green Bay beat the Bears in week one, 38-20 and then lost last week at Atlanta 24.25. They have covered both games and both games have gone over the total. QB Jordan Love has been very good, throwing for 151 yards last week with three TD's and 245 yards in week one with three TD's. Love has Six total touchdowns and no interceptions. Saints will need more offense then they have showed to win here on Sunday. I'll take Love and the Packers in this one. But since the line is so short on Green Bay, I'll just take the Money Line with the Packers |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are 1-1 to start the season as three teams are all tied for the AFC South with a 1-1 record. The Titans averaged just 21 ppg thus far while allowing 20 ppg. The Titans opened the season with a loss at New Orleans, 15-16 and then won last wee at home over the Chargers, 27-24. They covered both games. They have rushed for 245 total yards and passed for another 381 total yards. Ryan Tannehill tossed three INT's in the opener but rebounded with None in their win over the Chargers to go with one TD. Derrick Henry is one of the best backs in the league, but he's yet to hit 100 yards. He rushed for 63 in the opener and then 80 yards last week. The Cleveland Browns had high hopes this season with Watson finally getting a full season at QB and arguably the best running back in Nick Chubb. Well, Chubb went down last week and will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. That will lead Jerome Ford to pickup the slack. Ford did rush for 106 yards after Chubb went down last week. Still, huge loss for this team. What made the injury even worse was losing the game to the Steelers, 22-26, even though they held Pittsburgh to just 255 yards of offense. I'm going to take Tennessee this week and see if Ford can really pick up the huge hole left by Chuff. Play Tennessee. |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions pulled the big upset in week one when they went into Kansas City and got the win, 21-20, as a 4-point dog. They fell off last week, losing at home as a 4.5-point favorite to the Seattle Seahawks, 31-37. They have outgained their opponents on the ground, 110-86. They also have more passing yards per game at 283-268.5. QB Jared Goff has four TD's and just one INT. Atlanta off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. The Falcons play their first road game here today after winning at home over Carolina, 24-10 and then at home over Green Bay, 25-24. The Falcons have been great on the ground, with 170.5 yard average. They haven't had to put much pressure on rookie QB Desmond Ridder who has been effective. Ridder has 2 TD's and just 1 INT this season. The Detroit defense has only allowed an average of 86 yards on the ground so this should be an interesting matchup. I'll take the points with Atlanta. -------------------------------------------------------- |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins OVER 47 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver had high hopes starting the season that QB Russell Wilson could turn things around. But so far that hasn't happened as the Broncos are 0-2. They have put up 49 points while allowing 52 points. The Broncos look good on opening drives when the plays are scripted, but after that things kind of fall apart. Miami is 2-0 and their offense has put up 30 ppg average after two games. The defense has allowed 51 points. Tua Tagovailoa has been good with Four TD's and just two INT's. He threw for 466 yards in the opener vs the Chargers and 249 yards last week vs a much better Patriots defense. Both these teams should be able to score on the other. I'll take OVER. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 36.5 | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots looking for their first win of the season after starting 0-2. They also hit the road for the first time here on Sunday as they have to play at a very good defensive NY Jets. The Pats offense hasn't been very good either with just 37 points in two games, though the defense is decent and has allowed 49 points. The Jets are 1-1 and have fewer points then the Pats with just 32. Their defense has allowed 46. QB Mac Jones for the Pats has FOUR TD's and a pair of INT's this season. He threw for 316 yards in the opener vs Philly and 231 last week vs Miami. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers 75 seconds into the season and now Zach Wilson is back at the helm. He threw three INT's last week in a 10-30 loss at Dallas. Wilson also has just 140 and 170 yards in two games. Both these teams are not very good offensively and much better defensively. I'll take UNDER today. |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups on Saturday has Notre Dame hosting Ohio State. The Irish faithful will be in full force for this one. Both teams are undefeated as Ohio State is 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS while the Irish are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Ohio State opened the season with a win over Indiana, 23-3, failing to cover the 30-point line. Then beat Youngstown State, 35-7, also failing to cover the 45.5-point line. And then last week beat Western Kentucky, 63-10, covering the 29-point line. This will be their toughest matchup of the season at Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have out gained their opponents 474.7 ypg to 223.7 ypg. They also have outscored opponents, 40.3 to 6.7 ppg. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Central Michigan last week, 41-17, failing to cover for the first time this year. The Irish biggest win was two weeks ago over NC State where they won 45-24 as a 7-point favorite. The Irish are out gaining opponents 508.8 to 234.8 ypg this year. They have outscored their opponents 46-11.7 ppg. This is a game that could really pad a resume for the playoffs at the end of the season. For me, I can't pass on the points at home with Notre Dame. Play the Irish plus the points. |
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09-23-23 | Texas -16.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
A pair of undefeated PAC-12 teams meet here on Saturday as 3-0 Oregon State takes on 3-0 Washington State. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-1 vs the spread and 2-1 over/under this season. Oregon State opened with a winner over San Jose, 42-17, then beat Cal Davis, 55-7 and then last week got by San Diego State, 26-9, but failed to cover that 24.5-point spread. The Beavers are outgaining their opponents 466 yards to 257 yards. They also rush for 6.3 yards per carry while holding the opponents to just 2.0 ypg. They outscore their opponents 41-11 on the season. Meanwhile, Washington State opened the season with a win and cover vs Colorado State, 50-24 and then a upset win at Wisconsin, 31-22 and last week beat Northern Colorado, 64-21, but failed to cover the 47.5-point line. The Cougars outgain their opponents 535.7 to 363.7 yards per game. They have also outscored opponents 48.3 to 22.3 ppg. Both these teams have been great on offense and solid on defense. I'm taking the home dog here on Saturday. Play Washington State. |
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09-23-23 | Colorado v. Oregon OVER 70 | 6-42 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
PAC 12 action has the surprising Colorado Buffaloes travelling to Oregon to take on the Ducks. Colorado has been the surprise team of the season with Deion Sanders the new head coach and his one son playing QB and the other both offense and defense. Despite both teams being 3-0 on the season, the oddsmakers aren't all that impressed with Colorado as they have them a 21-point dog. The Buffaloes opened with that shocker at TCU, covering the 21 point spread, 45-42. Then beat Nebraska as a 2.5-point favorite, 36-14. It was last week that might have swayed oddsmakers as the Buffs had to fight all game long to beat their instate rivals, Colorado State in double OT, 43-35. The offense has rolled though, averaging 41 ppg while allowing 30.3 ppg. Oregon has been a scoring machine this year, with 81 points vs Portland State in their opener, 38 vs Texas Tech and then last week beating Hawaii, 55-10, as a 38-point favorite. They have outscored opponents 58-15.7 and outgained them 587 - 286 on the season. Both teams can put up points and Colorado won't be able to stop the Oregon offense. I'll take the OVER here on Saturday. |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | 12-30 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants made a big comeback last week to pull out the win at Arizona, 31-28. The Giants did fail to cover the 5-point line and easily went over the 40-point total. The Giants had 438 total yards after that poor week one performance against Dallas where they got just 171 total yards. Daniel Jones rebounded from his 104 yards and two INT's vs the Cowboys with 321 yards and 2 TD's against Arizona. Now the Giants have to face another good defensive team in the 49ers. The 49ers are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS. They have had a very balanced offense with 173.5 rushing yards per game and 204.5 passing. They won both their road games thus far with a win at Pitt in week one, 30-7, and then last week at the Rams, 30-23, pushing last week's line. The defense has allowed just 41 yards on the ground and 198 through the air thus far. Could be another rough outing for the Giants defense here tonight. The Giants are last in the league in scoring defense as they have allowed 34 ppg. San Francisco is 3rd in the NFL in rushing and should have another field day on Thursday. The Giants can ill afford to fall behind 0-20 at half like they did last week. I expect Daniel Jones to have to throw a lot in this game and the 49ers to get plenty of points. I'll take OVER. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 38.5 | 22-26 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers defense to show much better here on Monday. Add to that a very good Browns defense and I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers to rebound here and win this second straight home game. Play Steelers. |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints look to improve to 2-0 with this second Monday Night football game at Carolina. The Saints did just enough to beat the Tennessee Titans last week, 16-15. They failed to cover the 3-point home line and went under the 41.5 total line. The Saints had 69 rushing yards and 282 yards passing. They held the Titans to 47 yards rushing and 181 yard passing. New QB Derek Carr was efficient with a 23-of-33 performance with one TD and one INT. Jamaal Williams led a trio of rushers with 45 yards though he did fumble one time. Carolina went to Atlanta last week and came up short to the Falcons, 10-24. They failed to cover the 3.5-point dog line and went under the 40.5 total. They did rush for 154 yards but had only 127 yards passing. The defense was very good, holding Atlanta to 130 yards rushing and 91 passing yards. New QB Bryce Young was 20-of-38 for 146 yards though he did have two INT's. Miles Sanders led the rushing attack with 72 yards though he also turned the ball over once. Both teams flashed some very good defense and not a lot of offense. I'll take the UNDER tonight. |