Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. The weather conditions play a big role for me here today and as such I have to go against the Dolphins who are used to that muggy Florida warm weather. Play Buffalo. |
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12-17-22 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 38 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today. |
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12-17-22 | Fresno State -4 v. Washington State | 29-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Fresno State comes into this LA Bowl with momentum, having won eight straight games. Meanwhile, the Washington State Cougars are a team in flux as they have coaching and personnel who will be missing today. Fresno State finished the regular season at 9-4 overall and riding that 8-game win streak. They looked great in the Mountain West Championship, beating Boise State on the Boise Blue turf, 28-16. This veteran team average 395 yards per game. They also held their last three opponents to just 30 combined points. Washington State finished the regular season at 7-5 overall under first year coach Jake Dickert. Washington State will be without OC Eric Morris who became the head coach at North Texas. He will also lose DC Brian Ward who will become head coach at Arizona State. They will also lose starting WR De'Zhaun Stribling and Donavan Ollie as both players entered the transfer portal and have departed. On defense they lose All-PAC-12 linebacker Daiyan Henley as he opted out for the NFL draft. Everything points to the Bulldogs here on Saturday. Take Fresno. |
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12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State -7.5 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Bowl pits the SEC vs the PAC 12 as Oregon State takes on Florida. The Oregon State Beavers can win 10 games with a victory here today in Vegas. Meanwhile, Florida at 6-6 was just luck to get a bowl bid. Plus, the Gators will have a new QB under center after starter Anthony Richardson opted out to get ready for the NFL draft. Plus, backup QB Jalen Kitna was released from the team earlier. Also opting out was their leading receiver Justin Shorter and Nay'Quan Wright and Lorenzo Lingard, both running backs, entered the transfer protocol. It looks like 20 scholarship players will be absent from the Florida sideline today. I'm not even looking at stats in this game. Florida shouldn't be here today and Oregon State will run away with the game. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. The Niners haven't like these short weeks, going 3-9 ATS their last 12 times on Thursday. Meanwhile, Seattle doesn't seem to mind the short week as much with a 8-2-2 ATS mark their last 12 times on Thursday. The Mariners are 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 meetings vs the 49ers in Seattle. They are also 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings overall. I'll take the points at home against a backup QB here tonight. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals UNDER 44 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots in dire need of a win here tonight if they hope to make the postseason. At 6-6 they are in last place in the AFC East, one game back of the Jets, 2 back of Miami and four back of Buffalo. The Patriots are coming off a loss at home to Buffalo two weeks agao, 10-24, as a 4-point dog. They had just 60 yards rushing and 242 total yards in the loss. That makes two losses in a row for the Pats. Arizona is 4-8 and 4 1/2 games back of San Francisco in the NFC West. The Cards are dead in the playoff race with so many teams ahead of them. They have lost two straight games including last week to the Chargers, 24-25 on a last second LA 2-point conversion. The Pats have been a good under team, with their last four going under after a bye week. They have also gone under in 24 of their last 33 on grass and are 5-16 Ov/Un in their last 21 road games vs a team with a losing home record. The Cards have trended more toward the over side, especially lately with six straight overs. However, they are just 2-9 Ov/Un in their last 12 times on Monday Night Football and 2-5 O/U in their last seven coming off a bye week. These teams have also gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4 | 30-24 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are in third place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record. The Panthers have won two of the last three games including two weeks ago over Denver, 23-10, as a pick'em. The Panthers had last week off to prepare for today's contest. The offense is not very good, ranked 30th overall. The defense is better, ranked at 19th overall and 14th vs the pass. The Panthers are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs the NFC. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine road games. The Seattle Seahawks making a push for a postseason spot as they are 7-5 overall and 2nd in the NFC West, one game back of the 49ers. Seattle is coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-23, failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Seattle offense ranks 9th overall (7th passing) and the defense is 30th. The Hawks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Panthers in Seattle. This is a long trip to the Northwest for the Panthers and I look for a Seattle win as they push for a playoff spot. |
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12-11-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 34-28 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
AFC West game here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs taking on the last place Denver Broncos. The Chiefs have the West wrapped-up with their 9-3 record and 3-game lead with four weeks to go in the regular season. The Chiefs are coming off a loss last week to the Bengals, 24-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped a five game win streak for the Chiefs. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the NFL with their passing attack first and their rushing 19th. The defense is 16th, 6th in rushing and 23rd in passing. The Chiefs have gone under in four of their last five games. What can you say about the Denver Broncos. What looked to be a Super Bowl team when Russell Wilson joined the club in the offseason, turned bad quickly as Wilson and the offense just didn't click all year. The offense is 27th overall and the most points this team has scored all year has been 23 points. In fact, they have not scored more than 16 in any of theirt last four games and seven of the last eight games. It isn't a far stretch that they have gone under in eight straight and 11 of their 12 games this year. With Denver playing the defense will keep them close, but the offense just isn't good enough to get these game over. Take the UNDER today. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions -2 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
The NFC North is already fully handled by the Minnesota Vikings as they sit atop the division with a 10-2 record. The next closest team are these Detroit Lions with a 5-7 record. Realistically it looks like only the Vikings will make the playoffs from the North. The Vikings have won two games in a row including last week over the Jets 27-22, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their offense was held to just 287 yards by a very good Jets defense. The Vikes offense ranks 19th overall in the league and 31st on defense, last in pass defense. Not very good for a team that is 10-2 overall on the season. The Lions may only have five wins, but they have been very competitive and have lost five games by four points or fewer this year. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 40-14, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have also won four of their last five games and covered five in a row. Their defense is dead last in the NFL but their offense ranks 7th overall. They have a very balanced offense, 10th in rushing, 9th in passing. The Vikings are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record and 1-5-1 ATS their last seven vs the NFC. Conversely, the Lions are 7-0 ATS their last seven vs the NFC and 9-2 ATS their last 11 at home. Detroit has covered the last four in this series and four of the last five in Detroit. I like the Lions here today. |
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12-11-22 | Ravens v. Steelers -1 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens found themselves in a defensive battle last week vs the Denver Broncos and came out on top in a 10-9 win, but didn't come close to covering the 8.5-point favorite line. The Ravens had just 285 total yards of offense, but held the Broncos to just 272 yards. The Ravens have now failed to cover the spread in their last three games. The Ravens will also be without QB Lamar Jackson, who injured his knee early in the Broncos contest. The Ravens will look to Tyler Huntley here on Sunday. Baltimore's defense is good but not great as they are ranked 13th overall. They are 2nd vs the rush but 25th vs the pass. The offense was already 14th, 3rd rushing, but without Jackson at QB those numbers won't be as good. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won two straight games including last week at Atlanta, 19-16, as a 1-point favorite. The defense ranks just 24th with the offense at 26th. The Ravens are just 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games and 3-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. They have also gone 0-4 ATS their last four vs the AFC North. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS their last seven games overall. They have also covered five of the last seven vs the Ravens. With Jackson out I'll take the Steelers here today. |
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12-11-22 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 46.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Important game here today for the Bengals as they are tied with the Ravens for the AFC North lead at 8-4 overall. They take on their intrastate rivals here today, Cleveland. The Bengals are coming off a big win last week over the Kansas City Chiefs, 27-24, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes four wins and covers in a row for the Bengals. The did go under though last week, scoring 51 total points but coming up short of the 53-point over/under. That makes two under games in a row. The Bengals defense is decent, ranked 12th overall. The offense ranks fifth overall and fourth in passing. The Bengals do look to get back RB Joe Mixon who has missed a few games with a concussion. The Bengals are 1-10-1 O/U in their last 12 games vs the AFC and 4-12-1 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Browns are coming off a win last week over the Houston Texans, 27-14, as a 7.5-point favorite. They have gone under their last two games. The Browns defense is ranked 15th overall. The offense is 6th with the rushing game at 4th. I look for this game to go under here on Sunday. |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 41 | 36-22 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
AFC South clash here on Sunday has the third place Jacksonville Jaguars taking on the first place Tennessee Titans. The Jags are 4-8 on the season and coming off a loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 14-40, as a 1.5-point dog. They gave the Lions 337 yards through the air while gaining just 266 total yards themselves. The Jacksonville defense is ranked 25th overall while the offense comes in at 12th overall. While the Titans are in first place, they have lost two straight games to Cincinnati and then last week to Philadelphia, 10-35, as a 4.5-point dog. They had just 209 total yards in that game. Not surprising that the offense ranks just 29th overall. The defense isn't much better at 23rd overall. Makes you wonder how this team has stayed in first place until you see how bad the other teams in the division have performed. The Jags are 7-19 Ov/Un their last 26 games vs a team with a winning record. The Titans have gone under in their last six vs the AFC. They are also 3-13 O/U in their last 16 home games. Take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER. |
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12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
NFC South clash here can put the whole division into turmoil with a Saints win. Right now the Bucs lead the South with a 5-6 record, the Falcons lost on Sunday dropped them to 5-8 and the Panthers and Saints pull up the rear at 4-8. A Saints win and three teams would have five wins. However, a Bucs win and they can pull into solo position in the South lead. The way the NFC is panning out, all four teams in the East could make the playoffs, the Vikings in the North with the Lions and Packers still in it and the 49ers and Seahawks in the West. It's likely that only the winner of the South will make the playoffs. The Saints were shutout last week at San Francisco, 0-13. They had just 260 total yards. The Saints offense ranks 15th in the NFL, 11th in passing. Tampa Bay's offense is just 18th overall, 5th in passing and last in rushing. Tampa Bay lost at Cleveland last week, 17-23, as a 3-point favorite. Despite Tom Brady at QB, the Bucs offense has scored more than 22 points just one time all season. The Bucs defense has dropped to 9th while the Saints are 11th. Tampa Bay is just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have covered the last four in this series at Tampa Bay and seven of the last nine overall. The dog is also 4-1 ATS the last five. I'll take the points here tonight with the Saints. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 49.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I see both of these offenses putting up plenty of points here today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders -2 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I like the Raiders here today as they have confidence and momentum. Play Las Vegas. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions OVER 51 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-04-22 | Broncos v. Ravens -9.5 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
The first place Baltimore Ravens are tied with the Bengals for the AFC North lead. Both teams are 7-4 and looking to get sole position this week. While the Bengals will face the Chiefs, the Ravens face the reeling Broncos. Denver sure didn't expect this kind of season when they signed Russell Wilson in the offseason. Yet here they are, last in the AFC West with a 3-8 record. The Broncos offense has been anemic, scoring 10, 16 and 10 the last three games - all losses. In fact, they have over 21 points just one time all season and that was 23 vs the Raiders in a nine-point loss. The only saving grace has been their 3rd ranked defense. The Broncos are now 4-14 ATS their last 18 vs the AFC and 2-7 ATS their last nine on the road. The Ravens are coming off that tough loss last week at Jacksonville, 27-28, as a 3-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The offense ranks 11th overall and the defense is 15th. The Ravens are 7-3 ATS their last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Ravens are also 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the Broncos and 6-1 ATS their last seven at home. I'll take the Ravens here today against a Broncos team that just can't score. |
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12-04-22 | Browns -8 v. Texans | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The big news in this game is the expected debut of Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson. His suspension over, the Browns stated weeks ago that when he was ready he will start. However, such a long lay I have to wonder how game ready he will be. Then again, he's facing his old team in Houston and they are not good so it's the perfect team to debut against. The Browns are 4-7 and in third in the AFC North. They still have a shot at a postseason bid, but they will have to almost win out the rest of the way. The Browns still have the NFL's 5th ranked offense, thanks to a rushing game that gets over 150 yards per game. If Watson can contribute as he once did that will make this a very formidable balanced offense. The Houston defense is ranked 29th in the NFL and last vs the rush so it will be a long day against this Browns rushing attack. That means not a lot should be required from Watson as he gets into game shape. I'll take the Browns here today as they control the ball on the ground. |
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12-03-22 | Purdue +17 v. Michigan | 22-43 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
Big 10 Championship looks like an easy win for Michigan here today. However, Michigan is coming off that huge emotional win over their bitter rivals Ohio State, 45-23, as a 7.5-point dog. This will actually be the first time these Big 10 have met since 2017. Purdue finished the regular season with a 3-game winning streak that propelled them to the Big 10 West title. Obviously Purdue will be hard pressed to win today, but I'm looking at this almost 17-point dog line. Purdue closed out with wins over Indiana, Northwestern and a very good Illinois team. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. Whereas Michigan is only 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Michigan should clinch that spot in the playoff top four, but will they cover this huge line. I expect Purdue to at least get inside this big number. I'll take a shot with the big dog here. |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 54 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Mountain West Championship from Boise here on Saturday on the Smurph turf. Fresno State met Boise State back on October 8th with the Boise State winning easy, 40-20. Since that loss, Fresno has gone 7-0 S/U and 5-2 ATS including last week at home over Wyoming, 30-0, as a 15-point favorite. Boise State is coming off a win at home over Utah State, 42-23, as a 16.5-point favorite. That makes three straight wins since their loss to BYU on Nov 5th. Boise was perfect in the Mountain West this year, going 8-0. Today though I'm looking at the total. These teams scored 60 last time they played. Fresno has gone over in their last four road games and are 5-1 ov/un their last six overall. Boise has gone over in their last five home games. Should be a good game, I'm looking for a high scoring matchup here today. Take the OVER. |
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12-03-22 | Coastal Carolina v. Troy -8.5 | 26-45 | Win | 100 | 40 h 48 m | Show | |
Sun Belt Championship as Troy hosts the title game against Coastal Carolina. Coastal is 9-2 on the season and looking for a second Sun Belt title in the last three years. Coastal got blown out last week by James Madison, 7-47. Madison actually beat out Coastal for the East Division, but because it was the Dukes first year in conference they weren't eligible for postseason this year. So really Coastal shouldn't even be in this game. Adding to their woes, QB Grayson McCall could miss this game with an ankle injury. Meanwhile, Troy has been red hot under first year coach Chip Lindsey. They finished the season 10-2 overall and making their first ever in the Sun Belt Championship game. Troy coming off a strong performance last week over Arkansas State, 48-19. Troy just too good for this Coastal team that was blown out last week. Take Troy. |
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12-03-22 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
MAC Championship here today has the 7-5 Toledo Rockets taking on the 9-3 Ohio Bobcats in an early Saturday matchup. Ohio is coming off a win over Bowling Green, 38-14, as a 5.5-point favorite. Ohio has been a great bettor's team, covering their last eight games. Toledo, is coming off a loss at Western Michigan, 14-20, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Rockets have not taken off for bettors, failing to cover in five straight games. The Rockets offense will have to improve that off poor performance at Western Michigan where they had to punt 10 times. Ohio is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 on a neutral site and 22-8 ATS their last 30 vs a team with a winning record. I like Ohio here early on Saturday. |
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12-03-22 | Kansas State +2 v. TCU | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Early action here on Saturday has the Big 12 Championship between Kansas State and TCU. The stakes are even higher than just this game for undefeated TCU. The Horned Frogs are 12-0 and No 3 in the latest College Playoff rankings. A win today and the Frogs will secure a spot in the four team playoff. Kansas State finished 9-3 and looking to avenge their loss to the Frogs earlier this year, 28-38. Kansas State became a better team after losing QB Adrian Martinez to an injury. Will Howard took over this team was better. Kansas State coming in off their win last week over Kansas, 47-27, as a 11.5-point favorite. K State is ranked 40th in the country in total offense. As stated, the stakes can't be any bigger for TCU here today. TCU will contend with one of the best pass defenses as K State allowed just 6.3 yards per attempt. If there is one knock against TCU, it's the fact that they are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on a neurtal site. The Wildcats have covered four of the last five in this series. I'll take a shot with the Cats here today to pull the upset and knock TCU out of the playoff picture. |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC OVER 66.5 | 47-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
Lots on the line for this PAC-12 Championship game from Allegiant field in Las Vegas. The USC Trojans have their eye set on a playoff bid and they need to get by last year's PAC-12 Champion Utah Utes here tonight. Also, USC QB Caleb Williams has a great shot at the Heisman Trophy award and another great performance here tonight could really help that cause too. This is a rematch of the game from October 15th when the Utes came from behind at home to beat USC, 42-43 as a 3-point dog. The USC offense is ranked 5th overall in the country and they have a 80% red zone efficiency mark with 51 Touchdowns in 67 redzone trips, tops in the nation. Utah isn't too far back, ranked 20th in offense and a rezone efficiency of 76.6%. On the defensive side of the ball Utah much better with the 17th ranked unit compared to the Trojans' 90th ranked defense. Last time these teams met they scored almost 90 points. With two potent offenses here I don't see this one being any different. Your free play is on the OVER. |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC -2.5 | Top | 47-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
Lots on the line for this PAC-12 Championship game from Allegiant field in Las Vegas. The USC Trojans have their eye set on a playoff bid and they need to get by last year's PAC-12 Champion Utah Utes here tonight. Also, USC QB Caleb Williams has a great shot at the Heisman Trophy award and another great performance here tonight could really help that cause too. This is a rematch of the game from October 15th when the Utes came from behind at home to beat USC, 42-43 as a 3-point dog. The USC offense is ranked 5th overall in the country and they have a 80% red zone efficiency mark with 51 Touchdowns in 67 redzone trips, tops in the nation. Utah isn't too far back, ranked 20th in offense and a rezone efficiency of 76.6%. On the defensive side of the ball Utah much better with the 17th ranked unit compared to the Trojans' 90th ranked defense. USC hasn't won a PAC-12 Championship since 2017, but I think this is the year. The price is right on this game as USC lays 2 1/2 points. Take the Trojans here today. |
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12-02-22 | North Texas v. UTSA OVER 69.5 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
The UTSA Roadrunners are 10-2 on the season and will host today's Conference USA Championship from the Alamodome. North Texas finished their season at 7-5 overall. NTU is coming off a win over Rice in their final regular season game, 21-17, but failed to cover the 17-point line. They have also gone over in two of their last three games and six of their last nine games. They will face a formidable UTSA offense that ranks 13th in the country. The Roadrunners have scored at least 30 points in all but one game this year. North Texas has gone over in seven of their last 10 games. These teams met back in October and UTSA won that matchup at home, 31-27. Stiff total here today around 70, but if North Texas can get close to 30 this one will go over. Play the OVER. |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
Week 13 of the NFL gets underway here on Thursday with a key AFC contest as the Patriots host the Bills. The AFC East one of the best conferences in football as all four teams are above .500 on the year. The Bills are tied for first place at 8-3 with the Miami Dolphins while the Patriots are in last place with a 6-5 record. Buffalo just did get by the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, 28-25, winning on a late field goal but failing to cover the 9.5-point line. Meanwhile, the Patriots also lost last week at Minnesota, 26-33, as a 2.5-point dog. The Bills have the NFL's third best passing offense, 8th best rushing offense and 2nd best scoring offense. The Bills will be without a key defensive player though as Von Miller (knee) has been ruled out for this game. The Pats had won three straight games and five of their last six before their loss at Minnesota. The Patriots are ranked 6th in scoring defense (21.7 ppg allowed). Both teams battling for the AFC East and AFC playoff picture here tonight. The Bills are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The dog is 5-2-1 ATS their last eight in this series. I like the Patriots here today. In fact, I won't be surprised with a straight up win. Take New England. |
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11-27-22 | Rams v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
The Defending Super Champion Rams look pretty much dead in the water this season. Injuries has decimated the team and today they will be without two key starts. QB Matthew Stafford is out with a neck injury as is WR Cooper Kupp who is out with a ankle injury. The Rams have now lost four straight games and not score more than 20 points in seven of their last eight games. What was once a high octane offense now ranks 30th overall and 31st in rushing. The defense is still good though, ranking in at 10th overall. The Kansas City Chiefs have opened up a three-game lead in the AFC West at 8-2 overall. The Chiefs have won four straight games since their loss at home to Buffalo back on Oct 16th. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the league and 18th ranked defense. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five road games and 10 of their last 14 road games vs a winning home team. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six home games. Unless the Chiefs go crazy scoring here today, I don't see the Rams scoring enough to get this game over. I'll take the UNDER. |
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11-27-22 | Saints v. 49ers OVER 43 | 0-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 4-7 and in third place in the NFC South. The good news is that both the Bucs and Falcons, who lead the division, are just one game ahead of them. The Saints beat the Rams last week 27-20 as a 2.5-point home favorite. That win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Saints defense is ranked 12th overall and 8th vs the pass. The offense is 10th overall. The 49ers are coming off a win over 38-10 as a 9.5-point favorite. They held the Cardinals, who where without their starting QB, to just 314 yards. That makes three wins in a row for the Niners. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The 49ers have the 8th ranked offense in the league and the top ranked defense in the NFL. These teams have gone over in their last six meeting in San Francisco and 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | 40-34 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have thought starting the season that at week 12 the Seattle Seahawks would be tied for first place in the NFC West despite the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. But, here they are 6-5 overall and tied with the 49ers. The Rams and Cardinals look out of the race at this point. The Seahawks four-game win streak was snapped two weeks ago at Tampa bay, 16-21, as a 2.5-point road dog. The Hawks had last week off to prepare for today's home game. After a 4-0 preseason, a lot of high expectations were on the Raiders and first year HC Josh McDaniels. But, to say it's been a letdown is going lightly as the Raiders are just 3-7 and tied for the bottom of the AFC West with Broncos. The Raiders did beat the Broncos in Denver last week in OT, 22-16. QB Derek Carr throwing a long TD to Davante Adams for the winning score. That snapped a three game losing streak. The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine games in this series. The favorite is also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The weather looks to be typical Seattle here on Sunday with rain and cool temps throughout the contest. It was a big win last week for the Raiders, but I don't see that continuing here this week. I'll take the Seahawks at home. |
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11-27-22 | Bucs v. Browns UNDER 42 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Weather looks to be playing a factor here in Cleveland on Sunday as the Browns host the Bucs. It looks to be a windy day with winds from 10-20 mph and temps in the upper 40's and a chance of rain. The Browns have had a disappointing season at 3-7 and tied for last in the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cleveland offense is 4th in the league and their rushing attack, which was 1st, has dropped to fifth. The Tampa offense is ranked 17th with the passing game at 5th. Cleveland has the 20th ranked defense with Tampa coming in at 7th. The Browns will have QB Deshaun Watson available for today's contest. The management has said Watson would start as soon as he was eligible and now he is so don't be surprised for Watson to take over today. For me, I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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11-27-22 | Bears +7.5 v. Jets | 10-31 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record. The Bears have lost three straight games, all by three points or fewer including last week at Atlanta, 27-27, as a 2-point dog. The Bears held the Falcons to just 280 total yards, but could muster only 288 themselves. The defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 22nd. The NY Jets are having an excellent season at 6-4 overall and third place in the AFC East. The Jets were tied with the Pats last week 3-3 before a New England punt return for a TD with just seconds left in the game got them the loss, 3-10 as a 3-point dog. That after their huge win the week before over Buffalo, 20-17. The Jets are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games vs a team with a losing record. The Bears are also 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Jets. The Jets have benched QB Zach Wilson who will miss this game. QB Mike White looks to be the starter here on Sunday with Joe Flacco the backup. The Jets have been using their 8th ranked defense to win games this year. Still, huge change of direction for this Jets team that was 5-2 since Wilson returned from his knee injury. I'll take the Bears here today. |
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11-27-22 | Bengals v. Titans +1.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 6-4 record and just one game back of the Ravens. The Tennessee Titans are in 1st place in the AFC South with a 7-3 record, 3-games ahead of the Colts. The Bengals are coming off a win last week at Pittsburgh, 37-30, covering the 3.5-point favorite line. The Bengals have the 7th best offense in the league and 4th best passing game. The defense is ranked 11th overall. The Titans are coming off a win at Green Bay last week, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. The Titans have covered eight straight games. Their defense is ranked 19th overall and 2nd against the rush. The offense is ranked 29th overall, 11th in rushing. The dog is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. Not sure why Tennessee is a small home dog here today. But I'll take the points anyways and look for a Titans straight up win. Play Tennessee. |
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11-26-22 | Kansas v. Kansas State -11.5 | 27-47 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
A nice rivalry game here as Kansas State hosts Kansas on Saturday. The Kansas Jayhawks started the season 4-0, but since then have lost five of six games. The Jayhawks are 6-5 and could fall to .500 to finish the season. The Jayhawks are coming off a loss at home to Texas last week, 14-55, as a 9-point dog. In fact, you have to go back week four for the last time the Hawks were installed as a favorite in a game. Kansas has a good offense, ranked 35th overall in the nation. However, it's the defense that has been bad this year, ranked 119th. Kansas hasn't beaten Kansas State in this rivalry in over 10 years. Kansas State is second in the division at 6-2 and looks to need a win here to play TCU for the Big 12 Championship. The Wildcats have won two straight games including last week at West Virginia, 40-31, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Cats are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games and 5-2 ATS their last seven at home. They are also 10-3 ATS their last 13 meetings with Kansas. The Favorite is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings. I look for a Kansas State win here on Saturday. |
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11-26-22 | Kent State v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
This is a MAC makeup game after last week's game was cancelled in Buffalo due to the snow storms. Kent State will finish their season here on Saturday as they are just 4-7 and won't be going to a bowl. Buffalo is 5-5 and needs a win to get bowl eligible. Have to wonder what motivation Kent State has here today with nothing on the line. Kent State should have been done last week, but Mother Nature made them go this week instead. The Golden Flashes have not been good on the road, going 5-11 ATS their last 16 games. They are also 1-6 ATS their last seven overall games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games. Buffalo put in this must win situation because they have lost two straight games to Ohio and Central Michigan. This is senior day at Buffalo who sport the 48th ranked offense and 57th best defense. This game is all about motivation, Buffalo has it all today and Kent State just looking to go home and begin their vacation. Take Buffalo. |
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11-25-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +3.5 | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
SEC Action here today between 2-5,5-6 Missouri and Arkansas (3-4, 6-5). Missouri can get to that six win mark and make themselves Bowl eligible here today. A loss and they go home. Arkansas snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over Ole Miss, 42-27, as a 2.5-point dog. The Hogs offense ranks 19th in the nation, the defense though ranks at 117th. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a win over New Mexico State, 45-14. The Tigers have covered four of the last five against Arkansas in Missouri. In addition, the home team has covered nine of the last 10 times in this series. I'll take Missouri here today as the game means little to Arkansas. |
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11-25-22 | Arizona State v. Arizona -4 | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Rivalry game here today between Arizona State and Arizona. Arizona State playing its last game of the season today as they sit at 2-6 in conference and just 3-8 overall. Same goes for Arizona who is one spot higher at 2-6 in conference and 4-7 overall. So this is both these teams respective Bowl game and the excitement will be just as high when these two schools clash. Arizona State has lost three straight games after last week's loss at home to Oregon State, 7-31. ASU had just 276 total yards to Oregon State's 443. The offense ranks 79th in the country. Arizona had a huge upset win two weeks ago as they beat UCLA on the road, 34-28 as a 19.5-point dog. Then came back last week and lost at home to Washington State, 20-31 as a 4-point dog. The offense ranks 20th in the country. Arizona State is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine meetings. I'll stick with the home team here today. Play Arizona U. |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings -2.5 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
The Vikings really laid an egg last week at home in their loss to the Cowboys, 3-40. They had a paltry 73-yards rushing and 110-yards passing for just 183 total yards. They allowed the Cowboys 458 totals yards. It was a surprising outcome considering the Vikings were 8-1 and in first place in the NFC North at the time. Their status in the North is not in jeopardy though as the 4-6 Lions are the closest team to them. One good thing is that the Vikings are 20-6 ATS the week after they had 150 yards or fewer passing and 21-7 ATS the after a total of 250 yards or fewer. The Vikings still have a good home record against winning clubs, going 16-6 ATS their last 22. The 6-4 Patriots visit Minnesota today. The Pats are tied with the Jets in the AFC East behind both the Dolphins and Bills who sit at 7-3. The Patriots had a punt return for a touchdown with 5 seconds left in the game last week to get the win over the Jets, 10-3, in what was a very windy and cold Foxboro. The defense held the Jets to just 103 total yards in the cold weather. In fact, the defense has now allowed just 103 and 121 total yards the last two weeks and just six combined points. The defense has shot up to fourth in the NFL overall. I really do expect the Vikings to put forth a much better effort here today after that embarrassment on home field last week. I'll take the Vikings here today. |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Ole Miss | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
20th ranked Ole Miss will host their rivals here on Thanksgiving evening, the Bulldogs of Mississippi State. Ole Miss is 4-3 in the SEC West and 8-3 overall and headed to bowl after this game. They won't play for the SEC title as that will fall to either LSU or Alabama. The Bulldogs are 3-4 in the West and 7-4 overall and also headed to a bowl game. Ole Miss has lost two straight games to Alabama and then last week to Arkansas, 27-42, as a 2.5-point favorite. Meanwhile, Miss State had a softball thrown their way in that of East Tennessee State, which they had little trouble with in a 56-7 win. That rebounded them from their 19-45 loss to Georgia the week before. Ole Miss is jut 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five conference games. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. I'm going to take the small points with the Bulldogs here today. Play Mississippi State. |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | 20-28 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
NFC East clash between the 7-3 Dallas Cowboys and the 7-3 NY Giants. The winner takes over sole position of 2nd place in the division, with a chance to pull within one game of 1st place Philadelphia. The NFC East was one of the worst divisions in football and now it's one of the best with the last place Commanders sitting at 6-5 and in prime playoff position. The Giants lost last week at home to the Detroit Lions, 18-31, despite having more yards than Detroit, 413-325. The Giants are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NFC games and 0-4 ATS in their last four vs the NFC East. Dallas rolled to an easy win even though they played on the road at 8-1 Minnesota, easily winning 40-3. Tony Pollard showing he should be a full time #1 running back as he had over 100 yards receiving and let the team in rushing with two pass receiving touchdowns. Even though Ezekiel Elliot is back, it looks like Pollard might get the share of carries and is a prime target for Dak Prescot. The Cowboys have covered three of their last four games. Their lone loss coming in that game at Green Bay two weeks ago where they gave up a 28-14 lead before losing in OT. The Cowboys love playing on the artificial turf, now 20-7 ATS their last 27. They are also 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS their last 11 vs the Giants and 4-1 ATS their last five at Dallas. Take the Cowboys here on Thursday. |
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11-24-22 | Bills v. Lions +9.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills new home seems to be Detroit's Ford Field. The Bills played here last week as their game was moved from Buffalo do to severe snow storms. The Bills got off to slow start last week but stormed back to beat the Browns, 31-23, covering or pushing the 7.5 or 8-point line. That snapped two straight losses by the Bills to Minnesota and the Jets. The Bills are now tied with the Dolphins in the AFC East for first place with both teams at 7-3. The Patriots and Jets right behind at 6-4. The Lions pulled the improbable win last week at the Giants, winning 31-18 as a 3-point dog. The Lions only had 325 yards to the Giants 413 yards of offense. That was the third straight win for the Lions both S/U and ATS. The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games and 6-2 ATS their last eight games vs a team with a winning home record. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I am on here today. Play the Lions. |
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11-22-22 | Bowling Green +7.5 v. Ohio | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Mid-week MAC action tonight has Bowling Green taking on Ohio in their final regular season games. The Ohio Bobcats are 1st in the East Division and can clinch with a win tonight that sends them to Detroit for the MAC title game. However, a loss by Ohio tonight and we'll have to wait for Saturday's game between Kent State and Buffalo. Bowling Green has seen great improvement this year. This is a team that was 7-22 the last three years and now they are already bowl eligible with six wins. A win tonight and they pull into a tie with the Bobcats for place in the East. They have won four of their last five games and are 3-0 in the MAC on the road this year. Ohio is led by QB Kuris Rourke and he's questionable tonight with a knee injury. If Rourke doesn't go, then that is bad news for the Cats. With his status in question I'll have to take the points with the Falcons who are a very good team. Play Bowling Green. |
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11-22-22 | Ball State +3 v. Miami-OH | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Ball State closing out their regular season here tonight at Miami Ohio. This is a huge game for the Cardinals since a win and they remain Bowl eligible. Ball State is 5-6 overall and needs this week to get to six wins. Ball State lost at home last week to Ohio, which hurt their chances for the bowl season. Also looking to get bowl eligible is Miami Ohio, which is also 5-6 on the season. They need a win here tonight also after setting up this game with last week's win over Northern Illinois, 29-23 on the road. Both teams in must win as the winner is bowl eligible and the loser is done for the season. I'm taking the small points in this contest tonight with Ball State and looking for the Cardinals to win outright. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings +1.5 | 40-3 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 16 m | Show | |
Not too often you can get a 8-1 team as a small home dog. But that's the case here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys visit Minnesota to face the Vikings. The Vikings just coming off a huge win at Buffalo in OT, 33-30. That after trailing one of the best defensive teams in the league, 10-24 at the half. As for Dallas, the Cowboys led the Packers 28-14 before the Packers came back with 14 points in the fourth quarter to tie the game and then won in OT, 31-28. I'm sorry, but no way the Vikings should be any dog in this game. I'll take this price early on Minnesota. |
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11-20-22 | Bengals v. Steelers +4 | 37-30 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals sitting at 5-4 and one game back of the Ravens in the AFC North. They will face last place North team Pittsburgh Steelers here today who are 3-6. The Bengals rebounded from their loss to Cleveland three weeks ago, 13-32, with a nice win two weeks ago at home over Carolina, 42-21. The Bengals had last week off to prepare for today. The Bengals offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL with the passing game at 6th. The defense comes in at 10th overall. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat New Orleans last week at home, 20-10, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Steelers rushed for a season-high 217 yards while holding the Saints to just 186 total yards (29 on the ground). The Steelers defense hasn't been that good all season, ranking 27th overall and 30th vs the pass. Though they have been good at stopping the run (6th). The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games. They are also 22-10-1 ATS their last 33 meetings with the Bengals. I'll take the points at home with the Steelers and look for an outright Pittsburgh win today. |
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11-20-22 | Panthers +13 v. Ravens | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
It's AFC vs NFC here today as the NFC South Carolina Panthers take on the AFC North Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are in first place in the division with a 6-3 record. They lead the Bengals by one game. The Ravens have won three straight games, including two weeks ago at New Orleans, 27-13, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Ravens had last week off. That makes two straight covers for the Ravens. The Ravens are just 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games following an ATS win. They are also 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. The Panthers made some wholesale changes to their team when they traded Christian McCaffery away to the 49ers. Still, they have been competitive, covering three of the last four. The Panthers also had a bye week last week after beating the Falcons the week before, 25-15, as a 2.5-point dog. The Baltimore defense ranks 19th while Carolina comes in at 25th. The Ravens are 12th on offense while the Panthers are 30-th. These teams last met in 2018 when Carolina won at home, 36-21 as a small dog. Panthers getting around 13-points here today. I believe that might be a bit much though the way the Panthers have been covering spreads. I'll take a shot with Carolina here today. |
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11-20-22 | Browns +8 v. Bills | 23-31 | Push | 0 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. The move has to hurt the Bills more than the Browns here today. I'll take the TD+ today with the Browns. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills OVER 50 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. No snow and a fast turf makes be believe we'll see some point being put up here today. The Browns are 6-2-1 Ov/Un their last nine games and 5-1-1 O/U their last seven vs the AFC. I will take a chance on the over here today with the move to an indoor stadium and the faster turf. Play the OVER. |
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11-20-22 | Jets +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
The NY Jets might be the most surprising team this year with their 6-3 record and just one game behind the Miami Dolphins for the lead in the AFC East. But in the competitive East division all the teams are bunched up with the last placed Patriots at 5-4 and just two games back of first place. That makes a game like this today so important to both teams. Especially when you have the 6-3 Bills in the mix of things. The Jets coming off the big upset last week of the Bills, 20-17, as a 10.5-point dog. The Jets have now covered five of their last six games. The Jets have also had a very good defense, ranked 7th in the NFL. The Patriots coming off a win last week over the Colts, 26-3. They have also covered five of their last six games. The Patriots defense is 12th in the league. The Jets have an edge on offense where they are 18th in the league compared to the Patriots at 26th. I expect a close game here on Sunday. Neither team will run away with this one so the line is important. I'll take the points with a Jets team that can easily win outright. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-19-22 | UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
Late and last game on the board here on Saturday has a Mountain West clash with UNLV playing at Hawaii. UNLV started the season 3-0 and since has gone 1-6. They need to win out their last two games tonight at Hawaii and then at home vs Nevada to be 6-6 on the season and maybe a shot at a bowl game. Hawaii coming off a loss last week at home to Utah State, 34-41, covering the 11.5-point dog line. The Rainbow Warriors have covered five of their last six games, though they are just 3-8 S/U mark. The Warriors will close out their season next week at San Jose State. The Rebels have done well covering spreads, going 10-4 ATS their last 14 games and 4-1 ATS their last five on the road. The problem I have here is that UNLV laying 11-points. They are not the type of team to cover big spreads as a favorite and Hawaii has done well vs the number, especially at home. I'll take a shot here with Hawaii plus the double digit points. |
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11-19-22 | USC v. UCLA +2.5 | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
Huge rivalry game here as No 7 USC travels the short distance across town to take on UCLA at the Rose Bowl. USC is in 1st in the PAC-12 standings with a 7-1 conference record and 9-1 overall mark. No 16 UCLA is 5-2 in PAC-12 play and 8-2 overall. USC enters those final two games of the season that always including UCLA and then Notre Dame, so no easy games for the Trojans. USC's only loss this season coming bac, on Oct 15 as Utah came from behind to nip the Trojans, 43-42. UCLA coming off a loss last week at home against Arizona, 28-34, as a huge 19.5-point favorite. It's obvious that the Bruins looked past Arizona to this game this week. They close out the regular season at Cal next week. UCLA beat USC last year in big fashion, 62-33 as a 5-point road dog. That makes UCLA 3-2 ATS the last five meetings. USC is just 6-14-2 ATS their last 22 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games overall. UCLA is 8-2 ATS their last 10 conference games and 5-2 ATS their last seven overall. UCLA a small home dog here but I look for them to win this game outright before a packed house of rabid fans at the Rose Bowl. Take UCLA. |
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11-19-22 | Iowa +3 v. Minnesota | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Big 10 West is wide open for a winner between four teams and two of them meet here today as 4-3 Iowa takes on 4-3 Minnesota. Both teams heading to bowls no matter what happens. Iowa has the third best defense in college football. It's the offense that has had troubles this season as they rank only 129th. Iowa has won three straight since losing to Ohio State, that includes last week over Wisconsin, 24-10, as a 1.5-point dog. Minnesota has won three straight games, including last week over Northwestern, 31-3. After Iowa they close out at Wisconsin the final week. Iowa is 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Minnesota. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games at Minnesota. I like this defense of Iowa and as a dog here today they should be right in it until the end. Play Iowa. |
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11-19-22 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Auburn | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky down to its final two games of the regular season. The Hilltoppers are 6-5 and looking to make it to a bowl with a win in one of the two final games. After Auburn this week they will travel to Florida Atlantic for their final regular season game. Auburn having an off season likely isn't going anywhere this bowl season. The Tigers are just 2-5 in the SEC West and 4-6 overall. They are coming off a narrow win last week at home over Texas A&M, 13-10, as a 2-point home favorite. The Auburn defense ranks only 74th overall this season while Western Ky is 60th. Meanwhile, W.Ky has one of the better offenses in the country, ranked 14th. Western is 7-1 ATS their last eight vs a team with a losing record and 19-7-1 ATS their last 27 road games. Auburn is 2-6 ATS their last eight road games and 0-6 ATS their last six vs a non-conference team. I'm taking Western Kentucky here on Saturday as they still have a bowl berth to play for. |
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11-19-22 | Georgia v. Kentucky UNDER 48.5 | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Top Ranked Georgia puts its 10-0 record and 7-0 SEC mark on the line today as they travel to Kentucky. Kentucky is third in the SEC East with a 3-4 conference record and 6-4 overall mark. Georgia coming off a win at Mississippi State, 45-19. The Bulldogs have allowed more than 20 points just two times all year and that was 22 points on two occasions. The Dogs are 3-8-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 games and 1-4 O/U in their last five road games. Kentucky coming off a 21-24 loss at home to Vandy. They close their regular season with a game next week at home against Louisville. Georgia has the 6th ranked defense in the country while Kentucky is ranked 16th. Kentucky is 1-10 O/U in their last 11 games and 1-6 O/U in their last seven home games. Take UNDER today. |
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11-19-22 | Texas v. Kansas +9.5 | Top | 55-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Big 12 action here on Saturday has Texas (6-4, 4-3) taking on Kansas (6-4, 3-4). TCU has the conference wrapped-up at 7-0, but after that only one game separates the next four teams. Texas coming off a loss at home to TCU last week, 10-17, as a 7-point favorite. The Longhorns finish up at home next week vs Baylor. Kansas lost at Texas Tech last week, 28-43 as a 4-point dog. The Jayhawks will finish up at Kansas State next week. Texas just 4-10 ATS their last 14 games in the Big 12. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven road games. Kansas 5-0-1 ATS their last six home games and 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 overall games. Kansas has also covered the last five vs Texas. The dog is also 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Kansas getting almost 10 points looks like a gift to me. I'll take Kansas plus the points. |
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11-19-22 | Illinois +17.5 v. Michigan | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Big 10 clash here on Saturday between two of the best defenses in the nation. Illinois is 2nd in the nation in overall defense, right behind No 1 Michigan. Both teams also have excellent redzone efficiency levels of less than 60%. Illinois is 7-3 overall on the season. The Illini are tied for 1st with Purdue, Iow and Minnesota in the Big 10 West, all with 4-3 conference records. Michigan and Ohio State are tied at 7-0 in the Big 10 East and meet next week in the final regular season game to likely determine the winner of the East and trip to the Big 10 Championship. Have to wonder if the Wolverines have their eyes set to next week on Ohio State. Yes, Illinois is very good, but the aren't quite in the league of Michigan. Michigan coming off an easy win last week over Nebraska, 34-3. Illinois is 9-4 ATS their last 13 games and 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. The Wolverines are good though, going 12-3-1 ATS their last 16 conference games. The Fighting Illini are 5-2 ATS their last seven games against Michigan and the dog is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings. I have to believe that Michigan looking to next week vs the Buckeyes. I'll take the big points here with a very good defensive Illinois team. |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -170 | 27-17 | Loss | -170 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to be the favorite to win the AFC South despite having one of the worst offenses in the NFL. The Titans are 6-3 with the Colts in second at 4-5-1. The Jags and Texans are out of it. The Green Bay Packers are in 2nd in the NFC North, but with their 4-6 record they are a ways behind the 8-1 Vikings. The Packers snapped a five-game losing streak last week with a come from behind victory of the Cowboys. The Packers trailed 14-28 before forcing a tie and winning the game in OT, 31-28. The Titans won a low scoring affair over the Denver Broncos, 17-10. Both teams didn't do a lot on offense with the Titans having 307 total yards and the Broncos 313 yards. Right now the Titans have the worst ranked total offense in the NFL with just 282 yards per game. Their passing attack is 31st with 148 yards per game. The Packers rank a much better 13th in the league. Green Bay also has the 9th ranked defense while Tennessee comes in at 22nd. Though the Titans do have the 2nd best rushing defense in the league. However, with the 31st ranked passing defense they could be in for a long night against Aaron Rodgers. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was 2020 when the Packers won at home, 40-14 as a 3-point favorite. The Packers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a winning record. I like the Packers here at home. I'll take Green Bay but I will lay the Money Ling Price and take the line out of this game. |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Kent State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
With Toledo losing last night, Eastern Michigan still can't take the AMC West because they still trail the Rockets by two games and lost to them a few weeks ago. Toledo is 5-2 and Eastern is right behind at 3-3. Eastern Michigan finishes with Central Michigan next week. Still, looks like Eastern can make a bowl game as they really only need one win in these last two weeks. Eastern beat Akron last week, 34-28, as a 7-point road favorite. Kent State beat Bowling Green last week, 40-6 and after tonight they finish at Buffalo. The Golden Flashes are in 4th in the MAC East with a 3-3 record and 4-6 overall record. Doesn't look good for the flashes to make a bowl game this year either. Still, not sure how they are a TD favorite here tonight against an equal or better Eastern Michigan team. More on the line for Eastern here tonight so I'll take the points. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-15-22 | Bowling Green +17 v. Toledo | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Bowling Green still with a chance to be Bowl eligible at 5-5 overall on the season. They are also 3-6-1 ATS. The Falcons are coming off a loss at home to Kent State, 6-40. The Falcons gave up 201 yards rushing and 214 yards passing. Toledo leads the MAC West with a 7-3 record. The are coming off a win last week over Ball State, 28-21, failing to cover the 13.5 point spread. Bowling Green is just 7-15 ATS their last 22 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS their last five road games. They have also not played well in November, going 2-10 ATS their last 12 in this month. Toledo is 7-3-1 ATS their las 11 vs Bowling Green. I'll take the Rockets here tonight as they look to win the West |
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11-14-22 | Commanders +11 v. Eagles | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The Washington Commanders are in last in the NFC North with a 4-5 record. THey have the bad luck of playing in what is arguable the best division in football as the other three teams are at least 6-2 in their records. Washington coming off a game they know they could have won last week as they hosted Minnesota and lost, 17-20. The Vikings have the 2nd best record in the NFL and came within minutes of winning that contest. That makes the team 3-1 their last four games all with QB Carson Wentz out. Wentz will again miss tonight's contest with that finger issue. That means Taylor Heinicke will once again be at the helm. For me, I would rather have Heinicke at QB instead of Wentz. For me he's led this team and has performed better. The Philadelphia Eagles are the best team in the NFL right now with the only perfect record at 8-0. They lead the Giants by 1.5 games right now in the NFC East. The Eagles are coming off a win over Houston last week, 29-17, but they failed to cover the 14-point spread. Still, they are 5-3 ATS overall on the season. The Eagles have the NFL's third best offense and third best defense. Washington is 21st in offense and 14th in defense. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five games in this series. I expect the Washington defense to keep them close and Heiniecki to play well enough to cover this spread. Take the double digit points with Washington. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts should have Jonathan Taylor back today after missing the last game with an ankle injury. Colts have been very good to under players of late, going 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight road games and 1-11 O/U in their last 12 vs the AFC. I expect a lower scoring game here today with the Colts not having much in the passing game. Take UNDER |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders -6 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 58 m | Show |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts have no one right now, not even running back Jonathan Taylor who missed last weeks game with an ankle injury. Get on this one early as I only see the Raiders line going up. Play LV Raiders. |
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11-13-22 | Saints v. Steelers +1 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 3-6 overall on the season and in third place in the NFC South. The Saints are coming off a home loss to the Ravens, 13-27. The Saints are now just 3-6 vs the spread on the season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-6 overall and in last place in the AFC North. The Steelers are coming off a loss to instra-state rival Philadelphia, 13-35. The Saints are 6th in the NFL in total offense while the Steelers are 28th. The Saints are also 11th on offense with the Steelers 29th. Still, though the Saints are not having a good season. The Steelers did have last week off to rest and get ready for today. Both teams had poor first halves of the season and both played the Bengals and Bucs. The Steelers beat both those teams while the Saints lost to both. With the week off to prepare and maybe seeing the return of NFL Defensive player of the Year, TJ Watt, I'm taking the Steelers here today. |
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11-13-22 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Chiefs | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars may only be 3-6 in the NFL but they have put scares into some teams this year. The Jags went on the road at beat Vegas last week, 27-20. They just lost to Denver the week before, 17-21 and New York Giants the week before that , 17-23. They have the 8th ranked offense, 7th ranked rushing attack in the league. Kansas City is 6-2 on the season and one game ahead of the LA Chargers for first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs are the only team in the West with a plus point differential (+57). The Chiefs are coming off a home win last week over Tennessee, 20-17, but failing to cover the 14-point favorite line. The Chiefs have the 2nd ranked offense in the league and top ranked passing attack. The Chiefs are now 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs the AFC and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Not covering at home shows how over valued the oddsmaker has made them at home this season. And today I believe they are laying too many points once again. Play Jacksonville. |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
AFC Clash here on Sunday between the Cleveland Browns and the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are in the most competitive division in football with the Bills, Jets and Patriots, just 1.5 games separate first from last. The Dolphins are a half game in second place with a 6-3 record. Miami won on the road last week at Chicago, 35-32. It was the team's third win in a row after losing to Minnesota four weeks ago. The Dolphins have the fifth best offense in the league and the 22nd best in defense. The Browns are 15th in defense and fourth in offense thanks to their 3rd ranked rushing offense. The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning home record while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five games vs a team with a losing record. I think this game will come down to the final minutes and I will take the points in this one. Play Cleveland. |
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11-13-22 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NFC North contest here as last place Detroit Lions (2-6) takes on the next to last place Chicago Bears (3-6). In the North, only the Vikings have a winning record at 7-1 and 4.5-games in first place. The Lions are coming off a improbable win over Green Bay last week, 15-9. Despite having the worst defense in the NFL, the Lions held the Packers to just nine points and picked-off Aaron Rodgers twice in the end zone. The Bears are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 32-35, though they covered the four-point dog line. The Chicago defense is a bit better at 18th in the NFL. The Bears offense ranks 24th while the Lions come in at 7th. The Bears are 3-1-1 ATS their last five home games. The Bears have are also 4-1-1 ATS their last six meetings with the Lions at Chicago. Small home favorite in Chicago, I'll lay the price here with the Bears. |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 1 m | Show | |
These teams playing the first ever game in Germany on Sunday get the early start at 6:30 PT / 9:30 am ET. Who would have figured the Seattle Seahawks to be in first place in the NFC West with the defending champion Rams and the 49ers. But, they are and they are 1.5-games ahead of the Niners with a 6-3 record. Everyone kind of figured the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos would mean this was a rebuilding period for Seattle. However, Geno Smith has come in and actually played better than Wilson has for the Broncos. Another anomaly is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-5 with Tom Brady. But would you believe they are tied for first place in the horrible NFC South? Every team in the division has a sub-.500 record this year. Tom Brady has not looked his old self this year, but part of that is due to injuries to his receivers. The Bucs have the 19th ranked offense and last place rushing offense. They average a paltry 61 yards this year on the ground. Seattle's offense ranks 11th overall and 9th in rushing. Tampa Bay does have the 9th ranked defense, but it was much higher earlier in the season and has steadily declined week by week. Tampa Bay hasn't covered a spread since week 2 of the season vs the Saints. Since then they have gone 0-6-1 ATS. Seattle playing well, they cover spreads and don't look out of sync like the Bucs. Yet, Tom Brady gets the bettors and here the Bucs are a 3-point favorite. Not sure how that happened, but I won't look a gift horse in the mouth. I'll take the points with Seattle. |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
A pair of ACC Atlantic teams meet here on Saturday as Clemson hosts Louisville. Clemson is ranked 10th in the nation and is 6-0 and will win the ACC Atlantic with a date for the Conference Championship game. Louisville is 3-3 and in 5th in the Atlantic. The Cardinals have won four straight games both S/U and ATS, including last week over James Madison, 34-10 as a 7.5-point favorite. They are ranked 44th in offense and 29th in defense. Clemson is 8-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. The Tigers Have Miami Fl and South Carolina left after today. Clemson has the 61st ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Tigers coming off that loss last week at Notre Dame, 14-35 to break-up their undefeated season. Clemson is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. I'm taking the points here today with Louisville. |
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11-12-22 | Rutgers +10.5 v. Michigan State | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here has Rutgers traveling to Lansing, MI to play the Spartans of Michigan State. Rutgers has lost two straight games, including last week at home to Michigan, 17-52, as a 26-point dog. Rutgers is 4-5 and if they hope to go to a bowl game they have a hill to climb with their remaining games at Michigan State and Maryland and a home game vs Penn State. Meanwhile Michigan State coming off a home win last week over Auburn, 39-33. That snapped a two-game losing skid for the Spartans. Michigan State could be in a look ahead situation here on Saturday. They have no desire to play Rutgers. Instead they have their sights set on next week's showdown at home with Georgia. Rutgers could sneak in under the spread here today if they can catch this Spartans team flatfooted. Take Rutgers |
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11-12-22 | Notre Dame v. Navy +17 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
We all know that Notre Dame is the far better team here on Saturday then Navy. Notre Dame has won three straight games, including last week's big win over previously undefeated Clemson, 25-14. However, it's that last week game that I believe will be their undoing this week. The Irish won that emotional game and now have to go to Baltimore to face the Middies. Navy is 5-0 ATS in their last five vs a team with a winning record. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall and 22-8 ATS in their last 30 in November. I feel the Irish are in for a big letdown here today. I think they will squeak by but can't cover this big line. Play Navy. |
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11-12-22 | LSU v. Arkansas +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The SEC once again the class conference in college football with four teams in the top 10. One of those, the 10th ranked LSU Tigers hope to be in the SEC Championship game as they sit in 1st place in the West division with a 5-1 conference record and 7-2 overall mark. Arkansas is 5th in the West with a 2-3 conference record and 5-4 overall mark. These teams met last year in LSU with the Razorbacks winning the game 16-13. LSU ranked 31st on offense and 42 on defense. Arkansas is 10-4-1 ATS the lst 15 overall meetings between these teams and 5-2 ATS the last seven in Arkansas. I'll take the home team here, play Arkansas. |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina +5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
East Carolina looks for the upset here on Friday night and also to extend their win streak to five games. ECU Pirates are 6-3 overall and 3-2 in the AAC. They had last week off after beating BYU the previous week, 27-24. Cincinnati struggled against Navy last week but came away with the 20-10 win, improving their record to 7-2 overall and 4-1 in conference. The Pirates looking for a good bowl game berth has been competitive all season long, even in their losses. The Bearcats of Cincinnati has the 64th ranked rushing attack with 141 yards per game. I'm looking for the upset here tonight with Cincinnati. |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday. |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa +7 v. Memphis | 10-26 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Tulsa not going to any bowls this year as they sit 3-6 overall on the season and near the bottom of the AAC with a 1-4 record. Memphis not much better at 2-4 in conference and 4-5 overall. The Tigers do have a shot at a postseason shot. Memphis looking to snap a two game losing streak including last week's loss at home to Central Florida, 28-35. The Memphis offense is good, ranked 45th overall in the FBS. Tulsa right behind them at 50th in the country. Both teams close on defense too, with Tulsa at 90th and Memphis at 97th. Tulsa also looking to snap a two-game losing streak including last week's home loss to Tulane, 13-27. Tulsa is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight November games. Memphis is 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four November games. They are also 3-9 ATS in their last 12 overall games. The Road team has covered seven of the last 10 in this series and the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Memphis. I'll take the points here tonight with Tulsa. |
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11-09-22 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan -2.5 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo in the thick of things in the MAC East division as they trail first place Ohio by just one game at 4-1 and are tied with Bowling Green who also plays tonight. The Bulls are comijng off a loss to that first place Ohio team last week, 24-45 as a 3-point favorite.That loss last week was their only loss vs the spread versus seven spread wins. The Bulls have the 77th ranked offense and 88th ranked defense in the country. Central Michigan is fourth in thee MAC West with a 2-3 record an 3-6 overall mark. They are coming off a nice win last week at Northern Illinois, 35-22, as a 4-point dog. Just three games left on the schedule with Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan left to go. The Chippewas have the 50th ranked defense and the 68th ranked offense. Central really likes playing these early week games, going 14-1-1 ATS their last 16 games on Wednesday. They are also 5-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record. Central Michigan is a small favorite here tonight and the favorite has covered the last four in this series. I'll take Central tonight. |
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11-08-22 | Ball State +11.5 v. Toledo | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Ball State and Toledo are 1-2 in the MAC West as they battle it out for the right to go to the MAC Championship. Ball State is one game back of Toledo and a win here tonight by the Cardinals would put them in a tie for the MAC West. Ball State beat Kent State last week, 27-20 as a 7-point road dog. Ball State has the nation's 67th ranked offense and the 87th ranked defense. The Cardinals are now 10-4 ATS their last 14 games on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Toledo is coming off a road win two weeks at Eastern Michigan, 27-24, as a 7.5-point favorite. After Ball State tonight, the Rockets have a home game vs Bowling Green and then close out the regular season vs Western Michigan. The Rockets had last week off and they are 5-17 ATS their last 22 times they are coming off a bye week. Ball State has covered seven of the last eight meetings in Toledo and the road team has covered 11 of the last 14 overall meetings. I'll take Ball State here tonight. |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens are in 1st place in the AFC North, a half game ahead of the Bengals. A win tonight and they are 1-game in front, a loss and they are tied. The Ravens are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs a team with a losing record. The NFC South New Orleans Saints are 3-5 and a win tonight puts them in a three way tie with the Bucs and Falcons in a very weak division. The Ravens have won two straight games after last week's win over the Bucs, 27-22 as a 2-point dog. That break a three-game spread skid by the Ravens. The Saints are coming off a dominating performance last week over the LV Raiders. They held the Raiders very good rushing game to just 38 yards and 183 total yards. They sacked QB Derek Carr four times. The Ravens have the 10th ranked offense in the league, 2nd rushing. The Saints have the 5th ranked offense in the league. The Baltimore defense is 24th and the Saints come in at 10th. The Ravens will be without a key target in this game, TE Mark Andrews who is out with a shoulder injury. They may also be without RB Gus Edwards who is doubtful with a hamstring. I like the home team here though the line is too small. I'll take New Orleans to win the game. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest. Both team's have poor defenses and that will help push this one over. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
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11-06-22 | Colts +5.5 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Longtime rivals meet up here in Foxboro, MA on Sunday as the Patriots host the Colts. Colts will start QB Sam Ehlinger today. The Colts are 3-4-1 and the Patriots are 4-4. Matt Ryan was benched in favor of Ehlinger who looks to be in that role for the rest of the season. The Colts also fired offensive coordinator Marcus Ryan and traded reserve RB Nyheim Hines to the bills for Zach Moss and a draft pick. So things are changing in Indy. The Colts trying to improve on an offense that was ranked just 18th overall. The Patriots are coming off a win at the Jets last week, 22-17, despite giving up 336 yards through the air. The Patriots have been changing QB's too, in was Mac Jones then came Bailey Zappe. Now Jones is back behind center. Jones was at the helm of their win over the Jets. Not sure the Patriots should be laying almost a TD to anyone at this juncture. Their offense ranks just 20th overall and 23rd in passing. Even the Colts offense has been better overall this year. I'll take the points in this one and expect a close finish. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 on the season and cruising in the NFC North with a 3.5 game lead over the Packers and Bears. The Vikes only loss of the season coming at the hands of undefeated Philly, 7-24 in week 2. The Vikings offense is 15th overall in the league, 20th rushing. Surprisingly, the defense ranks just 28th overall, though 9th vs the rush. The Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs the NFC. The Washington Commanders will once again be without QB Carson Wentz, who will miss another game with a injured finger. QB Taylor Heinicke will make his third start of the season. Heinicke is 2-o in that role, having beaten the Packers 23-21 and then last week over the Colts, 17-16. That makes three straight wins and covers for the Commanders. For me, I think I would rather have Heinicke at QB then the way Wentz had played. Washington was 2-4 under Wentz. The Washington offense still ranks just 22nd overall with the defense coming in at 13th. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 meetings in this series. Moreover, I actually like this Washington team more with Wentz out. I'll take the points here today. Play Washington. |
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11-06-22 | Chargers v. Falcons +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers coming off a home loss two weeks ago to the Seattle Seahawks, 23-37, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chargers had last week off to get over some injuries, however they are still hurting coming into this game. Star WR Keenan Allen will miss another game with a hamstring injury. Also out is their top WR in Mike Williams who has a ankle injury. That leave QB Herbert with his top two wide receivers out of the game. The Chargers offense is ranked 8th, but 27th rushing and 4th passing. That means the loss of those wide outs will put even more stress on a poor rushing game. The Chargers defense is ranked 20th, 27th vs the rush. The Falcons have surprised many this year as they are 4-4 on he season and 6-2 vs the spread. The Falcons are coming off a home win against Carolina, 37-34, though they failed to cover the 4-point favorite spread. The Falcons are only 25th on offense, though they have one of the better rushing attacks, ranked 5th overall. Defense has been a problem though, ranked 31st in the NFL, with the worst passing defense (32nd) allowing 307 yards per game. If the Chargers had their top WR's this might be a issue, though today not as much. Atlanta has been very competitive this year. Getting a field goal at home is more than enough for me to take them today. Play Atlanta. |
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11-06-22 | Dolphins v. Bears +4 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins have won two straight games after dropping three straight. This includes last week over Detroit, 31-27, just covering the 3.5 point favorite line. The Miami offense ranks 7th overall and third in passing. This despite missing QB Tua for a few games with that concussion. The defense isn't as good, ranking 23rd overall, though 6th vs the rush. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The Chicago Bears came off their win at New England two weeks ago, 33-14, with a loss at Dallas last week, 29-49. They gave up 200 yards rushing to a Dallas team that was without Ezekiel Elliot. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was Miami win 31-28 at home back in 2018. The Bears offense ranks just 27th overall, though they have the league's top rushing attack with 189 yards per game. The defense ranks a bit better at 15th overall and 5th vs the pass. This looks to come down to the Miami rush defense vs the Chicago ground game. I'll take the points at home with the Bears. Play Chicago. |
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11-05-22 | Clemson -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
No 4 Clemson heads to South Bend to take on the Fighting Irish here on Saturday evening. The Clemson Tigers have been a good road team to bettors, going 20-8 ATS in their last 28 away games. Clemson is coming off a home win over Syracuse, 27-21, but failed to cover the 13-point line. The Tigers are 8-0 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Syracuse, 41-24, covering the 2.5-point dog line. The Irish are now 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. With Navy, BC and USC left on the schedule, the Irish should only need to two games to head to another bowl game. Clemson has the 47th ranked offense and the 26th ranked defense. Notre Dame has the 78th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Irish are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Might be one of the best games on Saturday and I will be laying the points on the road with the Tigers. Take Clemson. |
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11-05-22 | Texas -2.5 v. Kansas State | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Big 12 action here today has No 24 Texas taking on No 13 Kansas State. The Texas Longhorns are 5-3 S/U and ATS this season. They had last week off to prepare for today's contest. They lost the week before at Oklahoma State, 34-41 as a 3.5-point dog. The Texas offense is very good, ranked 30-th overall with the defense coming in at 62nd. Texas has won and covered the last two seasons in this series, including last year at home, 22-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Kansas State had a huge shut-out win last week at home over Oklahoma State, 48-0. The Wildcats held Ok State to just 217 total yards and forced three turnovers. K State is now 6-2 S/U and 5-3 ATS on the season. They finish the season at Baylor and West Virginia before closing out at home vs Kansas. Should be a good matchup here on Saturday, but I'll take the visitors in this one with Texas. |
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11-05-22 | BYU v. Boise State -8 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
BYU looked pretty good as the season got underway, starting out at 4-1. However, a week six loss to Notre Dame, 20-28, seemed to start a downhill slide that has seen the Cougars lose four straight games to now be 4-5 and possibly losing a bowl bid. They only have three games left and two are tough road games at Boise today and their final at Stanford. They do have a softball against Dixie State in between. The Cougars rank 64th on offense and 103rd on defense. Meanwhile, Boise State is 6-2 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Broncos have won four straight games and covered those four also. They are coming off a big win over Colorado State, 49-10. The offense ranks 94th while the defense is 2nd in the nation. I don't see this lackluster BYU offense being able to put up much against the Boise State 2nd ranked defense today. BYU hasn't covered any of their last seven games and 0-5 ATS their last five non-conference games. I'll take Boise here today to hand BYU their bowl berth death sentence. Take Boise State. |
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11-05-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -16 | 23-15 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Big 10 game here on Saturday has Michigan State taking on the fighting Illini at Illinois. The Spartans are coming off two straight losses in which they were outscored 23-57. The Spartans had been producing big up until these last two games, scoring 39 or more points in five of their six games and going 5-1 S/U and ATS. The Michigan State offense, despite all those points, still ranks just 110th overall and the defense at 107th. They are 1-5 ATS their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five Big 10 games. They also have not covered any of their last five road games. Now they face the nation's top ranked defense in Illinois. In addition, the Illini have one of the best redzone efficiency ratings at just 42.9% on defense. The defense has allowed just three TD's all season in the redzone. They have also held seven of their eight opponents to 14 points or fewer and five of their eight to nine points or fewer. They are coming off a win at Nebraska, 26-9, as a 7-point favorite. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games. The favorite has covered seven of the last 10 in this matchup and I don't see the Spartans offense getting many points at all here today. Take Illinois. |
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11-05-22 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Georgia | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
We get to see a preview of what could be a playoff matchup here as AP No 2 Tennessee takes on AP No 1 Georgia on Saturday. One of these teams will fall from the undefeated here on Saturday as both sit at 8-0. In the College playoff Rankings Tennessee is No 1 and Georgia No 3. This likely is the last hurdle for Tennessee with Missouri, South Carolina and Vandy remaining on the regular season schedule. Georgia still has to get by a couple of tough road games in Mississippi State and Kentucky. These are the top two offenses in the nation with Tennessee ranked first and Georgia ranked second. Georgia has the better defense, ranked 4th while Tennessee is ranked 82nd. You can really make a case for either team here on Saturday. What sways my decision is that Tennessee gets over a TD here today at around +8 or +8.5 points. That's too much for me to pass on with this top ranked offense. Take Tennessee. |
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11-05-22 | North Carolina -7 v. Virginia | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The North Carolina Tar Heels once again a force to be reckoned with on offense as they have scored at least 27 points in all eight games this season. They are coming off a home win over Pitt last week, 42-24, covering the 3.5-point line. The Pitt offense ranks 61st overall in the nation with the defense ranked 38th. The Tar Heels are 7-1 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. Virginia has had offensive struggles of late, not scoring more than 17 points in each of their last four games. During that span they are 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS. Overall, the Cavaliers are 2-6 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS overall on the season. The Cavs would have to win out to have a shot at a bowl game and that will be tough with NCS in their path today. The Virginia offense is 92nd in the country with the defense at 30th. Virginia is also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. The favorite has covered five of the last six in this series and I look for NCU to have little trouble with the Cavaliers today. Play North Carolina. |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Philly vs Houston also happens to be the World Series matchup tonight. Though that game should be a lot closer than this one will be. The Eagles look to remain the only undefeated this year and improve to 8-0. With a win tonight they will hold a two-game lead over both the Cowboys the Giants. It was just last year that the NFC East was the worst division in the NFL and now it's the best. The Eagles are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 35-13 and get the short turnaround this week. Houston is in last in the AFC South with a 1-5-1 record. The Texans won their only game of the season back on October 9th over the Jaguars, 13-6. Since then, they have lost at Vegas, 20-38 and last week at home to the Titans, 10-17. Philly has the league's third ranked offense while Houston comes in at 31st. Philly also has the fourth ranked defense while Houston has the 30th ranked overall defense and 32nd ranked rush defense. I expect to see a lot of the Philly running game, in particular that of Miles Sanders. I will actually be surprised if Houston scores anything over a few field goals here tonight. I'll take a shot with the UNDER and hope that the Eagles look content to run the ball tonight. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
AFC South matchup here on Sunday between 1st place Tennessee (4-2) and last place Houston (1-4-1). The Titans won their fourth straight game last week at home vs the Colts, 19-10. Both offenses didn't do much with Tennessee having 254 total yards and the Colts 293. Houston won their first game of the season on Oct 8th vs the Jaguars, 13-6, then had the next week off before traveling to Las Vegas last week and getting beat, 20-38. The Texans gave up 400 total yards, 164 on the ground. The Texans have been competitive though vs the number, going 3-2-1 ATS this season. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS their last eight vs the AFC. The Houston Texans now have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing 412 yards per game. They are ranked last vs the rush and 21st vs the pass. No wonder the Raiders ran wild on them last week. Tennessee ranks 26th on defense with the fourth best rushing defense and 31st ranked passing defense. Both teams have been poor on offense with Houston ranked 26th and Tennessee ranked 31st. The Titans offense also got a big blow as QB Ryan Tannehill will miss today's game with an ankle injury. QB Malik Willis will make his first career start today for the Titans. Tennessee might be in 1st place, but it's more by virtue of a very weak division. I give the Texas a good shot at winning this game on Sunday. Play Houston. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints OVER 49 | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. Both these teams have better offenses then defenses and I expect a lot of points on the board when these teams get together on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +2 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. The Raiders are a small road favorite here on Sunday, but I will be on the Saints. |
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10-30-22 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals tied for last in the NFC West with the SF 49ers as both teams are 2-4. However, the Rams are just a half game in front at 3-3 and the Seahawks are just one game in first place at 4-3. The Cards won at home last week over New Orleans, 42-34 as a 2.5 point favorite. The offense had just 326 total yards and the defense allowed 494 yards. But it was three turnovers by the Saints that led to the Arizona win. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. Minnesota is the leader in the NFC North with a 5-1 record, 2.5-games ahead of the Packers and Bears. The Vikings are the only team in the division with a plus point differential (+21) this year. The Vikings had last week off after beating Miami the week before, 24-16. The only loss for the Vikings this year coming in their second game at Philly, 7-24. The Minnesota defense isn't very good, ranked just 27th overall and 28th vs the pass. The offense comes in ranked 18th overall. Arizona's offense ranks 15th while their defense is 22nd. Arizona has been good on the road, going 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 away games. The Vikings are just 1-4 ATS their last five games and 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. They are also 2-8 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The dog in this series is 7-2-2 ATS and that's what I will be on here today. The underdog Cardinals. |
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10-30-22 | Patriots -145 v. Jets | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
This sure seems to be the bizzaro world in the NFL. Tom Brady and the Bucs are losing, as is Aaron Rodgers. Yet here are the NY Jets in 2nd place in the AFC East with a 5-2 record. They take on the Patriots who are in last place in the division with a 3-4 record. The Patriots have been trying both Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe at QB and last week Zappe came in for a struggling Jones and got 14 quick points. However, the all went away in the 2nd half as the Patriots struggled to a loss to the Bears, 14-33. The Pats had just 260 total yards and 19 fewer offensive plays. Meanwhile, the Jets went into Denver and came away with the win, 16-9, holding the Broncos to three field goals. The Jets had just 260 total yards and 24 fewer offensive plays than the Broncos. The Jets offense ranks 22nd in the NFL with the Patriots coming in at 17th. Pats HC Bill Belichick has already confirmed that Jones will be back at starting QB this week. It might be because Jones currently ranks second among quarterbacks in average target depth (10.4 yards) and throws deep passes at the highest rate in the NFL (20.4%). The Patriots have shown they can bounce back after double digit losses at home, going 7-0 ATS the last seven times. The Jets are just 7-19 ATS their last 26 games against the AFC East. The Pats are also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with the Jets. I'll take the Patriots on the Money Line to just win the game here on Sunday. |