Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans +2.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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10-30-22 | Bears v. Cowboys -9.5 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 164 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. So we did drop the Patriots on MNF. But you know what, that might help us here. No way the Cowboys will be overlooking the Bears, that's for sure. You beat The Hoodie on the road on MNF when the entire league is watching. You are going to get noticed. Any idea on Dallas that they would just cruise past Chicago went out the window when the showed up at practice Tuesday. And let's not forget - even though we cashed Dallas over the Lions, that game was something like 10-6 heading to the 4th quarter. That wasn't a cake walk with Dak back. But for me, this is all about the Dallas defense. It should really stymie the Chicago offense. They have done a terrific job all year. Can't see the Bears breaking out for 30+ in back to back games - both on the road - and a short week to boot. Cowboys lead the league in sacks and are 3rd in takeaways. I think they add to that and get us a 14pt win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-30-22 | Patriots v. Jets | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 161 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. As mentioned in the Dallas write-up - the league saw the Patriots take an absolutely humiliating loss to the Bears. 200+ yards of rushing allowed. Defense was what made these guys a good bet! 3 INTs and a lost fumble. Not being able to recover any of the Bears putting it on the ground 5 times or whatever. Terrible. Now the World loving the Jets. Riding high off that Denver road win. But costly - lose your RB, probably your best OL. Yeah. The traded with Jax for a solid RB. But still. Hall was electric. For me. This is The Hoodie owning NYJ for his entire career. Off that loss. Oh man. I don't know if Mac Jones is hurt or just working off the rust. I don't care if we get him and Zappe. Whoever is taking snaps, I need 7 points. Because I can't see how anyone on that defense is getting any rest after that performance on Monday night. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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10-30-22 | Broncos v. Jaguars -3 | 21-17 | Loss | -100 | 158 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Yeah. Tough taking the Jags who are 0-6 ATS their last 6 as favorites. But there is zero chance we back Denver. Russell or Rypien. It does not matter. This offense is terrible. The coach will be canned at the end of the year barring a Super Bowl appearance. Look at their scoring 6- 16 OT - 9 OT - 23 - 11 - 16 - 16 -- Call me crazy. I've been called worse. I have the much better coach. 8th game in 9 years here for Jacksonville not that it matters. Obviously lean under but didn't pull the trigger. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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10-27-22 | Ravens +3 v. Bucs | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 101 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking BALTIMORE. Ravens win this game by 10 points. The Pirate Ship is sinking fast. This team is in total disarray. Injuries. Coaching. QB Play. I have the better HC. I have the better QB. And as bad as this Baltimore defense looks at times, I am still taking it over Tampa. Tampa not fixing it's issues on a short week. Grabbing the road team tonight. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots -6.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 197 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Have to take New England vs this offense. I do like Zappe and the offense. Heck, I would like Mac Jones here over Chicago. This is really a fade of the Bears, on the road, and facing a good defense. Just look at it. Forget about the monsoon game 19-10 over trash Lance, I mean Trey Lance. How about 10 at Green Bay and 10 at the Giants. They put points in Minny vs a team that just flew back from London. The Bears don't have Lamar and the Ravens coming to put up points. Because that is the only team to put points up. Yeah, they lost in OT at GB with a kid coming in cold off the bench. 15 points in Cleveland last week. A shutout their last game at home vs Detroit. Won't be shocked at another MNF Under here either. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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10-23-22 | Steelers +7 v. Dolphins | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 173 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. How are you taking this Miami offense? I don't care if Tua is back. If it's Teddy B. If Marino comes back. Dante Culpepper or Fitzmagic. This team has trouble on offense. 1 game. Actually 1 quarter - the Ravens forget a NFL game is 4 quarters and Miami explodes. Say whatever you want about Pitt. I know Tomlin will have these guys ready to play in prime time and the defense never quits. MVP Mitch showing out on SNF! 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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10-23-22 | Seahawks +7 v. Chargers | 37-23 | Win | 100 | 145 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Holy Cow this Chargers team is a flat out disaster. And me, like everyone else thought that Denver has the worse coaching. Geez.. Look. Give me Geno and this offense. They have been scoring. I know the defense is not all that great shakes. But I got a team that is playing inspired ball right now. LAC off an OT division rival game. A win to boot. And a short week. In a home stadium that will have a lot of Seattle fans. Too many points. Back door wide open for us to scoop up the win. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 258 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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10-23-22 | Browns +6 v. Ravens | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 258 h 32 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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10-23-22 | Falcons +7 v. Bengals | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 166 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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10-23-22 | Lions v. Cowboys -7 | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Dak possibly back? I know the fade train will be pulling to the station. Off a tough game vs Philly. But - defense baby. Dallas has it. Lions, well not so much. I expect a conservative approach as you bring your QB back. But really. Lions haven't slowed down a thing this season. And if it is Cooper Rush again, I'm not mad. That is just more Zeke and Pollard who will, if given the carries, but get about 190 and 2+ TDs between them. Dallas defense will score a touchdown today. Off a bye week, the Lions last ranked defense hasn't improved enough. And this offense, if they get their RB back, will not score 30 against Dallas. And if they do. Well. Huge win for their coach who is 4-17-1 leading this bunch. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-23-22 | Packers v. Washington Commanders +5.5 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker WASHINGTON COMMIES |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4.5 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 193 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LOS ANGELES CHARGERS |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys +6 v. Eagles | 17-26 | Loss | -105 | 246 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS here. Also have Under 45.5 but that is gone. Still like it to be low scoring though which is why are taking the points. Both teams play good defense. I think this is an ugly one. Might not be Amazon NFL ugly, but it will be old school with Dallas wanting to run the ball to easy the pressure on Cooper Rush. Can't say anything bad about Philly. Well, we can since they couldn't do much in the 2nd half last week and cost us a rare loss. This for me is the Cowboys defense keeping the Eagles in check. Should be a FG game. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs | 24-20 | Win | 105 | 165 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. I have said all season. Buffalo is the best team. The coin-flip revenge season is underway. They have had this game circled since their season ended. And honestly, I said on the Mid Day Show - KC going for 2 to get up 8 shows that their coach has zero faith in their defense making a stop. I don't care if the Bills have 6 backups in the secondary today - it won't matter. This offense is scoring 40. They are not taking their foot off the gas one bit. I love Andy Reid. Him and Mahomes have all types of gaudy home numbers. I get it. But the Bills are the best team in the NFL. I got this line at a PK at open. Now there are 3s out there. I don't care. I think Bills win by double digits. 5* Best Bet BUFFALO BILLS |
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10-16-22 | Jets +10 v. Packers | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 239 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. These guys have been in it really every week. And honestly, this is a fade of Green Bay. I've been saying in Mid Day Money since Week 1 vs Minny - GB can play some defense, but they aren't scoring. Rodgers still looks like he is learning his way with his WRs. Jets play defense themselves. And the offense is coming to life under the new regime. I almost want to say Jets outright here. Line has moved down from the opener. And why not. GB again, plays down to a team and this time they couldn't pull it out. GB at home, and off a lose. I get it. you want to unload on the Packers. Jets beat a 3rd stringer. Rallied vs a rookie making his debut vs Pittsburgh and needed miracles, plural, to win at Cleveland. Angry Rogers sure. But I think NYJ can keep it close. The Bears kept it close and were nearly inside the number! J-E-T-S 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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10-16-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Dolphins | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 165 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -6.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 299 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS CITY. Not trusting the Raiders at all. Have you see the scores when these guys get together? 48-9. 41-14 last year.. 35-31. 40-32 (Vegas W) - 40-9, 28-10, 35-3.. Do we see a pattern developing me. Forget about the huge coaching edge here for KC. They rallied to make it a game at Tennessee. They blew home lead to Arizona. They held on to beat Denver. Oh. And have you see that Denver offense? It let Wilson throw 2 TDs vs them. That is a Broncos team that everyone saw lose 12-9 at home in OT. Everyone saw a 11-10 game on SNF. How about MNF 17-16 loser at Seattle. But yeah. Raiders will slow down Mahomes. And I hear people saying how Vegas plays KC tough? What. Chiefs by double digits. * Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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10-09-22 | Eagles -4.5 v. Cardinals | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 188 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Had Philly again last week and they reward us. They have been kind in all games we have interest in them. Arizona defense will have no answers here. This isn't Carolina. Philly spotted the Jags 14 in a monsoon and then ran off 29 points to let them know who the boss is. That's the kind of stuff that teams build and grow on. The swagger. They also have a pretty decent defense. And Murray for me, not a guy who makes the best decisions under pressure. I ma just not a fan. Hurts though, huge step forward with this offense. Keep it going Iggles. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +7 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 188 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. Man. Dallas totally exceeding my expectations. The OL has been holding up. Cooper filling in nicely for Dak. And who knows, maybe we get a Dak sighting. Rams will be off huge MNF tilt vs Niners. No matter the outcome, that is a hard fought game. And unlike SF who gets a cupcake in Carolina, Dallas will bring some defense and toughness. Parsons and Lawrence will get to Stats Padford, Matt Statsford, Pads Statsford. Oh whoever he is! Dallas keeps it close and can maybe steal one late here. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-09-22 | 49ers -3.5 v. Panthers | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 163 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS. Give me the Jimmy G show. Whatever happens Monday night - it doesn't matter. Niners will beat this bunch. This team is a hot-mess. Rhule will be canned at the end of the season. He'll be in Arizona State or something. Sunday though, he will be looking at the Niners beating his bunch by double digits. There was talk of the worse team this year in the NFL. Bears, Falcons, Texans. Nah. It is this bunch right here. * Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 230 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. We have been on New York either in the premiums or the Mid Day Money show every week. Nothing changing now. QB1 back under center. I like the defense. Miami does have extra rest and prep time for Teddy B. Now. I like Bridgewater. And I was a bit worried with my Cincy bet when he came in. But he is a guy I want to back as a dog, not a favorite. I think like Seattle we have another live dog here that can pull an upset. 4* Money Maker NEW YORK JETS |
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10-09-22 | Lions v. Patriots | 0-29 | Win | 100 | 162 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. These guys bit in the butt last week as I had GB -6 before the injury news. Then to add insult to injury QB2 gets hurt and QB3 comes in. If Zappe was the starter coming in there is no way I am taking GB -6 or 9. Not happening. I like this kid. Liked him at WKU. Liked him in pre-season. Lions defense is a flat out mess. The Patriots OCs are bumbling idiots - but this kid can make plays. This is really me thinking he is as good or better than Jones and this offense has a spark with him behind center. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND' PATRIOTS |
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10-09-22 | Steelers v. Bills -13 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 160 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Off a pair of tough back to back road games, Buffalo is home. They get a nice revenge game vs the Steelers who were so kind to bring their prize rookie QB to the table last week. Yeah. Kid looks great rushing for 2 TDs , running around like a chicken with its head cut off. 3 INTs make it a perfect day of pass attempts (10-13). Zach Wilson carved up this defense in the 4th. What is Josh Allen going to do? This team has allowed 1 TD, 7 lonely points in the 2nd half off their 4 games this year. 3 of those on the road. Ravens - Miami - Rams are all, I think, better than Pitt. I though they would beat the Titans 37-7. It was 41-7. This one has 37-16 written all over it. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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10-09-22 | Seahawks +6 v. Saints | 32-39 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the SEAHAWKS. We had these guys to start the season out and will look to them as a live road doggy here. Geno Smith with 77% completions on the year to go with 6 TDs to just 2 INTs. Penny healthy looking good. And I said over the summer in Mid Day Money - Lockett, Metcalf, Fant and Dissly are decent targets. Now off a huge offensive output the get to travel to New Orleans. Backing a team in B2B roadies isn't my favorite thing to do. But - Saints coming home from London! I'm old enough to remember that these teams would get a bye week after that game. Bad spot here for NO. Let's be honest. Last week if Minny would not kick FGs from inside the 10 or whatever, 16-7 to could have been 24 or more to 7. Saints rally late to make it a game with Dalton. Not sure of the QB status here. But it doesn't matter. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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10-09-22 | Giants v. Packers -7.5 | 27-22 | Loss | -110 | 181 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking GREEN BAY. Lost with these guys last week and had them at -6 before the QB change. I know this line has moved also. And the same reason I like GB last week is the same reason I like them this week. The defense. Yeah. Rodgers is great. He is still getting in a groove with is WRs. I think they should run more since they have a pretty good RB. Get him involved a little more. This Giants team is a mess. This should be 24-10 and Green Bay not look back. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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10-02-22 | Patriots v. Packers -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 215 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS, again. Going for 3 in a row on GB. Like I said in both previous write ups. I like the defense. I like the run game. And you have to love the QB. Every game he gets more in a groove with his WRs. We saw an ugly win, but a win in Tampa. And as I also said as we cashed with the Ravens, this Patriots team is a mess. I have zero faith in the offense. I can't stand their OCs. Green Bay should wrap this up by double digits. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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10-02-22 | Cardinals v. Panthers +2.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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10-02-22 | Titans v. Colts -3.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 165 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Had the Titans as a Best Bet last week and we escaped by the skin of our teeth. Well, Tennessee on the road, I am not interested. Yes, Indy in a 'let-down' spot after beating KC. But they had good numbers in 8 of the last 11 vs the Chiefs. And, like the Titans, were in a huge must win spot. I trust the Colts defense a whole heck of a lot more than I do this Tennessee bunch. Also on the Under here. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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10-02-22 | Washington Commanders v. Cowboys -2.5 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 165 h 38 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -7 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 165 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Man this guys look pretty good so far. Another solid defensive performance. Home spot laying a TD. I will take it. Look - Jags a nice story so far. But this is a huge let-down spot after a monster road win in LA over the Chargers. 9pt opening doggy winning outright. I don't think Philly is a team that is getting too high on their press clippings either. Back to back road games are tough enough. TD dogs in both (before injury news). I am not buying that Jags here. At home, I get it. Again - b2b roadies and off a huge upset. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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10-02-22 | Vikings -1.5 v. Saints | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 161 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Winston or Dalton. Doesn't matter. Saints have a bunch of injuries and banged up guys. I don't consider this a 'prime time' game so Cousins will toss 2 or 3 TDs to his better WRs and hopefully Cook gets involved with the offense if he's healthy. And where the heck are the Saints getting any scoring from? Last week they scored on a fumble return for a TD and a blocked FG that helped the cause. They are a mess. Payton must have read the tea leaves to get out of there ahead of time. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals -1.5 | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 96 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGLAS. I am no lover of Cincy - you all know this. But this is just a tough spot for Miami. Off 2 bruising, grinding games. Huge comeback vs the Ravens. Huge defensive stands vs the Bills. A Buffalo team that had owned them. A Bills team that put up what, 500 yards of offense. 40 minutes or whatever on the field for that defense. Yikes. Now a short week road game. At least Cincy had an 'easy' game vs the Jets. This is a big game for the Bengals. Take care of business at home here Cincy! 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +4.5 v. Giants | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 195 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. Are you kidding me with the Giants being favored like this? I know Copper is just 2-0 in his career, but this team does play some defense. Parsons might have 5 sacks tonight. And hopefully Pollard gets more involved in the offense. And Daniel Jones. That guy is good for at least 1, probably 2 turnovers tonight. Will be ugly with Dallas looking to churn out my guy Pollard and Zeke. But with a backup QB and a turnover prone starter on the other sideline, this game can get to over 40 by accident. Much like we said about the Thursday night Browns game on the Mid Day Money Show. Line has already shifted towards the doggy. Dallas always gets a heavy following. History says Dallas wins as they are 8-2 ATS last 10 vs the G-Men. Those were with a different guy behind center and entirely different offense. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-25-22 | 49ers v. Broncos -2.5 | 10-11 | Loss | -110 | 189 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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09-25-22 | Rams -4.5 v. Cardinals | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 271 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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09-25-22 | Packers +2.5 v. Bucs | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 127 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Had them last week. Will do it again. TB a hot mess. Banged up all over the place. I said over the summer this team could have issues. They lost their center and with Brady being out all August, unders were going to be in play. We have seen it early already. Now their WR corps are banged up. Give me Rodgers here. He has now a couple games under his belt with his new WRs. Should only get better as the season progresses. Are we really buying the Tampa defense vs a Dallas team with a terrible OL and losing Dak and having 1 NFL WR on the field. Or beating Winston and the Saints with no Kamara. Come on. Aaron Jones is good. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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09-25-22 | Bills -4.5 v. Dolphins | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 182 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Short of Josh Allen not playing. This is a 10 + win for Buffalo. 26-11 -- 35-0 -- 56-26 -- 31--28 -- 37-20 -- 31-21 -- 42-17. Buffalo has owned these guys. Sometimes a team just has another teams number. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs -3 v. Colts | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (line has climbed to 6 in some spots. I played the Colts at that number in the Circa contest - hoping for a middle. |
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09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 148 h 41 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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09-25-22 | Eagles -4 v. Washington Commanders | 24-8 | Win | 100 | 123 h 19 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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09-25-22 | Ravens -2 v. Patriots | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 44 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking BALTIMORE. I understand the love for Pats at home with their HC's history. Totally understandable. No way they lose as home dogs! Did you see them score 3 whole TDs in their last 2 games. Sure, the defense looked good. I am still not buying. Lamar looks like he is in MVP form. Up 35-14 and you blow the lead and lose. Blowing leads in one thing. Ravens did that a few times last season. But I am sensing a huge comeback here. Zero faith in Patricia and Judge to get the offense going, even against a banged up Baltimore unit. Ravens with Buffalo on deck and if things go haywire here, 1-2 and possibly 1-3 on the horizon. Nope. Beat the bad team Harbaugh. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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09-25-22 | Raiders v. Titans +2.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. How the heck are the Raiders a favorite. Did we not see them blow a 20pt lead at home. I mean. Why do I think plenty of teams will be run out of games by the Bills. Pretty sure we saw that happen to the defending Super Bowl Champs on their own field opening night. Must win for both teams. Only one has a real NFL HC. Guess who that is. Humiliated on MNF - big time souring on Tennessee by everyone. Raiders never play good crossing time zones East. They have their own set of problems to sort out. Home dog in a must win. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 178 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Faded Philly in Detroit. Will do it again here. You know what I think of the Eagles. Think they are an overrated bunch. I think Minny will be a dark-horse this year. New HC to take this offense to the next level. Should be a shoot-out. We have the better QB - RB - WR and defense. Getting a couple points is nice, but we win this outright. I don't want to hear about Cousins in Prime Time Games. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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09-19-22 | Titans v. Bills -7.5 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 251 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Man on man. We said in Mid Day Money on Thursday before the Bills beat the Rams, and we said it in Look Ahead Lines on Sunday night before the Thursday Opening Kicking - Take them now because after the Giants (who we had in our 10-3 Week 1 of NFL) beat the Titans, this game will go to 10. Hello double digits. Again, we have a good number. I still think the Bills take this one by something in the 'teens. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 119 h 4 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. We didn't pull the trigger on Minny last week for whatever reason. Guess it got lost in the 10-3 Week 1. We did cash the Bears though. And now GB will do what it does. Demolish Chicago. Getting points at home from basically a rookie QB is one thing. Getting them from a HOFer. A totally different story. Packers left for dead after Game 1. We saw this last year. And honestly - you think Fields is outplaying Aaron Rodgers. They can wheel out James Loften and Antonio Freeman for Rodgers to throw to. The guy will make plays tonight. Bears still a long way to go to be a competitive team. This game has 34-13 written all over it. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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09-18-22 | Cardinals v. Raiders -3 | 29-23 | Loss | -100 | 164 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Everything that could go wrong, went wrong. Big revenge spot for the Chargers. Playing in Week 1 was huge. They got their payback. Now Vegas opens up against a miserable Arizona team headed for disaster. This line is now 5 heading towards at least 6 and possibly a TD by kickoff. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
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09-18-22 | Bengals +1 v. Cowboys | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. We were doing Look Ahead Lines during the Dallas debacle watching our Under cash. I said - Have to grab Cincy off that 5 TO performance. 5 TOs and still in position to win the game. This Dallas OL is a mess. Dak is helpless with 1 WR and a RB who can't catch and their best RB on the bench. Then Dak gets hurt and this line explodes. We go 10-3 in NFL Week 1 by not laying TDs on the road. Last year we cashed the 'Boys with Cooper in Minny as a dog with no Dak. 7.5 and 8s.. I'm happy with my number. 4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS |
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09-18-22 | Texans v. Broncos -9.5 | 9-16 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. Uh. laying some big numbers here on Sunday. I just think it is the right play. Indy put up 500 yards on Texans on the road. This offense is better. As much as I say in the Mid Day Show.. Seattle Outright and Under, never in doubt. Broncos could have and should have gotten 30+. I think after that game, this coach is going to 'Let Russ Cook'. I think Denver gets to 40 this afternoon. As much as I love Mills. Kid is solid. Do not like the road for him, or this team. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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09-18-22 | Falcons +13 v. Rams | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 164 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. So this is kind of goes hand and hand with the OVER. I am thinking Rams with their extra rest, get on track. Totally humiliated on Opening Night raising their Super Bowl Banner. Bills totally dominated and it wasn't close. Rams find their offense here. Falcons nearly blew it. I think they are good for about 20 points. Best case. This is 36-27 type of shoot out and we cash both. Worse case. Rams D shows up with and this is 44-10 and we split. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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09-18-22 | Seahawks +9 v. 49ers | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. We had Seattle way back in July at +4. What a spot. World on Wilson. Entire team of Seattle wanted to beat this guy. City ready to mug him. Now. The Niners. We had the Bears. Outright. Sweet. But, we have a little bit of a let-down spot hanging over our heads. A MNF Win. Beating an old teammate. Now a big division rival. A rival off a brutal loss. You know my feelings on Lance. I think our guy Jimmy G should be in here. But let the rookie take his lumps. Kid is not ready. And really not ready to be laying near double digits. Way to many points even with all things considered. Should be a low scoring ugly game. Give me any points here. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -115 | 613 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking NEW ORLEANS. You know we love our NFL home dogs. Especially a divisional puppy. Tampa defense looked awesome. But was that because the Dallas offense is terrible. I think so. Saints with a late come back to win, but the home dog Falcons covered. Tampa had an awful lot of FGs and not many TDs last week. We saw NO sweep last year 36-27 at home and a wild 9-0 game in Tampa. They also have won over Tampa the last 3 years here. Home doggy barks again. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
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09-18-22 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Ravens | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 161 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS. This is really a defensive play for me. I like the Miami defense. I think offense still is a work in progress. Still working some pieces together. Ravens with basically an extra pre-season game facing Joe Flacco. Somehow statue that's 45 years old threw for over 300 yards vs Baltimore. It didn't matter. That was a joke. They will get some real NFL type players today. And honestly, I question this Ravens offense. Lamar is great. I think he doesn't get proper respect sometimes. But this is a one man show with an occasional TE making a play. Did you see the RB play? I think this game comes down to a FG and getting points, only way to go. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys +2.5 | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 2719 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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09-11-22 | Giants +7 v. Titans | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 785 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Yes. I said on Mid Day Money - forget the Eagles or Cowboys, take the Giants +750 to win the NFC East. Make of break or look for a new team season for Daniel Jones. Barkley in the same boat after injuries. This team, for me, is really the most desperate to get a win under their belt this season. New HC wants to start out on the right foot as NY has lost 10 or more 5 straight seasons. And getting a TD on the road vs a team that, eh, maybe shouldn't be this much of fave. Henry will bully you all day. We will find out how tough the Giants are on defense in a fast minute today. Titans do play with fire a little bit with 6 wins by 3pts or less last year. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
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09-11-22 | Ravens v. Jets +5 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 2712 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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09-11-22 | Steelers +7 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 2712 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Oh man. The Bengals hype train. Super Bowl runner-ups. The new Broadway Joe. Joe Cool. Cinderella never goes back to the ball folks. Great season last year for Cincy. Maybe they are too busy reading their own press clippings. Hunter to hunted. It is just a new role for the team. A big AFC North battle to open things up for both teams though. Steelers first time in forever (18 years with Big Ben!) with a new QB. I am not selling this team short. They win and cover, somehow. They just do. They can run the ball. They can win with a game manager QB. Pitt isn't shy getting after opposing QBs either. And Burrow was sacked more times than a bagged lunch last season. Too many points. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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09-11-22 | 49ers v. Bears +7 | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 2712 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Tray Lance? Really? This is who you want to lay points with on the road in your season opener. Running my guy Jimmy G to the bench and almost out of town. Look - Chicago is not a good football team. But give me all the points I can get here. Fields a little better as the more inexperienced QB. An I say this often on my daily show about the Niners HC. I don't even like typing this clowns name out. He blew the 28-3 lead for the Falcons. He had the Niners up what, 20-10 in the 4th quarter of the Super Bowl over the Chiefs. Last year, San Fran led the Rams 17-7 in the 4th of last year NFC Championship Game. You want to blame Matt Ryan or Jimmy G. Not the defenses for blowing the leads. And oh no it is Not the Head Coach's play calling. All this hype on SF. Not buying it. Too many points. Remember last year the SF hype in Week 1. 38-10 lead. Lions 21-3 late and your should be cover is out the door and you barely hang on for the win. Also like the Under 41.5 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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09-11-22 | Eagles v. Lions +4.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 2712 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Oh yeah. You know I am fading away on another team that is suppose to be real good this season - The Filthadelphia Eagles. Do people forget they tried to get Watson and Wilson this offseason. Ok - Hurts has some new weapons. I'm not buying it. On the flip side - Uh , Hard Knocks. People don't get that every teams August. Another home dog that will be more than happy to take the points and possibly win outright. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans +9 | 20-20 | Win | 100 | 2712 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Oh it seems like just last year at this time we were cashing our Texans ML home dog play in this spot vs the Jaguars. Now - Colts are better than the Jaguars. Matt Ryan isn't a rookie QB. But, they are still the Colts. They still find a way to play down to the competition. How about 4 straight opening day losses under this HC. I like this team. And not just because I moved to the area. I think they are a solid little bunch. We don't have to be sexy to cover. We just have to cover. Davis Mills can do that for us. Let's not forget last year either 31-0, 31-3 -- That is 62-3 for those who can't count Indy over Houston. No lack of motivation for the home team. It will be a grinder. And that leaves the backdoor wide open for us. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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09-11-22 | Jaguars +4 v. Washington Commanders | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 2712 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the Jaguars. New year - another new HC for Jacksonville. That is what you get when you go 3-29 over 32 games. I'd say Doug Pederson is a huge upgrade over Urban Meyer, but really, Rich Kotite is an upgrade over Urban. I'll take a rebuilt team with a Super Bowl Winning HC getting some points. Carson Wentz? You do know the Jags beat Wentz and the Colts last year to keep Indy out of the playoffs. And nearly upset them on the road earlier in the year. Riverboat Ron on the Hot Seat for sure. We won't get into the off-field non-sense the Redskins are dealing with this summer. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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09-11-22 | Browns v. Panthers +4 | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 2594 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. If you watch the daily Mid Day Money show, there would be absolute no way you are laying points today. But, people like to hold out to the bitter end and wait for some guy with a broadcasting degree or an ex-player to tell them what to bet on a Saturday or Sunday. Baker vs his old team is a nice little story. But the real story is if CMC is good to go. He is the difference maker that will decide the fate of Matt Rhule's hot seat this season. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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09-11-22 | Patriots v. Dolphins -3 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 328 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI here. We'll just start with the Dolphins 8-2 ATS last 10 vs the Patriots here in South Beach with outright wins in 4 of 5. Now the Patriots come in off a bad pre-season. The offense looks bad. Matt Patricia and Joe Judge, 2 guys canned as HC's, one a Defensive coach, the other Special Teams, now running the offense. I really don't like taking a lot of stock in pre-season. Now - I expect a bad joint practice vs the Raiders and their old offensive coaches. But against Carolina too? Mac Jones is taking a step back this season. Miami looking to build off a strong second half. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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02-13-22 | Rams -4 v. Bengals | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 332 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Ok. Not a huge home field advantage if any. We know this. Everyone loves Burrow. Kid is a flat out stud. Come on. First NFL Playoff run and he is in the Super Bowl. But let us look at the way the Bengals arrived. Last second INT at home to preserve a win. A game that shouldn't have even come to that but they couldn't score. Next week. They get gifted Tannehill INTs like he is giving out Halloween candy and still needed a miracle finish. Then, deja-vu all over again. Get down double digits to KC. Chiefs forget their are two halves to a game. People are shocked their OC can't get a HC job but he has 3 points with Mahomes, Kelce and Hill vs Cincy in 4+ quarters of football with the game on the line. Rams said we need a new QB to get to SB. Guess they forgot their old QB took them to a Super Bowl, and was beat by Brady. Where was the offense guru HC in that barn-burner? Look. easy to grab the points if you like Cincy. Actually, - if you like Cincy take them to win by less than 8 points. You can lay -110 and get an extra 4 points. Rams have been here before. It matters. Basically a rookie QB and a young HC still learning. I think Rams win this one by 10. That Cincy OL has been playing with fire and I think they get burned tonight. 8* Sure Shot LA RAMS |
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01-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | Top | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 165 h 52 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. Have to say. And I have said this the last 2 weeks as I go against the Niners. I like this team. We had win total and division tickets on San Fran. I say all the time this team is hamstrung by injuries. I think people forget they had a lead in the Super Bowl vs the Chiefs. I cannot knock them at all. Huge comeback in Week 17 got them into the playoffs. And yeah, we can say - 4 straight road games. Well 2 are in LA vs a team that has zero home field and fans for SF will be here cheering them on. Maybe I look to the Under again as we have had the last 2 SF playoff games. And let us look at those. One. Dallas. I'm a Cowboys fan. But the coaching is terrible and, well, Niners did hold on for the win. But don't forget that Jimmy G did throw a late INT in that one and it nearly cost them. Then in GB. Packers score on the first drive and then take the rest of the game off! A blocked FG to end the half that would have been 10-3 GB. A blocked Punt returned for a TD at 10-3 (13-3) for a 10-10. I mean, 10 guys on the field for the Packers on the final GW FG attempt. What a cluster of errors. And to be great, you need to catch some breaks. And SF has caught them all so far. Gucci Garoppolo 11-19 131 yards 1 INT vs GB. 16-25 172 yards 1 INT vs Dallas. He had 2 INTs in the season finale comeback vs the Rams. Stafford out-Brady-ed Brady in Tampa. I think people will see the Rams collapse in Week 18 vs SF and the near collapse vs TB and think they are ripe for the fall. We have 2 very good SB HCs going at it here. The smallest of smallest edge to the home team. I think Stats Padford. Matt Statsford Pads Statford, I mean Matt Stafford makes the plays over Jimmy G. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 160 h 27 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. Playoff revenge tour in full swing. Can we really get anything better in these Championship Games than what we have seen so far in these playoffs? Totally unbelievable games. So KC dispatched Bills who upset them at home. Now on tap are the Bengals who rallied back from 21-7 and 28-14 down to win 34-31 on a last second FG. Now. I thought the Titans would take care of Cincy last week. And again. Not knocking Cincy. But even when we backed them vs the Raiders, we really need an INT on the 1 to preserve a W. That game shouldn't have been close but Cincy couldn't finish. Then vs the Titans they get 3 INTs from Tannehill, a bumbling mess. I will tell you this, 4 FGs will not cut it against the Chiefs. Too much experience, and winning, playoff experience for KC here. Burrow is great. But Mahomes and Company have been in this spot for now 4 straight years. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 133 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. We cashed LA on Monday night. Right back on them today. Not a lover of Tampa. Nice easy cake walk over Philly. But now they face a veteran QB and a pretty decent HC calling the shots. Not the defense can make the stops when needed. Slight edge Rams defense here even vs the great Brady. Will take the points, but won't be shocked at an outright W. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers -5.5 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -109 | 129 h 46 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. Niners get past Dallas who continue to find new ways to lose. This would have been nice to see the old HC come back to face the Pack. And the Rodgers come out and throw 6 TD passes. But, we still get Rodgers throwing 4 TD passes here. I do like SF. You know this. We had a future win ticket and NFC West ticket on them. Should have had them ML last week as I thought the line should have been 4.5-5.5. Dumb move by me. But still a nice weekend of Wild Card action going 3-1 heading into Monday and us backing the Rams. Here though. I just think GB has a QB who won't make stupid mistakes. He won't let his HC make mistakes. Guy is MVP and HOFer. Also has a great WR. Solid RBs. The defense is underrated. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -100 | 125 h 5 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. So we scored the win last week. Cincy as a Premium hold on and we also cash our Mid Day Money pick on the Under. But you know what I saw all the time. That 3.5 - man. Everyone will run to grab Burrow and that extra hook. Not so fast my friend. Titans by 10! Love the extra rest. We should be getting some guys back. Road playoff game for the youngsters from Cincy. Not happening Bengals fans. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANS |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -4 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 188 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. This is really about the coaching. Rams clear edge. Arizona again failing down the stretch. Like the Over here also after what we have seen from these defenses. We call him Pad Statsford or Stats Padford, but the guy can chuck it and he has a WR that has not be slowed all year. Cards defense in for a long night. Again. Huge coaching edge. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs -13 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 163 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. I have written off Big Ben and the Steelers the last 2 weeks. I will do it again here on the road. I think this line gets to 2 TDs. KC does have banged up guys. But it is January after 18 weeks of football. There is zero shot of me getting behind this Pitt offense. Chiefs defense really turned it up the 2nd half of the year. Don't be fooled by 34-28 OT over LAC or 34-31 L at Cincy. Those offense are miles ahead of the Steelers and what they bring to the table. Didn't we just see a 36-10 win here after Christmas? I can't see how it's not the same.(we also have the UNDER) But I can't see Pitt getting more than 16. Give me Reid and Mahomes at home in the Playoffs. As much as I love Tomlin, the play calling has been brutal at time for the Steelers. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys -3 | 23-17 | Loss | -105 | 160 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. Hey. Not going to say anything if people are grabbing SF on the ML. This is Dallas and I hate McCarthy. I thought this line would be higher based on the Cowboys dropping 51 and 56 on the Eagles and Washington. But you lay a clunker vs a playoff team and lose at home to Arizona and people react. And I do like SF. We had a SF NFC West future and over 10.5 ticket. So I am not one to sell them short. I want to even grab the Under here. The Dallas defense I think can rattle Jimmy G. They have 2 absolute studs on D with Diggs and Parsons this season who are just disruptors right now. Kittle, Deebo - yeah great weapons. I just think as much as Dallas has the #1 offense in the league, this is a defense team. We have seen Dak lay eggs with this offense. I just think their is too much offense for SF to slow down. They are in off a big game over the Rams. Maybe they start out a little slow here. Dallas should take advantage. Both OC/DC guys are being looked at for HC jobs. So you know they don't want to bomb out in the Wild Card round. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOY |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals -6.5 | Top | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 136 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the BENGALS. Look. We had the Raiders last week. But honestly, I thought they would go down to the Colts the week before. Line has come down a full point. And here I thought it would be Cincy -7. I still think Bengals win this by 10+. A nice 4 game win streak for LV. Upset Colts on road, OT win vs Vegas. But we saw b2b clunker offenses vs Broncos and Browns with backup QBs leading the charge for the other teams. Cincy game to Vegas and won 32-13 back in November. I have been surprised by Cincy this year. Not on the wins. They are talented. I am just not a lover of their coach. That being said- I will take Burrow and friend in the cold over Carr and company. 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 166 h 17 m | Show |
Taking the RAIDERS. Yes, the Raiders are basically assured of a playoff spot. But I can't see them losing here at home. Who thought they would be here after the season they just went through. But there they are. And the fact they can knock out a division rival of their shot at the playoffs -man, sign me up for Vegas. Plus, we get a little revenge angle at home. 28-14 last time these two met up with LAC up 21-0 at the half. Geez. You would think that Gus Bradley who was the season before with the Chargers would be able to game plan vs his old squad. I think he has the troops ready. I thin this is an outright win. Also like the OVER in this one. 8* Sure Shot LAS VEGAS RAIDERS |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 28 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Revenge game for the best coach in the league and a reeling Miami team. What more do we need. This line has already moved several points. I would lay 10 here. New England will eat the Dolphins like the stuff that gets scooped up in the tuna nets. Miami win streak bit the dust last week when they actually played a decent team. Add in that NE can win the AFC East with a win and Bills loss - no way they don't come out and play hard here the entire game. Might actually be looking at the UNDER in this game also. Scoreboard watch - if Bills get out to big early lead, wouldn't be shocked if Patriots goes run heavy with backups. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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01-09-22 | 49ers +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 167 h 26 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS. I am not a believer of this Rams team. They needed a big comeback last week. San Fran like a cornered Wolverine looking for a big win. Stafford has been brutal lately with 7 turnovers the last 3 games. Pads Statsford or Stats Padford, whatever you want to call him. He hasn't played any meaningful football while in Detroit. Not sure he can handle the pressure. SF with 5 straight wins (4-1 ATS) over LAR. Points are nice, but won't be shocked at an outright win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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01-09-22 | Packers v. Lions +11 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 160 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. This line has totally moved since we posted. Still think Detroit puts up a fight though. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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01-09-22 | Bears +6 v. Vikings | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Another game we get a good number. I think Minny folds up like a tent here. Coach will probably be shown the door. Maybe Cousins plays for some pride after missing last week's big game. I am not interested in laying with the Vikings. Bears have their own coach being shown the door. But the players haven't quit with a pair of wins in their last 2 games. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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01-09-22 | Bengals v. Browns -1.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 160 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking CLEVELAND. Bad number for us on MNF with the Browns but it wouldn't have mattered anyway. Hopefully we get a benched Baker here and we can grind out a win with the run game. Utterly humiliated on MNF, I think we get a strong game today. Asking a lot. Probably. This is Cleveland. But I think they rally here for the fans and their own pride. Cincy with a way outside shot at the 1 seed. I can't see them risking Burrow all game here. Mixon could be out also. Plus. Off that huge comeback win over KC, I think this is a flat spot even vs a division rival. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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01-09-22 | Titans v. Texans +10.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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01-03-22 | Browns -2 v. Steelers | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 194 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Man. The Steelers just seem to always hang around games. And well the Browns, well Cleveland seems to lose a lot of games they should win. This team was thought to be a division winner and maybe a Super Bowl dark horse. Hello 7-8. Probably Big Ben's last game at home. Yeah. Lot of emotion. Will that make him a better player today? Browns still talented. Maybe it is because I can't stand Pitt, but I think Cleveland wins this by 10. Yes 10! If they just pound the ball they will break this defense. And their defense is good enough to get a turnover or two. Pitt hasn't score a TD in the first half in it's last 5 games! And we had Pitt vs the Titans. We also had GB over Cleveland. Off 4 INTs, you can't be worse Baker. The loser is out of the playoffs. Winner wins out and maybe wins division. I know the urge here is to go Big Ben and the home dog Steelers. Something seems off to me. Road fave gets the nod. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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01-02-22 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 57 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Maybe Rodgers lays an egg. But for me, the guy is the MVP. This team is just unbelievable. Always winning the NFC North. 13-3 seasons like its normal. I mean, a HOF QB. A great WR. The RB is no slouch. The defense makes plays when it has too. A home field like none other. They get Minny now with a back up QB. This line has doubled. Well. Hopefully you got it at around 7. 13 is steep, but I won't be shocked to see a big win here at home. I think Zimmer is on the way out. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -3 | 25-22 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. This line getting a bit high, but I think with good reason. Cowboys demolished a depleted WFT on national TV. You know the money will coming in on them. We had the Colts over Arizona last week. We said in Mid Day Money to take the Lions over Arizona the week before. And we said Rams ML the week before that. 3 straight losses as a favorite. A 7-0 start and MVP Murray chants have gone the wayside. This team is not playing well. 3-5-7. I don't think it matters. Hopkins status? Murray health? The kicking last week? Look. Dallas can lay an egg. We saw that on Thanksgiving. And Dak had been just average before breaking out on Sunday night. But the Dallas Defense has been pretty consistent. A 4-0 December, 3 on the road, the Boys look tough. Arizona with road game 4 in 6 weeks and since that 7-0 is now 3-5. We know Dallas is an ATS burner at home over the years with inflate name value lines. But 12-3 ATS this season, and I will ride them again this afternoon. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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01-02-22 | Raiders v. Colts -8.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I think Wentz is playing. 5,6,7,8,9. Indy by double digits. Look. Raiders to me, still a mess. Beating Denver? They have beaten the Broncos 4 straight. Plus, they faced a backup QB on the road. Oh, the Browns. Again, a backup QB. Maybe they are lucky enough to get 3rd straight backup QB lining up under center against them. I doubt it. NFL changed the rules the day the Wentz news came out. Colts will hammer these guys with their run game no matter who is under center. Their coach is good enough even with a backup where I have faith in him to make the right calls. Colts defense #2 in takeaways on the season. Vegas will make mistakes. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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01-02-22 | Jaguars v. Patriots -15 | 10-50 | Win | 100 | 159 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Huge number. I will say it often that you don't make money laying double digits in the NFL. But there is no way, well, maybe if you give me 21.5, that I would take the Jaguars. Back to back losses for NE. Last week here vs Buffalo. You know that is a stinger. HC will not be happy. We know his edge vs rookie QBs. Now he gets one having a miserable year. A team having a miserable year. A team with no HC. A team that should have won, but you see why this franchise is how it is. 1st and goal inside the 5, and, nothing. I can't see them bouncing back from that. 7 straight losses. January in New England. Weather probably a bit chiller than Jacksonville. This offense is putrid. NE defense will probably do what the Titans did and get a couple INTs. This offense won't squander them - again, off 2 straight losses, 33 and 27 points allowed. Jags putting up 12 a game and have lost 16 straight on the road. I'm saying NE 34-11. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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01-02-22 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 25 m | Show |
Taking WASHINGTON 56-14 is all people will remember heading into this one. I thought I would be able to get around 6, maybe closer to kick off. We last saw that Sunday night beatdown. We also remember Philly winning by 10 at home putting up 500 yards of offense. Let us not forget the 4 straight WFT wins before that. Before covid hit. Before they ran out a QB off the street last week. Look. For me. This is straight pride play. You give up 56 on national TV in front of your peers. You are facing a team that ran over 2 weeks ago. If you are any kind of man, you are ready to go into the stands and tackle Eagles family members. Philly hasn't beaten a team over .500 all year. These guys lost 13-7 to the Giants at the Meadowlands. Then beat the Jets with a rookie QB in Wilson, Garrett Gilbert off the street for WFT and then Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm last week. Get out of here. Heinicke isn't some savior, but he is better than those guys. Won't be shocked if Washington wins outright. 5* Best Bet WFT |
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12-26-21 | Bucs -11 v. Panthers | 32-6 | Win | 100 | 161 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA here. Bucs in off shutout. You think Brady isn't licking his chops this afternoon. Carolina has lost 9 of their last 11. Cam Newton. Come on. Again - Tampa shut out. Brady will look to redeem himself. My question is this? One - you think that Panthers have figured it out and will hold Tampa to under 20. Because that is the only shot these guys have at covering. How are they putting up 14+ points? I don't see it. I think TB wins this 34-13. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY |
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12-26-21 | Chargers v. Texans +10.5 | 29-41 | Win | 100 | 143 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking HOUSTON. Yeah. Going big time ugly Christmas sweater here. I just can't back the Chargers laying this kind of number on the road. Ok. They are rested. Ok. They are angry off of blowing that KC game. Ok. Texans in off win before that had lost 8 games this year by 10 or more points. I've said many times I do not like the LAC coach. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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12-25-21 | Colts +3.5 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 145 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. We had Indy last week, will come back again. This is a good solid team. You can go back to our August NFL show and see how told you to take them to win the AFC South. Good HC. Solid defense. Solid run game. And believe it or a not, a solid QB. Wish we could have grabbed that +5, but any points a bonus here. This Arizona team looks to be a bit banged up right now. Murray does not look close to 100%. I know it is Christmas, a long season - no one is 100%. But he didn't look good in that 30-12 debacle vs the Lions. And even throwing for 380 yards vs the Rams, I wasn't running out to get MVP tickets. 7-0 to 10-4 for Arizona. For the math challenged, that is a not so good 3-4 run. HC edge for us in this one. And that can loom large in a game that can come down to 1 score game. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers -7 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 186 h 28 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. I hate saying something is easy. But there was zero chance I was going to take the Browns here. And you know I am big Cleveland backer. But this is an extremely short week. Add in the Covid tests. Who knows what we get here from them. On the other side. Man. What a brutal loss with GB -2 last week. Are you kidding me? At least off that game I know here at home, the defense will want to atone for that disaster. We also have the MVP behind center. Not sure what the Browns have left in the tank at this point of the season. Much higher hopes coming into this season after last year. Now sitting at .500, I don't know if they have the heart to win this thing. Make no mistake. Browns win this one outright or they get run out of the Lambeau by 20. I think we see the latter. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 47 m | Show |
Taking SAN FRAN tonight. I am just not sold on this Titans team. First. They are in off a tough loss to the Steelers. Tough, more like Brutal. Up 13-0, can't score in the 2nd half. Miss a 4th down by a full yard. That is 3 losses in the last 4 weeks. Lone win. Jacksonville. A game they won 20-0. And we move on to point number 2. The offense. We can start with no points in the 2nd half vs Pitt. But lets go to Jags and 20 points. You get 4 INTs and can only put up 20? That isn't shocking. They put up 13 in back to back losses to the Patriots and Texans. Funny, we have or have faded the Titans the last 5 weeks and are a perfect 5-0. I think I can read this bunch. The offense is anemic without Henry. Enter SF. This team is playing well. 30 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games. 5-1 in those games. 5-1 ATS in those games. Finally the HC. Clear edge for us on the sidelines right now. Zero adjusts coming from Tennessee. That 4 week slide in September/October seems a lifetime ago for the Niners. SF by double digits tonight. They take care of business tonight, 10 days to get ready for Houston at home. That might be the fade spot with the Rams in LA to close out the regular season. Tonight though. The focus is on winning, and they do that by 10. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks +6.5 v. Rams | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I said on the Look Ahead Lines Show Sunday night we would grab the Seahawks here. And we did. Rams were in all or nothing mode Monday night, that is why we said take Rams ML. They needed a big win, they got it. But that is a big effort and on a short week for another division rival, and, on the road again. Granted Rams 10-4 SU run vs Seattle. But the line reflects some LAR virus news. No clue who is suiting up or not suiting up. NFL changes these things. My feelings and thoughts haven't changed though. Give me the home dogs here. * Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-19-21 | Packers -2 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 15 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY. We had these guys last Sunday night and needed a big 2nd half. Totally flat out of the gate and their bye week. But they are still fighting Tampa and Arizona for home field. I can't see them mailing a game in here. I know Rodgers has a toe thing. The guy is a gamer. He isn't sitting out. The run game is solid. Ravens a total desperate team right now. QB situation sketchy. Still banged up all over the place. We had the Browns last week who blew a 24-6 halftime lead. This isn't Baker and we will screen and run the ball offense. GB will air it out. And then run their RBs at you. Now sure Baltimore can handle a balanced attack right now. Packers by at least a TD this afternoon. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-19-21 | Panthers v. Bills -9.5 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 162 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking BUFFALO. The old 'circle the wagons' type of game for the Bills. Lost here at home to the Patriots. (we had NE) Lost in OT to TB (we had Bucs). The only thing that looked good was aftger getting behind early, they didn't fold up, they actually battled back. Now though, 7-6, playoffs on the line - time to bring back that Bills focus that we saw after their loss to Indy, 31-6 at New Orleans. Or 45-17 over the Jets after 9-6 loss to Jaguars. Or 26-11 win over Miami like we saw after 34-31 loss to Titans. We do know that the Bills have taken care of lesser opponents for the most part minus that Jaguars game. Carolina come in losing 3 straight, 4 of 5 and 8 of 10. (2-8 ATS). Cam is now 0-11 his last 11 starts. PJ Walker? If you have 2 NFL QBs you have none. McDermott an ex Carolina coach. No way he wants to lay an egg here. Allen looks like he is a go here. Even with Trubisky, I think Bills cover by 2 touchdowns. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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12-19-21 | Titans v. Steelers +2.5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 146 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. This is really just me fading the Titans. I had Tennessee last week and it was a miracle we got the cover there. Not happening here. Not a fan of them laying on the road. The Henry loss is huge. So you beat the Rams. Ok. You couldn't cover vs the Saints, Houston and NE. 20-0 over the Jags who gave you 4 turnovers. Where is the offense? 23-13-13-20 their last 4 games. As bad as Pitt, and I think they are bad, they find ways to come back on teams as we saw vs Minny and the Chargers. Will I be shocked at a 16-16 tie like the Lions game. Heck no. Steelers though off a bye and 8-3-1 ATS as home dog including 6 straight covers. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 148 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. We said on Lookahead Lines grab Indy at +1 or +2. Now, favored. Not shocked. Both teams off bye weeks. I think the Colts are better. I can't say a bad thing about the way the Patriots have played this year. This is why we told you back in August to grab them to win the AFC East. I just think that the Colts will beat them at their own game. Bully you with the run, have your QB make his passes. And your defense is a solid units. Home team gets the nod. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Chargers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. 9-9-9-14-7-17. Those are the points the Kansas City defense has allowed the last 6 weeks. On offense. Well, 48 and 41 vs the Raiders. 22-19-13-20 vs others over those same 6 weeks. Let's us not forget the revenge angle for a September 30-24 loss. Chargers tied it with 2 minutes to go and scored the game winning TD with 30 seconds left. The LA defense gives up some points. 21-22-28-37-27-24-27-34-42. KC offense should be able to get in the mid-20s tonight. Still not sold on this coaching staff for the Chargers 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers -13 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 166 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking GREEN BAY. Rodgers and the Packers off a bye week. Vs the Bears who they own. Vs possibly Justin Fields. I would lay 20. GN 5-0 SU/ATS at home this year. 10-2 ATS on the year overall. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY |