Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 161 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. We had NE last week. Will fade the Bills again. Either Buffalo was coming in here off a huge win. Or they are coming in off a tough loss. Hello tough loss. This is tough team to get a read on. Short number. I am grabby Brady at home. We also are on the OVER 52.5. Bills going from a team that ran over them, to a team that will throw over their heads. I just don't know what kind of heart these guys have. Beating up bad teams is one thing. But they have been manhandled by Pitt and NE at home. Colts abused them. Jags game I toss up to a fluke a week. Tampa a good team. Not the physical type like NE or Indy. But their finesse can get you in trouble. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS |
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12-12-21 | Giants v. Chargers -7.5 | Top | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 167 h 10 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Again. Locked in before a whirlwind week began. NYG with QB questions. Chargers with their own issues. We do have a decent number as of now. I was liking this based on Miami to Cali and Freddy Kitchens calling OC plays. We do have the more talented team. The QB edge gets to the moon if we get Fromm behind center. G-Men putting up just about 11ppg their last 3 games. Chargers offense has put up 41 in 2 of the last 3 weeks so should be able to cover this. We also grabbed the UNDER 44.5 here. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Washington Football Team | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 158 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. Liked this a lot more before their idiotic HC decided to guarantee a win. I can't even write anything. Guy put a bullseye on his team. But we locked this in way before he opened his mouth so we are stuck. Maybe look in-game if things get out of control. Possible Under play as well. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-12-21 | Jaguars v. Titans -10.5 | 0-20 | Win | 100 | 158 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking TENNESSEE. Yeah. Laying a big number here. But. We are off a much needed bye week. Running on fumes the last couple weeks. 12 straight weeks of ball. Add in losing your MVP. And you still muster wins before falling the last 2 weeks. No MVP. But the team should be good to go. And, against the Jaguars. A team averaging, what, 10ppg a game lately. We had the Rams last week over these guys for much of the same reason. Time to get back on track. No better team to face. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
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12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -8.5 | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 158 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. We know that KC is not a great team. But I have been down on Vegas since Gruden left. This wasn't a good team to start. They are not good now. Too much talent on the Chiefs. Yes. This is basically a double digit number. Yes. Raiders in revenge mode from 41-14 loss a couple weeks ago. LV has lost 4 of 5 and KC has won 5 in a row. And the defense is how they are getting things done. A pair of teams heading in different directions. 4* Money Maker KANSAS CITY CHIEFS |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns -2 | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 123 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. Off their bye week, get it done Cleveland. I think this game will be just as ugly as their Under we called 2 weeks ago. Baker banged up. It's mid-December, everyone is banged up. Revenge time. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 155 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS here on Monday Night. Not going to overthink things here. Bills have been a real strange team this season. Tough to figure out for sure. What I do know is they will be riding their QB all night. This team can't get any run game going. Let's be honest here. NE and their HC. Just unbelievable. We knew they would be good with their guys coming back who sat out last year. That team won some games. They got a kid under center who does what is expected. 6 straight wins for Patriots. Getting points. Have to grab the dog. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 46 h 14 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS CITY. Uh. Will the Chiefs get down to business and start covering big numbers? That is the question. For me. Andy Reid out of a bye week. Guy is great off rest. 27-6 SU 21-12 ATS. KC with Mahomes, Kelce and Hill should be able to put up 30 tonight. This Denver defense is patchwork. Looks ok vs teams that do not have stars. And honestly - is Teddy B going to keep pace here? And maybe you think, ugly game. It will be close. He doesn't have to keep up. I dunno. KC on a 11-0 SU run vs these guys. How about 9-2 ATS under Reid vs the Broncos. And as bad as the Chiefs defense was to start the season, they are allowing about 12ppg the last month. A bye week win over a slumping Chargers team. Coming in to KC on a Sunday night vs a team off their bye week. I think KC wins by 20. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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12-05-21 | 49ers -2.5 v. Seahawks | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 11 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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12-05-21 | Jaguars v. Rams -12.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 191 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. Time to get right in LA. 3 straight losses. 5 straight non covers. Remember when people though these guys were Super Bowl bound? Time for McVay to show he is a great coach. Enter Urban the Jags. Jax averaging a little more than 11ppg their last 5 games. If there was every a game to fatten up on. 13 straight road losses for the Jags. Is Stafford throwing more Pick 6's? That is how Jags cover today. I think he turns into Pads Statsford and throws 4 TDs. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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12-05-21 | Chargers v. Bengals -1.5 | Top | 41-22 | Loss | -110 | 188 h 12 m | Show |
Taking the BENGALS. I understand not wanting to bet Cincy off of them beating the Steelers again. But this is new Cincy. It think Mixon has a big game here. I think we have the QB and offensive edge here. We have the defensive edge. Chargers give up points. 28-37-27-24-27-34-42. Cincy has rolled out 41-31 the last 2 weeks. Then before that egg vs Cleveland, 31-41-34. Chargers in another road game. After getting beat down in Denver. They pulled out a game out of their butts vs Pitt that should never have been close. They edged Philly 27-24. Before that 2 straight losses. This team could have lost 6 in a row or won 6 in a row. Give me the new look Bengals. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys -5 v. Saints | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 124 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS here. Also on the UNDER 47.5. Pair of reeling teams. Both in off Thanksgiving home losses. Saints having dropped 4 straight. A total no-show vs Buffalo. We had Bills and Under there. But also lost with Dallas and the Under. This is an important game for them. Who cares the coach isn't there. I can't stand that guy anyway. First of 3 straight road games. They need to get back on track. Washington on deck then the Giants. We have seen Dallas wilt under the pressure before. I just can't see it with this offense. The defense is decent enough that it should hold Hill in check. Saints are a mess. If the Cowboys don't win by 10 I would be shocked and will be looking for Washington or Eagles NFC East division champ tickets. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-28-21 | Rams v. Packers -1.5 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 194 h 42 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY here. We had Minny last week with this game circled. Angry GB at home. We get the Rams outside in November. What is there not to like? Stafford, a guy the Packers have seen for years. They know every weak spot of his game. If Green Bay doesn't win by 2 touchdowns here, then Love had to come in to QB this game for the home team. 8* Sure Shot GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts +3.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 190 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Off a huge win, yeah, I would be lying to say I am not worried for a drop off. But, defending Super Bowl Champs. I can't see Indy being flat. Especially at home. Short week for Tampa off of beating the Giants. Does that even count? Both teams with division rivals on deck- Falcons for Tampa, Texans for Colts. Both will be focused here. For me though. Home team. Visitor off MNF. Visitor is Tom Brady. Always a little inflated number. Colts defense is a solid bunch. Wentz should be able to move the ball. Indy run game better than Tampa. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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11-28-21 | Titans v. Patriots -2.5 | Top | 13-36 | Win | 100 | 190 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. This line will be a TD by game day. Hats off the best coach ever. We did say to grab NE to win the AFC North back in August. This is not that shocking that the Patriots are playing well. The defense is solid. The QB has been solid. We know we always have an edge on the sidelines. We said to fade the Titans last week. Winner. This team had been winning with smoke and mirrors and honestly, that run was ready to end. Some tough reality now hitting the road. I think Patriots win this one by 10+. 5* Best Bet NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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11-28-21 | Jets v. Texans -2.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 12 m | Show |
Taking the HOUSTON TEXANS |
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11-25-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Saints | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 50 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS here. Talk about a must with game. This is the one Buffalo needs in a bad way. Look. Saints are no great shakes. The defense that had been carrying them has been bad the last couple weeks. It started with 27 to Tampa. 27 more to Atlanta, who we saw lay back to back eggs on offense at Dallas at home to the Patriots. 23 to Titans not terrible. But, hello. 40 to the Eagles. Wow. Now an angry Bills team coming in off a humiliating loss. Maybe no Kimara again. This is far from a vintage New Orleans offense. Bills with a pair of clunkers in 2 of their last 3. Yes, Patriots on deck - but after this Thursday game, you worry about New England. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 36-33 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Not that we love laying points at home with Dallas, but, they had been taking care of ATS business in Jerry's World with the exception of that Denver game. Now they are off an ugly Kansas City game. So. Amari banged up. Lamb too. Maybe Zeke. You know what. It won't matter. Because this Raiders team is in a free fall. 3 straight losses. Not even close the last 2. Oh. They are going to turn it on for Thanksgiving. I don't think so. I wasn't high on these guys to start the year. No way I can back them even at a TD price. Lots of problems on and off the field. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions +3.5 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS here. Uh. The Lions. But you know what, if they are going to win, today is the day. We lost a rough one with Bears ML last week. Yes, Chicago the more talented bunch. As I have said before on Mid Day Money - this team Does Not Quit. I want to go ML here. But I have been through enough emotional abuse for the week taking the Bears over the Ravens. Goff or Boyle, I think it doesn't really matter. Bears are a mess. Nagy could be canned. On the road with a backup Detroit battled a team better than this. This is going to be an ugly dogfight. Sign me up for the home puppy. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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11-21-21 | Steelers v. Chargers -3 | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 165 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. Are you kidding? Pitt ties the Lions. Wow. Somehow these guys haven't lost in their last 5 games. This game is huge for both teams if they are thinking about having any chance of making the playoffs. And I have to side with the Chargers here at home. Better defense. Better QB. Big Ben might play. Maybe not. If he's out, this line is probably near 7. Doesn't matter. Steelers are mess with banged up guys. I like their coach - and he doesn't have them mail it in. But sometimes the talent is too much to overcome. And the talent is across the field tonight. Will be looking at the under here also. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks +2.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE here. Here we go. Desperate team at home. 3-6. Off a shutout. Give me the small dogs here. Murray banged up if he plays. And I get it. Getting smacked by Cam and Carolina is pretty bad. But I like our HC better to respond off a bad game. We have a great leader on the field. No way he is taking being in last place in the division lightly. Circle the wagons time. Russ is 21-3 SU at home coming off a loss. Bad game last week, got the rust off so to speak. And- Say Murray is back. Is coming in sharp as a tack throwing dimes? This Seattle defense is doing a great job. 17 on the road to GB. 7 to Jax. 13 to New Orleans. I should really just say that crazy Titans game and giving up 30 Minny on the road are their only bad games. Dog Outright is my thinking. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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11-21-21 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 189 h 50 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. I know KC finally showed up after what seems like an eternity of not covering game. 15-3 ATS NO Covers for KC last 18. How about an 0-9 ATS run at home. Yeah. A short number. But how many people will be saying - Oh, Mahomes and KC just have to win by a FG. Easy Money. Dallas Outright for me - Short week in Vegas. Back in first place in the AFC West. Have to take any points with Dallas. Their offense is just as good or better than Kansas City. Now. Coaching another story. Dallas with a Big D as in Dummy on the sidelines. Cowboys had it going last week, and that was with a big road trip to Arrowhead on deck. This is a big measuring stick for Dallas and Dak. I like the small dogs to win this one. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders | 32-13 | Win | 100 | 162 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking CINCY here. So we get the Raiders in off that KC Sunday night loss. Didn't look that good. I had Vegas there. Tough to back KC the way they had been playing. And playing on someone waiting to have a good game isn't how you make money over the years betting. In this spot though. Short week off big rivalry game for Vegas. They have to go to Dallas for Thanksgiving. And they have to face the Bengals, off their bye week, where they will be totally focused after getting blitzed 41-16 to the Browns before hand. Now. even off the bye we do have the Steelers lurking next week. Normal scheduling, this would probably be a pass. But the Bengals need wins sitting at 5-4. They are actually behind the 5-3-1 Steelers in the North. Conference wins will be important in a muddled playoff picture. 4* Money Maker CINCINATTI BENGALS |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Extra rest off a nice win. A little booster heading to New Jersey knowing they have beaten the Jets 6 of 7 and last year's two games were a combined 44-3. Zach Wilson. Mike White. Josh Johnson. Joe Flacco. Does it even matter who is behind center? I understand wanting to maybe play on NYJ. Last time they got smashed 54-13, they upset Cincy 34-31. So after back to back games giving up 45 to the Colts and Bills, you think they show up. I don't think so. Joe Flacco looks to be getting the start. If Miami wants to at least show some pride in this season, beat a bad Jets team. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |