Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - What do the players want to do the most when distractions off the pitch have been rampant? They want to get back on the pitch and play the sport they love with passion. That said, everything going on with Manchester City right now is actually going to unite them here. They will play an impassioned style here and they are also hungry to bounce back off a 1-0 loss to Tottenham last week. However, City has been conceding a little more than usual of late plus they are facing an Aston Villa club that has been scoring well too. But the problem for Aston Villa is they can stop no one. They allowed 4 goals in the loss to Leicester last week. Over their last dozen matches across all competitions, Aston Villa has allowed 2 goals per match. Manchester City is averaging scoring 3.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. So this total is a 3 that has been set on this match but I am looking for a 3-1 or 4-2 type final so don't worry about the big number here. City has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. They are angry off the loss last week and not happy that the first match this season with Aston Villa was a 1-1 draw. That said, look for Manchester City to be relentless on the attack in this one. Prior to the 1-1 draw in last meeting, City had scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Aston Villa. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-12-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Arges vs Farul @ 10 AM ET - Farul is the top club in the league and highest-scoring club too as they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. FC Arges is on their home pitch though and Farul has allowed 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Goals should be plentiful here and the value of the O/U being just a 2 on this match is huge. 18 of last 19 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 19 matches have averaged 3.3 goals! 7 of last 8 FC Arges matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 8 matches have averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Farul has averaged 2 goals scored in winning each of last 3 matches with FC Arges. Look for the hosts to get on the board at least once in this one given the recent penchant Farul has had for allowing goals. But the visitors are favored for a reason and I am looking for a 2-1 type final here at a minimum. 10* OVER 2 in FC Arges |
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02-12-23 | Manchester United v. Leeds United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United @ Leeds United @ 9 *AM* ET - As noted in Wednesday's write-up involving these same clubs in a match at Man U, I an looking for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds entered that match off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here again just like they were in the 2-2 draw at Man U. They are now at home and will be especially responsive to the positive energy of the crowd as well as Skubala patrolling the sideline. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The visitors have won 4 of 5 matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 11 matches. Manchester United is 5-0-1 in last 6 matches with Leeds United. 5 of the 6 matches totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 5.6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action and that 2-2 draw Wednesday could them going plus they also have scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on the recent results. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Leeds United |
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02-11-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj might be happy they are on the road for this one. The reality is they have 5 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches away from home and have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 5 road matches. They have struggled recently at home but again stay hot on enemy pitch here. However, though CFR Cluj should score well, they will struggle to stop Universitatea Craiova on own pitch. The hosts enter this match off a 2-1 road loss to a tough Farul club and now face another tough club here with CFR Cluj paying a visit. However, Universitatea Craiova enters this match having scored an average of 1.9 goals per match in last 9 matches. The fact the posted total is a 2 here with no big juice on the over is truly a great value. Universitatea Craiova has only 5 draws in its 24 matches this season and CFR Cluj has the fewest (2) draws of any club in the league this season. So you can see why I am expecting both clubs to score here as well as why I am expecting this match to then find its way to at least a 2-1 final! 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-11-23 | Newcastle United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Newcastle United @ 12:30 ET - Love this spot for an over. Bournemouth is on their home pitch where they do score an average of 1 goal per match. The issue for the hosts is they concede more goals than anyone else in the league. I know Newcastle is missing Guimaraes right now but they are angry off a 1-1 draw at home and want get the full 3 points here in the table. Yes Bournemouth allowed only 1 goal to Brighton but they allowed 20 shots in that match and 6 were on target. The point is that Bournemouth was not exactly sharp in their own end and Newcastle is going to exploit their defensive shortcomings here. The visitors are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The hosts attack has looked a little better since their January signings and they will make the net ripple once here on their home pitch. Yes I know the Newcastle defense is rock solid but this is a tough spot for them and they have a home match with Liverpool up next. So perhaps they peek ahead a bit at that match and they do concede at least once here but then they battle back against a weak defense here and pile up some goals. They might, in fact, get this total all by themselves by scoring 3 on their own the way I see it after last week's frustrating draw. However, at the very least, I am expecting a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth |
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02-11-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Tottenham @ 10 *AM* ET - Love this situation for a lot of goals. Leicester is off a 4-2 win and is on their home pitch and their confidence is sky-high of late as they continue to pile up goals. Tottenham is off delivering a clean sheet against Manchester City. They gave a tremendous defensive effort in that 1-0 win. That said, you can sense what is coming here. It is impossible for Tottenham to again give such a dominating defensive effort as they will get caught still celebrating that huge win over Manchester City. However, at the same time they still have plenty weapons to exploit a very weak defensive club as Leicester definitely does struggle in that regard. Also, the injury to Tottenham goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is certainly noteworthy here as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-11-23 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 106 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Botosani has won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 2.7 goals per match. They enter this match with confidence plus seeking revenge for a 2-1 home loss earlier this season to UTA. As for Arad, they will be ready to answer the call on their home pitch here so I look for Botosani to stay hot in the goal-scoring department but Arad has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. Also, Botosani has no draws last 4 matches and also 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have ended without a draw. So the result here is nothing less than a 2-1 final in my opinion and, if you do your line shopping, there is over 2 goals available at a very price of the -130 range on this one so that would be my top choice for this bet. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA |
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02-10-23 | Mioveni v. Universitatea Cluj +100 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Universitatea Cluj Money Line +100 vs CS Mioveni - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play considering Universitatea Cluj has been struggling and CS Mioveni has been playing better. However, the fact that the hosts are off a 5-0 beating last week is what has me loving this spot for Universitatea Cluj on their home pitch. Yes, CS Mioveni has played better since returning from the holiday break but 2 of those 3 matches were at home. Now, they are on the road and CS Mioveni still has the lowest win total and highest loss total in the league this season. Universitatea Cluj has only 1 loss in last 9 matches at home and allowed a total of only 6 goals in those matches. I know a lot of those matches ended in draws but I feel this one will not as the fired up hosts respond in a big way off last week's embarrassing loss. 10* Universitatea Cluj Money Line +100 |
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02-10-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs U Craiova 1948 - Rapid is off a 5-0 win last week and U Craiova 1948 is off a 4-1 win last week. Look for the goals to keep flying this week and I like the fact we can get over 2 here are a reasonable price. I would recommend to do your line shopping early in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and actually averaged 2 goals per match in those 5. Overall, U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. As for Rapid, they are seeking revenge for a 1-0 loss in the first meeting this season. They have been involved in one scoreless draw in last 13 matches but in the other dozen matches they averaged scoring 2 goals per match! In other words, each team averaging 2 goals scored per match for quite some time now and yet we have a posted total of only 2 goals to work with here. You can see why 2-2 would not be a shock here at all but certainly we should see at least 2-1. Each club has only a 25% draw rate on the season so don't expect a 1-1 final here. Once this gets to 1-1 it will get to 2-1. No matter how it gets there, the point is we should see solid scoring in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-08-23 | Leeds United v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Look for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here in response. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The hosts have won 4 straight matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 10 matches. Manchester United is 4-0-1 in last 5 matches with Leeds United. Those 4 matches that were Man U victories all totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action but has scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on those recent results. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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02-07-23 | SC Freiburg v. Sandhausen OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
2022-23 German DFB Pokal, Round of 16, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen vs Freiburg @ Noon ET - Should see plenty of goals in this one. Freiburg is both scoring and allowing 1.6 goals per match in Bundesliga action. Sandhausen is the 2nd level of Bundesliga and is allowing 1.8 goals per match this season but is scoring an average of 1.3 goals per match as a host. I also like the fact that Freiburg has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 4 goals. Again, we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. As for Sandhausen, 8 of last 9 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! I know Freiburg is the better team and off a loss in which they played a man short and ended up getting throttled. So, from that perspective, they will want to be much better in their own end of the pitch here. However, they have consistently allowed quite a few goals this season and plus this one has Sandhausen as the host. That said, the home club will get on the board but I would certainly expect the higher quality team to get at least 2 or 3 of their own in this one as well. Freiburg likely to get to 3 by themselves but, if not, at least a 2-1 final here the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen |
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02-06-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - The ability to get a 2 here even at slightly higher juice is well worth it. I feel strongly we see at least 3 goals in this one but just can not imagine anyway possible that it does not get to at least 2 goals which, in this case, would give us a push here. The fact is the last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, have averaged 5 goals apiece! Universitatea Craiova has won 3 of last 4 matches overall and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 3 victories. Farul is one of the top clubs in the league and is the highest scoring club in the league and is averaging 2 goals scored per match on the season! The sudden problem for Farul however is that they are allowing too many goals and, in fact, have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches. 17 of Farul's last 18 matches have totaled at least 2 goals so you can see the value in this number here! 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul |
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02-06-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - I am fading the line move here and grabbing the over 2 goals as this one has moved down from a 2.5 as of matchday morning. FC Botosani has played better since the winter break and is off B2B victories. They scored 3 goals in those 2 victories. Also, FC Botosani has scored 4 goals in their last 3 home matches and has notched at least one goal in each of those 3 as a host. However, they did lose at Petrolul Ploiesti 2-1 earlier this season and I am looking for a similar final score here regardless of the victor. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 16 of last 21 matches. 13 of last 16 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 13 matches have averaged 3 goals per match! Of course we are not playing this looking for the push and, as you can see per that stat, strong odds on this one getting to 3 goals for the win. Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 23 matches and they are angry off a slow start after the winter break so look for them to fight hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 10* OVER 2 in FC Botosani |
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02-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - Just now early this morning eastern time and even still before noon here in Romania, this total dropped to a 2 which is a huge value. I can see why some people are looking under here. The first match between these teams ended 1-0 in December. However, there were a number of quality chances in that one and these clubs are so strong. Really like what FCSB has been doing but of course have plenty of respect for the top club in the league CFR Cluj, especially on their home pitch. That said, also note that only Farul has scored more goals than either one of these two clubs. Indeed, FCSB and CFR Cluj are two of the top clubs in the league in terms of scoring talent. FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight road matches and averaged scoring 1.8 goals per match in that stretch! CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches. They have averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match in those 10 matches. You can see why I am looking for this one to get to at least 1-1 and keep in mind these clubs do not settle for draws! Odds would suggest there is only a 15% chance of a draw here as they have combined for just 7 draws in their 46 matches! I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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02-05-23 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is The Big Ticket Event Sunday as Tottenham hosts Manchester City. Note that City averages scoring 1.7 goals per match when on the road and the Hotspur average scoring 2.1 goals per match when at home this season! These clubs have met twice in the last 12 months and there have been at least 5 goals scored in each match. Tottenham, other than manager Conte (Stellini may fill in here), is getting healthier and should get some scoring going here at home. But Manchester City back on track with Haaland ending his scoring drought in a big way with his hat trick performance in recent EPL action. Overall, Manchester City so dangerous and they have been known to give Tottenham fits in recent meetings. I do expect each club to score at least once given their current trending as well as results in recent battles against each other. That said, I also envision the match would get to at least 2-1 as Manchester City has only 3 draws in 20 matches this season for a 15% draw rate! As for the Hotspur, their 10 home matches have featured 0 draws! Look for at least a 2-1 final but truly I am expecting much more. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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02-05-23 | Leeds United v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Leeds United Goal Line Pick -105 @ Nottingham Forest @ 9 AM ET - When you look at this line I feel it says a lot about this match-up. There is a reason this match is priced as a pick'em even though Leeds has won only 1 of 9 road matches in the league and Nottingham Forest has lost only 3 of 10 matches in league action. I do feel Leeds will draw momentum from recent successes in the English FA Cup. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has been getting throttled in the English Carabao Cup. They also are currently without their top goalie Dean Henderson so it will likely be Keylor Navas between the pipes since Wayne Hennessey has been struggling. However, will Navas prove to be an upgrade? At least at first I think that is absolutely a no. Navas has not been playing much at all and will be rusty here. 10* LEEDS Goal Line Pick -105 |
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02-05-23 | Sepsi v. Mioveni OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni vs Sepsi @ 8:30 AM ET - Sepsi lost 3-0 last week but faced a Rapid club that has been red hot and giving a lot of clubs trouble. Prior to that loss, Sepsi was on a 4-0-1 run in which they scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! In their last 4 matches, Sepsi has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match. CS Mioveni is at the bottom of the table and having a tough season but they have been better of late and gone 2-0-1 since the winter break. CS Mioveni won the most recent meeting with Sepsi 1-0 but each of the 3 meetings before that totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3 goals per match. CS Mioveni has scored an average of 1.7 goals in 3 matches since winter break. However, they also have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches. The weather is still cold in Romania but the sun is out today and no snow expected. Will be pleasant conditions for this match and we are going to see goals in this one with good field conditions. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni |
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02-04-23 | Voluntari v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their 11 road matches this season. So the good news for them is they are away from home for this one. The better news about that too is this is really no road trip either as Voluntari is a suburb of Bucuresti. That said, even though Voluntari is down in the table, you know they will push hard against their "big brothers" Rapid in this one. That is why I am projecting an over here as I do expect Voluntari to make the net ripple at least once and, at the same time, they will struggle to slow down a Rapid team that has been marching its way back up the table for a long time now. 8 of Voluntari's last 10 road matches have totaled at least 2 goals and they have allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match in those. As for Rapid, they are off a scoreless draw but this followed 12 straight games that totaled at least 2 goals and those dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid |
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02-04-23 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - I know that the Hammers have not been scoring well this season but they are starting to score better of late with at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions and this includes 2 goals scored for West Ham in 3 of those 4 matches! Also, against Newcastle, the Hammers have scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches and, amazingly, scored at least 2 goals in 7 of those 8 matches! That said, the Hammers have a little extra confidence entering this one! The trouble for them is they are running into a red hot Newcastle club that has been particularly tough at St James' Park! Here they are averaging 1.8 goals scored per match in league action. Also, overall, Newcastle United enters this one having suffered one home shutout in last 6 league matches as a host but scoring an average of 2.4 goals in the other 5 home matches in league action dating back to early October. I am looking for a 2-1 match here at the very least but I expect the Hammers to open things up here and that helps lead the way to a match that could surprise many by being very high-scoring. Keep in mind, Newcastle's match with Southampton had 3 goals by the 29 minute mark earlier this week in tournament action. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-04-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Brighton has scored at least 2 goals in 7 straight matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 3 goals per match during this stretch. Brighton is in fine form and Bournemouth continues to struggle in giving up a ton of goals. That said, it would not surprise me if Brighton gets us this win all by themselves as they have been scoring an average of 3 goals against competition that is much tougher than this Bournemouth team. However, don't be surprised if the hosts get caught looking ahead to upcoming bigger matches and that allows the visitors to find the back of the net once. In that case, this match should end at least 2-1 but, however it manages to get there, the key is I am fully expecting 3 goals in this one given the above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton |
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02-03-23 | Fulham v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Chelsea is a sizable money line favorite with good reason. This is a revenge match for them and it is also "put up or shut up" time Chelsea. It has been a disappointing campaign for them and they have spent a ridiculous amount of money including the January transfer window. That said, they must get rolling again in league action but do you really expect them to deliver a clean sheet here? No...me either! Fulham fears no one and already beat Chelsea 2-1 earlier this season. They will be aggressive on the attack here and score at least once but then I do feel certain that the hosts are going to give a very strong effort here and that means we see this match get to at least a 2-1 final. Keep in mind, Fulham matches have averaged 3 goals this season and they do score decently even when on the road. As for Chelsea, they have poor goal-scoring numbers on the campaign but have been better at home plus they are cognizant this is something they must turn around immediately. So look for quite an entertaining high-scoring affair here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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02-03-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in U Craiova 1948 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Two teams near the bottom of the table but part of the reason for these clubs being low is they have a knack for allowing too many goals. Universitatea Cluj is off a rare scoreless draw with Rapid. Prior to this they had only one scoreless draw in last 9 matches and in the other 8 matches Universitatea Cluj allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match! Also, 6 of those 8 matches did total at least 2 goals. We have value here with this total at just 2 goals because I just do not foresee either team managing a clean sheet in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 of last 12 matches. Overall, 7 of last 8 matches for these hosts have totaled at least 2 goals. U Craiova 1948 has seen their last 2 matches result in draws but, prior to that, only 4 of their first 20 matches were draws. That is another reason I expect a winner here as I look for this one to get at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 goals in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-02-23 | Valencia v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
La Liga Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Valencia @ 3 ET - Real Madrid facing a Valencia club with an interim manager. The hosts will certainly show no mercy here and should pile up the goals. Real Madrid is off a frustrating scoreless draw with Real Sociedad in most recent match. Keep in mind, this is one of the top teams in the league and they had scored at least 1 goal in 31 straight matches across all competitions. In fact, they averaged 2.2 goals per match in those 31 matches! Valencia, like Real Madrid, is also off a rare scoreless result for them in their 1-0 loss in most recent match. They had scored in 17 of 18 matches heading into that one and averaged about 2 goals scored per match in those 17 matches which they found the back of the net. The fact is Valencia may struggle to score multiple goals here but you can see why I expect them to get at least 1 but Real Madrid a big favorite with good reason. So, in other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here but I am expecting much more. 3 to 1 or 3 to 2. Something in this range. The hosts are off a frustrating 0-0 result and will show no mercy here. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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02-01-23 | Nottingham v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Wednesday at Nottingham and Manchester United prevailed 3-0 in that match. Though Nottingham Forest was held without a goal they actually produced quite a few rushes on the attack and had a fair amount of shots including a handful that were on target. They missed one glorious scoring opportunity plus had another goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and it again leads to a total of at least 3 goals. This time Nottingham Forest should contribute to the total with at least 1 goal. I feel Manchester United could inadvertently let up a bit here and this will open things up even more for scoring chances for the big underdog here. Manchester United realizes they have effectively already punched their ticket to the finals against Newcastle United and so this one could be more of a relaxed affair for the hosts here. Manchester United is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match their last 11 across all competitions. They have also hung a 3-spot on Nottingham Forest each of their two meetings the past two months. Nottingham Forest had their chances in the meeting last week and, prior to that one, had scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions! In fact, they averaged 1.6 goals per match in those 10 matches. Look for at least a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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01-31-23 | Southampton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Southampton @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Tuesday at Southampton and Newcastle United prevailed 1-0 in that match. Though that was low-scoring, there were numerous big saves plus a goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and this time it leads to a total of at least 3 goals. Southampton is at the bottom of the table in Premier League action this season but outside of the EPL they continue to perform well. Look for another strong effort here but Newcastle is a large favorite with good reason. I look for Southampton to score at least once here but the home club to prevail and win this at least 2-1. Note that Southampton, in EPL action, have 0 draws in 10 matches. So if they get at least 1 goal here and you know the hosts should ultimately prevail in this one, then we are talking about at least a 2-1 final. Again, I like the way Southampton played in the last match plus they have averaged scoring 1.3 goals per match in last 6 matches across all competitions. Southampton's last 4 matches away from home across all competitions all have totaled 3 or more goals! Newcastle, generally speaking, is not a high-scoring club but they know they should have had much more than 1 in last Tuesday's match-up at Southampton and with this one now at St James' Park in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England, they will be relentless on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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01-30-23 | West Ham United v. Derby OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Derby County vs West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - West Ham is the "big brother" in this match-up as they are in currently in the premier league. However, Derby has been on fire overall and also has the benefit of having this match on their home pitch as well. This should be a very entertaining affair as a result because Derby has been scoring a lot of goals but will also struggle to stop a West Ham club that is the more talented club and should find a way to prevail. This is why I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. West Ham is known for lower scoring matches but Derby is going to "force the issue" here on their home pitch. It has been a decade since these clubs have met but each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. That may not seem relevant but it does point to what happens when two teams with a talent disparity meet. The fact is that Derby has gone 19 straight matches without losing by the 90 minute mark in any of those matches. They are playing with a lot of confidence and that will have them on the attack here on their home pitch. Derby has scored an average of 2 goals per match during this 19-match streak! West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 11 matches and they averaged scoring 1.6 goals in those 8 matches. Derby will struggle to stop them but will be so aggressive on the attack that I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 type battle here but we should at least see this get to 2-1. 10* OVER 2.5 in Derby County |
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01-30-23 | CFR Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Voluntari is, essentially, a suburb of the city of Bucuresti which is where I am located currently. The weather here as of mid-day is beautiful sunshine. We still have snow on the ground here but the weather is improving for sure and the field should be just fine for this match-up this evening on the pitch in Voluntari. Considering the favorable weather and the way CFR Cluj has been scoring goals of late, I love the value we are getting here with this total at 2 goals. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 16 matches in league action! That streak started way back in late August when they hammered this FC Voluntari 4-0 up in Cluj-Napoca. CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goals in 15 of last 16 matches! FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals scored in last 2 home matches! CFR Cluj has had just 2 draws in 22 matches this season so the odds of a draw are not likely here so I am not expecting a 1-1 final but rather that this match finds its way to 2-1. Per the above, you can see why many factors favor at least 3 goals being scored in this one and I am happy to have the added insurance on our side that 2 goals is a push here. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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01-29-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB vs Farul @ Noon ET - Look for plenty of goals in this one. The snow is finally letting up here in Bucuresti and the weather should be decent for this one Sunday evening. Cold weather but decent field conditions expected for this one. FCSB has scored 7 goals in last 3 meetings with Farul but it was Farul who came up with the 3-1 win earlier this season. FCSB will be looking for revenge here and should get it but Farul also scores plenty of goals. Farul the highest scoring team in the league with 42 goals but FCSB right behind them with 37 on the season. Considering each team has played 22 matches this season that translates to a final score in the 3 to 4 goal range here and I am expecting that. Farul has conceded 8 times in last 3 matches and you know that FCSB will be pressuring them here at home in search of revenge. However, lets not forget this is a very dangerous Farul club capable of exposing FCSB on the counterattack. This one should be a wildly entertaining affair with plenty of intensity and high-quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB |
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01-29-23 | Liverpool v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Liverpool @ 8:30 AM ET - Brighton & Hove has been scoring goals at a fantastic rate with Roberto De Zerbi as manager. They enter this match having scored an average of 3.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. However, one of those was a 3-0 victory over Liverpool in league action two weeks ago. You know the visitors will be out for payback here and certainly I am expect them to respond after being delivered a clean sheet courtesy of Brighton & Hove in that meeting two weeks ago. Brighton has allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches so don't be surprised if Liverpool is on the attack early and often in this one. The issue for Liverpool is, prior to a 1-0 victory at Wolverhampton, they allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 away from home. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and they have actually averaged 4 goals per match. Liverpool has been a little quiet lately but we know what this club is capable of and they will be more aggressive here I am sure. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals and am expecting 4 or more goals here. 10* OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-28-23 | Hermannstadt v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play but I really like this situation a lot. The weather could feature some snow and the field could be a little sloppy but I just can not ignore some of the solid angles here and I like the fact this total was in the 2 and 1/4 range before dropping to a solid 2 and we get line value here at this number. Both these clubs are off losses in which they failed to score a goal. Note that Hermannstadt had scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 4 matches prior to this. Also, the average score of the last 4 matches for Hermannstadt was a total of 3.3 goals prior to their 1-0 loss last week. Universitatea Craiova is also off a 1-0 loss last week. However, prior to that, they were shutout only once in last 9 matches and in the other 8 they scored an average of 1.6 goals per match! 10 of 14 matches before the 1-0 loss last week had totaled at least 2 goals! Those 14 matches averaged 2.5 goals and this one should get to 3. Universitatea Craiova has never been shutout in B2B games this season but I also expect Hermannstadt to bounce back and get at least 1 goal here. So what are the odds of a 1-1 match? Well these teams have a combined average draw rate of 25%. Odds favor this one getting to a 2-1 type final 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
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01-28-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Petrolul 52 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 @ Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - Winter weather is here in the Bucuresti area where I am currently residing and this means extra value with the underdog in a match-up like this. Ploiesti is just north of Bucuresti and we continue to get a lot of snow here today. We saw a scoreless draw in the first match of the weekend last night in inclement weather. This one should be another tight low-scoring battle and I like the fact that Chindia Targoviste had to settle for a draw instead of a win in their most recent match only because of a "fluke play" that resulted in a collision between a goalie and his teammate and the opposition. The opponent then was kicking the ball into a wide-open empty net on a breakaway. It was a one in a million type play you rarely see. They were the better team throughout the game and deserved to win. Suffice to say Chindia Targoviste hungry for the full 3 points in the table here after that frustrating result. But even if the visitors settle for a draw that still gives us a push here with this goal line available at Pick +102 so that is the play here. 10* Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 |
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01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester City vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - These two teams are topping the table in the Premier League this season and now this should be a thrilling encounter in the Fourth Round of the English FA Cup. Manchester City averages 3.5 goals scored per game on their home pitch this season in EPL action. Arsenal averages 2 goals scored per game on enemy turf this season in EPL action. These clubs are two of the best on the attack and each has had some defensive deficiencies at times as Manchester City is off a match in which they delivered a clean sheet but this followed 3 straight in which they allowed 2 goals in each match! Arsenal has allowed a pair of goals in 2 of last 4 matches in EPL action. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester City |
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01-27-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line Pick -115 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Rapid is offering a lot of line value here with this goal line at a pick'em. In their last 10 matches Rapid has only one loss as they have had wins or draws in the other 9 matches. Universitatea Cluj is off a win but, prior to that, had only 1 win in last 8 matches! The value of the pick'em goal line is big here. The line is not a mistake as it is simply priced this way because Rapid is on the road. What I like here though this they have been the much hotter club and have a great shot at the win plus we have the added bonus that any draw is a push rather than a loss for our bet. Rapid has been on a "mission" for some time now and that has catapulted them up the table. They continue that rise with picking up another victory here. 10* RAPID Goal Line Pick -115 |
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01-26-23 | Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Spanish Copa del Rey, Quarterfinals, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Real Madrid scores an average of 2.2 goals per match in league action but, when at home, they have allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 10 matches! Atletico Madrid is allowing about 1 goal per match this season but also has scored a respectable 1.5 goals per match. Real Madrid won this match 2-1 when Atletico Madrid was the host back in September. Now they meet at Santiago Bernabéu where Real Madrid has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last two meetings. Considering Real Madrid has given up at least 1 goal so frequently as a host but yet is the superior team here with plenty of firepower on the attack, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Sure this is a tough match for Atletico Madrid but their confidence has grown with recent successes and they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches across all competitions. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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01-25-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Manchester United scores an average of 1.6 goals per match in league action but, when on the road, they have allowed 1.8 goals per match. Nottingham Forest is allowing 1.75 goals per match this season but, when on their home pitch, they have have scored 1.3 goals per match. Since a 3-0 loss at Manchester United in late December, Nottingham Forest has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions! Manchester United has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match last 9 matches across all competitions. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-24-23 | Newcastle United -130 v. Southampton | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Tuesday 10* Top Play Newcastle United Money Line -130 vs Southampton @ 3 ET - I know that Southampton knocked off Manchester City in a huge upset in their last match in action in the EFL Cup action. However, City had a huge edge in possession in that match and it was just "one of those days". The fact is that Southampton is mired at the bottom of the EPL standings this season for a reason and I feel they will struggle with a Newcastle United club that, though struggling a bit of late to score goals, is still the stingiest team in the league in terms of goals allowed. Newcastle allowing only about 1/2 a goal per match in the league while Southampton allowing nearly 2 goals per match in league action. Again, this is EFL Cup action rather than EPL action but still the EPL matches give a strong insight into how these clubs have been performing for many months now. Also, Newcastle has 3 wins and 1 draw with no losses in last 4 meetings with Southampton and they have scored an average of about 3 goals per match in those 4 recent meetings. That said, look for continued scoring success in this match-up and the underdogs just will not be able to keep up considering the stellar defense they are facing in this one. 10* NEWCASTLE UNITED -130 |
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01-23-23 | Tottenham Hotspur +113 v. Fulham | Top | 1-0 | Win | 113 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Money Line +105 @ Fulham @ 3 ET - The fact that Fulham has been hot and Tottenham has not plus the fact this game is at Fulham and yet it is Tottenham that is the favorite on the 3-way line tells you all you need to know here. The odds makers know what they are doing here. Tottenham is viewed by the betting masses as being in a slump but look at the clubs they have played. Conversely, Fulham has faced a much softer slate of opposition of late and the results have reflected this. The reason Fulham has a comeback price of slightly more than double Tottenham here is because the odds makers feel there is a great shot for a road victory and I do too! The Hotspur are 4-0-1 in last 5 meeting with Fulham and outscored them by an aggregate of 9 to 4 in those matches. Tottenham dominated the match more than the 2-1 final score even indicated when these teams met earlier this season and I expect more of the same here. The last two losses for the Hotspur were at the hands of the top two teams in the league with losses to Manchester City and Arsenal. Prior to that, Tottenham - across all competitions - was off B2B wins by a combined score of 5 to nil! Look for the visitors to make a statement in this match and start to move back up the table again as they are still positioned quite nicely and they will prove they are still superior to Fulham as the hosts have been gaining ground on them recently in the table. 10* TOTTENHAM |
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01-23-23 | CFR Cluj v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Farul vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - This is a battle of the top two clubs in the league and this has the betting markets thinking under as this total has gone from a 2.5 to a 2 in most books. However, this has led to phenomenal value on the over in this match-up. Having a 2 is a big plus for over bettors in this league. The last time these clubs met it was 3-1 win for Farul at CFR Cluj so you know the visitors are now looking for payback. On the road these visitors have been strong this season as they have scored at least one goal in all ten matches and have averaged scoring 1.4 goals away from home. Farul has scored at least 1 goal in last 7 home matches and has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match as a host this season! 15 of last 16 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals. CFR Cluj was a 1-0 winner in most recent road match but 7 of 9 prior to that totaled at least 2 goals. Also, you can see why there are strong odds that both clubs score at least one goal in this one so what is the likelihood of a 1-1 draw? Very slim actually as CFR Cluj has 2 draws this entire season which is fewest in the league and is a draw percentage of only 9% on the season! 10* OVER 2 -120 in Farul |
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01-23-23 | Arges v. Chindia Targoviste | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Money Line +105 vs FC Arges @ 10 AM ET - There is a reason that Chindia Targoviste is favored here on the 3-way line and odds makers are offering you odds that are 3 times as good if you take FC Arges here. The fact is that Chindia Targoviste has not scored a goal in any of its last 3 matches but faced a very tough slate of opponents. Now they host a struggling FC Arges club and will take full advantage here. Keep in mind, only 1 of Chindia Targoviste's last 3 matches were at home. They will take advantage of being back on their home pitch here. FC Arges won the first match this season way back in August and Chindia Targoviste actually led that match at half-time and they want payback here! FC Arges has only 1 victory in last 7 road matches and has been outscored 16 to 6 in road matches this season. 10* Chindia Targoviste |
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01-22-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Hermannstadt OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in Hermannstadt vs FCSB @ 1:45 ET - Love the value of the big plus money on the over 2.5 in this one. I feel we have strong odds on at least a 2-1 final here. Hermannstadt off a 1-0 win at CFR Cluj in most recent match but this followed 3 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those 3 averaged 4 goals scored! FCSB has seen last 3 matches total 2 or less goals but this followed a stretch in which 17 of last 22 matches across all competitions for FCSB totaled at least 3 goals. FCSB is 2nd only to Farul in terms of most goals scored this season! FCSB has averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 17 matches in league competition! Neither club has a tendency for draws as they have a combined average of about 1 in 4 matches. Again, all the signs like this point to at least a 2-1 final as I expect Hermannstadt to score at home but FSCB to also resume their hot scoring in league action too. That said, neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 share of the spoils either. FCSB has gone 13 straight matches in league action without a single draw! 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Hermannstadt |
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01-22-23 | Manchester United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United beat Arsenal 3-1 earlier this season and that remains the only loss the leaders of the table have in league action. That said, Arsenal wants revenge here and they are at home and they are certainly favored for a reason. But Manchester United has been a team on a mission for quite some time now after their disastrous, though short-lived, early season start. That said, Man U is on a great scoring streak away from home and that should continue here. Neither team gets involved in man draws at all with the clubs combining for just 5 in 37 matches! That said, and with a clean sheet highly unlikely to be involved in this one, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that each of their last 3 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals! Arsenal, other than rare 0-0 match recently with Newcastle, has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in their other 4 recent matches. Manchester United has scored an average of 1.7 goals in last 10 EPL matches and has scored at least once in all 10 of those! 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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01-22-23 | Brentford v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Brentford @ 9 AM ET - We have to lay a little juice on this over but I am very confident we see at least 3 goals. No club in the league the past two seasons combined has conceded more times than Leeds as they have allowed 112 goals during this stretch. Leeds does score quite well as a host though and they are on their home pitch here. They have averaged 1.7 goals scored per match at home. But I do not see them slowing down a red hot Brentford here. The Bees are scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match. Leeds last 4 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals. Those have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Brentford has scored at least 2 goals in 6 straight EPL matches! The last 3 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and that includes a 5-2 Brentford victory earlier in this campaign. More of the same on tap here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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01-21-23 | CS U Craiova v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Botosani vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - FC Botosani has conceded 3.3 goals per match last 4 matches. However, they are at home for this match and have scored 3 goals in last 2 matches here. Also, the last time FC Botosani hosted Universitatea Craiova they did score 2 goals. As for the visitors in this one, they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 against FC Botosani. Universitatea Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches and in those 8 matches they have averaged 1.6 goals. Look for both clubs to be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one as Universitatea Craiova has sites set on keeping pace with Rapid (won last night) and also FC Botosani has a great chance to make a big move up the table with a win here. You can see, per the above, why I am expecting each club to score at least once as well as I also feel it will not end in a draw. Only 5 of 21 matches for Universitatea Craiova have been draws this season. Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FC Botosani |
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01-21-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 AM ET - Leicester has struggled to score goals recently but will be hell-bent on rectifying that in this match Saturday and I expect them to do just that! Brighton & Hove has been very strong and is on a fantastic run but has been conceding some goals too. The way Brighton has been attacking so much has led to opportunities in their own end of the pitch and I expect that to continue here. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last one totaled 7. Leicester has allowed an average of 2 goals per match in last 4 matches in EPL action. Brighton is off a 3-0 shellacking of Liverpool but, prior to that, allowed at least 1 goal in 14 of 16 matches across all competitions. The key for Brighton has been an explosive attack as they have scored an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last 10 across all competitions! Their last 8 matches in EPL action all have totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4.4 goals per match! 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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01-20-23 | Sepsi v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NOTE: I know the books here are showing 2.25 as the O/U but there are some books with Over 2 goals which is how I would recommend playing this one. Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid vs Sepsi @ 1 ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here as we get value with this total set at 2 goals. 11 straight Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Amazingly, in 10 of those 11 matches both Rapid and their opponent scored at least 1 goal. These 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and I feel we should get to at least 3 in this one as well. Sepsi's last 5 road matches all have totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 4 goals! Sepsi enters this match on overall 5-match run in which all 5 totaled at least 2 goals and these matches averaged 3.4 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals. You can see why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once and note that each club has only 5 draws in 21 matches this season. That said, high likelihood of at least a 2-1 type match here. With the long layoff for these clubs due to the winter break, a lack of sharpness could lead to some mistakes that lead to high quality scoring chances as well. There could be some rain for this match but it should be rather light. 10* OVER 2 goals in Rapid |
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01-20-23 | Voluntari v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Voluntari @ 9:30 AM ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here as we get value with this total set at 2 goals. Universitatea Cluj should score here on their home pitch as FC Voluntari has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 of last 4 matches. However, the hosts will also likely surrender at least a goal here as well as they have allowed at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 and 2 goals in 2 of last 3. FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. With the long layoff for these clubs due to the winter break, a lack of sharpness could lead to some mistakes that lead to high quality scoring chances as well. There could be some rain for this match but it should be rather light. 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Cluj |
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01-15-23 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham is strong at home but has been conceding too many goals. The Hotspur do average scoring 2.3 goals per match when at home but Arsenal is scoring an average of 2 goals per match in road matches. This is a key battle at the top five grouping of the table but still should feature plenty of goals. Each of last 4 meetings between these clubs in league action have totaled at least 3 goals. Arsenal is fired up off a scoreless draw against stingy Newcastle in their most recent league match but Arsenal's two matches prior to that in league action averaged 5 goals apiece! Tottenham, in league action, has seen 6 of last 7 matches total at least 3 goals, and those 7 matches averaged 4 goals! This one should get to at least 3 as I do not expect either team to deliver a clean sheet. So if this one gets to 1-1 what are the odds it makes it to a 2-1 final? Well, note that Tottenham has NO draws in their 9 home matches this season and Arsenal has just 2 draws in their 17 matches this season! 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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01-14-23 | Liverpool v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Liverpool @ 10 AM ET - There is some over 2.5 available out there at high juice which is what I would recommend playing here instead of possibly settling for a push at 3 goals should this one finish with exactly 3 goals. I am expecting at least 3 here as neither club has shown a knack for draws this season. Additionally, across all competitions, Brighton & Hove has both conceded and allowed at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and for Liverpool the same holds true for 6 straight matches. Given that plus the fact neither team has been involved in many draws (nor do they want to settle for one here given the current situation in the table for each), this one should get to at least a 2-1 final at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-14-23 | Leicester v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Leicester @ 10 *AM* ET - Perhaps because of recent lower-scoring results as well as the fact these clubs had mid-week action, there is a consensus opinion that this one should be an under. I strongly disagree. In terms of the mid-week factor, look for the tiredness to possibly impact key defensive players more than anything else. In terms of recent results, how these clubs match up is even more important. They met twice in calendar year 2022 and each match totaled at least 4 goals. Going even further back, it has been 4 of 5 matches between these clubs totaling at least 4 goals. Again, last year being most important. Also, in this campaign, Nottingham Forest is scoring 1 goal per match at home but allowing 2 goals per match on the season. Leicester has seen their away matches this season average about 4 goals apiece as they have scored well but also conceded far too many goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-13-23 | Leeds United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - 8 of last 11 Aston Villa matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 7 of last 9 Leeds United matches have totaled at least 3 goals. This total is offering solid line value because Aston Villa has been a different clubs since Unai Emery took over as manager. There is a little extra push from this club now plus Villa is allowing about a 1.5 goals per match on the season but is scoring 1.5 goals in home matches. Leeds is scoring about 1.5 goals per match but allowing about 2 goals per match. All signs point to an entertaining affair and I love coming back with the over when the clubs had a scoreless draw in their prior meeting. The last two meetings between these clubs in league action had totaled 3 and 6 goals, respectively. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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01-12-23 | Chelsea v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - This total opened up in the 2 and 3/4 range and then dropped to as low as 2 and 1/4 range and now just came back up this morning into the 2.5 range. I like the way this line has acted. I like this type of line movement. As for the "nuts and bolts" of this one, Fulham does average scoring 2 goals per match when they are a host. However, Chelsea has their backs against the wall and also they are making some changes on the attacking front and I expect them to very aggressive here. Chelsea has defeated Fulham in each of last 7 meetings and, no matter who prevails here I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. Chelsea has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 5 match-ups with Fulham. The hosts, however, enter this one on a 4-match winning streak across all competitions as Fulham has been hot and won 4 straight matches. 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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01-05-23 | Manchester City v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - The under has been getting attention here and I fully understand that as these teams have a recent history of low-scoring battles when they are matched up. Additionally, Chelsea has been struggling to score overall of late. However, the key here is that Manchester City is getting healthier again. Erling Braut Haaland continues to be a beast now that he is healthy again, and Chelsea is going to have be on the attack some if they want to win this game. That is why, despite a dearth of scoring lately for Chelsea, I love the over in this match-up. Chelsea must focus on scoring more goals here as they are much further down in the table than expected and need to go for the full 3 points in the table here. As for Manchester City, they have conceded at least once in each of their last 4 league matches. The key for City is scoring prowess and they are averaging 2 goals scored per match their last 8 matches across all competitions. Also, in league action, they are scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match! You can see why I am looking for a 2-1 or even 3-1 type match here and I am taking advantage of a lower total that is based too much on recent match-ups. The key here is the situation and I don't see a clean sheet being delivered by EITHER team in this one. That said, how likely is a 1-1 draw? Manchester City has only 3 draws in 16 matches this season and the hosts have only 4 draws in their same number of matches. This one gets to at least 2-1 Thursday! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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01-04-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because Wolverhampton has struggled in the goal-scoring department this season. The key here is the Wolves were on the attack against Manchester United last week but just did not have anything to show for it. They will bring another strong effort here though and this time is pays dividends as they catch Aston Villa off a huge 2-0 win over Tottenham. That will leave Villa a bit flat defensively here after working so hard against the Hotspur and now still celebrating the spoils of delivering a clean sheet versus Tottenham. I think the Wolves could really surprise here but the safest bet is the over. That's because the Wolves do allow about 1.5 goals per match and Aston Villa does score 1.5 goals per match at home. I see a 2-1 final result here as neither team has shown a strong propensity for draws this season and, as noted above, I expect each team to get on the scoresheet here so this one finds its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Aston Villa |
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01-04-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3 ET - The Hotspur are off a 2-0 loss and it was the 7th straight they have allowed at least 2 goals in a Premier League match. I look for that problem of allowing too many goals to continue here against a determined Crystal Palace club. However, I also expect Tottenham to be much more aggressive on the attack here after being delivered a clean sheet last week by Aston Villa. Each of the last 3 meetings between Palace and the Hotspur have totaled at least 3 goals and Crystal Palace did score 3 goals in the last meeting here on their home pitch. In matches across all competitions (including recent club friendlies), Crystal Palace had seen 4 straight matches total at least 3 goals before their 2-0 win over Bournemouth did not. However, the hosts here will not be able to deliver another clean sheet in this situation that is desperate for Tottenham and, of course, the Hotspur are a much stronger club than Bournemouth. All the variables add up to an entertaining match here and neither club has shown a propensity to settle for draws this season with any great regularity so I look for this one to work its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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01-03-23 | Newcastle United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Newcastle United @ 2:45 ET - Perfect set-up for an over here as Arsenal is 7-0 at home this season but hardly ever delivers a clean sheet. They are averaging about 3 goals scored at home but allowing a goal per game. Newcastle is off a scoreless draw with Leeds but they had register 16 shots including 5 on goal but were surprisingly held goalless by stellar goalkeeping. That said, both of these clubs are attacking teams and Arsenal has had only 1 draw in 16 matches this season and this is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Newcastle scores an average of 2 goals per match and this is a key battle in the table as the visitors are right behind Manchester City in chasing Arsenal at the top. Don't be surprised if this one gets to 2-2 or 3-2 as the attacking style of each club prevails. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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01-03-23 | Fulham v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Fulham @ 2:45 ET - Each of these clubs has seen their 17 matches thus far total 56 goals. This is an average of 3.3 goals per match and I like the value here with this total at 2.5 goals. Leicester has had a disappointing return to play since the break for the World Cup action but being back on their home pitch again should trigger a positive response here. Trouble is they are facing a Fulham club playing well and whose confidence is growing. That said, the visitors are going to be on the attack and look to continue their surge of momentum. Leicester has scored an average of 2 goals per match over their last 9 matches across all competitions. 4 of Leicester's last 5 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. Fulham has seen 15 of their 17 matches in league action this season total at least 3 goals! This includes 14 of last 15 so I love the odds on this one getting to at least 3 goals. Leicester has had only 2 draws in 17 matches this season. Fulham has had just 1 draw in 8 road matches this season. That said, you can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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01-02-23 | Liverpool v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brentford vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Reds matches this season have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Bees matches this season have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. Liverpool scored 3 goals in each of the two meetings last season and Brentford equaled them in a 3-3 draw in the lone meeting here. In other words, expecting plenty of scoring in this one. Current trending also supports that theory. Brentford has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions but, of course, Liverpool is a 1 goal favorite here for a reason. The Reds last 6 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 3 goals in Brentford |
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01-01-23 | Chelsea -155 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -155 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Chelsea -155 @ Nottingham Forest @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a value spot. I know that Chelsea has not been great on the road and Nottingham Forest has been respectable at home. However, consider that overall on the season the newly promoted home side here has been outscored by an aggregate score of 33 to 11. Also, Chelsea has beaten them in each of last 4 meetings and by a combined score of 12 to 1 which works out to an average of 3-0 which would not surprise me here as a possible final in favor of the visitors. Chelsea is just too strong and they are well aware that they need to get things going on the road. Just like they hammered Bournemouth 2-0 in most recent game, though at home, they should hammer another weaker fore here in this one and I am going to take advantage of the lower price that is afforded here because of the visitors being on the road. 10* CHELSEA -155 |
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01-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham has been rock solid on their home pitch and averaged 2.6 goals scored per match. However, the Hotspur also enter this match having allowed at least 2 goals in 6 straight matches in league action! That said, Aston Villa should find the back of the net at least once here but Tottenham, of course, is favored for a reason. By the way, the Hotspur have had zero draws in their 8 home matches this season and Aston Villa has had only 3 draws in their 16 matches this season. Also, the visitors in this match have allowed an average of 2 goals per match as travelers this season. This one seems to have 2-1 written all "over" it and I am grabbing the value here with this total posted at 2.5 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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12-31-22 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - We get some line value here on this total because Brighton is missing a few guys and that is holding the number down to a 2.5 and the over at about even money at that number. This is excellent line value because Brighton is still going to put up a helluva fight at home and yet Arsenal is favored here for a reason. In other words, every reason to believe we'll see at least a 2-1 final here. These clubs have totaled only 4 draws in 30 matches this season so the likelihood of a draw is very slim here. Also, Arsenal has allowed about 1 goal per match this season and Brighton is scoring about 2 goals per match on the season. The point is that Brighton should get at least 1 here but you know the top team in the league this season is also likely to get on the scoresheet as well. With a 1-1 draw highly unlikely this is simply one of those matches that seems destined for at least a 2-1 final rather than any share of the spoils. Arsenal has settled for only 1 draw in its 15 matches this season and the hosts have only 3 draws in their 15 matches. Arsenal scoring 2.4 goals per match on the season. Each of Brighton's last 5 matches in league action have totaled at least 3 goals and these 5 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Also, Arsenal wants revenge for losing their last meeting 2-1 and Arsenal's last 10 matches have seen 8 total 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-31-22 | Leeds United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle having a huge season and known for scoring well at home historically and this season as well. They are averaging 2 goals per game as a host this season. Leeds road matches are averaging 4 goals per match this season. This one should get to at least 4 as well. Leeds has a leaky defense but is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game this season so look for plenty of scoring here. 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle |
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12-30-22 | Leicester v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 -125 vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Home blowout likely here. Liverpool allowing just 1 goal per match on average at home and known for scoring well when on their home pitch. The Reds will prove to be too much for a Leicester club still licking their wounds from getting drilled 3-0 by Newcastle in their most recent match. Leicester is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season and now face a match in one of the tougher venues to visit so I am looking for a 3-0 or 3-1 type affair here which will get us the cash on the goal line with the hosts in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 -125 |
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12-28-22 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City @ Leeds United @ 3 ET - The last two times these teams met - both last season - Manchester City won 4-0 and 7-0. With Haaland now back and healthy again, this dangerous city offense should be firing on all cylinders again. Keep in mind the average score of their league games this season is 3-1 in favor of city while the average for Leeds United works out to about a 2-2 final. Indeed, I am expecting at least 4 goals in this one. Leeds does have a leaky defense and Haaland was born here as his father played for Leeds. The point is that this is an extra special match for him and he will be pushing hard to put on a show in this one. I would not be surprised to see Man City get this total all by themselves with a 4-0 type win but 3-1 or 3-2 or 4-1 also seem like logical endings here as we have seen a lot of high-scoring matches in the EPL return from the break for the World Cup. Also, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 6 matches. Keep in mind, they are now facing one of the weaker defenses in the league plus Leeds has some injury and other personnel issues complicating their situation. Manchester City should win huge here but the hosts should make the net ripple at least once as well. Note that 3 of last 4 EPL matches for Leeds have totaled at least 5 goals! 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-27-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - Manchester United dealing with some absences on defense so Nottingham Forest can take advantage here. However, the visitors have had major struggles this season at times in terms of keeping the ball out of their own net. That means a rather high-scoring match is likely in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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12-26-22 | Liverpool v. Aston Villa OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 in Aston Villa vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Aston Villa scores an average of 1.6 goals per match when at home. Liverpool scores an average of 2 goals per match on the season. This one should get to at least 3 goals. I look for at least club to score at least once and then Aston Villa has only one draw in 7 home matches this season so we have strong odds that this one at least gets to 2-1. However, even 4 or 5 goals is not out of the question here. Each of Liverpool's last 4 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 4 goals. Specific to league action, each of Liverpool's last 3 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, the hosts have goalkeeper concerns here. Each of Aston Villa's last 5 matches within league action have totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 averaged 3.6 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one as Liverpool pushes hard for a strong, attacking performance on the road but the hosts will surely not go down without a fight on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Liverpool |
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12-26-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 ET - Brighton & Hove off a scoreless draw in English Carabao Cup action which they lost on penalty kicks Wednesday. However, prior to that, their last 6 matches across all competitions had totaled at least 3 goals. They are a different club since the managerial change when Graham Potter departed. As for Southampton, they are just now going through a managerial change and all these changes are going to lead to solid goal-scoring chances here. Southampton off a 2-1 win in English Carabao Cup action Tuesday. Also, each of their last two league matches have totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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12-20-22 | Hermannstadt v. CFR Cluj -156 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj money line -157 vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj can go into the holiday break with the top spot in the table by securing the full 3 points here versus Hermannstadt. CFR Cluj has been one of the hottest clubs in the league short-term and long-term. Keep in mind they started this season splitting their first 6 matches with 3 wins and 3 losses but have since had 11 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss their last 14 matches! Hermannstadt, on the other hand, started the season strong but has since slumped badly. Hermannstadt is off a shocking upset victory over Farul. However, prior to that, they had won only once in last 9 matches with 1 win, 6 losses, 2 draws. CFR Cluj is 4-0 with 1 draw in last 5 matches against Hermannstadt and the aggregrate score of the 5 matches was 11 to 4 and I expect more domination here and will lay the price with the hosts in this one. 10* CFR Cluj money line -157 |
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12-19-22 | Botosani v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs FC Botosani @ 1 ET - FCSB just got shutout 1-0 by CFR Cluj. This followed 5 straight victories in league action and FCSB scored an average of 3 goals per match in those victories! Across all competitions FCSB has allowed 27 goals last 16 matches so certainly goaltending and defense has not proven to be their forte. However, they had been on a major goalscoring run before losing to CFR Cluj and will bounce back here against a weak FC Botosani club. These clubs just met a few weeks back and it was a 3-2 FCSB victory. FC Botosani has allowed 4 goals per match last 3 matches overall! Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals with the last 3 of those all totaling at least 4 goals. There is a reason that FCSB is priced big here and favored by 1.5 goals and I am looking for a 3-1 type final here and feel strongly we should get to at least a total of 3 goals for the win here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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12-18-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in UTA vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - UTA off a 0-0 match last week but that was on the road. At home UTA should perform much better here and I am certain a surging Rapid club is going to "force the issue" here as they have been scoring plenty of goals and this has led to wide open matches involving the club from Bucuresti. Note that Rapid has seen each of their last 10 matches total at least 2 goals so certainly there is some added value with this one available at a total of 2 goals. Those 10 matches have averaged 3 goals and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. UTA had seen 12 of last 13 matches total at least 2 goals before their scoreless draw last week. UTA saw those 12 matches average about 3 goals apiece and I love situations like this where the weaker club is at home so they can respond well there but are facing a high-scoring road club that has been playing well of late. The clubs have totaled 10 draws in 40 matches so only a 25% draw rate between them and I am looking at the strong odds that each club scores here but also that neither club is willing to settle for a draw. The result is a 2-1 final at the very least in my opinion. 10* OVER 2 in UTA |
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12-18-22 | France v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Argentina vs France @ 10 AM ET - France just delivered a clean sheet against Morocco but this is not Morocco. Argentina is going to expose a France rear guard that entered that match having allowed a goal in every World Cup match thus far. Now this is the big one and you know both clubs are strong defensively but also fully capable on the attack. Argentina has scored well throughout this tournament but France is fantastic on the counter-attack too. France was held off the scoresheet by Tunisia but has scored at least 2 goals in each of its other 5 matches in the World Cup. Since a shocking opening loss to Saudi Arabia, Argentina has scored at least 2 goals in 5 straight matches. More of the same on tap here. I feel certainly we are looking at least a 2-1 match here but like the added value of the total set at 2 goals here in case this one finishes 1-1. I just don't see either club being held off the scoresheet in this one. 10* OVER 2 in Argentina |
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12-18-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs U Craiova 1948 @ 7:30 AM ET - The hosts are off a 3-1 loss that was the 4th straight match that has totaled at least 2 goals. U Craiova 1948 is off a 1-0 win but that was preceded by 5 straight matches that totaled at least 2 goals. I feel we have excellent line value here with this total at only 2 goals for this one. U Craiova 1948 has only had a draw in 20 percent of matches and Petrolul Ploiesti has had a draw in only 10 percent of matches. That said, if you like each club to score at least 1 goal - and signs point toward that for sure - the odds definitely favor the match finding its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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12-17-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1:30 ET - These teams just met a few weeks ago and the match finished 1-1. Look for a little more here as the hosts are off a 1-0 win but allowed 1.7 goals per match their 3 prior matches. As for the visitors, they have allowed 1.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Yes the hosts delivered a clean sheet in most recent match but that was against a CS Mioveni club that is the worst one in the league. That said, with each team having high likelihood of allowing at least 1 goal here coupled with the fact that Chindia Targoviste has only drawn in 30 percent of games and Universitatea Craiova having only drawn in 25 percent of games this season, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here. Value in this total at a 2 as there was some 2.5 earlier this week and the total was posted higher for a reason. We'll grab the line value here after the move. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
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12-17-22 | Morocco v. Croatia | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Croatia Goal Line Pick -145 vs Morocco @ 10 AM ET - Morocco has been a great story in the World Cup and has been so solid defensively. However, Croatia has the stronger firepower and will play more aggressively here. This is a shot at the bronze medal and I like the value of the Pick on the goal line in this one. That means if these teams are still tied up after the added stoppage time and heading into the extra time, we still get a push here. I do expect Croatia to win this match before it goes to extra time but I do like this added value for sure. Morocco has scored just 1 goal in last 3 matches. When these clubs met in a scoreless draw in the group stage, Croatia did dominate possession time 65% to 35%. Also, Croatia's loss to Argentina was their first defeat in last dozen matches! Croatia had scored a goal in each of prior two matches and I do not see them being denied here by Morocco and especially like the value of the pick'em offered on this one on the goals line. 10* CROATIA Pick -145 |
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12-16-22 | Farul Constanta +106 v. Voluntari | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Farul Constanta Money Line +105 @ FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - Farul lost 4-0 last week at Hermanndstadt. Farul is one of the top clubs in the league and will be ready to respond in a big way here. Voluntari has been playing a little a better of late but still has just 2 wins last 7 matches. I know we lose this bet if this one ends in a draw but Farul has drawn in only 25% of its matches this season and Voluntari has only drawn in 30% of its matches. I look for a determined road club to get back on track. When one of the top teams in the league is off, not just a loss but a bad loss, they will respond in a big way. 10* FARUL +105 |
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12-16-22 | Farul Constanta v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Farul @ 1 ET - 14 of last 15 matches involving Farul have totaled at least 2 goals. Not only that, those 15 matches have averaged 3.5 goals per match. Indeed I am expecting this one to land on 3 or 4 goals and the total being at a 2 is too much value to pass up here. I am going with the over. I know Voluntari's matches average totaling only 2 goals each but they themselves have exploded for 3 goals scored in 2 of last 4 at home. They are hosting a Farul club that is high quality but off a 4-0 loss. There should be plenty of goals here as Voluntari battles hard at home but Farul will not be in a good mood after being delivered a clean sheet on their home pitch. So goals will be piling up in this one. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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12-15-22 | CFR Cluj v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in FCSB vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Two hot clubs matched up here so they are each playing with confidence and this one is a make-up match from Week 9 being played on short rest as a result as the Week 20 matches just got wrapped up earlier this week. That said, some tired legs on defense could see some great scoring opportunities and both of these clubs have been scoring well. FCSB has won 5 straight matches and averaged 3 goals per match. Across all competitions, FCSB has allowed 1.7 goals last 15 matches. CFR Cluj is undefeated last 5 matches and they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. Look for at least a 2-1 match. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in FCSB |
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12-14-22 | Morocco v. France OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in France vs Morocco @ 2 ET - Morocco has been a great story in their World Cup run and I know they have done it with defense and goaltending to this point. However, they have some fitness concerns with the defense entering this one and France has too much firepower for Morocco to stop here. At the same time, I do expect Morocco to get on the scoresheet as well. That is why the play here is the over as we also are getting excellent line value courtesy of the over being available at 2 goals for this one. Morocco has scored 5 goals in last 4 matches here in the World Cup. As for France, 4 of their 5 matches here at the World Cup have totaled at least 3 goals. France has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match but also conceded 1 time in all 5 matches. Per the above, don't be surprised if we see at least a 2-1 final in this one and it should go over the total nicely for us just like yesterday's Argentina match did. 10* OVER 2 in France |
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12-14-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - Excellent line value with this total available at 2 goals. Rapid has seen their last 9 matches all total at least 2 goals and these 9 matches have averaged 2.8 goals per match. Look for at least 3 goals in this one on Wednesday as Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 10 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals! Those 10 matches have averaged 2.9 goals apiece. In Rapid's last 9 matches there has been only 1 clean sheet delivered as Rapid had one shutout win during this stretch and they have not been shutout in any of last 9 matches. Given all of the above, and both clubs in solid form right now, there will be goals in this one. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid |
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12-13-22 | Croatia v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Argentina vs Croatia @ 2 ET - Croatia known for their tough defensive play but you know Argentina will figure out how to attack and break down the staunch defense so we will see goals here. Note that Argentina's last dozen matches have all totaled at least two goals. In fact, the average of those dozen matches was 3 goals. Croatia will push for lower scoring match here but I just don't see Argentina allowing for that. Croatia is averaging a solid 1.5 goals per match last 10 matches and also in last 4 matches in this World Cup too. So don't be surprised if we see a 2-1 type match here as also Argentina will push hard to avoid going to penalty kicks in this one. Croatia has dominated that phase of the game for a long-time now. That said, Argentina's goals is to win this before it gets to the extra time phase too. By the time the first 90 and the injury time are in the books, this one should be decided and I fully expect at least 3 goals by then but also like the value of this total being available at 2 goals. So, even if it lands on 2 we avoid a loss but, again, expect 3 or more here. 10* OVER 2 in Argentina |
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12-12-22 | CS U Craiova v. Mioveni OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in CS Mioveni vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - This total has moved to 2.25 or 2.5 in some spots but there is still some over 2 available in the price range of -130 and this is a great value. Universitatea Craiova has allowed an average of 1.7 goals last 3 matches. However, prior to being delivered a clean sheet in most recent match (which has them very motivated to score big here), Universitatea Craiova has scored at least one goal in 6 straight matches and actually averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match during this stretch! They won by a 1-0 count over CS Mioveni in the first meeting this season but the average score of the meetings last season was 4-1 in favor of Universitatea Craiova. There is nothing "average" about that for sure. That said, with the visitors off a 2-0 loss but facing a much weaker foe here, I am expecting an explosion of goals in this one. CS Mioveni has scored at least 1 goal in 2 of last 3 matches but has allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in CS Mioveni |
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12-11-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -57.5 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Chindia Targoviste vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - The last two times these clubs have met the matches have each ended with 5 goals as FCSB prevailed by a 3-2 count each time. The way FCSB is rolling right now I would not be surprised to see a similar result here. FCSB has won 4 straight matches in league action and have scored an average of 3 goals per match in those. FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in 16 straight league matches and has scored an average of 2 goals in those 16 matches! Chindia Targoviste is generally known for getting involved in lower-scoring matches but they have been a higher-scoring club at home where they have scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and averaged scoring 1.4 goals in those 7 matches. So you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one and, honestly, another 3-2 final between these clubs is a lot of goals but would not surprise me in the least! 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Chindia Targoviste |
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12-11-22 | CFR Cluj -1 v. Botosani | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj -1 +110 @ FC Botosani @ 10:30 AM ET - CFR Cluj is one of the top clubs in the league and has been red hot. FC Botosani is one of the weaker clubs in the league and has been struggling. The kicker for me that insured this play would make my card is the fact that CFR Cluj lost at home to FC Botosani 1-0 in mid-August in their earlier meeting this season. This will be a payback match for the visitors as they look to return their favor and beat the hosts now on their own pitch. Look for them to do just that and dominate. So we will lay the goal line here to avoid laying a heavy money line price. FC Botosani has 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 4 matches and just lost by an 8-0 count at Farul last week. The visitors are a red hot 10-1-1 last 12 matches. Lay it! 10* CFR Cluj -1 +110 |
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12-10-22 | France v. England OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 125 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
World Cup 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in England vs France @ 2 ET - Just too much firepower here and we should see plenty of scoring. France has given up a goal in each of their 4 World Cup matches but also has scored an average of 3 goals in their 3 victories. England had the one scoreless draw with USA but other than that scored an average of 4 goals in their 3 victories! Also, dating back to UEFA Nations League action, England has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of last 5 matches. With the way England is approaching this one it sounds like the plan is to stay aggressive on the attack and this will play right into the hands of a dangerous France attack with a lot of counterattack opportunities. So with early scoring likely the pace and tempo will be set for an entertaining affair with a lot of quality scoring chances. I like getting solid plus money with the over in this one as well. 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in England |
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12-10-22 | Farul Constanta v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 104 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Hermannstadt vs Farul @ Noon ET - I was first looking at Farul here because this is a classic case of hot versus not. However, this money line looks funny to me. It is one of those "someone knows something" lines and it concerns me that this match is going to be more of a battle than originally anticipated. The way I see it, that translates to goals in this one! Hermannstadt has allowed 3 goals in each of last 2 matches but did score a pair of goals in most recent home match. Farul has seen 13 of last 14 matches total at least 2 goals and they are coming off an 8-0 win last week. Hermannstadt might put up a fight at home but still believe Farul is a solid road favorite here for a reason. The result should be at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2 in Hermannstadt |
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12-10-22 | Portugal -142 v. Morocco | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play Portugal Money Line -145 vs Morocco @ 10 AM ET - Both the matches Friday required penalty kicks to be decided. In other words, neither favorite took care of business the way it was expected and, in fact, one (Brazil) was sent home unexpectedly as Croatia sent them packing. That said, it all changes here as Portugal is offering us great line value here and, trust me, they have taken notes on how Morocco has frustrated some opponents thus far. Morocco will not be able to do the same to Portugal. Note the only match that Portugal has lost was one some say they wanted to lose to avoid a certain match-up in the next round. They have dominated statistically and the theory is they could have won that one if they wanted to. That being said, their other 3 matches in World Cup action have seen them win by a combined score of 11 to 3. They can dominate this one too. Morocco will struggle to score. Yes they score 2 against Canada and 2 against Belgium but Canada was one of the weaker teams in the field this year and Belgium looked like a shell of its former self. Morocco's other two matches were scoreless draws. Look for the underdogs to again struggle to score just like they did against solid teams like Spain and Croatia and now they face a Portugal team that is on a whole other level. That would be reflected in a solid win here as, in my opinion will finally see our first blowout of this round. 10* PORTUGAL -145 |
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12-09-22 | Argentina v. Netherlands OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Argentina vs Netherlands @ 2 ET - Excellent line value with this total available at 2 goals. Argentina has seen all 4 of their matches total at least 2 goals and 2 of the 4 did reach the 3 goal mark. Similarly, each of the 4 matches for the Netherlands reached the 2 goal mark and the most recent one finished with 4 goals. Argentina scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches and Netherlands is scoring an average of 2 goals in last 4 matches. Expecting each club to make the net ripple at least once, given the above, is certainly not a big ask. Also, the odds on a draw here are 2 to 1 so that tells you that the odds certainly favor that this one will not end in a draw. I am expecting a highly competitive match with some surprising quick strike counterattacks and I see this one getting to at least 2 to 1 final. 10* OVER 2 in Argentina |
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12-09-22 | Voluntari v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -56.5 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Sepsi vs Voluntari @ Noon ET - Look for plenty of goals here. These teams just met, ironically, a few days ago in Romania Cup action and Sepsi won 4-0. Voluntari will be out for revenge here in league action now but I just don't see them stopping Sepsi. That said, look for continued high-scoring ways here. Sepsi has won 3 straight in league action and scored an average of 3.7 goals in those 3 matches plus now just scored 4 goals in Romania Cup action against this same Voluntari club. Goals should continue being piled up here. Voluntari is undefeated last 3 matches and scored at least 1 goal in each of those 3 matches. Sepsi is a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason though of course. So look for a 2-1 final at the very least in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Sepsi |
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12-09-22 | Brazil v. Croatia UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 goals +110 in Brazil vs Croatia @ 10 AM ET - Brazil off the 4-1 win versus South Korea but they scored an average of only 1 goal in their 3 prior matches. Also, Brazil has allowed an average of only 1/2 a goal in their 4 World Cup matches. Croatia did explode for 4 goals against Canada but this is not Canada they are facing here. This is a very stingy Brazil defense that will be tough to penetrate. At the same time, Croatia also fully capable of playing a tough defensive-minded game! Croatia, like Brazil, has allowed only a 1/2 goal so far in World Cup action. Also, other than the explosion against Canada, Croatia has scored only 1 other goal in the other 3 matches. This one will be more of a defensive struggle than many anticipate and Croatia - who had looked like they were tiring - are relishing the few days off and will make the most of it here with another strong effort defensively. This should be a very tight low-scoring match as a result. 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +110 in Brazil |
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12-06-22 | Spain v. Morocco OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Morocco vs Spain @ 10 AM ET - Morocco will try to let their stingy defense rule the day but Spain has too much attacking power including on a deep bench if needed. So Morocco will have to rely on offense here and they have scored 2 or goals in each of last two matches plus 8 of last 10 across all competitions. That said, I don't feel we need 2 from them to prevail here as I expect Spain to prevail with at least a 2-1 final. So Morocco scores just once we should be good! Amazingly Spain has scored at least 1 goal in 24 straight matches across all competitions and has averaged 2 goals scored per match during this stretch! 10* OVER 2.5 in Morocco |
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12-05-22 | South Korea v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brazil vs South Korea @ 2 ET - Great set up here for plenty of goals as South Korea must go for it here and be aggressive on the attack. They can't sit back on their heels and try to sneak out a tight low-scoring win because Brazil has just too much for them to handle on the attack. Being aggressive on the attack will get South Korea in trouble in their own end of the pitch however. That means Brazil, on the counterattack and loaded with weapons, should score plenty here. Even though Brazil is off that 1-0 loss to Cameroon, do not put too much weight into that. They are certainly going to take advantage of the scoring opportunities presented to them. They entered that match with Cameroon having won their last 4 matches across all competitions by a combined score of 11-1. That is an average score of about 3-0 but I do expect a solid South Korea club to make the net ripple at least once in this one. So look for a 3-1 type of match here. Note that Brazil actually had scored an average of about 3.2 goals per match during 9-match winning streak prior to the loss to Cameroon. The key here too is Brazil has some injuries impacting their defense and South Korea has enough weapons to attack for sure. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brazil |
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12-05-22 | Mioveni v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs CS Mioveni @ Noon ET - I am looking for a big win here for FCSB but don't want to get burned if they end up winning by just 1 goal and of course not going to lay 3 to 1 odds on the money line either! That said, the value here is with the over in my opinion as this is a match that could likely end 2 to 1. Look for FCSB to stay hot as they are on their home pitch and CS Mioveni has been the worst team in the league this season. FCSB has scored an average of 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. The problem for FCSB is they have allowed an average of nearly 2 goals per match last 21 matches across all competitions. Specific to league action FCSB has allowed at least 1 goal in 14 of 16 matches! So, again, just see CS Mioveni finding the back of the net at least once here but FCSB ultimately prevailing and that puts this one to at least a 2-1 final though we'll gladly take much more and would do just fine with a 3-0 win as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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12-05-22 | Croatia +103 v. Japan | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play Croatia +100 vs Japan @ 10 AM ET - Japan still over-valued here. That is because of the big upset wins they had over Germany and Spain but they were outplayed by Germany and some are also questioning how badly Spain even wanted to win the other match as perhaps they wanted to avoid an immediate meeting with Brazil in this next round. So the point is take a little of this with a grain of salt and also note that Japan did lose to Costa Rica too! Now they face a solid Croatia club known for stellar defense and the underdogs will be outplayed again, like they were against Germany, but this time they can not do enough for the win. 10* CROATIA +100 |
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12-04-22 | Senegal v. England OVER 2 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in England vs Senegal @ 2 ET - So we have to lay some juice to have this total at over 2 but that is a big value here. I fully expect 3 or more but if this lands on 2 then we get a push instead of a loss. England has scored at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 matches and has averaged 3 goals scored during this 4-match stretch. Senegal is missing a couple players but they have hungry guys ready to step in too on the world stage. Also 12 of their last 13 matches have totaled at least 2 goals and they do have some attacking power too but will, of course, struggle to stop England. The favorites are so powerful and potent. By the way, those 12 Senegal matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I expect that to be the case again here. 10* OVER 2 in England |
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12-04-22 | Rapid Bucuresti -124 v. Arges | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti Money Line -130 @ FC Arges @ Noon ET - Rapid has been playing much better recently and we get them with line value here because they are on the road. So we can take advantage of the home/road line value gap! As a result we get the much better team, Rapid, at a very price because this match is at FC Arges. Rapid has won each of the last 3 match-ups with FC Arges and the combined score was 5 to 1. More dominance expected here as FC Arges has scored only ONE GOAL in their last FIVE matches as a host! So very little home value for them here and Rapid actually has scored an average of 1.5 goals in last 8 matches! Rapid has climbed up to the #3 spot in the table but they had a loss and a draw in recent action so time to resume the winning! 10* RAPID -130 |
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12-04-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs Chindia Targoviste @ 8:30 AM ET - First off it is great value to have an over 2 rather than 2.5 here. Additionally, the kicker is that CFR Cluj has had only 1 draw in 17 matches this season! The way that factors in here is I fully expect Chindia to score at least 1 goal but Cluj is a big favorite for a reason. This one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final as a result. CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals per match over this stretch. Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 13 of last 14 matches and averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 13 matches. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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12-03-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Universitatea Craiova vs U Craiova 1948 @ Noon ET - The last 3 meetings between these clubs all saw the winning team total 2 goals. The first meeting this season was a 2-1 victory for Universitatea Craiova and now they are on their home pitch but you know their rivals will put up a fight here. U Craiova 1948 has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 7 matches. So even though they went revenge here and will do their best to get it, they are likely to struggle to stop the hosts on the attack in this one. Universitatea Craiova has scored 1.5 goals last 10 games. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. There is a reason so many Romania Liga 1 matches have posted totals of 2 goals but yet this one is a 2.5 on Saturday! Look for big scoring here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Universitatea Craiova |
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12-03-22 | United States v. Netherlands OVER 2 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Netherlands vs USA @ 10 AM ET - I know these clubs have trended to lower-scoring games thus far but USA does appear healthier than expected entering this one. Also, the Netherlands will play a different style here with this match-up than they did in the qualifying round matches. They know they have the firepower to give USA a lot of trouble here. At the same time just can't see USA laying down here so that means each club scores at least once in what should end up at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. But I love the value of having over 2 goals if this one lands on exactly 2 as we then get a push. But look for the win here as Netherlands themselves have actually averaged 2.64 goals per match their last 25 matches! Even just looking at this year's matches they have averaged 2.2 goals scored per match in 2022. USA has averaged 1.5 goals scored per match in 2022. Just can't see either team being held off the scoresheet and expect the favorites to impose their will here and be more on the attack than prior recent matches. 10* OVER 2 in Netherlands |
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12-02-22 | Brazil v. Cameroon OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Cameroon vs Brazil @ 2 ET - Great set up here for plenty of goals as Cameroon must go for it here and be aggressive on the attack. They need a win to have any hopes of advancing in this World Cup. Being aggressive on the attack will get them in trouble in their own end of the pitch however. They were down 3 to 1 to Serbia before rallying for the 3-3 draw in most recent match. They have a more inexperienced netminder between the sticks and the normal number 1 goalie was sent home for disciplinary reasons. That means Brazil, on the counterattack and loaded with weapons, should score plenty here. Even though Brazil only needs a draw to advance they are certainly going to take advantage of the scoring opportunities presented to them. They enter his match having won their last 4 matches across all competitions by a combined score of 11-1. That is an average score of about 3-0 but I do expect a desperate Cameroon club to make the net ripple at least once in this one. So look for a 3-1 type of match here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Cameroon |
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12-02-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Cluj @ Noon ET - The high-scoring trending continued yesterday with another 3-2 final in the only Romania Liga 1 match. The first 3 matches since the break in league action have averaged 4 goals apiece. Keep in mind, these clubs are playing matches after a 2 to 3 week layoff and it is showing up in some extra scoring chances as a result of defensive miscues leading to solid scoring chances. There also are fresh legs for the attacking offenses. Looking at this match-up, Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 9 of last 11 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 9 that did actually averaged 3 goals and I love the value with the over 2 in this match-up. Universitatea Cluj has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 2 goals. The visitors have allowed at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. But Petrolul Ploiesti certainly not known for their defensive prowess so look for the hosts to conceded in this one as well. Couple that with the fact that Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 11% draws this season - 2 in 18 matches - and you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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12-02-22 | Portugal v. South Korea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in South Korea vs Portugal @ 10 AM ET - The way I see this one playing out is that South Korea needs a win to advance so they will be forced to be aggressive on the attack as they can't just sit back here expect to win. That said, Portugal needs at least a draw to make sure they advance as the top seed from this group. So they will need to answer South Korea getting on the board here. I also feel Portugal, with Ronaldo also on a mission leading the way, wants to finish with a 3-0 mark in this qualifying round. They are going for the full 3 points here. So we should see more scoring than you might have expected in this match-up had it been played earlier in this round. Portugal has won 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 3.3 goals in the 4 victories. South Korea off a 3-2 defeat and have now scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches across all competitions and have averaged scoring 2 goals in those 8 matches. Look for, at the very least, a 2-1 final here but a 2-2 or another 3-2 final is also quite possible given the situation. 10* OVER 2.5 in South Korea |