Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-21-22 | Southampton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Burnley vs Southampton @ 2:45 ET - Burnley is off a 1-1 draw in their first match without manager Sean Dyche in nearly a decade. That was solid effort considering it was against a tough West Ham club. However, Burnley needs the full 3 points in the table as they are desperate to escape the relegation zone. That said, they will be going all out in this match but I do not see a clean sheet for either club in this one. The match gets to 1-1 and we should see at least a 2-1 final. Southampton is expected to go to a formation in this one that will emphasize the attack more than defense. Southampton is off a 1-0 match but this was after conceding 6 times to Chelsea. Of course Burnley is no Chelsea but they do seem a bit rejuvenated after the managerial change and I expect plenty of attacking from both clubs in this one and the final result to get to a 2-1 final at a minimum here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Burnley |
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04-20-22 | Crystal Palace v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace @ 2:45 ET - Newcastle off B2B wins including a 2-1 victory in last match. They are a different team when on their home pitch and I trust them to keep the momentum going here. However, Palace is off a 2-0 loss to Chelsea in English FA Cup action and will be hungry to bounce back here. Each of Crystal's 3 matches heading into that one totaled 3 or more goals. Palace had scored 2.7 goals per match in those 3. That said, and with consideration to the situation for both clubs heading into this one, I see excellent value here with going to over the 2.5 goals and getting solid plus money on it. 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Newcastle United |
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04-19-22 | Manchester United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 102 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Liverpool -1.5 goals +102 vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Ronaldo will miss this game for Man U plus Fernandes was involved in a car accident Monday. Unfortunately for the visitors there have been some distractions heading into this huge match-up Tuesday. Liverpool has been so strong for many weeks now plus they are one of the best clubs on their home pitch this season. The hosts have a goal differential of +32 in their 15 matches on home soil this season. Manchester United has won just 6 of 15 matches away from home and will get dominated here as the absence of Ronaldo hurts this club both emotionally and in terms of personnel on the field for this one. It has the makings of a rout. Liverpool is off a draw versus Manchester City in most recent match within league action. This followed 10 straight wins in league action and all but 2 of the wins were by at least a 2-goal margin. Liverpool blasted Man U by a 5-0 count earlier this season. Amazingly, Manchester United had only 3 victories in last 12 matches across all competitions prior to a victory Saturday over Norwich City. I just don't see the visitors as being able to keep up here against a host that has an aggregate score of 39 to 7 in home matches this season. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 +102 |
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04-17-22 | Leicester v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
EPL Ultra Early Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Leicester @ 9:15 AM ET - Newcastle United has been playing so much better and they are on their home pitch for this one plus have revenge from allowing 4 goals to Leicester in the reverse fixture this season. However, I do not see a clean sheet in the offing for either club in this one and I also do not expect a draw as Newcastle is out for revenge and does not want to share the spoils. That said, if each team does get on the board as I fully expect they will, look for at least a 2-1 final here. Leicester is averaging about 1.6 goals per match this season but on the road they have conceded an average of 2 goals per match. Newcastle scores decently but also allows a few too many as a host and that is why their home matches have totaled a solid average of 3 goals apiece this season. With the hosts having shown improved form for quite some time now and Leicester off a huge momentum-boosting victory in the Europa Conference League in midweek, this one sees two confident clubs squaring off. As a result, neither backs down and this one gets to at least 2-1. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches actually have averaged 4.2 goals apiece. That high-scoring trend continues here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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04-16-22 | Brentford v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Ultra Early Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Watford vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - Brentford is hot right now off B2B wins and having scored an average of 3 goals in the process. Watford is desperate to avoid relegation and will put up a fight on their home pitch. The issue for Watford is they are allowing 2.5 goals per match when a host this season. Note that Brentford is conceding an average of nearly 2 goals per match when a visitor this season. Given consideration to this I see a wild one unfolding here. The visitors are a club that is simply "feeling it" right now and firing on all cylinders but the hosts are capable of finding the back of the net a time or two on home soil. We should see at least a 2-1 final here but should see much more and we have excellent line value with plus money available on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Watford |
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04-10-22 | Liverpool +0.5 v. Manchester City | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 9* Top Play Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 @ Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Very short write-up here. There is no way to bash Manchester City of course. This a match-up of the top two clubs in the league. What I like about the dog here though is the fantastic price. In fact, I almost took Liverpool in the +250 range on the money line but instead we'll go ahead and utilize the goal line here and grab the +1/2 goal at a -120 price range on the underdog here. Liverpool has been the hottest team in the league. Yes, Manchester City is having a great season but they are at home here and all the pressure is on them and the road dogs come in playing with a ton of confidence as they have just looked so strong for months now! 9* Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 |
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04-10-22 | Crystal Palace v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
EPL Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - Leicester will do some damage here at home. Crystal Palace has been red hot so being on the road is not going to phase them at all. The visitors enter this match having scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace off B2B wins in which they have scored a total of 7 goals. Leicester will put up a fight here at home and that means plenty of goals in this one. The hosts off a scoreless draw in UEFA Europa Conference League competition but this followed a long-term run of 13 matches across all competitions averaging 3 goals apiece. I see at least a 2-1 final in this one as both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table and neither club likely to deliver a clean sheet. So this one sees each club score at least once and a 2-1 final at the very least as these clubs tightly packed in the table and don't want to settle for a draw here. Quite a wide open match in this one as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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04-09-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 12:30 ET - This is another pick where we are using logic to arrive at a wagering decision. There are 20 teams in the premier league. They are all sitting around the 30-match mark in term of matches played this season. The lowest number of draws clubs have had on the season is 3 and there are only 3 clubs like that and 2 of them are matched up right here Saturday. The point is that with just 3 draws in 30 matches for both Tottenham and Aston Villa these clubs have absolutely shown a propensity for avoiding draws. That said, if you think each club will also get at least 1 goal - and most certainly that should be expected - then with logic we know the odds are in our favor for at least a 2-1 final here as both clubs want the full 3 points in the table here and do not want to settle for a sharing of the spoils! 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Tottenham, in premier league matches, have seen 5 of their last 6 total at least 4 goals! In fact, they have scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 6 matches so they are in top form right now to say the least. As a result, look for this one to soar over the total as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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04-08-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - I fully realize Wolverhampton matches averaging just 2 goals apiece this season. However, the Wolves are one of the best road clubs in the league and have already won 8 matches on enemy turf this season! Of course to win you have to score! That said, I do look for them to find the back of the net at least once. But note that Newcastle has lost only 4 of 14 matches on their home pitch this season. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3 goals apiece this season. I am looking for a 2-1 final at the very least here. Keep in mind we have the added cushion since this total has dropped to 2 goals in that even just getting this match to 1-1 or 2-0 gets us a push. These clubs had a 2-1 final in the reverse fixture earlier this season and also that was preceded by 5 straight 1-1 draws in the 5 meetings between these teams preceding that one. The hosts have conceded at least one goal in 5 straight matches overall and are coming off a 5-1 loss. The visitors have scored an average of 2.2 goals last 4 matches and 7 of their last 9 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I love the line value here. 10* OVER 2 in Newcastle United |
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04-06-22 | Everton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +135 in Burnley vs Everton @ 2:30 ET - Yes these are two of the lower-scoring clubs but they are battling it out at the bottom of the table and getting the full 3 points here with a win will be of the utmost importance. I also do not foresee either club getting a clean sheet here either. That means we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. Note that Everton's road matches have averaged totaling 3 goals this season. Also, each of its last five road matches have seen them concede at least two goals! Burnley lost the first match-up with Everton this season by a final score of 3-1. The meeting prior to that was a 2-1 Burnley win. The hosts have allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches but they have been struggling to score goals. They will do better in the goal-scoring department here as they take advantage of a short-handed Everton club so look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +135 in Burnley |
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04-04-22 | Arsenal v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 115 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Crystal Palace vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Of course Arsenal is the favorite on enemy pitch here for a reason but, at the same time, I do not see a surging Crystal Palace team being held without a goal on their home pitch. In fact, the hosts could even score twice but lets say they score once but lose the match as forecast by odds makers. That still puts this one at least 2-1 as a final. As we dive into the numbers here, note that Palace is off a 4-0 win that was their 3rd win last 4 matches across all competitions. The only non-victory was a scoreless draw but that came against league-leading Manchester City! In each of the wins in this 4-match stretch, Crystal Palace has scored at least 2 goals in all 3 of them! As for Arsenal, they have won 4 of 5 matches - all in EPL matches - and the only defeat in this stretch was against a scorching hot Liverpool club. In the 4 victories, Arsenal has averaged scoring 2 goals per match! These clubs have met twice in the last 11 months and each match totaled 4 goals. We may not get to that lofty number here but I certainly do expect at least 3 goals in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Crystal Palace |
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04-03-22 | Newcastle United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle is off a loss but actually outplayed Everton. Newcastle lost 1-0 but won the possession battle and actually outshot Everton by a 2 to 1 ratio. It was a frustrating loss after a defeat by the same score against a powerful Chelsea club. That said, prior to the B2B defeats Newcastle had scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches - all were victories. The visitor in this one fully capable of putting a scare into a Tottenham club working hard for a top four spot in the table. That being said, I am expecting plenty of goals here. Tottenham has won 3 of last 4 matches and 3 of the 4 totaled at least 4 goals. Tottenham has averaged scoring 3 goals during this strong stretch of play. Newcastle scored a pair of goals in each of the 2021 meetings between these clubs and 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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04-02-22 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester United vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester is allowing an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. They will struggle to slow the attack of Manchester United here. Leicester's last 10 matches across all competitions saw them on the wrong end of a clean sheet once but they scored an average of 2 goals per match in the other 9 matches! Indeed the visitor in this one is a solid scoring club that can also find the back of the net against the hosts in this one. Manchester United has seen one scoreless draw in their last four matches within Premier League action but the other 3 matches within league competition all totaled at least 5 goals! In those 3, they scored 8 times but also conceded 8 times. Look for a wild one at Old Trafford in this one Saturday! 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United |
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03-20-22 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Tottenham is rolling with wins in 3 of last 4 in Premier League matches and they have scored an average of 3.3 goals per match during this hot stretch. West Ham United off B2B victories - one in UEFA Europa League and one in EPL action - and they have scored 2 goals in each match. One could argue we should see a 3-2 final here given the above. The fact is we should see at least a 2-1 match and that is all we need is 3 goals to be a winner here. I know it is a key battle with these clubs very close in the upper portion of the table but I still expect the confidence of both clubs on the attack right now to lead to a higher-scoring match than you would otherwise expect in a match like this. That said, look for each club to find the back of the net early in this one and neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 draw so we'll see at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-18-22 | Leeds United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton vs Leeds @ 4 ET - The expectation is that Wolverhampton is going to switch back to a 3-4-3 formation for this match. Look for an emphasis on the attack and more offense than you would otherwise expect in this match. Note that the Wolves are off B2B wins and have scored 5 goals last 2 matches. Leeds also enters off a thrilling 2-1 win. I know each club averaging scoring only 1 goal per match this season but I do not see either of these clubs being willing to settle for a 1-1 draw here. Also, Leeds has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match when on enemy soil this season. Good value here with the over 2.5 goals available without laying any juice. I look for 3 or 4 goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton |
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03-17-22 | Newcastle United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 3:45 ET - Everton has to start picking up points in the table to avoid relegation. They have played 3 less matches then the club nipping at their heels but still enough is enough. I look for them to respond well on their home pitch here. Newcastle United, unlike Everton, actually has been playing very well but then they ran into Chelsea and, unsurprisingly, lost 1-0. Both clubs off 1-0 defeats and I look for a big response here. Everton does score an average of 1.5 goals at home on the season. Newcastle, prior to the loss to Chelsea, had scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches. I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. This total opened up at a 2.5 with high juice on the over but is now a 2.5 with high juice on the under. I love grabbing the additional value in situations like this and feel strongly that the odds makers had it right! 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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03-16-22 | Liverpool v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Liverpool @ 4:15 ET - Arsenal has won 10 matches as a host this season and only 2 clubs - Liverpool is one of them - have won more on their home pitch. A key for Arsenal is they are scoring an average of about 2 goals per match as a host. However, only 2 clubs have won more matches than the 9 Liverpool has won as a visitor this season. A big key to Liverpool notching all those victories on enemy soil has been scoring an average of nearly 3 goals goals per match when away from home. Now, given these numbers, one could envision a 3-2 game here. I am not saying we'll necessarily get to that level here but 4 goals would certainly not surprise me here in the least and we need only 3 to cash this ticket. Yes I know this is a big battle involving 2 teams in the top four in the table but I do not foresee a clean sheet from either club in this match nor do I foresee a draw and that means I am expecting a 2-1 final at the very least here. Both pushing very hard and will need to be aggressive on the attack because they each want the full 3 points in the table. Arsenal currently in a top four spot but has multiple clubs nipping at its heels. The hosts need the full 3 points here but the visitors also hungry for the full 3 points as they are hot on the heels of Manchester City as the #1 team in the league table opened up the door for Liverpool to close the gap as City was involved in a scoreless draw Tuesday. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-14-22 | Manchester City v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City @ 4 ET - Manchester City is at the top of the table in the league but off a frustrating scoreless draw in UEFA Champions League action and will be ready to respond huge here. Heading into that match, Manchester City had won 3 straight matches across all competitions. City is scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match this season but also does have some personnel issues in terms of defense heading into this one and a surging Crystal Palace club can take advantage. Crystal Palace has 3 wins and 1 draw in last 4 matches across all competitions and they scored an average of 2.3 goals per match during this stretch. On the season, Crystal Palace has scored an average of 1.5 goals per match on home pitch in league action. Look for at least a 2-1 type match in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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03-13-22 | Leicester v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
EPL No Doubt Blowout Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Arsenal has been playing very well and this is a club scoring an average of 1.64 goals per match this season. They are hosting a Leicester club known for high-scoring matches! Leicester has particularly seen their road matches trend toward very high-scoring as those have averaged 3.5 goals this season. Leicester surrenders 2 goals per match on average when on the road and this is a club scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match. Arsenal has won 4 straight in Premier League competitions and scored an average of 2 goals per victory. Leicester has also won 4 straight matches across all competitions and averaged 2 goals per match. This one shapes up to see 4 goals scored. 10* OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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03-12-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United looking to bounce back off their loss to Manchester City. They surely will not get any mercy from Tottenham though and each of these clubs averaging about 1.5 goals scored per match this season. I look for this one to get to at least 3 as Tottenham is off a huge 5-0 win and has now scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches within Premier League action. Manchester United has scored an average of 1.8 goals last 4 matches within Premier League action. United also has allowed 1.8 goals per match last 4 matches across all competitions. Manchester United will respond off a loss here but I really like the way Tottenham responded last week off a disappointing loss. That said, I expect plenty of goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United |
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03-10-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Newcastle United @ 2:30 ET - Southampton off a disappointing 4-0 loss to Aston Villa last week. I am sure they are going to respond well on their pitch here as they entered that match having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches across all competitions. The bad news for Southampton here is they are hosting a Newcastle United club in excellent current form! Newcastle has 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches and has averaged scoring 1.8 goals during this hot stretch. Southampton has averaged scoring 2 goals last 5 matches. Truly a 2-2 draw here as the final result would not shock me in the least and we should get to at least 2-1 for a solid winner with our over 2.5 here. The last two matches between these clubs have been a 2-2 draw and a 3-2 Newcastle United win. Look for plenty of goals again in this one given the situation. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-07-22 | Everton v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Everton @ 3 ET - Tottenham and Everton have very few draws on the season. With a draw unlikely, lets talk about the likelihood of a clean sheet here. I do not see it as being likely at all. Considering those two factors we should see at least a 2-1 match here. Tottenham is angry off a mid-week loss to Middlesbrough in the English FA Cup. That means the hosts are going to be aggressive on the attack in this one. Also, Everton comes in desperate for the full 3 points in the table and will be aggressive on the attack early and often in this match as a result. The visitors are trying to avoid the relegation zone in the table and are off a 2-0 victory over Boreham Wood in English FA Cup action. The last time these clubs met it was a scoreless stalemate much earlier this season but that has ended up being a rare draw this season for each club. The two meetings between these clubs that preceded that one in 2021 each totaled 4 or more goals and, in fact, averaged 6.5 goals apiece! The hosts need to immediately respond off the mid-week disappointment and will be aggressive here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-06-22 | Manchester United v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
USA Network Rout Sunday EPL 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - None of the last 5 meetings across all competitions between these rivals has totaled more than 2 goals. There was one scoreless draw and four decisions by a final score of 2-0 each time. All of that said and yet this total is set at 3 goals. Mistake, right? Hardly! As the saying goes, that was then and this is now! Look for plenty of scoring here as Manchester City scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Manchester United scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match on enemy soil this season. That puts this game landing at 4 to 5 goals and either result would be a winner with our play here. Even if it falls short and lands on 3 that would still be a push with our play rather than a loss. I like the value a lot with this total at a 3 and not having to lay much, if any juice, to have the over 3 goals. I know this is a rivalry and will be a hard-fought match but there is so much firepower for each club and I expect an entertaining battle to result in more scoring than most are expecting here as each club gunning hard for the full 3 points in the table. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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03-05-22 | West Ham United v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Liverpool vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Liverpool scoring an average of about 3 goals per match this season. West Ham averages scoring 1.7 goals per match this season. Of course the hosts are heavily favored with good reason here but I don't see a clean sheet being delivered in this match. West Ham has been able to score very well this season and should be able to get at least 1 goal here. That sets this one up well for at least a 3-1 final here and that means we have excellent line value with this total available at 3 goals as of early Saturday morning. We'll grab the value! 10* OVER 3 in Liverpool |
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03-05-22 | Southampton v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Southampton has conceded 2 goals per match when on enemy pitch this season. Aston Villa is allowing 1.7 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Given these numbers one could argue that the posted total on this match should absolutely be higher. We take advantage of a very solid number and price on this total. 9* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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03-01-22 | Leicester v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Burnley vs Leicester @ 2:45 ET - This total opened up with the over in the -130 range on the price and now the over is available at even money. I like the added value here. I understand market perception here but I do no agree with it. The markets are putting too much emphasis on the fact Burnley's home matches average about 2 goals each while not emphasizing enough the fact that Leicester's road matches average about 4 goals each! Overall, Leicester's last 4 matches across all competitions have each totaled 3 or more goals and these matches actually averaged 4 goals apiece. Burnley has scored 1.7 goals in last 3 matches and they'll have to score well here to defeat Leicester. That said, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Burnley |
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02-27-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in West Ham United vs Wolverhampton @ 9 AM ET - I fully understand the low total here as it is available as low as 2 goals -140 on the over in some spots but I am taking the over 2.5 for the solid plus money which is currently in the +130 range. I say I understand the low total because Wolverhampton known for low-scoring matches overall this season. But when you dive in here you can see why the situation is screaming for a little more offensive attack in this one. Wolverhampton is off a 2-1 loss to Arsenal in which they led 1-0 most of the match and then allowed two late goals in the loss in a match in which they were completely dominated because they tried to sit on the 1-0 lead. Wolverhampton must be more aggressive throughout in this match and keep in mind they did score 2 goals in each of their two matches preceding that 2-1 loss. West Ham also desperate for getting the full 3 points in the table in this one and I see them being aggressive after having to settle for B2B draws in their last two matches. West Ham has a shot at a top four position in the table but they must start getting victories to achieve that goal. That said, a little more attacking likely from both clubs here and, keep in, the visitors have scored 5 goals last 3 matches and the hosts have scored 6 goals their last 4 matches across all competitions. Given the situation we should get to at least 3 goals here in a highly spirited match. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +130 in West Ham United |
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02-26-22 | Manchester City v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Everton vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - This is a fantastic situation in terms of expecting to see a relentless attack from both sides. Everton is on their home pitch for this one and ready to respond off a very disappointing 2-0 loss at Southampton in which they generated no shots on goal. This followed 3 straight Everton matches that all totaled 3 or more goals and in which they themselves scored an average of 2.7 goals per match. Manchester City is clinging to the top spot in the table but desperate for a huge effort here as they lost 3-2 to Tottenham last week. That means City is going to be relentless here no matter the score as they want to leave no doubt in getting the full 3 points in the table. Manchester City has scored an average of 3.4 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions and I am expecting at least a 3-1 final here. I say that because I do expect Everton to find the back of the net at least once as they are averaging 1.6 goals on their home pitch this season. I like the fact this total is available at 3 goals in many spots as of early morning Saturday. 10* OVER 3 in Everton |
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02-25-22 | Norwich City v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Norwich City @ 3 ET - Both clubs have been generating plenty of positive momentum of late and I look for that to translate to at least a 2-1 match here. Norwich has scored in 5 of last 6 across all competitions and the only time they did not find the back of the net was against league-leading Manchester City. In the other 5 matches, Norwich City averaged scoring 1.6 goals. As for Southampton, they have scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches across all competitions dating back to mid-December. Southampton has averaged scoring 2.1 goals per match during this stretch. Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs in Premier League action have totaled at least 3 goals and I fully expect this one will as well. There is a lot of confidence for both clubs right now and that means a little extra attacking time for each in this one as well as they go strong in this fixture seeking the full 3 points in the table. I expect at least a 2-1 match as a final result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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02-24-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Arsenal vs Wolverhampton @ 2:45 ET - These clubs met two weeks ago and Wolverhampton did not score. This was despite finishing the game with an edge as Arsenal was down to 10 men from the 69' mark on. Wolverhampton is not stupid, what they did in the first match between these clubs did not work and they fell short 1-0 two weeks ago. Look for Wolverhampton to be more aggressive in the reverse fixture. Wolverhampton has 7 road victories this season and, though known as a defensive-minded club, they have scored better on the road compared to at home. Arsenal has scored better as a host than on the road and they are happy to be on their home pitch for this one as they have already won 8 matches here this season. That said you have a couple confident clubs squaring off here in a key battle for the full 3 points in the table. I don't see either team delivering a clean sheet nor do I see either club settling for a 1-1 draw. In other words this one gets to 2-1 at a minimum and I will grab the solid plus money on the over 2.5 for this one. Wolverhampton has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of last 7 fixtures across all competitions. Arsenal's last 10 matches within Premier League competitions have seen 7 of the fixtures total at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Arsenal |
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02-23-22 | Crystal Palace v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 125 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in Watford vs Crystal Palace @ 2:30 ET - I know each of these teams is known for struggling to score goals but Watford is off a key 1-0 win and could surprise here at home. Also, Crystal Palace does have a solid group of attackers that could give Watford's defense some trouble here. Additionally, you can't just look at the scoring here, what about the goals conceded this season. Watford has allowed an average of 2.3 goals per match at home! Crystal Palace has allowed 1.7 goals per match on the road this season. Of course simple math tells you that totals 4 goals and we need only 3 to be a winner here. I also like the money move here as the plus money keeps growing on the over side of this total of 2.5 goals. I'll grab the extra value being offered. 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Watford |
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02-20-22 | Leicester v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in Wolverhampton vs Leicester @ 11:30 AM ET - I am well aware of the fact that Wolverhampton matches this season have a tendency to be some of the lowest scoring matches consistently week after week. However, the reason this total is holding at 2.5 goals in my opinion is because we actually have a solid shot at the over with this particular match-up. So grabbing the plus money on the over is the way to go as Leicester has been known for high-scoring matches particularly on the road. Leicester is allowing 2.3 goals per match away from home this season but also scoring 1.6 goals per match on the campaign. Given those numbers could we see 4 goals here? Yes we could but Wolverhampton really does tend to keep the scoring down and my forecast here is 3. Neither club settles for many draws as between the two of them they only have 10 draws in a combined 45 matches. That means we only have about a 22% chance of a draw from a statistical standpoint. That said, given Leicester's high-scoring ways I don't see them being held off the scoresheet nor being able to stop the Wolves. so the result should be at least a 2-1 final as I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +130 in Wolverhampton |
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02-19-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Tottenham @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City is scoring an average of 3 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Tottenham defeated them 1-0 earlier this season in the reverse fixture. That said, in this revenge situation, Manchester City will not hold back in piling up goals if given the chance. The fact they are facing an "out of form" Tottenham, I absolutely believe they will have that opportunity. Of course this is why City is such a massive money line favorite in this match. Where we get the best value, in my opinion, is with the total. I do not expect Tottenham to be held off the scoresheet but I expect the hosts to be relentless on the attack here. The result should be a 3-1 type match here and that gets us the money with the least amount of risk here. Tottenham has scored a total of 5 goals in last 4 Premier League competitions against City while also conceding 3 times in the last meeting in Manchester. Look for a huge effort from the hosts and they dictate the pace of this one which will be an aggressive attacking one after the 1-0 loss way back in August. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-15-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester United -130 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
EPL Annihilation Tuesday 9* Top Play Manchester United -130 vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United has been a bit disappointing of late to say the least. This club still has so much firepower though and they are at home and I am envisioning a breakout game here. Manchester United has won each of the last 6 meetings between these clubs. More of the same here. 9* Manchester United -130 |
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02-15-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United has been a bit disappointing of late to say the least. This club still has so much firepower though and they are at home and I am envisioning a breakout effort which will lead to a high-scoring match here. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs has totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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02-13-22 | West Ham United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
EPL King Power Blowout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs West Ham @ 11:30 AM ET - This one takes place at King Power Stadium in Leicester and I am expecting plenty of goals in this one! The last 6 meetings between these clubs have all totaled 3 or more goals. Additionally, Leicester matches are averaging about 3.5 goals apiece this season and West Ham matches are averaging 3 goals each this season. Leicester is allowing an average of nearly a full 2 goals per match this season which is a big part of the reason they are so far down the table. While I expect their struggles with conceding goals to continue, I also expect the hosts to put up a fight on their home pitch. Leicester is averaging scoring 1.7 goals per match at home and I don't see either club having a clean sheet here nor either club settling for a share of the spoils here. Leicester has had only 2 draws in 11 matches this season and West Ham has had only 4 draws in 24 matches this season. Given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester |
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02-12-22 | Manchester City v. Norwich City OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 120 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Norwich City vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City has won the last two meetings 5-0 but those two matches were as a host. The last time they visited Norwich City they lost 3-2 and this was recent enough that it is fresh in their minds. Manchester City wants to make sure they don't let that happen again. I am looking for a 4th straight time that a meeting between these clubs totals 5 or more goals and the good news is we need only 4 goals to be a winner here. Norwich has some extra confidence here as they enter this match unbeaten in their last 4 overall plus knowing the last time they hosted City they got the victory. That said, I do expect Norwich to find the back of the net at least once in this one but the trouble is they will not be able to stop the strongest team in the league and I look for Manchester City to put on a clinic in this one and score a pile of goals. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Norwich City |
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02-10-22 | Arsenal v. Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Thursday 9* Top Play Wolverhampton +1/2 goal vs Arsenal @ 2:45 ET - Both these clubs have issues when it comes to scoring goals. This is likely to be a tight, low-scoring battle as evidenced by the posted O/U on this match of only 2 goals. That said, having the + on the goal line is likely to prove to be a big value in this one. Wolverhampton has earned at least a point in the table in 14 of 21 matches or 67%. Arsenal, on the road has won only 4 of 10 road matches or 40%. Also, in terms of current form, Wolverhampton has won 3 straight in Premier League action and overall 4 of last 5 across all competitions. Arsenal has not won any of its last 5 matches across all competitions and has not scored a single goal in the last 4! The hosts in this match-up are known for being stingy too as the Wolves have allowed only 16 goals on the season and only table-topping Manchester City has been better with just 14 goals conceded. A lot of home dog value here in my opinion. 9* WOLVERHAMPTON +1/2 goal |
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02-10-22 | Leicester v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
EPL USA Network TV Rout Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Leicester @ 2:45 ET - Liverpool is the highest scoring club in the Premier League this season and averaging nearly 3 goals per match. I know they have also been very strong defensively and particularly this is true at home. However, it will be tough to produce a clean sheet hosting a Leicester club known for its attacking style and having averaged scoring nearly 2 goals per match this season. Could we see a 3-2 type match here or a 4-1 match? Absolutely! Note that Leicester has a leaky defense and allows plenty of goals and that is why their road matches have seen them combine with their opponents for an average of 4 goals per game. Leicester's manager is an ex-manager of Liverpool and I have a feeling the heavily favored hosts want to not only win this match but to put an exclamation point on it! That said, I see this one getting over the total with an exciting attacking style being the theme for both clubs in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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02-09-22 | Southampton v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
EPL TV Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Southampton @ 2:45 ET - Tottenham scoring 1.6 goals per match at home this season and Southampton allowing 2.2 goals per match on enemy soil. Given those numbers don't be surprised if Tottenham finds the back of the net at least twice in this one. As for Southampton, I certainly do not see them remaining without a goal in this match-up. Tottenham has allowed 1.2 goals per match and Southampton is scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match. Tottenham has not produced a clean sheet in any of their last 6 matches across all competitions. Southampton, in their last 11 matches across all competitions, has featured only ONE time that either they or their opponent were held without a goal. Also, 10 of their last 13 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two clubs has totaled 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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02-08-22 | Watford v. West Ham United -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play West Ham United -1 +105 vs Watford @ 2:45 ET - West Ham has dominated Watford in recent meetings. Watford is emphasizing defense but continues to struggle to score goals. The visitors will not be able to keep up with a West Ham club that is scoring an average of 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. Also, the hosts have pounded Watford for at least 3 goals in each of last 4 meetings. The visitors are in the regulation zone in the table for a reason and West Ham is off a disappointing effort in their most recent match and will respond strongly here. Lay it! 9* WEST HAM UNITED -1 +105 |
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02-08-22 | Everton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 103 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Newcastle does struggle to score goals overall but they are better when they are on their home pitch. Also, they are hosting an Everton club that is not too far above them in the table and has been a disappointment this season. Look for both clubs, also bolstered by some recent additions in terms of personnel, to play this match with a lot of energy and to be more aggressive on the attack. There is some reason for optimism right now for each club based on some recent developments and we should see a spirited match with more scoring opportunities than you might have otherwise expected. Each club pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here and does not want to settle for a draw and a split of the spoils. I also don't foresee either club producing a clean sheet so that means we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. Everton concedes about 2 goals per game on enemy pitch and Newcastle conceding about 2 goals per game on their home pitch this season. Both clubs would like to stop the bleeding but the scoring chances will again be there in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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02-05-22 | Watford v. Burnley +125 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rickenbach EPL Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Burnley Money Line +125 vs Watford @ 1 ET - Burnley bolstered by the signing of Wout Weghorst. Watford made managerial change to Roy Hodgson. It will take a little time for the change to Hodgson to have an impact and the visitors also are hurt by the fact that star striker Emmanuel Dennis is suspended for this match. Yes, Burnley has struggled to score goals this season but they also have not allowed many on their home pitch. Indeed, Burnley allowing just 1 goal per match when a host this season. Watford allowing 2 goals per match overall this season. Also, Watford has not been able to deliver a clean sheet in two years, since February of 2020. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting at least a 2-1 victory here as Watford has only 2 draws in 20 matches this season. Both clubs going strong for the full 3 points in the table in this one as there are currently down at the bottom of the table. That said, look for Burnley to prevail and pick up a rare victory as Watford has lost 70% of matches this season with defeats in 14 of 20. Conversely the hosts have lost only 8 of 18 and I don't see either team settling for a draw in this one. Someone should pick up the full 3 points in the table given Watford's propensity for avoiding draws. Look for that someone to be Burnley! 10* BURNLEY +125 |
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01-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham +0.5 +110 @ Chelsea @ 11:30 AM ET - These clubs have met twice very recently and Tottenham deserved a much better fate in the second fixture compared to the first. That said, and with Chelsea missing some key players including their #1 goalkeeper for this one, I feel we have excellent value with Tottenham plus a half goal and plus money too. The visitors have only lost 5 matches all season and, keep in mind, a win or a draw here gets us the money. Yes, Chelsea is one of the best clubs in the league but they have not been as dominant of a late and are a bit short-handed here and they have won only 12 of 23 matches in league action. In other words, about a 50-50 chance they don't win this match but those chances go even lower when you consider they are facing a Tottenham squad that is only 8 points behind them in the table but has played 4 less fixtures! The point is the, the losses and draws for Chelsea are going to come in matches like this again quality competition and I look for a very strong effort from the visitors here to get us the win at the betting counter! 10* TOTTENHAM +0.5 +110 |
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01-22-22 | Manchester City v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - The last time these teams met the result was a scoreless stalemate. Yes indeed, a 0-0 draw! Yet the total on this rematch is 3.5 which looks fishy, does it not? Exactly! Here is how I see this playing out. Manchester City is the proven best club in the premier league this season. City is on a 12-match winning streak in the league and averaging about 3 goals per match during this hot run. After getting embarrassed by being held scoreless on their home pitch earlier in this campaign, City is not going to take their foot off the gas here. They are going to be very aggressive and score many goals in my opinion. At the same time, Southampton is not going to be held off the scoresheet on their home pitch in my opinion. I am looking for a 3-1 match here but would really not be surprised at all to see much more scoring than that. Southampton may try to play a defensive style at first and go with a 3-5-2 formation but once they get down a couple goals they will have to adjust their style and I would not be surprised to see a lot of goals here as a result. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton |
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01-21-22 | Norwich City v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Watford vs Norwich City @ 3 ET - Norwich City has allowed 2.5 goals per match as travelers this season. Watford has allowed 2.2 goals per match on their home pitch in this campaign. So each club should manage at least 2 goals here, right? Not necessarily but I do feel the leaky defense of each club certainly helps our cause here and with each club going hard for the full 3 points in the table here we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Neither wants to settle for a draw here as they are both near the relegation zone. Also, note that Watford is off a 1-1 draw but, prior this, 3 of last 4 matches across all competitions totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, two of those totaled 5 goals. As for Norwich City, 3 of their last 4 matches in Premier League action have totaled 3 or more goals. Both clubs also playing with a little extra confidence here as Watford picked up a point by virtue of a draw in most recent match and now are on their home soil for this one and Norwich picked up a victory and the full 3 points in their most recent match. Even with some absentees for each club in this one (injury/covid/Africa Cup of Nations) we should a rather spirited affair in this one and it totals 3 or more goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in Watford |
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01-19-22 | Manchester United v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Brentford is going to push hard for all 3 points in the table at home. Manchester United is unlikely to deliver a clean sheet as they have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match this season. At the same time, Man U is certainly favored here for a reason. That said, I see no reason this match does not get to at least 2-1. Note that Brentford is conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season and now host a highly talented group of attackers as they face Manchester United. The good news for Brentford fans is they have won 4 matches on home soil this season and this club plays with confidence when on their home pitch. Brentford will be on the attack but Manchester United off a high-scoring 2-2 draw and I fully expect a similar result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford |
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01-18-22 | Chelsea v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - With Chelsea off a disappointing loss to Manchester City I could see them being a little deflated here at the start of this one. Brighton & Hove should at least be good for one goal in this one and might get more because Chelsea's #1 goalkeeper is currently at the Africa Cup of Nations. So they are down to their #2 defending the net but Chelsea still has plenty of firepower to score some goals of their own here. Prior to the 1-0 defeat versus City, Chelsea had scored an average of 2.5 goals their last 4 matches. Brighton & Hove scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches across all competitions and will bounce back here from a 1-1 draw versus Crystal Palace. Ironically they also had a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea in their first match of this campaign 3 weeks ago. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one and am happy to have the plus money with the over here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-15-22 | Manchester United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - I know these clubs just played to a 1-0 final in Manchester United's win in the FA Cup Monday but I am looking for more goals in the rematch. Note that Manchester United has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight EPL matches and Aston Villa's recent low-scoring ways had a lot to do with the opponents they faced. Even with that Aston Villa's last 3 matches in EPL action averaged 3 goals per match. If the visitors concede at least once here - and the odds favor that happening - but if they still find a way to win (they are favored with good reason here) then we are looking at a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. That said, a total at 2.5 goals and about a pick'em price either side of the total is an excellent value in my opinion. Manchester United still has a lot of doubters and is out to prove they can make a march up the table. The hosts here also with plenty to prove as they have lost 3 straight matches. The point is both clubs very hungry for the full 3 points in the table! So, as an example, if this match gets knotted up at 1 apiece it is simply highly unlikely that either club sits back and plays for a draw. That is just happening here. So look for at least a 2-1 result here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Game of the Week Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +110 vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - We are getting some line value here because Crystal Palace has played a little better of late. The better results had a lot to do with scheduling and so I don't expect it to continue here. Now Palace is on the road where they have won just 1 match all season. Also, Crystal Palace is without a few players who are playing in the Africa Cup of Nations and this includes Zaha who is one of their top scorers. Also, Brighton & Hove has revenge on their minds here from losing most recent match versus Palace. The hosts do come into this match hot as they have been winning and playing well on both ends of the pitch and the only draw in their 4 game unbeaten streak was versus Chelsea and there certainly is no shame in playing out to a draw against those guys. Considering all these factors look for the club on its home pitch to get the full 3 points in the table by notching a key victory in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +110 |
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01-12-22 | Norwich City +1.5 v. West Ham United | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play Norwich City +1.5 -115 @ West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - Of course it goes without saying that West Ham is the much stronger club this season. However, ironically the original match was postponed because Norwich had covid and injury concerns but now it is West Ham that has the issues and yet this match will be played. As hungry as Norwich is to taste victory and with the hosts being the more short-handed club, I like our chances here with the road dog on the goal line. We can get +1.5 goals at a reasonable price and I look for Norwich to build off their 1-0 win in English FA Cup action over the weekend. That was a confidence boost this club needed and remember a few games back in English Premier League action they lost by only a 1-0 count to a tough Manchester United club! Note that West Ham has won only 4 of 9 home matches this season and has a positive goal differential of only +3 in their 9 home matches. The point is that this match is likely to be much closer and more hard-fought than many are expecting. 10* NORWICH CITY +1.5 -115 |
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01-11-22 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
EPL USA Network TV Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Brentford @ 2:45 ET - Southampton carries high-scoring momentum into this match after 3-2 win over Swansea City in the English FA Cup featured a lot of late scoring. Brentford also rolling with scoring confidence after a 4-1 win over Port Vale which was also an English FA Cup match. Although Brentford recently had some struggles with scoring goals in recent matches that had a lot do with a stretch of matches against Chelsea, Brighton & Hove, and Manchester City. If you average what those clubs are allowing per match this season it is 0.80 goals. As for Southampton, also dealing with injury issues at right-back at the present time, the Saints are allowing about double that at 1.5 goals per match. The point is that Brentford is going to have an opportunity to build off momentum here as they also did win most recent Premier League match 2-1 over Aston Villa after the aforementioned tough 3-match stretch. As for Southampton, prior to high-scoring victory over Swansea, the had played to a 1-1 draw against Tottenham but the was preceded by a 7-match stretch in which 6 of the matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact those 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Looking for a similar result here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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01-03-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United builds off their 3-1 win over Burnley. They finally seem to be responding well to Ralf Rangnick as their interim manager has now had more time at the helm and the players are starting to get comfortable in their roles. Wolverhampton's struggles continue as they have not played in two weeks and could be rusty here. The reason I feel this will translate to an over here is because the hosts are going to force the pace of play in this one. I am well aware of the fact that Wolverhampton is known for playing low-scoring matches but Manchester United, on their home pitch, will be dictating the flow of this game. The hosts were aggressive in their 3-1 win over Burnley. In their prior match, a 1-1 draw with Newcastle, both clubs had a lot of quality scoring chances and saw good opportunities for a much higher-scoring game. Now, after the breakthrough versus Burnley and taking on a rusty Wolverhampton club here, look for a very aggressive attack from Rangnick's club. The result should be plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United |
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01-02-22 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a 1-0 defeat and Chelsea off a 1-1 draw. After those low-scoring matches, and knowing Chelsea is a bit depleted defensively on the injury/covid front, I like the over in this one. Liverpool's road matches have averaged totaling nearly 3.8 goals apiece this season while Chelsea's matches on their home pitch averaging 3.1 goals each. Liverpool scores 2.8 per match on the road and Chelsea scores 2.3 per match on their home pitch. I know Chelsea tends to play lower-scoring matches but Liverpool is going to force the issue here. The visitors will be particularly aggressive coming off a 1-0 loss and knowing the hosts are a bit depleted defensively. Liverpool will be on the attack here which should lead to good opportunities on the counter-attack as well in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea |
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01-01-22 | West Ham United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been strong as a host this season and is scoring an average of 1.8 goals on their home pitch. West Ham averages a respectable 1.6 goals scored per match on enemy soil. I feel we have excellent line value here with the low total posted on this one. This is particularly true when you consider that each of West Ham's last 3 matches across all competitions have totaled 3 or more goals including the last two, each in Premier League matches, each totaling 5 goals. Each of Crystal Palace's last 4 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same expected here on New Year's Day! 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-30-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Burnley @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United's home matches have averaged 3.4 goals this season. Their recent matches have been lower scoring but they are ready to bounce back large after a disappointing draw against Newcastle United Monday. Burnley is known for lower-scoring matches but they have not played in 2 and 1/2 weeks and that rust is something the hosts will exploit and attack and that leads to plenty of goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-29-21 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - City is on fire scoring a ton of goals as they have won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 5.7 goals per match. Manchester City can certainly get this total all by themselves based on the way they have been playing but Brentford should contribute as well. The hosts are off a loss in which a clean sheet was delivered to them but they had scored 2 goals in each of their two prior matches in league action. Look for 1 to 2 from the hosts here and look for the visitors and front-runners in the league to continue their torrid scoring pace here. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford |
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12-28-21 | Liverpool v. Leicester OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Leicester vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool averaging 3 goals scored and 1 goal allowed per road match this season. Leicester will struggle to stop the aggressive Liverpool attack. However, Leicester is on their home pitch and they themselves have averaged 2 goals per match when on home soil this season. This one could get quite crazy as Leicester is off a 6-3 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged a total of 6 goals apiece! Liverpool's last 2 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals apiece and I just can't see this one today finishing with anything less than 4 goals. 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Leicester |
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12-27-21 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Manchester United is now back and healthy and that is bad news for Newcastle United. That should translate to plenty of goals here as Newcastle matches, particularly on home soil, have been trending to very high scores this season. We get some line value here because Manchester United off some tighter lower-scoring games but this situation has the makings of being very high-scoring. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3.7 goals this season. Manchester United matches averaging 3.1 goals this season. Each of the last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled 4 or more goals. The hosts also enter this one having surrendered 3 or more goals in 3 straight matches. More of the same expected in this game as do note that the visitors have been unable to produce a clean sheet against these hosts in each of last 4 meetings. The home team finds the back of the net at least once in this one but the visitors run wild here! 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle United |
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12-26-21 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 3 ET - I like the extra value we can get here with the plus money on the over 2.5 available as high as a +130 in this one as of about 6 hours before it gets underway on Sunday. Yes I know Brighton & Hove has endured a long winless drought but they get some guys back here and I look for them to make a big push for the full 3 points in the table in this one. That said, I also do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match so this is another one of those instances where I can comfortably forecast at least a 2-1 final here. Brentford's matches away from home have averaged totaling 3 goals apiece as they score an average of about 1.5 goals but also allow an average of 1.5 goals when on enemy soil. The hosts are the favorite in this one for a reason and given Brentford's history can you really expect Brighton to deliver a clean sheet here? Exactly! You can not! So we should see at least a 2-1 final here as each club works hard to get on the board and then works even harder to get the full 3 points and pull a little farther away from the relegation zone. 10* OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-19-21 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - With Tottenham playing for the first time in two weeks as covid continues to wreck havoc with scheduling, you know Liverpool is going to be on the attack early and often. The visitors will be looking to catch the hosts a little rusty in this match. Liverpool has been on an incredible goal-scoring tear and has averaged 3.3 goals per match on enemy soil this season! Though Tottenham has not scored as well overall this season, they are still averaging 1.4 goals per match when on their home pitch this season. Both matches between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals last season. The Hotspur have been better recently too. Though they have not played in 2 weeks now their 4 matches leading into the unwanted break have seen them score an average of 2 goals per match across all competitions. As for Liverpool, they are the highest scoring club in the league thus far this season. 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
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12-18-21 | Arsenal v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
EPL NBC Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Leeds has allowed an average of 4 goals in last 3 matches. However, in the two matches before the embarrassing 7-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester City they did score two goals in each match. Arsenal enters this one having scored an average of two goals in last 5 matches. Arsenal also has scored an average of 3 goals per match in last two versus Leeds United. However, the hosts are sure to respond off the embarrassing loss in their most recent match and that is why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. Keep in mind, Arsenal is allowing an average of 2 goals per match on enemy pitch this season while the hosts have averaged 2 goals per match overall thus far this season. This is another one of those matches where I expect neither club to produce a clean sheet and I also do not foresee either club settling for just 1 point in the table via a draw. In other words, we should see at least a 2-1 final at a bare minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United |
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12-16-21 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Day Smash Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - The visitors are going to sneak up on the hosts in this one. Newcastle is off a 4-0 loss in their most recent match and I know they have struggled to score goals on the road this season but Liverpool is going to get caught being overconfident here and I am sure the visitors sneak through for a goal or two in this one. At the same time, the hosts had been on an explosive high-scoring stretch before some recent lower-scoring matches. That said, after being frustrated by a hot goalie for Aston Villa in their tight 1-0 win Saturday, look for plenty of goals in this one as Liverpool faces a Newcastle club that just allowed 4 goals on Sunday. The last two matches between these clubs were surprisingly low-scoring but prior to that their matches have trended over in a big way. That trending resumes here and we see plenty of offensive fireworks in this one. Keep in mind, the hosts are scoring an average of 3 goals per match this season and the visitors, as rough as their campaign has been, are averaging a goal per match this season. Looking for at least a 3-1 final here but would not be surprised to see much more as Liverpool is just in front of Chelsea and just behind Manchester City in the table and will not take their foot off the gas here and will leave no doubt in this one as to who the superior foe is in this match-up. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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12-15-21 | Southampton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 120 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Annihilation Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Crystal Palace vs Southampton @ 2:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been playing well on their home pitch and has had some nice scoring outputs recently. Their 3-1 win Sunday was the 2nd time in 5 matches in which they have scored 3 goals. Southampton has a leaky defense and shaky goaltending right now and the recent increased attacking style from the hosts should pay big dividends here. As for Southampton, they should bounce back on the attack after being shutout 3-0 in most recent match. The visitors had scored a total of 3 goals over their prior two matches and overall that was the 4th time in 5 matches that a Southampton affair has totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here as I don't see Crystal Palace being stopped here but Southampton won the last meeting 3-1 and has scored 2 or more goals in 2 of last 3 meetings. So goals should flow better than most are expecting here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Crystal Palace |
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12-14-21 | Leeds United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation - 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - I know this total is at a 3.5 and of course would prefer it at 3 but I think we'll see at least 4 goals in this one! Leeds is off a 3-2 loss to Chelsea and this was preceded by a 2-2 draw versus Brentford. Leeds United is allowing 2 goals per match on enemy pitch this season but their attacking ability also showing signs of life in recent matches. Manchester City should have a strong performance here after a nail-biter 1-0 win versus Wolverhampton. Manchester City is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season and should get to 3 or more here. Last season they managed only 1 goal in each match against Leeds United and certainly want to make up for that here as one ended in a draw and the other in a defeat for Manchester City. With all the firepower they have on the attack and the fact that Leeds United has a leaky defense, look for the hosts to take advantage in a big way in this one. I am expecting a 3 to 1 or perhaps even wilder 3 to 2 or 4 to 2 match here. I know Manchester City has been so stingy in terms of goals allowed but Leeds has scored 2 in back to back matches and one of those was against Chelsea and plus they had success against City last season. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-12-21 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 102 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 11:30 AM ET - Neither one of these clubs has delivered a clean sheet in any of their matches dating back to early last month. That said, looking for at least to find the back of the net once and with these clubs sitting at 13/14 in the table, neither one wants to settle for just a draw here. I am expecting at least a 2-1 battle. Crystal Palace has allowed 1.8 goals last 4 matches. Everton has conceded 2.2 goals last 4 matches. The hosts have struggled recently in the goal-scoring department but being on their home pitch and facing a foe that has struggled a bit should lead to some much more positive results in this one. Everton enters this one off a 2-1 win also so the visitors will have some momentum heading into a match they certainly view as winnable despite the longer odds here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-11-21 | Manchester United v. Norwich City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
EPL NBC Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Norwich City vs Manchester United - Norwich allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season. However, I also do not expect the hosts to be shutout on their home pitch. Norwich has averaged scoring about a goal per match when at home. They have been rejuvenated a bit with Smith at the helm. Likewise Manchester United got a boost with Rangnick at the helm. I know the latter's first premier league contest since he took over was a low-scoring 1-0 victory. However, Rangnick's design is to be aggressive on the counterattack and even his 4-2-2-2 formation is structured that way. With that said, I am expecting a lot of goals in this one. I feel the visitors are in search of that big victory to prove Manchester United is back to being the club they are use to being. That said, I expect an aggressive effort here and they will not hesitate to take advantage of the club that the very bottom of the table. Norwich, as noted above, should find the back of the net at least once. Either way, this one finds it way to at least 3 goals as I fully expect the visitors to put on a strong display in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Norwich City |
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12-10-21 | Watford v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
NBCSN Annihilation Friday EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Watford @ 3 ET - Key factors for this one are leaky defense which means neither club likely to deliver a clean sheet and also there is strong evidence we will not see a draw in this one. Why? Well the odds are in our favor because Watford has only had 1 draw in 15 matches this season. Brentford has had only 1 draw in 7 home matches this season. As you can see, strong support for expecting at least a 2-1 final here. Not only from just a statistical standpoint either because one should also consider the situational factor that both these clubs are currently in the lower half of the table and Watford is just above the relegation zone. This is a key match that each club views as a winnable opportunity and a match where going all out for the full 3 points is of the utmost importance. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford |
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12-06-21 | Arsenal +108 v. Everton | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation - 10* Top Play Arsenal +110 @ Everton @ 3 ET - Until they get Dominic Calvert-Lewin back from injury, Everton's struggle to score goals is likely to continue. Arsenal, except for struggling against the top clubs in the league, has been rolling for quite some time now. After dropping a 3-2 match at Manchester United, Arsenal responds at Everton. Looking at their five most recent matches not played against Man U or Liverpool, Arsenal not only prevailed in all five they won those matches by a combined score of 10 to 1. Everton has not won a match since September! Not only has Everton struggled this is a double revenge spot for Arsenal as Everton did take both meetings last season. It is payback time here and, based on current form, the visitors very likely to get their revenge. 10* ARSENAL +110 |
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12-05-21 | Leicester v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Day Game - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Leicester @ 11:30 AM ET - Leicester is the only club, other than Manchester United, to have both scored and conceded at least 22 goals thus far in Premier League competitions. In other words, when Leicester is involved, one can comfortably expect goals to be scored. Aston Villa has played much better under the direction of Steven Gerrard and I expect that to continue here. But I also expect Leicester to give them all they can handle here. Leicester enters this one having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches across all competitions and they have averaged 3 goals per match during this stretch. The visitors also have conceded 2 or more goals in 3 straight matches in Premier League action. The hosts are looking to respond here after a 2-1 defeat and that loss was to a tough Manchester City club. Look for Aston Villa - had scored 2 goals in each of 2 prior matches under Gerrard's direction - to respond big with a huge effort on their home pitch here. On the season their home matches have averaged 3 goals and I expect at least a 2-1 final in this one. Given all of the above a clean sheet is unlikely and with each club expected to get a goal but the 3 points being so critical in this one - Leicester 3 points in front of the hosts in the table entering this one - I expect a huge effort in going for the victory and this one finds it way to 2-1 at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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12-04-21 | Manchester City v. Watford OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 115 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - 10* Top Play OVER 3.25 goals in Watford vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Look for plenty of goals here as Manchester City is so dangerous on the attack and now have Grealish and Foden back on the pitch as well. City has been a scoring machine of late including on the road and the fact this match is at Watford makes me like it even more. Manchester City have scored 2 or more goals in 6 straight matches across all competitions and Watford is surely going to do their best to put up a fight here. However, the hosts will have to rely on their attacking abilities because their defense is certainly a major concern. No club, other than winless Newcastle, has shipped more goals on their home pitch than Watford. Overall, the hosts are allowing 2 goals per match on the season but also average scoring nearly 1.5 goals per match. I do not expect the hosts to get blanked and I also expect the visitors to put at least 3 to the back of the net. Manchester City has scored an average of 4.6 goals per match in their last 5 meetings with Watford and all of those were victories as you would expect given those amazing numbers. Also, City enters this match averaging a solid 2.5 goals per match last 6 matches overall and Watford's last 3 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals per match. This is an ideal match-up for the visitors to really put down the hammer and I feel strongly that they will show no mercy and will be on the attack throughout this match. 10* OVER 3.25 in Watford |
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12-02-21 | Arsenal v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - On their home pitch and with interim manager Michael Carrick set to hand the reins over to Ralf Rangnick after this match, I look for Manchester United to be a little more aggressive on the attack. Arsenal is having a solid season thus far but their defense certainly is not impenetrable as evidenced by allowing about 2 goals per match on the road this season. By the way though, Manchester United has allowed about 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. We only need a 2-1 match here to cash a winning ticket and I am expecting at least that. I know these clubs have a history of low-scoring matches but the key here is the situation and I also expect Cristiano Ronaldo to return to the lineup as if a fire is lit under him for the home club and he will be a playmaker in this one. Manchester United is off a 1-1 draw and, with their slow start to the campaign, they really need to start picking up the full 3 points in their matches and that means a little more aggression on the attack is going to be required. I look for more of an attacking style in this one to set the tone for a high-scoring affair with each club finding the net at least once and neither one being willing to settle for a draw so look for a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-01-21 | Liverpool v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 111 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
EPL - NBCSN Blowout Rout - 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Everton vs Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - We are getting line value here because these rivals have a history of lower-scoring matches when they meet. However, I just do not see this red hot Liverpool club being slowed down. They have revenge from a 2-0 loss in their last match with Everton. Keep in mind the prior meeting was a 2-2 draw so we did see plenty of scoring in that one. As for what to expect in this one, I like the fact that Everton is averaging 1.7 goals per match on their home pitch this season and Liverpool is conceding an average of 1 goal per match on the road this season. Given those stats you can see why it is reasonable to expect Everton to find the back of the net at least once, even in this revenge situation. As for Liverpool however, they are the ones I expect to go absolutely crazy in this one as they get their revenge and they get it in style. Liverpool, within the Premier League matches, has now scored 3.3 goals per match last 10 matches. Also, across all competitions, Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 17 straight matches! You have to go back to an August meeting with Chelsea to find the last time Liverpool did not record at least 2 goals. Of course we need 4 or more to be a winner here as 3 will be a push but note that 8 straight Liverpool matches within Premier League competitions have totaled 4 or more goals. That trend continues here as Everton has some defensive shortcomings the visitors can exploit, but again, the hosts should be good for at least one goal here in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Everton |
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11-30-21 | Crystal Palace v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace @ 3:15 ET - Crystal Palace used to be known for their low-scoring ways and getting involved in many defensive low-scoring matches but that just has not been as prevalent this season. In fact, Crystal Palace is averaging 1.5 goals per match on the road this season. Trouble is they are allowing 2 goals per match away on enemy pitch this season. Leeds United will be ready to take full advantage of that as they need a victory on their home pitch. I look for them to respond off a disappointing result as Leeds is just above the relegation zone at this 1/3 point in the season and coming off a goal-less stalemate against Brighton & Hove. Crystal Palace has conceded 5 times in last two matches but also has scored an average of 2 goals last 4 matches! There were 7 goals scored in the two matches between these clubs last season. More of the same expected here as Leeds responds after being held scoreless last week but the visitors continue their attacking high-scoring push. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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11-28-21 | Manchester United v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -121 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United is known for having strong attackers but this club also has a mediocre midfield and a defense that has been a bit depleted. Rest assured, the #1 club in the table is going to take advantage of this and score well here. Chelsea has scored an average of 3 goals per game when on their home pitch this season! We are getting line value here with this total set rather low because of recent meetings between these clubs trending to low-scoring matches. This one looks different for sure. Manchester United is in the midst of a managerial switch and will be a rejuvenated club looking to make a statement by being ultra-competitive in this match. To do so they will have to emphasize their top talent on the pitch and the strength of this club is, no doubt, up front. Manchester United is averaging 1.7 goals per match thus far on the campaign and they could surprise Chelsea early here but I expect the hosts to come roaring back against visitors known to struggle to protect their own goal. That is why I foresee at least a 2-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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11-27-21 | Southampton v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Early TV Rout - 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Liverpool vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 16 straight matches across all competitions. Southampton is averaging a goal per match this season. You can already see why I am expecting this match to get to 2-1 at a minimum. But we need a little more to cash this ticket. Can we get that 4th goal at least? You bet! Liverpool has been an incredible tear and each of their last 7 matches within premier league competition have totaled at least 4 goals! The average score of those matches 3.4 to 1.3 or an average of 4.7 goals per match which is, of course, anything but average! Look for a 3 to 1 type final here as the high-scoring trend continues. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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11-21-21 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham - The first premier league match under new manager Antonio Conte was a scoreless draw two weeks ago. After that result, look for the Spurs to emphasize the attack a little more in in this one. Each of the last five meetings between Tottenham and Leeds have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes both matches last season. Leeds also has had trouble finding the back of the net of late and is further down the table then they would like to be and know they must start scoring more and increase their shots at earning the much-needed full 3 points in the table. Look for the strategy employed here by each club to be more conducive to scoring. I know these have been two of the lower-scoring clubs in the league thus far but also, looking at their goals allowed totals for the season, you can see why I am expecting this one to get to the 3-goal mark and I will take advantage of the low total posted on this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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11-20-21 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - OVER in Liverpool - This is the big one Saturday. Taking center stage as Arsenal has surprised early this season and now pays a visit to league heavyweight Liverpool. The issue I have here with Arsenal is they always tend to struggle with Liverpool plus the hosts come in angry off a loss to West Ham. That 3-2 defeat marked the 6th straight time in a Premier League match that a fixture involving Liverpool totaled at least 4 goals. I am expecting that streak to reach 7 in a row here. Liverpool wants to respond off defeat but also note that the hosts have surrendered 2 or more goal in 4 of last 6 matches in league action. Arsenal is on an 8-match unbeaten run and have averaged 2 goals per match their last 8 fixtures across all competitions. So the hosts are favored by 2 to 1 odds for a reason here but the visitors are poised to get on the scoresheet once if not twice and you can see why I am expecting a high-scoring match in this one. OVER in Liverpool |
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11-07-21 | Liverpool v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
TV Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in West Ham United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 ET - West Ham is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Liverpool is scoring an average of 3 goals per match. Liverpool is scoring a ridiculous average of 4 goals per match when on enemy soil this season. These are not match totals these are club totals! You can see why I am expecting 5 goals to be scored here and a 3-2 type match given the above. Both these teams like to attack and West Ham will be boosted in this one by being on their home pitch. Also, West Ham can take advantage of a Liverpool group of midfielders dealing with injury issues. That will make it a little easier to break through to a Liverpool defense that certainly has not been impenetrable this season. These clubs have met twice in calendar year 2021 and the matches combined for 13 goals for a 6.5 average. Look for a very entertaining fixture here. If you like goals this should prove to be a great one to tune into. 10* OVER 3 goals in West Ham United |
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11-06-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle @ 1:30 ET - Newcastle has conceded 23 times this season and only league-worst Norwich City has surrendered more goals. Newcastle also has been distracted by the managerial search and that appears to only just now be settled with the appointment of Eddie Howe. With all the distractions I again look for the visitors to struggle in this one but, prior to the shutout defeat at the hands of league-leading Chelsea, Newcastle had scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches. Newcastle has allowed an average of 2.3 goals per match this season and 3 of last 4 fixtures have totaled at least 3 goals. Brighton & Hove has seen each of their last 3 fixtures total at least 4 goals and they have allowed 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. You can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. The winner has potted at least 3 goals in each of the last two meetings between these clubs and I am expecting these clubs to combine for at least 3 in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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11-05-21 | Aston Villa v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Aston Villa @ 4 ET - Aston Villa is allowing about 2 goals per game on the road this season but this is also a club that is averaging about 1.5 goals per game. That said, the value is with the over in this one. Southampton has been playing better of late but is also off of facing some weak competition. I look for Southampton to be surprised here by an Aston Villa club that is better than their record suggests. That said, I also expect the visitors to go all out for the win here as they have but 1 draw in their 10 matches this season. That means value with the over here because it is highly unlikely that either club delivers a clean sheet here and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here which, of course, would cash our ticket in this one. Aston Villa tends to play higher scoring games and I do expect the visitors to be the ones controlling the tempo in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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11-01-21 | Everton v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Wolverhampton vs Everton @ 4 ET - I know Everton has been out of form so to speak but they get a key attacker back for this match and I expect them to be aggressive here on the road. Everton has plenty of confidence as they have enjoyed success in recent battles with Wolverhampton. The key for the hosts here is they have been in strong recent form but must start scoring more goals if they are going to start getting some victories on their home pitch. That said, I feel strongly that both clubs are going to be aggressive on the attack in this one and we should see it get to 3 goals as a result. Look for each club to score at least once and neither one wants to settle for a share of spoils in this fixture. That is because currently only 1 point separates the two clubs in the table. That said, look for a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. The last meeting between these clubs saw only 1 goal scored but that followed 4 straight meetings that each tallied at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Wolverhampton averaging 1.8 goals last 5 fixtures across all competitions. Everton's last 12 fixtures across all competitions have seen 8 of them total at least 3 goals and I look for this one to get to at least the 3-goal mark as well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Wolverhampton |
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10-31-21 | West Ham United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Certainly West Ham has been the hotter team of late but I do expect Aston Villa to respond on their home pitch here. I know West Ham has been tough to score against of late but I don't see Aston Villa being shut down as a host here. The concern for the home club here is they continue to struggle on defense in front of their goalkeeper. That has led to giving up a lot of goals of late. Complicating matters for Aston Villa is that goalie Martinez has just recently gone home to Argentina to tend to personal matters. Martinez has been charged with plenty of goals of late due to leaky defense in front of him and, now with even more on his mind as well, the visitors should find the back of the net early and often in this one. But look for the hosts to match them goal for goal in a match in which I would not be surprised to see at least a 2-2 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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10-30-21 | Chelsea v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Chelsea @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle has made a managerial change and I know they are trying to shore things up defensively. However, Chelsea has simply been too strong on the attack and they will not let up here. In fact, Chelsea has been getting involved in higher scoring matches for quite some time now and I do not expect that pattern to end here. Newcastle has scored well this season and this has been particularly true on their home pitch. So I do expect them to score at least 1 goal here but I do expect Chelsea to prevail which would mean nothing less than a 2-1 final and that cashes our ticket. The reality is the visitors could push this match over the total all by themselves and that truly would not be too much of a surprise. They have shown a knack for "pouring it on" in recent matches and will be unlikely to show any mercy here. Either way, getting this total at a 2.5 is a solid bargain and I will not hesitate to invest in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle |
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10-24-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United has scored an average o 2.5 goals in matches on their home pitch this season. Liverpool has scored an average of 3.5 goals in matches on the road this season. Both these clubs are loaded with attackers and, try as they may, the defense of each club will struggle in trying to fully stop the potent attacks they are facing in this one. Sometimes these teams have matched up and then it doesn't live up to the expected onslaught of goals but given the current state of the attacking unit of these clubs and Salah versus Ronaldo having ability to make headlines here, look for a very entertaining affair here. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester |
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10-23-21 | Manchester City v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - I do not see Brighton & Hove been held without a goal on their home pitch here. At the same time I do not see Manchester City being denied the full 3 points points in the table in this one. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here and that would cash our ticket. Brighton & Hove's fast start in this campaign has been helped by scheduling and they take a major step up in level of opponent for this one. That said, City will not hold back either. Incredibly, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 5 or more goals in 5 of last 11 matches! This City club can score goals in bunches and I am expecting more of the same here in what is a statement game for them since these two clubs are so tight in the standings right now. The visitors will not hold back here but the hosts find the back of the net too. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove |
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10-22-21 | Aston Villa v. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - Arsenal is off a 2-2 draw but this was preceded by allowing just one single goal over 4 matches! Aston Villa also is off a high-scoring match that was preceded by stifling defense. Prior to a 3-2 defeat, Aston Villa allowed a total of only 3 goals over 4 matches. Also, there has been a clean sheet in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs and that includes a pair of 1-0 victories for Aston Villa which is the type of result I feel is likely in this one. 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal |
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10-18-21 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - I know Arsenal has been playing much better in the defensive zone for quite some time now. However, they are still a very strong club on the attack too when they want to be and Arsenal enters this match off a scoreless draw. After that 0-0 final with Brighton & Hove two weeks ago, I look for Arsenal to be very aggressive on the attack in this one on their home pitch. Prior to that low-scoring match, Arsenal - across all competitions - had scored 3 goals in each of their prior two matches. Also, 4 of Crystal Palace's last 5 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. Crystal Palace is known for giving Arsenal some trouble so I do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match. Look for this to be a very competitive match that ends with at least 3 goals (perhaps a 2-1 final) Monday afternoon. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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10-17-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle does tend to fare better in the goal-scoring department on their home pitch and there is renewed enthusiasm with the changes at the top of the organization that just took place. Also, Tottenham has allowed 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 away matches. The Hotspur also have some issues on defense which the hosts can take advantage of. However, Newcastle has been dreadful defending their own goal thus far and is allowing an average of 2.3 goals per match. Do not be surprised, given the above, if each club gets to 2 goals in this one as the odds certainly seem to favor that. With that being said, we have excellent line value here with this total at just 2.5 goals and I will lay the very fair price on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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10-16-21 | Chelsea v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford - Chelsea is a machine right now and sitting at the top of table. Chelsea is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. I know Brentford was known for lower-scoring matches earlier in the season but look at what they have been doing of late. Brentford, across all competitions, has scored 2 or more goals in 4 straight! In fact, thanks to a 7-0 win outside the league during this 4 match stretch (other 3 were league games), Brentford has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 4 matches! Chelsea is 3-1 last 4 matches in league action and scored 3 goals in each of the 3 victories! I do not see either team being held off the scoresheet here and, as a result, am expecting nothing less than 2-1 final here as you know Brentford will be gunning hard for the upset but the scoring talent of these visitors can not be underestimated. It is why the travelers are favored by 1 goal on the spread (goal line) for this match. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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10-03-21 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a battle of heavyweights in the Premier League. I know match-ups like this can sometimes turn into grinders but I expect plenty of scoring in this one. Liverpool has been in fantastic form and is averaging 2.5 goals per match this season to lead the league in scoring. Manchester City is not far behind as they are averaging 2 goals per match. I know City is known for their tough defense but Liverpool is simply playing at a phenomenal level on the attacking side of things. At the same time, I doubt Liverpool is going to shut down City as the other end of the pitch either. Just a lot of firepower on the attack for both of these clubs and this total opened up at a 3 in many spots. The ability to turn a final result of 3 goals from a push to a win, after some downward line movement has moved this total down to a 2.5, has me elevating this play to my highest level on Sunday. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool |
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10-02-21 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
NBC National TV Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Part of what has fueled the recent Arsenal surge is their health on defense and that would tend to point one toward an under. However, the confidence in the back-end has actually fueled a surge on the attack going the other way. Arsenal has been extremely impressive on the attack and has scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions including 3 goals in each of the past two. As for Brighton & Hove, they have scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions and have averaged 1.5 goals during this stretch while Arsenal has averaged 2 goals during this stretch. I don't see Arsenal settling for a draw either as they look to notch a 5th straight victory. That said, per all of the above you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. The victor has tallied 2 goals in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs and I expect at least that here with a 2-1 tally being the most likely result. Arsenal pushes the pace again here but Brighton fares well on their home pitch also. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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09-27-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion +162 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +162 @ Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Brighton & Hove has a chance to move to the top of the table with a win here and picking up the full three points. I love the fact that they are winless in their last four meetings with Crystal Palace as that is helping to keep this line in a very valuable price range. I do not see Brighton settling for a draw here as they will go hard for the full 3 points to do their best to earn the points needed to vault to the top of the table! I know they have only produced 7 goals in their 5 matches this season but Brighton & Hove does have a more potent attack than that of Crystal Palace. The visitors in this one are full of confidence and looking to end that winless run versus the hosts and I do not see them being denied. The hotter club is on the road (which gives us extra line value) and firing on all cylinders and keep in mind, Crystal Palace had one shocking 3-0 home win but, other than that, has tallied only 2 goals total in its other 4 matches! 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION +162 |
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09-26-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - These two clubs have been two of the lowest scoring clubs in league action so far this season. In typical contrarian fashion that has me on the over here. The reason is because when these rivals match up you can often throw logic out the window. The fact is this should be a spirited and entertaining match-up and the health of Arsenal is now much better than it was earlier this season. We get a low posted total here because of the trending of these two clubs early this season but I am looking for nothing less than 2-1 final in this one and that would cash our ticket. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs in league action have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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09-25-21 | Liverpool v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford - On the surface this would look like an under. Brentford has conceded just twice in five matches while Liverpool has conceded only once in five matches. However, there is so much more than meets the eye here at first glance. Brentford has faced a rather easy set of fixtures thus far and this includes a number of clubs that are having major goal-scoring issues early this season. Now they host a Liverpool club that has scored 3 goals in each of its last 4 matches across all competitions. Prior to this 4-game stretch they scored only 1 but it was against Chelsea and is the only goal Chelsea has conceded this season! Also, they scored 2 against Burnley and that is a club that is known for playing tight, low-scoring defensive-minded matches. The point is we have a lot of value here with a low total of 2.5 when you consider the firepower the Liverpool attack has! Also, Brentford has averaged 2.6 goals per match its last 5 matches and should at least find the back of the net once as a host against Liverpool. Even if they do not, they are not going to be able to stop the Liverpool attack in my opinion and I am looking for the visitors to score at least 3 in this one as they will want to make a statement. Brentford only got elevated to the league this season and they have played an early season schedule filled with clubs that just are not scoring well. This has led to the strength of their defensive play being over-estimated. This total should be higher than 2.5 and I will not hesitate to step in and take advantage and go with my highest rated play here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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09-19-21 | Chelsea -140 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play Chelsea -140 - Tottenham has 3 wins thus far and just 1 loss. However, the 3 victories for the Hotspur were each just by a 1-0 count. The lone loss was a 3-0 drubbing at the hands of Crystal Palace last week. Tottenham also did not perform well outside Premier League action this week and suffered a couple injuries. Unlike the Hotspur, Chelsea continues to roll like a well-oiled machine under Thomas Tuchel and I do not see them being denied here. We get line value because Chelsea is on the home pitch of Tottenham for this one. That means we get a reasonable money line price on the superior club because they are the travelers here. Chelsea has outscored their foes 9 to 1 on the campaign. This opportunity just too good to pass up. I respect Tottenham for sure but they will struggle with the suffocating defense of Chelsea and, at the other end of the pitch, I look for the visitors to find the back of the net a pair of times at least to secure the victory. 10* CHELSEA -140 |
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09-19-21 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
EPL 9* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United - Manchester United and West Ham have been two of the highest scoring clubs in the league thus far. Look for more of the same here. Manchester United is ready to go on the attack here after a disappointing 2-1 loss to the Young Boys outside premier league activity in their most recent match. Man U has a long unbeaten streak in road matches but faces a West Ham club that is firing on all cylinders right now. Even though West Ham will be without Antonio here, the hosts have plenty of firepower and I do not see either club delivering a clean sheet in this one. Also, both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table and will not settle for a draw and a sharing of the spoils. That said, look for at least a 2-1 final here and this cashes our ticket. 9* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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09-18-21 | Everton v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa - Everton has been rolling big-time under new direction of a former Liverpool manager. They have piled up goals with their new attack and are averaging 2.5 goals per match. This will be an intriguing fixture however because Aston Villa is on their home pitch and certainly not going to back down here. Aston Villa is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season as a host. Last season Aston Villa also averaged 1.5 goals per match. We are getting some line value here because Everton was not a high-scoring club last season but they are a different club this season since changing managers. This should be a highly entertaining match as both clubs will be aggressive on the attack. Everton, as the travelers here, will look to force the issue on the road and I look for their attacking style to lead to a high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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09-17-21 | Leeds United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle - Both these clubs conceding goals in bunches so far in this campaign. In fact, Leeds and Newcastle are the two worst clubs in the league thus far in terms of goals allowed. That is one key factor here and then there is this one too: Leeds had no draws in 19 league road matches last season. So if each club scores at least once and Leeds is unwilling to settle for a draw (odds certainly favor that) then you can expect to see at least a 2-1 final here. The fact is Leeds likes to attack and is willing to risk defensive shortcomings by being aggressive on the attack. With that said, we should see plenty of scoring here. Newcastle showed some fight in their battle with Manchester United last week and I certainly see them having some success against the leaky defense of Leeds. That said, we have a ton of value with this total in the 2.5 range. Newcastle's home matches averaged totaling 3 goals last season and Leeds road matches averaged totaling 3.5 goals last season. I am expecting quite an entertaining match here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle |
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09-13-21 | Burnley v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton - I am well aware of the fact that Burnley struggles to score goals. It has been their M.O. for a few seasons now as they just try to turn matches into grinders and hope for the best. However, Everton is not going to let that happen here. Under the direction of Rafael Benitez, this club has been rejuvenated. Everton has already scored 7 goals in 3 matches and they have scored at least twice in each match. Here is the key to the over though. Everton could be flat here. I really believe we are going to see some issues for this club just like we saw when Tottenham battled Crystal Palace early Saturday. Tottenham had been rolling and winning key matches and then came out flat and lost 3-0. I am not expecting a clean sheet for either club though here. Everton will score but I am looking for Burnley to find some leaky defense to their liking here as Everton makes the mistake of underestimating here. Keep in mind, Burnley won here 2 to 1 last season and a similar result here would not be a surprise. Either way I am looking for at least 3 goals here because this has proven to be a favorable match-up for Burnley in recent seasons and I feel they will again catch Everton at the right time to make this match a dandy and it sees 3 or 4 goals as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton |