Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-28-21 | Spain v. Croatia UNDER 2.5 | 3-3 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Croatia and Spain at 12 noon et on Monday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring results in their group stage finales with Spain rolling to a 5-0 victory over Slovakia and Croatia pulling out a 3-1 win over Scotland to book its place in the knockout stage. As we've seen so far in the knockout stage, however, goals should become much tougher to come by here. Croatia will be without arguably their top scoring threat in Ivan Perisic following a positive Covid diagnosis. We've seen Croatia revert back into its defensive shell at times during this tournament and that could very well be its best chance at staging an upset against Spain here on Monday. Spain is brimming with talent but it hasn't always come together the way it did against an overmatched Slovakia side last time out. La Roja have actually been held to one goal or less in three of its last five matches overall, including a pair of 0-0 draws against Portugal and Sweden. Spain knows it has the ability to stay well-organized and ultimately prevail in a 1-0 type of contest here. That's essentially the framework that it employed in the first two matches of this tournament before things opened up for it against the Slovaks'. Take the under (10*). |
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06-27-21 | Portugal v. Belgium UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Belgium and Portugal at 3 pm et on Sunday. With so much scoring ability on both sides it may seem like a curious decision to back the 'under' in this star-studded knockout stage showdown on Sunday. However, I believe we'll see both teams mirror one another in what is likely a 1-0 or 1-1 outcome after 90 minutes. Belgium has conceded just a single goal in this tournament, that coming in the opening minutes against an emotional Denmark squad that was playing in front of the home faithful in Copenhagen following the stunning events involving Christian Eriksen in its opening match. Apart from that, Belgium has looked rock solid at its back-end and I would expect that to continue against the defending European champions on Sunday. Meanwhile, Portugal's 4-2 loss to Germany is still fresh in the minds of most entering this clash. Of course, Ronaldo and company did redeem themselves somewhat with a 2-2 draw against France to close out the group stage and wrap up an advancing third-place position in their group. I believe Portugal is a better-organized, more stout defensive squad than it has shown in its last two matches and here in the knockout stage against the top-ranked nation in the world, should settle into a slightly more conservative shape. We should see plenty of flashes of brilliance in this match but I believe the oddsmakers have it right setting a relatively low total on Sunday. Take the under (10*). |
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06-26-21 | Austria v. Italy -185 | 0-0 | Loss | -185 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Italy over Austria at 3 pm et on Saturday. We've won with Italy and also won fading Austria already in this tournament so it's only natural that we go with the Azzurri in Saturday's knockout stage match. While Austria did impress in its 1-0 victory over Ukraine last time out as it went on the attack with far more flair than we had seen in the tournament so far, I'm concerned we'll see it revert back into its shell a bit here as it faces a much more difficult opponent. Keep in mind, two matches back we faded the Austrians as they fell by a 2-0 score against the Netherlands, generating just one shot on target in the entire match. I am certainly high on the duo of David Alaba and Christoph Baumgartner but I question whether they can break down an extremely well-organized Italian side here. Italy's long streak of clean sheets is of course well-documented but it has been its attack that has impressed me most in this tournament. The Azzurri look capable of striking at any moment with the likes of Immobile, Insigne and Chiesa all taking turns in starring roles, with the latter likely a late option off the bench on Saturday. Note that Austria has been held off the scoresheet entirely in four of its last six matches overall, only managing to find the back of the net against North Macedonia and aforementioned Ukraine. Italy has yet to face any resistance in this tournament and I don't believe that will change on Saturday. Take Italy (10*). |
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06-26-21 | Austria v. Italy OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Italy and Austria at 3 pm et on Saturday. I'll take a shot with the 'over' but would recommend playing it at 2.0, even with the steeper price, if your book offers alternate totals on Saturday afternoon. Italy hasn't conceded a goal since late last year, covering a string of more than 1,000 minutes of action. With that being said, we have seen Austria at least show the ability to go on the attack when it wants to with the super duo of Christoph Baumgartner and David Alaba capable of creating some magic. That being said, Italy will be extremely difficult to break down but just a single goal from the Austrians would likely seal a win for us with this play. On the flip side, the indecisiveness the Austrians have shown in figuring out whether to sit back and defend or look to push forward could certainly leave them vulnerable against a clinical Italian attack here. Even if Austria is able to hold the Azzurri back for an extended stretch, the floodgates could certainly open late, similar to what we saw between Portugal and Hungary earlier in the tournament (we won with the 'over' 2.5 in that match despite a 0-0 score with less than 10 minutes remaining). Italy has a wealth of options to lean on up front and while it is extremely stout at the back, it will likely be without its experienced workhorse in Giorgio Chiellini for this one. Meanwhile, Austria welcomed back one of its top attacking threats in Marko Arnautovic from a one-game ban in its last match and he'll be a welcome sight against such a tough Italy defense. Take the over (10*). |
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06-23-21 | Poland v. Sweden | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sweden +0.5 goals (-185) over Poland at 12 noon et on Wednesday. NOTE: I'm recommending a play on Sweden using the alternate goal-line of +0.5 on Wednesday. Alternatively, if that line isn't offered at your book of choice, playing the Swedes pk (draw no bet) is an option as well. Poland needs a victory to ensure advancement to the knockout stage of this tournament but I suspect Sweden will be a difficult side to break down on Wednesday. The Swedes have impressed in their stubbornness through their first two matches, having yet to allow a goal in earning a 0-0 draw against Spain and a 1-0 victory over Slovakia. While it's quite likely they'll be moving on regardless of the outcome here today, there's a possibility that they could miss out should they lose and Spain and Slovakia play to a draw. I certainly wouldn't expect Sweden to lay down in this one as it has a clear opportunity to seal top spot in the group. Poland has looked rather uneven at both ends of the pitch in its first two matches. The 1-1 draw against Spain last time out was certainly a favorable result and perhaps a somewhat fortunate one with Spain missing a penalty late. Robert Lewandowski is a living legend to be sure and he's been responsible for both Polish markers in this tournament. If any opponent is going to contain the Bayern Munich striker, it's Sweden, which has shown a real penchant for staunch defense here at Euro 2020. Sweden hasn't lost a match since falling 4-2 to mighty France back in November. Even that defeat came with somewhat of an asterisk as the Swedes didn't have a fully-formed lineup at that point, with one of their stars in this tournament so far, Alexander Isak only making an appearance in the latter stages of the match. Speaking of lineups, the Swedes have a wealth of options at their disposal, with players capable of coming off the bench and making an immediate impact should things not go their way in the first half of this contest. Regardless, I like the Swedes to at the very least keep this one on level terms as they cruise to the knockout stage of the tournament. Take Sweden +0.5 goals (10*). |
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06-23-21 | Poland v. Sweden UNDER 2.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -150 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 2.5 goals between Sweden and Poland at 12 noon et on Wednesday. |
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06-22-21 | England v. Czech Republic UNDER 2.25 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 2.5 goals between Czech Republic and England at 3 pm et on Tuesday. England hasn't looked all that creative on attack in its first two matches in this tournament, managing just a single goal - that coming in the second half of its opener against Croatia. Here, I expect the Three Lions to find life rather difficult once again as they face a Czech Republic squad that has been tough to break down in this tournament so far. The lone blemish on the Czech record came by way of a 1-1 draw against Croatia last time out. That result could be looked at as a success of course as it assured the Czech's of advancement to the knockout stage of the tournament thanks to a previous 2-0 win over Scotland. The only goal we've seen the Czech Republic allow in this tournament came on an incredible solo effort from Croatia's Ivan Perisic. England, however, has shown few glimpses of such ability here in this tournament with striker Harry Kane struggling to find much open field. We're likely to see some changes to the England lineup on Tuesday but I'm not expecting those changes to suddenly open the floodgates. Keep in mind, while first place in the group is up for grabs in this match, I'm not convinced that either side will be overly interested as that placing likely results in a matchup with one of the three top-flight squads in the 'Group of Death' (France, Germany and Portugal are likely the three to advance in that group). That's not to say we'll see both sides sit back on their heels in this one, but I'm not anticipating a free-flowing affair either. Take the under 2.5 goals (10*). |
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06-21-21 | Netherlands v. North Macedonia OVER 3 | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Netherlands and North Macedonia at 12 noon et on Monday. |
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06-20-21 | Wales v. Italy UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
Euro Group Stage Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' 2.5 goals between Italy and Wales at 12 noon et on Sunday. After we won with the 'over' in Italy's tournament debut against Turkey we cashed with the Azzurri but missed with our free play on the 'under' in their 3-0 victory over Switzerland last time out. Here, I'm confident we'll finally see a match involving Italy total less than three goals as they take on Wales with both sides looking for little more than a tune-up leading up to the knockout stage. At least seven changes are expected to Italy's starting lineup. The Azzurri are obviously a deep squad but there's no question we're going to see a drop-off in execution, particularly at their opponent's end of the pitch with the likes of Immobile, Barella and Insigne likely on the bench. Even Chiesa, who made a late entrance into the match against Switzerland may start this contest on the sideline. For Wales, it is coming off a somewhat improbable 2-0 victory over Turkey that all but assured it advancement to the next round. After looking rather punchless in its tournament opener against Switzerland, a game they somehow managed to draw 1-1, the Welsh did show much more promise against Turkey. Now that they have four points under their belt, however, we're unlikely to see the same type of fire from the Welsh here. Lineup changes are almost a certainty and the fact that they're such a sizable underdog against what is essentially Italy's 'B' squad is telling in my opinion. A 2-0 result is the most likely outcome in this contest. With that being said, a 0-0 or 1-1 result is well within the realm of possibility as well should Italy show no interest in playing for keeps. Take the under (10*). |
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06-19-21 | Germany v. Portugal +0.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portugal +0.5 goals over Germany at 12 noon et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in Portugal's Euro 2020 debut against Hungary on Tuesday - a rather miraculous win thanks to three late goals from A Selecao. Here, I expect to see another tightly-contested affair, but will grab the half-goal of insurance with Portugal knowing it would be pleased to gain another point here with a difficult match against France still ahead. Germany isn't the same dominant team we've seen at recent European Championships. While the talent is still there, the pieces just haven't fit together quite as well in recent years and here we find it with just three victories in its last seven matches, with those wins coming against the likes of Iceland, Romania and Latvia. While a narrow 1-0 defeat at the hands of mighty France might look good on paper, the Germans rarely looked all that threatening in that match. Portugal last lost just one match going all the way back to November 2019 - a string of 16 contests. That lone defeat came by a 1-0 scoreline against aforementioned France. Die Mannschaft has gotten the better of Portugal over the years but there haven't been any recent meetings between the two sides. As the odds for this match indicate, there's little to choose between these two sides but I see Portugal having the killer instinct that Germany lacks at the moment and at the very least keeping this one level on Saturday. Take Portugal +0.5 goals (10*). |
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06-18-21 | Czech Republic v. Croatia OVER 2.25 | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Croatia vs. Czech Republic 'over' 2 goals at 12 noon et on Friday. NOTE: I recommend playing this total at a slightly steeper price at 2 rather than the standard 2.25 being offered. Most books will allow you to play the alternate total of 2 priced around -145 at the time of writing. We saw a very uninspiring performance from Croatia - the 2016 World Cup runner-up - in its tournament-opening 1-0 loss to England (we won with England in that match). Here, I look for it to come out with an attacking mindset as it could certainly use the three points, already sitting three back of both aforementioned England and today's opponent, the Czech Republic following its impressive 2-0 victory over Scotland. While the Czechs managed to keep a clean sheet against Scotland it wasn't without some difficulty as the Scots generated a number of quality chances, ultimately firing 19 shots with four of them reaching target. I do think that Croatia boasts the finishing ability that Scotland lacks. Leading up to this tournament, Czech Republic had conceded at least a goal in five consecutive matches. In my analysis of my play in support of the Czechs and the 'over' in their last match I pointed to their dynamic scoring ability led by striker Patrik Schick. Right on cue, he delivered two goals in their opener, including what will likely go down as the goal of the tournament. I would certainly expect him to remain dangerous here as the Czechs should be eager to proceed forward knowing that three points would secure their place in the knockout stage. It's worth noting that we've seen one side score at least two goals in five of the six 'matchday two' contests at this tournament so far. It's not really until 'matchday three' that we look to take strong 'under' positions. With earning at least a point imperative for both sides, and neither all that likely to deliver a clean sheet, we'll look for some goals on Friday. Take the over (10*). |
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06-17-21 | Austria v. Netherlands -160 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Netherlands over Austria at 3 pm et on Thursday. Austria cruised to an expected win over North Macedonia in its tournament opener with its only blemish in that match coming by way of a defensive miscue in the penalty area. Here, it will face a much tougher challenge, however, as it faces a Dutch side playing with home field advantage and one that will have its guard up following a scare against Ukraine in its opener. This was already going to be a tough match for Austria but with top scoring threat Marko Arnautovic sidelined due to a UEFA-imposed one-game ban, the uphill climb has become even steeper. While I do have questions about the Dutch defense, and certainly its situation at goalkeeper with Jasper Cillessen left off the squad due to a positive Covid test, I'm not convinced Austria can take advantage here. Note that prior to its three-goal breakout against North Macedonia, the lowest-ranked side in the entire tournament, Austria had been held off the scoresheet entirely in three consecutive matches leading up to this tournament. It's notable that its 0-0 draw against Slovakia in a pre-tournament friendly match came with the aforementioned Arnautovic on the bench for the first three quarters of the contest. Much like Italy did yesterday, I expect the Netherlands to come out determined to take three points from this match to assure itself of advancement to the knockout stage and afford the opportunity to perhaps give some players rest in its final group stage match against North Macedonia. Take Netherlands (10*). |
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06-17-21 | North Macedonia v. Ukraine OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Ukraine and North Macedonia at 9 am et on Thursday. Both of these teams are coming off high-scoring tournament openers and I expect a similar story to unfold on Thursday. With both sides coming up empty point-wise on matchday one of this tournament, we can expect both to come out with an attacking mindset as they look to take all three points from this contest. For Ukraine, this is its most winnable match of the three and it should bring plenty of confidence after rallying from a 2-0 deficit only to fall 3-2 against the mighty Netherlands last time out. If you've followed my plays regularly, you know that I'm high on the Ukraine attack led by Yarmolenko, Yaremchuk and Zinchenko. As we saw against the Dutch, the Blue and Yellow are capable of scoring against the best of them and should feast in this favorable matchup against North Macedonia - the lowest-ranked team in the tournament. With all of that being said, I do think there's a goal out there for North Macedonia in this contest. They managed to find the back of the net once against Austria, albeit on a defensive miscue in the penalty area. As good as Ukraine is up front, it is vulnerable in the back and North Macedonia hasn't been held off the scoresheet entirely since last November, when it suffered a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Armenia. Take the over 2.5 goals (9*). |
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06-16-21 | Switzerland v. Italy UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 2.5 goals between Italy and Switzerland at 3 pm et on Wednesday. |
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06-16-21 | Switzerland v. Italy -154 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Euro Group Stage Game of the Year. My selection is on Italy over Switzerland at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Italy faced little resistance in its tournament opening victory over Turkey and while it figures to face a tougher challenge here, I look for it to rise to the occasion once again. For Switzerland, it could certainly use a point from this match but even if it fails to get it, a victory in its final group stage contest against Turkey would likely be enough for advancement, depending on how today's earlier match between Wales and Turkey goes. While the Swiss sit 13th in the international FIFA rankings I'm just not convinced they have the offensive firepower to break through against an extremely tough Italian defense. In fact, Italy hasn't conceded a single goal in its last nine matches. While it hasn't exactly faced the toughest of competition over that stretch, going back a little further finds additional clean sheets posted against the likes of the Netherlands and Poland in late 2020. A victory here would certainly lock up advancement from the group stage for Italy and I'm confident that will be the focus. Keep in mind, while the final score read 3-0 in its opener, it controlled proceedings from the start, firing 24 shots, with eight of those reaching the target. This is another match where the opposition will likely allow the Italians to dictate the tempo and control much of the possession. That suits the Italians just fine. Few teams boast the level of form and structure the Azurri do at both ends of the pitch. We're being asked to lay a very reasonable price to back the superior squad here. I have this one going 1-0 or 2-0 to Italy. Take Italy (10*). |
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06-15-21 | Portugal v. Hungary OVER 2.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Portugal and Hungary at 12 noon et on Tuesday. This is a critical match for both sides - in fact, all three matches will be critical for all four squads in this very difficult group that also includes mighty France and Germany. With that in mind, I fully expect Portugal to come out with an attacking mindset as it looks to take all three points against Hungary on Tuesday. Not to be outdone, Hungary also believes it has a good shot at advancing in this tournament and why not as it enters this contest riding an 11-match unbeaten streak. I think it's important not to get too carried away by Hungary's two recent international friendly results - a sleepy 1-0 victory over Cyprus before settle for a 0-0 draw in a rather uneventful affair against the Republic of Ireland last week. This isn't a team without creativity at the opposing end of the pitch, having scored a whopping 10 goals in three World Cup 2022 Qualifying matches back in March, including an impressive 3-3 draw against Poland. The duo of Sallai and Szalai up front are certainly capable of breaking through for at least one marker against a Portugal defense that isn't quite what it once was, especially with Joao Cancelo sidelined due to a positive Covid test. Of course, Portugal is more than able to overcome any sort of adversity here with a brilliant attack led by Cristiano Ronaldo and perhaps soon to become household name Diogo Jota. Portugal fielded its 'A' squad in a friendly match against Israel last week (we won with Portugal -1.5 in that contest) and while it got off to a bit of a slow start it eventually 10 shots on target, scoring four goals including a brace from Bruno Fernandes. With Spain and Sweden's 0-0 draw in yesterday's final match, not to mention Portugal's recent 0-0 draw with Spain (we won with Portugal +0.5 goals in that match) fresh in the minds of many bettors, I think some are hesitant to play the 'over' in this one. That's fine with us as it offers us a generous return with a very reasonable total. Take the over (10*). |
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06-14-21 | Czech Republic v. Scotland OVER 2 | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2 goals between Scotland and the Czech Republic at 9 am et on Monday. |
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06-14-21 | Czech Republic v. Scotland | 2-0 | Win | 106 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Czech Republic +0.5 goals (-190) over Scotland at 9 am et on Monday. NOTE: I'll play the alternate goal line at a steeper price here giving us insurance should this match end in a draw. Alternatively, your book may offer the Czechs to win/draw at the same price. I'm higher on the Czech's than most entering this tournament and while this obviously a difficult match against Scotland in Glasgow, I expect to see them keep proceedings level at the very least and earn a much-needed point as they battle it out in a tricky group. With England and Croatia rounding out the group, advancement could be difficult for these two squads so avoiding a goose-egg in the opening match is obviously critical. The Czechs bring rather inconsistent form to the table after suffering a 4-0 defeat at the hands of mighty Italy before rallying their spirits for a 3-1 win over Albania in two warm-up friendly matches. Keep in mind, they didn't start their 'A' squad against the Italians and fell behind quickly 2-0 as a result. Once the likes of Patrik Schick and Tomas Soucek entered the match after halftime the game was already well in hand for Italy. Scotland earned a recent 2-2 draw with the Netherlands, which was certainly impressive on paper. However, the Dutch were missing some key parts at the back-end, most notably goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen, whose absence was certainly felt in yesterday's narrow 3-2 victory over Ukraine. In World Cup Qualifying back in March, the Scots' needed a late goal to pull even with Austria in a 2-2 draw before settle for another disappointing draw, 1-1 against Israel, and then proceeding to lay waste to Faroe Islands 4-0. Scotland actually reached this tournament - a rare Euro appearance at that - on the shoulders of qualifying wins over the likes of Kazakhstan, Cyprus and San Marino before clinching their ticket with victories on penalties against Israel and Serbia. To say that it is fortunate to be here would be an understatement. I think the fact that Scotland got past Czech Republic in both Nations League matches last fall looms large when it comes to the prices being set for this match. While Scotland does have home field advantage, I believe the case could be made for the Czechs to be favored. Instead we're able to grab them plus a half-goal at a reasonable price. Take Czech Republic +0.5 goals (9*). |
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06-13-21 | Ukraine v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between the Netherlands and Ukraine at 3 pm et on Sunday. We followed both of these sides closely in international friendly action leading up to this tournament, cashing some plays along the way. Here, in the opener of a Euro tournament where both are expected to advance past the group stage, I'm expecting to see some scoring in what I envision as a potential 2-1 match. Note that the Netherlands will be without keeper Jasper Cillessen due to a recent positive Covid test. It will also be without defender Virgil van Dijk after he suffered an ACL injury. I mentioned that the Dutch could be vulnerable in the back against Scotland in a recent international friendly (where we won with the 'over') and they indeed struggled, allowing a pair of goals in that draw. I'm higher on the Ukraine than some in this tournament as I feel they have enough talent, particularly up front, to give the opposition plenty of headaches. However, there are question marks in the back-end, noting that Ukraine enters this tournament having managed just two clean sheets in its last nine matches. Of course, those did come in its last two matches, but those were against the likes of Northern Ireland and Cyprus - two fairly punchless attacks. Here, the Ukraine will face a much different challenge against a Dutch side brimming with talent and explosiveness. The common line of thinking here is that both teams will play this opener cautiously with hopes of at least earning a point and solidifying their chances of advancement past the group stage. I think it goes the other way, however, with the two teams looking to get off and running on a positive note and make somewhat of a statement here on Sunday. Take the over (10*). |
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06-13-21 | Croatia v. England -165 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on England over Croatia at 9 am et on Sunday. I know that Croatia will concede at least a goal in this match. I don't know that England will. Here, I'll back the English as the hopes of a nation rest on the shoulders on a relatively young squad that's potential is massive, but expectations might just be even higher. This is obviously a difficult opening match against a tough Croatia squad. Of course, this is a rematch of the 2018 World Cup semi-final match between these two squads - one that was one in thrilling fashion by Croatia. The Chequered Ones have fallen on some hard times since, however. Croatia suffered a 1-0 loss to Belgium in a recent international friendly match before it settled for a 1-1 draw against Armenia. Meanwhile, England has conceded just one goal in its last six matches, that coming in a 2-1 victory over Poland on March 31st. Croatia has conceded at least a goal in 13 of its last 15 matches. Its only two clean sheets over that stretch came against the likes of Cyprus and Malta. While the jury is still out on England's prospects for winning this tournament, or even going on a deep run, I do expect it to get off to a positive start in front of the home faithful at historic Wembley Stadium on Sunday. Take England (10*). |
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06-12-21 | Switzerland v. Wales OVER 1.75 | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 1.5 goals between Switzerland and Wales at 9 am et on Saturday. I'll keep my analysis for this one short with kickoff quickly approaching. I simply feel there's a very good chance we see each side find the back of the net in this match and will play the alternate total over 1.5 goals for a positive start to our Saturday. Switzerland is coming off a 7-0 drubbing of Liechenstein and while it will certainly find the going much tougher against a fundamentally-sound Wales squad, I do expect it to break through, noting its actually been a number of years since the Swiss were last held off the scoresheet entirely. For Wales, it needs to hit the ground running if it is to have any chance of advancing from a very difficult Group A. The Welsh are coming off a 0-0 draw against Albania in a match where they looked quite disinterested, perhaps with an eye on the start of this tournament. Switzerland is by no means a defensive juggernaut, having conceded against the likes of the USA, Finland and Bulgaria in fixtures since the beginning of March. Take the over 1.5 goals (10*). |
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06-11-21 | Italy v. Turkey OVER 2.25 | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2 goals between Italy and Turkey at 3 pm et on Friday. NOTE: I'm recommending a play on the alternate total of 2 goals at a slightly steeper price (around -125 at the time of writing) as opposed to the standard 2.25 being offered at most books. Most have this pegged as a conservative, low-scoring defensive battle between two sides that bring excellent form into Friday's Euro 2020 opener. I'll go the other way, however, as I believe a 2-1 final is the most likely outcome in this one. Turkey has a history of rising to the occasion, particularly when it comes to goal-scoring, against some of the world's football elite. Most recent, we saw Turkey put up four goals in an impressive World Cup 2022 qualifying match against the Netherlands in March. The Turks also managed three goals against a solid Croatian side last November. Last October, they scored three goals in a draw against Germany. Going back even further, Turkey scored three goals and took four of a possible six points in two matches against mightly France in qualification for these Euros back in 2019. Meanwhile, Italy brings outstanding form into this tournament, having scored 11 goals in its last two matches, albeit against lesser foes in San Marion and the Czech Republic. The Italians actually haven't conceded a goal since last October against the Netherlands but apart from a match against Poland last November (that match still reached two total goals in a 2-0 Italian victory) their schedule hasn't exactly been littered with international football powers. With Switzerland and Wales rounding out Group A, I believe both sides will be confident 'going for it' in this tournament opener on Friday. Both countries should feel there are six points two be had in their other two matches, not easily mind you. Take the over (10*). |
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06-09-21 | Israel v. Portugal -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portugal -1.5 goals over Israel at 2:45 pm et on Wednesday. We won with Portugal +0.5 in its last match against Spain and will go back to the well with A Selecao here as it draws a more favorable match against Israel ahead of its Euro opener against Hungary next Tuesday. We certainly didn't see Portugal's 'A' squad against La Roja last week. I suspect we'll see something closer to it here on Wednesday, however, even if Cristiano Ronaldo is likely to only make a cameo appearance (if he plays at all). Note that while Israel is coming off consecutive victories, scoring a whopping seven goals in the process, those came against the likes of Moldova and Montenegro. The fact that it conceded a goal in each of those contests was somewhat discouraging. Note that the last two times Israel stepped up in class it failed to find the back of the net against Denmark and the Czech Republic. I suspect it will have a difficult time breaking down a tremendous Portugal defense here as well. A Selecao certainly wants to head into the Euros on a positive note and consecutive clean sheets would do exactly that. On the flip side, regardless whether Ronaldo is on the pitch, I expect Portugal to go on the attack in this match - unlike what we saw against Spain when it didn't record a shot on target until the closing minutes. Prior to that 0-0 draw, Portugal had tallied nine goals in its last four matches. It should only be a matter of time before it puts its stamp on this one as well. Take Portugal -1.5 goals (10*). |
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06-08-21 | Albania v. Czech Republic OVER 1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Albania and Czech Republic at 2:15 pm et on Tuesday. |
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06-07-21 | Cyprus v. Ukraine -1 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ukraine -1 goal over Cyprus at 12 noon et on Monday. We won with Ukraine in last week's 1-0 victory over Northern Ireland and I won't hesitate to go back to the well here, this time laying a goal to get a more reasonable price. While the final scoreline was 1-0, the damage could have been much worse as Ukraine missed a number of prime opportunities to extend its lead, particularly in the first half of that most recent match. All told, Ukraine made 18 shot attempts with four hitting the target. While it did get put back on its heels for a stretch in the second half, I'm not convinced Cyprus has the same ability to do so here. Note that Cyprus has managed to score just a single goal in its last five matches and will have to be careful here after losing defender Andreas Karo to injury in its match against Hungary last week. While Cyprus has proven to be a tough defensive squad, I expect Ukraine's duo of Yaremchuk and Zinchenko (he didn't see the field in its last match after playing in the Champions League Final days earlier) to find some success here, with Yaremchuk building off a strong showing against Northern Ireland last week. While the result here is of little consequence given that it is simply an international friendly, a positive showing should be important to Ukraine ahead of a very difficult Euro opener against the Netherlands coming up in a week. With Austria also lurking in its group, it will need to hit the ground running heading into the tournament and I'm confident we'll see Andriy Shevchenko field his 'A' squad for this tune-up. Take Ukraine -1 goal (10*). |
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06-06-21 | Greece +0.5 v. Norway | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Greece +0.5 goals over Norway at 12 noon et on Sunday. The presence of Erling Haaland will have many rushing to back the Norwegians in this friendly match on Sunday. However, after Norway was only able to break down the likes of Luxembourg for one goal last time out I believe it will be hard-pressed to come away victorious against a Greece side that actually brings solid form to the table. Greece has in fact gone undefeated in its last nine matches including a 1-1 draw against top-ranked Belgium earlier this week. While the Belgians were missing a number of key players in that match, it was still another encouraging result for this gritty Greece side. We're not asking for it to work any miracles here, but I do expect Greece to find a little more success disseminating a vulnerable Norwegian defense and ultimately keep this match level at the very least. Take Greece +0.5 goals (10*). |
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06-05-21 | Albania v. Wales OVER 2 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Albania and Wales at 12 noon et on Saturday. I'll take a shot with the 'over' in this pre-Euro international friendly between Wales and Albania. Wales is coming off a poor showing against France earlier this week. Keep in mind, France sent its 'A' squad to the pitch in that match and Wales was forced down a man after defender Neco Williams was sent off due to a handball early on. Here, Wales will certainly be looking to rebound leading into a very tough group at the Euros beginning next week. I do think the Welsh can break through offensively against an Albania squad that has little experience at keeper. On the flip side, Williams' absence will be felt and I'm confident the Albanians can solve the Welsh form for at least a goal in this one. A 2-1 result is well within the realm of possibility in this one. Take the over (10*). |
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06-04-21 | Czech Republic v. Italy UNDER 2.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Czech Republic and Italy at 2:45 pm et on Friday. Let's go with the 'under' in this intriguing international friendly match on Friday. Italy already has one pre-Euro tune-up under its belt after cruising to a 7-0 rout of San Marino last week. The Azzurri have now confirmed their squad for the Euros and may not have that same killer instinct here in this tricky match against Czech Republic. In a difficult group that includes Switzerland and Turkey, Italy will be looking to solidify its form and tighten things up defensively in this warm-up match. Keep in mind, the Italians also have some injury issues leading into this one. Health is obviously of utmost concern with kickoff to the Euros just one week away. For the Czechs this will be their first pre-tournament friendly match after their contest against Euro-bound Scotland was delayed due to Covid protocols. They've managed just one goal in their last two matches, that coming off the foot of midfielder Lukas Provod in an impressive 1-1 draw against Belgium, who won't be available for Friday's match due to a knee injury. Both sides would likely be satisfied with a level result in this one. However, I do feel the Czechs face an uphill battle breaking through against a more seasoned and organized Italian squad so rather than grab the goal with the underdogs, I'll go with the 'under' instead. Take the under (9*). |
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06-04-21 | Portugal +0.25 v. Spain | 0-0 | Win | 50 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portugal +0.5 goals over Spain at 1:30 pm et on Friday. |
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06-03-21 | Northern Ireland v. Ukraine -140 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ukraine over Northern Ireland at 2:45 pm et on Thursday. While Ukraine is getting ready for the Euros, which they will open with a match against the Netherlands on June 13th, Northern Ireland is wrapping up for the summer with this being the back half of a two-game friendly set. Northern Ireland of course stunned Ukraine in the 2016 Euros, securing a 2-0 victory - its only points of the tournament. Revenge will have little to do with this match, but I expect Ukraine to prevail nonetheless. Northern Ireland checks in off a convincing 3-0 win over Malta on Sunday. Don't get too excited about that result as Malta checks in ranked 176th in world football. It will face a much stiffer test against a Ukraine squad that is expected to field its best lineup as it tries to shake off an uneven stretch and get rolling prior to its showdown with the Dutch in a little over week. Northern Ireland has a keen interest in giving some of its young players coming up playing time on the national stage in these two friendly matches and that could certainly open the door for the Ukraine's to build (or stretch out) their margin in this one. Don't sleep on the fact that Northern Ireland will be without two of its more experienced and reliable players in Johnny Evans and Steven Davies. Meanwhile, Ukraine is expected to have the standout duo of Yarmolenko and Zinchenko at its disposal for this tune-up. We're being offered a reasonable price to back the superior side here. Take Ukraine (10*). |
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06-02-21 | Scotland v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Scotland and the Netherlands at 2:45 pm et on Wednesday. We know the Dutch can score. Here we find the Oranje coming off a three-match stretch of World Cup Qualifiers in which they went 2-1, notching 11 goals along the way. However, I do think they're somewhat vulnerable in the back with defending Virgil van Dijk (ligament injury) and goalkeeper Jasper Cillesen (Covid-19 protocols) sidelined. For Scotland, it will be looking to make a splash as it preps for its first major tournament in 20 years. While little is expected of them at the Euros, the Scots are not without starpower and come off a World Cup Qualifying stint that saw them find the back of the net seven times in three March matches. Here, we shouldn't need much from the Scottish side to get 'over' the very reasonable total. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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05-29-21 | Chelsea v. Manchester City -112 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -112 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
Champions League Game of the Year. My selection is on Manchester City over Chelsea at 3 pm et on Saturday. It's an all-England, all-blue showdown between Manchester City and Chelsea in Porto on Saturday as City boss Pep Guardiola looks to finally capture that elusive Champions League title. I like City's chances as it looks to build off an EPL title with a victory over a game Chelsea squad on Saturday. Credit Man City for righting the ship in its EPL finale against Everton, rolling to a 5-0 victory last Sunday. It had been stumbling in the weeks previous, including a 2-1 setback against Chelsea back on May 8th. Of course that match was played just four days after Man City had locked up a spot in the UCL Final with a convincing 2-0 victory over Paris St-Germain. The Sky Blues check in having won 11 of 12 Champions League matches to date, conceding only four goals along the way. While Chelsea has obviously enjoyed considerable success in Europe, it has been a bit frustrating to watch at times with striker Timo Werner in particular struggling to find consistency on the attack. It could certainly be argued that Chelsea is the flashier side in this matchup but all of that window dressing doesn't equate to victory. We've seen City come up empty in Europe on so many occasions over the years I can understand the hesitancy of many to back them here. However, I like the fact that they're going up against a familiar opponent in Chelsea. As much as Blues boss Thomas Tuchel would like to make amends for last year's disappointment with Paris St-Germain a year ago, I expect his squad to fall short against a superior City club on Saturday. Take Manchester City (10*). |
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05-29-21 | Swansea City v. Brentford OVER 2 | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2 goals between Swansea City and Brentford at 10 am et on Saturday. We've seen two identical 1-1 scorelines between these two English rivals this season but with a spot in the Premier League hanging in the balance, I'm anticipating a higher-scoring affair on Saturday. the common line of thinking here is that we're in for a very tentative start with so much on the line at Wembley Stadium. I simply have more confidence in Brentford's ability to push the tempo and employ an attacking style than I do in Swansea's chances of playing a ball possession game and keeping this one nil-nil as long as possible. There's plenty of recent history between these two squads. This will be their 10th meeting since 2018, noting that all but one of those contests totaled at least two goals with six of them reaching three goals or more. While Swansea is known for its defending, it has conceded at least a goal in six of its last seven matches entering Saturday's contest. Brentford went through a bit of a scoring lull in the back half of April but has managed eight goals in four matches here in May, including a come-from-behind 3-1 victory over Bournemouth last weekend to earn its spot in the Championship Final. It seems that the times we've seen Brentford get a little too tentative have been in the first leg of aggregate matches - including last July against Swansea, when it dropped a 1-0 decision before answering back with a 3-1 victory in the second leg. In this one-off with promotion to the Premier League on the line (it would be Brentford's first promotion in its long history), I expect to see the Bees go for broke, so to speak. Take the over (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Burnley +135 v. Sheffield United | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Burnley over Sheffield United at 11 am et on Sunday. While it hasn't been a banner EPL campaign for either of these outfits, Burnley has had the more positive outcome, avoiding relegation to the Championship. Off consecutive lopsided defeats at the hands of Leeds and Liverpool, I look for Burnley to make amends here in its season finale against last-place Sheffield United. Burnley has had a tendency to 'go for broke' so to speak. Prior to its last two setbacks it had delivered two wins in its previous three matches, scoring seven goals in the process. The Clarets do have the potential to move up to 16th position in the EPL by collecting all three points here and that's at least something to play for on the final day of the regular season. Shieffield United brings awful form into this contest having scored just one tally in its last four matches combined. We successfully faded the Blades on Wednesday as they were dominated throughout in a somewhat flattering 1-0 loss to Newcastle United. Here, another 1-0 setback is the most likely scenario to play out once again. Take Burnley (10*). |
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05-23-21 | Everton v. Manchester City UNDER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
English Premier League Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Everton and Manchester City at 11 am et on Sunday. We won with Everton in its 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton on Wednesday but missed with Man City in its last match - a stunning 3-2 loss against Brighton and Hove after it was handed a red card and forced to play a man down for the game's final 80+ minutes. Here, Man City has little to play for other than to try to get back on track prior to the Champions League Final against Chelsea next Saturday. We're not likely to see Man City's best lineup but it certainly has the depth to put forth a strong effort in its EPL home finale, regardless who it sends to the pitch on Sunday. While Everton still has much to play for as it tries to qualify for the Europa League - even if it is a longshot at this point. The Toffees need to take care of business and likely get all three points here and also receive some help. Their best chance likely comes by keeping this match level for as long as possible and hope for a late breakthrough with Man City shifting its focus to next Saturday. The problem for Everton is it has managed just four goals in its last six matches combined. It has scored more than a single goal just once in its last 14 matches - that coming against a poor Tottenham defense in a 2-2 draw on April 16th. Off a uncharacteristically high-scoring affair against Brighton, look for Man City to settle things down here and regain its positive form heading into the Champions League Final. Take the under (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Everton -114 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Everton over Wolverhampton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. Everton's struggles here at home have been well-documented. They own the 15th-best home record in the EPL and haven't collected three points here at Goodison Park since way back on March 1st when they defeated Southampton 1-0. But that's precisely why I like backing the Toffees here as they play their home finale before wrapping up EPL play with a difficult road match against Manchester City on Sunday. While Wolverhampton has virtually nothing to play for at this point, Everton is still trying to keep hope alive when it comes to qualifying for Europe. While it's a longshot, at least it's something to reach for in the final days of the EPL season. I mentioned Everton's 15th-best home record, well, Wolves own the 15th-best away record in the Premier League so this match does provide the Toffees with ample opportunity to end their home streak of futility. Last Saturday we watched Wolves turn in a lifeless performance in a match they should have gotten up for against Tottenham as they were trying to keep their chances of finishing in the top half of the Premier League table alive. Now we might just see an injury-ravaged Wolves squad look ahead to their own home finale against Manchester United on Sunday as they wind down a disappointing campaign. Take Everton (10*). |
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05-19-21 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tottenham over Aston Villa at 1 pm et on Wednesday. While it's certainly not the finish they were hoping for, Spurs can take stronger hold of sixth place in the EPL table with a victory over Aston Villa - a squad they've absolutely owned taking 12 of the last 13 meetings - on Wednesday. Tottenham cruised to a 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton last time out and has now reeled off three consecutive home victories, outscoring the opposition by an 8-1 margin along the way. Harry Kane has plenty to play for here as he sits even with Mo Salah for the EPL scoring lead. Note that there are expected to be around 10,000 fans in attendance for this match, adding a little extra emotion to an otherwise (relatively) meaningless match near the end of the EPL season. Aston Villa welcomed back Jack Grealish for its last match but still fell by a 3-2 score against Crystal Palace. They've been outscored 6-3 while settling for just a single point (coming by way of a draw with Everton) in their last three matches. With an opportunity to play spoiler against Chelsea coming up back at home on Sunday, there's a good chance Villa could lack some focus here. While the Spurs have proven to be leaky on the back-end at times this season, I'm not convinced Villa can take full advantage, even with Grealish back in the fold. Take Tottenham (9*). |
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05-18-21 | Leicester v. Chelsea -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chelsea over Leicester City at 3:15 pm et on Tuesday. This is a big match for Chelsea as it looks to put consecutive defeats behind it while also avenging last Saturday's loss to Leicester City in the FA Cup Final. For the Blues, the fact is they had bigger fish to fry in the FA Cup Final, hungry for a top four spot in the EPL, not to mention the Champions League Final coming up a week from Saturday against Manchester City. Chelsea actually controlled proceedings against Leicester City in the FA Cup Final for the most part but simply couldn't break through in a 1-0 defeat. Here, I look for the Blues to come away more fortunate as third-place Leicester City suffers a letdown of sorts following consecutive victories (they defeated Manchester United 2-1 two matches back). There are a critical three points waiting for the winner here with both sides battling for a top-four spot but I like backing the Blues as the superior squad in bounce-back mode. Take Chelsea (10*). |
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05-18-21 | Manchester City -208 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | 2-3 | Loss | -208 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Manchester City over Brighton & Hove Albion at 2 pm et on Tuesday. Manchester City didn't field its 'A' squad but won anyway, in a wild 4-3 affair against Newcastle on Saturday. Here, City is expected to begin ramping up toward its Champions League Final match against Chelsea a week from Saturday and I would anticipate seeing a stronger squad on the pitch in this away match. Ederson is expected back in goal after Scott Carson not surprisingly turned in a rather shaky performance against Newcastle. All indications are that Kevin De Bruyne will return to the starting XI for Wednesday's match as well. Brighton & Hove sits 17th in the EPL table and checks in off a 1-1 draw against 7th-place West Ham on Saturday. The last time these two squads met back in mid-January, Manchester City cruised to a rather uneventful 1-0 victory in a match that was more lopsided than the final score indicated with City controlling 65% of the possession and firing six shots on target compared to Brighton's one. Take Manchester City (9*). |
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05-12-21 | Arsenal v. Chelsea -114 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Match of the Month. My selection is on Chelsea over Arsenal (three-way betting) at 3:15 pm et on Wednesday. Arsenal is coming off a 3-0 drubbing of West Brom on Sunday but let's face it, the Gunners haven't faced anyone of substance in EPL action since back on April 3rd, when they suffered a 3-0 loss at the hands of Liverpool. After failing to advance to the Europa League Final following a disappointing 0-0 draw in the second leg of its semi-final matchup with Villareal, there's simply little left to motivate this Arsenal side on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Chelsea would all but wrap up a spot in the EPL top-four with a victory here and brings excellent form having posted three straight victories overall and five wins in its last seven matches going back to mid-April. Chelsea has added fuel having dropped a 3-1 decision against the Gunners back in December. Of course, this has been a different Blues squad under the guidance of former PSG boss Thomas Tuchel. The Blues of course have an FA Cup Final match with Leicester coming up this weekend, not to mention the Champions League Final against Manchester City later this month. In other words, Chelsea has everything in front of it right now while Arsenal is simply playing out the string. Neither squad is fully fit entering this match but I'll give the considerable edge to the Blues with their superior depth. Take Chelsea (10*). |
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04-28-21 | Manchester City v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 2.75 | 2-1 | Win | 50 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Note: I'm recommending a play on the alternate total of 2.5 goals, which should be available at most books. We saw a low-scoring match in the first Champions League semi-final match yesterday as Real Madrid and Chelsea played to a 1-1 draw. Here, I expect a different story to unfold as PSG hosts Manchester City. There was some concern that PSG superstar Kylian Mbappe may not be fit for this match after he was forced to leave the team's last game (after scoring a pair of goals) with a leg injury. All indications are that he is good to go, however, which obviously gives PSG a big boost, and a puncher's chance against an elite Manchester City squad. It's interesting to note that PSG has played very different styles in the first leg compared to the second leg in its last two Champions League rounds. Against Barcelona it racked up four goals in the first leg before playing it smart in a 1-1 draw to win 5-2 on aggregate. Next up against mighty Bayern Munich, PSG put up three goals in the opener before dropping a 1-0 decision in the second leg to advance on away goals. Here, I look for PSG to once again employ an attacking style in the opener against Man City, knowing it isn't built to prevail in a low-scoring affair, and also with its hopes of a Ligue 1 title dwindling, eager to throw everything it has at the drive toward a Champions League crown. You would have to go back to March 13th to find the last time Man City scored more than two goals in a game. With that being said, it has been incredibly consistent offensively in UCL play, scoring 11 goals in its last five matches. I certainly expect Man City to be afforded plenty opportunity to find the back of the net in this one, noting that PSG benefited in the quarters by facing a Bayern Munich squad without Robert Lewandowski (Bayern still managed to score a goal without him in the second leg). Speaking to City's depth up front is the fact that Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus will once again likely be relegated to the bench but could certainly be called upon should it need a spark in this one. I'm anticipating a 2-1 or 2-2 final scoreline here. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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04-27-21 | Chelsea +0.5 v. Real Madrid | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chelsea +0.5 goals over Real Madrid at 3 pm et on Tuesday. Note: I'm recommending playing this at +0.5 goals which may be an alternate goal-line at your book. I get the feeling many bettors feel that backing Real Madrid in the first leg of this Champions League semi-final matchup will serve as a safe investment given the fact that Los Blancos haven't lost a match since January (they're riding a 17-game unbeaten streak). Of course, Real Madrid also has the Champions League pedigree with 13 all-time wins and has the benefit of playing at home. That's not to mention the fact that Real will have Eden Hazard back on the pitch after he returned and played 30 minutes in its last match. However, I don't expect Chelsea to simply roll over. Yes, the Blues have one eye on the Premier League, where they sit fourth in the table by the slimmest of margins but there's no question they'll have little trouble getting up for this trip to Spain to face a true world football power. While Real Madrid has Hazard at possibly less than 100% health and will be without Sergio Ramos as he continues to work his way back from injury, Chelsea has a full squad for this semi-final opener. The Blues certainly weren't happy with their performance in their last Champions League match as they lost 1-0 against Porto on home soil (after taking the first leg 2-0 in Sevilla to hold on for a 2-1 aggregate victory). They'll be looking to make amends here and while Real Madrid serves as an extremely difficult squad to break down, I expect the Blues to keep pace for the full 90+ minutes. Take Chelsea +0.5 goals (10*). |
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03-09-21 | FC Porto v. Juventus -1 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
Champions League Match of the Month. My selection is on Juventus -1.5 goals over FC Porto at 3 pm et on Tuesday. The reality here is that Juventus needs only 1-0 victory to advance past Porto onto the Champions League quarter-final round, despite suffering a stunning 2-1 road defeat in the first leg of the Round of 16. With that in mind, I don't believe we're see Pirlo's side hold anything back or leave anything to chance on Tuesday. It's interesting to note that the total has been set at 2.5 for this match. I actually do believe Juventus has a good chance at coming away with a clean sheet, noting that it has allowed just six goals in its last 12 matches combined. Porto clearly caught Juventus flat-footed in the first leg of this matchup but the Italian side's late goal served them well, giving them more than a fighting chance of advancing heading into this match at home. We're being offered a very reasonable price to back the superior side with high motivation here. Take Juventus -1.5 goals (10*). |
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12-08-20 | Sevilla v. Rennes UNDER 2.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 2.5 goals between Sevilla and Stade Rennes at 3 pm et on Tuesday. There's certainly no reason for Sevilla to force the issues from an attacking perspective here as it sits locked in second place, set to advance to the Knockout Stage regardless of its result here. Stade Rennes has just a single point to show for its efforts in five previous Champions League matches. Having failed to score in its last two matches overall there's little reason to anticipate it will be able to break down a strong Sevilla defensive form here. Take the under 2.5 goals (10*). |
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12-08-20 | Club Brugge KV v. Lazio -140 | 2-2 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Lazio over Club Brugge at 12:55 pm et on Tuesday. I'll keep my analysis short with kickoff going in just over four hours. Give me Lazio over Club Brugge on Tuesday with it having regained its positive form in consecutive strong performances against Borussia Dortmund (1-1 draw) in Champions League action last week and Spezia Calcio (2-1 victory) in Serie A action over the weekend. This is a big match for Lazio as it needs to collect three points to hold its second place edge over Club Brugge and prepare to move on to the Knockout Stage. I'm not sure Brugge can perform much better than it did at home against Lazio back in late October, when it managed a 1-1 draw. Here, look for Lazio to take on a more attacking form and ultimately prevail. Take Lazio (10*). |
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12-02-20 | RB Leipzig v. Basaksehir UNDER 3 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between RB Leipzig and Istanbul Basaksehir at 12:55 pm et on Wednesday. I'm not anticipating a great deal of attacking chances in this match as Leipzig looks to bounce back from a tough 1-0 defeat at the hands of Paris-St. Germain in Champions League action last week. Leipzig took its first match against Basaksehir by a 2-0 score back in October and an identical scoreline wouldn't surprise me in the least here. While Basaksehir's last contest resulted in five total goals, that was not all that unexpected as Manchester United came out all guns blazing after suffering a stunning 2-1 defeat the hands of the Turkish squad in its previous match. Here, I look for Leipzig to control proceedings, but for Basaksehir to tighten things up a little more at the back, ultimately helping keep the final score 'under' the total. Take the under (10*). |
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12-01-20 | Inter Milan v. Borussia Monchengladbach +0.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Borussia Monchengladbach +0.5 goals over Inter Milan at 3 pm et on Tuesday. These two clubs played to a 2-2 draw earlier in Champions League action and I certainly believe there's a good chance they finish level again on Tuesday but also feel Gladbach has a good shot at winning outright. I'll grab the 0.5-goal cushion here in Germany. Inter Milan will have Lukaku back on the pitch after he missed last week's disappointing 2-0 loss to Real Madrid. Let's face it, Inter has been highly disappointing in Champions League action to date, collecting just two of a possible 12 points. It's desperation time for the Italian side on Tuesday but this is certainly another tough draw, even with Lukaku in the mix. Gladbach has lost just once going all the way back to September 26th. Inter needs this one more but I don't see Gladbach rolling over as they can use the point(s) as well. Take Borussia Monchengladbach +0.5 goals (10*). |
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12-01-20 | Bayern Munich v. Atletico Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
Champions League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid at 3 pm et on Tuesday. NOTE: I'm playing the 'over' on the Asian total at 2.5 goals in this one. At the time of writing that number is widely available priced around -140. This match obviously means a lot more to Atletico Madrid than it does to Bayern Munich, with the latter having already wrapped up first place in the group. As such, Bayern will field what is essentially its 'B' squad with some exceptions on Tuesday in Spain. With that being said, Bayern isn't simply going to roll over and give Atletico Madrid the three points. I look for them to at least find the back of the net once in this match. On the flip side, Atletico Madrid is coming off a rather subdued 1-0 win over Valencia in La Liga action over the weekend. They did control possession for 67% of that match and also fired 14 shots with six of them hitting target. I do see this as a potential breakout spot for Atletico against a Munich squad that should be much easier to break down than it was in their last meeting - a 4-0 BM victory back in October. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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11-25-20 | Real Madrid v. Inter Milan OVER 3 | 2-0 | Loss | -111 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 3 goals between Real Madrid and Inter Milan at 3 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' the last time these two squads met in Champions League action back on November 3rd and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here. Keep in mind, we also cashed a ticket fading Real Madrid in its draw with Villarreal on Saturday. There's no question the absence of Real Madrid's Sergio Ramos looms large once again in this one. It's also surely worth noting that Inter Milan was without one of the world's best scorers in Lukaku the last time these teams met, yet still managed to tally a pair of markers. I'll also point out that Inter Milan has now conceded at least a goal in four consecutive matches. The last time it posted a clean sheet was against Shakhtar Donetsk on October 27th. Shakhtar has been largely disappointing in Champions League play, save for its stunning upset of Real Madrid in its opener. I'm confident we'll see both sides go on the attack in this one with a critical three points hanging in the balance in a crowded Group B. Take the over 3 goals (10*). |
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11-24-20 | Barcelona FC v. FC Dynamo Kiev +0.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dynamo Kyiv +0.5 goals over Barcelona at 3 pm et on Tuesday. I'll take a shot with underdog Dynamo Kyiv in Ukraine on Tuesday. This obviously isn't the same dominant Barca side we've seen in years' past, despite the fact that it checks in sporting a perfect 3-0 Champions League record. Overall, it has just four outright wins in its last nine matches. It will be without Leo Messi on Tuesday and make no mistake, this isn't an enjoyable trip, nor is it one where a loss or draw would be back-breaking (or surprising for that matter). Kyiv had a tough draw here in the Champions League, landing in a group with not only Barca but Juventus as well. Credit it for putting up a good fight at Camp Nou earlier this month, ultimately falling by a 2-1 score against Barca. That loss was sandwiched around a 2-2 draw against Ferencvarosi and a 2-0 loss to Juventus. We have to take a bit of a leap of faith in this Tuesday match, but I believe there's a good chance we'll be rewarded for grabbing the half-goal. Take Dynamo Kyiv +0.5 goals (10*). |
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11-24-20 | Club Brugge KV v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Champions League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' 3.5 goals between Club Brugge and Borussia Dortmund at 3 pm et on Tuesday. When these teams last met in Champions League action back on November 4th, Borussia Dortmund rolled to a 3-0 victory. Club Brugge had to throw its gameplan out the window early in that contest as Dortmund scored three goals in the first 32 minutes. I do expect Brugge to contribute to the total this time around, noting that it did ultimately manage 11 shots with four of those hitting the target in that 3-0 setback, while also recording eight crosses compared to Dortmund's five. Note that Brugge had scored at least a goal in its previous two Champions League matches before the shutout loss to Dortmund. Based on how it is playing at the moment, I put Borussia Dortmund in a similar class to that of fellow Bundesliga squad Bayern Munich. In fact, Dortmund's lone defeat in its last six matches came by a 3-2 score against Bayern back on November 7th. Since then it has played just once, recording an impressive 5-2 victory over Hertha Berlin this past weekend. I have this one finishing either 3-1 or 4-1. Take the over 3.5 goals (10*). |
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11-21-20 | Real Madrid v. Villarreal +0.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villarreal +0.5 goals (-168) over Real Madrid at 10:15 am et on Saturday. |
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11-04-20 | Manchester United v. Basaksehir OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
Champions League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' 3 goals between Manchester United and Istanbul Basaksehir at 12:55 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the 'over' in Manchester United's most recent Champions League match - a 5-0 victory over RB Leipzig last Wednesday. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, even after Man U was held off the scoresheet for a second consecutive EPL match this past Sunday. The Champions League has obviously been another story as United has gone a perfect 2-0, scoring seven goals in the process. Here we should see it enjoy continued success in a favorable matchup with Basaksehir. With that being said, the Istanbul side has perhaps deserved a better fate than an 0-2, scoreless Champions League start. Note that it has controlled 52% and 47% of the possession in its first two matches against RB Leipzig and Paris-St. Germain. It has also managed seven shots on target - not bad considering the level of opposition it faced. That's not to mention 44 crosses. The fact is, this is an aggressive, attacking side that I do expect to find the back of the net on Wednesday against Man U. Rather than play the Asian total of 2 3/4 goals we'll go over the 3 at a plus-money return (at the time of writing). Take the over 3 goals (10*). |
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11-03-20 | Inter Milan v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 3 goals between Inter Milan and Real Madrid at 3 pm et on Tuesday. Inter Milan played to a surprising 0-0 draw against Shakhtar Donetsk last Tuesday as it generally controlled proceedings but simply couldn't capitalize on its opportunities. Meanwhile, Real Madrid opened Champions League play with a stunning loss to aforementioned Shakhtar two weeks ago. Last Tuesday we saw a better effort from Madrid, albeit late in its match against Borussia Monchengladbach - an eventual 2-2 draw. The fact is, both squads are capable of hanging a crooked number on the scoreboard (by soccer standards of course). We'll need to see a little more creativity from Inter Milan if it's going to break down a tough Real Madrid defense but I do believe it will be able to do so, noting the latter still doesn't bring its best form in that regard having allowed at least a goal in five consecutive matches overall. I have this one finishing 2-1 at worst putting us in a fine position playing 'over' the standard total. Take the over 3 goals (10*). |
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11-03-20 | Borussia Monchengladbach +120 v. Shakhtar Donetsk | Top | 6-0 | Win | 120 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
Champions League Match of the Month. My selection is on Borussia Monchengladbach (three-way betting) over Shakhtar Donetsk at 12:55 pm et on Tuesday. I'll gladly back Monchengladbach at the return being offered in Champions League action on Tuesday. While it has gone winless through two matches, it has impressed in draws earned against Inter Milan and Real Madrid, scoring four goals in the process. It probably deserved a better fate against Real Madrid but conceded two late goals to settle for a draw - still an encouraging result against a powerful squad. In between those two Champions League draws, Monchengladbach has also racked up two more wins in Bundesliga action. Tuesday's opponent, Shakhtar Donetsk, has now played three full halves since its last goal in Champions League action. It scored three times in the first half against Real Madrid two weeks ago before holding on for a 3-2 victory in that contest and then settled for a 0-0 draw with Inter Milan last Tuesday. Note that Inter Milan did take it to Shakhtar for much of that match, but ultimately came up empty. I expect to see Monchengladbach do a better job of capitalizing on its opportunities and ultimately grabbing an elusive victory on Tuesday. Take Borussia Monchengladbach three-way betting (10*). |
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10-31-20 | Chelsea -178 v. Burnley | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chelsea (three-way) over Burnley at 11 am et on Saturday. We are being asked to pay a pretty steep price to back Chelsea in this English Premier League match on Saturday morning, but I believe the line could actually be even higher. Burnley will be hard-pressed to score a goal in this particular contest. You would have to go back to October 3rd to find the last time it found the back of the net, that coming in a 3-1 loss to Newcastle. All told, Burnley has gone winless in its last five matches, scoring just that single goal. Chelsea turned in a rather uninspiring effort in a 0-0 draw with Manchester United last Saturday but followed that up with a resounding 4-0 victory over Krasnodar in Champions League action on Wednesday. Perhaps that scoring outburst will serve to shake Chelsea out of its doldrums on the heels of consecutive 0-0 draws. I don't mind paying the tariff to back it here, with this one setting up as a solid Saturday parlay booster as well. Take Chelsea three-way (10*). |
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10-28-20 | Lokomotive Leipzig v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
Champions League Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between RB Leipzig and Manchester United at 4 pm et on Wednesday. RB Leipzig hasn't missed a beat since losing star Timo Werner to English side Chelsea, going undefeated in six Bundesliga matches (5 W, 1 D) and delivering a 2-0 victory over Istanbul Basaksehir in their Champions League opener last week. Leipzig has scored at least two goals in six of its last seven matches overall. Manchester United is coming off a less than inspiring 0-0 draw against Chelsea in the rain on Saturday. Neither side looked all that interested in playing for anything other than a draw in that contest. Here, I expect a much different story to unfold. Note that prior to Saturday's contest, Manchester United had seen 11 straight matches total at least three goals. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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10-27-20 | Real Madrid v. Borussia Monchengladbach UNDER 3 | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 3 goals between Real Madrid and Borussia Monchengladbach at 4 pm et on Tuesday. I fully expect to see a match played fairly close to the vest between these two upper-echelon Champions League squads on Tuesday afternoon. It's not desperation time, but it's certainly an important match for Real Madrid after it dropped a stunning 3-2 decision against Shakhtar Donetsk last week. I do expect a positive response here but there's no question Real Madrid faces a tough opponent in Monchengladbach. We saw the latter settle for a 2-2 draw against a quality Inter Milan side last week, only missing out on the three points thanks to a 90th minute Lukaku goal. A 1-1 result wouldn't surprise here. Take the under 3 goals (10*). |
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10-27-20 | Ajax Amsterdam +0.5 v. Atalanta | 2-2 | Win | 108 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Ajax +0.5 goals over Atalanta at 4 pm et on Tuesday. Solid value being offered with Ajax here as it looks to rebound following a tough 1-0 loss to Liverpool last week. Atalanta is obviously a popular squad right now and quite simply one of the hottest names in all of European football. With that being said, off a 4-0 victory last week I believe it is being overvalued here. Ajax could certainly use a point out of this match, and for that matter so could Atalanta. Both sides would be alright with a draw in this situation although I don't believe an outright Ajax victory is completely out of the question. Take Ajax +0.5 goals (10*). |
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10-27-20 | Inter Milan -125 v. Shakhtar Donetsk | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Inter Milan (three-way betting) over Shakhtar Donetsk at 1:55 pm et on Tuesday. |
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10-21-20 | Atletico Madrid v. Bayern Munich UNDER 2.75 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Champions League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' 2.75 goals between Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich at 3 pm et on Wednesday. There's plenty of offensive firepower on display in this match between two giants on Wednesday but I'm not convinced this early group stage match will turn into a high-scoring affair. Similarly to yesterday's match between Sevilla and Chelsea, I suspect we'll see a bit of a feeling out process in this one, noting that these two squads are unquestionably the best in Group A (Salzburg and Lokomotiv Moscow round out the grouping). As much as Bayern in particular would like to make a statement here in the opener, Atletico Madrid is solid in the back and more than capable of holding form. The simple fact that Munich has scored a whopping 20 goals in five Bundesliga matches to date this season leads to this total being set a little higher than it should be in my opinion. Take the under 2.75 goals (10*). |
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10-20-20 | Sevilla +0.5 v. Chelsea | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Champions League Match of the Month. My selection is on Sevilla +0.5 goals over Chelsea at 3 pm et on Tuesday. I'll take a strong position with Sevilla catching a half-goal against Chelsea in Champions League action on Tuesday. While the Spanish side is coming off a tough 1-0 loss to Granada in La Liga action and has gone winless in consecutive matches, I expect it will be up to the challenge against an opponent that draws plenty of motivation here. Chelsea is coming off a disappointing result of its own on Saturday - settling for a 3-3 draw against Southampton. I feel that Chelsea's aggressive style may open it up for some fruitful counter-attacks from Sevilla here and feel we're getting a bargain price to grab the insurance half-goal. Take Sevilla +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-21-20 | AC Milan v. Sassuolo Calcio OVER 3.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between AC Milan and Sassuolo at 3:45 pm et on Tuesday. This is a terrific spot to play the 'over' with Sassuolo coming off an expected letdown in a 1-1 draw with Cagliari after a thrilling 3-3 draw against Juventus in the match previous. AC Milan has been scoring goals in bunches, managing 19 goals in six matches here in July. It hasn't lost a match since the Serie A restart back in June. I recommend playing 'over' 3.5 for a stronger return here. Take the over 3.5 goals (10*). |
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07-21-20 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Watford | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Manchester City -1.5 goals over Watford at 1 pm et on Tuesday. This is an incredible bounce-back spot for City coming off a highly disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal in FA Cup play on Saturday. Watford should offer little resistance, with its lone two victories since the restart coming against Norwich City and Newcastle earlier this month. I'll lay the extra goal here as City looks to 'get right' in a 'name your score' type of affair. Take Manchester City -1.5 goals (10*). |
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07-15-20 | San Jose v. Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vancouver +0.5 goals over San Jose at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Perhaps the line has something to do with the draw San Jose earned against Seattle last Friday (we won with the 'under' in that match) but I feel the Earthquakes are being overvalued here against Vancouver on Wednesday night. There really wasn't anything all that inspiring about what the Earthquakes did against Seattle, managing only 38% of the ball possession while yielding nine corner kicks and 17 crosses (compared to one and three of their own, respectively). Vancouver of course had its first match postponed so you can be sure it has been eager to get back into game action and I'm anticipating a high-energy performance as a result. The Quakes took the most recent meeting between these two squads but that came last August. Expect a different result here. Take Vancouver +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-11-20 | New York v. Atlanta United OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
MLS Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United at 8 pm et on Saturday. The MLS is Back Tournament has gotten off to a bit of a sloppy start but I'm anticipating an exciting, high-scoring affair between two of the league's best teams in New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United on Saturday night in Orlando. Atlanta was off to a perfect 2-0 start to the season prior to the Covid stoppage, scoring four goals in two matches. Meanwhile, New York had gone 1-0-1, also scoring four goals in the process. The last time these two squads met was last July, when they combined to score a whopping six goals in a wild 3-3 draw. We won't need that level of offensive production to cash our ticket on Saturday. Note that I'm personally playing this one over 3 goals to get the favorable plus-money return. Playing over 2 3/4 is also an option if you're looking for a little less risk but for grading purposes, we'll call it 3. Take the over 3 goals (10*). |
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07-10-20 | San Jose v. Seattle Sounders FC UNDER 3 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 3 goals between San Jose and Seattle at 9 pm et on Friday. Most bettors will be quick to back the Seattle Sounders here but I'm not so easily convinced that this is a slam dunk for the perennial MLS Cup contenders. With that being said, I'm not going to back a San Jose squad that has finished no better than sixth place in the Western Conference in the last seven seasons. I do expect to see the Earthquakes do what they can to keep the Sounders offense at bay here and chances are we're not going to see a peak performance from Seattle in its first appearance back on the pitch in over four months. Remember, prior to the Covid stoppage the Sounders needed an injury time goal to get past Chicago 2-1 and a 79th minute penalty to earn a 1-1 draw against Columbus. San Jose can ill afford to turn in the type of loose performance that saw it settle for a 2-2 draw with Toronto and drop a 5-2 decision against Minnesota to open the campaign back in February/March if it's going to stay within arm's reach of Seattle. Take the under (10*). |
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07-10-20 | Deportivo Alaves v. Real Madrid UNDER 3 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 3 goals between CD Alaves and Real Madrid at 4 pm et on Friday. Alaves has scored just one goal in seven matches since La Liga play resumed last month. It will obviously be hard pressed to strike against an elite Real Madrid squad that has gone a perfect 7-0 since play resumed. Real Madrid will simply be looking to take full advantage of its game in hand on Barcelona and extend its lead atop the La Liga table by four points with a victory here. It will be comfortable to walk away with a 1-0 or 2-0 victory, noting that it is coming off three consecutive 1-0 wins. Take the under 3 goals (10*). |
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07-09-20 | New England v. Montreal +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Montreal +0.5 goals over New England at 8 pm et on Thursday. You'd be hard pressed to find a good reason for New England to be favored to win this match, having already dropped a 2-1 decision to the Impact in Montreal prior to the Covid shutdown in March. While Montreal has found itself near the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings in recent seasons, so has New England. Note that the Impact have done an excellent job of keeping their opposition within arm's reach in recent years, settling for a draw in at least 16 of 34 matches in each of the last three seasons. Montreal generally seems to be the overlooked of the three Canadian squads with Toronto and Vancouver grabbing more of the headlines. Here, look for Thierry Henry's Impact to turn in a solid tournament debut against the Revolution. Take Montreal +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-08-20 | Sampdoria v. Atalanta OVER 3.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 3.5 goals between Sampdoria and Atalanta at 3:45 pm et on Wednesday. This has all the makings of a high-scoring Serie A affair on Wednesday. Sampdoria sits 14th in Serie A but has gained some confidence with back-to-back victories and hasn't been held scoreless in a match since back in late January. Atalanta has impressed all season long but checks in off back-to-back low-scoring affairs. In fact, it hasn't given up a single goal in its last two matches. I expect a much different story to unfold on Wednesday. Take the over 3.5 goals (10*). |
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07-08-20 | Burnley +0.5 v. West Ham United | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Burnley +0.5 goals over West Ham United at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the value being offered with Burnley here. Most bettors' have short memories and the fact is, West Ham has a bit of a 'flavor of the month' feel after upsetting Chelsea last week and following that up with a 2-2 draw with Newcastle. Note that West Ham still sits just 16th in EPL action this season with only eight victories in 33 matches. Burnley has gone undefeated over its last three matches and could really use a positive result here with matches against Liverpool and Wolverhampton on deck. Note that Burnley took the most recent meeting between these two squads by a 3-0 score last November. Take Burnley +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-07-20 | Atletico Madrid +108 v. Celta de Vigo | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
La Liga Game of the Month. My selection is on Atletico Madrid over Celta Vigo at 4 pm et on Tuesday. The last time these two squads met was back in September, when they played to a 0-0 draw. Keep in mind, Atletico Madrid was just three days removed from a thrilling 2-2 Champions League draw against Juventus. It was no surprise that it's effort was rather uninspiring in that draw with Celta Vigo. Here, I expect a much sharper performance. Note that Atletico Madrid has gone 5-0-2 since the restart in June, with its two draws coming against an upstart Athletic squad and mighty Barcelona. Celta Vigo has been up and down over the last month, but has gone just 0-1-2 over its last three contests, including a 5-1 loss to Mallorca last week. Home field obviously means little here, even if it has been priced in to a minimal extent. Take Atletico Madrid (10*). |
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07-02-20 | RCD Espanyol +0.5 v. Real Sociedad | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Espanyol +0.5 goals over Real Sociedad at 1:30 pm et on Thursday. With both of these squads scuffling along right now I'll grab the half-goal with Espanyol in what should be a tightly-contested affair. Espanyol has gone winless since resuming play with a 2-0 win over CD Alaves back on June 13th. Since then it has gone 0-3-1 but has admittedly faced a tough recent slate, including a narrow 1-0 loss to first place Real Madrid. Real Sociedad has lost four straight matches and managed only one shot on goal in its most recent contest - a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Getafe. Take Espanyol +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-02-20 | Napoli v. Atalanta OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
Serie A Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘over’ 3 goals between Napoli and Atalanta at 1:30 pm et on Thursday. Atalanta has seen at least five total goals scored in six consecutive matches and I look for that streak to continue against Napoli on Thursday. Grab the over 3 while you can but I would also play this one at 3.5. Note that Napoli is fresh off a 3-1 victory and hasn’t suffered a loss since the second week of February. The most recent meeting between Atalanta and Napoli finished in a 2-2 draw last October and current form indicates we'll see a similar result here. Both squads are capable of scoring in bunches and I certainly look for that here. Take the over (10*). |
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07-01-20 | Villarreal v. Betis | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Villarreal pk'em over Real Betis at 4 pm et on Wednesday. While the likes of Barca, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid get all the headlines, squads like Villarreal have thrived since the restart of play earlier this month. Villarreal has gone an incredible 4-0-1 since then, conceding just two goals in total - both of those coming against Sevilla last week. It was positively dominant in its most recent match, rolling to an easy 2-0 victory over Valencia. Real Betis has been hot and cold since the restart and is coming off a 4-2 loss to Levante. A victory over Real Madrid back in March has been Betis' season highlight as it checks in 13th in La Liga action. Take Villarreal pk'em (10*). |
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07-01-20 | Ath Bilbao +0.25 v. Valencia | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Athletic +0 1/4 goals over Valencia at 1:30 pm et on Wednesday. Valencia embarrassed itself in its most recent match, appearing completely lifeless in a 2-0 loss to Villarreal. Note that Valencia has failed to record a single shot on goal in its last two full matches. Since the restart, Valencia has gone 1-3-1 with its lone two positive results coming against opponents that sit in the bottom half of the La Liga table. Athletic has looked rather impressive since the restart, going 2-1-2 with its lone defeat coming by a 1-0 score against Barcelona last week. Note that it has managed to find the back of the net in four of five matches this month, tallying a grand total of seven goals. Take Athletic +0 1/4 goals (10*). |
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07-01-20 | Norwich City v. Arsenal UNDER 3 | 0-4 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on 'under' 3 goals between Norwich City and Arsenal at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I'm expecting a low-scoring contest between these two squads on Wednesday, in spite of their 2-2 result earlier this season. Arsenal comes in off back-to-back wins, scoring two goals in each contest. It hadn't put together back-to-back two-goal performances since January and its next match after that finished 0-0. Norwich City sits 20th in the EPL but is coming off a hard-fought 2-1 extra time loss against Manchester United in FA Cup action. While it did manage to find the back of the net in that match it hadn't scored a single goal in its previous three contests. Take the under (10*). |
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06-30-20 | Atletico Madrid v. Barcelona FC -109 | 2-2 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Barcelona over Atletico Madrid at 4 pm et on Tuesday. I like the way this one sets up for Barca on Tuesday. It's been a bit of a tough stretch for Barcelona over its last three contests as it has gone 1-1-1 including a surprisingly 2-2 draw against Celta Vigo last time out. Things get an awful lot tougher here against Atletico Madrid, as it hasn't lost a match since way back on February 1st against Real Madrid. I do believe Barca will be up for the challenge, however. Note that its most recent draw came in an obvious look-ahead and it came as it let down its guard late in the match. That should help ratchet up its focus ahead of this one on Tuesday. Note that Barca took the most recent meeting between these two squads by a 1-0 score back in December. Take Barcelona (10*). |
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06-30-20 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion UNDER 2.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 2.5 goals between Manchester United and Brighton & Hove Albion at 3:15 pm et on Tuesday. We're getting a favorable total to work with here, largely due to the expectation that Manchester United will be able to name its score, so to speak. Man U is rolling off back-to-back victories, scoring five goals in the process. I do expect Brighton & Hove to put up a fight on Tuesday, however, and ultimately help keep the final score in check and 'under' the posted total. Brighton checks in 15th in the EPL this season but has impressed since play has resumed, going 1-0-1 with a win over Arsenal and a draw with Leicester last time out. Despite losing the ball possession battle by a wide margin, it allowed just two shots on goal in the draw. Take the under (10*). |
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06-30-20 | Sevilla +102 v. Leganes | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sevilla over Leganes at 3 pm et on Tuesday. We missed the mark with Sevilla in its last match as it could only manage a 1-1 draw against Valladolid. It wasn't for lack of trying, as Sevilla controlled ball possession by a 3-1 ratio and racked up 15 shots, although only three of them were on target. Sevilla has actually gone undefeated since the La Liga restart, but has settled for draws in each of its last four contests. Leganes checks in 19th in La Liga and hasn't recorded a victory since the restart, going 0-3-2. After dropping a decision in injury time against Osasuna this past Saturday, I look for another setback here. Take Sevilla (10*). |
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06-26-20 | Real Valladolid v. Sevilla -1 | 1-1 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sevilla -1 goal over Real Valladolid at 4 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the goal with Sevilla in this Friday La Liga match. Sevilla has gone winless in its last three matches since returning to the pitch with a 2-0 win over Real Betis back on June 11th. Keep in mind, it has faced a tough schedule, with its last three matches coming against Levante, Barcelona and Villarreal. There was really no shame in earning three consecutive draws over that stretch. Here, I look for Sevilla to get loose against a Valladolid squad that sits 15th in the La Liga standings. Like Sevilla it has gone winless in its last three matches but it's worth noting that it managed just one goal over that stretch - that coming in a 1-1 draw against Getafe last time out. Take Sevilla -1 goal (10*). |
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06-26-20 | West Bromwich Albion v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' 2.5 goals between West Brom and Brentford at 2:45 pm et on Friday. I'll back the 'over' in this match between the two highest scoring squads in the English Championship. Brentford wasted no time getting back to business last week as it rolled to a 2-0 victory over Fulham. Going back over its last three matches, Brentford has tallied an impressive nine goals. Things will be a little tougher against first place West Brom but it's worth noting that Brentford did have the edge in terms of ball possession and shots while also scoring once in the last meeting between the two squads. Brentford checks in as the highest scoring team in the English Championship this season. West Brom sits just two goals behind and is in good bounce-back position off a nil-nil draw against Birmingham City last Saturday. Look for a strong response from the first place Albion on Friday. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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06-25-20 | Manchester City v. Chelsea UNDER 3 | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' 3 goals between Manchester City and Chelsea at 3:15 pm et on Thursday. While most are expecting plenty of offensive fireworks in this marquee EPL showdown, I'm going to go the other way and support the 'under' on Thursday afternoon. Chelsea conceded a first half goal but surged ahead in the second half in a 2-1 victory over Aston Villa last time out. It will need to tighten things up further if its going to hold Manchester City in check on Thursday. Man City has come roaring back out of the gates since the restart earlier this month, recording 3-0 and 5-0 wins over Arsenal and Burnley, respectively. It will be stepping up in class here, in comparison with those two previous matches anyway, and I certainly don't expect to see it roll in that fashion. I do feel we'll get a winner in this match, but I believe that side tops out at two goals (at most). Shop around to find a '3' (or look for the Asian totals option). Take the under 3 goals (10*). |
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06-25-20 | Arsenal v. Southampton | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arsenal (pk'em/draw no bet) over Southampton at 1 pm et on Thursday. Bettors are understandably a little jittery when it comes to Arsenal, which has been a big disappointment in the EPL this season, currently sitting in 11th place. The Gunners haven't looked good since the restart, going 0-1-1 including an awful loss to Brighton & Hove Albion last time out. It is worth noting that the Gunners did control the pace of that match for the most part, but simply couldn't capitalize on their opportunities. Here, I look for a different story to unfold against Southampton. It sits 14th in the EPL standings and is in for a letdown coming off a 3-0 victory over Norwich City. That marked just its second victory in its last eight matches overall. Take Arsenal (pk'em/draw no bet) 10*. |
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06-24-20 | AFC Bournemouth +1 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
My selection is on Bournemouth +1 goal over Wolverhampton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. Bournemouth sits a miserable 18th in the EPL and is coming off a less-than-inspired 2-0 loss to Crystal Palace in its return to the pitch this past Saturday. Still, I'll grab the one-goal cushion with the underdog side here as it takes on a Wolves squad in for a letdown off a 2-0 victory over West Ham. Note that the Wanderers have just 11 outright victories in 30 EPL matches this season. Covering the goal spread is a bridge too far on this day. Take Bournemouth +1 goal (10*). |
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06-24-20 | Everton v. Norwich City +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Norwich City +0.5 goals over Everton at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the bounce-back spot for Norwich City here as it aims to rebound from an awful showing in a 3-0 loss to Southampton this past Friday. Meanwhile, Everton is in a letdown spot of sorts coming off a hard-fought 0-0 draw with Liverpool on Sunday. Norwich City certainly doesn't inspire a great deal of confidence given its 20th place standing but it has shown the ability to rise to the occasion at times this season and it's worth noting that it has suffered only six outright losses in 30 EPL matches. I'm not as high on Everton as most here on Wednesday. Take Norwich City +0.5 goals (10*). |
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06-24-20 | Sheffield United v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | 0-3 | Win | 103 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on the over 2.5 goals between Sheffield United and Manchester United at 1 pm et on Wednesday. I like the value being offered with the 'over' in this match on Wednesday. Man U is coming off a 1-1 draw against Tottenham last Friday as the Red Devils got bogged down and were ultimately fortunate to come away with a draw (even if the result could have been better were it not for a reversed penalty call late). Here, I look for Man U to get loose against Sheffield United, which is fresh off a disappointing 3-0 drubbing at the hands of Newcastle. I'm not willing to lay the big price here, so will instead look to the total as I look for both sides to find the scoresheet and ultimately push this one 'over' the reasonable number. Take the over 2.5 goals (10*). |
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06-23-20 | Atletico Madrid v. Levante +1 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Levante +1 goal over Atletico Madrid at 1:30 pm et on Tuesday. Atletico Madrid narrowly escaped with a 1-0 victory on Saturday against Valladolid, improving to 2-0-1 since the La Liga restart earlier this month. That less than inspiring performance has me wondering whether they'll avoid disappointment against upstart Levante on Tuesday, however. Levante sits 11th in La Liga but has gone undefeated in three matches since the restart. Keep in mind, this is a squad that defeated Real Madrid and suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat at the hands of Barcelona back in February. I like it's chances of staying with in arm's reach of Atletico Madrid on Tuesday afternoon and will gladly grab the insurance goal. Take Levante +1 goal (10*). |
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05-26-20 | VfL Wolfsburg v. Bayer Leverkusen -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
Bundesliga Game of the Month. My selection is on Bayer Leverkusen over VfL Wolfsburg at 2:30 pm et on Tuesday. While Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund receive much of the hype, Bayer Leverkusen continues to fly a little below the radar despite carrying tremendous form into Tuesday's match against Wolfsburg. Leverkusen is coming off an impressive 3-1 victory over Monchengladbach on Saturday and will use this as another tune-up ahead of a looming date with Bayern Munich coming up on June 6th. With this contest followed by a match against SC Freiburg on Saturday the path is there for Leverkusen to keep its undefeated streak intact before running into Bayern. Note that Leverkusen hasn't dropped a decision since February 1st and its only blemish over its last 12 matches was a draw with RB Leipzig on March 1st. Wolfsburg sits sixth in the Bundesliga but was outclassed against Dortmund on Saturday and has just one victory in its last five matches overall. Take Bayer Leverkusen (10*). |
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05-22-20 | Union Berlin +0.5 v. Hertha Berlin | 0-4 | Loss | -153 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Union Berlin +0.5 goals over Hertha Berlin at 2:30 pm et on Friday. As we all know by now you can essentially throw home field advantage out the window as clubs play in front of empty stadiums in Bundesliga action for the foreseeable future. Here, I'll gladly grab the half-goal with Union Berlin as it looks to bounce back from a tough but hard-fought 2-0 loss to Bayern Munich last weekend. FC Union has suffered just three outright losses in 26 Bundesliga matches this season. Hertha BSC sits ahead of Union in the overall standings and is coming off an impressive 3-0 win over 1899 Hoffenheim last week. Keep in mind, that marked its first victory in its last four matches. The last match between these two clubs resulted in a 1-0 FC Union victory back on November 2nd. Expect another tight battle here with a draw the 'at worst' expectation for Union by my estimation. Take Union Berlin (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Real Madrid +100 v. Ajax Amsterdam | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Real Madrid over Ajax at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Real Madrid has rounded into form recently and should continue its march toward another potential Champions League title with a strong showing in the Netherlands on Wednesday. The possible absence of Ajax midfielder Frenkie de Jong would leave a major hole for the home side. Even if he does play, I still expect to see Real's experience pay off as it looks to gain an advantage before the scene shifts to Spain for the second leg. Take Real Madrid (10*). |
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02-13-19 | Borussia Dortmund v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund at 3 pm et on Wednesday. Both sides are missing key cogs in advantage of the first let of this Champions League match on Wednesday. The fact that both squads are also coming off relatively high-scoring results last weekend has a lot of bettors lining up to back the 'over' here, which is just fine with us as we get a plus-money return to back the 'under' at a reasonable number. I'm anticipating a bit of a chess match between these two unfamiliar opponents. Take the under (10*). |
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07-15-18 | Croatia +0.5 v. France | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Croatia +0.5 goals over France at 11 am et on Sunday. Has there been a more resilient bunch than the Croatians at this World Cup? After cruising through the Group Stage, Croatia has faced considerably resistance in the Knockout Stage, going to penalties twice and needing extra time to get past England in Wednesday's semi-final match. Now few are giving them a chance against France - the squad that many seemingly crowned World Cup champions about a week ago. While France does certainly pose a substantial challenge, I don't believe it is invincible. The French are absolutely at the top of their game but Croatia isn't about to back down after coming so far. I'm not sure that things are going to come so easy for the French offensively in this match. They were essentially able to to control proceedings from the start in both the quarters and semis. Look for Croatia to prove to be a thorn in their side on Sunday. Take Croatia +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-14-18 | England v. Belgium UNDER 3 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between England and Belgium at 10 am et on Saturday. I'm actually fairly surprised we're looking at such a high total here. We've got two dejected squads that had their sights on something much bigger than the consolation prize. Sure, both are capable of opening things up and putting a goal or two on the board, but will we see it play out that way in Russia on Saturday? I'm not so easily convinced. At times in the latter stages of this tournament, I felt it was a real struggle for the English to generate much offensively. I also feel that Belgium's best football is behind it at this point. The French were able to really stymie them in the semi-final. England may not pose the same challenge, however I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair nonetheless. Take the under (10*). |
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07-11-18 | England v. Croatia +0.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Croatia +0.5 goals over England at 2 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with Sweden plus the half-goal against England in the quarter-final round after having cashed Colombia at virtually the same price against the English in the Round of 16. I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, only this time backing a superior Croatian squad. While there’s no question, the Croatians have enjoyed some luck along the way, now having won two games in the Knockout Stage by way of penalties – the last coming in stunning fashion against the host Russians. I can’t help but feel Croatia is the more battle-tested squad at this point, and while I’m not convinced they can win this match to advance to the World Cup Final, I do believe they’ll give England everything they have and more than likely force extra time at the very least. Take Croatia +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-10-18 | Belgium v. France | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
World Cup semi-final Game of the Year. My selection is on the 'draw' between Belgium and France at 2 pm et on Tuesday. There really is little to choose between these two squads, both of which have gotten better as this tournament has progressed. While most believe France will prevail in what should be an entertaining, potentially high-scoring (relatively speaking) affair, I fully expect things to be all square after 90 minutes, with Belgium holding its own all the way through. This World Cup has given us plenty of drama and I don't think we've seen the last of it by any means. The Belgians have the firepower up front to counter anything France throws at them, while on the flip side, the French are certainly brimming with confidence and capable of putting plenty of pressure on Belgium's back-end. I'm having a tough time envisioning anything other than a 1-1 scoreline after 90 minutes on Tuesday. Take the draw (10*). |
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07-07-18 | England v. Sweden +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sweden +0.5 goals over England at 10 am et on Saturday. England has already and will continue to draw plenty of support from the betting public following its magical victory over Colombia. The English bandwagon is filling up fast, but could empty just as quickly if Sweden has anything to say about it on Saturday. Few gave the Swedish side a chance in this tournament but following a victory over Switzerland, here they are. Save for a late breakdown against Germany (who was in desperation mode following a tourney-opening defeat), Sweden has held its form tremendously in the face of adversity in this tournament. The Swedes will be undoubtedly facing their toughest challenge to date against an English squad that is without question at the top of its game. With that being said, we’re being given a cushion to work with here, and I believe there’s a good chance this one needs extra time to decide. Take Sweden +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-06-18 | Belgium +0.5 v. Brazil | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
World Cup Quarter-Final Game of the Year. My selection is on Belgium +0.5 goals over Brazil at 2 pm et on Friday. Brazil delivered a dominant 2-0 victory over Mexico to reach this quarter-final match against Belgium, easily erasing the memories of what I would consider a less-than-inspiring group stage. Yes, the Brazilians rolled through that stage of the tournament relatively unscathed, but it never really felt as if they were at the top of their game. They’re going to need to be at that level in order to fend off a game Belgium squad on Friday afternoon. The Belgians got more than they bargained for against Japan in the round of 16 but managed to survive, scoring another three goals in the process. Belgium has looked explosive at times in this tournament. Even in a game they didn’t need, or perhaps even want to win, they still managed to defeat England in their final group stage match. I’m anticipating their best performance of the tournament on Friday as they give Brazil all they can handle and more. Take Belgium +0.5 goals (10*). |
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07-06-18 | France +106 v. Uruguay | 2-0 | Win | 106 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on France over Uruguay at 10 am et on Friday. While Brazil is the favorite to win this tournament as we enter the quarter-final round, I believe a strong case can be made for France to be in that position. We’ve seen the French fly under the radar a little bit, really since the start of the World Cup. After disposing of Australia and Peru, they were involved in a nil-nil draw against Denmark, shedding some of their backers leading up to a showdown with Argentina. And of course, France came through in a big way in a 4-3 victory over the Leo Messi and co. last round. I expect a much sharper defensive effort from the French here, as they know the challenge in store against a Uruguay squad that is absolutely at the top of its game right now. Cavani and Suarez warrant plenty of concern but I look for France to do an excellent job of containing that super duo up front. I’m given some pause here as there’s no question Uruguay is capable of stretching this one beyond 90 minutes, but I do feel the price warrants a straight play on France to pull through. Take France (10*). |
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07-03-18 | England v. Colombia +0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
World Cup Game of the Year. My selection is on Colombia +0.5 goals over England at 2 pm et on Tuesday. There's lot of optimism from English faithful right now as giant after giant falls in this tournament. I can't help but feel that a lot of folks are sleeping on Colombia, however. It's easy to forget that the Colombians made plenty of noise in the last World Cup but they remain an overlooked and undervalued commodity here in 2018. England has enjoyed a tremendous run to this point but I do think the Three Lions will regret not leaving it all on the pitch against Belgium in their final group stage match. At the end of the day I'm not sure there's any real advantage to being on one side of the bracket or another. Every match is tough, as the big favorites have learned here in the Round of 16. I'll gladly grab the generous cushion with Colombia in this contest. Take Colombia +0.5 goals (10*). |