Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-01-18 | Memphis +3.5 v. Central Florida | 41-56 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Memphis No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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12-01-18 | San Diego State v. Illinois State | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Monday Line ANNIHILATOR on San Diego State I'll take my chances here that the Aztecs leave Illinois State with a victory. This is a really good San Diego State team, but are off to a bit of a slow start with a 4-2 record early on. However, the two losses have both come away from home against the likes of Duke and Iowa State. While they struggled against those two Power 5 teams, they did knock off Xavier. Illinois State has won 4 straight, but I just think this is a big step up in class for the Redbirds, who lost by double-digits to Georgia and Belmont earlier this season. Illinois State is also a mere 1-7 ATS last 8 vs a team from the MWC. Aztecs are 8-2 ATS last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 7-2 ATS last 9 off a SU win. Take San Diego State! |
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12-01-18 | Marshall v. Virginia Tech -4 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 97 h 0 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Virginia Tech - It's been a disappointing season for the Hokies, but this is not near enough points for Virginia Tech to be laying at home against a C-USA opponent. I get that Marshall enters this game 8-3, but they didn't even win their own division in one of the lower ranked FBS conferences. The Thundering Herd have also played a cupcake schedule. Out of their 8 wins, the only one against a team that currently has a winning record is last week's win over FIU. A game they won by a mere 3-points, despite recording two non-offensive touchdowns. They avoided all 3 of the top teams out of the C-USA West and in their step up game against C-USA East winner (Middle Tennessee), they lost by 10 at home. Any thoughts that the Hokies aren't motivated to play because things didn't go their way can be put to rest after last week's 34-31 upset win at home over in-state rival Virginia. With that win, Virginia Tech simply needs to win this game at home to become bowl eligible. Justin Fuente is going to want those extra practices with this young and talented team and will have his team ready to go on Saturday. Hokies are 6-2 ATS last 8 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 18-7 ATS last 25 off an upset win as an underdog. Herd are 1-6 ATS last 7 off a SU Win and a mere 3-7 ATS last 10 overall. Take Virginia Tech! |
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12-01-18 | St. John's v. Georgia Tech +4.5 | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Georgia Tech + The Yellow Jackets are showing tremendous value here as a 4.5-point dog against the Red Storm. St John's is simply getting way too much respect from their 6-0 start to the season. While it's a nice way to start the year, the schedule has been very favorable. Georgia Tech is 4-2, but their only two losses have both come in true road games against Power 5 opponents in Tennessee and Northwestern. The big key here will the Yellow Jacket's defense, which is only giving up 59 ppg and holding opponents to 36% shooting. I look for them to slow the Storm way down, while the offense does more than enough against a St John's defense that gives up 76.7 ppg on the road. Red Storm are a mere 3-11 ATS last 14 neutral site games and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after 3 or more consecutive wins. Yellow Jackets are 14-5 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days and a perfect 10-0 ATS last 10 off a cover where they lost outright as a dog. Take Georgia Tech! |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Buffalo | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Northern Illinois + Everyone is on Buffalo in this game, yet the line keeps dropping in favor of the Huskies. That's because the sharps know the wrong team is actually favored in this game. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and most will just assume a 10-win team with an offense that averages 35.2 ppg is going to easily cover a short number like this. I just think that's a mistake. Northern Illinois is way better than their 7-5 record would lead you to believe. Their 4 non-conference games were against Iowa, Utah, FSU and BYU. The only two games they lost in MAC play were the final two after they had the division title locked up. This team has been eying the Bulls for weeks now and I think they have the talent on the defensive side of the ball to really make life tough on Buffalo. We did just see an Ohio defense, that I have rated slightly worse than the Huskies, hold the Bulls to just 17 points and 277 total yards in a 52-17 win. I'm not saying it's going to be that lopsided, but I think worst case here this thing is decided by a field goal with the Huskies likely winning outright. Take Northern Illinois! |
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11-30-18 | Cavs +12.5 v. Celtics | 95-128 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
3* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cavs + The Cavs don't exactly offer much of a threat right now. Kevin Love, Sam Dekker, J.R. Smith, David Nwaba and George Hill are all out. They also just traded Kyle Korver and are coming off a 17 point loss at OKC. This might look like an easy spot to jump on the Celtics, who are coming off a nice win at New Orleans as a 2-point dog. I don't think that's a wise move. Boston is dealing with some injuries right now and have a much bigger game on deck at Minnesota tomorrow. Will be really hard for them to give Cleveland their full attention. I expect the Cavs to come out and play hard and keep this a lot closer than expected early and stick around for a cover, as Boston will likely right the ship and find a way to win at home. Simply too much value with this double-digit spread to pass up. Take Cleveland! |
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11-30-18 | Mississippi State v. Dayton +4 | Top | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Dayton + The public is going to be all over the ranked Bulldogs, but I don't think Mississippi State should be favored. I wasn't all that impressed with the Bulldogs showing in Las Vegas. They lost outright to Arizona State as a 4.5-point favorite and barely held on for a 4-point win against St. Mary's. Dayton on the other hand is a team I think is flying under the radar. The Flyers struggled in the first year under head coach Anthony Grant, but return 4 starters and outside of an awful 10 minutes stretch against Oklahoma, I've liked what I have seen. Dayton only lost by 7 on a neutral court to Virginia and shot 54.3% from the field, which is outstanding against that Cavaliers' defense. They were up decent on Oklahoma in the 2nd half, but went ice cold and scored 2 points in a 10-minute stretch. With the Bulldogs not quite as good as people think and this being Mississippi State's first true road game, I like Dayton to win this matchup. Flyers are 13-5 ATS L18 vs a team from the SEC, while Bulldogs are 1-11 ATS last 12 off a SU win by 20 or more (beat Alcorn St by 23 last time out). Take Dayton! |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +7.5 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 54 m | Show |
5* Saints/Cowboys NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on Cowboys + We are getting unbelievable value here with Dallas catching over a touchdown at home. What this line tells us is that New Orleans would be at least a double-digit favorite on a neutral field and close to a 14-point favorite at home against the Cowboys. That's ridiculous. I know the Saints just covered as 13.5-point favorites at home against the Falcons, but that was a complete fluke. Atlanta had multiple turnovers in the red zone that took points off the scoreboard and wound up losing the game by 14. Falcons actually outgained New Orleans 366 to 312. Keep in mind that's the same Atlanta team that Dallas beat on the road in Week 11. The move to acquire wide out Amari Cooper has really paid off for the Cowboys. It's not only given Dak someone he can count on in the passing game when he needs to throw for a big first down, but more importantly it's opened up the running game. With the way Dallas is playing defense, if they can pound the rock and play the clock, they not only will keep this within the number, but they will have an excellent shot of winning this game outright and putting an end to that 10-game winning streak of the Saints. Take Dallas! |
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11-29-18 | Austin Peay v. Troy State -4 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Troy State
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-29-18 | Wild +110 v. Blue Jackets | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 21 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Wild
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-28-18 | Bulls v. Bucks -13.5 | Top | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
5* NBA Central Division GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks - I got no problem here laying the big number with Milwaukee at home against the Bulls. The Bucks come into this one off a upset loss at Charlotte as a 4.5-point favorite. Milwaukee hasn't lost back-to-back games all season and are 4-1 ATS off a SU loss. The Bulls are really struggling right now. Chicago has lost 3 straight and are a mere 3-12 in their last 15. Until they get some of their key guys back from injury, they are going to struggle to be competitive, especially against the elite teams. These two teams played earlier this month and the Bucks toyed with Chicago in a 123-104 win, as they led 63-45 at the half. Big system in play as well. Favorites who have won between 60% to 75% of their games and are off a game where they failed to cover are a dominant 39-15 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when facing a horrible team that's won 25% or less of their games. Take Milwaukee! |
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11-28-18 | Virginia v. Maryland +4 | 76-71 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Maryland + The betting public is going to be all over No. 4 ranked Virginia, as the books are begging for action on the Cavaliers as a short road favorite against the Terps. While Maryland comes into this game with an identical 6-0 record and are now ranked No. 24 in the country, I think people are sleeping on this team. While they are starting to get some respect, I don't think people realize just how talented and how well Maryland is playing right now. They got two experienced playmakers who can both score in bunches in Cowan and Fernando and a trio of freshmen that are playing at a high level. We know Virginia is going to be tough to score on, but the offense can be dreadful at times. Maryland is has shot 50% or better in each of their last 3 games and we saw the Cavaliers allow Dayton to shoot 54.3% a couple games back. Terps aren't just all offense, as they are only giving up 66 ppg, while holding teams to 39% from the field and 29% from deep. Take Maryland! |
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11-28-18 | VCU v. Old Dominion -3.5 | 52-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas Line MISTAKE on Old Dominion - I like the value here with Old Dominion as a short home favorite against the Rams. Jeff Jones has really turned the Monarchs into a consistent threat in C-USA and it's because of the emphasis that is put on the defensive side of the ball. ODU is once again locking down opposing teams, as they enter this game allowing just 58.3 ppg and 37.2% from the field. They get even more stingy at home, where they allow just 54.5 ppg and 32.7% shooting. VCU is a quality team and while Shaka Smart is no longer with he Rams, they are still a household name. I think that's playing into the number here, as I think this is a really tough spot for VCU against this caliber a defense in their first true road game of the season. Note they don't exactly come in shooting it well, as they have hit a mere 42% in each of their last 2 games. Rams are just 4-9 ATS last 13 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog. Clearly when the books make VCU a dog it's for good reason. Take Old Dominion. |
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11-27-18 | Temple +2.5 v. Missouri | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Temple + I really like the Owls to go into Mizzou Arena and take down the Tigers. I've just not been impressed at all with Missouri, as they can't score the basketball. Tigers come into this game averaging a mere 63.6 ppg. I get they have played Iowa State, Oregon St and Kansas St, but they only had 68 points vs Central Arkansas and a mere 55 in a 3-point win over Kennesaw State. Temple is a very strong defensive team, which is bad news for the Tigers. Owls had one bad offensive game against VCU where they shot 32% and scored 51 points (only loss this year). Every other game they have scored 75 or more, including 81 against the likes of Georgia. I just don't see Mizzu being able to keep pace. Take Temple! |
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11-27-18 | Nevada v. Loyola-Chicago +6.5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Loyola-Chicago + Expectations were sky-high for Loyola-Chicago coming into this year after that Cinderella run through the NCAA Tournament a year ago. I think a lot of people are off this team though after their 4-2 start, which includes a double-digit loss to Boston College last time out. I still think the Ramblers are a very dangerous team, especially on their home floor and Nevada is simply getting too much respect. The Wolf Pack come in with a perfect 6-0 record and averaging 92 ppg. They aren't a bad team, but they have played a soft schedule and will get knocked off at some point. I think there's a good chance it happens tonight, as this will be their first true road game of the 2018 season. Ramblers are 15-6 ATS last 21 as an underdog and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 off a loss by 10 or more points. Take Loyola-Chicago! |
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11-27-18 | Knicks +7.5 v. Pistons | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NBA Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Knicks + I'm jump on the red-hot Knicks as a big dog against Detroit. New York comes in having won 3 straight and all 3 have been as a decently priced dog. They won 117-109 at Boston as a 14.5-point dog, 114-109 at home to the Pelicans as a 7.5-point dog and most recently 103-98 at Memphis as a 8-point dog. Now we see them as a similarly priced dog here against a Pistons team that I think is a notch below those teams they just beat. Detroit has won 6 of 8 and covered 5 in a row, but that's giving us the value with the Knicks. Hosting Atlantic Division teams hasn't been great for the Pistons of late. Detroit is a mere 5-16 in their last 21 home games against the teams from the Atlantic. Look for the Knicks to keep it close and don't be surprised if they win outright. Take New York! |
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11-26-18 | Magic v. Warriors UNDER 215 | Top | 110-116 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
5* NBA No Limit TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Magic/Warriors UNDER Books have completely missed the mark here. The Warriors will be without both Steph Curry and Draymond Green. Sure they still have KD and Klay Thompson, but it's just not the same without those two on the court. Not to mention we know the Magic are going to give max effort here on the defensive side of the ball, as everyone brings it when they get a shot at Golden State and they have to be thinking about potentially stealing a win with the Warriors short-handed. I think Golden State matches that defensive intensity as they have really played well on that side of the ball the last two games and this Orlando offense is limited and haven't shot it great of late. Look for a slower than normal pace and for this to fly under the mark set by the books. UNDER is 26-10-1 in Warriors last 37 off a game they didn't cover the spread and 4-1 in Magic's last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take UNDER! |
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11-26-18 | Minnesota v. Boston College -1 | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Boston College - It's been quite the impressive start to the season for Minnesota, who has started out 5-0 and just took home the Vancouver Showcase title with a win over Washington in the finale. They also have early victories against the likes of Utah and Texas A&M. I believe all that has the Gophers getting a little to much respect here on the road against a talented BC team that off to a strong 4-1 start of their one. They too are coming off an impressive win, as they took down Loyola-Chicago 78-66 as a 4-point dog. I also don't love the spot for Minnesota, who has to be a bit jet-lagged from their recent trip to Vancouver, plus all the distractions with Thanksgiving. Now back on the road in what figures to be a hostile environment for the ACC/Big Ten showdown. Simply put, there's just too much value with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home. Take Boston College! |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
3* Titans/Texans MNF ATS DESTROYER on Titans + Love the value here with Tennessee catching over a field goal here against the Texans. This thing should be closer to a Pick'em, but the books are inflating the number big time, knowing the public is going to pound the Texans. Tennessee's a hard team to back because they don't exactly look pretty when they win and they are fresh off an ugly 38-10 loss at Indianapolis. However, that was a horrible spot for the Titans, who laid it all on the line the previous week in a 34-10 home win over the Patriots. Houston on the other hand has won 7 straight since starting out 0-3. An impressive run, but it's hard to get really excited about it. The wins have come against the Colts, Cowboys, Bills, Jags, Dolphins, Broncos and Redskins. They have also been very fortunate in close games, as 5 of the 7 have come by a touchdown or less. Titans already beat Houston 20-17 earlier this season on their home field and I think Tennessee is playing much better than they were then. All signs point to a defensive battle and this one likely being decided by a field goal or less. Take Tennessee! |
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11-25-18 | Oilers v. Kings +120 | 2-5 | Win | 120 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Kings
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-25-18 | Dolphins +10 v. Colts | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 104 h 31 m | Show |
5* AFC Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Dolphins + It's been quite a run here of late for Andrew Luck and the Colts. Indianapolis has won 4 straight and went from a playoff afterthought at 1-5 to tied for the final Wild Card spot at 5-5. This recent run has the Colts way overvalued here against the Dolphins, as Indy has no business laying more than a touchdown. I get it's been bad for Miami, but they have been without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill since the end of September. Dolphins started out 3-2 with Tannehill at quarterback and will certainly be more competitive with him under center than backup Brock Osweiler. Add in the fact that Miami has had two weeks to get ready for this game coming off their bye and this isn't just a game they can keep close, but one they could win outright. The Colts are still banged up defensively, but the biggest injury news for Indy is the loss of starting center Ryan Kelly, who has been downgraded to out with a knee injury. Center is one of the more underrated positions in the NFL and things can spiral out of control up from on the offensive line when one goes down. Look for Luck to have a little less time to throw, which is going to limit the big plays down the field. That's only going to increase the likelihood that the Dolphins keep it closer than expected. Take Miami! |
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11-25-18 | Steelers v. Broncos +3 | 17-24 | Win | 105 | 103 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NFL Undervalued Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Broncos + The books are making it pretty clear who they think will win this game, as they know the public will be all over the Steelers at this price. Pittsburgh has won 6 straight and off an improbable win at Jacksonville. Denver is 4-6 and won just 2 of their last 8 games. Broncos do come into this one off a big 23-22 upset win at the Chargers as a 7-point dog and will definitely be playing with a ton of confidence. For me, I just think this is a really tough spot for Pittsburgh. The Steelers used everything they had to rally late to steal the game at Jacksonville and are primed for a bit of a letdown here. Keep in mind we know Ben Roethlisberger and the offense doesn't perform at the same level on the road as they do at home and I think the thin air of Denver will make it that much harder on Pittsburgh to play well here. Broncos have gone an impressive 29-15 ATS in their last 44 home games vs a top tier team that's outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game. Steelers are also 7-19-1 ATS last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Take Denver! |
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11-25-18 | Cardinals v. Chargers -13.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NFL Big Money ATS ANNIHILATOR on Chargers - I got no problem laying the big number here with the Chargers at home against the Cardinals. This is a huge bounce back spot for Los Angeles, as they come in off an upset loss at home to the Broncos and can't afford to lose this one with a tough 4 game stretch to close out the year against the Steelers, Bengals, Ravens and Chiefs. Shouldn't be much of a problem here for the Chargers to win here by at least 2 touchdowns. Arizona couldn't even beat the Raiders on their home field and it's never good when a bad team is dealing with the injury bug. Several key players are not expected to be available for the Cardinals and they already didn't have the talent to compete. Chargers are 4-1 ATS last 5 off a failed cover and 6-1 ATS last 7 in November. Arizona is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games in month of November and 1-10 ATS last 11 with a total of 42.5 to 49. Take Los Angeles! |
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11-25-18 | Magic +8 v. Lakers | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NBA Vegas ATS Heavy HITTER on Magic + The Lakers are rolling right now, as they have won 9 of their last 11. However, to no surprise, they haven't exactly been a great bet during this hot streak. In fact, LA is just 5-6 ATS during this stretch. The books are simply inflating their lines to where it's really hard for them to cover. That's exactly what I see here. Orlando was responsible for one of those two losses, as they beat LA 130-117 at home back on Nov. 17th. It's been a part of an impressive stretch here for the Magic, as they have gone 6-1-1 ATS last 8. I fully expect Orlando to hang around here and keep this well within the number. Note this is also a huge bounce back spot for the Magic, who lost 112-87 at Denver in their last game. Magic are 12-4-1 ATS last 17 off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Orlando! |
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11-25-18 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Patriots/Jets AFC East PLAY OF THE WEEK on Jets + This is too good a price to pass up with the Jets as a double-digit division home dog against the Patriots. No surprise here to see New England overvalued, as the books no the public will be chomping at the bit to take the Patriots off their bye, which followed an ugly loss to the Titans, especially against a bad team like the Jets. The thing is, New York always seems to find a way to keep it close at home against New England. The last 5 times the Patriots visiting MetLife they have lost outright twice and the 3 wins have all come by a touchdown or less. Last year NE won 24-17 as a 9-point favorite. Patriots are also not the same team away from home. They are 7-0 at home and just 2-3 on the road. I think it's a plus here that the rookie Sam Darnold isn't start, as Belichick has owned rookie signal callers. The Jets are also coming off of their bye, but it's worth noting the last time they played they lost 41-10 at home to the Bills. That's because NY is 21-6 ATS in home games off a home loss. Take New York! |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks +3 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Seahawks + I like the value here with Seattle catching a field goal on the road against the Panthers. Carolina comes in having lost two straight and can't be trusted against the Seahawks. The Panthers got annihilated at Pittsburgh 52-21 on Thursday Night Football in Week 10 and followed it up by giving away the game in a 20-19 loss at Detroit. Seattle on the other hand rallied from a double-digit deficit to knock off Aaron Rodgers and the Packers at home on Thursday Night Football. Extra few days to prepare is a huge advantage for the Seahawks in this one. Seattle has been playing as well as anyone of late. They are 5-3 in their last 8 with 2 of those losses coming to the Rams in games they easily could have won and the other a loss to the red-hot Chargers. Seahawks get the perception as this bad road team, but they come in having covered 7 of their last 10 and are 4-0-1 ATS last 5 off a game where they failed to cover the spread. Take Seattle! |
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11-25-18 | Villanova v. Florida State -2 | 66-60 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Florida State
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-24-18 | Pelicans v. Wizards +2 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wizards + I love the value here with Washington as a home dog against the Pelicans. It certainly hasn't been the start to the season the Wizards were expecting, as they sit at 6-12 thru their first 18 games. They have won 4 of their last 7 and I still have a lot of confidence in this team getting back on track. The even bigger key here is this being a really tough spot for New Orleans. The Pelicans had to play at New York yesterday and were at Philadelphia on Wednesday, so not only is this a back-to-back road set, but it's their 3rd game away from home in the last 4 days, which I think is only worse given it's come right around Thanksgiving. I think we saw some of the fatigue show in yesterday's loss to the Knicks as a 7.5-point favorite. Pelicans are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss. Take Washington! |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame v. USC +11.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on USC + I really like the value here with USC as a double-digit home dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame needs here is a win here and they will secure a spot in the college football playoff. All the pressure is on the Irish and no one is giving the Trojans a chance here, especially off that ugly loss last week to UCLA. I just think USC has had their eyes set on this game and the chance to spoil Notre Dame's perfect season and keep them out of the playoffs. We have already seen the Trojans beat a top team at home, as they knocked off Washington State earlier this year. They have lost ta home to ASU and Cal, but both could have went either way. I'm not saying USC pulls off the upset, but I think they keep it within single digits at the Coliseum. Take USC +11.5! |
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11-24-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +17.5 | 56-10 | Loss | -109 | 82 h 59 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF In-State Rivalry ANNIHILATOR on Louisville + I like the value here with Louisville as a big home dog against in-state rival Kentucky. I know it hasn't been pretty for the Cardinals in 2018 and they just lost at home to NC State by 42 last week, but I think some of that poor showing was a result of this team looking ahead to this showdown with the Wildcats. I think we get a huge effort here from Louisville as they try to not only send their seniors out on a positive note, but also to put some kind of positive note on this disaster of a season. The even bigger key here is I don't think Kentucky is in a really bad spot. I think for them, they felt their season came to and end with that home loss to Georgia, where a win would have put them in the SEC Championship Game. Just zero incentive here for them in these final few games and it's shown with their play on the field. They lost outright at Tennessee 24-7 and then barely beat Middle Tennessee 34-23 as a 16.5-point favorite. This is a team that couldn't score even when they were playing well, but they aren't playing with the same energy and effort on defense, which is what I believe will keep them from covering this big number. Take Louisville! |
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11-24-18 | Sabres -101 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Sabres
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-24-18 | NC State v. North Carolina +7.5 | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on North Carolina + I really like the value here with the Tar Heels as a decently priced home dog against in-state rival NC State. North Carolina comes into this game sitting at 2-8 and having lost 6 straight games in ACC play. While the losses have continued to pile up, the Tar Heels have been extremely competitive of late. Their last 5 losses are all by 10-points or less and they could have won all 5 of those games. I expect this team to come out extremely motivated for this one. Not only are they going to want to play well in their final home game of the season, but they haven't beat NC State on their home field since 2012. Not to mention, the Wolfpack have won the last two in the series. I just don't think this year's NC State is as good as people think and have no business here laying this big a number on the road. The Wolfpack just recently lost at home to Wake Forest 27-23 as a 18.5-point favorite and their only two wins in their last 5 games are against FSU and Louisville. The most recent was a blowout win and cover at Louisville, but note that NC State is just 11-28 ATS in their last 39 off a conference road win. Tar Heels are 22-7 ATS last 29 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 7-3 ATS last 10 conference games. Take North Carolina! |
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11-24-18 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | 41-14 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida State + The Seminoles have won 5 straight in this series and while this season has been a huge disappointment, FSU showed it means something to get to a bowl with their strong showing last week in their upset win at home over Boston College. While the Seminoles are going to lay it all on the line to get that 6th win an extend their season, there's not a ton here for the Gators to be excited about and this is definitely not a team you can trust laying a number like this. We recently saw them win by just 4 as a 6.5-point home favorite vs S Carolina. The week before that they lost 38-17 as a 4.5-point favorite agains Missouri. Seminoles have covered 9 of their last 12 outside of conference, including 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs the SEC. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 off a ATS cover. Take Florida State! |
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11-23-18 | Florida -1 v. Butler | 54-61 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Florida No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-23-18 | Washington +3 v. Washington State | Top | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 60 h 32 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington + The wrong team is favored in this one. It's been quite a run for Washington State this season, as no one outside of Pullman was expecting this team to be in this spot after what they lost from last year's team. I just don't think this is the 8th best team in the country. We are talking about a team that lost to a bad USC team and has three other wins by a touchdown or less. Washington is the team that was suppose to be the talk of the Pac-12 this season, as a lot of people had them picked to make the playoffs. It just didn't work out like they hoped, but there's no denying the talent on this team. Not only are they playing for 1st place in the Pac-12 North and a spot in the conference title game, there's definitely motivation here to ruin Washington State's season and they would love nothing more than to celebrate on the Cougars home field. I think the difference here will be the Huskies defense, which comes in allowing a mere 16.6 ppg and 318 ypg. Keep in mind Washington has had zero problem slowing down Mike Leach and this Washington State offense. In the last 5 meetings between these two rivals, the Cougars haven't scored more than 17 points in any single game. All 5 times the Huskies won by double-digits. Expect more of the same. Take Washington! |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia UNDER 86 | 59-56 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Oklahoma UNDER I just think the there's too much value here with the UNDER at this number. I know these two teams have been a part of several Big 12 shootouts this year, but these two have to average more than 3 touchdowns (21.75 points) per quarter for this to go over the mark. I just think when you factor in how big a game this, with a spot in the Big 12 Championship and maybe more with the playoffs if some other teams drop, chances are we aren't going to see 90 points on the scoreboard. Not to mention the game will be played in less than ideal conditions with temps in the mid 30's. UNDER is 15-4 in West Virginia's last 19 games after scoring 31 or more in 4 straight and 14-5 in the Mountaineers 19 games under head coach Dana Holgorsen with a spread of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! |
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11-23-18 | Celtics -8.5 v. Hawks | 114-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
3* NBA Big Money PLAY OF THE DAY on Celtics - This just feels like the perfect spot and opponent for Boston to get right against. The Celtics come in having lost 3 straight and are fresh off an ugly 117-109 loss at home to the Knicks as a 14.5-point favorite. Boston is now sitting at 9-9 overall and I just think we get a big time effort here with the possibility of going under .500. The Hawks haven't won a game since they squeaked out a win over the Heat at home back on Nov. 3. They just lost at home to the Raptors by 16 as a similarly priced 8-point dog. Keep in mind Toronto was kind of in the same spot as Boston when they visited Atlanta, as the Raptors had hit a bit of a lull following their hot start. Celtics have gone an impressive 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Boston! |
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11-23-18 | Central Florida v. South Florida +14.5 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Vegas Oddsmaker ERROR on South Florida + UCF is getting way too much respect here on the road against the Bulls. The Knights are fresh off a huge 38-13 win over Cincinnati at home, which locked up a spot in the AAC title game. They annihilated the spread in that game, as they went off as a mere 6.5-point favorite. On the flip side the Bulls come in having lost 4 straight. It all adds up to this inflated line we are seeing. I not only think the Bulls can keep this within two touchdowns, but if a few breaks go there way, I could see them winning this game outright. USF has the speed on both sides of the ball to matchup with the Knights and most importantly have the talent offensively to keep pace with Milton and that UCF offense. All the pressure is on the Knights in this one, while USF has absolutely nothing to lose, yet will be extremely motivated (has to feel like their Super Bowl) to put an end to this nation-long winning streak of UCF. Bulls did beat the Knights the last time UCF came to South Florida (last regular-season loss for UCF) and we have seen the Knights struggle away from home. They were extremely fortunate to win at Memphis earlier this year, escaping with a 31-30 win. I see a similar game here that's decided in the final minutes. Take South Florida! |
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11-23-18 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 56 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +12.5 v. Saints | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 18 m | Show |
5* Falcons/Saints NFC South GAME OF THE YEAR on Falcons + The books have had enough with the public cashing in tickets on this Saints team. New Orleans has covered the spread in 8 straight games, which is ridiculous in pro football. There's zero doubt here that this line is inflated in favor of the Saints and I just think there's too much value here to pass up. Keep in mind these two teams played at Atlanta back in Week 3 and the Falcons were actually a 1.5-point favorite. New Orleans ended up winning 43-37 in OT, but had to score a late TD in the final minutes to force extra time. That early lean in Atlanta suggest that had those two teams played on a neutral field in Week 3 the Saints would have been around a 2-point favorite and close to a 6-point favorite at home (maybe a TD given NO homefield). This is almost double that. I just think people can forget the advantage division teams have against each other, in that they are so familiar with one another. It's why it's really hard to blowout division opponents, especially a talented team like the Falcons who can put up points. I expect Matt Ryan and Atlanta to be in this thing right down to the final minutes and easily cover the big number. Take Atlanta! |
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11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +13 | 35-3 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Miss St/Ole Miss Egg Bowl VEGAS INSIDER on Ole Miss + This is just too many points for the Rebels to be catching on their home field in a big rivalry game like this. Sure Mississippi State has the better record and are the more talented team, but you can throw out all the stats when referring to the Egg Bowl. Just last year the Rebels won 31-28 at Mississippi State as a 14-point underdog. The year before that the Bulldogs won 55-20 as a 10-point dog. I'm not saying Ole Miss will win this game outright, but it definitely shouldn't surprise you if they do, especially with what's at stake and this being on their home field. The Rebels need a win here to become bowl eligible, as they sit at 5-6. Playing on the road has definitely not been the strength of this Mississippi State team, as they are just 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS away from home. The biggest problem for the Bulldogs has been the inability of the offense to put up points. I know Ole Miss doesn't have the best of defenses, but this one they have to feel like they can at least make some stops against. On the flip side of this, I think the Rebels have the playmakers on offense to score against this talented Mississippi State defense. Take Ole Miss! |
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11-22-18 | Oklahoma State v. Memphis +2.5 | 84-64 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Memphis + I'lll gladly take the points here with Memphis in this neutral site showdown with Oklahoma State. There's a buzz around this Tigers team with Penny Hardaway the new head coach. He's going to turn Memphis into a powerhouse with his ability to recruit and I think they will be showing a lot of value this year. They already went on the road and covered against a very good LSU team, losing by just 9 as a 11.5-point dog. They did so despite a red-hot shooting night for LSU, who hit on 54% of their shots. I think they are the better team here. Oklahoma State also has a road loss, but there's was at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite. This team is going to struggle this year, as they only returned 3 scholarship players. Take Memphis! |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +4.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 49 m | Show |
5* NFL Thanksgiving NO LIMIT Top Play on Lions + I really like the value here with the Lions as a short home dog against the Bears. This is one of those rare times in the NFL where you have two division teams playing for the second time in just a matter of weeks. Most are just going to look back at Chicago's 34-22 win in Week 10 and expect the Bears to roll here, especially after Chicago followed that win up with another impressive win at home over the Vikings. The thing is, it's a lot harder winning on the road, especially inside your own division. Plus, the Bears are likely to be without starting quarterback Mitch Trubisky. I also think that highly regarded Chicago defense could struggle a bit playing on away from home on just 3-days rest and off a very physical game against Minnesota. Bears are just 1-111 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total of 42.5 to 49 and 1-9 in their last 10 road games after holding their previous opponent to 75 or less. We also have a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Bears. Road teams that have covered the spread in at least 5 of their last 7 games and have won 60% to 75% of their games are a mere 43-80 (35%) ATS when playing a team with a losing record. That's a 65% system in favor of Detroit dating back to 1983! Take Detroit! |
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11-21-18 | Avalanche v. Kings +123 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Kings
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago -4.5 v. Boston College | 66-78 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago - I'll gladly back the Ramblers at this price. Loyola-Chicago should have zero problem here covering the number against the Eagles in this neutral site showdown in Fort Myers, Florida. Ramblers laid an egg out of the gates and lost at home to Furman, but have rolled off 3 straight wins, including a 82-66 victory over Richmond as a 7-point neutral site favorite. The Eagles are headed in the right direction and will surprise some teams in ACC play, but still got a ways to go. We already seen them lose at home to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Ramblers are 9-2 ATS last 11 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing on 1 or less days of rest. Take Loyola-Chicago! |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
5* NBA Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks - The Bucks should have no problem here winning and covering the number. Milwaukee's got away with some sloppy starts here of late, but I don't think they will be sleep-walking through the start of this one. That's because the Bucks will be out for revenge from an ugly 15-point loss at Portland earlier this month. Milwaukee is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home, so the books have clearly not given this team enough respect when they take the floor at the Fiserv Forum. Portland is a good team and in normal circumstances might put up a decent fight, but they have to be running on fumes. Blazers are playing their 5th straight game on the road. It's also their 3rd game in the last 4 nights and they just played last night in New York. Not to mention their next game is against the Warriors on Friday, so hard to not look ahead to that one just a little bit. Take Milwaukee! |
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11-21-18 | Wisconsin -7.5 v. Stanford | 62-46 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wisconsin - I got no problem laying this number with the Badgers against the Cardinal. Wisconsin is a team that I think was highly undervalued coming into the year. While they are starting to get some love (ranked #25), I still think there's a lot of value backing them. Big reason Wisconsin is undervalued is they are coming off a season in which they went just 7-11 in the Big Ten and failed to make the NCAA Tournament fro the first time in 20 years. A big reason for their struggles was injuries. They got all 5 starters back and have already won on the road over Xavier by 9-points. Stanford just lost at UNC by 18 and was lucky to keep it that close. Should be an easy double-digit win here for the Badgers. Take Wisconsin! |
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11-20-18 | Nets v. Heat UNDER 216.5 | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets/Heat UNDER Total is too high here for this matchup. Brooklyn's not the same offensive team after losing their leading scorer in Caris LeVert and Miami's offense doesn't run the same without starting point guard Goran Dragic, who is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Heat have failed to score 100 points in each of their last 2, including a mere 97 last time out at home to the Lakers, who aren't exactly a top notch defensive team. Add in the familiarity with these two teams having just played each other a week ago, I look for both offenses to struggle to get going. In large part because I think Miami's defense will show up in a big way here, but the offense will continue to struggle to score without Dragic. UNDER 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in this series. It's also 7-2 in Miami's last 9 vs a team with a losing record and 8-2 in the Nets last 10 vs a team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! |
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11-20-18 | Northern Illinois -5.5 v. Western Michigan | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Northern Illinois - I think we are getting a solid price here on the Huskies due to the fact that people will assume they want nothing to do with this game having already locked up a spot in next week's MAC title game. I'm not buying that at all. I think having lost last week at home to Miami will have this team locked in for this contest. Keep in mind that while they lost the RedHawks, their defense was outstanding, as Miami won the game on a pick-six. If they play any kind of defense in this one, they should win here by double-digits rather easy, as Western Michigan has completely thrown in the towel on the defensive side of the ball. In the Broncos last 3 game they have allowed 42 to Ball State, 59 to Ohio and 51 to Toledo. Take Northern Illinois! |
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11-20-18 | Bradley +3 v. SMU | 75-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bradley + I'll take the points with the Braves in this neutral site showdown with the Mustangs. Bradley is a dangerous team in the MVC, as they bring back 4 starters from a 20-win team. They are 3-1 to start the year with the only loss coming to Illinois-Chicago by a mere 1-point. SMU is off a miserable 2017-18 campaign, where injuries derailed what could have been a special season. A lot of people will expect the Mustangs to bounce back, but I'm not so sure that will be the case. They lost another NBA talent in Shake Milton, their third pro in the last two years. Two of their key guys back this year are both questionable to play in Everertt Ray and Jarrey Foster. SMU has already lost by 10 as a 9.5-point home favorite to Southern Miss and by 6 as a 10-point home favorite to Lipscomb. The Braves are better than both of those teams. Take Bradley! |
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11-19-18 | Arizona -1 v. Iowa State | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arizona - Iowa State is getting way too much love here against the Wildcats. This might not be your typically Arizona team that has the talent to be a serious national title contender, but this is still one of the most talented teams in the country. I like that they are flying under the radar coming into the year, as they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Iowa State is going to be a dangerous team come March if they can get healthy, but they are playing without preseason All-Big 12 guard Lindell Wigginton, who is out with a foot injury. On top of that, returning starters Cameron Lard (suspension) and Solomon Young (Groin) are also not playing. I get the Cyclones have looked great so far without those key pieces, but all 3 games for them have come at home, where they have quite the home court edge. This one is being played in Hawaii at the Maui Invitational. Take Arizona! |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams UNDER 63.5 | 51-54 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Chiefs/Rams MNF Vegas INSIDER on Chiefs/Rams UNDER There's no denying that these are two of the best offensive teams in the NFL, but the books are on top of it. They know the public is going to bet the OVER no matter what number they put up and so they have set this thing ridiculously high. I just feel there's too much value at this number to not take a shot on the UNDER. Neither of these defenses have been very good, but I just feel there's too much talent on that Rams side of the ball for them to continue to struggle. As for the Chiefs, they have quietly been playing better on that side of the ball. Keep in mind they had a lot of young guys and new additions to that side of the ball, so it was going to take some time for them to gel. One thing is for, they can get after the quarterback. With the loss of Cooper Kupp, I think the Rams will be a little more run-heavy and the same could go for the Chiefs, as they are definitely aware of LA's struggles against the runs in recent games. That likely leads to some long drives. A few redzone stops be either defense and this thing could end up flying well below the mark. Take the UNDER! |
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11-19-18 | Suns +12.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Suns + I really like the value here with Phoenix as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. I just think Philadelphia is bit overvalued right now with the recent trade of Jimmy Butler and them having won and covered their last two. The thing is, they could very easily be 0-3 with Butler. They lost his debut at Orlando, beat Utah at home by just 6 points and the Jazz shot 4 of 22 (18.2%) from deep and 56.8% from the free throw line. Then last time out they overcame a 60-point night from Kemba Walker in a 122-119 overtime win at Charlotte. I think that game against the Hornets really took a lot out of this team (all 5 starters played 30+ mins) and this is not as deep a team after the trade. With how bad the Suns have been, I just feel this is one of those games that the 76ers go through the motions and have to scratch out a win late. Take Phoenix! |
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11-19-18 | Sabres +170 v. Penguins | 5-4 | Win | 170 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NHL Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Sabres + This is simply too good a price to pass up on Buffalo with the direction these two teams are headed. The Sabres have won 5 straight and are near the top of the standings at 12-6-2. On the flip side of this, Pittsburgh is a mere 1-7-1 over their last 8 games and are dead least in the east at 7-8-3 overall. The key here is the Penguins are a very public team, having won 2 of the last 3 Stanley Cup's. Not to mention Buffalo is a major surprise, as they haven't really been competitive in recent years, so while their record is strong, people will be slow to trust them, especially on the road against a team like Pittsburgh. I just think people get in the trap of assuming a team that's suppose to be good will just snap out of it. I would rather ride it out and take advantage of all the value fading them. Take Buffalo! |
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11-19-18 | Akron +14 v. Clemson | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Akron
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-19-18 | South Dakota State v. Tulane +8 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Tulane
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-18-18 | Vikings v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 20-25 | Win | 100 | 59 h 2 m | Show |
5* Vikings/Bears NFC North GAME OF THE YEAR on Bears - I absolutely love the value here with Chicago laying less than a field goal at home against division rival Minnesota. The Bears are sitting at 6-3 and on top the NFC North, but I just don't get the feeling that people are buying into this team like they should The defense has been outstanding from the start, as the addition of Mack really took that unit to a whole different level. What makes Chicago such a dangerous team is the offense has gotten better and better, as we are seeing a similar impact here with Nagy and Trubisky as we did last year with McVay and Goff. Since scoring 16 points in a win at Arizona in late September, the Bears have averaged an impressive 34.3 ppg. They definitely got the good to slow down Kirk Cousins and that Vikings offense and with this being a prime time home game under the lights of Sunday Night Football, I just feel the value is too good to pass up. Take Chicago! |
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11-18-18 | Knicks v. Magic OVER 215 | 117-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Magic OVER These two teams will have no problem going over the total here, as both sides don't play much defense. New York comes in allowing 116.3 ppg on the road, where opponents are shooting 48% from the field and 37.4% from deep. It's very similar in Orlando, where the Magic are giving up 111 ppg at home, while letting opponents shoot 47.5% and 39% from deep. Last game for the Magic they combined for 147 at home against the Lakers. Each of New York's last two have seen 130+. Over is also 10-3 in Orlando's last 13 off a win by double-digits and 21-9 in the Knicks last 30 when they enter a contest having failed to cover 4 of 5 of their last 6. Take the OVER! |
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11-18-18 | Eagles +9 v. Saints | 7-48 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Eagles/Saints NFC GAME OF THE WEEK on Eagles + Simply too much value here with Philadelphia to pass up. The books have been absolutely destroyed by the Saints this season, as New Orleans has covered every spread they have faced since that ugly win against the Browns back in Week 2. That 7-0 ATS run has New Orleans way overvalued here against the Eagles. On the flip side of this, this is about as low as the perceptions has been on the Eagles. Prior to last week's ugly loss to the Cowboys at home, I think most thought this team would snap out of their early season funk. Either way, with a record of 4-5, this is do or die time for Philadelphia. There are just some teams that relish the role of the underdog and there's no question all the doubters played a big part in the Eagles Super Bowl run a year ago. I think we see that same nasty fight from this team and while it might not be enough to beat Brees and the Saints on the road, I think they can keep it within a touchdown. Take Philadelphia! |
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11-18-18 | Stars v. Islanders +105 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Islanders
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-18-18 | Steelers v. Jaguars +6 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 111 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Steelers/Jaguars AFC GAME OF THE WEEK on Jags + Love the value here with Jacksonville as a near touchdown dog at home against the Steelers. This is it for the Jaguars, who have lost 5 straight and simply can't afford a loss here if they want to have a realistic shot at making the playoffs. This is still a talented football team and they nearly made a big comeback last week in Indy, as they were driving to at worst force OT (already in FG range), but fumbled and lost 29-26. They got back their star running back in Fournette and the offense responded with more than 400 yards, as Bortles threw for 300+. Pittsburgh is simply way overvalued here due to the fact that they have covered 5 straight. We saw this team really struggle with Jacksonville last year. The Jaguars beat them in Pittsburgh twice last year. 30-9 in the regular-season and 45-42 in the playoffs. Jacksonville is also much better in the role of the dog. In fact, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Jacksonville! |
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11-18-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Monmouth +7.5 | 87-63 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Monmouth
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-18-18 | South Florida +412 v. Georgetown | 73-76 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on South Florida
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-17-18 | Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt OVER 67.5 | 29-36 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 7 m | Show | |
3* OLE MISS/VANDY SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Ole Miss/Vandy OVER I don't think we are going to have any problem eclipsing the total in this one. Ole Miss is the ideal team for high-scoring games. They got a ton of talent offensively and play no defense. It's almost like they should be in the Big 12. The Rebels come in having allowed 31 or more in each of their last 4 games. On the road this season, Ole Miss is allowing 35.7 ppg and 509 ypg, with teams averaging 252 yards rushing and another 257 through the air. Vanderbilt is a team that has the potential to go off offensively. They had more than 460 yards last week at Missouri, but only 28 points to show for it. The Week before they hung 45 on Arkansas. They have scored 30+ in 4 games and will do so here. They also will give up 30+ in this one, as the only teams to slow down this Ole Miss offense are Alabama, LSU, Auburn and Texas A&M. Four of the best defensive teams in the country. Take the OVER! |
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11-17-18 | Duke v. Clemson -27 | 6-35 | Win | 100 | 105 h 9 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Clemson - I'll lay the big number with the Tigers in this one. Clemson has covered 5 straight games and a lot of them haven't been close. They won by 61 as a 39-point favorite against Louisville a couple games back and fresh off a cover as a 17.5-point road favorite against a good Boston College team. I think the fact that Duke comes in having won two straight including an upset win at Miami, people will talk themselves into the Blue Devils being able to keep this game close. I just don't see it. I think everyone talking about how Alabama is this unbeatable team and everyone else is just playing for 2nd has really lit a fire under this Clemson team. Not only are they doing whatever they want offensively since inserting Trevor Lawrence as the starting quarterback, but the defense is playing up to their potential after a sluggish start to the season. In their last 5 games combined they have given up 10 points in the 1st half of play and 7 of those came on a 74-yard punt return in last weeks game against BC. Might I mention those were the only points they gave up in that entire game. I don't see Duke getting more than 14 and the Tigers scoring fewer than 42. Take Clemson! |
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11-17-18 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 222 | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets/Clippers UNDER Books have completely missed the mark here with the total for Saturday's NBA action between the Clippers and Nets. LAC is coming off a big 3-game home stand where they went 3-0 with wins over the Bucks, Warriors and Spurs. Now they travel across the country for game against the Nets, who are without Caris LeVert and might be missing Hollis-Jefferson. UNDER has cashed 5 of the last 6 times that the Clippers have made the trip to Brooklyn. UNDER is also 25-12 in Brooklyn's last 37 as a home dog of 6 points or less and 10-1 in their last 11 at home off an upset win as a dog. Take the UNDER! |
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11-17-18 | SE Missouri State v. Chattanooga +1 | 63-42 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Chattanooga
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-17-18 | Boston College v. Florida State +1 | 21-22 | Win | 102 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida State + This is the perfect spot to jump on the Seminoles at home against the Eagles. There's no denying it's been a miserable season for Florida State, but I think there's still some fight left in this team and they need to win their last 2 to become bowl eligible. They couldn't be catching Boston College at a better time. The Eagles are in a massive letdown spot, as they come in off a huge showdown against Clemson, where if they would have won, they would be looking at a spot in the ACC Championship Game. Now there's nothing to play for but pride and I just don't see them being interested in this one. Take Florida State! |
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11-17-18 | USC v. UCLA +3 | 27-34 | Win | 106 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
3* USC/UCLA PAC-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on UCLA + The fact that the books are begging you to take USC, tells you all you need to know about what the right side is in this one. UCLA might be sitting at 2-8 and have lost 3 straight, but they aren't just playing for this season. This is year one under Chip Kelly and they need some positives to take into next year. They have been a lot more competitive of late. While they lost 42-21 at Oregon, they actually outgained the Ducks 496 to 492 with 29 first downs to Oregon's 20. Last week they lost 31-28 at ASU were right there in total yards 480-439. I know USC is down, but getting a win over that program would be huge for Kelly in recruiting and I also think there's more drama going on behind the scenes at USC, as I think Clay Helton is about to get shown the door. Bruins have gone an impressive 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off back-to-back conference losses where they allowed 31+ points and 9-1 in their last 10 after giving up 31+ points in 3 straight. Take UCLA! |
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11-17-18 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +7 | 41-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
3* W Virginia/OK State BIG 12 PLAY OF T DAY on Oklahoma State + I like the Cowboys to keep this thing closer than expected, as I think they got a great shot of winning this thing outright. Oklahoma State nearly upset rival Oklahoma last week. I think the perception here is they are in-store for a letdown off that close loss to the Sooners. I don't see that at all. I think this team will be extremely motivated to ruin the Mountaineers season and secure a bowl bid on their home field. West Virginia has all the pressure on them in this one and these late road trips are when we typically see some big upsets. I'm still not completely sold on this Mountaineers team. They were dominated in a loss at ISU and should of lost at Texas. Cowboys are 55-35 ATS in their last 90 with a total of 63 or more and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 after two straight games where 60+ points were scored. Take Oklahoma State! |
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11-17-18 | Lightning v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on under
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-17-18 | Penn State -27 v. Rutgers | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 16 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Vegas Insider GAME OF THE YEAR on Penn State - I get that Penn State is essentially playing for pride at this point, but I really like how this team responded from that ugly loss to Michigan, beating Wisconsin by double-digits. The Nittany Lions haven't laid it on an opponent since they throttled Illinois 63-24 way back on Sept. 20th. I just think this team is going to be looking to take out some of their frustration with how the season has gone in this one. I also don't think there's anything Rutgers can do to stop it. I think the Scarlet Knights have accepted this season for the disaster that it is and just aren't that motivated to play these final two games. Sure they might come out with some fight given it's their last home game, but once they get down by two scores, they aren't going to hesitate to throw in the towel. For a team like Rutgers to keep it close against an offense like Penn State, you have to be able to throw the football and the Scarlet Knights have one of these worst passings attacks in the country, which is averaging 143 ypg and own a 49.7 completion rate. Nittany Lions are 21-4 ATS in their last 35 off a conference win, while Rutgers is a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a loss by 35 or more (fell 42-7 to Michigan last time out). Take Penn State! |
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11-17-18 | Michigan State +1.5 v. Nebraska | 6-9 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
3* Nebraska/Mich St BIG 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Michigan State + Great price here to back the Spartans on the road against the Cornhuskers. Michigan State has one of these best defenses in the country. The Spartans come in allowing 19.7 ppg and just 327 ypg. They are as good as it gets against the run, as they are giving up 2.5 yards/carry and a mere 76 yards/game. That's should be the difference here. With winds expected to be blowing at close to 20 mph, it's going to be really hard for either team to establish anything in the passing game. That really negates the big play potential for this Nebraska offense. The Cornhuskers defense has allowed at least 28 in every Big Ten game and are giving up 38.9 ppg in conference play. As poor as the Spartans are offensively, they will be able to score enough to get the win. Take Michigan State! |
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11-17-18 | William & Mary +13 v. Notre Dame | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on William Mary + Big time value here with the Tribe as a double-digit dog against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame has really shot the ball poorly to start the season. They are shooting just 38.7% from the field thru three games. Last time out they went 22 of 61 (36.1%) in a 63-60 loss at home to Radford. Irish are a mere 7-17 ATS in their last 24 home games vs a bad team that's won between 20%-40% of their games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a game with a combined score of 125 or less. Tribe are 10-2 ATS last 12 road games after allowing previous two opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 road games after a game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take William & Mary! |
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11-16-18 | Boise State v. New Mexico +20 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 20 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Late Night ATS Bailout BLOWOUT on New Mexico + There's too much value here to pass up with the Lobos as a near 3-touchdown dog on their home field. This is just a classic example of the nationally ranked and house hold name being overvalued in a prime time game. Not the easiest of spots for the Broncos. Boise State is fresh off that huge win at home over Fresno State, where they went off as a dog. Now they got a massive game on deck against Utah State. I get they have to win this one for next week's to matter, but hard for them to not look ahead to that one. Given that game on deck, you have to think they just want to get a win and get out. Once they get a comfortable lead, they are going to have to think about resting guys and making sure no one gets hurt. So if things do get out of hand, the backdoor should be open for the Lobos. New Mexico played Boise tough on the road last year, losing by 14 as a 17-point dog. I get they are 3-7 and don't have bowl eligibility to play for, but teams in the MWC get up for Boise and they know what's at stake for the Broncos in this game. Lobos come in having lost 5 straight and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games off 3 straight conference losses. We saw this exact same trend cash in their last home game in a cover against San Diego State. A team that beat Boise earlier this year. Take New Mexico! |
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11-16-18 | Capitals v. Avalanche -130 | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NHL Money Line DESTROYER on Avalanche - Colorado comes into this one off back-to-back impressive wins. They went on the road and beat Edmonton this past Saturday 4-1 and then took down Boston at home 6-3 on Wednesday. The thing is, they had lost 5 straight before this mini run and I think they are still showing some value from the losing streak. Colorado playing just their 3rd game in 7 days, while Washington is playing for the 4th time in 6 day. It's also their 3rd straight game on the road and will be their 3rd different road game in the last 4 days. The thin air of the Mountains is the last place you want to play in this spot. Look for the Avalanche to continue to make it 3 straight. Take Colorado! |
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11-16-18 | Niagara +6.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 72-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Niagara + It's been quite the impressive start for the Purple Eagles. They opened the year with a 80-72 win at home as a dog against St. Bonaventure, then proved it was no fluke with a competitive loss and cover at Loyola-Chicago. I go ahead and take the points for insurance, but I like Niagara to win this game outright. Wyoming has been overvalued in each of their first three, as they haven't covered a spread yet and I think the books just haven't made the proper adjustments on this team. Cowboys are a mere 5-13 ATS last two seasons as a favorite. It's also worth noting that in that closer than expect loss to the Ramblers, the Purple Eagles shot a dreadful 29.2% from the field. Under head coach Chris Casey they are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after a game where they shot 33% or worse. Take Niagara! |
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11-16-18 | Jazz +145 v. 76ers | 107-113 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 25 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Jazz
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-16-18 | St. John's -2 v. Rutgers | 84-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on St. John’s - The Red Storm should have no problem securing a win on the road against Rutgers. St. John's is a team to watch out for. This is now year three under head coach Chris Mullin and the team showed some promise late last year. They get back arguably the best player in the Big East in junior guard Shamorie Ponds and got a huge boost when Auburn transfer Mustapha Heron was cleared to play. Both are averaging 20+ ppg early on. I like the direction Rutgers is going and they won't go down without a fight a home, but I just think the Red Storm are the far superior team in this one. Rutgers just doesn't have the offensive fire-power to compete with the likes of Ponds and Heron. Take St. John's! |
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11-16-18 | Ball State v. Alabama -3 | 61-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Alabama
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic +3.5 v. North Texas | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
3* FAU/N Texas NCAAF Weeknight DESTROYER on Florida Atlantic + This North Texas team can't be trusted and are getting too much respect here against Lane Kiffin's Owls. It's been a bit of a disappointing season for FAU, but it's not as bad as you might think given their 5-5 record. Two of those losses were on the road against Oklahoma and UCF. They also lost by 1 at Middle Tenn and fell to quality teams in Marshall and La Tech. Most are going to take North Texas here because the perception is that they will be out for revenge from last year's two losses to FAU, including the one most remember in the C-USA title game. I just don't think it's going to be that easy for the Mean Green, who just lost outright as a 15.5-point favorite to the Monarchs. Owls on the other hand are coming in off arguably their best 2-game stretch of the season, as they went on the road and rolled FIU 49-14 and followed that up with a 34-15 win against WKU. I don't think it will be that lopsided against North Texas, but I do expect them to win this one outright. Take FAU! |
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11-15-18 | Packers +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 82 h 45 m | Show |
5* Packers/Seahawks TNF GAME OF THE YEAR on Packers + There's no denying the Seahawks have played the Rams tough twice, including last week's 36-31 setback at Los Angeles. I just think those two losses to the Rams has Seattle overvalued. It's about who you beat, not how close you come to winning. The truth is the Seahawks are 4-5 and those 4 wins have come against the Cowboys Raiders Lions and Cardinals. While the Packers are just 4-4-1, those that have watched the Packers know this team is better than their record. They are 7th in total offense and 11th in total defense. Seattle in comparison is 22nd in offense and 12th in defense. The Seahawks also have the perception of being such a dominant home team, but are just 7-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a home favorite. We just saw them lose as a pick'em at home to the Chargers a few weeks back and I think the Packers are every bit as good as LA. Not to mention Green Bay really needs a win here with them trailing both the Vikings and Bears in the NFC North. Seems like whenever the Packers are desperate, Aaron Rodgers delivers a win and I expect nothing less tonight. Take Green Bay! |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Packers/Seahawks Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Packers UNDER I get the high total with how some of these Thursday games have gone, but I just don't think we are going to come anywhere close to the total set by the books. While the Packers put up 31 points last week at home against the Dolphins, Aaron Rodgers was just 19 of 28 for 182 yards. That's 3 straight games where he's threw for 253 or less. When he's not on, this team struggles to score against top tier defenses. I'm not saying Green Bay won't score against Seattle, I just don't see them putting up 30+. As for the Seahawks, they put up 31 against the Rams for the 2nd time this season. Those are the only two games where they have topped 30 points. Packers have a legit defense that ranks 11th in total defense and should be able to slow down Russell Wilson here. UNDER is 13-5 in the Seahawks last 18 vs another team from the NFC, 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 30+ in their previous game. Take the UNDER! |
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11-15-18 | Tulane v. Houston OVER 67.5 | 17-48 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 52 m | Show | |
3* Tulane/Houston NCAAF Total ANNIHILATOR on Tulane/Houston OVER I just don't think these two teams are going to have any problem eclipsing what looks to be a high total. Houston's star defensive tackle, Ed Oliver, who is a sure-fire Top 5 pick in next year's NFL draft is out with a knee injury and the defense has completely fell apart with him sidelined. He's missed the last 3 games and in those contests the Cougars have allowed 36 to South Florida, 45 to SMU and 59 to Temple. Every one of those saw at least 76 combined points and you have to go back to a Oct. 13 game against East Carolina to find the last contest that Houston didn't combine for more than the total here. Tulane has held 3 straight opponents under 20 points, but it's a bit misleading, as they gave up 450 yards last week to ECU and surrendered just 18 points. The previous week they gave up 442 to USF and they only finished with 15 points. Houston hasn't score less the 30 and have eclipsed 40 in all but one game this season. Take the OVER! |
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11-15-18 | Rangers v. Islanders OVER 6 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-15-18 | Ohio State -2 v. Creighton | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt Vegas ATS BLOWOUT on Ohio State - The value here is with Ohio State as a short favorite against the Bluejays. The Buckeyes surprised a lot of people last year and I think they are going to do it again, as a lot of people are expecting a step back after they lost their star duo of Keita Bates-Diop and Jae-Sean Tate. Not me. Last year's surprise run came in the first year under former Butler head coach Chris Holtmann, who is known for getting the most out of the talent he has to work with. He had to work extra hard with the talent he was able to get at Butler. Not so much at Ohio State, where they get big time recruits. This year's freshman class, mixed with some talented veterans will be tough to beat. We already seen them go on the road and beat Cincinnati by 8 as a 4.5-point dog and then absolutely annihilate Purdue-Ft Wayne by 46 as a 18.5-point favorite. Creighton is in a very similar spot, having lost their top two scorers and only returning 2 starters, but they don't have the talent that the Buckeyes do. Take Ohio State! |
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11-14-18 | Niagara +14 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Niagara + I really like the value here with the Purple Eagles as a big dog against everyone's favorite Cinderella story from last year in Loyola-Chicago. Last year the Ramblers surprised everyone all the way to the Final Four. With that success comes expectations, as well as a pretty big target on your back. We have already seen them stumble, as they lost their second game of the season to Furman at home as a 8.5-point favorite. Loyola shot just 37% from the field. All Niagara did in their first game is upset a St Bonaventure team at home 80-72 as a 4.5-point dog. A team that you might recall won 26 games last year. The biggest thing for me with the Ramblers is last year's success came in year 7 under head coach Porter Moser, so it's not like he just arrived and flip the script. It tells me last year's success was about the talent on hand and while they got some nice pieces back they lost three seniors who played big roles. I'm not saying they won't win this one, I just don't seem them winning by double-digits. Take Niagara! |
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11-14-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois UNDER 48 | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Miami-OH/Northern Illinois UNDER I just don't think this is going to be a very entertaining game to watch and these two will struggle to come close to the total set by the books. For starters, the game-time temperature is executed to be around 25-degrees and it will only get colder. It's just not as easy to score when it's that cold, as the passing game and big chunk plays are limited. For Northern Illinois this will be their final home game, so I expect a solid effort here on senior night. However, I do think some of the motivation here was lost with Western Michigan's loss to Ball State last night. With that defeat, the Huskies go from needing a win to lock up a spot in the MAC title to this game being more about pride. As for Miami, they kept their bowl hopes alive last week in a 30-28 win over Ohio and with a a win here they got a good shot to reach 6-6, as they host Ball State in the finale. Expect a big effort here from the RedHawks in a low-scoring affair. Take the UNDER! |
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11-14-18 | Capitals +160 v. Jets | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Capitals
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-14-18 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls/Celtics UNDER The Bulls have been an UNDER machine with the struggles they are having offensively combined with the effort they are giving on the defensive side of the ball. UNDER is 3-0 in Chicago's last 3, 6-1 in their last 7 and 9-3 in their last 12. Considering Boston comes in having lost 4 of 5 over a 5-game road trip with the only win against the Suns, I have to believe they give a big effort defensively to make sure they get back on track. As for the offense, they haven't been shooting well of late. They scored just 94 and shot 38.7% from the field last time out against the Blazers. Bulls have held 6 of their last 7 to 107 or less and if they can simply do that, this won't come close to the number set here. Take the UNDER! |
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11-13-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets UNDER I don't see this one coming close to the total set by the books. It's hard to explain how the Rockets went from such an offensive juggernaut to one that is headed into the middle of November ranked 28th in the NBA at 102.7 ppg. They put up 115 at home last time out against the Pacers, but had gone 4 straight games prior to that where they failed to hit 100 (scored fewer than 90 twice). The Nuggets are coming off a high-scoring game against Milwaukee at home, where they lost 121-114. That's now 3 straight losses for Denver after their 9-1 start. I don't think their early success was a fluke and this should be a max effort spot defensively for the Nuggets to snap their skid. While the offense has been a disaster for Houston the defense has been really good. The Rockets are allowing just 95.8 ppg over their last 5. They got no choice but to keep playing hard on that side of the ball as they try to dig themselves out of their poor start. Take the UNDER! |
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11-13-18 | Georgetown v. Illinois -6 | Top | 88-80 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois - I love the Illini at this price against the Hoyas. I think this Illinois team might be one of the biggest sleepers in the country. Brad Underwood had a great track record of improving teams in his first year on the job, but Illinois actually got worst in his first go of things last season. Underwood could have had basically the same team back, but instead got rid of the players that didn't fit his system and added in a bunch of talent (6 freshmen, 2 transfers). One of those freshman is 5-star point guard Ayo Dosunmu, who now gives them 3 playmakers in the backcourt with the return of senior Aaron Jordan and sophomore Big Ten All-Freshman guard Trent Frazier. Georgetown had similar struggles in the first year under head coach Patrick Ewing. I don't see the same upside with the Hoyas in year-two. Georgetown is 2-0, but only beat Maryland Eastern Shore by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite then had to hold on for a 7-point win at home against Central Connecticut. Illinois put up 99 in a 36-point win over Evansville as a mere 16-point favorite and that same Evansville team only lost by 6-points the next time out at Xavier. I just don't see Georgetown being able to keep pace offensively with this Illini team, especially on the road. Take Illinois! |
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11-13-18 | Coyotes v. Red Wings +101 | 1-6 | Win | 101 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Red Wings
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-13-18 | Harvard v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on UMASS - Really like the value here with the Minutemen laying a short number at home against the Crimson. I like the direction this UMass team is headed under Matt McCall. They got a legit scorer in junior Luwane Pipkins (21.2 ppg last year) and a sharp-shooting sophomore guard in Carl Pierre (47% from 3's) to lead the way. They also got a big who can dominate in Rashaan Holloway and a couple of transfers in Curtis Cobb and Jonathan Laurent who are starting. Harvard is a team that has high expectations this year of making the the NCAA Tournament, but we just saw them lose 81-71 at home to Northeastern. Until they get back their two studs from injury in Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns, this team will struggle to win games. Take UMass! |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier +2 | 77-68 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Xavier + I'm not buying the Badgers being a road favorite over the Musketeers. Xavier was a No. 1 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but lost head coach Chris Mack and a trio of playmakers in Trevon Blueitt, J.P. Macura and Kerem Kanter. I just think the assumption here is that the Musketeers will take a big step back this year. I don't think that's the case at all. Mack's assistant Travis Steele is taking over a team that not only returns a lot of talent, but added in some experienced grad transfers and solid freshmen. I get Wisconsin gets everyone back from a team that was decimated by injuries last year, but these are Bo Ryan's Badgers any more. I'm not saying Wisconsin won't be a strong team, I just think they are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Big East power. Take Xavier! |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan -8.5 v. Ball State | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Western Michigan
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-12-18 | Spurs v. Kings OVER 217 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Kings OVER Books have missed the mark here with the total in tonight's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Kings. I just think this is a big overreaction to what we have seen of late from both teams. San Antonio lost 88-95 at Miami and then won 96-89 at home against the Rockets in their last two. Both of those extremely low scoring. Same thing with Sacramento's last game, as they combined for just 187 in a 101-86 loss at home to the Lakers. I look for both teams to get back on track offensively. Kings simply had a bad night at the office against LA. Sacramento has been one of the top offenses in the league early on. They are scoring 115.3 ppg and rank in the top half of the league in both effective field goal percentage and offensive efficiency. While the offense has been great, they are giving up 116.8 ppg and the Spurs come in averaging 114.7 ppg on the road. San Antonio is only giving up 107.9 ppg on the season, but are allowing 112.0 ppg away from home. Take the OVER! |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3.5 | 27-23 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
3* Giants/49ers MNF ATS ANNIHILATOR on 49ers - I think the perception here is that these are two bad teams and the value is with New York as a dog. I'm not buying it. Everyone keeps thinking the Giants are better than what they have shown because they got two dynamic players in Odell Beckham and Saquan Barkley. The problem is, the offensive line can't block or pass protect and Eli Manning is simply not very good anymore. Add in the fact there's nothing for New York to play for with a record of 1-7 and this is not a team I would want anything to do with on the road. As for the 49ers, I think we can confidently say they are still playing hard after the effort they gave on Thursday Night Football last week against the Raiders. You can say what you want about Nick Mullens first start being a fluke because it came against a bad Oakland team, but he looked like the real deal. There's also something about Monday Night Football that brings out the best in San Francisco. The 49ers are a ridiculous 26-6 ATS in their last 32 games played on MNF. Take San Francisco! |
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11-12-18 | Troy State +6 v. Pittsburgh | 75-84 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Troy + I look for the Trojans to go into Pittsburgh and give the Panthers all they can handle. Pitt has started out 2-0, but there's nothing to be excited about wins over Youngstown State and VMI. There's still a long way for these Panthers to go before they can be taken seriously. Pitt won just 8 games all of last year, going winless (0-18) in ACC play. They fired head coach Kevin Stallings and several key players either graduated or transferred out of the program. The future figures to be bright under Jeff Capel, but this figures to be a long rebuilding season. Troy is one of the top teams out of the Sun Belt and showcased some of their potential in a mere 4-point loss at St Louis as a 12-point dog last time out. Trojans nearly won on the road as a double-digit dog, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. If they can hit some shots tonight, I definitely could see them winning this outright. Take Troy! |
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11-12-18 | Bowling Green +8.5 v. VCU | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Bowling Green + I like the value here with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Rams. Bowling Green comes in at 1-1, but the lone loss is nothing to be ashamed of. The Falcons lost 84-80 at St. John's as a 18.5-point underdog. Bowling Green shot 50% against the Red Storm and if they are hitting their shots they are a very difficult team to beat. VCU is a program that still gets respect nationally from their success under Shaka Smart and last year the Rams missed out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010. While VCU has opened up 2-0, neither win has been all that impressive. They have beat Gardner-Webb and Hampton, each by a final score of 69-57. They failed to cover as a 14-point favorite against Garder Webb and there wasn't even a line against Hampton. Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Bowling Green! |