Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-08-18 | Astros v. Rangers +186 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a massive home dog against the Astros on Friday. Houston will have Justin Verlander on the mound and while the Astros should be favored given the starting pitching matchup, the price here on the Rangers is simply too good to pass up. Texas will counter Verlander with veteran Doug Fister, who is coming off back-to-back strong outings on the road against the Mariners and Angels. Fister held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings and allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 6 innings against the Angels. I like his chances of keeping it going and getting just enough run-support to pull out the victory. Take Texas! |
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06-08-18 | Yankees v. Mets +104 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets at basically a pick'em at home against the Yankees on Friday. The Yankees are clearly the better of the two teams, but any time you have a rivalry like this, you can throw the records out the window. It certainly doesn't hurt that the Mets will send out Jacob deGrom, who has been putting up Cy Young like numbers to start the season. deGrom is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 12 starts and comes in with a 0.86 ERA over his last 3 outings. Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who hasn't quite pitched as good as his 7-2 record would lead you to believe. Tanaka has a mere 4.88 ERA in his 11 starts this season, including an ugly 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. I know the Mets offense has been slumping of late, but I like their chances of breaking out and doing just enough here to get a win behind a strong outing from deGrom. Take the Mets! |
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06-08-18 | Dream -3.5 v. Aces | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
4* WNBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dream - I like the value here with Atlanta as a short road favorite against Las Vegas in Friday's WNBA action. The Dream have started out 3-3 and are fresh off an impressive 82-77 win at home over Connecticut as a 6.5-point dog. The Aces on the other hand are just 1-5 and simply not a very good team. I just feel that Las Vegas is getting way too much respect here on their home floor and will struggle to keep this one close. Take Atlanta! |
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06-07-18 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Astros/Rangers OVER Most will look at the starting pitching matchup and expect a low-scoring game when the Astros visit the Rangers for Game 1 of their 4-game series. My focus is more on the two offenses that will take the field in this one. Everyone knows how potent the Astros' lineup is. Houston is averaging 5.7 runs/game on the road and are hitting a respectable .266 vs left-handed starters this season. It wouldn't come as a surprise at all if they put up a big number here against Texas starter Cole Hamels. Houston will have Gerrit Cole on the mound, who is 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 12 starts, but he's come back down to earth here of late. His ERA is just 3.60 over his last 3 starts and he's facing a confident Rangers lineup that just scored 15 runs in their quick 2-game sweep of the A's at home. I think Texas keeps the offense rolling. Take the OVER! |
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06-07-18 | Sun v. Liberty UNDER 165 | 88-86 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sun/Liberty UNDER I like the value with the UNDER in Thursday's WNBA action that has the Liberty hosting the Sun. Connecticut had their perfect start to the season come to an end, as they lost 77-82 at Atlanta after starting 5-0. The Sun shot just 36.6% from the field and could struggle to find their shot in the 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip that has only spanned 7 days. New York is just 2-3, but could just as easily be 5-0. All 3 losses have come by 6 points or less, the most recent a 74-80 setback at home against Phoenix. This is a big game for the Liberty, who have to feel like they can play with anyone and I expect a big effort defensively on their home floor in this one. Take the UNDER! |
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06-07-18 | Dodgers +130 v. Pirates | 8-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line MASSACRE on Dodgers + I like the value here with the Dodgers as a decently priced road dog against the Pirates on Thursday. Most will hesitate to back Los Angeles with Dennis Santana taking the mound for his first big league start, especially after how bad it went for Caleb Ferguson in his MLB debut yesterday. Unlike Ferguson, Santana has already got his feet wet, as he came on in relief last Friday. While Pittsburgh scored 11 runs in yesterday's win, they had been shutout in their previous two games and it wouldn't come as a surprise if they struggled to get going in this one. As for the Dodgers' offense, they continued their recent onslaught with 9 more runs on Wednesday. LA has now scored 47 runs in their last 5 games. They'll be up against Jameson Taillon, who despite a couple strong outings, is still just 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 starts. Taillon also owns an ugly 9.00 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-06-18 | White Sox v. Twins -162 | 5-2 | Loss | -162 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins - I like the price here with Minnesota at home against the White Sox. There's really not a bad time to fade Chicago on the road. The White Sox are a mere 9-20 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by an average of 1.6 runs/game. The Twins lost Game 2 of yesterday's double-header, but are 4-1 in their last 5 and will have a big edge on the mound in this on. Minnesota will send out Jake Odorizzi against Hector Santiago of the White Sox. Odorizzi owns a solid 3.29 ERA in 5 home starts and a respectable 3.86 ERA in 4 career outings against Chicago. Santiago on the other hand has a 6.59 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in 6 starts this season and a 6.54 ERA and 1.863 WHIP in 7 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! |
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06-06-18 | Mariners v. Astros -182 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Astro’s - I got no problem laying the big juice with the Astros at home against the Mariners on Wednesday. Houston will be all business when they take the field in this one, as they aren't a team that takes kindly to losing and have dropped their last 3. They have just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk, as they will send out Lance McCullers, who is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. McCullers is also 7-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Mariners. Take Houston! |
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06-06-18 | Phillies +123 v. Cubs | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Phillies + I like the value here with the Phillies as a short road dog against the Cubs on Wednesday. Philadelphia bounced back in a big way after getting swept in a 3-game series at San Fransisco over the weekend with a 6-1 win in their series opener against the Cubs on Tuesday. The win snapped Chicago's 4-game winning streak and I think the pitching matchup sets up well for another Phillies win. Philadelphia will send out Aaron Nola, who is 7-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in 12 starts. Chicago will counter with Jose Quintana, who has been a major disappointment so far. Quintana was expected to pitch like an ace, but instead has a 4.30 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also been miserable at Wrigley Field, posting a 6.66 ERA and 1.644 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-06-18 | Yankees -127 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Yankees - I like the value here with New York as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The Yankees won the series opener 7-2 on Tuesday, as they continue to dominate the opposition. Playing on the road hasn't been a problem for New York. The Yankees are 17-9 away from home and have started out their current 9-game road trip by winning 4 of 5. The 7 runs scored on Tuesday was the third time in the last 4 games that New York has scored 7 or more runs and I like their chances of laying another big number on Toronto in this one. The Yankees will counter with Sonny Gray, who is starting to heat up. Gray has a mere 5.50 ERA in 11 starts, but owns a 3.57 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's given up just 2 runs on 8 hits in 14 innings of work. Take New York! |
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06-06-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB Afternoon Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants - I like the value here with San Francisco as a short home favorite against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. The Giants came up short in a 2-3 loss on Tuesday, but had won their previous 5 games and I look for them to get right back to their winning ways in this one. It's been a great first 3 starts for Arizona starter Clay Buchholz, but those 3 outings have come against the likes of the Mets, A's and Marlins. While the Giants aren't a great offensive team, they are red-hot at the plate right now. San Francisco is averaging 5 runs/game and hitting .295 as a team over their last 7. They also average 5 runs/game and are hitting .275 as a team at home this season. Giants will send out Chris Stratton and they have won each of his last 3 starts and 5 of his 6 starts at home this season. Stratton also owns a strong 2.63 ERA in 4 career starts against Arizona. Take San Francisco! |
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06-05-18 | Marlins +200 v. Cardinals | 7-4 | Win | 200 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Marlins + I think the value here is too good to pass up with Miami as a massive road dog against the Cardinals. St Louis will be sending out one of their better starters in Carlos Martinez, but he hasn't pitched in 4 weeks, as he will make his first start off the DL. More times than not, guys who haven't pitched in this long have to shake off some rust and aren't in top form that first start back. Not only do I think Miami can put up some runs, but I also like who they have on the mound. Jose Urena has been much better than the 0-7 record and 4.41 ERA he has through 12 starts. That's evident by Urena's solid 1.168 WHIP. He was sharp in his most recent outing, giving up just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings and has given Miami 6 solid innings in each of his last 4 starts. He'll face a St Louis offense that has managed just 15 hits in their last 5 games. Take Miami! |
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06-05-18 | Sun v. Dream +7 | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER No Analysis on late releases |
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06-05-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +155 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Toronto + I like the value here with Toronto as a big home dog against the Yankees on Tuesday. The Blue Jays snapped their 5-game losing streak on Sunday with a 8-4 win against the Tigers to conclude a 9-game road trip. Toronto not only will be riding some momentum off that win, but they also got a breather with an off day on Monday. New York on the other hand had to play a make-up doubleheader at Detroit on Monday. While they didn't play Sunday due to a rain out against the Orioles, they have had to travel from Baltimore to Detroit to Toronto in the last 3 days. I think that's a big edge here for the Blue Jays, who should be able to keep their offense going against the struggling C.C. Sabathia, who has a 7.54 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a mere 4.64 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Take Toronto! |
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06-04-18 | Braves v. Padres -110 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres - I like the value here with the Padres as a short home favorite against the Braves on Monday. Atlanta just took 3 of 4 at home against the Nationals after taking the series finale 4-2 on Sunday. They are certainly going to be feeling good about themselves after that big series against Washington and I could see them coming out flat here against the Padres after having to travel clear across the country for this one. San Diego is also playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Reds and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. A big reason for their success has been their offense coming to life. Padres are averaging 5.4 runs/game over their last 7 and I like their chances of staying hot here against struggling Braves starter Julio Teheran, who is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Diego! |
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06-04-18 | Royals v. Angels UNDER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play on UNDER 9 I'll take my chances here with the Royals and Angels staying UNDER the mark of 9 set by the books. I think we are seeing a high total here because of the overall numbers of KC starter Danny Duffy, who is just 2-6 with a 5.71 ERA in 12 starts. However, we know Duffy is much better than what he's shown early on in 2018 and he's coming off two great starts, where he's allowed just 2 runs on 8 in 13 2/3 innings of work. Angels will counter with Nick Tropeano, who is sitting at 3-3 with a 3.80 ERA in 8 starts and has also pitched well in his last two outings, giving up just 3 runs on 11 hits in 12 2/3 innings. I just don't see either team going off offensively in this one. Take the UNDER 9! |
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06-03-18 | Cavs +11.5 v. Warriors | 103-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
3* Cavs/Warriors ATS HEAVY HITTER on Cavs + I like the value here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the Warriors in Game 2. The Cavs let one get away in Game 1. I think the perception here is that Cleveland won't be able to bounce from that crushing of a loss and LeBron won't score 50+ again. It would take a huge game from James for the Cavs to win, but all we need is for them to lose by 11 or less. I know the Warriors have the more superstar players, but I think they really miss Iguodala and Thompson is likely to play at less than 100%. Take Cleveland! |
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06-03-18 | Marlins +120 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Marlins + I love the value here with the Marlins as an underdog on the road here against the Diamondbacks. Miami is the worst team, but have a big time edge on the mound in this one. The Marlins will send out Daniel Straily, who has a 2.78 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 4 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Arizona will counter with Matt Koch, who has a 5.19 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in 6 home starts and a ugly 8.59 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Miami! |
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06-03-18 | Rangers v. Angels -170 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational DESTROYER on a Angels I like the value here with the Angles even at this big price at home against the Rangers on Sunday. LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who has a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.284 WHIP in 11 starts. Texas will counter with Doug Fister, who is a mere 1-5 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in 10 starts. Rangers won on Saturday, but are just 7-19 in their last 26 following a win. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a left-handed starter and 1-4 in Fister's last 5 road starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-03-18 | Dodgers -130 v. Rockies | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers - I like the value here with the Dodgers as a short road favorite against division rival Colorado on Sunday. LA's offense has enjoyed the thin air at Coors Field. They scored 11 runs on Friday and 12 more on Saturday. I look for them to stay hot in this one against Rockies starter Chad Bettis, who has a 5.29 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 7.06 ERA and 1.661 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-03-18 | Sun -3 v. Mystics | 88-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun - I like the value here with the Sun as a short road favorite against the Mystics in Sunday's WNBA action. Connecticut has started the season 4-0 and have looked impressive doing so. Last time out they crushed Chicago on the road 110-72. Washington won their first 4, but have dropped 2 of their last 3, including an ugly 8-point loss at Las Vegas as a 7-point favorite in their last contest. The Sun should have no problem covering this small number. Take Connecticut! |
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06-03-18 | Brewers -145 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Brewers - I like the value here with Milwaukee at this price on the road agains the White Sox on Sunday. On paper it might look like Chicago has the edge on the mound in this one, but the Brewers are clicking offensively right now. Milwaukee is scoring 6.4 runs/game and hitting .288 as a team over their last 7 games. The Brewers are also 14-3 in their last 17 against bad teams who have won less than 40% of their games and are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-03-18 | Nationals v. Braves +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a short home dog against the Nationals on Sunday. Washington is getting way too much respect here on the road. The Braves have taken 2 of the first 3 in the series and will send out Animal Sanchez, who is 9-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Nationals. Washington will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has pitched well in 2018 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 8 starts, but the Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record on their home field. Take Atlanta! |
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06-02-18 | Phillies v. Giants UNDER 8 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Giants UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's MLB action that has the Giants hosting the Phillies. Philadelphia will send out Vincent Velasquez here and he's been in prime form of late. Velasquez has a 1.65 ERA in his last 3 starts. I look for him to stay hot here and keep the Giants in check. San Francisco will counter with Andrew Suarez, who hasn't been great, but has pitched well at home and is facing a Phillies lineup that is in a funk. Philadelphia has scored 2 runs or less in each of their last 3 games and are averaging just 2.7 runs/game and hitting a mere .222 as a team in their last 7 games. Take the UNDER! |
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06-02-18 | Liberty -4 v. Fever | 87-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
4* WNBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Liberty - I like the value here with the Liberty as a short road favorite against the Fever in Saturday's WNBA action. New York lost their first two, but bounced with a nice win at home over Dallas. Indiana on the other hand hasn't won a game yet this season. They are 0-5 and most of them haven't been close. They are simply getting way too much respect here because they are playing at home. This is simply too good a line to pass up on with the Liberty. Take New York! |
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06-02-18 | Nationals -127 v. Braves | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
5* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Nationals - I love the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Braves on Saturday. The Nationals will be all business here after losing the first 2 games of the series and they definitely have the edge on the mound to win this one going away. Washington will send out Gio Gonzalez, who is 6-2 with a 1.97 ERA in 10 starts. He's also got a 2.10 ERA in 5 road outings and 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in his last 3 home starts. Atlanta will counter with Brandon McCarthy, who has an ugly 5.02 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in 11 starts and has a 6.04 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Washington! |
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06-02-18 | A's -145 v. Royals | 4-5 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Oakland - I like the value here with the A's on the road against the Royals Saturday. Oakland laid it on KC Friday in a 16-0 win and have now scored 23 runs on 24 hits in their last 2 games. They should have no problem staying hot here against Jason Hammel of the Royals. Hammel is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also 0-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 4 home starts. A's will counter with Trevor Cahill, who has been a big addition to their rotation in 2018. Cahill has a 2.25 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 7 starts and a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 overall. Take Oakland! |
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06-01-18 | Rangers +155 v. Angels | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers + I like the value here with Texas as a massive road dog against the Angels on Friday. While the Rangers lost the series finale yesterday at Seattle, they split their 4-games against a red-hot Mariners squad. Texas has won 6 of their last 9 overall and are simply not getting enough respect in this one. The Angels lost 6-2 at Detroit yesterday and have now dropped 4 of their last 5. A big reason for the slump is the lack of production offensively. That's now 4 out of 5 games where LA has failed to score more than 3 runs. I look for them to continue to struggle here against veteran Bartolo Colon, who is still dealing at 45. Colon has a 3.70 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 9 starts. He's also been at his best away from home, as he owns a 1.59 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Texas! |
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06-01-18 | Sun -7 v. Sky | 110-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Oddsmakers ERROR on Sun - I like the value here with the Connecticut Sun at this price on the road against the Chicago Sky. The Sun are in mid-season form to start the year. They are a perfect 3-0 with all 3 wins coming in comfortable fashion. While two of those were against Vegas and Indiana, they did beat a good LA team by 8 at home. Chicago won their first two games, but have dropped their last 2. They were blown out at home by 18 by Atlanta and they lost at Seattle. I just don't think the Sky have enough fire-power offensively to keep this one close. The Sun are scoring 96.3 ppg, while the Sky are only averaging 79.0. Defensively the the two are pretty even. Connecticut is giving up just 78.7 ppg and Chicago is allowing 79.0. Take Connecticut! |
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06-01-18 | A's v. Royals +119 | 16-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the A's. The Royals took the final two games at home against the Twins in their previous series and are a solid 6-3 in their last 9 overall. I look for them to stay hot here at home. Oakland is also simply a team that shouldn't be favored on the road, especially when they don't have a decisive edge on the mound. While the A's won 7-3 against Tampa yesterday, runs have been hard to come by. That was the first time in their last 10 games that they scored more than 4 runs and have scored 2 or fewer 6 times during this stretch. There's also an edge here for the KC in terms of rest. The Royals got the day off yesterday, while the A's had to play. Oakland is also going on the road for the first time since they ended a series in Toronto back on 5/20. Take Kansas City! |
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06-01-18 | Nationals v. Braves +130 | 0-4 | Win | 130 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves + I like the value here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against division rival Washington on Friday. The Braves cooled off the Nationals' bats and snapped their 6-game winning streak with a 4-2 win in the series opener on Thursday. Washington only managed to rack up 5 hits in the loss and I look for Atlanta starter Mike Foltynewicz to do the same. Foltynewicz has been a big surprise early on. While he's just 4-3, he owns a strong 2.55 ERA. He's also been trending up, as he's got a 1.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I know the Nationals have been great on the road and will send out Strasburg, but the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 6-1 in their last vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Atlanta! |
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05-31-18 | Aces +12 v. Storm | 74-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
4* WNBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Aces + I like the value here with the Aces as a double-digit dog against the Storm in Thursday's WNBA action. Las Vegas comes in winless at 0-3, which included a 36-point loss to Connecticut in their opener. It definitely has them undervalued right now and it's worth pointing out that they have been more competitive in their last 2 games. They only lost by 5 at Washington as a 18.5-point dog and by just 7 at home in their last game against Seattle. The Storm are the better team and some might just assume they will beat the Aces by more now they get to play them on their home court. I don't think that will be the case. This is a big letdown spot for Seattle, who just handed Washington their first loss of the season in a thrilling 4-point win on Tuesday. I also think the Storm have to be a bit fatigued right now. Both teams started the season on 5/20, yet this will be Seattle's sixth game and the Aces fourth. Should be more than enough to keep this within the number. Take Las Vegas! |
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05-31-18 | Rays +138 v. A's | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Rays + I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the A's on Thursday. The Rays come in having won 5 straight and have done it with an unconventional approach with their pitching. Whatever they are doing is working right now, as Tampa has only allowed 7 runs during their 5 game win streak. Today they will send out Ryan Stanek who started this past Saturday against the Orioles. Stanek didn't allow a hit or a walk in 1 2/3 shutout innings, but was pulled after that. I expect another short outing here with the bullpen finishing this thing out. It's also worth noting that while the Rays are surging, Oakland has lost 3 straight and have gone ice-cold at the plate. The A's have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games, getting shutout on 3 separate occasions. When you can't score runs it's extremely hard to win games and that's why I think Oakland is way over-priced here even with a quality starter like Daniel Mengden on the mound. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-30-18 | Mystics v. Mercury UNDER 163 | 103-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR Mystics/Mercury UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's WNBA action that has Phoenix Mercury hosting the Washington Mystics. Washington managed just 77 points on 43% shooting at Seattle last night and I just don't see the offense producing at the level expected here with the Mystics playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd in the last 4 nights. I also don't see the Mercury going off in this one. Phoenix scored 85+ in each of their first two games, but came back to reality in their last 2, scoring just 71 and 72 points. Washington's defense has been solid all season, as the Mystics are giving up just 77.6 ppg. Take the UNDER! |
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05-30-18 | Mets +165 v. Braves | 4-1 | Win | 165 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Mets + I really like the value here with New York as a big road dog against division rival Atlanta on Wednesday. The Mets stayed hot at the plate in yesterday's 6-7 defeat to the Braves and have now scored 30 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 6 or more in 4 of the 5. I'll take my chances with the Mets hot offense against the struggling Julio Teheran of Atlanta. Teheran has a mere 4.20 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 11 starts overall, a 5.54 ERA in 5 home starts an a ugly 6.88 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take New York! |
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05-29-18 | Mystics v. Storm OVER 167.5 | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Mystics/Storm OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's WNBA action that has the Seattle Storm hosting the Washington Mystics. Both of these teams have been lighting it up on the offensive side of the ball. The Mystics come in averaging 85 ppg and have scored 90+ in each of their last 2 contests. The Storm are even better at 92.2 ppg, with 95+ in each of their last 2. I look for both teams to continue to light it up, as this should fly over the total. Washington is giving up 84 ppg on the road and the Storm are giving up 86.7 and allowing teams to shoot 48% on the season. Over is 6-1 in Washington's last 7 vs a team with a winning record and 7-1 in Seattle's last 8 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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05-29-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog HEAVY HITTER on Pirates + I like the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against the Cubs on Tuesday. Big bounce back game for Pittsburgh, after getting embarrassed in the series opener on Monday 7-0. Even with the win the Cubs are still just 2-6 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and they are 2-5 in their last 7 following a win. Chicago will have veteran Jon Lester on the mound, who has been throwing it well, but the Cubs are just 1-5 in Lester's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Pirates will counter with Nick Kingham, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.538 WHIP in his two home starts and I look for him to keep this inconsistent Cubs offense in check. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-29-18 | Astros v. Yankees +110 | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees + I like the value here with the Yankees as a home dog against the Astros on Tuesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with New York at home, where they have gone 20-9 so far this season. Houston will send out Charlie Morton, who is overdue for a bad outing. Morton is 7-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 10 starts. While he got the win at Cleveland in his last outing, he only struck out 5 in 6 innings, while walking 3 hitters. In his previous 2 starts he had struck out 22 and walked just 1 hitter over 14 innings. Yankees will counter with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP at home. Take New York! |
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05-29-18 | White Sox v. Indians OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on White Sox/Indians OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's AL Central action that has the White Sox hosting the Indians. Both of these teams come in hot at the plate. Cleveland has scored at least 8 runs in each of their last 3 games, while the White Sox are averaging 5 runs/game over their last 4. I look for both sides to stay hot against today's starters. The Indians will send out Mike Clevinger, who despite a solid 3.32 ERA overall, is just 1-1 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 6 home starts. White Sox will counter with Lucas Giolito, who is 3-5 with a 7.53 ERA in 10 starts and comes in with a 8.31 ERA and 1.846 WHIP in his last 3 outings. OVER is 12-1 in Cleveland's last 13 home games vs a right-handed starter and 6-1 in their last 7 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +6.5 | 101-92 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
3* Warriors/Rockets 'Game 7' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Rockets + I like the value here with the Rockets as a decently priced home dog here in Game 7. Houston had Golden State on the ropes in Game 6, as they were up 61-51 at the half. Things fell apart in the final 2 quarters, as they managed just 25 points in the 2nd half and would end up losing by 29. I'm not concerned about the lopsided final. Keep in mind they lost Game 3 by 41 and came back and won Game 4 on the road 95-92. The big concern here is that it seems unlikely that Houston will have Chris Paul, though he is a game-time decision. While Paul's injury definitely hurts them, it's not something they can't overcome. They still have one of the best players in the game in Harden and the role players should be much better at home. Their defense has really given Golden State problems at times and I think they at worst keep this one within the number. Take Houston! |
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05-28-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +111 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Pirates + I like the value here with Pittsburgh at basically a pick'em at home against the Cubs on Monday. Chicago is simply getting way too much respect here on the road. The Cubs are being forced to pull Mike Montgomery out of the bullpen for a spot start. Montgomery has experience as a starter, but isn't going to be able to pitch deep in this one. He's also coming off a miserable outing, where he gave up 6 runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Indians. Pittsburgh will counter with Chad Kuhl, who is coming off a strong start at Cincinnati, where he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Kuhl's last start against the Cubs came at home back in September of last year and he allowed just 4 hits over 7 scoreless innings. Look for another good showing from Kuhl and for the Pirates offense to provide more than enough run support. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-28-18 | Blue Jays +182 v. Red Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a huge road dog against the Red Sox on Monday. Toronto just took 2 of 3 on the road against the Phillies and I like their chances of keeping it going here. The Blue Jays will send out Aaron Sanchez against Boston's David Price. The books are suggesting that the Red Sox have a massive edge on the mound here with this line and I'm not buying it. Sanchez has a respectable 3.80 ERA in 4 road starts this season and is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 9 career starts against Boston. Price has pitched well in his last two starts, but is still just 4-4 with a 4.08 ERA overall and has a 4.37 ERA in 4 home starts. Another big key here is the Red Sox aren't expected to have Mookie Betts for this contest. Take Toronto! |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -125 | 87-79 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Cavs/Celtics Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER on Celtics - I like the value here with Boston on the money line in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics have yet to lose on their home floor in the postseason, as they are a perfect 10-0. They have really dominated all 3 games at home in this series, winning by 25, 7 and 13 points. As difficult as it is to be against LeBron James in this spot, I just don't trust the rest of the Cavs team to do enough on the road to get Cleveland back to the finals, especially with Kevin Love out for this game. James has to score 40+ just for the Cavs to have a chance and I just don't think he's got enough gas left in the tank to carry this team to a win. Take Boston! |
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05-27-18 | Royals v. Rangers -163 | 5-3 | Loss | -163 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rangers - I like the value here with the Rangers at home against the Royals on Sunday. Texas is playing some of their best baseball right now. The Rangers have won 4 of 5 and are locked in at the plate, averaging 6.2 runs/game over their last 6. Texas should have no problem keeping the offense going, as KC will send out Jason Hammel for the start in this one. Hammel is just 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 10 starts. He's also got an ugly 6.37 ERA in 6 road starts and a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 outings. Rangers will counter with Cole Hamels, who has been sensational of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |
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05-27-18 | Cardinals +105 v. Pirates | 6-4 | Win | 105 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Cardinals + I like the value here with St. Louis at basically a pick'em on the road against Milwaukee on Sunday. The Cardinals snapped a 3-game skid with a 4-1 win on Saturday and are in great shape here to build off of that victory. St Louis will send out one of the most underrated starters in the game in Miles Mikolas, who is 6-0 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 9 starts. He's throwing like a legit Cy Young contender, but still isn't getting the respect of the books. Pittsburgh will counter with Jameson Taillon, who I think is overrated. Taillon is just 2-4 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 10 starts and was just rocked for 6 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings at Cincinnati in his last start. Take St. Louis! |
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05-27-18 | Angels v. Yankees -139 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
5* MLB Big Favorite PLAY OF THE MONTH on Yankees - I love the value here with New York at home on Sunday. The Yankees are one of the best teams in baseball at 32-16 and are going to be motivated here to take the rubber match against the Angels. New York will send out Masahiro Tanaka, who is also due for a strong outing. Given his history against LA, it's hard to not like Tanaka's chances of throwing a gem, as he's got a 1.60 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 5 starts against the Angels. All 5 of those starts resulting in wins for the Yankees. It's the exact opposite story for Los Angeles starter Garrett Richards. He has had zero success against New York, posting a 8.46 ERA and 1.611 WHIP in 5 career starts against them. All 5 of those starts resulting a loss. The most recent came on 4/28, where he allowing 9 runs (5 earned) in just 1 2/3 innings before getting pulled. Take New York! |
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05-26-18 | Twins +122 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Twins + I like the value here with Minnesota as a decently priced road dog against the Mariners on Saturday. The Twins offense has struggled in their last two against the Tigers Michael Fulmer and Seattle's James Paxton, but I like their chances of breaking out of that slump tonight. I also think the Marines offense is going to continue to struggle here against Jake Odorizzi. Seattle has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games, yet are 4-1 in this stretch. You just can't keep winning without scoring and Odorizzi comes in red-hot with a 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Minnesota! |
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05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors OVER 212 | 86-115 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Warriors OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals between the Warriors and Rockets. The last two games in this series have been extremely low-scoring given the offensive fire-power both of these teams possess. As a result we have seen the total go from 227.5 in Game 4 to 219.5 in Game 5 and now it's sitting at 212. I just don't think we are going to see the same intensity defensively from the Rockets in this one. Houston really suffered a big blow with the injury to Chris Paul, who we know for sure won't play in this one. I think his absence will really be felt on the defensive side of the ball. At the same time, the Warriors can't continue to play this poorly offensively. If Houston doesn't show up, they could put up a big number here. Take the OVER! |
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05-26-18 | Mets +146 v. Brewers | 6-17 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Mets + I like the value here with New York as a decently priced road dog against the Brewers on Saturday. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect here from the books. The Brewers will send out Chase Anderson, who has an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.275 WHIP in 5 home starts and a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. The Mets will counter with Jason Vargas, who finally got on track in his 4th start of the season. Vargas allowed just 2 hits with 7 strikeouts over 5 scoreless innings in his last start against the Marlins. While Milwaukee has won 4 of 5, the offense hasn't been great of late. The Brewers are averaging just 3.4 runs/game over their last 7 and are hitting a mere .216 against left-handed starters this season. Take New York! |
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05-26-18 | Braves v. Red Sox -118 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird HEAVY HITTER on Red Sox - I like the value here with Boston as a short home favorite against the Braves on Saturday. Boston owns the best record in the big leagues at 35-16 and have won 7 of their last 9 after taking the series opener against Atlanta 6-2 on Friday. This is simply too good a price to pass up regardless of the pitching matchup. That's definitely where we are getting the value here. Atlanta will send out Sean Newcomb, who is 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA in 9 starts. Boston will send out Drew Pomeranz, who is 1-2 with a 5.96 ERA in 6 starts. I just think it's only a matter of time for Pomeranz to get this turned around and he's facing an Atlanta offense that has been shutout twice in their last 4 games and scored just 5 runs during this stretch. Take Boston! |
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05-25-18 | Sky v. Storm UNDER 164 | 91-95 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
4* WNBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sky/Storm UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's WNBA action that has the Chicago Sky visiting the Seattle Storm. The OVER hit in both of Seattle's first two games, but each of those came against Phoenix, who doesn't play the best defense. The Sky gave up 81 in their last game against Atlanta, but were really good on the defensive side in their first two games. They went on the road and held Indiana to just 64 points on 37% shooting and followed that up at home by holding New York to 76 on 36% shooting. I just think this total is way too high, as this line/total combo is calling for a final around 87-77. Take the UNDER! |
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05-25-18 | Sky +10 v. Storm | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sky + I like the value here with the Sky catching a big number on the road against the Storm. Chicago won their first two games outright as underdogs, before getting thumped at home by Atlanta. I like the Sky to keep their strong start to the season going and bounce back from that ugly game last time out. Seattle's a good team and should be favored at home, but not by this much. The Storm lost their home opener to Phoenix by 5 as a 2-point favorite. An outright win for the Sky wouldn't surprise me here. Take Chicago! |
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05-25-18 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 201.5 | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
3* Celtics/Cavs Total DESTROYER on Celtics/Cavs OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals, which has the Cavs hosting the Celtics. I think we are getting a favorable price here after an extremely low-scoring Game 5 in Boston, where the two teams combined for just 179 points with a total of 204.5. These two teams have really fed off their home crowd. Boston's energy and defense at home has made life miserable for Cleveland. In the 3 games played at the Celtics arena, the Cavs have scored 83, 94 and 83 points. It was a completely different story at home, where the scored 116 in Game 3 and 111 in Game 4, both times shooting at least 49% from the field. I look for the Cavs to be able to get that offense going once again at home in Game 6. I also think that Cleveland is starting to wear down and don't think the defensive intensity will be quite what it was in their previous 2 homes games. Keep in mind Boston scored 96 in Game 5, despite shooting a mere 36.5% from the field, so 100+ from them is well within reach. Take the OVER! |
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05-25-18 | White Sox +109 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on White Sox + I like the value here with the White Sox as a short road dog against the Tigers. While Chicago comes in off a loss at home to the Orioles, they split the series 2-2 with Baltimore and are 4-2 in their last 6 overall. Detroit comes in off a win, but are a mere 1-5 in their last 6. Chicago has what I feel is a big edge on the mound. The White Sox send out Reynaldo Lopez, who has thrown much better than his 1-3 record would suggest. Lopez owns a 2.98 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 9 starts. The Tigers will send out Michael Fiers, who hasn't pitched as well as his 4-3 record. Fiers owns a mere 4.57 ERA in 8 starts and just gave up 4 runs in 5 innings in his last start at Seattle. Take Chicago! |
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05-25-18 | Astros +137 v. Indians | Top | 11-2 | Win | 137 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros + I like the value here with the Astros as a decently priced road dog against the Indians. Houston has the second best record in the major behind only the Red Sox at 33-18. I know Cleveland has one of the best starters in the game on the mound in Corey Kluber, but the price is simply too good to pass up. It's not like the Astros are throwing out a scrub here. They are sending a former Cy Young winner of their own to the mound in Dallas Keuchel, who has a 3.43 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 10 starts. Keuchel is also dealing of late with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention he's 4-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 6 career starts against the Indians. The other big key is the Astros have a lot more offensive fire-power than Cleveland and are swinging the bat much better than the Indians of late. Houston is averaging 5.1 runs and hitting .279 as a team over their last 7. The Indians are averaging 3.7 runs and hitting .237 as a team. Take Houston! |
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05-24-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +1 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NBA Warriors/Rockets ATS DESTROYER on Rockets + I like the value here with Houston at basically a pick'em at home against the Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The Rockets surprised just about everyone with their 95-92 win over Golden State on the road in Game 4 to tie up the series. Keep in mind that came after Houston was completely destroyed in a 41-point loss at Golden State in Game 3. I was really impressed with how difficult the Rockets made things on the Warriors offense. Houston got Golden State completely out of sync and had the Warriors playing a lot of one-on-one. It definitely helped that the Warriors were without a big piece in Andre Iguodala and there's a chance he won't be back for Game 5. Either way, I think the Rockets defense combined with the home court edge will be enough for them take the 3-2 series lead. Take Houston! |
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05-24-18 | Royals +115 v. Rangers | Top | 8-2 | Win | 115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
5* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals + I like the value here with Kansas City as a short road dog against the Rangers on Thursday. The Royals just took the final 2 games of their 3-game set at St Louis, so they are coming into this one confident and I think they could catch the Rangers a bit flat after their big series against the Yankees, which saw them rally late for a 12-10 win on Wednesday. Kansas City will send out Danny Duffy, who has been a major disappointment in 2018. Duffy is just 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in 10 starts. Duffy is too good to keep pitching this poorly and given how well he threw against the Rangers last season, this could be his time to breakout. Duffy faced Texas twice last year and allowed just 1 run on 9 hits in 15 2/3 innings of work. Texas will send out Austin Bibens-Dirkx, who will be making his first start of 2018. Bibens-Dirx was called up from the minors and I just don't expect a lot from him. He was just okay in his stint with Triple-A and had a 4.67 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 24 appears (6 starts) last year. Take Kansas City! |
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05-24-18 | Mystics -3.5 v. Fever | 93-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Mystics - I like the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Fever in Thursday's WNBA action. These two teams just played on Sunday with the Mystics winning 82-75 at home. While Washington got the win, they were way overpriced and failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites. It was a similar story in their second of the season, as the beat Las Vegas 75-70 as a 18.5-point favorite. I think we are now getting a great price with the Mystics on the road against a less talented team. Indiana has started out 0-3 and have really struggled to keep games competitive. I just don't think home court is going to be enough for the Fever to get their revenge. Keep in mind Indiana has already lost by 18 at home to Chicago and by 17 to LA. The Fever also figure to be a bit fatigued in this one, as they will be playing their 4th game in 6 days. Take Washington! |
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05-24-18 | Sparks v. Sun +2.5 | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun + I like the value here with the Sun as a short home dog against the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA action. Los Angeles has gotten off to an impressive start. They opened up the season with a 77-76 road win over the defending champs (Minnesota) as a 7.5-point dog. They followed that up with a 17-point blowout win on the road over Indiana as a 8.5-point favorite. I think we are seeing the Sparks overvalued here in what will be their 3rd straight road game to start the season, all of which will come in a short 5 day stretch. At the same time, I really like this Connecticut team and think they are flying a bit under the radar. The Sun certainly looked great in their opener, as they annihilated Las Vegas by 36-points. Take Connecticut! |
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05-24-18 | Mariners v. A's -108 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Oakland - I like the value here with Oakland as a short home favorite against the Mariners on Thursday. The A's will be extra motivated to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two games of the series in painful fashion. Oakland lost the series opener on Tuesday 2-3 in extra innings and lost by a final of 1-0 on Wednesday. Most will look to back Seattle here with veteran Felix Hernandez on the mound against Josh Lucas, who will be making his first career big league start. The thing is, Hernandez gets way too much respect for what he's done in the past. He's got an ugly 5.53 ERA and 1.428 WHIP in 10 starts this season, which includes an ugly 7.27 ERA in 5 road starts. Lucas has pitched well in relief and the Seattle offense is in a funk, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .203 as a team in their last 7. Take Oakland! |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +1 | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
3* Cavs/Celtics NBA ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics I like the value here with the Celtics as a home dog in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Boston lost both games in Cleveland by double-digits and I think the public will be on LeBron James and the Cavs after seeing them win big each of the last two games. What you can't ignore is just how much better the Celtics have been at home compared to on the road. Boston is a perfect 9-0 at home in the postseason, which includes those two convincing wins in Games 1 and 2. A big reason the Celtics are so much better at home is they shoot the ball better and really feed off the energy of the crowd defensively. Boston scored 108 and 107 in Games 1 and 2, while holding the Cavs to just 83 and 94 points. Most will assume Cleveland has their offense figured out after two big outputs in Games 3 and 4, but like the Celtics are not the same team on the road. Take Boston! |
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05-23-18 | Red Sox -120 v. Rays | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Red Sox - I love the value here with Boston as a short road favorite against Tampa Bay on Wednesday. The Red Sox come in having won 3 straight after a 4-2 victory in yesterday's series opener against the Rays. I like their chances of keeping it going here with what looks like a very favorable pitching matchup. Boston will send out David Price. While Price hasn't lived up to expectations so far in 2018, he's coming in off his best start of the season. Price threw a complete game against the Orioles, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits, while striking out 8. He'll be up against his Chris Archer, who has had an even worse start to the season. Archer is 3-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 10 starts. He pitched well in his last start, but has been extremely inconsistent. He's also had a miserable time when facing the Red Sox, going a mere 2-12 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.647 WHIP in 20 career starts. Take Boston! |
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05-23-18 | Angels -127 v. Blue Jays | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. Toronto won the series opener yesterday being another strong outing from veteran starter J.A. Happ. The thing is the Blue Jays haven't had much success of late without Happ on the mound. Toronto is 2-7 in their last 9 games and both wins have come with Happ on the mound. Great spot here for Los Angeles to bounce back an even up the series, as they will have a clear edge on the mound in this one. The Angels will send out the red-hot Tyler Skaggs against the struggling Aaron Sanchez. Skaggs has a strong 2.88 ERA in 9 starts and has saved his best for the road, where he's 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 4 starts. Sanchez is 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA in 9 starts and owns a miserable 5.06 ERA in 5 home starts (1-4 team record). Take Los Angeles! |
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05-22-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Rockies/Dodgers UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's NL West action that has the Dodges hosting the Rockies. We know the ball doesn't carry well late at night in LA and on top of that I think we have an underrated pitching matchup here. Colorado will send out Chad Bettis, who is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 9 starts. As is the case for a lot of pitchers, Bettis is much better when he's not starting at Coors Field. He's got a 1.83 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 6 road starts this season. I think he keeps it going against a Dodgers' offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight homes games. Brock Stewart is getting the call up to start this one for LA. Stewart will be making his first start of 2018, but has started 9 over the previous 2 seasons. Considering the Rockies are hitting just .218 away from home and just .227 over their last 7, I think Stewart can give them 4-5 solid innings here and let the bullpen do the rest. Take the UNDER 8! |
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05-22-18 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 225 | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
3* Rockets/Warriors Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Warriors UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals between the Rockets and Warriors. Golden State's 41-point blowout win in Game 3 saw a combined score of just 211 points. Two of the three games in the series have now finished UNDER the total. The only exception coming in Game 2, where it barely went over with a combined score of 232 and a total of 225. I just think the perception here is the Warriors will continue to light it up offensively and the Rockets can't be any worse than they were in Game 3. Houston will be better, but they are also going to bring a lot more intensity on defense. This a huge game for both sides. The Warriors want to take a 3-1 lead and the Rockets want to take back home court and go back to Houston tied 2-2. Expect max effort defensively from both teams, which should keep us below the mark. Take the UNDER! |
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05-22-18 | Angels -101 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels - I like the value here with the Angels at basically a pick'em on the road against the Blue Jays. LA snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 5-2 win behind a dominant performance from Ohtani on the mound. I like the Angels chance of carrying over that momentum and securing a win on Tuesday. A big reason for that is Los Angeles will send out the red-hot Garrett Richards, who has a 1.42 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his most recent outing he held the loaded Astros lineup to just 4 hits and 0 earned runs over 7 innings. Toronto will counter here with J.A. Happ, who is coming off a strong showing against the Mets, but has been a disappointment overall. Happ owns a mediocre 4.15 ERA in 9 starts and owns a 5.40 ERA in 6 road outings. On top of that, Happ has a poor history against the Angels. He's 1-6 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 7 starts. Look for LA to have a big day at the plate and bring home the win. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-21-18 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 207 | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* NBA Conference Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cavs UNDER I love the value here with the UNDER on the total for Game 4 between the Celtics and Cavs. Each of the first 3 games in the series have all finished UNDER the mark set by the books and I think this has the potential to be the lowest scoring of them all. Cleveland's blowout win in Game 3 wasn't a huge shocker. Boston hasn't been great on the road this postseason and the Cavs were basically in a do-or-die situation already down 0-2 in the series. I really like the adjustments Cleveland made on the defensive side of the ball, as well as the all-out effort from James. They have no choice but to come out with that same intensity, as this one is just as important as the last. The key here is that we should get a much more focused and energized Boston team. They are going to make their adjustments and while the shots might not fall like they do at home, they can still make a game of this with their defensive effort and I expect them to do just that. I wouldn't be surprised if both teams failed to reach 95 in this one. Take the UNDER! |
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05-21-18 | Yankees v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* MLB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Yankees/Rangers OVER I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's AL action that has Rangers hosting the Yankees. New York has scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games and figure to have a great shot of another big day at the plate against veteran Bartolo Colon. While Colon comes in with a strong 2.93 ERA and 0.869 WHIP in 7 starts, he's got a mere 5.09 ERA in 3 starts at home. He's also got an ugly 6.11 career ERA against the Yankees. He faced them twice last year and gave up 10 runs on 15 hits in just 7 1/3 innings of work. New York will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who hasn't suffered a loss in his last 5 starts. That's not to say Tanaka has been throwing it great. He's got a mere 4.86 ERA overall in 8 starts and a 4.15 ERA in his last 3 outings. While the Rangers were shutout yesterday, I think they can contribute 4+ runs here to push this thing well over the mark set by the books. Take the OVER! |
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05-20-18 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 159 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Storm/Mercury UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's WNBA total that has the Seattle Storm hosting the Phoenix Mercury. Both of these teams have their goals set extremely high, as each feels they have the pieces in place to win a title. Phoenix got things started off with a 86-78 win over Dallas on Friday and it was a great defensive effort for the Mercury, who held Dallas to just 36.2% from the field. I expect that intensity on defense to carry over here. As for the Storm, this is both their season and home opener. new head coach Dan Hughes has made it clear he wants the defense to be better in Seattle this year and I think he'll have them playing better on that side. The total is simply too high here. Take the UNDER! |
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05-20-18 | Rockets +8 v. Warriors | 85-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NBA Rockets/Warriors ATS NO-BRAINER on Rockets + I like the value here with Houston against the spread in Game 3. After an embarrassing 13-point loss at home in Game 1, the Rockets responded with an impressive 127-105 win in Game 2 to even it up at 1-1. Houston looked like a completely different team in Game 2 and I think they can carry over that to Game 3. With that said, this is just too good a price to pass up on an elite team like the Rockets. All we basically need is for Houston to just keep the game within single-digits. The biggest thing I like that the Rockets are doing is attacking Steph Curry on offense. Curry isn't a horrible defender, but it's definitely not his strength. By making him work a little more on defense, it can take him out of his rhythm offensively and that's been the case so far in the series, as he's made just two 3-point shots (13 attempts). If they can continue to keep Curry in check on the road, they not only will have a great shot at covering, but winning this game outright. Take Houston! |
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05-20-18 | Indians +129 v. Astros | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Sunday Night Baseball HEAVY HITTER on Indians + The value here is too good to pass up on Cleveland with ace Carlos Carrasco on the mound. Carrasco has 2.78 ERA and 0.925 WHIP over 5 road starts and is 3-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Astros. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who has thrown the ball well so far in 2018, but there is some concern with his command. McCullers has walked 9 over his last 18 innings of work. His only work against the Indians came in Cleveland last year and it wasn't pretty. McCullers lasted just 5 innings after giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks. Astros are an elite team, but are just a mere 1-7 this season at home when faced against a starting pitcher that is allowing 5.5 or fewer hits/start. Cleveland has also gone 23-8 in Carrasco's last 31 road against an AL team that has a team average of .255 or worse. Take Cleveland! |
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05-20-18 | Padres v. Pirates -119 | 8-5 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pirates - I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a short home favorite in Sunday's series finale against the Padres. The Pirates weren't expected to do anything this year, yet they are sitting 1.5-games back of the NL Central lead at 26-19 (4th best record in NL). Needless to say Pittsburgh has been a huge value play early on and I still think they aren't getting the respect the deserve. The Pirates will send out one of the most underrated starters so far in 2018. You don't hear much about Trevor Williams in the media, but he's 5-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in 9 starts. He's got an even better 2.22 ERA in 4 home starts. San Diego will counter with Jordan Lyles, who has created a bit of a buzz after his first 2 starts of 2018. Lyles has allowed just 1 earned run in 12 1/3 innings with an impressive 16-2 walk/strikeout ratio. However, both starts for Lyles came at home at spacious Petco Park. I think there's a good chance he takes at least a minor step back here. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-19-18 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 206 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs Total NO-BRAINER on Celtics/Cavs UNDER I like the value here with UNDER in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Each of the first two games finished below the total set by the books. I'm expecting another low-scoring contest with Cleveland's backs against the wall. The Cavs are down 0-2 and are in a do-or-die scenario. That means we are going to get the very best Cleveland has to offer on the defensive side of the ball. At the same time, Boston's offense hasn't been nearly as efficient on the road as it has at home in the postseason. I also don't see Cleveland going off here. The Celtics have put together a great game-plan on how to defend the Cavs. They held them to 83 in Game 1 with a sub-par game from James and still held them to 94 in Game 2 with LeBron going off for 42 points and recording a triple-double. I wouldn't be shocked if both teams failed to reach 100 points in this one. Take the UNDER! |
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05-19-18 | Diamondbacks -122 v. Mets | 4-5 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
3* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Diamondbacks - I like the value here with Arizona as a short road favorite against the Mets. Both offenses come into this one struggling, so I'm taking the team with the much better starter. The Diamondbacks will give the rock to one of the big surprises this season in Pat Corbin. He's 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in 9 starts. The most impressive stat is the strikeouts, as he's fanned 75 hitters in just 57 innings of work. He should have no problem here keeping the Mets in check. Arizona's offense is due to breakout and today could be that day, as the Mets send out Steven Matz, who is just 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 7 starts. Matz also has been worse at home, where he's got an ugly 4.66 ERA in 4 starts. New York as a team is a mere 1-12 in their last 13 games against NL starters with a ERA of 2.70 or better. Take Arizona! |
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05-19-18 | Sky v. Indiana Fever UNDER 156 | 82-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
3* WNBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sky/Fever UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's WNBA action that has the Fever hosting the Sky. Season opener for both sides and I just feel the number here has been set way too high. These two combined for just 151 points in their final meeting last year and that was with a total at 165. I have this one finishing much closer to 145 than 155. Take the UNDER! |
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05-18-18 | Rays v. Angels -131 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -131 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
5* MLB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels - I love the value here with the Angels at home against the Rays on Friday. Los Angeles is going to be extremely motivated here after losing their last 3, including yesterday's ugly 7-1 loss to Tampa in the series opener. Hard to not like their chances at home in this one. LA will give the rock to Nick Tropeano, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts at home. He threw 6 1/3 scoreless at home against the Orioles on 5/1 and followed that up by allowing just 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings in his most recent outing against the Twins. Tampa Bay will send out Blake Snell, who is coming off a poor outing at Baltimore. Snell gave up 5 runs on 6 hits (3 HRs) in just 3 1/3 innings of work. He's now got an ugly 5.06 ERA in 5 road starts and a 4.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-17-18 | Phillies +125 v. Cardinals | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Phillies + I like the value here with Philadelphia as a decently priced road dog against the Cardinals on Thursday. These two teams are headed in different directions. The Phillies come in having won 6 of their last 7, while St Louis is just 3-5 in their last 8. Keep in mind this poor stretch started when Yadier Molina went to the DL and the Cardinals simply aren't the same team without him on the field. The other key here is I just don't trust St Louis starter Luke Weaver, who has really disappointment so far in 2018 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.364 WHIP. Weaver did pitch well in his last start, going 5 scoreless against the Padres, but that was in San Diego. That's now 5 straight starts where Weaver has failed to complete 6 innings. He's also got a mere 5.40 ERA and 1.267 WHIP in 3 home starts. Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 10-1 in their last 11 vs the NL Central. Take Philadelphia! |
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05-17-18 | Orioles +155 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Orioles + I like the value here with Baltimore as a huge dog on the road against division rival Boston. There's no arguing that the Red Sox should be favored at home against the Orioles, but this line is way too much given the starting pitching matchup. Boston will send out David Price, who is simply overvalued. Price often gets treated like an elite ace, despite the fact that he's not pitched well. He's a mere 3-4 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in 8 starts this season. He had one of his better starts last time out and gave up 2 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in just 5 2/3 innings. He's also 0-2 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.683 in 3 starts at Fenway this season. Baltimore will give the rock to Kevin Gausman, who is really throwing the ball well right now. Gausman has a 1.23 ERA and 1.045 over his last 3 starts and a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 3 road outings. It's also worth noting that in his last 2 starts against the Red Sox last year, Gausman didn't allow in 15 2/3 innings. Take Baltimore! |
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05-17-18 | Padres +148 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Padres + I really like the value here with the Padres as a big road dog Thursday against the Pirates. Pittsburgh is red-hot having won 7 of 8, but 4 of those wins came against the awful White Sox. At the same time, San Diego has won 3 of 4 and will be motivated here to get their road trip started out with a win. It's been hit or miss for Padres starter Eric Lauer, but I've liked what I have seen in his limited action. More than anything, I don't feel there's a big enough gap here between Lauer and Pirates starter Chad Kuhl for the line to be what it is. Kuhl has a 4-2 record, but owns a not so great 4.17 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in his 8 starts. He's also got an ugly 5.57 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 6 starts at night. Take San Diego! |
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05-16-18 | Astros v. Angels +125 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels + I like the value here with the Angels as a decently priced home dog against the Astros on Wednesday. I know Houston will have Justin Verlander on the mound, but they have lost each of his last 3 starts. Not that Verlander is responsible for the losses, but the offense just isn't producing with him on the mound. The Astros have scored a whopping 1 run in his last 3 starts. I think we could see this trend continue here. The Angels will send out a capable starter here in Garrett Richards. Richards is coming off back to back strong outings against the Mariners and Twins and has a 2.81 ERA in 3 starts against division opponents. He also has a strong history against Houston. He's got a 3.28 ERA in 11 career starts against them. Last year he faced them twice and allowed just 1 run on 5 hits with 1 walk and 10 strikeouts in 11 innings of work. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -1 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
3* Warriors/Rockets NBA Playoffs ATS BLOWOUT on Rockets - I like the value here with Houston at basically a pick'em to take Game 2 and even up the series. This is basically a do or die situation for the Rockets. A loss here and the series is all but over with them down 0-2 (would have to win 4 of the last 5 games). I still think Houston has the talent and pieces in place to not just win a game or two, but take the series. Turnovers really plagued them in Game 1, as well as some missed defensive assignments. Both of those things can be corrected. I also think we could see the Rockets shoot a little better from long-distance in Game 2. If the Warriors don't show up with the same intensity as Houston and are content with the split, this thing could get ugly. Much like Game 3 of the Warriors' previous series against the Pelicans, where they lost by 19 after holding a 2-0 series lead. Either way, I like the Rockets to win this game. Take Houston! |
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05-16-18 | Cubs v. Braves +104 | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Braves + This is simply too much value to pass up on the Braves at basically a pick'em at home. Atlanta wasn't suppose to be a contender this season, yet they come into this game with the best record in the NL at 25-16. They are still flying under the radar and will continue to show big time value against some of the top public teams like the Cubs. Chicago won yesterday 3-2, but only managed 6 hits and have not been swinging it all that well over their last few games. This is a make or break start for Atlanta's Brandon McCarthy and I think he steps up to the challenge. At the same time, I look for the Braves offense to put up a number here on Cubs' starter Tyler Chatwood. In 7 starts Chatwood owns a solid 3.34 ERA, but his 1.540 WHIP (1.687 on the road) suggest he's been much worse than that ERA would lead on. Take Atlanta! |
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05-16-18 | Rays v. Royals +112 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals + I love the value here with the Royals as a home dog against the Rays on Wednesday. Tampa Bay has won 3 of 4 and are way over-priced here. Kansas City has lost 4 straight, but finally got the offense going with 5 runs on 11 hits Tuesday. I look for that offense to carry over and have a big day against Rays starter Jacob Faria, who is just 1-2 with a 8.55 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 4 road starts. The Royals will send out Jason Hammel, who is coming off a bad start at Cleveland, but has been a different pitcher at home. Hammel owns a 6.13 ERA in 8 starts overall, but a mere 3.86 ERA in 3 outings at home. Look for him to keep Tampa in check and for the Rays to leave here a winner. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-16-18 | Cardinals -119 v. Twins | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Cards - I like the value here with St Louis as a short road favorite against the Twins on Wednesday. The Cardinals come in having lost 3 straight, so the fact that they are favored speaks to the edge they have on the mound. St Louis will give the ball to Miles Mikolas, who has pitched better than anyone expected. Mikolas is 5-0 with a 2.51 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 7 starts. He's also trending up, as he's got a 1.31 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Twins are countering with Lance Lynn. The former Cardinal has been a mess so far in 2018. Lynn is 1-3 with a 7.34 ERA and 1.980 WHIP in 7 starts. It's been getting any better, as Lynn owns a 6.89 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take St Louis! |
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05-15-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 94-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
3* Cavs/Celtics NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs + It couldn't have went much worse for Cleveland in Game 1. The Cavs dug themselves an early hole and simply couldn't overcome their poor shooting. Cleveland shot just 36% from the field and it was far from the box score we have grown expected to seeing from LeBron James. I expect a much more focused and motivated Cavs team in Game 2. I'm also willing to bet they shoot much better than the 4 for 26 from 3-point distance and James bounces back in a big way from that poor showing in Game 1. James now has a great understanding on how Boston is trying to defend him and will make the proper adjustments. As for the other guys, they got open looks, they just didn't execute. The Cavs are the better team and the value is with them here. Take Cleveland! |
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05-15-18 | Rays +123 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 123 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Rays + I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the Royals. The Rays have the momentum after taking the series opener in a hard fought 2-1 win on Monday. Tampa has now won 2 of the 3 coming off that 5-game losing streak. As for Kansas City, they have dropped 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. The Royals' offense has managed just 5 runs over their last 3 games, which is a good sign for Rays starter Anthony Banda. The 24-year-old prospect will be making his Tampa debut and is coming off a great final start in the minors, where he allowed just 4 hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings of work. Kansas City will counter with Ian Kennedy, who is just 1-4 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in 8 starts. Kennedy won't be taking the mound with a lot of confidence, as he gave up 9 runs on 8 hits (2 HRs) in just innings of his last start at Baltimore. Kennedy is also just 1-5 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Rays. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-15-18 | White Sox +141 v. Pirates | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on White Sox + I like the value here with the White Sox. Chicago is widely considered to be the worst team in the big leagues, which means there is going to be value with them when they have an edge on the mound like they do today. The White Sox will send out Reynaldo Lopez against Pittsburgh's Trevor Williams. This is a rematch from last Wednesday when the two teams met in Chicago. The Pirates won the game 6-5, but Lopez was by far the better of the two starters. He allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits over 7 1/3 innings. He left with a 4-2 lead. The White Sox would extend the lead to 5-2, before giving up 4 runs in the top of the 9th. Williams only lasted 5 innings, as he allowed 4 runs on 7 hits (2 HRs) and 2 walks. That wasn't a fluke start by Lopez, who is flying under the radar because of how bad the White Sox are playing. Lopez comes in with a 2.44 ERA and 1.128 WHIP over 7 starts. Clearly much better numbers than his 0-2 record would lead on. I think he gets the elusive first win of 2018 tonight. Take Chicago! |
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05-15-18 | Rockies -102 v. Padres | 0-4 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rockies - I like the value here with the Rockies at basically a pick'em on the road against the Padres. Colorado took the series opener 6-4 on Monday and I look for them to carry over that momentum to the finale of this short 2-game series. The Rockies will send out German Marquez, who has shined away from home this season. Marquez is 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in 4 road starts. Colorado is 3-1 in those outings and I like their chances of improving to 4-1. San Diego will send out Jordan Lyles, who will be making just his second start of 2018. The first one went well against the Cardinals, but I wouldn't read to much into that outing. Lyles has a career 5.36 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. He's also made two starts at the end of last season against the Rockies and allowed 11 runs on 13 hits and 5 walks in just 10 innings of work. Take Colorado! |
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05-14-18 | Astros v. Angels +128 | 1-2 | Win | 128 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Angels + I like the value here with the Angles as a home dog against division rival Houston on Monday. Los Angeles will come into the series opener against the defending champs riding a wave of momentum after Sunday's walk-off 2-1 win over the Twins. I also like the pitching matchup for the Angels in this one. LA is sending out Andrew Heaney, who is red-hot with a 2.12 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Houston will counter with Lance McCullers, who is 5-1 with a respectable 3.76 ERA in 8 starts, but does have an ugly 4.67 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in 5 road outings this season. It's also worth adding that the Astros have lost each of the last 4 games where McCullers started a series opener. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-14-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 225.5 | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 121 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NBA Playoffs 'Rockets/Warriors' Total NO-BRAINER on Warriors UNDER You can check my free pick for who I would lean towards for the spread, but I believe the real value in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals is with the total. I think the books have set the bar way too high for this one. All the media talks about is the star power both of these teams have and how great both sides are on the offensive end of the floor. What people don't realize is just how good these two teams are defensively. These two are ranked 1-2 in defensive efficiency in the postseason and there's no question that both are going to be locked in on that side of the ball. UNDER is 12-1 this season in Rockets' games when they are listed anywhere from +3 to -3 on the spread. UNDER is also 5-1 in Houston's last 6 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. UNDER is 21-8-1 in the Warriors last 30 after giving up 100 or more in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 on the road. Take the UNDER! |
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05-14-18 | Braves v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Total DESTROYER on Braves/Cubs UNDER I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's early MLB action that has the Cubs hosting the Braves. The most important thing when betting the total in games played at Wrigley Field is the direction the wind is blowing. It's expected to be blowing in from right field, so that's definitely a plus for the pitchers. The other big key here is the starting pitching matchup, which features the Cubs Jose Quintana against the Braves Julio Teheran. Both have been on top of their game of late. Quintana has allowed just 1 earned run in his last 3 starts, giving him an ERA of just 0.53 during this stretch. Teheran isn't too far behind with a 1.69 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in his last 3 starts. UNDER is 18-7-1 in Teheran's last 26 starts overall and 7-1-1 in his last 9 outings following a Quality Start in his last appearance. UNDER is also 15-5-1 in the Cubs last 21 games vs a team with a winning percentage of 60% or better and 12-4-1 in their last 17 home games vs a right-handed starter. Take the UNDER! |
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05-13-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 83-108 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 49 m | Show | |
3* NBA Playoffs 'Cavs/Celtics' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs + I like the value here with Cleveland at basically a pick'em in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Celtics. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here to the Celtics and their impressive dismantling of the 76ers, in a series most thought they would lose. I think a lot of that was the inexperience of Philadelphia, as well as great coaching by Brad Stevens. As good as Stevens is, I just don't think there's a gameplan out there to slow down LeBron James right now and with the way the supporting cast is playing it's that much harder to slow this Cavs team down. Keep in mind that James has owned Stevens' led teams in the past and I just have a hard time seeing the Celtics making a series of this. Another thing that strongly suggest an overreaction here with the line. Boston was a 4.5-point home dog in Game 1 of their series with the 76ers. There's no reason the Cavs shouldn't be favored by at least that here. Take Cleveland! |
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05-13-18 | Giants v. Pirates -135 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Pirates - I love the value here with Pittsburgh at home at this price. The Pirates have started playing great baseball again and have won 5 straight after Saturday's thrilling 6-5 win, where they gave up the lead in the top of 8th, only to take it back in the bottom half of the inning. As for the Giants, they are headed in the opposite direction. San Francisco has lost 6 straight and it hasn't exactly been pretty. The Giants are averaging 2.7 runs/game over their last 7 and are giving up an average of 7.4 runs/game during this stretch. The other big key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I feel heavily favors the home team. Pittsburgh will send out Ivan Nova, who is coming off a couple of poor road outings, but has a 3.38 ERA and sensational 0.900 WHIP at home this season. In his last home start he threw 8 scoreless innings. Giants will send out Derek Holland, who is a mere 1-4 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 7 starts. San Francisco is also 0-4 in his 4 road starts this season. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-13-18 | Mariners -183 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -183 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Mariners - I have no problem laying heavy juice on the money line with Seattle in Sunday's matchup with the Tigers. The Mariners simply have a massive edge on the mound in this one, as they send out James Paxton, who is coming off a no-hitter, against 31-year-old Blaine Hardy, who is making his first ever career start. Paxton has been throwing at an elite level of late. Last time out he threw a no-hitter on the road against the Blue Jays. The start before that he struck out 16 batters in 7 shutout innings against the A's. Even if he's not on top of his game, he should be able to keep this mediocre Tigers' offense in check. I also think there's a good chance the Mariners provide Paxton with a bunch of run support. Hardy isn't likely too pitch deep in this game and he's well past being a promising prospect at 31. Keep in mind these two teams played a double-header yesterday and Detroit's bullpen had to work 8 2/3 innings. Take Seattle! |
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05-12-18 | Twins +130 v. Angels | Top | 5-3 | Win | 130 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Twins + I'm recommending a play here on Minnesota, as we are simply getting too good of a price to pass up on with the red-hot Twins. Minnesota defeated the Angels 5-4 on Friday and are now 6-1 in their last 7. The surge offensively has been a big reason for their success, as they are scoring 5.9 runs/game during this run. It's not all offense, as they are only giving up 3.3 runs/game. With the way the Twins are swinging the bats, it's hard to not like their chances here with one of their top starters, Kyle Gibson, on the mound. Gibson has only been a part of 2 decisions, but owns a strong 3.49 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 7 starts. He's also pitched his best on the road, where he has a 2.52 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in 4 outings. Take Minnesota! |
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05-12-18 | A's v. Yankees -179 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Yankees - I'm recommending laying the big juice here and backing the Yankees to win at home over Oakland on Saturday. The A's laid it on New York in the series opener last night in a convincing 10-5 win. I expect a much more focused Yankees team to take the field this afternoon. Keep in mind yesterday's matchup was a prime letdown spot for New York, coming off that big 3-game series against hated rival Boston. The Yankees manages 5 runs yesterday despite only registering 7 hits. That's how potent this offense can be and they come in averaging 6.4 runs/game. I think the offense is poised for a big day. At the same time, I think it's worth riding New York's starter Domingo German. In his MLB debut the past Sunday he didn't allow a hit, let alone a run in 6 innings, striking out 9. Take New York! |
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05-11-18 | Braves v. Marlins +134 | 3-6 | Win | 134 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Marlins + I like the value here with Miami as a decently priced home dog against division rival Atlanta. So little is expected of the Marlins that they are routinely undervalued and I just feel the price here at home is too good to pass up. The first two starts for Miami's Dan Straily haven't been great, but he did show some improvement in his second outing and I think he's going to continue to trend in the right direction. On the flip side of this the Braves will give the rock to Brandon McCarthy, who has to be second-guessing himself after his most recent outing. In his last start McCarthy gave up 8 runs on 12 hits in just 3 1/3 innings tat home against the Giants. This is a good time for the Marlins offense to produce and they should be able to push across enough runs here to get the win. Take Miami! |
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05-11-18 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays +177 | 3-5 | Win | 177 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays + I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive home dog against division rival Boston. I know the Red Sox will have their ace Chris Sale on the mound, but they were fortunate to win with him on the mound a few starts back at Toronto. Not only do I think the Blue Jays can get to Sale here, but I think this is a great spot to fade Boston coming off their emotional 3-game series against their biggest rivals in the Yankees. Keep in mind this will be the Red Sox's 8th straight game on the road, which I think increases the likelihood of them coming out flat here. Boston is just 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a new series and are 1-4 in Sale's last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Toronto! |
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05-11-18 | Mets +144 v. Phillies | Top | 3-1 | Win | 144 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets + I like the value here with the Mets as a big road dog in Friday's NL East action against the Phillies. Most won't hesitate here to back Philadelphia given the Phillies are 15-5 at home and will have veteran Jake Arrieta on the mound. I just don't think there's that big of an edge here on the mound. New York will send out Steven Matz, who is coming off a great start against the Rockies, where he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings. Matz is 1-3 with a 4.23 ERA, but has pitched much better than his ERA and that's evident by his 1.157 WHIP. I think the Mets have an excellent shot at winning this game and the price here is too good to pass up. Take New York! |
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05-10-18 | Cardinals v. Padres +142 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night ANNIHILATOR on Padres + I like the value here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog against the Cardinals. St Louis just got swept in their short 2-game series at home against the Twins and it wasn't pretty. Minnesota outscored the Cardinals 13-1 and I just have big concerns with St Louis going forward without their rock behind the plate in Yadier Molina. St Louis will send out Miles Mikolas, who has pitched very well for the Cardinals this season. However, I think the emotions for Mikolas will be running high in this game, as he was traded by the Padres back in 2013. Not to mention the extra pressure on him to pitch well with how poorly St Louis is swinging the bat. This is simply too good of a price to pass up on the home team. Take San Diego! |