Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-13-23 | Guardians v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The Cleveland Guardians are in 2nd place in the AL Central with a 31-34 record, 1.5 games back of first place Minnesota. The Guardians beat Houston on Sunday, 5-0, taking two of three games against the Astros. Cleveland will start Tanner Bibee tonight who is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Bibee has allowed more than three runs in just one of his last eight starts this season. The San Diego Padres look to move up the ranks in the NL West as they sit in 4th place right now with a 31-34 record. The Padres start Joe Musgrove tonight. Musgrove is 3-2 in his eight starts with a 4.36 ERA. He's been better at home with a 3.00 ERA in three starts. Musgrove has been especially good of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (17 1/3 innings) with 17 KO's and just four walks. Both pitchers looking very good. For me, I'll take this game UNDER the total. |
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06-12-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +100 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia Phillies took two of three games from the Dodgers as they head West now to play the first place Arizona Diamondbacks. The Phillies have also won seven of their last 10 games and moved into third in the NL East, still eight games back of the Braves. Matt Strahm starts today for the Phils with a 2-3 record in eight starts and a 3.64 ERA. He looks likes he's been in the role of opener lately not going more than 3 1/3 innings in any of his last three starts. That includes last game where he went two innings and gave up no hits and no runs. Arizona is coming off a sweep of Detroit that included a five run 9th inning on Sunday to get them the come from behind win. That also makes five straight wins and 11 of the last 13. They have opened up a 3.5-game lead over 2nd place LA Dodgers. Tommy Henry gets the start today with a 3-1 record in eight starts and a 4.50 ERA. He's been better at home with a 1-1 record in four starts and a 2.63 ERA. I'm sticking with the hot D'backs who seem to find ways to pull out games these days. Play Arizona. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5. |
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06-12-23 | Reds -102 v. Royals | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds took two of three games from the Cardinals in their weekend series. That made the Reds 5-2 over their last seven games. They have also scored at least four runs in their last five of six games. Luke Weaver will start today for the Reds with a 1-2 record in his nine starts and a 6.28 ERA. Weaver has been inconsistent of late, allowing seven runs in his last start and eight total in his previous four starts. He will face the 2nd worst team in baseball, the Kansas City Royals. The Royals are just 18-47 and lost six straight and nine of their last 10 games. They also have a very high -102 run differential. Veteran Zack Greinke will get the start for the Royals with a 1-6 record in his 13 starts and a 4.59 ERA. Neither team all that good, but at least with the Reds they are showing off some very good rookie talent of late that has resulted in series wins over the Cardinals and Dodgers. I'll take the Reds here tonight. |
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06-11-23 | Reds +115 v. Cardinals | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
NL Central clash here today has the Cincinnati Reds taking on the Cardinals from St Louis. The Reds are in 3rd place in the division with a 30-35 record. They are coming off a win over the Cardinals on Saturday, 8-4. The teams have split the first two games of this series as they play the rubber game here on Sunday. The Cardinals find themselves in the unfamiliar spot of last place in the division with a 27-38 record. They have lost seven of their last 10 games too. Hunter Greene will start for the Reds. Greene has a 1-4 record in his 12 starts and a 3.92 ERA. He has been very good his last two starts, allowing just one total run over 12 innings with 19 KO's and five walks. Adam Wainwright will start for the Cardinals. He is 2-1 in his six starts with a 5.97 ERA. He has no quality starts in the six outings though. I like Greene's recent starts and the Reds today. Play Cincinnati. |
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06-11-23 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Tigers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 56 m | Show | |
Arizona has won four straight games while the Detroit Tigers have lost eight straight. Diamondbacks surprising everyone as they sit in first place in the NL West with a 39-25 record. Zac Gallen will start today with a 7-2 record and 2.75 ERA. Gallen ha allowed more than two runs just two times in his last 11 games. Joey Wentz starts for the Tigers with his 1-6 record in 12 starts. He has a 7.49 ERA on the season. No doubt the D'backs are the hot team in baseball and today they have their best on the hill. For me, I'll lay the Run Line and expect a blowout win from Arizona. |
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06-10-23 | Mariners v. Angels -121 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
AL West division game here on Saturday has the Seattle Mariners taking on the LA Angels. The Mariners are in 4th place at 30-32 and have lost two straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Angels are in 3rd place at 35-30 and have won five straight games. The Angels will look to make it six straight as they send Patrick Sandoval to the hill. Sandoval is 3-5 in his 11 starts with a 4.14 ERA. He's been a bit better at home with a 3.60 ERA. The Mariners will send Bryan Woo to the hill for just his second start. He's hoping this one is better after going just two innings in his first start, allowing seven hits and six runs. I'll take the streaking Angels here on Saturday. Play LA Angels. |
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06-10-23 | Twins +104 v. Blue Jays | 9-4 | Win | 104 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto Blue Jays are dealing with some team issues after pitcher Anthony Bass apologized for his LGBTQ boycott. While his stance remains same, he met with local Pride leaders and realized he should not have shared those thoughts on social media. Still, sends some issues on this team as they face the Twins here on Saturday. Trevor Richards will make his first start for the Blue Jays after 21 games out of the bullpen. Richards has a 3.67 ERA this year. The Twins will counter with a red-hot Joe Ryan. Ryan is 7-3 in his 12 games with a 2.76 ERA. Ryan has allowed more than two runs just one time in his last eight starts. Not sure how long Richards will go hear today, but Ryan should give us a solid outing. I'll take the Twins. |
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06-09-23 | Cubs +107 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs looks to break a four game losing streak here today at San Francisco. The Cubs are 26-36 overall and in 4th place in the NL Central. The SF Giants have won three straight games and are in 3rd place in the NL West with a 32-30 record. The Cubs will start Marcus Stroman here tonight. Stroman has a 6-4 record in his 13 starts with a 2.39 ERA. In addition, he has a 15 inning scoreless streak going into tonight's contest. Stroman has also not allowed more than two runs in seven of his last eight starts. The Giants will counter with Anthony Desclafani who is 4-5 in his 12 starts with a 3.97 ERA. He's allowed 12 runs over his last 15 innings. I'll take Stroman and the Cubs as a small dog here on Friday. Play Chicago. |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
Game four of the NBA Finals has the Denver Nuggets with a two games to one lead. The teams split the first two games in Denver and in their first game in Miami, the Nuggets dominated from start to finish winning, 109-94, covering the spread and the game going under. The Nuggets have now shot above 50% from the field in all three games while game three was their worst 3-point shooting at just 27.8%. Miami had their worst shooting performance in game three, hitting just 37% overall and 31.4% from the 3-point arc. This series has thus far been a classic rebound type series. The Nuggets take game one, Miami game two and then Denver game three. I look for the Heat to rebound again here in game four. They had a pretty dismal performance in game three and will look to make amends for that showing. Take the points here in game four with the Miami Heat. |
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06-09-23 | Marlins +113 v. White Sox | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Interleague action here on Saturday has Miami taking on the White Sox from Chicago. The Marlins are having a nice season thus far with a 35-28 record and in 2nd place in the NL East, 3.5-games back of the Braves. The Marlins have also won six straight and eight of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 28-36 and in 3rd place in the AL Central, 3.5 games back of the Twins. The Marlins will start Eury Perez here today who is 3-1 in his five starts with a 2.25 ERA. He's give up no runs over his last two starts (10 innings). The Sox will counter with Dylan Cease who is 3-3 in his 13 starts with a 4.63 ERA. Miami has been hot and has a good pitcher on the mound. I'll take them here today. Play Miami. |
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06-08-23 | Giants v. Rockies +163 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
NL West clash here on Thursday has the San Francisco Giants playing in Colorado to face the Rockies. The Giants are 30-30 on the season and 5.5-games back of the first place Diamondbacks. The Rockies are in last place in the NL West with a 26-36 record. The Giants will start Alex Cobb who is 5-2 on the season with a 2.71 ERA. Cobb has been one of the bright spots here this year. Though now he has to pitch his fist game this year in the altitude of Denver. The Rockies will start Chase Anderson who is 0-0 in his four starts with a nice 2.08 ERA. He's been even better in his three home starts with a 1.72 ERA. Giants a big favorite here today and Anderson gives us a shot as he's pitched well in Denver. I'll take the big dog here. Play Colorado. |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight. |
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06-07-23 | Mariners v. Padres -111 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Interleague action here on Wednesday has the AL 4th place Seattle Mariners taking on 4th place NL West San Diego Padres. The Padres having a disappointing season after some big off season free agent pickups. They were expected to contend for the NL West title. But so far, just a 28-33 record and losers of four of their last six games. The M's have also lost six of their last 10 games but are 30-30 overall on the season. George Kirby will start for the M's with a 5-4 record and 3.04 ERA. Kirby coming off his best start of the season, going eight innings with just three hits and no Runs in a win over the Yankees. Michael Wacha will start for the Padres. Wacha is 5-2 with a 3.48 ERA. He has been very good of late, allowing two runs or fewer in six straight games. I'm going to take the Padres here with a surging Wacha on the hill. Play San Diego. |
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06-06-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -135 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers continued their hot streak, winning their fourth game in a row and eighth of their last 10 games with their win over St Louis on Monday, 4-3. The Cardinals just can't seem to put anything together as they are in last in the NL Central with a 25-36 record and have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Cardinals start Matthew Liberatore tonight who is 1-1 in his two starts and a decent 3.60 ERA. After a nice first start where he allowed three hits and not runs over five innings to the Brewers, things went downhill in start two. He allowed five hits and four runs in five innings to the Guardians last time out. The Texas Rangers will start Dane Dunning who is 2-1 in in his five starts. Dunning has a 2.28 ERA and has not allowed more than three runs in any of his starts. In fact, he's allowed one run or no runs in three of those starts. I'm sticking with the 1st place team here with momentum. Take Texas. |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -134 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Interleague action here on Monday has the Penthouse vs the Outhouse as 1st place Texas Rangers take on last place St Louis. The Rangers are 1st in the AL West, on a 3 game win streak and have won eight of their last 10 games. The Cardinals are reeling right now, as they have lost three straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Redbirds will start Adam Wainwright who is 2-1 in his five starts but has a lofty 6.15 ERA. The Rangers starting Martin Perez who is 6-1 in his 11 starts with a 4.43 ERA. He's been great at home with a 3-0 record and 1.93 ERA. Only reason I feel this line is as short as it is on the Rangers is because they are giving underperforming St Louis more credit than they deserve. Don't be fooled, this game goes to the Rangers. |
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06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
No big surprise in game one of the NBA Finals. I was loaded on the Nuggets with them in the game, first quarter and first half - sweeping the board. I expected that Boston series to take a toll on the Heat and for them to come out flat in game one. Plus it takes time to get used to the altitude in Denver. Miami also shot just 40.6% from the field compare do Denver's 50.6% and they had almost no free throws. I expect to see much better from the Heat tonight. They should be better acclimated to the thin air and that Boston series out of their system. With a better Miami game and the Denver's top offensive unit, I look for this game to go OVER the total here in game two. |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
No big surprise in game one of the NBA Finals. I was loaded on the Nuggets with them in the game, first quarter and first half - sweeping the board. I expected that Boston series to take a toll on the Heat and for them to come out flat in game one. Plus it takes time to get used to the altitude in Denver. Miami also shot just 40.6% from the field compare do Denver's 50.6% and they had almost no free throws. I expect to see much better from the Heat tonight. They should be better acclimated to the thin air and that Boston series out of their system. Denver still looks to be the best team and I expect them to win this series, but this is a lot of points again tonight. In game one, the Heat rallied late and almost back ended the number. I expect them to be much more competitive tonight. I'll take the points. Play Miami. |
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06-04-23 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -132 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -132 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Reason: The Arizona Diamondback and LA Dodgers are not only tied for 1st in the NL West, but they have the best records in the National League. Right behind them is the Atlanta Braves who are 1st in the NL East. The Braves and Diamondbacks have split the first two games of this series with the Braves winning on Saturday, 5-2. Today, the Braves will start Mike Soroka who makes only his second start of the season. In his first he went six innings vs the A's, gave up five hits and four runs for the loss. Arizona starts one of their best in Zac Gallen. Gallen is 7-2 in his 12 starts with a 2.72 ERA. He's been great at home with a 6-0 record in his six starts and a 0.66 ERA. I love Gallen here at home where he's been almost unhittable. |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -123 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Game 1 of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals here tonight from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. One thing is for sure this year, which ever team wins, it will be the first for that team in franchise history. Both teams have been here before, Florida back in the 1990's and Vegas in their first season in the NHL back in 2018. Florida wouldn't have even made the playoffs if Pittsburgh would have taken care of business in the final days of the regular season. But, Florida made it and also beat the best team in the regular season, the Boston Bruins. And that was after being down 1-3 in that series. They then went on to beat a very good Toronto team and then the 2nd best team in the East, Carolina, sweeping the Canes. Vegas was good all year, being the best team in the West. They got by Winnipeg easy enough, but were dogs to Edmonton. The Oilers with McDavid and Draisaidl looked to be a tall mountain to climb. But Vegas used their great defense to get past and then stifled Dallas to get here to the finals. Vegas is a great balanced team, with all four lines able to score. They also have the best defense and block more shots than any other team in the league. They picked up Jack Eichel last hear and he was a huge payoff this year. The return of captain Mark Stone from surgery at the start of the playoffs seemed to be that extra nudge the team needed. But what is most amazing is that they did this with five different goalies. The loss of Lehner to season surgery then the emergence of rookie Logan Thompson seemed to be what they needed. But Thompson wend down with an injury and they traded Columbus to get Jonathan Quick who they got from LA. Quick provided some much needed regular season wins. However, it was Laurent Brossoit who emerged as the goalie for the playoffs. Then Brossoit went down in the Edmonton series and in came Adin Hill. Hill performed great the rest of that series and the Dallas series. Quick never has gotten into a playoff game for the Knights. But really, it's this great Vegas defense that makes all these goalies look better then maybe they are. And for me that's the difference here today. The Vegas defense and the depth of scoring on this team. I look for Vegas to win here tonight in game one. |
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06-03-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -138 | Top | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers continue to hold onto first place in the AL West division, 2.5-games ahead of the Astros. Right now it looks to be a two-team Texas races for the division as the Mariners are 7.5-games back. Texas has won seven of their last 10 games. The Mariners could cut into the Rangers lead, but it will be a tall order on the road. The M's lost game one of this series on Friday, 0-2. Seattle has now received three total runs of support for their pitchers in their last three games. The Mariners have promoted their No 6 prospect, Bryan Woo, to start today's game in place of the injured Marco Gonzales. Woo comes up from Double-A to get the start today. Not a lot has been seen from Woo on the pro level, but he was a college standout before Tommy John surgery. Woo might be the real deal, but I'm taking first place Texas here in game two. Play the Rangers. |
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06-02-23 | Braves v. Diamondbacks +112 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves holding onto first place in the NL East with a 33-23 record, 3.5-games ahead of the Mets. The Braves are the only team in the division with a plus run differential as they sit at +58 runs. They have lost six of their last 10 games though. The Arizona Diamondbacks continue to shock everyone as they have climbed into a first place tie with the LA Dodgers at 34-23. They have won five straight games and seven of their last 10 games. Charlie Morton starts today for the Braves. Morton is 5-5 in his 10 starts with a 3.59 ETA. He is coming off a good start where he allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings vs the Phillies. That on the heels of a terrible start where he gave up six runs over five innings to the Dodgers. Merrill Kelly has been excellent for the D'backs with a 6-3 record and 3.11 ERA. Kelley has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts. I like the D'backs and Kelly here tonight. Play Arizona. |
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06-02-23 | Rockies +113 v. Royals | 7-2 | Win | 113 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
A battle of last place teams here tonight has the AL Central last Kansas City Royals taking on the NL West last place Colorado Rockies. The Colorado Rockies look to snap a four game losing streak tonight at Kansas City. The Royals have lost seven of their last 10 games and have a -70 run differential. The Rockies will start Chase Anderson who has no record after three starts. He has pitched very well, with a 1.72 ERA, allowing three total runs over his 15 2/3 innings. Jordan Lyles still looking for his first win of the season as he sits 0-9 after 11 starts. Lyles has a 7.01 ERA. He also hasn't allowed fewer then four earned runs in each of his last seven starts. Anderson looks much the better here today in this battle of bottom dwellers. Play Colorado. |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 33 h 48 m | Show | |
Miami coming off that hard fought series vs the Celtics. Miami winning game seven on the road in a blowout after blowing a three-zero lead in the series. I think many people wrote them off in game seven. I took the points with the Heat but am surprised at how Boston didn't show up at all in that game. Now it's game one of the NBA Championship. Denver has been waiting for a while and see some rust, but I don't see that. What I do see is major letdown in game one by the the Heat. They have to travel, they have hardly any time off and they have to play in the nearly 6,000 foot elevation of Denver. Perfect spot for Denver here in game one for a blowout. |
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06-01-23 | Guardians +124 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians are in the AL Central and in that division only the Twins have a winning record. That's good news for the Guardians as they are just 3.5 games back of first place with their 25-30 record. That makes this series a big one as they can close that gap. Cleveland will start Tanner Bibee today with his 1-1 record after six starts. Bibee has a nice 2.88 ERA. In addition, he's allowed two runs or fewer in five of his six starts. Minnesota counters with Pablo Lopez who is 3-3 in his 11 starts with a 4.11 ERA. I like the Guardians here today with an edge in starting pitching. Take Cleveland. |
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05-31-23 | Brewers +160 v. Blue Jays | 4-2 | Win | 160 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers still just holding onto first place in the NL Central with a one game lead over the Pirates. The Blue Jays are in 4th in the AL East, nine games back of the Rays. The Jays are 29-26 and while winning their last two games they are also 4-6 over their last 10 games. The Brewers will start Julio Teheran for only the second time this year. His first start was last week vs the Giants where he went five innings and allowed one run. The Blue Jays will counter with Alek Manoah who is 1-5 in his 11 starts with a 5.53 ERA. Brewers and Teheran are worth a good look here today at this nice dog price. Play Milwaukee. |
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05-31-23 | Padres v. Marlins +106 | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres still trying to live up to expectations for this year. They are in 4th place in the NL West, eight-games back of the Dodgers. They are just 5-5 over their last 10 games. The Marlins are 28-27 and just four games back of the Braves in the NL East. The Padres start Blake Snell today. Snell is kind of a microcosm of the Padres season thus far. Snell is 1-6 in his 10 starts with a 5.04 ERA. The Marlins will counter with Braxton Garrett today who is 1-2 in his nine starts with a 4.40 ERA. Garrett has pitched very well of late, allowing just three runs over his last three starts (16 2/3 innings). No way Snell and Padres should be the favorite here today over the Marlins and a improving Garrett. I'll take the dog here. Play Miami. |
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05-31-23 | Rangers -148 v. Tigers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -148 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers have won two straight games and eight of their last 10 games. They sit in first place in the AL West, three game ahead of the Houston Astros. They also have the best run differential in baseball with a +132 mark. Dane Dunning starts today for the Rangers with a 2-0 mark in his four starts and a 1.59 ERA. He's 1-0 in three road starts with a 1.62 ERA. Dunning has allowed more than one run just once in his four starts and that was two runs. The Tigers will counter with Joey Wentz today who is 1-5 in 10 starts with a 7.80 ERA. Wentz has allowed 11 runs over his last two starts (6 innings). Big edge today to the visitors, take Texas. |
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05-30-23 | Royals v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
No matter what the standings for these teams it's always a rivalry when Kansas City and St Louis matchup. The Royals are in last the AL Central while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central. The Royals start Zack Greinke who is 1-5 on the season with a 4.55 ERA. He's been much better of late, allowing three earned runs over his last two starts. Miles Mikolas starts for the Cardinals with a 3-1 record and 4.23 ERA. He's allowed five total runs over his last four starts. Both pitchers pitching well and I will take the UNDER here today. |
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05-29-23 | Yankees v. Mariners -134 | 10-4 | Loss | -134 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
The Yankees will start Domingo German today who is two and three overall on the season with a 3.75 ERA. German has pitched better of late allowing just three total earned runs over his last three starts, that's 13 and 2/3 innings. The Seattle Mariners will start Bryce Miller who is three and one with a 1.15 ERA on the season. He's been even better at home with a 2-0 record and 0.00 ERA. In fact in all five of his starts this year he's only allowed one run or more one time. Yankees are 32 and 23 on the season but still trail first place Tampa Bay by seven games. Meanwhile Seattle is 28 and 25 on the season 5 and 1/2 games back of the Texas Rangers. The Mariners have won two straight and seven of their last 10 games. I'll be on the home team here today on Seattle Mariners. |
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05-29-23 | Heat +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to make history here today as the only team ever to come back from an 0-3 deficit to win a series. Game 6 was a great game and we can only hope game 7 here on Monday is as good. For me, I'm taking the points here today. I don't feel Miami will just roll over and give in. This is still a lot of points to lay in a NBA conference finals. Take Miami plus the points. |
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05-29-23 | Pirates +128 v. Giants | 4-14 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates coming off a loss on Sunday at Seattle 6-3, as they lost two of their three-game set to the Mariners. Today they will send Rich Hill to the mound who is 4-4 with a 4.44 ERA. Hill has done better on the road this year with a 3-1 record and 2.31 ERA. The San Francisco Giants lost on Sunday at Milwaukee 7-5, as they took three of four games from the Brewers. Today they will start Anthony Descalfani who is 3-4 on the season with a 3.43 ERA. That goes up slightly at home at 4.25 ERA. He's also coming off a game where he allowed seven runs over just five innings to the Twins in a loss. Pirates a good dog I'll take that price here today. Take Pittsburgh. |
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05-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 9 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Game three between these teams here on Sunday as the teams have split the first two games. The Rays took Friday's game, 9-3 and the Dodgers took Saturday's, 6-5. Both games have gone over. For the Dodgers, they have gone over in six of their last seven games. LA starts Gavin Stone for just the third time here today. Stone has no record but a lofty 10.13 ERA. The Rays have gone over in eight straight games. They will start Josh Fleming here today. Fleming has no record after two starts with a 5.63 ERA. Not much to know about Fleming, but Stone has not been good. I'm taking the over here today. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Game 6 of the NBA East Finals as the Heat now lead 3-2 over the Celtics. Don't tell the Celtics that no team has every come from an 0-3 deficit to win. After losing the first three games, Boston has won the last two, in easy fashion. They won game four, 116-99 and then game 5 110-97. A win here in game 6 by the Celtics and they likely will break that NBA curse of being down 0-3 in a series. If I'm the Miami Heat coaches, I will be drilling into my players that this is the game to win. They can't afford to lose and expect to go back to Boston and take game seven. That all being said, I'll take Miami here plus the points at home to finish this series. I'll also take the UNDER as I don't see the Heat winning a shootout. I look for the two to go hand in hand tonight. Take Heat and UNDER. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Game 6 of the NBA East Finals as the Heat now lead 3-2 over the Celtics. Don't tell the Celtics that no team has every come from an 0-3 deficit to win. After losing the first three games, Boston has won the last two, in easy fashion. They won game four, 116-99 and then game 5 110-97. A win here in game 6 by the Celtics and they likely will break that NBA curse of being down 0-3 in a series. If I'm the Miami Heat coaches, I will be drilling into my players that this is the game to win. They can't afford to lose and expect to go back to Boston and take game seven. That all being said, I'll take Miami here plus the points at home to finish this series. I'll also take the UNDER as I don't see the Heat winning a shootout. I look for the two to go hand in hand tonight. Take Heat and UNDER. |
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05-27-23 | Reds +165 v. Cubs | 8-5 | Win | 165 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
AL Central matchup here today has the Cubs hosting the Reds. The Cubs are in 3rd place in the NL Central with the Cardinals right behind at 5-games back. In fact, top to bottom in the division are separated by just five games. The Reds will start Brandon Williamson who has no record in two starts with a 3.60 ERA. The Cubs will start Jameson Taillon who is 0-3 in his seven starts with a 8.10 ERA. He has allowed16 runs over his last three starts (9 2/3 innings). Somehow though Taillon and the Cubs a big favorite, not sure how that came to be. I'll take a show with the Reds here at this nice price against a poor pitcher. Play Cincinnati. |
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05-27-23 | Nationals +103 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 103 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
These two last place teams continue their set here on Saturday. The Nationals took game one here on Friday in a shootout, 12-10. The Nats used a eight-run 6th inning and then had to hold on as they allowed eight runs over the last four innings. Josiah Gray gets the start on Saturday for the Nats. Gray is 4-5 in his 10 starts with a very nice 2.65 ERA. He's been even better on the road with a 2.21 ERA in six away starts. The Royals counter with Brady Singer who is 3-4 in his 10 starts with a 7.48 ERA. I had the Nats yesterday and I will stick with them here today. Play Washington. |
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05-26-23 | Nationals +113 v. Royals | 12-10 | Win | 113 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Battle of last place teams here on Saturday as the AL Central last place Royals host the NL East last place Nationals. The Nats are 21-29 on the season, now 10-games back of first place Atlanta. Pat Corbin will toe the rubber today for the Nats with a 3-5 record in his 10 starts. Corbin has six quality starts this year with a 4.47 ERA. He's been very good of late too, allowing just two runs in each of his last four starts and nothing over three runs in his last seven starts. The Royals are just 15-36 overall and 11.5-games back of the Twins. They lost yesterday to the Tigers, 4-6 and have lost seven of their last 10 games. Jordan Lyles will take to the hill today for the Royals. Lyles is 0-8 in his 10 starts with a 6.83 ERA. Lyles has only one quality start and his run support has been less than stellar. I'm sticking with the Nationals and Corbin here today. Play Washington. |
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05-26-23 | Rangers +128 v. Orioles | Top | 12-2 | Win | 128 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The Baltimore Orioles look to make it three games in a row here today as they host the Texas Rangers. The Orioles are in 2nd place in the tough AL East with a 33-17 record and +45 run differential. Grayson Rodriguez get the starts for the O's today. He's 2-1 in his nine starts with a 6.21 ERA. Those numbers are a bit worse at home where he has a 7.36 ERA in four starts. The Texas Rangers lead the AL West right now with a 31-18 record and 3-game lead over the Houston Astros. They have the 2nd best run differential in baseball at +112, only Tampa Bay is better at +114. Jon Gray gets the start today with a 4-1 record in his nine starts. Gray has a 3.02 ERA and an even better 2.20 road ERA. He's also allowed just two total runs over his last three starts (20 innings). I like the Rangers today, especially on the mound with a big edge with Gray today. Play Texas. |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
The Celtics could have easily rolled over and went quietly after being down 0-3 in this series with the Heat. But, they didn't and won easily on game four, 116-99. The Celtics shot 51.2% from the field and a series best 40% from the 3-point arc. The only negative is that they were out-rebounded for the third time in the series. So here we are in game five and the Celtics face the arduous task of trying to become the ONLY team in NBA history to come from a 0-3 deficit to win a series. The oddsmaker thinks they have a good shot tonight, making them an eight-point favorite. For me, that's too many points to give this Heat team that has already beaten the Celtics at Boston twice in this series. I'll take the points here tonight with Miami. |
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05-25-23 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
We had a winner with the Orioles on Wednesday as they came from behind to get this key AL East win. The AL East is the best division in baseball as it's the only one with all teams above .500 and all teams in the plus run differential. The Rays jumped out to that huge lead, but have seen it dwindle to jus three games over the Orioles and six over the Yankees. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with the Yankees taking game one and the Orioles game two yesterday. Tonight, Kyle Gibson will start for the O's. Gibson is 5-3 on the season with a 4.27 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 5.09 ERA. The Yankees will counter with Clarke Schmidt who is only 2-4 in his 10 starts with a 6.00 ERA. Both pitchers have been very inconsistent and considering both have excellent hitting teams, I'll take the OVER. |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Another key AFC East clash as the best division in baseball has their top team, the Tampa Bay Rays, taking on Toronto. The Rays once had a huge lead in the East, but it's gone down to just 3-games over Baltimore. The Blue Jays are in last place, but still have a winning record. They are 9.5-games back and need this head-to-head wins to cut into that lead. The Blue Jays have lost two of the first three games in this series, despite outscoring the Rays by a 27-14 margin. Ok, 20 of those runs came in a 20-1 lopsided win. All three games have gone over and in fact, the last five games have gone over for the Jays. Alek Manoah will start today for the Jays with a 1-4 mark in his 10 starts and a 5.15 ERA. The Rays will counter with Zach Eflin who is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA in his eight starts. I look for both teams to get plenty of runs here tonight. I'll be on the OVER. |
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05-24-23 | Orioles +124 v. Yankees | 9-6 | Win | 124 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
AL East matchup here today has the Yankees hosting the Orioles. The AL East is the best division in baseball. All five teams are above the .500 mark and all five teams have a plus in run differential. So to be the East is a tough proposition, especially after the way the Rays started the season. The Orioles are in 2nd place with a 31-17 record and have closed to three games back of the Rays. The Yankees are in 3rd place at 30-20 and five back of the Rays. Tyler Wells starts today for the O's. Wells is 3-1 in his eight starts with a 3.26 ERA. He's only allowed four total runs over his last three starts (17 innings). Then Yanks will start Nestor Cortes tonight with a 4-2 record and 5.21 ERA. He hasn't been great of late, allowing eight runs over his last two starts (10 1/3 innings). I like the way Baltimore has competed this year and I'll take them here today as a small dog. |
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05-24-23 | Diamondbacks -101 v. Phillies | 5-6 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Arizona has won four straight games and closed to within just 1.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West at 29-20. Not many even counted the D'backs as a contender in the West with the Dodgers and Padres. But the Dodgers are down this year and the Padres have yet to show their potential. Zac Gallen will start today for the D'backs. Gallen is one if not the best pitcher on this staff. Gallen has a 6-2 record after 10 starts with a 2.95 ERA. The Phillies have to be one of the bigger disappointments in baseball this year. At just 22-26 and seven games back of the Braves, the Phils have a 3-7 record their last 10 games, lost two straight and have a negative 32 run differential. Picking up Shortstop Trea Turner was supposed to be that cog that put this team to the next level, but thus far Turner has been a bust with his huge contract. Ranger Suarez starts today for just the third time this year. Suarez is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA. Too many questions still plague this Phils team. But the D'backs have been very good and have one of their best on the hill today. Play Arizona. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat -1.5 | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat can wrap up the NBA Eastern Conference Finals here tonight in their own home building. The Heat have dominated the Celtics, winning by seven and six at Boston and then by 18 in game three at home. They have already beaten the Bucks in this postseason and now look to beat the two best teams in the East during the regular season. The Celtics have been the worst underperforming team in the NBA postseason as many expected them to win it all. Will they bounce back here tonight? Consider no team has ever come back from a 0-3 deficit in the playoffs and one has wonder if they even care at this point. I don't expect the Heat to take their foot off the pedal here tonight. Miami's offense was something to be desired as the playoffs started. However, Jimmy Butler has looked very dominant averaging 29.9 ppg. I don't look for Boston to roll over here tonight. However, do they have an answer for Butler? They haven't so far. I'm taking Miami to close this one out tonight. |
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05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -141 | 4-0 | Loss | -141 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Dallas Stars could easily be 2-0 in this series with the Golden Knights. Yet, they return to Dallas in a must win spot here tonight trailing 0-2. The Stars were 3-0 vs Vegas in the regular season and really easily handled them. So it figures they had high hopes with this matchup. But Dallas had to force OT late in the third period of game one only to lose early in OT. Then Dallas really outplayed Vegas for most of the game in game two. But a late Vegas goal tied the score at forced another OT. This time Vegas again got the fortunate bounce and a win early in OT. However, Dallas has to be confident here in game three. They have had great goal tending and they have played very physical and great defense. Everyone thought a physical/defensive game would benefit Vegas, but it's really helped Dallas. Just some unlucky bounces of the puck have them down 0-2. I'm taking Dallas tonight. They have to win this game or go down 0-3. They have the home crowd behind them and if they play like they did in game two, it's a Dallas win. Play Dallas. |
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05-23-23 | Tigers -115 v. Royals | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
AL Central clash here tonight has the Kansas City Royals hosting the Detroit Tigers. The first place Twins are the only team with a record above .500 and that's barely at 25-23. Detroit is second, 2 1/2 games back with a 21-24 record and Kansas City is last 11.5-games back at 14-35. Detroit will start Eduardo Rodriquez, arguably their best pitcher. While his record is only 4-3, his ERA is a fine 2.06 and in his last seven starts just 1.16. Rodriquez has also allowed zero runs in four of his start this season. The Kansas City Royals are yet to name their starter as of this writing. That doesn't matter to me since my pick on this game is because of Rodriquez against any Royals pitcher. I like this guy a lot and expect a win tonight for Detroit. |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -150 | 113-111 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
So if you go by history, the Lakers are done. NO team and that means NEVER in the NBA history has a team come back from down 0-3 to win a playoff series. But, don't tell the Lakers that. Lebron James says to just take it one game at a time. So do the Lakers roll over and get ready to go on vacation? Or will they play for some pride? I think the latter as James and this deep team wants to win at home for the home crowd. I'm not looking at any numbers or trends here for this game. Rather I'm expecting some fight to still be in this Lakers team and at least give it a good go tonight. Play the Lakers on the Money Line. |
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05-22-23 | Dodgers v. Braves -135 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
Battle of first place teams here on Monday has the NL West leading Dodgers traveling to Atlanta to take on the NL East leading Braves. The Braves lead the Mets by five games. The Braves beat the Mariners on Sunday, 3-2 as they took two of the three games in the series. The Braves returned home to play Seattle after a six game road trip that saw them go 1-5. The Dodgers just dropped three of four games at St Louis as their pitching really let them down, allowing 27 runs. This road trip doesn't get any easier to as they head to Atlanta. The Dodgers are forced to start Gavin Stone here today as they have recently lost May and Urias to injuries. Stone has one start this year and that was vs the Phillies where he gave up four runs over four innings of work. Stone is supposed to be a star in the Dodgers farm system so we'll see if that will emerge in the "show." Atlanta will send Charlie Morton to the hill today. Morton is 5-3 in his eight starts with a nice 2.85 ERA. Morton has allowed two runs or fewer in six of his eight starts. He's only allowed two runs in his last two starts (12 2/3 innings). I will take Morton and the Braves here today as the Dodgers bullpen has to be spent after that St Louis series. Play Atlanta. |
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05-21-23 | Mariners +103 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
The Mariners and Braves conclude their three-game series here today. The teams have split the first two games with Atlanta winning on Friday, 6-2 and the Mariners taking Saturday's contest, 7-3. The M's can get back to the .500 mark with a win today as they sit at 22-23 overall. The Braves have a comfortable lead in the NL East with their 28-17 record and 4.5-game lead over the Marlins. The Braves are the only team in the East division that has a positive run differential at +62 runs. Seattle will start George Kirby today who is 5-2 in his eight starts with a 2.45 ERA. The numbers are even better on the road with a 2-1 mark in four away starts and a 1.95 ERA. Kirby has been solid all season with seven quality starts. The Braves will start Jared Shuster today. Shuster is 0-2 in three starts with a 7.24 ERA. Big edge in pitching to the Mariners today. Getting them as a small dog with Kirby is a bonus. Take Seattle. |
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05-21-23 | Tigers v. Nationals -123 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
The Detroit Tigers and Washington Nationals close out their set here on Sunday. The teams have split the first two games with Detroit taking Friday contest, 8-6 and the Nationals taking Saturday's, 5-2. The Tigers are still in 2nd place in the AL Central even though they have a losing record at 20-23 and a negative run differential at -49. The good news is that they are jut 3.5 games back of first place Minnesota. The Nationals are in last in the NL East with a 19-27 record, 9.5 games back of first place Atlanta. Joey Wentz will start today for the Tigers with a 1-3 record and 6.38 ERA. He's been slightly better on the road with a 6.00 ERA. The Nationals will start Josiah Gray. Despite his 3-5 overall record, Gray has a nice 2.73 ERA. He's allowed two runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. I like Gray a lot here to win the series for the Nats today. Play Washington. |
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05-20-23 | Red Sox +114 v. Padres | 4-2 | Win | 114 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Late game on the schedule has Boston taking on the San Diego Padres from Petco Stadium. Boston is 25-20 but in fourth place in the AL East, 7.5-games back of the Rays. They have the misfortune of playing in the best division in baseball where every team is above .500 and all teams have a plus run differential. Chris Sale gets the start tonight. Sale is 3-2 in his eight starts with a 5.40 ERA. However, he's pitched much better of late, allowing five total runs over his last three starts (20 2/3 innings). The San Diego Padres have to be one of the biggest disappointments thus far. WIth all their big name free agent signings and the return of Tatis Jr, you would think this team wouldn't be in the red in run differential, but they are. And they are just 20-25 and 8.5-games back of the Dodgers. Joe Musgrove makes his fifth start tonight. Musgrove is 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA. Have to see if Musgrove will return to his form of last year or is this a common theme on this underperforming Padres team. For me, I'll take the underdog Red Sox here tonight. Play Boston. |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
I had the Lakers in game two because I liked the momentum that had in the fourth quarter of game one. They made that huge comeback and gave Denver a big scare. Game two they had that same energy for the first three quarters and led by as much as 10-points. But Jamal Murray went wild in the 4th with 20 points and the Lakers lost, but did get the cover - just barely. So, how will game three play out? First, the Lakers transition game has to get better than it did in games one and two. Second, while the Lakers have a very deep team, Lebron and Anthony Davis need to step up their scoring. If Davis and James get their rear ends in gear here in game three, they will win. Plus, both teams have been much better on their home courts. Must win spot here today for the Lakers. I'm taking them minus the points. Play LA Lakers. |
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05-20-23 | Tigers v. Nationals -110 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers are in second place in the AL Central. That's the good news. The bad news? They are 20-22 and have a -46 run differential. The Tigers took game one of this set with the Nats on Friday, 8-6. Alex Faedo will start today with his 0-1 record in his two starts. He has a 4.22 ERA and has eight KO's and one walk in his 10 2/3 innings of work. The Nationals are in last in the NL East with a 18-27 record. They have lost four straight and seven of their last 10. Pat Corbin gets the start today with his 2-5 record and 4.65 ERA. Corbin has been very good of late, allowing two runs in each of his last three starts and no more than three runs in any of his last six starts. I like Corbin here today. Take the Nationals. |
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05-19-23 | Twins -119 v. Angels | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins lost their last game at the LA Dodgers on a Grand Slam in the 8th by rookie James Outman. The Twins dropped two of three to the Dodgers but remain in 1st place in the AL Central. No other team in the division has a .500 or better mark. The Twins will stay in LA and take on the Angels tonight. The Angels are in 3rd place in the AL West with a 23-23 record. The Angels coming off a four game split at Baltimore. They will start Reid Detmers here today. Detmers is 0-3 in his seven starts with a 4.89 ERA. The Twins will counter with Joe Ryan. Ryan is 6-1 on the season with a nifty 2.16 ERA. He's only allowed three runs over his last four starts (25 total innings). Big edge here tonight to the Twins. I'll take Minnesota. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers +6 v. Nuggets | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show | |
The Lakers may have lost game one of the NBA West finals but in reality they have a moral victory. They trailed through three quarters by as much as 21 points. They gave up 74 half time points. They gave Jokic a new record, the only player to have more than 10 rebounds and 5 assists in one playoff quarter. Their transition game looked bad, they were getting killed on the offensive and defensive boards. Bad, huh. But somehow they rallied in the four quarter and trailed by three points with just over one minute to play. The final score was Denver by six, which just happened to be the line on the game. So Laker players really had found money as they got a push. The Lakers showed up in Denver 48 hours early to get acclimated to the high altitude and that may have played a part in their rally. No matter what, the Lakers have something to build on as we get ready for game two. They can use the momentum from that game one fourth quarter and the fact that they took the best Denver had to give them, but still came close at the end. The Lakers also took Anthony Davis off Jokic and that helped the Lakers and Davis. Plus, you can't overlook the pedigree the Lakers have with Lebron and having won the Championship just a few years ago in the "bubble" season. For these matters, I'm taking the points with the Lakers here in game two. Play LA Lakers. |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics had to survive a seven game grueling series with the Philadelphia 76ers to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. This marks the third time in the last four years that these teams will face off in the Finals of the East. The Miami Heat disposed of the NY Knicks in six games so they got a bit of extra rest. The Heat had to win that series without two key players in Victor Oladipo and Tyler Herro. Both players will be out tonight. The Celtics should be fortunate to be here after trailing Philly 2-3 in that series and getting blown out in game five. It took the heroics of Jayson Tatum in both game six and seven to pull the Celtics butts from the fire. Miami is the more rested team here tonight and the Celtics might be set for a letdown after that comeback vs the Sixers. This line is too big for me and I'll gladly take the points in game one. Play Miami. |
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05-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Arizona continues to hold onto second place in the NL West, three games back of the Dodgers. They have leveled off though, going 5-5 their last 10 games and losing on Tuesday to Oakland, 8-9. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the D'backs winning on Monday, 5-2. The Oakland A's finally got to the double digits in wins with their win on Tuesday. Still, they have the worst record in baseball at 10-34 and worst run differential in baseball at -159 runs. Ryne Nelson will start for the D'backs today with his 1-2 record in eight starts. He also has a 6.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP. The A's counter with Luis Medina, who is 0-2 with a 8.18 ERA. Neither pitcher is very good and considering how many runs the A's allow, I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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05-16-23 | Diamondbacks -146 v. A's | 8-9 | Loss | -146 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona having a much better season than many expected. They are 23-18 and just three games back of first place Dodgers. The D'backs beat Oakland in game one of this series yesterday, 5-2. Now they turn to Tommy Henry tonight. Henry is 1-1 in his four starts with a 4.43 ERA. The A's still haven't hit double digits in wins as they have just nine. They drew just over 2,000 fans on Monday as many have abandoned them as they look to move to Las Vegas. Kyle Muller will start tonight. Muller is 1-3 with a 7.34 ERA. He's allowed 11 runs over his last two starts (9 2/3 innings). I'm taking the D'backs on the run line here today. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 126-132 | Push | 0 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
The Lakers and Nuggets begin their seven game Western Conference Finals here tonight from Denver. The Lakers went six games to dispose of the Golden State Warriors, winning game six in a blowout, 122-101. In fact, only two of the six games in the series were decided by five points or fewer. The Lakers also lost two of three on the road in that series, by 15, 27 and they won game one by 5-points. The Lakers are now 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Denver also won their series with Phoenix in six games. And like the Lakers series, only two games were within seven points. The other four were blowout wins. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS their last seven at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets are also 5-1-1 ATS their last seven vs the Lakers from Denver. I'm taking Denver in game one and if it sticks to script, likely a blowout win by the Nuggets. |
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05-16-23 | Braves v. Rangers -103 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves tied an all-time MLB record with five, 2-run home runs in their game against the Rangers on Monday. The 12-0 win by the Braves snapped a four game losing streak as the Braves are on a 14 game Interleague schedule. The Braves will start Jared Shuster tonight. Shuster has a 0-1 record in his two starts with a 8.30 ERA. He's allowed four earned runs in both of his starts thus far. The loss by the Rangers snapped a two-game win streak. They have also won seven of their last 10 games. Dane Dunning will start today for the Rangers. Dunning has a 1-0 record in his two starts with a 1.64 ERA. He's only allowed two total runs in both starts (11 innings). I'll take the Rangers to bounce back from that lopsided loss on Monday. Play Texas. |
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05-15-23 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. A's | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks are the closest team to first place LA Dodgers in the West, as they trail by three games with their 23-18 record. The D'backs have won three straight games taking three of four in their set vs San Francisco. Merrill Kelly will start for the D'backs today. Kelly is 3-3 with a 3.57 ERA. He's been very impressive on the road with a 1.15 ERA and 3-0 record in his three away starts. What can you say about the Oakland A's. It's almost a party event when they win these days. They did win one of their four games with Texas and that took 10 innings. In fact they scored more runs in that win (9) then they did combined in the three losses (3). The A's have the worst record in baseball at 9-33 and the worst run differential in baseball at -157 runs. Just in the Rangers series they were outscored 12-27. Drew Rucinski looking for his first win. He's 0-3 in three starts with a 8.16 ERA. Don't see him getting it here today either. Play the Diamondbacks on the Run Line. |
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05-15-23 | Mariners -117 v. Red Sox | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox begin their series here today. The Mariners lost their game on Sunday at Detroit, 3-5. The M's took two of their three games from Detroit. The bullpen has been great for Seattle with a 2.81 ERA and 12 saves. They have been even better of late with a 1.93 ERA their last seven games. The Boston Red Sox are coming off three loss sweep at the hands of St Louis. That makes five losses out of their last six games. The Sox are in last place in the AL East with a 22-19 record. Tanner Houck will start for Boston today. Houck is 3-2 with a 5.26 ERA. The Mariners send George Kirby to the hill. Kirby is 4-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 2.14 road ERA. He's coming off a seven inning start vs Texas where he allowed six hits and no runs for the win. I like Kirby here today. Play the Mariners. |
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05-14-23 | Mets v. Nationals +179 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The NY Mets and Washington Nationals game was suspended after three innings on Saturday. The teams waited four hours for the rain to subside but it did not. That means they will resume this game as part of a split doubleheader on Sunday. As for this game, I'm looking at the game between Scherzer and Irvin. It looks to me that this is the end for Max Scherzer. He has not looked his old self in some time and the writing of the career is on the wall. Scherzer is 2-2 in his five starts with a 5.56 ERA. He is coming off a start where he allowed eight hits and six runs over just 3 2/3 innings to the Tigers. The control has not been their either with many more walks then he is accustomed to. Yet here he is, a big favorite. On name only at this point I presume. Jake Irvin is an upcoming star for the Nationals. He has two starts this season and has allowed one run in 10 2/3 innings with a 0.84 ERA. I'll take the youngster here today at this nice price vs a pitcher whose better days are behind him. Play Washington. |
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05-14-23 | Giants -130 v. Diamondbacks | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Giants dropped their game at Arizona on Saturday, 2-7. The teams split the first two games of the series with the Giants taking game one, 6-2. The rubber game here today has Logan Webb making the start for the Giants. Webb is 3-5 in his eight starts with a decent 3.98 ERA. Webb has pitched very well of late, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts. He also has 27 KO's vs just five walks. The D'backs will start Brandon Pfaadt who is 0-1 after two starts. PFaadt has allowed seven runs in his first start and six in his second for a 12.10 ERA. I like the Giants a lot here today as they have a very hot pitcher on the hill. Play San Francisco. |
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05-14-23 | Rangers v. A's OVER 9 | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers got back on the winning track with their win on Saturday over the A's, 5-0. They have taken two of the first three in this series as the play the set final here on Sunday. Andrew Heaney will start today for the Rangers with a 2-3 record in his seven starts. Heaney has a 5.25 ERA and a 2.31 road ERA. Drew Rucinski will get the start for the A's. Rucinski is 0-3 in his three starts with a 8.16 ERA. Two poor pitchers here today. For me, that means just one play, take the OVER. |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Game seven of this NBA Eastern Conference Semifinal match between the 76ers and the Lakers. The winner goes to the conference finals. Philly could have closed this series out in game six at home but came up short to the Celtics, 86-95. The Sixers shot just 36.1% from the field (their lowest of the series). They also shot 23.5% from the 3-point arc, their second worst of the series. While Boston has regained home court, home court hasn't been all that kind to them. The Celtics have lost two of their three games at home to Philly, including game five, 103-115. The Sixers star forward, Joel Embiid, is probable today with a knee injury. I like the Celtics today, mainly because the Sixers blew their chance in game six. Boston just too good a team all season long to give up a game seven on their home court. Play Boston. |
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05-14-23 | Phillies v. Rockies +149 | 0-4 | Win | 149 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Philadelphia took Saturday's game from Colorado, 7-4. The Phils have taken both of the first two games of this set, including Friday's game, 6-3. The Phils are also on a five game winning streak. Aaron Nola starts today for Philly with a 3-2 record in his eight starts and a 4.44 ERA. Nola coming off a in vs Toronto, 8-4, where he allowed five hits and two runs over six innings. While the Rockies have lost two straight, they are 8-4 over their last 12 games. Kyle Freeland will start for the Rockies. Freeland is 3-4 in his eight starts with a 3.57 ERA. He's allowed just two runs over his last 12 innings of work with nine Ko's and just three walks. The Rockies playing well enough of late to take this rubber game on Sunday. Take Colorado. |
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05-13-23 | Rangers -130 v. A's | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Oakland A's with a rare win on Friday over the Rangers as they take the game 9-7 in 10 innings. It was only the 9th win on the season for the A's and their fourth in the last 16 games. Today, the A's will send JP Sears to the hill. Sears is 0-3 in his seven starts with a 5.55 ERA. Sears coming off a loss at the Yankees where he allowed five runs over 5 1/3 innings of work. The Rangers will counter with Jon Gray. Gray is 2-1 in his seven starts and a 3.82 ERA. Gray coming off a win at Seattle, where he went seven innings and allowed four hits and one run. I can't see the A's winning back-to-back games. I'll take the Rangers. |
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05-13-23 | Rays -128 v. Yankees | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
AL East clash here on Saturday has the best team in baseball, the Rays, taking on the last place Yankees. This is the best division in baseball, as not only are all five teams above the .500 mark but all five teams have a plus run differential. No other division in baseball comes close. The Yankees are nine games back so this matchup, while early, is big for the Yankees. The Yankees won game one of this series on Friday with a 6-5 victory by scoring two runs in the bottom of the 8th to grab the win. Nestor Cortes will start for the Yankees. Cortes is 3-2 in his seven starts with a 4.74 ERA. For the most part Cortes has been good, but he did allow seven runs over five innings two starts ago. The Rays will counter with Shane McClanahan. McClanahan is 7-0 in his eight starts with the team winning all eight. He has a great ERA of 1.76 and a WHIP of 1.130. How consistent has McClanahan been? He has not allowed more than two runs in any of his eight starts. Best team in baseball with arguably the best pitcher in baseball. I'll take that combo here today. Play the Rays. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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05-12-23 | Rangers -1.5 v. A's | 7-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
It's just a dismal season for the Oakland A's. Not only are they the worst team in baseball with a 8-31 record, they also have the worst run differential in baseball at -146 runs. The A's have very little fan base left in the Bay Area as they are looking to relocate the team to Las Vegas. This are opposite for the Texas Rangers as they are in first place in the AL West with a 23-14 record and have one of the best run differentials as +86 runs. The Rangers will start Martin Perez today, who is 4-1 in his seven starts with a 3.86 ERA. He is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing seven runs over 3 2/3 innings to the Angels though the Rangers did win, 16-8. Oakland will counter with Ken Waldichuk who is 1-2 in his seven starts and a 7.25 ERA. Waldichuk's season has mirrored the A's season as he's been bad mostly with one good start out of seven. I had the Rangers on the Run line yesterday and won, so I'm going to do it again here on Friday. Take the Rangers on the Run Line. |
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05-12-23 | Cubs v. Twins UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cubs and Twins open this series here tonight in Minnesota. The Cubs are coming off a series loss to the Cardinals, losing two of three games. They did take the finale on Wednesday, 10-4. The Cards are still in last place in the NL Central with a 13-25 record, eight back of the Pirates. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Drew Smyly gets the start today for the Cubs with a 3-1 record in his seven starts and a 3.05 ERA> Smyly has been very good of late, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last six starts. The Twins have won two straight and are 21-17 and in 1st place in the AL Central. The Twins took two of three from the San Diego Padres. All three Padre games went UNDER. In fact, the Twins have now gone under in six straight games. The bullpen and starters have been solid, with the pen holding a 3.56 ERA. I like this one to be another low scoring clash. I'll take the UNDER. |
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05-11-23 | Rangers -1.5 v. A's | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers are in 1st place in the AL West with a 22-14 overall record. They have won seven of their last 10 games including yesterday's game over Seattle, 4-3. Now they begin this series with the A's. The A's are in last place in the West with a 8-30 record. Oakland not only has the fewest wins in baseball (8) but also the worst run differential of -142 runs. Nathan Eovaldi will start for the Rangers with a 4-2 record and 3.22 ERA. Eovaldi has been hot of late too, allowing no runs over his last two starts, 17 innings and eight hits. While the A's have not officially listed a starter, for me it doesn't really matter as they will not be getting much vs Eovaldi tonight. Play the Rangers on the Run line vs any Oakland pitcher. |
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05-11-23 | Padres v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Both these teams took of Wednesday after playing game on Tuesday with the Padres winning that one, 6-1. The Padres got back above the .500 mark with a 19-18 record, 3.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. The Twins are in 1st place in the AL Central at 20-17 and the only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential (+22). The Padres will start Yu Darvish who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 3.19 ERA. Darvish has pitched well, allowing one run in three of his last four starts. The Twins counter with Bailey Ober who is 2-0 in three starts with a 0.98 ERA. He's only allowed two total runs in 18 2/3 innings. Two very good pitchers here today. I'll play the UNDER. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State and the Lakers play game five of their best of seven series with the Lakers holing a 3-1 lead and the Warriors facing elimination here tonight. The Lakers took game four at home on Monday, 104-101, and either covered or didn't depending on the number you got. For me, I had the Warriors but found a 3.5 and got the win. The Warriors are a very experience and well seasoned team and I don't expect them to go quietly. I'm taking the Warriors here tonight to get back in the fight. Play Golden State. |
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05-10-23 | Nationals +135 v. Giants | 11-6 | Win | 135 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals lost on Tuesday at San Francisco, 1-4. They are still 6-4 over their last 10 games and 15-21 overall and in last place in the NL East. Josiah Gray will start today for the Nats with his 2-5 record after seven starts. Gray has a 3.03 ERA and a 2.38 ERA on the road. He's pitched very consistently over his last six starts, allowing two runs or fewer in five of those and three in the other. The Giants are 16-19 and five back of the Dodgers in the NL West. They have the worst run differential in the West at -28 runs. San Francisco will counter with Sean Manaea today who is 1-1 after five starts. Manaea has a very high 6.75 ERA and has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts (10 2/3 innings. I like the way Gray has been so consistent and good over his last five starts. I'll take the Nats as a live dog here on Wednesday. |
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05-10-23 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -134 | 5-4 | Loss | -134 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Arizona looking to rebound against Miami here on Wednesday after dropping Tuesday's contest, 2-6. The D'backs still sit in 2nd place in the NL West, 1.5-games back of the Dodgers. Miami won for just the second time in their last eight games. The Marlins are just 18-19 overall on the season but in 2nd place in the NL East. Edward Cabrera will start today for Miami with a 2-3 record in his seven starts. Cabrera also has a 4.78 ERA and 5.82 road ERA. Arizona will counter with Merrill Kelly. Kelly is 3-3 in his seven starts with a 3.20 ERA. He's coming off two excellent starts, allowing two runs over 13 innings with 15 KO's and just two walks. I'll take Kelly and the D'backs here today. |
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05-10-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers and Brewers have split the first two games of this series with Milwaukee taking Monday's game, 9-3 and the Dodgers taking Tuesday's game, 6-2. The Dodgers have won eight of their last 10 games and sit in first in the NL West with a 22-15 record. The Brewers are in 2nd in the NL Central with a 20-16 record. Clayton Kershaw looks to rebound from his sub-par performance last time out vs the Padres. He gave up five runs over 4 2/3 innings to take the loss. Kershaw was the player of the Month in April with a 5-1 record. Overall he's 5-2 now with a very good 2.53 ERA. Kershaw might be out to prove something here today after the Padres scoreboard made fun of him after his loss showing him with tears streaming down his face. Bold statement for a team that the Dodgers have owned over recent times and something for the bulletin board when the Padres visit LA this weekend. The Brewers will counter with Wade Miley here today who is 3-1 in his six starts with a 2.31 era. He's been even better at home with a 2-0 mark in three starts and a 1.59 ERA. This one has all the markings of a fine pitcher's duel. For me I'll take the UNDER. |
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05-10-23 | Tigers v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians continue their series here on Wednesday after the Guardians took Tuesday's game, 2-0. Cleveland is 17-19 and in 2nd place in the AL Central. The only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential is first place Minnesota at 19-17. Runs have been at a premium for this Guardian team, as they have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games. Peyton Battenfield will make his fifth start today for Cleveland. Battenfield is 0-3 with a 3.22 ERA and has received just one run of support in his last five starts. The Tigers are 16-19 and in third place in the AL Central. The Tigers will start Eduardo Rodriguez who is 3-2 with a 1.81 ERA in his seven starts. Like his counterpart today, runs have been hard to get when he starts as the Tigers have three runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. Both pitchers are good and both offenses are poor. I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
This series all tied up at two games each after Denver won the first two games at home and then lost the next two at Phoenix. The Suns took game three 121-114 and game four 129-124. Now the series goes back to Denver for game five here tonight. The Nuggets have only covered one of the four games in the series. So far this has been a home series, the home team winning and covering. The Nuggets won by 10 and 18 points at home in the first two games. The Suns are now 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The Nuggets have now covered five of the last seven in this series. And, with the series going back to Denver, I'll take the Nuggets here tonight. |
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05-09-23 | Rays -121 v. Orioles | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -121 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
Tampa Bay is the best team in baseball and they continue to prove it day in and day out. They beat the very good Orioles on Monday, 3-0 as the Rays pitchers scattered seven hits over the game. Tampa is now 29-7 and 6.5-games in front of the Orioles. They have won two straight games and eight of their last 10. The Rays also have a MLB best +118 run differential. The Rays will start Zach Eflin today. Eflin is 4-0 in his five starts with a nice 2.25 ERA. He's coming off a game vs the Pirates where he allowed no runs and three hits over seven innings. The Orioles look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. Grayson Rodriguez will start tonight. He's 1-0 in his six starts with a 5.46 ERA. After having two scoreless outings, Rodriguez gave up eight hits and six runs to the Royals in his last outing. I'm sticking with the best team in baseball tonight with a very good pitcher on the hill. Play Tampa Bay. |
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05-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
The Lakers and Golden State Warriors play game four of their best of seven series here tonight from LA. The Lakers lead this series two games to one after winning game three, 127-97. The Lakers hit 52.5% from the field to just 39.6% for the Warriors. They also hit 48.4% from the three-point arc to just 29.5% for the Warriors. Both teams are as healthy as they have been all year so that won't be of concern tonight. The Warriors usually bounce back well, going 6-1 ATS their last seven games after a straight-up loss and 4-0 ATS after a straight-up loss of 10-points or more. We saw Golden State do this in the Kings series, losing game six by 19-points and then coming back and winning game seven by 20-points. I look for a rebound game here tonight from the Warriors as they even this series tonight. Play Golden State. |
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05-08-23 | Cardinals +116 v. Cubs | 3-1 | Win | 116 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals definitely having an off season thus far at just 11-24 and in last place in the NL Central. The Cardinals finally got a win on Sunday beating the Tigers, 12-6. That win snapped an 8-game losing streak. Miles Mikolas will start today and look to extend the winning streak for the Cards to two games. Mikolas is 1-1 this season with a 5.79 ERA. After a horrible start, Mikolas has settled down, allowing eight runs over his last four starts (23 innings). The Chicago Cubs are 17-17 and lost seven of their last 10 games. Marcus Stroman is 2-2 with a 2.18 ERA this season. While Stroman has pitched well, the Cubs have lost his last three starts. Cards definitely underperforming this season, but I'll take a shot with them here today as a live dog. |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns play game four of their best of seven series here today. The Suns finally got a win to make the series 1-2 in favor of Denver with their win at home on Friday, 114-121. They will have to continue playing with their star guard in Chris Paul who is out with a groin injury. The Suns outshot the Nuggets in game three, 50-5% to 44.3% while both teams were very close in 3-point shooting. It's going to be a tough series for the Suns without Paul. I'm still taking the points here in game four with Denver. Play the Nuggets. |
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05-07-23 | Astros v. Mariners -127 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros look to stay above the .500 mark here on Sunday after their loss to the Mariners on Saturday, 5-7. The teams have split the first two games with the Astros winning on Friday, 6-4. The Astros are in 3rd place in the AL West, 2.5-games back of the Rangers. The Mariners are right behind the Astros in the standings with a 16-17 record. Brandon Bielak will make his first start of the year for the Astros. He's pitched out of teh bullpen with a 4.50 ERA this season with just one game under his belt. Seattle will start Bryce Miller who's first start was on May 2 vs the A's, going six innings and allowing two hits and one run in a no decision. Both young pitchers here without much experience. But if Millers' first start is any indication, he looks to be quite good. I'll take Seattle. |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers escaped from Golden State with a split in the first two games and now have home court on their side. The Lakers took game one of this best of seven series, 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog. The Warriors came roaring back in game two with a blowout win, 127-100 as a 7-point favorite. Now the venue moves back to LA for game three. So far both games have gone over, but that wasn't the case for the Lakers in their first round games. They were 2-4 O/Un in their six games with the Grizzlies. The Warriors were 3-4 O/U in their first series with the Kings. Today's total is right at 228. While this season both teams look to be over plays, they haven't looked like that so far in the playoffs. I'm taking tonight's game UNDER the total. |
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05-06-23 | Blue Jays -140 v. Pirates | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays are in the unfortunate spot of having to play in the best division in baseball. Every team in the AL East is above .500 and the Jays are in 4th with a 19-14 record. Their record would be good for 1st place in either of the other two divisions. They will take on the surprising Pittsburgh Pirates here today. The Pirates are in 1st place in the NL Central with a 20-13 record. However, they have fallen on some hard times losing five straight games. Jose Berrios will start for the Jays today with a 2-3 record and 5.29 ERA. Berrios had three really good starts leading up to his last start where he allow five runs over 5 1/3 innings to the Red Sox. Johan Oviedo will start for the Bucs with a 2-2 record and 4.78 ERA. He also is coming off some bad starts, allowing 11 runs over his last 7 2/3 innings. I'm taking the Jays here today as the Pirates starting to look like the Pirates of old now. Play Toronto. |
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05-06-23 | Twins -107 v. Guardians | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
Minnesota got the shut-out win over the Guardians on Friday, 2-0. That improved the Twins to 19-14 and four games ahead of second place Detroit. The Guardians are in third place with a 14-18 record, 4.5-games back. The Twins are the only team in the AL Central with a positive run differential at +29 Runs. The Twins will start Sonny Gray today. Gray has been amazing this year and an early Cy Young candidate. Gray is 4-0 in his six starts with a 0.77 ERA and 1.057 WHIP. Gray has allowed one run in three of his six starts and no runs in the other three. The Guardians will count with Logan T Allen today who will be making his major league debut. He was supposed to start on April 22nd but the game was postponed. Allen was the team's no 8 prospect. Either way Gray pitching too well for me to pass on the Twins today. Play Minnesota. |
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05-06-23 | Tigers +167 v. Cardinals | 6-5 | Win | 167 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
When you think of the St Louis Cardinals and the Detroit Tigers you automatically think the Cards are the better team. It's been that way for years, right! Not this year. The Detroit Tigers are 14-17 overall and have won four straight games. Meanwhile, the St Louis Cardinals are 10-23, have lost seven games in a row and are in last place in the AL Central. The Tigers will start Spencer Turnbull today who is 1-4 on the season with a 6.84 ERA. Since his poor start, Turnbull has been good, allowing two runs or fewer in three of his four starts and three runs in the other start. Adam Wainwright will make his first start of the season here today. Wainwright will come off the injured list today to make that start. I have to see him pitch to really think he's worth this price on a last place team. But I do know that Turnbull has been pitching much better and I will take the Tigers as a nice dog. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns find themselves in a must win spot here for game three. The Suns lost both games in Denver, 107-125 in game one and 87-97 in game two. The biggest blow came when they lost guard Chris Paul. CP3 is more than a great guard, he's their floor general and without him they are like an army without their leader. The oddsmaker has installed the Suns as a 4-point favorite here tonight. Without Paul I just don't think the Suns have anything left in the tank. I'll take the Nuggets plus the points. |
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05-05-23 | Brewers -118 v. Giants | 4-6 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers are 18-11 and sit 1.5-games back of the Pirates in the NL Central. They have lost two straight games after losing all three games at Colorado. They will start Corbin Burnes here on Friday who has a 3-1 record in his six starts. Burnes has a 4.01 ERA and 1.129 WHIP. He's coming off one of his best starts where he went six innings vs the Angels and allowed five hits over six innings with just one run. The Giants still trying to climb back to the .500 mark after a 12-17 start. They are five games back of the Dodgers in the NL West and have a -20 run differential on the season. Sean Manaea will make his fifth start here today for the Giants. Manaea is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA on the season. Manaea has done worse over his last two starts, allowing 10 runs and nine hits over 5 2/3 innings. I'll take the Brewers here on Friday with Burnes. Play Milwaukee. |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers -113 v. Padres | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
The Dodgers and Padres begin a big series here in the NL West from Petco park. The Dodgers are in 1st place in the West, 1.5-games ahead of the D'backs and 2-games ahead of the third place Padres. The Padres welcomed back Fernando Tatis Jr from his suspension this last week. That provides a big life to this Padres offense which has a -9 run differential. The will face a Dodgers team that has been hitting home runs in bunch. Max Muncy hit a walk off grand slam the other night against the Phillies in the LA win, 10-6. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL and 2nd in baseball only to the Rays in home runs (54). The Dodgers also lead the NL in walks (146). The Padres will start Joe Musgrove today. Musgrove makes only his third start with a 1-0 record and 10.80 ERA. He's coming off a bad start vs the Giants where he allowed six hits and seven runs over 3 1/3 innings. The Dodgers will toss veteran Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is having a fine season with a 5-1 record in his six starts and a 1.89 ERA. He's allowed just one earned run over his last three starts (20 innings) with 24 KO's and just one walk. Kershaw looks a lot like the Kershaw of old and with Musgrove not showing much, I'll take the Dodgers at this low price. |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Philadelphia got out of Boston with a split and that was fine with them. They were without star J.Embiid in game one and came from behind to win that game, 119-115. Then Embiid returned for game two and they lost, 87-121. Now the venue goes back to Philly and Embiid will play today. Philly saw their numbers plummet from game one to two. They went from 50.6% from the field and 44.7% from 3-point arc to just 39.2% and 20% from 3-point arc in game two. How the Celtics lost game one I'm not sure as they shot 58.7% from the field and 38.5% from the 3-point line. They also had double digit leads in that game and the Sixers were without Embiid. That's the NBA for you. I'm taking Philly today plus the points at home. |
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05-05-23 | White Sox v. Reds -105 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Interleague action here on Friday has the Chicago White Sox taking on the Cincinnati Reds. The Sox are in fourth place in the AL Central with a 10-22 record. The Sox lost in Friday's game vs the Twins, 3-7. The did take two of three from the Twins in that series. Now they had to Cincinnati to take on the Reds. The Reds are in 4th place in the NL Central with a 13-18 record. They also lost on Friday to the Padres, 1-7. They dropped two of three in their series with the Padres. Hunter Greene will start today for the Reds. Greene is 0-1 in his six starts with a 2.89 ERA. Greene has allowed just one run over his last three starts (14 innings). Lance Lynn will start for the Sox with his 0-4 record and 7.16 ERA. Lynn has allowed fewer than four runs just one time in his six starts. I'm taking the Reds with a very hot Greene on the hill. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Had to expect the Warriors to come out in game one of their Semifinals match with the Lakers a bit flat. They had just come off an emotional seven game series with the Sacramento Kings and had to win game seven on the road. Their loss to the Lakers, 112-117, has them in a must-win spot here in game two. Lose and go back to LA down 0-2. I don't see that happening. If you look at if from the Lakers point of view, they stole game one and if you asked them, they would be more than happy to go back to LA with home court advantage and the series tied 1-1. That could lead to some complacency here tonight on their part. Too much experience and history winning big games and championships for this Warriors team and Stephen Curry to go down 0-2. I'll take the Warriors in a rebound effort here on Thursday. |
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05-04-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Seattle Mariners trying to find that success they had last season are jut 13-16 on the season. They have won two straight games, including Wednesday's game over the A's in extra innings. They will look for the sweep against the A's here on Thursday. One strength of this team has been their bullpen, as they have just a 2.92 overall ERA. George Kirby will make his sixth start here today. Kirby is 2-2 on the season with a 2.94 ERA. That goes down on the road to just 1.29 ERA in his two road starts. The A's continue to struggle with the League's worst record at 6-24. They also have the worst run differential in baseball at -118 runs. Drew Rucinski is 0-1 with just one start coming last week against the Reds where he went just 5 2/3 innings and allowed 11 hits and five runs. Doesn't really matter who the A's start here today, I'm taking the Mariners on the Run Line. |
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05-04-23 | Pirates v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates still surprising many with their first place in the NL Central. They have a great run differential of +45 and while they lost on Wednesday to the Rays they are 7-3 their last 10 games. Vincent Velasquez will start today for the Bucs. Velasquez is 4-2 in his six starts with a 3.06 ERA. He's actually been better on the road with a 3-1 record and 2.38 ERA. In addition, he's allowed no runs over his last two starts (13 innings). The Rays continue to just win. They are now 24-6 and have won seven of their last 10 games. They have the best run differential in baseball with a +106 runs. Zach Eflin looks to improve to 4-0 on the season today. Eflin has a 3.00 ERA in his four starts and has allowed over two runs just one time and that was three runs to the A's. I like both pitchers a lot here and will take the UNDER. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics blew a big lead in game one of this best of seven series with the Sixers. Now they are in the hole down 0-1 in the series and almost in a must win situation. What's more impressive is that Sixers won this game without their star forward Joel Embiid, who missed the game with a knee injury. Today, Embiid has been upgraded to probable. We are looking at an inflated line here tonight. I can see the Celtics winning this game, but not by the seven or eight points the line is now and was once at 10 points. With Embiid back, I look for the Sixers to once again be in this game. Embiid is rested, is the MVP and will be ready for a big game tonight. I'm taking the points in this one. |
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05-03-23 | Orioles -1.5 v. Royals | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles continue to put up impressive numbers, going 20-9 and in 2nd place in the AL East. The AL East is the toughest division in baseball with all five teams above the .500 mark. The O's have won three straight games and eight of their last 10. Today, they send Kyle Gibson to the hill. Gibson is 4-0 in his six starts with a 3.93 ERA. The Royals play in one of the weakest divisions in baseball, the AL Central. Only one team, Minnesota, is above the .500 mark. The Royals are last in the division with a 7-23 record and have lost two straight and seven of their last 10. Zack Greinke will toe the rubber today. Greinke is 0-4 in his six starts with a 6.10 ERA. He's coming off his worst start of the season, going 3 2/3 innings vs the Twins, allowing eight hits and seven runs. I will have no issue laying the Run line tonight with the Orioles. |