Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-26-23 | Bucs v. Bills UNDER 43.5 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bills have struggled of late, losing in England to the Jaguars, 20-25, struggling against the Giants in a low scoring win, 14-9, and then losing last week at New England, 25-29. They have failed to cover the spread in three straight and have gone under in two of the last three games. QB Josh Allen has six TD passes the last three games but also has three INT's. The Bills had just 339 total yards last week, 81 on the ground. The defense is still good, but not as good as last year. Tampa Bay is 3-3 S/U and ATS and has gone under in five of their six games. They average just 17.2 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 13-16. That makes just 19 total points scored the last two weeks. Could be even worse this week as QB Baker Mayfield landed on the injury report. Mayfield is questionable with a knee injury. Not sure the Bucs will get many points if Mayfield doesn't play. Even if he does, how mobile can he be against this Bills defense. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Not sure how the oddsmakers favor a team by a field goal or more when they are 0-7 on the season. But, that's just what they did with Sam Houston State tonight who is still looking for its first win of the season after seven losses. The Bearkats lost last week to Florida International, 27-33, again a favorite, this time 5.5-point chalk. The Kats are also 3-4 vs the number and 1-4 ATS their last five games. They average just 13.4 ppg while allowing 25.9 ppg. The Kats also average just 283.1 ypg while allowing 383.3 ypg. UTEP isn't great either, in fact the Miners won't be going to a bowl as they sit at just 2-6 S/U and ATS. The Miners lost to New Mexico State last week, 7-28, as a 3-point dog. The Miners average more yards then the Bearkats with 353.8 ypg. They average 16.4 ppg and give up 26.4 ppg. The Miners are a run first offense and average around 40 rushing attempts per game so I look for them to control the ball and the clock in this game. Conversely, Sam Houston doesn't have much of a run attack which will find them behind the sticks a lot in this one. This is a good matchup for UTEP as I look for the Miners run game to control the ball, the clock and the final score. Play UTEP. |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | 4-2 | Loss | -157 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Another game seven tonight, this time in the NLCS as the Phillies having trouble closing out the D'backs. Arizona didn't have much trouble last night in game six to force this game seven tonight. Arizona got 10 hits as they won game six, 5-1. Brandon Pfaadt gets the start in the biggest game tonight for Arizona. Pfaadt has three postseason starts, and while he has no decision in all three the D'backs won all three of his starts. Pfaadt had a rough start vs Milwaukee, going just 2 2/3 innings and gave up seven hits and three runs. Since then though he's allowed just four hits and no runs over 10 innings. Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies. He also has three postseason starts with the Phils going 2-1. He beat Atlanta twice and got a no decision to Arizona in this series. He pitched very well vs the D'backs, allowing three hits and not runs over 5 1/3 innings with seven KO's. Expect all pitchers (expect last night's starters) to be on call here tonight. I'll take the Phillies to win this series finale at home. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Game 7 of the ALCS here tonight has the Houston Astros looking to win a game at home after dropping all previous three. The Astros trailed 0-2 as the series headed back to Texas where the Astros won all three games. Then back to Houston for game six where the Rangers won last night in a rout, 9-2. The Rangers will start Max Scherzer tonight. Scherzer had over month off before his start against the Astros in this series. That didn't go well as he allowed five hits and five runs over four innings of work. He hopes to have the rust out tonight for game seven. The Astros will turn to Cristitan Javier. Javier is 2-0 in the playoffs, going 10 2/3 innings and allowing just four hits and two runs. I like the Astros to close out this series tonight with Javier. Play Houston. |
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -165 | 5-1 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Arizona had no answer for Zack Wheeler in game six of the NLCS as the D'backs fell to the Phillies, 1-6. They now face elimination as the venue switches back to Philly with the Phillies leading the NLCS 3 games to two. It will be up to Merrill Kelly tonight to keep the D'backs alive. Kelly is 13-9 overall and 1-1 in playoffs. He beat the Dodgers in a excellent outing, going 6 1/3 innings and allowing three hits and not runs. He then lost to the Phillies in game two, going 5 2/3 innings, allowing three hits and four runs. The Phillies will start Aaron Nola who is 15-9 overall and 3-0 in the playoffs. Nola has gone 18 2/3 innings and allowed just two earned runs overall. He has also struck out 19 and walked just two batters. I'm taking the Phillies where they have dominated at home. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home. |
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10-22-23 | Rangers +110 v. Astros | 9-2 | Win | 110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
The Rangers looked to be in the drivers seat in the ALCS as they headed home for games three, four and five. Up 2-0, the Rangers were flying high. However, the Astros turned the table with wins in games three, four and then a 5-4 win in game five. Now the Astros return home up 3-2 and looking to punch their ticket to another World Series. Nathan Eovaldi will try and keep the Rangers in this series here on Sunday evening. Eovaldi is 15-5 on the season and 3-0 in the playoffs. He has gone 19 2/3 innings with just five runs allowed, one walk and 24 KO's. The Astros will counter with Framber Valdez. Valdez is 12-13 on the season and 0-2 in the playoffs. He lost to the Twins in the divisional series, going 4 1/3 innings and allowing seven hits and five runs. Then he lost to the Rangers, going just 2 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits and four earned runs. I look for the Rangers to stay in this series and force a game seven. Play Texas. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs looking to take a commanding lead in the division. The Raiders are 3-3 while the Chargers are 2-3. The Chargers, despite having a losing record, have a +3 point differential. They rallied late last week, but Herbert's INT on the final drive locked the win for the visiting Cowboys, 17-20, as a 1.5-point dog. The loss snapped a 2-game win streak for the Chargers. The Kansas City offense hasn't been as explosive this year as in recent seasons. However, the defending champions defense hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. The Chiefs have a +59 point differential this season thanks in big part to the defense. Chargers already in a must win spot this early in the season. I'll take the points with LA here on Sunday. |
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10-22-23 | Raiders v. Bears UNDER 38 | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
The LV Raiders knew when they got QB Jimmy Garappolo that his health was always a question. He's already been hurt twice this year and missed time. The first time with a concussion and last week he had to be taken to the hospital with a bank injury. Jimmy G is going to miss this game as we await which QB the Raiders will start. The Raiders are 3-3 on the season with a -31 point differential as they sit in 2nd in the AFC West. The Bears can sympathize with Vegas though as they also will be without their starting QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a hand injury and will miss today's contest. Tyson Bagent will start this one for the Bears. Vegas has been a good under team this year with five of their six going under. Opposite for the Bears as five of their six have gone over. Vegas can win its third straight with a win here on Sunday. They average just 16.7 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg. The Bears coming off a loss last week to the Vikings, 13-19, as a 3-point dog. That was also their first under of the season. The Bears average 21.3 ppg and allow 29.3 ppg. Neither team will look to throw a lot in this game. Expect a lot of rushing and ball control. I'll take the under in what should be a snoozer. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 40.5 | 25-29 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Could the Bill Belichick era be coming to an end in New England? This is the worst start he's had and it won't get any easier here on Sunday as the Bills come into Foxboro. The Patriots are 1-5 on the season and have yet to win a home game in three chances. They have a -80 point differential, worst in the AFC. The Pats offense has scored 20 points or more just one time this season and that caem in their opening week loss to the Eagles, 20-25. Since then they have hit 17 points twice and held to three points vs the Cowboys and no points by the Saints. Last week they lost at Las Vegas, 17-21, as a 3-point dog. Their last five games have gone under the total. The Bills offense was jet lagged last week after returning from London, England the week before. The offense managed just 14 points in their win over the Giants, 14-9. That made two straight under plays and three of their last four going under. The weather will be fair with a chance of showers and winds around 13 mph. I don't expect the Pats to get much here and their defense will be on the field a lot in this game. I'll take the UNDER. |
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10-22-23 | Falcons +3 v. Bucs | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
NFC South meeting here between the top two teams in the division. The Bucs are 3-2 and in first place with a +2 point differential. The Falcons are 3-3 with a -21 point differential. The Falcons are just 1-5 vs the spread and average 331 yards per game while allowing 278.2 yards. They also average 16.5 ppg while giving up 20.0 ppg. The Falcons lost last week at home to Washington, 16-24, as a 1.5-point favorite. They held Washington to just 72 rushing yards and 121 passing yards despite losing. Tampa Bay also coming off a loss last week as the dropped their home game to the Detroit Lions, 6-20, as a 3-point dog. They had just 46 rushing yards and 205 passing yards. They average 18 ppg while allowing 17.6 ppg on the season. Weak division here so the winner could be .500 or even below. I'll take the Falcons plus the points in this one. |
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10-22-23 | Commanders v. Giants UNDER 37.5 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The NY Giants come into this one dead last in the NFC East with a 1-5 record. The Giants have the worst point differential in the NFC by far with a -96. The Giants have lost four straight games including last week at Buffalo, 9-14, though they covered the 15.5-point dog line. That was the first cover of the season for the Giants. They are also 1-5 O/U with their last four games going Under the total. Washington is 3-3 S/U and has a -43 point differential. The Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak with a win last week at Atlanta, 24-16, as a 1.5-point dog. They are 3-3 O/under on the season. The Commanders average 22.2 ppg while allowing 29.3 ppg. Neither team's offense will set anyone on fire, that's for sure. I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +120 | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Phillies have to be kicking themselves about this point. They came to Arizona leading the NLCS two games to none. They played a very lackadaisical game three, which you can excuse. However, game four last night they pretty much gave away in another loss, 5-6. Their relievers let them down with walks, the manager made some very bad moves and the team just looked like they wanted to give game four away. And they did. Now the NLCS is tied at 2-2 and the Phils face the real prospect of going back to Philly down 2-3 and facing elimination. Philly does get their Ace on the hill tonight in the person of Zack Wheeler. Wheeler is 15-6 on the season and is 1-0 in his two playoff starts. He faces Gallen again as he did back in Philly where he allowed three hits and two runs over six innings. Gallen is 2-1 in the playoffs (all on the road), allowing nine runs over 16 2/3 innings. However, Gallen gets his first start at home where he was excellent this year. Gallen was 12-3 at home on the season with a 2.47 ERA. I'll take Gallen at home and the D'backs to go up 3-2 in this series. Play Arizona. |
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10-21-23 | Duke +14.5 v. Florida State | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
ACC Clash here on Saturday as 5-1 Duke taking on 6-0 Florida State. The Blue Devils are 4-2 vs the number while FSU is also 4-2 ATS. Duke's only loss was that seven point loss at home to Notre Dame, 14-21, as a 5.5-point dog. FSU expects to win the ACC with an undefeated season thus far. Duke goes as their QB goes in Riley Leonard. Leonard has been nursing an ankle injury with his status questionable for today. Duke has an excellent rushing game, ranking 19th in the country. The FSU Seminoles have a well balanced offense, ranking 37th in passing and a running game around the middle of the pack in the nation. Duke getting double digits looks like a gift here today. But only if Leonard actually plays. They do have the rushing game to lean on, but that also opens up with Leonard in the game. I'll take the points with Duke today. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota. |
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10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 46 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Marquee matchup of the day has a pair of 6-0 teams facing off as Penn State travels to Columbus to face Ohio State. The loser could be on the outside looking in on the CFB Playoff picture. Penn State is 6-0 S/U and ATS while they are also 4-2 Over/under. Ohio State is 6-0 S/U, 3-2-1 ATS and 1-5 Over/Under. Both of these teams are ranked in the nation's top 10 and along with Michigan are all vying for the Big 10 East title. The Nittany Lions defense is outstanding, ranking 1st in total yards allowed, first in passing defense and points allowed. They also average 4.5 sacks per game. Penn State has scored at least 30 points in every game this year while allowing 13 or fewer in every game. Ohio State's defense has allowed just 9.7 ppg while the offense has averaged 36 ppg. They also allow just 263 yards per game. I usually favor the defenses when both units are great as they are today. Neither team allows much and I look for that to continue here today. Play the UNDER. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Big 12 showdown from Gaylor Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium as the Sooners host Central Florida. Central Florida Golden Knights started the season 3-0 before dropping their last three games. They are coming off a loss at Kansas, 22-51, as a 2.-5 point favorite. Oklahoma is coming off one of its biggest wins in some time in the Red River Classic as they beat Texas, 34-30 as a 5-point dog. That makes the Sooners a perfect 6-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Now have to think they could be in for that letdown week after that emotional win last week. The Sooners have all the great numbers, they average 45.2 ppg while allowing just 14 ppg. They average 506.7 yards while allowing 353 yards. Central Florida can score, averaging 35 ppg and 516 yards per game. The Knights getting 17.5-points here on Saturday. I feel Oklahoma will be somewhat flat in this game and take this 3-3 UCF team for granted. Take the points with UCF. |
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10-20-23 | Phillies -122 v. Diamondbacks | 5-6 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Game four of the NLCS here on Friday has the Phillies leading 2-1 over the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks in a must win spot on Thursday and they got the win, 2-1. Arizona got a walk off single from Ketel Marte to win the game. After scoring 10 runs in game two back at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies offense decided to take the night off in game three. The Phillies will start Cristopher Sanchez today. Sanchez gets his first postseason start today. He was 3-5 on the season with a 3.48 ERA. Arizona will counter with Joe Mantiply, who is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his three starts. His last start coming back on September 10th. Both teams hoping they can get these pitchers into the fifth inning today. I look for the Phillies to get the offense back in gear after that lackluster performance last night. I'll take Philadelphia here in game four. |
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10-20-23 | Astros +100 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Things looked bleak for the Houston Astros as they headed to Arlington to face the Rangers down 0-2 in the series. But things have turned around after two straight road wins for the Astros, including yesterday's win, 10-3. Now with the series tied 2-2, Houston has regained home field advantage as we play game five here on Friday. Justin Verlander gets his second start of this ALCS and third of the playoffs. Verlander has allowed just two runs and 10 hits over 12 2/3 innings of playoff action. He lost to Texas in game one of the series, allowing two runs over 6 2/3 innings. The Rangers will counter with Jordan Montgomery who is 1-0 in the playoffs after two starts. He was the winner in game one vs Verlander, going 6 1/3 innings, allowing five hits and no runs. Another great pitching matchup here today. I'm taking the Astros as I still give an edge to Verlander. Play Houston. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -2 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one. |
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10-19-23 | Astros +101 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 101 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros were in a must-win situation in game three and they came through. They jumped all over a very rusty Scherzer on Wednesday to a 5-0 lead before winning game three, 8-5. The Astros had 12 hits and one HR in the win. Houston can even the series and regain home field advantage with a win tonight. Jose Urquidy will get the start. He was 4-3 overall with a 4.82 ERA. However, he was excellent vs the Twins in the ALDS, going 5 2/3 innings and allowing just three hits and two runs with six KO's. The Rangers suffered their fist loss of the postseason after sweeping the Rays and Orioles and taking the first two in this series. That snapped the win streak at seven games. Andrew Heaney will start for the Rangers with a 9-6 overall record and 4.04 ERA. In his lone postseason start he went 3 2/3 innings vs the Orioles, allowing two hits and one run. Heaney likely won't be around long in this one no matter how well he pitches. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA this year so they could be good or bad. I'm taking the Astros here in game four to even the series. |
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10-19-23 | Phillies -118 v. Diamondbacks | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
There might have been some speculation that the Phillies huge win over the Braves might cause a bit of a letdown entering this NLCS. Nope, didn't happen. The Phillies beat the D'backs in game one, 5-3 and then steamrolled them in game two, 10-0. That's a 15-3 score difference. The series moves back to Arizona tonight, but I don't think it will make much of a difference. The Phillies will start Ranger Suarez today. Suarez is 5-6 overall on the season with a 3.97 ERA. He faced off twice against the Braves Ace Spencer Strider and beat him twice in a row here in October. He held the Braves to four total hits and one run over 8 2/3 innings in October. After using their top two starters in the first two games of this series, they will have to start Brandon Pfaadt today. Pfaadt was only 3-9 on the season with a 5.57 ERA. He did beat the Dodgers in the NLDS, going 4 1/3 innings and allowing two hits and no runs. The Phillies are hitting the ball too well and that will not be good for Pfaadt today. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-18-23 | Aces +6.5 v. Liberty | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Game 4 of the WNBA Championship Finals from the Barclays Center in New York. Las Vegas can win their second consecutive title with a win here tonight as they lead this series 2-1. The Liberty looking to send this series back to Vegas for a decisive game five. Vegas is led by A'ja Wilson who averages 23.8 ppg and Kelsey Plum's 19.8 ppg. The Aces will be without their star guard in Chelsea Gray, who injured her foot. That's a huge loss to this Aces team. The Liberty are led by Breanna Stewart and her 19.3 ppg and Jonquel Jones and her 18.2 ppg. Vegas is 5-2 ATS their last seven games while New York is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games. Vegas went to a six-point dog once Plum was ruled out for this game. Still, lots of firepower left for Vegas and getting that many points just too much to pass on. I'll take Vegas and the points here tonight. |
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10-18-23 | Astros +119 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 119 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Houston Astros in a must win position here on Wednesday after dropping both games at home to the Texas Rangers. Down 0-2, the Rangers face almost impossible odds with another loss here on Wednesday. The Astros will start Cristian Javier here tonight. Javier is 10-5 on the season with a 4.56 ERA. In his one postseason start, Javier went five innings vs the Twins and allowed just one hit and no runs for the win. That makes 11 straight inning with just four total hits and no runs allowed for Javier. He will face Max Scherzer tonight. Scherzer is 13-6 overall this season with a 3.77 ERA. Scherzer has not started a game since September 12th. Have to think Scherzer might struggle a bit here tonight after such a long layoff. Also likely he will not go very deep into this one either way. The Rangers bullpen has a 4.87 ERA and they walk batters at a nearly 13% clip. Both offenses are explosive and this one likely comes down to a battle of the bullpens. I have to give the nod there to the Astros. I'll take Houston as they are in that spot of needing a big win. Play the dog here on the Houston Astros. |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Phillies took game one in the NLCS yesterday with an easy 5-3 win over the D'backs after jumping out to a 5-0 lead. They had their Ace on the hill in Zack Wheeler. They come back today with another hot pitcher in Aaron Nola. Nola is 14-9 on the season with a 4.27 ERA. However, in the playoffs he is 2-0 and has allowed just two runs over his 12 2/3 innings of work with 12 KO's and just two walks. The Diamondbacks shocked every with a sweep of the Dodgers in the divisional series. However, they have come back down to earth after that game one loss in Philly yesterday. They will send Merrill Kelly to the hill today. Kelly had a very nice season with a 13-8 record and 3.28 ERA. In his one start this postseason he got the win over the Dodgers in game one of the NLDS, going 6 2/3 innings and allowing just three hits and no runs. The Phillies are still hot and at home they should have little trouble vs the D'backs. Play Philadelphia. |
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10-17-23 | Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 | Top | 35-42 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year! |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +2 | 20-17 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys can cut the Philadelphia Eagles NFC East lead down to just one game with a win here on Monday night. The Eagles lost their first game of the season on Sunday opening the way for the Cowboys to close the gap. Dallas is 3-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at the 49ers, 10-42. The Cowboys defense gave up more points to the 49ers then they did in the previous four games combined. They will face a Chargers team that started the season 0-2 but have since put together wins over the Vikings and then two weeks ago over the Raiders, 24-17. The Chargers had last week off to prepare for this game. The Chargers average 27.5 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have averaged 388.8 ypg while giving up 404 ypg. Dallas has lost its last two road games by a combined 26-70 score. Now they hit the road again. I'm taking the Chargers who had a week off to prepare for this game and are a small home dog. Play LA Chargers. |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros -131 | 2-0 | Loss | -131 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
Game one of the AL Championship series has the Texas Rangers taking on the Houston Astros. The Astros had a tough series vs Minnesota but won the series 3-1. Texas Rangers had little trouble in either their Wildcard or the Divisional series. The Rangers swept the Rays in two games and then swept the Orioles in three games. They got great pitching, allowing more than two runs in one of the playoff games thus far. The Rangers will start Jordan Montgomery who was 11-11 on the season. Montgomery was very hot down the stretch. He got wins in both playoff series. Justin Verlander will get the start for the Astros. Verlander has allowed one total run over his last three starts (19 innings) including holding the Twins to no runs and just four hits over six innings in his one playoff start. I like Verlander here on Sunday. The Rangers are tough, but the Astros have proved they are too and I give the pitching edge to Verlander in this one. Play Houston. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Interconference battle as the NFC Philadelphia Eagles take on the AFC NY Jets. The Eagles bring a top 10 total defense into today's contest. The Jets were great last year on defense but have slipped to 22nd this year. The Jets do have the 14th ranked pass defense while the Eagles are 25th. The Eagles shine on the rush defense, ranked tops in the NFL allowing just 61.2 ypg on the season. The Eagles put their 5-0 record on the line here today at the Jets. They are coming off a win at the LA Rams, 23-14, with the game going under. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers in the first quarter of the first game of the season. Zach Wilson has been ok, but nothing great. He has four TD's and five INT's. He has also thrown for over 200 yards just one time. With the Eagles top ranked rush defense, that will put a lot of pressure on Wilson on Sunday. The weather won't be as bad here at the Meadowlands as it will be in other parts of the East, but still may play some factor. The winds will be from 12 mph and gusting above that on Sunday. I don't see Wilson doing much and they surely won't run much against this Eagles defense. I'll be on the UNDER today. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 9-26 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
NFC West clash here on Sunday has the Arizona Cardinals playing at the LA Rams. Both teams finding the going rough thus far with the Cardinals at 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Rams are 2-3 S/U and 2-1-2 ATS. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 over/under while the Rams are 2-3 O/Un. Arizona coming off a loss last week at home to Cincinnati, 20-34 with the game going over. The previous week they gave up 35 points to the 49ers in another over. The defense has allowed 27.2 ppg and given up 375.6 ypg. They have average 21.6 ppg with 329 ypg. The Rams had a tough game vs the Eagles last week at home in a loss, 14-23. The Rams have averaged 22.4 ppg while giving up 21.6 ppg on the season. The Rams finally get a team they should be able to score against after some tough outings. The Cardinals seem to be able to put up points even without QB Kyler Murray who has missed all the games this year with an ACL injury. I'm taking the over here on Sunday. |
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10-15-23 | Colts +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins UNDER 47.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of the haves and have nots. The Miami Dolphins have it all right now with a 4-1 record both S/U and ATS. The Carolina Panthers have nothing as in wins with a 0-5 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS record. The Panthers are 2-3 O/U while the Dolphins are 3-2 O/U. The Panthers offense is in trouble. The coach hates the QB while the owner wanted this QB. The QB in question is Bryce Young. Young has five TD's on the season and four INT's. He has yet to throw for more than 247 yards. With the team averaging just 18.2 ppg this year, even the Panthers will find scoring tough here on Sunday against a Miami team that has given up some points. One thing that catches my eye is that Miami has to play at Philadelphia next week. Difficult to get up for this Panthers team with a huge matchup on tap next weekend. I'll take the UNDER here as I look for Miami to be a bit distracted. Play UNDER. |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns UNDER 36 | 17-19 | Push | 0 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Interconference game here on Sunday has the undefeated San Francisco 49ers taking on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns will be without starting QB Deshaun Watson who is nursing an injured shoulder. PJ Walker looks to get the start here on Sunday. The Browns offense managed just three points at home last week in their loss to the Ravens, 3-28. That makes three of four games going under this year. The defense is very good too, holding two of their four opponents to just a field goal. The 49ers look to be the team to beat this year with a perfect 5-0 record and 4-0-1 spread record. The defense has held opponents to just 13.6 ppg and 266.8 ypg. Once again, weather looks to play a part in this outcome. While the showers look to be light, the winds will be blowing 16 mph or gusting more than that for this one. The 49ers defense is tough enough without the wind helping them out. Can also say the same for the Browns with their excellent defense. Add to that Watson being out and the browns are going to find moving the ball through the air next to impossible. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-15-23 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings head to Soldier field for a NFC North battle with the Chicago Bears. Both these teams are 1-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Vikings are 1-3-1 Over/under while the Bears have gone over in all five games. The Vikings coming off a loss at home to the Chiefs, 20-27 with the game going under the 52.5 point total. The Bears hadn't scored more than 20 points in any of their first three games. However, they have since scored 28 vs the Broncos and 40 vs the Commanders. The defense has been pretty bad with their best effort last week in their win at Washington, 40-20. Weather looks to play a part in this game with scattered rain showers. But more important to the total are the winds, which will be 20 MPH or more. Wind effects totals more than any other element in my experience and today's weather combined with these two teams has me playing the UNDER. |
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10-14-23 | USC +3 v. Notre Dame | 20-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The big annual rivalry between USC and Notre Dame will take place today from South Bend, IN. USC puts its 6-0 record online here Saturday and hopes of a college playoff berth. A loss could pretty much sink those playoff hopes. USC is only 2-4 vs the number, but that's mainly because they have been laying big numbers. While they have won their last three, they have failed to cover as 21-point favorites or more. That includes a close call at home vs Arizona last week in which the Trojans just got by with a 2-point win as a 21-point favorite. USC allowed 506 yards to the Wildcats while gaining just 365 themselves. Notre Dame is 5-2 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. The Irish have averaged 34.1 ppg while allowing 15.9 ppg on the season. They have averaged 437.9 ypg and allowed 279.7 ypg. The Irish lost their second game of the season last week at Louisville, 20-33, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Irish had just 44 yards on the ground and 254 passing yards. The Trojans can't let their guard down here on Saturday evening if they want that playoff berth. I'll take USC plus the few points. Play USC. |
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10-14-23 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois +13.5 v. Maryland | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-4 Fighting Illini will travel to to the 5-1 Maryland Terps in this Big 10 battle. Illinois is coming off a loss last week to Nebraska, 7-20, as a 3-point favorite. The Illini have yet to cover a spread this season. They have averaged 377.3 ypg while allowing 401.8 ypg. The Illini average 19.2 ppg and give up 28.8 ppg. Maryland is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off their first loss of the season last week at Ohio State, 17-37, as a 18 point dog. They held the Ohio State team to just 64 rushing yards, but gave up 320 passing yards. Maryland has averaged 429.3 ypg while giving up 337.5 ypg. They also score 35 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. Have to think their might be a big of a letdown here this week after that tough game at Ohio State last week. I'll take the points with Illinois in this one. |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5 v. Rutgers | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Early Big 10 Action here on Saturday has Michigan State playing at Rutgers. Michigan State has pretty much owned Rutgers, winning nine of the last ten meetings between these teams. Michigan State started the season by winning its first two games, but have since dropped three straight, including two weeks ago at Iowa, 16-26, as a 10-point dog. The Spartans had last week off to prepare for this game. The Spartans are 2-2-1 vs the spread. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 3-2 S/U and 4-0-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Wisconsin last week, 13-24, as a 13-point dog. Rutgers has averaged 336 ypg while allowing 283.7 ypg this year. The Big 10 East is tough this year with four teams having five wins while Rutgers comes in with four wins and Michigan State is last with a 2-3 record. I like this Spartans team off the bye week to prepare for this game. I'll take the points in this one. Play Michigan State. |
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10-13-23 | Fresno State -4 v. Utah State | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Mountain West clash here tonight has Fresno State visiting Utah State. Fresno is 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The have a turnover ratio of +7 this season and have outscored their opponents by a 33.5-18.2 margin. The Bulldogs have averaged 408 yards per game while allowing 289.8 yards per game this season. Fresno looks to rebound from its first loss of the season after last week's setback at Wyoming, 19-24, as a 5-point road favorite. The defense has allowed over 10 points twice in their five games this year. The Utah State Aggies are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have a +2 turnover ratio and have average 38.2 ppg while allowing 32.2 ppg. The Aggies average 462.8 ypg while allowing 407.2 ypg. Utah State has won two straight games after last week's win over Colorado State, 44-24. Utah State lost at home to James Madison and on the road at Air Force, both as dogs. Their wins have been when they are the favorite. As the dog tonight I expect another loss for the Aggies tonight. Play Fresno State. |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night. |
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10-11-23 | Braves v. Phillies -118 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
The Phillies took home field away from the Braves by winning game one of this series in Atlanta, 3-0. Then the Phils blew a huge opportunity in game two. Leading 4-0 with their Ace Wheeler on the hill and throwing a no hitter through six innings, the Braves rallied and got the go ahead two-run home run in the 8th to pull out the win and even this series 1-1. Now the Phillies return home for game three and while they are happy for the split in Atlanta, they have to be kicking themselves for the lost opportunity. The Phillies will start Aaron Nola here today who is 13-9 on the season with a 4.31 ERA. He beat Miami in the Wildcard with a nice seven inning performance, allowing just three hits and no runs. The Braves look to go with Bryce Elder who was 12-4 on the season with a 3.81 ERA. Elder hasn't started since Sept 26th and that's a long layoff. No matter which pitcher goes for the Braves, I'll be on the Phillies here in game three. |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins -128 | 9-1 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros are tied 1-1 in this best of five series. The Twins have gained home field advantage with their split in Houston. And today they get their Ace on the mound in Sonny Gray. The Astros took the opener 6-4 and the Twins game two, 6-2. Gray is 9-8 on the season with a 2.67 ERA. He has been great though of late, allowing three total runs over his last five starts. That includes his dominating performance in the Wildcard game vs the Blue Jays where he allowed five hits and not runs over five innings for the win. The Astros hope to regain home field behind starter Cristian Javier. Javier has had a fine season with a 10-5 record and 4.50 ERA. This will be Javier's first postseason start. His last start was on October 1st vs the Diamondbacks where he allowed three hits and no runs over six innings for the win. Fine pitching matchup here today but the Twins faithful will be in full force. I'm taking the Twins in this one. |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -146 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Arizona swept Milwaukee on the road in the NL Wildcard and now into LA and tame game one in huge fashion with a win, 11-2. They have won three straight now as they look to take a commanding lead in this best of five series. Zac Gallen will toe the rubber for the D'backs. Gallen is 18-9 on the season with a 3.46 ERA. In his Wildcard game at Milwaukee he went six innings, allowing five hits and two runs to get the win. The Dodgers in a must win spot here will send Bobby Miller to the hill. Miller has been great for LA with a 11-4 record and 3.76 ERA. Miller is coming off a fine outing at San Francisco where he allowed just one hit and no runs over four innings. I'm taking LA here as they have to win or be forced into a sweep event. Take LA Dodgers. |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers visit Las Vegas to finish up Week 5 NFL action against the Raiders. The Packers are 2-2 on the season and have +4 point differential with 100 points scored and 96 points allowed. The Raiders are 1-3 and have a -39 point differential with just 62 points scored and 101 points allowed. The Packers look to rebound from their home loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 20-34. The loss was also their first spread loss as they are now 3-1 vs the number and 3-1 Over/Under on the season. The Packers average 25 ppg while allowing 24 ppg. They also average 280.8 ypg while allowing 352.5 ypg. The Raiders are 1-3 S/U, 1-2-1 vs the number and 1-3 Over/Under. Vegas is coming off a loss at the LA Chargers, 17-24, pushing the 7-point dog line. Good news is that they get back QB Jimmy Garoppolo who missed last week's game with a concussion. Garoppolo has six INT's and five TD's on the season. Neither teams defense all that good. I'll take the over in this one. |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -175 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Sunday Night Football has the 3-1 Dallas Cowboys playing at the 4-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cowboys have a +83 point differential, best in the NFL as they have scored 124 points and allowed 41 points. San Francisco has a +67 point differential, scoring 125 points and allowing 58. The Cowboys are also 3-1 vs the number this year. They average 360 yards per game while allowing 259.8 ypg. QB Dak Prescot averages 227 ypg with four TD's and one INT. Tony Pollard leads the rushing, but was likely expected to be more productive than his 77.8 ypg average. He has just two TD's and one fumble on the season. The 49ers average 398 yards per game while allowing 284.3 ypg. Brock Purdy leads the team at QB with 254.8 ypg, five TD's and no INT's. Chrisitan McCaffrey averages 114.8 ypg with Six TD's and just one fumble. These teams pretty evenly matched and we might be seeing a preview of the NFC Championship here. For me, I'm taking the 49ers on the Money Line in this one. |
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10-08-23 | Rangers +108 v. Orioles | 11-8 | Win | 108 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Reason: Game two of this best of five series as the Rangers took the opener on Saturday, 3-2. They have taken home field away from the Orioles and now can take a commanding lead in this series with a win on Sunday. And they have their hottest pitcher going in Sunday's game, Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery has allowed just two total runs over his last five starts, including a dominating performance over the Rays in the Wild Card game. He allowed six hits over seven innings with no runs and no walks vs the Rays. The O's will counter with Grayson Rodriguez who is 7-4 with a 4.35 ERA on the season. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.20 ERA. Getting Montgomery as a small dog here is too much for me to pass on. Take Texas. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams. |
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10-08-23 | Titans v. Colts OVER 43 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Great news today for the Colts as RB Jonathan Taylor will be returning to the team. The team and Taylor agreed to a three-year contract. The Colts activated Taylor off the PUP list Saturday leaving only Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara as RB that will make more money. Taylor can see action here today vs the Titans. The Colts are in a four way tie in the AFC South as all the teams are 2-2 on the season. The Colts have scored 97 points and allowed 99 points this year. The Titans, also in the division have scored 72 points and allowed 70 points this year. The Titans are coming off a win vs the Bengals last week, 27-3. The Colts lost the Rams last week, 23-29 and have gone over in three of their four games. The return of Taylor should give this entire team a shot in the arm and with that I'm looking for a higher scoring game. Play the OVER. |
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10-08-23 | Saints v. Patriots UNDER 39 | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
Interconference matchup here has the AFC East 1-3 New England Patriots taking on the NFC South 2-2 New Orleans Saints. The Saints come into this game with a -14 point differential, scoring 62 points and allowing 76. QB Derek Carr has been upgraded to probable for this game with a shoulder injury. The Patriots also have a negative point differential of -42, scoring 55 points and allowing 97 on the season. Despite their new QB, the Saints have averaged just 15.5 points per game while allowing 19 ppg. They average 285.3 ypg an allow 304.3 ypg. Carr has averaged 190.8 ypg with just two TD's and two INT's in his four games. Last week in their loss to Tampa Bay, 9-26, Carr had just 127 yard with no TD's. In fact, Carr hasn't thrown a TD since week two at Carolina. The Patriots aren't much better on offense, coming off a loss last week at Dallas, 3-38. They have score 20 points or more just one time in four games and that came in a week one loss to Philly, 20-25. Two offenses that are not good with defenses that are above average. I'll take the UNDER. |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
AFC North clash here on Sunday has the division leading 3-1 Baltimore Ravens visiting the 2nd place 2-2 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens have a +41 point differential with 99 points scored and 58 points allowed. The Steelers are not so lucky as they are in the red with a minus-38 point differential with just 62 points scored and 100 points allowed. The Ravens are 1-3 over/under this season. They have allowed just 14.5 points per game while scoring 24.7 ppg. They are coming off a easy win at Cleveland last week, 28-3, going under the 38.5 point total. The teams only over came in week two at Cincinnati in a win over the Bengals, 27-24. The Steelers have had issue scoring this season with just a 15.5 points per game average. They lost last week at Houston, 6-30, going under the 41.5 point total. Their only over came in week two vs the Browns in a win, 26-22. Steelers QB Kenny Pickett was upgraded to probable for this game with a knee injury. Have to wonder how mobile he will be in this one if he does play. With the anemic Steelers offense I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +6 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Early game from London England here on Sunday. The Jags will be playing their second straight game from London. The Jags had little trouble in last week's game over the pond as they beat the Atlanta Falcons, 23-7. The defense held the Falcons to just 287 total yards. That improved the Jags to 2-2 and tied with the other three teams in the AFC South, all with 2-2 records. The Jags have a +2 point differential as they have scored 72 points and allowed 70. The Buffalo Bills have a +84 point differential, scoring 139 points and allowing only 55. They are coming off that showdown with the Miami Dolphins last week in which they dominated from start to finish in a win, 48-20. The Bills have dominated their last three opponents since that opening week shocking loss at the Jets, 16-22. One thing in this game is the possible letdown the Bills might have after that emotional win over the Dolphins last week. I'll take the points with the Jags who seem to play very well in London. Play Jacksonville. |
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10-07-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 11-2 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks swept the Milwaukee Brewers in the Wild Card round of the NL playoffs. Now it's on to LA to face the Dodgers in a best of five Divisional series. Arizona beat Milwaukee 6-3 in game one and 5-2 in games two, going under one game and pushing the total in the other game. Merrill Kelly will make his first postseason appearance here on Saturday. Kelly was 12-8 in the regular season with a 3.39 ERA. He struggled a bit down the stretch, going 2-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.35 ERA. The Dodgers got to 100 wins on the final day of the regular season with a win over the Giants, 5-2. It wasn't sure who would start game one of the Dodgers, but they are going with veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw was 13-5 on the season with a 2.46 ERA. He was 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.30 ERA. In fact, Kershaw allowed just two runs over his last three starts (14 1/3 innings). Kershaw looks in fine form and Kelly is one of the D'backs best. I'll take the UNDER here in game one. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one. |
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10-07-23 | Kentucky v. Georgia UNDER 47.5 | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
Big SEC clash here on Saturday has Georgia hosting Kentucky from Sanford Stadium. Both teams coming into this one undefeated. Kentucky coming off a big win over Florida last week, beating the Gators by 19-points, 3-14 and easily covering the 1-point spread. That made them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS. The issue though for Kentucky will be the offensive line where just three regulars are left. They are also hurting at running back as they are down to just two backs. Kentucky will rely on their excellent defense, ranked 18th in the country in total yards and top 10 vs the run. Georgia comes in 5-0 but has yet to cover a spread at 0-4-1 ATS. They have also seen three of their five games go under. Georgia also hit by injuries as four players will be out and five questionable. This one again looks to be on the lower scoring side as both teams nurse injuries and both teams rely on very good defenses. I'll take the UNDER here on Saturday. |
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10-07-23 | Marshall +6.5 v. NC State | 41-48 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Non-Conference matchup here on Saturday. The Marshall Thundering Herd come into today's contest at North Carolina State with a 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS record. They have rushed for an average of 169 yards per game this season while passing for 243.3 yards per game. Marshall is coming off a win over Old Dominion, 41-35, but failed to cover the 14.5 point spread. NC State is 3-2 S/U and 1-4 ATS on the season. The Wolfpack averages 151 yards on the ground and 194.2 yards passing. The Wolfpack is coming off a loss at home to Louisville, 10-13, covering the 3.5-point dog line. It was the Pack's first cover of the season after four straight losses to start the season. NC State trying to rebound from a 4-9 campaign last season. Marshall is 58th in the country in passing offense and 53rd in rushing offense. NC State is 3-2 on the season but just 1-2 at home and 1-1 in the ACC. The Pack are just 106th in passing offense and 71st in rushing offense. Marshall getting 6.5-points here today and for me I can see the Herd winning this game outright. I'll take the points though. Play Marshall. |
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10-07-23 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 57 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Two undefeated Big 10 teams meet here on Saturday as 4-0 Ohio State host 5-0 Maryland from Columbus, OH. The Maryland Terps have a seven game win streak dating back to last season. Ohio State had last week off after their late win over Notre Dame the week prior. Maryland coming off their win over Indiana, 44-17. QB Taulia Tagovailoa threw for a career high five TD passes in the game. Ohio State just getting by Notre Dame two weeks ago in what was a pretty easy early season schedule where they faced Indiana, Youngstown State and Western Kentucky. Ohio State has an outstanding defense, allowing just 255.5 yards per game (6th in nation) with 149 yards passing yards allowed (5th in nation. They held Sam Hartman of Notre Dame to just 175 yards passing with one TD. Ohio State's offense hasn't been all that great, getting 23 points vs Indiana and rushing for just 126 yards vs Notre Dame. Maryland's offense will find the road much more difficult against this Ohio State defense. For me, I'm looking for a lower scoring contest here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 60 | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Red River Rivalry from Dallas, TX as Texas takes on Oklahoma in one of College football greatest rivalries. Both teams with aspirations of a football playoff berth as Texas comes in ranked 3rd at 5-0 and the Sooners also 5-0 and ranked 12th. Oklahoma coming off a blowout win over Iowa State last week, 50-20. The Sooners rank sixth in total offense, 8th best in passing and 56th in rushing. Texas coming off a blowout win last week over 24th ranked Kansas, 40-14. They had 661 total yards of offense, 336 yard rushing and 325 passing. They rank 12th in total offense, 23rd in rushing and 25th in passing. Both these teams are great offensively and both limit turnovers. I will be taking the OVER here today. |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech. |
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10-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins -136 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins can end this first round of Wildcard playoffs with win today over the Blue Jays. The higher seed has a big advantage in this best of three series as all three games would be at home. The Twins took the first game on Tuesday, 3-1. They got a great pitching performance from Pablo Lopez who went 5 2/3 innings, with five hits and one run. Sonny Gray will start game two. Gray is 8-8 in the regular season with a 2.74 ERA. He was even better down the stretch with a 2-2 record and 1.54 ERA. The Blue Jays will start Jose Berrios who is 11-12 on the season with a 3.65 ERA. He was 2-4 in his last seven starts with a 4.53 ERA. I look for the Twins to send the Jays home after this game today. Play Minnesota. |
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10-04-23 | Rangers v. Rays -138 | 7-1 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Rays opened the season with one of the hottest starts every and led the AL East for a good part of the season before Baltimore over took them. Now the Rays face elimination from the playoffs after losing game one here on Tuesday, 0-4. Part of the issue is their defense, they commit errors and that was on display Tuesday. The good news is that they keep home field advantage here on Wednesday and on Thursday if they win today. Zach Eflin will try and keep them alive today. Eflin is 16-8 on the season with a 3.50 ERA. He's been their Ace of the staff this year. Texas will counter with Nathan Eovaldi who is 12-5 on the season with a 3.63 ERA. However, he was just 2-2 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. Unlike the Rays, the Rangers are one of the best defensive teams in baseball and that was on display yesterday. If the the Rays can cut out the mistakes with the leather they should win here today with their Ace on the hill. I'll take the Rays. |
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10-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -163 | 6-3 | Loss | -163 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
This round of the Wildcard now is a three game set, but the higher seeds holds a distinct advantage as they host all three games. The Diamondbacks will start Brandon Pfaadt today. PFaadt struggled a good part of the year to a 3-9 record in his 18 starts and a 5.70 ERA. Though he did finish better with a 3-3 record in his last seven starts and a 3.82 ERA. The Brewers will start veteran hurler Corbin Burnes. Burnes was 10-8 in his 32 starts and had a 3.39 ERA. Burnes also finished strong, allowing no runs over his last two starts (9 innings). He also allowed no runs in three of his last four starts. I'll take the veteran pitcher and the Brewers here in game one. |
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10-03-23 | Rangers v. Rays -145 | 4-0 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rangers and Rays meet in the Wildcard round here on Tuesday. This round of the Wildcard now three games, but the higher seeds holds a distinct advantage as they host all three games. The Rangers will start Jordan Montgomery here in game one. Montgomery is 10-11 on the regular season with a 3.20 ERA. He finished very strong, allowing just two earned runs over his last four starts, though the team lost two of those starts. Tyler Glasnow will toe the rubber for the Rays with a 10-7 record in the regular season and a 3.60 ERA. Glasnow finished the season with a two hit, no earned run performance vs the Red Sox. I'll take the home squad here in game one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants OVER 47 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks look to improve to 3-1 as they travel to the Meadowlands to take on the NY Giants. After opening with a loss to the Rams in week one, the Hawks have won at Detroit, 37-31 and then last week beat Carolina, 37-27 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hawks have also gone over the last two games as they have 37 points in each of those contests. The NY Giants are 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. They have averaged just 14.3 ppg while allowing 32.7 ppg. They lost last week at San Francisco, 12-30 as 10.5-point dogs. They have allowed 138 yards rushing and 223.7 yards passing on the year compared to just 88 rushing and 165 passing of their own. The Giants haven't stopped anyone thus far and the way the Seahawks have been playing I don't see them doing much here either. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City. |
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10-01-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC West matchup here on Sunday has the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals playing at the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are forced to play with their QB in Kyler Murray who will miss this game. However, he could return for their next game. Surprisingly though, the Cardinals are 3-0 vs the spread. They covered the 7-points in their opener at Washington, then covered vs the Giants and then shocked everyone last week with an outright win at home over the Dallas Cowboys as a 11-point dog. RB James Conner has been great with 98 yards last week and 106 the week before. The 49ers look like one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They have scored 90 points while allowing just 42 for a +48 point differential. Only the Buffalo Bills have a better point differential (+56). Brock Purdy has been efficient at QB with FOUR TD's and no INT's. He had 310 yards last week vs the Giants. But it's RB Christian McCaffrey who leads the team with 117 rushing yards per game and three TD's. The Niners are 14 point favorite or there about. With Dallas up next for the 49ers I expect them to not really concentrate much on this big dog today. I'll take the Cardinals and see if they can remain perfect vs the number. Play Arizona. |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 40.5 | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Key NFC South matchup here today has the 2-1 Tampa Bay Bucs traveling to New Orleans to take on the 2-1 Saints. Tampa Bay lost its first game of the season last week with a 11-25 loss at home to Philadelphia as a 5-point dog. The Bucs managed just 41 yards rushing and 133 yards passing while giving up 472 total yards. QB Baker Mayfield had a season low 146 yards with his first INT of the season. The Saints lost QB Derek Carr last week and what looked to be a bad shoulder injury actually wasn't as bad as he is upgraded to questionable for today's game. If he can't go then Jameis Winston will once again start. Winston was 10-for-16 last week and 101 yards in their 17-18 loss. The Saints led 17-0 but once Carr went down they heart went out of the team as they lost to the Packers. The Saints have just 53 points in three games while allowing 50. The Bucs have 58 points while allowing 59. Both teams more defense then offense. I don't expect the Saints to risk Carr here on Sunday and they will be cautious with Winston. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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10-01-23 | Bengals v. Titans UNDER 41 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are just 1-2 to start the season. Good news is that they are tied with Houston and Jacksonville while the Colts are just 2-1. They just need to find some offense as they have just 45 points in three games. The Titans were held to just three points last week at Cleveland in a 3-27 loss. The offense had just 94 total yards in the loss. Derick Henry has averaged just 54.3 rushing yards per game thus far while Ryan Tannehill has just 182.7 yards passing with one TD and three INT's. The Bengals QB Joe Burrow's injured calf evident in their opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. But considering the excellent Browns defense, maybe that wasn't such a bad performance. They lost in week two at home to the Ravens, 24-27 before getting their first win last week vs the Rams, 19-16. Burrows had his season high in passing yards with 242. They still need a better running game as they have 75, 66 and 67 yards in their three games. I don't expect a lot of points here today with two teams looking to establish a running game. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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09-30-23 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-1 teams meet here on Saturday as TCU hosts West Virginia from the Amon Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. TCU won this matchup last season, 41-31 as a 7-point road favorite. West Virginia lost its opener to Penn State, 15-38. However, they have ton three straight over Duquesne, Pitt, and last week over Texas Tech, 30-13, as a 6-point dog. They have at least 146 yards rushing in each game. They have also covered their last three games. TCU also opened with a loss to Colorado, 42-45, but have since beaten Nicholls State, Houston and last week over SMU, 34-17. They are 2-2 vs the spread. The Horned Frogs have averaged 208.3 yards on the ground and 292.8 yards through the air. Their defense has held opponents to just 85.8 rushing yards. TCU has averaged 38.3 ppg, good for 23rd in the nation. They are 23rd in passing and 20th in rushing. I don't see West Virginia being able to move the ball well against this TCU defense and keep up with the dynamic TCU offense. TCU a double digit favorite but I have to believe that they will cover this game by at last a TD over that number. Play TCU. |
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09-30-23 | Notre Dame v. Duke +6 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one. |
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09-30-23 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +6.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
SEC Classic here from AT&T Stadium as Arkansas hosts Texas A&M. The Aggies have won nine of the last 10 meetings with the Razorbacks. A&M is 3-1 S/U and ATS with their lone loss coming at Miami in week 2, 33-48 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies had a nice win to go to 1-0 in the SEC last week over Auburn, 27-10, as a 10-point favorite. The Aggies have one of the best rushing attacks in college football, averaging 149.5 ypg and getting 209 last week vs Auburn. Arkansas opened the season with a pair of wins over Western Carolina and then Kent State. However, they lost in week three to BYU, 31-38, and then last week last at LSU, 31-34, covering the 17.5-point dog line. They played their best game last week at LSU with 137 yards on the ground and 289 yards passing. Arkansas is a 6-point dog here on Saturday. A&M will be without QB Conner Weigman who has a foot injury. QB Max Johnson is probable and expected start. I'll take the points here with Arkansas. |
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09-30-23 | Clemson v. Syracuse +7 | 31-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
Two ACC teams meet here on Saturday as the 4-0 Syracuse Orange host the 2-2 Clemson Tigers. The Tigers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the Orange, including last year's 27-21 win as a 14-point favorite. Clemson looking to rebound from that wrenching loss last week at home to Florida. They led all the way until OT when Florida pulled out the win, 31-24. Clemson kicker Jonathan Weitz missed a 29-year field goal late in the 4th that could have won the game for the Tigers. Clemson lost their opening game at Duke, 7-28 before winning games vs Charleston Southern, 66-17, and Florida Atlantic, 48-14. Syracuse is 4-0 after beating Army last week, 29-16, pushing the 13-point line. The Orange are now 3-0-1 vs the number. They had an easy win vs Colgate, 65-0, then beat Western Michigan, 48-7, and a nice win at Purdue, 35-20. These two team very close in the power ranking and Syracuse a TD home dog here. I think Syracuse makes this a close game and possibly pulls out their 5th win. Play Syracuse. |
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09-29-23 | Cincinnati v. BYU +1.5 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
Two new members of the Big 12 will meet here on Friday as Cincinnati plays BYU in Provo. The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-2 and 0-1 in the Big 12 after losing at home last week to Oklahoma, 6-20. The Cats had 376 yards of offense, but could manage just two field goals. What has hurt the team most thus far are turnovers, as they rank 84th in the nation in turnover differential. BYU is 3-1 after losing its first game of the season last week to Kansas, 27-38. The Cougars led at halftime, 17-14, but were outscored 21-3 starting the second half and never could come back. BYU is 41st in turnover differential. The offense has looked good, though the defense has had some issues thus far. BYU at home as a dog here on Friday is a bit more than I can pass on. The Cougars have the offensive weapons to stay in this game and I look for an outright win by BYU. Play BYU. |
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09-29-23 | Liberty v. Sun +4.5 | 92-81 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
Game 3 of this WNBA best of five series plays in Uncasville, Connecticut with the teams tied at 1-1. Connecticut took game one, 78-63 at New York then lost game two 77-84. Connecticut has covered the first two games as 8.5 and 8.5 point dogs. The NY Liberty shot just 34% from the field in game one before a 45% night in their win in game two. The Sun have covered the first two of the series and while the line has dropped here in game three, I like the Sun to even win this game outright. The Sun are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games with 2 days of rest. They have also covered five of their last seven at home vs the Liberty. I'll take another shot here with Connecticut. |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +142 v. Braves | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The final games of the season are here and four teams still have a shot at an NL Wildcard spot. The Cubs right now hold the third and final spot, but Miami is a half game back and the Reds are 1.5 games back. The Braves have the best record in the NL locked up and will have a bye in the first round of the playoffs. So these games mean little if anything to them. That being said, they are still a moderate favorite here over the Reds. Jameson Taillon is 8-10 for the Cubs with a 5.30 ERA. However, he's coming off a excellent start where he allowed four hits and no runs over six innings to the Rockies. He also has a 4.02 ERA over his last seven starts. The Braves start Darius Vines for just the second time. Vines started August 30th vs the Rockies and allowed two runs over six innings. Not sure if Vines will repeat that effort, but not enough data to back him here on a team with nothing to play for. I'll take the underdog Cubs and see if they have enough life to fight for that playoff spot. Take the Cubs. |
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09-27-23 | Reds +117 v. Guardians | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds still in the hunt for a Wildcard spot with the final week of the season on tap. The Reds are 1.5 games back in the race but also have the Marlins, Cubs and D'backs to contend with. Three teams make the Wildcard now so with Philly having locked the top spot, two more teams have a shot. That makes every game essential to the Reds. The Reds have won two straight, including yesterday's game over Cleveland, 11-7. Andrew Abbott gets the start today with a 8-5 record and 3.70 ERA. He's allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. Shane Bieber will start for the Guardians with a 5-6 record and 3.91 ERA. He's 1-3 in his last seven starts and a 4.57 ERA. I'll take the small dog on the Reds here today as they can ill afford even one loss right now. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-26-23 | Reds -106 v. Guardians | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Rivalry here so no matter what these teams always have something on the line. The Cincinnati Reds still have a shot at a playoff spot, but at 2.5-games back in the Wildcard they need to win every game. The Reds will start Hunter Greene here today with his 4-6 record and 4.24 ERA. Greene coming off a very good start of seven innings, three hits and one run vs the Twins. Lucas Giolito will toe the rubber for the Guardians. Giolito is 8-14 in his 31 starts with a 4.70 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-6 with a 5.85 ERA in his last seven starts. Every game important to the Reds. Take Cincinnati |
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09-25-23 | Astros v. Mariners -122 | 5-1 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros just concluded one of their worst home seasons in recent memory. And to cap it off, they were just swept at home by the Kansas City Royals. They also lost first place to the Texas Rangers. The Rangers opened up a 2.5 game lead over the Astros and a 3-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. Tampa Bay has the top Wild Card locked up, but the 2nd one is being fought for by Toronto, Houston and Seattle. The Astros are two games back and the M's 2.5 games back. That makes this series between these two teams very important. Justin Verlander will start for the Astros with a 11-8 record in 25 starts this season between the Mets and Astros. He's 4-2 in his last seven starts with a 4.07 ERA. However, the Astros have lost his last two starts. Luis Castillo starts for the M's. Castillo is 14-7 with a 3.11 ERA. He's 6-0 and the team is 7-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.80 ERA. I like Castillo here tonight and I'll go with the Mariners in this one. |
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09-25-23 | Rams +3 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bengals a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl. They are 0-2 and have scored 27 points in two games. Now QB Joe Burrows has been hurt and while it looks like he will play tonight, he can't be close to 100%. The Rams are 1-1 after their two games. The Rams opened with that come from behind week 1 win at Seattle, 30-13. Then last week came up a big short at home against the 49ers, 23-30, pushing the spread. QB Matthew Stafford has looked good for the most part, though he did have two picks last week by the 49ers and just one TD on the season. The Bengals Joe Burrow only had 82 yards in their season opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. Then last week in the loss to Baltimore, 24-27, he had 222 yards with two TD's and one INT. Coaching edge goes to the Rams. The Rams have looked better overall and I can't be sure that Burrow can give 100% here. Take the Rams. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Week three of the NFL concludes here tonight with the Buccaneers hosting the Eagles. With Dallas and Washington both losing on Sunday, a win by the Eagles will put them alone in first in the NFC East with a 3-0 record. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 and with Atlanta and New Orleans both losing Sunday the Bucs can be the only team in the NFC South with a 3-0 record. The Eagles have average 178 yards on the ground this year and 162.5 yards through the air. Their defense has allowed just 52 rushing and 326 passing. Tampa Bay's defense has also been very good, allowing 54 yards rushing and 248.5 yards passing. Philly QB Jalen Hurts has two TD's and one INT on the season. He passed for 170 yards in the opener at New England and 193 yards last week vs Minnesota. Baker Mayfield came over to the Bucs in the offseason. He has three TD's and no INT's. At Minnesota in week one he threw for two TD's and 173 yards. Last week vs the Bears he threw for 317 yards and one TD. Both teams have played well early in the season, but the difference for me here tonight is getting points at home with Tampa Bay. I'll take the points in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle. |
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09-24-23 | Saints v. Packers -113 | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The 2-0 New Orleans Saints hit the road to take on the 1-1 Green Bay Packers. The Saints offense has scored just 36 points in two games but allowed just 32. The Saints opened with a home win over Tennessee in week one, 16-15 and then a road win in week 2, 20-17. They failed to cover vs the Titans and pushed last week. The defense has allowed just 282 totals yards per game thus far. New QB Derek Carr has thrown for 306 yards vs Tennessee with one TD and one INT. He then threw for 228 yards on the road last week with one INT and no TD's. Green Bay beat the Bears in week one, 38-20 and then lost last week at Atlanta 24.25. They have covered both games and both games have gone over the total. QB Jordan Love has been very good, throwing for 151 yards last week with three TD's and 245 yards in week one with three TD's. Love has Six total touchdowns and no interceptions. Saints will need more offense then they have showed to win here on Sunday. I'll take Love and the Packers in this one. But since the line is so short on Green Bay, I'll just take the Money Line with the Packers |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are 1-1 to start the season as three teams are all tied for the AFC South with a 1-1 record. The Titans averaged just 21 ppg thus far while allowing 20 ppg. The Titans opened the season with a loss at New Orleans, 15-16 and then won last wee at home over the Chargers, 27-24. They covered both games. They have rushed for 245 total yards and passed for another 381 total yards. Ryan Tannehill tossed three INT's in the opener but rebounded with None in their win over the Chargers to go with one TD. Derrick Henry is one of the best backs in the league, but he's yet to hit 100 yards. He rushed for 63 in the opener and then 80 yards last week. The Cleveland Browns had high hopes this season with Watson finally getting a full season at QB and arguably the best running back in Nick Chubb. Well, Chubb went down last week and will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. That will lead Jerome Ford to pickup the slack. Ford did rush for 106 yards after Chubb went down last week. Still, huge loss for this team. What made the injury even worse was losing the game to the Steelers, 22-26, even though they held Pittsburgh to just 255 yards of offense. I'm going to take Tennessee this week and see if Ford can really pick up the huge hole left by Chuff. Play Tennessee. |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions pulled the big upset in week one when they went into Kansas City and got the win, 21-20, as a 4-point dog. They fell off last week, losing at home as a 4.5-point favorite to the Seattle Seahawks, 31-37. They have outgained their opponents on the ground, 110-86. They also have more passing yards per game at 283-268.5. QB Jared Goff has four TD's and just one INT. Atlanta off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. The Falcons play their first road game here today after winning at home over Carolina, 24-10 and then at home over Green Bay, 25-24. The Falcons have been great on the ground, with 170.5 yard average. They haven't had to put much pressure on rookie QB Desmond Ridder who has been effective. Ridder has 2 TD's and just 1 INT this season. The Detroit defense has only allowed an average of 86 yards on the ground so this should be an interesting matchup. I'll take the points with Atlanta. -------------------------------------------------------- |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins OVER 47 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver had high hopes starting the season that QB Russell Wilson could turn things around. But so far that hasn't happened as the Broncos are 0-2. They have put up 49 points while allowing 52 points. The Broncos look good on opening drives when the plays are scripted, but after that things kind of fall apart. Miami is 2-0 and their offense has put up 30 ppg average after two games. The defense has allowed 51 points. Tua Tagovailoa has been good with Four TD's and just two INT's. He threw for 466 yards in the opener vs the Chargers and 249 yards last week vs a much better Patriots defense. Both these teams should be able to score on the other. I'll take OVER. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 36.5 | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots looking for their first win of the season after starting 0-2. They also hit the road for the first time here on Sunday as they have to play at a very good defensive NY Jets. The Pats offense hasn't been very good either with just 37 points in two games, though the defense is decent and has allowed 49 points. The Jets are 1-1 and have fewer points then the Pats with just 32. Their defense has allowed 46. QB Mac Jones for the Pats has FOUR TD's and a pair of INT's this season. He threw for 316 yards in the opener vs Philly and 231 last week vs Miami. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers 75 seconds into the season and now Zach Wilson is back at the helm. He threw three INT's last week in a 10-30 loss at Dallas. Wilson also has just 140 and 170 yards in two games. Both these teams are not very good offensively and much better defensively. I'll take UNDER today. |
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09-23-23 | Texas -16.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas. |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
One of the marquee matchups on Saturday has Notre Dame hosting Ohio State. The Irish faithful will be in full force for this one. Both teams are undefeated as Ohio State is 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS while the Irish are 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS. Ohio State opened the season with a win over Indiana, 23-3, failing to cover the 30-point line. Then beat Youngstown State, 35-7, also failing to cover the 45.5-point line. And then last week beat Western Kentucky, 63-10, covering the 29-point line. This will be their toughest matchup of the season at Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have out gained their opponents 474.7 ypg to 223.7 ypg. They also have outscored opponents, 40.3 to 6.7 ppg. Notre Dame is coming off a win over Central Michigan last week, 41-17, failing to cover for the first time this year. The Irish biggest win was two weeks ago over NC State where they won 45-24 as a 7-point favorite. The Irish are out gaining opponents 508.8 to 234.8 ypg this year. They have outscored their opponents 46-11.7 ppg. This is a game that could really pad a resume for the playoffs at the end of the season. For me, I can't pass on the points at home with Notre Dame. Play the Irish plus the points. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
A pair of undefeated PAC-12 teams meet here on Saturday as 3-0 Oregon State takes on 3-0 Washington State. The Oregon State Beavers are 2-1 vs the spread and 2-1 over/under this season. Oregon State opened with a winner over San Jose, 42-17, then beat Cal Davis, 55-7 and then last week got by San Diego State, 26-9, but failed to cover that 24.5-point spread. The Beavers are outgaining their opponents 466 yards to 257 yards. They also rush for 6.3 yards per carry while holding the opponents to just 2.0 ypg. They outscore their opponents 41-11 on the season. Meanwhile, Washington State opened the season with a win and cover vs Colorado State, 50-24 and then a upset win at Wisconsin, 31-22 and last week beat Northern Colorado, 64-21, but failed to cover the 47.5-point line. The Cougars outgain their opponents 535.7 to 363.7 yards per game. They have also outscored opponents 48.3 to 22.3 ppg. Both these teams have been great on offense and solid on defense. I'm taking the home dog here on Saturday. Play Washington State. |
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09-23-23 | Colorado v. Oregon OVER 70 | 6-42 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
PAC 12 action has the surprising Colorado Buffaloes travelling to Oregon to take on the Ducks. Colorado has been the surprise team of the season with Deion Sanders the new head coach and his one son playing QB and the other both offense and defense. Despite both teams being 3-0 on the season, the oddsmakers aren't all that impressed with Colorado as they have them a 21-point dog. The Buffaloes opened with that shocker at TCU, covering the 21 point spread, 45-42. Then beat Nebraska as a 2.5-point favorite, 36-14. It was last week that might have swayed oddsmakers as the Buffs had to fight all game long to beat their instate rivals, Colorado State in double OT, 43-35. The offense has rolled though, averaging 41 ppg while allowing 30.3 ppg. Oregon has been a scoring machine this year, with 81 points vs Portland State in their opener, 38 vs Texas Tech and then last week beating Hawaii, 55-10, as a 38-point favorite. They have outscored opponents 58-15.7 and outgained them 587 - 286 on the season. Both teams can put up points and Colorado won't be able to stop the Oregon offense. I'll take the OVER here on Saturday. |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
It's a heck of a race in the AL West with Houston leading by a half game over the Rangers and Mariners. That makes this series between these two teams very big. Tampa Bay has the top AL Wildcard locked up, but Toronto, Texas and Seattle are all a half game within each other for that 2nd and final wildcard spot. Bryce Miller starts for the Mariners with a 8-5 record in 23 starts and a 3.88 ERA. He's a bit worse on the road with a 3-3 record and 4.59 ERA. The Rangers will counter with Dane Dunning who is 8-6 in his 23 starts and a 3.70 ERA. He has a 4.14 ERA and a 1-2 record over his last seven starts. I'm taking the OVER between these two playoff battling teams. |
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09-22-23 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Red Sox not officially eliminated from the playoffs but with 8.5 games back in the Wildcard race they are pretty much done. Chris Sale will try and build off an excellent start last time out. Sale went six innings and allowed just two hits and one run at Toronto. He's 6-4 on the season with a 4.66 ERA. Touki Toussaint will toe the rubber for the White Sox. He's 4-7 on the season with a 6.05 ERA. Those numbers are a bit worse of late at 7.12 over his last seven starts. I'll lay the Run Line here on Friday with the Red Sox. |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | 12-30 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants made a big comeback last week to pull out the win at Arizona, 31-28. The Giants did fail to cover the 5-point line and easily went over the 40-point total. The Giants had 438 total yards after that poor week one performance against Dallas where they got just 171 total yards. Daniel Jones rebounded from his 104 yards and two INT's vs the Cowboys with 321 yards and 2 TD's against Arizona. Now the Giants have to face another good defensive team in the 49ers. The 49ers are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS. They have had a very balanced offense with 173.5 rushing yards per game and 204.5 passing. They won both their road games thus far with a win at Pitt in week one, 30-7, and then last week at the Rams, 30-23, pushing last week's line. The defense has allowed just 41 yards on the ground and 198 through the air thus far. Could be another rough outing for the Giants defense here tonight. The Giants are last in the league in scoring defense as they have allowed 34 ppg. San Francisco is 3rd in the NFL in rushing and should have another field day on Thursday. The Giants can ill afford to fall behind 0-20 at half like they did last week. I expect Daniel Jones to have to throw a lot in this game and the 49ers to get plenty of points. I'll take OVER. |
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09-21-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The Braves and Nationals begin their last set against each other this season with Thursday's contest at Washington. The Braves lost on Wednesday at home to Philadelphia in 10 innings, 5-6. The Braves have now lost five of their last six games. The only thing the Braves have left to play for is home field advantage and they lead the Dodgers by four games. Thing is, do you want home field? The winner likely plays a very dangerous Philadelphia team if they win their Wild Card series. The Nats are playing out the season and would like nothing more than to beat the best of the N.L. Washington has won three of their last four games. They will start Jake Irvin today who his 3-6 in his 23 starts with a 4.41 ERA. The Braves counter with Max Fried who is 7-1 in his 13 starts with a 2.64 ERA. That number has been a bit higher in his last seven starts with a 3.40 ERA. Even though Fried is a very good pitcher, his games have gone over in four straight and six of the last seven. I'll take OVER here on Thursday. The Nationals won at home over the White Sox on Wednesday, 13-3. |
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09-20-23 | Tigers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Tigers playing out the season while the Dodgers prepare for their first round of the playoffs. The Tigers are not officially eliminated from the playoffs but in reality it's over for them. The Tigers have lost two straight games including the last two night's in LA, 3-8 and last night 2-3. That snapped a four game win streak for Detroit. Reese Olson starts tonight for Detroit with a 4-7 record and 4.73 ERA. He has pitched well of late, allowing three runs over his last three starts. The Dodgers will start Bobby Miller tonight who is 10-3 in his 19 starts with a 4.02 ERA. He's been better of late with a 5-2 record and 3.68 ERA in his last seven starts. I'm going to lay the run line with the Dodgers here on Wednesday. |
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09-20-23 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
It's been a disappointing season for the San Diego Padres. They were expected to compete with the Dodgers for the NL West, but instead are 20-games back. They officially haven't been eliminated from the playoffs though because they are 5.5 games back in the Wildcard race. However, with six teams ahead of them that looks like a longshot too. Seth Lugo starts for the Padres today with a 7-7 record in his 24 starts and a 3.83 ERA. He's been even better of late with a 3-1 record and 2.97 ERA over his last seven starts. The Rockies will send Chase Anderson to the hill with a 0-5 record in his last 15 starts and a 6.43 ERA. He's been worse on the road with a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA. I'll lay the run line today with the Padres. |
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09-19-23 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Final days of the regular season and the Padres might be the biggest disappointment of the season. A huge payroll and super stars on the team and they are 20-Games back of the Dodgers. The one player who hasn't been a letdown is today's starter, Blake Snell. Snell is 14-9 on the season with a 2.43 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 6-1 in his last seven starts with a 1.88 ERA. He's also allowed two total runs over his last four starts (25 innings). The Rockies are in last in the NL West, 36.5-games back of the Dodgers. They will start Ryan Feltner today who is 2-3 in his eight starts with a 5.86 ERA. He's also allowed eight runs over his last five innings. I'll take the Padres today and lay the Run Line. |
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09-19-23 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The LA Angels just waiting for the season to end. They made a lot of trade deadline pickups in order to try and make the playoffs. They all bombed as they floundered in the second half of the season. The Rays have clinched a playoff spot, but they still can take the division. They trail the Orioles by just 2.5 games and have won seven of their last 10 games. The Angels will start Patrick Sandoval on Tuesday with a 7-13 record and 4.86 ERA. That goes up in his last seven starts with a 1-5 record and 6.15 ERA. The Rays will start Taj Bradley today. Bradley is 5-7 in 19 starts with a 5.46 ERA. While Bradley isn't one of the better starters on this team. He has a very good bullpen behind him which has a 3.68 ERA. They have been better of late with a 1.11 ERA over their last seven games. I'll lay the Run Line here today with the Rays. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers to rebound here and win this second straight home game. Play Steelers. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 38.5 | 22-26 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers defense to show much better here on Monday. Add to that a very good Browns defense and I'll take the UNDER. |