Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Colts making their return to their old stomping grounds in Baltimore here tonight. Colts started season 0-3 but finally got a win last week at Miami, 27-17. The defense held the Dolphins to just 203 total yards, though the offense didn't light it up either with 349 yards. Problem is today they have to face a much better team in the Ravens and on the road. The Ravens started the season with a OT loss at Las Vegas. Since then they are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS. They are coming off a road win at Denver, 23-7 where they sacked Denver QB's five times. The Colts have had numerous injury issues including QB Carson Wentz who has battled a pair of ankle injuries. Their offensive line has also been hurting and they are without WR TY Hilton. The Ravens have lots of new faces at running back with Latavius Murray getting the bulk of the action. This means we'll see more passing from QB Lamar Jackson to go along with his running ability. I'll take the Ravens here today as they look to have gotten back on track while the Colts I'm not so sure about. Play Baltimore. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Both teams should get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Take Buffalo. |
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10-10-21 | Giants +7 v. Cowboys | 20-44 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants look to build on their road win at New Orleans last week, 27-21. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They had lost two of their prior three games by three-points or fewer. Dallas is coming off their big home win last week over Carolina, 36-28. The Cowboys are now 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS. Ezekiel Elliot and Pollard led the way rushing last week as part of a 245 yard rushing performance. The Giants have been an excellent road covering team, going 20-6 ATS in their last 26 away contests. They are also 10-4 ATS overall in their last 14 games as a dog. Dallas plays better in the dog role, evidenced by their 4-10 ATS mark their last 14 games as a favorite. Dallas has a 6-2 ATS mark the last eight meetings, but the Giants have covered the last two in the series. Dallas has the third ranked offense and the Giants the 14th ranked offense. RB Elliot is nursing a knee injury, while this has limited his practice he is expected to play Sunday. I'm going to take the points here with the Giants as they just seem to keep covering in the role of a dog. |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
NFC West clash here between the 4-0 Arizona Cardinals and the 2-2 SF 49ers. The NFC West looks to be one of the best divisions of football this year. The 49ers look to get back to winning after a loss last week at home to Seattle, 21-28. Rookie QB Trey Lance got extended play after Jimmy Garoppolo was injured with a calf injury. Looks like Lance will get the start here on Sunday. Lance brings that duel threat of running and passing to this offense. The Cardinals are coming off a dominating performance last week at the LA Rams, 37-20. QB Kyler Murray was 24-of-32 for 268 yards and two TD's. Arizona now has the NFL's top offense with 441 yards per game average. This looks to be a great afternoon game. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday as I like Lance at QB for the Niners as he brings a new and fresh dimension to this offense. Take San Francisco. |
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10-10-21 | Rays v. Red Sox -114 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Boston got even this series with the Rays as they won game two at Tampa Bay, 14-6. Today the Rays look to regain home field advantage with a win at Boston. Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays with a 3-0 record in his 10 starts this season. Rasmussen has a 1.93 ERA and has allowed just 5 total runs over his last seven starts. In fact, he has allowed more than one run in just two of his starts and both those were two run efforts. In three games against Boston he's allowed 10 hits and three total runs over 13 innings. Nathan Eovaldi makes his first start since winning the Wild Card match. Eovaldi is 12-9 with a 3.64 ERA this season. Tough matchup today with both pitchers hot. Eovaldi comes up big in big games. I look for Eovaldi to show up the hero again today. Play Boston. |
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10-09-21 | Wyoming v. Air Force -5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wyoming Cowboys make the short trek South here today to Colorado Springs to take on Air Force. Wyoming is 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS after last week's win over Connecticut, 24-22 as a 30-point favorite. That's right, they won by just two points as more than a 4-TD favorite. Won't get any easier here today. The Air Force is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Falcons are coming off a win at New Mexico, 38-10 as a 11-point favorite. The defense, with the exception of 49-points to Utah State, has been very good. They haven't allowed more than 14 points in four of their five games. The defense ranks 15th overall in the FBS. Wyoming has the 48th ranked defense. Air Force has the 32nd ranked offense and most of that is on the ground as they average 367 yard per game rushing. Wyoming has the 90th ranked offense. The Falcons laying only 5-points at home is too much for me to pass up on. Take Air Force. |
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10-09-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio (UTSA) is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season after beating UNLV at home last week, 24-17. Though they did fail to cover the 21-point line, their first non-cover of the season. Western Kentucky is 1-3 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The Hill Toppers have had a great offense, scoring at least 31 points in every game. However, the defense has been equally as bad, allowing 33 or more in three of their four games. Western ranks 114th in overall defense, but 8th in overall offense. UTSA has the 46th ranked offense and the 22nd ranked defense. Should be lots of points in this contest. However, getting points with a undefeated team against a team with a terrible defense is right up my alley. Play Texas San Antonio. |
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10-09-21 | Braves +114 v. Brewers | 3-0 | Win | 114 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves came so close to stealing game one of their series with the Brewers on Friday, losing 1-2. Today, they look to get that game as they send Max Fried to the hill. Fried is 14-7 on the season and the team has won his last five starts. Fried has a 3.10 ERA and he's been even better of late with a 3-0 mark (team 6-1) in his last seven starts with a 1.91 ERA. Fried has allowed just one run over his last three starts (23 innings). Milwaukee has Brandon Woodruff going today with a 9-10 record and 2.56 ERA. As good as his ERA has been this year, the team has lost his last four starts. Woodruff is also just 2-4 over his last seven starts with a 3.92 ERA. This looks the perfect pickins for the Braves to steal a game and take home advantage. Play Atlanta. |
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10-09-21 | Penn State +2 v. Iowa | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Great Big 10 matchup here on Saturday as No 4 Penn State takes on the No 3 Hawkeyes in Iowa. Iowa is 5-0 S/U and 2-0 in the Big Ten while Penn State is also 5-0 S/U and 2-0 in the Big 10. That makes this a monster matchup on Saturday. This promises to be a good old fashioned defensive contest on Saturday. Iowa ranks 8th overall in defense while Penn State is 33rd. Penn State has had a very good redzone defense, allowing just 5-TD's in 15 redzone trips for a very good 41.9% redzone efficiency. Penn State has covered two of the last three meetings with Iowa. The teams met last year in Penn State with Iowa winning 41-21. Penn State has a bit of revenge on their mind after that home beating they took last year. I'll take Penn State and the points here today. |
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10-09-21 | Georgia -14.5 v. Auburn | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
The nations best defense will be on display here in Saturday's matchup between Georgia and Auburn. Georgia ranks #1 overall in total defense allowing a mere 181 total yards per game. They have also not allowed a single TD in the redzone this year and just three field goals in five total trips. That ranks as the nation's top redzone efficiency of 25.7%. Auburn is no defensive slouch themselves, ranking 22nd overall with 299 yards allowed per game. Auburn is 4-1 overall and coming off a come-from-behind win over LSU last week, 24-19. The 2nd ranked Georgia Bulldogs won't give Auburn anytime to relax though. Georgia has allowed ONE touchdown all season. Not sure if Auburn cracks the TD zone here on Saturday. Play Georgia. |
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10-08-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +109 | 0-4 | Win | 109 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
The matchup most of us wanted to see is here as the top two teams in baseball this year meet here as the Giants host the Dodgers. Not only are these two teams hated rivals, but they have never in their storied histories met in the playoffs. So we are in for a dandy here in this series. The Dodgers needed a walk off home run from Taylor in the bottom of the 9th inning to get past a red-hot Cardinals team. They used up Max Scherzer in that game so tonight they turn to Walker Buehler who is 16-4 on the season with a 2.47 ERA. Buehler has been one of their top three this year and has given up just one run over his last 12 innings. He will face Logan Webb tonight. Webb is 11-3 with a 2.99 ERA and a 6-0 home record and 1.99 home ERA. Huge win for the Dodgers on Wednesday and I see them with a bit of a letdown here tonight. It's going to be a close game, but I'll take the Giants as a home dog in game one. |
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10-08-21 | Mercury v. Aces OVER 169 | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas staved off elimination in the playoffs with a big road win over Phoenix on Wednesday. This sets up a game 5 with the winner advancing to the WNBA Championship against the Chicago Sky who eliminated the Connecticut Sun in four games. Vegas finally put together a full game on both ends of the ball and controlled this game from the start. Vegas averages 89.3 ppg this season while they allow an average of 80.2 ppg. Phoenix finished 19-13 on the season and averages 82.1 ppg while allowing 79.5 ppg. Momentum is the key here for me. Phoenix didn't want this game five and they lost badly in game four. Either way, this game should be high scoring with Vegas leading the pace. Take the OVER. |
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10-08-21 | Temple +30 v. Cincinnati | 3-52 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
The Temple Owns are big dogs here tonight as they face one of the best in the nation in Cincinnati. Cincinnati is 4-0 on the season and coming off a huge win at No 10 Notre Dame last week. Temple had to come from a 17-point deficit last week to get a win against Memphis, 34-17. Cincinnati is led by Senior QB Desmond Ridder who was 19-of-32 last week for 297 yards. Ridder has now been having his name thrown around the Heisman hunt. Cincy also has a great defense, allowing just 14.5 ppg this year and that ranks 8th in the FBS. Obviously Cincinnati has the winner here tonight. My questions is this, will they have a let down after last week and how much do they care about this Temple team? With the Owls being around 29-point dogs, I can see them squeezing inside that number. Cincinnati might play more younger players here tonight. I'm going to take a shot with the points in this one. Play Temple. |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks coming off a road loss last week at Minnesota, 17-30. That makes the Hawks 2-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They return home here for Thursday night to face the Rams. The Rams had that big win two weeks ago at home over Tampa Bay, 34-24 and then had a let down last week at home to the Cardinals, 20-37. The Rams were outgained 401-465, had eight fewer plays and three fewer first downs. The biggest difference were in turnovers where the Rams had two and Arizona had none. Seattle's offense not as good as in year's past, they rank just 19th overall and 17th in passing. The Rams are 11th overall and 4th in passing. The Rams defense is loaded with stars, however they haven't played that way as they rank 27th overall. Seattle is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL in total defense. Neither team looks to be the defensive units they once were. I'll take the points though tonight as it's not often you get the Hawks and points at home. Play Seattle. |
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10-07-21 | Red Sox v. Rays -147 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Boston won an emotional Wild Card game on Wednesday over their hated rivals, the New York Yankees, 6-2. Now they travel South to face the Tampa Bay Rays. I have to wonder if they won't be in for a letdown here in game one after that big win. Eduardo Rodriquez will get the start tonight with his 12-8 record and 4.77 ERA. Rodrquez has bee pretty good over his last seven starts with a 3-1 record and 3.41 ERA. He will face off against Shane McClanahan who is 10-6 on the season with a 3.36 ERA. McClanahan has a 3-2 record and 2.65 ERA over his last seven starts. And, if you look at his last four starts, he's allowed just two total runs over 18 innings. I'm taking the Rays here tonight as they catch the Red Sox on the rebound from their big Wild Card win. Play Tampa Bay. |
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10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros -130 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox open their playoff series here tonight in Texas. The White Sox look to Lancy Lynn to steal a road game here tonight. Lynn has a 11-6 overall record on the season with a 2.69 ERA. He hasn't been very good of late though, going 1-3 over his last seven starts with a 4.10 ERA. He's had two very bad starts out of his last five outings. Lance McCullers will look to get the win for Houston. McCullers was 13-5 overall on the season with a 3.16 ERA. He's been slightly better of late, going 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 3.02 ERA. Unlike Lynn, McCullers has put together much more consistent starts of late. I like the Astros here in game one. Play Houston. |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals +210 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
It seems a shame that a team that wins 106 regular season games is related to playing and one and done Wild Card game. But, that's what the Dodgers are doing after falling one game short of the Giants in the NL West. Now they also have to face the hottest team down the stretch in the Cardinals. St Louis won 17 straight games before losing a few at the end. Adam Wainwright, today's starter, was also a benefactor of that hot streak as the team has won his last eight starts and 13 of the last 14. Wainwright is 17-7 on the season with a 3.05 ERA. As for LA, they are forced to go with their best pitcher today in Max Scherzer. Scherzer was 15-4 on the season with a 2.46 ERA. However, he did falter in his last two starts, allowing 10 runs over 10 1/3 innings. So will he come out today the Scherzer who went five straight start without giving up a run, or the one who just gave up 10 runs in 10 1/3 innings? The price is high, over two dollars on Scherzer. I believe there is value in the underdog Cardinals today. At this +1.90 price how can you pass on a hot team with their best pitcher going. Take St Louis. |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +115 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Don't get much better rivalries then the Yankees and Red Sox. And today we get the one and done AL Wild Card game. The Yankees needed a win in their last game to secure their playoff spot. They did lose three of of their last five games. And there is some concern about today's starter, Gerrit Cole. Cole did have an excellent season with a 16-8 record, but he also slumped in his final three starts. He allowed 15 runs over his last 17 2/3 innings of work. The Red Sox closed the season by sweeping the Washington Nationals. Though their last meeting with the Yankees in September they got swept. Nathan Eovaldi will start today's playoff game. Eovaldi is 11-9 on the season with a 3.70 ERA. He's been slightly better at home this season with a 6-4 record in his 19 home starts with a 3.39 ERA. Tough game here tonight, but I'll take the slight home dog here as I'm not sure about Cole and his recent play. Take the Red Sox. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 51.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games overall. Two top 10 offenses here with both having middle of the pack defenses. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders +3 v. Chargers | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders find themselves three-point dogs here on Monday. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road dog. The dog has covered 18 of the last 24 in this series. I'll take the points here with the Raiders. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs -6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks to rebound from their loss at the Rams last week, 24-34. The rushing game couldn't get anything going as they totaled just 35 yards on the ground. Tom Brady had another excellent game with over 400 yards passing (his top this year). Tampa Bay had more yards, more offensive plays and more first downs then the Rams. Yet, they lost by 10 points with 7 points coming late in the 4th quarter. New England also lost week as they lost at home to the Saints, 13-28. Another example of the stats not panning out to the score. The Patriots had 48 more yards, nine more offensive plays and just three fewer first downs than New Orleans. That Pats were also +1 in the turnover ratio. Tampa Bay has the 8th best offense in the NFL (2nd in passing) while New England comes in at 21st. New England has the better defense, ranked 5th overall while Tampa Bay is 27th. This game highlights Tom Brady's return to Foxboro since his Free agent signing with the Bucs. Should be plenty of excitement in the Stadium for this one. For me, Brady is still at the top of his game and I think he will want to send a statement to the Patriots today. Take Tampa Bay. |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Rams | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This game should be interesting today. The Arizona Cardinals have NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 432 yards per game. They are 3rd in passing and 10th in rushing. The Rams offense is ranked 22nd (11th vs rush and 25th vs pass), but we know they are much better then the number show. The Rams are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS after beating Tampa Bay last week, 34-24. The Rams have the 6th ranked passing attack as Mathew Stafford has looked very good since coming over from Detroit. Arizona mounted a big 2nd half comeback last week to beat Jacksonville, 31-19. They had four takeaways and 407 yards of offense. Arizona is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. They will be playing their third road game in four total games this week. Arizona getting 4 or 4 1/2 points here today is just too much to pass on with such a good offense. Play Arizona. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 S/U and ATS as they head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. They are also 0-3 O/U. The Panthers have the NFL's top defense right now. They are first both against the pass and the rush, allowing just 191 yard average per game. They are also third in the league in interceptions (13) and top in QB sacks (14). Dallas is 2-1 after their impressive win at home last week over the Eagles, 41-21. The Dallas defense is ranked 26th in the NFL. It's the offense that shines, ranked 5th overall. Carolina's offense ranks 10th. This game will be the Carolina defense against the Cowboys offense. I will take the UNDER in this one today. |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 42 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 0-3 as we enter week four action. They are coming off a close home loss to the Baltimore Ravens, 17-19. It took a NFL Record breaking field goal of 66 yards by Tucker to not only break the record but get the win for the Ravens as time ran out. Th Lions offense managed just 285 total yards. The Detroit offense ranks just 17th in the NFL (15th in both pass and rush. The Bears are 1-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at home to Cleveland, 6-26. The Bears had a total of 47 yards, yes 47! The Bears started rookie QB Justin Fields who had a disastrous showing. The Bears defense was very good, sacking Baker Mayfield five times. Hard to believe, but the Bears netted just 1 passing yard last week after you take out the 67 yards in nine sacks. These are two pathetic offenses and I wouldn't bet either side. But I will take the UNDER today. |
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10-02-21 | UL-Lafayette -12 v. South Alabama | 20-18 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
UL Lafayette is 3-1 after dropping their first game of the season to Texas, 18-38. Since then they have beaten Nicholls State, Ohio U and last week over Georgia Southern. South Alabama is 3-0 after beating Southern Miss in their opening games and then Bowling Green and Alcorn State. They didn't cover either of those last two games however. Lafayette has won the last five meetings in this series, though they have covered just three of those. Lafayette has the 50th ranked offense in the country. South Alabama is ranked 97th in the country despite playing Bowling Green and Alcorn State. I am going to lay the price here with the visitor. Play UL Lafayette. |
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10-02-21 | Western Kentucky v. Michigan State -10.5 | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky travels to East Lansing, MI here today to face its second Big 10 opponent this season. Last week W Ky faced off against Indiana, but came up 2-points short, 31-33. The Hilltoppers have covered their first three games of the season. Meanwhile, Michigan State is 4-0 on the season and was lucky to get by Nebraska last week, 23-20. MSU had just 71 rushing yards and 183 passing yards. They were not only outgained by 176 yards, but had 33 fewer offensive plays then the Huskers. I look for Michigan State to bounce back this week against this Western Kentucky club and make up for their lackluster performance last week. Play Michigan State. |
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10-02-21 | Army -10 v. Ball State | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Army comes into today's contest a perfect 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They are coming off a win over Miami Ohio, 23-10 as a 7.5-point favorite. Can't say the same for Ball State who after winning their opening season game vs Western Illinois, they have since lost three straight games. The Cardinals are also 0-4 ATS on the season and have scored more than 13 points just once and that was the opener. Ball State is ranked 107th defensively in the country while Army is ranked 15th. Army ranks 60th on offense and averages a nation leading 345 yards per game on the ground. Ball State is 117th on offense. Ball State won't have an answer for the Army rushing game here on Saturday. Look for Army to control the game on the ground and win this one going away. Play Army. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas State +2 v. Georgia Southern | 33-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Arkansas State is 1-3 S/U and 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Two teams with defensive liabilities meet here on Saturday. Arkansas State can't seem to stop the run and Georgia Southern can't seem to stop the pass. Arkansas State did cover last week at Tulsa, losing 34-41 as a 14-point dog. They gave up 308 yards rushing to Tulsa. Georgia Southern lost at home to UL Lafayette last week, 20-28. The loss dropped Ga Southern to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the year. This looks to me like a game where the last team to have the ball might win it all. I do like the visitor a bit more in this one though. Play Arkansas State. |
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10-02-21 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +3.5 | 52-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 3-1 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. Can't really count last week though as they beat up on New Hampshire to the tune of 77-7. That can skew their offensive and defensive numbers. The only real team they played was at home against Tennessee which they won and covered, 41-34. Georgia Tech is 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Tech is coming off it's most impressive win of the season, a 45-22 win over North Carolina as a 11.5-point dog. I like the competition that Tech has played thus far in NCU and Clemson, compared to the relative cream puffs the Panthers have faced. I'll take Georgia Tech here on Saturday. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas v. Georgia UNDER 49 | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
SEC Action here today has Arkansas taking on the Georgia Bulldogs. Arkansas is 4-0 on the season both S/U and ATS. Their defense has been great, allowing 10 points twice, 17 and 21 points. The defense ranks 12th nationally, allowing 267 yards per game. They are coming off a win over Texas A&M last week 20-10 as a 5.5-point dog. This will be their first road game of the season here today. Georgia is also 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The Dogs have allowed a total of 20 points on the season and have the nation's top ranked defense with just 186 yards allowed per game. They also have yet to allow a red-zone touch down this year. This looks to be one of the best defensive battles this weekend with two top D's going head to head. I'm going to stick with the UNDER here as points will be at a premium Play UNDER. |
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10-01-21 | Angels v. Mariners -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have thought back in April that if you were talking the final weekend of the season that the Seattle Mariners are in position to grab a Wild Card spot would even be a topic. But they are tied with Boston for that 2nd spot right now, with Toronto one-game back. The M's have a great shot too as they host the Angels for this final weekend. Tonight, they will send Marco Gonzales to the hill. Gonzales is 10-5 on the season with a solid 3.80 ERA. He's 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA over his last seven starts with the team winning six of those seven. The Angels will start Jose Suarez who is 4-7 on the season with a 4.50 ERA. Suarez has been ok, not great. But for me, the Mariners with Gonzales are worth laying the price. |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State +9.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Reason: The Battle for the Old Wagon Wheel takes place tonight in Login Utah when No 13 BYU faces off against Utah State. BYU is 4-0 on the season and looks to make a statement as to why they need to be considered for the CFB Playoff finals. They are coming off a win over South Florida, 35-27. Utah State is 3-1 on the season but is coming off a loss to Boise State, 3-27 last week. The teams have split covering the last four meetings with no matchup in 2020. Aggies getting almost 10 points here tonight. This rivalry game usually brings out the best in Utah State, though BYU is the more talented team. I'll take the points and see if the Aggies can rebound from lst week's poor performance. Play Utah State. |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3 | 51-14 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Iowa brings its perfect 4-0 record into today's game at Maryland. The Hawkeyes are off a 24-14 win over Colorado State, though they failed to cover the spread. It was their first cover fail of the season. The defense has been the biggest part of this team. Iowa has the 13th ranked overall defense. They will have a big test here tonight against one of the more dynamic offenses in the country. Maryland is ranked 13th overall in offense in the country. Maryland is 4-0 on the season and has scored 30 points or more in three of their four games. That includes 30 points against a very good West Virginia defense to start the season. The Iowa offense will need to rely on their defense. The offense ranks 122nd in the country and average 293 yards per game. This game really comes down to the Iowa defense against the Maryland offense. For me, I'm getting points at home with a very good offense, I'll take that. Play Maryland. |
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10-01-21 | Houston v. Tulsa -3 | 45-10 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Houston Cougars look to improve to 4-1 here tonight as they visit Tulsa. The Cougars lost their season opener to Texas Tech, 21-38. Since then they have beaten Rice, Grambling and then last week 28-20 over Navy. Meanwhile, Tulsa is 1-3 on the season as they won their first game of the year last week at home over Arkansas State, 41-34. The Golden Hurricane did lose to UC Davis in their opener, 17-19. They then went to Oklahoma State and played well, covering but losing outright 23-28. They also covered against Ohio state, 20-41. Big difference in competition these teams have played. While Tulsa has just one win they have played the better opponents. Tulsa has covered three of the last four in this series, though they didn't play last year due to Covid. I'm going to take the home team here tonight. Play Tulsa. |
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09-30-21 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
The Dodgers looked dead in the water last night as they trailed the Padres. 9-6 heading into the bottom of the 8th inning. But four home runs and five runs lead them to another win, 11-9 to keep them 2-games back of the Giants. Tonight, they start Tony Gonsolin who is 3-1 in his 12 starts with a 2.56 ERA. Gonsolin has a 2-1 home record with a 2.13 ERA. He has allowed more than two runs just one time in his 12 starts and that was only three runs. The Padres start Vincent Velasquez who is 3-8 on the season wwith a 6.19 ERA. He's been much worse of late, going 0-5 in his last seven starts with a 12.36 ERA. The Dodgers can't afford any losses and I'll lay the Run Line here tonight. Play LA -1.5 Runs. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The Bengals have been a good over team. They are 5-0-1 in their last six as a favorite and 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 vs the AFC. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year, I'll take the OVER here on Thursday. Play OVER. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year I expect Cincinnati to get there share also here today. Jags still looking for that first win and cover, will still be that way after tonight's game. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-30-21 | Rays v. Astros -145 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has the AL East locked up at this point. That means they can afford to use more of the players they brought up from the minors. Houston hasn't locked up the West yet, but they could do so tonight against the Rays. Houston has a 3.5 game lead over Seattle. Realistically, the Mariners have a better shot at the AL Wild Card at this point as they are just a half game back of that playoff spot. Tampa starts Collin Mchugh who has no record in six starts. He hasn't gone post 2 1/3 innings in any start so he won't be around long tonight. The Astros will start Lance McCullers, who is 12-5 on the season with a 3.17 ERA. McCullers has been very consistent this year both on the road and at home. He's slightly better of late with a 3-1 record and 3.02 ERA. I'll take Houston tonight and see if they can wrap up the division. Play Houston. |
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09-29-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
The Giants are driving toward that NL West title. They lead the Dodgers by 2-games and don't look to give up that lead. They are hosting the last place Diamondbacks and then welcome the Padres. Looks like they should easily hold that division lead. The Diamondbacks right now look to play spoiler and came close last night, losing just 1-2. The D'backs start Merrill Kelly here tonight. Kelly is 7-11 with a 4.59 ERA. He has allowed 15 runs over his last three starts (15 2/3 innings). The Giants will start Alex Wood. Wood is 10-4 with a 4.00 ERA and a slightly better 3.86 ERA at home. Wood hadn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last five starts. I'll lay the Run Line here tonight with the Giants. |
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09-28-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals +106 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 106 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The St Louis Cardinals have won 16 straight games and unless they lose out the rest of the way, they should have the 2nd Wild Card spot locked-up. Today, they face the division leader in Milwaukee who has won three straight games. Brandon Woodruff will start today for the Brewers. Woodruff is 9-10 on the season with a 2.52 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 2-4 with a 3.55 ERA over his last seven starts. The Cardinals top pitcher goes today in Adam Wainwright. Wainwright is 16-7 on the season with a 3.05 ERA. He's been very good of late with a 5-0 record and team record of 7-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.37 ERA. Not sure why the Cardinals are a small dog here today, but I'll take it. Sure, they have to lose sometime, but until they do I'll take a shot on them at home as a dog. Play St Louis. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
It's already come down to this game to see who is first to take the lead in the AL East. With the NY Giants at 0-3 and Washington at 1-2, the winner of this game between 1-1 teams will take the lead in the division. Philly opened the season with a win over Atlanta, 32-6 followed by a loss at home to San Francisco, 11-17. Dallas opened with a narrow loss to the Bucs, 29-31, followed by a win at home over the Chargers, 20-17. Dallas is 4th in the NFL in total offense with 435 yards while the Eagles are 15th with 381. Philly has the better defense, ranked 4th overall while the Cowboys are 28th defensively. The Cowboys are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS their last six vs the NFC East. For me, I'll take the better defensive team here tonight plus the points. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams OVER 55.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. They opened the season with a close win over Dallas, 31-29 and then won and covered last week vs Atlanta, 48-25. Tampa has the 13th ranked offense. The running game hasn't been much, ranked 30th as they average just 67 yards per game. Tom Brady has been hot though, with the passing game ranked 5th overall at 319 yards per game. The Rams have the 16th ranked offense, but Matthew Stafford has been good and has the passing attack ranked 7th overall. The Rams opened with a win over Chicago 34-14 and then last week beat the Colts on the road, 27-24. Both games have gone over. The Bucs are 21-6 O/Un in their last 27 games vs NFC opponents. They are 5-2 O/U in their last seven games. The Rams have gone over in their last four games. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone over. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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09-26-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Dodgers should not be losing to this poor Arizona club, but that's just what happened yesterday as Clayton Kershaw couldn't get the win and LA lost 2-7. That drops LA back to 2-games from the leading Giants. Only two series left after this D'backs so they need wins and can't afford losses to this kind of club. Good news is one of their best on the mound today in Julio Urias who is 18-3 on the season with a 3.10 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA over his last seven starts. The D'backs start Humberto Mejia who is 0-2 in his three starts with a 7.20 ERA. Dodgers win this one going away, lay the Run Line. |
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09-26-21 | Chargers +7 v. Chiefs | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Two of the most dynamic young QB's matchup here on Sunday as Justin Herbert of the Chargers meets Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. The Chargers look to overcome their loss last week at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers and Cowboys were almost identical in stats with LA having one more turnover. Last year the Chargers won and covered the game in Kansas City, 38-21 as a 7-point dog. The Chargers have covered five of their last six games and are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 10 away games. The Chiefs lost last week in an exciting finish at Baltimore, 35-36. Despite leading late the Ravens mounted a big comeback for the win. KC had 405 yards in the game compared to 485 by Baltimore. The Ravens did have 18 more offensive plays. The Chiefs are only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. I'm going to take the points here today with the Chargers. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions OVER 50 | 19-17 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore followed up their OT loss in Las Vegas week one with a exciting home win over the Chiefs last week, 36-35. They have now gone over in both games. Which is what I'm looking at today. The defense has been horrendous thus far, ranked 31st in the league. Their pass defense is the worst in the NFL. The Lions opened the season with a loss to the 49ers, 33-41. Last week they got beat at Green Bay, 17-35. Both games have gone over. The Ravens have seen six of their last eight road games go over. The Lions have seen 13 of their last 16 home games go over. This one looks to be another high scoring affair for both team. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 45 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 1-1 S/U and ATS as they come into action here on week three. The beat the Bengals at home last week, 20-17. The offense was not good, passing for just 83 yards and rushing for 123 yards. The saving grace was their defense that held Cincinnati to just 248 total yards and had four take aways. The Browns followed their week one loss to the Chiefs with a win at home last week over Houston, 31-21. The Bears have the 8th ranked defense in the league, allowing 317 total yards per game. Their rushing defense is ranked 5th. The Browns are 14th with 350 yards per game allowed. The rush defense is 9th. Problem for the Bears is they have the 30th ranked offense and the 31st ranked passing offense. The Bears have seen their totals go under in 22 of the last 31 times they played on grass. They are also 6-13 O/U their last 19 times as a road dog. I don't see the Bears getting many points here today. Their defense is good enough to keep them close. Play UNDER. |
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09-25-21 | Indiana v. Western Kentucky +9.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Indiana looks to get back to winning today after losing at home last week to Cincinnati, 24-38. The Illini turned the ball over four times in that loss compared to just two take aways. Despite losing by 14, they had 42 more yards, 5 more plays and the same amount of first downs. Turnovers played the key role. Indiana is 1-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Illini play their last non-con game here today before getting solely into Big 10 play. Western Kentucky had last week off after losing to Army the previous week. 25-28. Indiana has just the 116th ranked offense in country after three games with just 316 yards per game. Compare that to W.Ky that is ranked 12th in offense with 532 yards per game. Indiana is a 9 point road dog and for me that's too many points to give a good offensive team. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-25-21 | Clemson v. NC State +10.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
ACC matchup here today has NC State hosting Clemson. Clemson might be one of the biggest disappointments of the season thus far. Clemson had a lackluster win at home last week to Georgia Tech, 14-8. The Tigers had only 284 yards of offense to Tech's 318 yards. They had six fewer plays and just 126 yards passing. The Tigers offense also sputtered in their opening game loss to Georgia, 3-10. Their only good game came against South Carolina State, 49-3. NC State is 2-1 both S/U and ATS as they are coming off win over Furman, 45-7. The Wolfpack opened the season with a nice win over South Florida, 45-0 and then lost at home to Mississippi State, 10-24. Clemson is ranked 114th in the country in offense while NC State is ranked 31st. Both teams have under performed, but Clemson has look pretty bad thus far. I'll take NC State at home today. |
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09-25-21 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +5.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
A Top 25 matchup here on Sunday pits No 7 Ranked Texas A&M against No 16 ranked Arkansas. Both teams are coming into this game 3-0. A&M is coming off an easy win over New Mexico last week, 34-0. The Aggies had 429 yards of offense to just 122 for the Lobos. Arkansas also had little issue last week with Georgia Southern. The Hogs had 633 yards to just 233 for Ga Southern. Arkansas is ranked 22nd in the nation in offense with 492 yards per game. Texas A&M is 33rd with 446 yards. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last five game. Arkansas is getting 5-points here at home today. I think they can win this game outright, but I'll take the points. Play Arkansas. |
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09-25-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State +2.5 | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
If there was already a big game in the SEC, this could be it. The Miss State Bulldogs are 2-1 and are coming off a loss at Memphis, 29-31 for their first loss. They opened the season with win over La Tech, 35-34 and then a win over NC State, 24-10. LSU is also 2-1, opening the season with a loss at home to UCLA, 27-38. They came back and beat McNeese State, 34-07 and then won at home vs Central Michigan last week, 49-21. The LSU rushing game has struggled, gaining just 84 yards vs Central Michigan and now ranks 120th in the county. Miss State has also struggled offensively, ranking 72nd in offense with 4-6 yards per game. The Bulldogs defense has been the strength of this team, ranking 46th nationally as they allow jut 317 yards. In addition, they have one of the lowest red zone efficiencies in the nation at just 37%. Only one TD has been scored against them in five red zone trips by the opposition. I look for Miss State's defense to be the difference here today. Play Miss State. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
One of the last few Independent teams, Notre Dame, takes on the Big 10's Wisconsin here today from Madison. The Irish are 3-0, but it hasn't been an easy stretch. The Irish opened with a 3-point win over Florida State, then a 3-point win over Toledo before a more easy game last week in a win over Purdue, 27-13. Notre Dame's offense is ranked only 70th in the country with 408 yards per game. Wisconsin had last week off after beating Eastern Michigan the week before that, 34-7. They opened the season with a loss against Penn State, 10-16. Wisconsin has the 35th ranked offense with 442 yards average in teir two games. Have to wonder if the Badgers are looking a next week's Big 10 game at home vs Michigan. No one should ever look past the Irish though. Irish are a dog here on Saturday and I like taking dogs who I believe can win outright. I'll take the points here today. Play Notre Dame. |
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09-24-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The Wild Wild NL West has just gotten closer with the Dodgers closing to one game of the division leading Giants. The loser of this division will get the top NL Wild card and host that game, but neither want that one and done position. The Dodgers begin a 3-game set here tonight at Arizona before returning home for their last games of the regular season against San Diego and then Milwaukee. LA Starts Tony Gonsolin tonight who is 2-1 in his 11 starts with a 2.43 ERA. Gonsolin has been very good, allowing two runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 starts. He will face Humberto Castellanos tonight who is 2-0 in his five starts with a 4.63 ERA. Gonsolin just too dominating for me to pass on him here tonight. I'll take the Dodgers and lay the Run Line. |
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09-24-21 | Liberty -6.5 v. Syracuse | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Liberty looks to go 4-0 as they travel to New York tonight to face the Syracuse Orange. Liberty has wins over Campbell, Troy and Old Dominion. The Flames had little issue with Old Dominion last week, 45-17, just covering the 27.5 point line. They held ODU to just 201 total yards to their own 424 yards. Syracuse is 2-1, but padded their stats last week against Albany, 62-24. They wracked-up 686 yards but still turned the ball over twice to just one take away. Their other win was against a poor Ohio team, 29-9. Their loss coming at the hands of Rutgers, 7-17. I'm looking at this last game by Syracuse. The one good team they played held them to just seven points. What does that tell me? This Syracuse team won't hold up well against Liberty tonight. Liberty has the 9th ranked defense right now, allowing just 234 yards through three games. They have only allowed three red zone incursions thus far in 12 quarters of play. I look for this Liberty defense to do just what Rutgers did, hold Syracuse down on offense. Play the UNDER |
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09-24-21 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -3 | 37-17 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
The undefeated Wake Forest Deamon Decons put their perfect 3-0 record on the line tonight at Virginia. Wake is coming off a nice win over Florida State last weekend, 35-14. They had a huge turnover day, taking away six times from Florida State to just two turnovers. They also had 89 offensive plays to just 51 by the Seminoles. Virginia is 2-1 after losing their first game of the season last week to North Carolina, 39-59. North Carolina came just one yard from 700 total yards of offense. Virginia had 577 yards themselves in the loss. But the rushing defense of Virginia was shredded for 392 yards and a 8.3 yards per carry average. Despite Virginia losing last week, they did so against one of the better teams in the conference. Wake is a decent team too, but Virginia will want to rebound after that poor defensive showing last week. And, home crowd means more this year with full stadiums again. I'll take the Cavaliers on the national spot light tonight. Play Virginia. |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are down to their third string QB in Davis Mills. Mills came into last week's game after Tyrod Taylor was injured in the first half. He played ok, tallying just over 100 yards with a TD and an INT. Mills will be thrown to the wolves tonight as he faces a very good Carolina defense. Plus, the Texans aren't very exciting overall on offense, so I look for points to be hard to come by tonight. The Panthers have Darnold at QB and McCaffrey running and catching the ball. I'm no big fan of Darnolds, but he's got the job done so far for the Panthers who smothered the Saints last week. The Panthers only allowing 10.5 ppg thus far. I'll take the UNDER here tonight. |
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09-23-21 | Marshall +7 v. Appalachian State | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
Marshall looks to get back on the winning track here on Thursday night as they take on Appalachian State. Both teams are 2-1 on the season. The Thundering Herd lost last week at home to East Carolina, 38-42 as a 10-point home favorite. They had three turnovers to just one by the Pirates. They did outgain ECU, accumulating a staggering 647 yards of offense but allowing 361 yards. The Herd threw for 433 yards and rushed for 214. Marshall was the preseason favorite to win the Conference USA after welcoming back 13-starters this season to a team that went 7-3 last year. App State had an easy game last week at home against Elon, winning 44-10. They had 528 yards to just 291 by Elon. They did have two turnovers though in the contest. App State was 9-3 last year and 6-2 in the Sun Belt. Marshall is 8-2 ATS their last 10 as a road dog and App State is only 1-5 ATS their last five vs a winning team. They also don't play well as a favorite, going 4-10 ATS their last 14 as a favorite. Marshall getting a TD here today is too much to pass on. Take Marshall. |
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09-23-21 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Dodgers dropped to 2-games back of the Giants with a loss last night to Colorado coupled with the SF win at San Diego. The Dodgers will send their best and red-hot starter Max Scherzer to the hill. Scherzer has been amazing, allowing just two total runs over his last six starts. His ERA over his last seven starts, a paltry 0.57 with a team record 7-0. The Rockies will start their best pitcher here today in Kyle Freeland. Freeland is 6-8 on the season with a 4.50 ERA. He's been slightly better of late with a 3-2 record and 4.21 ERA. He's also coming off a six inning, no run performance against Washington. Bad spot here for Freeland going up against the hottest pitcher in baseball. I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-22-21 | Cardinals +120 v. Brewers | 10-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals hold a 4-game lead over the Cincinnati Reds and a 4.5-game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies for the 2nd and last NL Wildcard spot. The Cards have been hot, winning 10 straight games and 12 of their last 13 games. The Brewers have the NL Central locked-up with a 9.5-game lead over the Cardinals. Miles Mikolas will start for the Cardinals. Mikolas is 1-2 in his seven starts with a 4.50 ERA. He is coming off his best start though, allowing just three hits and no runs over 5 2/3 innings against the Padres. He will face the Brewers' Brett Anderson who is 4-8 with a 4.18 ERA. Cardinals are red-hot and I'm sticking with that here tonight. Play St Louis. |
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09-21-21 | Mariners v. A's OVER 8.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
While the Seattle Mariners and Oakland A's are pretty much done for the AL West title, both teams still in the hunt for a Wild Card. Right now, the A's are 4th in the Wild Card race, 2-games back, while the Mariners are fifth at 3-games back. So it's a jumble between all five teams in the Wild Card with three teams missing out. Marco Gonzales starts today for the M's with a 8-5 record and 3.98 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road where he is 4-3 with a 4.39 ERA. The A's will send Paul Blackburn to the hill. Blackburn is 1-2 in his six starts with a 4.94 ERA. I don't expect either starter to be very effective tonight. I'll just take the OVER in this one. |
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09-21-21 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Houston has a comfortable 7-game lead in the AL West over the Oakland A's and 8-games over the Mariners. They have won seven of their last 10 games and two in a row. They face the fourth place Angels today who are on a four-game losing streak and have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Jose Urquidy starts for the Houston and is having a fine season with a 7-3 record and 3.38 ERA. He's been better of late, going 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA in his last seven starts. In fact, he hasn't allowed over two runs in any of his last six starts. Packy Naughton makes only his fourth start for the Angels. Naughton is 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA. Naughton won't likely be around long, going past the fourth inning just once thus far and that was five innings. The Astros should score at will here today and may get this game over by themselves. Play the OVER. |
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09-21-21 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Reds still have a shot at that 2nd Wild Card spot. They trail the Cardinals by three-games for that playoff position. The Padres are one game back of the Reds and the Phillies 1.5-games back. So these games against the last place Pirates are important. Mitch Keller starts today for the Pirates with a 4-11 mark. He has a overall ERA of 6.14, but has been much better of late. Keller has a 4.80 ERA over his last seven starts and allowed six runs over his last 16 innings. Tyler Mahle will toe the rubber for the Reds. Mahle is 12-5 with a 3.58 ERA. He's been better of late, going 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA over his last seven starts. I'm going to take the UNDER here today with two decent starters. |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers -11.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers looked horrible last week against the New Orleans Saints. The Packers lost 3-38 and had just 229 totals yards and three turnover. Aaron Rodgers was pulled from the game as many speculated he performed that way on purpose because he is unhappy in Green Bay. The Lions almost pulled the shocker of the week as they trailed the 49ers by 28 points and then scored the games final 21 of 28 points to pull close, but lose 33-41. They had almost as many yards as SF (430 to 442) and they had 27 more offensive plays and a +2 turnover ratio. They played even or better than the Niners in most statistical categories. If you only looked at the stats you would figure they had won the game. Question is, who will show up here in week 2, the same Packer team from Week 1 or last year's No 1 ranked offense? The Lions are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 3-7 ATS when the road dog. The Packers usually rebound from losses well, going 16-5 ATS in their last 21 following a ATS loss. I believe Rodgers will be ready to show last week was a fluke and he's ready to return to his old self here against this poor defense of the Lions. I look for the Packers to take out those week 1 frustrations here on the Lions tonight. Play Green Bay. |
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09-20-21 | Blue Jays -128 v. Rays | 4-6 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has a fairly sizeable lead in the AL East of 6.5 games and doesn't look like that will be in trouble. Tonight they take on the third place AL East Toronto Blue Jays who are 7.5 games back. More import though is that the Jays hold that 2nd Wild Card spot right now with a 1 1/2-game lead over the Yankees. Robbie Ray will start tonight for the Jays with a 12-5 record and 2.64 ERA. Ray has been even better of late with a 3-0 record and 1.91 ERA in his last seven starts. The Rays will start their No. 1 prospect in Shane Baz, who last played for the USA in the Tokoyo Olympics and helped his team to a Silver Medal. Baz has been impressive in the minors. Baz is 5-4, 2.06 overall this season with Montgomery and Durham, striking out 113 in 78 2/3 innings and walking only 13. At Triple-A, he is 3-0. 1.76 in 10 games, with 69 strikeouts and 11 walks in 46 innings. I have to take a wait and see for the Rays starter, but Ray I know and will take a chance with. Play Toronto. |
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09-20-21 | Rangers v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
If the NY Yankees hope to make the postseason they will have to better then they have of late. The New York Yankees are now 1.5-games back of that final Wild Card playoff spot in the American League. They have lost two straight games and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Yankees will look to get a bit closer on the back of today's young start, Nestor Cortes. Cortes is 2-2 on the season with an overall 2.70 ERA. What impresses me is that in his 11 starts he's allowed three runs or fewer in 10 of those outings. And, in that other start, just four runs. Today, the Yankees will face Rangers starter A.J. Alexy who is 2-0 in his two starts with a 0.00 ERA. Alexy has look excellent, allowing just two total hits over his 11 innings with five walks and 11 KO's. I'm impressed with both these young starters and if they hold form this game will be an under. Play UNDER |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs -190 v. Ravens | 35-36 | Loss | -190 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens take center stage for the 2nd week in a row as they face the Kansas City Chiefs in Sunday Night Football. The Ravens lost last Monday night in OT at the Las Vegas Raiders, 27-33. The Ravens blew a 14-point lead and had a chance to win in OT before a fumble by Lamar Jackson led to the Raiders TD and win. Now they have to face the high octane Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes completed 27-of-36 passes last week for 337 yards and three TD's in their win over the Browns, 33-29. The Ravens are thin at running back after season ending injuries. They signed Latavius Murray who rushed 10 times for 28 yards and a TD vs the Raiders. Injuries likely will play a big part here tonight for the Ravens. With a questionable rushing game that puts more pressure on Jackson. I don't see how the Ravens keep pace offensively with the Chiefs here tonight. Still, I'll take the Chiefs on the Money Line and just have to win the game. |
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09-19-21 | Indians v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 11-1 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
The Yankees have now dropped to 9-games back of the Rays in the AL East and 4th overall in the division. They are just a 1/2 game back in the Wild Card race so they need to win. The Indians are 11 games back in the AL Central and 10 back in the Wild Card. Eli Morgan starts for the Indians. He's had a tough season at 2-7 and a 6.03 ERA. However, his six starts on the road haven't been bad at 1-1 with a 3.31 ERA. Gerrit Cole goes the Yankees. Cole is 15-7 with a 2.75 ERA. He's allowed just four runs over his last five starts (27 2/3 innings). Don't see Cleveland getting much if anything here today. Play the UNDER. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers -5.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 4 m | Show | |
as Vegas played an exciting game last week as they came from behind to tie Baltimore and send the game into OT. Both teams had a chance and both teams turned the ball over, Vegas doing so on 1st and goal at the half yard line. But Vegas finally won an exciting game on a Carr TD pass to Jones for the win before almost 70,000 fans at Allegiant Stadium. However, the win didn't come without a price, the Raiders suffered injuries, especially on the offensive line where they are very thin heading into this week's game. Pittsburgh overcame a deficit to come back and win their game at Buffalo, 23-16. Their defense was once again very good when it needed to be. This week Vegas has to come down from their high and travel cross country to take on a very good defensive Steelers team. I look for a letdown here from the Raiders, especially with all the injuries they have. I'll take the Steelers and lay the points. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers OVER 47 | 26-17 | Loss | -104 | 49 h 1 m | Show | |
Las Vegas played an exciting game last week as they came from behind to tie Baltimore and send the game into OT. Both teams had a chance and both teams turned the ball over, Vegas doing so on 1st and goal at the half yard line. But Vegas finally won an exciting game on a Carr TD pass to Jones for the win before almost 70,000 fans at Allegiant Stadium. However, the win didn't come without a price, the Raiders suffered injuries, especially on the offensive line where they are very thin heading into this week's game. Pittsburgh overcame a deficit to come back and win their game at Buffalo, 23-16. Their defense was once again very good when it needed to be. This week Vegas has to come down from their high and travel cross country to take on a very good Steelers team. The Vegas defense is improved, but they still give up points and that was evident last week. I look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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09-19-21 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Both these teams started this season with new QB's and both opened the season with impresive wins. Sam Darnold led the Panthers to victory over his old team, the Jets. He completed 68.6% of his passes for 279 yards with one TD. The Saints pulled the shocker on the Packers, though one has to wonder what's going on inside that Packers' locker room with Aaron Rodgers so unhappy. Jameis Winston took over for Drew Brees and led the Saints to the win. Christian McCaffrey also returned to the Saints after an injury filled 2020 campaign. He looked like his All-pro self, rushing the ball 21 times for 98 yards. He also led the team in receptions (9) and receiving yards (89). The Panthers sacked the Jets AB Zach Wilson six times and will look to put that same pressure on Winston here today. The Saints are laying three points on the road here today. I'm not convinced Winston is the answer in New Orleans as last week the Packers were a team in disarray. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday with the Panthers. |
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09-19-21 | Patriots -6 v. Jets | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jets and new QB Zack Wilson host the New England Patriots and their new QB Mac Jones. This is already a crucial AFC East divisional game here this early as both teams lost their openers last week. Wilson was sacked five times last week by the Panthers, 14-19. They averaged just 4.2 ypp last week and the defense gave up almost 400 yards. Don't expect things to get better today for the Jets as the Patriots are a much better team then the Panthers. Jones had a nice performance last week for the Patriots in their loss to the Dolphins. Jones was 29-for-39 for 281 and one TD. The backfield is very good with Damien Harris rushing for 100 yards last week and James White backing him up. The defense is the main stay of this Patriots team. They allowed just 259 total yards to the Dolphins last week. Mac Jones looks well ahead of Wilson thus far. The Patriots have skill players and a better defense. I'll take theme here on Sunday. Play the Patriots. |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
The SF 49ers make the trek East to take on the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers almost blew their game last week in Detroit. They led by as many as 28 points, but just escaped Detroit with the win, 41-33. Detroit scored 21 of the games final 28 points. The Niners also got some bad news when they found out that RB Raheem Mostert was injured for the rest of the season. This will leave San Fran thin at running back and put more pressure on QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Meanwhile, Philly put a hurt, as in Jalen Hurts, on the Atlanta Falcons to the tune of 34-6 last week. Hurts completed 27-of-35 passes for 264 yards and three TD's. He also ran for another 62 yards. The Eagles defense allowed just 288 yards of offense to the Falcons. Meanwhile, the 49ers allowed 33 points and 454 yards to a poor Detroit team last week. Always tough when the West coats teams have to travel to the East Coast. Plus now they have to overcome injuries on both sides of the ball. The Eagles look good with Hurts and getting points here at home is just a bonus. I look for Philly to win this game outright. Play the Eagles. |
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09-18-21 | Padres v. Cardinals -114 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Huge wild card series here as the Padres and Cardinals both fighting for that last playoff spot. First round goes to the Cardinals as they won last night over the Padres, 8-2. The Cardinals now lead the Reds by 1-games and the Padres by 1.5-games for that final spot. I'm sure we'll lots of movement in this are in these final games of the regular season. Yu Darvish starts today for the Padres. He's 8-10 on the season with a 4.32 ERA. He's been much worse of late, going 1-5 with a 7.86 ERA over his last seven starts. The Cards will send Adam Wainwright to the hill. Wainwright is 16-7 with a 2.88 ERA. Unlike Darvish, he's improved lately with a 6-1 record and 1.24 ERA over his last seven starts. I look for the Cardinals to take today's game and increase their Wildcard lead. Play St Louis |
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09-18-21 | Utah v. San Diego State +8.5 | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
San Diego State looks to beat a second PAC-12 opponent this year when they host Utah here on Saturday. Utah is 1-1, losing to intrastate rival BYU last week, 17-26. San Diego State is 2-0 on the season and cruised to a win over Arizona, 28-14 last week. San Diego State has an excellent defense, especially against the run where they have allowed just 97 total yards in two games. Greg Bell will look to grind out the yard on offense for the Aztecs. He's averaging 143 yards in two games with a 7.5 yards per carry average. I am surprised that Utah is a 7-point road favorite here today. The Aztecs have the defense to hang tough. I'll take the points with San Diego State. |
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09-18-21 | Colorado State v. Toledo -14.5 | Top | 22-6 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
Toledo came within one minute last week of shocking the football world with the near upset of Notre Dame in South Bend. It took an Irish TD with just one minute to play to avoid the shocking loss to the Rockets. Today they face a winless Colorado State team. The Rams lost at home last week to Vanderbil, 21-24. Toledo is 1-1 and look to bring a winning record in MAC play next week. Colorado is allowing 33 points per game thus far and 404 yards of offense. That will not bode well today against this very good Toledo team. I'll take Toledo here in what I see as a big blowout. |
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09-18-21 | Alabama -14.5 v. Florida | 31-29 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
SEC action kicks off here on Saturday with Florida hosting the defending national champion Alabama Crimson Tide. This is a rematch of last year's SEC Conference Championship game which Alabama won 52-46 in a shootout. Alabama had a tuneup last week against Mercer and you can't blame the team for a flat performance against an FCS opponent with SEC Florida on deck. Alabama won 48-14 behind QB Bryce Young's 227 yards and three scores. No 11 Florida is one of the best offenses in the country, averaging 38.5 ppg and 8.1 yards per play. They also boast the nation's No 1 rushing offense (381 ypg). For Florida to win here today they have to play better defensively. That's a tall order against the Tide offense. I'm going to stick with the team that are the Champs for a reason. Play Alabama. |
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09-18-21 | Purdue v. Notre Dame -7 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Notre Dame has really had some excitement in the first two weeks of the season. The Irish (2-0) had to go to OT to beat Florida State in their opening game of the season. Then last week they had everything they could handle with Toledo. The Rockets came into South Bend and led the Irish late into the 4th quarter before Notre Dame got a game winning TD with about minute to play. Whew! Now we get this intra-state rivalry as Purdue visits South Bend. Purdue is 2-0 on the season, destroying U Conn last week, 49-0 and tallying more than 560 yards of offense. The Boilermakers have not beaten a top 10 team since they beat the Irish back in 1974. Is there an upset on the board for Saturday? Purdue will be throwing and often. They are 17th in the country in pass attempts per game (39). They will however, be without leading rusher Zander Horvath who is out for at least a month. What does that mean? More passing! Notre Dame has struggled offensively, especially with a O-line that had to replace four starters. Notre Dame just 7 or 7 1/2 here on Saturday. To me that's a bargain since the Irish have yet to put together their best game. With Horvath out for the Boilermakers the Irish can concentrate on pass defense here today. I'll take the Irish as I believe they are ready for a breakout game. Play Notre Dame. |
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09-18-21 | Virginia Tech v. West Virginia -2.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The two former Big East rivals meet again here on Saturday as West Virginia welcomes Virginia for the Black Diamond Trophy. Virginia tech had that big upset win in week 1 over top-10 ranked North Carolina, 17-10. The Hokies had a bit of a letdown last week, struggling to get past Middle Tennessee State. West Virginia lost to Maryland in their opener, 24-30 but came away with the softball win last week over Long Island U, 66-0. WVU had one of the best defenses last season and they are looking good again this year. Even with that impressive win over NCU, Va Tech has a tough spot here today. I'm taking the host. Play West Virginia. |
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09-18-21 | Cincinnati -3.5 v. Indiana | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bearcats offense has been high octane, averaging 8.8 yards per play and has scored more than 40 points in each of their first two games. QB Desmond Ridder has hit on 72.3 percent of his passes and has six passing TD's and the fourth best passer rating in the country. Indiana had a rough start to the season, losing at home to Iowa. QB Michael Penix was intercepted three times by the Hawkeyes. Now they face a Cincinnati team that is ranked 13th in the nation in yards allowed with just 324.6 ypg. Don't see Indiana stopping this Cincy offense here today. I'm taking the visitor and laying the points. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-17-21 | Maryland -7 v. Illinois | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Maryland (2-0) takes on Illinois (1-2) from Champaign in this Big 10 matchup here on Friday. The Fighting Illini opened its season against Big 10 Nebraska and upsetting the 7-point Huskers. However, it's been downhill since then, losing to Texas San Antonio and then to Virginia last week. The defense has gotten shredded in those two losses, allowing 1,053 total yards. Won't get any easier against a offensive Maryland team here tonight. Maryland is 2-0 and has won it's first two games by a combined 92-24 score. Maryland is led by Junior QB Taulia Tagovailoa who is leading the Big 10 in completion percentage (76.2) and in passer rating (188.4). Illinois will welcome back QB Brandon Peters who was injured against Nebraska and hasn't played since. Not sure how Illinois will stop this Maryland offense tonight. And, I don't think they have the offense themselves to keep pace in a shootout. Take Maryland. |
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09-17-21 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Phillies and Mets both fighting for that last NL Wildcard slot. The Phillies in better position though as they are just 2.5-games back of St Louis while the Mets are 5-games back. The Phils are 3-games back of the Braves for the NL East lead while the Mets are 5.5-games back. The Mets will try to snap a 3-game losing skid here tonight. They will send All-Star pitcher Taijuan Walker to the hill. Walker is 7-9 overall with a 4.24 ERA. He's been better at home with a 4-3 record and 3.41 ERA in 13 starts. Philly will send Zack Wheeler to the mound. Wheeler is 13-9 on the season with a nifty 2.86 ERA. He's allowed only one run over his last two starts (12 2/3 innings). I look for this game to be a close, low scoring affair. Take UNDER. |
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09-17-21 | Lynx -9.5 v. Fever | 92-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Lynx have to be happy facing the Indiana Fever. The Lynx have faced the Fever twice this month and beaten them twice. The last was a 90-80 win. The Fever are horrible, posting a 6-24 record, 2nd worst in the WNBA an now having an eye on the offseason. The defense has been horrible, allowing at least 86 points in each of their last five games. Minnesota is 20-10 and have scored at least 89 points in each of their last four games. Laying 9-points on the road not usually something I like to do, but this should be an easy blowout win tonight. Play Minnesota. |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Washington not only lost the game last week, but they also lost QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to a hip injury for the rest of the game. Good news is that he's listed as probably for tonight's contest. Washington has one of the better defenses in the league, especially against the pass. Even though they lost 16-20 to the Chargers last week, they could have lost by a lot more. They gave up 424 totals yards (334 vis pass to Hebert) while totally just 259 themselves (133 passing). Should be a easier time this week against Jones for the Giants. The Giants also lost last week at home to the Broncos, 13-27. They gave up 420 yards with 255 through the air to Teddy Bridgewater and another 165 on the ground. The Giants have covered five of the last seven in this series, splitting the two games last year. The Giants are also 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road dog and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 on grass. Take the Giants tonight. |
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09-15-21 | Yankees v. Orioles UNDER 10 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Yankees have been slumping and it's seen them fall from 2nd to tied for 3rd with the Blue Jays in the AL East. They are in a dog fight for one of those AL Wildcard spots with the Jays and Red Sox. The Yankees start Nestor Cortes today who is 2-2 in his 10 starts with a nifty 2.85 ERA. He's allowed more than three runs just one time in his 10 starts. John Means will toe the rubber for the O's with a 5-7 record and 3.42 ERA. Means has allowed two runs in each of his last three starts and that includes against these Yankees on Sept 3 in a 3-4 no decision. Both pitchers are very good and should keep this score in check. Play the UNDER. |
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09-14-21 | Padres v. Giants -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 125 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Giants just won't lose these days, much to the dismay of 2nd place LA that is trying to catch them. The Giants won again on Monday over the Padres, making them winners of eight straight games and they are 10-1 their last 11 games. The Padres have lost four straight games and seven of their last 11 games. Jake Arrieta starts today for the Padres. Arrieta is 5-12 on the season with a lofty 7.03 ERA. That goes way up in his last seven starts as he's 0-4 with a 12.17 ERA. Anthony Desclafani starts for the Giants. He's 11-6 with a 3.33 ERA on the season. Doesn't get any easier here tonight for the Padres who will once again struggle to score runs. Take San Francisco on the Run Line. |
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09-14-21 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Miami Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10 games and look to extend their win streak to two games here tonight. The Marlins beat the Nationals on Monday night, 3-0. The will send Jesus Luzardo to the hill tonight. Luzardo is 4-6 on the season with a 6.25 ERA. He's been way worse on the road, posting a 0-2 record and a 9.64 in three away starts. The Nats will counter with Erick Fedde tonight. Fedde is 6-9 with a 5.31 ERA. He's been slightly worse of late with a 6.03 ERA and 2-2 record. Both starters likely not around long in this one. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-13-21 | Cardinals -105 v. Mets | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
The St Louis Cardinals closed out their series with the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday with a 2-0 win. Meanwhile, the Mets finished their Subway series with the Yankees. Both teams are still in the race for that final NL Wild Card slot. The Dodgers have the top spot locked at this point with a 16-game lead over the pack. The Padres and Reds are tied for the 2nd spot with the Cardinals one game back and the Mets 3.5-games back. The Cardinals start their best pitcher tonight in Adam Wainwright. Wainwright is 15-7 with a 2.98 ERA on the season. He's been even better recently, going 6-1 with a 1.57 ERA over his last seven starts. The Mets will start Rich Hill who is 6-6 on the season. Hill has a 3.71 overall ERA and slightly worse 4.01 home ERA. I like Wainwright and the Cardinals tonight who can get one step close to that Wild Card spot with a win. |
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09-12-21 | Broncos -154 v. Giants | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Denver opens the season on the road at Metlife Stadium against the Giants. The biggest news for the Broncos is the acquisition of Teddy Bridgewater, who had a fine preseason and won the job over Drew Locke. Denver will need to improve their run defense, 8th worst in the NFL. They also allowed 29.9 points per game last year. The Giants will once again have Daniel Jones at QB. Jones will be in his third season after a fine rookie season that saw him throw 24 TD's. Saquon Barkley is back after playing just a few games in 2020 and then missing the rest of the season with an injury. The one issue for the Giants heading into week one are injuries and a lot of them. I'm going to take Denver on the money line here today, but I feel the Giants will improve as the season goes along. Play Denver Money Line. |
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09-12-21 | Dolphins v. Patriots -165 | 17-16 | Loss | -165 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
The NE Patriots face longtime AFC East Rival Miami here today. Miami was 10-6 in 2020 with both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tua Tagovailoa at QB. Fitzpatrick is departed to Washington and the team is all Tua's now. Though there has been some rumors that Houston's Deshawn Watson could land in Miami. The Dolphins had a solid defense, ranked in the top 10 with an excellent secondary. The Patriots had numerous players opt out last year because of Covid and it showed in their 2-5 start. Gone is Cam Newton and in is rookie Mac Jones making his first career NFL start. The Pats strength this year will be their offensive line and deep running back group. They have to establish the run to help Jones out. Still, despite uncertainties on both sides, I'll take the Patriots on the Money Line today. |
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09-12-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Orioles | 22-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Toronto and Baltimore played only 7 innings on Saturday, but there was no lack of runs with the Jays winning 11-10. Toronto is tied for the 2nd Wild Card slot right now with the Yankees. But there are two teams nipping at their heals so they can't let their guards down. Toronto has been hot, winning nine of their last 10 games and 12 of their last 14 games. Toronto starts Steven Matz here today. Matz is 11-7 on the season with a 3.70 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 3-1 with a 1.63 ERA over his last seven starts. The ORioles will start Zac Lowther here today. Lowther has started just two games and he's allowed eight runs over 8 2/3 innings. Not much to go by with Lowther at this point. But I do know what I'm getting with the Blue Jays and Matz. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
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09-12-21 | Jaguars v. Texans +3.5 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
The one good thing about taking over a team in your rookie season is that there isn't much pressure on that team to do well this season. That's what Trevor Lawrence will be in here as the QB and No 1 pick in the draft. Urban Meyer takes over the helm of the Jaguars and he has Lawrence, which is a huge upgrade for this team. Cant's say the same for Houston who will be without QB Deshawn Watson. Watson has legal problems and even if he could play, he wants out of Houston. Lawrence had an excellent preseason and now gets to face a troubled Houston team. So who will be running the Texans? That will fall to well traveled Tyrod Taylor. Taylor will be the starter with no one really behind him trying to take over the team. One team is on the upswing while the other is heading South. Still, until I see Lawrence under real game time pressure and against No 1 defenses, I'll take the home dog here. Play Houston. |
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09-12-21 | Steelers +6.5 v. Bills | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
Two teams that both look to be in the playoff mix come the end of the season will kickoff the season here in week 1. This is a rematch from last year that saw the Bills win at home over the Steelers, 23-15. The Steelers are a good road dog, going 10-3 ATS in their last 13 in that role. Pittsburgh has won 10 of the last 13 in this series. The Steelers were 12-4 last year. The run game was an issue last year, averaging just 3.6 yard per carry. The Bills were 13-3 last year and lost to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship. Josh Allen had an amazing season at QB, with nearly 5,000 total yards rush and passing. The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite here today. I would have liked to have that extra half point, but getting a excellent defensive team like Pittsburgh with 6.5 points is enough for me. Play Pittsburgh. |
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09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team -1 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
The Chargers begin their season all the way across the country here in Washington on Sunday. LA was 7-9 to finish last season as was Washington. Though Washington made the postseason in a terrible NFC East. The Chargers made a change in their head coach, sacking Anthony Lynn and replacing him with Brandon Staley. LA will once again rely on QB Justin Herbert after a fine rookie season in 2020. Washington has one of the best defenses in the league, ranked 4th overall. However, the offense wasn't very good, ranked 25th in scoring offense. Fitzpatrick return at QB for Washington. I personally like betting against a new coach in his first game of the season. The team is still learning the playbook, and with new coaches it will take a bit for the team to come together. Add the excellent Washington defense and I'll take the host here today. Play Washington. |
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09-11-21 | San Diego State v. Arizona -1.5 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
an Diego State didn't have quite the cakewalk they expected in week 1 against New Mexico State. The Aztecs could only win 28-10 against arguably the worst team in college FBS football. Meanwhile, Arizona played against a very good BYU team last week in Las Vegas. The Wildcats covered the spread but came up short in the outright win, 16-24. San Diego State travels to Tucson here today to face Arizona. The Wildcats look to put an end to their 13-game losing streak here tonight. They had 425 yards of offense vs BYU, but missed a pair of field goals and turned the ball over in the red zone. San Diego State somehow trailed NM State at the half 0-10 and didn't have a single point in the first half. Arizona has won 10 of the 15 games in this series. This should be a good defensive game. The Cats held BYU to under 30 points and the SD St offense isn't near as good. Arizona only a 1 to 2 point favorite here at home. I look for them to finally snap that losing streak. Play Arizona. |
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09-11-21 | Washington +7 v. Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -117 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
It's the PAC-12 vs the BIG 10 here on Saturday as Michigan welcomes Washington to town. Both these clubs have one game under their belt and both had opposite outcomes. The Washington Huskies lost last week to FCS Montana, 7-13. The team had just 288 total yards between their QB Dylan Morris and RB Richard Newton. Michigan had little issue last week with Western Michigan, beating the Broncos 47-17. QB Cade McNamara threw for just 136 yards but had two TD's. Michigan is just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs the PAC-12. I look for Washington to rebound here today with a cover at Michigan as a nice dog. Play Michigan. |
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09-11-21 | Missouri v. Kentucky UNDER 57 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
Missouri opened 2021 play last week with a home win over Central Michigan, 34-24. The Kentucky Wildcats also opened with a win last week over La-Monroe, 45-10. Missour QB Connor Bazelak completed 65% of his passes with 257 yards and two TD'as last week. Kentucky looks to improve to 2-0 this season, something they have done four times in the last five years. QB Will Levis had a good week last week, completing 69% of his passes for 367 yards and four TD's. Missouri has historically been a good under team, going 8-21 in their last 29 overall games. Both teams pretty much had cake walks last week. So this will be the first big test for both clubs. I look for a close game and a low scoring game. Play the UNDER. |
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09-11-21 | Appalachian State v. Miami-FL -7.5 | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
Miami Florida ran into a buzzsaw and defending NCAA Champion last week in Alabama. The Hurricanes were manhandled in that game and lost 13-44. Meanwhile, Appalachian State opened the season with a win last week over East Carolina, 33-19. App State had a good 2020 with a 9-3 overall record and a win in the Myrtle Beach Bowl over North Texas, 56-28. The Hurricanes finished 8-3 last year and 7-2 in the ACC. I have to believe that the Hurricanes will be primed to take out last week's frustration on this week's opponent. That team is App State. I'll take the host here and play Miami Florida. |
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09-11-21 | Texas v. Arkansas +7 | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
The Steve Sarkasian era has begun in Austin, as the Texas Longhorns opened with a win last week against Louisiana, 38-18. They were led by RB Bijan Robinson who rushed for 103 yards and a TD. QB Hudson Card made his debut for the Longhorns also, hitting on 14-of-21 passes for 224 yards. Arkansas had early troubles last week with Rice, but pulled away late for a 38-17 win. QB KJ Jefferson wasn't very effective with just 6.1 yards passing per attempt. However, the ground game was in full force, averaging 5.6 yards per rush. Texas laying 7-points here on the road. Problem is, I'm not sold that this team is for real yet. I have to see more games. In the meantime, I'll take the Hogs plus the points at home. Play Arkansas. |
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09-11-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State -4 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
Rivalry matchup here today in the Hawkeye State as Iowa States hosts their rivals, Iowa. This game usually invokes big emotions on both sides, just ask Iowa State HC Matt Campbell who got very emotional the last time these teams met in 2019. The Cyclones led that contest at the half, but Iowa rallied in the 2nd half the win, 18-17. This will be the first time these teams have met with both being ranked in the AP top 25. Iowa State beat Northern Iowa last week, 16-10, holding NIU to just 275 total yards. Meanwhile, Iowa dominated Indiana last week, 34-6. With the fans back in force this should be one for the books today. I'm taking the Cyclones here today and laying the small price. |
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09-11-21 | Oregon +14.5 v. Ohio State | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Clash of top 25 teams here on Saturday as No 12 Oregon travels to No 3 Ohio State to take on the Buckeyes. Oregon opened their season last week with a win at home over Fresno State, 31-24. Oregon had a tougher time last week against Fresno then many expected. However, I think they were looking ahead to this matchup with Ohio State, a team they haven't faced since the 2015 National Championship that Ohio State won, 42-20. Ohio State QB C.J. Stroud made his Buckeyes debut, completing 13-of-22 for 294 yards and four TD's. Oregon has an excellent defense that should keep them close in this game. With the big line that Ohio State has to lay, I'll take that number early in the season and see if Oregon can't slide inside the number. Play Oregon. Ohio State dominated Minnesota on the road last week, 45-31. |