Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-28-19 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -4 | Top | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 58 h 56 m | Show |
Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. One, we have the ol' unranked team favored over 'ranked' team. Love seeing that nonsense. So, again, K-State ranked? Based on a win over Mississippi State? Nicolls State, Bowling Green, road win at Miss State. Barely over 100 yards passing from your QB. A 100 yard Kick return, leading rusher 59 yards on 17 carries. Look. We were big on Texas last week over the Cowboys. Muffed punt cost me the cover the there. But, Spencer Sanders looks solid at QB. This defense will be fine vs Wildcats. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE |
|||||||
09-28-19 | New Mexico v. Liberty -6.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 57 h 36 m | Show |
Taking LIBERTY. New Mexico off their biggest game of the year vs New Mexico State. Now have to fly cross country. Hugh Freeze really has this team moving the ball. Liberty won by 9 last year. Their QB last week had 300 yards passing on just 10 completions last week. Eventually Liberty will be up by 20 and New Mexico is going to have to get away from their strength of running the ball. 8* Sure Shot LIBERTY |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Virginia +12.5 v. Notre Dame | 20-35 | Loss | -103 | 54 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA. We faded both of these teams last week with mixed results. We knew VA off that big win over FSU would be looking ahead to the Irish. But we thought ND would be worked by Georgia. Instead, we got a pretty good slug-fest. Now Irish in off a close, tough loss instead of a beat down. Beat down, we get a real focused ND squad. Tough loss, we have heads hanging thinking what could have been. Virginia defense will travel and the backdoor should be open in what should be about a 10pt game. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA |
|||||||
09-28-19 | BYU v. Toledo +2.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking TOLEDO. Just missed with these guys last week, but will take them as a home dog here. BYU defense a bit leaky giving up 72 in their last 2 games. Rockets no slouch putting up 37ppg good for 11th in the nation. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS |
|||||||
09-27-19 | Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking DUKE. Have to be disappointed if you are Va Tech fan. Struggling vs Old Dom and Furman. Guess everyone is still thinking about Duke/ Alabama to open the season. Since then, 45 and 41 points put up in a pair or blowouts. 4* Money Maker DUKE |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Eagles +4.5 v. Packers | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 96 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Also will be going ML +190 on this one. I know short week. On the road. Not high on the Packers here. Yes, we had them last week and faded the Lions. But, new day, new week. Getting more than a FG we have to play the dogs here. Banged up guys, questionable guys. Doesn't matter as long as we have our QB upright. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis -10.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking MEMPHIS. A little revenge in order. Turnovers and ensuing time of possession really wore out the Memphis defense last year. Not so much here at home. Too much fire poor for the run first Midshipmen. 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS |
|||||||
09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +4.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 191 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Look. I have faded Washington in both first two weeks. And, faded the Bears in both weeks. 3-1 there for us. But honestly, how can you like Chicago. I get it. The defense will travel. It is tough. But that offense is brutal. Borderline offensive. At least sitting at 0-2, Redskins haven't quit. They have are battling. Off 2 division foes, it will tough to get up. But hello Monday Night Football. Taking the home dog in prime time. I said from Day 1 I thought Bears would be down a bit. Barking doggy here possibly outright. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 15 m | Show |
Taking CLEVELAND. Look. Can't be happy at the sloppy play on MNF vs the Jets. Some real dumbness from the Browns. We get a little reprieve as this is the night game as opposed to an early start. Rams good yes. Faded them at Carolina, big backing of them vs Saints. But this is a tough spot. The OL didn't look all that good last week. Cleveland for all the ugliness can still bring some pressure. Talented home dog in Prime Time vs NFC Super Bowl Reps from last year. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks +1 | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 149 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. No Brees and can get a point. This line will be on the move. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Texans v. Chargers -3 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Steelers v. 49ers +1.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 164 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS. So Big Ben is injured. He plays, he doesn't. Steelers really have some issues brewing. They looked terrible at New England. That's allowed. But to not even be in control before Ben got injured. We saw Seattle basically lay an egg at home. And they are not historically good in September. Especially on the road. So now they may have a new man under center. We have seen the Niners perform pretty well on both sides of the ball so far. The rush attack is pretty solid. Defense getting it done. Actually shocked this isn't 3 with Big Ben. I guess the thinking is Pitt is desperate at 0-2. Home team for me. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRAN 49ers |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Panthers v. Cardinals +3 | 38-20 | Loss | -125 | 122 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Faded these guys in both games so far - hasn't worked out well. What I do see in this team is zero quit. So why wouldn't we play them as home dogs vs Carolina. Panthers look terrible. Cam is banged up again. More worried about like Whitney Houston in The Bodyguard at his presser then looking like a NFL QB. Panthers on a 2-8 ATS run last 10 - absolutely zero right being any size fave. Cards on a 7-3-1 ATS run their last 11. They covered vs Seattle and Chicago both here last year, and beat San Fran. I don't think Carolina is as good as any of those teams. Homies playing tough for their new HC. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers -8 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 161 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Had GB in Week 1, faded them against Minny. Had Denver both games. And the Broncos both games have looked brutal on offense. We saw Carr move the ball on these guys. I am sure Rodgers will be able to do the same. Packers defense was good vs Bears, but what does that mean. We just Chicago struggle at Denver. What I like was what we saw against Minny. Flacco not better than Cousins,and he does not have the skill players around him like the Vikings provide. This line will probably only go up. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Ravens v. Chiefs -6.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -109 | 161 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. Well. Interesting game vs the Raiders. Explode for 28 in the 2nd quarter, and decide to take the other 3 quarters off. Back to Back roadies to start the year, now their home opening. I had the Ravens both weeks. And I'll tell you what. If you can't contain a rookie QB and HC playing 3000 miles from home. And you want to get cute and not score TDs, well, you won't be winning 23-17 games. You will be losing 44-20 at KC and other good teams. Ravens don't look like an elite bunch. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Bengals v. Bills -5 | 17-21 | Loss | -115 | 160 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. I am a Buffalo believer. Had them Week 1. Had them Week 2 as our Free Pick Video play. And will come again for their home opener. Cincy showing their true stripes at home as the Niners just absolutely rip them. Don't be fooled. Bills have a solid defense. And their OL can make some holes for their backs. Gore looks like the #1, but Singletary is the home run hitter coming out of the backfield. Cincy can't stop the run and have zero rush attack themselves. Bernard 13 for 27 and Mixon 17 for 27. Good luck sledding in Buffalo. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings -7.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 160 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Time to fade away on the Raiders. The losses will start piling up. Ugly game from Minny at GB, so you know they will be 100% focused here and not overlooking Oaktown. We saw the Bills come in here and still a win last year. Not happening. 1-1 for Vikes, and need to keep pace with 2-0 GB who is also 2-0 in division. Zim at home always strong. Everything just better for Minny on their home turf. We saw KC not score in 3 quarters and still dominate Oakland. I think Vikings put up 30+ and Raiders don't know what hit them. Their defense won't allow RB Jacobs to control this game. They have their own RB who can put on a show. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Lions +7 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 119 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So these guy buried us in Week 1. We avoided them last week against the Chargers. Now they take to the road getting a TD. You know I am no Philly fan. But the bias is not shying through here. This is an overvalued team right now. We saw it in Week 1 vs Washington. We even saw it last week against the Falcons. And we were on Atlanta. But that wasn't an easy win. Philly banged up all over the place. Plus, this can easily be a look ahead for them. Green Bay on Thursday night lurks ahead. Lions defense looked great first 3 quarters in Arizona before, I am assuming, not playing the 4th quarter. They held a pretty good QB in Brees in check last week. And we know Stafford is a stat compiler late in games. Back door wide open for him to come strolling in. 8* Sure Shot DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Utah State -4.5 v. San Diego State | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 127 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker UTAH STATE |
|||||||
09-21-19 | UCLA v. Washington State -18 | 67-63 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON STATE. Maybe you didn't catch my video that I did on this game. But I will repeat myself. UCLA is not a good team. Not now. Not next week. Not last year. 1-16 SU run on the road. How about 3-15 SU last 18. Oh. ATS, OK. Washington State 11-2-1 last 13 ATS vs Bruins. Also on a 11-2 ATS run at home. We have extra rest. We have Mike Leach who, famous for offense, does have a decent defense. UCLA with 14ppg and that won't get it done. Totally abused as we cashed with Sooners last week. On heels of a brutal loss to San Diego State who scored a grand total of 6 points in a win over Portland. And lets not forget backing UCLA at Cincy. Chip and company look completely lost. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON STATE |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Toledo -9 v. Colorado State | Top | 41-35 | Loss | -112 | 80 h 17 m | Show |
Taking TOLEDO.. Rams in off getting crushed by Arkansas. This is a bad team. A bad team with no QB. Rockets with a ton of experience and should contend for MAC Championship. 5* Best Bet TOLEDO ROCKETS |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia -13.5 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 10 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA. Listen. Notre Dame cannon compete on the road with top programs. 0-8 in their January Bowl Game vs elite team getting outscored by 21ppg. Make no mistake about it. Georgia is an elite team. 30-3 losers to Clemson last year. 44-28 losers to Ohio State in 2016. Do I have to go back to 2013 and Bama crushing them in NCG 42-14. Even in the regular season. Last year 24-17 losers at USC. And SC had been down lately. Losers at Stanford 38-20 and 41-8 at Miami U in 2017. 45-27 at USC in 2016. Look. ND a good program. But they get exposed by real football schools as they do not have the depth and speed to keep up. Irish defense will be in for a long day against this Bulldogs OL. Ian Book can't do it by himself. Balanced Georgia and better defense at home. I'll lay the big number. 8* Sure Shot GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -6 | Top | 30-36 | Push | 0 | 44 h 18 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS. Not backing a freshman tonight. Tough place to play. I was down a bit on Texas. Had LSU over them to open things up. But Longhorns have been putting up plenty of points. Cowboys also, 52-56-40. But this defense a little tougher than Oregon State, McNeese and Tulsa. Oklahoma State has really owned Texas going 7-2 SU last 9. Time for some payback. Again, Spencer Sanders on the road. Not buying it. 3rd road in 4 weeks for Cowboys. Ehlinger looking good. 8* Sure Shot TEXAS |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Old Dominion +28.5 v. Virginia | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 12 m | Show |
Taking OLD DOMINION. They guys hung vs Va Tech. Now, a run first team, who look to milk the clock, getting 4 TDs. And, 4 TDs from a team that let it all hang out in huge program win over Florida State. Now, Noles not be old time Noles, but for Virginia, huge, huge win. And, hello Notre Dame on deck. Do we really expect them to come out and put 40 plus after rallying last week? Play down to the competition week with ODU off a bye ready for this VA attack. 5* Best Bet OLD DOMINION |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Washington -4.5 v. BYU | 45-19 | Win | 100 | 103 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. We had Utah over BYU in Game 1. They didn't look all that good vs Utah who looked rusty out of the gate. Now they are a small home dog vs Washington. I won't blame you for wanting to jump on them here. Everyone pumped up to take on a big brother PAC 12. But, like last week when we had Air Force. BYU is in off 2 emotional games. A huge OT road win against Tennessee. And then last week they knocked off USC, again, in OT. Have been out-yarded in all their games. Last year Washington won 35-7. In off a fairly easy win over Hawaii, I expect a 10+ point win for the visitors. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio State -38.5 | 5-76 | Win | 100 | 41 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking OHIO STATE. Yeah, laying nearly 40. 138-31. or 46-10 the average score in OSU games. Freshman QB for Miami O who was just trucked by Cincy (35-13) who was rocked by Buckeyes (42-0). Looking for something along the lines of their Indiana game, 52-10 range. OSU will get to 45+. In Miami O two real games, they have scored 14/13 points. Do they get 10 in The Horseshoe? 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Temple -13.5 v. Buffalo | 22-38 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TEMPLE |
|||||||
09-21-19 | SMU v. TCU -9.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TCU |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Coastal Carolina -16.5 v. UMass | 62-28 | Win | 100 | 38 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking COASTAL CAROLINA. Mass has to be one of, if not, the worse team in college football right now. 27 loss at Rutgers. 25 points loss to FCS Southern Illinois, at home! 35 at Charlotte. Coastal a tough bunch. Win at Kansas. Tough vs Eastern Michigan. Until UMass shows us something, we fade them. 4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA |
|||||||
09-20-19 | Air Force +8.5 v. Boise State | 19-30 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking AIR FORCE. Had these guys last week, will come right back to them. Look. Boise at home is not the same as years past (7-17 ATS run)-We discussed last week when we took and won with another underdog. Granted, Boise taking a late knee got us the W. That being said, still high on Falcons. Triple option always tricky to prepare for. AF 11-2-1 ATS run as away dog. 48-38 revenge game for the Falcons. No Rypien to bail out Boise to the tune of 5 TDs. Freshmen QB laying to a tough dog. 4* Money Maker AIR FORCE |
|||||||
09-20-19 | Florida International +7 v. Louisiana Tech | 31-43 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking FIU. I like Butch Davis. Thought these would be better out of the gate, but QB injuries can knock down really any program. Not a fan of LT as a favorite, especially sporting a 3-10 ATS home fave run. Dogs, yeah, we will jump on Skip. Not laying a TD though in a conference opener. FIU 8-1 ATS playing team with a winning record so they can hang tough. 4* Money Maker FIU |
|||||||
09-16-19 | Browns -2.5 v. Jets | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 45 m | Show | |
Let's try of a middle here. BROWNS -- Like the Patriots line that has ran away from where we got it, a middle opportunity arises.. Fact is though. If Darnold and Bell were both playing, I would have been on the home dogs. Jets may keep it close for a bit, but the QB position is huge. I know Browns have OL problems, but they should be able to handle a depleted Jets team. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +2 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Eagles took off the first half against the Redskins and then gave up a garbage TD with 6 seconds left to lose the cover. Falcons couldn't do anything right at Minny. Well. Matty Ice and friends are home in the dome. Matt Ryan 10-1 SU/ATS in home openers. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the BRONCOS. Lost an ugly one with these guys on Monday night. But we are home and angry. Plus, as everyone probably already knows. Our HC was the DC of the Bears. Like I said when we took the Packers of Chicago. Bears defense will be good. But they won't be historically great. We saw how bad the offense looks. Are you telling me Miller and Chubb won't be able to get after Trubisky this afternoon? He's a statue. And the play calling is highly questionable. Give me Denver who has every player strength and weakness marked down on that Bears sideline. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Redskins | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 159 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Not impressed by what we say from the Redskins. Think that is a combination of Eagles playing down, and everyone against Washington. Once Philly turned it on, Washington had no answer. Garbage TD with 6 seconds left for the back door. Dallas looks pretty fluid. Defense should have no problem shutting this team down. Offense was clicking. We'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -105 | 159 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA. Will grab the Vikes as a small dog. I get GB with some extra rest. They will need it after that opening night slug fest with the Bears. We cashed them as a nice Best Bet, but here as a fave, we will back off. Cook really looks good. The run game for Minny very nice in win over Atlanta. Think we have the better offense. Think we have the better defense. Getting points. Minny 5-1-1 SU last 6 vs Packers. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Cardinals v. Ravens -13 | 17-23 | Loss | -102 | 158 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Look. We had these guys last week. Scoring 59 was real nice. Do I expect that again. Of course not. Miami looks historically bad, and new out of the locker room looks very bad. Now Baltimore gets Arizona. A rookie QB and rookie HC. I will be the first to say my Lions picks was a brutal one. Up 24-6 in the 3rd and the team your playing having 3 first downs, you should really seal the deal. But hello Matt Patricia. Not that Kliffy is much better. We have the superior staff today. We have Arizona in an early time slot. More importantly, we have film on Kyler. This Baltimore is solid. If Hollywood is the real deal at WR, watch out. The run game is solid. Detroit should have sealed up a, at worse 24-10, 27-17 type of game. I can't see Cards pulling off the same stunt this week. I like the Over here as well because I think BLT gets in the 30s. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Patriots -14.5 v. Dolphins | 43-0 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the Patriots. Miami as bad as advertised. No OL. Poor defense. Poor QB play. Patriots look like, well, defending Super Bowl champs. Defense looks very good again. I mean..they shut down the Steelers. Don't forget how they shut down the Rams offense either. Does Miami have 1 offensive player starting on either team. It's a huge number. I get it. AB maybe on the field. As if Brady needs another weapon. I know Pat's have problems playing in South Beach, but we're laying it. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | 28-26 | Loss | -100 | 146 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Please don't come in shocked off the Patriots beating these guys again. That is just what New England does. So Pitt at home. Big Ben always better at home. Not sold on this Seattle team. Looked a little dicey vs Cincy. For me, we have angry Steelers in home opener. Seattle can afford to lose a non conference game. Things get tricky if Pitt can't seal this one at home. They have to travel to San Fran next, which won't be easy if Jimmy G is shaping into form. Then home for back to back division games. Again. Seattle a different team on the road. Steelers a different team at home. Big Ben to JuJu for a big game this afternoon. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERS |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Oklahoma -22.5 v. UCLA | Top | 48-14 | Win | 100 | 68 h 28 m | Show |
Taking OKLAHOMA. This UCLA team. Geez. Had them them in both of their losses this season. And they have looked terrible. I am the first to say we don't overreact to a game. But I have seen nothing the last 2 games that says Chip Kelly is going to be able to keep up here. This opened at like 18/19. I still think anything under 30 is a gift. 14 pts in for UCLA. Sooners with 700 yards of O in their games. Oklahoma a bye week next. UCLA with PAC 12 home opener up next. Only way this game is close is if UCLA manages 3 8 minute TD drives to keep visitors off the field. Not happening. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Florida -8 v. Kentucky | 29-21 | Push | 0 | 68 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking FLORIDA. I am high on Gators, not so much on Kentucky. We had Florida huge in Game over Miami. Turnovers burned us. Florida can bring the pressure. Also if anyone forgot, Wildcats ending a 31 year winless streak last year beating the Gators. That game featured Kentucky amassing over 300 yards on the ground. Well, Benny Snell is in the NFL with those 175 yards, and QB Wilson and his 101 is out. We had Toledo over these guys. You know I am backing the road faves in a big revenge spot. Better offense. Better defense. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA GATORS |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -8 | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 65 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking LOUISVILLE. So- I think WKU is on the decline, while UL is on the rise. Haven't seen anything out of Western that makes me think they hang here. UL still has work to do for sure. But the new coach is bringing change and I see a 14pt win today. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Alabama -25 v. South Carolina | Top | 47-23 | Loss | -109 | 64 h 29 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. Yeah, I will lay a quarter on the road. Freshman QB vs the Tide. Bama in a normal game wins by, like 22-23 a game. Now they get to feast on a young signal caller. This is Charleston Southern. I can't see South Carolina getting into the teens here. Alabama is good for 45+ today. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida -7 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 64 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking UCF. Backing the little guys here. You know this team is licking their chops to get a Power 5 school in town. And they get a PAC 12 program to boot. You know we don't love the PAC 12, especially on the road. And this UCF team has shown it can play with the big dogs. Not sure how Stanford's defense holds up here. Tough place to play. 4* Money Maker UCF |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Air Force +5 v. Colorado | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 62 h 5 m | Show |
Taking AIR FORCE. So Colorado comes in off huge rivalry games. Wins over Colorado State and Nebraska. The Cornhusker Comeback was a wild down 17-7 win 34-31 OT win. If there was a ever a spot for a little letdown, here it comes. Triple Option team who is off their bye week. Now, this isn't a huge number, but worth the value on the dog. A good schedule spot for Air Force. They will want to show up against in-state 'big brother.' How pumped will this crowd be for Air Force after Nebraska? 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE |
|||||||
09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +9.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking HOUSTON. Will grab the home dogs here. Ok not exactly at home, but NRG is a mere 5 miles from campus. Cougars took out the Sooners here. Let's just say that the COUGARS will win this game! Ok -ok, both teams use the Cougars nick-name. Mike Leach bring the air raid back into Big 12 country where it started. Look. I am no fan of PAC 12 teams. Especially laying a number like this. We had Houston and the points with some ML sprinkled in vs Oklahoma to start the year. We will do it again here. Hurts cut them up on the ground. Leach teams not much into running. Again, we have King behind center who was good for 50 TDs last season. Should be a back and forth type of game. Back door open regardless. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON COUGARS |
|||||||
09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6 | 20-14 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Tough loss backing these guys last week. But, short week. Home. Everything out of the locker room points to a big game. Tampa doing Tampa things with Winston still being turnover prone. 2 fumble. 3 INTs, INTs for TDs. Guy is a mess. Angry Panthers get it done. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERS |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals | 27-27 | Loss | -115 | 102 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Should have put this out earlier when it was 1, but what can you do. Still think we have value here. Look. I am not high on rookie QBs and HCs getting together. This is going to be a long year in Arizona. Across the field, we see a HC who needs to get out of the gate fast. Detroit looks like it finally has a bit of a run game to help their franchise QB. If you can't come in and take care of a rookie, even on the road laying a short number, you are going to have a long season. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 273 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I will tell you this. At -3 with Luck, I am on the Chargers. Rivers is back with a talented team around him. But this just seems like a huge over-reaction. Brissett has been in this role before. And he didn't do that bad. Problem was they couldn't hold on to any leads late in the game. This team was thought of as a Super Bowl sleeper. Now, Luck to Jacoby is a drop off. But the talent still surrounds him. Out of the gate, I look at this game like a rally around the leader type of situation. Everyone giving up on Indy. No hope. I think they hang around and can shock LAC with an outright win. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens -6 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 186 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Will tell you this, thought about taking Miami before this monster trade. Stills, Landry, Drake, FitzMagic. You had some pros that, even though this is a rebuilding team, they wouldn't just not show up. Now you trade a franchise OL and your best WR. The surrender flag has been raised. I think Baltimore would be an average team this year. Nothing sexy. I know they win every preseason. Would like to see Lamar take a step forward at QB before really getting behind these guys. No way we see Rosen now that the OL has been weakened. The total tells us what exactly Vegas thinks of both of these teams. From what I read before this trade, they players didn't want Clowney for Tunsil. They can't be happy that he was dealt. If this team was tanking before the season, then they are officially dead man walking now. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars +4 | 40-26 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. I know everyone loves KC and Mahomes and he'll throw 50 TD passes. Look. We don't need Foles to be Mahome. We need him to be Foles. We have the much better defense. Remember, this team was in the AFC Championship Game 2 years ago. Now they have a Super Bowl Winner under center. Bortles was just brutal. This defense is still a top unit. At home, in what could be sloppy conditions, have to lean to the defense here. We control the clock here and Mahomes doesn't get a chance to kill you at every turn. And this secondary will be looking to show everyone that this unit is back in top form. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 94 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS here, also leaning on the Under. First, I think we could have some sloppy conditions here with the hurricane passing by. That plays into slowing down the Rams. And the Rams. 4 straight road unders for them. West coast team playing early game. Panthers always tough at home. Going back we see them 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS before that collapse after their 6-2 start last season. I think we have the best guy on the field in McCaffrey. I am not sold on Gurley being 100%. And I know Cam was a bit banged up coming in. But the guy is tough as nails, and I am not even a huge fan of his. I think we can even go ML and score the win today. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Redskins v. Eagles -10 | 27-32 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Yeah. Laying double digits in Week 1. Look. I have this Redskins team rated at the bottom. Not only in the NFC East, but even in all of football. This team is going to be bad. Maybe not Miami bad, but bad. The defense is decent. I will say that. But, that being said. They will be worn out late and teams will take advantage. Eagles looking to prove something with Wentz back. Foles won their Super Bowl. The proverbial chip on the shoulder comes out to, cliche alert again, circle the wagons around their field general. Great defense. Weapons all over the skill positions. If this game isn't 34-10, and somehow close, the Iggles faithful will reign down with boo birds. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Minnesota v. Fresno State +3.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking FRESNO. had these guys last year on the road vs Minny. Time for some revenge. Never know what Gophers team is showing up. Bulldogs 22-7 SU under Tedford and 9-0 ATS as dogs. Minny on a 2-10 SU run away from home. 4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 48-14 | Win | 100 | 55 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking CENTRAL FLORIDA. This program doesn't look like it skips a beat. FAU hung around for a cover last week. This week though, I don't see UCF taking their food off the pedal. In state game, forget it. Knights will drop 50 on Lane's crew. 4* Money Maker UCF Knights |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Western Kentucky v. Florida International -7 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking FIU. Another team that hurt me last week. Will come back with them as home faves. Still think this team will battle for conference title. WKU is in major rebuild. Butch Davis has done well in CUSA play and off a loss with 16 starters back, at home. 10 pt win in the making. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Wyoming v. Texas State +7 | 23-14 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS STATE. Wyoming was a 16 point home dog and managed to win 37-31. Maybe a bit of over-reaction here? Texas State opened up on the road against Texas A&M. Talk about a tough place to play. Look. Wyoming got 3 Missouri TOs, one for a TD. Another an INT in the endzone. Texas State turned the ball over 4 times themselves. And still nearly covered a big number. Give me the home dog. 4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE |
|||||||
09-07-19 | San Diego State v. UCLA -7.5 | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking UCLA. Had these guys vs Cincy, will come right back. Look. San Diego State is in off a 6-0 win, at home, over Portland. If Chip Kelly can't get his team to win this one by double digits, Bruins need to start looking for a new HC. 4* Money Maker UCLA BRUINS |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Illinois -21 v. Connecticut | 31-23 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the ILLINOIS. How do you think of backing Connecticut? Forgot about that game 1 squeaker. That will probably be the only time we see this defense keep someone in the 20s. Last year points allowed. 40, 3 times - 50, 5 times - 60, 2 times.. 38 and 22 in their other 2 games. This should be 40-10. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Southern Miss +16.5 v. Mississippi State | 15-38 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking SOUTHERN MISS. Will take the big dogs here vs instate rival. Experienced bunch on the offense with 10 guys back. They won't be scared. Miss State has to replace 3 defensive starters now in the NFL and have just 4 guys back on that side of the ball. MSU got 5 turnovers and still couldn't cover vs UL Lafayette last week giving up nearly 500 yards to their offense. I think we hang tough. Don't be shocked to see So Miss with a big special teams play. 4* Money Maker SOUTHERN MISS |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Kennesaw State +4 v. Kent State | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 49 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker KENNESAW STATE |
|||||||
09-06-19 | Marshall +12.5 v. Boise State | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking MARSHALL here. First off. Prime let down spot for Boise. I mean, outscoring Noles 23-0 on the road. Hats off, plenty of props. Now they are home on their Smurf Turf. Well, it isn't as magical as it was years ago. 11-20-1 ATS and 6-14 ATS vs winning teams under this coach. Herd no walk over. Should be primed to contend for their own conference title. This just seems a bit inflated based on that win. And again, freshmen QB leading the way. Boise can easily win this and not cover. I think this is going to be a close game. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD |
|||||||
09-05-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 756 h 30 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY to open up the season. So real fast - You know we had a nice season in 2018. In 2017 we led ALL handicappers in NFL. And going back to 2010 and over 1000 picks, we are cashing at a 56% clip. This season, I feel a 60+ % season on deck. I've redone worked some numbers, and man, if I adjusted faster last season we would have added at a minimum, a half dozen more wins. -- For 2019 kick-off though, we are grabbing the dogs. I've said in videos already that I expect the Bears to take a step back. Losing their DC will be felt, especially early. Let's not forget that even though we cashed Chicago when they jumped to that 20-0 lead before losing 24-23. I still don't expect Mitch to outperform Aaron. Rodgers, I feel, has a lot to prove. New HC and now he has to show that his old HC was keeping him down. Getting a nice number, have to play the division dogs with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +20.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 131 h 8 m | Show |
Taking LOUISVILLE. Irish couldn't cover 20 in 4 contests last year. Can't see them doing it here. Ok, ND has Ian Book back at QB. But - lost their leading rushing and receiver. And 4 of their top defensive guys. We see them get rolled in January Bowl games because they don't have the depth to compete. Not that UL is a New Year's Day bowl team, but the talent is still ACC level and pretty decent. Satterfield comes over from Appy State where he was 28-4 in Sun Belt play. This team absolutely quit on Bobby Petrino last year. Leading Florida State before losing 28-24. Then they get wholloped 66-31 by Georgia Tech. And then the wheels just fall off as they allow 56-77-54-52-56. That is nuts. But, a new regime in charge. A new attitude. A defensive coach with 10 starters back, 6 on offense. UL players have been waiting a year to redeem themselves. Irish to open a good start and getting 20. 10* Money Bomb LOUISVILLE |
|||||||
09-01-19 | Houston +24.5 v. Oklahoma | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 70 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking HOUSTON here. If I could get the +850, I would be taking here on the site MONEY LINE. Look. This is a monster line vs a team with a QB that put up 50 TDs last year. New HC who loves to run and gun. Sooners have to replace their own QB. Albeit, they bring in some guy you may have heard of who was 26-2 at Alabama. I get that Oklahoma reloads, but replacing 4 OL that are now in the NFL is a tough bill to fill. Sooners never had much of a defense. So the points, I think, are double what they should be. All we need is a turnover or 2 and we can be in lead with home faves playing catch-up. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON COUGARS |
|||||||
08-31-19 | SMU +3 v. Arkansas State | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 46 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking SMU. Have to like getting Texas QB Shane Buechele to take over for the Mustangs. Sonny Dykes with 16 starters back to help the cause. Arkansas State starting over with a new QB and RB - plus new OC and DC. Red Wolves should be the faves in the Sun Belt West, but this is a tough game out of the gate. Would much rather be backing them as dogs, then small faves. Will lean on what should be an explosive WR corps with the Buechele behind center. A deep defense should help also. 4* Money Maker SMU |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Northwestern v. Stanford -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 208 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking STANFORD. A lot of love for Northwestern. But I am not biting. Stanford a solid club. These guys always seem to field a tough team. And this isn't an easy road spot for Northwestern either. These guys have been known to get picked off out of conference. Akron and Duke got them last year. 4* Money Maker STANFORD |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Eastern Michigan -5.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 112 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking EASTERN MICHIGAN. 7 offense and 10 defensive starters back including a senior QB and RB to lead the charge. So, Coastal is still new to the big boy football conferences. I know MAC isn't a powerhouse, but it does rate higher than the Sun Belt. Especially vs a team just a couple years into FBS play. A young QB and defense aren't recipes for success in many games. This should be a 10-14 win for the road team. 4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Ole Miss v. Memphis -5.5 | 10-15 | Loss | -109 | 109 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking MEMPHIS. Nice experience back for us. We have an AAC team favored over the big, bad SEC. Makes sense. Ole Miss with 3 offensive starters back and a freshman QB. New OC a familiar name in Rich Rodriguez. Even on defense we see a new coordinator. Least we forget this team is coming off NCAA scholarship restrictions. That takes away from depth. So. We have a program with little depth. New schemes on both sides of the ball. And hungry mid major favored to win their conference. 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS TIGERS |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking TOLEDO. Will grab a the double digits with the MAC favorite. I know it's SEC Kentucky. But this is football, not hoops. They don't reload talent. They lose a big play maker at RB. 10 starters back for the Wildcats. Rockets come in with a lot of seniors and returning starters. Not only will this game be close, won't be shocked at an outright win. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Boise State v. Florida State -5.5 | 36-31 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the SEMINOLES. I know FSU was down last year. But come on. Part of me wants to take Boise based on this line. It screams take the dogs. But I can't pull the trigger as this is a home game in Florida. With so much to prove, Noles have to make a statement out of the box they are back. Beating an above average mid major is a nice start to the season even if that team is breaking in a new QB on the road. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA STATE |
|||||||
08-30-19 | Utah State +3.5 v. Wake Forest | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 260 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. Just a little fishy with this line. Aggies do return their great QB - but having 2 returning on offense (7 on D) doesn't really spell short line to me. Wake has been bowling 3 straight years. 12 returning starters. Yet, laying basically home field to a Mountain West team with a new HC. I'll bite on the small dog with the odd line. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE AGGIES |
|||||||
08-30-19 | UMass v. Rutgers -14.5 | Top | 21-48 | Win | 100 | 330 h 41 m | Show |
Taking RUTGERS. These guys basically in my backyard. And nothing would make me happier for them to start winning games in the Big 10 and bringing some respect to our State's football status. Chris Ash needs a big win for his program. UMass is the right opponent to start the year. A new HC breaking in schemes. Just 8 returning starters. Last year, 4 wins, 3 vs FBS teams. All 8 losses by double digits. 34 at BC, 21 at Georgia Southern, 39 at FIU, 16 at Ohio, 39 at Georgia, 19 vs BYU, 16 vs USF. Look Rutgers not some awesome program. 1-11 last year and laying 2 TDs. This is probably Ash's best team. As bad as they were last year, they didn't quit. Nearly beat Northwestern and Michigan State. Lost to Penn State here by a TD. 8* Sure Shot RUTGERS |
|||||||
08-30-19 | Wisconsin v. South Florida +13.5 | 49-0 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking SOUTH FLORIDA. This is a big number. South Florida in August could be pretty nasty weather wise. Will Wisconsin last in the humidity? The offense will bring Jonathan Taylor to lead it's rush attack. But I'm not sold on the QB, or a defense that doesn't have any preseason All Big 10 players. With 9 offensive and 6 defensive starters back, Bulls much more experienced than last year's team. 7-0 out of the gate faded to 7-6. But I have senior QB, RB, TE, WR 4 returning OL started and nearly 2 touchdowns at home. 4* Money Maker SOUTH FLORIDA |
|||||||
08-29-19 | Utah -4.5 v. BYU | Top | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 227 h 32 m | Show |
Taking UTAH. So this line has been sliding down. I get BYU is tough at home. But I really like this Utah team. I am as of this writing Tuesday, trying to find the best number for them to win the PAC 12. That is where I think this team is. Great coach. Like the defense. Always solid units. Returning starters. They check all the proverbial boxes. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES |
|||||||
08-29-19 | Florida International +2 v. Tulane | 14-42 | Loss | -107 | 237 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking FIU. You know I am a big Butch Davis guy. We cashed several times with his team last year - and will start out 2019 backing him as a small road dog. 8 starters back on both sides of the ball of a 9 win team that won 4 of their 5 road games last year (loss at Miami Hurricanes 31-17 getting 26). I think this is a good team out of CUSA. Tulane, improving, but not worthy of being even a small home fave yet. 4* Money Maker FIU PANTHERS |
|||||||
08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -115 | 450 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking UCLA. 2nd year of Chip and we should see more improvement. Last year, Cincy came to town and ran over these guys. Well, it took some time, but Bruins finally got their offense running down the stretch in the 2nd half of the season. With 19 starters back, UCLA should take another step forward this season. 4* Money Maker UCLA BRUINS |
|||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii +11.5 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 515 h 22 m | Show |
Taking HAWAII here. I get people like Arizona a bit thinking Tate is healthy at the QB spot. Kid was a beast 2 years ago. I also think people are expecting him to become Johnny Manziel under Kevin Sumlin when he was at A&M. That was 2013. Rainbows were a little bit of a darling to start the year. Off a 3-9 season, finished with 8 wins. Now, they have Arizona, Oregon State and head to Washington to start this year. That isn't easy. But you have to like having 18 starters back including your QB who went for 36 TDs and nearly 3900 yards in the air (just 10 INTs.) Getting double digits as a home dog is always nice - But the long travel for any team coming here adds more value to the points. Again, off a nice break out season, these guys are thinking they can win both of these games vs the PAC 12. Big brother vs Little brother and we will grab the live dog here. 5* Best Bet HAWAII RAINBOWS |
|||||||
08-24-19 | Florida -8 v. Miami-FL | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 1820 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the GATORS. This should be a double digit win for Florida. I'm a Canes guy, but this is not a good spot for them. New HC. New schemes. New coaches. New plays. New systems. Defensive guy taking over a team that couldn't get any QB play from a good offensive coach. Gators with another year under their newer coach Dan Mullen. Gators always bring a defense and the offensive should take another step forward. 10* Money Bomb FLORIDA GATORS |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -103 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. So I would really be looking to move on the ML if it gets to about -130. But for the sites here, we will lay the 3 points. I think money will come in on Brady. I had the Chargers last week, and I wish I could have gotten out of it on the sites as by Friday, it seemed the entire world was fading the Patriots. I think the cold and travel was just too much to overcome when you have a NE team on a 16-0 13-3 ATS run at home over their last 16 games. We took that loss and look to bounce back today. KC is tough at home. I know the defense isn't that good, but here, they play a lot better. I think that is the difference maker. Brady and the Patriots haven't won a road playoff game since 2007! Ok, that is 3 Super Bowl losses and a loss at Denver - Look, we have seen NE struggle on the road this season. 3-5. Jags and Lions took it to them. Titans took it to them. 43-40 at home vs KC this year. Last year, Alex Smith 4 TDs 368 yards in a 42-27 KC win. I know Andy Reid doesn't get much love. But he has shown he is tough vs NE. I know it is tough taking Reid and rookie QB over Brady and The Hoodie. Pats scoring and defense all trend down on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -100 | 97 h 8 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Pretty easy thinking here for me. Right off the bat, I though they would roll over Philly last week. That first quarter sunk any hope of a big win. But we move on. So home teams in Championship Round a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS. New Orleans defense also playing much better football. Forget that last game vs Carolina. That was an exhibition game for the Saints. We remove those 33 points and we see NO defense giving up 14.5ppg. Also. Rams at home, 1 team, Rams on the road, a different team. How about Goff with 10TD 9INTs on the road this year. I'll back Brees and Payton, the old guys, over the new kids on the block, McVay and Goff. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 9 m | Show |
Taking SAINTS. So 3rd straight road game and 5th in 6 weeks for Eagles. That is a tough run. Especially when every game is a playoff a game. Saints at home, rested, very dangerous. Yes, we can say, oh 48-7, should be just as easy. Well. I do think this is a 2 score win for New Orleans. Will it be a 40 pt win, that would be nice, but I don't think so. Now, Could the Saints get 48 again. Of course. Look. Mitch Trubisky just passed or 300 yards on this defense. Brees could have 250 at the half. Please throw out their final loss at home to Carolina. That was a pre-season finale game with the players they used. Saints getting knocked basically for a 3 game run of losing at Dallas, a sluggish game at the Bucs. And a horrible win over the Panthers 12-9. They go 2-1 and win ugly. They won ugly at Minnesota. That is what a great team will do. Eagles defensive backs to not put any scare into me. Brees will do Brees in the dome Playoff stuff. 3-4 TDs 325+ yards. - Back to Philly. I like Foles. Thought he should have gotten the nod the entire season or most of it. Guy can play a bit, and it's clear the players rally around him. But that being said - Eagles a great Cinderella story last year. But Cinderella only goes to the ball once. Season turns into a pumpkin this evening. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers +4 v. Patriots | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -108 | 134 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS, again. Cashed last week and a little too close for comfort. But that is what happens when you are in cruise control most of the game. That won't be the case vs the Patriots. Who needs extra motivation to play these guys? Look. I have been on the Chargers numerous times this year. We have seen these guys win at Seattle, Pitt, Baltimore and KC. Technically, undefeated on the road since they had a 'road' loss at the Rams. It isn't like they have a great home field in that joke Center they play in. Bosa and Ingram can and will get pressure on Brady. He will be whining early when he starts getting knocked around. They say maybe snow. It won't matter. Chargers can run the ball or just do the short passing thing to move the chains. This is not a vintage Patriots team. We know this. Loss at Jacksonville and Detroit in back to back weeks. Lost at Tennessee. That crazy loss at Miami. The loss at Pittsburgh. This is a tough, all around talented visitor coming to down. Not a pair of rookie QBs like the Pats have faced the last 2 weeks. This is a HOF QB getting points with arguable the better defense and offenses that aren't that far apart. Sprinkle some ML. 5* Best Bet LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 32 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. Had these guys last week, back on them. Dak a total beast last week with the game on the line. But he is not new to comebacks. I think people forget a couple years ago he went toe to toe with a healthy, good Aaron Rodgers and just ran out of time as his terrible coach cost the team a win. Rams a good team. Coming in off bye, but before that taking Arizona and San Fran. But those QBs aren't Dak. And neither team has Zeke. Or even Amari. This team really changed with the arrival of Cooper. But let us not forget this defense either. Both teams with strong Ds - But maybe the Rams really peaked early. Is Gurley 100%? I know everyone is banged up after a season of football. Basically 3 weeks off. Will he be rusty? Good? Who knows? Let's not forget the Cooper Kupp loss. This is a lot of points for the Rams and Goff. Only his 2nd playoff start. 1st one wasn't that good. Dallas with house money getting a TD. Can eat clock and keep offense off the field. I think we have a live dog here. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -6.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. It is a tough call fading Foles. I think Philly really rally's around the guy. But something tells me this is all Chicago. I faded the Bears last week thinking they would rather face Minny who they have controlled this season, over the defending champs and St Nick at QB. But the coach has the players behind him and this team is really a tough club on both sides of the ball. I just think the Bears defense will maul this team. And the Philly defense is average on its best day. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Eastern Washington v. North Dakota State -15.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -111 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking NORTH DAKOTA STATE and will be on the OVER (60.5)in this game also. We had these guys a couple weeks ago. I wrote how this is the swan song for their HC. This program has won 6 of the last 7 FCS Titles and is looking to give said coach, Chris Klieman his 4th ring. 131-31 the scores in NDST 3 playoff games. We'll lay the number. 4* Money Maker NORTH DAKOTA STATE |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -113 | 656 h 12 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. Urban's swan song. We saw these guys destroy Michigan and their 'great defense.' Do we think that Washington has seen anything like this Buckeyes team in the PAC 12. Rose Bowl is a big deal for the conferences. But in today's day and age, they really are a step down from the Play-offs. This is all about motivation. And the OSU kids will want to send out their coach on a winning note. Not even going to overthink things. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE BUCKEYES |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Missouri -9 v. Oklahoma State | 33-38 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking MISSOURI. This is really a fade of an up and down Oklahoma State team. These guys were 1-4 on the road. Beating Kansas. Kansas put up 28. I think Missouri goes for 40+ this afternoon. This is a program looking for big wins. A bowl win will help the resume of QB Drew Lock. 4* Money Maker MISSOURI TIGERS |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Stanford | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking PITT. This is Stanford's 2nd trip to the Sun Bowl in 3 years. Yeah, they are pumped to be in El Paso. These guys had PAC 12 title dreams behind their RB, who just happens to be sitting out. I think Pitt is the hungrier group. This isn't a monster defense like Pitt saw in Clemson last time out. This will be a huge bowl win for a program looking to get back on track. 4* Money Maker PITT PANTHERS |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5.5 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -109 | 86 h 41 m | Show |
Taking CINCINNATI here. I am actually kind of shocked that this line moved down a bit. I thought it would be moving up. Not sure why there is so much love for Virginia Tech. Hokies had to pay Marshall to come play to qualify and be bowl eligible. I think the Herd took the payday and got ready for their bowl game (who we cashed with) as it was 21-7 after 1 and off to the races. Back to the Hokies. This isn't Beamer ball. These guys are giving up more than 30ppg. 6-6 vs 10-2 yes the line looks low. But I am backing the Bearcats with something to prove beating an ACC team. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. So we like the UNDER in this game also. Same thinking. If you like the Bears here, then you must be all over the 0-7 on the road SF 49ers beating the 12 win Rams as double digit dogs. No cover. Winning. I can't see it. You are telling me the Bears will be pulling new tricks out of their bag, and throwing in new wrinkles to confuse Minny who they are more than likely playing again next week. They want to try to knock out the Vikes to face the defending champs, Eagles with Foles behind center who the team does nothing but rally behind? Not buying it. Taking the Vikings who seem to have turned the offense around since canning their OC. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS. Another Super Contest pick for me.. Tied for 42 heading into the final Sunday. So I like Baltimore. Everyone will be on the upstart Browns. I think this defense is too much for the rookie to deal with on the road. Ravens bringing some fire today - let's not forget a TD pass with 40 something seconds left, at home, to knock them out of the playoffs last year. Focused, they deliver us the W . 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Lions v. Packers -7.5 | 31-0 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. So we had the Jets last week and Rodgers came to play. So there is zero chance I don't back him at home. No way he lets the Lions come in here and hand him an L. Detroit 2-29 SU last 31 here. Packers with a lame duck fill in HC. He will let Rodgers do whatever the heck he wants to do. Again - Rodgers came to play in the Meadowlands. Down 14-0, 21-7, 35-20. There was no quit. And I expect the same here at home. Domers like the Lions want nothing to do with the weather in Green Bay last Sunday in December. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants -5.5 | 36-35 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Grabbed these guys in the Super Contest and will play them here. Don't think we see much from Dallas. It is their bye week. Could be Eli's last game. Either way, if they can't beat Cooper Rush by 10, this team has huge problems heading into next season. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 102 | 120 h 30 m | Show |
Taking the BILLS. These guys haven't given up. They did lose (covered late) vs NE last week. But if we look at their 2 previous games at home. Beating the Lions and losing a tough one to the Jets. As we saw with the Jets vs GB, they haven't quit on their coach. This Bills team still has a pretty solid defense. And Miami wants no part of being in Buffalo in January. Back to teams showing fight. I think its safe to say the Dolphins have given up on their coach. We faded them 2 weeks ago in Minny and the Vikings ran them out of town. They still had a shot at the playoffs. And after scoring first to take a 7-0, Jags control the entire game. Nothing. No desperation. Jags off a loss to a 4th string QB picked up off the street. Where was their motivation? But pros with pride showed up for a road win. And as long as we are on road wins. How about Miami 1-11 SU last 12 on the road. 0-6 and 1-5 ATS last 6. Back on Dec. 2, Bills put up over 400 yards of offense and lost 21-17. That is what 3 TOs will do to a team on the road. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 46 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking OKLAHOMA tonight. I will grab 2 TDs with an offense that is #1 in college putting up nearly 50ppg. Look. We had Bama several times through the season and they did nothing but print money for us. I can't say a single negative thing about Alabama. I am just taking 14 points with a team that can score every time it touches the ball. We just need the defense to make a stop or two. Obviously easier said than done. I will sprinkle some ML on the Sooners also. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA SOONERS |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Notre Dame +12.5 v. Clemson | 3-30 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking NOTRE DAME. Actually played this on the ML for a little bit. This ND is tough. I am not taking anything away from Clemson. But they haven't faced a real team in weeks. Should have put this out when I could have gotten a bit of higher number. I thought it would come down game day based on ND alum pounding their school. This slight move is probably based on people waking up to the fact that ND can play, and Clemson is sending out a freshman QB laying nearly 2 TDs. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Florida +7 v. Michigan | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 157 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking FLORIDA here. Just a small Money Maker 4* on the Gators. This play for me in really based on how is Michigan going to respond. If they are fired up and ready to take out all the pain from getting blasted by Ohio State out on Florida, we will know very early. And then if you want, you could possibly buy out in some live betting. But my guess is we see them lay an egg. 10 straight wins and a spot in the Playoffs with a win vs your hated rivals. 62-39. Gators with a little revenge angle from opening game loss last season. Won't be shocked if we see another Michigan defensive player sit out either. Huge New Years Day bowl for Florida after a 4-7 season. Again. Where are the Wolverines after thinking they would be in the Sooners spot if they won? 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -4 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -106 | 118 h 11 m | Show |
Taking VANDY. Won't be shy about laying a couple points even if Baylor has a bit of home edge playing in Texas. Bears come in losers in 4 of their last 6. Their wins, a TD pass with 6 seconds to go over Oklahoma State. And win over Texas Tech who canned their HC after the game. How about that Baylor didn't beat a team with a winning record this year? Vandy was competitive in their games. I give them a pass on getting run out by Georgia. The other bad loss was to South Carolina after they played ND on the road and lost 22-17. They just ran out of gas in the 2nd half to SC. They have better talent right now with Shurmur at QB and a 1000 yard RB averaging 7 yards a carry. 8* Sure Shot VANDERBILT |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Minnesota +6 v. Georgia Tech | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 95 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA. I get that long time Georgia Tech HC is hanging things up. I don't think that warrants a line move like this though. I like PJ Fleck. Looks like firing the DC was the right move. Closing out the year winning 2 of 3 blasting Wiscy 37-15 and a pretty decent Purdue team 41-10. Plenty of prep time for the new DC to come up with a good plan. We will take the dogs and won't be shocked by an outright win. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA |