Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-17-23 | 49ers -6.5 v. Rams | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 164 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN. Wow. Was I wrong about Purdy and SF. What a whipping. And as much as there is over-reactions to wins and losses, Niners look like the team that nearly made the Super Bowl last year. Rams go in to Seattle and steal one. Is that a real shocker though? Seattle needed OT to win to make the playoffs last year at home. They nearly lost in LA to John Wolford! So as much as LA plays Seattle tough - SF has won 8 of the last 9. And those Rams teams weren't shells of those teams. I think San Fran runs these guys out of the building. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs +1.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 260 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. These guys were probably my top play last week - right up there with the Browns. And I am right back on them here at home. How the heck do the Bears open as a favorite? What a joke. 11 straight losses for Chicago. Tampa, for all the hate they get - have a decent defense. It will look very good vs this outfit. Baker will bake his way to a 2-0 start to the season. TB for the South 10/1 baby! 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY |
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09-17-23 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Jaguars | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 215 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. We had the under for KC last week, and this week we come back on Andy Reid's bunch. Talk about a must win in Week 2. Now - can they still lose and make the playoffs - Sure. But. The hype on the Jags (we had Colts LW) will reach Coach Prime level if they win this one. You don't want to lose a head to head vs a team that could take home field from you. Chief WRs must hold on to the ball. I am sure Mahomes, off a game like that, with extra prep, different outcome this afternoon. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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09-17-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -3 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 57 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Easy fade of these guys in Week 1. At home though, Burrow with a game under his belt, I'll bite. Look - never liked this coach. The OL looked shaky last week. Ravens always bring the defense (we have the UNDER also here). Ravens breaking in in a new offense and it didn't look all that great last week vs the Texans. Like KC, another team staring at 0-2. This one though vs a division rival. Kitchen sink game for Cincy off a putrid performance last week. Lamar was sharp, but they lose their RB. I think this is a slugfest and Cincy pulls away for about a TD win. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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09-17-23 | Packers -1 v. Falcons | 24-25 | Loss | -110 | 162 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking GREEN BAY. Now, don't like us being a road fave here vs a better team than the one we were just a road dog against. Line has since flipped. Makes sense. But if you watch me on the show, you know I am high on this GB team. Atlanta isn't letting their QB throw, at least not yet. There will be steady attack of Allgeier and Robinson on the ground from the Falcons. But back to GB and Love. This kid knows this system. I trust him and this coach more than the Falcons. I've said all Summer that the Packers have a lot to prove with Rodgers gone. They should beat this team. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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09-16-23 | BYU +9.5 v. Arkansas | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 107 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking BYU. Slovis! Kid was at USC, Pitt, now suiting up in Provo. Look. Razorbacks have a game vs LSU on deck. Can we all agree that last week's 28-6 was them really playing to a bad team. BYU was run out of their own building last year 52-35. This unit isn't stronger, but yet this line does seem a little light to me. Most times I am taking dogs thinking we can steal outright wins. This one is more we are coming through the backdoor. 4* Money Maker BYU |
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09-16-23 | South Alabama +9 v. Oklahoma State | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 149 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking SOUTH ALABAMA. This is an experienced group. Loads of starters back on both sides of the ball, 18 total. Was nearly a Top 30 overall offense (36) and defense (25) last year. I said in one of my preview videos that I though the Cowboys would be in for a long season. Could be Gundy's farewell. 3 QBs played last week. Down 15-10 at the half before 2 different QBs tossed TD passes for a 27-15 win. And let's not get excited about 15 points. Arizona State scored 24 vs small school Southern Utah. Jags a tough little dog. 38-24 winners at CMU last year getting 6. Followed that up with a 32-31 loss at UCLA. Upset possible? 4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA |
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09-16-23 | San Jose State v. Toledo -7.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 145 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking TOLEDO. Rockets lost opener at Illinois by 2 then lambasted Texas Southern 71-3 (50-0 at half!) San Jose comes in off a thrashing of their own, mauling Cal Poly 59-3. But their first 2 games vs PAC 12 teams, 56-28 loss at USC, 42-17 loss at Oregon State. I can see this falling somewhere along the lines of 35-20. Rockets have been known to lose games they should win. But this is the MAC favorite and last years Champs. Sparty's 2-8 ATS (2-1 this year!) going back to last year - last road win at UNLV October 2021. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida +6.5 | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 33 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS |
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09-16-23 | Washington -16 v. Michigan State | 41-7 | Win | 100 | 143 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. Pennix back in Big 10 play. Not like this guy has something to prove this afternoon. Mel Tucker out amid crazy allegations. Go read that story. Weird. Anyway - I thought Sparty would be trash this year. Crushing Richmond 45-14 and CMU 31-7 doesn't impress me. Pennix led this prolific passing offense last year, and he is right back at it again. 8 TDs, 850 yards. A nice calling card to the Heisman voters will be another 48 piece on the scoreboard with 5 TDs. Michigan State pass defense in for a long day. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
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09-16-23 | Virginia Tech v. Rutgers -3.5 | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 143 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking RUTGERS. I will always pull for Jersey Brethren! Look. If Purdue, who I think is an absolute dumpster fire, can rush for almost 200 yards, on the road and win - well what will Rutgers do to a team, that's last 3 wins have been against Liberty by 1, Wofford and BC. Scarlet Knights rushed 52 times for 254 yards against Temple last week. And make no mistake, Rutgers defense, vastly superior to the Boilermakers. Rutgers should win this one by double digits. 5* Best Bet RUTGERS |
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09-16-23 | Kansas State -4.5 v. Missouri | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS STATE here. I am also on the UNDER in this one. I don't know - call me crazy. Running the ball 40 times a game vs South Dakota and Mid Tenn St to win 35-10 and 23-19 is not the tune up I want before facing a Wildcats team that put 33ppg last year. They played down also in their first 2 games. 42-13 over Troy, 45-0 over SEMO. LY 40-12 with KST getting 4 INTs. Maybe that is why they run the ball. Coaching edge visitors. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
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09-15-23 | Utah State +9.5 v. Air Force | 21-39 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. Yes - Air Force has given up 10 points in their 2 games. Robert Morris? Come on. Now, Sam Houston. You we have covered with these guys the last 2 weeks in the Mid Day Money Show. Those teams aren't familiar with this AF offense. I will tell you who is. The Aggies baby! How about a pair of 34-27 and 49-45 wins the last 2 years they have played. 2019 and 2022 AF got them 35-7 and 31-7. But those Fly Boys are not here for this one. Utah State got their 24-14 Iowa loss out of their head by pummeling Idaho State 78-28. QB better for Utah State year, and that, I think, might steal us an outright win. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE |
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09-15-23 | Army v. UTSA -10 | 37-29 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking UTSA , again. Uh. Line has moved here and that is because our banged up QB is probably more banged up then they care to admit. We have seen UTSA play a pair of ugly games the last 2 weeks, and honestly, this will most likely be the same vs the Army rush attack. Injury to QB in college is brutal. We saw that Week 0 when we had Ohio. I should probably be invested on the Under here. I am an early bettor, so I am already down on this one. If you haven't moved on this already, I would suggest passing. |
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09-14-23 | Navy v. Memphis -16 | 24-28 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking MEMPHIS. Not that I like laying nearly 3 scores, but even 20 wouldn't be enough for me to grab Navy. This team was a 42pt favorite last week, and was up 10-0 with 8 seconds left in the 2 quarter. We saw how Navy did against ND. Memphis isn't ND, but it sure isn't Wagner. The last 2 years the Tigers rolled 37-13 and 35-17. I think they are better this year, and Navy is worse. 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS |
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09-10-23 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 17-16 | Loss | -120 | 2900 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. Keep this brief. I think the Raiders are an under 5 win team. I think as bad as Denver, and Wilson looked last year, it was the coaching. Now we get a HOF coach and a HOF QB who many think is done or quit. Denver to win the west! Raiders 8-2 SU last 10 vs Denver. Well - time for some payback. I do like Jimmy G, but him and Jacobs aren't enough to get past a Broncos team looking to get last years putrid taste out of their mouths. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
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09-10-23 | Eagles -4.5 v. Patriots | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 2900 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. I am shocked this line has come down. I thought the public would be eating up Philly here. I know they have new Coordinators. And the defense lost some guys. But this Patriots offense is rough. Another new OC for Mac Jones. The defense is why I think this number has come down. We know The Hoodie will have something for this explosive Philly O. I just can't see New England keeping this within a touchdown though. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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09-10-23 | Rams v. Seahawks -5 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 2900 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I am a Geno believer. Yeah, the OL needs a bit of work. But the WR should be able to maul the Rams. LA is a mess. This team has zero depth. If Arizona wasn't in this division, Rams would be pulling up the rear. Seattle has Detroit on the road next week. There is ZERO chance they are overlooking a division rival who nearly beat them last year with John Wolford at QB (27-23 19-16 OT)!! Rams in line for a long season. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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09-10-23 | Texans +10 v. Ravens | 9-25 | Loss | -110 | 2897 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. 3rd HC in 3 years. Another new QB. Big dog vs a HC and QB that, when healthy, win - a bunch. Look Lamar is good, former MVP. But he wants to be known more as a passer than a runner. New offense to make their high paid QB happy. Will it work out of the gate? Will there be growing pains? A new defense driven HC with a rookie QB will probably want to ride their RB to keep pressure off the rook, and keep the Ravens offense on the sidelines. Most times I take dogs thinking we can steal outright wins. This one a bit trickier, but at this number, the backdoor is there for the taking. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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09-10-23 | Jaguars v. Colts +4 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 2897 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Oh boy. My first reason for taking this was that we would have Minshew Mania and Taylor at RB vs a hyped up Jags team. Now I get no Taylor and a rookie QB who I think is an absolute Trey Lance type bust in the making. This line has only moved up a tad though. I got a QB who had 13 college starts, barely completed passes at 54% clip, does really nothing that a QB should do well, and the line really hasn't budged. Vs a team that I call, the Lions of the AFC. The team that will surprise. Lawrence to take an even bigger jump from worse to first to AFC Championship Game? How about an Anthony Richardson rushing TD on the player props here? Something tells me this is going to be an Indy outright win, or big win for Jax because the Colts can't score. 4* Money Maker INDIANPOLIS COLTS |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +3 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 1060 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the BROWNS. I like this Cleveland bunch. I think they are being overlook because, well they are the Browns. They have beaten Cincy 5 straight here in Cleveland and 8 of their last 10 in the series overall. And yet, we are home dogs. Sign me up. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 813 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS here. Brock Purdy. Puh-Leez. I grabbed me a Sam Darnold Comeback POY ticket. He will be behind center in a week or 2. You are giving me a team in Pitt, that hasn't had a losing season ever under this guy. They get it. They are going to abuse this offense. Too much pressure. 13ppg for the D last year. Steelers always find a way to make it a game. These guys went 7-2 after their bye week growing with Pickett behind center. Dangerous team lurking in the North. 8-1-1 ATS last 10 as home dogs. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
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09-10-23 | Bucs +6 v. Vikings | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 140 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. Man. This team is getting absolute zero respect. Nobody giving them a shot. I said in my NFC South Preview vid- give me some 10-1 here! and a season win OVER. Baker is Baker. Guy is a game manager. This offense can put up some points. Forget about the Mike Evans drama. When he has 2 TDs in the 1st half Sunday, he'll be happy. Minny caught a bunch of breaks last year. Can't expect that to happen again. 13-4 getting outscored on the year. 11-0 in 1 score games. 2-5 ATS laying more than 4 points. Tampa defense is better than the Vikings. This isn't Prime Time Cousins, but I am saying he tosses 2 INTs this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS |
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09-09-23 | Auburn v. California +7 | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking CAL. Wasn't expecting Cal to roll up 55 and go over the total themselves last week - including their back up (NCST kid) coming in to lead them to 25 points in the 2nd half. Wilcox a home dog demon for the Bears going 10-4. Hugh Freeze era starts crushing UMass. Ho-Hum. Now you get a feisty dog that was looking to have a break out year. And laying points. Another Outright home dog lurking? perhaps. 4* Money Maker CAL BEARS |
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09-09-23 | Houston v. Rice +10 | 41-43 | Win | 100 | 148 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking RICE. If you didn't watch any of CFB previews that I posted, well then you don't know that I have a nice Over Ticket on Rice Wins. I like the QB! Yes - this is like the guys 9th team in 14 years of college ball! Houston someone kicked my teeth in when I faded them last week. That is what happens when you force 3 TOs and don't turn it over. Rice took their lumps vs Texas as expected. But I like the Rice over for a reason. Their QB. And this team is honestly more talented than the Cougars. Won't be shocked one bit when Rice wins this one Outright! 5* Best Bet RICE OWLS |
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09-09-23 | Oregon v. Texas Tech +7 | 38-30 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS TECH. Another home dog for us in an ugly role. Ducks roll into town after putting up 81, 81! last week - Red Raiders, who we had, blow a 17-0 lead on the road and lose in OT. disgraceful. Can we not take our foot off the gas please. What are we doing here people?? - We now get a little extra line value as the first numbers on this were around 3.5. Texas Tech offense is pretty explosive, being at home will help. This will probably be a shootout. Last team with the ball wins by 3. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
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09-09-23 | Connecticut +3 v. Georgia State | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 129 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker UCONN |
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09-09-23 | Texas State v. UTSA -11 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 145 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking UTSA. Had these guys last week and they dropped a tough one to Houston. Angry group here. The projected line on this was 20! - But when you are Texas State and drop 42 on Baylor on the road, and pull out a double digit win, the line adjusts a bit. That being said - UTSA is in no mood for playing games. Home - Angry - This game will play out like it should. No way they overlook this bunch. UTSA coach coached Texas State coach in High School! If this line was 30 or something, we would think he would take the foot off the gas. But 2 TDs, should be in cruise control the entire game. 10* Money Bomb UTSA ROADRUNNERS |
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09-09-23 | Utah v. Baylor +6 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking BAYLOR. Bad number for sure here as I see some 7.5 and 8s out there. We are down our starting QB. Utah may have theirs back. We are in off an outright loss vs a smaller Texas school that we were favored by nearly 28 points. Utah comes to down fresh off of crushing an SEC Florida program with a back up QB. Why wouldn't this line move against us! - Still like the home dogs here because I believe we have a shot at an outright win here. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS |
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09-09-23 | Troy v. Kansas State -15.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 142 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS STATE. I'm a Kleiman guy. Does a super job. This offense will put up 30+ this afternoon. Troy just gave up 30 to Sam Houston State. This team has a little more firepower. Troy didn't beat a big power conference last year. They only gave up 28 to Ole Miss in their opener - 28-10 loser. Not buying the big numbers vs Sam Houston. Wildcats by 20. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
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09-08-23 | Illinois v. Kansas -3 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS here. QB should be playing for the Jayhawks tonight. They held him out last week - Obviously some hype on the kid as he thought to be one of the top QB in the Big 12 this season. Illinois in off hard game vs Toledo, and they have their Big 10 opener on deck. Defense was their calling card last year, but the DC went off to the Boilermakers to lead that program. I can see the allure of taking the Illini at 3.5. You have an iffy QB for the home team. Even if he doesn't play, this offense can still score. And I don't think Illinois can keep up. The defense takes a step back, as does the offense that wasn't close to the 36ppg that Kansas put up last season. 4* Money Maker KANSAS JAYHAWKS |
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09-03-23 | LSU -2.5 v. Florida State | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 1705 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LSU |
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09-02-23 | Coastal Carolina +17 v. UCLA | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 1684 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA |
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09-02-23 | Sam Houston State +22.5 v. BYU | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 289 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker SAM HOUSTON STATE |
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09-02-23 | Texas Tech -13 v. Wyoming | 33-35 | Loss | -110 | 932 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking TEXAS TECH. I like this Red Raiders bunch. #2 offense in the Big 12 last year- 5th year QB back running the show. They went 8-5 last year with 3 different QBs and put up a prolific offense. More of the same this season. Wyoming for me will be a little suspect on offense. QB looks weak. They will run run and run the ball some more. Very conservative offensively. I don't see how they within 2 touchdowns. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
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09-02-23 | Washington State v. Colorado State +14 | 50-24 | Loss | -110 | 930 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking COLORADO STATE. I am high on these guys. If you watched my MWC Preview I said how I like them to go over their 4.5 win total. Now - I am getting 2 TDs from the PAC 12. So it is one of those big brother vs little brother matchups for me. Washington State brings in both a new OC and DC. The defense really overachieved last year and will be a work in progress. Rams QB completed 72% of his passes last season while getting sacked 59 times. Guy would never throw an incomplete if the line holds up! Back door should be wide open if we even need it. 4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE RAMS |
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09-02-23 | South Florida v. Western Kentucky -11.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 282 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking WESTERN KENTUCKY. A QB who threw for 4700 yards and 40 TDs passes vs a new HC with a returning defense that gave up nearly 8 yards a pass attempt. How isn't this line 17.5 instead of 11.5. The last 2 years WKU defense has forced 63 turnovers. 1-11 last year - 2-10 the year before - 1-8 in 2020. These Bulls are duds. 4* Money Maker WESTERN KENTUCKY |
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09-02-23 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Purdue | 39-35 | Win | 100 | 279 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker FRESNO STATE |
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09-02-23 | Colorado v. TCU -20 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 279 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking TCU. Talk about a complete overhaul for Colorado. Prime Time comes in and totally clears house. But this is Big 12 team you are facing. Not some low level FCS school. You can roll in the FCS when you get a couple FBS big time recruits. Problem here, all the teams have them. TCU is ready to get that National Championship Game taste out of their mouth. And let's be honest. You don't think opposing teams are licking their chops to get at Sanders? 50 something transfers. Again. This is not the FCS. All new players and schemes and coaches. Even with the best of the best you need time to gel and get to know the system and each other. 4* Money Maker TCU HORNED FROGS |
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09-01-23 | Miami-OH +17.5 v. Miami-FL | 3-38 | Loss | -110 | 603 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI OHIO. Easy enough to call a Miami Outright here! Look. Anyone who watches Mid Day Money knows I am a Canes guy. And not just Raisin' Canes Chicken Fingers! - But there is not a shot I lay this kind of number. Hurricanes with a new OC and a new DC. They have Texas A&M on deck. And I am not trying to disrespect the MAC or Miami O here, but - SEC A&M is the game they have circled early here. This is a maybe Miami sneaks by kind of game - because I am not buying the hype. They are not going to sleep walk to something near a 20pt win. 4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO |
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08-31-23 | Florida +7.5 v. Utah | 11-24 | Loss | -105 | 388 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking FLORIDA. When this game was posted I was liking Utah. Utes in a revenge spot from last year. I like Cam Rising. We have heard he is still hurt. Their 2nd stringer is out. At best we get an injured Cam. If he is healthy this goes back to the opener of 9. If he is out, we have a good number. ... Line has now come down even more. Cam will probably be out. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS |
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08-31-23 | Valparaiso +31 v. Youngstown State | 10-52 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker VALPO |
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08-26-23 | Ohio +3.5 v. San Diego State | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 536 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking OHIO. Like this team. Best in the MAC for me. QB play key, and they have it. Kid should be MAC POY this year. I know San Diego State will get some love in this spot. They have some holes to plug on both sides of the ball. Brady Hoke still doing his thing for the Aztecs, but I think they get upset here in their home opener. 4* Money Maker -- theOHIOBOBCATS |
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01-29-23 | Bengals +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 166 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Looking to make it 4 straight wins over KC. Now. I do not like the flip of the line. Though it can be warranted if Mahomes is out or extremely limited. I have said since December that Cincy was my take for best team in the AFC and would be heading back to the Super Bowl. This team is just as good, or better than last years bunch. And this one has that experience from that run. They are not scared to play here. They have won here twice including the Championship Game last year. And lets be honest. Why isn't this at a neutral? Cincy with a chip the size of the State of Ohio on their shoulder they way that whole nonsense went down. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATT BENGALS |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Cashed with these guys last week, back at it again. I don't want to hear, short week. I don't want to hear, extra rest. Dak looked great. I was expecting a good game, we got a great game. Defense not surprising. This is a strong unit over the year. SF has been fantastic. I have said way back on Mid Day Money, SF to the Super Bowl. But this spot looks a little tricky. Purdy has been great. He has awesome guys around him making him look good and a defense that is really second to none. But I think Quinn can dial up something for the rookie. I am not in love with either HC. I have seen McCarthy butcher games. And the other guy. Let's go back to the play calling in a Super Bowl that was 28-3. How about blowing a 10pt 4th quarter lead in another Super Bowl vs KC. Or last year in blowing a 17-7 lead vs Rams. Everyone expecting to choke or the kicker to go wide right. Not happening. 'Dem Boys OUTRIGHT. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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01-22-23 | Bengals +4.5 v. Bills | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 158 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Both teams struggled last week. I give both a little pass. This is the game that should be at neutral field. So we get our MNF game, but it's Sunday Divisional Round and in Buffalo. Not really what Cincy wanted. Look. This to me - I am fading Allen. Oh he had 350 yards vs Miami. Dude! the guy tossed 2 INTs fumbled away another. Yeah. He will turn into Pad STATSford (Matt Stafford!) churning up numbers! Count 'em 5 - 5 INTs the last 3 weeks vs Miami and Chicago. Guy was right behind Dak and Davis Mills 15 INTs with his 14. Guess who is #3 in Fumbles this year - Allen 13, 5 lost (2nd to Trevor Lawrence's 9) As much as I liked the Bills this year, and was ready for them to head to the Super Bowl. Allen's play, and the spotty defense lately has me taking the points. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking KC here. Will grab Reid off his bye week - 29-7 SU 23-13 ATS. Yes, Pederson was on Andy's staff back in the day. But these teams are not the same. Mahomes vs Trevor. 4 INT last week Trevor vs Mahomes 8-3 in the Playoffs (2 losses to Brady, 1 SB the other LY to Burrow) Trevor is neither or is he team close to those teams. How about Andy Reid with 19 Playoff wins and 15 by Double Digits! Jags pulled off a miracle win down 27-0 and with 5 TOs last week. But this is a Super Bowl Champion. They won't pull a Charger. These guys played back in November, 27-17 KC. Chiefs up 20-7 at half and 27-10 with 5 to go in the 4th. Let's also grab Kansas City FH for -5.5 also. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Bucs | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 188 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Oh how many people will be getting destroyed here on Monday night. Oh the Cowboys couldn't beat Sam Howell. Dak is an interception machine. Most INTs and he missed 5 games. INT prop bets yippie. Tom Brady is the GOAT. Look. Tampa offense has looked terrible all year. I am not sold on a couple drives to pull out a miracle win vs the Panthers - with a backup QB, RB, HC, WR + team! Then to score vs the Falcons. Dallas is still a very talented team. This is a case where Dallas might not have the worse HC on the sideline either. I think this will start as a dog fight, but the Cowboys get a few big plays to break it open. Line will probably drop by game time as I can't see people running to back Dallas laying points on the road to Brady. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -6 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 164 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Here is my Super Bowl favorite. Round 3 vs their division rival Ravens. Doubt we see Lamar. As I have said on Mid Day Money - why would Lamar even suit up? This team is not winning this year. KC, Bills, Chargers and Cincy all better. He should get healthy and get a nice contract. Why come in, be ineffective and possibly get hurt. Bengals on a mission. I think they drop 30+ tonight. Last year they put 41 spots on Baltimore in both games. I think they played down in Sunday's game because they knew they have them on deck here. That game wasn't even that 27-16 final. This game was over in the 2nd quarter at 17-0 when Baltimore punched one in to make 17-7. A fumble and 24-7. Bengals thinking about dinner. Bengals in an all out burial! 8* Sure Shot CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -10.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Buffalo is riding high after their teammate seems to be out of harms way after that brutal injury on MNF. We had the Bills to take care of NE and they did. Wasn't easy. Come on Josh.. Getting a little sloppy with those Red Zone INTs this season. That stuff will come back to bight you in the butt during the playoffs. Good news is that you get to you don't have to face Tua here. No way that guy is coming back. Again - I am still shocked he came back after that Cincy shot. That is a topic for another day. Teddy Bridgewater is a nice covering QB at times. But I can't trust this offense right now. Their Jets game set back offenses 32 years. Bills have put up 30+ in 3 straight games. Do we think the Dolphins get to 20? I sure as heck don't. Bills should cruise and pull away in this one. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -10 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 136 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS. I have said on Mid Day Money since Jimmy G took over that this is a Super Bowl team. I said that even after he went down that this team is still built to win. 3rd string QB. Not even missing a beat. Putting up over 30ppg with this kid playing. This is pretty simple here. San Fran had trouble with Seattle in the past. That was more Russell Wilson. Because the two games this year, well SF 21-13 in Seattle and 27-7 at home. Maybe it isn't all Purdy. CMC helps out. Kittle still gets it done. Deebo is good. Defense is awesome. The Seahawks 9-8, have limped, to put in kindly the last 2 months. 3-8. Barely escaping the Rams twice. Eeking into the playoffs. Now - you can say, they are dangerous. Undervalued. Blah Blah Blah. Not having it. San Fran, with the exception of the Bengals, are playing the best football in the league right now. This should be a 2 TD+ win for the Niners. 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -3 | 20-16 | Loss | -100 | 171 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking GREEN BAY. Aaron Rodgers at home with a shot at going to the playoffs on the line. And the league having the Lions, Seattle or the Packers make it. Didn't we see Brady oust Carolina. Will this be any different. Money Money Money Ratings. Lions domers outside with Goff. I might lean Detroit if this was 10. Goff on the road 6 TDs 4 INTs. Detroit scoring home 30+ road 21. Let's also add the defense doesn't help the cause that much for the Lions. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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01-08-23 | Giants v. Eagles -3 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 168 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Well. In the words of Ron Burgundy. That escalated quickly - to the tune of -14. Wow. Giants will probably be sitting a bunch of guys with the Viking game up next week. Philly wants HF. Well they need to just win. Giants win last week locked up their first playoff spot since 2016. I cannot see any worthwhile NYG in this game. I am actually thinking Minshew plays here. And with the Philly weapons, this should be 30-13 type of game. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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01-08-23 | Rams v. Seahawks -3 | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Right off the bat let me say this.. I think Stafford retires and Baker takes over this team next year. Now. I don't think they have the team to win here or even cover. Line is almost a TD now. Still think Seattle gets it done. Huge year for this group. Kudos and a tip of the hat to Geno and the boys for making the fans forget about that other guy. Seahawks need a win and some help to make the playoffs. Just take care of what you can take care off. Taking care of a team that won the Super Bowl last year and are now the worse team ever after a win. Well, it is there for the taking. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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01-08-23 | Cardinals v. 49ers -10.5 | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 165 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking SAN FRAN. Not wild about laying 14. I mean, I know they can get the 1 seed, but they need Philly to lose. A 4pt move? Ugh. I still think San Fran wins this one going away though. This Arizona a total mess. 4 different QBs. I think the coach is on the hot seat. Forget that. Guy should be fired. Purdy should play the entire game. I don't think you take him out with his limited starts. So you need to at least rotate some regulars in here. Kid still needs to get reps in game play. Niners defense should be able to contribute at least 10 points to the cause today with a couple turnovers. 4* Money Maker SF FORTY NINERS |
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01-08-23 | Chargers +1 v. Broncos | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 43 m | Show | |
Well this changed drastically from what I thought would happen after the MNF game. Sometimes getting down early is not the best. Can't really say to play this now. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins +1 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 161 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. What a collapse. And yeah, tough to back a team with a backup QB and in a tail spin. But hello New York Jets. This team is absolutely done for the year. Locker room is lost. They talk about their QB. The talk about a lost shot at the playoffs. They talk about a lost season. Are they focused in South Beach? Doubt it. Give me the 'Phins to make the fans happy in their final home game. Both teams with 5 straight losses, yet a win for Miami and a Patriots loss, and we have playoff football baby. And on a side note. I think the Bills win in a blowout for their injured teammate. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 161 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Made this bet thinking we get no Tampa starters. Line went to 8, settling around 3-4. I think we might get a half of Tampa regulars. I just can't see them playing since they were banged up all year. You're going to play them in an absolutely meaningless finale? You have probably Dallas next week. Falcons playing for pride and to see if this rookie QB is going to develop. Kid hasn't thrown a TD pass yet and they are now laying points. Crazy. But when something looks easy, like taking a HOF Multi-Super Bowl Winning MVP QB who's coach says is playing, I dunno, give me the Dirty Birds! 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
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01-08-23 | Patriots v. Bills -7.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 161 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Was on this before the MNF game. Crazy. Can't even get into that. Talked about it on Mid Day Money. But a crazy, crazy situation all around. This one though. The ol' win one for the gipper. And let's be honest. Allen owns the Patriots lately. Nothing better than sending them home for the year by wiping the field with them in an emotional blow out. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
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01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +2.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Here I like what I hear from the team after getting smoked vs the Lions. Then their QB is done for the year. And the line is 7+. This is still the Vikings though. Are we trusting them to win by about 10 here which they will need to be up by to cover more than a TD. A team that has a rematch vs the Giants on deck in a playoff game. We are getting all their guys here/ Doubtful. Look Bears are bad. Real bad. This is me not trusting Minny laying any kind of points. And me thinking Chicago has some heart for their fans who show up here and some pride in themselves after a bad season. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
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01-08-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -7 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 52 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking CINCINNATI. What is there to say? We have talked about this all week. What I do know. Cincy is upset they are getting the worse out of this thing. I look for a big win. Ravens down to, at least it appears, their 3rd string QB. Even if it isn't, the other guy isn't close to 100%. And Lamar. Well see you in Free Agency. Burrow and friends should have this thing sealed up by the half. Baltimore with more than 17 points just once in their last 7 games. Can't see them slowing down Cincy here. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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01-07-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -5.5 | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGS. Not normally wanting to lay with these guys, but will do it here. Titans to me are done. I mean. They fired their GM when they were 7-3 because they thought the team was bad. It hasn't won since! 6 straight losses. A team littered with injury concerns. I like the coach. Yeah, sure, Henry is a beat. They are trotting out a practice squad player from another team here. Jags at least looking the part of a playoff team with 4 straight wins and a QB who has responded with a 14-2 TD/INT ratio with something to play for. I am a firm believer of a team not just 'flicking the switch' and playing good. And a team that has dropped 6 in a row and scored more than 16 points once in their last 6 games - yeah. I feel good laying with the home team here. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 690 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH. I like this Utah team. I like their coach - 11-4 in Bowls. Lost a tough one LY here to Ohio State. Like their QB - he will look to get the Rose Bowl W after getting hurt late vs the Buckeyes LY. Like the defense a bit more than Penn State's especially since Joey Porter Jr opted out. PSU had a great year. Lose to just Michigan and Ohio State, a pair of playoff losers, well, that isn't a bad season. This spot just screams Utes. 4* Money Maker UTAH UTES |
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01-02-23 | Tulane v. USC | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 690 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking TULANE. Line has gone from basically a PK to a +2 for the Green Wave here. Probably based on their QB being healthy to play. And that is really the handicap here. If he is 100%, well this line is still probably a little short for the Trojans. Honestly though, even with him a go, I still like us to win this thing. 11-2 ATS/SU is a nice season. What better way to end things then coming out in 2023 and beating a PAC 12 team that while also 11-2, is a team that maybe feels it let a playoff spot slip away losing their Championship Game. Live dog here in my eyes - Last year, Tulane played a Lincoln Riley led Oklahoma team as 31 point dogs and lost by 5. This is better Tulane team and a USC team that for my money, is not all that excited to be playing in the Cotton Bowl when they think they should have been playing last night in the Peach. 4* Money Maker TULANE |
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01-01-23 | Rams +9 v. Chargers | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. I am not saying the Rams are back after scoring 50 last week! Does that even count vs Denver. That is more of a 29 vs the rest of the NFL. Broncos finally fired their HC. See Ya -- Look. I said on Look Ahead Lines and Mid Day Money I thought Colts would sneak up on the Chargers so we were grabbing the points thinking the line drops. A 51 spot and lack luster 20-3 win on MNF drops the line a bit. I am still not sold on LAC. I don't like the coach. And yeah. Loads of talent on offense. Defense has some stud pieces. Even now at 6.5 - how many people are saying.. are you kidding me. Chargers can't win by a touchdown. Chargers have won 2 games all season by more than 6 points! Baker has a HC who is getting the best from him. Is this even a road game for the Rams? Won't be shocked if Rams win outright here. 4* Money Maker LA RAMS |
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01-01-23 | 49ers -4 v. Raiders | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 33 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS. Another week of game under his belt. Purdy looking pretty good. Niners defense a monster. But really. For me - coaching. This is huge mismatch. Line should be 10 with this Vegas crew. What a disaster of a season. Denver is right up there. But these guys. A close second. I can't even put the Rams there because they lost their QB and WR. Shocked the Raider can even show up since they play with zero heart. 5 blown leads. This was a playoff team last year who canned a coach the players liked. McDaniels back to NE as OC then to replace The Hoodie. --- LINE IS NOW 10 as Carr is Out.. Good luck to the QB.. Raiders Team Total UNDER in play for sure. 4* Money Maker SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
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01-01-23 | Panthers +7 v. Bucs | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 172 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. How the heck is Tampa favored by a TD over anyone? We said on Mid Day Money on Christmas, take that TD with Arizona. Home, away. It doesn't matter. Why are people thinking last years team is showing up? It hasn't. This is the 2nd to last game of the regular season. Today. Today they turn it on. Sure Jan. Vs a Panthers team that is playing all out for their guy Wilks. Give me the points. Give me some ML on Carolina. We are on the Under 41.5/42. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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01-01-23 | Saints v. Eagles -5.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6.5 | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 655 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA + the OVER here. I think the Bulldogs win this one 44-27. Ohio State has trouble stopping a good offense. We saw that their last 2 times playing Michigan. We saw that vs Utah in last years bowl game. We will see it here vs Georgia. Georgia D isn't last years defense. That was a record setting defense. This is still a good bunch. I also think we have a huge coaching edge. The OL is fantastic. No sacks allowed since October. Run game is 3 headed monster. A veteran QB who won't make mistakes. I thought coming into the season these were the 2 best teams. That being said, Georgia by double digits here. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA BULLDOGS |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -9 | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 651 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking MICHIGAN. Look. Who doesn't love TCU. What a year. And I am all for the dogs. This team, man. They just find a way to win games. They couldn't punch it vs KST, but still, this is a talented group. For me though - the defense. A lot of crooked numbers on the board allowed by TCU. I think the Wolverines can put up a 40+ spot here. Just running, running and then bust out some passing! Don't sleep on this Michigan pass attack. It wasn't called upon when you basically had a Heisman guy running amuck on the field. TCU will hang, but in the end, I feel Michigan locks up a double digit win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +5 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 623 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking KANSAS STATE. So KST gets the call. I know Bama QB is playing. We will see what the Tide is made of. Do they sulk being in a lesser bowl thinking they should be in the Playoffs. How motivated is this bunch. I can't believe they talked Bryce into playing. Wow. You know what I do know though - I know the Big 12 Champions are pumped to be here. Facing this team. Come on. I like our HC. I think he will add some trickery to the game. This would be a huge win for his program. We got a great RB. A pair of solid QBs to throw some quirks into things. And back to Alabama. Motivation. I don't see it. 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE WILDCATS |
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12-30-22 | Clemson v. Tennessee +6 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TENNESSEE VOLS |
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12-30-22 | Wyoming +1.5 v. Ohio | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 511 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker THEE Ohio Bobcats --- Obviously I loaded up the wrong team.. PLAY ON OHIO |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +7 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Push | 0 | 616 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking SOUTH CAROLINA. What a run to the end the year. Rattler that old Sooner Heisman guy. He's playing - Good for him playing for the coach. Both teams with opt outs on offense that will hurt them. Irish most notably losing their QB and TE. But SC is down playmakers also. Just think getting points, we have a guy with a chip on his shoulder with something to prove. And when bowling, that is sometimes all you need. 4* Money Maker SOUTH CAROLINA |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -5 | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking UCLA. No portal, we would be looking at a Pitt outright winner here. But - when you lose your QB, RB, 6 defensive starters, well, might be time to hook up a fade train. UCLA first bowl since 2017. Chip Kelly needs a big double digit winner here. DRT was a Heisman QB at times this year. He should put up some nice numbers in this one. Lean Under 52 here also with the Pitt Opt Outs. 4* Money Maker UCLA BRUINS |
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12-29-22 | Washington +6 v. Texas | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 551 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking WASHINGTON. Not a chance I take Texas. And let me tell you - you look at this matchup. Washington better record. 'ranked' higher. Better ranking in Playoffs. But yet. Washington the dog. This line has dropped down to a 3.5. But, if you watch the Mid Day Money, you knew 3 weeks ago we would be taking the Pennix show. This kid has a lot of to prove, as Washington as a whole also. They get to face 'Texas' Oh Big name Texas. Soon to be SEC. Puh-leaze. Sark. Guy finds ways to lose. When is the last big game he won. Yes. Texas has some tough losses. Bama, TCU, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech. Finding ways to lose the Longhorn way. Huskies get the shaft after being tied and having better record in PAC 12 for a championship shot. So yeah, they want to come in and Texas. Longhorns best RBs opt out. Huge drop-off. Texas will probably lose some other pieces also. Not the case for the Washington crew. Take the Points. Take the ML. I think Washington wins by Double Digits. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
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12-29-22 | Cowboys -6 v. Titans | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 105 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS here. Line has moved as Titians will be resting guys for next week vs the Jags. Do I want you laying 10 with the Cowboys here. Of course not. That is why we are on the sites laying 6. We are heading into Week 17. If you haven't watched my Look Ahead Lines show this season, or last season, well maybe get up to speed for the final week of the season and watch for the playoffs. You don't hit 64% NFL sides/totals by waiting for people on TV to tell you who they like! At 10 points, man, short week, I can see holding your noise and taking the Titans. They need the win next week more than anything. Short week - Rookie QB - OL missing starters - Henry out? -vs a decent Dallas D.. Even laying 6 I thought this was 2 TD win for Dallas. Titans have topped 19 points twice their last 10 games. Total wise leaning Over 40.5 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -2 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 594 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking FLORIDA STATE. Huge move on this one. Still think Seminoles win by double digits. One of the best RB in the nation, out for the Sooners. Let's add a couple OLs. Out. You downgrade at RB huge and now lose starting OL men. Yikes. This is just a huge game for FSU and their HC. 10 wins. Crush 'Oklahoma'. Sooners might be 6-6, but, it is still a huge college name. Noles putting up 40+ in 4 of their last 5 (38 in the miss). 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE |
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12-29-22 | Minnesota -9.5 v. Syracuse | 28-20 | Loss | -118 | 69 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker MINNESOTA |
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12-27-22 | East Carolina -6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 53-29 | Win | 100 | 547 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking EAST CAROLINA. Hungry Pirates here. Bowl cancelled last year. They will be pumped up here. Good news for them - they get a Coastal team being led by an interim HC. Flames QB to the portal, but, it is out there he said he will play? Is he healthy enough? Their best OL, their C, left for NC. Their best defense guy is heading to Michigan. ECU with a 5th year cat looking lead his team the W on the way out the door. 4* Money Maker EAST CAROLINA |
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12-27-22 | Utah State +9.5 v. Memphis | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 530 h 58 m | Show | |
Taking UTAH STATE. Memphis clearly bringing superior offense to First Responders Bowl. This line though has dipped even as Utah State lost a 1000 yard rusher opting out for the NFL draft reasons. Reports though he may play. It would help vs a poor Memphis rushing defense. As good as the Tigers offense is, it does play some close games 7 decided by 12 or less, 4 within a TD. As much as like my dogs to be live for outright upsets, this one falls into the get in the backdoor basket. 4* Money Maker UTAH STATE |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern -4 v. Buffalo | 21-23 | Loss | -111 | 527 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA SOUTHERN. Clay Helton shows arrives from the PAC 12 and Georgian Southern goes 6-6 and finds a bowl berth! - Look. Simple handicap for me here. GASO QB was the starter at Buffalo last year and played 5 years for the Bulls! Guy threw more TDs this year then his entire career at Buffalo (33 games)! I like the Sun Belt a bit more than the MAC. Buffalo dropped 3 of last 4 and their win was 23-22 as a 12pt fav and were favored in 2 of the losses. At least with the Eagles we can say, Ok, 3 of 4 losses, and you were dogs in all 4 of those. They have been dogs in 9 of their last 10 games. This is feisty bunch with a solid offense. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN |
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12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins -4.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. Man. Dolphins hurt me vs the Bills last week. I though that was a bad spot - 3 straight road games. Revenge for Bills. Some cold and snow. But. I do not get the cover as a RB decides to take a dive at the 2 and the kicker in some wind and snow knocks it through. Anyway. Packers don't look good to me. They haven't all season. So you beat the Rams. Baker was picked up off the street on a bus bench 2 weeks ago. Miami offense is a tad bit better. Hill and Waddle should have pretty good games here. Won't be shocked if both go over 100 with TDs. Short week for GB which again, has been average at best this season. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys +1 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 143 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Grabbed them before the Hurts news. Also OVER the 50 which has since come down. Said earlier about the Browns Under at 39 now 32.5, sometimes the earlier number helps, here, not so much. That being said. The initial reaction to move this to 6, too much in my eyes. Now between 4-5 makes a little more sense. Dak outplayed him in previous year. Dallas with Dak has no problems putting up some offense. But Dak has struggled with INTs the last couple weeks. If they want any chance of making a playoff run, that has to end. Philly need to win 1 of last 3 to clinch 1 seed. Dallas pretty much set as the 5 seed. As long as this stays around 4ish, Dallas should get it done. I can't see Eagles risking Hurts here when they don't need to. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-24-22 | Texans +9 v. Titans | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 141 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. I have mentioned my Look Ahead Lines show in these write ups through-out the course of the season. And here we have yet another case of get down early on a game. A 3. Titans at -3 now. So Tannehill is banged up. They beat these guys 17-10 without him earlier this year. I guess we couple that with the Houston's past 2 spirited efforts vs the Chiefs and Cowboys. Heck - toss in that Browns game with a Punt TD, fumble TD and INT TD with a possible rookie QB plus revenge! They may break through to the elusive W column! Now 4 straight losses for Tennessee. They canned their GM - and they were in 1st place at the time. Lovie and company outright this afternoon for a Christmas miracle. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS |
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12-24-22 | Lions -2.5 v. Panthers | 23-37 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking DETROIT. Tough not to take streaking Lions. Even tougher when you have to lay points with them. Only recent in this run that crazy one to the Bills. I had both Panthers and Lions last week with mixed results. Carolina still alive in this mess of the South. Panthers probably with the much better defense if we are all being honest here. This is just one of those gut plays for me where we see something, the Lions going from 1-6 to a 10-7. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -3 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking CLEVELAND. Saints. Dome team, outside. First look, there will be some cold weather. Desperate Browns. Give me Chubb to close in on 200 yards here. On a side note here. We locked in the UNDER here at 39. Sometimes betting early you get a better number. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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12-24-22 | Seahawks +10 v. Chiefs | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. Maybe the Chiefs take the foot off the peddle a bit here with rival Denver on deck. Even so. This is a big number vs a really desperate Seattle now. KC 10-3 ATS but 2-10-1 ATS last 13. Always the extra juice on this public bet teams. Mahomes is the MVP. Guy is gonna pass for 5 thousand yards and have over 40 TDs. But back to that ATS number, 0-5-1 ATS for KC when laying more than a TD. KC locked up 7th straight AFC Division. Seattle extra prep of that Thursday night San Fran game. I think they keep this within a score. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKS |
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12-24-22 | Bengals -3 v. Patriots | 22-18 | Win | 100 | 137 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. For me. These guys are the best team in the league right now. We cashed with them last week, will come back on them again. 10-2 SU 11-1 ATS last 11. I don't care who the coach of NE is. This team is on a different level right now. I read that out of the Patriots 7 wins, 6 are vs backup QBs. Yikes. Last weeks ending vs Raiders - Does this look like any type a Hoodie Coached team? The offense, and I have said this all season. Offensive to say the least. Look. If somehow NE pulls one out of their butts, wow. But Cincy plays in the cold. December in NE might be mild compared to winter in Cincinnati. I find it safe to not stand in front of freight trains barreling, or in this case Burrowing down a hill. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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12-24-22 | Falcons v. Ravens -6.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 133 h 27 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars +2 v. Jets | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 96 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGS here. We saw this line on the move Sunday night as I was doing the Look Ahead Lines Show now at a PK in some shops. Also said to grab the Under also at 42 - now down to a 38 in some spots. Wilson or White, I still think New York has trouble scoring. One healthy QB is huge over a guy with injuries concerns and another cat who the players don't want on the field. I would rather have the Jags in off a loss to Dallas instead of the big OT win. But this team is still fighting for the South Title. I like their coach. I think even on a short week on the road we have a slight edge. Jets defense is a top unit, so the under is still in play here as well. Jags just need a win here and I think they get it. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama -7 v. Western Kentucky | 23-44 | Loss | -110 | 359 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking SOUTH ALABAMA. Terrible number here for us. But that happens when we bet early. WKU QB was out, now he is back. But he is down a couple OL men, and a pair of TEs. And when you pull a stunt like that, where is your heart. How do your teammates feel about you? This isn't a guy going in the 1st round of the draft and guys would like, I get it. WKU had a ho-hum season. Jaguars nearly an undefeated season - 4pts.. 4 points from undefeated 32-31 at UCLA, - 10-6 vs Troy. South Alabama looking at 11 wins with a victory here. They bring a Top 15 overall defense to the mix. Obviously would much rather be laying the 4.5, but I still think we can pull out the cover. 4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA |
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12-20-22 | Toledo -3 v. Liberty | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 381 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking TOLEDO. This is such an up and down team. I don't like them laying points. MAC itself a total mess this season. But nothing like the mess Liberty has left itself. 3 straight losses- UCONN! (though we took them +11 in their bowl game) Virginia Tech who had 3 wins, 1 being over Wofford, barely. And 6-6 New Mexico State who throttled them 49-14. Oh - did I mention they were Double Digit favorites in all 3 of those games? Where is this teams mindset? Not happy about being in Boca that's for sure. Their HC left for greener pastures. Look, the Toledo HC really is not to be trusted as a favorite. I said on the Mid Day Money show for the MAC Championship this team was favored in every game but 1 (at Ohio State). They have 5 losses. But if this guy can't pull out a win here (0-4 SU/ ATS in Bowls) the administration should really start looking for a new HC. 4* Money Maker TOLEDO ROCKETS |
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12-19-22 | Connecticut +10.5 v. Marshall | 14-28 | Loss | -115 | 337 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking CONNECTICUT in the Myrtle Beach Bowl. How do we turn down double digits with 2 teams that have trouble scoring? We don't, that's how! Marshall has to be thinking. We beat Notre Dame, in South Bend. How the heck are we playing UConn in South Carolina? Good question. And I don't have that answer. I know the Herd are a much better team. The stats and numbers don't lie. They are what they are. Huskies a scrappy bunch. I think we hang around enough to sneak in that backdoor. 4* Money Maker UCONN |
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12-18-22 | Bengals -2.5 v. Bucs | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 246 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking CINCINNATI. Best team going in the NFL right now. I will take credit for waking this beast up. We had the Browns in that Halloween beat down. And since then, Bengals have been the king of the jungle. Time to eat on an elderly former king. This TB offense is dreadful. I don't think this game is close. Bengals put up close to 30. How is Tampa scoring? Hint- they aren't. They think 16 is a win, when it just gets kids a drivers permit in some states. Tampa 1-9-1 ATS run Cincy 10-1 ATS run. I am not one for blindly riding a trend, but I will gladly use it when it is working in my favor. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Jaguars | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 242 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. Not the best number, but it happens. The outcomes of these 2 games were the opposite of what I thought would happen. I was looking for a Dallas 37-16 type of game, and the Jags to come off a physical 10pt loss to the Titans. Nope. Any given Sunday for sure. And even with the Eagles on deck, I think Dallas cruises here. Defense will cause havoc. Don't blame them for that game last week. Short field not on them. Dak needs to get his act together. And I think it will - behind a heavy run game that opens up some passing lanes so there will not be multiple INTs. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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12-18-22 | Lions +3 v. Jets | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 160 h 0 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Not liking the big line move here. Though we had it last week when we grabbed Detroit as home dogs before they flipped to being the favorite. 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU last 6 for Motown. Still like them as a short favorite. Jets still struggling on offense - 2 TDs the last 2 games. A touchdown a game will not get you many wins no matter how great your defense is. Even against the Lions. I like White. I thought he should have been in the moment Zach got hurt in preseason. But the kid is a solid shot away from Joe Flacco coming in this afternoon. Goff outdoors isn't something I love. But Detroit has a run game that can, and will get it done. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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12-18-22 | Steelers v. Panthers +2.5 | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Well. Had a pair loses last week with these 2. Took Pitt, took Seattle. 0-2. Not making the same mistake though on the Panthers. Team is clearly playing for Wilks. Defense on both sides of the field here, yes. But give me the Carolina offense. They are running it well. Power run football baby! And the Steelers just got mauled on the ground by Baltimore. Those games are always brutal. And - Hello Mitch Trubisky! That is 1, if not 2 INTs in our favor before the game even kicks off. 27-9 Panthers quest for the NFC South Title still alive. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
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12-17-22 | Boise State -9 v. North Texas | 35-32 | Loss | -110 | 296 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking BOISE here. North Texas canned their HC, left the DC, who, came out of retirement and led a defense that gave up 455 yards a game (124th) on the year and is in fresh off of giving up 48 points in the CUSA Championship Game. Boise will bring a defense and a decent offense to town. So Mean Green gets to play close to home. It won't matter. North Texas totally overmatched here. 4* Money Maker BOISE STATE |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -6.5 | 29-32 | Loss | -105 | 225 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS here. 21-19 revenger on tap for Buffalo. I think this is a double digit win. Possible bad weather. Or bad for Miami, they aren't playing in cold, snow, sleet or whatever the Bills Mafia drums up tonight. We had talked about this game on Look Ahead Lines. Get it early. It would only go up. Miami 3rd straight road game vs a revenge minded team. Dolphins offense doesn't look that sharp to me. Tua looked awful vs a depleted, and quite frankly a bad Chargers defense. Couldn't get past that 17 points again. Might want to look at the Under also here. I don't think Miami scores 16. Short week. Sunday night, fly home. Fly to Buffalo for a Saturday game. No favors from the schedule makers. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |