Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-11-23 | Cincinnati v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 48-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY) I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-10-23 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 163.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ohio/Toledo (MAC TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one for me. I love the way this one sets up to be a bit more of a defensive affair. Ohio is coming of a 90-70 win over Ball State to advance to the second round of the MAC Tournament and while the total went "over" the number, we can expect more of a defensive affair here. Ohio does play with revenge after falling 90-75 to Toledo on January 17th, but I don't see the Bobcats getting that many points again here. Toledo crushed Miami Ohio 91-75 yesterday and its now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. That's significant for us to take note of though, as Toledo has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect fatigue to also play a factor here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-10-23 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | Top | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati (AAC TOURNEY TOY) It's the opener of the AAC Tournament, and while these teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in their most recent matchup, I believe that everything points to a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Temple finished l6-15, while Cincinnati was 20-11. The Owls fell 88-83 in OT to the Bearcats as nine-point dogs on the road in February. That's significant to note here because Temple has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU conference loss vs. an opponent. Cincinnati saw eight of its final nine regular season games go "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. With the Owls looking to slow the tempo of this one down throughout, I believe the rematch here definitely points to a more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-10-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) I had a play on Rutgers in its win over Michigan yesterday, and while the Scarlet Knights pulled off the impressive outright win yesterday, I say their run in this conference tournament comes to an end here vs. the revenge-minded Boilermakers. The reason I really like this play is because Purdue plays with revenge here. It's also rested. Somehow Rutgers upset Purdue 65-64 as an 8.5-point dog on January 2nd. Note though that the Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for the rested and revenge-minded Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 137 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER CSU/SDSU (MW TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one. This is a great situational play. Colorado State is just 14-17. It's coming off a hard-fouth 67-65 win over Fresno State last night to advance here to the second round, the total went "under" the number in that one. SDSU was 24-6 in the regular season and received a first round bye. It comes in having seen the total go "under" the number in five straight. Note though that the Aztecs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. CSU plays with revenge after a 77-58 loss to SDSU on the road in ate February and while that total went "under" the number as well, everything finally points to a more of a wide-open "shootout" here now that the conference tournament is here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Rutgers +3 v. Michigan | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
10* Rutgers (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) While I do think Rutgers can win this game outright obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. This one sets up well for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights finished 18-13 this year, while Michigan was 17-14. Rutgers stumbled down the stretch, losing its final two games. It plays with revenge here though after a 58-45 loss to Michigan at home as a six-point favorite on February 23rd, and that's significant for us to note here, as the Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Michigan lost its final two games of the regular season as well. It did cover the spread in five straight to end the year, but that actually works in our favor, as the Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS victories in a row; grab the points, the play is Rutgers! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 136.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Minnesota/Nebraska (BIG TEN TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to close out the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this Tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Minnesota stumbled down the stretch, finishing 8-21 overal. It saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the regular season. It lost both games to Nebraska this season, and each contest went "over" the number as well. Note though that the Gophers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two straight losses against a conference opponent. Nebraska finished 16-15. It won five of its last six games. It also saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the year. With a couple days off to prepare for the conference tournament, I expect each team to focus a bit more on the defensive end this evening; this total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-08-23 | DePaul +6.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* DePaul (BIG EAST TOURNEY GOY) It's tenth seeded DePaul looking to pull off an upset vs. No. 7 seed Seton Hall. The Blue Demons come in under the radar on a 12-game losing streak. They fell 84-70 to Creighton on Saturday. The Pirates closed out the year with an 82-58 road win over Providence. The Blue Demons average 70.9 PPG, while allowing 77.3. That defense catches a break here today vs. a Pirates team that averages just 68.6 PPG. Overall Seton Hall allows just 65.1. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, let alone beat it both SU and ATS. Seton Hall is already 2-0 SU/ATS over DePaul during the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament spread a few points larger than it normally would be in my opinion. The Pirates may win this game, but it won't be easy; grab the points, the play is DEPAUL! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-08-23 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 154 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wake/Syracuse (ACC TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a more wide-open and faster-paced affair here on Wednesday afternoon, and because of that I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Wake stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, losing four of its last five. The Demon Deacons lost 72-63 at Syracuse as a one-point favorite on March 4th, the final game of the year. Wake has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Demon Deacons have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Deacons have also seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet. Syracuse broke a four-game slide in the win over Wake Forest. Previous to that the Orange had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. While that last game went "under" between these teams, expect a more efficient, faster-paced contest here in the Conference Tournament to lead to a higher-scoring final combined score; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-07-23 | Marist v. Manhattan UNDER 134.5 | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Manhattan (MAAC TOURNEY TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Marist comes into the Tournament off B2B losses to end the year. It also saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, which is significant to note, as the Red Foxes have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after seeing the total go "over" in three or more straight contests. Manhattan though plays with revenge after an 81-58 setback to Marist at home as a four point dog on February 24th. The total in that one snuck "over" the number, but I'm expecting a much more defensive battle here, as note that the Jaspers have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Two teams that underachieved in the regular season are out for redemption in the Conference Tournament and all signs (in my opinion), point to a defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-07-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Joe's UNDER 144 | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
10* Under Loyola Chicago/St. Joe's (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These two teams ended the regular season playing to several higher-scoring games, and they also played to a high-scoring one between each other over that span, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Loyola Chicago finished 10-20. It won its finaly game of the regular eason, 76-73 over La Salle. The Ramblers saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, and that's significant to note, as Loyola Chicago has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Ramblers play with revenge as well after falling 83-71 to ST. Joe's as a 3.5-point favorite at home on February 8th. But once again, that's important for us to note as the Ramblers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Saint Joseph's finished 14-16. It saw the total go "over" the number in five straight to end the regular season, which is noteworthy as well, as the Hawks have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-07-23 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -123 | Top | 38-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
10* Richmond (A-10 GOY) Richmond finished 14-17 and it backed its way into the tournament with three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That includes in their finale, a 62-60 setback to GMU as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the Spiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a SU/ATS conference home loss. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Spiders also play with revenge after an 85-76 loss to UMass as 2.5-point favorites on the road back in January. Note that Richmond is 5-2 ATS in its last seven in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent as well. The Minutemen finished 15-15 overall. They closed out the year with a 71-60 win over St. Bonnies, the overwhelming situational factors working in favor of the Spiders here makes them the correct call in my opinion; the play is Richmond! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Fran/Gonzaga (WEST-COAST TOURNEY TOY) Everyone is just hammering the over for the most part here, but I'm going the other way, as I see tremendous value on this being more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. San Fran has already had to get through two rounds to get to this point, beating Pacific 80-63 and then Santa Clara 93-87 in OT. The Dons play with revenge after falling 99-81 to the Bulldogs back in February. And as for Gonzaga, will rest lead to rust here after getting a "double bye?" I think it will. After having seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight games to end the season, I believe this Tournament total is now a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-05-23 | Chattanooga v. Wofford UNDER 152.5 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chattanooga/Wofford (SOUTHERN TOY) Chattanooga has won the first two rounds to advance here to face Wofford in the Southern Tournament. While the Mocs both won and covered in each, both of those contests went well "over" the number. Now with tthe stiff competition here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair finally. Wofford got by UNCG 67-66 yesterday in a lower-scoring defensive battle, and that's what Im predicting here as well. While their last game against each other in the regular season went "over" the number, expect the rematch here in the conference tournament to be tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Idaho +4.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* Idaho (BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY) We have two really bad teams going head-to-head here in the opener of the Big Sky Tourney. Idaho finished 10-21, while Northern Arizona was 9-22. This is a neutral site affair, so neither team enjoys an advantage as far as that's concerned tonight. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but Idaho has done really well in this spot for bettors in the past, and I expect that to again be the case today, as note that the Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. And Idaho does indeed play with revenge here after falling 72-50 to Northern Arizona at home as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-February. With that loss still fresh at the front of their minds, look for the Vandals to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Idaho! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-04-23 | Troy State +3 v. James Madison | Top | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Trojans in the opener of the Sunbelt Tournament. Troy finished 20-12, while James Madison was 21-10. The Dukes did finish 11-3 at home, but note that this one is at a neutral location. Troy actually got past the first round by defeating Arkansas State by a score of 63-59, winning but not covering the 8-point spread. James Madison earned a bye, but it hasn't played since February 24th. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Most importantly here for me though on this play is that the Trojans play with revenge here after falling 89-87 i OT to the Dukes as one-point favorites at home in January, which is crucial for us here, as note that Troy is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Clearly the outright is a possibility, but the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Troy! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-03-23 | North Dakota v. Denver UNDER 150.5 | Top | 83-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Dakota/Denver (SUMMIT TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late and the last time these teams got together the total flew "over" the posted number, but now finally here in the conference Tournament, I expect a more defensive battle. North Dakota comes into the Tournament at 12-19. It went 2-1 in its final three games, but it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. That's significant to note here though for us because the Fighting Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. North Dakota beat Denver by a score of 86-63 as a three-point favorite on February 9th and the total went "over" the number of 146. The Pioneers finished 15-16. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Look for this neutral site contest to finally produce more of a defensive affair as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Louisiana-Monroe +5.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UL Monroe (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) This is the first round of the Sunbelt Tournament and I really like the way this one sets up for UL Monroe. The Warhawks are just 11-20 this year, while Georgia Southern finished 16-15. UL Monroe enters having lost seven straight SU, and three straight ATS, which is significat to note, as UL Monroe is 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. UL Monroe actually upset Georgia Southern by a score of 72-59 as an 8.5-point underdog in January. Georgia Southern is 16-15 overall, and 12-4 at home, but this is being played at a neutral site. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands in the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is UL Monroe! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-02-23 | Lafayette +3 v. Lehigh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* Lafayette (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) I love the way this one sets up for Lafayette. The Leopards have lost four straight, but they play with revenge here after a 66-64 loss to Lehigh as a two-point favorite at home on February 4th. That's however crucial to note here, as Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent (moves to 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent as well.) Lehigh was 2-1 down the stretch SU, but 3-0 ATS. Note however that the Mountain Hawks are a sub-par 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is a very evenly matched contest, a sentiment shared here by the oddsmakers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Lafayette! AAA Sports |
|||||||
03-01-23 | Wagner v. Sacred Heart OVER 128.5 | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Sacred Heart. These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but now that the conference tournament is here, I'm expecting each to push the pace, as I look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Wagner has seen the total go "under" in four straight. It's coming in off B2B victories. It plays with revenge though after a 65-56 loss to Sacred Heart on Feburay 2nd, and that's important for us to take note of here, as the Seahawks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a conference loss against an opponent in which they were held to 59 or less points in. The Pioneers enter the tourney having seen the total go "under" in three straight, and that's significant to note here as wel, as Sacred Heart has seen the total go "over" in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is now too low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-28-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Robert Morris -14 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* Robert Morris (HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY) The IUPUI Jaguars are just 5-26, but they somehow managed an 81-75 win over Robert Morris just a few nights ago. That was as a ten-point underdog. That's good news for us her though, because Robert Morris is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Robert Morris did beat IUPUI here by a score of 77-70 back on January 9th, but while the Colonials were unable to cover the 15-point spread in that one, I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here in this revenge spot and to open up the Conference Tournament. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction here in my opinion; lay the points, the play is Robert Morris! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-27-23 | CS Sacramento v. Portland State -2.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
10* Portland State (BIG SKY GOW) This one really sets up well for Portland State here at home in the final game of the year for both of these teams. Sacramento State is just 13-17 this year, including only 4-10 on the road. Portland State is only 12-17 this year, but a more respectable 6-6 at home. The Vikings plays with revenge here as well after falling 74-63 at the Hornets as 2.5-point dogs back on December 31st. But that's significant to note here as Portland State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. The home floor advantage, coupled with the "revenge" factor make Portland State the correct call here on Monday! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Belmont v. Northern Iowa UNDER 149.5 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Belmont/Northern Iowa (MISSOURI VALLEY TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in one against each other earlier in the year, but I expect those trends to finally end here this evening. Belmont is 20-10, but just 6-7 on the road, while Northern Iowa is 13-16 overall, but 8-7 at home. The Bruins beat the Panthers by a score of 76-72 in mid-January, and thats significant to note here, because Northern Iowa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. Look for a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring battle in this one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-25-23 | Eastern Washington v. Idaho State +6.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Idaho State (BIG SKY GOM) I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Idaho State snapped a four-game slide with a 65-55 win over Idaho in its most recent action. This is its final home game of the season, so it's senior night. They play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 81-68 at EWU as ten-point dogs in January. Are the Eagles the better team? Of course! They're 22-7 overall, but with a game at home vs. No. 2 Montana State, I think this is a "trap" game for the visiting side. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Idaho State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-24-23 | Xavier v. Seton Hall OVER 140.5 | Top | 82-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Seton Hall (BIG EAST TOY) I love the way this end of season matchup sets up to be more of a competitive defensive affair, rather than a high-scoring "shootout." Xavier is 20-8, but just a pedestrian 5-4 on the road, while Seton Hall is 16-12, but a much more respectable 10-4 in front of the home town crowd. The Pirates play with revenge after a 73-70 loss at Xavier as eight-point underdogs on December 20th, which is significant to note, as Seton Hall has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. Xavier is No. 15 in the country, but it'll be desperate to turn things around before the start of the conference tournament, having lost three of its last four, including a tight 64-63 setback to Villanova as a 4.5-point favorite last time out. I have every reason to believe that this will be a faster-paced "shootout," rather than a "clamp-down" defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-23-23 | UMKC +12 v. South Dakota State | Top | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this one being a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting in my opinion. Kansas City comes in under the radar here in my opinion. It won't be lacking motivation either after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note that the Roos are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row though.) They play with revenge as well after a 67-66 home loss to South Dakota State on January 30th. The Jack Rabbits are 9-1 at home. I think they go up early and take the foot off the gas at the end of the game. And with 25-4 Oral Roberts coming to town to finish off the regular season, there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look-ahead" for SDSU as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-23-23 | Monmouth +3 v. Hampton | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (CAA GOY) Two terrible teams here, but in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Monmouth is 6-23, while Hampton is 7-22. The Hawks play with revenge here though after an 83-66 setback at home to the Pirates as 2.5-point favorites on January 21st. Note that Monmouth is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This is also Monmouth's final game of the season, and the Hawks would love nothing more tha to send out the Pirates with a loss in their final home game. Hampton has one more game after this at North Carolina A&T to look ahead to as well. Grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-22-23 | Charleston Southern +10 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Charleston Southern (BIG SOUTH GOY) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I think that Charleston Southern will play tougher than expected, and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Buccaneers come in undervalued here after six straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note though that Charleston Southern is still 9-3 in its last 12 after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) Not surprisingly the Buccaneers play with "revenge" here after falling 73-63 lto UNC Asheville at home on January 18th as 2.5-point dogs. But that works in our favor here, as they're 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Bulldogs have "look ahead" spot here as well, with their final game of the season at No. 1 Longwood on Saturday night. As I said off the top, I'm not expecting an outright win, but everything points to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Charleston Southern! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-21-23 | East Carolina v. Tulsa +1.5 | Top | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (AAC GOM) I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well for Tulsa from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. ECU is the better team. It's 13-13, while Tulsa is only 5-21. However, the Pirates' weakness this season has absolutely been the quality of their play on the road, where they're just 1-7 this year. Tulsa on the other hand has been at its best at home this year, despite the 4-8 record. The Golden Hurricane though have performed well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent (lost 76-66 at ECU on January 24th.) With a game vs. conference leading Houston up next for the Pirates as well, this is also a "look-ahead" spot for the visitors. As I said off the top, I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a "situational" stand-point; grab the points the play is Tulsa! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-20-23 | Mississippi Valley State v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 131 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi Valley State/Prairie View A&M UNDER (SWAC TOY) The last time these teams played against each other, it ended up being a lower-scoring defensive affair, and for a number of different reasons, that's exactly what I'm expecting in the rematch in this one as well. Prairie View has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight ater an 82-71 win over Arkansas Pine Bluff in its last outing. Note though that the Panthers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Mississippi Valley State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now after its 80-62 loss at Texas Southern in its last outing. The Delta Devils also play with revenge here after the 67-60 loss to Prairie View A&M back on January 7th. However, note that the Delta Devils have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-19-23 | East Tennessee State +14.5 v. Furman | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (SOUTHERN GOW) This one ticks all the boxes from a "situational" stand point. No outright upset or anything, but I think that Furman will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow East Tennessee State to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. ETSU is just 10-18 and 4-8 on the road. It plays with revenge here after falling 70-56 to Furman at home at the start of January. Note though that the Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponet. We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season. Look for ETSU to keep this one close down the stretch; the play is the Buccaneers! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-19-23 | Niagara v. Marist UNDER 125 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Niagara/Marist (MAAC TOY) These teams played to a higher-scoring game earlier in the season, but I expect the rematch to be a tigher, and ultimately lower-scoring contest. Marist won by a score of 66-64 as a 4.5-point underdog back on January 15th. The total snuck "over" the number of 123.5 in that one. Note though that Niagara has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Purple Eagles only average 65 PPG, while conceding just 58. Marist averages only 62.3 PPG, while allowing 66.7. I don't expect either team to reach its seasonal offensive average in the re-match today, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Lafayette v. Army UNDER 132 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lafayette/Army (PATRIOT LEAGUE TOY) This one checks all the boxes to be a lower-scoring "under" in the end. Lafayette and Army have already played once this year, and the Lafayette Leopards got killed 82-65 back on January 2nd as a one-point favorite. The total went "over" the number of 133.5 in that one, but note that Lafayette has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. Lafayette is just 9-19 overall, including only 4-13 on the road though. The Army Black Knights are coming in off back-to-back losses. They've been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over their last six outings, and I expect this pattern to continue here after a 93-86 loss at Colgate in their last outing. I look for the home side to slow this one down, and as a result, everything points to this one staying "under" the number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-18-23 | Florida v. Arkansas UNDER 138.5 | Top | 65-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
10* Florida/Arkansas UNDER (SEC TOY) The regular season is amazingly winding down. FLorida is 14-12 overall this season, including just 3-5 on the road. Arkansas is ranked No. 25 in the country at 17-9 overall and 11-2 at home. Florida only averages 71.8 PPG, while allowing just 66.9. Arkansas isn't the highest scoring team either, averaging 73.8 PPG, while alloiwng just 65.6. Arkansas is of B2B SU/ATS losses. It beat Florida 82-74 last season, but while I'm anticipating another highly competitive battle this time, I'm definitely expecting a much lower-scoring final outcome. Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but we can expect this end of season conference battle to go well under the number; and that's the play, play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-17-23 | Detroit +2 v. Oakland | Top | 96-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Detroit (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) Detroit is 12-16, and 8-9 in league play after a 76-71 win over Green Bay last time out. On the season the Titans are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 76.1. Oakland is 12-16 and 10-7 in league action after an 85-81 win over IUPUI in its last outing. Overall the Grizzlies average only 73 PPG, while allowing 75.5. Note that this is a revenge game for the Titans after they lost 76-67 at home to Oakland as a four-point fav in January. But that's signficant to note here as Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Finally note that Oakland is just 1-4 ATS in it last five at home. I like Detroit here to avenge the earlier loss, but that said, let's grab the points; the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-17-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 147 | Top | 54-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER EMU/Kent (MAC TOW) This one sets up really well to be higher-scoring game from a few different situational stand points. Eastern Michigan is just 6-20, including l2-10 on the road. It has no chance here whatsoever. The Eagles actually average a healthy 73.5 points per game, but they've been downright terrible on the defensive end in conceding 81.7 PPG. Kent averages 75.2 and I look for the 21-5 Golden Flashes to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Kent only allows 63.9 points per game, but in what I expect to be a really wide-open and faster-paced affair, I am or sure looking for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. And that's how I envision this game unfolding. Look for Kent to have zero mercy here as it runs up the score, taking advantage of home court as the season starts to wind down; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-16-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 146 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* FAU/MTSU UNDER (CONF. USA TOY) I base my picks on many different things, but I don't follow any single handicapping methodology and ultimately I feel that being flexible with my approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. With that in mind, this particular play really sets up well from two different angles, from a situtational angle, but it also has some key ATS trends backing it. FAU is 24-2 and rolling towards the conference tournament. The Owls average 78 PPG, while allowing just 65.5. MTSU has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight, and that's important to note here, as the Blue Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 13 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. MTSU also plays with revenge here after an 85-67 loss at FAU in January, which is also important to note, as the Blue Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Expect MTSU to keep the pressure on FAU, but for that to ultimately translate into a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-16-23 | Wichita State v. Temple UNDER 137.5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wichita State/Temple (AAC TOM) This one sets up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle from a situational stand point. These are two teams in dire need of a victory here. Wichita State is 13-12, including 5-3 on the road, while Temple is 14-12, including 7-6 at home. The Shockers have played to ten straight "overs," and I believe that fact has now pushed tonight's Over/Under line a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Off a tight 91-89 OT win over SMU, I'm expecting a much slower-pace finally here from the Shockers. Temple has seen the total go "over" in five straight, while also losing three in a row, but SU and ATS. Note though that the Owls have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 afte rplaying to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Each team has taken a step back this year, but look for this highly competitive affair to finally produce a lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Cal-Irvine v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER UC Irvine/UC Santa Barbara (BIG WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. When these teams played in January, the total also went "over" the number in the Gauchos 73-65 victory at the Anteaters. Note though that UC Irvine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite to an opponent. UC Santa Barbara has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight games, but that's also significant for us to note, as the Gauchos have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. UC Irvine has actually been trading high-scoring games with low-scoring ones over its last six games, and coming off an 83-64 win over UC Riverside, I expect this pattern to continue here. Two really good teams, but expect this competitive atmosphere to produce a very tight, and ultimately lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-15-23 | Missouri State +9.5 v. Bradley | Top | 54-64 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOY) I like the Missouri State Bears to sneak in under the radar here and to comfortably cover with the large spread that they've been afforded. Missouri State plays with revenge here after falling 58-40 to Bradley back in December. Note that the Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. The Bears have now lost seven straight ATS, despite going 4-3 in that span, including 2-0 in the last two. Bradley has won six straight, including four straight ATS. With a game at 20-8 Southern Illinois on Saturday, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add up those two factors, you get "trap game." I'm not calling for the outright, but everything points to a battle until the final horn; grab the points, the play is Missouri State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-14-23 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso UNDER 132.5 | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER SIU/Valpo (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. SIU has seen the total go "over" in three straight (note though that the Salukis have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) iThe last was an 82-59 loss at Drake. SIU is 19-8, but it only averages 66.4 PPG, ranked among the best on the defensive end in many statistical categories. SIU beat Valpo 77-55 at home back on January 30th and the total went "over" the number of 123.5 in that one. However, today's total is much higher, and it's now a little too high in my opinion. Valpo has also seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-13-23 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER WVU/Baylor (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here in what I anticpate will be a competitive, but ultimlately lower-scoring defensive battle. WVU is just 2-6 on the road. It's coming off a 94-60 loss at Texas. I think the Mountaineers will struggle to score here on the road as well in this difficult venue. Note as well that WVU has seen the total to "over" the number in five straight, which is indeed signifciant to note, as the Mountaineers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Baylor is 12-2 a thome. It comes in off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. They're coming off a 72-68 win at TCU and I expect another strong defensive performance here as well at home; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-12-23 | Wofford +10.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 89-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10* Wofford (Southern GOM) I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Wofford is just 13-13 after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. But that's important for us to note here, as the Terriers are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Wofford also plays with revenge after a 73-64 loss to UNC Greensboro on New Year's Eve. The Spartans are 17-9 and rolling along after winning eight of their last ten, including three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that UNC Greensboro is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. With a game vs. 18-9, No. 2 Samford on deck up next, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add those two factors together, you get "TRAP GAME." No outright, but much tighter than expected; grab the points the play is Wofford! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-11-23 | Washington v. Washington State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Washington State (PAC 12 TOY) This one sets up really well to be a very defensive affair. Washington is 13-12 overall this year, but just 1-7 on the road. Washington State is only 10-15 this season, but it's 7-3 at home. An interesting matchup, but one that screams defensive battle to me. Washington has lost three straight, and that's important to note here, because the Huskies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Washington State has lost two straight on the road. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and that's also significant for us to note here, as the Cougars have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington State averages 67.4 PPG, while Washington averages only 69.7. Expect a tight, lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 151 | Top | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent/Buffalo (MAC TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here on Friday. Kent is 19-5, but is just 6-5 on the road. Buffalo is only 12-12, but it's a much more respectable 9-3 at home. Kent averages 75.1 PPG, while Buffalo averages 80.2. The last time these teams played though, Kent controlled the action in the 74-68 victory in late January, the total staying well "under" the posted number of 151.5. Expect a similar, lower-scoring defensive battle here as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-09-23 | UMKC +3.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While I think an outright victory isn't out of the question obviously with a short spread like this, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Kansas City is 10-15, while Western Illinois is 15-9. KC had won three straight, but it comes to town having dropped two in a row, both SU and ATS. That includes an 85-57 loss to Oral Roberts last time out. That however is important for us to take note, as the Roos have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. KC not surprisingly plays with revenge here as well after falling 60-52 at home to the Leathernecks back in January. That is also signifcant to note here, as KC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Off a 75-72 road upset over Nebraska Omaha, all signs finally point to a letdown here for the home side; grab the points, the play is KC! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-08-23 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State UNDER 135 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas Tech/Oklahoma State. I like the way this one sets up to be a defensive battle. Texas Tech is 2-1 in its last three, but it's coming off an 89-62 loss at Baylor. The Red Raiders have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Oklahoma State has won three straight, but SU and ATS. Most recently it was a 79-73 victory over TCU. The Cowboys have now seen the total go "over" in four straight. This is the first meeting of the year between these schools, but last March when they faced off, Oklahoma State won by a score of 52-51. The overall situation, combined with the above listed trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-07-23 | Ohio -3 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) Ohio is 12-11, while NIU is 10-13. Ohio is off a 78-68 win over Miami Ohio and I like the Bobcats to keep the momentum rolling here. Note that Ohio though has lost three against the spread, which is important for us to note, as the Bobcats are in fact a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. Jaylin Hunter led the way for Ohio, scoring 23 points. Ohio's offense is the difference-maker for me here, as I just can't see the Huskies keeping pace, as note that the Bobcats average 110.2 points per 100 possessions (77.9 PPG.) NIU looks primed for a letdown after B2B victories, most recently beating Bowling Green 86-78. David Coit led all scorers, dropping 21 points. The Huskies though average only 71.1 PPG. Ohio's weak point is on the defensive end, but that unit catches a break today facing the Huskies; I'm riding with Ohio to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado +1.5 | Top | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY GOY) Weber State is the better team, but it won't be in this one tonight. It's 12-11 overall, but just 5-7 on the road. Northern Colorado is 7-16 and only 2-6 at home. Weber State has won four of its last five, but off a tight 72-71 OT win at Idaho State, I expect a slight mental letdown here from the visiting side. The Bears on the other hand play with revenge after falling 81-72 at Weber State as 3.5-point underdogs on December 29th. That's signficiant to note here as UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an oppoent. UNC is off three straight road losses, which is also significant to note as the Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Weber State gets caught looking ahead to its home game vs. 17-8 Montana State on Friday, and UNC rallies to snap the slide and get revenge; the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-05-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Temple | Top | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC GOY) I think the "revenge" angle works for Houston here after Temple upset the Cougars 56-55 back on January 22nd as a 15.5-point underdog. Note that Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent; lay the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-04-23 | Vermont v. Albany +11 | Top | 87-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* Albany (AE GOY) Vermont is 12-10, but just 5-6 on the road. Albany is only 6-18, but it's a much more respectable 3-4 at home. Vermont is off four straight victories, but I believe this is just a few points too many to have to lay on the road here. The Catamounts only average 69.5 PPG. The Great Danes average 66.4. Albany has lost six straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important for us to note here, as note that the Great Danes are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the hungry home side to battle until the final buzzer, and in so doing, also comfortably cover this spread at the same time; the play is Albany! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-03-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Iona -15 | Top | 51-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* Iona (MAAC GOY) I'm expecting a lop-sided blowout here on Friday. Mount Saint Mary's is 7-15, while Iona is 14-7. Mount St. Mary's has lost two straight, most recenlty falling 73-62 to St. Peter's. Mount St. Mary's is ranked tenth offensively in the conference, and fourth on the defensive side. The Gaels are coming back from an 18-point deficit to beat Quinnipiac 78-72 and I expect Iona to keep that momentum rolling here. The Gaels are ranked first offensively in the conference, and ninth defensively. Iona catches a much needed break on the defensive end this evening though. After going 2-2 their last four in conference play, I expect the Gaels to come in focussed and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Iona! AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-02-23 | James Madison v. Old Dominion OVER 138 | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER JMU/ODU (SUN BELT TOM) James Madison is 15-8, while ODU is 13-9. These are two teams in need of a victory here, and I expect this competitive like atmosphere to produce a much higher final combined score than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. James Madison actually averages 82.9 PPG, and it has seven players averaging between 7.9 and 13 PPG. ODU averages 67.5, but after playing to seven straight "unders," I feel this O/U line is now just a bit too low for the home side, as note that the Monarchs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
02-01-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Illinois State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Illinois Chicago/Illinois State. A couple of 9-14 bottom feeders collide here in the Missouri Valley Conference on Wednesday night and in my opinion, I expect points to be at a premium. Each side has played to several higher-scoring games of late, but we can expect those trends to end here. The Flames only average 67 PPG, while allowing 70.7. They catch a break here today on the defensive end facing Illinois State, which averages just 66.2 PPG, while allowing 68.6. When these teams faced off back on December 28th, it was UIC which came away with the 55-51 win as a one-point favorite. Look for these hungry and evenly matched teams to play to a similar, lower-scoring "under" here as well! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-31-23 | Northwestern v. Iowa UNDER 150 | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Northwestern/Iowa (BIG TEN TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair this evening. Both teams have done decently to this point. Northwestern is 15-5, while Iowa is 13-8. The Wildcats enter on a three-game win skein. Most recently they beat Minnesota by a score of 81-61. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well, as Northwestern only averages 69.8 PPG, but makes up for it on the defensive end, holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 46.8 percent, ranked 45th. So expect the visitors to slow this one down at all costs. Iowa averages 81.3 PPG, but it's been trading high-scoring "overs" with low-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 93-82 home win over Rutgers last time out, all signs point to this pattern continuing. Expect a more methodical pace here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-30-23 | South Dakota v. Oral Roberts -15.5 | Top | 53-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (SUMMIT GOY) I think that the 10-12 South Dakota Coyotes are in over their heads tonight visiting the 19-4 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles. South Dakota is coming off a win over St. Thomas MN, while Oral Roberts beat Omaha on Saturday. South Dakota though is just 2-7 on the road and it only averages 69.4 PPG. It's won three straight ATS, but that's only helped in driving down this spread in favor of the Golden Eagles. Oral Roberts has lost two of its last three ATS, but I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Note that it enters averaging 84.5 PPG, ranked fifth in the country. All signs point to a lop-sided blowout; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-29-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Cleveland State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 72-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER IUPUI/Cleveland State (HORIZON LEAGUE TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. IUPUI is just 3-19 after its latest 81-75 loss at Purdue Fort Wayne. It only averages 63.1 PPG, but somehow it's seen the total go "over" in four straight. Note though that IUPUI has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. It plays with revenge here after an 89-54 loss at home to Cleveland State two weeks ago. The Vikings are 13-9 after a 79-74 win over Purdue Fort Wayne. Despite that victory, note though that Cleveland State still only averages just 70 PPG. I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here in the rematch; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-29-23 | CS Bakersfield v. Hawaii UNDER 118.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER CSU Bakersfield/Hawaii (BIG WEST TOY) Two teams on different ends of the spectrum. CSU Bakersfield is 6-13, and Hawaii is 15-6. The Roadrunners are off a 79-58 home loss to UC Davis, and I think they'll struggle to reach that many points here on the road. Note that they average 58.3 PPG. Hawaii only averages 68. The Warriors are coming off a tight 65-64 home loss to UC Santa Barbara. These two teams play at a couple of the slowest paces in the nation. The fact of the matter is that the Roadrunners haven't posted more than 58 points in six straight games. Expect a slower-paced defensive affair, one that falls well "under" the number once the final buzzer sounds! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-28-23 | Pepperdine +10 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
10* Pepperdine (WC GOY) Here are two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that fact is in fact working in our favor here, as I believe this spread is a few points larger than it really should be. Pepperdine is 7-15, while Loyola Marymount is 15-7. The Waves are averaging 77.3 PPG, and allowing 79.4. The Lions are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.9. The Waves catch a bit of a break here on the defensive end, as the Lions don't play at the fastest pace. Pepperdine has no issues scoring. Loyola Marymount has a look-ahead matchup at BYU up next as well. Finally note that the underdog is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-27-23 | Manhattan v. Niagara OVER 126 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Manhattan/Niagara (ASSASSIN) I like the way this one sets up to be an offensive contest. Each team has been playing to several "unders" of late, but that's only now helped in contributing to this O/U line being a few points lower than it normally would/should be. When these teams played on January 8th, Manhattan upset Niagara by a score of 64-59 as a 3.5-point underdog. The total in that contest stayed "under" the postd number of 128, but note that Niagara has seen the total go "over" the number in ten of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and then expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-26-23 | Arkansas State v. Southern Miss UNDER 132.5 | Top | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Arkansas State/USM (SUN BELT TOY) All signs point to this being a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Arkansas State is coming off seven straight SU losses. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, including in its 87-78 OT home loss to Marshall. Note though that Arkansas State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Southern Miss has played to four straight "overs," but it still only averages 75.9 PPG, ranked 80th. Look for the conference leader to clamp down defensively and control the tempo of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* UConn (BIG EAST GOW) Xavier has been great, but I think it's getting a little TOO much respect here now. It lost 73-72 to DePaul, and then bounced back with a 95-82 win over Georgetown. Beating the Hoyas these days is no big deal, but what is concerning is that the Musketeers allowed 80 or more points for the third time in their last five games. UConn got back on track with a dominant 86-56 home win over Butler last time out, snapping a three-game slide. The Huskies started out the season 14-0, and their first loss of the year occurred at home to Xavier, falling 83-73 as three-point favs on New Year's Eve. Look for the Musketeers to struggle defensively again, and for the revenge-minded Huskies to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; the play is UConn! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-24-23 | Georgia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Georgia Tech (ACC GOY) I base my selections on many different things. I've always felt that being "flexible" with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. Sometimes I completely dissect a play, looking at every angle possible, each individual player matchup, and every stat and angle I can possibly uncover. Other times I can just give a game the "eye test" and employ the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!) Regardless, for this particular play I think it sets up well for Georgia Tech from a situational stand point. Clemson is 11-0 at home, but I'm not calling for an outright upset. I think the Yellow Jackets comfortably sneak in through the back door in the second half. GT is off six straight SU losses, and three straight ATS, which is significant to note, as the Yellow Jackets are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They also play with revenge after falling 79-66 at home to Clemson as two-point underdogs in December. That's also significant to note, as GT is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Clemson's at FSU next. I think it takes the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Georgia Tech! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-23-23 | Grambling State -3 v. Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Grambling State (ASSASSIN) Grambling State is 11-7 and Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 9-11. If history is any precedence, then the Tigers have to be liking their chances. Grambling State's 76-65 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on January 24th, 2022 was its fifth straight victory in the series. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is interestingly 0-5 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning record though. UAPB is unbeaten at home this year, but that just speaks volumes to the level of competition it's faced to this point. Grambling State has been tough on the road and after four straight ATS losses in a row, I believe they're in fact undervalued here finally this evening; lay the points, the play is Grambling State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-22-23 | Wichita State v. SMU UNDER 136 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wichita State/SMU (AAC TOY) The bottom line here for this one, is that both teams are struggling to score right now, and their defensive metrics far outweigh their offensive numbers. Wichita State's top player only averages 12 PPG. But the Shockers like to play at a slow pace, ranked 304th in pace out of 363 teams in the country. SMU's tempo is only ranked 143rd. SMU will look to utilize its size on offense. That means running the offense through the big men, and that means setting up a lot of "half court sets" while on offense. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Marshall v. Arkansas State +11 | Top | 87-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOODBATH) Marshall is coming off an 81-73 win over Texas State on Thursday. It's now 16-4 overall and 5-2 in conference action. That said, I still think this is a few too many points to be giving up on the road vs. the hungry Arkansas State side which is 9-11 overall and 1-6 in Sun Belt play. Mashall averages 81.6 PPG, while Arkansas State averages 65.7. With ten days off after this before a game vs. App State on February 2nd, I believe this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. The Red Wolves are 8-5 at home and while I'm not calling for an outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
10* Texas Tech (BLOWOUT) K-State is 16-2 after its 83-82 OT win at home over Kansas. It was an epic victory, and I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Texas Tech is 10-8 and I think it comes in as clearly the much hungrier side. K-State is playing great, but from a situational stand-point, I absolutely expect a mental letdown here after the win over the Jayhawks. Texas Tech made the Tournament as a three seed last year. The Red Raiders have fallen off, but after six straight conferene setbacks to open the season, we won't have to question their effort here today. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final whistle; the play is Texas Tech! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-20-23 | Toledo v. Buffalo UNDER 168 | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toledo/Buffalo (MAC TOW) Toledo is 12-6, while Buffalo is 9-9. That includes though going a near-perfect 8-1 at home. The Rockets are coming off a 90-75 win over Ohio in their latest contest, but I believe they'll have a much more difficult time moving the ball here on the road. The Rockets weakness comes on defense where they're allowing an average of 78.6 PPG. But that defense catches a break here facing a Bulls' offense that averages 79.9 PPG. The Bulls are coming off a blowout win as well, smashing Bowling Green 100-71. Both teams play at incredibly fast paces, but the school that plays the best defense is going to be the one that comes out on top here. These are two really good offenses, and poor defenses, and this is also a really high total. I see enough things "going wrong" to keep this total well "under" the number; and that's the play! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-19-23 | UC San Diego +3.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* UC San Diego (ASSASSIN) The UC San Diego Tritons are 6-12 overall, and 1-5 in league play. They'll be eager to snap a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 78-70 at home to UC Davis (note though, the Tritons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row.) Cal Poly is 7-11 overall, and just 1-5 in conference play. The Mustangs are on a five-game losing streak as well, but I think they come in here still hung up on their latest loss, a crushing 83-78 OT setback at UC Riverside. These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever one has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is indeed on UC San Diego! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-19-23 | Portland State v. Weber State OVER 140.5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER Portland State/Weber State (BIG SKY TOY) For a number of different reasons, I think this total is low. Both teams enter hungry for a win here at 8-10. Portland State will be particularly eager to return to action after a tight 69-67 home loss to Northern Colorado as a five-point favorite (note though that Portland State has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was the favorite and in which it was held to 69 or fewer points in.) Portland State does average 77.7 PPG though. Weber State will have to match pace here, as it comes in averaging 66.1 PPG. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight, but that's only helped in driving today's O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. When these teams played last year, Portland State won by a score of 81-75. I predict a similar final combined score here as well; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-18-23 | Oregon v. California UNDER 132.5 | Top | 87-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oregon/Cal (PAC 12 TOM) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here this evening in what I anticipate will be a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring defensive affair. Oregon is 10-8, but just 1-2 on the road. Cla is only 3-15 and just 3-8 at home. Oregon has seen the total go "over" in two straight games, including an 87-68 home victory over Arizona as a four-point underdog. Despite that though, the Ducks still only average 69.6 PPG. After that emotional upset victory, I predict some regression here. Cal averages only 61.8 PPG. It's now lost two straight, falling 66-51 at WSU, and 81-78 in OT at Washington last time out. I have a hard time seeing either side reaching its seasonal offensive average; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-18-23 | St. Louis v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 142.5 | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Louis/Loyola Chicago (TOTAL BOB) The Saint Louis Billikens are 12-6 and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are 6-11 and I'm expecting a very defensive affair. The Billikens come to town injured, with several key players sidelined. They'are also just 2-3 on the road. Saint Louis averages 76.6 PPG, while the the Ramblers average only 67.6. Loyola Chicago is coming off an 86-55 loss at Saint Joseph's, and I expect an even smaller final combined score in this contest. Look for a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-17-23 | Houston v. Tulane UNDER 148.5 | Top | 80-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Houston/Tulane UNDER (AAC TOW) The Cougars are 17-1, but I still think they'll want to body up on Tulane here and turn it into more of a defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Most recently they're coming off an 83-77 win over USF at home. The Green Wave are 12-5, and they're off a 77-69 home win over UCF. Houston is very average offensively with 75.9 PPG, ranked 96th, but their defense is ranked No. 1 overall, conceding just 52.9 PPG. Tulane is averaging 81.9 PPG, while allowing 73.8. Suffice it to say, the Wave have yet to face a defense like Houston's. With the visiting side playing full and half court pressure throughout this contest, I'm expecting the total to say "under" the number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-16-23 | CS-Northridge +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* CS Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that whatsoever. I do however look for the home side to take the foot off the gas after getting a big early lead, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry 3-13 Matadors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Hawaii is 13-4. This is the first match up of the year between the teams, but CS Northridge does play with double revenge after two losses last year in the series. Hawaii's 9-2 at home, but I believe it gets caught looking ahead to a two-game road trip starting this Friday at Big West leading UC Irvine. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is CS Northridge! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-15-23 | Marist v. Niagara UNDER 124.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Niagara (MAAC TOM) For a number of different reasons, I think this will be a very defensive affair. Marist is just 6-9 this year, iincluding 2-4 on the road. The Foxes are off B2B wins though, most recently winning 76-58 at Canisius as 3.5-point underdogs. I say a predictable letdown is in order here; note that they still only average 63.3 PPG. The Purple Aces average slightly more at 65 PPG. I think they'll struggle to hit that average here today though. They've lost their last two games, falling 64-59 to Manhattan and 70-64 to Siena. They failed to reach their seasonal average in either of those contests either. Look for these two hungry teams to battle tough, and expect this total to stay well "under" the number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-14-23 | Cal-Irvine v. CS-Northridge +11.5 | Top | 71-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
10* CSU Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that works to our advantage here. I say the 11-5 Anteaters come in a bit complacent. They're overvaulled here. Convesely, the 3-13 Matadors don't have the luxury to look past anyone right now. With a home game vs. Big West leading UC Santa Barbara on Monday, this is also a "look ahead" spot big time for the visitors. Look for the home side to play tough and to cover comfortably win the large spread that it's been afforded in this one; the play is CSU Northridge! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-13-23 | VCU v. Dayton UNDER 130 | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
VCU/Dayton UNDER (A-10 TOY) This total isn't the largest one obviously, but it's still much too high in my opinion. For a number of different reasons, I expect this one to stay well below the posted number. VCU is 12-5, but just 1-3 on the road. The Rams average 71.1 PPG, while the Flyers average 68.5. Dayton is 12-5, including 9-0 at home so far. These teams are two of the best in the conference in most defensive categories. They matchup well against each other. This is a difficult spread to get a read on, but as far as the total is concerned, I'm expecting an absolute war from start to finish, with plenty of half and full court pressures throughout. Look for this highly-competitive affair to produce a lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-12-23 | North Alabama +18 v. Liberty | Top | 54-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* North Alabama (MID-MAJOR MAULING) North Alabama is 9-8, and Liberty is 12-5. The Lions come in as the "hungrier" team here after three straight losses. It hasn't been for a lack of trying though, most recently falling 95-85 to Stetson in OT. North Alabama averages 74.9 PPG, while the Liberty Flames average 75.1. The Flames enter off a tight 62-59 loss to EKU last time out and I think they come out a bit flat here against their lowly opponent. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright victory, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is North Alabama! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-11-23 | Western Carolina v. Chattanooga -9 | Top | 76-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
10* Chatanooga (SOUTHERN GOY) Western Carolina is 10-7, while Chattanooga is 9-7. The Catamounts are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.1. The Mocs though are averaging 78.8 PPG, while conceding 68.9. The Mocs have played the more difficult schedule. The Catamounts can't be trusted on the road. Chattanooga will not "look past" its opponent today, instead it comes in prepared to play a full four quarters of basketball; lay the points, the play is the Mocs! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Temple v. Tulsa +4 | Top | 76-72 | Push | 0 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPER BLOWOUT) Last Februray Temple secured the 67-58 win over Tulsa, but I think the home side will, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Temple is coming off an 87-76 loss to Tulane. Overall the Owls are averaging 69.2 PPG, while allowing 69.1. Tulsa is only 4-10 overall SU, and just 1-13 ATS. I say this lop-sided ATS record starts to "correct" itself. Tulsa averages 68.1 PPG, while allowing 75.9. I don't trust the Owls offense on the road whatsoever, despite Tulsa's issues; grab the points, the play is the Golden Hurricane! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-09-23 | Texas Southern -10 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Texas Southern (SWAC GOY) Texas Southern is just 4-12, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Mississippi Valley State is just 1-16. The Tigers are averaging 68.1 PPG, while allowing 73.6. One bright spot has been the play of Davon Barnes, who is averaging 15.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. The Delta Devils are averaging just 54.6 PPG this season, while conceding 76.1. They're led by Rayquan Brown, who averages 14.7 points and 7.9 boards per game. Texas Southern will not take the foot off the gas here. It's the better team and it'll be desperate for a victry here. The Delta Devils have been losing by an average of 21.5 points, and they've lost their last five by an average of 17.8. I'm rolling with Texas Southern in this one in what I believe will be a blowout from start to finish! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Loyola Maryland +2.5 v. Holy Cross | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) Both teams are 5-11. This is a case that I feel that whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one, and in cases like that, I'll gladly grab the points. Both teams are 5-11 and hungry for a victory today. The Greyhounds are led by Jaylin Andrews with 11.3 PPG. They're coming off a 78-55 loss to Army and they average 65.4 PPG. Holy Cross is off a 73-69 OT loss to American. Gerrale Gates leads the Crusaders with 17.6 PPG. Overall they average 66.6 PPG. The depth that the Greyhounds bring to the table tonight gives them a very legitimate shot to win this contest outright; grab the points, the play is Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 156.5 | Top | 74-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* WMU/Toledo UNDER (MAC TOY) WMU is 4-10, while Toledo is 9-5. The Rockets have won the MAC regular season title in each of the last two seasons, but this year's version seems a step behind. Note that both teams are still looking for its first conference win of the season. The Broncos only average 68.6 PPG, so the last thing they can do here is turn this into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Rockets. WMU is terrible on the road, 0-7 so far. The Rockets come in somewhat complacent after winning 11 straight in this series. Toledo is averaging 84.9 PPG this year, but it won't need to run up the score here to win and control this contest from the ouset. The Rockets are actually off a poor 90-83 loss to Ball State here at home, so I expect them to double down defensively. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Texas State +12.5 v. James Madison | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* Texas State (SUN BELT GOY) These two teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum in this conference, but that's only helped in adding a few points extra onto this Texas State spread than normal. The Bobcats are 7-8 after a tight 55-52 loss to Troy on New Year's Eve. James Madison has been great, it's 11-4 after a 72-66 outright win over Marshall in its last game as 4.5-point dog. But I think the Dukes get caught complacent here now facing their lowly opponent. Texas State only averages 65.7 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by allowing just 65.5. James Madison is averging 89.7 PPG, while allowing 65.3. But I think the Dukes take the foot off the gas here in the second half. Look for Texas State's tough defensive play to keep it in this game late. No outright upset or anything, but a comfortable cover here for Texas State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (DESTRUCTION) I like the 5-10 Hoyas to keep this one close down the stretch vs. 7-7 Villanova. The Wildcats are off a disappointing 68-66 home loss to Marquette as 2.5-point favorites, and with a game at home vs. 12-3 Conference leading Xavier this weekend, not only does this set up as a natural letdwn sport for the visiting side, but also as a "look-ahead" position as well. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game! Georgetown averages 73.8 PPG, despite an 80-51 loss to Butler last time out. Villanova averages 70.3 PPG. Of course, the difference comes on the defensive end, but I think the Hoyas are catching the Wildcats at an opportune time. In a game that I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Boise State (MW GOY) After three straight victories, I think the SJSU comes back down to Earth here in this difficult road venue. San Jose State is coming off a 78-70 win over Colorado State to move to 11-4. Boise State is 10-4, but 0-1 in league play. The Broncos come in as the much more motivated side after B2B losses, including a 74-72 setback to Nevada last time out. Despite the Spartans recent success, they're still averaging just 69.8 PPG, while allowing 65.5. The Broncos though are on a different level in my estimation, as they average 70.7 PPG, while conceding just 59.4. Boise State's schedule has been much more difficult and off the consecutive losses, I look for the Broncos to take out their frustrations on the Spartans and keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer sounds; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Central Arkansas +10.5 | Top | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Central Arkansas (ASUN GOY) When these two played last February, FGCU won 95-93 in OT and I'm expecting another tighter battle here tonight as well. Florida Gulf Coast is off the 72-65 win over Jacksonville. They average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 66.4. Central Arkansas is only 5-9 after an 82-68 loss to Kennesaw State last time out. Central Arkansas has so far averaged 72.9 PPG, while allowing 80.4. The offense of Central Arkansas will keep it competitive late, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a comfortable ATS cover in my opinion; grab the points, the play is Central Arkansas! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Butler v. Georgetown +3.5 | Top | 80-51 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) The Bulldogs are 8-5, but they're off a 72-52 loss to Providence as 3-point favorites. I think that Butler will once again have it hands full here on the road against Hoyas team looking to rebound off a tight 83-78 loss to DePaul as a 3.5-point underdog. Butler only averages 69.9 PPG, second lowest in the conference. Georgetown is averaging 75.8 PPG, but it's conceding 77.5. That said, the Hoyas catch a break defensively tonight facing this inconsistent Butler offense. This one means more to Georgetown. After a hot start Butler is cooling off; while I do think the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgetown! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee +8 v. Detroit | Top | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Milwaukee enters at 8-5. I'm going to stop short in calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this game coming "right down to the wire." Detroit is 6-8, and 4-0 at home, but I think the Titans'll have their hands full today. The Panthers won't be lacking motivation after starting out 1-4 on the road. They fell 83-61 at Oakland most recently. Detroit is coming off a win over Green Bay, but previous to that it dropped three in a row. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar. Look for the hungry Panthers to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS victory; grab the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Buffalo v. Michigan State -15 | Top | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BEST OF BEST) I think the 6-6 Bulls, who are 0-2 on the road, will stumble and fall here after winning five of their last seven. MSU is 4-1 at home already, and it comes in red hot after three straight victories. The Bulls were blown out in both of their road games already this season and everything points to another beatdown here; look for MSU's defense to be the big differnce-maker and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-29-22 | CS Bakersfield +10.5 v. Cal-Riverside | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
l0* CSU Bakersfield (BIG WEST GOY) UC Riverside won its last game, beating Portland at home, but I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight. Cal State won't be lacking for motivation today after falling 56-48 to Fresno State. This is a battle of strengths, as the Highlanders have the better offense, while the Roadrunners have the better defense. But with a tougher game at Long Beach State up next, I think the home side'll get caught looking ahead and ultimately take the foot off the gas in the second half. Look for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is CSU Bakersfield! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Colorado State +6.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Colorado State is 8-5 and New Mexico is 12-0. I'm not calling for an outright upset here, but I do think the stage is set or a much closer/tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Rams look to rebound off a 73-64 loss at USC. They average 76.2 PPG. New Mexico is averaging 84.5 PPG after smoking Prarie View A&M by a score of 94-63. But note that New Mexico is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS home win in which it score 90 or more points in. Look for the Rams underrated defense to keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-22-22 | George Washington v. Washington State -11.5 | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Washington State (ULTIMATE BEATDOWN) George Washington is 6-4 and Washington State is 4-6. This is part of the Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic Tournament. The Colonials are coming off an 83-71 win over Coppin State, while the Cougars fell 65-59 to Baylor as ten-point dogs. Previous to their most recent win, the Colonials had lost two straight. They're averaging 75.7 PPG, while allowing 70.4. Washington State is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 63.9. WSU has played the stiffer competition and I think it'll finally take advantage of this favorable matchup and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Washington State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +9.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
10* BC (ACC GOM) Virginia Tech is 11-1, while Boston College is 6-6. VT is coming off a very satisfying 80-72 win over UNC to kick-off Conference play, and I think it'll have a bit of a mental letdown here in the second half against BC, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is coming off a 75-59 loss at Duke. The Hokies' numbers, including their record, are a bit skewed as well, as their non-conference strength of schedule was just 288th in the country. BC just ended a four-game slide with a 63-56 win over Stonehill. Now that the Conference schedule has arrived, we'll see these teams numbers normalize moving forward. I'm not calling for the outright or anything, but say the stage is set for a dramatic battle until the end; grab the points, the play is Boston College! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-20-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi +17 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 58-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
10* TEXAS A&M CC (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think that 7-4 Oklahoma State will get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent here to its X-Mas break and then its big matchup vs. Kansas before the New Year. Corpus Christie is now 6-5 after its 104-69 win over Schreiner. The Cowboys have been trading ATS wins/losses over their last six games, and I expect this pattern to continue. Corpus Christie is averaging 64.5 PPG, while allowing 72.5. OKS is averaging 70.8 PPG, while allowing 61.8. But as I mentioned, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "trap" for the home side; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Texas A&M! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-19-22 | South Dakota +1.5 v. UMKC | Top | 45-62 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* South Dakota (GOW) South Dakota has lost three straight, and I expect it to break that slide and find a way to deliver here on the road Monday. The Coyotes are coming off a tight 89-88 loss to Coastal Carolina. The good news was they made 50 percent of their shots from the floor, including 48.5 percent from range. Expect this deadly accuracy to be the difference-maker tonight. KC is five games under .500 following a six-point loss to Green Bay, shooting only 35.9 percent. The Coyotes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Roos are just 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss; the play is South Dakota AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-18-22 | Colorado State +11.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (BEST OF BEST) Colorado State is 7-4, while Saint Mary's is 9-3. The Rams are coming off a 115-72 home win over lowly Peru State College, but I think they'll take that confidence and momentum on the road with them here and keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Saint Mary's is coming off a win over New Mexico State. Colorado State has the offense to hang with the Gaels, but so far the Rams have struggled on the defensive end. That's the difference here, but I think that the Gaels will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today towards the X-Mas break, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points the play is CSU! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think the 5-5 Vanderbilt Commodores will, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points they've been afforded. NC State is 9-3, but I believe it'll have its hands full here in the Legends Of Basketball Showcase in Chicago this evening. Vanderbilt lost a tough game to Grambling 64-62 despite winning the rebounding battle 37 to 29. They're a great defensive team and I expect a rebound here. NC State's opening schedule was weak. It now enters having lost two of its last three. They're coming off a 92-73 win over Furman, but this is a huge step back up in competition. NC State's offensive numbers are a bit skewed in my opinion, as ultimately I feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Vanderbilt! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-16-22 | Weber State +5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 74-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* Weber State (MAULING) Weber State is just 3-7, but I think it'll give 5-4 Cal Poly Slo everything it can handle tonight. Weber State broke a five-game slide with an 82-58 win over St. Martin's last time out. The Wildcats are averaging 65.8 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Dillon Jones leads the nightly charge with 65.8 points per game. Cal Poly is 5-4 after a 74-68 loss to Washington last time out. The Mustangs average 66.8 PPG, while allowing 64.1. Alimamy Koroma averages 12.8 points and 5.2 boards per game. Both teams have been challenged early in their sechedules. The Wildcats won't roll over here. I say this one comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Weber State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine v. Santa Clara -1.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara (BEST OF BEST) I think this one favors 9-3 Santa Clara. The Broncos lost this game last year by a score of 69-64, but I expect them to dig deep here and to snap a six-game losing slide in this series. UC Irving is 7-3 after a road win over South Dakota. The Anteaters are now averaging 80.1 PPG. The Broncos average 72.8, but their superior defensive play is the difference-maker for me in this contest. Lay the short-points, but expect a decisive win; the play is Santa Clara! AAA Sports |