Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-22 | Georgia State +21 v. Auburn | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (UPSET SHOCKER) Auburn is now 8-1 after a poor loss to Memphis on Saturday, and I think it could still be mentally caught up on that setback. Ultimately I believe Georgia State will have an opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door. It's basically a TRAP game, because after this they have a game at the 7-3 Washington Huskies, so I also think the Tigers could be caught looking ahead to that much more high-profile contest. Bruce Pearl's team has been great, but they were held to just 38.1 percent shooting from the floor from Penny Hardaway's Memphis side, and that included just 25 percent from range. The Tigers were also outscored 50-24 in the paint. So far Auburn is averaging just 73 points per game, which is 173rd in the country. If the Tigers are going to repeat as SEC Champions, then they're going to have to try and find some more offense. Georgia State is just 5-4 and it's coming off a 66-46 loss to Northeastern on December 4th. The 20 point loss was the Panthers worst of the season (but note that Georgia State is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after a straight up and againast the spread loss of 20 or more points.) Clearly Auburn is the better team, but I just think this is a bad spot for the Tigers and a great one for the Panthers. I'm obviously not calling for the outright upset, but I do think the stage is set for a tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports |
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12-13-22 | UMass Lowell v. Rhode Island +2.5 | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (MAULING) Umass Lowell River i scoming off a 68-59 win over St. Francis. It's averaging 82.2 PPG, but so far the Hawks haven't played anyone of any significance. Rhode Island is now 3-7 after a 77-67 win over Army as a 7-point favorite. The Rams average 64.9 PPG. Their strength of schedule definitely has been more difficult though. Let's not overreact to early numbers. This is a game which Rhode Island can win outright, but I think we're getting a gift here with the points; the play is the Rams! AAA Sports |
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12-12-22 | Monmouth +22 v. Syracuse | Top | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (SHOCKER) Outright win? Of course not. I just think that the 1-9 Monmouth Hawks will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread they've been afforded here. Syracuse is 6-4 after its big 83-64 home win over Georgetown. It has a home game against Cornell up next. I think the home side will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas in the second half. Monmouth averages 61.5 PPG, while Syracuse averages 73.3. Expect a much tighter game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | St Francis PA +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 66-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* St. Francis (MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the backdoor will be left wide-open for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the large amount of points that it's been afforded here. St. Francis comes into this game with a 3-7 record. So far the Red Flash average 74.2 PPG, while allowing 74.3. Hawaii is 5-3. It averages 67.5 PPG, while allowing just 59.8. The Red Flash offense will test Hawaii here and it's the difference-maker in the end. Despite how well the Warriors are playing defensively, I'm expecting a much tighter game than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is St. Francis PA! AAA Sports |
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12-10-22 | Louisville +10 v. Florida State | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) We have a couple of really poor teams colliding here in ACC action on Saturday afternoon. Louisville is 0-8 SU/ATS, while FSU is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS. Louisville is only averaging 57.4 PPG, while Florida State is averaging 65.5. These teams are both terrible defensively. Both have more questions than answers. I have no trust whatsoever that Louisville can pull off a road upset, but at the same time, I don't trust the Seminoles either to cover such a large spread. For this selection, expect it to be a tight competitive affair throughout, but grab the points; the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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12-09-22 | Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 148 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Gonzaga (NON-CONF TOW) When these teams battled in 2019, Gonzaga walked away with the 83-76 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Washington is 7-2 after a 73-63 win over Colorado in its last outing. Overall the Huskies are averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 63.9. Keion Brooks leads the nightly charge with an average of 16.6 PPG. The Huskies will have to bring their "A" game to face the 6-3 Bulldogs. Gonzaga is averaging a whopping 80.2 PPG this year, but its defense has taken a step back, as it's conceding 74.1. Finally note, the "over" is 5-1 in Washington's last six games following a straight-up win. I expect a faster-paced affair here, one that flies well "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota +4.5 | Top | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Golden Gophers. This is Michigan's first true road game of the season and I think it'll struggle in this difficult road venue. The Wolverines return from their 73-69 loss to No. 19 Kentucky in London as well, so travel and the fatigue factor becomes an issue as well. UM has lost three of the last four in this series as well. This is a big game for Minnesota, playing here at Williams Arena for the first time since Nov. 17th. Last year Minnesota beat the Wolverines 75-65 in Ann Arbor for the first time since 2011. The average margin of victory between these teams over the last ten games is 3.2 points. This one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; so grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-07-22 | Connecticut v. Florida +4.5 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Florida (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Florida is 6-3 and UConn is 9-0. This is going to be a competitive battle, one which I see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last. The Huskies are coming off a 74-64 win over Oklahoma State. So far UConn is averaging 82.9 PPG, while allowing 58.7. The Gators come in off an 89-51 win over Stetson. Florida average 81 PPG, while conceding just 69. Yes, UConn is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine overall, but looking back finds is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine true road contests. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series head-to-head and as I stated off the top, while the outright win isn't out of the question, I'm going to grab the points in a contest that has all the makings of a competitive "nail-biter;" the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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12-06-22 | Tex A&M Commerce v. Wyoming -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (ULTIMATE BLOWOUT) For a number of different reasons, I expect Wyoming to lay a beating on Texas A&M Commerce. Wyoming is 3-5 and Texas A&M Commerce is 4-5. The Lions are coming off a 93-84 loss to Denver. They're averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.3. Their level of competition needs to be taken with a "grain of salt" though to thi s oint. Wyoming is coming off consecutive defeats to Santa Clara and Grand Canyon. The Cowboys are averaging 72.3 PPG, while conceding 69.9. Wyoming though has faced much stiffer competition. This is a great matchup for the Cowboys, and because of their difficult start, I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas at all tonight. With the home side keeping the pdeal to the metal until the final horn, all signs point to a lop-sided destruction; lay the points, the play is Wyoming! AAA Sports |
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12-05-22 | North Dakota State +16 v. Portland | Top | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* North Dakota State (MAULING) The North Dakota State Bison come in "under the radar" here after starting 1-8 and on a four-game slide. That includes a 78-70 loss to Eastern Washington on the road in their most recent. But I think the 7-4 Pilots will come in complacent here and "look past" their lowly opponent today after a 90-69 home win over North Dakota in their most recent outing. If we looked only at these team's offensive and defensive numbers, then we'd come to the conclusion that the Pilots are the much better team. And they are. But this is a bad spot for them to cover this many points. I think the Bison keep this one close enough for sure to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is North Dakota State! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Stanford +5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOY) Stanford is now 3-5 after an 80-66 home loss to UCLA in its most recent action. The Cardinal average 66.5 PPG. Arizona State is 7-1. It's coming off an upset 60-59 road win at Colorado as a 4.5-point underdog and I think a predictable letdown is in the cards here tonight for the home side. The Sun Devils are averaging a slightly better 72.2 PPG. ASU comes in a bit complacent here and also gets caught looking ahead to its neutral site game against Creighton next week. It's a "trap" for the Sun Devils. No such luxury for the Cardinal though. Stanford is struggling on offense, but makes up for it defensively in holding opponents to just 65.4 PPG. I think this is going to come down to the wire, as I said off the top, I think this is a great "spot" for the visitors; grab the points, the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State +9 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (NON-CONF GOM) Outright win?! While anything is of course possible, my official call here will be to grab as many points as you can with the 1-5 Frenso State Bulldogs. The UC Irvine Anteaters are 6-2 and I think they come out complacent here and get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent this evening to two weeks off, before a conference matchup at 6-2 Santa Clara. Clearly, the Bulldogs don't have the luxury to look past anyone or to take the foot off the gas at any point in this game. I like betting on motivated teams. I think the Anteaters are primed for a classic letdown. I'm banking on this one being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-02-22 | Boston University v. Merrimack +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Merrimack (MID-MAJOR MAULING) These teams are evenly matched. They always play to tight, competitive affairs, as the last two head-to-head matchups have been decided by a grand total of just three points. We can expect a similar battle until the end tonight, and that's why I'm definitely grabbing the points in this matchup. BU has now dropped three in a row, so it comes in with zero momentum. Merrimack may only average 56.4 PPG, but it's only allowing 56.3. I think Boston is completely over-priced here, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Merrimack! AAA Sports |
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12-01-22 | Illinois State +12.5 v. Murray State | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I definitely think that this spread is a few points too large. Illinois State is 2-5. It's on a four-game SU losing streak after a 57-44 home loss to Rhode Island. The Racers are the better team, but they're just 3-3 after Saturday's 69-66 road loss to Chatanooga. So far the Redbirds are averaging 61.3 PPG, while allowing 67. Murray State is averaging 76.3 PPG, while allowing 70.5. I think Illinois State's defense will keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is the Redbirds! AAA Sports |
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11-30-22 | Purdue v. Florida State +15 | Top | 79-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* FSU (BLOOD-BATH) This of course is part of the BIG 10/ACC Challenge. Outside of the Final Four Tournament, many college basketball fans enjoy this stretch of the season more than any other. Regardless, for this one we have two teams on completely opposite ends of the spectrum. Purdue is 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread, while Florida State is 1-7 straight-up and 1-7 against the spread. The Boilermakers already have wins over Duke, Gonzaga and West Virginia. They've held three teams to under 60 points so far this season. Zach Edey is the main man, averaging 21.7 points and 12 rebounds per game. Florida State has had a miserable start to its season. Its only win was against Mercer. The Seminoles have actually failed to score 60 points in four of their seven games. One bright spot has been the play of Caleb Mills who averages 12.6 points and 3.2 assists per game. This isn't about picking a straight up winner. This is about which team can cover with the spread, and for me, I just think that the public hammering the Boilermakers left right and center. just whenever they're playing now, while at the same time they see how much Florida State has struggled, and both of those factors have combined to make this spread a few points larger than it really should be; I'm going to grab the points with FSU! AAA Sports |
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11-29-22 | Alcorn State v. Grand Canyon -12.5 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Alcorn State is 3-4 SU, and Grand Canyon is 5-2. The Alcorn State Braves average 62.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. I expect them to have their hands full today. Dominic Brewton leads the nightly charge for the Braves with 13.1 points and 5.6 boards per game. The Antelopes are averaging 72.9 PPG, while conceding just 55.1. They have a deep and experienced team led by Jovan Blacksher Jr, who averages 11.3 points and 2.5 boards per game. These teams have a similar opponent this year. Alcorn State upset Wichita State, but Grand Canyon lost to it. But let's not overreact to early season results. This is a mismatch and I like the Antelopes to deliver at home; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Dartmouth +4 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Dartmouth (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The Dartmouth Big Green are 1-4 and the UTSA Roadrunners are 4-2. Dartmouth is off a tight 69-64 loss to Incarnate Word. Dusan Neskovic leads the nightly charge with 13.4 points and 4.2 rebounds per game for the Big Green. Dartmouth has no issues scoring, entering averaging 77.4 PPG. UTSA averages 65.5. The Roadrunners are coming off a humbling 75-55 loss to Grambling State. Japhet Medor leads the team with 12.7 points and four assists per game. Dartmouth though is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six after an ATS loss, while UTSA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage below .400. Dartmouth's defense catches a break this week. I say the outright is possible, but grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Iowa v. TCU +6 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* TCU (TOURNEY GOW) This is part of the Emerald Coast Classic in Niceville, Florida. Iowa is 5-0 thi syear after beating Clemson 74-71 last time out. So far the Hawkeyes are averaging 96 PPG, while conceding 65. Kris Murray leads the nightly charge with 23.8 points and eight rebounds per game. TCU is 4-1 after beating Cal 59-48 last time out. The Horned Frogs went on to force 19 turnovers in the victory. So far they're averaging 77 PPG, while allowing 65.5. Mike Miles Jr. leads TCU with 20.5 PPG on average. Iowa let a big lead slip away late against Clemson, and almost stumbled last time out. Look for the Horned Frogs aggressive defensive play to be the difference maker here; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | North Dakota State v. Northern Colorado +2.5 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (MAULING) We have a couple of 1-4 teams going head-to-head here, but I believe this is a contest that favors the visiting side. North Dakota State is coming off its first win of the year, albeit over Crown College. UNC lost to CO Christian in its last outing. Northern Colorado matches up well with North Dakota State. Also, the Bears have hit 69 or or more points in three of their last four games. UNC is the more motivated side and I expect it to pull away for a comfortable win/cover; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Fresno State is 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS. Vanderbilt is 2-3 SU/ATS. The Bulldogs are averaging 58.4 PPG, while allowing 61.4 Isaih Moore is averaging 12.8 points and 6.8 boards for Fresno State. The Commodores are averaging 70 PPG, while allowing 66.5. Jordan Wright leads the nightly charge for Vanderbilt by averaging 11.3 points and 3.8 assists per game. This is the consolation game in the Wooden Legacy tournament and I think the Bulldogs are primed for a breakout performance here. On the flip-side, I think this has been a big disappointment for Jerry Stackhouse and the Commodores. Both teams are coming off tight losses. I'll caution reading too much into their respective offensive and defensive numbers so early. I think the Bulldogs superior defense though will "win the day" here; that said, grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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11-21-22 | Rhode Island +10 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (NON-CONF GOW) These teams are closing out the first round of the Cayman Islands Classic on Monday night. Rhode Island is 1-2, and it's coming off its first win of the season in 74-64 victory over Stonehill. K-State is 3-0, most recently handling Kansas City by a score of 69-53. Rhode Island has some talent in players like Abdou Samb, averaging over ten points per game in the early going. The Cougars are only allowing 55.3 PPG, which is the lowest in the country so far, but that's been in part due to the level of competition it's faced. Markquis Nowell averages 3.3 steals per game for the Wildcats. Rhode Island isn't going to win this game, but I expect the Rams to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Nebraska -20 | Top | 58-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BLOWOUT BOB) For a number of different reasons I expect Nebraska to blowout Arkansas-Pine Bluff this afternoon. The Golden Lions are 1-5. They average 65 PPG. They're off a 67-58 loss at Cleveland State. Nebraska is now 2-1 after a 70-50 loss at St. John's as a 9.5-point underdog. The Huskers average 68 PPG. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS win. Nebraska on the other hand is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. teams with losing road records. Look for the Huskers to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as I expect the Golden Lions offense to struggle here; lay the points, the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | Bryant v. Florida International +3 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* FIU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are 2-1. Bryant is averaging 77.5 PPG and allowing 44.5. The Bulldogs competition to this point has to be called into question though. FIU has so far averaged 82 PPG, while allowing 82.3. The Bulldogs just got crushed by FAU on the road though. One of their two wins was against a division 2 opponent. FIU is definitely not as good as FAU, but the Golden Panthers are shooting the ball well right now, and I expect that to be a difference-maker here at home; grab the points, the play is Florida International! AAA Sports |
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11-18-22 | Lafayette v. Maryland-Baltimore County -1 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
10* UMBC (LATE INFO PLAY) These are two bad teams, but this is a matchup that I believe favors UMBC. Lafayette is 0-3 and UMBC is 1-2. The Leopards are off a 63-59 loss to Saint Joseph's. CJ Fulton is the leading scorer with an average of 13.3 PPG. Overall Lafeyette averages 60.3 PPG. The Retreivers are off a 94-64 loss to Princeton. Colton Lawrence leads the nightly charge for UMBC by averaging 14.7 points per game. UMBC is averaging 74.3 PPG. The Retreivers are also 5-1 ATS their last six at home. The Leopards are overvalued here on the road and getting too much respect from bettors after starting the season 3-0 ATS. Look for UMBC to take care of business here; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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11-16-22 | Southern Indiana v. Notre Dame -14.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Notre Dame (BLOOD-BATH) Southern Indiana is 1-1 and Notre Dame is 2-0. The Screaming Eagles are off an upset 71-53 home win over Southern Illinois as a ten-point underdog. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? It was a greart victory, but let's not get ahead of ourselves here. The Screaming Eagels are still ranked fourth in the weak Ohio Valley Conference. The Irish are off an 88-81 win over Youngstown State. ND has yet to cover a spread this season, but that's only helped in driving today's line a few points lower that it normally would/should be. I'm taking advantage. this is a total mismatch. Look for the Irish to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Notre Dame! AAA Sports |
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11-15-22 | Dayton v. UNLV +5 | Top | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNLV (BOB) Both teams are 2-0. Dayton beat SMU on Friday by a score of 74-62, while UNLV got the better of Incarnate Word by a score of 88-63. The Flyers didn't have their best outing, but still managed to win last time out: ''The thing that impressed me most was that they stayed poised,'' Dayton coach Anthony Grant said. ''This was a back-and-forth, highly contested game. I think we had at one point a 13-point lead in the second half that they erased. I think our guys understood what they needed to do. They didn't get rattled.” They only shot 30.8 percent from range in the victory. UNLV shot 55.4 percent overall in its latest win. But UNLV head coach Kevin Kruger was more impressed with the defensive effort: "I thought it was a really great effort defensively. Again, forcing 25 turnovers is what gets things going for us. I'm really proud and happy for them. We shot it well, shared the ball, got it in the paint, kicked it out, swung it, drove it - a lot of good plays for each other. We were able to get downhill and get to the free throw line, so that's going to have to be our M.O. offensively, just sharing it, driving and kicking, relocating, but all-in-all I thought it was a pretty good night for us." I think these teams are evenly matched for the most part and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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11-14-22 | Monmouth +27.5 v. Illinois | Top | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Monmounth-NJ (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Outright victory? Of course not. I just think the Illini will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the Hawks the opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that they've been afforded in this one. Illinois is off an 86 to 48 win over Kansas City as a 25.5-point favorite. But with a game at Maryland up next, followed by Texas, I say this is a bit of a look-ahead spot as well for the home side. Monmouth is 0-2. It fell 89-42 at Virginia last time out as a a 24.5-point underdog, but it matches up much better with Illinois. But as I said, no outright here, but the conditions are definitely right for a much tighter battle than what this spread would initially indicate; that flips the value to the undervalued underdog, so grab the points with Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Washington +6.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* Eastern Washington (ASSASSIN) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. Eastern Washington is 0-2 to open the season, so the Eagles will be super motivated here to try and snap the slide. THey lost 74-60 to a better Yale team last time out. Steele Venters led the way with 15 points for Eastern Washington. Hawaii is coming off a 72-54 home win over Mississippi Valley State, unable to cover the large 25.5-point spread. I think the Warriors are overvauled here again today vs. the Eagles as well, despite the much smaller point spread. Eastern Washington is 37-15-1 ATS in its last 53 road games and 23-3 ATS in its last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. In a contest that I seeing coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Eastern Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Illinois State -5.5 v. Northwestern State | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (BLOOD-BATH) The Redbirds are 1-1, including 1-0 on the road. They're 0-2 ATS, but I expect them to not only win today, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Overall Illinois State is averaging 61 PPG, while allowing 60. Luke Kasuble is the man to keep your eyes on tonight, he's so far averaging 16 points. Nortwestern State is 1-1, and 1-0 at home. The Demons are averaging 64 points and allowing 63. Isaac Haney leads the way with 17.5 opints and seven boards. The Redbirds are better defensively in the early going, and I think they matchup well here. Look for Illinois State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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11-11-22 | Houston v. St. Joe's +22.5 | Top | 81-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10* Saint Joseph's (BEST OF BEST) The Houston Cougars are 1-0 oafter an 83-36 win over Northern Colorado. While that was a "cake walk," I expect the Hawks to put up more of a fight here. This is Saint Joseph's first game of the season, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up. Houston utterly blew out UNC, with Marcus Sasser leading the way with 21 points. Last year Houston finished with a 26-5 regular season record and it averaged 75.8 PPG. The Hawks finished 11-19 overall last year. They averaged 67.6 PPG. Ejike Obinna is 6 foot 10 and he averaged 12.1 points and 7.9 boards per game last season. He'll play a bigger role this year. The Cougars are going to move to 2-0 after this game, but this is WAY too many points to be giving up to what I predict will be a slightly improved Saint Joseph's team this season; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | UMass Lowell v. Columbia +7 | Top | 89-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Columbia (NON-CONF GOM) UMass is 1-0 after its 108-43 destruction of Fisher College. Obviously, we have to take the victory with a "grain of salt." Columbia is 0-1 after a 75-35 loss to Rutgers as a 19-point underdog. It's difficult to get a firm read on either team at this point, but I'd say the best plan of action is not to "overreact" to either team's results after the first game. These team's offensive and defensive schemes are similar and in a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Columbia! AAA Sports |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue -26 | Top | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) In the story of David vs. Goliath, David somehow manages to kill the giant. In today's story though, Purdue (the Giant), will take no mercy in my estimation on lowly David (Milwaukee.) This is a talent discrepancy of epic proportions, and because of that I'll suggest a play on Purdue to cover the large spread. 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey will be a difficult matchup issue for the Panthers. Edey averaged 14.4 points and 7.7 boards in just 19 minutes last year. He'll be the focal point this season though. Milwaukee has a new coach in Bart Lundy and 13 new players. The Panthers are picked to finish No. 9 in the Horizon League. Milwaukee is off a satisfying win over the Milwaukee School of Engineering just last night, so expect a complete letdown here today vs. "Goliath." Lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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11-07-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* PFW (NON-CONF GOW) I just think this is too many points for Juwan Howard's new team to cover. Yes, leading scorer and rebounder Hunter Dickinson is back again this season, but four of the other five starters are gone. The Wolverines are still ranked No. 22, but I expect some chemistry issues in the early going. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but the Mastadons return an experienced line-up which I think will do some damage here on the National stage. The Mastadons tied for the Horizon League regular season championship last year. They're the co-favorites this year with UNK. Jarred Godfrey was their top player last year, and he returns along with three other starters. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is PFW! AAA Sports |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas OVER 132.5 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 131 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) Villanova is going to have to hit some three-balls today if it wants to beat the Jayhawks. Miami struggled from range in the second half of its Elite 8 matchup vs. Kansas, and the Jayhawks would then pull away for the 76-50 victory (Hurricanes finished just 3 of 21 from range.) The Wildcats can shoot threes and they're one of the best free throw shooting team's in the country as well. Villanova did lose the services of Justin Moore to a torn Achilles tendon in the win over Houston. Villanova can't afford to get into a half-court battle with this efficient Kansas team. I'm expecting this one to be a bit more "wide open" and faster-paced than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M OVER 137.5 | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) Two really good defensive teams battle for the NIT Championship tonight, but I think that public perception has helped driving this total a few points lower than it should be. The Musketeers enter off an 84-77 win over St. Bonaventure to advance, while Texas A&M beat Washington State by a score of 72-56. Xavier is going to have to push the pace from start to finish here to try and take the Aggies out of their comfort zone. The Musketeers average 74.1 PPG. A&M averages 72.7 PPG. I believe each team will exceed its offensive seasonal average today. Yes, this is a big game, but I believe that'll translate into an efficent, wide-open contest, rather than a suffocating defensive one; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M OVER 132 | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER (NIT SEMI-FINAL TOY) Washington State is 22-14 after beating BYU by a score of 77-58 to advance to the semi-finals of the NIT. Michael Flowers led the way in the win with 27 points, 5 assists and 3 steals. Texas A&M advanced to this point by beating Wake Forest by a score of 67-52. Wade Taylor was a standout in that victory with 12 points. Both teams enter on top form. If they had just gotten hot like this a couple of weeks earlier in the regular season, each could have been playing in The Big Dance instead of the NIT. Either way, I expect a faster pace here and I look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL OVER 133 | Top | 56-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER (SWEET 16 TOY) I think that public perception has driven this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would be. And that's because Iowa State has seen the total go "under" the number in its last five Tournament Games (conference and NCAA), while Miami Florida has also seen the total go "under" in both of its NCAA Tournament games. Yes, these team's successes are based around their tough-nosed defensive play, but here's a case where each will be pushing the pace on the offensive end. Look for each side to exceed it's seasonal offensive average; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY) Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 52-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT) The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW) Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
10* TEXAS (BOB) Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY) After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Davidson v. Michigan State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (1st RND TOY) With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. In what I predict will be a very tight battle, the correct call as far as the total is concered is definitely the "under" in my opinion. Davidson is the No. 10 seed and Michigan State is No. 7. These teams have plenty of experience on both sides of the ball and each is coached extremely well. Davidson averages 75.8 PPG, while MSU averages 72.1. Suffice it to say, I don't expect either to hit their seasonal offensive average here. Expect this evenly matched contest to turn into a very low-scoring defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | San Francisco -1.5 v. Murray State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY) Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +2 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* BRYANT (GOW) I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern OVER 135 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 35 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) This is going to be an interesting battle, but it's one that I anticipate will fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds! Texas Southern is a good rebounding team, but it's turnover prone. Texas A&M CC forces a TON of steals, so the Tigers are going to be forced to push the pace here to keep up. Texas A&M CC ranks 65th in the country at 75% from the free throw line, so the underdog could in fact have an edge if Texas Southern isn't careful. The best way for the Tigers to avoid this scenario though will be to take an early lead and keep the pressure on; in what I expect to a fast-paced affair, the play is the "over" as far as the total is concerned in my opinion! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
10* TENNESSEE A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS. AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-11-22 | USC v. UCLA UNDER 137 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Two really good teams collide here, and I expect this competitive affair to produce a very defensive contest, rather than a high-scoring offensive one. USC beat Washington by a score of 65-61 to advance to this game, while UCLA beat Washington State by a score of 75-65. The Bruins have seen the total fly "over" in three straight, but that does in fact work in our favor here as UCLA has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. When these teams met in the final regular season game, UCLA won 75-68 and the total snuck "over" the posted number, but we can expect this conference tournament game to be much more intense defensively; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | South Carolina State +2 v. Morgan State | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY) Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY) Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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03-07-22 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 137 | Top | 57-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SPECIAL) Two really good teams collide here. Offensive or defensive affair? In my opinion, everything is pointing towards this being a very tight, and lower-scoring game. NKU is 19-11, while Purdue Fort Wayne is 21-10. The Norse though aren't blowing teams out of the water to win games, as they average only 70.1 PPG. Instead its a suffocating defense that will be taksed to slow down the Mastadons, who enter averaging just 74.6 PPG. The Norse won 59-49 on January 28th, and I believe we'll see a similar lower-scoring defesive war here as well; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | UCF v. Tulsa +2.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* TULSA (ASSASSIN) I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion OVER 133.5 | Top | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) This is the final regular season game for both teams. MTSU is 22-8, but only 5-8 on the road, while ODU is only 12-17 overall, but a very respectable 9-4 at home. The Monarchs play with revenge after falling 63-48 to MTSU on February 10th. And that's significant to note for us here for sure, as ODU has seen the total so "over" the number in 9 of its last 12 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 55 or less points in. MTSU has seen the total go under in 3 straight, but it's seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row. Considering all of the above information, I say the total in the "rematch" this afternoon is now just a little bit TOO low; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB) I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +4.5 | Top | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM) Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor! AAA Sports |
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03-02-22 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island OVER 136 | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The A-10 Conference still has two games to go before its Tournament starts. Saint Louis is 19-10 overall, but just 4-6 on the road. It's coming off a tight 68-66 loss to Richmond. It does average 77.7 PPG though, which ranks 36th in the country. It beat URI 67-60 last year, but I expect a much higher-scoring affair this time around. Rhode Island snapped a 3-game slide with a 70-54 win over Duquesne last time out. It's seen the total go "under" in 4 straight (but note, the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row.) It's a big game at the end of the season and I expect a faster-paced affair; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Cincinnati +15 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* CINCINNATI (GOW) I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-28-22 | Bethune-Cookman v. Grambling State UNDER 134.5 | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Bethune-Cookman and Grambling State are stumbling towards the finish line. With little to play for here, I expect another sloppy overall affair, one that falls "under" the number. The Wildcats enter on a 3-game losing streak. They're off an 87-84 OT loss to Southern. Off that heart-wrenching setback, I can't see how the visiting side will muster much energy for tonight's game vs. 11-16 Grambling State. The Tigers are off a 79-73 defeat to Florida A&M on Saturday. The main issue for both teams this year though has been because of their poor offenses, as Bethune-Cookman averages 62.8 PPG, while Grambling State averages 65.8. Both team's strength lies on the defensive end. Look for a this one to fall well "under" before the final seconds tick off the clock! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (BOB) Ohio State is 18-7, but if its had one clear glaring weakness it's been its play on the road, where it's just 5-5. Maryland is 13-15 overall and 8-8 at home. OSU enters off a tight 86-83 win over Illinois, while Maryland fell 74-64 to at Indiana. The Terps though play with revenge here after losing 82-67 to OSU back on February 6th. Note that Maryland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. This one has all the making of a complete nail-biter. The Terps play better at home. In a game that is going to come down to the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Butler v. Marquette -8.5 | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
10* MARQUETTE (BIG EAST GOM) 13-16 Butler is just 3-7 on the road, while 17-10 Marquette is 11-3 at home. The Golden Eagles will be out to smash the Bulldogs today. They're just 1-3 in their last 4 SU, and 0-4 ATS. One of those losses includes an inexplicable 85-79 loss at Butler as a 4-point fav in the middle of the month. Note though that Marquette is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Butler's lost 3 games SU, but gone 2-1 ATS. I say that the Bulldogs stumble here in this difficult road venue. I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand point; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Harvard +8 v. Princeton | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (IVY LEAGUE GOM) I think the 13-10 Harvard Crimson will take the 19-5 Princeton Tigers down to the wire this evening. Harvard comes in playing arguably its best basketball of the season after its 2nd straight win, a 77-72 OT victory over Cornell. The Crimson average 72.3 PPG, while conceding 68.4. Princeton enters having won 4 straight, most recently holding on for an 81-75 win over Yale. The Tigers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 69.3. This is the opener of a home and home set and because of that, I'm expecting a very intenese 2-game stretch here. Harvard is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in this series and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a real nail-biter; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Eastern Kentucky +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* EASTERN KENTUCKY (ASUN GOY) I like 12-16 EKU to sneak in "under the radar" tonight vs. the 18-9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks. EKU is coming off a tight 83-76 loss to Central Arkansas on Saturday. The Gamecocks come in off an 82-67 win over Bellarmine on Sunday. This is a revenge game as well for the Colonels after the Gamecocks earned a 76-65 road win earlier in the season (note that EKU is in fact 7-3 ATS in last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) No outright, but I believe the stage is set for a competitive battle; grab the points, the play is Eastern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC "GOM") These teams are poor. NIU is just 8-17 this year, including only 6-9 on the road. EMU is only 9-18 this season, but it's a respectable 7-6 at home. I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor" advantage will be tonight. NIU has covered in 3 straight, but it's off a 78-75 loss to Miami Ohio at home as a 3.5-point underdog (NIU is in fact just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS victories in a row.) EMU plays with revenge here after a 77-70 road loss at NIU as a 1.5-point favorite in mid January. Note though that the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Look for the "revenge angle" to be a major difference-maker as well for the home side. With two extremely strong external factors working in their favor, the play is the EMU Eagles! AAA Sports |
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02-21-22 | Alabama State v. Bethune-Cookman UNDER 134 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SWAC TOY) Two really poor teams here. I can't see at all where the motivation will come from. Alabama State is just 6-20 overall, including only 2-14 on the road, while Bethune-Cookman is 7-19 overall and 4-5 at home this season. The Hornets only average 67.7 PPG, while the Wildcats average just 61.3. The Wildcats play with revenge here after falling 79-73 at Alabama State in mid-January. While that game went well "over" the posted number of 133, we can expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest this time around, between two teams just playing out the tail ends of their disastrous seasons. Finally, note that Alabama A&M has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss against an opponent as the favorite. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) Temple is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 17-9. The Owls come in off a 64-57 win over SMU as 3-point dogs, which is noteworthy in this case, as Temple is just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS upset in which it was an underdog. The Bearcats handled their business though last time out, pulling away for a comfortable 85-76 win over Wichita State as 3-point favs. If history is any precedence, then the Bearcats have to be loving their chances today, as they're 9-1 in the last 10 in this series. The room for error is very small for Temple, which averages 67 PPG, and concedes 65.6. Cincinnati averages 70.6, while conceding 65.6. After breaking their 2 game slide last time out, look for the Bearcats to keep the foot on the proverbial gas pdeal from start to finish on home floor; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Old Dominion +8.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* ODU (CONF USA GOY) The 10-16 Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road looking to rebound after losing 4 of their last 5. Most recently it was a 67-63 setback to Marshall. CJ Keyser had 14.5 points in the loss, while Kalu Ezikpe added 11.1. ODU averages 66.3 PPG, while allowing 67.4. WKU comes in complacent here in my estimation after 6 straight victories. Most recently the Hilltoppers beat Charlotte by a score of 77-67. Dayvion McKnights leads WKU in scoring with 15.7 PPG, but note that the Hilltoppers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after 5 or more SU victories in a row. WKU averages 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.7, but I believe the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. While the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Old Dominion! AAA Sports |
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02-18-22 | Maryland v. Nebraska UNDER 145.5 | Top | 90-74 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) These are two teams in dire need of a win, and because of that I anticipate a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Terps are just 11-14 and they've lost 5 straight. The Huskers are just 7-18 this year, with just 1 conference victory. Maryland is coming off a heart-breaking 62-61 loss to No. 3 Purdue as well, so I have a hard time seeing where this team will find its focus or energy on the road. Thankfully, the Terps don't have to worry about Nebraska's pathetic offense. Both teams average in the low 70's and I don't expect either to hit their offensive seasonal averages. This one will be a sloppy, and ultimately lower-scoring defensive war; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-17-22 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State OVER 130.5 | Top | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER (SUN BELT TOM) When I bet on "overs," I like betting on motivated teams. The Georgia Southern Eagles fall under that category, as they're now just 11-12 this season, including 4-8 in league play after 3 straight losses. Georgia Southern will host this exact game on Saturday. Georgia State enters on the other end of the spectrum, as it's won 3 in a row. The Eagles are out to snap their slide, and the Panthers will aim to kick their opponent while its down. Why is this total SO incredibly low? Because both teams struggle offensively. Georgia Southern though has seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 after 3 or more SU losses in a row. I say Georgia State keeps the pressure on from start to finish, forcing the visitors to match pace; in what I expect to be a faster-paced game, look for this one to fly well over the number before the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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02-16-22 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine +29.5 | Top | 86-66 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE (WC GOM) Am I suggesting that the Waves will post one of the biggest regular seson upsets in College basketball history tonight, or do I believe that Gonzaga will win this game, but that this spread is much too large? Clearly, it's the latter of those 2 scenarios. I love how this one sets up for Pepperdine to keep it much closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Gonzaga is No. 1 in the nation, but it's just 13-8-2 ATS overall. With a game at home against 17-9 Santa Clara, I think the visitors take the foot off the gas in the second half. Pepperdine lost 117-83 at Gonzaga as a 30-point underdog on January 8th (but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss of 25 or more points!) In every conceivable way the Bulldogs are the better team here, but this spread is simply too large when we take into account the overall situation; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | Iona -4.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
10* IONA (GOW) Iona is 20-5. It's coming off a 70-62 win over Monmouth at home, unable to cover the 8.5-point spread. It won't be taking Saint Peter's lightly today on the road, as while it did beat the Peacocks 85-77 at home on January 30th, it failed to cover the 10-point spread. Saint Peter's is 11-9, but it's off a poor 58-49 loss at home to Rider as a 7.5-point fav (note that the Peacocks are a disturbingly poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 50 or less points in.) The stage is set for a blowout of epic proportions; the official call will be to lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-15-22 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss UNDER 135 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SEC TOM) Two teams in need of a victory collide in this one, and I'm expecting a very defensive battle. South Carolina is 14-10 this season (3-5 on the road), while Ole Miss is 12-13 (10-5 at home.) The Gamecocks though average only 71.4 PPG. Ole Miss averages even less at 67.9. These teams pride themselves on their aggressive defensive play. This is the only matchup of the year between the schools. In their last matchup on March 11th, Ole Miss won 76-59 as a 7-point fav. That total stayed under the posted number of 140.5. I expect an even tigther, and ultimately lower-scoring game this time though; the official call is on the under! AAA Sports |
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02-14-22 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech OVER 120 | Top | 53-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) UVA may be 16-9 overall, but it's just 4-5 on the road. VT is only 15-10 this season, but it's 9-3 at home. Neither team scores a lot of points, and each is among the best in the nation on the defensive side. That's why this total is so low. VT plays with revenge here though after a 54-52 setback at UVA back in mid January. The total in that contest was set 116.5, and it still stayed well below the number. VT though averages 70.9 PPG and it's seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss to an opponent in which it was held to 55 or less points in; with the home side pushing the pace in its revenge bid, I believe the visitors, who average 63.4 PPG, will finally be forced out of their comfort zone defensively; expect this total to fly "over" the number before the final buzzer blares! AAA Sports |
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02-13-22 | Green Bay +6 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 44-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
10* WISCONSIN GREEN BAY (ASSASSIN) Wisconsin Green Bay is just 4-20 overall, which includes going 0-12 on the road. The Phoenix are off a 71-62 loss to NKU. They only average 61.7 PPG. Milwaukee is just 8-18. It's off a monumental 60-57 win at home here over Wright State as a 9-point underdog and I believe that a predictable letdown is imminent here. The Panthers only average 65.2 PPG. The Phoenix play with revenge here as well after falling 63-49 to the Panthers at home on January 5th. I expect the visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover as the game comes down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-12-22 | Belmont v. SE Missouri State OVER 156 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER (OVC TOY) Southeast Missouri State is 11-14 overall. It's 6-6 in conference action. It'll have its hands full today with uptempo Belmont. The Bruins are 21-5 and 11-2 in league play. Belmont is the only team that Southeast Missouri State has never beaten in the conference, going 0-11 all-time in this series. BU has won 10 of the 11 matchups by double digits. That includes all 5 games at the Show Me Center. The Redhawks though enter on top form for this season, as they've won 5 of their last 8. Most recently it was a 76-47 win over SIU Edwardsville. That's significant to note as the Redhawks have seen the total go "over" in 7 of their last 9 off a SU/ATS win in which they held their opponent to 50 points or less in. Expect this faster-paced "shootout" to fly over the number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +7 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
10* MILWAUKEE (MAULING) After 4 straight victories, I expect the Raiders to have a bit of a mental lapse here. Milwaukee has struggled this year, but after losing 6 in a row, I expect the Panthers to play with desperation here and to, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Wright State has "righted" the ship after a shaky start, but with a game against Northern Kentucky next, I expect it to look past its lowly, but dangerous opponent tonight. Milwaukee plays with revenge here as well after an 80-75 home loss to Wright State back on December 30th. The Panthers covered with the ten-point spread in that contest and all signs point to that comfortably happening again tonight; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-10-22 | Ohio -12.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10* OHIO (MAC BOB) I think the 19-4 Ohio Bobcats will lay the hammer down here on the 6-14 CMU Chippewas. Ohio will be especially motivated here and will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish after a poor 77-62 loss to Toldeo in its last outing. Conversely, CMU is poised for a predictable letdown off an upset overtime 89-85 win over Ball State. Situationally speaking, they don't set up much better than this. Ohio averages 74.4 PPG, while conceding 66.5, while CMU averages 65.8 PPG, while allowing 79.3. The Chips are also a terrible 2-6 ATS in their last 8 following a SU win. Look for Ohio to dig deep here and to pour on the offense from start to finish; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-09-22 | Alabama -5.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA (SEC BOB) Alabama is coming off B2B double-digit losses, falling to Auburn and Kentucky. Suffice it to say, I LOVE the Tide to bounce back here on the road. They're now 14-9 overall (just 4-6 in SEC action.) Ole Miss is off a 62-57 loss to Florida. The Rebels are 12-11 overall and 3-7 in conference action. The bottom line is, I have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace with the Tide, who average over 80 PPG. They've struggled defensively in conceding just over 75 PPG, but they catch a break here facing this more methodically-paced Rebels offense. Ole Miss has done a decent job defensively as well, but its lack of offensive punch is the difference today; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-08-22 | Fordham v. St Bonaventure -11.5 | Top | 51-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
10* ST. BONAVENTURE (MAULING) Fordham is just 10-11. It's coming off a 72-69 loss to Saint Joseph's. The Rams margin of error most nights is slim, as they average 68.8 PPG, while allowing 68.1. St. Bonaventure is 12-7, including going 7-2 in its last 9 at home. The Bonnies average 70.4 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Three players average in double figurs for the Rams, while five players do the same for the Bonnies. St. Bonaventure is winning games by an average of 9 points at home, while the Rams have seen their point production drop to 63.7 on the road; lay the points, expect a rout! AAA Sports |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -9.5 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN COLORADO (GOW) Northern Arizona is 8-14, including just 2-6 on the road. Northern Colorado is 11-11, including 5-3 at home. Northern Colorado just won 74-71 at Northern Arizona on Saturday, unable to cover the 5.5-point spread. UNCO has now lost 4 straight ATS, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Bears average 77.5 PPG, while the Lumberjacks average only 69.2. Revenge, they say, is a dish best served cold. That said, the Lumberjacks simply don't have the firepower to keep up with the home side. Northern Colorado will be cautious to not take the foot off the gas pedal this time after the "close call" last time out; lay the points, expect an ATS rout! AAA Sports |
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02-06-22 | Akron v. Miami-OH +1 | Top | 71-59 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
10* MIAMI OHIO (MAC GOM) I base my picks on many different factors. I've always felt that beling flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping games is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. Often plain old "common sense" or the "eye test" is the best way to approach a game. Other times, getting into every tiny stat and detail is important. Other times, stats, trends or lop-sided numbers is the correct angle to take. This one boils down to common sense. Miami Ohio plays with immediate revenge here after falling 66-55 at Akron two nights ago. The Zips only average 71.7 PPG, while the Redhawks average 75.5. Miami Ohio is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent; lay the short points, expect a decisive victory! AAA Sports |
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02-05-22 | Washington State v. California OVER 127 | Top | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
10* OVER WSU/Cal (TOW) The 9-14 Cal Bears will look for a win here against the visiting 13-7 Washington State Cougars. These teams don't score a lot of points most nights, but I think this particular contest will be much more wide open than what this O/U line is suggesting. Tonight's total is extra low because when these two met in mid-January, the Cougars defeated the Bears by a score of 65-57. Note that Cal has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 7 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or fewer points in. Expect these two opponents to open things up and look for this total to fly well OVER the number! AAA Sports |
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02-04-22 | Harvard +4.5 v. Brown | Top | 65-50 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (GOM) Harvard is 10-7 and 2-3 in Ivy League play after a tight 78-74 loss to Penn on Friday. Noah Kirkwood leads the Crimson with 18.1 points and 3.3 assists per game. Harvard has three players averaging in double digits in scoring and overall it averages 75.4 PPG. Brown is just 10-12 overall and 2-5 in league play. It's coming off a 74-72 loss to Cornell on Sunday. The Bears average 71.9 PPG. This is a revenge game for Harvard, and I say that's the difference-maker here today. Brown won the first meeting 84-73 as a 3.5-point road fav. Expect this one to be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-03-22 | Nicholls State v. Incarnate Word +10 | Top | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* INCARNATE WORD (BOB) Nicholls State is 13-9, while Incarnate Word is 4-18. The Colonels enter in off a 2nd straight win, getting past Houston Baptist by a score of 73-61. Nicholls averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2. Will the Colonels get caught looking past their lowly opponent today? That's what I'm reckoning! Incarnate Word has lost 5 straight. It's off a 78-68 loss to SE Louisiana. The Cardinals average 66.7 points per game, while allowing 76.7. Not a recipie for success obviously, but they've been better at home than on the road. Incarnate Word is also 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games as an underdog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range. Look for the visiting side to stumble here as it gets caught looking past its opponent; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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02-02-22 | Florida State +3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* FSU (CRUSHER) Florida State is 13-7 and Clemson is 11-9 this year. The Seminoles are off back-to-back losses, most recently it was an 85-72 loss at home to Virginia Tech as a 1.5-point favorite. Clemson crushed Pittsburgh 75-48, but then it came up short in its most recent game, a 71-69 setback to Duke. This is the first meeting between the schools this year, with the next one coming in Tallahassee on the 15th. But Florida State has actually been quite good on the road this year, it has an 83-81 win at NC State on January 1st, a 76-71 win at Syracuse in the middle of the month and a 61-60 win at Miami on January 22nd. In fact the Seminoles are only one of four teams in the ACC with a winning conference road record. Florida State is also 3-0 against Miami and Duke, the current No. 1 and No. 2 teams in the ACC Standings. And if the Seminoles win today it would mark the school's record 17th consecutive season that they've won at least seven conference games under Leonard Hamilton, Now for Clemson, I just think its primed for a letdown here after that "CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR" loss to Duke. It had a chance down 67-65, but it had a three-ball rim out. After that crushing loss, I say the Tigers stumble here again against this deep Florida State team! AAA Sports |
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02-01-22 | Providence v. St. John's OVER 144.5 | Top | 86-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER (MAULING) Providence is 8-1 in Big East action. Most recently it's coming off a 65-63 win over No. 22 Marquette on January 30th. Previous to that the Friars beat Xavier 65-62. Keep your eyes on Justin Minaya, who played all 80 minutes in those 2 victories. St. John's though has won 9 straight at home, where it averages 88.0 PPG on 58 percent shooting. Posh Alexander led the way last time out with 19 points. The over hit the last time these teams played in January and I expect another high-scoring shootout as well here. The over has hit in 7 of the last 9 in this series on this floor; expect that trend to continue tonight! AAA Sports |
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01-31-22 | West Virginia +14.5 v. Baylor | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* WVU (GOW) WVU is coming off a 77-68 loss to Arkansas. WVU won't be lacking for motivation today after 5 straight losses. Baylor is off an 87-78 loss to Alabama and while it sits in 2nd in the Big 12 with a 6-2 record, I say it gets caught looking past its opponent today to its huge matchup at Kansas on February 5th. And really, they don't set up from a situational standpoint much better than this. WVU is under the radar, undervalued after so many losses. Baylor has been consistently over-priced this season with its spreads, and that caught up to it last time out. I say it does again here with such a big road game on deck next. Outright win?! Of course not! But expect this one to be competitive until the final moments; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-30-22 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +5.5 | Top | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
10* ECU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The 14-6 Cincinnati Bearcats are going to get caught looking past the 11-8 ECU Pirates today in my opinion. David Dejulius averages 13.4 points and 2.4 assists for the Bearcats this season. They're coming off a road loss at Temple and I say they're now ripe for the picking. ECU plays with revenge here after falling 79-71 at Cincinnati at the start of January (that's important to note as ECU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss to an opponent.) Outright win?! Anything is possible! That said, let's grab the points for sure! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | Pepperdine +20 v. St. Mary's | Top | 57-81 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE. Outright victory? I'm of course not calling for that. But I do think the lowly Waves can sneak in under the radar today. Pepperdine has lost 7 straight, most recently falling 64-56 to San Diego. The Gaels are going to get caught complacent here after their 72-70 upset win over San Francisco as a 2.5-point underdog. Pepperdine averages 67.2 PPG, while allowing 76.2, while Saint Mary's averages 72 PPG, while allowing 59.1. With a game at Portland up next, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half; no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Manhattan +6.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 51-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* MANHATTAN (MAULING) The Jaspers defeated Sienna 76-58 on Friday, with Jose Perez scoring 32-points. But Manhattan then lost 78-62 to Monmouth on Sunday. The Jaspers average 73.5 points per game, while Saint Peter's averages only 65.9. Saint Peter's is 8-7 overall this year, while Manhattan is 10-6. This is the first matchup of the year, but the Jaspers lost the last matchup 68-54 as 6.5-point dogs. I say they keep it a lot closer than that this time around; the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Detroit | Top | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* BLUES (EXPRESS) Calgary is off B2B blowout wins, but I think it'll have difficulties here in St. Louis. Most recently the Flames clobbered Columbus 6-0 on the road. St Louis though plays with revenge here after a 7-1 setback at Calgary just last week. The Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss of 5 or more goals to an opponent as well. Calgary is back home for a game against the Canucks next, so I think it gets caught looking ahead to that more winnable game. The Blus are 16-4-1 at home this year. Look for that streak to get added to tonight; lay the reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-26-22 | Northwestern +8 v. Michigan | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG 10 GOY) Northwestern is 9-8 this season. while Michigan is 9-7. The Wildcats though are going to be eager to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss today, while I do think that Michigan could be caught a little complacent. Northwestern has indeed lost 2 in a row, but against 2 really good teams, losing 82-76 to 15-3 Wisconsin, before then dropping an 80-60 contest against 16-3 Purdue in its most recent. Boo Buie led the way in the loss with 17 points and three assists. Michigan is just 5-5 in its last 10, but it broke a 3-game slide with B2b victories, first beating Maryland 83-64, and then most recently pulling away for an 80-62 win at Indiana. The Wolverines shot a season-best 64.7 percent from the floor and Hunter Dickinson had 25 points and nine rebounds. But with a game at rival Michigan State this weekend in what will be one of the most highly anticipated Big Ten games of the season, I think that the Wolverines do finally get caught looking ahead here and take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal. I say this one MEANS more to the Wildcats; grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* ILLINOIS (BOB) Michigan State is off a huge win over a red hot Wisconsin team as a 5-point dog and I think it's now primed for a predictable letdown here. Illinois on the other hand has lost 2 in a row. Despite being 4-0 on the road, I like the Illini to bounce back here at home where they are 8-2 so far this season. The Spartans average 75.3 PPG, while the Illini average 79.3. Illinois though is essentially in a must win scenario here as it tries to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss. The setback to Maryland is a concern, but note that's 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -6.5-points range. I expect the "hungrier" home side to play with desperation, while everything points to a small letdown finally here for the surging Spartans; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-24-22 | CS Sacramento +2.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
10* SACRAMENTO STATE (GOW) The Sacramento State Hornets are 5-9 this year. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks are 6-11. Two evenly matched teams here. This one's going to come down to the wire! The Hornets have lost 3 straight. Most recently it was a frustrating 73-72 OT loss to Idaho. Sacramento State averages 65.4 PPG, while allowing 70. It looked a lot better on both ends of the court last time out and I expect it to build. The Lumberjacks are off a listless 58-48 loss to Montana. They average 69.3 PPG, while allowing 72.7. Sacramento State though is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 following a SU loss and 4-1-1 ATS in is last 6 vs. teams with a win % below .400. Conversely, Northern Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall. You know what, I think that the outright upset is a very real possibility; however the official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Michigan +4 v. Indiana | Top | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BIG 10* GOM) The 8-7 Wolverines are hungry for another win here after defeating Maryland 83-64. The Hoosiers are 14-4, and off a tight 68-65 win over Purdue on Thursday. Both teams are among the best in the nation defensively. Each is pretty comparable on the offensive end. Clearly, Indiana has the home-floor advantage here, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -7.5 points range. Hunter Dickinson and the Wolverines on the other hand are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which they score 80 or more points; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | West Virginia +9 v. Texas Tech | Top | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* WEST VIRGINIA (BLOOD-BATH) Am I calling for an outright win? I am not. However, this one is going to be a complete "nail-biter" in my opinion. Yes, WVU has lost B2B games, but it was against some really stiff competition, falling 85-59 to Kansas and 77-68 to Baylor. Texas Tech enters complacent here after going 4-1 in its last 5 (with wins over Kansas, Baylor and Iowa in that span.) WVU averages 68.9 PPG, and it allows 63.6. Texas Tech averages 73.7 PPG, and it concedes 58.7. But as I say, I think that TT is going to get caught looking past the Mountaineers today to its much more high-profile contest at Kansas on Monday night! WVU won this game 82-71 as a 6.5-point dog last year. As I stated above, no outright win this time, but expect another close one; grab the points! AAA Sports |