Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-17-23 | Albania v. Moldova OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #235849: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -115 in Moldova vs Albania @ Noon ET - Albania has been great in this competition thus far but Moldova has been a pleasant surprise plus has a key striker back for this one. Also, Moldova has been very strong at home and they are hosting Albania in this one. Albania just needs 1 point here so a draw is okay for them. However, to have a realistic chance, Moldova is in need of a win here. So you have hosts that will be aggressive and go all out as they must score here and they are a confident group here. Albania would then need to answer Moldova. So, even though I certainly do not want to settle for a push with our bet here, there is certainly the added security in that a 1-1 final gets us just that. I just can not see this match ending with anything less than 2 goals but fully expecting 3 goals here based on the situation. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2 -115 in Moldova |
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11-17-23 | San Marino v. Kazakhstan OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #235841: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -105 in Kazakhstan vs San Marino @ 10 AM ET - Goal difference could still be a factor in terms of the chances that Kazakhstan has to advance. That said, they are heavy favorites with good reason here and I fully expect them to run up the score. San Marino finally scored a goal in Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage action but they are really overmatched here. Kazakhstan is favored by 3 goals here on the goal line for a reason! Even if San Marino fails to score here look for the hosts to score at least 4 goals without reply. On their home pitch and given the situation of goal margin being a factor, the hosts will be relentless on the attack here. 10* OVER 3.5 -105 in Kazakhstan |
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11-16-23 | Canucks v. Flames -136 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Calgary Flames -135 vs Vancouver Canucks @ 9:07 ET - Tough back to back spot for the Canucks and they had to rally from two goals down for a hard-fought win in OT last night. Now Vancouver will likely go with back-up goalie Casey DeSmith in the B2B while the Flames have Jacob Markstrom back from injury and he was strong in his first start back and is now off B2B strong starts. He will prove to be a difference-maker again in this one. Calgary is on home ice plus has the situational advantage here. The Flames have had a tough time early this season but 10 of their last 14 games have been away from home ice. Their schedule has been tough and, with Markstrom back again, and more home ice action on the horizon, the Flames will build off winning 3 of last 5 and earning points in 4 of those 5 games! They are feeling better now than they were early in the season and they catch Canucks off that OT battle last night. Great spot for Flames. Lay it! 10* CALGARY |
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11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens OVER 46 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 8:15 ET - Current total in the 46 range as of early morning Thursday. The weather will be perfect in Baltimore for this one. Also, the Bengals are facing an angry Ravens team off a home loss in which they blew the game against the Browns. Note that Cincinnati games are 13-3 to the over in divisional action when the divisional foe they are facing is off a home loss. Also, Bengals divisional road games are 10-2 to the over when the divisional foe they are facing is coming off a home game. In terms of current statistical edges here, I like the fact that Baltimore has averaged scoring 31 points in last 5 games. Also, the Ravens have allowed more than 30 points twice in last three games. The Bengals also off a high-scoring loss and have scored 27 points per game in last 5 games. We should see plenty of points here as Cincinnati is allowing an average of 22 points in their road games this season and they gave up huge yardage in the loss to the Texans last week. The Ravens pile up rushing yardage and the Bengals defense is bad overall including against the run. Cincinnati can score well here however as their passing attack has been piling up yardage under Burrow on a consistent basis for many weeks now. 10* OVER the total in Baltimore |
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11-16-23 | Nets +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets (+) @ Miami Heat @ 7:40 ET - The current line on this one is around a 3.5 and the Heat are still without Tyler Herro. The game he got hurt in was a game that he only played 8 minutes in. So including that game, Miami has won 4 straight games without him. However, the key here is that 3 of those teams were really bad and are struggling overall this season. In fact, the combined record of all 4 teams is 14-29. Now the Heat face a red hot Nets team that already beat the Heat at Miami this season and that was when Herro was the leading scorer for Miami with 30 points and now he is not even playing tonight. I understand the Heat being favored here as they are at home and have won 6 straight. However, Brooklyn has won 6 of 9 and the only 3 losses were to Boston (twice) and Milwaukee. Of course the Celtics and Bucks are two of the best teams in the league. The Heat, without Herro, are not at that level. The road team gets it done here. 10* BROOKLYN + points |
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11-16-23 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers (-) vs Boston College Eagles @ 7 ET - Current line is a -3 as of early gameday morning. The last 3 times that the Panthers were at home and on a losing streak of 3 or more games and facing an unranked foe, they have gone a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS! Also, that streak does not include - Louisville was a ranked opponent - their big home win earlier this season when they snapped a 4-game losing streak by winning big over the Cardinals at home here in Pittsburgh. You can tell by this line that there is more than meets the eye with this match-up. The 6-4 Eagles are a 3-point dog against a 2-8 Panthers team...how can that be? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you. The Panthers were done in by turnovers last week against Syracuse at Yankee Stadium but now they are back home where they have been solid in recent games and I am looking for a very strong effort from them in what is their last home game of the season. The Panthers will make it count and they will get revenge for losing the most recent meeting with Boston College by a single point in 2020. Under Pat Narduzzi, that is the only season in the past 5 that the Panthers did not play in a bowl game and now this season is the same but they can at least finish the home portion of their season schedule with a big weeknight win and make the most of this primetime opportunity with the spotlight in College Football only on Pittsburgh tonight as this is the lone game going in CFB. With the Panthers entering this one on a 4-game losing streak, look for the aforementioned "back to winning at home" streak to reach a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS! 10* Pittsburgh - points |
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11-16-23 | Houston v. Towson OVER 124 | Top | 65-49 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Towson Tigers vs Houston Cougars @ 6:30 ET in Charleston, SC - This total is as low as a 124 as of mid-day. The Cougars have averaged 82 ppg so far this season. Why would they score less than 80 here? They are one of the top teams in the country and can cause Towson all kinds of trouble in this one. Of course that is why they are favored by about 20 points in this one. But that puts this game at 80-60 range which is well above the 124 total. Even if we see 75-55 that gets the job done here. The fact is Towson is averaging 64 points so far. I know that, with much tougher competition here, they do not get to that range but at least mid-50s is reasonable and I am expecting a solid over here as a result. The fresh legs of the Cougars and depth of this team could easily get this one well into the 130s. 10* OVER the total in Towson |
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11-16-23 | Faroe Islands v. Norway OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #236205: International Friendly: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Norway vs Faroe Islands @ Noon ET - Norway won the last meeting between these clubs 4-0. They are favored by 2 goals on the goal line here with good reason. Faroe Islands just not have the roster to keep up with a much deeper and talented Norway club - even with the latter resting players. That said, there should be plenty of scoring here as Norway not happy about the 1-0 loss to Spain in most recent match. This followed 4 straight Norway wins in which they scored an average of 4 goals per match. With no pressure here due to this being a Friendly, don't be surprised if we see a wide open affair with plenty of scoring from the hosts. Faroe Islands might surprise and get on the board here in a 3-1 type match but, even if they do not, look for the hosts to put on quite the show in this one. 10* OVER 3 -135 in Norway |
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11-16-23 | Spain v. Cyprus OVER 4 | Top | 3-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #235813: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 4 +105 in Cyprus vs Spain @ Noon ET - This is another match with a much stronger club a heavy favorite and expected to win by a multi-goal margin. I like the over in this one as Spain is favored by 3 goals on the goal line and they just have too much talent for this over-matched Cyprus club. It does not even matter who is on the pitch either. Spain can rest players, etc. but they will still dominate. Cyprus matches have averaged 4 goals apiece last 7 and they are allowing 3.5 goals per match during this stretch. That has included competition that is not on the level of this Spain club as well. That said, I am expecting a 4-1 type beatdown here or even a 5-0 thrashing in favor of Spain. Remember Spain already beat Cyprus 6-0 and they have a recent 4-0 win over Georgia which is the same club that Cyprus just had a similar score-line with but Cyprus was on the wrong end of that 4-0 match. There is so much talent disparity between these clubs as you can see and another thrashing is likely. 10* OVER 4 +105 in Cyprus |
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11-15-23 | Rice v. Texas UNDER 157 | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #702: CBB Wednesday UNDER the total in Texas Longhorns vs Rice Owls @ 9 ET - This total is just too high. It is because Rice put up some big points in their first two games but now the Owls face a Horns team that has held each of their first two opponents under 60 points. Note that the Owls are facing a Texas team that will be fully focused here since they have a Louisville team on deck that had a horrible season last year. That game is at Madison Square Garden too so UT does have a road trip on deck. Here at home they play a strong defensive game and they are about a 20 point favorite in this one. If they again hold another opponent in the 60 range, that puts this game in the 80-60 range and that means it falls well below the 157 that is the current number posted on this game. Last year's meeting was high-scoring but because of OT and that was after a 72-72 score in regulation and UT learned their lesson from letting the Owls hang around in that one. They will turn up the heat on defense in this one! UNDER the total in Texas |
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11-15-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 226.5 | Top | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday UNDER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This total seems inflated because of the Sixers coming off B2B shootouts with the Pacers. Those inflated point totals had a lot to do with the style Indiana plays. Now Philly takes on a big-time division rival and it is a team known for lower-scoring games and these Celtics to play solid defense. The first match-up between these teams this season totaled 209 points and more of the same likely here in another tight battle. This total is in the 226.5 point range as of mid-morning on gameday and this is offering excellent value here. The Celtics are allowing only 104.6 ppg this season (not including OT points) and they are a small favorite in this match-up. That puts this game right around the 106-103 score we saw in the first one with the Celtics taking the rematch. Regardless who does prevail in this one I am expecting a point total very similar to that. The Sixers team hurt by the possible absence of Batum again and already they are missing Oubre after he broke a rib in an off-court accident recently. This game will be more of a grinder than many are anticipating. UNDER the total in Philadelphia |
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11-15-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 -130 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:37 ET - The Flyers have a big goalie edge here the way I see it. Carter Hart will be back tonight and he has been fantastic this season. Pyotr Kochetkov is the likely starter for the Hurricanes and though he is off a strong start, this followed an 0-3 start to the season and an ugly .836 save percentage. So, the fact is, even though Carolina is a strong team the Flyers are scrappy underdogs here that even managed to win 3 of 5 games while their top goalie was out. Now Hart is back and the Flyers can win this thing but we get the added value of the +1.5 goals on the puck line and that is the way to play this one. Carolina is off a 4-0 win but this followed a 10-game stretch in which the Hurricanes only had ONE WIN in TEN games that was by more than a 1-goal margin. The Canes just have not been as dominant this season as they were in the past. The Flyers are 7-7-1 this season but only 4 losses by more than 1 goal so at +1.5 goals, Philly is 11-4 this season. A lot of value here at the +130 price. PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -130 |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan v. Ohio OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ohio University Bobcats vs Central Michigan Chippewas @ 7 ET - Important game for both teams and I know that Ohio U is certainly known for defense. However, Central Michigan is off B2B high scoring games and both piled up and allowed a lot of yardage in each of those games. They will force the issue here and the weather will be very good by Ohio standards for this time of year. Not only that, this total is a solid 46.5 as of early game day morning and each of the last 4 meetings between these teams have tallied 47 or more points so the value is with the over here as I look for that high-scoring trend to reach 5 games in a row. Ohio U, as noted above, is known for defense. However, overall the Bobcats are one of the top teams in the conference and they will take advantage of facing the porous defense of the Chippewas in this one. Of course they are favored by double digits for a reason and are at home. But I am sure the Chips are going to give them plenty of trouble when they have the ball in this one and it should fly over the total as a result. The Bobcats are off a 20-10 road win but, prior to this, did allow 22 points per game over their 4 prior games and 3 of those 4 were at home. That would put this game at a 33-22 final based on the current ATS spread in this one and I feel we have strong value here in a game that I am projecting to get into the 50s. The last two games for Central Michigan have each topped the 65 point mark. Look for that trend note above to reach 5 in a row in this series. 10* OVER the total in Ohio University |
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11-15-23 | Charlton v. Cray Valley PM OVER 3.25 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200433: English FA Cup: Wednesday OVER 3.5 +105 in Cray Valley Paper Mills vs Charlton @ 2:45 ET - Amazingly, a much lower tier club like Cray Valley was able to earn a draw in the first meeting and that was at Charlton as the higher tier League One club was far too conservative. They will make up for that here! They come into this angry and will be aggressive on the attack but, keep in mind, their defensive play and goal-tending has not been the greatest. That is why Charlton has allowed 1.5 goals in their League One action this season. I would not be surprised to see the hosts score at least 1 goal here as Cray Valley has some added confidence based on the first meeting. However, Charlton is a very heavy favorite here for a reason and should score at least 3 goals in a match I can not see ending with anything less than a 3-1 final. OVER 3.5 +105 in Cray Valley Paper Mills |
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11-15-23 | Switzerland v. Israel OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #235801: Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -125 in Israel vs Switzerland @ 2:45 ET - Match played in Hungary due to the ongoing conflict in Israel. What I like about this one is Switzerland continues to allow opponents to either jump in front of them or rally against them. No lead is safe with the Swiss and there is never a guarantee they will score the first goal either. However, all that said, the fact remains that Switzerland is a high quality opponent and that is why they are large favorites here against Israel. Looking for at least a 2-1 final as a result. Note that this is also an important match for each club to win so there will be a strong push. The Swiss still need one more win to punch their ticket and Israel must win this match to stay alive. Great set-up therefore for a higher scoring match. The last 9 Switzerland matches have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. OVER 2.5 -125 in Israel |
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11-15-23 | Serbia v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #236201: International Friendly: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Belgium vs Serbia @ 2:45 ET - Both clubs are back in Euro 2024 action this weekend but, until then, they now match up in a friendly. The key to the value on the over here is that, of course, Belgium is favored at home for good reason and yet Serbia is the one that needs the tune up more. Belgium already knows they will advance in the Euro 2024 action but Serbia has work to do if they want to qualify. That said, Serbia will bring a strong effort here but I also expect Belgium to be strong on their home pitch. Even in a friendly, they want to bring a strong effort at home and they are the higher-quality roster. So look for a 2-1 type battle here as I expect a rather relaxed and free-flowing affair like we often see in friendlies like this. OVER 2.5 -115 in Belgium |
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11-14-23 | Pacers +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 132-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Embiid may not play here as he has a sore left hip. To put that on the injury report in a different way, Embiid may rest here because the Sixers have another huge game with the rival Celtics on deck for tomorrow night! In all seriousness that is a real factor here and it would not surprise me if this is the Sixers excuse to end up holding Embiid out of this one. Even if he does play I expect Philly to rest some guys if they do have a sizable lead late. But the fact is this Pacers team can hang around in this one and possibly even steal an upset win. The Sixers can not help but to think about the huge showdown with the Celtics on deck. Yes they finally beat them when these teams met last week but that does not change importance of "round two" of their season series. Also, though Philly won by 11 in the game versus Indiana Sunday, that was with Maxey scoring 50 points and with the team overall making 14 three pointers! I just do not see those types of numbers again and expect a tight battle here in this one. The Pacers have a strong shot at revenge here but we'll grab the points being offered for added insurance. The current line on this one as of early gameday morning is +5.5 points. 10* INDIANA + points |
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11-14-23 | Western Michigan +5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 0-24 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play Western Michigan Broncos (+) @ Northern Illinois Huskies @ 7 ET - Both teams are 4-6 on the season and trying to keep bowl hopes alive with each having one game remaining after this one and, of course, needing to get to 6 wins. That said, I like the momentum factor here and feel the Broncos are undervalued. The Huskies are off B2B losses and the Broncos are off B2B wins. So, entering this game, you have one team surging and one fading and plus Northern Illinois was favored in both of those games they just lost, once favored by nearly a TD and then once favored by nearly 10 points. Overall, the Huskies are on an 0-3 ATS run. The Broncos have covered 3 straight and 6 of last 7. Western Michigan is 14-2 ATS the last 16 times they have been a MAC dog of more than 3 points! Last season the Broncos faced the Huskies late in season as well and that 24-21 loss on a Northern Illinois TD with under a minute to go ultimately cost the Broncos a 6-6 season. They would go on to win their two games after that and finish the season 5-7. This season is shaping up for a different finish the way things are going for each of these teams right now. Look for the surging road dog to grab the cash again in this one and truly I expect an outright upset win but will grab the points as added insurance. Currently this line is a 5 as of early gameday morning. 10* WESTERN MICHIGAN + points |
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11-14-23 | Stonehill v. St. Joe's OVER 140.5 | Top | 56-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #306525 Tuesday CBB 10* Top Play OVER the total in St Joe's Hawks vs Stonehill Skyhawks @ 7 ET - This total is in the 141 range as of very early gameday morning and I feel that will prove to be far too low in this one. Stonehill is now in the Northeast Conference in Division 1 basketball for just its 2nd season after being a Division II program. They just got hammered by UConn and even though the Huskies are defending champs, the fact is the Skyhawks could do nothing to stop them. They tried to switch to a zone defense and that still did not help in the 107 to 67 loss. I like the fact that they scored 67 points and Stonehill has seen their scoring tick upward in each game thus far. However, they have now allowed 98 points per game in their two losses and St Joseph's will be ready to run and gun in this one! The Hawks only have Texas A & M Commerce on deck so certainly they are fully focused here and they just put up 69 points on a Penn team that just shocked everyone by getting an upset win over Villanova last night and holding the Wildcats to 72 points. The point is that these Hawks roughly equaled the Nova point-scoring against the Quakers. St Joe's should certainly get 80+ here given all of the above. They have solid guard play plus too much size inside and they will dominate. But the Skyhawks will continue their improved scoring trending and this line is around an 18. I am projecting an 85-67 type game which put this one double digits about the current number in the 141 range. 10* OVER the total in St Joe's |
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11-14-23 | Doncaster Rovers v. Accrington OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #200421: English FA Cup: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Accrington vs Doncaster @ 2:45 ET - This match-up features a pair of League Two sides. Their most recent meeting in this FA Cup battle was 2-2. Each of them, in their League Two matches on the campaign, have seen their matches average 3 goals per match. I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here and am willing to lay a little juice to have this over at 2.5 which is a great value here. Doncaster is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road in League Two action. Accrington is allowing nearly 1.5 goals per match in League Two action this season. Now these two adversaries are locking horns again in the English FA Cup and just like the 2-2 draw in the first meeting, I am expecting the goals to fly. There are some defender options for each club that will be missing from this match so injuries and red card suspensions are an issue. Doncaster is off a 2-0 loss and will be fired up to go here and 6 of their last 7 matches before the clean sheet defeat had totaled at least 3 goals. This one will too. Accrington is off a 3-1 loss and that was the 11th time in last 17 matches that their match has totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Accrington |
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11-14-23 | Barnsley v. Horsham OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #200401: English FA Cup: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Horsham vs Barnsley @ 2:30 ET - As the League One side in this match-up, Barnsley is a heavy favorite. Though they indeed should roll here, the first meeting was a 3-3 final. In fact, this was part of a 5-match stretch in which Horsham has scored an average of 3 goals. This hot run of scoring came to an end this past weekend however when Horsham lost 2-0. They will look to make up for it here but, in the end, the League One club just has too much quality and depth and Barnsley will prevail. The final should be at least 3-1 here the way I see it though 4-2 (another match reaching 6 goals between these two) certainly would not shock me. Look for plenty of scoring again in this one as Barnsley is angry off a 3-0 loss that was preceded by scoring a total of 8 goals in their last 3 matches. Both clubs having been delivered clean sheets in weekend action will welcome the chance to have another attack-filled affair here. 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Horsham |
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11-13-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 -120 or OVER 6.5 +105 in Seattle Kraken vs Colorado Avalanche @ 10:05 ET - This is a revenge game for the Avalanche. They had an early season win at Seattle but then last week they lost at home to the Kraken. They want payback here but I can not trust their current level of goaltending. The Avs are struggling to keep the puck out of their own net recently. So they will make a big push here and should score very well but they are allowing too many goals and I can not trust them to stop Seattle. However, the Kraken are having the same issue, they have been allowing goals at an alarming rate of late. That said, the play here is the over as both clubs have been trending toward higher-scoring games and there is no reason for that to change here the way these goalies have been going. The Kraken have allowed 4 goals per game last 11 games. The Avalanche have allowed 4.3 goals per game their last 9 games. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Seattle |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7 | Top | 24-22 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -7 vs Denver Broncos @ 8:15 ET - Denver enters this game off B2B wins and they are an underdog in both. However, getting B2B wins like that as a dog is rare for the Broncos. In fact, they are now just 1-9 ATS when they enter a game off a SU win as an underdog. Also, they are just 1-8 ATS when off B2B SU/ATS wins and facing a team with a winning record. That is the case here and I know the Bills have underachieved this season and sit with just a 5-4 record. However, they are more than capable of stepping up big, particularly at home. I know the Broncos just shocked KC but the Chiefs turned the ball over 5 times in the game and were coming off a big win over the Chargers, and they had a huge trip to Europe on deck. That said, it is no wonder Denver got the shocking win and Kansas City turned the ball over like crazy. The Broncos other two wins were against teams having very bad seasons. That said, I love Buffalo at a very fair price here. The line is saying Buffalo would be only -4 on a neutral site and even though they have struggled, I still do not buy the argument that the Bills are only 4 points better than the Broncos on a neutral field...no way! I also like the fact that the Bills are off loss at Cincy and lost the turnover battle 2-0 in this one. I know Denver off a bye week but they are coming in fat and happy and this Buffalo team is angry. Also, Buffalo is 3-0 SU when off a loss this season and is yet to lose B2B games. What about the cover though? Well I love the fact this line is a 7 and want to note too that the Bills are now 7-0 ATS L7 times when favored over an AFC West foe. Look for that run of ATS success to reach 8-0 ATS in this one as everything is set up perfectly! 10* BUFFALO -7 |
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11-13-23 | Knicks +9 v. Celtics | Top | 98-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play New York Knicks + @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This is a great set-up. The Celtics have a big revenge game with the 76ers on deck. Conversely, the Knicks have revenge on their minds right here, right now as they lost their season opener at home to Boston despite having an edge in field goal attempts of 20 more in that game! Not only that, the Knicks enter this game off B2B high-scoring performances including a season high in shooting efficiency in their most recent win. Yes, Boston is solid defensively and they are the better overall team in this match-up as they are one of the best teams in the league. However, the Knicks are a solid club and they have a big motivational edge here and could catch the Celtics thinking ahead to the rematch with Philly. I'll gladly grab the generous points here which is in the +9 range as of early game day morning. 10* NEW YORK KNICKS + points |
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11-13-23 | Villanova -11.5 v. Pennsylvania | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Monday CBB 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (-) @ Pennsylvania Quakers @ 7 ET - As mentioned in my play on St Joe's against the Quakers Friday, I know Penn began the season with a strong start but they had played a weak schedule. They are still dealing with a roster featuring a lot of guys playing their first college basketball. Sure enough, despite managing a surprising in-game 19-2 run, the Quakers still fell short and also failed to cover as we cashed in with the Hawks Friday. As for Monday's opponents for Penn, the Wildcats are laying about a dozen points in this spot but should roll big here. They are, of course, the most talented team in the Philly Big 5 and they looked strong so far even though they faced some weaker competition as they simply managed each game and they turned it on when they needed to. Since they are the more veteran team, they will have an advantage if this game is tight at halftime and they will pull away in the 2nd half. They know how to close out games like this and have the depth to give the Quakers trouble all game long if it is tighter than expected early in the 2nd half. However, I am expecting a rather comfortable win here as this is an important Big 5 game in Philly. Last season the Wildcats won this meeting only 70-59 but over 2/3 of the points for the Quakers came from two guys who are not here anymore. That includes star Jordan Dingle who is now with Syracuse. This is a transition season for Penn and they will struggle against a Nova team that is again a Top 25 team in the country this season. The line is around 11.5 as of early gameday morning and I expect a rout in this one. 10* VILLANOVA (-) |
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11-13-23 | Otelul v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in UTA Arad vs Otelul Galati @ 1:30 ET - Otelul Galati have been the draw specialists in this this league this season and many might envision yet another 1-1 final here as a result. However, UTA Arad is hosting and this club is suddenly hot and undefeated last 4 matches! Not only that, they have scored at least 2 goals in all 4 matches but also allowed 7 goals last 4 matches! These 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 to be a winner here and 2 to earn at least a push. I love the value here because I expect UTA, on their home pitch, to absolutely dictate the pace and style of play that we will see in this match involving Galati. As a result, 2-2 is more likely than 1-1 and I am expecting a 2-1 type match here as Galati ends up involved in a rare match that is not a sharing of the spoils! 10* OVER 2 in UTA Arad |
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11-13-23 | Radomiak Radom v. Ruch Chorzow OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #206469: Polish Ekstraklasa: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Ruch Chorzow vs Radomiak Radom @ 1 ET - Radomiak Radom road matches have been trending over and we have excellent line value here. Their last 4 road matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Ruch Chorzow just got promoted this season and they are struggling at the top level this season and languishing near the bottom of the table thanks in part to allowing an average of 2 goals per match. With this match on their home pitch however plus the fact they are averaging scoring 1 goal per match on the campaign, I do expect them to get on the board here. Ruch Chorzow is off a 2-0 road loss but this followed a 5-match stretch in which each of the 5 matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 5 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Ruch Chorzow has allowed an average of 3 goals per match in their last 6 so we can have excellent line value here in a match featuring two clubs who have been trending toward overs of late. 10* OVER 2.5 in Ruch Chorzow |
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11-12-23 | Nevada +5 v. Washington | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (+) @ Washington Huskies @ 10 ET - Classic case of line value based on the Mountain West school taking on the big, bad Big 12 school. In this case, when you compare these two rosters and all the aspects of these two teams, I would rate the Wolf Pack with an edge. We are getting 5 points with the better team. Of course it is because this game is in Seattle so of course some value being assigned to Washington for this makes sense. However, this line has moved into the +5 range and it is just too much. I sense and upset here with a road team from the smaller school with strong talent and a solid roster. 10* NEVADA |
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11-12-23 | Jets v. Raiders | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Jets Pick -115 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:20 ET - The Raiders are off a 30-6 win over a bad Giants team but the yardage was nearly equal in the game too! The Jets are off a 27-6 loss to the Chargers but they had 3 turnovers in the game and actually outgained LA by nearly 100 yards! That is why we have line value here with a respectable Jets team against a bad Raiders team. Last week's craze results are giving the Raiders more respect from the betting markets than they deserve. This Las Vegas team is still a mess and the Jets had been playing better prior to 3 fumbles proving to be their undoing last week. LV had lost 5 of 7 games prior to the win last week. The Jets had won 3 straight prior to their loss last week. The Jets have the better defense and have the better rushing attack on offense which will be able to exploit the Raiders weakness on D which is the rushing defense. Grab the road team as the Jets Wilson bounces back after the fumble problems last week. He has been better overall since his rough start to the season and has not been throwing picks like he did early on. I like the value with the road team at a great value here. The line is in the pick'em range in the -110 or -115 range. 10* NEW YORK JETS Pick -115 |
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11-12-23 | Canucks -154 v. Canadiens | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Vancouver Canucks -155 @ Montreal Canadiens @ 7:07 ET - Great set up here. The Canadiens are off B2B wins but both after regulation. This followed 4 straight losses including the last two by a combined score off 11 to 6. As for the Canucks, they are off a rare 5-2 loss and already perfect this season when off a loss in which they allowed more than 2 goals. They will bounce right back here. Prior to the loss they had won 5 straight and 8 of last 9. Also, unlike the Habs, the Canucks do not even have a win that came after regulation. All their wins were within the 60 minutes and, in fact, averaged a margin of victory of 3.7 goals! More of the same on the way here and, because the Canucks are on the road, we get a reasonable line here. 10* VANCOUVER -155 |
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11-12-23 | Pacers v. 76ers OVER 236.5 | Top | 126-137 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 236.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers @ 6:10 ET - I am aware that Oubre is out for Philly but this red hot Sixers team will not miss a beat. Also, Indiana has been on fire so the points will be flowing here because the Pacers view defense as an afterthought. The run and gun style will be in full effect in this game throughout as the Sixers are particularly comfortable playing this style when at home. The Pacers have won 3 straight and 4 of 5 games and have scored an average of 131 points in these 5 games. However, Indiana also has allowed an average of 125 points last 6 games! The Sixers are averaging 121 ppg when at home. Indiana off a high-scoring game with Milwaukee and struggled to stop them but prevailed. The Sixers also allowed 118 to the Bucks in a 1-point loss. The point is that each team getting into the 120s is certainly not too much to ask here. Over is the play in this one. 10* OVER 236.5 in Philadelphia |
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11-12-23 | Lions v. Chargers +3 | Top | 41-38 | Push | 0 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play LA Chargers (+) vs Detroit Lions @ 4 ET - The Lions are 6-2 this season and have 5 wins by more than 1 point. The combined record of those 5 teams is 14-28. None of the 5 teams have a winning record this season. Now, I am certainly not saying the Chargers are a great team but they are not the ones laying 3 points here nor are they the ones who are the road for this game either. I like the home dog value here with a Chargers team that is 4-2 SU L6 games and who only has 1 loss by more than 3 points this entire season. LA is seemingly always involved in tight games when they do lose. This season they are 2-1 against NFC opponents and the lone loss was by 3 points. In fact, if you look at the last 7 times they were a dog of 2+ points against NFC opponents, they have gone a PERFECT 7-0 ATS! This non-conference match-up falls into that category (they were only +1.5 versus Cowboys) and I look for this trend to reach 8-0 ATS as the Lions come off the bye "fat and happy" and so often teams that were rolling and then had a bye can come out flat the very next game. When that game is also on the road and facing a non-conference foe, the odds of having that "flat game" are even stronger! Look for the Chargers, though on a short week and coming back from Monday night game at New York in a win over the Jets, to come out strong here. LA is only 2-2 SU at home this season but the two wins were by a combined 24 points while the two losses were by a combined 5 points! 10* LA Chargers + |
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11-12-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206857: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in FCSB vs U Craiova 1948 @ 2 ET - FCSB is off a 2-1 loss to Rapid and they have gone winless in last 3 matches. They have allowed at least 2 goals in 5 of last 7 matches. That said, look for plenty of scoring here because FCSB is a heavy favorite here for a reason. They are giving up goals but hungry for a win and will respond with a strong effort on the attack. U Craiova 1948 will not be able to stop them and they have both scored and conceded in each of last four matches. Also, they have allowed 1.7 goals last 6 matches. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above and the situation. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in FCSB |
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11-12-23 | Packers +3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Green Bay Packers (+) @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1 ET - Line as of ultra early Sunday morning is 3.5 points. Statistically when you look at the Steelers you would think you are looking at a 3-5 team (at best!) rather than a 5-3 team. No team in the NFL has won more games with "smoke and mirrors" than this over-rated Pittsburgh bunch. That said, even though I am not crazy about this Packers team, Green Bay certainly has the much better defense in this match-up. I like taking defensive dogs against over-rated home favorites. Also, note that GB is only 1-3 SU on the road but the 3 losses were by an average margin of 2 points per game! The Packers are off a 20-3 win over the Rams last week. Under coach Matt LaFleur, GB is 6-0 ATS when they are installed as an underdog when entering that game off a SU win by a double digit margin. The Steelers have the rival Browns on deck and the last 5 times in the game prior to facing the Browns, Pittsburgh has either lost the game outright or won it by 3 points or less all 5 times. In other words, at +3.5 here, we are dealing with a 5-0 ATS situation for playing against the Steelers in addition to the 6-0 ATS situation in favor of playing on the Packers. Give me the points here! 10* GREEN BAY + |
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11-12-23 | Manchester City v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester City is so strong but Chelsea has been scoring better of late and plus this one is at Stamford Bridge. I look for Chelsea to get on the board here but, of course, City is a deserved favorite in this one. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. Chelsea has scored 14 goals in their last 6 matches. City has scored an average of 2 goals in the last 4 meetings with Chelsea. I know that City normally shuts down Chelsea but this will be different with this match at Stamford Bridge and the way Chelsea has been playing of late. Goals should fly here as City, prior to the 3-0 win over Young Boys this week, had allowed at least 1 goal in 16 of last 20 matches across all competitions. We are getting line value here because long-term Chelsea has struggled to score against this City club but they are looking different in recent weeks for sure and goals will fly here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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11-11-23 | Flyers v. Kings OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in LA Kings vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 10:37 ET - Flyers have a goalie issue with Carter Hart back from injury but then missing last night's game due to illness. That means he is not 100% even if he does play tonight and it would be a back to back for Ersson if he plays. If Peterson plays he is facing his former team again but he struggled last season and is struggling again this season including at the AHL level. No matter what the Kings should erupt for goals here after they hammered the Flyers already in Philly 5-0 and they enter this one angry off an OT home loss to the Penguins. So the set up is ideal for goals here. That's because Philly will ride the emotion of last night's big 6-3 win at nearby Anaheim and they want revenge for that ugly 5-0 home loss to the Kings here. Also note that all of the Kings games this season at home totaled at least 6 goals and 5 of the 6 have totaled at least 7 goals. This one should as well given the situation and the dynamics. 10* OVER 6.5 in LA Kings |
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11-11-23 | New Mexico State +9 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 74-91 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #661: CBB Saturday New Mexico State Aggies (+) @ Cal-Irvine Anteaters @ 10 ET - This line is all the way up to a +9 as of about Noon ET gameday and this is too much value for the underdog. Everyone remembers the Aggies getting hammered by 40 in their opener against Kentucky but they were outclassed there just like Sul Ross State was outclassed when they were the next opponent for New Mexico State and the Aggies rolled by 35 points. The fact is many will remember the UK demolition and that is why this line is so high. Cal-Irvine is off a strong season but they shot just 2 of 12 from three point land in their season opener and lost. I don't expect the Anteaters to be as strong this season and shooting like that from deep for a Big West team is not going to lead to many wins by a double digit margin against a respectable foe. The Aggies can hang tough in this one and they certainly are focused on a much stronger effort after the debacle at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY to open up their season. 10* NEW MEXICO STATE + points |
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11-11-23 | Cavs v. Warriors -4 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors (-) vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 8:40 ET - This is a revenge game for the Warriors as they lost at Cleveland less than a week ago. They had a horrible shooting night from inside the arc in that game and I like the situation here too as the Cavaliers are 1-5 SU, other than the win over GS, ever since they won on opening night. In other words, they have struggled badly and now they face a revenge-minded Warriors team off a loss after a 6-1 SU stretch in which the only loss was the defeat to the Cavs. As you can see, value here with the home team at this very manageable number currently in the -4 range. 10* GOLDEN STATE (-) |
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11-11-23 | Texas v. TCU OVER 55 | Top | 29-26 | Push | 0 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Longhorns @ 7:30 ET - This total has risen to 55 as of early gameday morning. Texas gets QB Ewers back for this one. However, TCU picked up big yardage through the air last week in a loss at Texas Tech. Now, back at home, the Horned Frogs also might cut down on some of the turnovers and I like the fact this Longhorns defense has not been as impressive of late. TCU has not been nearly as strong this season but they are still more than capable of stepping up here in a rivalry game and playing on their home turf. The Frogs will be ready to go in this one but their defense is not nearly as strong this season as they have been in the past. That said, the Longhorns have a strong running game which will open up the passing game and you know that Ewers can't wait to be unleashed in this contest after missing the last two. Also, UT has revenge from losing last season's game at Austin 17-10 so they will not hesitate to pile up points here. Weather looks good for this one too. Remember that Texas has scored at least 30 points in all 9 of their games this season! Also, the Longhorns have allowed at least 24 points in 3 of last 4 games. On the season, UT has allowed at least 24 points in 3 of 4 games played away from Austin. With this line around -13, that would put this game at 37-24 which gets us into the 60s. The Horned Frogs are averaging 36 points at home this season but also have given up 38 ppg their last 2 games and this will be one of the toughest tests their defense faces this season. 10* OVER the total in TCU |
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11-11-23 | BC +4.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play BC Lions +4.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6:30 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way. Everyone feels it will once again be Toronto and Winnipeg battling it out for the Grey Cup again this season. However, there is a reason the Blue Bombers are priced as a much smaller home favorite in comparison with the Argonauts today. This is the one with the upset potential right here and I am expecting that but we grab the points just in case. The fact this line is up to a 4.5 is a great value with turning the key numbers of 3 and 4 into winning numbers for us. This Lions team really believes. They are well coached and much is made of this team in terms of being unable to win this big game on the road outdoors since they are use to playing indoors at BC Place in Vancouver. However, this Lions team absolutely can do it! BC has taken it to another level this season even if their record does not show it. There is a different feel about this team and while the Blue Bombers are already thinking ahead to their rematch in the Grey Cup and a chance to get revenge on the Argos, the Lions are fully focused on the task at hand here. Watch everyone step up for this BC team and the effort and focus is going to be with the hungry road dogs! Also, by mid-November standards, the weather in Winnipeg will not be bad for this game. That is also an edge for the indoor-based Lions. 10* BC +4.5 |
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11-11-23 | Utah +9 v. Washington | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Utes (+) @ Washington Huskies @ 3:30 ET - The Utes are getting as many as 9 points in this one as of early gameday morning. This is a lot of value here because, even though Utah has a recent history of SU losses to the Huskies, they actually have covered 4 in a row ATS at Washington. Even though the Huskies coach is a newer head coach to the program, Utes head coach Kyle Whittingham has been with the program for two decades! He and the Utes want revenge here as they lost the most recent meeting here SU at Washington. Also, the last two meetings between these teams in Utah were both Huskies SU wins. Whittingham, as per usual, will have his guys ready here and he wants revenge. He would love nothing more than to knock off the unbeaten Huskies here. I know Washington is 9-0 but, other than the tight win over Oregon (which certainly is impressive don't get me wrong), the Huskies have faced a rather weak schedule. Also, their defensive rankings (the important one based on yardage allowed not points) shows this is overall a very weak defense. They are coming off a shootout win versus USC but they are in trouble now against a much tougher defense. This Utes defense is tough and the Utah offense also got a huge boost in morale with the blowout win versus Arizona State last week. That said, this game is going to be a much tighter battle than many are expecting and I would not be surprised to see an upset win here but am happy to grab the security of the generous points on offer for this one! Utah is 14-3 ATS last 17 as a road dog and they also are poised to make it 5 in a row ATS in games at Washington. The Utes are out for revenge here and bring an "A game" effort and I like having the much better defense on my side getting points here! Also, could be windy conditions here for this one which helps the defensive-minded big dog. 10* UTAH (+) points |
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11-11-23 | Hermannstadt v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -61.5 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #206845: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -150 in Farul Constanta vs Hermannstadt @ 2 ET - Farul Constanta is having an overall disappointing season as they were champions last season. Still, to this day, they continue to be tougher at home and I expect them to dominate in this one. Not fond of laying prices however and don't totally trust their defense so the best play here is the over. Note that Farul has both scored and allowed a goal in 4 straight matches. Those 4 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. Additionally, Hermannstadt is off a 1-0 win but this followed 4 straight matches that each totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Prior to the 1-0 win, Hermannstadt had seen their last 9 matches average 3 goals. I love this line. Farul scoring 1.6 goals per match in their home matches this season but their D not nearly what it use to be. 10* OVER 2 -150 in Farul |
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11-11-23 | Newcastle United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Saturday EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Bournemouth vs Newcastle @ 12:30 ET - I am well aware of the Newcastle injury concerns. However, this Bournemouth club has been shipping goals like crazy and Newcastle can penetrate this backline no matter who is on the pitch. Bournemouth will put up a fight here on their home pitch and that should be good enough for a goal. However, the visitors are favored for a reason and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Bournemouth has scored in 4 straight matches overall but also conceded an average of 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Newcastle is off a 2-0 loss in Champions League action and will be hungry to answer the call after that disappointing result. They had scored 2 goals per match in their last 3 EPL matches before that loss. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Bournemouth |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State +4.5 | Top | 24-15 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State (+) vs Michigan @ Noon ET - Line as of early gameday morning is 4.5 and I like the dog plenty in this one! Every year when Penn State is facing Michigan or Ohio State it seems to be a loss. I know the Nittany Lions already lost to the Buckeyes this season (we were on Ohio St there) but this year PSU is likely to take down the Wolverines the way I see it. First off, this game is at Penn State. Secondly, the Wolverines are dealing with a huge mess with the alleged sign-stealing scheme that has coach Harbaugh in hot water. In fact, Harbaugh likely serving a 3-game suspension beginning with this game. I know he was still coaching the team during the week and I know some will look at this and say the Wolverines are going to rally for the coach, etc. But this is different than rallying for an injured player or a coach missing a game due to illness. This is alleged cheating and it is not a good look. How does a team get fired up about that? The way I see this game, Penn State has one of its strongest teams in recent years and though they lost at Ohio State, they actually played the Buckeyes even tougher than the final score shows. This one is different than that game because the Nittany Lions are home for this one plus I don't think Michigan is as strong as Ohio State. Note that the Wolverines have proven to be a bit over-rated by the betting markets as they have only covered 4 of their 9 games this season. The Nittany Lions, on the other hand, have only 2 ATS losses and those were the aforementioned hard-fought loss versus Ohio State followed by, as expected, struggling to get by Indiana the next week after the huge game with the Buckeyes the prior week. So, in my mind, the Nittany Lions are a little under-valued in the marketplace for this game when you look at their ATS results on the season and you know PSU is very hungry for this game. Penn State is tired of always losing the big games with Ohio State and Michigan and they looked more ready than ever (in that loss to the Buckeyes) to put this streak to rest. They battle hard here and have a great shot at the outright upset here but we'll grab the points just in case. 10* PENN STATE (+) points |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Wyoming Cowboys (+) @ UNLV Rebels @ 10:45 ET - UNLV getting a lot of attention here because they have the better record and are at home. However, Wyoming has played the much tougher schedule. Also, the Cowboys are known for being a tough dog. This is part of the reason they are a solid 8-1 ATS when they are an underdog against a team that is playing with revenge. The Rebels are conference foes but these teams have not met the past two seasons but in the most recent meeting UNLV got destroyed right here in Vegas so they are well aware of this and will be looking to give a much better effort. However, the Cowboys have that great ATS record in this spot plus the Rebels are 1-7 ATS when they are at home and off a game in which they scored more than 35 points. So we are testing angles here that are a combined 15-2 ATS and I like the strength of schedule variance here and feel the Rebels get a wake-up call with the known physicality of these Cowboys giving them a reality check here. UNLV is much improved but they will struggle just to defeat (let alone cover against) this tough Cowboys team! 10* WYOMING (+) |
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11-10-23 | Flyers -103 v. Ducks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -105 @ Anaheim Ducks @ 10:05 ET - The reason this game is priced this way is because Carter Hart is expected back in goal for the Flyers tonight and yes he has been that good this season for the Flyers. So he will make a difference here and also this is a revenge game for Philly because the Ducks won the first meeting 7-4 at Philly. No, Hart did not play in that one and he and his Flyers teammates want revenge here. The Ducks have lost 3 of last 5 at home and are scoring an average of just 1 goal in their 5 losses this season. They are capable of being shutdown and Hart and the Flyers get some road payback here. Philly very hungry after losing at San Jose and giving the Sharks their first win of the season even though the Flyers had a big edge in shots on goal in that one with a 39-19 edge. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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11-10-23 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - This total in the 221.5 range and should prove to be too low. The Sixers off the big win over the Celtics will leave them a bit flat on defense here. This should be a free-flowing game as a results and the Pistons have been giving up plenty of points this season. So this total should prove to be too low. Detroit has allowed at least 120 in 4 straight games and 5 of last 6. That said, if they to do that again here and the odds makers are right about this line, it means this game ends in at least the 120-112 range as Detroit is an 8-point dog here. I do look for a rather tight game with Sixers willing to play a free-flowing game too as they are just so happy that they beat the nemesis Celtics. 10* OVER the total in Detroit |
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11-10-23 | Pennsylvania v. St. Joe's -6 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Friday CBB 10* Top Play St Joe's Hawks (-) vs Pennsylvania Quakers @ 6:30 ET - I know Penn is off to a strong start but they have played a weak schedule. They are still loaded with a roster featuring a lot of guys playing their first college basketball. The Hawks are laying about a half dozen points in this spot and should roll big here. They return the core of last season's team and looked strong in their opener as they turned it on when they needed to. This will be 3rd game in 5 days for Penn while the Hawks have been off since Monday. Also, since they are the more veteran team, they will have an advantage if this game is tight late and they will pull away. However, I am expecting a rather comfortable win here as this is an important Big 5 game in Philly. Last season the Hawks won this meeting by 5 and it took OT. However, this season St Joe's looks stronger than last year while Penn is going to have some growing pains early on working new guys in. That has not showed yet because they faced opponents that were overmatched but it will show up now against a tough Hawks team. 10* ST JOE'S (-) |
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11-10-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206833: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Sepsi vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1:30 ET - Rapid has both scored and conceded in 5 of last 6 matches. They are, of course, favored with good reason here even though they are on the road. Hence, I am anticipating a 2-1 final at the very least here. Sepsi, at home, should get on the board here but Rapid has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches. Rapid is the highest scoring club in the league and averaging about 2 goals per match. Sepsi is off a rare scoreless draw but had scored 7 goals in their last 2 matches and also has an extended stretch of goal-scoring intact after having started the season slower in the department. Goals will come in this one and nice weather expected for this one before rain arrives this weekend. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Sepsi |
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11-10-23 | Salernitana v. Sassuolo Calcio OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 105 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #201241: Italian Serie A: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Sassuolo vs Salernitana @ 12:30 ET - Both clubs have played 11 matches this season and both have allowed at least 1 goal in each of those 11 matches. That "guarantees" us of at least 1-1 here but what about the odds of a draw? Salernitana has only 1 draw in 5 road matches this season and Sassuolo has only 2 draws in their 11 matches this season. In other words, the odds favor this getting to at least 2-1. However I am expecting 4 or more as the last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals apiece (all 3 of them reaching at least the 3-goal mark). Additionally, Sassuolo allowing average of nearly 2 goals per match this season and Salernitana is allowing 2 goals per match on the season. So the expectation here is 4 or more! 10* OVER 3 +105 in Sassuolo |
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11-09-23 | Oilers -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Puck Line -1.5 +140 @ San Jose Sharks @ 10:37 ET - Putting goalie Jack Campbell on waivers was a sign that Edmonton knows it is put up or shut up time. The Oilers have had a very rough start to the season but truly the Sharks have been much worse. San Jose just got their first win of the season (finally) but they were truly out played by the Flyers in that game and so it is not like everything is now fine with this Sharks team. They have a lot of issues and remember they allowed 10 goals in each of their two most recent losses. San Jose started the season with 11 straight losses and the win over Philadelphia was a bit fortunate, to say the least. That said, the Oilers come in very hungry for a win and demanding a win and they will give their best effort of the season here. They are huge money line favorites on the road for a reason and the value here is with the puck line. By laying the 1.5 goals we get a reasonable line on a road team set to dominate in this one! 10* EDMONTON -1.5 -140 |
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11-09-23 | Panthers v. Bears OVER 38.5 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers @ 8:15 ET - Current total on this one is 38.5 as of early game day morning. The big story here is the quarterbacks as a pair of rookies are matched up and they are both off tough outings. Also, the under trend has been big this season and particularly in primetime action. However, we are at the midway point of the season, these trends tend to always flip at some point and especially when the adjustments start to become too much. That is the case here. This total is down to 38.5 and I am going to focus on the quarterbacks. Yes, Bryce Young is off a very tough game but it came against the Colts. Sure he made a couple of bad decisions but you know why this game was particularly tough on him before it even started? The Colts likely knew what was coming. Frank Reich is the head coach of the Panthers but he was head coach at Indianapolis each of the last 4 years leading into this one! His background is offensive coordinator. Trust me when I tell you that the Colts had an idea of what to expect facing a Reich-led team that also has a rookie QB. That said, back to looking at Young and note that he had a 6-2 TD-INT ratio in his last 5 games before that disaster. Also, he had averaged 226 passing yards in the 4 games before that tough start. His counterpart here is an undrafted rookie by the name of Tyson Bagent. This guy has great mobility and ran for 70 yards last week and can make solid plays out of the pocket. Bagent made some mistakes last week too but now he is back in Chicago for a home start and he has fared well here so far and will be better now after two rough road outings that threw him into the fire. Bagent comes up big here and so does Young and we do not need a whole helluva lot to get this game into the 40s and it looks like nice weather in Chicago for this one too! Carolina is allowing an average of 36 points per game on the road this season! The Bears are allowing 27 points per game on the season. Also, the over is 100% this season and, dating back to last season, 4-0 L4 in Panthers road games against non-divisional opponents! The over is also 100% this season and, dating back to last season, 3-0 L3 in Bears home games against non-divisional opponents! Testing the 100% PERFECT trends here! 10* OVER the total in Chicago |
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11-09-23 | Stars -1.5 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 5-2 | Win | 115 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars -1.5 +115 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:37 ET - The Stars off B2B losses but faced two very tough teams. Now they take on a much weaker foe and considering Dallas is not in a good mood here, I look for them to crush Columbus in this one. They already beat the Blue Jackets in Dallas earlier this season 5-3 and did have a late 5-2 lead in that game. Columbus has lost 6 of 7 overall and all 3 of their regulation losses at home have been by a multiple-goal margin. Lay the puck line here for a solid plus money return in what should be a road rout. 10* Dallas -1.5 +115 |
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11-09-23 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette -9.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (-) vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ 7:30 ET - This line is currently 9.5 or 10 as of early game day morning but don't hesitate to lay the big points here! ULL is off a loss and Southern Miss is off a win and this is a great set up. The Golden Eagles just beat an FBS school for the very first time this season. Southern Miss had opened up the season with a win over an FCS school but this was followed by going 0-7 SU against FBS schools prior to last week's surprising win. The Golden Eagles are just not a very good football team and now they are on the road facing a Ragin' Cajuns team that still needs one more win for bowl eligibility. Not only that, ULL has a tough trip to Troy on deck so they know they want to be sure and lock things up this week and not leave things up to chance for when they face UL Monroe in their regular season finale. ULL also has plenty of motivation here as they lost last season's match-up at Southern Miss despite having a yardage edge of 100 as they were done in by turnovers. Louisiana is now in the 2nd year under coach Desormeaux and I expect continued improvement through the end of the season as the Ragin' Cajuns had gone 34-5 the last 3 seasons before last year's disappointing campaign. Look for a 7-5 regular season finish after last year's 6-7 (including bowl loss). Here UL - Lafayette bounces back off a loss and hammers a Southern Miss team that is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Golden Eagles most recent weekday road game saw them lose 55 to 3 at South Alabama! Southern Mississippi has allowed 53 points per game on the road this season! Louisiana just beat that same S. Ala team 33-20 a few weeks ago as a double digit dog. This is a great situation for the home favorite as you can see and, though I am not normally fond of laying big numbers, the situational value here speaks for itself! 10* UL Lafayette (-) |
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11-09-23 | Bucks v. Pacers OVER 242 | Top | 124-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:10 ET - This total is so big in the 242 range and it must be an easy under setting up here, right? Especially when you consider this is a divisional game. However, if last season was any indication, this total is still not nearly high enough. These teams met 4 times last season and one was in the 250s, one in 260s, one in 270s, one in 280s! Must have been a lot of overtime periods, right? No, there were none! Adding to the value here in my opinion is the B2B because maybe a typical lackadaisical attitude on defense here after giving some effort last night. In terms of minutes, the Pacers had a blowout win so that helped get guys off the floor early. The Bucks Giannis was out early due to an ejection so he has fresh legs. Additionally, Middleton rested yesterday so he'll be ready to go for Milwaukee. All signs point to a lot of points here and this numbers is big for a reason as the final scores last season indicate. 10* OVER the total in Indiana |
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11-09-23 | Fairfield v. Rhode Island OVER 141.5 | Top | 80-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Rhode Island Rams vs Fairfield Stags @ 7 ET - Two teams working in a lot of new players and, as their first games showed, both teams willing to run and gun and throw caution to the wind. Fairfield is a MAAC school and that conference is known for higher scoring. As Rhode Island, they are off a disappointing campaign and have a re-tooled roster and, of course, they are a big favorite with good reason as the A-10 team should take care of business here. However, the Stags will push them for sure and this game should have a great tempo and end up near the 150 mark. With a current total in the 141.5 range, this one gets my best bet status for Thursday. Fairfield lost their first game 89-70 and the Rams won their first game 81-70. Look for this one to get into the 150s as well. 10* OVER the total in Rhode Island |
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11-09-23 | Fiorentina v. Cukaricki OVER 3.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #235605: Europa Conference League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -105 in Cukaricki vs Fiorentina @ 12:45 ET - The Serbian club is outclassed here and will lose badly again but they should at least find the back of the net once on their home pitch for this one. Even if Cukaricki does not, the goals will be flying in for the opposition here no matter who is on the pitch for them (they may rotate some players for this one). Fiorentina won the first meeting 6-0 and they also enter this match angry because of some recent scoreless efforts in Italian Serie A action. That said, Fiorentina will be relentless here on the attack and goals will be the story in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 in Cukaricki |
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11-09-23 | Bayer Leverkusen v. Qarabag FK OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224409: Europa League | Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -145 in Qarabag FK vs Bayer Leverkusen @ 12:45 ET - The Azerbaijan club is outclassed here and will lose badly again but they should at least find the back of the net once on their home pitch for this one. Even if Qarabag does not, the goals will be flying in for the opposition here no matter who is on the pitch for them (they may rotate some players for this one). Bayer Leverkusen won the first meeting 5-1 and they play a free-flowing style that is conducive to overs. Bayer Leverkusen has seen each of last 16 matches total at least 3 goals...yes, 16 in a row since the new season of football got underway with friendly action in July! In this 16 match stretch, the matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and I am expecting at least a 3-1 final here but certainly there is also added value with this total being at 3 goals as only getting to 3 would at least get us a push here and Bayer Leverkusen has that 16-match run going of at least 3 goals. Also, Qarabag has scored at least 1 goal in all their non-domestic matches (Europa, Champions, etc) dating back to July and this is a run of 11 straight matches in continental action. They are a big dog here for a reason though and that is why I am anticipating at least a 3-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Qarabag |
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11-08-23 | Kings +113 v. Golden Knights | Top | 4-1 | Win | 113 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Kings (+) @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 10:07 ET - This is another one of those match-ups in betting that falls into the category of "someone knows something" as the saying goes. Yes, the Kings are playing very well but still they have 4 losses in their 11 games so far this season. Conversely, the Golden Knights have been nearly flawless this season and plus they are on home ice here and yet this line is as low as the -120 range on Vegas. This is basically an open invitation for people to take the Golden Knights. Of course when this is happening I am on the other side! Give me LA as I side with the bookmakers here as per usual. This is not without reason here of course and I love the fact LA is rested and off a 5-0 win at Philly a few days ago and they are a perfect 6-0 on the road this season and they have revenge here. Yes, they lost the first match-up with Vegas this season despite having a 2-0 lead and despite a 40-30 edge in shots on goal. So this one sets up well to be payback and I am not fooled by this line. Grab the small dog that is priced this way because this is where the sharp money is on this one! 10* LOS ANGELES KINGS |
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11-08-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo OVER 46 | Top | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toledo Rockets vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7:30 ET - The Eagles are coming off a bye week and will be ready to go. Their overall numbers on offense this season are not impressive but note they have scored at least 21 points in 4 of last 5 games and averaged 24 points in those 4 games. The Rockets are favored by nearly 20 points here with good reason of course and their offense should pile up points here. Eastern Michigan just allowed 45 points to Western Michigan and now face an even tougher test with the Rockets! Toledo has scored an average of 34 points in their 3 MAC home games and they are a very solid offense that will be tough on the Eagles here. Each of the last 5 meetings have totaled more than 50 points and that is a trend I expect to reach 6 in a row here! With this total at 46 or 46.5 as of early gameday morning, we are ready to invest on this one. 10* OVER the total in Toledo |
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11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Wednesday NBA 10* Top Philadelphia 76ers + vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - I know White is expected back for the Celtics tonight but he was away on paternity leave so how effective will he be here? Could he be distracted? Boston has a great team of course and they have owned the Sixers in recent seasons but there is something different about this Philly team this season and the chemistry they have as they have rallied around the entire Harden situation and are happy he is now with the Clippers. As a home dog, this is is a great spot to grab a team that has rattled off 5 straight wins and remember that Boston is still working some guys into their rotation early this season. As evidenced by the loss at Minnesota, this is still a process for the Celtics. The 76ers get revenge here for last spring's playoff ouster at the hands of their long-time rivals. This is a big game and it sure looks like the Sixers are finally ready to show up and knock off the C's. Grab the points with home dog here. Currently the dominant line is +2 but there is some +2.5 out there as of mid-morning gameday. 10* PHILADELPHIA + |
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11-08-23 | Bucknell +14 v. Pennsylvania | Top | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #306531: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Bucknell Bison + @ Pennsylvania Quakers @ 7 ET - The Quakers are off a big win but faced a completely overmatched opponent. They also have a Philly Big 5 match-up on deck with facing St Joe's on Friday. That said, even if Penn gets up big here they might start resting guys with a bigger game on deck Friday! However, don't be surprised if Bucknell gives them a lot of trouble and keeps this one in single digits throughout. The Quakers have a lot of new faces and are lacking in guys with collegiate experience. The Bison lost some guys from last season's team but still returned a good core group of guys from last season. Certainly the Quakers are the stronger team from the Ivy League as the Bison are in the Patriot League. However, this is an intriguing match-up because Bucknell got into foul trouble against Delaware and that led to a blowout loss but I like the hustle and effort I saw from the Bison in that one and this rather short road trip down to the Philly area will do them some good after the ugly home loss in their season opener. The late morning line is in the 13.5 to 14 point range and is offering great big dog value. 10* BUCKNELL + |
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11-08-23 | Galatasaray v. Bayern Munich OVER 4 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #224237: Champions League | Group Stage: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 4 +110 in Bayern Munich vs Galatasaray @ 3 ET - Big total but this is a big favorite that is one of the best clubs in the world and yet Galatasaray is a scrappy, high-scoring dog that will put up a fight here and can keep this interesting with its attacking capabilities. The first match was a 3-1 Bayern Munich win and Galatasaray has scored at least 1 goal in 16 straight matches and has averaged scoring 2 goals during this 16-match run. Bayern Munich has scored at least 1 goal in 15 straight matches and has averaged scoring 3.5 goals during this stretch! Given the above, don't be surprised if we see a 3-2 type match in this one! 10* OVER 4 +110 in Bayern Munich |
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11-08-23 | Sporting Braga v. Real Madrid OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Rotation #224241: Champions League | Group Stage: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -110 in Real Madrid vs Sporting Braga @ 3 ET - Real Madrid is, of course, favored with good reason here. However, this Sporting Braga club is absolutely scrappy and high-scoring and I believe they will be able to be a threat here in the goal-scoring department and possibly even make the net ripple twice! But, again, Real Madrid expected to prevail and that is why this total is so high as well. Whether it finishes 3-2 or 3-1 we get the cash either way and I am expecting to see that type of scoring because Real Madrid scores well at home and now take a look at Braga matches! Braga has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match over their last 19 matches and has not failed to score in ANY of those 19 matches! The issue for Braga is a leaky backline and facing a superior opponent here. In other words, they will give up plenty here and this one should fly over the total as a result. 10* OVER 3.5 in Real Madrid |
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11-07-23 | Flyers v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in San Jose vs Philadelphia @ 10:37 ET - The Flyers are off a shutout loss and will respond here against the worst team in the league. However, even though Carter Hart was on the ice yesterday for some practice time, the #1 goalie is not ready to return. The Flyers are still down to back up options in the crease and whether it is Ersson or Petersen they will be peppered with shots in this one. That's because San Jose is still seeking first win of the season and they are off B2B losses in which they allowed 10 goals! The Sharks will be ready to push the attack in this one as they seek that first win. However, San Jose will not be able to hold up in their own end. The Flyers are angry off a 5-0 shutout loss and the Sharks have allowed 6 goals per game on home ice this season! San Jose has not scored well this season but things open up against a Flyers team down to back-up goalies and not having the greatest of defensive play for sure! OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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11-07-23 | Red Wings v. Rangers -148 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
NEW YORK RANGERS -150 vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:37 ET - The Rangers are off a SO loss in which they blew a 3-goal lead. I know Shesterkin is out for the Rangers but Quick has had a solid season overall and certainly he has played better overall than Husso of the Red Wings. Detroit is off a huge divisional win over big, bad Boston. This is a great flat spot for the them. The Wings had lost 4 of 5 heading into that one. As for the Rangers, they had won 6 straight before that loss and have not lost B2B games yet this season. Look for that trend to continue here as the hosts resume their red hot season and bounce right back. NY RANGERS -150 |
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11-07-23 | Lightning v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Montreal - Tampa Bay is in a B2B spot here which stresses an already stressful goalie situation as Vasilevskiy has been out due to surgery in September. 8 of 12 Lightning games have totaled at least 7 goals and their last two games have totaled 10+ goals. 4 of last 6 Canadiens games have totaled at least 7 goals including each of the last 3 at home so this is testing a 100% situation with Habs home totals having gone over in 3 in a row. The over is also 3-0 in Tampa's last 3 divisional games. More of the same here. OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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11-07-23 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan -3 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play Western Michigan (-) vs Central Michigan @ 7 ET - I love this spot because the line at -3 suggests these teams would be equal on a neutral field. That is what the average bettor sees and the fact is Central Michigan is 5-4 and Western Michigan is 3-6 so how are these teams equal? Major value on the Chippewas here, right? Actually I love this play on the Broncos here and keep in mind that Western Michigan is favored by 3 even though this series has been dominated by the road team in recent years. That also says something here because the odds makers are sharp and they are inviting Chippewas money here. My money is on the same side as the books and, that is, it is on the Broncos here! One final comment before my biggest key here is that this is a big game for each team because it is a rivalry and because each team already beat Eastern Michigan. So the winner of this one wins the "Victory Cannon" for this year in the battle among these trio of MAC teams from Michigan. This game also carries extra importance for the Broncos because they need 3 more wins for bowl eligibility. A bowl may seem out of the question when you are sitting at 3-6 on the campaign but therein lies the biggest key of all here. The Broncos have faced a very tough schedule so far and that is why their record is so bad. They are much better than their record shows. Their 3 MAC losses were to Ohio U, Miami (OH) and Toledo. Those 3 teams are a combined 21-6 this season and are considered the best teams in the MAC. As for Central Michigan, they do not have to face Miami (OH) and their final two games of the season are against Ohio U and Toledo! The point is the Chips have not been battle tested in the MAC like the Broncos have so far this season! Also, the 3 MAC wins that Central Michigan has are against teams with a combined 10-17 season. I respect the Chips and they are well-coached and have a solid QB but the Broncos are a lot better than most realize and that will show up in a big way tonight. 10* WESTERN MICHGAN (-) |
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11-07-23 | Drexel -2.5 v. La Salle | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons (-) @ La Salle Explorers @ 6:30 ET - The Big 5 or the City 6? Well it is still called the Big 5 in Philly but now Drexel has been added to the mix along with La Salle and Temple and St Joseph's and Penn and, of course Villanova. All these Philly schools battle it out every year for superiority and, trust me, it means something to these teams. This year there will even be a new tournament that takes place in early December involving the Big 5 schools which, again, are now 6 with Drexel added. That said, what a great time for the Dragons to be added. This team continues to get stronger and they look great heading into this season with most of the core group, nearly everyone returning from last season. They will be playing extremely hard in this one because of the first Philly 5 aspect of it but also because of their fallen teammate who passed away in August. You are going to see an incredible effort here from a gritty and hard-working team that is a cohesive group and well-coached and is part of a program that is continuing to grow. The Dragons are going to make some noise this season. As for La Salle, their coach Fran Dunphy is a legend in these parts and the 75 year old will have his team playing better as the season goes on but the Explorers lost too much to be a solid team right out of the gate. Look for some early struggles for LaSalle this season but look for the Dragons to be ready to rock from the opening tip here. We have to lay about 2.5 points here but I truly expect a dominating win for the team that returns a lot more of its core group than its opponent in this one. 10* DREXEL (-) |
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11-07-23 | Young Boys Bern v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #224213: Champions League: Tuesday 10* OVER 3.5 -120 in Manchester City vs Young Boys Bern @ 3 ET - Haaland may not play here even though he was practicing yesterday. City really does not need to risk him here with Chelsea on deck this weekend. However, this City club is still so deep and so talented and they are on their home pitch here. Also, they struggled more than they should have through more than the midway point of the first meeting with Young Boys Bern though they did prevail 3-1. That said, I expect an aggressive City club here at home after the first meeting was a little too close for comfort. Keep in mind, they are favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line for a reason here and I doubt the Young Boys get shut out. That should put this match at 3-1 or 4-1 and I am expecting 5 goals but certainly we should get 4 or more. Young Boys have scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 matches and they averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 11 matches. Manchester City is coming off a 6-1 win and they have allowed at least 1 goal in 11 of last 13 matches but also have been scoring goals like crazy. 4 to 1 is my call here which means we have a little wiggle room! 10* OVER 3.5 -120 in Manchester City |
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11-07-23 | Barcelona FC v. Shakhtar Donetsk OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #224397: Champions League: Tuesday 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Barcelona FC @ 12:45 ET - Match played in Hamburg because of the war in Ukraine and that is where Shakhtar hails from. Of course Barcelona is favored by 1.5 goals (and at a price) for a reason and I anticipate a 3-1 type match here and will take advantage of the plus money on the over 3.5 as I do expect Shakhtar to get on the board but Barcelona to be relentless. Shakhtar has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals in those matches in international competitions. They have also allowed an average of 3 goals in last 5 matches in international competitions. As for Barcelona, they have not been scoring as much in La Liga competitions but in non-Spanish league action (like Champions League action) they have flexed their muscles with scoring 2.5 goals last 8 matches. They are too much for this Ukranian club and will really pour it on in this one with at least a 3-1 final. That is why the sharp books have this total set this way. Shakhtar will go all out but they can't stop the heavy favorites from scoring either. 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Shakhtar Donetsk |
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11-06-23 | Oilers v. Canucks OVER 7 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 107 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 7 +105 in Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 10 ET - This is one of those match-ups to file under the category of "someone knows something" as this total is a 7 even though Demko has been lights out in goal for Vancouver this season. Not only that but I see some 6.5 out there but the price on the over at that number is ridiculously high. The books are basically begging you to bet the under here is what I am trying to tell you. In this case you have an Edmonton team that is again struggling in goal but that is so potent on offense. Also, they lost their season opener to the Canucks by an ugly 8-1 final. So the Oilers are absolutely out for revenge here but will have to rely on their offense to do it. I am sure that Edmonton is going to be relentless on the attack. That said, note that the Oilers have scored 10 goals in the 3 games since McDavid returned. Also, the Canucks are averaging 4 goals per game this season. So you have a nice setup here for plenty of offense. Based on the line and market activity I am seeing that is what sealed the deal for me with this one. I don't see either team failing to get 3 goals here and that will guarantee us of at least a 4-3 final and nothing less than a push. However, I do fully expect 8 or more goals here. 10* OVER 7 in Vancouver |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets OVER 39.5 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 8:15 ET - Current total as of early game day morning is 39.5 for this one and the Chargers last 5 road games, including playoffs and dating back to last season, have all totaled at least 48 points. From that standpoint, we are testing a 5-0 spot here because we only need 40 points to be a winner! Not only that, those 5 games averaged 54 points apiece! Also, the weather will be good for this one tonight which is good news as it can certainly get rainy and windy this time of year in New York but the weather looks great for this one with light winds and a nice autumn evening on tap. The Chargers have a very solid offense but have struggled on defense. That opens up the door for the Jets to have some success through the air in this one. Keep in mind, the Jets have won 3 straight games and Wilson has been playing better so confidence is up even though they did not score well last week against the Giants. Keep in mind, that one was played in ugly weather conditions. Also, the Jets defense - if you look at the stats - looks strong this season but certainly has given up plenty of yardage against the better teams they have faced. The Chargers will be able to move the ball well here but I do not completely trust their defense on the road. Look for plenty of points in this one as LA has given up at least 24 points in 5 straight road games but they are favored on the road for a reason here. In other words, don't be surprised if this one gets into the 50s and yet we only need 40s to be a winner. This is a great high value spot and also I want to note that under coach Brandon Staley, the Chargers are 7-1 to the over when they are favored and facing an opponent that is off a SU win and ATS cover/tie in most recent game. Also, the aforementioned 5-0 run of high-scoring road games is ready for 6 in a row here! 10* OVER the total in New York Jets |
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11-06-23 | Wizards v. 76ers -11 | Top | 128-146 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This line is right around an 11 as of early gameday morning and I am not a huge fan of laying big points in the NBA but this 76ers team is rolling right now and has excellent team chemistry now that Harden is gone. Also, in that trade the Sixers picked up a few players and tonight Batum will make his debut while Covington already is back and contributed in the win over the Suns. Keep in mind Covington is a former Sixer that had some big seasons and he is happy to be back here. He and Batum will be role players that help this team with depth. Speaking of depth, we are only 5 games into the season but this is still a pretty amazing feat. The Sixers have 4 guys (Embiid, Maxey, Oubre, Harris) right now averaging at least 20 points per game! How amazing is that? Glad you asked! This is an NBA record. In NBA history there has never been a team with 4 guys still averaging 20+ points per game by the time they are 5 games into a new season. This is just not normal but Philly has a new free-flowing offense and everyone is contributing and they even got to rest Embiid for the entire 4th quarter against the Suns in that 12 point win. Speaking of big wins, the Sixers 4 wins have come by an average of 15.5 ppg. The 76ers have won 4 straight after a 1-point loss at Milwaukee to open the season. The Wizards 4 losses have come by an average of 14.5 ppg. I know the Sixers have the Celtics on deck but that game is not until Wednesday and Philly is enjoying a long homestand and that game is at home too. They will be ready to stay hot at home and dominate this Wizards team that just does not have the depth to keep up with Philly for 4 quarters. The Sixers pull away as this game goes on. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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11-06-23 | Lafayette v. St. Joe's -14 | Top | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #305014: College Hoops: Monday 10* Top Play St Joe's Hawks (-) vs Lafayette Leopards @ 7 ET - The Leopards have a new coach and they also lost 3 of the 6 guys that had the most minutes on the floor when these guys met last season and the Leopards rallied after being down double digits at the half. In that game Lafayette was down by 10 at the half but ended up making a game of it in the 63-59 loss. That will not happen again this season as St Joe's is absolutely stacked this season. They return 3 strong backcourt players in Reynolds, Greer and Brown. They also bring back a 7-footer in Fleming and also brought in another one in Essandoko. The latter has already been fantastic both offensively and defensively in preseason action. He is ready and the Hawks will make a statement here. They are deep so they can stay up big througout. They are healthy and they do not want a scare like they had last season so they will keep the pedal to the metal in this one. St Joe's has a coach here for his 5th year and he went from 11 wins two years ago to 16 wins last season and this looks like his best team yet. The Leopards have a new coach and are in a bit of a rebuild now and they are from the weaker Patriot League while the Hawks reside in the tough Atlantic Ten. Lafayette also has a big road trip out west with UCLA and Pepperdine up next. St Joseph's is home for the first two weeks of the season and I see them starting out strong and blowing the Leopards away in this one. The line at 14, as of early game day morning, is absolutely a bargain here. 10* ST JOE'S (-) |
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11-06-23 | Chelsea v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.75 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham vs Chelsea @ 2 ET - Pochettino is now the manager of Chelsea after he was with Tottenham from 2014 to 2019. So you know he would love to get some payback here at Tottenham in his first return here since taking over Chelsea on the first of July. However, to end Tottenham's unbeaten run on Monday night is not going to be easy as Postecoglou has his Hotspur club firing on all cylinders right now. The best play here is the over the way I see it. Chelsea has mostly been rejuvenated on the attack in recent weeks and having scored multiple goals in many of their recent matches and the same holds true for Tottenham who also are at home here where they have been so tough. Don't be surprised if we see a 2-2 type match here. Tottenham has scored at least 2 goals in 13 of 15 matches across all competitions. Chelsea has scored 2 or more goals in 4 of last 5 matches and those matches averaged 3 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one given the above and the high-intensity situation involving the dynamics of this managerial match-up leading to a lot of goal-scoring chances as both clubs will be directed to be on the attack early, often and throughout this contest! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-06-23 | CFR Cluj v. Hermannstadt OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #206829: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in Hermannstadt vs CFR Cluj @ 2 ET - Hermannstadt rolling with confidence after a 6-0 win in Cupa Romaniei action Wednesday. This followed a 1-1 draw in Romania Liga 1 action but that was on the heels of a 4-0 win over Dinamo Bucuresti. The point is that Hermannstadt has confidence right now on the attack with all their recent successes but, of course, CFR Cluj is favored on the road for a reason here and they are one of the top clubs in the league and scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. They also allow an average of 1 goal per match and, prior to their 1-1 draw in Cupa Romaniei action Thursday, CFR Cluj had a high-scoring 3-1 win over Farul Constanta. Look for something similar here. Either way, I am confident we get to at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2 -125 in Hermannstadt |
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11-06-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #206825: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in UTA Arad vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 11 AM ET - Both teams are struggling but this total is a 2.5 with good reason. There are calls for the firing of the Dinamo manager. This match is essentially for job protection. He must win. At the same time, UTA is coming off a disappointing loss in Cupa Romaniei action but they are at home and have the rest edge for this one. So both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here and neither will want to settle for a draw. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. UTA is conceding about 1.5 goals per match. Dinamo is conceding nearly 2 goals per match this season. We'll see goals here despite the overall goal-scoring struggles of these clubs. Each will take advantage of facing leaky defense in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in UTA Arad |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals OVER 50.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play the total in Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills @ 8:20 ET - The total is in the 50.5 range on this one as of about 10 AM ET on game day. This is a revenge game from the post-season last year as certainly Buffalo is out for revenge. The thing is Joe Burrow looked very strong last week for the Bengals and the Bills defense, yardage-wise, has truly not been as good as expected to be coming into this season. I believe Cincy will move the ball very well here. At the same time, the Bills have an ultra dangerous offense when Josh Allen takes care of the ball and he is taking on a rather weak Bengals defense that has struggled often this season. They had to come up big for the upset win over the Niners but so often defenses quickly come back down to earth after a huge game like that. Also, the weather is going to be perfect including light winds in Cincy tonight so we should two solid quarterbacks taking advantage and airing it out in this one. Bills D came up strong on the road in one game this season but they allowed 25 ppg in their other 3 games away from home. The Bengals have allowed 26 ppg in their 3 games against AFC opponents. Combining this plus the weather plus the expectation of strong QB play (Burrow looked healthy, Allen looks for revenge), I really like this over a lot. 10* OVER the total in Cincinnati |
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11-05-23 | Golden Knights v. Ducks +155 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 155 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Sunday Anaheim Ducks +155 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:07 ET - Vegas is the only team without a regulation loss this season. In fact, every other NHL team already has 2 this this season expect for the Bruins who have only 1 regulation loss. Look for the Golden Knights to be dealt their first tonight. They are playing great for sure but now they are in a B2B spot and off a huge 7-0 win over Colorado. That is that type of big win over a quality opponent that can leave a team flat in its next game. That said, the Ducks have been sneaky good so far this season and are a division rival that would love to spoil the Vegas party that has been going on so far this season. The Ducks enter this game having won 5 straight games and they are very well rested as they have been off since Wednesday while the Knights were battling the Avalanche just last night. Plenty of motivation for the home dogs and a big rest edge and this one has upset written all over it. ANAHEIM +155 |
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11-05-23 | Devils v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6 -125 in Chicago Blackhawks vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:07 ET - The Blackhawks are off a 5-2 win last night. B2B spots tend to be tough spots in terms of minutes for defensemen and the goaltending situation. That said, look for the Blackhawks to be giving up plenty of goals here but the face a Devils team that has also has been surrendering plenty. With this total also dropping from a 6.5 to a 6 we have excellent line value here too. The Devils are coming off a 4-1 loss but this was the first time in 10 games that this season that they had one finish with under 7 goals! The Devils were scoring an average of 4 goals per game before that loss so I am sure they will bounce back here. Also, the Blackhawks have seen 4 of last 5 games total at least 7 goals. Chicago has had a road-heavy schedule so far this season and last night's 5-2 win is something to build off of here for sure but they will struggle to slow down the Devils. OVER 6 -125 in Chicago |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles -3 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - First off, the Eagles are a 3 point favorite here at home and this is a reasonable line considering many people look at the Eagles and Cowboys as roughly equal. However, there always tends to be some additional market love for the Cowboys and that seems to be the case again here as one could easily argue that this line should be higher. Philadelphia is 7-1 this season and that includes blowing out Miami. The Cowboys really do not have a signature win and they are in the same situation here that has seen them get hammered twice already this season. That is, Dallas is off a big home win and now on the road. So far this season they got hammered by the Cardinals and 49ers when in this situation. By the way, Eagles are in a great situation here with a bye on deck and, of course, will be fully prepared to go all out with a week off up ahead! Philly is 7-0 ATS the last 7 times when a bye on deck. Another perfect trend here is that Philadelphia is 8-0 ATS when they are at home with revenge and facing a team that is off a SU win. Logically this makes sense and you can use this situation as a perfect example. Cowboys played almost the perfect game in knocking off Rams (and knocking QB Stafford out of game) last week but now go on the road and face a revenge-minded opponent. The Eagles were 13-1 last season when they then went on the road and lost at Dallas. This will be payback time for that loss and Philly gets the cover here as well to improve on both those 100% perfect trends! The Eagles are so strong against the run and it will force Prescott to try and beat them through the air and he so often struggles in the big games and is on the road for this one as well. Eagles could create problems for him once again here. The recent series between these teams has been dominated by the home team and that continues here. 10* PHILADELPHIA |
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11-05-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206821: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -120 in FCSB vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1:30 ET - Both these powerful clubs are off draws in midweek Cupa Romaniei action. Now that league action is back this weekend plus the fact this is a rivalry match it means you can expect much more scoring again here. The last 5 meetings have averaged 3 goals apiece and 3 of those totaled at least 4 goals. The last 3 that FCSB has hosted have averaged 5 goals apiece and all 3 totaled at least 4 goals! 7 of last 10 FCSB matches have totaled at least 3 goals but their last home match was a scoreless draw so you know they are hungry to make up for that here. Rapid is off a 2-0 win so their scoring is just fine and though that one did not reach the 3-goal mark, this was on the heels of a stretch in which 9 of last 12 matches in Romania Liga 1 action for Rapid had totaled at least 3 goals. Those matches actually averaged 3.5 goals apiece and I am expecting more of the same here in this huge Sunday night battle in Bucuresti! OVER 2.5 -120 in FCSB |
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11-05-23 | Rams +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play LA Rams (+) @ Green Bay Packers @ 1 ET - The Rams are on the road and just got hammered 43-20 last week at Dallas so they have no chance here, right? Actually Los Angeles, under head coach Sean McVay, has gone 7-0 ATS when they are on the road and coming off a game in which they allowed more than 35 points. An ugly loss like that is an attention getter! Yes, I know Stafford got hurt last week and likely will not play here. However, Rypien has some NFL experience and, as you guys know, there is nothing too easy in the sports wagering world. Many will be looking and thinking that the Rams are off an ugly loss and the Packers are at home and laying 3.5 points and it just looks too easy, right? How I look at this is in contrarian fashion but certainly not without reason. Rypien has had a chance to prepare all week with the first team guys and he'll be ready and, overall, the Rams are the better team. I know that LA is struggling this season but so too is Green Bay. The Packers have gone just 1-5 SU the last 6 games and the only win was by 1 point! The Packers have failed to cover 5 straight games and that 0-5 ATS run is ready for 0-6 here plus I see the Rams taking their aforementioned situational trend here to a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 8. Grab the points (currently 3.5). 10* LA Rams + points |
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11-05-23 | Liverpool v. Luton Town OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3.5 -105 in Luton Town vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Luton Town has consistently been involved in high scoring matches of late and I expect Liverpool, with their attackers pronounced ready to go, will have a field day here on the pitch. Luton Town has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. Luton Town is off a shutout loss in last home match but this followed having scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches at home and they averaged 1.5 goals per match during this stretch. Liverpool is about a 2-goal favorite on the goal line here for a reason. I am looking for a 3-1 final here at least but also would not be surprised to see Liverpool score 4 in this one. Should be an entertaining affair as Liverpool is consistently scoring well and Luton Town can not slow them down. Yes they held Tottenham to 1 goal here but that was an aberration and Tottenham was down a man for the entire 2nd half. Consistently Luton Town struggles on defense. OVER 3.5 -105 in Luton Town |
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11-05-23 | Botosani v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #206817: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -135 in Farul vs FC Botosani @ 10:30 AM ET - Both clubs off weekday losses to weaker foes in Cupa Romaniei action. The difference however is that Farul seemed disinterested while FC Botosani showed again why they are the worst club in Romania Liga 1 action this season. Farul is a huge favorite here for a reason and will bounce back here with plenty of scoring against the the weakest defense in the league. However, don't be surprised if FC Botosani makes the net ripple at least once and that is why I am looking for plenty of scoring here overall. In Romania Liga 1 action, FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of 7 road matches. However, they enter this match having conceded an average of 3 goals per match in last 8 matches. A 3-1 final here sounds about right and gives us some wiggle room here too considering we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. Farul has been scoring better of late but also has allowed 5 goals last 2 matches in league action. They can win this one easily at home but look for them to also allow at least 1 goal so my worst case scenario here is a 2-1 final but honestly Farul has a great shot at getting this total over all by themselves with 3 or more goals in what should be a bloodbath if they come to play at home like they usually do. OVER 2.5 -135 in Farul |
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11-05-23 | Aston Villa v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - Aston Villa's last 4 matches against Nottingham Forest have averaged 4.5 goals and Forest has scored at least 1 goal in the last two meetings as a host. They should get on the board here but will not be able to slow down a high-scoring Villa club here. Aston Villa has scored at least 3 goals in each of their last 3 matches across all competitions. Nottingham Forest is off a 3-0 loss preceded by a 2-2 draw. We are going to see goals here as I expect Forest to get on the board at home but Villa to ultimately prevail in a match that should get to at least a 2-1 final. OVER 2.5 -135 in Aston Villa |
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11-04-23 | Oregon State v. Colorado OVER 60.5 | Top | 26-19 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
CFB Saturday OVER the total in Colorado Buffaloes vs Oregon State Beavers @ 10 ET - This total is right around 61 as of early gameday morning. The weather will be fantastic today in Boulder, CO which means even this evening it will be nice there with light winds and chilly but comfortable temperatures for this time of year. This is the time of year that storm systems can bring plenty of wind and snow here but not this weekend! That said, Colorado's passing attack will be able to operate to its fullest extent and that is all they have! They must throw throw throw as their running game has struggled this season. In terms of numbers of offensive plays this season the Buffs play rather fast and they must thrown and their QB is having a solid season. The good news for Colorado here is that the Oregon State pass defense has not been as good this season as we have seen in the past. The bad news for the Buffs is that their own defense is horrible and the Beavers have a balanced offensive attack that can take full advantage. The Buffaloes allowed only 28 points last week but they gave up nearly 500 yards and were very fortunate in the turnover battle. As for the Beavers, they are angry off a 27-24 loss in which they did have over 400 yards of offense and that was against a better defense than what they are facing this week. Oregon State, I expect, will score early and often and throughout this contest. As for the Buffs, they do play better at home and their last 3 home games have been wild, high-scoring affairs and I expect the same here. In terms of line value here, this total could be much higher in my opinion but the fact each team is off of an under is keeping this total lower than it would have been. Also, note that NEITHER team has had B2B unders this entire season so the odds certainly favor a bounce back over here. Oregon State games were 5-2 to the over this season before last week's under. The Buffaloes are 3-0 to the over last 3 home games! Look for the 100% PERFECT season trend for each team of NOT having B2B unders to continue here! OVER the total in Colorado |
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11-04-23 | Jazz +8.5 v. Wolves | Top | 95-123 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Saturday NBA Utah Jazz +8.5 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - Minnesota off a huge win they were waiting all summer for as they just beat the Nuggets. Not only is Denver the defending NBA champs and not only were they off to a hot start again this season, the Nuggets knocked the Wolves out of the playoffs last season. So that was a huge revenge win for the T-wolves and now they face a letdown spot here. The Jazz will not be in a good mood either as they had won their last 2 home games and now just lost most recent game by only a bucket. I am not saying they get the outright win here but they are motivated and will be hungry tonight and they stay within this inflated team that could get caught a bit flat-footed off the big win over the Nuggets. UTAH +8.5 |
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11-04-23 | Kings v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7:37 ET - The Flyers off big win last night at Buffalo but have a goalie concern since Hart is injured and they used Ersson last night. It looks like this will be Cal Petersen getting the start tonight and he would like to get revenge against this Kings team that waived him last season. However, he struggled badly last season and is struggling so far with Lehigh Valley in the AHL for the Flyers organization. Also, the LA staff and players certainly know a lot about the tendencies of Petersen in the crease. So look for a lot of scoring here! The Flyers last 5 games have averaged 7.4 goals per game. The Kings games have averaged 7.5 goals per game this season. OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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11-04-23 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Washington Capitals -140 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - This is a great set up from a situational perspective as Columbus is off a big win over the Lightning 4-2 but lost 4 straight by a combined score of 14 to 8 prior to this! The Capitals are off a rare shutout loss but had won 3 straight games prior to that by a combined score of 12 to 7. So this one is all about the situation and the value because the Jackets are not a very good hockey club and the Caps had started to get going before that ugly 3-0 loss. So we have the better team on home ice and in the better situation! We'll take it! WASHINGTON -140 |
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11-04-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
CFL Saturday OVER 49.5 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 6:30 ET - We get a rather low total here because it is the playoffs now but Calgary piled up points in the recent meeting with the Lions in BC but now the rematch will see the hosts scoring much better in this one too. BC is so potent on offense but their defense faded a bit as the season when on and the Stamps could surprise here. But this BC offense is so tough at home and they will be ready to go here after Calgary embarrassed them in the most recent meeting. Remember the Stampeders lost here last season however in the post-season and they will be out for revenge. I see Calgary, better than their record shows, moving the ball quite well here again as they have confidence against the Lions. But, again, they can not stop this potent offense which will be clicking at home for the post-season. The play here is 50+ points in this one! OVER 49.5 in BC Lions |
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11-04-23 | Penn State -8.5 v. Maryland | Top | 51-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
CFB Saturday Penn State Nittany Lions (-) @ Maryland Terrapins @ 3:30 ET - The current line on this one is as low as 8.5 as of early game day morning. I like the Nittany Lions to roll here. You might remember we took the over in their game last week because they were off the hard fought loss to the Buckeyes the week before. Sure enough the defense was worn out and they had a bad game against Indiana as I predicted. You can bet (literally) that they are going to now "bring it" in this tune-up game at Maryland before the huge game hosting Michigan next week. Had PSU beaten Ohio State and if they, therefore, were coming into this game undefeated on the season then I might feel differently about this spot. However, coming off a loss to the Buckeyes followed by a lackluster defense effort against the Hoosiers, I am sure the Nittany Lions are going to bring their A Game in this one. That is bad news for a Terrapins team that has lost 3 straight games both SU and ATS! By the way, the Nittany Lions are on a perfect 6-0 ATS run when they are a road favorite of more than 6 points against a team that is coming off B2B SU/ATS losses. This trend makes perfect sense because if PSU is favored big but on the road it means they are facing a team they are expect to dominate. Couple that with the fact that the team is off B2B poor performances and that means that struggling home team likely is slumping! I like playing trends that make good sense and Maryland was actually about a 2 TD favorite in each of those last two games. Look for the trend to reach a perfect 7-0! PENN STATE (-) |
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11-04-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 -110 in Universitatea Craiova vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 3:15 ET - Both clubs off low-scoring 1-0 wins in Cupa Romaniei action this week but that had a lot to do with the opponents they faced and the fact that many key players are rested for those matches. Now league action resumes and this is a rivalry match and the key players will be out there and will be pushing hard. Also, in league action, each of the last 4 home matches for Universitatea Craiova have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4 goals. FCU 1948 Craiova has both scored and conceded in 3 straight league matches. They are off a 2-0 loss at Rapid but 6 of 9 matches for FCU 1948 Craiova leading into that one had totaled at least 3 goals. There is a reason this total is set at 2.5 goals rather than the 2 that we see so frequently in this league. This one gets to at least 2-1 the way I see it! OVER 2.5 -110 in Universitatea Craiova |
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11-04-23 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Montreal | Top | 12-27 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
CFL Saturday Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 3 ET - Something funny with this line as Montreal is at home with the better record and on a long winning streak versus Hamilton yet the line opened up at just -3 which is the normal shading toward a home team. So these teams are equal in the eyes of the betting market? No, and that is why we step in and take advantage as now this line is a high as a 4.5 and the Ti-Cats, including a preseason loss, have actually lost 7 straight games to the Alouettes. The final two meetings in the regular season, the post-season game, then a preseason game this year, then all 3 regular season meetings this year. Don't let the line fool you here as it is priced this way for a reason and I sense an upset as the Tiger-Cats get their revenge in Montreal but we will grab the points as added insurance. 10* HAMILTON +4.5 |
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11-04-23 | Arizona State v. Utah -10.5 | Top | 3-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
CFB Saturday Utah Utes (-) vs Arizona State Devils @ 2 ET - This line is around 10.5 or 11 as of early gameday morning. I know that might seem like a bit much but the Utes hammered ASU last season. They are so strong in the trenches, the Utes are. Utah also punches a team in the mouth. They are physical and tough and this is particularly true when they are angry. This is a perfect set up for a blowout home win. The Utes are off a bad loss to Oregon but that Ducks team is, as usual, super strong this season. That actually ties into this play because everyone talks about the Sun Devils defense but I am not 100% sold on them. The reason is because, other than Washington, have they really played ultra strong teams with ultra potent offenses? Then the Oregon factor is that ASU caught the Huskies off their upset win over the Ducks! That remains the only loss for the Ducks this season. So Arizona State only lost 15 to 7 to Washington but they caught them off the huge upset win! The Sun Devils are facing a different animal this time around as they catch the Utes off the Ducks but, for Utah, it was an embarrassing home loss! That said, this is going to be a blowout win for the road team. I know their numbers on offense are not that great but neither are the numbers of the Sun Devils on that side of the ball. The difference in this game will be that we have the much more physical team and and the stronger defense. This will allow the Utes to pull away as this game goes on! Bryson Barnes was certainly respectable through the air and on the ground in the two games prior to struggling against the Ducks. He will bounce right back with a strong game at QB here against an over-rated Sun Devils defense. This is the Utes final home game of the season other than Thanksgiving weekend so they are sure to make this one count after getting blown out at home last week. UTAH (-) |
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11-04-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United vs Arsenal @ 1:30 ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings have ended 2-0 so it might seem too much for the total to be set at 2.5 in this one. However, both clubs off high-scoring results recently including in EFL Cup weekday action. Newcastle United has to be feeling very confident off the 3-0 win over Man U and now back on their home pitch in league action. They will score just fine again here but note that had allowed at least 1 goal in 4 of 5 matches last month. In terms of Premier League matches, Newcastle has been scoring goals like crazy and 7 of last 10 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Arsenal has a great defensive record on the road and Newcastle has the same at home. However, this match-up also pits two of the higher scoring clubs in league action so far. That said, this is a very reasonable total at 2.5 as I do not foresee anything less than a 2-1 battle here. The last 4 matches for Arsenal (and 10 of last 13) across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. There are some injuries for each club but also some guys coming back here that did not play in the weekday EFL Cup action. Look for a highly entertaining affair here as the hosts will not be afraid to play an aggressive style on their home pitch here and that will force Arsenal to answer the challenge. OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United |
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11-04-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5 -125 in Manchester City vs Bournemouth @ 11 AM ET - City is favored by 2.5 to 3 goals on the goal line for a reason here. This one should be an absolutely blowout. But not only do I expect at least 4 goals here, we should see 5. That's because Bournemouth always tends to get pummeled by City but they at least make the net ripple. Taking at look at the last 5 meetings across all competitions, Bournemouth has scored in 4 of the 5. So look for a 4-1 type match here. Manchester City is on fire, known for dominating at home, and they are rested here. Bournemouth lost to Liverpool in EFL Cup action earlier this week but that marked the 3rd straight match they have scored a goal in. Manchester City has been a goal scoring machine and that continues here but, coming off the 3-0 shutout of rivals Manchester United last week don't be surprised if there is a little let up on defense in this one. The result is this one likely to hit 5 goals but definitely should at least get to the 4-goal mark. City has averaged scoring 3 goals in the last 5 meetings and has scored 4 goals in B2B meetings. OVER 3.5 -125 in Manchester City |
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11-04-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206805: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10:45 AM ET - Sepsi is back on track in league action where they have won 2 straight matches by a combined score of 7 to 2. Petrolul Ploiesti, including Cupa Romaniei action, has gone 2-0-1 last 3 matches and scored at least 2 goals in all 3 matches. In league action, Petrolul Ploiesti has allowed 3 goals in last 2 matches. That said, the value of an over 2 here - even at some extra juice - is a great value based on the way these two clubs are trending right now as their level of play has improved. OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies -135 v. Blazers | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Friday Memphis Grizzlies (-) @ Portland Trail Blazers @ 10:10 ET - The line as of early gameday morning is -2.5 but also as low as -135 on the money line for those of you with access to that. The key factor here is an 0-5 Memphis team is, of course, favored on the road over Portland for a reason. Do not let the line fool you. 3 of the 5 teams the Grizzlies have lost to have a combined record of 12-2 this season. Also they were just in nearby Utah. Conversely, the Blazers have just come back from a long road trip to the East Coast and they are off B2B wins after starting the season 0-3. So the fact is the winless Grizzlies will prove to be the hungrier team here and they finally get into the win column and should take this by 3 or more for sure. Looking at all 10 of the games these teams have been in this season none have been decided by less than 5 points. Consider the money line for maximum security though here but look for the big road win. MEMPHIS (-) |