Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Montreal | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Montreal has the home field edge here but there is a reason this line is practically a pick'em even though Hamilton was 2-7 SU on the road this season! Keep in mind the Ti-Cats are loaded with experience from key playoff runs in recent seasons plus they were the hotter team down the stretch this season. Montreal faded a bit late in terms of level of play and I am taking the team that is peaking at the right time to get the job done Sunday in the opener of the post-season. 10* HAMILTON +1.5 |
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11-06-22 | Vikings -3 v. Commanders | Top | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings -3 @ Washington Commanders @ 1 ET - The Vikings are 6-1 this season. Their only loss was to Philadelphia. Yes, to the now 8-0 Eagles. The point is that Minnesota is winning every game they are supposed to win. However, because the Vikes are on a 2-4 ATS run, the betting markets are not exactly enamored with them. Yes the Commanders have won 3 straight games but they were severely outstatted by the Bears in the victory that started this win streak. They then beat a Packers team that is now on a 4-game losing streak and has been the most disappointing team in the NFL compared to expectations for the season. Then they beat a Colts team that has been another significant under-achiever this season. Truly, other than a solid game in a loss against the Titans (but they caught Tennessee in 2nd straight road game off key divisional win), the Commanders have not impressed this season. They have been blown out by the tough teams they faced (Cowboys and Eagles). Their other 5 games besides the 3 that I just mentioned were against teams with a combined record of 12-26-1 this season. So the Vikings at just -3 in this game basically just have to win the game for us to get the money. This is, like I said, a Minny team that has only one loss this season and it was to the still-undefeated Eagles. I really like Minnesota here because they just had a bye week two weeks ago. Washington still has not had a bye. They are playing for a 9th straight week. They have not played in the same city twice in consecutive weeks this season. It has been home/road/home/road, etc all season long. The Commanders need a bye. They are not getting it yet and I see the better team prevailing here and covering along the way. One final note of importance, the Commanders Super Bowl is next week. That's right, a chance to knock off the undefeated division rival Eagles. Set-ups don't get much better than this one in my opinion. Vikings all day! 10* MINNESOTA -3 |
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11-06-22 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 +130 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - You have the options of laying sizable juice for a 2.5 here or less juice for a 2.75 here or grabbing the big plus money with the over 3 goals available as high as a +130. For what it's worth, I am expecting 4 goals here. I know Tottenham has been hurt by the injury to Heung-min Son but they are still such a strong club when at home. Tottenham is scoring an average of 2.7 goals per game in home matches this season! Liverpool has struggled on the road this season but they have avoided defeats at the hands of Tottenham in 10 straight meetings. The most recent 5 have featured 3 wins and 2 draws and the last 4 have seen Liverpool score an average of 2 goals. Tottenham has scored at least 1 goal in each of last 4 meetings. That said, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here. But really I am expecting much more because Tottenham has shown a knack for coming back in recent matches and Liverpool also knows they must be more aggressive on the attack and they will feel they can do here especially because Heung-min Son is out for the hosts. So watch the Hotspur have some success on the counterattack with the visitors being so aggressive on the attack. Liverpool will have some success attacking but the hosts answer with great scoring chances of their own and I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 draw in this one. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-06-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Hermannstadt OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt vs Chindia Targoviste @ 9:15 AM ET - Hermannstadt is tougher to face on their home pitch but Chindia Targoviste has been rolling and that is why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once here. Hermannstadt has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 home matches including a pair of goals conceded in each of last two. Hermannstadt scored 2 goals in last week's win and has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of 15 matches this season. 11 of 15 Chindia Targoviste matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals. Chindia Targoviste has seen their last dozen matches average 2.8 goals apiece. I feel we have good value with this low total because Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches and the hosts have scored at least 1 goal in 80% of their matches this season. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt |
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11-06-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 in Southampton vs Newcastle @ 9 AM ET - Newcastle has been playing so well but Southampton has been tough on their home pitch this season. I look for this one to be very tightly played with goals tough to come by. Southampton is one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league but they also have conceded only 8 times in 6 home matches. Newcastle has allowed only 10 goals in 13 matches this season and that is the best mark in the league! This is why Newcastle is so high in the table as they continue to be so tough to score on and I look for that to continue here. The hosts, however, will put up a fight here and a 1-0 type match would not surprise me in the least. Southampton's last 4 matches have all totaled 2 or less goals and have averaged only 1.5 goals. Newcastle allowing just 0.5 goals since start of September as they have allowed only 4 goals last 8 matches! All signs point to this being a tight low-scoring affair! 10* UNDER 2.5 in Southampton |
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11-05-22 | Phillies +135 v. Astros | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +135 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Expected starters are Wheeler and Valdez. The Phillies right-hander got roughed up in his only start in this series while the Astros southpaw was great. The odds makers did not get the memo. They opened up with Houston, at home, laying only a -135 price in this one. Sure looks easy to take the Astros at home here, right? You know what happens when something looks too easy usually, right? Well the thing is Wheeler is capable of throwing a gem and the Phillies powerful lineup is certainly capable of coming up big against Valdez in the rematch. This series has the feel of a 7-game series and I am confident we are going to get there. Don't let the line fool you. The Phillies are the play here. The last 4 times when Wheeler was making a road start and Philadelphia had lost in his prior start, the Phillies won that game all 4 times. Look for the run to improve to 5-0 here as the underdogs get back up off the mat to force a Game 7 even though no one else believes in them here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +135 |
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11-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas State OVER 54.5 | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 54.5 in Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns @ 7 ET - Sometimes crazy stuff happens in sports. The Wildcats shutting out Oklahoma State last week was one of those. Don't put too much weight into that. Kansas State is going to struggle to slow down this Longhorns offense coming off a bye week. Texas is ready to light up the Wildcats and, keep in mind, other than games against Iowa State, both the Horns and the Cats have been involved in an abundance of high-scoring games involving Big 12 foes. Again, not including the Cyclones game, the Longhorns have scored an average of 39 points per game in Big 12 action. The Horns also have allowed big points in their two true Big 12 road games - at Texas Tech and at Oklahoma State. As for Kansas State, not including the Cyclones game, they had allowed 33 ppg in Big 12 action before throttling Oklahoma State last week. The Wildcats have averaged 38.5 points scored per game in Big 12 action, not including the rare low-scoring battle with Iowa State. So the point is that both these offenses fully capable of putting up big points in this one. Also, the Horns pass defense is a concern and the Kansas State defense comes into this one over-rated after last week's surprising shutout. Watch the Horns run right through them in this game but the Wildcats surging offense will battle right back too. That means plenty of points in this one. Tough game to call the side in my opinion as this one shapes up to be a back and forth shootout. 10* OVER 54.5 in Kansas State |
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11-05-22 | Flyers +168 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 168 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +160 @ Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Carter Hart should be back in goal for the Flyers in this one after getting a breather with Felix Sandstrom getting the last start. Note that the Flyers have yet to lose in regulation with Hart in goal. He has been fantastic this season and yet Ottawa is priced very high here. This is huge underdog value on Philly in my opinion. Yes, Cam Talbot is making his first start for the Senators after coming on in relief in the loss to the Golden Knights. However, coming on in relief in a game in which your team already allowed 5 goals is different than the situation here. The Sens are priced very high because the Flyers are still seen as one of the worst teams in the league. This is incredible line value here because Philly has been very competitive this season. They are on a 3-game losing streak but 2 of the losses were in OT and then the 3rd one at Toronto that was a 5-2 loss saw them down just 3-2 with under 8 minutes to go. Also, Hart did not play in that game. The Senators have lost 4 straight games by the way and none of those were in OT and they continue to allow too many goals. Is Talbot coming back from his rib injury going to fix all that? I don't think so either! And right now Flyers (when Hart is in goal) have been a lot better than the Senators this season in terms of goals allowed. Phenomenal underdog value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* PHILADELPHIA +160 |
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11-05-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 @ Kansas Jayhawks @ 3:30 ET - I know there are major questions at quarterback for both teams entering this one. I know the markets have moved toward Kansas in this game. I am happy to grab the extra value on a well-coached Oklahoma State team that is off a thoroughly embarrassing 48-0 loss last week. Keep in mind, the Cowboys have beaten the Jayhawks 12 straight times. Also, OSU was 6-1 SU and ATS prior to that loss last week to the Wildcats. The only loss that Okla St had suffered this season, prior to last week, was a defeat in double-OT. In other words, I feel we have seen a severe over-reaction to last week's result and we are getting value with a Cowboys team that is sure to come out angry and focused for this game. I know Jayhawks are better than past teams but their defense has been very bad too. Though Kansas enters this game off a bye, they had lost 3 straight games and by an average margin of 10 points per defeat before that week off. Lets not forget that OSU was a top ten team entering last week's game. They should bounce back strong here no matter the QB situation for either side. I know the emotion that Cowboys are going to bring to this team under coach Gundy! Look for the 12-0 run in favor of the Cowboys in meetings between these foes to make it 13 in a row! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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11-05-22 | Penn State -13.5 v. Indiana | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Penn State Nittany Lions -13.5 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ 3:30 ET - Looks like most of the weather is going to move through before this game gets underway so this one is a go for me after having to wait it out a bit. Penn State should roll to a huge win here just like they did after losing badly at Michigan last month. The Nittany Lions turned around and rolled the Gophers. Yes this time the Lions are on the road and Indiana is off a bye week but this Hoosiers team has lost 5 straight games. This included a loss to Rutgers in their most recent game and they lost WR Cam Camper to a season-ending ACL injury in that one too! Sean Clifford had huge numbers for PSU versus Ohio State last week but also had turnover problems. He has been challenged by his head coach as a result of that and I expect he and this Penn State offense to attack a bad Hoosiers defense all day long in this one! On the other side of the ball, the Indiana offense has struggled in recent games and losing their top WR certainly will not help matters. The Hoosiers already have 3 losses by 14 or more points and this one should fall into this category as well. Be warned that there is a chance that Lions could start a little slow out of the gate, though I am not expecting that, but the Lions will come ROARING back either way as they are just too much for this bad Hoosiers team. 10* PENN STATE -13.5 |
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11-05-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - Going for the bigger plus money here rather than playing this at Over 2 or 2.25 we will go over the 2.5 which is available in the +135 range! Why am I expecting at least 3 goals here? Well Universitatea Craiova has won 3 straight matches and scored 1.7 goals per match. Universitatea Cluj has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches but has also scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. Universitatea Craiova is the biggest favorite on the board of 3 matches today. That said, look for the visitors to score at least once but the hosts to find a way to get the victory. On their home pitch and favored heavily for a reason, Universitatea Craiova should get multiple goals here. The hosts are one of the top teams in the league this season and looking to make a move up the table so they will fight hard here for the full 3 points. 3 of their last 4 home matches have totaled at least 3 goals and that included a wild 4-3 win over Farul. Prior to shutting out Sepsi last week, Universitatea Craiova had allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches. That said, there is certainly reason to expect Universitatea Cluj to get on the scoresheet here. Look for at least 3 goals as an end result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova |
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11-05-22 | Leicester v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Leicester @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs have been getting solid defense and goaltending. That said, this is a contrarian play but there is a key to it. Both clubs need to be more aggressive and go for the full 3 points here. Leicester is still in a relegation position at #18 and Everton is only 3 points above them in the table. Yes the season is only about a third of the way in but it is not too early to have some concerns about this. Each club has only 3 wins on the season. Only 2 clubs have less and that is Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton with 2 apiece and both of them are in relegation positions at #19 and #20. This is why I am expecting a 2-1 final here and feel we have excellent line value with this total at 2.5 goals and no juice on the over. I totally understand the line but just saying there is reason to go contrarian here and the situation is filled with value in my opinion. Both of Everton's home matches in October went over the total. The last time these clubs met went over the total. I know Leicester has allowed only 1 goal in last 4 matches but look at their long-term road history. All 6 of their matches away from home have totaled at least 3 goals and those have averaged 5.2 goals apiece. So I know they have been keeping teams from scoring and Jordan Pickford has been great between the sticks for the hosts too with just 1 goal allowed last 3 matches but you can see why I love the over here. I have no hesitation in testing the 6-0 / 100% run of overs in Leicester's road matches this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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11-05-22 | Fulham v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Fulham @ 11 AM ET - Reports are that Haaland will be back for Manchester City for this one. Even if he is not, though I expect he will be, City has won all 6 home matches this season and is on very long winning streak at home across all competitions. Not only that, the 6 matches in league have averaged 5.5 goals apeice. As for Fulham, they are on the only club in the 20-team league that has both scored AND allowed 22 goals or more. Considering that factor plus the way that City plays when on their home pitch, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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11-04-22 | Oregon State v. Washington OVER 54 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 54 in Washington Huskies vs Oregon State Beavers @ 10:30 ET - This total has dropped a lot because of the weather forecast in Seattle. However, this game does not start until 7:30 ET local time. As luck would have it, the weather forecast is showing the heavier rain in the afternoon letting in up in the early evening. It actually may not even be raining at all when this game kicks off. Now weather can be tricky of course so there are no guarantees. But the point is that the expectation is very light showers to no rain at all during this game. It will have rained hard earlier in the day but the field here is AstroTurf and the playing conditions should be fine. There is some wind in the forecast but even those winds are subsiding to the 15 mph range by kickoff and down to 10 mph range during the game. The wind should not be a major factor either is the point. So lets take advantage of this now-lower total. The Beavers have allowed at least 27 points in all 3 of their road games this season. Now they face one of the best offenses in the nation and off a bye week. The Huskies have scored an average of 40 ppg this season but, other than allowing 6 points to an FCS program, Washington has also allowed 31 ppg this season in their other 7 games. With this line around a 4 that puts this game at 40-36 or 35-31 as you can see based on those numbers. Oregon State has scored 31 points per game last 3 games and I expect this one to get well into the 60s and 70s would not be a total shock either as you can see. 10* OVER 54 in Washington |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans -4 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Pelicans are off an unbelieve, inexcusable OT loss at Los Angeles when they missed 2 free throws with under 2 seconds to go in the game. That then allowed the Lakers get off a 3 at the buzzer which did go in to force OT. After LA won the game in OT you know New Orleans is going to be extremely fired up here. Not only that, the Pelicans are getting back Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones for this game. Those reinforcements will help and what also helps is they are catching the Warriors in a back to back. Golden State has been getting good production from their starting five. But the Warriors bench has struggled and that means if the Warriors starters are worn out from the B2B than this one sets up to be very tough sledding for GS. Look for NO to take advantage. the Pelicans will run them right out of the arena and Golden State has been struggling defensively so this sets up for a big-time home blowout here. 10* NEW ORLEANS -4 |
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11-04-22 | Sabres +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Puck Line +1.5 goals -140 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - This is an excellent situational spot that favors the road dog. I was really tempted to take Buffalo at big plus money on the money line but we'll go the safer route in case Carolina claws their way back to win this game late or in OT or SO and it ends up being a one-goal game. The key here is that the Sabres should get the jump on the Hurricanes off a huge win at Tampa Bay last night. Carolina got the tying goal in the 3rd period and then won the game in the shootout. Beating Vasilevskiy and the Lightning in Tampa is a big deal and I could see the Canes being flat here for this one and they are in the 2nd day of a B2B. By the way Carolina at -1.5 goals on the puck line would be 0-7 last 7 games as they have 4 wins by 1 goal (and only one of those wins was in regulation!) and they have 3 losses in this stretch. As for the Sabres at +1.5 goals on the season they would be 9-1 (90%) as they are 7-3 on the season and only 1 of their losses was by more than 1 goal. So here were are testing a spot for Buffalo that is 90% this season and also testing a go-against situation fading the Hurricanes that has worked in 7 straight games for a 100% run which favors the Sabres here as well. 10* BUFFALO +1.5 goals -140 |
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11-04-22 | Mioveni v. Farul Constanta OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Farul vs CS Mioveni @ 3 ET - CS Mioveni has had one scoreless draw in their last 6 matches. In the other 5 matches they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match. Now they are on the road and facing the highest scoring club in league. In terms of this match-up, it is one pitting first versus last in the table. Look for Farul not to hold back here. The hosts have scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 4 home matches. Farul has reached the 2-goal mark in 9 of their last 11 matches. Now facing the worst club in the league I would not be surprised to see them reach the 3-goal mark and push this total over all by themselves. As for CS Mioveni, don't be surprised if they get on the scoresheet here. Farul is willing to play aggressive on the attack and has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 of last 11 matches. Before a recent rough stretch that began in mid-October, CS Mioveni had scored at least 1 goal in 5 of 6 matches. They have scored at least 1 goal in 2 of last 3 meetings with Farul. This match, in Constanta, should see plenty of goals as the hosts have another foe (Chindia Targoviste) on deck that is at the lower portion of the table also. So there is no lookahead here! The hosts roll to a big win and that means plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Farul |
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11-04-22 | Blue Jackets v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 2 ET (game played in Finland) - Columbus is 3-7 this season and has scored an average of 4.3 goals in regulation time of the 3 wins and allowed 5.3 goals in the 7 losses. All defeats were by a multi-goal margin too. The defense of the Blue Jackets and the goal-tending have each left plenty to be desired early this season. 7 of last 9 Columbus games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one surely should as well. As for the Avalanche, they have not been involved in nearly as many high-scoring games but I look for the fact this is the Blue Jackets and the game is being played overseas to lead to plenty of scoring chances throughout this game both ways. Colorado has not been as lock tight in their own end as they were last season. Other than a 1-0 shutout loss at New Jersey, in their other 5 games away from home they have allowed an average of 3.4 goals per game. Also, other than the shutout loss to the Devils, they have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game. You can see why I am expecting this game to get to 7 goals or more. I am fully expecting it reaches 3-3 at some point (which would guarantee at least 7 of course) but, either way, the expectation is 7 or more in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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11-03-22 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10:05 ET - This total probably will move to a 6.5 and already has done so at some books. This seems like a great spot for plenty of goals. Vancouver is off a 5-2 loss versus New Jersey to drop to 2-6-2 on the season. In the Canucks 8 losses, not including OT of course, they have allowed 4.1 goals per game. In Vancouver's 2 wins, they have scored 5 goals each time! Given these numbers you can see why I am expecting a wild one tonight. The Ducks have some solid talent that can produce plenty of scoring and that is starting to shine through. The problem for Anaheim is they are not getting good goaltending and they certainly are not known for being strong defensively. 8 of the Ducks 10 games this season have totaled at least 6 goals. Also, confidence is building courtesy of a 4-3 OT win and a 6-5 SO win in last two games! Amazingly, Anaheim has allowed at least 4 goals in 8 of 10 games and, again, the Canucks are allowing an average of 4 goals per game this season. There is certainly nothing average about that either! 5-4 anyone? Honestly it would not surprise me in the least but we should get to a 4-3 type game at a minimum. 10* OVER 6 in Vancouver |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 46 | Top | 29-17 | Push | 0 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 46 in Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles @ 8:15 ET - Look for the Eagles to simply do enough here to win and move on. They are on a short week. Yes it is Jalen Hurts homecoming and he would love to have a huge game here in his hometown. But does Philly really want to risk him too much in this one? I could see the Eagles going with a run-heavy and short quick passes to minimize injury risk for Hurts in this one. I mean Philly should be able to sleep-walk their way to another SU win here but they don't need a blowout win and the Texans just do not score much at all. Houston's offense is a mess and the Eagles defense has been playing with a lot of pride ever since they gave up 35 to the Lions at Detroit in week 1. Before their blowout win over the Steelers, the Eagles had averaged 24.6 ppg their 5 prior games. They are not piling up huge points every week. Their defense has been the real story though and each of their last road games were easy unders and Philly has allowed only 13.8 ppg their last 6 games. The Texans will struggle to score much here as they are averaging only 16.6 ppg on the season and now face the only undefeated team in the NFL. I look for a bit of an ugly grinder that plays out 24-10 in favor of the Eagles. Something along those lines. Maybe 27-13 or 28-14. Think this one stays in the 30s but at best, low 40s the way I see it. 10* UNDER 46 in Houston |
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11-03-22 | Astros v. Phillies +147 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +147 vs Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Remember when the Phillies lost to Astros 10-0 early last month when they faced Verlander the night after clinching a post-season berth? Then remember what happened when they faced Verlander in Game 1 of this series and got the huge comeback win? Lets throw out the outlier that the double digit loss was given the situation. The last 6 times the Phillies are off a loss by a single digit margin they have won their next game all 6 times! That includes every time in this post-season including their first game of the post-season too when they were off a loss in their regular season finale. Syndergaard may not pitch more than 3 innings here so this is more about the bullpens and the Phillies bullpen has been great. I know Verlander is a great pitcher but he has now struggled in 2 of his 3 starts in the post-season. Also, this will be his first road start since September! Of course he is a veteran pitcher and he is a fantastic pitcher but still a road start against a team that just came back on you when you had a 5-0 lead is not the easiest. After Phillies got no-hit yesterday, look for them to connect on some big shots against Verlander and that will be enough to get the crucial home game for them as they know this game is essentially do or die. If they lose Game 5 at home they would have to win both games at Houston and that is not likely. All signs point to a Phillies bounce back here no matter the starting pitchers. Grab the home dog! One final interesting note here is these teams have played 37 innings so far and the Astros have scored in only 5 of the frames. The Phillies have not been tremendously better but they entered last night's game with runs scored in 8 of 27 innings prior to Wednesday's loss. After getting no-hit at home I am sure this powerhouse lineup bounces back tonight. Look for Phillies to make it 7-0 last 7 times they were off a loss by a single digit margin. 10* PHILADELPHIA +147 |
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11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina OVER 63.5 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 63.5 in Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Appalachian State Mountaineers @ 7:30 ET - Chase Brice, App St QB, has almost thrown for 22 TD's and only 4 INT's this season. Brice has thrown for nearly 2,000 yards already this season. Coastal QB Grayson McCall has 19 TD's and only 1 INT and has just eclipsed the 2,000 yard mark in passing on the season. The fact is that this should turn into a high-scoring shootout as good weather is expected in Conway, SC as well. So you have the ideal set-up for both teams to air it out so don't let the big number scare you here. Also, the Mountaineers can run the ball well and we have seen Coastal Carolina struggle against the run recently. The run game being dominant can then open up the passing attack. So App St should move the ball very well here but the Chanticleers at home and facing a weak pass defense will absolutely turn this game into a back and forth score-fest. If you are a fan of the punting game tune in elsewhere because I don't expect to see the punters on the field much in this one! Both teams move the ball very well and plenty of points throughout. App St has scored at least 42 in 3 of last 4 games. Chanticleers did not score well in most recent home game but had averaged 35 in first 4 home games and bounce back here. 10* OVER 63.5 in Coastal Carolina |
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11-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Senators +127 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Senators Money Line +125 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - Vegas is hot to start this season and they enter this game on a 5-game winning streak. However, each of their last two wins were in overtime. Also, they have a game on deck at Montreal. When Vegas most recently missed a chance to get to the Stanley Cup Final it was because they lost to the Canadiens in the recent covid-impacted season that changed the post-season structure for that campaign. In any event, the Golden Knights have not forgotten and a visit to Montreal brings a little extra attention for sure. That said, Vegas could look right past Ottawa and that could prove to be a mistake. The Senators have lost 3 straight but the last two were on the road and prior to that the Sens had won 4 straight on home ice. In fact, just playing the home team in Ottawa games would have netted you a tidy 8-1 record so far! I am backing that 89% YTD record right here as I look for the Senators to get back on track on home ice where they have played so well. Note that their 4 wins came by an average margin of 3 goals apiece and, again, the Knights are entering this one off tight wins that each required OT. Solid home dog value here. 10* OTTAWA +125 |
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11-02-22 | Astros v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 7.5 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. When a team hits 5 homers in a game with a total of only 7.5 runs and it still stays under the total that says a lot! That was Game 3 last night. This followed a Game 2 in Houston that also totaled 7 runs. I am looking for 7 or less again tonight. This one looks like it will be the lowest-scoring of the bunch the way I see it. I will make this wager with action on pitchers as I expect things to tighten up a bit at the plate in this one and the losing team has scored an average of just 1 run last two games. Could this be a 2-1 pitchers duel? I sure think so. Cristian Javier is expected to get the start here and he is so tough to hit and has been pitching extremely well late in the year. Also, the Phillies do not have experience against him so this is a big edge for Javier. As for Philadelphia's expected starter Aaron Nola, I am looking for a bounce back effort at home after he struggled in Game 1 of this series. Nola has been rock solid at Citizens Bank Park throughout his career and I expect his breaking stuff, which can be devasting to hitters, to be on point in this one at home where he is so comfortable on the mound. 10* UNDER 7.5 in Philadelphia |
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11-02-22 | Penguins v. Sabres +110 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Money Line +110 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:35 ET - The Sabres are playing very well. Buffalo is off B2B wins at home and they already had a 3-game win streak on the road in Western Canada earlier this season. They are rested here too while the Penguins played last night. That means it is likely Pittsburgh will start Casey DeSmith here and he is winless on the season. He has not played all that poorly but he is allowing an average of 3 goals per game and his teammates could be tired in front of him. Penguins off a demoralizing 6-5 OT loss yesterday as they blew a 5-2 lead in a game they led 5-3 going to the 3rd period. Not only that, Pittsburgh was on home ice for that blown game! This Penguins team has now lost 5 straight including 4 straight on the road and this is the perfect set-up for another loss with this being a B2B spot with Penguins struggling with confidence issues after the way last night's game played out. The Sabres are much better than the Sabres teams of old and their 6 wins this season have come by an average margin of 3 goals. The point is that they are not just winning, they are getting big wins and you know they want to take down Crosby and Company here. 10* BUFFALO +110 |
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11-02-22 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - Flyers off a 1-0 OT loss at Rangers last night. Another huge effort from goalie Carter Hart and the young netminder has been fantastic this season. However, he will likely rest tonight in this back to back and that means Felix Sandstrom likely between the pipes. Sandstrom lost all 5 starts last season and had a 3.23 GAA on the season. This season he allowed 4 goals in his only road start. Toronto is angry at home off 4 straight losses. The Maple Leafs desperately need huge production on home ice and I am sure we will get that from them in this game. They are loaded with high-end offensive talent and this is a "put up or shut up" type of game and I feel certain the Leafs are catching the Flyers are the right time to do plenty of damage in the offensive zone. The issue for Toronto is the fact that they have allowed at least 3 goals in each of last 4 games. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 type game here. Just can not trust the Maple Leafs defense or goaltending but look for huge offensive output here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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11-02-22 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 55.5 | Top | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Wednesday CFB 10* Top Play OVER 55.5 or 56 in Northern Illinois Huskies vs Central Michigan Chippewas @ 7 ET - The Chippewas made the switch at QB last week with Bauer coming in during the game for an ineffective Richardson. That QB competition is going to help spark things here no matter which one gets the start. As for the Huskies, they could get QB Lombardi back this week but either way, they should move the ball well here. Northern Illinois was averaging 33 points per game this season before being held to 14 last week in a deceiving final score as they did outgain Ohio University. As for Central Michigan, they have allowed 150 points in their 4 road games this season. Also, the Chippewas are averaging 26 points scored per game on the road and that even includes facing Oklahoma State and Penn State. In their road game versus Toledo they scored only 17 points as 3 lost fumbles in the game kept them from getting any rhythm going. I look for the QB situation for each club to help spark things here and the weather will be very nice with unseasonably mild weather expected for this one Wednesday evening. The Huskies allowed 38 points per game in their first 6 games this season so I am not sold on their defense just yet after being better their last two games. 10* OVER 55.5 or 56 in Northern Illinois |
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11-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards have not been traveling far but still they are bouncing around quite a bit right now. Washington was at home than on the road at Boston then at home versus 76ers and now on the road at Philly to face the Sixers again. This is also a 4 games in 6 days situation for Washington so this is all part of their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. I like the fact that the Sixers, even without Embiid, were able to win by 7 on the road at Washington Monday. This is a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won 3 straight games on the road and also won their last home game by 14 points. I look for them to build their run to 4 straight wins even if Embiid is not back tonight. But I do expect him back and also want to note that even though they are not stars, Kispert and Wright being out for the Wizards is still taking away a couple guys that average about 24 minutes a game. They are rotation players that Washington wants to use as part of the core group for the team! As for the Sixers, the only current "injury" situation was Embiid's illness and I would be surprised if he misses tonight's game. Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the deeper Sixers again take advantage just like they did Monday with their big 3rd quarter in DC leading to solid win. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +5 or +5.5 @ Phoenix Suns @ 10 ET - When something looks too good to be true it usually is. Keep in mind, Phoenix is 4-0 at home this season and the Suns enter this game on a 4-game winning streak in which all 4 wins were by a double digit margin. That said, how can the Suns have opened up as only a 4-point favorite at home? Exactly! Sure enough this line is already up to as high as a 5.5 in some spots and I love being a contrarian in situations like this. Minnesota went out and made the big move for Gobert in the off-season because they want to be a force to be reckoned with. To prove they have indeed arrived in the Western Conference, the Wolves must prove they can compete with one of the best teams in the West (and in all of NBA) in the form of the Suns. I feel Minny is going to be extra hungry here as a result and I love having the handful of points being offered here too as an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. If the Wolves do fall short, look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. 10* MINNESOTA +5 or +5.5 |
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11-01-22 | Kings v. Stars -138 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars -135 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:35 ET - The Kings in the 2nd game of a B2B set and that means Petersen is likely between the pipes and he has struggled so far this season. He just had a strong start in his most recent game but that was against a Maple Leafs team that appeared to be playing at least a gear or two low of where they should be. He won't be facing a disinterested team tonight. This Stars team is fired up after losing their last game and having lost 4 of 6. Before their 6-3 loss to the Rangers they were 3-0 at home this season with the wins by a combined score of 11 to 2. In the 6-3 loss Oettinger go hurt and Wedgewood had to come in for him. Sometimes that can be tough on a goalie when he was not expected to play. Wedgewood now knows he is getting the start tonight (Oettinger is out) and I look for him to be much stronger in this start than he was in relief last week. The Stars will play much better in front of him too to limit shots on goal and scoring chances. After that lackluster finish to the game against the Rangers, Dallas will be much better here and they come out angry for this one. 10* DALLAS -135 |
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11-01-22 | Astros v. Phillies +113 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 113 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
NOTE: A lot of this is from yesterday's write-up (game rained out) but I am still going with this play though Suarez is now expected to start instead of Syndergaard in this one: MLB Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +115 vs Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Remember when the Phillies lost to Astros 10-0 early this month when they faced Verlander the night after clinching a post-season berth? Then remember what happened when they faced Verlander in Game 1 of this series and got the huge comeback win? Lets throw out the outlier that the double digit loss was given the situation. The last 5 times the Phillies are off a loss by a single digit margin they have won their next game all 5 times! That includes every time in this post-season including their first game of the post-season too when they were off a loss in their regular season finale. Suarez is averaging only 3 and 2/3 innings last 4 starts so this is more about the bullpens and the Phillies bullpen has been great and is well-rested here. McCullers expected to get more work than Suarez here but McCullers just got rocked by a Yankees team that was struggling to hit anyone in this post-season. That is not a good sign for McCullers as he now faces a Phillies lineup that is so confident and has hit so well at home. This one turns into a home rout in my opinion. All signs point to a Phillies bounce back here no matter the starting pitchers. Grab the home dog! 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-01-22 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - I know Vegas has played surprisingly well early this season but I am still not sold on their goalie situation. It is still early and the Capitals will be skating hard on home ice here after falling short 3-2 in a shootout loss at Carolina last night. The Caps will now be starting Lindgren in goal for this one. I know he had some success in limited action for St Louis last season but he struggled in each of the 3 seasons prior. He is not really use to being a regular back-up in the NHL as he has been more of a spot goaltender throughout his career. That said Vegas will be looking to put pressure on him early and often in this one after #1 goalie Kuemper got the start for Washington last night. 3 of the Caps 4 home games this season have totaled at least 7 goals. The Golden Knights have won 8 of 10 games this season and 3 of their 4 road games have totaled at least 6 goals and that is the posted total on this one. Given the situation, I feel we have fantastic line value with this non-conference match-up available at a rather low total. 10* OVER 6 in Washington |
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11-01-22 | Ball State v. Kent State OVER 62 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Tuesday CFB 10* OVER 62 in Kent State Golden Flashes vs Ball State Cardinals @ 7 ET - The question marks with injury issues has led to this total dropping. The result has been excellent line value. The Kent State defense is not good. However, their offense proved last week that they can move the ball well even with Kargman at QB instead of Schlee. Also, Ball State has not scored well lately but they have an excellent passing attack and the Golden Flashes pass defense is a major weakness. Great weather for a November game in Kent, OH is expected for this one as well so both offenses will be able to have their full playbooks at their disposal in this one. Both offenses have been better statistically than in scoring and that also leads to value here as their point totals will improve to catch up with the stats they have produced. That is not an absolute but is likely as some breaks have just not gone the way of either offense really. Ball State allowing 36.3 ppg on road this season. Golden Flashes allowing 32.5 points per game in MAC games. This one will surprise some people because Cardinals have not scored well recently but their offense is better than people realize and will put up a ton of points against this bad pass defense. But, again, the issue for Ball State is they can stop no one! 10* OVER 62 in Kent State |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns +3 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 8:15 ET - Waiting has paid off as we are starting to see +3.5 show up on this game for Cleveland and I love the home dog in this spot. Cincinnati, and deservedly so, is receiving high praise for their defense. But note that the Browns are off a great defensive effort at Baltimore and held the Ravens to just 254 yards but lost the game due to losing the turnover battle. Yes Cleveland is an ugly 2-5 on the season but 4 of their 5 losses have been by 3 or less points. Again, another reason I love the fact we can now get 3 plus the hook in this one with the Browns. As for the Bengals, they are 4-3 on the season but their wins are against teams that are a combined 17-15 on the season. They also have lost to a Pittsburgh team that is 2-6 this season. I am not saying that Cincinnati is not the better team in comparison with the Browns. I am just saying that this is a tough spot for them here in my opinion as Cleveland has won 7 of the last 8 meetings and gives them a lot of trouble. Also, the Browns back home off a tight road loss while Bengals on the road after a blowout road win. These set ups often work out well for the hosts and particularly when they are a home dog! The Browns have been just as solid as Bengals in terms of pass defense and they also are the much better rushing team on offense. 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
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10-31-22 | Kings v. Blues -113 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Blues Money Line -115 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:05 ET - The Blues have been struggling and are on a losing streak but that has resulted in exceptional line value here. St Louis is normally solid on home ice and this line has dropped a lot and the Kings have not exactly been dominant this season plus Los Angeles is known for struggling on the road. So when you add up all the factors here you have exceptional line value on a home team that is absolutely poised to end their recent losing skid. St Louis, including loss in most recent game, is still 6-3 the last 9 times they have entered a regular season game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Last season they did not have a single losing streak more than 4 games. This one ends at 4 games too! Take advantage of the great price here as Kings entered their most recent game, a win, having allowing at least 4 goals in 7 of 9 games this season. Blue so hungry to shut down an opponent and they allowed 3 or less goals in 4 of first 5 games this season. In fact, STL allowed an average of just 2 goal per game those 4 games. The Blues reach back for some of that tonight and get back to usual "Blues hockey" in this one! 10* ST LOUIS -115 |
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10-31-22 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are playing in a B2B for the first time this season and yesterday's game was on the road at Boston. This is also a 3 games in 4 days situation for Washington so it is their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. Yes, the Wizards get the benefit of being at home for this one but that is also helping to keep this line very manageable on a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won B2B games on the road and will be hosting the Wizards on Wednesday so they are fully focused on Washington here and I look for them to build their run to 3 straight wins! Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the rested Sixers take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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10-31-22 | Capitals v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - Capitals have won 5 of 7 games and have scored an average of 4.4 goals in the 5 victories. The goaltending has improved for Washington after some early struggles but the defense is going to have its hands full at Carolina here. The Hurricanes are known for an aggressive forecheck and for creating plenty of scoring chances of the high-quality variety. Carolina will build off a 4-3 OT win at Philly and is ready to make up for a 6-2 loss in their most recent home game. The Canes have had only 2 home games and they did manage to score 4 goals in their home game. This is a highly talented offensive unit that will be on display here after scoring just 2 goals at home in their game here last week. The Canes are allowing 4 goals per game last 5 games so don't be surprised if the Caps also enjoy some success in the offensive zone in this one as well. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Carolina |
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10-31-22 | Steaua Bucharesti -101 v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - FCSB was one of the top clubs in the league last season again and they are on their way back up the table this season too after a slow start. In the month of October they have won all 4 matches and, with a win here, they can move up to #5 in the table of 16 teams. We get line value here because they are on the road. That means we have a manageable line to work with here as this match is at Universitatea Cluj. Note that the hosts are one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league this season plus they enter this match off B2B losses in which they allowed 2 goals in each match. FCSB has allowed a total of only 1 goal last 3 matches so Universitatea Cluj has their work cut out for them here and I do not expect this to end well for the hosts! FCSB has a tough match with Rapid next week so they know making sure they take care of business here to get the full 3 points is of the upmost importance here. Look for them to do just that and make it 5 in a row. 10* FCSB -105 |
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10-31-22 | Hermannstadt v. Mioveni OVER 1.75 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 50 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +115 in CS Mioveni vs Hermannstadt @ Noon ET - CS Mioveni is off B2B low scoring matches but this was preceded by a 3-match stretch in which all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. That said, prior to a scoreless draw with FC Botosani last week, CS Mioveni had seen last 4 matches average 3 goals. The last two matches between these clubs each totaled 3 goals and that included a key battle last summer in the Romanian Liga 1 Promotion/Relegation Playoffs. That said, intensity will be up for this match and I look for both clubs to be aggressive on the attack as a result. Hermannstadt has seen 10 of their 14 matches (and 5 of last 6) total at least 2 goals. With Hermannstadt having allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches, I do expect CS Mioveni to enjoy success at home here in terms of finding the back of the net. However, Hermmannstadt will answer too as they have have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match last 5 road matches. The clubs have combined for just 10 draws in 29 matches this season so the odds favor a 2-1 match the way I see this one unfolding. Even if we get to just 2 goals we get a push but I am fully expecting 3 or more in this one! 10* OVER 2 +115 in CS Mioveni |
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10-30-22 | Packers v. Bills OVER 47 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 46.5 or 47 in Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 ET - Very nice weather expected, surprisingly, for upstate New York in late October. Both offenses will take advantage. I know the Packers have been struggling on offense but watch Aaron Rodgers and company redeem themselves on national TV tonight as Buffalo's defense underestimates and comes in overconfident off the bye week. At the same time though, this GB defense has struggled much more than expected and now faces the best offense in the league and Josh Allen and company, at home and in nice weather, are going to put on a show in this one! Bills have averaged 40 points scored per game in their two home games this season. The Packers allowing 25 points per game last 4 weeks and facing a MUCH TOUGHER test here. By the way, GB has scored more than 20 in 3 of last 4 games and the Bills have allowed at least 20 points in 3 of last 4 games. Lets say the Packers get their 21 points here and the oddsmakers are right about the double digit spread...that puts this one into the low 50s! The fact is I am expecting much more than that given the situation and the good weather and this one could push the 60 range! 10* OVER 46.5 or 47 in Buffalo |
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10-30-22 | Jets +183 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line +175 / +180 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - The Jets lost to the Knights here 5-2 earlier this month. Winnipeg was down 4-0 after one period. No one on the Jets has forgotten this. Winnipeg off a win at Phoenix on Friday and they will win again here. Vegas is off a win versus the Ducks Friday but were outshot in the game and Anaheim had goalie trouble in that one with Gibson getting pulled. Speaking of goalie troubles, Rittich was in goal when the Jets faced the Knights the first time but now #1 goalie Hellebuyck will be in between the pipes for this one and he and Winnipeg will be ready to go. This is a revenge game and Vegas has won 3 straight but last season Vegas had 6 chances at a winning streak of 4 or more games and only 2 times in those 6 chances did they manage to win that 4th game. This season already they had a chance and failed in the 4th one too. Look, it is not easy winning in this highly talented league and streaks are hard to sustain. The Jets want this game badly and this looks like a great spot to fade Vegas. They have a 5-game road trip back east on deck and it starts with the Capitals team that won the Stanley Cup over the Knights just a few seasons ago. 10* WINNIPEG +175 / +180 |
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10-30-22 | Warriors v. Pistons +8 | Top | 114-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8 vs Golden State Warriors @ 6 ET - Back to back spot for Warriors who are winless on the road this season and they went into overtime at Charlotte last night so not a good situation here. Not only could Steph Curry and company need a little extra rest tonight, Jordan Poole is dealing with an ankle injury. The Pistons are off to a rough start to this season but they will take advantage of facing Golden State in a tough situation for the Warriors. You also know the home team will be up about having Curry and Company in town for this one. 10* DETROIT +8 |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans Pick or +1 @ Houston Texans @ 4:05 ET - The Titans Ryan Tannehill is out for this game. Malik Willis gets the start. I know he is an NFL rookie. I know he did not look good in preseason. But he started his college career at an SEC school, Auburn, and then went to Liberty so he could get playing time. He is a true dual-threat QB and in his two seasons at Liberty he threw for 47 touchdowns and ran for 27 touchdowns! He is not facing a great defense here. Also, unlike preseason, he is working with all the starting talent around him. This Titans team is first in the AFC South and this Texans teams is dead last in the division and one of the worst teams teams in the league. I think this is a classic case of value being created by an injury situation. Tennessee is the much better team and now is not even favored here and they have a strong ground game and will do damage on the ground here. The only team in the AFC with fewer losses than the Titans is the Bills. The Texans are tied with the Lions as the only teams in the NFL that have only 1 win on the season. There is simply a much bigger disparity between these teams than what this line is reflecting and we can take advantage of the added value. Houston's only win this season was against (now 2-5) Jacksonville. Tennessee has a game at Kansas City on deck so they know they need this game against the Texans. The Titans want to maintain their hold on the top spot of the division and next week's game at KC will be tough. Look for them to be fully focused here and everyone dialed in on offense to help Willis along and the result will be a surprisingly solid win here! 10* TENNESSEE Pick or +1 |
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10-30-22 | CFR Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs CFR Cluj @ 3 ET - This is a pretty simple write-up really. Farul is at the top of the league so far this season but these two clubs are right behind them and battling it out for the #2 spot in the table. Note that Rapid has just 2 draws in 15 matches and CFR Cluj has just 1 draw in 13 matches. That works out to a combined 3 of 28 draw rate or 11% chance of a draw. So if you like each club to score here and you know the draw rate is so low, you can feel comfortable with over 2 here as this one should get to at least a 2-1 final. Note that Rapid has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 14 matches. 5 straight Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. CFR Cluj has seen 9 of last 12 matches in Romania Liga 1 action total at least 2 goals. They have scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches in league action and have averaged 1.8 goals scored per match during this stretch. Both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here so we should see at least a 2-1 match here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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10-30-22 | West Ham United +425 v. Manchester United | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play West Ham United Money Line +425 @ Manchester United @ 12:15 ET - Big upsets, though rare, do happen from time to time and this looks like another one here! The Hammers have been playing much better of late and this line looks funny to me. It looks too easy to take Manchester United at home on either the goal line or money line. The pricing looks too easy. The closer I looked at this match and knowing the recent distraction the hosts have had with the whole Ronaldo issue, I started to like West Ham United more and more in this spot. Keep in mind, Man U is off a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Chelsea followed by a 3-0 win in Europa League Thursday. They could be getting a little fat and happy now with all the recent successes as they drew with Chelsea in extra time too. As for West Ham, they are 6-1-1 this month across all competitions and I think the Hammers - still so far down in the table - will prove to be the hungrier club here. I sense a massive upset in this one. 10* WEST HAM +425 |
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10-30-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Nottingham Forest getting high praises for a solid stretch in which they have allowed only 2 goals total over 4 matches. However, while they certainly deserve some credit, they caught slumping clubs in Liverpool and Aston Villa and Brighton at the right time plus they faced a Wolverhampton club that has scored less goals than anyone in the league this season. Now they face an angry Arsenal team that is 5-0 on their home pitching this season and those matches have averaged 4.2 goals. That is what I am looking for here. Nottingham Forest struggles to score goals but their confidence is growing and Arsenal is allowing 1.4 goals per match at home this season. So look for the visitors to slip one through at some point in this one but the hosts are -2 on the goal line for a reason! Look for at least a 3-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Arsenal |
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10-29-22 | Phillies +129 v. Astros | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +130 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Game 1 played out in the best way possible for the Phillies. The old saying of "a win is a win" is very true but, in this case, there might be no win better than that one for the Phillies to have a solid shot at winning the World Series. They were down 5-0 and on the road and facing a guy by the name of Justin Verlander! The fact the Phillies came back to tie it up quickly and then to eventually win it in the 10th inning is a huge boost in confidence. Philadelphia already came into this series with confidence but now they are starting to really believe. That makes for a dangerous dog and this is especially true when they have their best pitcher on the mound. Zack Wheeler over Framber Valdez here but I really don't care who the pitchers are. You saw how unimportant that was again yesterday. Hats off to Tucker for a huge game for the Astros but this Phillies team still has the more complete and confident lineup right now and that will shine through again here today. 10* PHILADELPHIA +130 |
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10-29-22 | Baylor v. Texas Tech OVER 60.5 | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 60.5 in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears @ 7:30 ET - The Red Raiders play extremely fast. They, by far, run more plays on offense per game than any other team on average this season. Texas Tech has a very dangerous passing attack, long known for an "Air Raid" offense and they got it going in a 48-10 win last week. The Red Raiders will move the ball against a Bears defense that has not been as good as advertised this season. Baylor particularly struggles on the road defensively and the weather is going to be very nice in Lubbock for this one too. So the Texas Tech offense should stay hot here but look for Baylor to answer them score for score as well! After all, this line is priced at nearly a pick'em for a reason! Look for this game to be a back and forth shootout! The Red Raiders had one bad game at NC State this season in which they scored only 14 points but in their other 6 games they have averaged 40 points per game! Also, in the 3 games prior to facing the Mountaineers, Texas Tech allowed 37 points per game. The Bears, similarly, had one poor offensive showing (at BYU) but have averaged 40 points per game in their other 6 games. You can see why I am expecting this game to get into the 70s and why I am fully confident we will get this one into the 60s at the very least. 10* OVER 60.5 in Texas Tech |
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10-29-22 | Leeds United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Leeds United @ 2:45 ET - This is a great spot for a home blowout for Liverpool. They have disappointed in recent EPL action but are off a big win in Champions League action which means they can afford to rest some guys in their next Champions League clash. That means they are likely to trot out their best here for this one on their home pitch and they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match when at home this season. Couple that with the fact they have recently disappointed in league action and you have the right situation for a home blowout here. However, I am most comfortable with the over here rather than any goal line side for example and I say that because Leeds is scoring an average of 1 goal per match and even a 3-2 final here would not shock me but I also would not be any more surprised to see a 4-1 final. So I am looking for 5 goals here but fully expecting at least 4 and look for an entertaining affair here as I feel the Reds will be relentless on their home pitch in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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10-29-22 | Everton v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - I know that Everton tends to play lower-scoring matches but Fulham at home is going to dictate the tempo here. Also, Fulham manager facing the club he formerly managed and will want revenge here. Fulham will be aggressive on the attack and their matches are averaging 4 goals this season! Indeed, Fulham is averaging 2 goals scored and 2 goals allowed per match. Everton is allowing 1.6 goals per match on the road this season. Given all of the above variables I know the hosts do not want to settle for a draw here and they play an aggressive style even at the risk of sacrificing the defense. That said, this one would not surprise me to get to 3-2 and I am confident we'll see at least 2-1 here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham |
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10-29-22 | Ohio State v. Penn State +15.5 | Top | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions +15.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ Noon ET - Remember when Penn State was so awful against Michigan and got blasted by the Wolverines? Yes? Well, so does everyone else and that is impacting this line. You know who remembers it the most? These Nittany Lions! They are at home and with a chance to make up for that embarrassment. They know they are better than that. They are not Ohio State and they are HIGHLY unlikely to beat the Buckeyes here. However, in my opinion, they also are HIGHLY unlikely to lose this game by more than 2 TDs. In fact, I expect this game to be decided by a single score as PSU has something to prove here and is capable of playing tough hard-nosed football against a very strong OSU team here. 10* PENN STATE +15.5 |
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10-29-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -130 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - We could take plus money on the money line here but then if the match ends in a draw we lose our bet. By playing the goal line at a pick'em, a draw is a push with our bet. I do expect a win here or I would not be betting it, but I will have the added insurance of playing this on the goal line. This is great spot for FC Voluntari as they are off an ugly 3-0 loss on their home pitch. They are ready to bounce back strong here and they will take advantage of a Petrolul Ploiesti that has lost 3 straight road matches by a combined score of 5 to 2. Note that FC Voluntari, prior to ugly loss last week, was on a 5-match unbeaten streak which including winning both home matches by a combined score of 4 to 1. The home/road dichotomy here is a big difference maker. 10* FC Voluntari PK -130 |
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10-28-22 | Penguins v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 10:05 ET - Finally...the Canucks got a win last night and they were the last NHL team this season to do it. Vancouver won 5-4 at Seattle but it was not pretty. Still, this will be a confidence boost for the Canucks but now little-used Spencer Martin will likely be between the pipes tonight. I have nothing against him for sure but he does not have a lot of NHL experience and he has started only once this season and he is facing an angry Pittsburgh team here. The Penguins are off a 4-1 loss at Calgary so that game, of course, stayed under the total. However, prior to this, Pittsburgh's first 6 games saw 5 total 7 goals or more. In fact, those 5 games averaged 8.2 goals per game! The Pens will come out firing here and I could see them jumping out to an early lead and not wanting to slow down. But, keep in mind, the Canucks finally got that first win and now they want that first home win of the season and they will be battling back in this one. Don't be surprised if we see this game get to at least 3-3 and that means nothing less than a 4-3 final would be possible. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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10-28-22 | BC v. Winnipeg OVER 50 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs BC Lions @ 8:30 ET - Rourke is back for BC at QB. They want to get him into rhythm before the playoffs start. This is the regular season finale. It really carries no meaning and I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity because of that key factor. Both teams are going to the playoffs and are hosting playoff games in the coming weeks. That means this game is all about staying in rhythm on offense. The weather is going to be nice in Winnipeg too by late October standards. Both offenses can air it out in this one. The Blue Bombers and Lions are both averaging 30 points per game. Don't be surprised if, based on that fact as well as the spread for this game, we see a 34-31 type game. Winnipeg has averaged 39 points per game last 5 games. BC has averaged 31 points per game last 4 games and now Rourke is back and he was phenomenal early this season before getting hurt. 10* OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg |
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10-28-22 | Phillies +156 v. Astros | Top | 6-5 | Win | 156 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +155 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - I am not going to sit here and tell you negative things about the Astros and Justin Verlander. The fact is this play is all about the line value. We get a red hot Phillies team with a pitcher capable of dominating and that pitcher, Aaron Nola, is from Baton Rouge LA which is only a 4 hour drive from Houston. Rest assured that making this World Series start near where he grew up is extra special. Nola has proven to be a big game pitcher and he was excellent on the road this season. He enters this start having allowed 1 earned run or less in 10 of his last 15 starts dating back the regular season. He is off a rare bad start at San Diego and in the regular season this year, when he was off a start in which he allowed 5 or more earned runs, he allowed a TOTAL of just 2 earned runs in 5 starts! That's right, after those 5 bad starts, he allowed 1 earned run twice and 0 earned runs 3 times. Complete dominance. Verlander did dominate the Phillies when he faced them earlier this month but the Phillies, who clinched a National League Wild Card berth the day before, rested a number of their regular starting position players including Jean Segura, Nick Castellanos, J.T. Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Kyle Schwarber! Verlander is off a great post-season start versus the Yankees but got rocked by the Mariners in the start before that. He is a great pitcher and the Astros are a great team but there is something special going on with this Phillies team right now. Nola is capable of a dominating start here and the Phillies have some long-ball hitters that could surprise Verlander here with a couple of key homers. ACTION ON PITCHERS as I am riding the big dog Phillies for a shocker in Game 1 no matter the starting pitching write-up. 10* Philadelphia +155 |
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10-28-22 | East Carolina v. BYU -3 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
Friday CFB 10* Top Play BYU Cougars -3 vs East Carolina Pirates @ 8 ET - This is as much a play against East Carolina as it is a play on BYU and, trust me, the Pirates are solid and respectable team. But I think the difference in the current level of these two programs is not being properly estimated by the betting markets here. Not only that, traveling West for a weekday game is not easy and is not something the Pirates are really use to either. They have been particularly spoiled by their early season schedule. That, to me, is one of the biggest keys here. I personally do not feel the AAC is a very strong conference. Yes, Cincinnati and UCF have had their moments in recent seasons but this is still not a Power 5 Conference like the SEC or Big 12 or Big Ten or ACC or Pac-12. So far this season East Carolina's toughest game had been versus NC State and though they fell just short that tight loss is becoming less impressive with each successive ATS loss that the Wolfpack continue to suffer. Now credit must be given for the Pirates beating UCF last week but that was a turnover-fueled win as the yardage and first downs were about equal. Plus East Carolina was at home for that one and the 21-point margin of victory is serving to give us line value here. BYU is an independent but has played a ton of tough match-ups. Tough game have included facing Baylor and Oregon and Notre Dame and Arkansas. Look for the battle-tested Cougars to bounce back and respond after an embarrassing loss at Liberty last week as they take advantage of home field here and stop their 3-game losing streak! 10* BYU -3 |
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10-28-22 | Hornets v. Magic OVER 224 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 224 or 224.5 in Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic are winless on the season and will be fighting hard for their first win here. They will have to score plenty to do that because the Hornets have continued piling up big points this season. Though Orlando might scare you to be involved with because of their 0-5 record, note they have played a tough road-heavy schedule so far. Also, this team scored 120 points in their only home game so far this season. Trouble was that the Magic allowed 126 points in that game. I know Cole Anthony is now out with an injury but the point guard shot a combined 8 of 28 last two games! Keep in mind that Anthony had only 14 points in the home game in which Orlando scored 120 versus Celtics. The point is that the Magic, even though still dealing with some injury issues early this season, are fully capable of putting up plenty of points here at home - just their 2nd home game of the season! Charlotte, not including OT points of course, has seen each of their 4 games this season total at least 231 points. More of the same expected here! 10* OVER 224 or 224.5 in Orlando |
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10-28-22 | Botosani v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs FC Botosani @ 11 AM ET - These two clubs have each played 4 matches in October and both are undefeated. Chindia Targoviste in particular is trying to turn their season around as they entered the month with no wins and now have won 4 straight to pick up 12 points in the table! Their average match this season is 2.5 goals and FC Botosani is off a scoreless draw but their 3 prior matches saw them score in all 3 matches. Also, the one before that they allowed 7 goals! 4 of the last 5 matches between these clubs each totaled at least 2 goals and those 4 actually averaged 3.3 goals. That is what I am looking for here...at least a 2-1 final totaling 3 goals. With a victory here, the hosts can tie up the visitors in the table at 18 points on the season plus Chindia Targoviste would be ahead of FC Botosani on goal differential. So I fully expect the hosts to push hard for the full 3 points here but the visitors are undefeated this month and will be up to the task too. Also, note that FC Botosani has seen 5 straight matches, before the last 2, total at least 2 goals. 8 of last 11 Chindia Targoviste matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Of course we don't want a push but if this lands on 2 a tie is certainly better than a loss. The way I see it playing out is a 1-1 match that then sees a hard push for the deciding goal and this one ends up 2-1 most likely. 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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10-27-22 | Utah v. Washington State OVER 55 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 55 in Washington State Cougars vs Utah Utes @ 10 ET - I fully understand the downward move on this total as both teams off a bye week and can be fully prepared defensively for what they are about to face and Cougars have scored only 12 points per game last two games! However, Washington State QB Cameron Ward did throw for 345 yards in the loss at Oregon State in which they scored only 10 points. Keep in mind too that in his last 3 home starts, Ward has averaged 339 passing yards per game! Also, he has a 12-5 TD-INT ratio in his 4 home games this season. Additionally, prior to 1 TD and 1 INT against the Beavers he did have a 2-0 TD-INT ratio at USC against the Trojans. I just think we will see a ton of points here because the weather will be chilly but decent because no precip and winds below 10 mph. Also, the Utes have allowed 42 points in each of last two games and Washington State will be ready for a huge home game! Also, the Cougars will struggle to stop the Utah offense! The Utes are averaging 41 points per game this season. Even if you take out the blowout win over an FCS school, Utah is averaging 35.3 points per game! They are a 7 point favorite here for a reason. A 42-35 or 35-28 type game sounds about right and you have a total in the mid-50s for this one. I'll grab the value! 10* OVER 55 in Washington State |
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10-27-22 | Oilers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 8:35 ET - The Oilers are off a low-scoring win over the Blues last night. That makes this a tough back to back spot for Edmonton. Their two games against St Louis this season have both been low-scoring. However, their other 5 games have averaged 8 goals each and there is nothing average about that! This game should get to at least 7 goals! The Blackhawks enter this one off a 4-2 win over Florida and this was preceded by 4 of first 5 games all totaling at least 7 goals. So Chicago and Edmonton both have been involved in plenty of high-scoring games and the Blackhawks enter this game on a 4-game winning streak in which they have averaged scoring 4.3 goals per game not including OT of course. I could see Oilers coming out a little flat in this one after the big win at St Louis last night and Chicago scores a few early but then Edmonton comes roaring back and then this turns into a back and forth affair with at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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10-27-22 | Ravens +2 v. Bucs | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Baltimore Ravens +2 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:15 ET - The Bucs have lost 4 of 5 games. Most concerning too is that their last 3 games have been against teams with a combined record of 7-14 this season. None of those teams have a winning record. Tampa Bay beat just one of them, Atlanta, but did not cover and TB enters this game on an 0-5 ATS run. In fact, 5 of Tampa's 6 games (since beating Dallas in season opener) have seen them face teams that currently have a losing record. The record of those 5 teams is now a combined 12-23. Consider that and now consider that the Buccaneers have lost 4 of 5 games! This team is just not the team it use to be. Keep in mind, former head coach Bruce Arians is now a senior football consultant for the Bucs. That is is not the same as being the guy patrolling the sidelines and calling the shots. That guy is Todd Bowles who should have stuck to just being a defensive coordinator (which he absolutely has excelled at). As an NFL head coach though, Bowles now has a combined record of 17-38 dating back to the 2016 season. John Harbaugh has a 47-25 record as head coach of the Ravens dating back to the 2018 season. Baltimore's defense was struggling earlier this season but they have started to turn the corner ever since a solid effort in the tight loss to the Bills. The Ravens offense is one of the better ones in the league in terms of points scored and is led by dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson. With the Bucs offense a shell of its former self, I have no hesitation in grabbing the points for a strong play with the road dog in this one Thursday. 10* BALTIMORE +2 |
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10-27-22 | Mavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 129-125 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +2.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:40 ET - I know the Nets are in a back to back spot here so many are jumping on the Mavericks. I get it. But this Brooklyn team from top to bottom is very angry and fired up and I am expecting a huge effort from them tonight as result. Last night frustrations boiled over in the loss at Milwaukee and head coach Steve Nash was dealt his first ever ejection as a head coach! That is how intense the situation was for the Nets last night. Now they are back home and ready to put the frustration to work for them in a positive way here and I fully expect a positive result to follow! Keep in mind that Dallas, just like Brooklyn, is off to a slow start. The Mavericks also have just 1 win on the season. By the way the home team is a perfect 3-0 in Dallas games this season and the home team is a perfect 3-0 in the Nets last 3 games. Look for this double perfect trending to continue here with another home win but I will grab the generous points being offered here as added insurance. I do expect the outright win though. 10* BROOKLYN +2.5 |
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10-27-22 | Panthers v. Flyers +195 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 195 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +180 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - In his first few seasons in the league, Flyers goalie Carter Hart has been stronger in his home starts than on the road. The young netminder is off to a fantastic start this season and is 4-0 so far. He is well-rested and fresh here as Felix Sandstrom has made 2 of the last 3 starts due to B2B situations. Note that Hart has not only won all 4 starts, he has allowed 2 or less goals in all 4 of them. Sandstrom started the first match-up with Panthers at Florida due to the scheduling situation but now Hart gets the rematch and it is in Philly where he has been strong through the years. Not including empty net goals, the Flyers have allowed 2 or less goals in 5 of 6 games this season! The Panthers, not including OT goals of course, have allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games. They have lost each of last two road games and have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 3 road games! The Panthers are way over-priced here as new head coach John Tortorella has Hart and this entire Flyers club playing much better team than the team we saw last year. I know we could grab some added insurance by laying a price to have the puck line here at +1.5 with Philly. However, prior to their 3-0 home loss to the Sharks in a tough back to back, the Flyers were 4-1 on the season including 2-0 at home. I am confident about the outright win here and going for the big payday with the money line. Look for the Flyers to improve to 5-0 in games that Carter Hart is in goal. 10* PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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10-26-22 | Lightning v. Ducks +149 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Anaheim Ducks Money Line +150 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 10:05 ET - I know the Ducks have been losing but all those games were on the road. They showed a lot of resiliency in their only home game so far this season and that was their season opener when they got the win in OT after rallying from a 2-goal deficit. I like the fact that goalie John Gibson got the game-winning assist in OT in that game and I feel a trip back home for the Ducks is just what the doctor ordered for Gibson and Anaheim to get back on track. The Ducks also did get a strong start from Gibson at Boston on the road trip but fell short 2-1. I know overall his play has been questionable but I have a feeling the Ducks are going to play very well tonight given this situation and the fact they are the more rested team. So even if Anthony Stolarz gets the start - I do expect Gibson - I look for Anaheim to come out firing on all cylinders and to get a rare strong effort from their rebuilt defensive pairings as well. Tampa Bay lost to the Kings last night and Andrei Vasilevskiy was in goal so this will most likely be Brian Elliott between the pipes for the Bolts. The veteran netminder has been a bit shaky and the Lightning defense has not been as strong this season and that continued last night in front of Vasilevskiy. So the home team is 6-0 in Ducks games this season and TB is in a tough scheduling spot here. I am grabbing the home dog here and with confidence as this is a top play for me. Love the set-up. 10* ANAHEIM +150 |
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10-26-22 | 76ers v. Raptors | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers PICK (-110) @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - I know Toronto wants revenge for the post-season exit at the hands of the Sixers in the spring. However, I look at the Philly starters and bench and compare to the Raptors starters and bench and to me it sure seems the 76ers are the much stronger and deeper team. This is currently even a magnified issues because Philadelphia is the healthier team. For Toronto, Otto Porter has yet to suit up this season and is doubtful for this game and the Raptors were hoping the new acquisition could be a solid contributor for them. Also, Scottie Barnes is listed as questionable for this contest. Even if he does play his ankle is unlikely to be 100% and he may not be able to play up to his full potential in this one. Again, if he even sees the floor! Yes, Toronto is off a big win at Miami but the Raptors rallied in the 4th quarter for the victory as they trailed heading to final stanza. Also, the Heat shot horribly from distance in that game. The fact the Raptors outscored the Heat by six 3-pointers (18 points) from beyond the arc was absolutely the difference in that win. As for the Sixers, they just got their first win of the season against Indiana. Getting that win over the Pacers is just what the doctor ordered! Philly will finally have some confidence back after a frustrating 0-3 start to the season. Look for the Sixers to look like a different team tonight and they have the better shooters in this match-up too and I just don't see the Raptors as being able to keep up in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA PICK (-110) |
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10-26-22 | Rangers v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs New York Rangers @ 7:35 ET - Similar to wanting to play the Devils last night but then feeling more comfortable (and cashing) with the over in a 6-2 New Jersey win, I am going total with this one because I think the Rangers will be a little angry off the 3-2 shootout loss to the Avalanche. So the Rangers may start slow here and they are likely to have a back-up goalie in there, since Shesterkin played last night. But eventually, the Rangers should battle back against their rivals. So I foresee a 3-3 type game that ends up a 4-3 final. Certainly we have some extra value having this total at a 6. The last time these teams met in the regular season the game totaled 9 goals. The Islanders have allowed an average of 4 goals per game in their last 3 and all were losses. But this was preceded by 2 wins in which the Isles scored an average of 6 goals. I do expect an Islanders win here as I don't expect all-world goalie Shesterkin to play in the 2nd game of a B2B but I just don't fully trust either Islanders goalie either right now. So the play here is the over in what should end up being a highly entertaining game. The Isles will want to get the jump early as they are at home and off 3 straight losses. I can see them doing that. But this Rangers team will not lay down and, despite recent results, does have some dangerous players in terms of offensive skillsets. This one gets to 7 or 8 in my opinion. 10* OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
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10-25-22 | Warriors v. Suns -2.5 | Top | 105-134 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 10 ET - The Suns have played the tougher schedule so far with a pair of a road games and their only home game was against at tough Mavericks team. Now Phoenix is at home facing the Warriors in a huge match-up. For Golden State, this is their first road trip of the new season. I feel this is a significant edge for the Suns in this spot and we are getting a bargain price with this line at -2.5 for Phoenix at home. The Warriors were great at home last season but only 22-19 on the road. The Suns were 32-9 both home and away last season! Amazingly only ONE of their 64 victories had a margin of victory under 3 points! Even in the post-season all 7 of their wins were by at least 3 points. So I have no hesitation in laying the points here considering that 70 of the 71 wins that Phoenix had last season were by at least 3 points! Also, the Suns are very hungry entering this season after losing in the 2nd round of the post-season to the Mavericks in 7 games. 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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10-25-22 | Devils v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - Even though the Devils are in a B2B spot here, I really wanted to back them here. The problem is I can not trust their goal-tending in this situation. Hence, my play has turned into an over instead and I really like the situational aspects to this one. New Jersey outshot the Capitals in a big way last night but lost at home as Blackwood had a rough game in goal. He even got replaced by Vanecek in the 3rd period. That said, both goalies were in action and Blackwood played the most and struggled badly. If he comes back tonight it is a tough spot for him. If Vanecek gets the call he faced the Red Wings earlier this season in his only start thus far and he struggled in that one. Detroit won 5-2. That said, I am looking for a lot of goals here because I know NJ wants revenge for that loss and is going to come out with a lot of energy here after last night's ugly loss. But the problem is New Jersey is going to struggle to stop Detroit. The goalie situation makes things even tougher in this B2B for the Devils and the Red Wings are scoring an average of 4 goals per game this season! The Devils have scored an average of 3.3 goals last 4 games and their 2 games before that each totaled 7 goals! Devils had been winning prior to the loss to Washington last night so they have plenty of confidence for regrouping here but the Red Wings have responded well to their new head coach this season. Lastly, each team has struggled a bit with turnovers leading to quality chances for their opponents recently and that helps our cause here as well! 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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10-24-22 | Bears +9 v. Patriots | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
Monday NFL 10* Top Play Chicago Bears +9 @ New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - First off I like the fact the Bears have extra rest since they last played Thursday. Secondly I definitely like the fact that Chicago lost that game despite having a huge yardage edge of nearly a 2 to 1 ratio over the Commanders. Thirdly, and the biggest key here, is that even though New England is 3-3 this season one should take a look at their schedule! The Patriots are 3-3 but the 3 wins have come against team that are 5-15 on the season. Now, of course, one could argue that the Bears are also a bad team and I certainly understand that sentiment. However, I have a strong feeling that the Pats are entering this game overconfident off B2B wins and facing a 2-4 Bears team. New England will end up surprised that this Chicago defense is quite solid. The Bears have lost 3 straight games but all were by 8 or less points. Chicago has a high compete level and they have a solid rushing offense and a strong pass defense. Oftentimes teams like this make the best big road dogs! By the way, Chicago has lost the money ATS just once in last 8 games against AFC opponents. The Patriots can improve to 4-3 with a win here and that would put them just behind the 5-2 Jets and 5-1 Bills in the AFC East but those 5-2 Jets are on deck for the Pats too. Could New England get caught looking ahead here? I do feel that New England will circle the wagons in time to win this game Monday but I don't see them covering this inflated spread. Bears will be in this game all the way and have a legitimate shot at the outright upset. 10* CHICAGO +9 |
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10-24-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +4.5 or +5 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:10 ET - This is a great spot for the Bulls. They are off an embarrassing home loss to the Cavaliers in which they actually were about equal in shot attempts from the field plus had more free throw attempts yet lost the game by 32 points! So what happened? The Cavaliers shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and had a hot shooting night overall. After getting embarrassed like this on their home floor I am sure Chicago is going to respond here. Remember the Bulls prior game was a road loss but just by 2 points and they opened the season on the road with a solid win at Miami also. Yes the Celtics are 3-0 this season but the teams they beat are a combined 1-8 so far. So maybe Boston caught the right teams at the right time but that is not the case here. I look for an angry Bulls team to be relentless at both ends of the floor tonight. 10* CHICAGO +4.5 or +5 |
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10-24-22 | Penguins v. Oilers -116 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -115 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 8:05 ET - This is a great contrarian spot in my opinion. Many will be looking at Pittsburgh here as an underdog as they are 4-0-1 on the season and yet to lose in regulation. However, the Oilers are the play. Edmonton has lost 3 of last 4 games but those were against teams that are a combined 14-3-1 this season! Compare that to the Penguins. Their 5 games are against teams that are combined 13-18 on the season and none of those 5 teams have a winning record this season! Pittsburgh certainly still deserves credit for their hot start but this is their first game played outside of the Eastern time zone and I expect this trip to Western Canada could be a bit tough on the Pens after they were spoiled by their early season schedule. Edmonton off a rare shutout loss and they go on the road after this and will not play another home game until the calendar has turned the page to November. They need, and desperately, want this game and I just don't see the Oilers being denied in this one. 10* EDMONTON -115 |
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10-24-22 | AFC Bournemouth v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in West Ham United vs Bournemouth @ 3 ET - Love the fact that both these clubs are off 1-0 matches last week. That has the betting markets leaning under in this one but I feel strongly we are going to see at least a 2-1 match here. I just don't see Bournemouth being delivered a clean sheet here but West Ham is a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. Looks like a 2-1 type match the way I see it. Bournemouth, prior to the loss to Southampton (the did outshoot the Saints), had scored 2 goals in each of last two games - one draw and one win. By the way, the last 3 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 4 goals and those 3 matches actually averaged 5 goals. The Hammers are off a tough 1-0 loss to Liverpool but had averaged scoring 2 goals per match in their last 8 matches across all competitions. West Ham has allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches. Also, in their last 4 home matches across all competitions, the Hammers have scored 2.5 goals per match on average and scored at least 2 in all those matches. Bournemouth got shutout in embarrassing 9-0 road loss to Liverpool this season so we will remove that unusual result from the mix but you will still see their other 4 road matches have seen them score an average of 1.5 goals and allow an average of 2.2 goals. Given all of the above plus the -1 on the goal line for the Hammers, you can see why I am fully expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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10-24-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi | Top | 1-0 | Win | 107 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 @ Sepsi @ 2 ET - FCSB was #2 in the table last season and #1 in the table the season before that. Yes, this team is currently down in the table this season but they are on a mission to move back up. For one thing, some of the clubs have played as many as 15 matches now but FCSB has only played 12 so they can still make a big move up the table. In fact, they can jump all the way to #6 in the table and move just in front of Sepsi with a win here. That is what I am fully expecting here but 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw and I like the value of the goal line here of having FCSB at a Pick +105 so if the match ends in a draw we get a push and get our money back. But I am absolutely expecting a win here. FCSB has won all 3 league matches this season and by a combined score of 7 to 3. Sepsi is off B2B losses against CFR Cluj and Farul Constanta. Those are two of the top clubs in the league but still FCSB has been right up there at the top with CFR Cluj in each of the past two seasons so truly this is another top club for Sepsi to deal with. That said, these hosts have scored just 1 goal in last two matches combined while FCSB has scored at least 2 goals in EACH of last 3 matches in league action. Look for the road team to continue their strong push. 10* FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Dolphins -7 vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:20 ET - Yes the Steelers just beat the Bucs but they were outgained in that game. The Dolphins lost to the Vikings but actually outgained Minnesota by over 200 yards in that game and had twice as many first downs. Miami was done in by turnovers in that one. The Dolphins get back Tagovailoa for this one at QB and still have Bridgewater and Thompson available to back him up. The Steelers welcome back Pickett at QB this week but he has struggled so far this season with a poor TD-INT ratio. Also, his back-up is Trubisky and he is not known for striking fear into opposing defenses. The Steelers are still in rebuild mode here and flukes like the upset win over TB will happen from time to time but Pittsburgh generally a different team on the road. Couple that with the fact that the Dolphins are starting a stretch in which their 5 opponents - including Steelers - have a combined record of 8-19-1, you know Miami realizes they can still salvage their season. They started 3-0 then went 0-3 and now they get back on track in a big way to improve to 4-3. Look for them to be revitalized with the return of their starting QB and playing at home in SNF. Miami has lost the money just 3 times the last 15 times they have been a home favorite. Dolphins roll by 7 or more in this one! 10* MIAMI -7 |
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10-23-22 | Wolves v. Thunder OVER 224.5 | Top | 116-106 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 225.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - Look for extra energy from each club here. Minnesota off first loss of the season and though that game went into OT it went over the total in regulation. OKC is playing their home opener so that adds an element of energy and excitement for an 0-2 Thunder team. These teams met already this season and that game should have gone over the total but a sub-par 4th quarter kept it just under the total. People were expecting new acquisitions for Minny were going to result in a slowdown but they have had plenty of pace in their games and are scoring very well. The Thunder also playing at a fast pace and scoring well but they can not stop anyone. That said, I think we're going to see a ton of scoring in this one as Oklahoma City again gives up a ton of points but, this time, they are in the game all the way to the end as home court is a big boost for the Thunder here. 10* OVER 225.5 in Oklahoma City |
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10-23-22 | Sharks v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Philadelphia Flyers vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:05 ET - Both clubs in a back to back spot here and I expect goals as a result. Philly gave up a lot of shots at Nashville last night but a rock solid Carter Hart, off to a great start in goal this season, was a big reason they allowed only 1 goal in the win. Tonight it would be either Hart in a B2B spot or Felix Sandstrom in goal. Neither option is ideal and though Sandstrom was respectable in his first start that was the Flyers only loss and they did lose that game 4-3. I noticed some things about the way Sandstrom played in that game and what he excelled at and what he struggled with and you can be sure the Sharks coaching staff saw the same things! San Jose is the only team in the NHL with more than 4 losses and they actually suffered their 6th defeat last night. So the Sharks are hungry to get into the win column but there is no way I am fading the red hot Flyers here. I really don't trust James Reimer in goal for San Jose as he was up and down last season and this season has started the same way. I don't expect to see the Sharks Kaapo Kahkonen between the pipes since he was in goal at New Jersey last night. The Flyers have scored at least 3 goals in every single game this season but I can't trust them to not allow at least 3 in this one because of the B2B situation. That said, I am looking for at least a 4-3 final and feel we have excellent line value with this total at 6 for Sunday. 10* OVER 6 in Philadelphia |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers OVER 49 | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 49 in San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:25 ET - Both teams off unders last week but that has set us up for great value here. The Niners had about 300 yards of passing offense at Atlanta but were done in by 3 turnovers. The Chiefs and Bills combined for over 800 yards of offense in their game but key missed early game opportunities prevented it from going over the total. This game makes up for all of the above. The Niners have great stats on defense this season but it could have a huge asterisk by it...really! San Francisco has faced horrible offenses in Chicago (and in rainstorm) and in league-worst Carolina. Also, the stumbling Broncos and and a Rams team when Stafford was struggling badly and the entire LA offense was a mess. The other two teams they faced were Atlanta (who scores well but is statistically poor on offense) and Seattle. Give a little credit for slowing down the Seahawks but you can see why I am not so impressed with the Niners defensive numbers when you consider 5 of the 6 opponents they have faced. Now they face a Chiefs offense that has been annually one of the best in the league for years now and it has continued this season. The problem for KC is their defense is very bad against the pass and I look for Jimmy G and the Niners (who add some key personnel this week) to have plenty of success at home against a bad Chiefs defense. Kansas City was averaging 32 points per game before last week's loss but also is allowing 25 points per game on the season. Look for this one to get well into the 50s and 60s would not shock me. The Chiefs already have been involved in 3 games that totaled 59 points or more! 10* OVER 49 in San Francisco |
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10-23-22 | Padres v. Phillies -134 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -135 vs San Diego Padres @ 2:37 ET - Action on pitchers. I do like this pitching match-up in terms of being in favor of the Phillies but either way I like Philadelphia here. San Diego had lost 7 of 12 games before coming up with 3 straight wins over the rival Dodgers. Now the Padres have lost 3 of 4 to the Phillies so far in this series including B2B games here in Philly. Coming back from giving up 4 runs in the top of the first yesterday shows the strength of this Philadelphia team this season both physically and mentally. Philly has the stronger lineup that is more confident right now and Phillies just seem like a team of destiny right now. Everything has fallen into place for them during a magical run and now lets talk about the expected starting pitchers as Phillies go for 9th win in 11th post-season game thus far. Zack Wheeler has allowed just 1 homer in his last 7 starts! Conversely, Yu Darvish has allowed 6 homers in his 3 post-season starts. Darvish also struggled with the longball late this season and this Phillies team is loaded with dangerous power. He pitched very well against Philly in San Diego but still was done in by 2 homers in the game while Wheeler pitched a 1-hitter over 7 scoreless innings in that match-up with Darvish! Now they meet again in Philly and Wheeler had a 1.85 ERA at home this season while Darvish had a 3.50 ERA on the road this season. I am riding this streaking Phillies team again and taking action on the pitchers as I look for them to avoid having to go back to San Diego and to punch their ticket to the World Series today! 10* PHILADELPHIA -135 |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ Tennessee Titans @ 1 ET - The Colts seek revenge for the first meeting and actually outgained the Titans by over 120 yards in that one and held Tennessee to just 243 yards in the upset loss due to turnovers. With Matt Ryan off a huge game in which he threw for nearly 400 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions, I love this spot with the Colts! Ryan had a bad game recently in the OT win at Denver two weeks ago but Indy is actually 3-1 the last 4 games and in his 3 games besides the Broncos game he has averaged 322 yards passing and thrown for 7 TDs against just 1 INT. I think Indy is quietly starting to turn their season around and, statistically they are much better than the Titans on both sides of the ball but Tennessee has been more fortunate because the Colts had some turnover issues this season. So we get some built-in line value here and I will not pass it up. Indy has the much better passing attack and much better pass defense and that will key the road win here. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 |
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10-23-22 | Newcastle United +0.5 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Sunday EPL 10* Newcastle United Goal Line +0.5 -120 @ Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Even though Newcastle is hurt some by the Joelinton injury, Tottenham is hurt even more coming into this match as Richarlison (calf) and Dejan Kulusevski (hamstring) are both expected to miss this one and that really hurts the hosts. I also feel strongly that disappointment is setting in at Tottenham after their 2-0 loss to Manchester United. I know the Hotspur are undefeated at home this season but situationally and, with the injuries, Newcastle is the play here. In recent seasons Newcastle was known for playing very poorly on the road and only being tough at home. That is not the case at all this season and the visitors are one of only 3 clubs in the league that has just 1 loss on the campaign. The only other two are Arsenal and Manchester City. That is pretty elite company for sure and the fact is Newcastle has been "kings of the draw" this season with 6 already in 11 matches. That said, I love having half-goal with the visitors here at a very fair price. Tottenham has even been tinkering with formations because of the absences or Richarlison and Kulusevski. The Hotspur just not the same club without those guys and the visitors are the ones entereding this match with momentum off a 1-0 win versus Everton. 10* NEWCASTLE UNITED +0.5 -120 |
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10-23-22 | CS U Craiova v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in UTA vs Universitatea Craiova @ 11:15 AM ET - Great value with this over available at 2 goals. We have to lay a little juice to have the over 2 but note that both clubs are off 2-1 finals last week with Universitatea Craiova prevailing and UTA falling just short. Now UTA is at home and should respond well here but I also look for Universitatea Craiova to continue their recent surge as they have lost just once in last four matches. That means we should see plenty of scoring here. 5 of last 6 Universitatea Craiova matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 6 matches have averaged 3 goals. As for UTA, each of their last 8 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. UTA has not delivered a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches and there has been only 1 draw in their last 5 matches. In the 4 with decisions, the victor had 2 goals in all 4 matches. Given all of the above, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. |
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10-23-22 | Fulham v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Fulham @ 9 AM ET - Fulham is the only club in the league that has both scored and allowed at least 18 goals on the season! Their average goals per match is 3.6 and I am certainly looking for at least 3, if not 4, to be scored in this one. Leeds is desperate for a win as they have not won a match in league action since 21 August. The hosts will be on the attack here and pressing hard as a result. Leeds will not be sitting back. As for Fulham they are off a 3-0 win over Aston Villa and will continue their positive surge here as they have scored an average of nearly 2 goals per match. Leeds are allowing 1.5 per match and Fulham allowing nearly 2 goals per match and Fulham has just 1 road draw this season and Leeds just 1 home draw this season. Both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one so I look for nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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10-22-22 | Washington v. California OVER 53.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 53.5 or 54 in California Golden Bears vs Washington Huskies @ 10:30 ET - There could be some wind for this game tonight in Berkeley but I still think this total, especially after the downward line move, is too low. Washington is going to push the tempo in this game and all 7 of their games this season have totaled at least 58 points and, in fact, have averaged 71 points! California's scoring defense makes it look better than they actually are as their statistical defense is similar to that of the Huskies and you have seen how crazy Washington's games have been this season. That said, plenty of points expected here as the Huskies have averaged 42 points per game on the season and an angry Cal team should score better at home after an embarrassing loss at Colorado. The Golden Bears have not scored well in their last two games but both of them were on the road. Cal opened the season 3-1 and that included 3-0 at home where they have averaged 34.3 points per game this season. So again, when you factor in all of the above, should this total be anything less than the 60 range? I really don't think so and I feel we are getting extra line value because of Cal's recent road struggles. They will respond here at home but the are not going to slow down the electric Penix and this thriving Washington offense. The Huskies have scored at least 38 points in 6 of 7 games this season! 10* OVER 53.5 or 54 in California |
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10-22-22 | Flyers +1.5 v. Predators | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 goals -130 @ Nashville Predators @ 8:05 ET - This is the front end of a B2B for the Flyers as they host the Sharks tomorrow in Philly. However, even if Felix Sandstrom gets the start in goal he did look quite good in the 4-3 loss to Panthers in Florida earlier this week. If it is Carter Hart, he is undefeated this season and has not allowed more than 2 goals in any start! Either way, I do like the fact the Flyers are 3-1 on the season and the one loss was by just a single goal. As for the Predators, they are 2-3-1 on the season and their only two wins were in Europe against a San Jose team that has proven to be off to a rough start this season. So the Predators have not won since returning to North America and they only have 1 win by a multi-goal margin in 6 games this season. So if you take the 4 Flyers games and 6 Preds games this season only 1 of the 10 have been a result that would give us a loss with Philly +1.5 goals! So 90% odds on the cover here based on ytd results. Again, that is just purely statistical but you get my point and I just really like the way this Flyers team is playing under Tortorella and they catch Nashville slumping here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 goals -130 |
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10-22-22 | Padres v. Phillies -105 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -105 vs San Diego Padres @ 7:45 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies are 17-5 last 22 home games including 3-0 in post-season. Overall, Philadelphia was 6-2 so far in the post-season before Nola's rare bad start in Game 2 cost them and they are now 7-3 in playoffs after they bounced back with a win last night. You can see why, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like the Phillies at home at a great price for this as it is in the pick'em range. Now I will briefly touch on the pitchers. Mike Clevinger starts for San Diego and he got rocked at LA by Dodgers last week. That was 4th straight ugly road outing for him dating back to regular season as each of his last 3 in regular season were rough. Now he pitches at Philly where the Phils do tend to hit much better than when on the road. As for Bailey Falter, he was a pleasant surprise for the Phillies this season. Yes, there could be some rust here after the layoff but I expect the lefty to settle in nicely at home in this one. The Phillies bullpen has been solid too in this post-season. The Phils continue to be under-valued by the betting markets and we'll continue to take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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10-22-22 | Minnesota v. Penn State -4.5 | Top | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -4.5 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 7:30 ET - Penn State is certainly no powerhouse this season but the same holds true for Minnesota and yet if you factor in the home field edge for this one it is almost as if the line would be a pick'em on a neutral field and I disagree with that assessment and feel we have excellent line value here! Minnesota is 4-2 this season but the wins were against New Mexico State, Western Illinois, Colorado and Michigan State. Well NM St and Colorado are very bad football teams. Michigan St is having a down season and W. Ill is an FCS school. The Golden Gophers opened the season 4-0 but against those teams. They have since been absolutely been dominated by an Illinois team that is playing very well but is certainly no Michigan (that is who PSU just lost to) and and the Golden Gophers also lost at home by double digits to a Boilermakers team that Penn State defeated earlier this season at Purdue! Also, even though Auburn is down this season the Tigers are an SEC program and PSU crushed them by 29 points. Their schedule has been tougher than that of Minny. I know they have Ohio State on deck but they won't look past this game and they are angry after being completely manhandled at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball against the Wolverines. So this game means more to them than you might think and, after first loss of the season, the Nittany Lions bounce back and also send over-rated Minny to 3rd straight loss! 10* PENN STATE -4.5 |
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10-22-22 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +2.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - Yes the Roughriders have been slumping but they are at home and off a bye week and, before the bye week, they fought hard at Hamilton in a tight loss. Calgary saw BC win last night to end their hopes of hosting the Lions in the playoffs. The Stampeders really do not have anything to play for here now. They just want to stay healthy as they are effectively locked into their playoff seeding. That said, even though Saskatchewan has struggled they are the play here. They are making a QB switch and they have the motivational edges and the home field edge and I just can't see Calgary putting up much of a fight in this one given the situation. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +2.5 |
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10-22-22 | Spurs v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 6:10 ET - The Spurs have allowed huge points in each game this season but they are off a win last night in which they scored 137 points and no there was no overtime. They shot the ball very well and nailed threes and they will be confident now heading into Philly. Keep in mind SA had 99 shot attempts in their first game this season so they are willing to play at a fast pace. I expect Philly to want to play at a fast pace in this one. They are angry off B2B losses to start the season and they need a huge game from Embiid here as he has had a frustrating start to the season. I don't see the Spurs interior as being capable of putting up must resistance in that regard. Also, the Sixers scored just 88 points versus Bucks because they shot so poorly including from 3-point land. I fully expect Philly to unload on this Spurs team that has given up massive point totals in their first two games this season. With Philly favored by about 13 points in this one and if Spurs allow their average of 132 points per game that puts this one at 132-119 and we don't need 250 to win this pick. In other words, you get my point. Even if Philly only scores 120 against this bad Spurs defense and the spread is right we still get this one into the upper 220s. Love this over as it should be a loosely played non-conference match-up that sees Philly score tons of points but the hot-shooting Spurs hang around and score well too. 10* OVER 223.5 in Philadelphia |
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10-22-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +6 | Top | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Oklahoma State Cowboys +6 vs Texas Longhorns @ 3:30 ET - Stillwater is not an easy place to play. I know the Cowboys are going to be fired up after they let their game slip away at TCU last week. Yes that was a 2OT loss so you might think that OSU will have trouble bouncing back this week or could be spent physically and emotionally. However, the key is that this game is at home. If it was in Austin, I probably would not trust Oklahoma State here but being at home and angry off the loss to the Horned Frogs and getting 6 points here...it just all adds up to a lot of value. UT is absolutely a much better team under the new coaching regime. However, Texas has only played one true road game (the OU game was neutral site of course) and they lost outright at Texas Tech as a 7 point dog and they had to rally just to send that game to OT. By the way, that same Red Raiders team lost to this same Cowboys team by double digits! Love the home dog value here. When coach Gundy is off a loss he has only lost the money ATS 5 times the last 20 games. Also, the Cowboys have covered 9 of last 11 ATS as an underdog in conference action. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +6 |
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10-22-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +110 in FC Voluntari vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste has won 3 straight matches and scored 2 goals in one of those wins. Overall, Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. FC Voluntari has won each of its last two matches on its home pitch and averaged scoring 2 goals in those matches. In 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs in Voluntari, the victor has scored 2 goals. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and like the value we are getting with the over available at plus money. 10* OVER 2 goals +110 in FC Voluntari |
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10-22-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 120 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 AM ET - Brighton & Hove would love to slow things down here but they are not going to slow down an attacking Manchester City as Erling Braut Haaland continues to re-write the record books. Off B2B scoreless efforts (only one in league action), I know that Manchester City is going to bring a phenomenal effort here on their home pitch where they have been so strong for so long and are on an amazing winning streak. Manchester City is scoring an average of nearly 5 goals per match at home this season! They absolutely could get us the win here all by themselves. However, I look for the hosts to be so aggressive in an effort to get back to winning ways by being in full-on attack mode here that it will open up some chances for the visitors. Brighton & Hove have averaged scoring 1.6 goals per match on enemy pitch so far this season. The thing is that Manchester City is just a machine right now and they have averaged 4.8 goals scored per match at home. Look for another goal-fest between these clubs as history repeats itself as the last 3 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. I am looking for a solid over in this one that gets to 4 goals at a minimum. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Manchester City |
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10-21-22 | BC v. Edmonton Elks +7 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +7 vs BC Lions @ 9:30 ET - BC is off big win versus Winnipeg last week. But the Lions scored 40 points on only 266 yards of offense! The key was 2 Blue Bombers interceptions and they also turned the ball over once on downs. BC clinched a playoff spot with that win but they actually were outgained by over 100 yards in that game. The Lions are still motivated to win this game because of playoff hosting scenarios, etc. But the Elks have not won at home all season long and this is their season finale. Edmonton really wants this game badly after falling just short when they hosted Toronto last week. The yardage was roughly equal in that game and the Elks are even hungrier this week as a result of falling just short against the Argonauts. Perhaps the hosts will indeed finish the season with an 0-9 record at home but I do see them getting at least a cover here and certainly would not be surprised to see the outright upset given the situation as the Lions are over-rated here plus could be a little flat in this game after knocking off the top team in the league last week. 10* EDMONTON +7 |
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10-21-22 | Jazz v. Wolves OVER 228.5 | Top | 132-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 228.5 in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz @ 8:10 ET - Like the fact that both teams got to games in the 223 to 225 range on Wednesday even though there were some strange results there. The Nuggets scored only 102 points at Utah on Wednesday but it is because they made just 5 of 22 three pointers. You know the Timberwolves are going to shoot much better than that from beyond the arc in this one against that same Jazz defense. Minnesota at home should score plenty here but I also like the fact that Utah's bench players combined to score 68 points in the win over Denver! That means even if Minny gets a big lead in this game the Jazz will have scorers coming in off the bench throughout and even late in "garbage time" if we need it. What I also like about this one is the fact that the Wolves game against the Thunder was played at a very fast pace. It absolutely should have gone over the total. OKC took 99 shots from the field including 45 from 3-point land. The problem is they made just 38% of their shots from the field and a modest 31% from beyond the arc. By the way, the Timberwolves made just 10 of 38 shots from 3-point land and that is highly unlikely to be repeated here. That was tough loss for us with that over in Minny the first time. A tough tight one in which we deserved much better. Tonight on Friday we'll get that "much better" this go around! 10* OVER 228.5 in Minnesota |
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10-21-22 | UAB v. Western Kentucky OVER 58.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 58.5 in Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs UAB Blazers @ 8 ET - The Hilltoppers and the Blazers both have some solid defensive stats but the offenses deserve plenty of credit too. Western Kentucky is averaging 40 points per game this season. UAB is one of the most efficient teams in the nation averaging 7 yards per play on offense! There is going to be plenty of scoring in this one. UAB had over 500 yards of offense last week so they should have scored even more than they did in their non-covering win. Western Kentucky had over 440 yards of offense last week but hurt themselves a bit with turnovers (3) or they would have more points than the 35 they ended up with. I like the fact that both these teams are off unders as that is helping to give us some value here. The Toppers had given up 31 or more in 3 of 4 games before last week's solid road win. The only one they did not, they scored 73 points themselves! So, again, we'll see points here. The Blazers had a low-scoring 21-14 loss at Liberty early this season but have averaged 39 points in their other 5 games. Again, WKU averaging 40 points per game on the season. You can see why I am expecting this one to get into the 60s and why 70s would not surprise me either. By the way, great weather expected here as well. 10* OVER 58.5 in Western Kentucky |
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10-21-22 | Padres v. Phillies +103 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 103 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +103 vs San Diego Padres @ 7:37 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies are 16-5 last 21 home games including 2-0 in post-season. The Phillies are 5-2 last 7 times they were at home and coming off a loss. Philadelphia was 6-2 so far in the post-season before Nola's rare bad start in Game 2 cost them. The Padres are 0-3 last 3 times they were off a win in which they scored more than 5 runs. You can see why, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like the Phillies at home at a great price for this as it is in the pick'em range. Now I will briefly touch on the pitchers. Certainly Joe Musgrove is solid but he had one of his worst starts of the season in his only outing against the Phillies this season as he allowed 6 earned runs and that start wasn't even at Philly where the Phils do tend to hit better. As for Suarez, he finished the regular season with a bad start versus Astros but that was on short rest and he could have been wearing down late in the season. He had just 4 days off between games and tends to better with 5 or 6 in between. Now, after a tough post-season start where he struggled with command of his pitches, he is very well rested here as he has not pitched in over a week and I expect he'll bounce back strong here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +103 |
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10-21-22 | Lightning -105 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lighting -105 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:35 ET - Really love this spot for the Bolts. I know this is a revenge game for the Panthers because they got swept out of the playoffs by the Lightning last season. However, lets talk about this season...Florida is 3-1 so far and Tampa Bay is 1-3 so far! The Bolts come in to this one hungry. They have been playing decently defensively and in goal when Vasilevskiy has been in there. He has allowed only 8 goals in 3 games. Compare that to the Panthers, mainly led by Bobrovsky, as they have allowed 3.7 goals last 3 games. I just don't trust the Florida defense and netminding. I know they are the higher-scoring team but the Lightning certainly are not without plenty of high-end talent up front and they have enjoyed plenty of success against the Panthers. Also, Florida still without some key players. When you add it all up you have a great spot for the road team to get back into the win column as, including playoffs last season, they are 3-0 the last 3 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses. 10* TAMPA BAY -105 |
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10-21-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 49.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 49.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7 ET - I know both teams are coming off high-scoring games last week but it is going to be windy in Hamilton for this one. Also, this game has huge playoff implications. Though Ottawa's chances of making the post-season are extremely slim, they can at least keep hopes alive for one more day with a win here. As for Hamilton, they need a win too as the bigger battle is between the Tiger-Cats and Saskatchewan for that final playoff berth. That said, both teams will play this game with playoff intensity plus it is a division rivalry plus the weather should help us. 10* UNDER 49.5 in Hamilton |
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10-21-22 | Farul Constanta v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta @ 1:30 ET - Battle of the top two teams in the league might have you thinking under. However, Farul has scored an average of 2 goals per match this season and they are the highest scoring club in the league. Farul will force Rapid to respond here and the hosts should do just that on their home pitch. Rapid's last 4 league matches each have totaled at least 2 goals and they averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match during this stretch. Farul has won 8 of 9 matches in league action and scored an average of 2.4 goals per match during this hot streak! Each club was involved in Cupa României action earlier this week as they each had a match Tuesday and each match totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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10-20-22 | Jets v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vegas Golden Knights vs Winnipeg Jets @ 10:05 ET - I know the Knights have not given up a lot of goals yet this season but a lot of that had to do with the teams they faced. Sure enough they are off first loss of season after facing Flames and giving up 3 goals in that one. This makes me like this spot even more. Vegas is at home and fired up off a loss. They had scored 4 or more goals in 2 of their 3 wins this season. With Winnipeg in a back to back it will likely be back-up David Rittich getting the start and he absolutely could be rusty here as, of course, the Jets have been relying on top goalie Connor Hellebuyck in goal so far this season. He back-stopped them to a 4-3 win last night and now the Jets carry momentum from the upset over the Stanley Cup Champion Avalanche. I look for Winnipeg to possibly be a little flat at first and get down in this game but they will battle back. I just don't trust the Vegas goalies and there is more competitive spirit in this Jets team with their new head coach. The result is this game ends up with a lot of scoring. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vegas |
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10-20-22 | Saints v. Cardinals OVER 43.5 | Top | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 43.5 in Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints @ 8:15 ET - The Saints will get Olave back at WR for this one. That is key as he had 9 catches for 147 yards in his most recent road game. Overall, in his last 4 games (before missing last week) he caught 22 passes and averaged 87 receiving yards per game. He had a TD in each of the last two games. Cardinals pass defense is not too good and the Saints do have respectable numbers on offense this season. New Orleans also has averaged scoring 30 points per game last 3 games but also has allowed an average of 30 points per game last 3 games. Arizona scored only 9 points last week but did have over 300 yards of offense. Look for Cardinals to bounce back here against a Saints defense that has struggled at times. I know Arizona lost WR Brown to injury they get Hopkins back this week. He is NOT coming back from injury, he is coming from a suspension. He is healthy, his batteries are fully charged, and this guy is a playmaker. He can't wait to get going in this game and will help bring out the best in QB Murray in this one as well. Saints have gone over the total in 3 straight games and the Cards are allowing 28 points per game at home this season. We get a low total because overall the NFL has trended to unders this season and it seems like in primetime that trend has been magnified too BUT these types of things have a way of reversing at some point and it tends to be when the markets start to have to over-adjust. That looks like the case here with this very low total. We'll take advantage! 10* OVER 43.5 in Arizona |