Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-22 | Jets v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in St Louis Blues vs Winnipeg Jets @ 8 ET - The Blues are expected to start Greiss again here. Though he won most recent start he allowed 4 goals and has now allowed at least 4 goals in each of his last 5 starts and the only one in 6 that he did not allow at least 4 he did allow 3 this season. He is just playing well and now gets a 2nd consecutive start but that is because no Blues netminder has stood out this season. That is why 10 of last 12 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals. Now I am well aware Winnipeg is a solid defensive team but, matched up with wild and crazy St Louis here I just do not think that will matter. The Blues are out for revenge from a 4-0 loss to the Jets in prior meeting this season and now they get this one on home ice. Hellebuyck is a great goalie but when he does tend to get tripped up is when he is on the road. In fact he has a 3.48 GAA in road games this season. The Jets do enter this game having won 5 of 6 games and they scored an average of 5 goals in those 5 wins. Winnipeg is hot but the Blues are off a 7-4 win and this one should be a barn-burner. 10* OVER 6 in St Louis |
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12-08-22 | Iowa State v. Iowa -3.5 | Top | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 8 ET - This is another game where I am fading line movement. The Hawkeyes opened up as a bigger favorite versus the Cyclones but Iowa State is a ranked 1-loss team and Iowa has lost 2 of 3. Of course this has Iowa State getting a lot of attention and the line is now down to as low as a 3.5 and I am happy to fade the line movement. The Cyclones one loss was ugly by 18 points to Connecticut. Also, their win over Villanova game in OT and is less impressive given the Wildcats are not the same team they were under coach Jay Wright and with key personnel now gone. Also, some will point to the Cyclones win over North Carolina but the struggling Tar Heels have now suffered a 4-game losing streak. I also like the fact that the Hawkeyes are off a loss by a double digit margin to Duke at MSG. Coming off a loss they will bounce back here and note that both their losses this season were on a neutral floor but they are a solid team when at home. There is a good reason the unranked team with the lesser record is the favorite here. 10* IOWA -3.5 |
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12-08-22 | Predators v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators @ 7:07 ET - The Lightning are expected to go with goalie Brian Elliott for this one. He has a great record this season but constantly is involved in high-scoring games. We get line value here because the Predators are known for lower scoring games and that is helping to hold this total at a 6. The fact is that Elliott has been giving up goals in bunches. As for the Predators, they are off B2B wins and have averaged scoring 3.5 goals in regulation time of their last two games. Look for the Preds to enjoy success firing shots at little-used Elliott as Vasilevskiy gets a break tonight. As for the Lightning scorers, look for a big game as the Preds were allowing 4 goals per game last 9 road games before the 4-1 win in most recent road game. Also, TB is angry off a loss so I am expecting a big bounce back from them here. The Lightning had averaged 3.7 goals per game, not including OT/SO of course, before their 4-2 loss in most recent game. They will bounce back strong here. They are 3-0 last 3 times when off a loss and have averaged scoring 5 goals per game in those wins. But can't back them here with Elliott in goal. That means we should be looking at a solid over here. 10* OVER 6 in Tampa Bay |
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12-07-22 | Hawks v. Knicks -113 | Top | 89-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks Money Line -113 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The Hawks are off a loss and would love to bounce back here but they are hurt by injuries right now. They are missing their starting frontcourt and 2 of their top 4 scores as Hunter and Collins are out with injuries. Atlanta has lost 4 of 6 games and the Knicks are the much healthier team and offering solid line value at home here. I like the fact that New York is off a solid defensive win and has allowed an average of 105 points last 4 games. The Knicks have averaged 115 points per game last 7 games, not including OT points of course. The Hawks still have Young and Murray of course but missing both Hunter and Collins at the same time is just too much to overcome here on the road. Also, I like the fact that the Knicks have home loss revenge here because the Hawks beat them here in New York in early November! Collins led Hawks with 13 rebounds and Hunter was 2nd leading scorer with 21 points. Again, neither guy playing tonight plus Young was held to 17 points and a bad shooting performance which reflects there is a match-up issue here and that will be magnified here because Knicks can focus more on defending the backcourt with the frontcourt of the Hawks being the walking wounded. 10* NEW YORK money line -113 |
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12-07-22 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:35 ET - Columbus is in the 2nd game of a back to back. Though they were held to 1 goal on that loss at Pittsburgh last night, they had plenty of chances but Penguins goalie Jarry had a big game. That said, the Blue Jackets will push even harder tonight on home ice and given the recent penchant the Sabres have for high-scoring games, I feel we will see plenty of scoring in this one. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is expected to get the start for Buffalo and he has allowed 14 goals in his last 3 starts plus he allowed 4 goals in his only road start this season. He is only 23 years old and has limited NHL experience. So the Blue Jackets should bounce back here but I also look for the Sabres to have a huge game offensively. Buffalo has won 4 of 7 games and a big key has been offensive production as they have scored at least 4 goals in 6 of those 7 games. In fact, in those 6 games they averaged scoring 5.3 goals per game! The Blue Jackets will take advantage of the fact the Sabres have allowed 4.2 goals per game last 5 games. Of course none of these stats include OT or SO. Columbus has not been scoring well of late but facing Buffalo will help in that regard as they will find plenty of home ice and, even with the recent slump, they have averaged 3.1 goals per game last 9 games. Fully expect much more than just this but the point is that each team should get to 3 goals here given the above and that means we are looking at least a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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12-07-22 | Pennsylvania v. Villanova OVER 139.5 | Top | 59-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs Pennsylvania Quakers @ 7 ET - This is a Big 5 match-up in Philly as Nova and Penn join with St Joseph's and Temple and La Salle as the informal "Big 5" association in Philly. These games always mean a little something extra and these teams try to one-up each other and in this case I feel that is going to lead to a lot of offense here. Pennsylvania has seen Dingle go on a major hot streak right now and he is such a big scorer. Overall the Quakers continue to pile up points. Yes, we must eliminate the OT points from the equation but, even after doing that, the Quakers have averaged 75 points scored per game last 5 games in regulation time! The Wildcats though are, of course, favored by a big double digit margin here for a reason. The thing about this Villanova team however is they are different without Jay Wright behind the bench. This season, with a new coach, the Wildcats continue to put up big points but have not been the same on the defensive end. Look for that to continue here. The Cats have scored an average of 69 points per game last 5 games, not including OT of course. However, the Wildcats also have allowed 72.6 points per game last 5 games. Penn has allowed at least 69 points in regulation time of last 4 games. Again, they have averaged 75 too last 5 games. So look at the line on this game and you can envision a game getting into the 160s but at least 150s and certainly should reach 140s at a minimum. This one should have high entertainment value for sure if you like scoring! 10* OVER 139.5 in Villanova |
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12-06-22 | Pistons v. Heat OVER 222 | Top | 116-96 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER 222 in Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:40 ET - Not including OT points of course, each of Pistons last 3 games have totaled at least 234 points! This posted total is a dozen points lower than that. The Heat are known for lower scoring games but are coming off a low-scoring loss and now are going to take advantage of facing a weaker foe and will be willing to play at a faster pace tonight. Prior to the 101-93 loss, and not including OT points of course, 4 of last 5 Miami games totaled at 217 points. This total is slightly above that number of course but the point is those games were not against a bad Pistons team that has not been playing much defense either. So the point is we should see plenty of scoring here as the Heat go for the big win and Detroit is happy to play at a fast pace even at the expense of defense. 10* OVER 222 in Miami |
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12-06-22 | Blues v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs St Louis Blues @ 7:37 ET - Blues off 6-4 loss to the Rangers last night. So this is a back to back and Binnington has struggled badly in goal and was in the crease last night. That means Greiss is likely to be in net here and he has struggled as well. That is a big reason that St Louis has seen 9 of last 11 games total at least 7 goals. We get this posted total at only 6 goals because the Islanders have more of a lower-scoring reputation but you know St Louis is going to want to respond off last night's ugly loss but will struggle to stop the Islanders. The Isles have won 4 of last 5 home games and have averaged scoring 3.5 goals per game in those 4 wins. I look for them to get to at least 4 goals here given the Blues recent struggles in their own end and we should see, at the very least, a 4-3 final here. 10* OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
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12-06-22 | St. Joe's v. Temple OVER 141 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 141 in Temple Owls vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7 ET - Don't look for much defense here! This is a Philly battle but both teams simply will be looking to outdo each other on the offensive end. Note that St Joseph's is off a 97-80 loss and this was preceded by an OT win what was 74-74 at end of regulation. The Hawks have now allowed at least 74 points in 5 of their 7 games this season. They can score well though too, they just do not get many stops! As for Temple, they have won 3 straight games and score an average of 74 points per game in those 3 wins. They just allowed 73 points in most recent victory and they are seeking revenge here for a ridiculous 68-49 loss to the Hawks last season in which they took 64 shots but made only 20 of them plus they went just 2 of 20 from three-point land! The Owls get their revenge here but I am not laying double digits with them. To me the value play here is an over that should get into the 150s! 10* OVER 141 in Temple |
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12-06-22 | Spain v. Morocco OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Morocco vs Spain @ 10 AM ET - Morocco will try to let their stingy defense rule the day but Spain has too much attacking power including on a deep bench if needed. So Morocco will have to rely on offense here and they have scored 2 or goals in each of last two matches plus 8 of last 10 across all competitions. That said, I don't feel we need 2 from them to prevail here as I expect Spain to prevail with at least a 2-1 final. So Morocco scores just once we should be good! Amazingly Spain has scored at least 1 goal in 24 straight matches across all competitions and has averaged 2 goals scored per match during this stretch! 10* OVER 2.5 in Morocco |
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12-05-22 | Canadiens v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Montreal Canadiens @ 10:35 ET - Sometimes the Canadiens do not score a whole lot but remember this is the Canucks we are talking about and that helps matters. Vancouver is constantly getting involved in high-scoring games and the Canadiens also have a goalie issue tonight the way I see it. If they go with Allen he'll struggle as he continues to have a very rough season. If they go with Montembeault, he could struggle too because of the rust factor. He has not played in about 10 days. These teams combined for 7 goals when they met in Montreal and the Habs had 5 of them in the 5-2 win. Canucks out for revenge here but they tend to give up a lot of goals. They are off a 3-2 OT win over Arizona but this is not the Coyotes they are facing tonight! Prior to that win, the Canucks had allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 15 games! 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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12-05-22 | Saints v. Bucs -3 | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 vs New Orleans Saints @ 8:15 ET - The Saints are just 1-4 on the road this season. They have 8 losses on the season overall and all have been by at least 3 points. This line dropping to a solid 3 has given us great line value here given the above. Note that Tampa Bay is off an OT loss but this was preceded by B2B wins. Also, the Bucs 5 wins this season have all been by at least 3 points. Tampa has allowed 17 points or less in regulation time of each of their last 3 games. The Saints had allowed 20 points or more in 10 of 11 games this season before last week's ugly 13-0 loss. In fact the average points allowed in those 10 games was 26.7 and then look at what TB has done recently on defense and you can see why I like the Bucs at home here. 3 of the past 4 games the Saints top rusher has had 30 rushing yards or less and last week it was QB Andy Dalton with 21 yards! That is not good news as that means New Orleans likely to struggle to run the ball here and the Bucs have a very strong pass defense. Also, the Bucs have seen White run for 105 yards and 64 yards the past two weeks. Take advantage of the line move. 10* TAMPA BAY -3 |
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12-05-22 | 76ers -8 v. Rockets | Top | 123-132 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 @ Houston Rockets @ 8:10 ET - Harden likely to come back tonight for this game and will be facing a former team in their city. Not only that, the Rockets just got back from a long road trip out west. Not only that, the 76ers are angry off B2B losses. Philly lost 3 straight games to open the season but that has not happened since. The Rockets 10 of last 13 defeats have been by 8 or more points. Their last 10 losses by an average margin of 12.6 points and they also have a winnable game against the rival Spurs on deck. Bad spot for Houston and great spot for a rejuvenated Sixers team to rally around the return of Harden tonight. If for some reason he did not play I still like Philly tonight given all the other variables here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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12-05-22 | South Korea v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brazil vs South Korea @ 2 ET - Great set up here for plenty of goals as South Korea must go for it here and be aggressive on the attack. They can't sit back on their heels and try to sneak out a tight low-scoring win because Brazil has just too much for them to handle on the attack. Being aggressive on the attack will get South Korea in trouble in their own end of the pitch however. That means Brazil, on the counterattack and loaded with weapons, should score plenty here. Even though Brazil is off that 1-0 loss to Cameroon, do not put too much weight into that. They are certainly going to take advantage of the scoring opportunities presented to them. They entered that match with Cameroon having won their last 4 matches across all competitions by a combined score of 11-1. That is an average score of about 3-0 but I do expect a solid South Korea club to make the net ripple at least once in this one. So look for a 3-1 type of match here. Note that Brazil actually had scored an average of about 3.2 goals per match during 9-match winning streak prior to the loss to Cameroon. The key here too is Brazil has some injuries impacting their defense and South Korea has enough weapons to attack for sure. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brazil |
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12-05-22 | Mioveni v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs CS Mioveni @ Noon ET - I am looking for a big win here for FCSB but don't want to get burned if they end up winning by just 1 goal and of course not going to lay 3 to 1 odds on the money line either! That said, the value here is with the over in my opinion as this is a match that could likely end 2 to 1. Look for FCSB to stay hot as they are on their home pitch and CS Mioveni has been the worst team in the league this season. FCSB has scored an average of 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. The problem for FCSB is they have allowed an average of nearly 2 goals per match last 21 matches across all competitions. Specific to league action FCSB has allowed at least 1 goal in 14 of 16 matches! So, again, just see CS Mioveni finding the back of the net at least once here but FCSB ultimately prevailing and that puts this one to at least a 2-1 final though we'll gladly take much more and would do just fine with a 3-0 win as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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12-05-22 | Croatia +103 v. Japan | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play Croatia +100 vs Japan @ 10 AM ET - Japan still over-valued here. That is because of the big upset wins they had over Germany and Spain but they were outplayed by Germany and some are also questioning how badly Spain even wanted to win the other match as perhaps they wanted to avoid an immediate meeting with Brazil in this next round. So the point is take a little of this with a grain of salt and also note that Japan did lose to Costa Rica too! Now they face a solid Croatia club known for stellar defense and the underdogs will be outplayed again, like they were against Germany, but this time they can not do enough for the win. 10* CROATIA +100 |
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12-04-22 | Colts +10.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +10.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - The Colts have a bye week on deck and are off a loss. Cowboys off a big divisional win over Giants. Big difference in the situational dynamics here. Also, Indianapolis has covered 7 of last 10 as a road dog and have gone 8-1 ATS the last 9 times when they have a bye week on deck. The Cowboys are the better team for sure but this is a lot of points. I don't necessarily agree with the Indy coaching change but the Colts did win their first game against the Raiders and then gave the Eagles all they could handle before ending up with a poor effort against the Steelers. I look for Indianapolis to bounce right back here after the loss to Pittsburgh. Even though Colts are just 4-6 last 10 games only one of those losses was by a double digit margin. Also, Dallas has some big wins this season but, out of 11 games, only 5 have resulted in a Cowboys win by more than 8 points. If you look statistically at the Colts, there are very sound on defense. Dallas could struggle here on offense and you know Indy will be bringing a strong effort as they are off B2B losses plus have the bye week on deck. Cowboys have allowed 20 or more points in 4 of last 6 games. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +10.5 |
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12-04-22 | Sharks v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:05 ET - B2B spot for Sharks and they lost 5-2 at Ottawa last night. Now Aaron Dell will start in goal. He was solid in his first start last week but he had not been great at the AHL level this season and he struggled badly at all levels the past couple seasons. In other words, lets not put too much weight into one start and his overall level of play in recent years suggests he is likely to struggle here at Buffalo. The Sabres have seen 13 of last 17 games total at least 7 goals and the last 3 all totaled at least 9 goals! More of the same here as Sharks have allowed a pile of goals in their losses and they will be in trouble here in 2nd game of B2B against a Sabres team that scores well at home. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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12-04-22 | Bulls +3 v. Kings | Top | 101-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +3 @ Sacramento Kings @ 6:10 ET - The Kings are off huge win versus a short-handed Clippers team. That game was in LA yesterday. So it is not a big travel spot but it is still a travel situation and it is a back to back. Now they face a rested Bulls team that is angry off B2B losses. Chicago is the play here. Kings have been playing better but had lost 3 straight before B2B wins and the Bulls come into this one hungry. Chicago only has had one losing streak go longer than 2 games. The other 3 were all 2-game losing streaks that ended on that 3rd game. That is what I expect here. There is a reason this is a road game and yet Bulls are only a 3 point dog even though Sacramento has such a solid record. Don't let the line fool you. 10* CHICAGO +3 |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 49.5 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 4:25 ET - Two of the weaker defenses in the NFL are matched up here. Then you look at the offense and both teams emphasize the passing attack. The Raiders are more balanced but the Chargers ground game struggles so they throw throw throw. Las Vegas was shut out in one game this season but they have averaged 26.5 points per game in the other 10 games. Los Angeles has averaged 25 points per game in their 6 road games this season. The first meeting totaled just 43 points but that was first game of the season and a lot has changed since then. The fact is that result merely helped to keep this posted total lower than it should be. Las Vegas has scored an average of 30 points last 3 home games. The Chargers offense getting stronger again too as they have recently gotten healthier and it is paying off in terms of production. B2B overs for LA and another on top here. The Raiders are 4-0 to the over this season in home games. That trend continues here. 10* OVER 49.5 in Las Vegas |
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12-04-22 | Senegal v. England OVER 2 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in England vs Senegal @ 2 ET - So we have to lay some juice to have this total at over 2 but that is a big value here. I fully expect 3 or more but if this lands on 2 then we get a push instead of a loss. England has scored at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 matches and has averaged 3 goals scored during this 4-match stretch. Senegal is missing a couple players but they have hungry guys ready to step in too on the world stage. Also 12 of their last 13 matches have totaled at least 2 goals and they do have some attacking power too but will, of course, struggle to stop England. The favorites are so powerful and potent. By the way, those 12 Senegal matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I expect that to be the case again here. 10* OVER 2 in England |
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12-04-22 | Rapid Bucuresti -124 v. Arges | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti Money Line -130 @ FC Arges @ Noon ET - Rapid has been playing much better recently and we get them with line value here because they are on the road. So we can take advantage of the home/road line value gap! As a result we get the much better team, Rapid, at a very price because this match is at FC Arges. Rapid has won each of the last 3 match-ups with FC Arges and the combined score was 5 to 1. More dominance expected here as FC Arges has scored only ONE GOAL in their last FIVE matches as a host! So very little home value for them here and Rapid actually has scored an average of 1.5 goals in last 8 matches! Rapid has climbed up to the #3 spot in the table but they had a loss and a draw in recent action so time to resume the winning! 10* RAPID -130 |
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12-04-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs Chindia Targoviste @ 8:30 AM ET - First off it is great value to have an over 2 rather than 2.5 here. Additionally, the kicker is that CFR Cluj has had only 1 draw in 17 matches this season! The way that factors in here is I fully expect Chindia to score at least 1 goal but Cluj is a big favorite for a reason. This one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final as a result. CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals per match over this stretch. Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 13 of last 14 matches and averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 13 matches. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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12-03-22 | Purdue v. Michigan OVER 51.5 | Top | 22-43 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 or 52 in Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers @ 8 ET - The Wolverines have a great defense but how much will they have left in the tank after B2B hard-fought wins over Illinois and Ohio State. Yes this is the Big Ten Championship and they will be ready to go here but this Boilermakers offense ranked as the best one in the Big Ten West and will give the Michigan defense the biggest challenge here. On the other side of the ball, the Boilermakers defense is the worst of the Big Ten West teams that were still in contention for making it to this game late in the season. That said, the Wolverines will score a pile of points in this one! Michigan is averaging 40 points per game this season. Even away from home this season the Boilermakers have averaged scoring 27.5 ppg this season. Of course Michigan is a huge favorite here for a reason and even if they start slow I look for them to end up scoring big in this one. The Boilers are playing this game very near their home and will have so extra "juice" in them here as a result but they will have to rely on their offense to try and hang around in this game. Look for them to do just that here! This one will feature plenty of points as a result. 10* OVER 51.5 or 52 in Big Ten Championship Game |
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12-03-22 | Sharks v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:07 ET - The Senators are in the 2nd game of a B2B and that means it will likely be Forsberg in goal for the Sens. He has not seen action in awhile and could be rusty plus has not played all that well this season. Looking for goals here. Ottawa has allowed at least 4 goals in 10 of last 12 defeats. The Senators had scored an average of 5 goals per victory in their first 7 wins this season before last two were 3-2 OT wins. Considering Forsberg is in goal here, win or lose, we should see plenty of goals in this one as you can see from the above trending in wins and losses. San Jose's has seen last two games trend under but this followed 13 of 15 totaling at least 6 goals and 12 of the 13 totaled at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6 in Ottawa |
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12-03-22 | Bucks -6 v. Hornets | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -6 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 6:10 ET - Even though this is a back to back spot for the Bucks it is also a back to back spot for the Hornets. The key here is Milwaukee off loss and Charlotte off a win. The Hornets are 1-5 SU when off a win this season and 4 of those 5 losses were by at least 7 points. The Bucks are 4-1 SU when off a loss this season and 3 of the 4 wins by at least 8 points. More of the same on tap here. This road team will be very hungry off the loss as that was just their 6th loss of the season and it was the first game that Middleton came back. The Bucks will want to redeem themselves here and facing a Charlotte team that loses about 2/3 of their games will certainly help in that regard. 10* MILWAUKEE -6 |
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12-03-22 | Illinois-Chicago v. Drake -16.5 | Top | 64-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play Drake Bulldogs -16.5 vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 6 ET - The Flames just got hammered by Missouri State. The lost that game by 15 and face a much tougher test here. Not only that but when they lost to the Bears, they allowed 20 more shots from the field. In other words, the final margin could have easily been much more than 15 points. Today it will be as the Bulldogs are angry off their first loss of the season. Drake lost at Indiana State by 2 points but it was because they did not shoot well at all from downtown. The Bulldogs were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land. Now at home Drake will shoot much better and will also show no mercy against a Flames team whose last two losses have been by at least 14 points. UIC faces a Bulldogs team that had allowed only 63 points per game in first 6 games this season. Flames most recent road game was against a winless Green Bay team and they rolled but now they face a Bulldogs team that was undefeated prior to the loss to the Sycamores. 10* DRAKE -16.5 |
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12-03-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane -3.5 | Top | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Tulane Green Wave -3.5 vs Central Florida Knights @ 4 ET - UCF has had the number of the Green Wave for years now including the meeting earlier this season. That said, why is Tulane favored by more than a field goal here? Exactly! Lay it! This game is priced this way for a reason! The Green Wave have the better defense in this match-up. Their star RB is now healthier. Conversely, the UCF QB Plumlee is set to play in this one but he is not 100%. He is dealing with a hamstring issue. Look for a big ground game from the Green Wave here and look for the Knights offense to continue to stammer and stutter a bit as they have been in recent games. Just do not think Plumlee will be himself here. The Knights defense has had some lapses recently and remember they recently lost to Navy and plus had to rally late, after blowing a huge lead, in their win over a bad South Florida team. So this UCF team is not peaking at the right time and, for the Green Wave, their only AAC loss was to Central Florida and now they can get revenge here. 10* TULANE -3.5 |
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12-03-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Universitatea Craiova vs U Craiova 1948 @ Noon ET - The last 3 meetings between these clubs all saw the winning team total 2 goals. The first meeting this season was a 2-1 victory for Universitatea Craiova and now they are on their home pitch but you know their rivals will put up a fight here. U Craiova 1948 has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 7 matches. So even though they went revenge here and will do their best to get it, they are likely to struggle to stop the hosts on the attack in this one. Universitatea Craiova has scored 1.5 goals last 10 games. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. There is a reason so many Romania Liga 1 matches have posted totals of 2 goals but yet this one is a 2.5 on Saturday! Look for big scoring here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Universitatea Craiova |
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12-03-22 | United States v. Netherlands OVER 2 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Netherlands vs USA @ 10 AM ET - I know these clubs have trended to lower-scoring games thus far but USA does appear healthier than expected entering this one. Also, the Netherlands will play a different style here with this match-up than they did in the qualifying round matches. They know they have the firepower to give USA a lot of trouble here. At the same time just can't see USA laying down here so that means each club scores at least once in what should end up at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. But I love the value of having over 2 goals if this one lands on exactly 2 as we then get a push. But look for the win here as Netherlands themselves have actually averaged 2.64 goals per match their last 25 matches! Even just looking at this year's matches they have averaged 2.2 goals scored per match in 2022. USA has averaged 1.5 goals scored per match in 2022. Just can't see either team being held off the scoresheet and expect the favorites to impose their will here and be more on the attack than prior recent matches. 10* OVER 2 in Netherlands |
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12-02-22 | Illinois +2 v. Maryland | Top | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Illinois Illini +2 @ Maryland @ 9 ET - Maryland is 7-0 at home and this line is practically a pick'em even though they are hosting a 1-loss Illinois team. Looks easy to take the undefeated home team. You know what it means usually when something looks too easy. It is NOT! The fact the Illini already have a loss this season actually helps them here in this match-up. They have tasted defeat and don't want to taste it again in this huge Big Ten match-up and their last game against the Terrapins was here in College Park, MD as well and they lost by 16 points. So the road team has payback on their minds here and I expect them to get it. 10* ILLINOIS +2 |
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12-02-22 | 76ers +5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 8:10 ET - This is just too many points. I will be surprised if Tobias Harris does not play here as he has been dealing with his illness since the prior game. Also, though he will not play tonight of course, James Harden's return is now imminent and is an emotional booster for this team too. Additionally, the Sixers have been playing surprisingly well dealing with injury issues including the absence of Joel Embiid. The fact he has been back for a bit now but Philly is off an ugly 113 to 85 loss has set this up beautifully. The 76ers are 6-0 SU the last 6 times they are off a loss in which they scored less than 110 points. That said, they do not even have to get the outright win for us to get the cash here. Grab the points here and look for that situation to improve to 7-0 and, even if they fall short of outright win, the points should prove enough for the all-important cover. Of last 11 games for Memphis, the Grizzlies only have 3 victories by more than 4 points. 10* PHILADELPHIA +5.5 |
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12-02-22 | Blue Jackets v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg Jets vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 8:07 ET - The Blue Jackets facing the Jets at the right time to have a big game. But look for Winnipeg to respond. I look for Columbus to get the early jump on the Jets here as Winnipeg off that huge 5-0 win over Colorado. Getting a big win over the defending Stanley Cup Champs could leave them flat here. Columbus will have some early success here but then the Jets will respond and bounce back. That is how I see this one playing out. The result will be plenty of goals. Winnipeg, prior to the 5-0 win, saw their 4 prior games total 7 or more goals. The Jets allowed an average of 4 goals in those 4 games. Winnipeg enters this contest having scored 5 or more goals in 3 straight games. Columbus has surprisingly had 3 straight low-scoring games but this followed 8 of 9 totaling at least 7 goals and I am sure this one will too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Winnipeg |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC OVER 66.5 | Top | 47-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 66.5 or 67 in USC Trojans vs Utah Utes in Las Vegas, NV @ 8 ET - These teams totaled 85 points when they met in regular season action less than 2 months ago. I would not be surprised to see a similar result here in the Pac-12 Championship Game. Simply put, these are 2 of the better offenses in the nation in terms of overall production. Then, here is the key as I know the Utes do have decent defensive numbers. Utah just can not seem to stop a USC offense that is one of the best in the nation. The Trojans will roll on offense here but their defense is really quite bad and Utah will score a ton again here too. Southern Cal ranks as one of the most efficient offenses in the nation but also one of the least efficient defenses in the nation. USC has allowed 27 points or more in 5 of last 6 games. Those 5 games saw them allow 37.4 ppg. The Trojans have had one low scoring game at Oregon State but in their other 11 games have scored an average of 45 ppg! The Utes have scored 32 points or more in 9 of last 11 games and averaged scoring 45 ppg in those 9 games. You can see why another 43-42 type game can be expected here! 10* OVER 66.5 or 67 in USC |
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12-02-22 | Brazil v. Cameroon OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Cameroon vs Brazil @ 2 ET - Great set up here for plenty of goals as Cameroon must go for it here and be aggressive on the attack. They need a win to have any hopes of advancing in this World Cup. Being aggressive on the attack will get them in trouble in their own end of the pitch however. They were down 3 to 1 to Serbia before rallying for the 3-3 draw in most recent match. They have a more inexperienced netminder between the sticks and the normal number 1 goalie was sent home for disciplinary reasons. That means Brazil, on the counterattack and loaded with weapons, should score plenty here. Even though Brazil only needs a draw to advance they are certainly going to take advantage of the scoring opportunities presented to them. They enter his match having won their last 4 matches across all competitions by a combined score of 11-1. That is an average score of about 3-0 but I do expect a desperate Cameroon club to make the net ripple at least once in this one. So look for a 3-1 type of match here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Cameroon |
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12-02-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Cluj @ Noon ET - The high-scoring trending continued yesterday with another 3-2 final in the only Romania Liga 1 match. The first 3 matches since the break in league action have averaged 4 goals apiece. Keep in mind, these clubs are playing matches after a 2 to 3 week layoff and it is showing up in some extra scoring chances as a result of defensive miscues leading to solid scoring chances. There also are fresh legs for the attacking offenses. Looking at this match-up, Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 9 of last 11 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 9 that did actually averaged 3 goals and I love the value with the over 2 in this match-up. Universitatea Cluj has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 2 goals. The visitors have allowed at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. But Petrolul Ploiesti certainly not known for their defensive prowess so look for the hosts to conceded in this one as well. Couple that with the fact that Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 11% draws this season - 2 in 18 matches - and you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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12-02-22 | Portugal v. South Korea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in South Korea vs Portugal @ 10 AM ET - The way I see this one playing out is that South Korea needs a win to advance so they will be forced to be aggressive on the attack as they can't just sit back here expect to win. That said, Portugal needs at least a draw to make sure they advance as the top seed from this group. So they will need to answer South Korea getting on the board here. I also feel Portugal, with Ronaldo also on a mission leading the way, wants to finish with a 3-0 mark in this qualifying round. They are going for the full 3 points here. So we should see more scoring than you might have expected in this match-up had it been played earlier in this round. Portugal has won 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 3.3 goals in the 4 victories. South Korea off a 3-2 defeat and have now scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches across all competitions and have averaged scoring 2 goals in those 8 matches. Look for, at the very least, a 2-1 final here but a 2-2 or another 3-2 final is also quite possible given the situation. 10* OVER 2.5 in South Korea |
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12-01-22 | Panthers v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Florida Panthers @ 10:05 ET - The Panthers have seen 8 straight games total at least 7 goals and this is no fluke really as 13 of last 16 Florida games have totaled at least 7 goals. This is the perfect spot for another over because Vancouver is angry off a 5-1 loss and they had been on a high-scoring trend before this ugly defeat at the hands of the Capitals. The Canucks, prior to that one landing on 6, had seen 10 of last 13 games total at least 7 goals. Vancouver had scored an average of 4 goals per game last 6 games. The Panthers are off a 6-2 loss but had scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 7 games prior to that. So the point is that plenty of goals can be expected here both teams have scored well but also had questionable goaltending and this has been a recurring pattern for each. Also, both teams off losses so we will see a little extra "push" from each side as well. The result should be a back and forth affair. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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12-01-22 | Bills -3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -3.5 @ New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The Bills are 0-2 SU in divisional games this season and, as you would expect, those SU losses were also ATS losses. However, they entered this season on a 7-1 ATS run in divisional games. Buffalo knows they need to start taking care of business in action against divisional foes as the AFC East race is jam-packed right now. The final 3 home games the Bills have left are divisional games and this is their final divisional road game this season. After getting a tight win last week at Detroit, look for a much stronger effort here on the road for the Bills. Note that Buffalo is the must stronger offense in comparison with New England. Also, the Patriots are averaging just 13 points in divisional games this season and have been held to 14 points or less in 2 of last 3 home games. The Bills, on the other hand, have averaged 28 ppg this season and they also are much better in pass protection than the Patriots. At home and off a loss, New England is sure to give a valiant effort here but the Bills will pull away as this one goes along and they will cover the short number. 10* BUFFALO -3.5 |
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12-01-22 | Youngstown State -115 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NCAAB Thursday 10* Top Play Youngstown State Penguins -115 vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - Youngstown State is already 5-2 this season and getting key contributions from newcomers plus also already had one of the best players in the conference with Cohill. Right now they are looking much stronger than the Norse. Yes, Northern Kentucky rose up and shocked Cincy early this season but they were 1-4 in other 5 games before a double OT win in their most recent game. Not only could that double OT win take a lot out of this team, a ton of pressure has been on Warrick lately. Recent action has been missed by both Vinson and Rhodes and the Norse will not have a lineup that is at 100% tonight for sure. Look for the road team to take advantage and, keep in mind, the Penguins lost both games to the Norse last season so revenge is on their minds here. The Penguins look like a much better team early this season and should stay hot here. I am grabbing the money line here at -115 as this line is a -1 or -1.5 so the -115 is the best option for sure. 10* YOUNGSTOWN STATE -115 |
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12-01-22 | Spain -1.5 v. Japan | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play Spain -1.5 goals +120 vs Japan @ 2 ET - Spain just too much for Japan here. Getting plus money with a multi-goal win is too much value to pass up on here. 4 of last 6 victories for Spain have been by a multiple goal margin. The average margin of Spain's last 6 wins is 3 goals so we should see a win by at least 2 goals here! Japan's recent results do not show many blowout defeats but they most often are not facing competition anywhere close to the level of Spain. Also, though they defeated Germany in this World Cup, Japan was heavily out played on possession and shots on goal as well. Coming into the World Cup, Spain one of the favorites while Japan a "middle of the pack" club. That said, Japan's victory over Germany, despite being outplayed, is helping to give us line value here. One could easily argue that Spain should be an even heavier favorite here as Japan also just lost to Costa Rica. How did they not score there after Spain had just hung a "TD" (7 goals) on Costa Rica. 10* Spain -1.5 goals +120 |
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12-01-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Botosani OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FC Botosani vs FCSB @ Noon ET - FC Botosani is not known for scoring a lot of goals. That is for sure. But they are at home here and the precipitation going on in Romania today not expected to move this far north until this one is in the books and final. I expect Botosani to score at least one goal at home here but FCSB to continue their hot run. After the layoff these clubs have had off a little over 2 weeks we can expect to see some turnovers leading to quality scoring chances for clubs. That was the case in last night's 3-2 final in Romania Liga 1 action and another higher-scoring match likely on tap here. FCSB has scored in 15 of their 16 league matches and averaged scoring 1.7 goals in those 15 matches. Look for at least 2 goals as they have been playing so well and aggressively on the attack. FCSB is off a 2-0 win but, prior to this, 9 of last 11 matches across all competitions totaled at least 3 goals. This should be another high-scoring one here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FC Botosani |
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11-30-22 | Oilers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 9:35 ET - There is reason to believe each team will allow at least 3 goals here and that translates to at least a 4-3 final. Neither team has been getting strong goaltending and I known Blackhawks are mired in a losing skid but, at home, they should be able to score some goals here! Chicago has allowed 5 goals per game last 7 games! Edmonton has seen 9 of last 13 games total at least 7 goals. They have allowed at least 3 goals in 11 of those 13 games. Keep in mind, the Oilers are about a 2 to 1 money line favorite here so a 2-goal win is considered expected here. So look for a 5-3 final is the point I am making. We have good odds on a game like that which means we have even better odds on seeing at least 7 here! 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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11-30-22 | Missouri State -4 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 66-51 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri State Bears -4.5 @ Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 8 ET - So here you have a 3-3 Bears team ON THE ROAD and facing a 5-2 Flames team and yet it is Missouri State that is favored! Big mistake, right? Not all. This Bears team has played a tougher early season schedule and was the better team last season and even though they lost a lot of starters they have a solid looking roster thanks to transfers of incoming talent. Missouri State is jelling now at the right time as conference action is getting underway in the Missouri Valley and this is the opener for these teams. Even though Illinois-Chicago has the better record, they have played the weaker schedule plus have allowed an average of 68.3 points per game last 6 games. The Bears are allowing 60.5 ppg this season and they faced tougher schedule including losing by just 2 points at BYU as a double digit underdog! Lay the points with the road team as UIC gets a rude awakening going from facing a struggling UWGB team to facing a Bears team that it is hitting its stride plus saw newcomer James Graham see his first significant action in most recent game and he played great and shot lights out. Confidence of this road team is high right now and they are well-coached and off a 23-win season. 10* MISSOURI STATE -4.5 |
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11-30-22 | 76ers +4 v. Cavs | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 or +4 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers had Embiid on Monday and he was strong in his return. the Cavaliers are still without Love and Allen. Also, Mitchell is coming off a game in which he scored only 8 points so that is concerning for Cleveland too. Overall, the Cavs have lost 7 of 12 games since that red hot 8-1 start to the season they had! The 76ers have been dealing with injury issues of their own but they have now won 7 of 9 games! Also, one of those two losses was by just 3 points. One of the just 5 wins that Cleveland has since their slump started in early November was a double OT win. So the point is that, even if this game is tight, we still have a shot to get the cash with the plus points but an outright upset would not surprise me at all. The Sixers are playing with more confidence of late and the same can not be said of the Cavaliers over the past few weeks. Grab the points. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 or +4 |
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11-30-22 | Mexico v. Saudi Arabia OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Saudi Arabia vs Mexico @ 2 ET - Both clubs still alive in terms of advancing but Mexico needs the full 3 points. They will have to push hard for it by being aggressive on the attack. Mexico has yet to score in the World Cup but entered it with goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions and averaged 2 goals per match during this stretch. Saudi Arabia has already conceded 3 goals in the World Cup and will struggle against an aggressive Mexico attack in this one. Saudi Arabia has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 7 matches across all competitions before the 2-0 loss to Poland after upsetting Argentina 2-1. Mexico's last 3 matches entering the World Cup were in International Friendly action and the totals averaged 4 goals apiece and each of the 3 totaled at least 3 goals. There is a reason this total is getting some attention from the betting markets on the over despite Mexico still seeking first goal. Mexico needs a big win here but I also do not expect them to deliver a clean sheet as Saudi Arabia has some solid attacking talent. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Saudi Arabia |
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11-30-22 | CFR Cluj v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +120 in Hermannstadt vs CFR Cluj @ Noon ET - CFR Cluj has scored 3 goals twice in last four meetings with Hermanndstadt and averaged scoring 2 goals per match. I know Hermannstadt comes into this one having struggled in the goal-scoring department of late but they will bring extra effort here at home and hosting one of the top clubs in the league. At the same time though, the hosts will not be able to stop a CFR Cluj attack that is looking to get back on track after defeating CS Mioveni but only by a 1-0 count. CS Mioveni is the worst club in the league. Prior to that, 5 of last 6 CFR Cluj matches across all competitions totaled at least 3 goals! That said, getting the over 2 at plus money is a great value the way I see it. Hermannstadt, as noted above, will put up a fight on their home pitch so I expect them to make the net ripple at least once. But of course CFR Cluj a favorite here for a reason. So look for at least a 2-1 final here. The hosts have not scored in their last 2 home matches but did score at least 1 goal in each of the 6 before that and averaged 1.7 goals scored in those 6 matches. The lack of scoring recently will only further their determination here. 10* OVER 2 goals +120 in Hermannstadt |
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11-30-22 | Denmark -1 v. Australia | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play Denmark -1 -115 vs Australia @ 10 AM ET - Interesting scenario here as Denmark is tied with Tunisia in the standings and France is playing Tunisia today at the same time, of course, as this Denmark match with Australia. That said, France is already advancing and could be a big flat against Tunisia. If Tunisia would happen to win than even if Denmark wins, which I do expect, they would still be tied in the table. The key would then be goal differential and then if that did not decide it then it is most goals scored. That being said, I look for Denmark to go hard here in an effort to score plenty not only to win but also just to "be sure" of advancing. Certainly Australia wants to win here as they need at least a draw to advance but Denmark is simply the much better club and will bring their A game today. Look for at least a 2-0 final here as a result. 10* DENMARK -1 -115 |
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11-29-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 227.5 | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 227.5 in Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - Golden State had one ugly loss to New Orleans recently where they did not score well at all. Removing that one outlier from the sample, the Warriors have scored 124 points per game in their games since November 14th. They also have allowed 117.4 points per game in their last 5 games! The Mavericks have lost 3 straight games and allowed 118 per game in their last 3 games. So Mavericks give up a pile here but this line is right around a pick'em for a reason. In other words, plenty of points here. 10* OVER 227.5 in Dallas |
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11-29-22 | Penn State +2 v. Clemson | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions +2 @ Clemson Tigers @ 7 ET - Clemson was in Florida for a tournament while Penn State was in their home state of Pennsylvania and facing Lafayette this past weekend. The situation here favors the Nittany Lions here even though they are on the road. I love taking small road dogs too as a lot of time people are so enticed to grab those home teams with a small line but oftentimes the line is just that...an enticement. When the situational factors are right, these road teams can be pure gold. Clemson is 5-2 this season but the 5 teams they have beaten have a combined record of 11-23. Penn State has only one loss this season and it was to a Hokies team that is now 7-1 on the season. Nittany Lions allowing only 62.5 points per game this season and I sense a road upset here but will grab the added insurance of having the points on our side in this one. 10* PENN STATE +2 |
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11-29-22 | United States v. Iran OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Iran vs United States @ 2 ET - If the USA does not score a goal they are going home. If USA does score a goal then Iran must answer or they are going home. That is the key in this knockout game. I just can't see USA not being very aggressive on the attack and making sure the net ripples. This is their chance. A win and they are in. No questions asked. I know the USA does not have a good history of scoring goals but they can have some success against this Iran team for sure. Iran surprised Wales 2-0 but before that got rocked 6-2 by England. 6 of the last 8 matches for Iran have totaled at least 2 goals. This is simply another case where one team, in this case USA, has to go for it and have to be aggressive on the attack to get that early goal. Then it forces Iran to have to answer or they are finished. A draw here does not help USA so they will be aggressive and, though England should beat Wales the fact is Iran is in trouble if they don't. If Wales gets the upset and Iran loses this match then they don't advance. So I just don't see this match ending with anything less than 1-1 but absolutely expecting an entertaining battle to end in a 2-1 final at least. 10* OVER 2 in Iran |
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11-29-22 | CS U Craiova v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs Universitatea Craiova @ Noon ET - Universitatea Craiova is undefeated last 5 matches and has scored an average of 1.6 goals during this solid stretch! Chindia Targoviste is also playing much better and has gone undefeated in last 7 matches. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match during this stretch. Given these numbers, you can see why I am expecting at least 3 goals in this one. These teams have a history of low-scoring battles with each of the last 4 meetings finishing as 1-0 finals. However, that is merely serving to keep this total lower than it should be. We should be forced to play a 2.5 here but there are 2s out there and it is a great value. Also, the layoff for each team is 2 and 1/2 weeks so with rustiness on the pitch come some mistakes which tend to lead to quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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11-29-22 | Senegal v. Ecuador OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Ecuador vs Senegal @ 10 AM ET - I look for goals here and like the value of over 2. Both Ecuador and Senegal know that a win is likely for Netherlands over Qatar. That means that Senegal can not settle for a draw here. If they win they are in. That means Senegal pushes hard to get on the board here. They will be on the attack. But you know Ecuador will battle back too. Because they need at least a draw here to advance. So I am looking for a 1-1 final at the very least and, of course, we do not want a push. But there is extra value in this total set at 2 goals. This is the point is the value but we should see 3 here the way I see it as Senegal must play an aggressive game on the attack here. Senegal is off a 3-1 win and each of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Ecuador trends toward lower-scoring matches long-term but the first two matches they have had in the World Cup did reach two goals and, again, Senegal can not afford to just sit back in this match. They must go strong for the win. 10* OVER 2 in Ecuador |
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11-28-22 | Sam Houston State +3 v. Nevada | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Sam Houston State Bearkats +2.5/+3/+3.5 @ Nevada Wolf Pack @ 10 PM ET - This one jumped off the page at me because, of course, most people are going to look and see the bigger school at home and laying a small number and think this is easy money. Not so fast my friend. This one should belong to the surprising Bearkats. They were already expected to be very good in the WAC this season but now are getting extra production from unexpected sources and it has made them even better. In a nutshell, this team is not only good, there are VERY good and deep! They are 6-0 SU on the season and 4-0 ATS in lined games. They play great defense and get a lot of steals and already have wins over Oklahoma and Utah! Those are two Power 5 conference teams and yes the wins were AT Norman, OK and AT Salt Lake City, UT. So going into Reno, NV to knock off Nevada is not asking too much. Now the fact is the Wolf Pack are a quality team and they have a great coach too in Steve Alford, but the Sam Houston State coach Jason Hooten has been with the Bearkats for 12 years and this is a great team he has assembled this season. These guys really believe in themselves and in each other and I do expect an outright win here but, at the very least, we should see a cover if it comes down to a tight finish. Nevada's leading scorer Lucas is struggling with his shooting percentage early this season and their 4th leading scorer Hymes has missed the last few games with back issues and may miss again. Either way, I like this hungry Bearkats team here. 10* SAM HOUSTON STATE +2.5/+3/+3.5 |
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11-28-22 | Steelers v. Colts -135 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts Money Line -135 vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - With the line choice of -2.5 or grabbing a money line as low as -135, I am going to recommend a rare money line play in a spread sport. The Colts are looking better since the coaching change and lets take a look at the two weeks of action since the move. Indianapolis is now the only team to hand Vegas a non-OT home loss this season and the Colts also just took the Eagles down the wire and very nearly had the huge upset win over a Philly team that is now 10-1 on the season! As for the Steelers, I just can not trust this team on the road. The upset the Bengals at Cincinnati in their season opener but were outgained by a huge margin in that game. Sure enough, in their road games since then, Pittsburgh is 0-4 and lost those 4 games by an average margin of 16.5 points per defeat. The Steelers are simply not a very good football team. The Colts have had issues this season too but a lot of it was turnovers. They have the much better defense in this match-up and their passing offense, though not great, also ranks better than Pittsburgh's. They should enjoy success here as the Steelers pass defense ranks among the worst in the NFL! I know that Watt is now back for Pittsburgh but since he returned, the Steelers faced a horrible Saints team and then gave up a ton of yardage to the Bengals last week. That was also the case in Week 1 when he was on the field for Pittsburgh and they still got scorched statistically by Cincy. Turnovers can be an issue of course but Colts have been working to minimize those and, unless they give this game away via the turnover route, I just do not seem them losing. No interceptions for QB Matt Ryan the past two weeks for Indy and the Steelers Kenny Pickett has thrown at least 1 INT in all 3 road starts and has thrown a total of 5 picks in those 3 games. 10* INDIANAPOLIS -135 |
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11-28-22 | Hawks v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers have won 6 of last 8 games. They have been without Embiid lately but might even get him back tonight. Even if they don't the way they are playing now they are loaded with confidence and here they are back at home and facing a Hawks team that is also in a back to back spot for this one. Atlanta has lost B2B games and also is an ugly 2-5 last 7 road games including even losing to the Rockets in Houston! The Sixers are 5-1 last 6 home games and I have a feeling that Embiid was waiting for this home game to return. That would just be an added bonus for us here. Either way, I like Philly and the home team is 2-0 in the two meetings between these teams this season and Trae Young off a rough shooting game last night and now he is on the road after last night's game was at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 |
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11-28-22 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - The way I see this one playing out is that Vegas is going to be angry off B2B losses and will be aggressive and score plenty of goals. At the same time, Columbus will respond on home ice as they also are off B2B low-scoring losses. Here the Blue Jackets will take advantage of struggling goaltending as Vegas has seen both their goaltenders struggling recently. The Knights have allowed 3.5 goals per game last 12 games. They are favored big here on the road for a reason though. I am looking for at least a 4-3 type game here if not much more. The Jackets had seen 14 of 17 games total at least 7 goals before these last two have been low-scoring. With their game at Nashville cancelled over the weekend, they will be rested and ready plus will need to skate fast to keep up with this angry Vegas team here. Look for a great pace to this game and plenty of goals as a result of all of the above. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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11-28-22 | Uruguay v. Portugal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +135 in Portugal vs Uruguay @ 2 ET - Uruguay off that scoreless draw with South Korea but they hit the post twice. There definitely should have been some scoring in that match and this one will make up for it. Portugal is off a wild 3-2 win over Ghana and Uruguay will be even better able to take advantage of defensive deficiencies of Portugal in this one. However, the scoring ability this Portugal team has is going to be a key here. I would like to side with them here but some defensive ineptitude concerns me here and has me forecasting a 2-2 type match in this one! Yes, we finally should see plenty of goals and I know that 19 of the first 28 matches have ended with 2 or less goals. This one will not. Before that 0-0 final, Uruguay had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches. Portugal has scored an average of 2.24 goals per match last 25 matches. This one will see plenty of scoring as Portugal can lock up advancing to next round by getting the win here. They will be on the attack and this will leave their defense vulnerable again and this time Uruguay finds the back of the net. 10* OVER 2.5 +135 in Portugal |
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11-28-22 | Switzerland v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
World Cup Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brazil vs Switzerland @ 11 AM ET - Of course Brazil is arguably the favorite to win the World Cup and they are a big favorite in this match including by 1 goal on the goal line for a reason. I am looking for Switzerland to make the net ripple but Brazil to ultimately prevail. Look for a 2-1 final and I am not laying big money line on Brazil of course plus that would be a push on the goal line. To me the best value here is the over. Switzerland has scored at least one goal in 11 of last 14 matches. Brazil has scored at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and actually averaged 3 goals per match in this 9-match stretch. There have not been many matches to exceed the 2 goal mark in this World Cup so far. In fact, only 9 of 28 matches thus far have totaled at least 3 goals. This one bucks that trend though and the reasons why are above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brazil |
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11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut OVER 134 | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Connecticut Huskies vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 10 ET - This total came down some from its opener and I realize it is a tourney championship game and we could see better defense here as a result. But still these are two red hot teams that have been scoring plenty of points. Iowa State just knocked off top-ranked North Carolina and, not including OT points of course, has scored at least 67 points in all 5 of their game this season. The Cyclones are 5-0 this season. The Huskies are 7-0 this season and have scored at least 82 points in each games this season. Iowa State averaging 74 ppg this season and UConn averaging 85 ppg this season. Even if each team misses their average by a half-dozen points or so this game still goes over by a double digit margin! Just feel we have great value here because these teams are playing with so much confidence right now on the offensive end. 10* OVER 135 in Connecticut |
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11-27-22 | Packers v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 33-40 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 ET - The Eagles have not looked as strong the last couple weeks for sure and their run defense has been an issue though there is a chance of some improvement with recent signings there as they also wait to get healthier again on the D-line. However, even with that, think about how Green Bay has played for much of this season. The point is that we get line value here because the betting markets tend to have a short-term memory. They are looking at this as the Eagles that lost outright to the Commanders for first loss of year and then barely (and fortunately) snuck by the Colts late in last week's game. That is why you are getting such a low line here. Think about this line for a second though. This number is basically saying that the Eagles, on a neutral field, would only be favored by about a field goal in this one. This is just not the case and I think we have great value here. The Eagles are so strong at home (generally speaking) and had covered 8 in a row as a home favorite before losing outright to Washington two weeks ago. That is what is on everyone's mind is how bad the Eagles were at home on MNF two weeks ago but you don't think the Philly players also want to make up for that here? The point is that they can (and should) do just that against a Packers team that, other than a miracle comeback OT win versus Dallas (but at home) 2 weeks ago, has really struggled. Green Bay has lost 5 of 6 games played outside of Wisconsin this season and their average margin of defeat in those is 8 points. This is not an average team they are facing here. This is the team with the best record in the NFL that also wants to make up for their poor performance on MNF at home two weeks ago. Yes the Eagles D has some issues but this offense is capable of fully clicking, especially at home, with the way Hurts has played at times this season. Before the tight win at Indy, 6 of last 7 Philly wins had been by 8 or more points. This one will too! Eagles run defense has been the story lately but they have added some pieces and it is the struggling Packers run defense that will be exposed in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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11-27-22 | Canucks v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in San Jose Sharks vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8:05 ET - The Canucks off a big 5-1 win yesterday but now in 2nd game of B2B spot. Martin was in goal last night and has been the better of the two goalies in Vancouver for some time now. Demko is struggling and has had a rough season and likely will get the call here. Canucks will build off scoring 5 goals yesterday and have scored at least 4 goals in 5 straight games but they will struggle to stop the Sharks here. San Jose off a 5-2 loss but had scored 4 or more goals in 4 of last 5 games. 11 of last 14 SJ games have totaled at least 7 goals as they have been scoring well but can not stop anyone either! Reimer and Kahkonen, for the most part, have each struggled badly this season. 10* OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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11-27-22 | 76ers v. Magic OVER 214.5 | Top | 133-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 6:10 ET - We just saw this scenario play out with Lakers / Spurs as first game stayed under and then they totaled 281 points in the rematch and no there was not OT. I look for a similar result here. We lost with the over in this match-up Friday but I am coming right back with it here. The Magic are starting to get healthier and they just did not shoot well Friday and that cost us a winner as the game finished close to going over. The 76ers are still missing Embiid and his interior defense and Orlando will take advantage and, similar to the LA/SA dichotomy of the two results, we'll see something similar here. 10* OVER 214.5 in Orlando |
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11-27-22 | Chargers v. Cardinals OVER 48 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 4:05 ET - Kyler Murray will be back under center for Cardinals in this one. Keep in mind WR DeAndre Hopkins missed much of the first part of the season and Murray now is back after missing a little. The connection between the two is special and Arizona will bounce back here on offense after a dismal showing versus 49ers in Mexico City. However, the Cardinals defense can not be trusted and the Chargers offense is quite healthy with only WR Mike Williams being out so they have strong weapons at the skill positions. Both teams can be "scary good" on offense but truly the defense of each team has rated as "scary bad" for much of this season. Cards have allowed 31 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. Chargers have a strong passing attack on offense but a poor overall defense and that is what you want from a road team when you are looking at an over. Considering this plus the situation of the home team, this one gets my highest ranking. 10* OVER 48 in Arizona |
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11-27-22 | Germany v. Spain OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Spain vs Germany @ 2 ET - This one should see goals. So many of the World Cup matches have seen 2 or less goals so far but this looks like a wild one. Spain is off 7-0 thrashing of Costa Rica plus they defeated Germany 6-0 last time these squads met two years ago. However, Germany is sure to put up a fight here after their surprising 2-1 loss to Japan in the opener. Germany is desperate for the full 3 points in the table now and they will not be successful if they sit back on their heels here. Germany has scored an average of 2 goals last 5 matches overall but they will struggle to stop a Spain club that dominated possession against Costa Rica plus dominated on the attack. Even prior to the 7-0 win, Spain had averaged scored 2 goals per match last 9 matches. 10* OVER 2.5 in Spain |
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11-27-22 | Canada v. Croatia +127 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 127 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
World Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Croatia Money Line +125 vs Canada @ 11 AM ET - Canada did generate a lot of shots in first match but not much of it was on target in the eventual 1-0 loss to Belgium. Now they need to go hard for the full 3 points here but Croatia is so strong defensively that aggression from Canada on the attack will likely only lead to great opportunities the other way on the counter-attack for Croatia. Speaking of aggression, the "F Croatia" quote from coach John Herdman of Canada is not going to help matters here. They do look improved in this go-round of the World Cup but don't have good history in their recent trips to this grand stage not only going winless but also scoreless for an extended stretch. That said, the last thing they needed to do was to give bulletin board material to the stronger club here. Good line value here as I feel strongly that Croatia will bounce back after a disappointing opening effort that resulted in a draw with Morocco. 10* CROATIA +125 |
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11-26-22 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 64.5 | Top | 48-51 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 64.5 in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma Sooners @ 7:30 ET - The over is 11-0 in last 11 meetings between these teams! Both teams reached bowl eligibility with each notching their 6th win of the season last week. That means there is no pressure here either. I think both teams play loose and relaxed on offense and we'll see plenty of points here. I know Oklahoma is a different team with Gabriel at QB and he led the way to a 28 point first quarter last week. Though the Sooners then just "rode it out" to a 28-13 victory there at Oklahoma State in a big rivalry win, this week they know they will have to keep the pedal to the metal to outscore the Red Raiders in Lubbock. Texas Tech has a tendency to score much better when at home compared to on the road and the Sooners defense is no powerhouse. The Red Raiders have surrendered a ton of points in home games this season. Texas Tech saw Cyclones miss 2 field goals plus they were stopped on downs twice as Iowa State was held to a surprisingly low 10 points last week. Prior to that take a look at 8 of last 9 games for Red Raiders (take out the WV game) and they allowed 34.5 ppg in those 8 games. They consistently give up big points even at home and this should turn into a shootout! 10* OVER 64.5 in Texas Tech |
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11-26-22 | Maple Leafs v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - These teams meeting for 3rd time in 2 weeks. They do not like each other. We should see some aggressive play. Perhaps extra power plays as a result. Either way I like the over as this is a B2B for both clubs and they each scored 4 goals in yesterday's wins. The Penguins did not allow much in that one but now it will likely be DeSmith in the crease for this one and he was dealing with an upper body injury. Plus he has faced them in each of the last two meetings. Maple Leafs familiar with DeSmith and will take advantage of that here. However, Penguins have scored at least 4 goals in 6 of last 9 games and will be tough on Toronto. Kallgren expected to get the start here and this will be just his 2nd start in 2 weeks. He has not been as successful as Murray (played last night) or Samsonov (still out) so this is a spot likely to lead to plenty of goals. Both teams take advantage of the netminders they are facing and the Leafs have scored at least 4 in 2 of last 3 road games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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11-26-22 | Illinois-Chicago -5 v. Green Bay | Top | 78-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -5 @ Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix @ 7 ET - The Phoenix are not only 0-5 this season, they were in Jamaica for a tournament. So even though Wisconsin Green Bay is back home and now playing their home opener, this is not exactly an ideal spot for them after the tournament in Jamaica. They have played some tough teams this season but also UWGB has lost to teams like Queens and Utah Valley by a combined 39 points in last 2 games. Overall the Phoenix have been blown out in every game this season. Granted, UIC is no powerhouse but, unlike UWGB, they are at least scoring well this season. Illinois-Chicago is averaging 74 ppg this season and Green Bay averaging just 55 ppg this season. Look for the Flames to get the win here as they ride the momentum of B2B wins and with the downward line move here we have solid line value also. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -5 |
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11-26-22 | Flames v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames @ 4:05 ET - I know the Hurricanes are stuck in a losing skid but now they are back home and many of the losses have been in OT. That was a tough Bruins team they faced in Boston and now they are back home and taking on Flames who are also in a B2B. Both teams likely to go to back-up goalies here due to the B2B and I expect both teams to be relentless on the attack. Why? Well the Canes scored 2 goals early yesterday but then nothing the rest of the way and it cost them in the eventual OT loss. As for the Flames they are off a shutout loss. Prior to B2B low-scoring losses, Calgary had won 4 of 5 and averaged 4.5 goals scored in the 4 victories so they know what they need to do here. Also, the Hurricanes will be pushing hard on home ice as they are desperate to get back in the win column. So here you have two desperate teams hungry for goals and the match-up features back-up goalies or the starters playing 2nd game of a B2B in net so either option generally good news for an over. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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11-26-22 | Michigan State +19 v. Penn State | Top | 16-35 | Push | 0 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Michigan State Spartans +19 @ Penn State Nittany Lions @ 4 ET - The Spartans need a win to be a bowl eligible. Do I think Michigan State will win this outright? No. Do I think Michigan State is a dangerous double digit dog that is going to fight like hell in this game? Yes. Absolutely! The fact is this is just too many points. Yes the Spartans lost to Indiana last week but they outgained the Hoosiers 540 to 288 but still found a way to blow a 24-7 lead and then eventually lose in double overtime. It was a disheartening loss but Michigan State upset Penn State last season and absolutely believes they can do it again here despite the huge line. Now I certainly know that the Nittany Lions are on a red hot ATS run and have been piling up big wins. However, just like the Spartans, they lost big to Michigan and Ohio State. Penn State is 4-2 last 6 games but the wins against Minnesota, Indiana, Maryland and Rutgers. None of those are powerhouses and certainly Michigan State is no powerhouse either. But they can compete on the road again here just like they did in most recent road game at Illinois when they won outright as a double digit dog! You can bet the Spartans feel they can do the exact same thing here and there is not only added confidence from that result but also from last week's huge yardage edge over the Hoosiers. Michigan State knows they deserved better and will go hard again this week. Spartans only have 3 losses by more than this margin this season and two of them were to the same Michigan and Ohio State teams that both beat Penn State. The Nittany Lions do not have huge motivation here as they will not be playing for the Big Ten title game and simply look ahead to their big bowl match-up. The Lions certainly want to win their home finale and to continue playing well but there is no arguing that the Spartans should come in as the hungrier team in desperation mode to earn a 6th win for a bowl bid. They may fall short in their quest but they should at least get the solid cover here! 10* MICHIGAN STATE +19 |
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11-26-22 | Purdue -10.5 v. Indiana | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -10.5 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ 3:30 ET - The Hoosiers were outgained 540 to 288 by Michigan State last week. They got a miracle win in double OT despite that huge yardage deficit. Now they take on a determined Purdue team that got new life with yesterday's shocking upset of Nebraska knocking off Iowa. The Boilermakers are the only team left in the Big Ten West that controls its own destiny. They win this game and they are in the Big Ten Championship Game to face either Michigan or Ohio State - depending on that outcome in the Big Ten East today. So the set up here is a good one for the Boilers to roll. Indiana had lost 7 straight games (and by an average margin of deficit of 20 points) prior to last week's win which, again, was a deceiving final score. So look for the Boilers offense (27 ppg on the road this season) to produce plenty of points here as they face a struggling Indiana defense that has been torched for game after game of late. Also, the Boilermakers D has allowed just 19 ppg last 3 games and can shut down the Hoosiers who were held under 300 yards last week and were held to 17 points or less in 4 of 5 games heading into that one. Rivalry game but the motivation and talent disparity this season mean the favorite wins this by at least a two touchdown margin. 10* PURDUE -10.5 |
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11-26-22 | Mexico v. Argentina -1 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play Argentina -1 goal +100 vs Mexico @ 2 ET - Argentina had 3 goals disallowed in a 13 minute span in the first half of their eventual shocking 2-1 loss to Saudi Arabia. That huge upset loss has set up phenomenal line value here in my opinion. This Argentina club can, and will, respond. Mexico is off a scoreless draw with Poland and is not as strong as past squads. That said, this sets up well to be a bloodbath in favor of the favorites who I am sure are going to put on a display here and dominate from start to finish. Mexico goalie Ochoa had a huge save on a penalty shot in the match with Poland but, other than that, it was a quiet match for him. This one will not be quiet and he allowed a goal in 7 straight matches for Mexico (and average of 1.4 per match) before the clean sheet against a sluggish Poland side. That said, he will be very tested here and I feel strongly we'll see multiple goals from Argentina and you can bet the favorites will be hell bent on delivering a clean sheet of their own here! 10* ARGENTINA -1 goal +100 |
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11-26-22 | Saudi Arabia v. Poland OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
World Cup Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Poland vs Saudi Arabia @ 8 AM ET - Poland knows they must play more aggressively here on the attack then they did against Mexico in what ultimately ended up a 0-0 draw. Saudi Arabia is riding the wave of emotion of a 2-1 win over Argentina that was one of biggest upsets in World Cup history. The end result will be a match that flows very well with plenty of quality scoring chances for each side. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Poland |
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11-25-22 | Jets +145 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 145 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets +145 @ Dallas Stars @ 8:35 ET - Rick Bowness is former coach of Dallas and now leading Winnipeg. He and the Jets beat them north of the border recently but earlier this season they met in Dallas and Bowness was out due to covid and the Stars won big. So for Bowness, this is first game back on the bench here in Dallas but on the other side and he and the Jets seeking revenge for the last visit here. I also like the fact Winnipeg is off a 6-1 loss and will be eager to respond here. This season, Jets are 4-0 when off a loss in which they failed to score more than 1 goal. The Stars are off a big comeback win but were just 3-4 in the 7 games leading into that one. They are giving up too many goals at times and went through a stretch where they had allowed 4 or more in 4 of 5 during this period. Jets, last game notwithstanding, have been better in their own end this season and I love the underdog price on them here. 10* WINNIPEG |
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11-25-22 | Devils v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs New Jersey Devils @ 8:05 ET - The Devils are off a 2-1 loss in which they had 3 goals overturned on video review. That is virtually unheard of all in the same game for one team and, keep in mind, New Jersey entered that game having won 13 straight games and scoring an average of 4 goals per game in those wins. The Devils will be relentless tonight in terms of goal-scoring after the way that played out with all the overturned goals. At the same time, Buffalo is known for scoring well on home ice and they enter this game having scored at least 6 goals in B2B games, one home and one away. Sabres have scored an average of about 4.5 goals in their 9 wins and allowed about 4.5 goals in their 11 losses. You can see why I am expecting plenty of scoring in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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11-25-22 | Florida v. Florida State OVER 57.5 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 57.5 in Florida State Seminoles vs Florida Gators @ 7:30 ET - Both teams have solid offensive production. Gators scored only 24 points last week but had 400 yards passing so that was a bit of a fluke result. As for the Seminoles, they have scored an average of 43 points last 4 games. The Gators, other than holding South Carolina to 6 points, have allowed 35.5 points in their other 4 games out of last 5. Florida State should be able to move the ball extremely well here as a result. I know FSU has some good numbers in terms of low points allowed recently but the Gators passing attack is sure to give them problems here. The over is 3-0 L3 Seminoles home games. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 57.5 in Florida State |
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11-25-22 | 76ers v. Magic OVER 217 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Of course the 76ers defense is not the same when Embiid is not on the floor to guard the interior. Philly again will be forced to play more of a small ball lineup here and I am expecting plenty of points. The Magic are expected to have Banchero back for this one plus could get Carter back as well. Orlando has allowed 116.4 last 5 games. Philly has allowed 110 points per game in the last 5 that Embiid has missed but also had averaged 112 points per game in the first 5 games he missed this season prior to Sixers being held to just 101 in the loss at Charlotte Wednesday. They make up for that defeat here with a strong road effort but Orlando is rejuvenated with Banchero back on the floor and this game will have a great tempo and pace for scoring. 10* OVER 217 in Orlando |
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11-25-22 | UCLA -10.5 v. California | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play UCLA Bruins -10.5 @ California Golden Bears @ 4:30 ET - This sets up beautifully. UCLA is off a tight loss to USC in which they had a 4-1 turnover deficit. California is off a big win over rival Stanford in "The Game" for those long-time rivals. The Bruins enter this game angry and they are so much stronger than Cal. The Golden Bears enter this game content. This is going to turn into a road rout. Normally I don't like to lay big points but this is a rare exception as this game jumped off the page for me given the set-up. UCLA average margin of victory is 26 points the last two meetings with Cal and I fully expect another blowout here. Both teams have some issues on defense for sure but the difference is the prolific offense of the Bruins while the Bears are not strong at all on that side of the ball. Keep in mind the Bears got a 37 yard fumble return for a TD in their comeback win versus the Cardinal last week as they were down by 11 in the 4th quarter! UCLA started the season 6-0 but now has lost 3 of 5 including B2B losses. The Bruins can tie their season record wins record of 10 by winning this game and their bowl game so they still have motivation despite last week's loss to USC. Also, Cal had lost 6 straight games before getting the win over Stanford last week. Bruins one of only six teams in the country averaging over 500 yards of offense per game. 10* UCLA -10.5 |
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11-25-22 | Portland v. Villanova -7 | Top | 83-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -7 vs Portland Pilots @ 2:30 ET - This game being played in a tournament at Portland and so the location certainly favors the Pilots. However, they still could be without one of their starting guards for this one plus I expect them to fall flat after having a shot to upset #1 North Carolina yesterday but falling just short. I know Villanova is off an OT loss but the Wildcats have enough depth to be just fine here and this Wildcats team will have resolve in this one after falling just short by a single bucket in back to back games. Villanova lost by 2 to Michigan State and then by 2 in OT to Iowa State. In fact, the Cats are just 2-3 this season but the 3 losses by a combined total of only 8 points. Nova has also played a much tougher schedule than the Pilots. Prior to facing UNC last night, the Portland schedule had been quite soft and the stronger team from the stronger conference and off B2B losses gets a statement win here against a Pilots team that will be flat after last night's result. 10* VILLANOVA -7 |
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11-25-22 | United States v. England -1 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play England -1 -115 vs United States @ 2 ET - England has scored 9 goals in last 2 matches. Granted they also have surrendered some big goals too but they have firepower that the USA will not be able to match here. USA let one get away in blowing the 1-0 lead they held for a long time against Wales. That was a club that the United States matched up better with. Here, they are over-matched as you can tell by the line. Of course we hope not to get a push here and that we do get a win but there is nice value here in the fact that a 1-goal win at least gets us our money back. The reason to expect a big margin win though? The USA has scored a total of only 2 goals last 4 matches. England has scored 9 goals in just the last 2 matches as noted above. Also, the last 10 matches have included 5 shutout defeats for the United States and especially against tougher competition they struggle to score. I expect at least a 2-0 win for the favorites here. 10* ENGLAND -1 -115 |
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11-25-22 | Ecuador v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
World Cup Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Netherlands vs Ecuador @ 11 AM ET - Both clubs off wins by a 2-0 score. Ecuador has not allowed a goal in 7 straight matches. Yet this total is 2.5 goals set on this one. How can that be? Exactly! Ecuador is facing a much tougher test now than those prior matches and I am sure Netherlands is going to force things to open up on the pitch in this match. Netherlands is off 3 straight victories and has not conceded in those but also has averaged scoring 1.7 goals in those matches. Prior to this it was a run in which 7 of 9 Netherlands matches totaled at least 3 goals. Those 9 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Prior to this 3-game run by a 5-0 aggregate score, Netherlands had allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Netherlands |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 42 in Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots @ 8:20 ET - Vikings scored just 3 points last week. Patriots held Jets to just 3 points and the only TD in the game was on a late New England punt return for TD to win it. So the result here this week is surely...over! Wait, what? Over after that? Yes that is how the NFL works. Everyone is now looking under after last week's results involving these two teams but watch what happens on the short week now for this Thanksgiving match-up. Note that Minnesota was 8-1 this season before that ugly loss and averaged 27.4 ppg in the 8 victories. Note that the Patriots are 3-1 last 4 road games and the only loss was in overtime and New England averaged 25.3 ppg in those 4 road games. You can see why I am expecting this game to get close to the 50 range given those numbers. Vikes have allowed at least 26 points in 3 of last 4 games. Minny had scored 28 points per game in the 7 games before the dismal effort versus Cowboys. Vikings have solid passing offense but weak pass defense. Nice recipe for an over here. 10* OVER 42 in Minnesota |
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11-24-22 | Connecticut v. Oregon +3.5 | Top | 83-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
NCAAB Thursday 10* Top Play Oregon Ducks +3.5 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET in Portland, OR - This is a neutral site game in the Phil Knight Invitational but certainly the location favors the Ducks. What I love about this play the most is this an early season situation that tends to work very well. You have a ranked team laying a small number and they are already 5-0 on the season and that small number is so enticing when you consider they are facing a 2-2 team. Now here's the early season key with this. Yes Connecticut is 5-0 but they have faced a very weak schedule so far. Now I know the Ducks did lose to Cal Irvine which is unacceptable but they were outscored by a margin of 24 points from the 3-point arc in the 13 point loss. Simply put, Oregon shot horribly and the Anteaters were solid from outside. That is not an excuse though it is just a fact that even good basketball teams have off-games at times, overlook teams they should not, etc. The Ducks other loss was to a highly ranked Houston team. I feel both these losses help them here. You can bet Oregon, definitely having played the tougher schedule, is also motivated to put the first blemish on the Huskies record this season. Look for them to do just that but we'll grab the points as added insurance too. 10* OREGON +3.5 |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss OVER 61 | Top | 24-22 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 61 in Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 7 ET - Sometimes bad weather expectation leads to even more value with an over and that is the case here. The fact is the winds will be light and truly that is the biggest issue with a total. So rain is expected in Oxford for this one during the game but much of it will be light. There could be some heavier showers at times but really those are not expected to last long. In other words, this is not expected to be a monsoon. So with light rain or showers plus light wind, the offenses really should not be impacted much. Both teams want to play fast. Ole Miss is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation and Mississippi State head coach Leach said the Bulldogs want to play fast in this one too. Miss St has a great passing attack and the Rebels have the more balanced attack on offense. They just piled up over 700 yards of offense yet lost to Arkansas. Rebels have allowed about 35 points on average last 6 games. Bulldogs have allowed about 34 points per game in last 4 against SEC opponents. Considering this as well as the potency of these two solid offenses, I expect plenty of points here. Over is 5-1 in last 6 Ole Miss games. Over is 3-0 in last 3 Mississippi State games. Look for these trends to continue here. 10* OVER 61 in Ole Miss |
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11-24-22 | Giants +10 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play New York Giants +10 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:30 ET - That old adage about the wounded dog bites the hardest will hold up here. The Giants have injury issues to the offensive line and wide receiver. They are also coming off a home loss to the Lions in which they gave the game away because of 3 turnovers. New York is fired up to respond this week and facing a division rival should certainly help them. One little hidden angle that I feel could surprise here is that WR Kenny Golladay could be a positive factor. He played multiple seasons for Lions earlier in his career and is used to playing on Thanksgiving. He averaged over 100 yards receiving per game in the T-Day games from 2017 to 2019. After those 3 solid performances he missed the 2020 game and then went to the Giants. New York has a long history in the NFL but hardly ever has played on Thanksgiving. Watch Golladay and Darius Slayton have big games here. The Cowboys won the first meeting and NY wants revenge. Even if they don't get revenge I do expect them to at least get the cover. The Cowboys off the huge win over Vikings where they played a great game and everything went their way. It is hard to have games like that B2B and especially on a short week. That said, it takes nearly a perfect game to cover a double digit spread in the NFL and this is particularly true in a divisional game. Look for Saquon Barkley to bounce back with a strong ground game as he had a massive game the week before the poor game last week. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS +10 |
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11-24-22 | Serbia v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brazil vs Serbia @ 2 ET - Brazil has won 7 straight matches and averaged scoring about 4 goals per match! I know that Brazil has not been conceding many goals but I like the attacking options Serbia has and also their emphasis on the attack in terms of the gameplan entering this one. Granted the competition has not been that among the ranks of Brazil - as few are! - but Serbia has scored an average of 3 goals per match their last 6 matches. Here we are just asking them to get 1 goal. Brazil is favored big for a reason and Serbia scoring once means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Of course both Serbia and Brazil both capable of scoring well as their recent results show. However, I am expecting big scoring from the favorites in particular and a rather wide-open affair here! 10* OVER 2.5 in Brazil |
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11-24-22 | Ghana v. Portugal -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
World Cup Thursday 10* Top Play Portugal -1.5 +130 vs Ghana @ 11 AM ET - With all the Ronaldo controversy going on, Portugal is ready to get on the pitch and let their play do the talking. I am expecting a dominating win here. Portugal just beat Nigeria 4-0 and I feel strongly that they are going to make a statement in this game. Ghana split with that same Nigeria club a couple months ago with a composite tally of 2-2 in the two matches. The key point is that there is a talent disparity between these two clubs and the favorites are coming in fired up wanting to make a statement. That is why I am very comfortable with the goal line in this one. 10* PORTUGAL -1.5 +130 |
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11-23-22 | 76ers v. Hornets OVER 214.5 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - What is Philly's solution without Embiid? How about run and gun and attempt nearly 100 shots from the field? That is what they did last night in their upset of Brooklyn. Keep in mind they got Harris back last night and he led them with 24 points. Additionally they got Korkmaz back and he came off the bench and combined with Reed and Naing for 44 points between the 3 of them. Charlotte is simply not a very good team and this is true on defense as well. The Hornets have lost 11 of 12 games and, not including OT points of course, Charlotte has allowed 111.4 ppg last 12 games. They are favored by 4 points here. So you can see that the predicted final could fall somewhere into the 115 to 111 range which gives a total double digits above the posted number on this game. I like our chances for a high-scoring game because Sixers play a more "small ball" style when Embiid is not on the floor. The 5 games Embiid has missed this season, the 76ers have scored an average of 112 points per game. This one should get into the 220 to 225 range considering all of the above. Hornets so hungry for a win and Sixers hungry to prove they can win without Embiid and Harden, just as they did last night. The also are missing Maxey right now but the backcourt of Milton and Melton showed yesterday that they can mesh very well. 10* OVER 214.5 in Charlotte |
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11-23-22 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - These teams just met here last week and the game totaled 10 goals. More of the same expected here. Montreal is off a 7-2 home loss to the Sabres yesterday. The Canadiens have allowed at least 4 goals in 4 of last 5. Also, 5 of last 6 Habs games have totaled at least 7 goals. As for the Blue Jackets, 14 of their last 17 games have totaled at least 7 goals. More of the same expected here as Habs in a b2b spot and want to respond after scoring just 2 goals but they have had trouble stopping anyone of late. Columbus allowing average of 5 goals in their 11 losses and Blue Jackets scoring average of 5 goals per game in their 7 wins. Great shot at an over here! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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11-23-22 | Blues v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - I know Binnington has been playing very well for the Blues and he is likely to be in goal for St Louis tonight. However, this is still a tough road venue and Buffalo enters this game with a lot of confidence off last night's 7-2 win at Montreal. The trouble for the Sabres is because this is a back to back and that means, with Eric Comrie out with injury, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is likely to be in goal. He has very little NHL experience and has lost 11 of 14 starts and he gave up 4 goals in his only start this season! The fact he has to face the red hot Blues is a tough draw for Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen as St Louis has averaged scoring 4 goals per game during their red hot 7-game winning streak. As for the Sabres, Buffalo had allowed about 4 goals per game during the losing streak of 8 games that preceded last night's win Also, prior to the 8-game losing streak, the Sabres had a 3 game winning streak in which the games averaged 9 goals apiece. Last night's win for Buffalo, coincidentally, totaled 9 goals! Look for this one to get at least 7 as Sabres can be tough at home but Blues so red hot right now and should enjoy continued success against the #3 goalie for the Sabres. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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11-23-22 | Georgia Tech v. Marquette -5.5 | Top | 60-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -5.5 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 6 ET - The Golden Eagles lost yesterday despite holding Mississippi State to 13 of 39 shooting from inside the arc. Marquette actually made 13 of 23 shots from inside the arc. The problem was, as you guessed it, the Golden Eagles took a lot of threes but did not knock them down at the same high rate as the Bulldogs. Now I know the Yellow Jackets forced a lot of turnovers yesterday and that kept them in the game as they lost a tight one to Utah. However, they will not be so successful here in that regard as I expect a focused Golden Eagles team to be much tougher to beat than Utah was yesterday. The Utes practically gave the game away yesterday but the Eagles come into this one hungry off a loss as they are 3-2 this season with two tight losses and 3 wins by double digit margins. Keep in mind, the Bulldogs team that Marquette just lost to is now 5-0 on the season. With Georgia Tech suffering their first loss of the season, they could be in for a letdown here and you are seeing the Golden Eagles favored by about a half-dozen here with good reason. Yellow Jackets went about 7 minutes without scoring a field goal after scoring one with 7:22 left in the game. That kind of offensive ineptitude in late-game situations can get in a team's head. Now they face a tough Golden Eagles team the very next day. Tough spot. 10* MARQUETTE -5.5 |
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11-23-22 | Canada v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -140 in Belgium vs Canada @ 2 ET - Looks like Alphonso Davies is able to go for Canada in this one and that is big. This Canadian team has plenty of attacking talent and should absolutely be able to make the net ripple in this match at least once. Then you look at Belgium and you know this team is loaded with talent. They have a few injury concerns of their own too but they are one of the top teams in the field and are a big favorite here for a reason. In other words, you can see why I am looking for a 2-1 final here but also would not be shocked to see 3-2. I know the defense of Canada has improved but their facing a stern test here and Belgium will not sit back here. They will be on the attack and look to make up for some recent disappointments by being very aggressive in this match in looking to take down an opponent they know they should dominate. That said, I still like this Canada team to find the back of the net. They are stronger than people realize. That sets this one up for what should be an entertaining affair that finds its way over the total rather easily. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -140 in Belgium |
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11-23-22 | Japan v. Germany OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
World Cup Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -145 in Germany vs Japan @ 8 AM ET - We have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2.5 here but seeing 3 or more goals in this match is very likely in my opinion. There are so many attacking options for each club in this one. Japan has scored well at times in recent matches. Blanked by Tunisia and Ecuador but scored an average of 2.3 goals in other 3 matches dating back to 10 June. As for Germany, they are off 1-0 win but, prior to this, conceded an average of 1.8 goals 4 prior matches. This is why I do expect Japan, especially on the counterattack, to break through for a goal at some point in this match. At the same time, Germany is a heavy favorite for a reason. So I am looking for a 2-1 or 3-1 type final here as the big favorites are loaded with attacking talent which is going to give Japan fits in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -145 in Germany |
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11-22-22 | Rangers -102 v. Kings | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
NY RANGERS -105 - Even if the Rangers start Halak here he only allowed 2 goals in most recent start. I do expect Shesterkin to start though because this is the front end of a B2B and is the perceived tougher game as it the Kings tonight and the Ducks tomorrow. That said, Shesterkin has been dominant but, again, if Halak goes I still like this play. The Rangers have underachieved a bit so far this season and the Kings have overachieved and the result of this is now line value with New York at a pick'em price against a Los Angeles team that, in my eyes, they have solid edges over. The Rangers have won 4 of last 6 road games and one of the two losses was in OT. The Kings are off B2B losses and have been held to 2 or less goals in 6 of last 10 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 3.7 goals last 6 road games and get the job done again here. 10* NY RANGERS -105 |
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11-22-22 | Pennsylvania -4 v. Lafayette | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
#306575 Tuesday 10* Top Play Penn Quakers -3/3.5/4 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 8:30 ET - I am aware of the Jordan Dingle injury as he missed the game at West Virginia after leaving the prior game with an injury. However, even if he does not play tonight, the Quakers are just too much for the Leopards and the situation is perfect. While Penn is off a bloodbath loss to the Mountaineers 92 to 58 and fully ready to respond here, Lafayette is off an ugly low-scoring win over Central Connecticut State. That was first win of the season for the Leopards and they could struggle here after an ugly tight win like that. Penn, on the other hand, is coming off the type of ugly defeat that is going to bring an inspired effort here. I don't see the Quakers being denied here even if Dingle ends up missing this game. However, there is a chance he will be back for this one but either way the depth of their roster has more talent than this Leopards team from the Patriot League. Not only is that one of the weakest conferences in the nation but also Lafayette is projected to be one of the worst teams in the Patriot League. Take advantage of the small number here and look for the Quakers to bounce back off the embarrassing loss. 10* PENN -3/3.5/4 |
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11-22-22 | Nets v. 76ers +7.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +7 or +7.5 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - Yes the Sixers have injury issues as Harden and Maxey were already out and now Embiid is going to miss a couple games. However, there is an expression about "wounded dog bites the hardest" and this hungry 76ers team will put up a dogfight here at home. They do get back Harris and Korkmaz for this one or at least that is expected. I know the latter has not done a whole lot this season but Harris is one of Philly's top players and both guys will carry, and are happy to have, a bigger share of the production tonight on the floor. The Nets have had team chemistry issues all season long and though they should find a way to win this game I do not expect the margin to be enough. Brooklyn has played 17 games and only have 4 wins by more than 7 points this season! The 76ers already have 3 losses by 3 or less points on their home floor this season. They will put up a fight here and the 76ers are 2-2 in games Embiid has missed and one of those two losses was by just 2 points. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7 or +7.5 |
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11-22-22 | Sabres v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Montreal - Canadiens 7 of 10 home games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Habs last 5 home games have averaged 8.2 goals apiece. Sabres have lost 8 straight games and are hungry to get back on track. Buffalo has allowed about 4 goals per game during the losing streak. Prior to that the Sabres had 3 game winning streak in which the games averaged 9 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 Buffalo road games have totaled at least 7 goals. The first meeting between these teams ended with just 5 goals but featured nearly 80 shots on goal. With both teams giving up a lot of goals recently, all those shots will translate to more goals this time around. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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11-22-22 | Bowling Green +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 14-38 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play Bowling Green Falcons +6.5 or +7 @ Ohio Bobcats @ 7 ET - Ohio is priced this way because they are at home and still motivated to win as they look to win the MAC East. However, their top QB Rourke was on the sidelines with a heavy brace and ice for the 2nd half of last week's game. Even if he is able to play here he will not be 100%. As for Bowling Green, they are off a big 42-35 road win at Toledo to keep their MAC title game hopes alive. They need to win here and then hope Kent State beats Buffalo on Saturday. The road win for the Falcons was no fluke as they are now 3-0 SU in MAC road games this season and have scored an average of 35.7 ppg in winning all 3. Led by a solid (and healthier) QB in McDonald, the Falcons are off an amazing late win against the Bulls that kept their season alive. BG will build off that emotional last second win, they were down 35-34 when they won it on what was very nearly the final play of the game. The Bobcats are not very strong defensively and rely heavily on their offense to win games. The Falcons are peaking at the right time and will give a wounded Ohio U all they can handle here and possibly even win the game outright. I will take the points. 10* Bowling Green +6.5 or +7 |
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11-22-22 | Australia v. France OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
World Cup Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in France vs Australia @ 2 ET - This is a contrarian play if you will. 3 straight and 5 of last 7 Australia matches have finished with a total of 2 or less goals. 5 straight matches for France have finished with 2 or less goals. Yet the books have this total as high as a 3 or you can grab the 2.5 but play a little extra juice on the over. The key here is that the over is offering exceptional line value because of the situation specific to this match-up. First off, France is dealing with some injuries issues. I would not be surprised to see this open up the door to Australia finding their way to scoring a goal in this one. At the same time, France is a heavy favorite here for a reason. They are a big step up in level of competition to what Australia is use to seeing. The result is that this one should end up at least 3-1 in my opinion. The scoring talent France has is just too much for Australia to stop in this one. France is off a shutout loss but it was to a high-quality Denmark team. Prior to this, France scored an average of 2.2 goals per match their prior 24 matches. Australia is on a 4-0-1 run and scored 1.8 goals per victory in those 4 wins. They have added confidence as a result and that is why I expect them to score at least 1 goal here but they will not be able to stop France. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in France |