Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars UNDER 48 | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Boys/Jags (SPECIAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. The Cowboys are now 10-3 after last week's 27-23 win over Houston. They didn't even come close to covering the large 17-point spread. Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight now, which is significant to note as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Jacksonville is 5-8. It's been playing much better behind the great play of QB Trevor Lawrence. The Jags are coming off a 36-22 road win at Tennessee. This Cowboys defense is legit though and I think the home side will have a much more difficult time moving the ball this afternoon; look for this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 223 | Top | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Miami is now 15-15 after a 111-108 road win at Houston. The Heat play with revenge after falling 115-111 to the Spurs in Mexico earlier in the season. That total went "over" the number, but note that Miami has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Spurs are off a 128-112 home loss to Portland. They only average 110.2 PPG. After three straight "overs," expect a much more defensive peformance here from the home side. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a bit high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State UNDER 53 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Florida/Oregon State (O/U BLOOD-BATH) This one sets up well for an "under." The Gators are without their starting QB, so their only hope here is to run the ball. The only problem there is, Oregon State is only allowing 114 rushing yards per game. This Oregon State defense allows just over 21 PPG, and I think they'll be on point here against this vanilla Florida offense. With each team committed to the run on offense throughout, expect this total to stay well under the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-17-22 | Colts v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 36-39 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Colts/Vikes (SUPER TOTAL) A common sense play here. The Colts are only averaging 16.1 PPG this year. They're coming off their bye week, but their strong point has been their defense. It's only allowing 16.1 PPG. Matt Ryan is 29th in the league with an 84.0 passer rating. The Vikes have been mediocre of late. They're just 2-2 in their last four. The Vikes' defense catches a break today. Justin Jefferson though is facing a Top 5 passing defense in the Colts today, so that means that Dalvin Cook will by leaned upon by the Vikes. I expect a whole lot of running from each side today; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA OVER 56.5 | Top | 18-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER UTSA/TROY (TOTAL ROUT) Both teams finished 11-2. UTSA went 8-0 in conference play and then won the Conference USA Championship over UNT by a score of 48-27. I feel like today's game will have a similar final combined score. QB Frank Harris had 341 yards and four TD's in the vicotry. The Roadrunners put the pedal to the metal all game, entering averaging 37.6 PPG. Troy is only allowing 17.6 PPG, but the Trojans are off a big Sun Belt Championship by smoking Coastal Carolina by a score of 45-26. QB Gunnar Watson had 318 yards passing and three TD's. The stage is set for a bit of a shootout here; this number is low the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Wings/Wild (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring one finally for a few different reasons. Detroit has now seen the total go "under" the number in five straight after last night's loss to the Stars. It's also lost three straight. The Wings though have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row, and in five of their last six after three or more losses in a row. The Wild are coming off a 2-1 win here at home over Edmonton in their most recent matchup. They've held their last two opponents to a combined one goal, so I'm expecting some regression here finally on the defensive side vs. this hungry Wings team. When you add it all up, this O/U line is low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-13-22 | Flyers v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Flyers/Avs (TOTAL EXPRESS) I'm expecting a wide-open, higher-scoring affair here today. Philadelphia is off a 5-4 OT loss at Arizona. They play with revenge here today after a 5-3 loss at home to Colorado on December 5th. Note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss against an opponent. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight after its 3-2 OT win at St. Louis, which is important for us to note here, as the Avs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a faster-paced, higher-scoring "over" in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-12-22 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nets/Wizards (EXPRESS) When these teams played against each other on November 30th, the total went "under" the number in the Nets' 113-107 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Since then Brooklyn has gone 3-1, and it's seen the total now go "over" in three straight (but that's significant to note, as the Nets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Wizards have now lost six straight after a 114-107 home loss to the Clippers. They only average 110.8 PPG, and I think they'll struggle to reach that number this evening. Look for a much more defensive affair here; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 53.5 | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vikes/Lions (NFC NORTH TOY) For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to stay "under" the posted number. The Vikes are 10-2, but they're slight underdogs here on the road vs. the 5-7 Lions. Detroit has inexplicably won four of its last five, but after last week's big 40-14 home victory over Jacksonville, I think the Lions will have a much harder time moving the ball vs. their divional opponent today. The first matchup of the season resulted in a 28-24 win for the Vikes, and the total went "over" the number of 51.5 in that one. But I think the rematch, considering the implications, will be a much more methodical, slower-paced defensive affair where field position becomes paramount. Look for Minnesota to pound the football via the run game while on offense, while also delivering a lot of pressure on the defensive side; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-10-22 | Navy v. Army OVER 32 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Navy/Army (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams have historically played to several lower-scoring games over the last decade. Both run the triple-option, and neither will throw the ball much if at all. It's going to be blustery conditions as well in Philadelphia, but with all of that said, I still think this number is low. Navy averaes 22.4 PPG, while Army averages 29.4. Tyhier Taylor has 12 rushing TD, and the Black Knights averaged over 300 rushing yards per game. Navy uses a combination of Maasai Maynor and Xavier Arline at QB, and it's been effective as well. I believe each will come close to their seasonal offensive average here, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-09-22 | Sharks v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sharks/Ducks (EXPRESS) These teams have been playing to higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. San Jose is off the 6-5 OT loss at home to Vancouver. It only averages 2.97 GPG though. It plays with revenge here after a 5-4 loss to the Ducks at the start of November, but note that SJ has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded five or more goals in. The Ducks are off a 4-3 OT win over Carolina, but they oly average 2.48 GPG. I don't see either team reaching its offensive average here tonight though. In a game that I see being a very tight defensive-affair, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-09-22 | Washington v. Gonzaga OVER 148 | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/Gonzaga (NON-CONF TOW) When these teams battled in 2019, Gonzaga walked away with the 83-76 victory. I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Washington is 7-2 after a 73-63 win over Colorado in its last outing. Overall the Huskies are averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 63.9. Keion Brooks leads the nightly charge with an average of 16.6 PPG. The Huskies will have to bring their "A" game to face the 6-3 Bulldogs. Gonzaga is averaging a whopping 80.2 PPG this year, but its defense has taken a step back, as it's conceding 74.1. Finally note, the "over" is 5-1 in Washington's last six games following a straight-up win. I expect a faster-paced affair here, one that flies well "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-09-22 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | Top | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER Suns/Pelicans. For a number of different reasons, I expect this total to fly well "over" the posted number. The Suns are 16-8 after a listless 125-98 home loss to Boston. But that's important to note here, as Phoenix has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 when coming off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. New Orleans is off the 104-98 home win over Detroit. It plays with revenge here after a 124-111 road loss at Phoenix in late October. Note that the Pels have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle to a higher-scoring affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-07-22 | Hawks v. Knicks OVER 232 | Top | 89-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Hawks/Knicks (ASSASSIN) These are two teams in need of a win. Atlanta is 13-11. It's 5-6 on the road. New York is 11-13 and 5-7 at home. The Hawks are coming off a 121-114 loss at home to Oklahoma City. That broke a two game win streak, but over their last three games, the Hawks have still averaged 119 points per game. I think they keep that offensive momentum rolling here. Tre Young and head coach Nate McMillan got into an argument, and Young walked out of the last game, but that'll just add fuel to the fire here for the Hawks I think in this one. And then for New York, it just snapped a two-game slide with a low-scoring 92-81 win here over Cleveland on the weekend. But that's signficant to note, as the Knicks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a straight up and against the spread home victory in which they held their opponent to 90 or fewer points in. The Knicks also play with the added incentive of "revenge" here, as they lost 112-96 to the Hawks at the start of November. That play also went "under" the number. But I say the rematch here will be a faster paced contest. This one has all the makings of a shootout in my opinion; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-04-22 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) Two teams in dire need of a win, and which have not played to many high-scoring affairs of late, collide here on Sunday and in my opinion, everything points to a wide-open "goal-fest." Detroit is off the 4-1 loss at home to Vegas just last night. It's still 11-7-3-2 and note that the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after a home loss in which they were held to one or less goals in. Columbus is only 8-12-1-1, but it'll look to keep the foot on the gas after a 4-1 win at Winnipeg last time out. The problem for the Blue Jackets this year? Defensively! They concede 3.95 GPG, which ranks 31st. Look for this faster-paced affair to result in plenty of goals; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-03-22 | Bucks v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Hornets (ASSASSIN) For a couple of different reasons, I really expect this to be a very defensive affair on Saturday night. More than anything, this is just a common sense play. Both teams played and went "over" the total just last night! The Lakers beat the Bucks 133-129 as 8.5-point underdogs, which is signficant to note, as Milwaukee has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss in which it allowed 130 or more points in. Charlotte's off the tight 117-116 home win over Washington, "lucky" as it only scored ten points total in the final quarter. I think the Hornets are "gassed" here for sure now in the second game of the B2B; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
Buffalo/Patriots OVER (AFC EAST TOTAL OF MONTH) It's clearly a big game for both teams, but more so for New England. The Patriots are 6-5 after last week's 33-26 loss at Minnesota on Thanksgiving Day. These teams play again in the very final game of the year. The Patriots have struggled with offensive consistency, but they're going to have to be the aggressor today. The Bills are coming off back-to-back road victories in Detroit, coming from behind to knock off the Lions on Thanksgiving Day for their second straight win on the same field (snow game the previous outing.) The Bills are now having to play a third-straight game on the road as a favorite. It's difficult to win in the NFL. It's even more difficult to win on the road in the NFL as a favorite week after week. I just see this being an offensive battle. Both teams moved the ball last week and I expect the same here; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-01-22 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 125-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mavericks/Pistons (NON-CONF. TOM). I think we'll see more of a defensive affair here, rather than a wide-open run and gun shootout. The Mavericks are 10-10, but just 1-7 on the road. They're coming off the high-scoring 116-113 home win over Golden State, but they still average only l09.4 PPG, ranked 24th. Dallas most nights gets the job done with tough defensive play. Detroit is just 5-18, and it's coming off a 140-110 home loss here to New YOrk two nights ago. The Pistons though only average 109.1 PPG, ranked 26th. I can't see either team reachign their seasonal offensive averages here tonight (note as well that Detroit has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a 25 points or greater SU/ATS home loss.) All signs point to a lower-scoring battle between these non-conference opponets. AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-30-22 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 227 | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Knicks (ASSASSIN) For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done. Common sense is a great approach to use here for the Knicks, who are off a big 140-110 win at Detroit just last night. I had the Knicks in that one. But, I beliee fatigue will be a factor here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Bucks are 14-5, one of the best records in the league, but they haven't been killing teams with offense, as they average 112.5 PPG, ranked 15th in the league. Instead it's been aggressive defensive play. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but I believe that the value has now finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-29-22 | Lightning v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lighting/Bruins (TOP TOTAL) If you've followed me for any length of time, then you've heard me say many times that I don't follow any particular single handicapping methodology, but that I instead feel that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. Some times I completely break down a pick, looking at every player, every stat, every angle I can find, but other times a more "common sense" approach is definitely the best way to approach a contest. And that's the case with this particular one. Tampa's off a tight 6-5 OT win at Buffalo just last night, and I expect the Bolts to come in with "heavy legs" here in the second game of the B2B. Look for the viistors to double down on the defensive side tonight. The Bruins are 18-3 this year. They're off a tight 3-2 OT win over Carolina here at home three nights ago and I expect a similar final combined score here as well; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-28-22 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 235 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Lakers (NON-CONF TOW) A common sense play here. The Pacers are off a 114-100 loss to the Clippers here just last night and I expect the visiting side to come into this one with "heavy legs." They continue their tough road trip at Sacramento to end the month. The Lakers have been playing a lot better of late. They're coming off back-to-back road wins at San Antonio, including a 143-138 victory in the second one. They're still only averagihg 112.2 PPG though. I think we'll see a much more subdued game here, and because of that, I'm expecting this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-28-22 | Steelers v. Colts OVER 39 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Steelers/Colts (ASSASSIN) Neither team has officially been mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, but each is on the ropes. Each has struggled offensively, and done decently on the defensive side. That's why we have such a low total here again tonight on Prime Time. But I just can't see either of these teams sitting back and playing conservatively this evening. They need a win. They need a spark. And I expect this to translate into a very wide-open contest between these non-conference opponents. With their backs against the proverbial wall this evening, expect a hard-fought competitive affair, but one the flied well "over" this low number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-27-22 | Broncos v. Panthers OVER 36 | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER (GRAND-DADDY) For a number of different reasons I am expecting this total to eclipse this lower numer as the game comes down the stretch. Yes, there's no question that both the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers come into this contest with more questions than answers. Especially on the offensive end. It would be really easy to point at these team's offensive and defensive numbers and just assume that this will be a lower-scoring game, but each team will be opening up the playbook as they desperately seek a spark and a victory. The Panthers have a new QB under center this week. The Broncos keep trying to figure new things out on offense. I say the pendulum finally swings the other way as far as the total is concerned for these two teams; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 234 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER OKC/Houston. Here's a great situational "spot bet." I don't know what else to call it but exactly that. OKC is coming off a 123-119 OT home win over the Bulls as a 3-point underdog just last night (I had the Thunder in that one.) I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for the visiting side in the second game of the back-to-back. Starters could even be rested. Houston is off a rare win just last night as well, holding on for the 128-122 victory at home over the Hawks. Despite that win though, note that the Rockets are still only averaging 109.7 PPG, which is ranked 22nd. Everything points to a much lower-scoring defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 63.5 | Top | 48-51 | Win | 100 | 58 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Oklahoma/Texas Tech (BIG 12 TOY) For a number of different reasons, I expect each team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here, and because of that, I look for this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. Oklahoma is off a big win over Oklahoma State by a score of 28-13, making the Sooners eligible. I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas here though with the chance for a better bowl on th eline. The Sooners average 31.5 PPG, and last year they won this game by a score of 55-21. The Red Raiders moved to 6-5 as well in a tough 14-10 win at Iowa State as a 3.5-point underdog. It was a gritty win and I look for Texas Tech, which averages 32 PPG, to lay it all on the line here in the final game of the year at home; it's a great situational play, as I'm expecting each team to push the pace until the final whistle; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-22 | Capitals v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Capitals/Devils OVER (METROPLITAN TOY) For a couple of different reasons, I'm expecting a wide-open shootout here between these Divisional foes, instead of a "lock-down" defensive battle. New Jersey is now 17-4 after rebounding from its first loss in a while to defeat Buffalo by a score of 3-1 yesterday. New Jersey owns the No. 1 defense in the league, but I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry 9-10-1-2 Capitals team, that is coming off back-to-back wins, including a 3-0 home victory over the Flames last night. Fatigue will be a factor for both teams, but I believe it'll be detrimental on the defensive end. Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a shutout home victory as well. When they played on October 24th in the Nation's capital, the Caps won by a score of 6-3. So this is a revenge spot as well for the Devils. In what I anticipate to be a wide-open "goal-fest," look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings OVER 42 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 51 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Pats/Vikes (TOP TOTAL) Here are two teams that I think will go toe to toe on the national stage, and when the smoke does finally clear at the end of the night, I'm expecting this total to eclipse what I believe to be a very low number. The Patriots have won three straight and they've allowed just six points total over their last two. That was against the Colts and Jets though, two QB's that both really struggled. I like Cousins here at home to boune back after the Vikes' 40-3 home loss to the Cowboys (note though that Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to six or less points in.) Minnesota will absolutely be opening up the playbook on Thanksgiving, and I expect this more wide-open affair to produce a higher-scoring result; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vegas/Vancouver (WEST-CONF TOW) For a couple of different reasons, I believe this late West Coast contest will be a very defensive affair, rather than a wide-open shootout. Vegas is 14-4-1, but it's lost three of its last four. That includes a 4-3 OT setback at Edmonton on Saturday night. The Knights return home after this for three straight. Vancouver is just 6-9-2-1, but it's now won two straight. Most recently it was a 4-1 victory at home over LA on Friday night (note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five when playing with two or more days of rest.) This is an important game for each side, and I expect this intensity to result in a classic hard-hitting, lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* 49ers/Cardinals UNDER (ASSASSIN) Here's a game being played in Mexico City. The 49ers are a big favorite here, but it's not because of QB Jimmy Garopolo. The 49ers have a great defense and run game, and I expect to see a heavy dose of that from the 49ers this evening as they try to contain Kyler Murray and turn this Cards' offense one-dimensional. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I say the value has now swung the other way. The NFC West is wide open. This is in fact a really important game on many levels. San Fran has also seen the total go under in six of its last seven after a SU win, while Arizona has interestingly seen the total go under the number in nine of its last ten Monday Night contests. These QB's are not dynamic. They're mediocre. Look for special teams and field position to prove to be critical for the winner of this contest; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-21-22 | Wales v. United States UNDER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (Wales/USA) Wales makes its first appearance at a World Cup in 64 years. The USA is back in the World Cup after missing out in 2018. Both teams squeaked into the Tournament. The USA has failed to beat a European team in nine straight tries in the World Cup, and they could have a difficult time here vs. Wales. Wales hasn't won a friendly or any match at all since qualifying with a 1-0 win over Ukraine. England is favored to win this group. Everything points to the being a "war of attrition," and I expect that to result in a very defensive, lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 103 h 53 m | Show |
10* OVER Chiefs/Chargers. For a number of different reasons, I'm expecting a wide-open "shootout," instead of a lower-scoring defensive "battle." Kansas City is 7-2 and LA is 5-4. The Chiefs are off a 27-17 win over Jacksonville at home last weekend. KC has seen the total go "under" the number in two straight, but it's still the highest scoring team in the league in averaging 30 PPG. This is a rematch, as KC won the first game at home between the division rivals by a score of 27-24 as a four-point favorite. That one actually went "under" the number of 54 set in that contest. Tonight's total is significantly lower, but now it's a bit too low in my opinion. My UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR came last weekend in the Chargers 22-16 loss/cover against the 49ers as 6.5-point underdogs. LA is still second in the division and it's seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. The national stage is set for a "shootout," not a defensive battle; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 48.5 | Top | 40-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
10* under Cowboys/Vikings (ASSASSIN) This is an interesting game. The Cowboys are favored for a second straight week as the visiting side. Last week Dallas fell 31-28 in OT at Green Bay as a four-point favorite. Suspect play calling down the stretch cost the Cowboys the victory. Now they head to Minnesota as a slight 1.5-point favorite to face an 8-1 Vikings team that comes home after an emotional 33-30 OT win at Buffalo as a 6.5-point underdog. We saw some high-scoring games last weekend, but I'm anticpating a much more defensive affair this time around in Minnesota, with each side committed to establishing the run while on offense; it's a great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-22 | South Florida v. Tulsa OVER 57.5 | Top | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* OVER USF/Tulsa. What does either team have to lose here, except another game?! With nothing on the line, even the chance to play spoiler, I look for a wide-open offensive affair, rather than an intense defensive one. Teh Bulls have lost eight in a row. Last time out they fell 41-23 to SMU. I'm envisioning a similar final combined score here as well. The Golden Hurricane enter on a three-game losing streak, most recently falling 26-10 at Memphis. Tulsa is a huge favorite here in its final home game of the season. It'll be an underdog next week in Houston. Both teams can score. USF averages 25.5 PPG, while Tulsa averages 28.2. I expect each to exceed their season offensive averages tonight; this total is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-22 | Heat v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Heat/Wizards. For a number of different reasons I'm expecting a lower-scoring battle in this one. Miami is 7-8 and Washington is 8-7. The Heat are just 1-4 on the road, and the Wizards are 5-4 at home. Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in five straight now after a 112-104 loss at Toronto in its last outing. It had won three-straight at home previous. Regardless, it's still significant to note here for us as the Heat have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Wizards look to regroup after falling 121-120 at home to OKC as five-point favs. Despite the higher-scoring game, note that the Wizards still only average 108.9 PPG, ranked 25th. I anticipate a very defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-17-22 | Flames v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Flames/Lightning (SPECIAL) Neither team has been great this year. Each is need of a win. Calgary is 7-6-2, while Tampa is 9-6-0-1. While they're off a high-scoring 6-5 home win over LA, I expect a much more defensive game from the Flames here on the road. Calgary averages 3.13 GPG, while allowing 3.33. Tampa is off a 5-4 OT home win over Dallas in its last outing. Tampa averages just 3.38 GPG, while allowing 3.25. This is the opener of six straight on the road for the Flames, all tough games as well, facing Florida, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Washington and Carolina. Calgary will look to double down defensively here in the opener. I expect a very defensive affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 59 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL ANNIHILATION) For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fly "over" the number. EMU is now 6-4 and bowl eligible after its 34-28 road win at Akron last week. The Eagles though still have an outside shot at the league championship, so they won't be taking the foot off the gas here. Overall EMU averages 27.7 PPG. Kent State averages 28.7. The Flashes needed a big performance last week and they delivered in their 40-6 road win at Bowling Green. Now 4-6, Kent will have tonight, as well as next week vs. Buffalo to become eligible. One game at a time though. I don't see a lot of defense being played here. Each team is going to be aggressive and I expect this faster-paced affair to fly "over" the number before the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-14-22 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | Top | 95-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Spurs/Warriors (WEST-CONF TOW) This one sets up as a classic "shootout" in my opinion. San Antonio is 6-7 this year, while the defending champs are just 5-8. The Spurs are off a 11-93 win at home over Milwaukee, which is significant to note here in our case, as San Antonio has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in. This is the opener of a really tough road trip for San Antonio, with a game Portland tomorrow night, followed by the Kings, the Clippers and Lakers. The Warriors have clearly been "out of sync" this season. They're off a 122-115 loss at Sacramento. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight, but I expect the Warriors to bounce back offensively against this suspect San Antonio defense. This one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-14-22 | Commanders v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Philly (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles are 8-0 and the last thing they'll want to do is to lose focus in this home divisional contest. Divisional contests are always the most important, and they're almost always more important to the home side. The Eagles are 5-3 ATS this year. They're averaging 28.1 PPG, which ranks second overall. They've had a week off since a trap-avoiding 29-17 win at Houston two weeks ago. The Commanders on the other hand are 4-5 and they're coming off a heart-breaking 20-17 loss at home to Minnesota last weekend. Washington averages 17.7 PPG, which ranks 27th. The road ahead has become a favorable one for the Eagles. There won't be too many though where they're favored by this much. Philadelphia doesn't need to run up the score here to win this game. I can't see the Commanders mustering up much offense here, but I'm still nervous about laying a double-digit spread as well. That makes the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Jazz v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/76ers. For a number of different reasons, I expect a defensive affair here between these non-conference opponents. The bottom line is I just don't think the 76ers can get into a shoot-out with the red hot Jazz and win this game. Their offense is going to have to be run through Embiid. Also note that each team played just last night. Utah fell 121-112 in the nation's capital, while Philadelphia held on for a 121-109 win over the Hawks here at home. Despite that win though, note that the 76ers are only averaging 108.8 PPG, ranked 25th. Expect fatigue to be a factor here; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-13-22 | Broncos v. Titans OVER 39 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
10* Broncos/Titans OVER (NON-CONF TOM) Denver has struggled with offensive consistency all year, but I still think this total is much too low. The Broncos are only averaging 15.1 PPG, but they're off a crucial 21-17 win over the Jaguars in England two weeks ago and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas offensively here against the Titans. The Titans won't be lacking for motivation here either after their 20-17 OT loss at Kansasa City last weekend. Despite only averaging 18.6 PPG this year, note that Tennessee has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/trends/numbers, all points to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 65 | Top | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Alabama/Ole Miss (SEC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much more defensive affair here this weekend finally. Alabama is now 7-3, while Ole Miss is 8-1. Bama lost a heart-breaking OT game in LSU last weekend by a score of 32-31 as a 13.5-point favorite. Ole Miss is off a tight 31-28 win at Texas A&M. Georgia's now in control of the SEC at 9-0. Ole Miss is actually coming off its bye week, so it's fully prepared here. Also remember, the last time the Tide lost this year, the following week they came out and destroyed Mississippi State by a score of 30-6. I think Alabama will double down here defensively as it looks to control all facets in this bounce back opportunity. LSU will also be looking to hold onto the ball as much as possible while on offense. When you add it all up, I definitely believe this Over/Under line is a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-22 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia OVER 41 | 37-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
8* OVER Pitt/UVA (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Pittsburgh is 5-4, while UVA is 3-6. The Panthers are favored here and are on the cusp of eligibility. They're off a 19-9 home win over Syracuse, but they've seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS victory in which they held their opponent to ten or less points in. UVA is 3-6 after last week's tight 31-28 setback to UNC. The Cavs are now not going to be able to make a bowl, but they can play spoiler. Look for the home side to open up the playbook here and for the Panthers to match pace; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-11-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 51.5 | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER ECU/Cincinnati. Both teams are eligible, but each is looking for more victories. ECU is off a 27-24 win over BYU as a three-point underdog. The Pirates average 32.6 PPG. They're coming off B2B wins, but each game has gone "under" the number. I expect those lower-scoring trends to end here this evening though against a Cincinnati team that's coming off a tougher than expected 20-10 home win over Navy last week. The Bearcats though average 33.2 PPG. Cincinnati has now seen the total go UNDER in five straight, which is significant to note here, as the Bearcats have in fact seen the total go OVER in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight UINDERS in a row. I think this number is now a bit too low, so the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-08-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron OVER 55.5 | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER EMU/Akron (MAC TOW) For a number of different reasons, I believe this O/U line is a bit too low. Eastern Michigan is 5-4. It's 3-1 on the road. It needs one more win to become bowl eligible. It's coming off a 27-24 loss at home to Toledo, but it averages 27 PPG. Akron is just 1-8. It's off a 27-9 loss to Miami Ohio. It averages just 18.6 PPG. So why the super high total here? Akron is brutal defensively, and the Eagles also give up yards. The Zips will try to play the role of spoiler here for at least one more week. This is in fact Akron's final home game, so expect the team to open up the playbook offensively as it tries to pull off the unlikely upset. And after last week's home loss, look for EMU to keep the foot on the gas from start to finigh. The numbers/trends and the overall situation ALL point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Panthers v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Ducks (TOTAL EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much tighter defensive battle here on Sunday. Florida is off a 5-4 loss at LA just last night, while Anaheim is off a 5-4 shootout win at San Jose just last night. The Ducks have now seen the total go "over" in four straight, while the Panthers have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five. Fatigue plays a major factor here for both sides in the second game of the B2B scenario. Look for each side to double down defensively and then expect this total to stay well "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-06-22 | Cavs v. Lakers UNDER 223.5 | Top | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cavs/Lakers (TOTAL EXPRESS) It's pretty crazy to think that the Cleveland Cavaliers are favored on the road in LA against LeBron James and the Lakers, but here we are. The Cavs are 7-1 and the Lakers are 2-6. From a situational stand-point, I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Any time that James plays the Cavaliers, he takes it personally. The fact that they're favored here, won't be sitting well with The King. The Lakers are 2-3 at home, and they'll need to run their offense through their big man AD to win this game in my estimation. That means a lot of half court sets when you're on offense. The Cavs are off a 112-88 destruction of the Pistons. Their defense has been solid. With a game against the Clippers here tomorrow, they'll have to save some gas in the tank. For a number of different reasons, I love the way this one sets up to be a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros. Streaks and records come to an end at some point. Both of these starters has been exceptional up to this point, but now on the biggest stage, I'm expecting some minor regression from both. Zach Wheeler is 1-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.73 WHIP for the Phillies so far in the Playoffs, while his counterpart Framber Valdez has been even better at 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. I just think we're going to see a lot of aggressive offensive tactics from both sides here today, especially obviously from the Phillies. I say this O/U line is now just a bit TOO low. Look for these unbelievable offenses to finally crack these starters and look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-05-22 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt OVER 48 | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
8* OVER South Carolina/Vandy (SPECIAL) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games, but I expect those trends to end this evening. South Carolina is 5-3 and on the cusp of eligibility. Vanderbilt is 3-5 and in desperate need of victories with four games left in its season. This is the most winnable game for the Commodores, with games upcoming at Kentucky, vs Florida and vs Tennessee. Vanderbilt averages 26.6 PPG, while South Carolina averages 30.2, despite last week's 23-10 home loss to Missouri as a 3.5-point favorite. Off that upset, look for the Gamecocks to push the pace from the outset here. The overall situation points to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-05-22 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern OVER 60.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER USA/Georgia Southern (CONF. USA TOY) both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of an offensive affair in this one finally. USA is now 6-2 after its 31-3 win over Arkansas State last weekend. The Jaguars though average 31.6 PPG, which ranks 54th in the league. USA has a legitimate shot at the Sun Belt title, tied with Troy at 6-2 and CCU just ahead at 7-1. The Jaguars won't be taking the foot off the gas here against 5-3 Georgia Southern, which is off a 28-23 win at Old Dominion. Now just one win away from eligibility, this is a fantastic situational play here this weekend. Georgia Southern averages 36.9 PPG, which ranks 21st in the league and I'm expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Look for this contest to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 229.5 | Top | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Denver/OKC (NW DIV. TOY) These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but I expect this divisional battle to finally be a much more defensive battle. Oklahoma City is 4-3. It comes in on fire, having won and covered in four straight. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note here as OKC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With a couple nights off before a game at Milwaukee, the young Thunder will have to be careful to not get caught looking ahead. But with Denver coming to town, that's unlikely. The Nuggets will be out to rebound after their 121-110 road loss to the Lakers. Expect an intense battle here early on in the season between these division rivals, but a contest that ultimately does fall well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina OVER 63.5 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER App State/Coastal Carolina (TOW) App State is 5-3 and on the cusp of eligibility. It's favored by three here and I do expect the Mountaineers to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish as they try to run down eligibility with a victory. Coastal Carolina won't be rolling over. It's 7-1 and it has bigger plans for the rest of its season. A victory here over App State would just add to their resume. App State has the 20th ranked run game in the nation, averaging 208.3 yards per game. It's won three of its last four, outscoring its competition 133-20. QB CHase Brice has 22 TD's and just four INT's. CC is coming off a 24-13 road win over Marshall, but previous to that allowed 49 points in a loss to ODU. CC has a balanced offense though that can keep pace with the visiting side, ranked 46th in the nation in passing and 47th in rushing. QB Grayson McCall has 19 TD's and just one INT. These teams played to a lower-scoring duel last year, but all signs point to these competent QB's playing the starring role this season; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-01-22 | Warriors v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Heat (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to open the season, but I expect a much more defensive affair here finally on Tuesday. Golden State is just now just 3-4 after falling 128-114 at Detroit. Interestingly, the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in all seven of their games so far this season. And that fact, in my professional opinion, has helped in driving today's total a few points higher than it normally would be. After their disastrous outing against the lowly Pistons, I expect Golden State to play much tougher defensively this evening. The Heat are only averaging 108 PPG this year, so the last thing they'll want to do is turn this into a "track meet" with the highest scoring team in the league. Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-31-22 | Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 229 | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pistons/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOW) Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here. The Bucks are 5-0 SU/ATS and appear to be the "cream of the crop" in the Eastern Conference right now. Detroit is off an impressive 128-114 home win over Golden State and has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and in six of its seven games this year. That's despite only averaging 112.3 PPG, ranked 22nd. Detroit comes in fatigued here though and as a massive double-digit underdog. I don't see the Bucks running up the score here, because I don't think they'll have to. They've been off since a 123-115 home win over the Hawks. Milwaukee will have a night off and these teams play again here on Wednesday. Look for the Bucks to control the pace of this one and then look for this total to fall "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 115-123 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Bucks (BLOWOUT) While both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games lately, I am predicting a much tighter, and lower-scoring defensive battle here finally on Saturday. Atlanta is 4-1 and Milwaukee is 4-0. The Hawks have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their latest 136-112 win over Detroit, but that's significant to note here as ATL has in fact seen the totalg go "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Bucks are off a 119-108 win over the Knicks. With back-to-back upcoming home games against the Pistons, Milwaukee won't be lookihg past its potentially dangerous opponent today. The Hawks are averaging 117.6 PPG, but the Bucks will be looking to slow the pace of this one down from the outset. Milwaukee averages 111 PPG. The Bucks get the job done defensively here in the early going this season and I expect this contest to be a very defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) I had a play on the Phillies on the runline in Game 1. While Game 1 flew well "over" the posted number of 6.5, I believe we'll see a much tigher, and ultimately lower-scoring "duel" here in Game 2. Zach Wheeler is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.51 WHIP so far in the playoffs for the Phillies, while Framber Valdez is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA for the Astros. Terrible starts for both starters yesterday, but let's not assume that these two red-hot starters here on Saturday will follow suit. Expect these two "studs" to battle into the latter frames as each sides leans on their starter today, and look for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-29-22 | Arkansas v. Auburn UNDER 60.5 | 41-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
9* under Arkansas/Auburn (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair here finally on Saturday. Arkansas is now 4-3 after its 52-35 win over BYU two weeks ago. Note though that the Razorbacks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last off a SU/ATS road victory as an underdog in which they scored 50 or more points in. I think the week off will be detrimental fo Arkansas' offense as well this week. Auburn is only averaging 22.3 PPG. The last thing the 3-4 Tigers can do is to turn this into a "track meet." They'll be looking to bounce back from a 48-34 loss at Ole Miss two weeks ago. I expect the home side to run the ball throughout while on offense and for this total to sneak "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-28-22 | Rockets v. Blazers OVER 224.5 | Top | 111-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Blazers (WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF MONTH) Both teams have been involved in some tight defensive affairs to start the season, but I'm expecting a more wide-open "shootout" here finally on Friday night. Houston is 1-4, and Portland is 4-1. The Rockets are 0-3 on the road, while Portland is 2-1 at home. Houston only averages 109.8 PPG, but I expect it to open up the playbook here today and push the pace against this Blazers team that's done well on the defensive end to this point. Portland comes in averaging 113.4 PPG. It's off a 119-98 loss at home to a desperate Miami team, but that's significant to note hote, as the Blazers have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. A great situational play, the stage is now set for a high-scoring affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-27-22 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Leafs/Sharks (BLOOD-BATH) I think rather incredibly, the Leafs have not seen the total go "over" the number in any of their games so far this season. They come to San Jose with a record of 4-3. They're only averaging 2.71 GPG, while allowing 2.57. Last year the Leaf's were among the league's best on both ends of the ice. Despite their lower-scoring games to open the season, I still think it's significant to note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. San Jose enters at 2-7. It's coming in off a 4-2 loss to the Knights. The Sharks have seen the total go "under" in four straight. Non-conferene opponents here, we can expect a much less defensive affair, and a much more wide open battle. Expect this total to finally fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-27-22 | Grizzlies v. Kings UNDER 237 | Top | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies/Kings UNDER (ASSASSIN) Both of these sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair here finally on Thursday. Memphis has actually seen the total go OVER the number in all four of its games so far this season. That includes in its 134-124 victory over the Nets last time out (note though, the Grizz have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) The Kings are 0-3 SU. They've been competitive in all three games. Last time out they fell 130-125 at Golden State. Look for Sacramento to double down on the defensive end tonight as it looks to finally break the slide. I'm expecting a much more defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-25-22 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Sharks (ASSASSIN) Vegas beat Toronto by a score of 3-1 last night, but I'm expecting a more wide-open affair here in the second game of the back-to-back. Fatigue won't be an issue at this point of the season for anyone, so look for the Knights to open things up here as they look to take advantage of this shaky Sharks defense. San Jose is just 2-6, but it comes in off a rare victory, a 3-0 shutout road win over the Flyers (but that's important to note here, as San Jose has seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last seven off a shutout road victory.) San Jose catches the Knights here at the right time. This is a difficult matchup for the Sharks, but a "tired" Las Vegas team on the second game of the back-to-back is about the best situation you could possibly hope for for San Jose. I expect both teams to light the lamp early and often; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-25-22 | Mavs v. Pelicans UNDER 220.5 | Top | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mavs/Pels UNDER (SOUTHWEST DIVISION TOY) Both of these teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to start going the other way in this early divisional matchup. Dallas is 1-1 and is favored in this one. It's coming off an impressive 137-96 win over the Grizzlies. I expect the Mavs to keep up the aggressive defensive pressure here vs. the Pels. New Orleans is 2-1 and coming off a tiring 122-121 OT loss here at home to the Jazz a 8.5 point favorites. That total went "over" the number, because the game went to OT. The Pelicans have seen the total go "over" the number in all three games they've played in this season, which is significant to note here in our case as New Orleans has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. A great situational play early in the season, the play here is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-22-22 | Washington v. California UNDER 54.5 | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Cal (ASSASSIN) Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in all seven of its games this season, inlcuding in its 49-39 win over Arizona last weekend. The Huskies are averaging 42.1 PPG, but I think that they'll finally come back down to Earth here vs. 3-3 Cal. Washington is 5-2 and on the cusp of eligibility. The Golden Bears are off a 20-13 loss to Colorado. Cal plays with "revenge" here, as Washington has won seven of the last ten in this series. Washington's defense is pretty good, allowing just 28.6 PPG. The Bears are even better though, conceding just 21.7 PPG. The "under" is 4-1 in the last five Bears games overall, and it's also 4-1 in the Bears last five following an ATS loss. Look for a much tigher, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" once the smoke finally clears form this one! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-21-22 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wings/Hawks (BLOWOUT) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Detroit is off a 5-4 OT loss at home to the Kings, but with three whole nights off between games, I expect the visiting side to double down on the defensive end this evening. The Wings are 2-0-1 and have a big opportunity to build on their record facing the 1-2 Blackhawks. Chicago has been off for five whole days after a 5-2 win at San Jose. Chicago lost its first two games, but returns home for the first game of the season. The Wings have two decent goaltenders in Alex Nedeljkovic and Ville Husso. Petr Mrazek and Alex Stalock share duties for Chicago. They catch a break here facing this Wings' offense. These are two teams in need of a win at the start of the season and I expect this competitive atmosphere to translate into more of a defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-17-22 | Avalanche v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Wild (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) The stars and the planets have aligned here for an early season play of this magnitude. Colorado is 1-1. It beat Chicago 5-2 in its Opener, and then fell 5-3 at Calgary. Both games have gone "over" the number. Minnesota will be desperate here, as it enters at 0-2. It lost 7-3 at home to the Rangers, and then 7-6 here to the Kings just last night. I expect Minnesota to risk life and limb today to try and get into shooting and passing lanes tonight as it tries to get the monkey off its back. Both teams have good starting goaltenders and backups, but neither has received very good play from those units yet. Yet, though is the word we need to concentrate on here. As I eluded to off the top, this is a great "situational" play, so whoever gets the start in net tonight, I believe the numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight defensive affair in this one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 43.5 | Top | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 155 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Cowboys/Eagles (NFC EAST TOY) Scoring is down so far in NFL Prime Time games. Last Sunday's 19-17 win for Baltimore over Cincinnati was no exception. But I expect this lop-sided trend to start correcting itself finally here in Week 6. The Eagles are off a tight, but low-scoring 20-17 win over Arizona, while Dallas pulled away for the 22-10 win over the defending champs on their own field. Tony Pollard had a 57 yard TD run and Cooper Rush looked "OK" with 102 yards in the Cowboys' win. The Dallas defense looked good, but that was against a pathetic Rams offense, which was missing three starters on the offensive line. Now they have to travel on the road again here and I think the unit will struggle to contain this confident Eagles team. Jalen Hurts had difficulty moving the ball on the road, but I think he'll have a much easier time at home in this important divisional contest. Look for a wide-open offensive affair this weekend in Philadelphia, one that flies well "over" the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-15-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 66 | Top | 39-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER NIU/EMU (MAC TOM) NIU is just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS. It's seen the total go "over" the number in all six of its games that it's played in this season. EMU is 4-2 SU and 2-4 ATS, and it's seen the total go "over" the number in four of its six games this year, including in its 45-23 road win at WMU last week. Both teams have been playing to many high-scoring games this season, hence the large O/U line we have attached to this one. But I expect a more defensive affair. NIU is off a 52-32 loss to Toledo, but it's seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after allowing 50 or more points in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. EMU is very similar in that it has a good offense, and weak defense. These facts though have only helped in driving today's O/U line a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Expect a little more running, a little more defense and for this total to sneak "under" the number once the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-13-22 | Washington Commanders v. Bears OVER 37.5 | Top | 12-7 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* OVER (NON DIV TOY) Yes, these two teams have been terrible. Yes, there have been plenty of "unders" in Prime Time NFL games this year. But I believe that tonight's total is now a bit TOO low. These teams, and these two starting quarterbacks, are dying for a breakout performance. It would be easy to look at their past stats and base our prediction on tonight's game upon those results, but the situation here has shifted the value to the higher number in my opinion. The Bears struggle against good passing teams, and Carson Wentz and the Commanders will be able to move the ball. With the home side having keep pace, we can expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-13-22 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EASTERN CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL TOM) Here's a great situational play we can take advantage of right out of the gate. We don't need to overthink this one at all. Throw out the stats from last year, and throw out the stats from each team's game las tnight. The Capitals lost 5-2 at home to Boston (the total soaring "over" the number of 6), while the Leafs fell 4-3 at Montreal. Each of these team's is favored to be among the best of the best once the season ends, so clearly neither can be happy with they way it performed last night. I expect each to be tired here, and I believe each'll double down on the defensive end. As I say, no need to overthink this one. Fatigue plays a major factor in this one and helps in driving this total "under" the number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida OVER 46 | Top | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 83 h 50 m | Show |
10* OVER Temple/UCF (TOW) The UCF Knights are 4-1 and the Temple Owls are 2-3. UCF has the 43rd ranked defense, allowing 347.2 yards per game. UCF has been even better offensively though, averaging 481.8 yards per game on offense. Temple is only averaging 282.8 yards per game while on offense the Owls only average 15 PPG. UCF put up 41 points on SMU at home here last week and despite how well the Owls have played defensively to this point, I think they'll struggle here in this difficult road venue. That said, look for Temple to open things up offensively here as well as it tries to keep pace. Considering all of the above situational information, I definitely feel that Friday's O/U line is low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-12-22 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER (NLDS TOY) Yesterday's total flew "over" the number, but I'm expecting more of a "duel" here on Wednesday. The Padres look to bounce back and hand the ball to Yu Darvish, who is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in the playoffs so far. He was 16-8 with a 3.10 ERA in the regular season. Darvish faces his old team with a chip on his shoulder. In four starts against them this year he went 1-2 with a 2.50 ERA spanning 25 innings. The home side counters with Clayton Kershaw, who was 12-3 with a 2.28 ERA in the regular season. Over two starts this year vs. the Friars he went 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA. Look for these two stud starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-11-22 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SUPER TOTAL) I'm expecting some offensive fireworks here to open things up. Well, I think this total will eclipse this very low number anyways. The Padres managed to get by the Mets in three games and now they turn to Mike Clevingers, the fourth man in their rotation. Clevinger was 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA, including just 4-4 with a 5.48 ERA on the road. It's difficult to find any flaws in the Dodgers' Clayton Kershaw, who was 12-3 with a 2.88 ERA this season and who has a plethora of knowledge and experience to draw upon in this game and series. San Diego plated 16 runs vs. the Mets though, and I think they'll be able to get a few here in Game 1 as well. This number is a little low in my estimation, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs OVER 51.5 | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
10* Raiders/Chiefs OVER (ASSASSIN). We've had a lot of low-scoring "PRIME TIME" NFL games to open up the season so far, but I'm expecting that trend to end this evening. The Raiders are 1-3 and another loss here to a division rival would essentially be the nail in the coffin for Derek Carr and company. Las Vegas comes in with momentum though as it pulled away for the 32-23 win over Denver last weekend. Overall the Raiders are averaging 24 PPG. The Chiefs are off the 41-31 win over Tampa and average 32.2 PPG. That's second in the league. Neither team has looked great defensively. Look for Carr and Patrick Mahomes to take center stage here in what I expect will be a wide-open and classic "duel" here between these two gun-slingers. All signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Bengals v. Ravens OVER 47.5 | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Bengals/Ravens (AFC NORTH TOY) Neither of these divisional foes has been in many high-scoring games this year, but I say that changes here and now on Sunday night in Baltimore. In fact, the 2-2 Bengals have seen the total go "under" in all four of their games this season, while the 2-2 Ravens have seen the total go "under" two of their four games, including in its 23-20 loss here at home to Buffalo last week. These are two teams in dire need of a win and I expect the sense of urgency that each will be playing with today, to translate into offensive production on the field finally. The Bengals come in with momentum after wins over the Jets and Dolphins. The Ravens are off the heartbreaking loss to Buffalo. This is a great quarterback matchup and I expect Joe Burrow and LaMar Jackson to domiante the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. I know that we've seen a lot of lower-scoring games in the prime-tiome football spots, but this one screams "shootout" in my opinion; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Padres/Mets (NL TOW) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the posted number, but I expect the finale to be a much tighter, lower-scoring "duel" once it's all said and done. The Padres go with Joe Musgrove, who 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA overall and who was 7-3 with a 3.03 ERA on the road. He'll be opposed by the Mets' Chris Bassitt, who finished 15-9 with a 3.42 ERA overall and who was 6-6 with a 2.96 ERA at home. Funny enough, each has been rocked by their respective opponent in the past. Bassitt is 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in three career starts vs. San Diego, while Musgrove is 1-5 with a 5.83 ERA in six games vs. New York. But that's a case of that was then, and this is now. These starters enter on top form and I expect them to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-09-22 | Lions v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | Top | 0-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lions/Pats (NON-CONF TOY) These teams I think surprisingly have played to quite a few higher-scoring "overs" to open the season, but I believe everything points to this non-conference matchup being a very defensive affair. Both teams are in dire need of a victory at 1-3. Detroit is averaging 35 PPG, but allowing 35.3. I don't think that the Lions are as good offensively as their early numbers are showing, and I don't think they're nearly as poor defensively either. They've been involved in some wild games to open the season, but I believe they'll have a much more difficult time moving the ball here vs. this talented Patriots defense. And conversely, the Lions' defense catches a break here facing this vanilla New England offense which will likely be without its starting QB again this week due to an ankle injury. Whoever is under cener for the Pats, I'm expecting a lot of running from Damien Harris, who has 246 rushing yards and three TD's for the Pats. Look for this important non-conference matchup to be a very tight, and ulimtately lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-08-22 | Predators v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Predators won yesterday's season opener by a score of 4-1. I'm expecting a more competitive battle here in Game 2, but one that flies well "over" the posted number once it's all said and done. Predators' goaltender Juuse Saros was 3-0 with a 0.33 ERA in three matchups vs. the Sharks last year. He then allowed just the one goal yesterday. Saros is almost assuredly out for this one though with backup Kevin Lankinen getting the nod. Lankinen is a fantastic backup. Even if Saros does play though, I expect each team to open things up here after that first awkward contest is behind them. Look for this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-07-22 | Rays v. Guardians OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Rays/Guardians (AL TOW) We have two really good starting pitchers going head-to-head here with Shane McClanahan getting the start for the Rays and Shane Bieber getting the nod for the Guardians. The oddsmakers want us to believe that these starters will battle deep into this one, and then these competent bullpens will take over. Tampa averaged 4.11 RPG, while Cleveland averaged 4.31. I'm not buying into this super low total though, despite the level of talent between these starting pitchers. I expect each of these sides to hit their seasonal offensive average and that means that the correct call in Game 1 is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers OVER 42.5 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER (NFC WEST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games this year, but I expect this important early divisional matchup to have some offensive fireworks. LA is 2-1 and it's seen the total go "under" in two of three so far, including in last week's 20-12 victory at Arizona. San Francisco is 1-2 and it's seen the total go "under" in all three of its games, including in last week's 11-10 loss to the Broncos (note though that SF has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The 49ers can't afford another loss here. Especially to the Rams and especially at home. Both teams have struggled to find consistency in the early going, but here's an opportunity to get back on track. Jimmy Garoppolo returned to action in last week's loss and had 211 passing yards, one TD and one INT for the 49ers. I expect him to be given the "green light" here today. Matt Stafford has so far been quiet for his standards for the Rams to open the season. Overall the Rams are averaging 234 yards per game through the air. But I'm expecting a very competitive, wide open battle, and because of that, we can look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-29-22 | Phillies v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Cubs (NL TOY) The Phillies are desperate to snap a four-game slide. They're coming off back-to-back losses here in Chicago, falling 2-1 and 4-2. Suffice it to say I'm expecting some fireworks here this afternoon at the plate finally (note that Philly has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge B2B road losses against an opponent.) Ranger Suarez is 10-5 with a 3.38 ERA for Phillies, while Javier Assad is 1-2 with a 4.28 ERA for the Cubs. "We have to get going," Philadelphia slugger Bryce Harper said last night. "We can't keep saying that, right? We have to actually do it. As a team, as a club, we've got to be better." Both starters have been decent, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place at the wrong time this afternoon. The overall situation points to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-17-22 | Fresno State v. USC UNDER 72 | Top | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 111 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER FRESNO STATE/USC (NON-CONF TOY) USC is 2-0 SU/ATS after smoking Rice 66-14 and Stanford by a score of 41-28. With a date at Oregon State next weekend, followed by the heart of the PAC 12 schedule, I am expect this high-powered Trojans offense to go up early, and then to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Fresno State is 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS. It fell 35-32 at home to Oregon State last weekend as a 1-point favorite. USC hasn't won at Stanford in almost a decade, so last weekend's victory was an emotional one. Can anyone say letdown spot here?! This season the average total for USC contests is 63.3 points, 7.7 less than the over/under of this particular contest. The over/under for this game is 10.2 points more than the average over/under in Fresno State games this season (60.8 points) as well. I base my selections on many different things, but taking a "situational approach" when it comes to my totals is one of many different tactics that we employ over the course of the season. This one sets up great from a situational stand point, as we believe this O/U line to be a few points too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 21 m | Show |
10* NFC TOM ON DALLAS/TB OVER If you like points, Sunday night should be your kind of game. Both these offenses are going to pile up the points this year. Cowboys don't get the love but they will be among the most explosive teams in the league. They are an elite offense with Prescott. Bucs have finished in top 3 in points in 3 consecutive seasons. Over is 7-1 in Bucs last eight games in September. Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last five in September. Go with the Over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-10-22 | USC v. Stanford UNDER 67 | Top | 41-28 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
10* PAC 12 TOY ON USC/STANFORD UNDER USC flexed its offensive muscles last week. The new coach and QB (Riley and Williams) from Oklahoma lived up to the hype. They will face a different challenge this week. Stanford ran (and passed) the ball very effectively in dismantling Colgate. The balanced offense and quality ground game will help to keep the Trojans on the sidelines. No recent game between these teams has had a total remotely close to being this high. The last four meetings here at Stanford have all finished under the total and so will this one. Defense! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-10-22 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* TOY ON CARDINALS/PIRATES UNDER Flaherty allowed 1 run last start. The game finished with 6 runs. Brubaker allowed 2 runs last start. The game finished with 7 runs. Brubaker faced the Cardinals in June. The final score was 3-1. Early reports show that the wind is likely to be blowing in. Understand that the Pirates score fewer runs than any other National League team. As a team, they hit .219. Go with the Under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-07-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
10* GETAWAY DAY TOW ON SF/LA UNDER Cobb and Kershaw had a high-scoring game against each other in July. Both starters were strong last start though and runs will be harder to come by in this afternoon's rematch. Kershaw allowed 1 run, on only 1 hit, last start. Cobb allowed 0 runs, on only 3 hits, in his most recent start. That's consecutive shutouts for Cobb and he has now permitted 3 or fewer earned runs in 7 straight. Under was 5-2 in those games. Go with the Under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-05-22 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NL West TOY on SF/LA Under If you like quality pitching, you should enjoy this game. Webb's last four starts all were unders. Scores of 2-0, 5-0, 6-1 and 4-3. He allowed 1 run last start and it was unearned. Heaney has a 1.05 ERA in five home starts. In his last three starts he has 28 strikeouts in 15.2 innings. Twelve starts in a row for Heaney where he has allowed 3 or less earned runs. Make it 5 straight unders for Webb! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-05-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 49.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
10* CFL Total Of The Year on Calgary/Edmonton Under This rivalry has gone over of late. The Elks currently can't score though. Edmonton has played consecutive low-scoring games. 43 and 42 points. Last time off. a loss, Calgary's game had 41 points. Last time off a loss against Winnipeg, Calgary's game had 20 point, a 17-3 final. Calgary clamps down on D again and this one stays Under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-04-22 | Florida State v. LSU OVER 49.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
10* Total Of The Week on FSU/LSU Over The winner of this game is likely going to score more than 30. The loser may even do so. If not, the losing team should still score more than 20. Seminoles are off a huge offensive display in their opening game. They put up 47 points and could have scored more if needed. The over is 5-0 the past 5x that the Seminoles scored 40 or more points in their previous game. The over is also 8-2 the last 10x that the Tigers played in the month of September. Go with the Over. AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado UNDER 58.5 | Top | 38-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
10* ESPN Top Tier on TCU/Col Under Big number for two unproven offenses. Colorado wasn't good offensively last year. The Buffaloes were shutout once last season and scored three points on another occasion. They scored 13, 20 and 20 in their final three games. They averaged 18.8 ppg and 257.4 ypg. That ranked 121st and 129th, respectively. They couldn't pass or run the ball. Ugly. TCU was better but still not amazing. The Frogs averaged 28.7 ppg, 65th in the country. They scored 17 or less in four of the final six games and 31 or less in all of those. Again, a very big total for two offenses yet to show they'll be better this year. Too big. Seven of last eight Colorado reg. season home games have finished with less than 60. Go Under. AAA Sports |
|||||||
09-01-22 | Penn State v. Purdue UNDER 53.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* Big Ten T.O.Y. on Penn State / Purdue Under Four of the Lions' last five games finished with 45 or fewer points. Six of their past seven games stayed below the posted total. The PSU offense will be committed to running the ball a lot. Offensive line with a lot of new faces though so yards won't come easily. Most recent meeting (2019) had a total of 55.5 and finished with 42. Purdue managed just 104 total yards in that game, Penn State recording 10 sacks. History repeats with another defensive battle. AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-09-22 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (ASSASSIN) What do you base your Over/Under picks on? Do you simply look at the offensive and defensive averages of each side, then make an educated guess based on the line, or do you delve a little deeper? From a situational stand-point, I think this one sets up super well for a lower-scoring "duel." Both teams have played A LOT recently, and each finally had the day off yesterday (the Astros had to play 19 games over 18 days, while the Rangers also played 18 consecutive games before having Monday off.) More than anything though, both these starting pitchers have been "on point' and enter on top form. The Rangers' Martin Perez is 9-2 with a 2.47 ERA this year. He's 2-0 with a 1.44 ERA over his last 4 starts and he's 1-0 with a 0.56 ERA in in two starts vs. the Astros this year. His counterpart Jose Urquidy is 10-4 with a 3.62 ERA this year overall and 5-1 with a 2.29 ERA over his last nine starts, and 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA in 6 career outings against Texas. No need to overthink this one; this one has "duel" written all over it, so the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
08-04-22 | Raiders v. Jaguars OVER 33 | Top | 27-11 | Win | 100 | 203 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOW) The Raiders are favored to win the Hall Of Fame Game this year. They might cover, but whoever does win in the end, I'm definitely expecting a higher-scoring "shootout" to kick off the 2022/23 NFL season. The Jags finished 3-14 last year. They have a new coach and a new look and they'll be eager to show that on the field of play. Las Vegas stumbled over the second half last year, but managed to get into the Playoffs after 4 straight wins to end the regular season. The Raiders then lost 26-19 to the Bengals in the Wildcard round. Neither team's starters will see much, if any, action in this one. In the past, teams have struggled to score points in this game, but with new coaches on both sides of the field, and solid backup quarterbacks, we can expect a few touchdowns in this contest; this numer is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 48 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Thursday night. Montreal is just 1-4, while Ottawa is 0-5. The Alouettes are 3-2 against the spread, while the Redblacks are 2-3 ATS. Montreal has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight, which is significant to note here as the Als have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Montreal will be especially eager to get back on the field after last week's collapse, falling 32-31 at home to Edmonton as a 8-point favorite. Ottawa is also coming off a tough loss, falling 25-23 at Hamilton. The Redblacks have been trading high-scoring games, with lower-scoring defensive ones over their last 4 games and I absolutely expect this strong pattern to continue here; the overall situation, combined with these strong trends and numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in my opinion! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 44.5 | 23-25 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (SPECIAL) Hamilton last played two weeks ago when it inexplicably fell 29-25 at home to Edmonton. A date vs. the 0-4 Redblacks is just what the doctor ordered to try and get back on track. Ottawa lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to a serious knee injury last weekend. They fell 28-13 to Saskatchewan, and I don't see Caleb Evans making much of an impact this weekend in this difficult road venue. The home side will look to control the pace of this one, setting it up to be a lower-scoring affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto OVER 46 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Saskatchewan is 4-1 and Toronto is just 1-2. These teams play again next week in Saskatchewan. To say this is a "revenge" game for the home side would be a bit of an understatement, as the Argos have lost 8 of the last 9 in this series. The Roughriders have won the last 3 by an average margin of 18 points. Saskatchewan's offense is generating over 33 points per game and the "over" has hit in 3 of these teams last 4 in the series. Expect the exrta week off to help Toronto refocus here. All in all, look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Calgary is 3-0 and it's coming out of its bye week. Previous to that it beat Edmonton 30-23 on June 25th. The Stamps have seen the total go OVER in all 3 games so far this season. The 1-3 Elks have seen their last 2 games go "over" the total, including their first win of the season in last weekend's 29-25 win at Hamilton on Canada Day. Both teams have been playing to high-scoring affairs, but the situation and trends point to more of a defensive affair here. Note that Calgary has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Additionally note that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" in 5 of its last 7 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded 30 or more points in. Considering all of the above info, the correct call here is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
8* OVER (DESTRUCTION) The Jays have lost 5 straight and they've seen the total go "under" the number in their last 2 losses here in Oakland, falling 5-1 and 5-3 respectively. The A's starting to hit the ball well and I look for that trend to continue here. The Jays aren't going to be held too much longer, and facing James Kaprielian presents an opportunity to get untracked. I don't trust either of these starting pitchers, and while this series has been lower-scoring so far, everything points to a classic "slug-fest" here on Wednesday night finally in my opinion. The Jays hand the ball to the volatile Jose Berrios, who is 6-4 with a 5.72 ERA (benefitting from the Jays' big bats), while Kaprielian is just 1-5 with a 5.43 ERA for the A's. Expect this total to fly OVER the number in the latter frames! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-24-22 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 42.5 | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) The 2-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers will have to be careful to not "look past" the 0-2 Hamilton Tigercats at home this evening. Hamilton was blown out big time in Saskatchewan in Week 1, but it looked a lot better, albeit in defeat, in last week's 33-30 OT home opening loss to the Stampeders. We can expect the Ti-Cats though to carry over that chemistry and confidence into this one as they look to avoid an 0-3 start. Winnipeg has won the Grey Cup each of the last 2 years and is 2-0 after beating Ottawa over two straight weeks, including a 19-12 decision last weekend. This is in fact a rematch of the last 2 Grey Cups, in which Winnipeg has come out on top each time. Last year it was a dramatic 33-25 OT win in the title game. Hamilton though has allowed an East Division-high 63 points through 2 games this season. Expect a wide-open, faster-paced shootout and look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-10-22 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Can Winnipeg make it 3 Grey Cups in a row? This is a case of First vs. Worst. The Bomber were 11-3 last year, while Ottawa has managed just 6 victories total over the L2 seasons. 4 of the L5 in this series here have gone "under" the number. The Redblacks added QB Jeremiah Masoli, but the question remains if he can return to his 2018 form which saw him throw for 28 TD's. The Bombers return most of their team from last year, but won't have star RB Andrew Harris or receiver Darvin Adams suiting up this season. These teams play again next week as well. While last night's opener was a high-scoring shootout, I believe Friday's will be a little less so; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) I'm expecting a tight, and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair here in Game 3 of the WCF. The Oilers are going to have to take a page out of the Rangers' playbook tonight if they have any hopes of avoiding an 0-3 hole. Look for Edmonton to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes this evening. Also note that the Oilers have seen the total go "under" in 6 of their last 8 in trying to avenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. Two really good offenses, but the overall situation points to a lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
|||||||
06-03-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) Tampa lost Game 1 by a score of 6-2. I'm not sure what I'm more surprised about: that Tampa let in 6 goals, or that the Rangers scored 6 goals. Let's not assume that every game is going to follow suit. Note that the Lightning have seen the total go "under" the number in 5 of their last 6 in trying to revenge a 4 goals or greater road loss against an opponent. Tampa looked like the extra time off between series led to "rust." Expect a much more concerted effort from the Bolts on the defensive end. These are 2 of the best goaltenders on the planet and all signs point to them being the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under" in Game 2! AAA Sports |