05-20-12 |
Miami Heat -125 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
101-93 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs Second Round Game of the Year on Heat -125 The Key: LeBron James and Dwayne Wade are 2 of the top 10 players in the world and neither (especially Wade) played like it in Game 3. I expect strong efforts from both players as they even the series Sunday afternoon. History is in our favor as plays against any good team (Indiana) that outscores its opponents by 3+ points/game on the season that is matched up against an opponent that has been held to 75 points or less in 2 straight games are 24-5 ATS since 1996 and a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take the Heat.
|
05-19-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +1 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
103-100 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Thunder +1 The Key: A more youthful Thunder squad has the advantage playing without a days' rest. The Lakers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Lakers are also 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
05-19-12 |
Chicago White Sox v. Chicago Cubs -135 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-135 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Cubs -135 The Key: The Cubs have the edge this evening with Dempster, who has a 1.74 ERA on the season. The White Sox Danks', meanwhile, checks in with a bloated 6.46 ERA. The Cubs are 18-7 in Dempster's last 25 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Also, Dempster's clubs are 50-26 in his last 76 home starts in the first half of the season since 1997.
|
05-19-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 |
Top |
96-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Clippers +5.5 The Key: I'm confident we'll see the Clippers' best effort of the series this afternoon. This team, which played the Spurs to a 3-point game in the season's only meeting in L.A., cannot be taken lightly in the home dog role. After all, they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Clipps are also 14-3 ATS in home games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. L.A. has actually won by an average score of 96.2 to 94.9 in this situation.
|
05-18-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 174 |
Top |
83-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Total of the Year on Celtics/76ers Under 174 The Key: Plays Under on all teams when the total is 179.5 or less (BOSTON) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record - are 69-33 since 1996, including a perfect 2-0 the last 3 seasons. We've seen an average posted total of 174.9 but have only seen average of 169.6 total points scored in this situation. I'm expecting the lowest scoring game of the series tonight as both teams clamp down defensively. Take the Under and best of luck.
|
05-18-12 |
Boston Red Sox v. Philadelphia Phillies -140 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Phillies -140 The Key: The Phillies finally have it going. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games winning those games by an average of 2.8 runs. Hamels has had it going all year. The Phillies are 6-0 in Hamels' last 6 starts and have won those games by an average of 3.8 runs. The Red Sox are a poor 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog. Take Philly.
|
05-17-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +11 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
88-105 |
Loss |
-104 |
13 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Clippers +11 The Key: Look for the Clippers to bounce back strong to give the Spurs a game tonight. The Clippers are 8-0 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a same season loss to an opponent this season. They have actually won by an average score of 96.1 to 89.3 in this situation.
|
05-17-12 |
Milwaukee: S Marcum -133 v. Houston: J Happ |
Top |
0-4 |
Loss |
-133 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -133 The Key: The Astros have been pure fade material with Happ on the hill. Fading Houston is Happ's last 40 starts has produced a 30-10 record. Also, the Brewers are 7-2 in Marcum's last 9 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Brewers are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings with the Astros and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
|
05-16-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +8 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
75-77 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +8 The Key: Expect a letdown from the Thunder following such a dominant performance in Game 1. They are 0-7 ATS following a victory by 20 points or more this season. They have only won by an average score of 112.1 to 108.4 so the Lakers are certainly showing value at this number. Take the points.
|
05-16-12 |
Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -137 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rays -137 The Key: The Rays have been a handful at home where they are 37-14 in their last 51, including 13-3 this season. They are 10-3 in Hellickson's last 13 home starts and 7-1 in his last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Red Sox are just 9-24 in their last 33 vs. the AL East and 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog. They are also 4-9 in the last 13 meetings with Tampa Bay. Take the Rays.
|
05-15-12 |
Arizona: W Miley v. Los Angeles: Billingsly -125 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-125 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Year on Dodgers -125 The Key: The Dodgers are 10-0 in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season, 10-0 in home games after 3 or more consecutive home games this season and 11-0 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Billingsley's last 4 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take LA behind this massive 53-0 angle.
|
05-15-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs -11.5 |
Top |
92-108 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Spurs -11.5 The Key: The Spurs have been covering machines at 37-11-4 ATS in their last 52 games overall. They are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 home games and even 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 points or more. The Clippers, meanwhile, are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 11.0 points or more. The Clippers are also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 meetings with San Antonio.
|
05-14-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Boston Celtics -4.5 |
Top |
82-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics -4.5 The Key: Boston won Game 1 but knows it was fortunate to do so. It did not play its best basketball, and I expect it to step it up on both ends of the floor tonight. The Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of less than 5.0 points and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0 points or less. The 76ers are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0 or less. Lastly, Boston has won 7 of its last 8 at home vs. Philadelphia with those 7 wins coming by an average of 13.1 points.
|
05-14-12 |
San Diego: T Stauffer v. Washington: R Detwiler -148 |
Top |
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -148 The Key: The Padres are just 7-22 in their last 29 road games and 5-21 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter. We won't hesitate to fade them here as they go against the lefty Detwiler (1.04 home ERA). The Pads are only batting .199 versus southpaw starters this season. Also, the Padres are 0-6 in Stauffer's last 6 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Nationals are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite and 9-4 in Detwiler's last 13 home starts.
|
05-13-12 |
Detroit: Verlander -170 v. Oakland: J Parker |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -170 The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind Verlander here as the Tigers are a perfect 16-0 in his last 16 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They have won these games by an average of 2.6 runs. Take Detroit.
|
05-13-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies -7.5 |
Top |
82-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -7.5 The Key: The numbers aren't in LA's favor here as road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) that are looking for revenge for a home loss to a foe, if they enter off a cover in a game they lost straight up, are just 29-61 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 7.1 points on average but have lost by an average of 9.5 points in this situation. The favorite is 5-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the Grizzlies are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite. Take Memphis.
|
05-12-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 |
Top |
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -5.5 The Key: The Lakers have recent history and extended history on their side here. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Also, home favorites (LA LAKERS) off a double-digit road defeat, if they have won between 60 and 75% of their games and are taking on a team with a winning mark, are 59-25 (70.2%) ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have been favored by an average of 5.4 points and have won by an average of 8.2.
|
05-12-12 |
Chicago (N): C Volstad v. Milwaukee: S Marcum -1.5 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
120 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -1.5 +120 The Key: The Brewers are showing nice value on the run line here as Chris Volstad's teams are 0-8 in his last 8 starts, losing each of those by at least 2 runs. Volstad's teams have also lost his last 2 starts against the Brewers by at least 2 runs. Lastly, Marcum is 3-0 lifetime versus the Cubs with each of those 3 wins coming by 2 runs or more. We'll take the Brew Crew on the RL behind this 13-0 run line angle.
|
05-11-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies -125 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
Top |
90-88 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -125 The Key: Rather than take the chance of getting caught by something flukish in the closing seconds, I'm taking the Grizzlies on the money line as I love them to win this one straight up. Memphis has been the better team the majority of the series and would have already closed it out if not for blown leads in the 4th in Games 1 and 3. Memphis is 22-10 ATS in its last 32 games when valued as a favorite of less than 5.0 points. Also, the fave is on a 5-2-1 ATS run in the last 8 matchups between these teams. We'll take Memphis on the money line.
|
05-11-12 |
Houston: B Norris v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald -135 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-135 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -135 The Key: We went against Pittsburgh Thursday as it suffered a 4-2 loss to Strasburg and the Nats. However, the fact it scored just 2 runs is significant and bodes well for us here. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, and the Astros are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Just the fact that Pittsburgh lost yesterday is also significant because it is 10-1 in its last 11 games following a loss. Also, the Astros are 13-40 in their last 53 road games, 0-11 in Norris' last 11 Friday starts and 2-6 in their last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh. We'll take the Pirates.
|
05-10-12 |
Atlanta Hawks +6.5 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
80-83 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Hawks +6.5 The Key: Boston has constantly been overvalued in the spot we find it in tonight. The C's are only 25-45 ATS in their last 70 home games when out for revenge for a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. The Celtics have only won by an average of 3.0 points in this situation. In other words, the points are looking pretty good tonight. Plus, the Celtics are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 postseason contests when valued as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Lastly, the underdog has covered the number in 7 of the last 9 matchups. Take the points.
|
05-10-12 |
Washington: Strasburg -165 v. Pittsburgh: K Correia |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -165 The Key: The Nats have the clear advantage with Strasburg on the bump. I don't have to give you his sick season numbers. Those are well know. I will tell you though that the Nationals are 6-1 in his last 7 road starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the 3rd game of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. National League Central opponents. The Pirates are only 1-6 in Correia's last 7 home starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with 5 days' rest. The Bucs are even 0-8 in his last 8 home starters versus NL clubs that score 4.3 or less runs per game. They have lost these games by an average of 5.0 runs.
|
05-09-12 |
Detroit Tigers -120 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -120 The Key: The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record, 9-2 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series, 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite. They are also 4-1 in Smyly's last 5 starts. The Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 overall, 22-45 in their last 67 during game 3 of a series, 26-60 in their last 86 games as an underdog and 21-53 in their last 74 games vs. a left-handed starter. They're are 9-20 in Vargas' last 29 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Tigers.
|
05-09-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies -6 |
Top |
80-92 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -6 The Key: History is on our side here in a big way as home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 60-26 (70%) ATS the last 5 seasons. These faves have won by an average of 8.7 points. Lay the points as the Grizzlies come through at home in this do-or-die spot.
|
05-08-12 |
Detroit: Verlander -1.5 v. Seattle: K Millwood |
Top |
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -109 The Key: I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on the RL here since the Tigers are a perfect 15-0 in Verlander's last 15 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They have won these games by an average of 2.6 runs.
|
05-08-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls -4.5 |
|
69-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls -4.5 The Key: I'm not ready to turn my back on the Bulls. They had an excellent chance to win both Games 3 and 4, and I expect the home crowd to get them over the hump down the stretch tonight. Chicago is 9-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It is also 14-4 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent - over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.
|
05-08-12 |
Boston Celtics v. Atlanta Hawks -1 |
|
86-87 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hawks -1 The Key: Expect the Hawks to respond following Sunday's embarrassing defeat. They are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of 11.0 points or more. Also, Boston is only 18-34 ATS after a double-digit victory over the last 2 seasons.
|
05-08-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers -10 |
Top |
87-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers -10 The Key: The Pacers are clearly the superior team in this series, and I expect them to be very focused tonight after blowing a big lead in Game 4. The Magic have had 2 days to regroup but are only 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss. In addition, plays against any team (ORLANDO) that is looking for revenge for a home loss to a foe, as long as the "play against" side is coming off an ATS win in a game it lost SU, are 161-102 ATS (61.2%) the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.
|
05-07-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Utah Jazz +8.5 |
Top |
87-81 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +8.5 The Key: Going all the way back to 1996, playing against favorites that are leading in a playoff series, as long as they are a top-level team (>=75%) and are matched up against a team with a winning record, has produced a 53-25 ATS (68%) mark. These teams have been favored by an average of 6.5 points but have only won by 2.8 points on average. The Jazz, who have won 25 of 34 home games this season, are showing excellent value catching 8.5 points.
|
05-07-12 |
Texas: M Harrison -145 v. Baltimore: B Matusz |
Top |
14-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -145 The Key: The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts as a road favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Orioles, meanwhile, are 0-7 in Matusz's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rangers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with the Orioles and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with the O's when Harrison gets the start.
|
05-06-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
92-88 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +2.5 The Key: After getting kicked in Game 3, the Lakers will take the floor with a greater sense of urgency tonight. L.A. is on a 6-1 ATS run when checking into a game following a defeat of 11.0 points or more. It is also on a 6-1 ATS run when listed as a road underdog of less than 5.0 points. Take the points.
|
05-06-12 |
St Louis: Wainwright -138 v. Houston: J Happ |
|
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -138 The Key: The Cards have the big edge on the hill this afternoon. Wainwright is 10-1 on the money line lifetime in 11 starts versus Houston with an ERA of only 1.38. Happ, meanwhile, is 2-6 on the money line lifetime against St. Louis with an ERA of 6.44.
|
05-06-12 |
Chicago Bulls +3.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
82-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls +3.5 The Key: The Bulls are a perfect 9-0 ATS this season after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. They have won by an average of 14.8 points in this situation. This Chicago team has too much pride to sulk over the injuries to Rose and Noah. Expect the Bulls to bounce back strong here.
|
05-05-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Utah Jazz +6 |
|
102-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Jazz +6 The Key: Playing against favorites (SAN ANTONIO) that are leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 53-24 ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by an average of 6.5 points but have only won by an average of 2.7. Take the Jazz and the points.
|
05-05-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 187 |
|
86-87 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NBA "Total" Annihilator on Grizzlies/Clippers Under 187 The Key: Playing the "Under" on all playoff teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MEMPHIS), given the series is tied and the team sports a winning record, has produced a 35-9 mark the last 5 seasons. This system can't be ignored, especially since teams fitting into it are only combining for 180.2 points. Take the Under.
|
05-05-12 |
Milwaukee: R Wolf v. San Francisco: Bumgarner -150 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Giants -150 The Key: The Giants have a sizable advantage with Bumgarner on the bump. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts overall, 7-0 in Bumgarners last 7 home starts when up against a team with a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 starts period versus a sub-.500 foe. It's also worth mention that the Giants are 11-1 in Bumgarner's last 12 home starts and the Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 road games.
|
05-05-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic +5 |
Top |
101-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* 1st Round Game of the Year on Magic +5 The Key: The Magic have an excellent shot to win this game outright given they are at home and will be highly motivated. They are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a home loss of 10 points or more. Also, teams coaches by Stan VG are 27-12 ATS lifetime when checking in off a loss of 15 points or more. His teams have won by an average of 3.9 points in these spots. The Pacers are a poor 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, and the Magic are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games in the underdog role. Take the Magic and the points.
|
05-04-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets -3.5 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets -3.5 The Key: Denver definitely has the edge here at home where it should be able to control the tempo. The Nuggets are going to run-and-gun a Lakers team without great depth right off the court (the high-altitude will do no favors for LA). The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The Lakers, meanwhile, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Bet Denver.
|
05-04-12 |
Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
74-79 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NBA CA$H COW on Bulls +1.5 The Key: No Rose for the rest of this series, but Chicago still has the edge because of how well it can perform on the defensive end. It is 7-0 ATS when looking for revenge for a loss to a foe that occurred this season. It has won these contests by 12.4 points while holding the opposition to just 81.3 points in these spots. In other words, it has really stepped up the "D" in revenge spots, and I expect no different here.
|
05-04-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox -154 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-154 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -154 The Key: This is a game Boston wants badly as it was Baltimore who rallied for a 4-3 victory in last season's finale to keep the Red Sox out of the playoffs. John Lester is coming off a masterful performance and he is 14-0 (16-2 on the money line) with a 2.36 ERA in 18 career starts versus the Orioles. Boston is a perfect 8-0 in his home starts versus Baltimore, winning those by an average of 4.4 runs. Bet Bean Town.
|
05-03-12 |
Toronto: B Morrow v. LA Anaheim: D Haren -128 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-128 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -128 The Key: Toronto's Morrow is 0-3 on the money line in his career versus the Angels with an ERA of 4.76. Also, the Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 home games, 35-17 in their last 52 games as a home favorite and 5-1 in Harens last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Bet LAA.
|
05-03-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks -3.5 |
|
95-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Mavs -3.5 The Key: It's been made apparent in the first two games of this series that the reigning champs won't go down without a fight. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite of less then 5.0 points. The Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs. the NBA Southwest division and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings with Dallas. Lay the points.
|
05-03-12 |
Miami Heat v. New York Knicks +6 |
Top |
87-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Knicks +6 The Key: The Knicks are arguably a better team without Stoudemire because of the liability he is at the defensive end. It was no surprise, in my opinion, that they won 9 of 13 games without him in the lineup down the stretch. The Knicks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Heat are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. We'll see New York's best effort of the entire series tonight, and it should be good enough to get the cover.
|
05-02-12 |
Minnesota: L Hendriks v. LA Anaheim: J Weaver -1.5 |
Top |
0-9 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Angels -1.5 +100 The Key: The Angels are 3-0 in Weaver's home starts this season, winning those starts by an average of 4.7 runs. The Halos are also 5-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Twins, winning those by an average of 5.0 runs. Take LAA on the run line.
|
05-02-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 |
|
98-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Playoffs Bailout on Grizzlies -6.5 The Key: The Grizzlies blew a 27-point lead in Game 1, and they'll be extremely hungry in Game 2 because of it. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) that have failed to cover the spread in 4 or 5 or their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75% win rates), are 60-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams, which have been favored by an average of 5.6 points, have won by an average of 8.8 points. Memphis has won 11 of its last 12 at home with those 11 wins coming by an average of 7.5 points. In other words, the Grizzlies are showing value laying just 6.5. Lay the points.
|
05-02-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic +3.5 |
Top |
97-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +3.5 The Key: The Pacers can't be trusted laying points on the road considering they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of less than 5.0 points. The Magic, on the other hand, are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of less than 5.0 points. Take the points.
|
05-01-12 |
Denver Nuggets +6 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
100-104 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 5 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets +6 The Key: This is a strong situational spot for Denver as road teams coming off a blowout loss of at least 15 points, provided they average 102 points or more per game and are up against a team that averages 92-98 ppg, are 61-27 ATS since 1996. The team fitting these parameters has won outright by an average of 1.2 points. Also, this system is 2-0 ATS this season. The Lakers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Nuggets.
|
05-01-12 |
Miami: R Nolasco v. San Francisco: M Cain -148 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-148 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Giants -148 The Key: Odds makers are expecting a pitcher's duel based on the low total, and that means a San Francisco club used to playing and winning a lot of low-scoring close games has the advantage. The Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, 0-4 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Giants are 4-0 in Cain's last 4 home starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Florida is really struggling. It has lost 8 of its last 9 and faces a difficult scheduling spot playing without a day of rest following a cross-coutry trip. Take the Giants.
|
05-01-12 |
Boston Celtics +5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
|
87-80 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +5 The Key: This line is an overreaction by odds makers to Rondo's absence due to suspension. Boston's ability to lock down its opponent on the defensive end cannot be overlooked here. The Celtics are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat. Game 1 was the only time Atlanta has defeated Boston by more than 5 points in the last 7 meetings. Grab the points.
|
04-30-12 |
Los Angeles: A Harang v. Colorado: J Nicasio -130 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Rockies -130 The Key: The Rockies are 8-1 all-time in Nicasio's home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Rockies are 9-3 in his last 12 starts as a favorite and 7-1 in his last 8 starts as a home favorite. We'll take the Rockies.
|
04-30-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers -8.5 |
Top |
78-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers -8.5 The Key: We won with Orlando +9 in Game 1, but we'll side with the Pacers tonight. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) that are looking for revenge for a defeat, provided they were limited to fewer than 85 points in the loss, they hold a winning percentage of 60-75% and their opponent has a winning record, are 40-17 ATS the last 5 seasons. These squads have won by 10.5 points on average in this situation. The Pacers were caught overlooking a Dwight Howard-less team in Game 1, but they won't get caught napping again. Indy flexes its muscles here and scores a blowout victory.
|
04-29-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 |
Top |
99-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (TNT) on Grizzlies -5.5 The Key: The Grizzlies went 5-0-1 ATS in the first round of last year's playoffs, and I expect their first round dominance to continue against a Clippers squad checking in at 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite and 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Memphis has been dominant at home, where it has won 11 in a row and went 5-1 in the 2011 postseason.
|
04-29-12 |
Washington Nationals -107 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Nationals -107 The Key: The Nats get the call with Gio Gonzalez on the rubber. The Nats have won each of his 4 starts this season and he checks in with an ERA of 0.00 over his last 3 starts. Going back to last season, Gonzalez is a perfect 8-0 on the money line in his last 8 starts. He's given up 1 earned run or fewer in 6 of those victories.
|
04-29-12 |
Denver Nuggets +5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
88-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* (ABC) on Nuggets +5 The Key: The Lakers have been almost a dead fade as home chalk at 2-10 ATS in their last 12 in the role. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games as a road underdog.
|
04-28-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +7.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
98-99 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Mavs +7.5 The Key: The Mavs have been a phenomenal dog in the postseason at 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games when catching points. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 postseason games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 first round contests. The Thunder are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 vs. teams from the NBA Southwest division and just 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 home games versus Dallas. The Mavs are sick of hearing they're all washed up. Expect them to give the Thunder a game tonight.
|
04-28-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Los Angeles Dodgers +108 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
108 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers +108 The Key: The Dodgers are 22-7 in their last 29 home games and 20-6 in their last 26 home games versus Washington. Also, Billingsley is 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA in 4 career home starts versus the Nats. Strasburg is one of the best young pitchers in baseball but he faces a major challenge against a lineup hitting .291 at home. The Nats are batting just .221 on the road. Take the Dodgers showing nice value in the home dog role.
|
04-28-12 |
Orlando Magic +9 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
81-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* NBA CA$H COW on Magic +9 The Key: Even without Dwight Howard on the floor, the Pacers can't be trusted laying this many points. They are only 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 postseason games as a favorite.
|
04-27-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers -132 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-132 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rangers -132 The Key: Shields has been dealing for Tampa Bay, but I expect him to hit a road bump in Texas tonight. The Rangers are even 22-7 in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better since the beginning of last season. Shields has dropped 3 of his last 4 at Texas, giving up at least 5 runs in those losses. The Rangers, who are a terrific 40-15 in their last 55 games as a home favorite, are in good hands with Harrison, who is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.66. He's 2-0 lifetime with an ERA of 1.38 against the Rays, who are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Rangers are 20-6 in his last 26 starts overall. Take Texas.
|
04-26-12 |
Boston Red Sox +110 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
10-3 |
Win
|
110 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Day on Red Sox +110 The Key: I know Humber just delivered a perfect game, but the White Sox are only 1-7 in his last 8 home starts and Boston hit him hard last year.
|
04-26-12 |
New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats +5 |
|
104-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA CA$H COW on Bobcats +5 The Key: Charlotte wants no part of going down in NBA history as the team with the lowest winning percentage for a single season. That should be all the motivation it needs here and it should benefit from playing a Knicks team that plans to sit Melo, Stoudemire and Chandler among others. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games when laying points.
|
04-26-12 |
TOR B-JAYS -115 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -115 The Key: The O's are 0-13 in Matusz's last 13 starts and 0-11 in his last 11 starts when the total is listed at 8.5 to 10.0. Combined, the Orioles have dropped these games by an average of 4.2 runs.
|
04-25-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +3.5 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
93-99 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Clippers +3.5 The Key: I missed with the Clippers yesterday but am not hesitating to come right back with them here as they need this game to lock up home-court in the first round of the Western Conference playoffs. The underdog is an incredible 8-1 ATS in the last 9 matchups between these two foes, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
04-25-12 |
Seattle: F Hernandz v. Detroit: A Wilk -106 |
|
9-1 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Tigers -106 The Key: Plenty of ammo in our favor here as the Mariners are just 15-34 in their last 49 road games, 35-84 in their last 119 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 11-25 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series and 19-52 in their last 71 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are also 2-5 in Hernandez's last 7 starts, 2-6 in his last 8 starts as a road underdog, 4-10 in his last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Tigers are 39-15 in their last 54 games following a loss, 22-5 in their last 27 during game 2 of a series, 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record and 44-16 in their last 60 games as a favorite. Take the Tigers at a very nice price.
|
04-24-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +2.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
102-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Clippers +2.5 The Key: The way Atlanta played defensively last game is a big concern. They allowed the Knicks to hang 113 points on them on 54.4% shooting. This is noteworthy because Atlanta is 0-9 ATS in home games after allowing 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It has lost these games by an average of 7.2 points. The Clippers won the season's first meeting by 14 points, and they hold the advantage again tonight. Due to injuries, Atlanta's front line is weak. LA should be able to own the paint.
|
04-24-12 |
Seattle: J Vargas v. Detroit: M Scherzer -1.5 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Run Line Blowout on Tigers -1.5 +111 The Key: Scherzer has been solid since a poor start in his first outing of the season. Having not pitched since 4/18, his arm should be feeling good tonight. Keep in mind that Detroit is 11-1 in his last 12 starts when he works on 5 or 6 days' rest. The Tigers have won these starts by an average score of 6.8 to 3.3. Plus, Scherzer is 4-0 lifetime versus Seattle with an ERA of 2.00, and those 4 wins have come by an average of 5.0 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line.
|
04-23-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. Los Angeles Dodgers -134 |
|
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -134 The Key: You can bet the Dodgers, who are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss, will be very hungry tonight after suffering a 12-0 defeat to Houston. The Braves lost yesterday as well but are just 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss. The Braves are 0-8 in their last 8 games as an underdog, 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games. The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
|
04-23-12 |
Toronto Raptors +10.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
Top |
86-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +10.5 The Key: The Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also 0-8 ATS since the beginning of last season in home games when the total is between 200 and 204.5 points. The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Milwaukee needs this game to keeps its playoff hopes alive, but it hasn't defeated the Raptors by more than 7 points in 4 straight and 7 of the last 8 meetings.
|
04-22-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks -136 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -136 The Key: Atlanta has been favored in every game this season. Now, riding a 5-game winning streak and up against a team on a 5-game losing streak, it has been listed as an underdog. This is because Kennedy is on the hill for the D-backs, who are 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It's also important to note that the Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Diamondbacks are 21-6 in their last 27 games as a home favorite and 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
|
04-22-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 |
|
106-114 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* NBA CA$H COW on Lakers +1.5 -110 The Key: The Lakers are coming off their most embarrassing loss of the season. Furthermore, they have lost both of this season's meetings with the Thunder by at least 9 points. These things assure me that the Lakers will be extremely motivated this afternoon. The Lakers are 25-7 at home this season where they have wins over Miami, Boston, LA Clippers and only lost to the Bulls by a single point. The Thunder have really struggled against upper echelon teams this month. Since opening the month with a win over the Bulls, they have lost to Memphis, Miami, Indiana and the Clippers (twice). The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take LA.
|
04-21-12 |
Orlando Magic +9 v. Utah Jazz |
Top |
107-117 |
Loss |
-104 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +9 The Key: Strongly feel the odds makers have overvalued the absence of Dwight Howard. He has been a major distraction, and now the team can just focus on playing basketball. The Jazz are fighting for a playoff spot, but the Magic also have incentive. A win gives them the 6-seed in the East so they can avoid Chicago and Miami. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Magic are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Utah and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
04-21-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies -142 v. San Diego Padres |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-142 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Phillies -142 The Key: The Phillies have won 13 in a row at Petco Park while outscoring the Padres 51-17. The Phillies are 41-12 in Halladay's last 53 starts and 20-6 in his last 26 road starts. The Doc is also 3-0 liftime with an ERA of 1.90 versus San Diego.
|
04-21-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks +116 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Day on D-backs +116 The Key: D-backs showing great value at this price with Saunders on the bump. He is 1-0 (2-0 on the ML) against Atlanta with an ERA of 0.68. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 home starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. Saunders is also 14-4 on the money line in his career as a home underdog of +125 or less. Zona is also 6-1 in its last 7 games following losses in the first 2 games of a series and 7-2 in its last 9 home games as an underdog. Atlanta is 1-7 in its last 8 on the road when facing a a left-handed starter.
|
04-20-12 |
Baltimore: B Matusz v. LA Anaheim: J Williams -144 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Angels -144 The Key: The Orioles are 0-12 in Matusz's last 12 starts and 0-7 in his last 7 road starts. The Angels are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts when getting the ball following a team loss in their previous game.
|
04-20-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs -6.5 |
Top |
97-121 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Spurs -6.5 The Key: Kobe Bryant returns to the lineup for the Lakers tonight, but I don't expect him to play big minutes and I expect him to show some rust. The Spurs have rattled off 5 straight wins, including a 21-point victory over the Lakers Tuesday, and I like them to keep rolling as they look to strengthen their position for the top seed in the West. The Spurs are 34-14-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall, 23-6-3 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
|
04-20-12 |
SF GIANTS v. New York Mets -135 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-135 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Mets -135 The Key: We'll grab the Mets at home at a nice price in the first game of their series with the Giants as they are 4-0 in their last 4 series starters. Yesterday's travel day doesn't figure to treat the Giants well as they are 0-4 in their last 4 games following an off day. San Fran is also 0-5 in its last 5 road contests vs. teams with a winning record and 0-5 in its last 5 games period vs. teams with a winning record. The Giants are even 0-7 in their last 7 away games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
|
04-19-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns -2 |
Top |
90-93 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* NBA on TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns -2 The Key: This is a game the Suns have to have as they sit a half game out of the final playoff spot in the West. They match up well with the Clippers and have won 2 of 3 against them this season as a result. Phoenix has won 9 in a row at home against the Clippers with those 9 wins coming by an average of 15.7 points. Expect the Suns to make it 10 in a row at home versus LAC.
|
04-19-12 |
Texas: Y Darvish v. Detroit: A Wilk +114 |
|
10-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* MLB CA$H COW on Tigers +114 The Key: Detroit is showing excellent value at this price at home, where it has won 21 of its last 27 games. This is a game the Tigers want badly after getting bounced out of the playoffs by Texas last year. Darvish has struggled out of the gate, issuing 8 walks and 17 hits in 11 1-3 innings of work. The Rangers have won both of his starts, but those came against the Mariners and Twins. He'll see much better bats tonight. The Rangers are just 7-19 in their last 26 meetings in Detroit. Take the Tigers.
|
04-18-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Sacramento Kings +4 |
|
127-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Kings +4 The Key: This is a letdown spot for the Spurs following a big win over the Lakers last night and with another showdown with the Lakers on deck. The Kings have had 2 full days of rest and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days' rest. I'll grab the points with the fresher side.
|
04-18-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets -3 |
|
104-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Nuggets -3 The Key: This is a letdown spot for the Clippers following a double-digit win over the Thunder. L.A. is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 contests following a victory of more than 10 points.
|
04-18-12 |
Toronto Raptors +10 v. Miami Heat |
|
72-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Raptors +10 The Key: Expect Miami to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's contest with the Bulls. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
04-18-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays +105 v. TOR B-JAYS |
Top |
12-2 |
Win
|
105 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Rays +105 The Key: The Rays are showing excellent value at this price with David Price on the hill. The southpaw is 9-2 (10-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.06 lifetime against the Jays, including a perfect 4-0 on the ML in 4 career starts in Toronto.
|
04-17-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants -135 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Bailout on Giants -135 The Key: The Giants are a perfect 9-0 in Bumgarner's last 9 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts period. The Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
|
04-17-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Philadelphia 76ers -3 |
Top |
102-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on 76ers -3 The Key: Philly dropped into an 8th-place tie with the Knicks in the East following Monday's 113-100 loss to Orlando. The 76ers allowed the Magic to shoot 53.3% in that game. Following that disappointing performance, and needing every win it can get down the stretch, I fully expect the 76ers to roll in their home finale. Philly is the No. 1 defensive team in the league, holding its foes to just 88.8 ppg. It also ranks No. 2 in field goal percentage defense, holding its opponents to just 42.5% shooting. I'm confident Philadelphia will be very dialed in on the defensive end here. The 76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Lay the points and best of luck.
|
04-16-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Utah Jazz -3.5 |
|
121-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* Jazz -3.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games and 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Utah. The Jazz are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of less than 5.0 points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of less than 5.0. Utah will be the much fresher team with Dallas playing its 4th game in 5 days.
|
04-16-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Chicago White Sox -119 |
|
10-4 |
Loss |
-119 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* White Sox -119 The Key: The White Sox saw their 4-game winning streak come to an end Sunday but are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Orioles are 0-5 in Arrieta's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 4 days' rest. We'll take the South Siders.
|
04-16-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Houston Rockets -4.5 |
Top |
105-102 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockets -4.5 The Key: Houston is 8-0 ATS at home this season when playing the 2nd game game of a back-to-back. It has won by an average score of 98.9 to 90.8 in these games. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of less than 5.0 points and the Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. Houston knows it must get back on track here as its lead for the 8th position in the West is just 1 game. We'll lay the points.
|
04-16-12 |
Miami Heat v. New Jersey Nets +8.5 |
|
101-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +8.5 The Key: Expect a letdown from Miami after Sunday's Southeast Division clinching-win over the Knicks. The Heat are banged up and worn down and I expect them to give their starters plenty of rest down the stretch with the No. 1 seed in the East likely out of the equation. The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win while the Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
|
04-15-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Detroit Pistons +9.5 |
Top |
100-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +9.5 The Key: The Pistons, who were crushed by Milwaukee last game, are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are also an impressive 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games in the underdog role. Detroit has lost 6 straight home games to the Bulls but 4 of those losses have come by 7 points or fewer.
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04-15-12 |
Baltimore: B Matusz v. Toronto: K Drabek -156 |
Top |
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Blue Jays -156 The Key: Really like the Blue Jays here. The Orioles are 0-11 in Matusz's last 11 starts, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts and 0-9 in his last 9 starts as an underdog. The Orioles are also 23-47 in the last 70 meetings in the series and 13-40 in the last 53 meetings in Toronto. The Blue Jays are 32-15 in their last 47 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
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04-14-12 |
Phoenix Suns +9.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
91-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* Suns +9.5 The Key Phoenix is 19-9 since Feb. 19 and has won six of its last eight. It is fighting hard to avoid missing the playoffs for the third time in four years. It will be further motivated here as it has lost the season's first two meetings with San Antonio. The Suns are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest and 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings with the Spurs.
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04-14-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks -3 |
Top |
105-99 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks -3 The Key: The Bucks are in must-win mode as they try to play their way into the final playoff spot in the East. As if that isn't enough motivation, they were embarrassed at home by Indiana last month. It's payback time. Both teams just played last night but the Bucks have been better in the 2nd game of back-to-backs. Indiana is just 11-28 ATS in its last 39 games when playing without a day of rest. Bet the Bucks.
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04-14-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 |
|
115-110 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* T-Wolves +11.5 The Key: Minnesota always gets up for Oklahoma City. The T-Wolves have lost 11 in a row in the series but only one of those losses came by more than the number we have here. Plus, each of the last 7 meetings have been decided by 10 points or less.
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04-14-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals -135 |
|
11-9 |
Loss |
-135 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* Royals -135 The Key: The Indians have not been a worthy underdog at just 23-56 in their last 79 in the role. They are 23-47 in their last 70 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
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04-13-12 |
Oakland: B Colon v. Seattle: F Hernandz -153 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-153 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* AL Game of the Month on Mariners -153 The Key: The Mariners are 7-0 in Hernandez's last 7 starts against the A's. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus Oakland. The Mariners have already defeated the A's twice this season with King Felix on the mound and neither of those games was in Seattle, where he has a 2.07 career ERA against the A's.
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04-13-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks -5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
113-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Bucks -5 The Key: This is basically a must-win game for the Bucks as they try to remain in the hunt for the 8th and final playoff spot in the East. They have played very well on the road of late, as evidenced by their 7-1 ATS mark in their last 8 away games, and they'll be very motivated following consecutive losses.
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04-13-12 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers -11.5 |
|
83-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers -11.5 The Key: With this big of a number the books clearly want the money on the Cavs, who have covered 5 straight and took Indiana to OT Wednesday. We won't oblige them. The Cavs have dropped 6 of their last 7 on the road with losses to the Magic, 76ers and Knicks during this stretch coming by 13, 18 and 16 points. The Pacers, meanwhile, have won 5 of their last 6 at home with a pair of wins over the Heat and Thunder during this stretch. The win over the Heat came by 15 points.
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04-13-12 |
New Jersey Nets +11.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
95-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Nets +11.5 The Key: The Nets were embarrassed by Philly Tuesday, enduring a 19-point loss. That loss is all the motivation they will need to give the 76ers a game this evening. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Nets are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia.
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04-12-12 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Golden State Warriors +6.5 |
|
112-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors +6.5 The Key: The Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record, 12-26-1 ATS in the last 39 meetings with the Warriors and 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings at Golden State. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
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04-12-12 |
Arizona: I Kennedy -132 v. San Diego: A Bass |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NL Game of the Month on D-backs -132 The Key: Arizona is 15-1 in Kennedy's last 16 starts against NL West foes, defeating these teams by an average of 2.5 runs/game. It is 3-0 in his starts versus San Diego during this stretch, winning those games by an average of 3.0 runs. Look for Kennedy to continue his dominance against division opponents.
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04-12-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs -5.5 |
|
97-107 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs -5.5 The Key: The Spurs are 18-6-3 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a defeat.
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