Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-20-16 | Hawaii v. UC-Irvine -2.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on UC Irvine. This is a very big game in the Big West. In fact, its the first time in more than a decade that two Big West teams both with 20 more more wins will meet in the regular season. While no one will clinch the league title today, the winner will have a leg up and be in the driver's seat for top seed in the upcoming tournament at Honda Center. I expect homecourt to provide the Anteaters with the advantage. Under coach Russell Turner, the Anteaters have become an "elite" program in this conference. With that comes a sense of pride. They've now won 20 or more games for four consecutive seasons. They've made the postseason three straight years and made it to the Big Dance for the first time last season. They have every intention of getting back there and know that this is the team likely to be standing in their way. Note that they beat basically this same Hawaii lineup in the finals last season. The Warriors embarrassed the Anteaters at Hawaii recently and that won't sit well with Turner. Note that the Anteaters are 2-0 ATS the past couple of seasons when attempting to avenge a road loss of 20 or more points. Turner, who certainly doesn't want to lose both reg. season games against a team with a 33-year old first-year coach, had this to say about today's game: "It’s a game for first place in the league, against a team that just beat us; it’s on national TV, we expect a big crowd and there’s a lot on the line, so yeah, it’s a big game." The Anteaters are clicking right now. They shot 76% in the second half of their last game, one of their best shooting performances in years. They've scored 96 and 93 their past two games. Payback time. 10* (Top Big West play) |
|||||||
02-20-16 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -1 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKLAHOMA STATE. The Red Raiders have really been playing well of late. I expect their winning streak to come to an end here though. Off three consecutive victories over Top 25 opponents (for the first time in school history) and having seen their fans storm the court after beating #3 Oklahoma, I believe the Red Raiders are ripe for a letdown. The Cowboys saw what the Raiders did to Oklahoma and they'll be ready. They've beaten Texas Tech 23 of 26 times here at Stillwater and 43 of 59 times overall. While they've struggled a bit lately, they haven't quit playing hard. They lost by only two points at Texas Tech and they'll be itching for some payback tonight. Tubby Smith had this to say of the Cowboys: "I don’t think we've beaten them at Oklahoma State since I’ve been here. We have a very poor record in Stillwater ... They’re a team that’s been struggling, but they’ve played everybody close. They’ve played Kansas tough, and we’re in the game though Kansas pulled away at the end. They had the big win against Kansas State last weekend in overtime. We know what they’re capable of. We know how lucky and how fortunate we were ... " The party ends for the Red Raiders as the revenge-minded Cowboys continue their homecourt domination in the series. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-20-16 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 223 | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on GS/LAC UNDER the total. Both of this season's meetings have finished above the total. However, both had lower O/U lines than this one; the "under" would be 1-1 if the previous lines had been this high. I believe this one will prove to be a little too high. In their first game back from the break, the Clippers limited the Spurs to a mere 85 points, a game which stayed below the total by 15+ points. They know their best option tonight is to try and avoid getting into a track meet with the Warriors. They've quietly seen the UNDER go 7-2-2 their last 11 games. Only one of their last 13 games has produced greater than 217 combined points. The Warriors lost last night. Off each of their previous two 2016 losses, they've followed up by holding the next opponent to double-digits in scoring. Don't be surprised when this one proves a little lower-scoring than most will be expecting. 10* best bet |
|||||||
02-19-16 | Nuggets v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on SACRAMENTO. The Nuggets entered the break as the hotter team. However, as we saw with the Jazz, in last night's game at Washington, that doesn't always translate to success in the first game back from the layoff. Like the Wizards, who were off a loss before the break and who had dropped nine of their previous 13, the Kings had been struggling before the break. They were just 2-8 their previous 10 games, which led to rumors that George Karl would lose his job. Karl's still around though (although he did lose an assistant coach) and I like the Kings to mimic the Wizards with a rejuvenated effort in their first game back. Like Washington, Sacramento is still thinking playoffs. The Kings are within four games of the eighth and final playoff spot. However, a look at the schedule shows that they've got some difficult games coming up, making taking care of business tonight all the more important. Next up, after another few days off, is a rematch with these same Nuggets, at Denver. So, they'll want to protect their homecourt here. After that, they host three of the top teams in the West, SA, LAC and OKC. That's followed by a tough road trip. Of all those games, this is likely the only one in which they Kings will be favored. Again, that makes taking care of business critical tonight. Of course, the Nuggets are in a similar spot in the standings as the Kings, so they'll be viewing this as a chance to gain valuable ground too. That said, they've got a somewhat easier upcoming slate than Sacramento does and they know they'll host the Kings again on 2/23. I don't expect them to have quite the same sense of urgency as the Kings here. Only Golden State and OKC score more points than Sacramento. While the Nuggets are 11-17 on the road, the Kings can move back above .500 at home with a win tonight. I expect them to do so, covering the small number along the way. 10* GOW |
|||||||
02-19-16 | Iona +6 v. Monmouth | Top | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on IONA. These teams haven't liked each other for some time now and they got in a fight after last month's meeting at Iona. Both teams have had today's rematch circled since the last meeting. The stakes are even higher than that though, as Monmouth can secure the regular season title with a win. A couple of comments from Monmouth players about the excitement surrounding the game: Justin Robinson: "I expect it to be pretty packed before we come out the first time for warm-ups. A couple of students told me they were camping out all day before class and all that. People are very excited, especially since we played them the first time. I've tried to block it out, but you can't block it out anymore." Josh James: "I expect the atmosphere to be like no other This game, the anticipation for this game is unreal. People have been talking about it since the day after we played them. People have been coming into get their vouchers, and it's only Wednesday, so you know they're fired up to watch us play." As much as the Hawks would like to win in front of their home fans, all the excitement does bring a lot of added pressure. The Gaels are a very good team, that's been playing well, arguably better than they were prior to the last meeting. (Off a 78-59 win, they're 5-1 SU/ATS their last six.) They'd badly like some payback. Nobody's beaten the Gaels by more than three points in nearly a month. Nobody's beaten them by more than eight points since before Christmas. Speaking of close games, both last season's "regular season" meetings were decided by three or fewer points. The first had a score of 92-89 and the second was 69-68. I won't be surprised to see this one also come down to the wire and am grabbing the points with the revenge-minded visitors. 10* best bet |
|||||||
02-19-16 | 76ers v. Pelicans UNDER 209.5 | Top | 114-121 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on New Orleans and Philadelphia to finish UNDER the total. In games played at New Orleans, the Pelicans were a very profitable "over" team in the first half. I expect the long layoff to have an effect on that tonight though. A long layoff can lead to some early rust. We saw that with last night's three games. Note that all three of last night's first halves were very low-scoring. They had scores of 91, 90 and 76. By the time the offenses "woke up," it was too late for "over" bettors. All three games would finish below the total. Two of those games had O/U lines nearly as high as this one, yet the games had finals of 192, 201 and 191. The Pelicans had quietly started to play better defense, at home, prior to the break. They held their last two guests to double-digits. Tonight's opponent should provide another opportunity to do so; layoff or not, the 76'ers have trouble scoring on the road. They hit just 42% of their shots away from Philly, averaging 94 points. Last season's two meetings had combined scores of 177 and 173, both staying below the total by double-digits. I look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than most will be expecting. 10* blue chip |
|||||||
02-18-16 | SMU v. Connecticut -2.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on UConn. As you're aware, the Mustangs aren't eligible for the postseason. While they've still managed an excellent season thus far, they've been inconsistent recently. Their last three victories have all been followed by losses. Off a big win against Gonzaga, I expect them to struggle against what should be a highly motivated UConn squad. The Huskies could badly use a win against a ranked opponent; assuming they take care of business with the rest of their winnable games, a win here could potentially be enough to lock up an automated birth. A loss, however, and things become considerably more tense. Note that the Huskies are 2-0 SU/ATS when playing a home game with an O/U line in the 135 to 139.5 range, 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) their last five in that situation. The Mustangs have had some recent success in the series. The Huskies get some payback tonight. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards -1 | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. After winning with the 'over' in their previous game, I successfully played against the Wizards in their final game before the break, a 99-92 loss at Milwaukee. One has to be flexible, willing to play on/against any team at any time. That said, in their first game back from the break, I now believe that its the Wizards who are providing us with value. Last month's snowstorm didn't do the Wizards any favors overall but should work in their favor tonight. Both teams play tomorrow, their regularly scheduled game back from the break. However, while the Wizards will remain in Washington, the Jazz will have to get back to Utah. Then, their next game is in Portland. So, they may already be grumbling a little bit about the next few days and having their break cut a little short. Of course, the Wizards play three games in three days, so things aren't exactly "convenient" for them either. (Maybe they can draw inspiration from the fact that the last team that played 3 in 3 won all three of them.) All the same, I do think that playing this first one at home and not having to travel tomorrow favors Washington, if only for the fact that the Jazz aren't a good road team While homecourt may not mean a whole lot to the Wizards, it does to the Jazz. They're tough to beat at Salt Lake City but only 9-16 on the road. That includes a money-burning 2-5 SU/ATS mark as road underdogs of three or fewer points. The Wizards know that a fast start to the second half is critical. Wall, who had a 24/9/6 line the last time that the Wizards faced the Jazz, commented: "I really think these three tough games we can really go 3-0 or 2-1, and it's going to help us with our season. If it's vice versa, we're in a tough situation." Washington has won three straight in the series, including a 9-point win here last season. The Wizards are also 3-1 SU/ATS, including a victory over the Spurs, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. I expect their best effort tonight and that to lead to another win and cover. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-17-16 | Duke v. North Carolina -5.5 | Top | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTH CAROLINA. I've won with both these teams recently and feel that I've got a pretty good read on each right now. I successfully backed Duke on 2/8 when the Blue Devils knocked off Louisville. The Blue Devils would follow up that win with a SU victory (non-cover) at Virginia, a game I stayed off of. I also successfully backed the Tar Heels lately, as I played on them in their Valentine's Day blowout of Pittsburgh. Its been almost exactly two years (2/20/14) since the Tar Heels last defeated Duke. During that span, the Blue Devils have beaten UNC three times. Needless to say, the Tar Heels are dying for some payback. The Tar Heels haven't lost here since Duke visited last season, winning 13 straight on this floor since that game. Duke was #3 when it played here last season, while UNC was #19. Those numbers have essentially been reversed this time. Note that UNC easily could have won either meeting last season, too. They let the game at Durham get away from them, blowing a 10-point lead in the final four mins and losing by two in OT. The game here was competitive throughout, with the Tar Heels leading at the break. Note that the Blue Devils got 47 of their points from Okafor, Winslow and Cook, all of who have since moved on. Meanwhile, Amile Jefferson led the Blue Devils in rebounding in that game but he's been out since December. In other words, this is a vastly different Duke team from the one which won here last season. While they've fared reasonably well in games they're expected to win, the Blue Devils haven't performed well as underdogs this season. They've been getting points twice this season and both times they lost by double-digits. Listed as 4-point underdogs at Miami, they lost by 11. Listed as 1-point underdogs for a neutral site game vs. Kentucky, they also lost by 11. In my analysis for the UNC/Pittsburgh game, I mentioned that I felt the Tar Heels had received their "wake up call" from the close victory over Boston College, suggesting that it'd bring them some positive momentum. Here's a small excerpt from that writeup: "...The Tar Heels survived a scare last game. I believe that'll prove to be a wake-up call and I like the fact that they were able to pull out the win. Forward Theo Pinson commented: "I don't think people realize how big that was for us. Boston College hasn't won a lot of games, but we were in a packed house, we were down, everything was going their way."..." I believe the Heels did receive their wake-up call. Now, off a momentum-building blowout, I look for them to exorcise some demons with a statement win over their archrival. 10* GOY |
|||||||
02-17-16 | Providence +9 v. Xavier | Top | 74-85 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on PROVIDENCE. I successfully played against the Friars in their last game. That result worked out pretty much perfectly, as far as I was concerned. Providence jumped out to a huge early lead only to see the Hoyas battle all the way back. Providence would eventually win by three, G-Town managing the cover. I went against Providence for a number of reasons in that one. First, the Friars were off three straight losses and I felt their confidence may be a bit shaken. Second, the Hoyas were looking to avenge an earlier loss at G-Town. Third, the G-Town/Providence series had been extremely close which favored "taking" points rather than "laying" them; four straight meetings in that series have now been decided by four or less. Additionally, I mentioned that the Friars had one of the worst home records in the Big East. NONE of the above are factors for this game though. The Friars are no longer on a losing streak. The fact that they nearly blew the lead but then hung on should help provide some positive momentum. This time, its the Friars who play with "revenge," not the other way around. Note that Xavier, which has revenge game of its own on deck, has only one win of greater than eight points in its past four games and only two wins of greater than eight points over its last nine games. Speaking of tight games, while not quite as "nail-biting" as the recent GTown/Providence games, the Xavier/Providence series has also been close. In fact, they've faced each other five times since 2014 and ALL five meetings were decided by single-digits. Once again, that favors "taking" points rather than "laying" them. That's particularly true with the Friars sporting a 7-3 ATS mark as underdogs. Going back a bit further finds the Friars at an impressive 25-13 ATS (19-19 SU!) the last 38 times that they were getting points and that includes a 4-1 ATS mark as road underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 range. I expect them to improve on those stats here. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-16-16 | Iowa State v. Baylor -1.5 | Top | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on BAYLOR. Some might be surprised that the Bears opened as small favorites. After all, the Cyclones are off a big 85-75 win over Texas while Baylor was just shocked by 84-66 by lightly regarded Texas Tech. I expect the Bears to bounce back though and believe that they're providing us with excellent value. Baylor's loss against Texas Tech was indeed pretty ugly. In the Bears' defense, the Red Raiders did also just beat these same Cyclones in their previous game. Iowa State was able to bounce back from that loss and that's something that Baylor has been pretty good at this season too. The Bears resonded to their last loss with a double-digit win at K-State. On the season, the Bears are 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS in lined games, when playing at home after having lost their previous game. All three wins were by double-digits. True, the Cyclones will be looking for some payback, as the Bears beat them earlier. That doesn't necessarily mean much though. Over the years, the Cyclones are an ugly 14-47 SU when attempting to avenge a home loss, 0-2 SU/ATS their last two. The fact that they beat them earlier should give the Bears some confidence coming in. While they do have a winnable road game (at TCU) still on the schedule, the rest of the slate is tough. The Bears will play at Texas and Oklahoma while hosting Kansas and WVU. That makes taking care of business here all the more important. The Bears have been at their best off a bad defensive effort. They're 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS after allowing 80 or more points in their previous game. I expect them to improve on those stats tonight. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-16-16 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -9 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 37 m | Show |
10* A&M. Analysis before 7am PST |
|||||||
02-16-16 | Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh -11 | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Exactly two weeks ago, Wake Forest's women's team visited the Petersen Center and defeated the Panther women by double-digits. I expect the men to avenge that loss in a big way this evening. I successfully played against the Panthers in their last game. That was a road game at UNC though. This is a home game against Wake Forest. Big difference. The Deacons haven't won a game in more than a month and they're 1-4 ATS their last five. The only team worse than WF in the conference is Boston College. The Deacons face the Eagles next, so could already be thinking about a rare "winnable" game. Speaking of winnable games, a look at the Panthers' upcoming schedule shows that this is by far their most winnable game. The only other remaining home games are against Duke and Louisville, neither of them a sure thing, by any means. That means that if the Panthers want to snap their losing streak that they better take care of business here. They will. 10* BM |
|||||||
02-15-16 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +1.5 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on UNC Greensboro. While the Terriers have been playing well recently, they no longer dominate the Southern Conference the way they once did. I expect their winning streak to come to an end here. Homecourt is very important to both these teams. The Terriers have only played four road games since mid-January. They won one by three points and lost the other three outright. They're 6-2 ATS at home but 5-9 ATS away. Its been a similar story for the Spartans. They're 4-8 ATS on the road but 5-3 ATS at home. They're 8-3 ATS in home lined game, dating back to last February. Given the home/away numbers, its not surprising to find out that the Terriers won when the teams met at Wofford. Facing a team which they already handled and with Furman on deck, a team which handed them a 1-point loss, I believe the Terriers could get caught looking ahead here. Not so for the Spartans, who have been getting kicked around by this team for years. I believe they're a little more talented than their record indicates and I look for them to step up and deliver some payback. 10* Southern Conf. GOY |
|||||||
02-15-16 | Oakland v. Wright State | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on WRIGHT STATE. I successfully played against Oakland last Thursday. While I respect the Golden Grizzlies, I believe this will prove to be another good spot to go against them. The Golden Grizzlies have won seven of eight and six straight on the road. The recent loss vs. Milwaukee shows they can be beaten though. They'll be in a hostile environment this afternoon, as the Raiders have won 10 straight at the Nutter Center. Off a blowout win and with a huge showdown at Valparaiso on deck, this could be a tough spot for the Grizzlies. The Raiders figure to be extremely motivated for this one. Not only is Oakland ahead of them in the standings but the Golden Grizzlies handed them their worst loss in conference play last month, at Oakland. Coming off a win at Valparaiso, against the top team in the conference, the Raiders also figure to be extremely confident. After today's game, the Raiders close out the regular season with three winnable games. A victory here would give them a legit chance of reaching 20 wins on the season. It would also put them on track to tie the school's Div 1 record for most home wins (14) in a season, as their only remaining home game comes against Northern Kentucky, a team which is 2-10 away from home. I like the Raiders' chances of tying that record and I look for them to take the first step here. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-14-16 | USC v. Arizona -9 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. I successfully played against the Trojans in their loss at Tempe on Friday night. At the time, I said that I expected them to fall out of the top 25 rankings by the end of the weekend. Tucson is a far more difficult venue, I expect the Trojans to stumble again this evening. Here's an excerpt of my analysis from Friday, as it relates to the Trojans' struggles on the road and to what happened the previous time they entered the Top 25: "Considering that they only won three Pac-12 games all of last year, the Trojans are having a terrific season. In fact, the Trojans have turned things around so much that they find themselves with a Top 25 ranking, for just the second time in seven years. Enjoy it while you can USC fans, as I'm afraid your stay in the Top 25 will be short-lived. You may recall what happened the last time that the Trojans were ranked, as I also played against them that time. As soon as the Trojans entered the Top 25, they proceeded to lose back-to-back road games, at Oregon and Oregon State. Once again, the Trojans will have to play b2b road games with their Top 25 ranking. Once again, I expect them to struggle. True, USC will try and learn from last month's mistakes. The Trojans just aren't the same team on the road though. Since winning at Washington State on New Year's Day, the Trojans have dropped every game which was played outside of Southern California. No matter how much they talk about it avoiding it, having just entered the Top 25 can cause a team to start patting itself on the back a little. Also, a huge Valentine's Day game vs. Arizona could easily be cause for looking ahead ... " While USC struggles on the road and in the state of Arizona, the Wildcats are very tough to beat at home. They outscore teams by an 83.9 to 63.9 margin. The Wildcats, who beat USC by 30 here last season, will have payback on their minds from last month's 103-101 (4-OT) loss at USC. They're 8-2 ATS (10-0 SU) the last 10 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss and I'm expecting them to improve on those stats in blowout fashion. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-14-16 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -10 | Top | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on NORTH CAROLINA. While the Tar Heels haven't done a very good job at the betting window recently, I really like how this one sets up for them. Off three straight road games, the Tar Heels return home, where they're undefeatead on the season. Their last game here resulted in a 27-point win; they've outscored teams by an average of more than 20 points here. The Tar Heels survived a scare last game. I believe that'll prove to be a wake-up call and I like the fact that they were able to pull out the win. Forward Theo Pinson commented: "I don't think people realize how big that was for us. Boston College hasn't won a lot of games, but we were in a packed house, we were down, everything was going their way." While the Tar Heels are off a potentially momentum-building close win, the Panthers are off a potentially deflating close loss. They've lost two straight for the first time this season and this is no place to go to try and snap a losing streak. Note that Pittsburgh is now 0-4 against ranked teams. The Tar Heels haven't forgotten that Pitt knocked them out of the ACC Tournament two years ago. Nor have they forgotten that the Panthers blew them out at Pittsburgh, on Valentine's Day, last season. Payback time this afternoon. 10* Breakfast Club |
|||||||
02-13-16 | Gonzaga v. SMU -6 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on SMU. One could make the case that this game is more important for Gonzaga. After all, the Bulldogs could really use a big road win over a Top 25 opponent to bolster their tournament resume, in the event that they don't receive an automatic bid. Meanwhile, the Mustangs aren't even eligible for the postseason, due to a ban instated by the NCAA. I believe Larry Brown will have his team ready though and that they will in fact view this as a "very big game." The Mustangs know this is a televised game against a big name non-conference opponent, their last such opportunity. They'd love to get back on track and to prove to the national audience that their 18-0 start was no fluke. Larry Brown, who missed the start of the season due to being suspended for lying to the NCAA, figures to want this one as much as anyone and I expect him to have his players ready. SMU's Markus Kennedy noted: "We've got to get back to where we were at in the beginning of the year where we knew what we were about and we knew what we were going to go out there and do," said , who scored all 13 of his points in the second half. "It's real easy just to get complacent and just to be nonchalant about the rest of the season. We can't let that happen." Keep in mind that last year's SMU team qualified for the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1993, nearly knocking off UCLA (lost by 1) when it got there. One of last year's losses came at Spokane, against these same Bulldogs. SMU hasn't forgotten and will be looking for some payback on its home floor. Note that Gonzaga, 2-6 ATS in non-conference lined games, will be playing its fourth straight on the road. I believe it may catch up with them here. The Mustangs, who are 11-0 SU in non-conf. games, are 8-4 ATS (10-2 SU) the last dozen times they were off a conference loss. They're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS off a loss this season too, both wins coming by double-digits. I expect their best effort here and for that to lead to another win and cover. 10* Non-Conf. GOY |
|||||||
02-13-16 | Tulsa v. Connecticut -8 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCONN. The Golden Hurricane won by nine points when these teams met at Tulsa. Playing on their home floor, I expect the Huskies to return the favor this evening. The timing of this year's games was very similar to last year's. This year, the Huskies played at Tulsa on 1/14. The previous season, they played at Tulsa on 1/13. This year, the Huskies host the Golden Hurricane on 1/13. Last year, they hosted them on 1/12. Just as the dates are similar, I expect the results to also be similar. As mentioned, Tulsa won this season's first meeting by nine. Last year, Tulsa won the first meeting by eight. Last season, a year ago yesterday, the Huskies avenged that loss in decisive fashion. Laying -3.5 points, they won by 25. Including that blowout, the Huskies are 8-4 ATS the last 12 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. The Huskies are off a devastating loss against Temple. They've bounced back from their last four losses by winning their next game though and their postseason hopes remain in tact. Coach Kevin Ollie had this to say of his team: "This is what the character of a champion is all about. This is what I believe. We do our best work in the dark, and this is a dark time right now. We're going to go back to work like we've always done ... We've been down this road before. We'll be ready and play great against Tulsa." The Huskies used a dominant defense to limit Tulsa to only 45 points in that one and I expect their defense to be the difference again here. While Tulsa is allowing 73 ppg on the road this season, UConn is permitting a mere 59.8 per game at home. I expect the Huskies to "be ready" and for them to "play great" en route to an important win and cover. 10* AAC GOY. |
|||||||
02-12-16 | USC v. Arizona State +1 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA STATE. Considering that they only won three Pac-12 games all of last year, the Trojans are having a terrific season. In fact, the Trojans have turned things around so much that they find themselves with a Top 25 ranking, for just the second time in seven years. Enjoy it while you can USC fans, as I'm afraid your stay in the Top 25 will be short-lived. You may recall what happened the last time that the Trojans were ranked, as I also played against them that time. As soon as the Trojans entered the Top 25, they proceeded to lose back-to-back road games, at Oregon and Oregon State. Once again, the Trojans will have to play b2b road games with their Top 25 ranking. Once again, I expect them to struggle. True, USC will try and learn from last month's mistakes. The Trojans just aren't the same team on the road though. Since winning at Washington State on New Year's Day, the Trojans have dropped every game which was played outside of Southern California. No matter how much they talk about it avoiding it, having just entered the Top 25 can cause a team to start patting itself on the back a little. Also, a huge Valentine's Day game vs. Arizona could easily be cause for looking ahead. The Sun Devils know all about struggling away from home. They are coming off a win at Washington State though, their first Pac-12 road win in nearly a year. I believe it'll provide them with some positive momentum and confidence. They'd desperately like their first conference winning streak of the season and know that opportunities to beat ranked teams, ones they actually can beat, don't come around often. The Sun Devils haven't forgotten last month's loss at USC. Nor have they forgotten that the Trojans upset them in last year's Pac-12 Tournament. They've beaten the Trojans seven of the last eight times here at Tempe, including three straight. I expect them to do so again tonight. 10* GOW |
|||||||
02-11-16 | Iowa v. Indiana -1 | Top | 78-85 | Win | 100 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. Iowa comes in with the higher ranking. However, I believe the Hoosiers are favored for good reason. These teams will meet again at Iowa on 3/1. Knowing that Iowa is undefeated at home, the Hoosiers know they need to take care of business here. They too, are undefeated on their home floor. Iowa has four losses away from home. They average 76.8 points when playing away from home. That's certainly respectable but it pales in comparison to the 91.1 ppg which the Hoosiers are averaging here at Indiana. While this year's team is certainly playing well, its still worth mentioning that Iowa is only 10-18 (8-20 SU) the last 28 times it was a road underdog of three or fewer points. During the same stretch, Indiana is 17-7 ATS (18-6 SU) as a home favorite of three or less. In what figures to be a fast-paced game, I look for homecourt to be the difference. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-11-16 | Wizards v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. Both these teams eked out a win in their last game. The Bucks beat Boston by one; the Wizards won by three at MSG. Playing at home, I expect the revenge-minded Bucks to be the team which builds off their victory and which carries a winning streak into the break. If looking at their place in the standings, many might assume that the Bucks are already "playing out the string." I don't believe that to be the case at all though. This is a young team with some real talent and when they play up to their potential, they're extremely capable. Remember, they were the first team to beat Golden State this season. Including that victory and the recent win over the Celtics, the Bucks have quietly gone 14-8 here at the Bradley Center. One thing that the Bucks have going for them is that they've played more road games than any other team in the league. That means they'll get more home games than anyone else (19 of their final 29) to end the season. If they do want to entertain any thoughts of getting back in the playoffs, the Bucks know that every game is critical and that the Wizards are one of the teams they'll be chasing. The fact that they lost all three of this season's earlier meetings should provide the Bucks with even more motivation. Milwaukee tinkered with its lineup before last game and it seemed to pay dividends. The Bucks were actually up big on the Celtics, before letting them back in the game. I like the fact that they were able to close the deal. A loss in that Boston game, after holding the lead, would have been crippling. However, I believe the victory will provide them with some positive momentum. The Wizards have been far from consistent. Every win over the past few weeks has been followed by a loss. Note that they're just 1-3 ATS as road underdogs of three or fewer points. They're also 5-8 ATS when playing a game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. The Bucks, on the other hand, are 8-4 ATS the last 12 times that they played a game with an O/U line of 210 or greater. I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. 10* GOW |
|||||||
02-11-16 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on OKC and New Orleans to finish UNDER the total. Most know that the Thunder tend to score a lot of points. Most also know that the Pelicans aren't one of the league's better defensive teams. That combination has led to a generously high O/U line. I believe that it will prove to be a little too high. When these teams met here earlier in the season, the O/U line was 212.5. That was pretty much right on, as the teams would combine for 213. (Nine points were scored in the final minute.) Tonight's O/U line is considerably higher though, giving us some more room to work with. While they've admittedly been involved in some high-scoring games recently, the Thunder are still a team that takes pride in its defense, a defense which is typically much better at home. They allow 98 ppg here, opposing teams shooting 43%. Overall, games here average 207.6 points. Meanwhile, New Orleans road games produce an average of 202.9 points. That's a lot lower score than their average O/U line, which has led to a profitable 19-6-1 UNDER record when the Pelicans play away from home. With the Pelicans off a game last night, note that the UNDER is also a profitable 8-3 when New Orleans played its second game in two days. With the UNDER also at 7-1 (25-12 L2+ seasons!) when the Thunder played with two day's rest in between games, look for this one to finish with a lower score than many will be expecting. 10* Blue Chip |
|||||||
02-11-16 | Wisc-Milwaukee +6.5 v. Oakland | Top | 93-85 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on Wisconsin Milwaukee. The Golden Grizzlies have been playing very well and they're likely to be a popular pick here. However, I look for them to receive a much tougher test than many will be expecting. These teams played a game which came down to the wire at Milwaukee a few weeks ago. Oakland was up by one at halftime and finished with a 3-point win. However, the Panthers have actually fared better on the road, at least from an ATS perspective. They're 7-2-1 ATS in road lined games and they've got nine wins away from home, as compared to six at home. It should be noted that the Panthers have been playing a lot of close games recently. In fact, ALL five of their last five games have been decided by four points or less. Eight of their nine overall losses have been by eight or fewer points and seven of those losses have been by four or less. The Panthers still view themselves as one of the top teams in the Horizon and they know a win against Oakland would prove that to everyone else. They were the last team to seriously challenge the Golden Grizzlies and I look for them to do so again. 10* Horizon GOY |
|||||||
02-10-16 | San Jose State v. UNLV -14.5 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on UNLV. For the second time this season, the Rebels have dropped three straight games. They responded to their earlier 3-game skid with a double-digit victory against New Mexico. Tonight's opponent should provide them with the opportunity to again bounce back with a big win. The Rebels are dealing with some significant injury problems at the moment. That's caused interim coach Todd Simon to "get creative" with his schemes. The Rebels had success in slowing down Fresno State with a zone-defense, which allowed them to erase a 17-point deficit. They've now had a couple of days to practice the zone and they'll be facing the perfect opponent to use it against. Simon wants this unit to build confidence and he knows a big win would go a long way. Note that the Rebels are 17-5 ATS the last 2+ seasons, after scoring 80 or more points in their previous game. While the Spartans may be improved from year's past, keep in mind that they're still winless in lined road games. They're 5-12 ATS their last 17 when playing a road game with an O/U line in the 140s. UNLV beat the Spartans by 34 points here last season. Including that result, the Rebels are 10-2 ATS the last 12 times that they were listed as home favorites of greater than a dozen points. I look for the remaining Rebels to rally together and am expecting another blowout. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-10-16 | Warriors v. Suns +16 | Top | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHOENIX. Having beaten the likes of the Spurs and Cavs by 30 or more points, the Warriors are capable of blowing out any opponent. That said, given the situation, I feel they're laying a little too high a number here. Golden State comes off a win against Houston last night, extending its home winning streak. Prior to taking on Harden, the Warriors had faced Durant, Westbrook and co. on Saturday night. Mixed in between those games, Curry was busy attending the Super Bowl. Next up is the All Star game. Given all that "excitement," I feel it will be easy for the Warriors to overlook the lowly Suns, a team they've already beaten twice this season. The Suns haven't won yet but they've been playing hard since the coaching change. Only one of four losses has come by double-digits, none of them by greater than 16. They shot better than 50% from the field last time out (best mark in 17 games) which caused coach Watson to comment: ''I think you see our team, we're growing, we're getting better. We're not discouraged. We won't be discouraged.'' With the exception of a game at Philadelphia (the Warriors nearly lost that one!) this is the largest line that the Warriors have been asked to lay on the road all season. Including the ATS loss at Philly, note that they're 0-4 ATS the last four times that they were laying greater than 15 points on the road. Don't be surprised if this one also proves closer than most will be expecting. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-10-16 | Nuggets v. Pistons -5.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. I successfully played against the Nuggets when they lost at Brooklyn on Monday. This is a more difficult venue and I expect them to be facing a determined Pistons team. Off back-to-back losses, the Pistons badly want to right the ship, before the break. Added motivation stems from the fact that they lost a close one at Denver a few weeks ago. The Pistons squandered a double-digit lead in that one and were outscored 39-20 in the third quarter. Stan Van Gundy wasn't at all pleased with that effort and he's going to demand more from his team this evening. Both teams had yesterday off, after playing Monday. However, the Pistons had Sunday off while the Nuggets played at MSG. That makes this their third road game in four days. While the Nuggets are 9-17 away from Denver, the Pistons are a respectable 16-9 at home, outscoring teams by a 104.7 to 99 margin here. That includes a 4-2 ATS mark as home favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. I expect them to improve on those stats in convincing fashion here. 10* PF |
|||||||
02-09-16 | Georgia v. Kentucky -11.5 | Top | 48-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on KENTUCKY. The Wildcats have won five straight, and nine of 10, when hosting the Bulldogs. The last four of those victories have all come by double-digits. I expect another relatively one-sided affair this evening. I successfully played aganist Kentucky last week at Kansas. That was a tough loss for the Wildcats and (in hindsight) it wasn't all that surprising that they followed it up with another setback. The Wildcats got back on track in a big way last time out though, destroying Florida by 19 points. I expect them to build some positive momentum from that victory. While the Bulldogs are 1-5 on the road, the Wildcats have yet to taste defeat at home. They're outscoring teams by an average of 80.2 to 62.7 here. I don't think Georgia will be able to keep up. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-09-16 | Wizards v. Knicks OVER 207 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington and NY to finish OVER the total. The Knicks have seen six of their last seven games finish below the total. I expect things to change against the defensively-challenged Wizards. The Wizards held the Magic to 99 points in their first road game of 2016. Since then, they've given up triple-digits every time they've been on the road. Seven of their last eight opponents overall have reached a minimum of 106 points. The Wizards have had a couple of days off, since losing 108-104 at Charlotte. That's noteworthy as the OVER is 24-11 the last 35 times that they played with exactly two day's rest in between games, 6-1 their last seven in that situation. The Knicks have seen the OVER go 5-3 the last eight times they were listed as home favorites of three or fewer points and 5-3 the last eight times that they played a home game where the O/U line ranged from 205 to 209.5. This season's earlier meeting produced 227 points. Another high-scoring affair won't surprise. 10* Blue Chip |
|||||||
02-09-16 | Celtics v. Bucks +4.5 | Top | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. The Celtics have been on a roll recently. However, I like how this one sets up for the home team. Off four straight wins and with victories in nine of their last 10 games, the Celtics could easily take tonight's game for granted. After all, the Bucks have dropped five straight and seven of eight. Plus, Boston already won big here earlier in the season. Throw in the fact that they've got a big showdown vs. the Clippers on deck tomorrow night and that they just beat a former teammate (Rondo) last time out and I feel that the Celtics may go through the motions a little here. On the other hand, the Bucks have had the past three days off and they also get tomorrow night off. They nearly snapped thier skid last time out, losing by only three at Utah. Including that "cover," they're 6-1 ATS after losing three or more consecutive games. The Bucks are 2-1 ATS as home underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 range, both ATS wins also resulting in SU wins. They're also 3-0 SU/ATS when playing at home with an O/U line in the 205 to 209.5 range. They've still won nine of 13 here and I look for their best effort tonight. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-08-16 | Nuggets v. Nets +3 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on BROOKLYN. I successfully played against the Nets in their last game. However, I really like how this one sets up for them. While they did lose their last road game, the Nets played very well in their last home game, a 128-119 win over defensively-challenged Sacramento. Denver is another team which gives up a lot of points and I believe the Nets, who had yesterday off, match up favorably. That win over the Kings was the Nets best offensive effort of the season. As that was their last game on this floor, it should give them some confidence here. Admittedly, the Nuggets have played well recently. In fact, they've been a spread-covering machine of late. That said, they're off a big win at NY yesterday and will be playing their third game in four days here. I believe it'll catch up to them. The Nets have generally been at their best against teams from the West, going a respectable 12-8 ATS. They've beaten the Nuggets three straight times and with the schedule in their favor, I look for them to do it again. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-08-16 | Louisville v. Duke -4 | Top | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on DUKE. I won with Louisville on Saturday afternoon. The Cardinals were facing a terrible team (Boston College) and I expected them to respond to the "bad news" by coming together and delivering a blowout win. That's exactly what happened. Tonight, however, they'll be on the road facing a top tier opponent, one which is quietly rounding into form. After losing a couple of games here in January, off back-to-back wins, the Blue Devils have started to put things together. They're averaging an awesome 90.5 points per game at home. Off an 88-80 win last time out, note that the Blue Devils are 10-3 ATS (11-2 SU) the last 13 times that they allowed 80 or more points in their previous game. They could badly use a victory over a ranked opponent and they should be extremely hungry to take advantage of this evening's opportunity. The expected pace figures to favor Duke here. With an O/U line currently in the high 140s, note that the Blue Devils are an outstanding 32-13-1 ATS (44-2 SU) the last 46 times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 145 to 149.5 range. The Cardinals, who are just 1-5 ATS on the road, have obviously had an emotional week. While they were able to channel that energy positively on Saturday, I look for it all to catch up with them here. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-07-16 | Houston v. Tulsa -7 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on TULSA. These teams just met at Houston on 1/27. Including a victory in that one, the Cougars have won three straight. I believe the Golden Hurricane are favored for good reason here though and I expect them to have their revenge. Both teams have been mediocre on the road. Both have been tough at home. Having already lost at Houston, Tulsa knows it needs this one. Note that the Golden Hurricane are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS the last seven times that they've been listed as the home team in this series. The last four of those victories all came by a minimum of eight points. To their credit, the Cougars were able to win without their star Rob Gray Jr (ankle) last time out. However, make no mistake, his (potential) loss is a major blow. He leads the AAC in scoring. As of this writing, Gray is considered doubtful. However, even if he were to play, its likely he'd be at less than 100%. Tulsa, which was defeated by Temple last time out, has been at its best off a loss so far this year. After two previous 2016 losses, the Golden Hurricane bounced back with a double-digit win each time. I believe the Golden Hurricane are the more balanced team and I look for them to also be the hungrier team. Look for them to "bounce back" big once again. 10* Personal Fav |
|||||||
02-06-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 231.5 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on Golden State and OKC to finish UNDER the total. You won't see many O/U lines that are this high. With all due respect to these very talented offenses, I feel that it'll prove to be a little too high. OKC games are high-scoring. They average 111.3 points. Golden State games are even higher-scoring. They average 118.1 points. That said, neither of those averages is even close to what tonight's O/U line is sitting at. Note that Warrior home games have been considerably lower-scoring than Warrior road games. Games here average 212.1 points. Opposing teams hit just 42.2% of their shots here. True, the earlier game was very high-scoring. It produced 242 points, a 127-115 win for the Thunder. That was at OKC though. As mentioned, Warrior home games have been considerably lower-scoring. I don't think the Thunder will score anywhere close to what they did at home. Note the O/U line for last month's game was "only" 217.5. Even with last month's meeting finishing above the total, the Thunder have still seen the UNDER go 11-6 against teams with a winning record. Note that the UNDER is also a lucrative 6-1 when they played with two day's rest in between games. Looking at the most recent meeting here at Golden State and we find that the O/U line was 216.5. The Warriors won that game by a 117-91 margin, a game which stayed comfortably under the high number. The previous meeting here topped the total. However, thats because the total was 212. (The teams combined for 223.) This number is much higher than any of those and I feel its providing us with excellent value. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-06-16 | Baylor +7 v. West Virginia | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on BAYLOR. I successfully played against West Virginia last Saturday when the Mountaineers got destroyed by the Gators. While I do respect the Mountaineers, I'm going against them again here. WVU has some strengths but also some weaknesses. Even Bob Huggins noted: "There's a lot of things we don't do well ... " One of the Mountaineers' strengths is rebounding. That happens to be one of Baylor's strengths as well though. In last week's game against Florida, I noted the following: "The Gators catch a break in that WVU senior forward Jonathan Holton will be suspended for this game. Considering that he'd been averaging a double-double (12.3/10.3) the last three games, his absence figures to be significant." Note that Holton, who's 7.5 rebounds per game, ranks 5th in the conference, isn't expected to play. Once again, I feel that could prove significant. Admittedly, the Bears weren't at their best against Texas last game. However, they have been at their best, when coming off a loss. They're 3-0 SU, going 1-0-1 ATS in lined games, when off a loss. The Bears were 3-0 SU/ATS against WVU last season, all three wins coming by double-digits. Their starting lineup has played together in every game this season and has 446 combined games of starting experience. That experience has translated to success away from home as this team has won three consecutive Big 12 road games. I look for them to give their hosts all they can handle here with a great shot at an upset. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-06-16 | Southern Miss v. Rice -7 | Top | 65-72 | Push | 0 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on RICE. Both these teams really struggle on the road. Playing at home, I look for the Owls to have the advantage. Southern Miss, which loss by 16 at North Texas last time out, is 2-7 on the road. Note that ALL seven of those losses have come by a minimum of seven points. Six of them were by double-digits and they came by an average of 15 points. In other words, the Golden Eagles are accustomed to getting blown out on the road. While the Eagles manage a mere 53.2 ppg on the road, the Owls score 80.7 here at home. Overall, Southern Miss is scoring 65.9 ppg in conference play while Rice is scoring 78.1. Admittedly, wins have been few and far between for the Owls of late. That said, when this team wins, they tend to win by a fairly comfortable margin. Four of the Owls' last five victories have come by at least eight points. These teams meet against at Southern Miss on 2/25 and the Golden Eagles will have a much better shot in that one. For this game, playing on their own floor, I look for the Owls to effectively dicate the pace and for the Eagles to have trouble keeping up. 10* CUSA GOY |
|||||||
02-06-16 | Nets v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While I successfully played against the 76'ers last night, I believe this will prove to be a much better spot for them. Yesterday, I noted that the 76'ers could easily get caught looking ahead to a "rare winnable game" (this one) tomorrow night. Perhaps they did as they were never really in the game against the Wizards. The Nets also played last night. Unlike the 76'ers, they gave it everything they had and earned an upset win over the Kings. Given last night's results and the fact that Brooklyn won this season's previous meeting, I believe that the 76'ers may well be the "hungrier" team tonight. While both teams are in a b2b spot, the Nets will also be playing their sixth game in the past nine days. By comparison, the 76'ers will be playing just their fourth game in the past 10 days. Big difference. The 76'ers arent favored often but they tend to fare well when they are. In fact, they're 5-1 SU/ATS the last six times that they were listed as home favorites of three or fewer points. I expect them to improve on those stats here. 10* Personal Fav |
|||||||
02-05-16 | Heat v. Hornets -1 | Top | 98-95 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on Charlotte. The home team has won both meetings so far this season. I expect another victory for the home team here. Both teams have been rolling recently. The Heat upset the Mavs at Dallas last time out and are now 5-1 their last six. The Hornets upset the Cavs last time out, their fifth win in their last seven. The Hornets are a modest 25-22 ATS the past couple of seasons off an upset win. Nothing noteworthy about that. However, that record looks a lot more impressive when compared to Miami's ugly 7-17 ATS mark in the same situation. While the Heat won by 10 at Miami, the Hornets returned the favor with an 18-point victory here at Charlotte. In fact, the Hornets have beaten the Heat three straight times here now. They're expecting/hoping to get Walker back tonight and I believe the small line is providing excellent value. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-05-16 | Clippers v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 107-93 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on Orlando. Don't look now but the Magic have quietly started to play better. The Magic have covered three straight. They lost by only three at OKC last time out. You may recall that I played on them in their most recent home, an outright win over Boston. Those results should give the Magic some confidence here, as will the fact that they lost by only two when these teams played at LA earlier. The Clippers, who are playing without Griffin, lost against Minnesota last time out. They've won both their last two road games. However, both of those victories came by only two points. In fact, only one of their last five road games has resulted in a win by greater than two points. You might be surprised to learn that the Magic actually have a winning record (10-8) against teams from the West. That's translated to an impressive and profitable 13-4-1 ATS mark at the betting window. I believe they're catching the Clippers at the right time and I expect at least another cover tonight. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-05-16 | 76ers v. Wizards -8.5 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on the Wizards. These teams both just lost against the Warriors. While the Wizards lost by double-digits, the 76'ers lost by only three. That may have some scratching their heads as to why the Wizards are laying nearly double-digits here. However, I believe there's good reason why they're such large favorites. While they occasionally show some flashes, the 76'ers still have the worst record (7-42) in the league, by far. They followed up their closs loss vs. the Warriors by getting destroyed by 38 points in their next game. This team still has issues. Recent struggles notwithstanding, the Wizards are still a very capable team. They're also desperate for wins to get themselves into the playoffs. They can't let opportunities like this one get away from them. Fast-paced games tend to get away from the 76'ers and this one's expected to be high-scoring. Philly is just 32-56 ATS, excluding pushes, its last 78 when the O/U line was 210 or greater. If/When the 76'ers get down here, they could easily get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's game, as they have a rare winnable home game against Brooklyn. Washington, on the other hand, can't afford to let up in this one, no matter what happens. The Wizards have dominated the 76'ers. They won the last meeting by 29 points and they won the last two here at Washington by 13 and 35 points. I'm expecting another rout. 10* B.M. |
|||||||
02-04-16 | Lakers v. Pelicans UNDER 209 | Top | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA and New Orleans to finish UNDER the total. Last night's game, which landed right on the closing O/U number, notwithstanding, the Pelicans have been on quite the "over" streak. That's helped lead to a generously high total this evening; I believe it'll prove to be too high. While the Pelicans have been a profitable team for "over" bettors in games here at New Orleans, that hasn't been the case when they've played the second of b2b games. Overall, the UNDER is 7-3 when they've played their second game in two nights. The three games that did top the total came against Houston, OKC and Minnesota. All three of those teams, particularly the Rockets and Thunder, score considerably more points per game than the one they'll face this evening. Yes, the Lakers are off an extremely high-scoring upset over Minnesota. Prior to that, however, they'd been held to 93 or fewer points in four straight games, three of those falling below the total. Note that the UNDER is 7-1 the last eight times that they were off an upset win. When these teams met a few weeks ago, the O/U line was 203.5, considerably lower than this one. The teams combined for only 186. Don't be surprised when this one also proves lower-scoring than many will be expecting. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
02-04-16 | Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt | Top | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANDERBILT. The Aggies come in with the higher ranking. However, I expect the Commodores to be the team that comes away with the victory. Admittedly, the Commodores have had real trouble against top tier opponents. That's what makes tonight's game that much more important. Remember, this is a Vanderbilt team which began the season with a top 20 national ranking. The Commodores want what the Aggies have. The Aggies are tough and are having a great season. All three of their losses have come away from home though and I believe they're coming into a hostile environment which hasn't been kind to them. The home team has won the last two meetings in the series with the Commodores taking three of the last four in the series overall. The Aggies have yet to win here as a member of the SEC. Vanderbilt is Vandy is 4-0 ATS the last four times that it failed to cover in its previous three games, most recently blowing out Auburn by a 75-57 score. I expect the Commodores' best effort again here. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-03-16 | Nuggets v. Jazz OVER 194.5 | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on the Over in the Utah/Denver game. These teams met twice earlier in the season. Both games finished below the total. I'm expecting a higher-scoring affair this evening. While they're known as a defensive-minded team, the Jazz have quietly been scoring quite a few points. In fact, they've reached triple-digits in scoring in three straight games and in eight of their past nine. That should continue against a Denver team which gives up 104 ppg, the eighth worst mark in the league. The Nuggets have been scoring points themselves. Plenty of points. In fact, they've hit triple-digits in nine straight games, averaging nearly 109 per game during that stretch. That's a very different leadup from when these teams last met. Prior to that 12/18 meeting, the Jazz had scored in double-digits in four straight games. Prior to that 12/28 meeting, Denver had hit triple-digits in three straight games. However, those came against Minnesota (twice) and Houston, two of the league's weaker defensive teams. Before those games, they'd only hit triple-digits twice in eight games. In other words, both offenses are clicking a lot more than they were when the teams last met. Yet, the O/U line is basically exactly the same. All things considered, this number could easily be higher. 10* Blue Chip |
|||||||
02-03-16 | Southern Illinois +16 v. Wichita State | Top | 55-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on Southern Illinois. The Shockers are a very strong team. They've dominated the conference for years, they've been a pointspread covering machine since before Christmas and their coach is on the verge of winning more games than any coach in school history. Everyone else knows all that too though and I believe thats led to a bit of an inflated line here. I also believe that the Salukis are going to show up ready to play. While the Shockers get the majority of the attention in the MVC, up until their last game, the Salukis had quietly been playing very well themselves. From 12/12 through 1/24, they went 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS. The lone setback was a blowout home loss against these same Shockers. The Salukis were embarrassed in that one and they should be determined to give a better effort here. After the blowout loss against the Shockers, SIU coach Hinson had this to say: I'm really disappointed. I can't come in here and talk about one player -- not one player played well today. In order for us to beat a team like Wichita State we have to have lots of players play well." He continued: "We got punched and we didn't get back up off the mat. That's the first time that's happened this year." Note that was the Salukis' worst defeat since they lost by 83-47 against Illinois State in Feb of 2013. Guess what happened in their next game? Listed as double-digit underdogs, the Salukis beat Wichita State outright! (That 64-62 win was the last time that the Salukis have beaten W.S.) Admittedly, the Salukis didn't play too well last time out, losing by 11 at Northern Iowa. That was on the heels of a disappointing OT loss against Evansville though, so a letdown wasn't that surprising. I expect that effort to provide a wake-up call. As Hinson noted: "If this is not a wakeup call for us, then we're going to have issues." The Salukis have the best road record in the conference. I look for them to give the Shockers a tougher game than most will be expecting. 10* best bet |
|||||||
02-03-16 | Warriors v. Wizards +10.5 | Top | 134-121 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Its always a bit nerve-wracking going against the Warriors. They're a great team, one which is capable of making other teams look bad, regardless of venue. That said, I feel we're getting strong value with the home underdog here. While they'll be without their coach, I expect the Wizards to come ready to play. They badly need wins and they don't want to get embarrassed here. They lost by seven at home against the Warriors last season. The Warriors aren't invincible. They very nearly lost at Philadelphia a couple of games ago. They've done a great job of maintaining focus but it still may be easy for them to overlook Washington here. Note that the Warriors, who have OKC up next, have been far more dominant against the West. They're actually only 8-11-1 ATS against the East. We have to go back a long way, as the Wizards haven't been this big a home underdog in years, but Washington is 11-4 ATS its last 15 as a home underdog in the 9.5 to 12 range. Look for this one to be closer than expected. 10* best bet |
|||||||
02-03-16 | George Mason v. Richmond -13 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on RICHMOND. At first glance, this line may seem a little high. However, I believe there's a big talent difference between these teams and I look for it be evident this evening. True, the Patriots have a star in Shevon Thompson. At 6-11, 240+, Thompson is indeed a load. The backcourt is weak though and that's a big reason for the 7-14 record. The Patriots, who are 1-7 their last eight overall, have won only one true road game all season. Five of their last seven losses have come by a minimum of 11 points. While the Patriots manage a mere 64.4 points per game on the road, the Spiders score 81.5 here at home. Richmond, which has wins over teams from the ACC, Pac-12 and MVC, tends to win fairly big when it wins. Six of the Spiders' last seven victories have come by greater than 10 points, five of those by 15 or more. The big wins have primarily been a result of strong shooting. The Spiders hit 49.2% (51.1% at home!) of their shots, which is the best mark in the conference and 12th best in the country. Pretty impressive when considering that they've played a few very good defensive teams. They've had at least six straight games where at least four players have recorded double-digits in scoring. I don't feel Thompson and co. will be able to contend with that type of scoring and depth. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-02-16 | Bucks v. Blazers OVER 204.5 | Top | 95-107 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on Milwaukee and Portland to finish OVER the total. The Blazers have seen their last three games all fall below the total. That's the fifth time this season that they've played three consecutive "unders." In each of the previous four cases, the next game finished above the number. All signs point to more of the same this evening. After three straight "unders" to start the season, the Blazers next game finished above the number with 207 combined points. After three straight late November "unders," the Blazers' next game topped the total with 204 points. After three straight "unders" in mid-December, Portland's next game produced 225 points. More recently, after three straight "unders" in mid-January, the Blazers' next game finished with 224 points. That's an average of 215 points in the next game, after three straight "unders." Coincidentally, 215 is exactly the number of points that Milwaukee's game last night produced. The Bucks, who play at a fairly fast tempo, without much defense, have now allowed six straight opponents to reach triple-digits in scoring. It should be noted that the Bucks have seen the OVER go 5-0-1 the last six times that they played the second of b2b games. Even though the majority of those games came against better defensive teams than they one they'll face here, they still produced 210, 215, 197, 207, 223 and 254 points. That's an average of 217.7 points. While last season's game stayed below the total by a single point, the OVER is still a profitable 14-4 the last 18 times that the Bucks played at Portland. Another relatively high-scoring affair won't surprise. 10* TOW |
|||||||
02-02-16 | Indiana v. Michigan -2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on MICHIGAN. The Hoosiers come in with the higher ranking. However, I believe the Wolverines, who have won four straight, are favored for good reason. Homecourt has been important in this series and its been important to both teams this season. The Wolverines are 6-4 on the road but an impressive 11-1 at home. The Hoosiers are a perfect 13-0 at home but just 5-4 on the road. Last year, the Hoosiers beat the Wolverines by three at Indiana. However, the previous season, the Wolverines won by four in Ann Arbor. The Hoosiers are 0-2-1 ATS (0-3 SU) the last three times they were road underdogs of three or fewer points. During the same period, the Wolverines were 5-2 SU/ATS as home favorites of three or less. Look for the Wolverines to protect their homecourt, covering the small number along the way. 10* GOW |
|||||||
02-01-16 | Texas v. Baylor -4.5 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on BAYLOR. The home team won both meetings in this series last season, the Bears covering in both. The Longhorns eked out a 2-point win (as 3.5 pt favs) at Texas. However, the Bears destroyed them by a 83-60 margin in the game here at Baylor. This one may not be that lopsided but I expect the end result to be the same. As it was in last year's meetings, home court has been important to both these teams this season. Texas is 11-1 at home but only 3-6 on the road. Meanwhile, Baylor is 3-3 in road games but 13-1 at home. While the Longhorns get outscored on the road, the Bears are beating teams by an average score of 81.7 to 63.6 at home. To their credit, the Longhorns have been playing well. They've won five of six (4 of those wins came at home) and they've covered four straight. That said, lets remember that this Texas team is still missing center Cameron Ridley. I expect his absence to have an effect here. Keep in mind that the Longhorns have the worst rebounding margin (-0.3) in the Big-12. That plays into Baylor's strength as the Bears have the best rebounding margin (+9.9) in the conference. With the Bears able to dictate tempo on their home floor, I expect that significant frontcourt advantage to be the difference tonight. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
02-01-16 | Mavs v. Hawks -6.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on ATLANTA. While both teams played yesterday, I like how this one sets up for the home team. |
|||||||
02-01-16 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | Top | 111-106 | Push | 0 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. The Cavaliers are playing well right now, seemingly happy with their new coaching situation. They dropped their first game under Lue but have since won four straight. On that 4-game winning streak and off a double-digit win over the Spurs, many are likely to be jumping on the bandwagon tonight. However, I expect Lebron and co to have their hands full, as the Pacers are always at their best when Cleveland comes to town. |
|||||||
01-31-16 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -8.5 | Top | 71-90 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. This is essentially a "must-win" game for the Panthers. This is team that I feel they can handle and I expect them to respond with their best effort. |
|||||||
01-31-16 | Celtics v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on ORLANDO. These teams just met at Boston a couple of days ago. The Celtics pulled away for a big win. Back home, I expect the revenge-minded Magic to return the favor. Off five straight wins, the Celtics are admittedly playing well. They've got a "revenge game" against a divisional opponent (NY) on deck though and I feel it may be easy to look past lowly Orlando, particularly after they just handled the Magic a couple of days ago. Note that even with Friday's cover, the Celtics are still just 2-4 ATS after three or more consecutive wins. While the Celtics could get caught patting themselves on the back a little, the Magic figure to be desperate. Victor Oladipo noted: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast ... we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say." The Magic, who just wrapped up a 3-game road trip, are 15-9 ATS the last couple of seasons, after playing their previous three on the road. During that time, they're 17-10-1 ATS as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. The Magic have also fared well as a host in this series. A 110-91 win earlier this season brought them to 4-1 SU/ATS their last five home meetings with the Celtics. While I'll gladly take the points, I'm expecting an upset. 10* |
|||||||
01-30-16 | Providence v. Georgetown -2 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on GEORGETOWN. The Friars come in with the higher ranking. However, I believe that the Hoyas are favored for good reason. The Friars actually have a better road record than they do at home. In fact, they're one of only four teams in the country that's undefeated on the road. (They did lose a neutral site game.) That doesn't mean that will continue though. I expect them to finally taste defeat on the road here. While they've previously been good at bouncing back from losses, the Friars' loss in their last game figures to be a bit deflating. That's because they fought all the way back from a 17-point deficit, pulling within three, only to still come up short. Conversely, the Hoyas were able to erase an 11-point deficit in the final 2:32 of their last game. Unlike Providence, they found a way to win. John Thompson III noted: "I like the way our guys kept fighting. There was a lot of adversity coming from a lot of different angles throughout the game and I liked the way we kept fighting and kept plugging. In the locker room, every single person made a play, a winning play, to help us win this game." That type of comeback and performance ("every single person making a play") can build momentum for college teams and I expect it to have that effect on the Hoyas today. 10* GOM |
|||||||
01-30-16 | Kentucky v. Kansas -5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on KANSAS. I was looking what people were saying in a few previews for this game and the general feeling seemed to be that Kentucky would come away with the win. While its true that the Wildcats are the hotter team at the moment, I believe that the Jayhawks are favored for good reason. The Jayhawks have had this game circled. The Wildcats embarrassed them 72-40 at the Champions Classic last season. The previous meeting saw Kentucky beat them in the national title game. Last year's game was at Indianapolis but today's rematch will be at Phog Allen Fieldhouse, an extremely hostile environment. In the past nine seasons, only three teams have won here. Under Self, the Jayhawks are 200-9 here. Calipari had this to say of the venue: "Going to Allen Fieldhouse, these guys will experience something they will never experience in their life in that building. There is no pro arena like that. There's no other arena we’re going to walk into that's going to be that bad." The Jayhawks, who allowed 85 points on Monday, are 46-24 ATS (excluding pushes) their last 70 lined games after giving up 80 or more points in their previous game. Payback time at the Phog. 10* Main Event |
|||||||
01-30-16 | Nuggets v. Pacers -8 | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. The Nuggets have played well recently and they're coming off an upset win at Washington last time out. However, I expect them to find things considerably more difficult this evening. |
|||||||
01-30-16 | Pistons v. Raptors UNDER 204.5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit and Toronto to finish UNDER the total. Last night, I successfully played on these same Pistons to finish "over" the total. They're on the road against a different type of opponent tonight though and I see the game shaping up much differently. |
|||||||
01-30-16 | West Virginia v. Florida -1.5 | Top | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Admittedly, the Gators have had trouble against ranked teams. Beating West Virginia won't be easy, either. The Mountaineers have been one of the best defensive teams in the country this year. That said, I believe the Gators will find a way. |
|||||||
01-29-16 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 206 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on Detroit and Cleveland to finish OVER the total. Games at Detroit have been a highly profitable 'over' play in recent seasons. That's continued to be the case so far this year and I expect it continue to be the case for at least another night. |
|||||||
01-28-16 | Washington v. UCLA -6 | Top | 86-84 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCLA. The Bruins have really struggled on the road and they lost a close one (3-point loss in double-OT) when these teams played at Washington. They've been much better at home though and I expect them to exact some revenge for the New Year's Day defeat. While they lost to USC in their last game here, the Bruins beat a talented Arizona team their previous game here. They beat Kentucky by double-digits on this floor back in December and the Wildcats were #1 at the time. In other words, when they bring their best, they can beat any team here. The manner in which they lost the 1/1 game, combined with the fact that the Bruins are looking up at the Huskies in the conference standinds, should ensure we get their best effort tonight. The Huskies have benefitted from the fact that two of their first three conference road games have come against Washington State and Arizona State. Their only Pac-12 road game against a strong team (Arizona) resulted in a 32-point loss. The Bruins have dominated the Huskies here in recent seasons, beating them by 22 here last year. They're 4-1 SU/ATS their last five in the "revenge" role, going 12-4 ATS (13-3 SU) their last 16 in that role. Payback time. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
01-28-16 | Washington v. UCLA UNDER 169.5 | Top | 86-84 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCLA/Washington to finish UNDER the total. The Bruins have faced the likes of UNC, Kansas and USC, three 12 highest scoring teams in the country. Yet, this is the highest O/U line that they've seen all season. I feel that it'll prove to be too high. True, the Huskies can score alot of points. You may recall that these teams were involved in a 96-93 thriller on New Year's Day. However, lets not forget that the reason that game was so high scoring was because it went to double-OT. In fact, the score was only 71-71 at the end of regulation and that was only due to a flurry of scoring in the final 90 seconds. With 1:30 remaining in regulation, the score was only 65-64. So, without the extra sessions, that game wasn't actually high-scoring at all. In listening to Washington coach Lorenzo Romar talking about this game, a common theme from him was: "We have to be able to maintain that level of defense for 40 minutes." The Huskies don't score nearly as many points on the road as they do at home and the Bruins don't allow as many at home. UCLA really frustrated Washington with a 3-2 zone and a 2-3 zone in that game. I expect more of the same here and that to lead to the Huskies having some trouble scoring. Note that the O/U line was 160 for the previous meeting. It was also 160.5 when the Bruins faced both UNC (155 points scored) and USC (164 points scored) and 162 (165 scored) when they faced Kansas. All of those games would have stayed below tonight's higher O/U line. All things considered, I feel this number is generously high. 10* Blue Chip |
|||||||
01-28-16 | Hawks v. Pacers -3 | Top | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on INDIANA. The Pacers have struggled at the betting window of late but this should be a good spot for them to get back on track. |
|||||||
01-28-16 | Towson v. Drexel +3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on DREXEL. The Tigers had their way with the Dragons when these teams met at Towson two weeks ago. I expect a much different result for tonight's rematch at Philadelphia. The Dragons have played a tough slate of games lately. Including the game at Towson, their last four games have come against the top four teams in the Colonial Athletic Conference. Three of those games were on the road, too. The lone home game was against UNC Wilmington. The Dragons were competitive (leading at halftime but lost by 6) but came up short. The result notwithstanding, it was encouraging that the offense "woke up" and topped the 70 point mark. The Tigers are no slouches either and are actually 3-1 on the road in conference play. That said, they've been inconsistent with their effort. They've also ost five times away from home, compared to just twice at home. Note that three of their road/neutral wins have been by four points or less and that they've also lost a pair of road games by two points or less. In fact, with the exception of a few blowout losses, all their road games have been quite close. Note that the Tigers are just 1-3 SU/ATS off a conference win. Last time they were coming off a victory, they managed only 37 points their next game. Drexel leads the series, 48-18, and has won 23 of the 30 meetings here in Philadelphia. The Dragons won by four here last season. I like their chances of an upset here. However, with a real possibility of this being another close one, I'll happily grab the points. 10* Best Bet |
|||||||
01-27-16 | California v. Utah -5.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH. I won with the Bears when these teams met at Cal a few weeks ago. However, I'm expecting a much different result for tonight's rematch. |
|||||||
01-27-16 | Hornets v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 73-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on UTAH. These teams met just over a week ago at Charlotte. While it took them two overtimes to do it, the Hornets managed to win that one. With this evening's rematch being played at Salt Lake City, I expect a much different result. |
|||||||
01-27-16 | Massachusetts +14 v. St. Joe's | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on MASSACHUSETTS. The Hawks are rolling. The Minutemen are slumping. Those results have led to a very high line. I believe that it will prove to be a little too high. |
|||||||
01-26-16 | Magic v. Bucks -5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. I successfully played against the Bucks in each of their last two games, road losses at Houston and New Orleans. Returning home to face a struggling Orlando team, I like their chances of getting back on track here. |
|||||||
01-25-16 | Kansas +2.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on KANSAS. The Cyclones have won three of the last four in this series. However, prior to that, Kansas had won 18 of 19. I expect things to return to "normal" tonight. |
|||||||
01-25-16 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | Top | 116-91 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. If they can get this game in, I feel that it will favor the home team. The Wizards have had plenty of time off. The Celtics played last night and will now be playing their third game in the past four days. Going back further finds that Boston will be playing its 9th game in the past 14 nights. This will just be Washington's sixth game, during the same period. |
|||||||
01-24-16 | Clippers +2 v. Raptors | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on the LA CLIPPERS. The Raptors upset the Clippers at LA earlier this season. I believe that they caught the Clippers at the right time for that one and that they'll find they're facing a far more formidable opponent in Sunday's rematch. |
|||||||
01-23-16 | Bucks v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on New Orleans. Situation favors the home team here. Off back to back double-digit wins and winners of four of their last five, the Pelicans are arguably playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to yesterday, one could have said the exact same thing about the Bucks. The Bucks were off b2b double-digit wins and had won four of their previous five. Milwaukee lost a hard-fought game at Houston last night though. The fact that they battled all the way back, only to still fall short, makes it hard to take. Off that close loss and now playing the final leg of a 4-game road trip, I feel that they may not have enough left to contend with Davis and co. A look ahead to the return trip home - and the expected return of coach Jason Kidd - may also be in order. |
|||||||
01-23-16 | UCLA v. Oregon -7.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. I won with the Ducks when they knocked off #25 USC on Thursday. This afternoon, I'm expecting more of the same against the Bruins. |
|||||||
01-23-16 | Georgetown v. Connecticut -3.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on UCONN. This is a huge game for both teams. For starters, they're all excited about getting to renew their old rivalry against each other. More importantly, they could both really use the win to help their Big Dance resume. That said, I believe the Huskies need it a little more and I expect them to be a little hungrier. |
|||||||
01-22-16 | Bucks v. Rockets -2.5 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on HOUSTON. The Bucks come in as the hotter team. However, I believe the Rockets will be the "hungrier" team this evening. |
|||||||
01-22-16 | Jazz v. Nets +5.5 | Top | 108-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on BROOKLYN. Admittedly, the Nets are pretty brutal. I won with them when they beat the Knicks here on 1/13 though and I believe they're offering plenty of value again tonight. |
|||||||
01-22-16 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 101-110 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on Boston and Chicago to finish UNDER the total. Both these teams have been humbled a bit recently. I expect an emphasis on improved defense tonight. |
|||||||
01-22-16 | St. Peter's v. Iona -6 | Top | 58-64 | Push | 0 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on IONA. The Gaels recent struggles at the betting window have helped to play a part in bringing this line down. I feel that this will be a good spot for a break-out game. Note that Iona was laying -9 points in this matchup here last season and -12 the year before. In fact, this is the lowest line, when the Gaels were the host in this series, since back in 2007. |
|||||||
01-21-16 | USC v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on OREGON. The Trojans come in with an impressive record and a lofty ranking. Clearly, they're a much improved team from the one that Oregon swept (again) last season. I still believe that the Ducks are favored for good reason though. Lets not forget that Oregon hasn't lost on this floor for more than a year. |
|||||||
01-21-16 | Pistons v. Pelicans -120 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* New Orleans. Analysis to follow shortly. |
|||||||
01-20-16 | Warriors v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 125-94 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Clearly, the Warriors are an elite team. Betting against them each game so far this season would have resulted in significant losses. They've shown some chinks in their armor recently though. Prior to Monday's blowout win at Cleveland, the Warriors had actually dropped two of three games outright and had gone 0-1-3 ATS their previous four. I believe this will be another good spot to go against them. |
|||||||
01-20-16 | Indiana State v. Southern Illinois -3 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. With a 16-3 record (5-1 in conference) the Salukis are starting to believe that they're an NCAA Tournament team. True, the schedule has been pretty soft. However, that doesn't change the fact that winning builds confidence. |
|||||||
01-19-16 | Pacers v. Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 97-94 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
I am playing on the UNDER. It's no secret that poor defensively play has been costing the Pacers lately, but I anticipate them cleaning that up Tuesday night in a much lower scoring game than we've seen from them lately against an inferior Suns squad. |
|||||||
01-19-16 | UNLV v. Utah State +3.5 | Top | 80-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah State Aggies as my 10* Best Bet. |
|||||||
01-19-16 | Clemson v. Virginia -9.5 | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Virginia Cavaliers as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-18-16 | Blazers v. Wizards -4.5 | Top | 108-98 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Washington Wizards as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-17-16 | Oregon State v. Utah -8.5 | Top | 53-59 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah Utes as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-16-16 | Washington State v. Arizona UNDER 152.5 | Top | 66-90 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
*10 Pac-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER WSU/Arizona. |
|||||||
01-16-16 | Blazers v. 76ers +5.5 | Top | 89-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia 76ers as my 10* Best Bet. |
|||||||
01-15-16 | Cavs v. Rockets -1.5 | Top | 91-77 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Houston Rockets as my 10* Main Event. |
|||||||
01-15-16 | Monmouth v. Iona -1 | Top | 110-102 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Iona Gaels as my 10* MAAC Game Of The Month. |
|||||||
01-14-16 | Lakers +17 v. Warriors | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Lakers as my 10* Main Event. |
|||||||
01-14-16 | Pepperdine v. Santa Clara +1.5 | Top | 60-62 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Santa Clara Broncos as my 10* Best Bet. |
|||||||
01-14-16 | BYU v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Gonzaga Bulldogs as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-13-16 | Jazz v. Blazers UNDER 193.5 | Top | 85-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Under in Utah Jazz at Portland Trail Blazers as my 10* Blue Chip. |
|||||||
01-13-16 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as my 10* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-13-16 | Knicks v. Nets +3 | Top | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Brooklyn Nets as my 10* REVENGE ANNIHILATOR. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Minnesota +8 v. Nebraska | Top | 59-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on MINNESOTA. Minnesota is simply getting too many points from oddsmakers to ignore in this spot and I think the Gophers keep it close in this Big Ten matchup on Tuesday. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Cavs v. Mavs OVER 198.5 | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
I am playing on the OVER. The Cavs are red hot, so is LeBron and Kevin Love likes to beat up on Dallas. Those are three reasons I feel the Cavs are going to score in this game and the Mavs will need to do the same to keep up, which I feel will push the game over the total with room to spare. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Providence v. Creighton -2 | Top | 50-48 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
I am playing on CREIGHTON. Blue Jays head coach Greg McDermott is calling this game against No. 9 ranked Providence one of the biggest games for the Jays since they've entered the Big East and I think home court will help propel them for the victory. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Celtics +2 v. Knicks | Top | 114-120 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
I am playing on the CELTICS. I fully expect to see a huge effort from Boston Tuesday night after losing a heartbreaker on Sunday to Memphis after holding a 21-point lead in that game. |