Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-20 | Blues v. Avalanche -139 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO While calling this “do or die” for the Avalanche would be overstating things, it’s a game they desperately want to have. Tied for second in the Central Division, the Avs are 10 points back of first place St. Louis, who is the opponent this afternoon. Coming into the New Year, the Avs had lost six straight times to the Blues. But that changed with a commanding 7-3 win on the 2nd of this month, a game that was played right here in Denver. It just so happens that was a Game of the Week play from us. Even though the revenge angle is now technically gone, we feel even more strongly about backing Colorado today. They have the better goal differential compared to St. Louis. Also, each team’s results from its last five games are misleading. St. Louis was a massive favorite in each of its last five games. So the fact they’ve gone 4-1 shouldn’t be that surprising. All five games were also at home. Colorado had dropped a couple decisions in OT before shutting San Jose out, 4-0, on Thursday. We expect the Avs to treat this like their most important game of the year (so far). Play accordingly. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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01-18-20 | Seton Hall v. St. John's OVER 142 | Top | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER In case you hadn’t noticed yet, Seton Hall is a really good team. The #18 ranked team in the country just went to Butler and won 78-70. We had the Over in that game, which won by more than 20 points. For the Pirates, it was the seventh consecutive win and cover. They are certainly poised to make a jump in next week’s rankings providing they can take care of business here against St. John’s. It won’t be easy. But again we like the Over. St. John’s has its own seven-game streak coming into this game, only with the Under. Obviously, we look for that to end Saturday. The Johnnie’s are coming off a loss at Providence where they did not shoot well. But at home they average 79.5 points/game, a big reason why they have a 10-2 record here in NYC. Seton Hall averages 75.2 points/game, so this one shouldn’t have much trouble going Over. During their win streak, the Pirates have failed to score at least 74 points just once. Play OVER Seton Hall-St Johns AAA |
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01-17-20 | Penguins v. Red Wings +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DETROIT +1.5 (PUCK LINE) Detroit looks to “shock the world” on Friday as they host surging Pittsburgh. Although the Red Wings may have the fewest points in the league and the Penguins are 8-2-1 SU their last 11 games, we feel the underdog is likely to stay within a goal here and could pull the upset. That’s because Pittsburgh is coming in without rest having played in Boston last night. That hard fought game (a 4-1 loss) will have taken its toll and let’s not forget that before beating the Wild 7-3, the Pens previous three wins were all by one goal. Detroit is rested and while it comes off an awful 8-2 defeat at the hands of the Islanders, we think that will have them a little more motivated to come out and play hard Friday. Play Detroit +1.5 (PUCK LINE) AAA |
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01-17-20 | Wizards +10 v. Raptors | Top | 111-140 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON We may have played against Washington two nights ago in Chicago, but here we like them getting the points against Toronto. It’s more points that they’re getting obviously and it comes at a time when the team is getting much healthier. In terms of making a run at the playoffs, it might be too late to save the season, but the Wizards are probably an undervalued team right now. As for Toronto, who has been dealing with its own set of injuries, they took care of business in Oklahoma City on Wednesday. It was a 130-121 win as a 1-pt underdog. But not since Christmas have the Raptors put together two straight wins. This is probably their best shot to do so, but as mentioned earlier, it’s a very large number that they’ll be laying and it's to an opponent that averages 114.6 points/game. The Wizards led both at halftime and in the fourth quarter in Chicago. While they’ve gone 4-20 vs. Toronto going back seven seasons, they lost by just four here last month. The Raptors are 2-8 ATS in games with a total of 220 or more this season. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-17-20 | Fairfield v. Iona -5 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IONA Iona is having a bad season (so far) but a lot of that can be attributed to the fact they haven’t played many home games. This will be just the fourth game all season at the Hynes Athletic Center for the Gaels, who have yet to win any of the previous three tries! As a result, it’s a 3-8 SU overall record and they’re 1-9 against the spread. After picking up a nice road win at Rider last Friday, the Gaels promptly dropped a one-point decision here to Niagara 70-69 as 8.5-point favorites. The fact they are favored again probably tells you all you need to know about the strength of the opponent, Fairfield, who is actually in off two straight wins. But those two wins came at home. While the Stags are 12-4 ATS overall and an unbelievable 9-1 ATS as underdogs, you have to think they’ve caught the eye of the oddsmakers and won’t be covering at that rate much longer. On the other hand, Iona is far too experienced a team to have these woes continue. Fairfield just played Wednesday when it knocked off St. Peters, whose leading scorer was held to only five points. Iona last played on Sunday so they are the “fresher” of the two teams and we’ll back them in this attractive spot. Play on IONA AAA |
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01-16-20 | Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | Top | 134-131 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Golden State hopes to avoid a 10-game losing streak tonight as it hosts Denver. Two nights ago, here at home, the Warriors lost by 27 against Dallas. It was the second straight game where they gave up over 120 points, but the fifth straight game that still went Under. The Nuggets went Under for a fourth straight time last night when they beat Charlotte 100-86. Look for these Under streaks to end tonight though. Golden State obviously isn’t playing good defense right now. Nor have they really played much defense in this lost, injury-riddled season that they are having. They are giving up 113.2 points/game. The Over is 25-11 the last 36 times Denver has played here. Facing a second game in two nights, the Nuggets may not be as focused as they usually are defensively. The Over is also 6-1 their last seven road games. Their last three games were all at home and they give up substantially more points when not in the Mile Hile City. It’s not like Denver games have been staying Under the total by many points eithers. Two of the last three were within three points of the number set by the oddsmakers. This one makes it Over. Play OVER Denver-Golden State AAA |
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01-16-20 | Sabres +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BUFFALO +1.5 Dallas is in a lot better position than Buffalo right. Coming off an overtime win in Colorado, the Stars have won seven of eight and have 58 points, which has them second in the Central Division. Buffalo has just 49 points and is 5th in the Atlantic. As it stands now, the Sabres would miss the playoffs for a ninth straight season, the longest active drought in the sport. But there’s still a lot of games left and they aren’t ready to pack in it. It’s been two straight commanding wins with nine goals scored. Dallas hasn’t been nearly as dominant as you might think for a team that’s won seven of its last eight games. Two of their last three wins have been by one goal, so we like the +1.5 quite a bit here. They have not scored more than three times in any of the last four games. They actually trailed 2-0 at Colorado on Tuesday and were outshot 43-30. This is the Stars first game back after a long West Coast trip, so travel fatigue could be a factor. Buffalo has played a slightly tougher schedule and is 10-6-3 vs. Western Conference teams. Play Buffalo on the Puck Line (+1.5) AAA |
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01-16-20 | Penguins v. Bruins -126 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON Boston has lost two in a row and was just shut out 3-0 at Columbus on Tuesday. But each of those two losses came on the road. Tuesday was their first time being shut out this season. The Bruins return home Thursday and don’t be fooled by the number of defeats (11) they’ve suffered here in Boston. Nine of those 11 losses have come after regulation. Their two regulation losses are the fewest at home by any team in the league. Now it won’t be easy beating Pittsburgh, even in Beantown. But look for the Bruins to do it. We know the Penguins have won four straight, but they’ve still given up 12 goals in doing so. Three of the four wins came by a score of 4-3, two of them coming beyond regulation. The Penguins record on the road is only 12-7-2. The fact that Pittsburgh scored seven goals on Tuesday (Crosby’s first game back) has a bearing on both teams. The Penguins are 2-6 after scoring five or more times in their last game. The Bruins are 8-1 when facing a team that just scored at least five times. Even without goaltender Tuukka Rask, the hosts win this battle of premier teams. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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01-16-20 | Charlotte v. Marshall OVER 132 | Top | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Marshall was going Over quite a bit at the start of the year. Through the first 11 games, the Over was 8-3. But since then, scoring has curtailed some with the Under hitting in four of the last five. Speaking of Unders, that’s the way Charlotte’s previous six games have all gone. But we look for a different type game Thursday in Conference USA. There has been some unusually poor shooting in Charlotte games recently. Both they and their opponents have shot below 39%. That’s pretty incredible and something unlikely to continue. Marshall is still scoring 77.3 points/game at home, so look for them to score more than Charlotte’s recent opponents have. The Thundering Herd are coming off a road loss to UAB where they scored 50 points and were held to 33.3%. A return to Huntington will get them going again. The Over is 15-8 for Charlotte in the 49ers previous 23 games with a total of 130 to 139.5. Play OVER Charlotte-Marshall AAA |
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01-16-20 | Elon v. Drexel -7 | Top | 41-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DREXEL Drexel has won three of four. They just prevailed at James Madison 78-71 as a 3.5-point underdog. Tonight they host an Elon team that is also coming off a win, but the difference there is that the Phoenix had lost six in a row prior to that win. The win came against probably the worst team in the CAA, UNC Wilmington. The past two years have not been kind to Elon when they are off a conference win. They are 3-10 SU and ATS in that role. It sure was nice for them that UNC Wilmington made only 28.8% of its shots on Saturday. Drexel has a 46.8 FG% at home. Elon has covered the spread in five of the last six games, but isn’t getting nearly enough points here. They are 0-8 SU on the road while shooting 37% in those games. Drexel is 18-3 SU the last 21 times it has been favored, 5-0 this year, and should cover this number with room to spare. Play on DREXEL AAA |
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01-15-20 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 212.5 | Top | 130-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Oklahoma City is a team that everyone needs to start taking very seriously. In the L10 games, they are 8-2 straight up and 9-1 against the spread. They have won 12 of their last 15 games as well. Since 2020 began, the only teams to beat the Thunder are the Sixers and Lakers. Neither of those games were played here in OKC. Tonight the defending champs will come to town. The Raptors haven’t won back to back games since Christmas as they are just 4-6 their L10 games. But the good news for them is that Christmas was also the last time they lost two in a row. So off a 1-point loss to San Antonio Sunday, Toronto may not be a team you’d want to fade, especially seeing as they are getting points. It’s not that often that the Raptors are underdogs. They average 110 points/game. But Oklahoma City averages 113 points/game at home. The Over is 8-1 the last nine times the Thunder have been favored and its 6-0-1 the last seven times Toronto has taken on a team that has a winning straight up record. Play OVER Toronto-OKC AAA |
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01-15-20 | Wizards v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHICAGO The door is open for the Bulls to make a playoff run, they simply won’t “walk through.” A dreadful stretch has seen them go 1-7 straight up and against the spread. Looking at their last four wins, two have been against Detroit, one against Atlanta (who has the worst record in the league) and the other against the team they are hosting tonight, Washington. The Wizards have their own set of issues. Due to injuries, they’ve had a pretty lousy last month or so. They’ve won just six times going all the way back to December 6th. By rule, somebody has to win this matchup and we believe it’ll be Chicago and they’ll do so pretty easily. Washington is the league’s worst defensive team and the fact they give up 121.6 points/game on the road makes them almost unplayable at this number. Chicago has covered five of the last seven times it has taken on an opponent that has a losing record. Tonight is only the second time the Wizards have played on the road since Christmas. They lost by 34 at Orlando last week. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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01-15-20 | Xavier +3.5 v. Marquette | Top | 65-85 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on XAVIER This has all the makings of a sharp, contrarian play as Marquette hosts Xavier on Wednesday. As of this morning, the short home favorite (Marquette) is getting the majority of bets, but the line is going the other way and that tells us that the larger bets are on the dog. Xavier has certainly had its issues covering the number this season (they are 4-12 ATS), but they’ve been a dog only three times. Their last two games, both of which were at home, saw them lose as favorites. Marquette has also lost its last two games and one of those was as a home favorite to Providence. Only 8-8 ATS on the year, we’re just not sure about the Golden Eagles being favored in this game. They are only 5-12 ATS their last 17 games against teams that have winning records. Xavier is 12-5 SU. For the record, the Musketeers are 9-3 ATS its last 12 games as an underdog, including 6-2 ATS when on the road. Play on XAVIER AAA |
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01-15-20 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -175 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 7* on MONTREAL After a horribly unlucky eight-game losing streak, which saw six of the games decided by just one goal, Montreal has finally begun to turn it around. They beat Ottawa in overtime Saturday, then shut out Calgary here at home Monday. We had the Canadiens in both wins. For that win Monday, we pointed out that despite Calgary being a first place team, they actually had the same goal differential as the Habs. Tonight’s opponent is Chicago and not only are they not a first place team, they have been last in the Central Division much of the season. They also have a -15 goal differential even after their own back to back wins. Allowing lots of shots (36.9/game) has naturally led to the Blackhawks giving up lots of goals (3.4/game) in road games. They were in Ottawa last night and had to go to overtime to get the 3-2 win. So fatigue could be a factor tonight. Montreal doesn’t have nearly the same number of injuries as Chicago is dealing with right now. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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01-15-20 | Seton Hall v. Butler OVER 125 | Top | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Good matchup tonight in the Big East with #5 Butler playing #18 Seton Hall on FS-1. Both squads have been cashing plenty of tickets this year as Butler is 11-4 ATS while Seton Hall is 12-4 ATS. Both have won their last six games straight up with Seton Hall covering all six times and Butler being 4-2 ATS with the two non-covers coming by a combined 2.5 points. Look for this game to go Over the total. While both teams are certainly capable of playing good defense, they don’t have any problems putting the ball in the hoop either. Seton Hall averages 75.1 points/game. Butler averages 68.8 points/game. You can look for Seton Hall to be the fifth team to top 60 points on the Butler defense. Meanwhile, Butler is shooting almost 48% from the floor for the season. The Over is 6-2-1 the last nine times Seton Hall has been the underdog. Play OVER Seton Hall-Butler AAA |
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01-14-20 | Mavs v. Warriors +9 | Top | 124-97 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Everybody knows this is not the same Warriors team from the last half decade. But as recently as Christmas there were signs that they might be able to turn around what seemed to be a lost season. They won four in a row including an upset of Houston on Christmas Day. But since then it’s been all downhill with an eight-game losing streak. To be fair, they were underdogs in all eight games and getting double digits in five. So it’s not like the oddsmakers are expecting them to win. But they certainly could be more competitive. Tonight the Warriors are facing the team that started the losing streak, Dallas, who has gone only 3-5 its last eight games. Our view here is that while the Mavericks likely win, they aren’t going to cover the large spread on the road. A national TV game should be enough to inspire Golden State tonight and they obviously are already motivated enough to end this long losing streak. Dallas just hasn’t been playing very well of late, save for Saturday’s win against Philadelphia. But that was at home. The Mavs have scored at least 140 points in both wins against Golden State this year. That won’t happen again and it’s yet another reason to think the home dog comes out motivated. Dallas is 0-6 ATS their last six games off an ATS victory. They are 0-5 ATS off a SU win of more than 10 points. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-14-20 | Golden Knights -152 v. Sabres | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -152 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS In the Atlantic, Metropolitan and Central Divisions, first place is occupied by a team with at least 66 points. In fact, the leaders of those respective divisions (Boston, Washington & St. Louis) happen to have the three highest point totals in the league right now. But in the Pacific, 55 points (Calgary/Arizona) leads the way. Vegas is in the Pacific and just one point out of first place (54 points) despite a pretty mediocre. Three consecutive losses have hurt the Golden Knights, but obviously they remain in the thick of the division race. We like them quite a bit tonight as they should bounce back at Buffalo. The Sabres started their season at 8-1-1 through 10 games. Since then, they’ve gone 12-18-7, meaning they’ve lost two-thirds of their games. They beat the worst team in the league (Detroit) on Sunday, but that hardly convinces us that the Sabres are worth betting in this spot. The entirety of the Vegas three-game losing streak came at home, which is odd, but maybe hitting the road is what they need. This will be their third game in the last four days and they are just 3-9 SU off their previous 12 wins. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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01-14-20 | Richmond v. Davidson -4 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAVIDSON The Atlantic 10 is not as strong as it’s been in the past. With the exception of Dayton, who looks like they’ll be running away with things, there’s no surefire bet to make the NCAA Tournament from this conference. That’s what makes tonight’s game between Richmond and Davidson so critical for the teams involved. There’s a void to be filled and if either of these teams can get hot, there’s a possibility they go dancing. You’ve probably noticed that the team with the 7-8 SU record is favored over the one that’s 12-4. While that’s partly due to home court advantage, the favoritism should also tell you all you need to know about Richmond’s record. The Spiders just lost at home by 16 points to St. Louis as 5.5-point favorites. There’s no sugarcoating what a bad loss that is. Davidson is off to its own disappointing start in conference play (1-2 SU/0-3 ATS), but did win Saturday against St. Joseph’s. The previous three games, all losses, were played on the road. The Wildcats have played only four home games so far, won them all, and averaged 88.7 points/game in them. Richmond’s leading scorer Blake Francis is listed as doubtful for this game due to a shoulder injury he sustained in the loss to St. Louis. That and the fact that Davidson is finally back home have us laying the points in this one. 10* DAVIDSON AAA |
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01-13-20 | Portland State v. Montana -7 | Top | 70-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MONTANA This game finds both teams coming off upset wins. Portland State won at Montana State Saturday 77-76 as a 1.5-point underdog. Montana won 90-63 at Eastern Washington as a 5.5-point underdog. There are several reasons why the home team is the right choice in this situation. One, just look at those scores. Montana was far more impressive in its upset, winning by 27 as opposed to just a single point. Also, the Golden Grizzlies last played Thursday, so they’ve had more time to prepare for tonight’s game. They are also at home while Portland State is playing its fourth consecutive road game and second in three days. PSU gives up 76.5 points/game on the road. Montana allows 62.9 points/game at home. Lastly, this is a double revenge game for Montana. They lost twice to Portland State last season. Lay the points here. Play on MONTANA AAA |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU -5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 225 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LSU It seems like forever ago that LSU put forth an unbelievable offensive display against Oklahoma, scoring 49 points in the first half on their way to an easy 63-28 win as two-touchdown favorites in the Peach Bowl. Heisman winning QB Joe Burrow threw seven touchdown passes - before halftime! Meanwhile, Clemson should feel lucky to be in New Orleans for this battle of 14-0 Tigers. They were down 16-0 to Ohio State in Fiesta Bowl, only to make a stunning rally, seemingly brought upon a targeting penalty that went against the Buckeyes. As we had the Under, the Tigers defense should be complimented for holding OSU to just 23 points, but they also gave up over 500 yards. They basically gained 100 fewer yards than the Buckeyes and virtually all of their yards gained came on the four touchdown drives. That doesn't sound like a winning formula to beat LSU. While we expect Clemson to play better, the fact this game takes place in New Orleans does them no favors as it will be a virtual home game for LSU, who is laying a shockingly low number all things considered. Play on LSU AAA |
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01-13-20 | Thunder v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Before running into the Lakers Sat night, Oklahoma City had been on quite the roll. They’d covered the number in eight straight games and had won 11 of their last 13 straight up. But the 125-110 loss to LA, a game where the Lakers played without LeBron James and Anthony Davis, was a terribly disappointing result. Our view is that the Thunder, after overachieving for much of the first half of the season, could now be in a position where we start to see them “give some back.” Tonight’s game marks only the 4th time they will have been a road favorite this season. It comes against a Timberwolves team coming off its worst loss of the season. It was by 30 to Houston and they gave up 139 points. But not only has Minnesota covered four straight times when off a loss, they have had OKC’s number in the past as well, covering the spread in eight of the last nine matchups. The lone non-cover was last month in Oklahoma City, so that’s more revenge for the Timberwolves. The fact the Thunder won that last meeting by a score of 139-127 was highly misleading. The game went to overtime after a missed free throw (by Minnesota) and subsequent technical foul for a player not having his jersey tucked in properly. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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01-13-20 | Flames v. Canadiens -105 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MONTREAL Montreal finally did it, snapping an eight-game losing streak by beating Ottawa 2-1 on Saturday night. It took overtime to do it, which was almost apropos considering the number of one-goal losses than the Canadiens had endured during their slide. While one win is nice, the Habs are not “out of the woods” yet as the suddenly hot Flames come calling here on Monday night. Calgary’s five-game win streak has them in first place in the Pacific Division, a place they’re familiar with as that’s where they finished a season ago. However, we don’t feel this year’s Flames are nearly as good as the 2018-19 edition. This team has a negative goal differential (-8), which is quite odd for a first place team. Furthermore, Montreal actually has a slightly better goal differential (of -5), further proof that the East is by far the stronger conference this season. Don’t be fooled by the point totals or recent streaks. Montreal is the play here. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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01-12-20 | Hornets v. Suns -8 | Top | 92-100 | Push | 0 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX Charlotte isn’t a good team. But the fact they’ve even won 15 games is a bit misleading. They have a bottom five point differential and have lost 9 of their last 11 games. Both wins were by just three points. They have eight wins by three points or less this season, which is by far the most in the league. If not for all of those, they’d certainly be at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings. So we’ll be looking to fade them Sunday night in Phoenix with our strongest NBA side bet of the week. The Suns may also have only 15 wins themselves, but they have been outscored by just 1.1 points/game. That’s actually tied for the 8th best differential in the Western Conference. After years of losing, the Suns are improved this year. They won at Charlotte last month, 109-104, as a four-point favorite. They should be favored by more here. Charlotte has not won on a Sunday all season (0-6 SU) and has gone 1-5 ATS in those games. This is Phoenix’s fifth straight game at home. They are coming off a 98-94 win against Orlando. Charlotte is playing its second road game in three nights. They lost by 17 at Utah Friday. Play on PHOENIX. AAA |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 46.5 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Seattle got here by beating Philadelphia 17-9 in the Wild Card Round. As per usual, the Seahawks hardly looked impressive in achieving victory. They won by beating a 40-year old backup (Josh McCown) that was called into emergency duty when Carson Wentz was knocked out by a dirty hit from Jadeveon Clowney. Nevertheless, the Seahawks offense did gain an impressive 6.7 yards per play last week. Say what you will about Seattle's resume, but Green Bay has rode the same good fortune to get here, typically winning "ugly" and close. The Packers defense did play well down the stretch, but is unlikely to hold the Seahawks to 17 points this week. Over the final five regular season games, Green Bay faced four of the worst quarterbacks in the league (Jones, Haskins, Trubisky and Blough). So that's why you saw the defensive numbers improve. By the same token, Seattle goes from facing a 40-year old that had zero time to prepare to a rested Aaron Rodgers. By the numbers, this wasn't your normal Rogers-esque season. But the Packers offense did average 6.4 YPP at home and is going against a defense that allows 6.2 YPP on the road. Worth mentioning that the Over is 10-1 in Seattle's last 11 games as a playoff underdog. The Over is also 5-1 in Green Bay's last six playoff games. Play OVER Seattle-Green Bay AAA |
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01-12-20 | Canucks v. Wild -150 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA For much of this year, Minnesota has played considerably better at home. But they’ve dropped three of four at the Xcel Center, the last one coming as part of a home and home sweep they suffered at the hands of the Calgary Flames. Still the Wild boast an 11-4-4 SU home record. They’ve had two days off since losing in Calgary. The situation today is a lot better for them than it is for Vancouver, who was in Buffalo yesterday. The Canucks beat the Sabres 6-3 for their first win on the current road trip, but they aren’t a particularly good team away from home. They’re giving up an average of 3.5 goals in road games, which makes it tough to win as you’re not going to score six times every game. The Canucks and Sabres were actually tied 3-3 in the third period yesterday before the former exploded for three goals over the final 14 minutes. Meanwhile, Minnesota has to feel like it outplayed Calgary Thursday as it had 14 shots on goal in the third period, but couldn’t get any to go in the back of the net. They lost 2-1, but the good news is that the Wild are 6-2 after allowing two goals or less their last game. Vancouver is 7-17 the last 24 times its been in the second leg of a back to back and they are 1-4 when playing a third game in four days. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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01-12-20 | Siena +1.5 v. Manhattan | Top | 69-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SIENA The MAAC is looking pretty weak this year, so we’ll excuse you for not paying much attention to these teams. What you need to know about Siena is that they have been a totally different team at home than on the road. Thursday’s 61-58 win against St. Peters was the Saints seventh straight home victory. But it was also the fifth straight game they didn’t cover. Their road record is 0-6. So this game being at Manhattan might lead you to believe we’ll be backing the other side. But not so fast. Despite its struggles to cover the spread, Siena has won five of six. Yes, every win was at home. And the only road game resulted in an eight-point loss to Rider. But we don’t think Manhattan is in the same class as Siena. The Jaspers only average 61.7 points/game. They’ve actually been below that scoring average in five of the past seven games. Siena won here last season. They actually held Manhattan to an average of 44.5 points/game in a season sweep. Jaspers leading scorer Greene (12.1 points/game) is questionable for this game. Play on SIENA AAA |
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01-11-20 | Cavs v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER The Cavs last game should not have gone Over. The reason it did was because of overtime. They pulled out a 115-112 win in Detroit. While it was the fifth straight game they went Over, it was the only one that they were victorious in. Tonight that Over streak should end in Denver. The Nuggets just ended an Over streak of their own (of six games) in Wednesday’s win 107-106 win at Dallas. But make no mistake, this has been an Under team for the balance of the season. Before that Over streak started, two-thirds of all Nuggets games had stayed Under. They play great defense at home, allowing just 103.5 points/game. That’s something the Cavs can’t overcome. The Cavs only average 103.3 points/game at home. Play UNDER Cleveland-Denver AAA |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens -9 | Top | 28-12 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* Play on BALTIMORE Tennessee shocked a lot of people, including us, when they went into Foxboro last Saturday and upset New England. The 20-13 win saw them pass for only 71 yards, but run for 200+. They were slightly outgained and got a defensive TD in the final minute (went for 2 pt conversion and missed it) to put the game away. The Titans are now 8-3 SU since Ryan Tannehill became the starter but will need a lot more from him and the rest of the offense this week as they face a far greater challenge in Baltimore. Unlike the Patriots, the Ravens do not struggle to score. Led by likely MVP Lamar Jackson, they led the league in scoring at 33.2 points/game. The Ravens have not lost since Week 4 (to Cleveland!) and eight of those 12 victories have come by at least two touchdowns. Furthermore, the defense has given up over 20 points just two times in the 12-game win streak. We just can't see the Titans offense scoring enough, or the defense limiting the Ravens enough, to stay inside the spread Saturday. Tennessee had to win its last regular season game just to get into the playoffs. They are 4-11 ATS the last three years when coming off consecutive wins. The franchise is just 2-7 ATS its last nine chances in the Divisional Round and 6-seeds have really struggled in this round, going 5-19 SU all-time with eight straight losses. Play on BALTIMORE AAA |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens UNDER 47 | Top | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER This is a late add to our Saturday NFL Playoff card as we’ve been monitoring the total all week and like where the number is now. Going into Foxboro and winning a playoff game is definitely impressive. But the Titans didn’t do much offensively. Ryan Tannehill passed for only 71 yards, a number which isn’t going to win you many games. The running game was much more successful (201 yards), but gaining that kind of yardage against the Ravens is just not likely. Baltimore’s opponents gained an average of just 93 yards/game on the ground in the regular season, doing so at only 4.3 yards/carry. Remember the Titans had only 14 points last week before a late INT return for a TD. If Tennessee is to have any chance in this game, it will be because of a defense that allows 17.2 points/game on the road. They won’t hold the Ravens that low, but combined we don’t see both teams exceeding the number here. The Under is 6-1 in Tennessee’s last seven playoff games and a perfect 6-0 the Ravens last six playoff home games. Play UNDER Tennessee-Baltimore AAA |
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01-11-20 | Wake Forest +19.5 v. Duke | Top | 59-90 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WAKE FOREST Most aren’t going to give Wake Forest much of a shot here. But Duke just played a tight game with Georgia Tech that was tied with 4 ½ minutes remaining. That should give the Demon Deacons some hope. Last year, it was a one-point game here in Durham with Wake Forest easily covering the 24 point spot. Hopefully, Chaundee Brown (who is Wake’s second leading scorer) will return for this game. But even if he doesn’t, his teammates will be set to compete. The Blue Devils players won’t be apt to take this one nearly as seriously so Wake should hang around throughout. Duke has only covered two of its last seven home games. Play on WAKE FOREST AAA |
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01-11-20 | Washington -6 v. California | Top | 58-61 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON Playing its first actual road game of the season, Washington lost Thursday at Stanford by a score of 61-55. Going in, we knew it would be a battle of strong defensive teams, but where Washington came up short was from behind the three-point line. They made only 3 of 17 while Stanford was 11 of 30. It was a game the Huskies led by eight going into halftime. They should have a much easier time finishing the job tonight against Pac 12 lightweight Cal. The Bears are off a rare conference win (just their 6th in 40 tries) but it was one where they were favored as they played Washington State here in Berkeley. As an underdog, the Bears are just 1-8 ATS this season. They are also 0 for their last 9 ATS as a home dog of 6.5 to 9 points. They’ve covered only twice in 10 tries against teams with winning record this year. This should be a get well game for UW, who should be sick of close games at this point. Over the last four games, they’ve lost three times by a total of 12 points. But the one win was by 32. This should be more in line with that result. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-11-20 | Canadiens -126 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 9* on MONTREAL Something will have to give Saturday night in the capital city of Ottawa as the Senators have lost six in a row while the team they host, Montreal, is on an eight-game losing streak. For many, it’s a struggle to pick a winner when both teams are struggling this badly. But for us, there are a number of reasons we’ll be backing the Canadiens in this one. First off, Ottawa played last night in Detroit. Of course, we already know that they lost, but the fact the game went to a shootout makes the situation even worse. Secondly, Montreal has been much more competitive during its losing streak than Ottawa has been during their own skid. Six of the eight losses for Montreal have been by one goal. The Senators have been outscored 29-14 these last six games. That’s largely in line with what we’ve seen from the teams all season. Montreal has been outscored by just six goals. Ottawa has been outscored by 32. Lastly, while the teams split a pair of games over in the province of Quebec this year, the Canadiens have won 7 of the previous 10 meetings. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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01-11-20 | Bulls v. Pistons UNDER 217 | Top | 108-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER So Detroit just split a home and home with the Cavs. Both results were a bit misleading in our opinion. They won 115-113 in Cleveland despite trailing by double digits for most of the game. Then the rematch in Detroit was a painful result for those (like us) that had the Under as the game wound up going to overtime. Cleveland won 115-112, a game that really had no business going Over. It was tied 102-102 at the end of regulation, well below the total of 220.5. Part of the problem for Detroit is that they are missing three of their top five scorers. Luke Kennard hasn’t played since December 21st while Blake Griffin is going to be out for a long-time. Markieff Morris is out as well. The scoring burden has fallen onto Andre Drummond and Derrick Rose and we just can’t see them continuing to carry the load. So look for lower scoring efforts from the Pistons moving forward. As for Chicago, they just got blitzed last night by Indiana, who shot 57%. It was the fourth straight Bulls game to go Over. But Detroit isn’t going to shoot as well as Indiana did last night nor Chicago’s other recent opponents. The Bulls have injuries as well, limiting what they can do offensively. Five of the last six games, they’ve scored less than 109 points. An interesting trend is that Chicago is 4-1 Under the last five times their starters combined for 160+ minutes the previous day. They combined for 165 last night. Play UNDER Chicago-Detroit AAA |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 74 h 58 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MINNESOTA It seems like the Vikings win over the Saints on Wild Card Weekend caught a lot of people by surprise. They did it with defense. Aside from the gimmickery of Taysom Hill, who threw a 50-yard pass and ran for another 50, New Orleans was held to just 224 yards and they got three points off an early Minnesota fumble. A similar defensive effort will be needed this week against the top seeded 49ers, who are rested coming off their bye. San Francisco was the best team in the NFC during the regular season. But if you look at their defensive numbers down the stretch, cracks did begin to show. Over the first seven games, SF never allowed more than 20 points and gave up an average of just 11 points/game (started 7-0). Ever since, they've allowed 20+ in eight of nine games and an average of 25.8 points/game. They've also lost three times. While some of the 49ers players have postseason experience, many don't and this is their first playoff game together as a group. We think it's pretty clear Minnesota is still being undervalued despite last week's win, which was the first time ever under Mike Zimmer they'd been getting seven or more points in a game. Say what you will about QB Kirk Cousins, but he played well last week. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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01-10-20 | Lakers v. Mavs -1.5 | Top | 129-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DALLAS Compared to the Lakers, Dallas has a very similar point differential and net efficiency rating. However, they are lagging well behind in the standings. The Mavericks have fallen all the way down to 6th place in the West, seven games back of LA. It was a tough loss on Wednesday as they fell here at home, 107-106 to Denver. That makes tonight’s game even more important. The Mavs have caught a big break in that Anthony Davis is out (tailbone) and LeBron James hasn’t been feeling well. So it’s a game the Mavs really should win. The Lakers haven’t lost since Christmas, going 6-0 since, so you couldn’t fault them if they failed to match the sense of urgency Dallas has coming into tonight’s showdown. Key here is that the Mavericks were favored against Denver on Wednesday. They are a perfect 9-0 ATS this season when coming off a loss as a favorite! While just 2-3 straight up their last five games, all three losses by the Mavs have been by five points or less. They are better than their record and actually one of the top teams in the league. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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01-10-20 | Ball State v. Akron -3 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on AKRON We had to the MAC for some Friday night College Hoops as Akron hosts Ball State. In what looks to be a wide open conference race, these are going to be two of the likely contenders for regular season supremacy. Akron comes in sporting the better record at 12-3 and they’ve started the conference slate with two dominant wins. The Zips only losses were to Louisville, Liberty and West Virginia. Liberty was actually undefeated at the time while the other two are top 15 teams. Akron has been a dominant home team, winning all nine of its games here by an average of 20.3 points/game. They’ve gone 6-1 ATS as a favorite this year. We fail to understand why this number would be so low given Ball State is only 13-28 ATS its last 41 MAC games. Akron even has triple revenge as they are 0-3 straight up vs. the Cardinals the last two seasons (two of the losses in 2018). Play on AKRON AAA |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 231.5 | Top | 121-134 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on UNDER As recently as a year ago, a total this high would have been unfathomable for a matchup between San Antonio and Memphis. But the Grizzlies can score now (112.6 points/game) while the Spurs don’t play defense like they used to (114.8 points/game allowed). Still, this is a really high total and we can’t see the game going Over, even with what we’ve seen recently from both sides. San Antonio just beat Milwaukee and Boston in consecutive games by scoring 126 and 129 points. But neither they nor Memphis, who has shot 51% or better in three straight games, are likely to continue the recent stretches of white hot shooting. Grizzlies games with a total of 230 or higher are 4-2 Under. There have just been too many Overs produced by both teams recently. Eventually the shooting has to cool down. San Antonio shot 55.2% against Boston in the last game. These are very difficult percentages to maintain so let’s take advantage of a high total. Play UNDER Spurs-Grizzlies AAA |
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01-10-20 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -186 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CAROLINA Of the three games on Friday’s NHL slate, this one figures to be the most one-sided. Yes, we’re very aware that the team we’re playing against (Arizona) is in first place in the Pacific Division. But this is a terrible situation for the Coyotes as they were shut out last night in Tampa Bay 4-0. Host Carolina has been off for two days. What you need to understand here is how much better the Hurricanes division is. Even though they’re fourth in the Metropolitan, they have almost the same number of points as Arizona and they have a better goal differential. The Canes are a strong 11-3-1 SU against the Western Conference this year and an impressive team at home where they outscore opponents 3.7 to 2.9 goals per game with a heavy edge in shots. The Coyotes had won four in a row before getting blanked Thursday. But playing a third road game in four nights and second in two is going to catch up with them here, especially in light of injuries between the pipes. The Hurricanes are 9-4 this year playing with two days rest. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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01-10-20 | Heat v. Nets +3.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 10* on BROOKLYN The way things are going right now, this could end up being a 1st round playoff series. Miami has won 8 of its last 10 games to get to 27-10 on the year and that’s good enough for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. Brooklyn has spent much of this season in 7th place, but has recently fallen to 8th as they’ve lost seven in a row and even worse failed to cover all seven games. This despite Caris LeVert returning to the lineup after a lengthy absence. Kyrie (Irving) won’t be back for at least another week, so someone needs to step up for the Nets. They’ve been hit by some bad luck lately. Tuesday’s 111-103 loss to Oklahoma City went to overtime and dropped the Nets to 1-4 in OT games this season. We think them getting the Heat at home Friday night is a good spot. First off, Miami may be a league-best 17-1 at home. But they are just 10-9 on the road and have given up more points than they have scored. It was a three-point game when they came to Brooklyn on December 1st. The Heat are also off an upset win in Indiana. They’ve covered just once in five previous tries this year when off a win as an underdog. The Nets fortunes are due to change and the same is true for Miami. Play on BROOKLYN AAA |
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01-09-20 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 55-61 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON After losing two straight, Washington clearly wasn't fooling around Sunday night. They beat USC 72-40, holding the Trojans to 20 percent shooting for the game (yes, 20 percent!) in what was a complete annihilation. Before losses to UCLA and Houston, the Huskies were a top 25 team whose only losses had been to Tennessee and Gonzaga. We think that's important to remember when looking at their upcoming Pac 12 schedule. Thursday will be the first actual road game of the year as UW goes to Stanford. The Cardinal are 12-2 and also won their last game, although it took place back on Thursday. Rival Cal was no match here in Palo Alto with the Cardinal winning 68-52. But Washington is a different story. The Huskies swept last year's season series. They are a tall team with plenty of length and have better defensive numbers than Stanford. UW opponents are shooting just 40.2 percent on two-point shots this year. At the same time, the Huskies make 54.2% of their own two-point shots (26th in NCAA) and get to the FT line quite a bit. Stanford might be 12-2, but they don't really have much in the way of quality wins. We like the better team catching points. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-09-20 | Oilers v. Canadiens -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MONTREAL Montreal is S-T-R-U-G-G-L-I-N-G. Tuesday in Detroit made it a seven-game losing streak. The most embarrassing part of it is that was the third time this year the Canadiens lost to the Red Wings, an 11-win team! Tonight the Habs will try their hand at beating Edmonton. This is a home game and while the team's record is actually WORSE in Montreal, you wouldn't know it simply by looking at how many shots per game they average here (36.6). What's interesting about this matchup is how oddsmakers continue to price these teams. Montreal, despite its losing streak and Edmonton coming off two big wins, is being favored for a fourth straight time. The Oilers two-game win streak has seen them go to Boston and Toronto and come out ahead despite being priced at +190 and +185 respectively. A third straight win as a money line dog seems unlikely. Also worth mentioning are the teams records and their corresponding goal differentials. Montreal is 18-19-7 yet has only been outscored by five goals all season. Six of the losses during this current slide have come by one goal. That's some awful luck. Edmonton is 23-17-5, but has also been outscored by five goals this season! The Oilers had been 0-6 off their previous six wins before Tuesday's 6-4 decision at Toronto. They are still 0-5 after scoring 5 or more goals the previous game. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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01-09-20 | Cavs v. Pistons UNDER 220 | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER This is an immediate rematch of a game played Tuesday night, won by the Pistons, in Cleveland. It was a 115-113 final that saw Detroit rally from an 11-point fourth quarter deficit. We think this one will be lower scoring. The Pistons are coming off a six-game road trip and are likely to struggle offensively as many teams do in the first game back at home after a long trip. Remember they don't have either Blake Griffin nor Reggie Jackson in the lineup. Markieff Morris is also being bothered by a foot injury. The Pistons have topped 110 points in consecutive games only one time since December 18th. As for Cleveland, it's time for their four-game Over streak to end. They are averaging just 102.6 points/game on the road. Injuries (as well as the flu) have also taken a toll on this Cavs roster. Larry Nance Jr and Kevin Porter Jr are both definitely out. Two teams that just don't have many scoring options at their disposal won't be able to get this one Over. Play UNDER Cleveland-Detroit AAA |
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01-08-20 | Capitals v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER After a brief rough stretch at the end of 2019, Washington has gotten back to winning. They've started the new year 3-0 and scored 15 goals in the process. Tonight they take on a team that's no stranger to scoring itself. The only problem for Philadelphia is that it's been their opponents doing most of the scoring. In a four-game losing streak, the Flyers have given up 21 goals. At the same time, they've scored 13 themselves, which is actually not a bad number. Overall, the Capitals have gone Over in five straight while the Flyers are 4-0 Over those last four games. So that's nine straight Overs. But we're taking a different tact for this one as all this goal scoring is unlikely to continue. Those four losses for Philly were all on the road. At home they're giving up just 2.1 goals/game, which is one of the lowest marks in the league. The last two teams Washington beat (San Jose, Ottawa) are both not having good seasons, so this should be more of a struggle. This is the second game of a back to back for both teams, so we could be dealing with some tired skaters. The Under is 18-7-2 in Flyers games if they went to overtime the previous night. Play UNDER Washington-Philadelphia AAA |
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01-08-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3 | Top | 107-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS Dallas comes into this game in sixth place in the Western Conference. But at 23-13 overall, they are only two games back of second place Denver, whom they host here. They'll do so without the services of Kristaps Porizingis, but Luka Doncic is here and he's coming off a 38-point, 11-rebound and 10-assist game Monday vs. Chicago. It was Doncic's 9th time scoring at least 30 while registering a triple double and the Mavericks won 118-110. Meanwhile, this is hardly the most ideal time for the Nuggets to face a matchup like this. It will be their fifth road game in a row and it's a trip that began all the way back on New Year's Eve. Denver has not been playing good defense of late, giving 120.8 points the last five games including 128 and 130 in two losses on this trip. Dallas has the most efficient offense in the NBA in terms of points per possession. This is the Mavs fourth straight game at home, so the situation totally favors them. We have them rated several points better than Denver so it looks like we're getting a real bargain with the pointspread. The Nuggets did win in Atlanta Monday, but have failed to cover off their five previous victories. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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01-08-20 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +7 | Top | 78-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WAKE FOREST Florida State enters this game as a top 10 team in the country. They're 13-2 SU so far and have won six in a row since losing at Indiana back on December 3rd. On Saturday, they traveled to Louisville and upset the favored Cardinals 78-65 as 6-point underdogs. But the Seminoles have every right to be "wary" of Wake Forest tonight as the Demon Deacons pulled their own upset Saturday, winning at Pitt 68-65 as a 6.5-point underdog. Wake is plenty rested as that upset of Pitt is the only game that they have played the last 2 1/2 weeks. FSU is playing back to back road games for the first time since opening their season at Pitt and Florida. For what it's worth, the Noles did lose to the same Pitt team that WF just beat. That Pitt game was the only time previous to tonight that FSU has been favored on the road and they lost outright. Again, they also lost at Indiana. Wake Forest has already won four times as an underdog. They've covered five of the last seven times getting points. Seems like too many points for FSU to be laying here. Play on WAKE FOREST AAA |
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01-08-20 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 207.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Toronto took a 101-99 loss to Portland last night, keeping them in 4th place in the Eastern Conference. That was at home, now they head out on the road to face Charlotte. It's been a struggle for the Raptors of late with them dropping five of the last eight games. In each of the last three, they've failed to score 100 points. But look for them to rediscover their "lost" shooting touch tonight against a Hornets team that's permitting 111 points/game. The last three Charlotte games have all gone Over as have six of the last seven Toronto-Charlotte matchups. Earlier this year, the Raptors hung 132 on the Hornets in a blowout up in Canada. They probably won't score that many tonight, but they'll definitely score enough to help send the game Over the total. The total for that first matchup was several points higher than it is here. The only other time this season Toronto has had to go home --> away with no rest in between, they gave up 120 points. Charlotte has gotten 29 points/game from guard Terry Rozier the last three games. Play OVER Toronto-Charlotte AAA |
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01-08-20 | Northwestern v. Indiana -12.5 | Top | 62-66 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on INDIANA Indiana is coming off back to back losses, the latest being to #12 Maryland (no shame there) on what was a cold-shooting night for the Hoosiers. The other loss saw IU blow an 11-point second half lead to Arkansas, at home. Prior to those losses, Indiana was 11-1 and certainly worthy of Top 25 consideration. Tonight seems like an excellent chance to get back on track as they'll take on Northwestern at Assembly Hall in Bloomington. Northwestern is not one of the Big 10's stronger teams. In fact, they've lost four in a row and six out of the last eight. Sunday saw the Wildcats travel to Minnesota and take a 77-68 loss, leaving them as the only Big 10 team without a conference win. Only seven scholarship players suited up on Sunday because of injuries and that situation is no better for tonight. A lack of guards is a real issue for Northwestern right now. They are the lowest scoring team in the Big 10 and didn't even attempt a three-pointer until nearly midway through the second half vs. Minnesota. Indiana is 9-1 and averaging 84.5 points/game at home. Northwestern is just 7-18-1 ATS its last 26 games overall. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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01-07-20 | Knicks v. Lakers -13 | Top | 87-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the LAKERS The Lakers have won five in a row overall, the last four of which have been at home. On paper, this homestand seemed to set up very favorably for them with mostly games against teams with losing records. But while they've been winning, they have not been covering in the New Year. After jumping out to a 36-point lead against Phoenix, they won by only 10 as an 11-point favorite. It was a similar deal two nights later vs. New Orleans as they led by 20+ in the third quarter, but won by only 10 as 10.5-point favorites. Sunday vs. Detroit was a much different deal as they actually trailed going into the fourth quarter, which was good for us as we had the Pistons +14.5 (final score was 106-99). Tonight is a very similar matchup as the Lakers host the Knicks. But this is where we see LA covering the spread. The Knicks may be 4-1 ATS L5, but they are still a really bad team. We can easily establish that they'll lose here being that the last two years they are 1-16 straight up as a road underdog of at least 12.5 points. Only two of those games were this year. But they were just 4-11 ATS in the role the last two years. Lakers are 9-2-1 ATS vs. teams with a sub-.400 win percentage. Play on LA LAKERS AAA |
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01-07-20 | Islanders -120 v. Devils | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the ISLANDERS The Islanders season got off to an excellent start with a 16-3-1 record through the first 20 games. But they are just 10-9-2 since and that's including last night's 1-0 win at home against Colorado. That's a good win considering the Avalanche had been shut out only one time previously and also much needed as the Islanders had lost their last two games. Now, without rest, they head to New Jersey. This should be an easy two points. The Devils are in last place and have been outscored by 38 goals this season. They just lost to Colorado, 5-2, on Saturday. The Islanders shutting out Colorado was even more impressive when you consider the Avs are the highest scoring team in the league. New Jersey has scored the second fewest goals. The Islanders have given up the second fewest. They've been in a scoring drought themselves, but only two teams have allowed more goals than New Jersey. The Devils have some key injuries too. NY is actually 14-3 the last 17 times its taken the ice without rest. New Jersey has lost 17 of the last 21 times it has played with 2 days rest. Play on NY ISLANDERS AAA |
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01-07-20 | Penn State v. Rutgers +1.5 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 101 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on RUTGERS The Big 10 could very well put a record number of teams in the NCAA Tournament this year. It will be interesting to see how some of the teams hold up against what is going to be a brutal conference schedule. These are two teams I'm interested in. Penn State and Rutgers each come into Tuesday riding 5-game win streaks. Penn State has already beaten Maryland and Iowa. But those games were both played in Pennsylvania. So far the Nittany Lions have played just two actual road games. One saw them get destroyed by Ohio State, 106-74. Their only other defeat was by two against Ole Miss, in Brooklyn. But here they face a Rutgers team that is 10-0 at home including a win over Seton Hall. The Scarlet Knights allow less than 60 points/game and have won the rebounding battle in 13 of their 14 games played. Penn State has three wins this year by three points or less, so that record could easily be a little bit worse. Even with the injury to G Geo Baker, we don't agree with how the early line movement for this one. Play on RUTGERS AAA |
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01-06-20 | Troy State +11.5 v. Texas State | Top | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TROY Troy (5-10) seemingly doesn't have much going for itself right now but this is a lot of points to be getting from a Texas State team that isn't exactly making a lot of noise. Texas State has been especially poor as a favorite this year, going 1-7 ATS. If that's not bad enough, the Bobcats haven't covered any of their last five lined games. Troy is 0-3 ATS its last three, but never were they getting close to double digits. There have only been two times the Trojans have been double digit dogs. Both were vs. power conference teams. They covered the last one, at Texas A&M, losing by just four. Texas State is 0 for 3 at the window when it has had to lay double digits. Most of their wins have been against either non Division I teams or bottom of the barrel D-I teams. It was just a three-point win over Arkansas State Saturday. Play on TROY AAA |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MIAMI Its seems as if no one is really giving Miami much of a chance in Monday's Lending Tree Bowl. But the RedHawks should be pretty used to that by now. They were underdogs in the MAC Championship Game and won that outright, beating Central Michigan 26-21. Even getting to play for the MAC Championship seemed like a pipe dream when Miami was 1-3, but looking back, those losses were to Iowa, Cincinnati and Ohio State (all 10+ win teams). One of the two conference losses was the final regular season game where the RedHawks had nothing to play for and sat starters. In something that is truly stunning, Miami has been a favorite in only two games all year! Those were against Akron and Bowling Green. As an underdog, they are 7-4 ATS, winning outright six times. So while Louisiana finished the regular season with one of the best overall ATS marks (9-4), it's a lot of points to lay to a team well-versed in the underdog role. Two of the Ragin Cajuns three losses were to Appalachian State, the other to Mississippi State. Certainly, we can see them winning this game, but the margin that the oddsmakers are calling for here is too high. Miami has a good defense that makes plenty of tackles for loss. Play MIAMI OH AAA |
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01-06-20 | Jets v. Canadiens -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MONTREAL Montreal has slipped down the Atlantic Division standings, the reason being they've lost five straight games. But their 43 points still has the Canadiens very viable to make a run to the playoffs. But they can't afford too many more slip-ups and tonight almost feels like one of those "must-wins" as they host Winnipeg. The Jets have lost two in a row themselves, not to mention seven of the last nine games as well. So one team's misery is going to continue after tonight. We believe it will be the Jets. They've allowed at least four goals in seven of the last nine games. At the same time, they failed to notch even one goal at even strength in Saturday's 3-2 overtime loss at Minnesota. Montreal is also off an overtime loss and four of their last five losses have been by one goal and they've been facing some pretty strong competition lately. The Jets have won just 4 of their last 17 visits to Quebec and the Canadiens are 14-5 the last 19 times they've been off a game where they scored two or less goals. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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01-06-20 | Nets +5.5 v. Magic | Top | 89-101 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BROOKLYN Brooklyn got Caris LeVert back in the lineup Saturday, but that failed to turn the tide as for a fifth consecutive game they came out on the losing end. This time it was at home to Toronto, who is a good team but also came in short-handed. The Nets got spanked 121-102 in a very disappointing result for them as they were actually favored. But with LeVert back, this is going to be a better team and we see this line for Monday's game at Orlando getting a bit out of hand. These teams seem pretty even and the case could be made Brooklyn is better. Orlando lost its last game, at home, by 13. The Magic don't score enough (103.3 points/game) to give us any confidence in them laying points here. They've lost 9 of 14 themselves. Should be a close game where taking points is a must. Play on BROOKLYN AAA |
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01-05-20 | Pistons +15 v. Lakers | Top | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DETROIT The Lakers have a bad habit of letting their opponents sneak through the back door in the 4th quarter. So as long as they're laying these high numbers, we're likely to be considering the other side. On New Year's Day, LA ended up not covering against Phoenix despite taking an early 30+ point lead. They led by 20+ going into the fourth quarter of Friday's game vs. New Orleans and didn't cover there either. It's just a 2-8 ATS record the last 10 games for the Purple & Gold and they are laying a big number here against Detroit as the Pistons played last night at Golden State. Even thought its back to back, we look for the Pistons to cover. They did win last night, 111-104, and while it's big jump in class going from facing the Warriors to the Lakers, it's a lot of points too. Detroit has had its share of ATS woes, covering just 2 of its last 10 games. But they are the ones getting double digits tonight, which makes it easier even though they are probably going to be without Blake Griffin. The Pistons are only being outscored by 2.8 points/game this year. Play on DETROIT AAA |
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01-05-20 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Chicago is coming off a three-game road trip, which ended with a 7-5 loss in Vancouver. They'd won the first two games of the trip as well as six of their previous eight. Meanwhile, Detroit continues to be terrible as they lost 4-1 in Dallas on Friday night. We had the Under in that one, our top NHL total bet for the week. The Red Wings were coming off a rare win heading into that game - 2-0 against San Jose - but had lost six in a row before that. They've got the least points in the league right now (23) and it's not even close. Consider Chicago is also a last place team, but they have 42 points. The team with the next fewest points is New Jersey with 36. While the Red Wings have given up the most goals (161), they've also scored the fewest. While its somewhat concerning to see that the Blackhawks have given up 7 goals in their last two defeats, they're probably not losing here. They've held the opponent to three goals or less in each of the last six wins. The Under is 5-1 Detroit's past six road games and 3-0 the last three games overall. Play UNDER Detroit-Chicago AAA |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHILADELPHIA Due to injuries and an inferior record, the Eagles seem to be getting written off here. That's a mistake. They still have the home field advantage and that's big. Seattle did well for itself on the road this year, but has not done well in the playoffs when having to leave the Pacific Northwest. Eight of the franchise's last 10 playoff road games have ended in defeat and one of those wins was the infamous game in Minnesota where Vikings kicker Blair Walsh missed a chip shot field goal. Home underdogs are pretty rare in the NFL Playoffs and we haven't seen one in the Wild Card Round since 2015. But the Eagles are 5-0 STRAIGHT UP all-time in the postseason as a home dog and four of those wins have been by at least 13 points. Under Doug Pederson, they are 8-4 ATS getting points (regular season or playoffs) including 5-0 in the playoffs where they've won four of the five on the field. Since 1990, there have been eight instances of a team with a 9-7 or worse record hosting a team with at least 11 wins. The home team has gone 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 against the spread in those games. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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01-05-20 | Davidson +3.5 v. Duquesne | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAVIDSON Duquesne started the season 10-0, which was definitely a surprise. But the key is they really haven't played anybody. After suffering two straight defeats, the Dukes won their conference opener by beating a poor St. Louis team 73-59. They hope that stems the tide, but we don't see them beating Davidson, who will be playing its first A-10 game on Sunday. The Wildcats had won three in a row by virtue of some solid defense, but then ran into Vanderbilt right before the New Year and lost 76-71 in Nashville as a 1-point underdog. That leaves them at 6-6 SU overall with all but three of the games played away from home. While the overall record isn't as good as they'd hoped for, Davidson is definitely battle-tested going into conference play. They've gone 7-0 SU vs. Duquesne and 6-1 ATS, the lone non-cover coming last year. But a big key coming into today is that Davidson has been the dog in only one of those prior seven meetings. We believe the better team is getting points Sunday. The Wildcats have gone 31-10 SU and 26-15 ATS vs. the rest of the Atlantic 10 the past two seasons. Play on DAVIDSON AAA |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints UNDER 49.5 | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The 13-3 Saints host the 10-6 Vikings on Wild Card Weekend. Because of Drew Brees, New Orleans will always be known for their offense. But it has been a much improved defense that has helped guide them to back to back 13-win seasons. The Saints gave up an average of just 21.3 points/game this season. They'll need that defense to show up on Sunday because the Vikings actually allowed a fewer number of points per contest, coming in at 18.9. There are some incredible trends supporting the Under in this one. For starters, Minnesota has gone Under in its last five Wild Card games. They've also gone Under 15 of the past 22 times they've been an underdog. But the most eye-opening trend of all is that the last seven NFL Wild Card games with a spread of seven points or more have all stayed Under! We certainly don't expect Vikings QB Kirk Cousins to play well in this spot. So don't go expecting many points from the underdog. At the same time, Minnesota's defense can keep them in the game. Look for the defenses to rule the day and this one to go Under. Play UNDER Minnesota-New Orleans AAA |
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01-04-20 | Spurs v. Bucks OVER 228 | Top | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Milwaukee leads the league in scoring at 119.4 points/game, so we need not be concerned about them scoring tonight. Especially since San Antonio is no longer the same defensive "stalwart" we've been accustomed to seeing under Greg Popovich. This edition of the Spurs might be the worst Pop has had, at least defensively, as they are giving up 114.8 points/game. They've been at or below that average the last five games, but most of those were against not great offensive teams (they played Dallas without Doncic). Obviously, none of those teams score as much as the Bucks do. It was an "off-shooting night" for Milwaukee in its last game, a 106-104 win at Minnesota. Despite Giannis Antetokounmpo scoring 32 points, the team shot just 42.6% and missed 27 of its 36 three-point attempts. That's bad news for San Antonio because you have to think the Bucks will be a lot sharper at home. The Spurs are 9-2 Over this season in non-conference games. Play OVER San Antonio-Milwaukee AAA |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ENGLAND New England comes into these playoffs with the longest Super Bowl odds (20/1) that they've ever had during the Belichick/Brady regime. While it's true that the offense has not flashed the form we're accustomed to seeing, it's hard to pass up the opportunity to lay such a small number with the Patriots in Foxboro against Ryan Tannehill. The Pats still have the best defense in football even after laying an egg against Miami in Week 17. They gave up only 14.1 points/game and 275.7 yards/game. Both were league bests. They are also "money" as a home favorite of this season. The last three seasons have seen NE go 10-1 SU and 7-3-1 ATS when laying anywhere from -3.5 to -7 in Foxboro. If you go all the way back to 2001, Brady's first year as a starting QB, the team is 72-17 straight up and 61-24-4 ATS (71.8%!) laying seven points or less at home. We know Ryan Tannehill had a career year and made the Titans offense better. But he's still Ryan Tannehill and we're not about to bet that he can beat Tom Brady in the playoffs. Lay it! Play on NEW ENGLAND AAA |
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01-04-20 | Texas +9 v. Baylor | Top | 44-59 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TEXAS Baylor is a Top 10 team in the country right now (#6) with a 10-1 straight up record. This is the Big 10 opener as they face Texas, who is a solid 10-2 SU, but unranked. This is actually the best start to a season that the Longhorns have had under Shaka Smart. They are coming off their most dominant performance yet, registering season-highs in points, field goals made, field goal percentage, blocked shots and margin of victory in a 89-58 demolition of High Point. It's no debate that tonight's game is going to be much tougher as Baylor has won nine in a row, including three wins over ranked teams. The Bears last game was pretty similar to Texas' as they won 83-57 against Jackson State. But they're 1-5 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less the previous game. Texas is 12-4 ATS in the month of January the last two years. The last four head to head meetings have seen the 'Horns either win or lose by single digits. Two of the losses were by just one point. Texas allows a pretty similar number of points per game compared to Baylor. Take the points. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -2.5 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 78 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on HOUSTON This was probably the best possible Wild Card matchup for the Texans. They are facing an inexperienced QB and an offense that averaged just 19.6 points/game in the regular season. While Houston's defense nosedived in the second half of the season, that was directly tied to the loss of superstar JJ Watt. Watt is now back on the active roster and will play Saturday. So will QB DeShaun Watson after he sat out a meaningless final regular season game. Houston is simply more talented than Buffalo and is laying a short number at home. The Bills defensive numbers may look great, but realize they beat only one playoff team and that with the Titans before they made the QB switch from Marcus Mariota to Ryan Tannehill. That was also Week 5! The Bills offense has not scored more than 17 points in any of its last four games. They were held under 20 points in more than half their games. That simply won't get it done this time of year. Five starts against playoff teams this year yielded only a 51.6% completion percentage and 5.5 yards per attempt for Buffalo QB Josh Allen. The Bills averaged just 14 points in those games. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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01-04-20 | Blues v. Golden Knights -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VEGAS Each of Vegas last three games were played at home. They've won all of them. St. Louis last two games were both on the road. They lost twice. While an eight-game win streak preceded that for the Blues, unfortunately tonight they are back on the road. Sin City is a place that has been unwelcome to visiting teams ever since the Golden Knights came into existence. This year has been no different as the Golden Knights have gone 13-7-3 at T-Mobile Arena. Making the Knights tough to beat is the fact that they've scored at least three times in each of their last 10 games. They've scored 14 goals during this three-game home win streak, finding the back of the net at least four times in every game. The Blues just gave up seven goals at Colorado on Thursday, a result that we were on the right side of as it was our 10* Game of the Week. We feel just as strong about fading the Blues Saturday afternoon as Vegas is 6-1 its last seven home games. The Knights record since Thanksgiving is 11-4-2 SU. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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01-04-20 | Tulane v. Southern Miss +7.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is an 8* on SOUTHERN MISS Southern Miss is an underdog here against Tulane, but given the way the Green Wave played down the stretch, this sure looks like too many points for them to lay here. Losers of five of the past six games, including the last three, Tulane didn’t beat many good teams. Their one victory over a bowl team was the season opener vs. FIU. Since then, they’ve gone 0-6 and covered the spread just twice. Obviously both covers came as underdogs. Southern Miss saw its regular season end with two straight losses. They turned the ball over eight times in those two losses, which cost them a chance to win the Conference USA West Division. We expect the Golden Eagles to be slightly more motivated as they were not picked for a bowl last season despite winning six games. They easily could win here, so why not take the points? These schools used to be regular rivals, but have met only twice since 2006. Southern Miss not only won both of those, they’ve beaten Tulane six times in a row. Play on SOUTHERN MISS AAA |
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01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada UNDER 60 | Top | 30-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Nevada got hit with multiple suspensions for the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl against Ohio, most of them on the defensive side of the ball. Four are defensive starters and three players will miss the entire game while LB Sewell must sit for the first half. These suspensions came about due to a fight with UNLV in the last regular season game. It's not just different players that coach Jay Norvell is being forced to turn to on that side of the ball. Essentially, it's an entirely new staff on the defensive side of the ball coaching this game. Virtually all were let go after losing to UNLV. But throughout this bowl season, we've seen replacements "step up" when needed. This total has gotten too high not to go Under. Some of that has to do with what Ohio did in its last two regular season games when they dropped a total of 118 points on Bowling Green and Akron. But those are two of the worst teams in the country. Nevada's offense only averages 21.3 points/game, which could be a bigger problem than the defense. They averaged just 18.0 points/game outside of Reno. The Under is 6-1 in the Wolf Pack's previous seven bowl appearances. Play UNDER Ohio-Nevada AAA |
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01-02-20 | California +11 v. Stanford | Top | 52-68 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on CAL A little over a month ago, California's football team snapped its 10-year losing streak to rival Stanford, winning "The Big Game" 24-20. Now let's see what Bears basketball can do. They're going to Palo Alto in the midst of a severe ATS drought. They've covered only once in the last 10 games. But they've faced a number of good teams during that stretch. Stanford is 11-2 and probably feeling pretty good about itself, but that makes them ripe for the picking in our eyes. Their last game, played Sunday, was a home loss to Kansas. No shame there, but losing by 16 was a real "downer" and could effect them moving forward. We think that the Cardinal pretty clearly overachieved in its non-conference portion of the schedule. They were picked to finish 10th in the Pac 12 this year. It's not often they have to lay double digits. Cal has actually won its last two games here at Maples Pavilion. Play on CALIFORNIA AAA |
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01-02-20 | Blues v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO Very big game for the Avalanche, which is why we're playing them. A series of poor defensive efforts have led to a three-game losing streak. In their last game, they gave up seven goals. They've now lost four in a row at home and surrendered 21 goals during that slide. In comes first place St. Louis, which looks like it could be trouble, as they've beaten the Avs six straight times. But don't be afraid to buck these trends tonight as we're banking on Colorado playing its most inspired game of the year. Both losses to the Blues this year were in St. Louis. Of the four losses to them last season, three came in either overtime or a shootout. Colorado has scored 16 more goals than St. Louis this year despite playing one less game. The Blues had an eight-game win streak snapped on New Year's Eve. As good as they've looked, we don't think they can match Colorado's scoring capabilities. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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01-02-20 | Hornets v. Cavs OVER 212 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER
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01-02-20 | Tennessee v. Indiana +3 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana is looking for its first bowl win since 1991. That's easily the longest drought among Power 5 teams. We had to look it up, but the Hoosiers are the ONLY P5 team not to have won a bowl this century. Only two other P5 teams have failed to win a bowl going back to 2008 (Kansas, Colorado). So if you don't think this game means a lot to IU, then you're kidding yourself. It's just the fifth bowl appearance since that last win in 1991. Tennessee is back in a bowl after a two year hiatus. Prior to the hiatus, they'd won three straight bowl games. Neither team had many good wins during the regular season. Generally speaking, they'd win the games they were "supposed to" and lost when they were an underdog. For us, it boils down to Indiana's high level of motivation and the fact they are now an underdog after opening as the favorite. The Hoosiers can score more than the Volunteers (32.6 vs. 24.3 points/game). Tennessee has failed to cover 10 of the last 13 times it has been a favorite. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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01-02-20 | Boston College +8 v. Cincinnati | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON COLLEGE Throughout this bowl season, we've seen bettors make the mistake of overreacting to players sitting out. Look at what happened last night with Georgia. Boston College is the next team dealing with a key absence as their star running back A.J. Dillon is getting ready for the NFL Draft. The Eagles also fired their coach at the end of the regular season and will play for an interim today. But don't be surprised when they show up ready to play in Birmingham. By upsetting Pittsburgh in the final game of the regular season, the BC players showed that playing in a bowl is important to them. We had the Eagles in that spot. We'll take the points with them again here as Cincinnati could very well be disinterested in this game after losing its Conference Championship, which cost them the chance to play in the Cotton Bowl. While they had a good season (10 wins), there have been only two times in the last six games where the Bearcats won by more than a touchdown. A dangerous number to lay with a potentially disinterested team and Boston College has covered nine in a row when getting between 3.5 and 10 points (5-0 ATS this year). Play on BOSTON COLLEGE AAA |
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01-01-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +10.5 | Top | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* on San Jose State San Jose State upset New Mexico last year here at home, winning 89-82 as a 10.5-point underdog. Seeing as New Mexico just got hit with a couple suspensions, we think the Spartans are capable of pulling another upset this year. Both suspended Lobos were starters - forward Carlton Bragg and point guard JJ Caldwell. Obviously, those are big losses for a team that is 12-2 and undefeated at home. Bragg was a team captain and Caldwell was leading the Mountain West Conference in assists. The Lobos have played two games without the pair and are 0-2 ATS. Defensively, they struggled against Houston Baptist and then it was just a five-point win over UC Davis. This is the first road game since the suspensions were handed down. Two of three road games New Mexico has played this year were decided by a combined four points. SJSU had lost eight in a row before playing Pepperdine on Saturday, but won that game outright as a 10-point home underdog, 83-68. Play on SAN JOSE STATE AAA |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia OVER 41 | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER This total is too low. Even though we are still believers in Georgia's defense, it was shredded by LSU in the SEC Championship Game and that memory is difficult to shake. Baylor put up 35 points per game this year and was 10-0 against everyone but Oklahoma. QB Charlie Brewer, who exited the Big 12 Championship Game with a concussion, has been cleared to play to in the Sugar Bowl. We obviously need not worry about whether or not the Bears will be motivated. This is their first Sugar Bowl since 1957 and what a transformation it has been in just two seasons under coach Matt Rhule, who is sticking around in Waco despite all the NFL speculation. Georgia may have some key players sitting this one out, but last year's Sugar Bowl loss to Texas still lingers and that will have them motivated this year as well. The Over is 4-1 in Baylor's past five bowl games. Play OVER Baylor-Georgia AAA |
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01-01-20 | Blazers -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 93-117 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND After making it all the way to the Western Conference Finals last season, Portland has greatly underachieved so far in the 2019-20 season. They are currently in ninth place and six games below .500 after ending 2019 on a four-game losing streak. They haven't covered the spread in any of the four games either. The most recent loss was at home to Phoenix, 122-116 as a four-point favorite. That game saw the Blazers blow a 19-point lead. So you know they're looking to come out and start the New Year strong. It's an ideal opponent to get on track as they face the Knicks. While NY has played better since the coaching change, winning its last two games and five of its last nine, they still are just 9-24 SU. The only team that scores less points per game is Orlando. The Knicks don't play much defense either as they are 27th in efficiency. One Blazer that will be very motivated to play well this evening is Carmelo Anthony, making his return to MSG. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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01-01-20 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The Winter Classic moves down to Dallas for the very first time as the Stars host the Preds at the Cotton Bowl. The unique environment of being outdoors always makes this game difficult to handicap. But with the Stars already such an "Under team," that's the way we're going to play this one. Dallas has given up the fewest goals in the Western Conference and second fewest overall in the league. They had a bit of a rough stretch prior to Christmas, but have since gotten back on track with back to backs over Dallas and Arizona. They allows just four goals total in the two wins. The Under is 25-14-1 in all Stars games this season, including 16-5 when they are the home team. Nashville has been quite the opposite and was just torched for 11 goals in losing both games of a home and home against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Last time they met Dallas though, it was a 4-1 final (lost). The Predators will struggle to score again here and we don't see the Stars scoring too many goals either. Play UNDER Nashville-Dallas AAA |
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01-01-20 | Michigan v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ALABAMA The fact that Alabama is laying only a touchdown here kinda "stinks" but we feel they shouldn't have much trouble with Michigan. This is a spot the Wolverines consistently come up short in every time. Under Jim Harbaugh, they have been terrible as underdogs going 0-6 the last three years while covering just twice. Three of those losses came this year including losses by 21 to Wisconsin and 29 to Ohio State. The Wolverines prospects look even bleaker when you consider that the Big 10 is just 3-9 SU and 2-10 ATS vs. the SEC in bowls since 2015. Even with backup QB Mac Jones starting in place of the injured Tua, Bama will move the ball and score plenty in the Citrus Bowl. Against Auburn, Jones threw for 335 yards and four touchdowns by completing 26 of his 39 pass attempts. The Tide's offensive line should push around an undersized Michigan defensive front. Both teams have to get over the disappointment of not being in the Playoff, but Michigan has never shown that it can beat a team of Alabama's caliber. It could get ugly in a hurry in Orlando. Play ALABAMA AAA |
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01-01-20 | Minnesota v. Auburn UNDER 54 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER Minnesota was one of the biggest surprise teams in the country, starting 9-0 before losing two of its final three regular season games. But Auburn may be the best team they will have faced all season. The Gophers certainly haven't gone up against a better defense. Yes, Auburn gave up lots of yards and points in the Iron Bowl. But Minnesota doesn't have the same kind of offensive talent Alabama does. Before facing Bama, the Tigers hadn't allowed more than 24 points in a game all year. Minnesota did not finish with more than 19 points in either of its two losses. A lot of the Gophers success on offense this year came about because of its ability to convert on third down, which we feel they'll struggle to do in this game. So as long as Auburn's offense doesn't explode, we're looking at an easy Under in the Outback Bowl. That shouldn't happen as the Tigers don't average a ton of points outside of Jordan-Hare. Play UNDER in Minnesota-AUBURN AAA |
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12-31-19 | Blues v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER At this time last year, the Blues were languishing near the bottom of the standings. We know how things turned out - with them hoisting the first Stanley Cup in franchise history. This year, they've started much better as their 58 points leads the Central Division and they're on an eight-game win streak entering this game at Arizona. The Coyotes are not enjoying a great finish to the calendar year as they've lost three in row. But they're still tied for second place in what is shaping up to be a wide open Pacific Division. We like this game to stay Under. In the Western Conference, these teams are #2 and #3 in fewest goals allowed, behind only Dallas. The Blues have revenge for a 3-2 loss they suffered at home back in November. That situation (revenge for a loss at home) has produced a 3-0 Under mark for them this season. The Blues are allowing an average of 1.8 goals over the last five games. Arizona had a stunning third period vs. the Stars in their last game, giving up all four goals in the third period. They allowed only 25 shots in the game. Play UNDER St. Louis-Arizona AAA |
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12-31-19 | Rider v. Wisconsin -13 | Top | 37-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WISCONSIN Maybe it's risky to be betting on the Badgers on New Year's Eve after they pulled a big upset at Tennessee over the weekend. They didn't just upset the Vols either. It was a total blowout with the Badgers winning 68-48 as four-point pups. Congrats to them. They've got a big game upcoming against Ohio State (Friday) as well. But on New Year's Eve, they'll host Rider in the final non-conference game of the season. The Broncs had a five-game win streak snapped at Temple 10 days ago and haven't played since. But they've overmatched here, no matter which way you look at it. Their last three road games have all ended up as double digit losses. That's what we're expecting here. The Badgers haven't lost in Madison and are scoring 80 points/game at the Kohl Center. Play on WISCONSIN AAA |
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12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +2 | Top | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Two of the top six teams in the Eastern Conference meet in Indiana to close out 2019. The Pacers host the Sixers in a battle of teams looking to rebound from back to back losses. Philadelphia's two losses both came on the road and were both one-point decisions. They lost 98-97 to Orlando and 117-116 to Miami. That drops their road record to 7-10 SU, a far cry from a 16-2 SU record in home games. Both Indiana losses were also on the road. They also lost by one down in Miami (113-112) but then got humiliated by New Orleans, 120-98, on Saturday. Good for the Pacers that they're at home tonight. If there's one commonality among these top Eastern Conference teams, it's that they're all really good at home, but so-so on the road. They're a collective 87-15 SU in home games with five of the losses belonging to Toronto. Indiana's record at home is 14-3 SU. We view these teams as being pretty even. Therefore, the Pacers are a great value getting points at home. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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12-31-19 | Florida State +4.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is an 8* on FLORIDA STATE Herm Edwards has proven to be a good hire for Arizona State. But his teams have tended to perform better when in the underdog role. The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS as favorites this year and lost half of those games straight up. Its five wins over Power 5 opponents have been by an average of just 5.4 points/game. So we clearly don't like them in this spot as they're laying points to what should be a motivated Florida State team in the Sun Bowl. The Seminoles can only hope Mike Norvell, who moves over from Memphis, can be the kind of coach Edwards has been for ASU. But for this game they'll be playing for an interim, Odell Haggins, who at least gets to stay on Norvell's staff. Both teams are going to be without their starting running backs here as Cam Akers and Eno Benjamin have elected to get ready for the NFL Draft instead of play this game and risk injury. There are going to be other key absences for the Sun Devils. WR/KR Brandon Aiyuk is also going pro. Their defensive coordinator also left to be the head coach at New Mexico. Grab the points in this one. Play on FLORIDA STATE AAA |
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12-31-19 | Kentucky +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on KENTUCKY Unless folks are feeling extra sentimental over the swan song of long time Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster, we don't understand this line move at all. Obviously, Foster's defense is going to want to send him out a winner. But you can look for the Hokies to struggle to contain UK quarterback Lynn Bowden, whose college career is also coming to an end in this game (going pro). Since Bowden became the starter, this Wildcats offense has been much better. They've averaged an amazing 352 rush yards/game. While the vast majority of the talk about defense will center around Va Tech and Foster leaving, the irony is that Kentucky has the better stop unit. They allow 18.4 points/game (Virginia Tech allowing 23.7), which is 12th best in the country. SEC team averaged only 330 yards/game vs. Kentucky. The Wildcats were something of a pointspread juggernaut this year going 9-3 against the spread. Virginia Tech is 1-6 straight up and against the spread its last seven games with a spread of three points or less. Play on KENTUCKY AAA |
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12-30-19 | Pistons +10 v. Jazz | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DETROIT Without question, the last couple weeks have gone very differently for these two. Detroit is 1-6 SU and ATS its last seven games, the only win coming against a bad Washington team. Two nights ago in San Antonio they suffered another embarrassing setback, falling by 27 (136-109). Utah has won seven of eight (4-2-2 ATS) and is off an impressive win over the Clippers where they held Kawhi Leonard and Paul George to a combined 12 of 44 shooting. But coming off a win where they were seven-point underdogs, we don't like the idea of the Jazz laying this big number even if they are facing a struggling opponent. They're 0-5 ATS this year after a double digit win. (Final score vs. Clippers was 120-107). They've not been especially great as a large favorite either. They're just 2-6 ATS when laying eight points or more. Detroit has only been outscored by 2.1 points/game this year. They should be motivated here. Play on DETROIT AAA |
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12-30-19 | Tulane v. Memphis -15 | Top | 73-84 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MEMPHIS Despite getting only three games from James Wiseman, Memphis has looked great this year in rising to #9 in the polls. The Tigers have won nine in a row since their only loss (Oregon) and are coming off two straight blowouts of overmatched teams. Saturday saw them win 97-55 against New Orleans despite committing 27 turnovers. Defense though bailed them out. Tigers opponents are making just 38.8% of two-point attempts, which is the second lowest percentage in the country. From three, opponents are making just 26.5%, which is inside the top 10. Memphis does a great job at turning opponents over as well while playing at a fast tempo. Here they take on a Tulane team that is coming off two straight losses that were by a combined five points. Those losses occurred in D.C. as part of a Holiday Tournament. Not even an eight-day break will be enough to save the Green Wave though. We think this should be an easy 20+ point win for Memphis, who has covered six of the last seven times as a home favorite of at least 12.5 points. Play on MEMPHIS AAA |
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12-30-19 | Green Bay v. Northern Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 73-59 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NORTHERN KENTUCKY The Horizon League has fallen substantially since the days when Butler proudly carried its banner. As conference play begins, you should consider Wright State and Northern Kentucky to be the two favorites. We like one of those two night as Northern Kentucky hosts Green Bay. The Norse are 9-4 and coming off a 10-pt win over Milwaukee in the conference opener. That was Saturday at home. Holding their opponents to 2 of 17 shooting from three-point range was big as was the 31 points from Tyler Sharpe. With the exception of its loss at UNC Greensboro (a good team) right before Christmas, the Northern Kentucky offense has been very consistent. Look for a big offensive night this evening as Green Bay is giving up over 86 points/game on the road. This will be the third straight roadie for the Phoenix, who have lost five of seven overall. After the New Year, they'll be happy to play five straight games at home. But for now, this is the end of a very brutal stretch that saw them open on the road against the HL's two best teams (lost by 6 at Wright St Saturday) and out of nine total games played in the last month, this will be the 7th away from home. Play on NORTHERN KENTUCKY AAA |
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12-30-19 | Illinois +6.5 v. California | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -103 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Illinois Illinois is in a bowl for the first time under Lovie Smith, snapping what was a five-year drought. They last won a bowl game back in 2011. So what this team may lack in talent, it makes up for in motivation. During the regular season, the Illini went 6-1 ATS when they were underdogs and they won three of those games outright, all at +9.5 or higher. On the other side, there were only three times in the regular season where California was listed higher than -2 when facing a FBS team. They went 0-3 ATS in them and lost outright twice. So we're not sure why the Bears are laying so many here. Injuries were a big story for both teams this year and continue to be heading into the bowl game. Cal will be without three starters, the most important being safety Ashtyn Davis, who also doubled as a kick returned. For Illinois, both WR Josh Imatorbhebhe and LB Jake Hansen are gametime decisions. However, the Illini got great news with QB Peters being cleared to play. Disregard the way each team's regular season ended. This is a far more even matchup than the oddsmakers are letting on. Play on ILLINOIS AAA |
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12-29-19 | 49ers -3 v. Seahawks | Top | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN FRANCISCO The final Sunday night game of the NFL's regular season will decide who wins the NFC West and who will have home field advantage for the playoffs on the NFC side. If you ask us, San Francisco deserves both accolades. They have not only a much better point differential than Seattle; they have been the best team in the NFC all year. The 12-3 49ers have outscored opponents by 164 points. The 11-4 Seahawks have outscored their opponent by only 12 points. The key to Seattle's season has been a 10-1 record in games decided by eight points or fewer. The most critical of those wins came Week 10 in San Francisco, 27-24 in overtime. That has them in position to win the division because of head to head tiebreaker. But they have to win this game. We don't see that happening. The Seahawks have lost two of their last three games. Both losses were bad and against NFC West teams. They lost by two touchdowns last week to Arizona at home. Injuries have hit both of these teams hard late in the season, but Seattle's RB group is so decimated that they were forced to sign Marshawn Lynch! Niners TE George Kittle did not play the first time these teams met. Seattle's defense actually gives up 29.0 points/game at home. Play on SAN FRANCISCO AAA |
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12-29-19 | Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets -153 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -153 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COLUMBUS Columbus had a five-game win streak stopped on Friday, but they still earned a point by taking Washington to overtime. There's no shame in losing to the Capitals on the road, especially when it takes extra time. Tonight the Blue Jackets face a far less complete team as Chicago makes its yearly visit to Ohio. The Blackhawks injury situation is as dire as any team in the league right now. Defensemen Brent Seabrook and Calvin de Haan were both recently placed on IR. While the team was able to win its first game without them, 5-2 over the Islanders, they actually were lucky to as they gave up 40 shots. Three forwards, one of them Brandon Saad, are also out with injuries. Columbus has earned a point in nine straight games, going 6-0-3, and they are allowing less than 2.0 goals/game during the streak. Their penalty kill is at 85.7% as well. The last three home games have seen the Blue Jackets win by a combined score of 11-3. Play on COLUMBUS AAA |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens OVER 36.5 | Top | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER You probably don't need us to tell you that the Over is almost always a more popular bet than the Under. This goes for any sport, but especially football. Every week, in virtually every NFL game, there are more bettors taking the Over as opposed to the Under. But this Pittsburgh-Baltimore game is an extreme example of the opposite taking place. We're not sure if we've ever seen a game where the public was so excited to play the Under. Baltimore, who will be the #1 seed in the AFC and has nothing to play for, is resting its starters. Robert Griffin III will start at quarterback in place of Lamar Jackson. Pittsburgh's last seven games have all gone Under, none of them seeing more than 40 points scored. Five have seen less than 30. But if you're not expecting effort in this game, well you're wrong. The Steelers have a chance to make the playoffs and John Harbaugh's approach to preseason games tells us he'll be coaching to win here as well. Play OVER Pittsburgh-Baltimore AAA |
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12-28-19 | Northern Arizona +7.5 v. Montana | Top | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NORTHERN ARIZONA Northern Arizona has been a bit of a hidden gem this College Basketball season. The Lumberjacks are 4-0 ATS their last four games, winning three of them outright and only losing by two in the other. They were underdogs in all four games, just as they are tonight for the Big Sky Conference opener against Montana. NAU has actually been favored in only one game all season and ironically they lost it, 85-66 to UC Davis. The last loss was to Pepperdine, but that was by just two points. The only other loss was to Arizona in the very first game of the season. This will be NAU's fourth straight time playing on the road, but having had a week in between games, that's not a huge deal. Montana isn't exactly in peak form right now as they've lost two straight and three of four. All losses were on the road, but we still don't think the Grizzlies should be laying so many points against a dangerous dog in the first conference game. Northern Arizona has covered its last two trips to Missoula. Play on NORTHERN ARIZONA AAA |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State UNDER 63.5 | Top | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER We've got the two longest winning streaks in all of the FBS on the line here as Clemson has won 28 straight games and Ohio State has won 19 in a row. But we also have two teams with top five scoring defenses. Clemson gives up just 10.6 points/game while again OSU isn't too far behind, allowing just 12.5. There is a pretty clear cut case to be made that neither defense has faced an offense as good as the one they'll be up against in this year's Fiesta Bowl. But this total still seems high to us. The Tigers haven't allowed more than 20 points in any game all season. Remember that they shut Ohio State out, 34-0, in the Playoff three years ago. That semifinal was played on this very field. The Buckeyes aren't going down that easy again and could very well win thanks to their defense which is considerably better than anything Clemson saw in the weak ACC. The Under is 4-0 in the Tigers' four previous semifinal appearances. The Under is also 4-1 in Ohio State's last five bowl games. Play UNDER Clemson-Ohio State AAA |
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12-28-19 | Avalanche v. Stars -121 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS Colorado is in a tough spot here as they just played a hard-fought game last night and lost 6-4 at home to Minnesota. Now they head out to Dallas to face a Stars team that has been off for almost a full week. The last time the Stars played a game was Sunday when they were beaten 5-1 Calgary, also a home game. They've actually lost two in a row and four of six, so you know they've been "chomping at the bit" to get back on the ice. Dallas remains one of the league's stingier team as they give up only 2.1 goals/game at home. So don't read too much into the last two games. Colorado has also lost four of its last six games and has given up a lot of goals along the way. This is a tremendous situation for the home team, that's too good to pass up. One final note - the Stars are 2-0 vs. the Avalanche this year and they've outscored them 6-2. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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12-28-19 | Grizzlies +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-119 | Push | 0 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MEMPHIS We played against Christmas night and they lost outright to what most feel is a pretty bad New Orleans team. That was at home and they lost by 12 as a nine-point favorite. It's a pretty similar matchup for the Nuggets today vs. Memphis and we don't like them to cover this one either. The Grizzlies come in having just upset Oklahoma City. That was the day after Christmas and they won 110-97 as a six-point underdog. While Denver had won seven straight before losing to the Pelicans, that win streak required some come from behind efforts against less than stellar teams. Five of those wins came by a margin less less than this pointspread here. Despite being 13-4 SU at home, the Nuggets are just 6-9-2 ATS. Memphis actually doesn't have much dropoff on the road compared to their numbers at home. They've won six of the last 10 games overall straight up. Other than a dismal showing at home vs. San Antonio last week, they've been in every one of those games. Play on MEMPHIS AAA |
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12-28-19 | Oklahoma +14 v. LSU | Top | 28-63 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OKLAHOMA We've watched as this line has gone up ... and up. After thinking some, it's just too high. Oklahoma isn't a team you'll find too often in the underdog role, let alone getting this many points. Ironically, it has happened each of the last two years in the Playoff. Last year they lost to Alabama 45-33 but covered a spread that was pretty similar to this one. The year before they did not cover but were a small underdog to Georgia and that game went to double overtime. The Sooners only loss this year was by seven points (at Kansas State). QB Jalen Hurts has previous Playoff experience with Alabama. LSU's Heisman winner Joe Burrow is making his first Playoff appearance. Not going to sit here and tell you that LSU has any glaring weaknesses (because they don't). But this is too many points to lay to an Oklahoma team that averages 43.2 points/game, a comparable number to LSU's more ballyhooed offense. Look for this game to be decided by single digits. An injury at RB definitely won't help the favored Tigers. Oklahoma's defense is much improved from a season ago. Play on OKLAHOMA AAA |
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12-28-19 | Louisville v. Kentucky -1.5 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* on KENTUCKY Kentucky comes in having lost its last two games. Those losses were to Utah and Ohio State, both out in Las Vegas. Both were also decided by six points or less. Before that, UK had lost only once all year. It was here at Rupp Arena (to Evansville!), but again it was a close game. So we're dealing with a team whose three losses have been by a total of 12 points. Now they return home to face rival Louisville. This will be the first true road game for the Cardinals, whose only loss was to Texas Tech, 70-57 at Madison Square Garden. So UK's three losses have come by a smaller margin than Louisville's one. While Louisville did beat Michigan, their list of opponents has not been as strong as Kentucky's. UK beat Michigan State in the season opener. This rivalry has belonged to the boys in blue over the last decade as the Wildcats are 9-1 ATS the last 10 meetings. They won by 13 last year and by 29 here in Lexington the year before that. Home court matters for a desperate Coach John Calipari. Play on KENTUCKY AAA |
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12-27-19 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 224 | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Christmas Day seemed to be full of surprising results, none more so than Golden State's upset of Houston. The Warriors were double digit dogs in earning their third straight win and cover. Winning streaks of that nature were commonplace for this team that last several years, but that upset of the Rockets was just the eighth win for this edition of Golden State basketball. Injuries have wiped out what was once the premier team in the league. But they're obviously still fighting. Not sure if you can say the same for the Suns though and that's too bad. Phoenix spent the last several years occupying the space Golden State is currently inhabiting. A 7-4 start to this season seemed to show there was some promise on the horizon, but since then the Suns record is a lousy 4-15 and they've lost a season-high seven straight. Coming off the big win on Christmas, we don't want to touch the Warriors here. Nor do we want any part of the Suns. But with the teams allowing 115.5 and 113.0 points per game, we do like the Over. Phoenix is 8-5 Over as a favorite. Golden State allows more than 120 points per game against division opponents. Play OVER Phoenix-Golden State AAA |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force UNDER 69 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The respective offenses in this game couldn't be more different. Washington State loves to pass. Air Force loves to run. Neither defense has seen an offense like the one they will see Friday night in the Cheez-It Bowl and this has created the expectation for a shootout. But we believe this total to be too high. Air Force has a pretty good defense and it's not like it doesn't face a lot of pass-happy offenses in the Mountain West. The Falcons give up 19.8 points/game and held Hawaii to 26 in Honolulu. No one scored more than 30 against them in the regular season. Now will Washington State's defense be sound enough for this game to stay Under? Most are going to say "no," but it will help if Air Force RB Timothy Jackson misses the game. Washington State could also be without one of its leading receivers. It would be crazy to think that this will be a low scoring game, but with a number this high, there is room for an Under. Washington State has not scored more than 28 points in any of its last four bowl games. Play UNDER Washington State-Air Force AAA |
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12-27-19 | Bruins -156 v. Sabres | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON Boston still has a substantial lead in the Atlantic Division, but it's not like they've been playing all that well lately. They've lost 8 of their last 10 games, four of those defeats coming after regulation. The Bruins have nine overtime or shootout losses this year (0-5 in shootouts). No other team has more than six. Many times, such a lack of fortune can sink a team's season. But not this team. Back on Monday, they showed what they are capable of by delivering a 7-3 win over Washington. Look for more of that in the immediate future. Tonight they're in Buffalo to take on a Sabres team that's lost four of its last five. Boston is 2-0 playing with three or more days rest this season, Buffalo is 0-3. While the Sabres can be a high scoring team, the Bruins have proven they can score in all settings. Any fears over the Bruins recent losing skid were put to rest Monday with the win over the Capitals. If Buffalo elects to go with Carter Hutton in goal, that would be an unwise decision as he's winless his last 10 starts with a 4.19 GAA. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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12-27-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M -5.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TEXAS A&M A lot of bettors might feel that a spread approaching a touchdown seems like a lot for what looks a matchup of two "evenly matched teams" in the Texas Bowl. But all five of Texas A&M's losses this year were to Top 10 teams (LSU, Georgia, Clemson, Alabama & Auburn) and three of the five teams were ranked #1 at the time the Aggies played them! Safe to say, you won't find a team that took on a more challenging schedule. Some of those lsses were "stinkers," the LSU game especially, but Oklahoma State is not in the same class as those aforementioned opponents. The Cowboys faced only four ranked foes this year and lost to three of them. Much is made that they have the nation's leading rusher in Chuba Hubbard (1936 yards), but Texas A&M's Isaiah Spiller softens the blow of teammate Cordarrian Richardson missing this game. Speaking of absences, OK State won't have leading receiver Tylan Wallace. QB Spencer Sanders will play, but he missed the last two regular season games after undergoing thumb surgery. Mike Gundy has been excellent in bowl games, winning seven of the last nine and three in a row. But so has Jimbo Fisher, who is 6-2 SU with a 52-13 win last year. Play on TEXAS A&M. AAA |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Eastern Michigan +13 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EASTERN MICHIGAN It seems as if the narrative surrounding this bowl game is that it's "Pitt's to lose." They are obviously the more talented team and are led by a defense that has 49 sacks and 98 tackles for loss. But will the Panthers be motivated? They did not have a good finish to the regular season, losing to Virginia Tech and Boston College by a combined score of 54-19 in the final two games. That dropped them down the ACC pecking order and gave them this less than desirable bowl locale. But Eastern Michigan isn't complaining as Detroit is just 36 miles from their campus in Ypsilanti. So it's a home game of sorts for them. It's also another chance to notch their first bowl win since 1987 (California Raisin). That's the program's one and only bowl win. They've had two chances in the last three years, but came up just short both times. They lost last year's Camellia Bowl by two points to Georgia Southern and 2016's Bahamas Bowl by four points to Old Dominion. But they did cover both of those games. This is the just fourth bowl ever for the Eagles and the first time they've ever been bowling in consecutive years. So motivation will not be an issue for them. We're not even sure Pitt has an offense capable of covering a double digit spread. They only average 20.1 points/game. The Eastern Michigan offense is led by QB Mike Glass, who completed over 67% of his pass attempts and seven different receivers had more than 20 catches. Play on EASTERN MICHIGAN AAA |