Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-26-19 | Angels v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Angels-KC The Angels came through in the clutch for us last night, beating the Yankees 11-5. They actually trailed 4-0 headed into the bottom of the fifth, which is when the game totally changed. That kind of effort at the plate has been pretty rare for LA this season, though there have been two previous times they scored at least 10 runs in a game. However, each time they followed with an Under the next time out. Such should be the case again tonight as they head to Kansas City. The Under is 8-2-1 in all Angels road games so far. Starter Tyler Skaggs has seen the Under go 4-0 his last four starts, even though he gave up three home runs in his last start, which was two weeks ago. He's battled a sprained left ankle. Kansas City's Danny Duffy is starting for the first time all season. His one rehab start (in Double A) went well enough. Skaggs has a 0.43 ERA in three previous starts vs. KC. The Royals also scored 10 runs in their last game, so they're due for an off-night at the plate as well. Play UNDER LA Angels-Kansas City AAA |
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04-26-19 | Hurricanes v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Carolina-NY Islanders This should be a "grind it out" series where goals are tough to come by. We expect Game 1 to be especially low scoring. The Islanders swept the Penguins in the first round and allowed just six goals in the entire series. Carolina had some ugly defensive games in the Washington series, but did a great job at limiting shots. The Capitals averaged just 27.7 shots per game, which is a low number and should serve Hurricanes goalie Petr Mrazek well moving forward. As for Islanders goalie Robin Lehner, he posted a .956 save percentage vs. the Penguins. He has been a big reason why the Islanders allowed the fewest number of goals in the league this season. The Under is 45-18-2 in the Islanders last 65 games. Game 1 has Under written all over it. Play UNDER Carolina-NY Islanders AAA |
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04-25-19 | Stars v. Blues -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ST. LOUIS For the first time under the NHL's current playoff format, all four division winners from the regular season were eliminated in the first round. Dallas is responsible for one of those upsets, beating Central Division champ Nashville in six games. But while Nashville won the Central this year, they weren't the hottest team in the division down the stretch. That would be St. Louis, who is the Stars' second round opponent. The Blues were not only in last place back on January 2nd, they had the fewest number of points in the entire league (34) and had already made a coaching change. But my what a turnaround it has been under Craig Berube as the team has gone 34-12-4 SU since Jan 2nd. The Blues got rid of the Jets in six games and now have home ice advantage for a second round series, something that would have sounded completely ridiculous just three months ago. St. Louis' record as a home favorite is 14-4 the last 18 games and they are 8-2 the L10 home games overall. Though Dallas has won six of the last seven times they've met St. Louis, the home team remains 7-3 the L10 meetings. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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04-25-19 | Yankees v. Angels +1.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* RUN LINE play on the LA ANGELS +1.5 For the second straight series, the Angels find themselves in an unenviable position. As the home team, they've lost the first three games of a four game series. Now in this exact same scenario, we played them Sunday against Seattle and they won. It was an easy win too as they coasted to an 8-6 victory (led 8-1 going into the 9th) behind Jaime Barria. But tonight they face the Yankees. As daunting a prospect as that may sound, two of the Angels three losses in this series have come by one run. Last night was brutal as they blew a 5-run lead and lost 6-5. Now 1-9 the L10 games, five of those losses for the Angels have come by exactly one run. So with the +1.5 now an option (wasn't Sunday vs. Seattle), we'll take it. Look for Trevor Cahill to pitch better than he has recently while we expect the opposite from Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka. Three of the Yankees last four wins have been by one run. At this price, the run line is a tremendous value Thursday. Play on LA ANGELS +1.5 AAA |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 103-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on DENVER The Nuggets were very fortunate not to be down 3-0 in this series as not only did they drop two of the first three games, but their one win (Game 2) saw them erase a 19-point second half deficit, mostly in the 4th quarter where they outscored the Spurs 39-23. But since falling behind by double digits again, early in Game 4, Denver really seems to have taken control of this series. They've won the last two games by a combined 32 points and now have a shot at closing out the Spurs tonight in Game 6. It is a road game, but the Nuggets have already won once here in San Antonio. Game 5 on Tuesday was definitely Denver's best showing in the series. They led by as many as 30 points. Nikola Jokic is almost averaging a triple double in his first ever playoff series and the Spurs appear to have no answer for him. Denver has pretty clearly been the better of these two teams most of this year. The Spurs are only 1-6 ATS their last 7 home games. Play on DENVER AAA |
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04-24-19 | Jazz +8 v. Rockets | Top | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH Utah stayed alive by winning Game 4, handily. They beat the Rockets 107-91 and that margin of victory should have them confident enough to head into Game #5 with a sense that further extending their season is a possibility. We're not saying the Jazz will win this one, but taking the points is the right way to go. Houston did not shoot the ball well either game in Salt Lake City. They shot 38.4% as a team in Game #3 with James Harden missing his first 15 attempts from the field. Then they shot 35.4% in Game #4, collectively missing their final 13 attempts from three-point range. Yes, the series now shifts back to Houston. But the Jazz are going to compete here a lot more than they did in either Games #1 and #2. This is too many points for Houston to lay to a desperate Utah team. Play on UTAH AAA |
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04-24-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -145 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on WASHINGTON While Carolina was the call for Game 6, the home team has won every game in this series and we don't see that changing tonight in Game 7. Home teams won both Game 7's last night in the Stanley Cup playoffs with Boston and San Jose each advancing. This series has seen the home team really dominate, including a 6-0 win by the Capitals in Game 5. While each team has tallied 17 goals in the series, scoring has been really lopsided in favor of the home team. Washington has scored a total of 14 goals in the three home games in the series as opposed to just three in Carolina. The Hurricanes have scored just five in the three games here in D.C. and 12 at home. The Hurricanes have lost six in a row as a money line underdog while the Capitals are 6-0 the last six times they have been a money line favorite in the playoffs. The Caps are also 16-5 the last 21x they've been favored on the money line, period. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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04-24-19 | Tigers v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Detroit-Boston This three-game report really sees us "bucking" the early season trends. We're going Over with the top Under team (Cincinnati) and Under on one of the top Over teams (Baltimore). Right below the Reds in the Under "pecking order" is a Detroit team whose games are averaging less than 7.0 runs (14-8 Under). They've scored the third fewest runs while giving up the fifth fewest. But, in line with the rest of today's card, we're going the other way today. Yesterday, they swept Boston in a day/night doubleheader here at Fenway Park (won 7-4 and 4-2). The Red Sox couldn't possibly be more disappointing and a big reason for that is they have given up the second most runs in all of baseball. Only Baltimore has given up more. Tonight's starter Eduardo Rodriguez has been a big part of the problem as he has a 7.20 ERA and 1.65 WHIP through four starts. The Red Sox bullpen has also been very bad this year. Tyson Ross will start for the Tigers and he has struggled in both road starts, walking more batters (8) than he has struck out (7). His ERA and WHIP in those two starts are: 4.91 and 1.55 respectively. Play OVER Detroit-Boston AAA |
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04-24-19 | White Sox v. Orioles UNDER 10 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
analysis coming |
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04-24-19 | Braves v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play OVER Atlanta-Cincinnati The Reds are by far and away the top Under team in baseball right now. They came into last night's game vs. Atlanta sporting a 17-4 Under mark in the first 21 games. But wouldn't you know - last night's game went Over with the Reds bats even showing up for once. They won 7-6, which snapped a 7-game Under streak. Three of the Reds previous four Overs came in a row, but since then the Under had been 10-1. Tonight, we'll look for another Over. Last night was the Reds most runs scored in a game since crushing Miami 14-0 back on the 9th. They may be last in batting average, but as we saw last night, Atlanta can be accommodating. The Braves are giving up 6.3 runs/game on the road, the highest average in all of baseball. Mike Soroka will start for them here and he has just one start under his belt. On the flip side, Atlanta is scoring 6.2 runs/game itself on the road. Is it any wonder the Over is 7-2 in their nine road games? Braves hitters are quite familiar with the pitcher they'll face today, Tanner Roark, who spent the last several seasons with Washington. Play OVER Atlanta-Cincinnati AAA |
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04-23-19 | Thunder +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 115-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OKC It's probably fair to say that the majority of first round series in the NBA Playoffs have gone "according to script." The way the Rockets handled the Jazz in the first three games of that series was maybe a little surprising. But probably not as surprising to most as the fact that it's Portland up three games to one on Oklahoma City. This was a series where the lower seeded team was actually favored to advance. The Thunder swept the regular season series, winning all four times against the Blazers. Portland also has a key player injured (Jusuf Nurkic). Game 4 is what probably jumped out to most as the Blazers became the first road team to win a game in the series. They held Russell Westbrook without a basket in the second half, which is really stunning. We know that the Thunder have lost the public's trust, but not ours as we like them plus the points facing elimination. Remember they actually closed as the favorite for Game #2 here in Portland, so there's some good value. Play on OKC AAA |
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Vegas-San Jose Of the five Round 1 series that are now in the books, the lower seeded team is a perfect 5-0. That's a good sign for Vegas (the team, not necessarily the sportsbooks) here for Game 7 in San Jose. But a 2-1 double overtime loss in Game 6, at home, was not a good sign. That kind of loss can definitely be difficult to get over. While we don't rule the Golden Knights out, we definitely wouldn't play them here, or touch the moneyline either way. Though the teams combined for just three goals in 90+ minutes in Game #6, expect more scoring here for Game #7. Game #6 was the first in the series where the winning team did NOT score at least five goals. Vegas had 59 shots on goal though. While Sharks goalie Martin Jones has definitely gotten hot the last two games (stopped 88 of 91 shots), let's not be quick to forget the fact that Vegas scored 16 goals in Games #2-4. On the road, the Golden Knights are prone to giving up more goals too. They allowed the third fewest # of goals per game at home in the regular season. On the road, they ranked #17. Play OVER Vegas-San Jose AAA |
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04-23-19 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 8 | Top | 5-11 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Texas-Oakland I took Oakland last night and that was a pretty easy winner as they blew out the Rangers 6-1. The teams had a similar number of hits (A's 7 to Rangers 6), but the obvious difference is that the A's were able to take advantage when they had runners in scoring position. The final result was also a departure from what we'd seen from each club recently. Texas came into this series having won 6 of 7. But all those games were played in Arlington. The road has seen them go just 2-5 and they've been held to two runs or less in four of those seven games. Oakland had lost five of six going into yesterday and had scored two runs or less in four of its last five. We expect a low scoring game tonight as two good looking starting pitchers take the hill. Lance Lynn is one Ranger not bothered by the road. His two starts away from Arlington have yielded a 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Oakland's Frankie Montas has a 1.46 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in two home starts. Montas has yet to allow more than 3 ER in a start while Lynn has given up just five in his last 18 2/3 innings pitched. Play UNDER Texas-Oakland AAA |
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04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 230 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER Brooklyn-Philadelphia Brooklyn has been a little tougher than expected for Philadelphia, yet they come into tonight facing elimination on the road. The Nets took Game 1 by holding the Sixers to only 102 points and they'll need a similar effort on the defensive end if they are to stay alive tonight. The good news is the Nets were better defensively in Game 4, allowing 112 points, but it still wasn't enough to get the win at home. But it was a marked improvement from Games #2 and #3 when they gave up 145 and 131 points. As for the offense, Brooklyn is only shooting 43.0% overall in the series. Philly plays a little better defense at home (110.5 PPG allowed) and this total would appear to be a little high. The Nets are 8-3 Under the last 11 times they have been off an ATS loss. Play UNDER Brooklyn-Philadelphia AAA |
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04-23-19 | Phillies v. Mets -133 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the METS This series started with the Mets winning 5-1 last night on ESPN. For the Mets, it was a much needed result after dropping six of eight, including two of three over the weekend in St. Louis. The Phillies still share lead the NL East at 12-10 overall, though they have a positive run differential while the Mets are still "in the black." But we won't pay much mind to that tonight due to the Phillies having a banged up lineup that simply isn't hitting much right now. They are just 7 for 39 with runners in scoring position the last five games and were held to three hits total in Monday's loss. Philly has scored three runs or less in five of its last six games and just one each of the last two games. Tonight, they'll face Zach Wheeler, who pitched well against them last week only to get a hard luck loss. It was the second straight quality start for Wheeler and his longest of the year. Philly turns to Eflin, who has yet to pitch against the Mets this year. But in seven career starts against them, his ERA is 5.25. We like the Mets here. Play on NY METS AAA |
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04-22-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 91-107 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on HOUSTON We also look for Houston to close out Utah Monday night. It's pretty clear that the Jazz are overmatched in this series and Game #3 was basically their "death knell." Losing at home on a night where James Harden shot the ball horribly is not something that can be overcome nor is a 3-0 series deficit. Going back to the end of the regular season, the Rockets have won and covered 9 of the last 10 games. The only loss was by one point to Oklahoma City, which in retrospect was the worst possible thing to happen to the Jazz. That loss caused Houston to drop a spot in the standings, setting up this matchup. Utah would have been a lot better off playing Portland. The Jazz did beat the Rockets in a couple of early season meetings, but have since dropped five straight to them. Like the Pistons, they have shot very poorly in the playoffs (40.1 FG%) and are averaging less than 100 points/game (96.3). We don't even have to lay a big number here like we do with the Bucks. You can bank on Harden having a better shooting night than he did in Game #3. The Rockets look like one of the best teams in the league right now. Play on HOUSTON. AAA |
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04-22-19 | Rangers v. A's -125 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OAKLAND Both teams are off one-run games Sunday, the only difference being that Texas won theirs. That lone difference is pretty indicative of the way the respective teams come into this series. The Rangers have won six out of their last seven while the A's have dropped five of their last six. Oakland was just swept here at home by Toronto, scoring just 1 run in each of the first two games, then leaving the potential game-winning run on base for the final out yesterday. At least the A's managed to score four times on Sunday. The offense should wake up tonight against Mike Minor, even though Minor has pitched pretty well since a shaky first start. Minor is off a complete game shutout, his third quality start in a role, but we're still not sold. Oakland turns to Chris Bassitt, who is making his first start of the year. Something to watch for here is how much the Rangers tend to drop off offensively on the road. They've lost 15 of the last 19 games here in Oakland as well. Play on OAKLAND AAA |
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04-22-19 | Bucks -12 v. Pistons | Top | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MILWAUKEE We expect both series to close out tonight, starting in Detroit where the Pistons appear as ill-prepared for the playoffs as any team in recent memory. They have been completely dominated by the Bucks, losing all three games by 16 or more points and there's no reason to believe Game #4 will be any different. Milwaukee is completely superior in every way here and not even the return of Blake Griffin can change that as he's not completely healthy. In the series, the Pistons have been held to an average of 96 points per game on 38.0% shooting, showing that Milwaukee (the East's highest scoring team) can also play some defense. The Bucks are #1 in defensive efficiency in the league in addition to being #1 overall in scoring. They have outscored the Pistons by 72 points through three games. Giannis Antetokounmpo only scored 14 points Saturday, his fewest in any game since January and the Bucks still won by 16. Detroit hasn't won a playoff game since '08 and that certainly won't change here. Play on MILWAUKEE. AAA |
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04-22-19 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 218.5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Milwaukee-Detroit We already talked about the Bucks defense, which has held the Pistons to an average of 96 points per game on 38.0% shooting, and ranks #1 in the league in efficiency. Detroit didn't exactly come into the playoffs as any kind of offensive juggernaut either. They had the lowest offensive efficiency rating of any playoff team, so this really was a mismatch from the start. Furthermore, the Pistons are bottom five in the league in true shooting and effective field goal %. Milwaukee is averaging 120 points/game in the series and as a result the last two games both went Over. But even though we like them to cover, we'll call for a slight decrease in scoring for Game #4. The Under is 6-0 the last six times following a game where Detroit scored 100 points. The Under is also on a 15-6-1 run when they are off a double digit loss at home. Play UNDER Milwaukee-Detroit AAA |
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04-22-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -109 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAROLINA Our call on Carolina in Game #5 was obviously quite bad. They did outshoot Washington, but the fact that they lost 6-0 makes that rather irrelevant. Now it's do or die time for the Hurricanes as they face elimination. Fortunate for them they'll be back in Raleigh for Game #6. The home team has won every game in this series and we believe that pattern will hold true tonight and thus we're headed for a Game #7 back in Washington. As discussed going into the last game, Carolina has done an effective job at limiting the number of shots by the Capitals in this series. Washington is only averaging 25.6 shots per game. This was a strength of Carolina in the regular season. So was getting the puck on net as they were tops in the league in shots per game themselves. The Caps are just 2-5 SU their last seven games as an underdog. Carolina is 13-3 its last 16 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 4-1 the last five times following a loss by three or more goals. They held Washington to one goal in the two previous games here. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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04-21-19 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Toronto-Oakland Toronto is seeking a three-game sweep in Oakland on Sunday. They've taken the first two games by scores of 5-1 and 10-1. Once again, we expect the home team to do little scoring. Over their last four games, the A's have scored a grand total of five runs, never scoring more than two in any game. That kind of offensive output is a far cry from how they started the year. At one point, they had gone Over in eight straight games. As for the Blue Jays, they've been one of the weaker offensive teams in all of baseball. Saturday marked a season high in both runs (10) and hits (15), so expect a lot less at the plate today. Oakland's Brett Anderson is 3-0 this year with a 2.62 ERA. Toronto's Aaron Sanchez is 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA. Sunday's two starters should "rule the day" here in a game that shouldn't see much offense. The Blue Jays have only allowed 84 runs in 22 games. It's a little surprising that the Under hasn't come in more for them, but it will today. Play UNDER Toronto-Oakland AAA |
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04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on LA CLIPPERS The Clippers have trailed big in all three games so they should feel lucky to only be down 2-1 in the series. Game 2 saw them pull off the greatest comeback in NBA Playoff history, at least in terms of margin overcome (31 points). But they were never really in Game #3. Golden State led by 17 after one quarter and was up 33 entering the fourth. The Warriors have enjoyed a lead of at least 19 points in all three games. But Game #4 should be different. The Clippers shot poorly in Game #3, especially from deep where they went 7 of 32. They shot 37.2% overall, which won't cut it against the Warriors. That's surprising too as LA has been a strong home team all season. Golden State was obviously motivated going into Game #3 after blowing the 31-point lead in Game #2. Will that same motivation be present today? The Warriors are 4-10 ATS off a their previous 14 ATS victories. Play on LA CLIPPERS AAA |
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04-21-19 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 109 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Washington-Miami Miami just fired its hitting coach. Considering they had scored the fewest number of runs in all of baseball, it was a predictable move. In their first game since the firing, they scored nine runs in a shocking display against Max Scherzer and in the process guaranteed they'd win their first series all year. We seriously doubt it was all on the hitting coach though and with the hitters remaining the same, expect the Marlins struggles at the plate to continue moving forward. They'll have to face arch nemesis Stephen Strasburg today. Strasburg has had Miami's number through the years. In 31 career games, he's 17-7 against them with a 3.02 ERA. In 173 innings pitched, he has 182 strikeouts. Miami will go with Trevor Richards, who has a killer changeup, but zero wins. But with the Nationals having been held to four runs or less in seven of the last eight games, Richards may very well be in line for that elusive victory today. Regardless, this will be a low-scoring affair. Play UNDER Washington-Miami AAA |
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04-21-19 | White Sox v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER White Sox-Tigers These teams were rained out on Saturday, thus they finish what will be a three-game set here and this is a rubber match. Detroit took the first game 9-7. They gave up seven runs again the second time, but this time couldn't score enough to keep pace with the White Sox, who limited the Tigers to just three on Friday. The Tigers probably like their chances going against Reynaldo Lopez today as he's really struggled this year with an 8.85 ERA and 2.12 WHIP. But Lopez was much better in his last start where he held the Royals to just one run in six innings. Detroit goes with Daniel Norris, who will be making his first start of 2019. Norris, who has pitched out of the bullpen so far, was slated to go yesterday before Mother Nature came calling. He has pitched well in the past vs. the White Sox (2.53 ERA in five appearances). This is Lopez's scheduled turn, so he's working on normal rest (Ervin Santana skipped). Lopez has had success against Detroit (3.22 ERA in seven starts). The Tigers are only averaging 3.0 runs/game. This one stays Under. Play UNDER Chicago-Detroit AAA |
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04-21-19 | Celtics -2 v. Pacers | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOSTON We look for Boston to finish off the sweep Sunday. It's pretty clear to us at this point that Indiana just can't get consistent scoring nor can they beat Boston. It's not just this series you see. There were also two meetings late in the regular season where the Celtics dominated. Four of the five losses have seen the Pacers held under 100 points. Now they have held the halftime lead in two of the three games in this series and only trailed by two in the other. But they are averaging only 35 points in the second half and that will obviously not cut the mustard. Indiana has only won 4 of its last 12 games overall, so in a way you could see this early playoff flameout coming. In the regular season, it was the defense that was costing the Pacers down the stretch. They allowed 11 of their last 13 opponents to score at least 102 points. Now its the offense that is averaging only 87 points per game in the playoffs/ The Celtics underachieved in the regular season, but are clearly hitting their stride now. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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04-20-19 | Mariners v. Angels -117 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LA ANGELS We had the Under in last night's game and that cashed with little room to spare. It was a 5-3 win for the Mariners, who came into the series having lost six in a row (swept by both Cleveland and Houston). Now its the Angels that have dropped five straight and they are also 0-4 this year vs. Seattle. Though an impressive 15-8 with 148 runs scored, we're not sold on this hot start lasting for the Mariners. Nor are we sold on the Angels being as bad as they've looked. The home run ball has been huge thus far for Seattle and last night (hit four of them) accounted for all five runs. That's concerning with Saturday's starter for the Angels (Trevor Cahill) having been so susceptible to the long ball so far. But look for Cahill to turn it around here. He previously held the Mariners to one run on three hits back on April 3rd. He's off a rough showing in Texas, but had gone at least six innings each of the first three starts. The Mariners go with Kikuchi, making his 6th start tonight. He has a 5.29 ERA in the last three and has been a slow starter. He's also still winless. That will stay the case after tonight. Play on LA ANGELS AAA |
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04-20-19 | Hurricanes +122 v. Capitals | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 9* play on CAROLINA Carolina has done a great job getting back into this series. So far, the home team has won all four games, but that trend is about to change. The Hurricanes have held the Capitals to an average of just 26.4 shots attempts per game, which is the lowest amount for any team in the playoffs. After cruising to a 5-0 victory in Game #3, the Hurricanes were able to prevail in a tight Game #4, winning 2-1. They did an excellent job defensively the last two games as Washington's lone goal came via the power play. Carolina has dominated the puck, nothing new as they led the league in shots per game during the regular season. We're not convinced the Hurricanes aren't the better team here and they're a great value at 'plus money' for Game #5. Over the last 48 games, they have gone 32-16 while Washington is only 26-22. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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04-20-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 208 | Top | 117-103 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Nuggets-Spurs Given the pace these teams typically play at, we've been a bit surprised to see the last two games go Over. What we were not surprised about in Game 3 was San Antonio winning and getting the cover. We laid the points with the Spurs, noting that they easily could have taken both games in Denver (blew late lead in Game 2). They got the job done in Game 3 despite the Nuggets shooting better than 50% overall and from three-point range. It was the Nuggets' 14th straight loss here in San Antonio. It's tough to imagine them shooting any better than they did in Game 3. It's also tough to imagine the Spurs Derrick White coming anywhere close to the career high 36 points he turned in two nights ago. Again, pace of play is key as both teams rank in the bottom five in adjusted tempo. Denver is in some real trouble in this series, but we like the Under most of all for Game 4 as some of the numbers we saw in Game 3 won't be matched here. The Under is 20-8 in Denver's past 28 games. Play UNDER Denver-San Antonio AAA |
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04-20-19 | Stars v. Predators -140 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NASHVILLE Being that they're the home team for Game 5, Nashville needs this one more as they certainly want to avoid the possibility of facing elimination when they go to Dallas for Game 6. Now such a scenario obviously doesn't guarantee victory and the Stars would love to head back home with a chance to close out the series. But we lean towards the Predators in this one as they typically do an admirable job of bouncing back from a blowout loss. They're on a 5-1 streak when coming off a loss where they allowed five or more goals. They've also won four straight times after being beaten by three or more goals. Champions of the Central Division, the Predators are the better team here. They made the mistake of giving up three power play goals in the first period of Game 4, but that won't happen again now that goaltender Pekka Rinne is rested (was pulled early). Dallas only averages 2.3 goals per game on the road. Play on NASHVILLE AAA |
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04-19-19 | Avalanche v. Flames -167 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -167 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on CALGARY Calgary must win to stay alive tonight (down 3-1 in the series) and fortunately they return to home ice where they won Game 1 and are 27-11-5 this season. No team had a higher goals per game average at home this year. The Flames averaged 4.05 goals/game at home in the regular season and basically hit that average in a 4-0 shutout back in Game 1. They have twice blown a third period lead in the last three games. Game 2 was here at home and they allowed the game tying goal late before losing in overtime. Game 4 in Colorado may have been even worse as they had a 2-0 lead with less than 12 minutes remaining, but then gave up two goals and lost again in OT. The Avalanche remain 2-11 their last 13 games as a road underdog of +110 and +150 and we just can't see them beating Calgary four straight times. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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04-19-19 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Seattle-LA Angels Something had to give last night as the Mariners, losers of six in a row, took on an Angels team that had dropped three straight. Turns out that it was the former's losing skid that came to an end and it did so in a way that has been all too familiar - Seattle scoring a ton of runs. They won 11-10, increasing their league leading total of runs scored to 143 (in 22 games played). The Mariners actually blew an 8-run advantage before scoring the go-ahead run in the top of the 9th. The Angels scored all but one of their runs in one inning (7th) and the absence of a big inning tonight is probable for a team that's gone 13-5-1 Under in all games this season. Even worse is they are facing a lefty (Marco Gonzales) and are 1-4 vs. lefties (Under is 5-0), scoring only 1.8 runs/game and batting .173. Gonzales has allowed three runs or fewer in three straight starts. Seattle had cooled off considerably at the plate before yesterday's explosion. During the six-game losing streak, all of which was at home, they had scored a total of 15 runs. Angels starter Pena has a 1.05 ERA in two home starts. Play UNDER Seattle-LA Angels AAA |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 203.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Boston-Indiana Talk about low scoring. It doesn't get much more low scoring than what we've seen in the first two games of this Celtics-Pacers series. Boston is up 2-0 despite not scoring 100 points in either game. They've held Indiana to 74 and 91 points, really taking charge in the second half of both games. After shooting very poorly themselves in the first half of Game 1, the Celtics held the Pacers to eight points in the third quarter and went on to cruise to victory. Game 2 saw them hold Indiana without a field goal over the last five minutes. But now the Pacers are back home and we should see a pretty substantial improvement in their shooting. They are just 38.8% from the field in the series, including 31% from three-point range. For the year, they are shooting 47.8% overall and 38.1% from three at home. Boston is also a better offensive team that what they've shown so far. Only three players scored more than six points in Game 2 and you figure that has to change as well. The Pacers have had three sub-20 point quarters in the series. There will be nothing of the sort Friday as the Over is 4-1 the last five meetings in Indiana. Play OVER Boston-Indiana AAA |
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04-19-19 | Royals v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Royals-Yankees The surprising thing about last night's game between the Royals and Yankees was who won. The Royals punched a ticket at +182 on the money line, winning 6-1 here at Yankee Stadium. New York continues to struggle as their record is 8-10, although having a positive run differential says they've played better than you might think. What was not surprising about last night's game is that it stayed Under the total. The Yankees last five games have all stayed Under. For the Royals, that streak is four straight. Expect tonight's game to be another low scoring affair. The Yankees are averaging only 3.8 runs per game at home. We mentioned that in another Under play we had on them earlier this week (against Boston). The Royals are scoring even less on the road (3.4 runs/game) while batting .218. All three Jake Junis starts have gone Over this year, but it's critical to note two of them did not see more than nine total runs scored. CC Sabathia pitched better than anyone could have imagined in his only start. He held the White Sox scoreless for five frames while allowing just one hit. Play UNDER Royals-Yankees AAA |
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04-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 237 | Top | 132-105 | Push | 0 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Golden State-LA Clippers With both teams shooting better than 53% in Game 2 and combining for 266 total points, it's no wonder that the total is so high for Game 3. Of course the "real" story from Monday night is that the Clippers erased a 31-point deficit in the second half and won straight up as 14-point underdogs. In terms of margin, it was the greatest comeback in playoff history. Golden State will obviously be fired up for Game 3 and we see them turning things up on the defensive end. The Under is 4-1 the last five times the Warriors allowed 125 or more points the previous game. It is also a perfect 6-0 if they themselves topped 125 the last game. This is the highest total for any of the three games so far and three of the four regular season meetings also went Under. Neither team will shoot the ball as well as they did in Game 2 and Golden State is now without DeMarcus Cousins. Play UNDER Golden State-LA Clippers AAA |
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04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SAN ANTONIO San Antonio very easily - and probably should - be up 2-0 in this series. After a superb defensive effort allowed them to take Game 1, the Spurs were up by 19 in Game 2 and appeared well on their way to taking both games in Denver. But then Jamal Murray went off for the Nuggets, scoring 21 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter (had started the game 0 for 8). The Nuggets outscored the Spurs 39-23 in the 4th and now we head back to San Antonio tied at one game apiece. While having the league's best home record, Denver is below .500 on the road. San Antonio's home vs. road split is even more pronounced. They should actually be thrilled to have earned a split in Denver, given a 16-25 SU road record. At home they are 32-9 and shoot 41.9% from three-point range. Defensively, the Spurs have made major strides the last couple months. Before the 4th quarter happened Tuesday, it looked like they might hold Denver under 100 pts in two straight games. Going back to 2012, the Nuggets have lost 13 straight here in San Antonio. Play on SAN ANTONIO AAA |
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04-18-19 | Blue Jays v. Twins -172 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -172 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on MINNESOTA Minnesota finally broke through with a win in this series, beating Toronto yesterday by a count of 4-1. Monday had seen them lose 5-3 (thanks to the bullpen blowing a 3-1 lead in the 8th inning) and then Tuesday was a one-run loss. So you could say that the Twins were due yesterday and sure enough they came through. The teams finish out the four-game set today with a pitching matchup of Clay Buchholz vs. Michael Pineda. We think it's fair to still be concerned about a Blue Jays lineup that is batting only .215 this season. The Twins are 3-0 in starts made by Pineda so far with him delivering a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Buchholz has pitched just once, delivering Toronto a huge upset (at +190) against Tampa Bay. The Jays nearly wasted his effort as they were scoreless until the ninth when they struck for three runs. This being a day game would seem to favor the home team. Minnesota is already 6-2 in day games this season while Toronto is just 4-5. Twins earn a split of the series. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-17-19 | Flames -110 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CALGARY The Flames are still the better team here despite being down in the series two games to one. We fully expect them to tie up the series tonight before heading back to Calgary for Game 5. After easily taking Game 1 (won 4-0), the Flames lost Game 2 in overtime. That was a tough result considering they were less than three minutes away from taking a 2-0 series lead. But they gave up a late game-tying goal and then the game-winner quickly in OT. While quite potent offensively at home, the Flames are just as stingy defensively when they head out on the road. No team gave up a fewer number of goals as the road team in the regular season. So look for the Flames to "tighten the screws" for Game 4 after being torched for six goals in Game 3. They are still 9-3 the last 12 matchups against Colorado. Play on CALGARY AAA |
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04-17-19 | Pistons +15 v. Bucks | Top | 99-120 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DETROIT The Pistons appeared ill-prepared for their 1st postseason game since 2016. Playing without Blake Griffin, they were no match for top seed Milwaukee, who thumped them 121 to 86 as 15-point favorites. Detroit last won a playoff game in 2008. If they continue to play the way they did Sunday, that streak will continue into next year. It's not a shocker to see the number at where it is for Game 2. Few will give the Pistons a shot Wednesday, let alone the rest of the series. They've played the Bucks five times this year and five times they have lost, four of those coming by 10 or more points. The three games in Milwaukee have seen them lose by 35, 23 and 23 points. But as the Clippers showed Monday, anything is possible in the playoffs. After a blowout loss is often the best time to bet on a team (zig zag theory!) and while we don't see Detroit winning Game 2, we do expect them to cover. While Griffin seems unlikely to play, Andre Drummond won't be ejected again like he was in Game 1. Generally speaking, this is too many points to lay in the playoffs and the Pistons will play better this time. Play on DETROIT AAA |
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04-17-19 | Giants v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER San Francisco-Washington The Giants are one of the weakest teams offensively in either league. They rank dead last in OPS and are bottom three in both runs scored and team batting average. So selecting the Under when they take the field seems only natural. We really like the idea of doing so tonight as they actually scored seven times last night, which matched a season high for them. In more than half of their games (11 of 19), the Giants have been held to three runs or less. Washington knows that feeling as well. They've been held to exactly three runs in four straight games. The Giants shocking hit 3 HR's last night off Stephen Strasburg, matching the total # of HR's hit from the previous six games combined. Look for the power surge to be short-lived, however, as they go up against Jeremy Hellickson, who threw six shutout innings at Philadelphia exactly one week ago. Hellickson also has a history of success when facing San Francisco. The Under is 16-3 in his last 19 starts. History has not been kind to Giants starter Jeff Samardzija when facing the Nationals, but he has pitched well in 2019 (1.62 ERA in three starts) and is being backed by a bullpen that entered yesterday's game with a 1.77 ERA. Play UNDER San Francisco-Washington AAA |
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04-17-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 203.5 | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on UNDER Indiana-Boston All eight Game 1's in the NBA Playoffs went Under and none were lower scoring than Indiana-Boston, which was an 84-74 Celtics win. To say the Pacers performance in the third quarter was "ugly" would be an understatement. They scored all of eight points! That one quarter was the difference in the game. It turned a seven-point halftime lead into an 11-point deficit going into the 4th quarter. Boston did not outscore Indiana in any other quarter. But enough about that. Game 2 promises to be low scoring too. Maybe not as low scoring as Game 1, but low enough for the Under to hit again. Indiana's calling card all season has been defense. They give up the fewest number of points per game (104.6 in regular season) in the league. We've also seen how they're going to struggle (mightily) to score in this series (remember, no Victor Oladpio). The Under is 9-2 in Indiana's last nine road games and 21-10 their last 31 visits to Boston. Play UNDER Indiana-Boston AAA |
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04-17-19 | Indians v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Cleveland-Seattle My, oh my, has Seattle hit the skids. It's now five losses in a row. Can't say that we're surprised considering they couldn't possibly continue the torrid pace they set at the plate to start the year. They have actually homered in every game this season, but they're getting little else, at least recently. The last four games have seen the Mariners score a grand total of 9 runs. Meanwhile, Cleveland hasn't had much offense all season. Not that they've needed much in this series, but 10 runs scored in two games is actually a lot for the Indians. They are averaging just 3.6 runs/game with a team batting average of .207. They are bottom four not only in team batting average, but also in OPS. Carlos Carrasco has not pitched well on the road so far, turning in two pretty dreadful showings. But we expect Carrasco to resemble the pitcher of the last few seasons today. Pitching for Seattle will be Erik Swanson, who is starting for the first time at the big league level. While he's worked in relief previously, Swanson is still an unknown to the Cleveland hitters, so that's an advantage for the pitcher. Take our word for it - this is going to be a low scoring game. Play UNDER Cleveland-Seattle AAA |
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04-17-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Red Sox-Yankees Are the Red Sox actually BAD? By the numbers, the answer would be a resounding "yes." Last night's loss dropped them to 6-12 on the season. It's not just that they are losing though. They are routinely getting crushed. The Yankees beat them 8-0 Tuesday, which drops the Red Sox season run differential to -40. Only Miami, who isn't even trying this year, has been outscored by more runs. The culprit for Boston has been awful pitching as they've given up the most runs. But a once mighty lineup isn't scoring anywhere close to the same rate as last season. Take the last two games. They've scored just ONE run. The team is hitting just .229 this season. Yes, both of tonight's starting pitchers have not been good. Boston's Nathan Eovaldi has a 3-0 team start record, but both his ERA (8.40) and WHIP (1.867) aren't good. The same holds true for J.A. Happ of the Yankees as he has an 8.76 ERA and 1.946 WHIP. But despite these gaudy numbers, we expect tonight's game to go Under. Boston just isn't doing much scoring while the Yankees are only averaging 4.0 runs/game at home. The Under is 6-1 the last 7 games here. This would have been an appropriate total last season, not this season. Play UNDER Red Sox-Yankees AAA |
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04-16-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights -149 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on VEGAS Though they did take Game 1 at home, San Jose has kind of fallen apart over the last month. They have achieved victory just 4 times in the last 15 games and have lost Games 2 and 3 to Vegas. In less than two years time, the Golden Knights have achieved one of the league's premier home ice advantages, having gone 61-25-7 SU all-time at T-Mobile Arena, including an 8-3 playoff record. Considering Vegas gives up the third fewest goals in the league at home, it's going to be tough for the Sharks to score here. That they scored three times and lost in Game 3 seems like a potential lost opportunity. Vegas has found the back of the net 11 times in just the last two games and the three top point earners in the playoffs all wear Golden Knights jerseys. That includes Mark Stone who already has six goals in the series! Knights fans are used to seeing plenty of fireworks in home games as the team averages 35.6 shots per game at home, second most in the league. Play on VEGAS AAA |
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04-16-19 | Reds v. Dodgers -169 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on LOS ANGELES A curious thing happened last year when the Dodgers played the Reds. They lost six of the seven games. Given that the Dodgers won 92 games and the Reds just 67, those head to head results made little sense. So with LA having dropped six of seven overall going into last night, you can bet they were extra motivated and sure enough they came away with a 4-3 victory. Now it wasn't easy as they won in the bottom of the ninth via a Joc Pederson home run. But look for that to have a carry over type effect into Tuesday when the Dodgers sent Kenta Maeda to the mound. Maeda has already been the beneficiary of the NL's top scoring offense with the Dodgers scoring 28 runs in his first two starts. He was not at his best last week in St. Louis, but a return home should do him some good as will facing this anemic Reds lineup that is hitting only .204 on the road. Cincy has topped five runs in a game only one time and has been been held to three or less eight times. Tyler Mahle has done his best in two previous starts, but the team has scored just two runs total for him. Dodgers win here. Play on LOS ANGELES AAA |
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04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 208 | Top | 105-114 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER San Antonio-Denver Game 1 of this series, which surprisingly went to San Antonio, was an Under as the final score was 101-96. All four regular season meetings between the teams also were Unders. None of that is all too surprising considering neither team plays at a fast pace. You might think of the Nuggets as a "fast paced" team, but they're not. Only three teams in the regular season averaged a fewer number of possessions per game. San Antonio doesn't go much faster as they were tied for 23rd in number of possessions per game. The Under is 7-1 in Denver's last eight home games and 22-7 their last 29 games overall. The Under is 8-2 in San Antonio's last 10 road games and 10-0 their last 10 conference games. When their jumpers aren't falling, the Spurs can struggle to score. While that's not a problem entirely unique to them, they are pretty dependent on three-point shots going in and despite a high shooting percentage, they don't take many. The Nuggets play much better defense at home (103.6 PPG allowed) than on the road, but Game 1 showed that it won't be easy for team that lacks a primary scorer and playoff experience to score. Denver shot just 42% overall in Game 1 and 21.4% from distance. Play UNDER San Antonio-Denver AAA |
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04-16-19 | Magic v. Raptors -9.5 | Top | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TORONTO Toronto's atrocious history in Game 1's continued with a shocking 104-101 loss to Orlando on Saturday. With that result, the Raptors are now 2-13 SU all-time in Game 1's, including 1-10 in Round 1. Kyle Lowry pulled another playoff "disappearing act," in being held SCORELESS for the game on 0 for 7 shooting (all but one attempt was a three-pointer). But that's all water under the bridge now and history suggests the Raptors bounce back Tuesday in Game 2. Outside of series against LeBron James' Cleveland teams, Toronto has won four straight Game 2s. All four were played at home. Lowry has his own personal history of following terrible playoff performances with a good one. The Raptors actually outshot the Magic overall in Game 1, but were worse from behind the arc and at the free throw line. You can't deny that Orlando has been "better than advertised" in the second half of the season, however, they got their road win. The zig zag theory isn't perfect, but I'll side with Toronto here. Remember they have Kawhi Leonard this year. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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04-16-19 | Islanders v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER NY Islanders-Pittsburgh The Penguins are down 0-3 in this series and have barely led in any of the three games. They've clearly been outplayed by the upstart Islanders and it might be time to start thinking about summer tee times in Pittsburgh. The Penguins simply can't get anything going offensively, having been held to two goals in the last two losses. The Islanders are doing a great job of forechecking and blocking shots, which is what made them one of the league's biggest surprises this year. Obviously, it's also helpful to have a goaltender playing at the level that Robin Lehner is right now. New York's netminder has stopped all but five of the 103 shots he's seen in the series. Lehner and Thomas Griess were instrumental in the Islanders giving up the fewest goals in the league in the regular season. Even if Pittsburgh is finally able to check into the win column, it'll be tough. Expect a low scoring Game 4. The Under is 44-18-2 in the Islanders past 64 games. It's 16-4-1 the Penguins' last 21 games. Play UNDER New York-Pittsburgh AAA |
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04-15-19 | Nets v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 123-145 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHILADELPHIA Forget about the talk about cell phones, Philadelphia was flat out embarrassed on its home court in Game 1, losing to the Nets 111-102. Aside from early in the 1st quarter, the Sixers never led and were down by as many 17. They should bounce back for Game 2. They certainly aren't likely to miss 22 of 25 three-pointers again like they did Saturday. Joel Embiid's knee remains a question mark, but it's hard not to like the Sixers in this spot considering a 31-11 SU home record and they are 31-15 ATS L46 here against teams that have losing road records. Brooklyn is still only 20-22 straight up on the road this year and is probably "content" having taken Game 1. The Nets got 59 points from their bench in Game 1. Similar to Philly's woeful three-point shooting, that is unlikely to be repeated tonight. The 76ers are still the better team and should win comfortably at home. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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04-15-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers -132 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MILWAUKEE St. Louis faces a tall order having to go from Mexico to Miller Park in Milwaukee in a 24-hour span. Awaiting them will be a Brewers club that is already 3-1 against the Cards this year. That series was also played here in Milwaukee. Now we went against the Brewers (to great success) Sunday as they went down 7-1 out in Los Angeles. But that should not cloud the fact that the Brewers won the first two games of that series. The Dodgers were desperate yesterday (had lost six in a row), which is why we went so big on them. Both of tonight's starters will be making their second start of the year against the respective opponents and each hopes the second time around goes better than the first. For Milwaukee, Peralta allowed four runs in three innings to St. Louis in a 9-5 loss on 3.29. The following day, Hudson gave up three home runs in 4 1/3 innings as the Cardinals lost 4-2. Milwaukee is a REALLY good home team. That's confirmed by a 43-15 WL record when priced between -125 and -175 on the money line the last three seasons. Play MILWAUKEE AAA |
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04-15-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 11 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Baltimore-Boston In celebration of the Boston Marathon, we expect plenty of runs to be scored in this early start Monday. This is the finale of a four-game set that started Friday. Boston has won 2 of 3, including 4-0 on Sunday. But in terms of runs allowed this season, these teams are the two worst. They're both 6-10, something that Red Sox could not possibly have expected. It was a 9-5 loss Saturday. But Boston is a huge favorite here as they'll go up against Dan Straily, who struggled mightily in his first start of the year. He gave up five runs in 3 1/3 IP and allowed two home runs. Yesterday's game may have gone Under, but Baltimore is still 11-5 Over in all games while Boston is 10-5-1. The Red Sox go with Hector Velazquez, who may not be expected to go long considering he went just three innings in his only other start. Going into yesterday, the Red Sox were giving up 6.5 runs per game. They were averaging 5.7 themselves. Play OVER Baltimore-Boston AAA |
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04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -6 | Top | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOUSTON Houston ended up finishing fourth in the Western Conference, but this was one of the hottest teams in the league down the stretch. They'd won and covered six in a row before losing by one to Oklahoma City in the final regular season game. That one loss is what dropped them from third to fourth and while it means playing a gritty Utah team, the Rockets simply have too much talent to falter here. No team was better in the second half of the season. They went 20-5 posting the best net efficiency rating (+10.7) as they were second overall in both offensive and defensive efficiency. James Harden leads all players in scoring with a 36.1 points per game average this season. Remember the Rockets eliminated the Jazz from last year's playoffs, winning in just five games. The four wins were all of the double digit variety and came by an average of 14.5 points per game. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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04-14-19 | Lightning -135 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TAMPA BAY Columbus is up 2-0 in this best of seven series with Tampa Bay and there are no words to describe just how shocking it would be were the Blue Jackets to advance. The Lightning put together one of the all-time great regular seasons, whether you're talking about offense or simply winning. They won 62 games and had 21 more points than the next best team. There were four separate win streaks of at least seven games. They turned in the highest power play percentage in league history (28.1%) and averaged 3.93 goals per game, the most by any team in any season since 1995-96. But since taking a 3-1 lead in Game 1, it has all gone wrong with Columbus outscoring them 9-1. The series now moves to Ohio, but the Lightning can still avoid infamy and we aren't about to count them out. They outscored the Blue Jackets 17-3 in the three regular season meetings and at no point in the regular season did they ever lose three in a row. This is actually just the third time they've dropped two straight. Even without Nikita Kucherov, the Lightning get it done here. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-14-19 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -135 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ARIZONA Arizona hopes to avoid what would be a 4-game sweep, at home no less, here vs. San Diego. They have Zack Greinke on the mound at what looks to be an incredibly cheap price. Note all three losses in this series have been by one run. Part of the reason Greinke is so cheap Sunday is he hasn't been that effective so far this year. A 7.16 ERA is not what you'd expect to see from him after three starts, but that's where he's at. However, Greinke is still feeling the effects of a very poor first start. He's been better in the last two, one of which was against the Padres. He had a 10-0 strikeout to walk ratio over six innings, holding SD to just three runs. San Diego has been one of Grienke's favorite opponents in his career as he's 12-2 against them lifetime with a 2.29 ERA in 23 starts. Greinke even homered TWICE in that last start vs. San Diego. One again, he'll be opposed by Eric Lauer, who has struggled some in his last two starts, giving up 9 runs in 11 innings and three home runs. We just don't see the Padres being able to finish off the sweep here. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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04-14-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -137 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* Play on the DODGERS The Dodgers are reeling right now, having lost six straight. They were swept out in St. Louis to start the week and now are on the verge of suffering the same fate at the hands of Milwaukee, this time at home. But fear not fans of Dodger Blue, we believe you're team is going to check back into the win column today, led by Ross Stripling, who has pitched better than his 0-1 record shows. Speaking of better than their record, the Dodgers are +16 in runs scored vs. allowed (a NL best), despite being only 8-8. On the other hand Milwaukee has managed to go 10-5 despite giving up the same number of runs that they have scored. Only the Mariners, who are off to a record-setting start, have scored more runs this year than the Dodgers. And remember LA doesn't have a DH in its lineup. Look for a lineup averaging 6.8 runs per game at Chavez Ravine to get to Brewers starter Jhoulys Chacin, who they know well from his time in Colorado and Arizona. Even though he allowed only three runs in 6 1/3 innings his last start, Chacin still took the loss as he issued more walks (3) and gave up more home runs (2) than he had strikeouts (1). Play LA DODGERS AAA |
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04-14-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER OKC-Portland All four NBA playoff games stayed Under on Saturday. But if the first game on Sunday (Indiana-Boston) doesn't stop the trend, then this one definitely well. Third seeded Portland has lost just two games since St. Patrick's Day, going 11-2 their last 13, and both losses were on the road. Oklahoma City finished as the 6-seed thanks to a five-game win streak to end the regular season, which included a huge win over Houston that shook up the standings in the Western Conference. Both teams can score as they average a near identical number of points per game. OKC is at 114.5 while Portland is 114.6. The Blazers scoring average jumps to 118.2 PPG at home where the Over has gone 16-5-1 the last 22 games. OKC's scoring average doesn't even decline on the road. So an Over seems to be in the cards for Game 1 as this is a much lower total than the last time the teams met. The last three meetings have all delivered at least 231 total points scored. OKC averaged over 120 PPG itself in sweeping the season series (4-0). Play OVER OKC-Portland AAA |
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04-13-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 231.5 | Top | 104-121 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER LA Clippers-Golden State Golden State wasn't the same dominant team this year as they were in regular seasons past, but they still won 57 games, which speaks volumes. For a fourth consecutive year, they wound up leading the league in offensive efficiency. While they didn't have the highest scoring average (Milwaukee did), the first time that's happened since 2013-14, they did end up with their highest scoring average of the Steve Kerr era at 117.7 points per game. Something else notable was a decline at the defensive end. They gave up 111.2 points per game. (They allowed 107.5 last year). Every season under Kerr, the Warriors have been a top 10 team in defensive efficiency. But this year was their lowest ranking at #10. Of course, they're still better defensively than the Clippers, who were 21st in efficiency. LA gave up 114.3 points per game. Only five teams gave up a worse average and none of them made the playoffs. The Over was 7-2 in the Clippers last nine regular season games. It's also 9-2 the last 11 times they've faced Golden State. Play OVER Los Angeles-Golden State AAA |
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04-13-19 | Tigers v. Twins -176 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on MINNESOTA We like the Twins in this spot quite a bit coming off a postponement on Friday. This will be just the second series so far at Target Field and when priced at -125 or higher, the home team is usually a safe bet here. Minny's record the last three seasons in that range is 45-25. They are 13-4 when -175 or higher. Overall, this has been a good home team with a 91-72 record here since the start of the 2017 season. The Twins also have Michael Pineda going. In two starts, he's allowed just two runs and five hits. That's a 2.00 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. Facing a Tigers team that's averaging just 1.7 runs per game on the road so far should be "easy pickings" for Pineda. Detroit is actually 8-5, but we wouldn't advise taking them too seriously at this point as they've faced a lot of "light-hitting" teams and sweeping Kansas City really isn't impressive. We look for the Twins to score plenty against Tyson Ross, who gave up two homers and four walks in his only prior start on the road. Play MINNESOTA AAA |
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04-13-19 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Detroit-Minnesota So, we also like the Over in this game. Even though Twins starter Pineda doesn't figure to have much difficulty mowing down the Tigers lineup, expect the road team to still score a couple runs. But Minny will do the heavy lifting here as they impressively scored 20 runs in their last two games (at a NL park). Detroit's Tyson Ross was dominant in his last start, but that was because he got to face the Royals, who make any pitcher look good. More telling was Ross giving up multiple home runs and four walks to the Yankees in his first start. He lasted just five innings there. The Twins have scored at least five runs in six of the last eight games. The Over is 6-2 in those games. We think they can easily get to 5 here, if not more, and this is a low total. (We probably should have mentioned in the writeup for the side that the Twins are also 14-2 in their last 16 division games). Play OVER Detroit-Minnesota AAA |
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04-13-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Baltimore-Boston Expect plenty of fireworks (i.e. scoring) in this game. Baltimore figures to be a welcome sight for a Boston team that has struggled out of the gate. The Red Sox are only 5-9, which is the same record as the Orioles, something most never thought they'd see - even this early in the season. As expected, Boston took care of its business last night, winning 6-4. They are now 17-3 the L2 seasons against the Orioles. This is also the first time all year Boston has won back to back games. As bad as the Orioles look to be on paper, Rick Porcello is not someone we'd want to invest our money in right now. The Red Sox starter for Saturday has a 13.49 ERA and 3.134 WHIP after two starts, both of which have gone Over. Baltimore is going with Andrew Cashner today and he hasn't been much better with a 5.28 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. Yesterday (where they still allowed 6 runs, mind you) snapped a seven-game Over run for the O's. These teams have given up the most and second most runs in all of baseball entering Saturday's games. Play OVER Baltimore-Boston AAA |
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04-12-19 | A's v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Oakland-Texas After losing the first game of the series in Baltimore 12-4, the A's steamrolled the Orioles over the next three games, scoring 31 runs in the process. The Over is 5-0 the last five times they've taken the field with them scoring 43 runs by their lonesome. Arlington is generally a place where scoring is not a problem, thus we expect another Over for Oakland tonight. The Rangers are coming off a 2-4 road trip that saw them score 11 runs in the first game (win) but only 13 total in the next five. A return home should do wonders for the Texas offense though as they put up an average of 5.7 runs in their six home games to start the year. Unfortunately, they're also sending out Drew Smyly, whose two starts have not gone well. He's yet to last more than 3 1/3 innings and that's a problem with a bullpen that has a high ERA and WHIP. Oakland's Michael Fiers is off a disastrous showing in Houston where he gave up six runs and couldn't even get out of the second inning. That raised his ERA and WHIP to 5.94 and 1.56 for the year. Play OVER Oakland-Texas AAA |
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04-12-19 | Phillies v. Marlins OVER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Philly-Miami The Phillies got shellacked in their last two games, giving up 25 runs in pair of losses to the Nationals. But it'll likely be them doing the shellacking here as they head to Miami for a three-game series against the struggling Marlins. In the first week of the season, Philly had no trouble scoring as they put eight or more runs on the board five times in the first six games. But since then, they've scored no more than six in a game and been held to two runs or less in three of their last five. Now that's nothing compared to what happened to Miami in its last series as the Marlins got swept in Cincinnati. They scored ONE run in the three games! We look for both offenses to turn things around tonight, however. The Over is 4-1 the last five times the teams have played against each other. The Marlins are 10-4-1 Over the L15 home games when coming off a road trip of 7 or more days. Starterd Sandy Alcantaras has looked good at times, but had five walks and zero strikeouts in his last start. Philly goes with veteran Jake Arrieta, who is 33 years old and seen his ERA go up each of the last three seasons. He has more walks than strikeouts after two starts. Play OVER Philadelphia-Miami AAA |
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04-12-19 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* Play OVER Columbus/Tampa Bay Talk about a shocker. Columbus stormed back to win Game 1 in Tampa Bay by a score of 4-3. How the Blue Jackets did it might be the most shocking thing of all. They came back from a 3-0 first period deficit, scoring three goals in the third period, one of them shorthanded. It can't be overstated just how stunning a result and the manner it took place were. The Lightning had a record setting regular season as they finished with 21 more points than every other team, which is the largest gap between one team and the field since the 1995-96 Red Wings. They produced four different win streaks of at least seven games, also matching a record set by Gretzky's Oilers in 1983-84. They had the highest power play percentage in league history (28.1%) and averaged 3.93 goals per game, the most by any team since those 95-96 Red Wings. In four games against the Blue Jackets this season, they've scored 20 goals and those all came in 10 periods of action. Don't want to lay the juice, but the Over is a good call here for Game 2. The Over is now 12-3-1 in Columbus' last 16 tries as a playoff underdog. Play OVER Columbus-Tampa Bay AAA |
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04-11-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UNDER Carolina-Washington (Game 1) The Hurricanes are obviously thrilled to be in the Stanley Cup Playoffs for the first time in a decade. They had the league's longest postseason drought, which is quite the ignominious distinction. But the Canes also probably wished they had drawn a different first round opponent. Washington not only won the Metropolitan Division for a 4th straight year, they swept Carolina in the regular season, going 4-0 in head to head meetings. Lest we forget that they are the defending Stanley Cup Champs as well. Carolina will try and push the puck and play fast here (like they always do), but we're not sure that'll work out for them. In those four regular season games against Washington, they were held to an average of 27.5 shots per game, which is well below their season average. The last three times these teams have faced off, the game went Under. Carolina scored just four goals in those three games. Capitals goalie Braden Holtby had a great regular season and posted a .947 save percentage across his last five starts. However, if there's something that can keep Carolina in this game and series, it's extraordinary depth on the blue line as well as the goaltending of Petr Mrazek, who had his own strong finish to the regular season with a .942 save percentage his last four starts. The Hurricanes were 7th in the league in goals allowed, giving up only 2.7 per game. Play UNDER Carolina-Washington AAA |
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04-11-19 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 102 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Toronto-Boston Toronto scored 7 runs Tuesday, which may not sound like much, but it was a season-high for them. It also, not shockingly, came against the team which has given up the second most runs in all of baseball, that being Boston. The Red Sox, like the Blue Jays, have had their own offensive woes to start the season. But both teams woes should be cured, at least temporarily, by facing each other. Wednesday was an off-day, but I expect the scoring to resume early and often tonight. You have Aaron Sanchez pitching for the visitors. He has faced two weak offenses so far (Cleveland, Detroit), so tonight will be a test. Sanchez has an ERA north of 4.00 in 19 career starts vs. the Red Sox. Boston will go with Nathan Eovaldi in this spot. While his TSR is 2-0, Eovaldi hasn't really pitched all that well. He's given up 9 runs and 12 hits in 10 innings so far. Going back to the end of last season, the Over is 5-0 his last five starts. Dustin Pedroia is now back to help the Boston offense too. Play OVER Toronto-Boston AAA |
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04-11-19 | A's -147 v. Orioles | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OAKLAND Oakland lost the first game of this series 12-4. That left them with a four-game losing streak and at the time, they were 0-6 on the road (including two losses in Japan to start the year). But the A's have been able to bounce back with a couple easy wins the last two days. We were on them when they crushed Baltimore 13-2 Tuesday. It was more of the same yesterday in a 10-3 triumph. Oakland's lineup has feasted off Baltimore pitching with 38 hits in the three games. They homered five times last night. In the pitching department, the A's turn to Aaron Brooks for Thursday's finale while Baltimore will go with Dylan Bundy. Brooks struggled at Houston in his last start, but had previously worked six scoreless innings against Boston (gave up just two hits). That's at least something as opposed to Bundy, who didn't last long in either of his two starts (both 3 2/3 innings), both of which were against the Yankees. He's allowed six runs in 7 1/3. By the way, the Orioles are 12-25 the past three seasons after giving up 10 or more runs in their last game. Play on OAKLAND AAA |
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04-10-19 | Nationals v. Phillies -152 | Top | 15-1 | Loss | -152 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHILADELPHIA The Phillies blew a chance to move to 8-2 on the year, losing to the Nationals yesterday by a score of 10-6. The game went to extra innings after Washington tied it up a six runs apiece in the top of the ninth. Then, Juan Soto's three-run homer in the top of the 10th won it. But we should not let one singular result cloud our view of Philly. They have the best win percentage in the National League and are 6-2 at home so far. There is some concern with the way starter Nick Pivetta has pitched against Washington in the past and he's been far from dominant in his two starts this season. But the Nationals entered yesterday with the worst bullpen ERA in the NL and their own starter, Jeremy Hellickson, has question marks as well. Hellickson, a former Phillie, has not yet started in 2019. But he did allow two runs in one relief effort, against his former team, back on April 2nd. Philadelphia had a five-run lead in yesterday's game. While they're 2-2 vs. Washington so far, they easily could be 4-0 as they blew 9th inning leads in both losses. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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04-10-19 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -220 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -220 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 6* play on Tampa Bay (Game 1) This is obviously the biggest mismatch of the eight first round playoff series and has been priced accordingly. But really, oddsmakers probably can't set the odds high enough. Tampa Bay, coming off a record-setting 62-win regular season, should be considered the overwhelming favorite to lift the Stanley Cup two months from now. The Lightning have set a ridiculous bar, finishing with 21 more points than every other team, which is the largest gap between one team and the field since the 1995-96 Red Wings. They produced four different win streaks of at least seven games, also matching a record set by Gretzky's Oilers in 1983-84. They had the highest power play percentage in league history (28.1%) and averaged 3.93 goals per game, the most by any team since those 95-96 Red Wings. The Lightning also demolished their first round opponent, Columbus, three separate times, beating them 8-2, 4-0 and 5-1. That's a combined 17-3 margin. Game 1 of this best of seven series should not be close nor should this series. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-10-19 | Rays -147 v. White Sox | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Tampa Bay The Rays were an easy winner for us yesterday, so why not come back with them today? To this point, they have performed to the level of one of the best teams in baseball, particularly on the pitching side of the ledger. Through 12 games, they've allowed just 25 runs, which is easily MLB's best on a per game basis. While they did allow five runs yesterday, it hardly mattered with the offense performing the way it did. With four straight series wins to open the season (club record), they've matched their best overall start in nine years. They also beat Chicago 5-1 on Monday and with Tyler Glasnow (2-0, 0.82 ERA) on the bump today, we see no reason why they won't sweep. Glasnow has allowed just 1 ER in 11 innings so far. As for White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez, he's allowed 10 runs in his first nine innings pitched this season. Lopez was touched up for three home runs his last time out. An utter and complete mismatch this afternoon. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-09-19 | Blazers -9.5 v. Lakers | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PORTLAND The Lakers are 2-1 against the Blazers, but that's with LeBron James playing all three games. The King was officially shutdown for the year last week and his teammates packed it long before that. Though they've won two straight, beating the Clippers by five and Jazz by four, the Lakers have been a terrible team to bet on this season. Only the Knicks have a worse ATS mark. Four would-be starters, including James, aren't playing anymore. Without Jusuf Nurkic, the Blazers are a little shorthanded as well, but they just got back C.J. McCollum and will be looking to clinch homecourt advantage for the first round of the playoffs tonight. All they need is a win. While covering the spread might seem like more of a challenge, Portland is 10-2 ATS its last 12 road games against teams that give up 110 or more points per game. They win big tonight. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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04-09-19 | A's -154 v. Orioles | Top | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OAKLAND We played the Over on this matchup yesterday and that was a very easy win as Baltimore jumped all over Oakland starter Marco Estrada, scoring four times in the first two innings and six times all together before Estrada exited after four. The game had gone Over by the sixth inning, then just for "good measure" the Orioles tacked on five more in the bottom of the eighth to make it a 12-4 win. We expect the A's to rebound Tuesday. While Oakland still has yet to win a game away from home this season (either in Japan or the U.S.), playing Baltimore should change that. The Orioles failed to even win 50 games last season and had lost four in a row before busting loose on Monday. They're a respectable 5-5 so far, but expecting them to continue to play at a .500 level seems foolish. They still should lose 100+ games this season. Oakland is 2-0 with tonight's starter Brett Anderson on the mound as he's allowed only three runs in 11 2/3 innings of work. After going 0 for 8 with runners in scoring position yesterday (did have 11 hits total), expect more "timely" hitting from the Athletics today as they face John Means, who usually comes out of the bullpen. Play on OAKLAND AAA |
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04-09-19 | Rays -154 v. White Sox | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TAMPA BAY Tampa Bay easily handled its business Monday afternoon, downing the White Sox by a score of 5-1. We expect a similar result this afternoon. Rays pitching has been downright filthy to this point, allowing just 20 runs in 11 games. That's pretty easily the best in MLB. Since a loss on Opening Day, the team has gone 8-2 with one of the losses coming in extra innings (and it was 1-0 game). Charlie Morton will start today and he's looked good in his first two starts of the year (1.64 ERA). He'll look to continue a streak that has seen Rays pitching not give up a run in 36 of the past 37 innings. They've allowed 2 runs or fewer in 9 of 11 games. As for Chicago, Ervin Santana is a big question mark. He was limited to four starts last year because of injury. He has a 5.31 ERA in 17 career starts vs. Tampa, though he has not faced them since 2016. Ultimately though, this one comes down to the fact the White Sox will again struggle to score runs. They are also just 47-78 in day games the past three seasons. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -1 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VIRGINIA We are guaranteed to have a first time national champion on Monday when Texas Tech takes on Virginia. Texas Tech beat Michigan State 61-51 in one national semifinal while Virginia outlasted Auburn 63-62 in the other. It should be pointed out that Virginia led their game by as much as 10 points before watching that lead go away and then needing the refs to bail them out in the end. We think that due to the nature of the win against Auburn, Virginia isn't getting the proper credit here. Our own line was between 4.5 and 5 points, so there's value on the favorite. The Cavaliers spent much of the year ranked #1 in the country and when they weren't, they were close to the top. Texas Tech has saved its best basketball for the right time, but Virginia will be the toughest opponent they've faced all year. Virginia may not have covered Saturday, but they are 16-5 ATS the 21 times they have been coming off an ATS loss. Texas Tech is just 1-6 ATS vs. the ACC. This will be an ugly game, but Virginia will be the winner. Play on VIRGINIA AAA |
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04-08-19 | A's v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER Oakland-Baltimore Both clubs are limping into this series. Oakland just got swept in Houston while Baltimore suffered the same fate over the weekend, at home against the Yankees. The Orioles have lost four straight overall as you have to remember they're likely to be one of the worst teams in all of baseball. The A's have yet to win a game away from home. So something will have to give tonight in Camden Yards. Whomever wins, expect plenty of runs to be scored in this one. In the three games vs. the Yankees, Baltimore pitching conceded 29 runs with their bullpen posting a 14.22 ERA and 2.53 WHIP. Tonight's starter Andrew Cashner has a 5.40 ERA and 1.70 WHIP after two outings. Oakland goes with Marco Estrada, who looked great in his first outing, but not so much the second. Estrada is far from overpowering. In road games, the A's are allowing an average of 6.4 runs. Play OVER Oakland-Baltimore AAA |
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04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND This line has already risen quite dramatically, but we're still anticipating a big Portland win. This is the second leg of a home and home between the Blazers and Nuggets. Denver won at home, 119-110, on Friday as Portland was short-handed. They played without Jusuf Nurkic, C.J. McCollum and Seth Curry. Damian Lillard was held to 14 points on 3 of 14 shooting. Even without the some of those key players still, the Blazers should bounce back at home. Denver could rest some of its starters, which is why the line is on the move. Portland is also 30-9 at home this season and hoping to avoid what would be a season sweep by the Nuggets. The first three games have all been decided by single digits with two of them by a total of 4 points. So it's not as if Portland hasn't been competitive. They need a strong finish to the regular season to clinch home court advantage for the opening round of the playoffs. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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04-07-19 | Dodgers -138 v. Rockies | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on LA DODGERS The Dodgers are gunning for a sweep and their fifth win in a row overall Sunday night as they wrap up their series with division rival Colorado. The Rockies started out 2-0, but have subsequently dropped six of seven with the lone victory coming by a score of 1-0 in Tampa Bay and even that took extra innings. So it's not a good time to be playing them right now. With them having to face Julio Urias, it would appear to be a great time to fade. Urias tossed five shutout innings last Monday vs. San Francisco, but the bullpen unfortunately couldn't finish the job. That 4-2 setback was the last time the Dodgers lost however. Something else to keep in mind is that Urias was excellent in the Spring. He was 2-0 in Catcus League play, posting a 1.72 ERA and 0.51 WHIP. He gave up just three runs in 15 2/3 innings and had 15 strikeouts. The Rockies go with Chad Bettis in this spot and he was hit hard in his first start of the regular season, giving up six runs. Bettis has struggled in the past vs. the Dodgers (4.85 ERA) as has his entire team. LA is 37-23 vs. Colorado since the start of the 2016 season, winning 16 of the last 23 matchups. They've scored seven or more runs a quarter of the time in those L60 games while winning by four or more runs 14 times. They won 10-6 on Friday and 7-2 on Saturday. Play LA DODGERS AAA |
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04-07-19 | Rangers v. Angels -140 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LA ANGELS After losing Thursday's series opener, the Angels will look to make it three in a row Sunday afternoon at the Rangers expense. Each of the last two days have seen them hold Texas to a single run. That was after Thursday starter Matt Harvey got crushed and they gave up 11 runs. That loss left LA an AL-worst 1-6, which also matched the worst ever start to a season for the franchise. But they've now seemingly got back on track and it's Texas scrambling. Mike Trout has homered in three straight games for the Angels, who should continue to find success here against Texas pitching. The Rangers are electing to go with Shelby Miller, who permitted 10 baserunners in his first star, which lasted all of 3 2/3 innings. That was five walks and five hits. The Rangers still won, 6-4, beating the Astros as a big underdog. But that won't happen again here. The Angels will hope for something better than what they got the first time from Chris Stratton and should get it against a team that has done next to nothing offensively the last two days. Play on LOS ANGELES AAA |
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04-07-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Miami-Atlanta Playing the Over with these teams did not work out yesterday. Miami was able to snap Atlanta's four-game win streak, prevailing by a final score of 4-2. All of the Marlins came from the long ball as they hit three total, two from Jorge Alfaro including the game winner in the top of the ninth. Reliance on the long ball doesn't seem like a sustainable way to score runs to me though and today Miami will face a pitcher that doesn't give up many. Braves starter Sean Newcomb has not allowed a HR in seven of his last nine starts going back to last year. He also had Miami's number in 2018, going 4-0 against them with a 0.75 ERA in four starts. That's a great sign as is the fact Newcomb didn't allow any runs in four innings in his first start of this season. He may be pitching to keep his spot in the rotation today, so expect a strong outing. Atlanta has not allowed more than four runs in any of its last five games. Miami is going with its own southpaw here in Caleb Smith, who had eight strikeouts in five innings his first start. He allowed just two runs and four hits. We made a mistake taking the Over yesterday, but are fully on board with the Under today. Play UNDER Miami-Atlanta AAA |
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04-06-19 | Oilers +155 v. Flames | Top | 3-1 | Win | 155 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on EDMONTON An underdog play here as Edmonton will look to end another disappointing season on a high note. The Oilers have two 100-point scorers, Conor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, but little else to boast about from 2018-19. They are set to finish well below expectations set and this comes on the heels of last year's substantial decline in points when they went from 103 points (2016-17) to 78. But the "Battle of Alberta" vs. rival Calgary should have them plenty motivated. The Flames have won the Pacific Division and will be the top seed in the Western Conference for the first time in 30 years. So they're thinking more about the playoffs and not this game. They've been resting key players recently. So this edition of the rivalry will mean far more to the Oilers. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TEXAS TECH Playing both Michigan State games last weekend worked out well for us as we hit the Under in both. After having little difficulty in defeating Minnesota and LSU, Duke was obviously going to present Sparty with a much greater challenge and sure enough that was a one-point win (68-67) where MSU only shot 42.9% from the field. That was the 1st time they had been matched up against a team on par with them defensively and it resulted in a Tournament-low for points scored. When it comes to defense, no team has a better efficiency rating than Texas Tech, who just held the #1 offensive team in the country (Gonzaga) to 69 points on 42.4% shooting. Before that, the Red Raiders held Michigan to 44 points (32.7 FG%), Buffalo to 58 points (36.5 FG%) and Northern Kentucky to 57 points (37.1 FG%). So tonight should be another new low in points for Michigan State in the Tourney. Texas Tech is a perfect 4-0 ATS in this Tournament, winning the last two games as underdogs, so they're used to being in this position. Before upsetting Gonzaga in the Elite Eight, they'd won by 15 or more in each Tourney game with the showings against both Buffalo and Michigan being especially exemplary. Both teams have been great against the spread of late. But Texas Tech is the call here thanks to that defense. Play on TEXAS TECH AAA |
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04-06-19 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Miami-Atlanta Atlanta shut Miami out last night, 4-0. It was the Braves fourth straight win and the Marlins fourth straight loss. It was the second straight series opener where the Braves shut their opponent. They beat the Cubs 8-0 on Monday and would go on to score 23 runs in that series. They are now a perfect 4-0 at home following last night's victory. Going back to last year, they've won nine in a row at SunTrust Park and they've also beaten the Marlins nine straight time at home as well. While this looks to be another easy win, and we do expect the Braves to score plenty of runs, look for Miami to cross the plate a good number of times as well. Kyle Wright is making just his second career start today for Atlanta. His first saw him walk five batters in 4 1/3 innings and allow three runs. Some of that was cold weather, but Wright has also yet to prove himself. Atlanta's bullpen hasn't been very good either. Miami's Sandy Alcantara was dominant his first time out, but that was at home. The Over is 8-0 the last eight times the Marlins have faced a team with a winning record on the road. Play OVER Miami-Atlanta AAA |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -5 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -115 | 52 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VIRGINIA It's certainly going to be a contrast of styles in this first Final Four matchup with the high-flying Auburn attack going against the methodical pace Virginia likes to set. Ultimately, something has to give and we believe defense will win out in the end. That means Virginia, who has been one of the top teams in College Basketball all season, as opposed to an Auburn team that saved its best basketball for the Tournament. The Tigers have already downed Kansas, North Carolina and Kentucky thanks to an incredible display of three-point shooting. But they have not yet had to go against a team that guards the three-point line as well as Virginia does (28.7 3-pt % allowed). Remember Auburn lost one of its top scorers - Chuma Okeke - in the Sweet 16. Without him, they were still able to defeat Kentucky, but that's an opponent they are very familiar with. Virginia is a different story. Lost in the shuffle here is the fact the Cavaliers have a higher offensive efficiency rating than Auburn. They also only turn it over nine times per game and do a good job of getting to the free throw line. When they get to the FT line, they convert at a 74% clip. Virginia also actually shoots a better percentage from three-point range (for the season) compared to Auburn. The lone 1-seed still standing gets the job done Saturday night. Play on VIRGINIA AAA |
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04-05-19 | A's v. Astros -166 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOUSTON Houston has some nice advantages coming into tonight's home opener, one being they are simply a more talented team than the A's. Now the respective won-loss records might say otherwise, but we know it's still (very) early in the season. Houston had yesterday off while Oakland was hosting Boston. The A's won 7-3, their sixth win in eight games after starting the year with a couple losses over in Japan. But they haven't been on the road since playing in Japan and tonight will be a big test. They send Frankie Montas to the bump and he has a 7.74 ERA in four career appearances vs. the Astros. Houston goes with Collin McHugh, who is 8-1 with a 2.74 ERA in 17 career appearances vs. the A's. Houston is priced low for being at home and that's probably due to a disappointing 2-5 start. But they'll get back on track in short order, starting with a win Friday night. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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04-05-19 | Heat -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIAMI It's unusual to say, but Miami is probably glad that this very crucial game is taking place on the road. After dropping a decision at home to Boston two nights ago, the Heat's home record fell to 18-22 straight up and 15-23-2 against the spread. On the road, they are 20-18 SU and 23-15 ATS. You don't see a team with a better record on the road than at home very often, but this is definitely an instance of that. The Heat come into this game a 1/2 game back of both Brooklyn and Orlando. They need to pass at least one of those two teams to get into the playoffs. Minnesota should provide them such an opportunity. The Timberwolves already know when their season will end and that's a week from now in Denver, the final game of the regular season. For the 13th time in 14 years, they aren't going to the playoffs. They did win Wednesday night at Dallas, but have put together back to back wins just one time since the All Star Break. That came in a pair of home games against Washington and New York, two very bad teams. Miami has to have this one and they'll get it. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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04-05-19 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on NY RANGERS +1.5 A season that was supposed to be bad, and was, will conclude for the Rangers tomorrow night. They have two games to get through before the offseason and up first is the home finale against Columbus. For the Blue Jackets, tonight's game has tremendous meaning. With two games left, they are tied with Montreal for the final spot left in the playoffs. Because they have more ROW (regulation + OT wins) than the Habs, Columbus owns the tiebreak. So a win tonight puts them in the playoffs. Because of that the money line is inflated. Because of the inflated money line, a chance to play the Rangers at +1.5 opens up. As rough of a season as it's been in NY, the Rangers have suffered 13 losses in extra time. A tie at the end of regulation is all that we need here. A quarter of their games have gone to OT this year. Additionally, they've suffered 10 one-goal losses in regulation. Play on NY RANGERS AAA |
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04-05-19 | Spurs -6 v. Wizards | Top | 129-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SAN ANTONIO San Antonio is in 8th place in the Western Conference, which would mean a first round series against Golden State. No team wants to be the first to draw the Warriors, so expect the Spurs to do everything they can to move up. That starts with winning this game in Washington against a Wizards team that is just playing out the string. It is likely the Wizards will finish this season with their lowest win total since 2012-13. They just lost here at home to Chicago after blowing an eight-point fourth quarter lead. That's demoralizing. As for San Antonio's motivation, they will have plenty. Greg Popovich was tossed 63 seconds into an eventual 113-85 loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday. Expect him and his team to respond like you might think. The Spurs shoot a league-best 39.2% from three-point range, so they should bury a Wizards team that is among the very worst in the league defensively. Play on SAN ANTONIO AAA |
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04-04-19 | Rangers v. Angels -142 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -142 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the LA ANGELS The Angels finally get to play some games at home, starting Thursday, as they welcome in the Rangers for a four-game set. Things have not gone well for LA so far as they are 1-5, matching the franchise's worst ever start, set back in the expansion season of 1961. But Texas would seem to be the elixir that they're looking for right now. Not only have the Angels gone 13-6 head to head against the Rangers the last two years, they've beaten them five straight times, all here in Anaheim. The Rangers starter for tonight is Edinson Volquez and he pitched poorly in his first start of the year. He gave up four runs in four innings and had four walks. The Rangers did end up winning, but no thanks to Volquez. Matt Harvey toes the rubber here for Los Angeles and looked pretty good his first time out. He did allow one home run, but only two runs total in six innings and that happens to be the only game his team has won so far. Texas has yet to play a road game this year. Volquez has been bad in his career against the Angels as his ERA is 10.71 in six games. Play on LA ANGELS AAA |
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04-04-19 | Cavs v. Kings OVER 228 | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Cleveland-Sacramento Cleveland has been exceptionally porous on the defensive end of late. The Over is 5-0 their last five games and it doesn't take much digging to understand why that is. They are giving up 122.6 points per game on 55.1% shooting. The last six opponents have all shot better than 50%. The Clippers shot 62.4% against them Saturday, then they gave up 122 points to Phoenix, who shot 54.8%. This is really nothing new. The Cavs have the worst defensive efficiency in the league. Sacramento actually gives up more points per game than Cleveland, so a high scoring game certainly looks to be in the cards here. The Kings, who are trying to finish with a .500 record for the first time in 13 seasons, were shredded for 130 points by Houston two nights ago. The good news is they scored 129 in the first meeting with Cleveland and shot north of 57% from the field. We imagine something similar tonight. The Cavaliers have gone Over their last seven times following a loss. Play OVER Cleveland-Sacramento AAA |
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04-04-19 | Sharks -141 v. Oilers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on SAN JOSE The Sharks are going to the playoffs, but it's certainly a case of "limping in" as they've dropped 9 of 10 (1-8-1) and you'd have to go all the way back to March 12th to find the last time they won a game in regulation. At that time, everything was looking great. They were on a six-game win streak, their second six game win streak since the All Star Break. But things have definitely hit the skids recently and a win over a non-playoff team like Edmonton would definitely go a "long way" here. The Oilers are having another disappointing season. Despite two 100+ point scorers, they have just 77 points and they too have played poorly of late. It's four straight losses coming into tonight and they've gotten outscored 17-6. This is the final home game of the season in Edmonton, but they may be more interested in Saturday's game at rival Calgary. Or maybe the Oilers have simply "packed it in" and will roll over for the Sharks. Either way, expect this to be a pretty easy two points for the road team, who is 3-0 vs. Edmonton since Christmas scoring 5, 7 and 7 goals in the three wins. Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
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04-04-19 | Jets v. Avalanche -113 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COLORADO One playoff spot is still up for grabs in the NHL's Western Conference. It is very likely that Colorado will grab it. All they need to do is win one of their final two games. Clinching at home would probably be pretty sweet for a team that has not made the playoffs in back to back seasons for 13 years. The Avalanche are playing well right now with wins in seven of their last nine contests. Both losses came in extra time while all but one win was in regulation. Winnipeg has been trending in a different direction with five losses in the past seven games, all of them coming in regulation. The Jets now could finish as low as third in the Central Division depending on how Nashville and St. Louis each finish. Denver seems to be an unlikely destination for a turnaround considering five of the last six times they've come here, Winnipeg has lost. They lost by a score of 7-1 here in February and are off 5-1 loss to Minnesota Tuesday. Colorado won its last game 6-2 and is simply in better form right now. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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04-03-19 | Flames v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Calgary-Anaheim The teams just met Friday with Calgary winning 6-1. While the rematch is Anaheim and the Flames have nothing to really play for, we see it being every bit as high scoring as the last time they played. Calgary may not be quite as high scoring on the road, but they still average a healthy 3.05 goals/game. And while Anaheim is the lowest scoring team in the league, they do score more at home. Each of the Ducks last five games have gone Over. They've scored a total of 18 goals in those five games while also allowing 18. That's 3.5 goals scored and allowed per game. Calgary's last three games have all gone Over. They have scored 18 goals in those three games, an average of six per game. Chalk up another high scoring game tonight. Play OVER Calgary-Anaheim AAA |
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04-03-19 | Cubs v. Braves OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play OVER Cubs-Braves I played the Under on the first game of this series (Monday), which won or pushed depending on whether or not you got 8 or 8.5. But tonight, I'm looking Over with the Cubs and Braves. The teams had off yesterday. Monday was an 8-0 Braves win, their first of the season. The Cubs have given up 8, 11 and 8 runs their last three games, all of which have been losses. Jon Lester starts tonight and while he pitched well on Opening Day, this will be his first time facing the Braves since their renaissance of last season. The Over is 6-0 the last six times Lester has started on five or more days rest. In addition to having given up 27 runs in the last 24 1/3 innings, the Cubs committed six errors on Monday, their first time doing so in a 9-inning game since 1982. Fortunately the offense had scored 28 runs in the first three games before getting stymied Monday. We expect Chicago to bounce back at the plate tonight against Julio Teheran, who allowed three runs in five innings his first start of the year. Play OVER Chicago-Atlanta AAA |
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04-03-19 | Knicks v. Magic -12.5 | Top | 100-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORLANDO The four-team race for the last three spots in the Eastern Conference Playoffs (will be one team left out) is really heating up. Orlando has one fewer game remaining than Detroit, Brooklyn and Miami, which is a problem considering they are the ones currently on the "outside looking in." All four teams lost on Monday after all four had won on Saturday. So that means no ground was made up by the Magic and they still trail the Heat by a half game with only four left to play. But they have a golden opportunity to make up some ground Wednesday when they host the league-worst Knicks. (The three teams Orlando is chasing also play at home tonight, but against top five teams from the East). We look for Orlando to win big here. New York is off a rare win on Monday, which will make them prone to a letdown. There's no point for the Knicks to keep winning at this point and risk harming their draft position. This is obviously a lot of points to lay with a Magic team that's not normally this large of a favorite. But not only have they won seven straight home games, four of the last five wins have been by double digits and the last one was by 21 over Philadelphia. The Magic also have revenge for a five-point loss at the Garden back in February. Play on ORLANDO AAA |
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04-03-19 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 7 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Mets-Miami With Jacob deGrom pitching, you have to figure Miami is going to struggle to score runs today. Not like they have an impressive offense to begin with. In four of six games so far, they've been held to three runs or less. deGrom should have no problems doing the same. Yes, he actually did go 0-2 vs. the Marlins last season. But 2018 also saw deGrom post the lowest single season ERA (1.70) since the mound was lowered in 1968. His first start of '19 was right in line with where he left off last season. He held Washington scoreless for six frames while striking out 10 batters. Not to be overlooked here is the performance Miami starter Trevor Richards had in his first start of the year. He allowed just one run (on four hits) in six innings of work. The fact the Marlins lost that game 6-1 (to Colorado) was obviously the fault of the bullpen. Richards also shutout the Mets for 6 2/3 innings in his final start last season. This is a game where few runs will be scored. The Mets aren't going to keep averaging more than six runs per game. Play UNDER Mets-Marlins AAA |
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04-03-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play UNDER Baltimore-Toronto Someone break up the Orioles! Last year's worst team has started 4-1 out of the gate with all of those wins coming on the division road and two were as huge underdogs in New York. The last two days have seen the O's record one-run victories in Toronto, 6-5 and then 2-1. Similar to yesterday, we think we're in store for another low-scoring affair Wednesday afternoon. You have to like the way Blue Jays starter Matt Shoemaker pitched last Friday when he threw seven shutout innings of two-hit ball. Really, with the exception of Monday, the entire Blue Jays starting staff has been pretty remarkable. Take away Monday and they were working on a 29-inning scoreless streak until Marcus Stroman gave up a pair of runs in the 6th of yesterday's game. Of course Monday saw an Orioles starter (David Hess) pulled while in the midst of a no-hitter. Nate Karns will "open" today's game for Baltimore as the first of several relievers to get on the mound. All six of Toronto's runs scored in this series have come in the final three innings. For the year, they are batting .018 (1 for 55) in the first three innings. Karns threw two shutout innings the first time he opened this year, against the Yankees. Play UNDER Orioles-Blue Jays AAA |
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04-02-19 | Nuggets +8 v. Warriors | Top | 102-116 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on DENVER Since making an early season statement at Golden State's expense, Denver has not fared well in two subsequent meetings. They lost at home 142-111 in January and then 122-105 out in Oakland last month. The Nuggets 1-2 YTD record against the Warriors is the difference in the standings right now as GSW comes in one game ahead in the race for the #1 seed. Denver suffered a pretty embarrassing home loss to Washington in its last game as they were held to only 90 points total and 28 in the second half. Whether or not that was looking ahead to this game we don't know, but look for a much better performance tonight. Will Denver win? Not sure. But they can definitely stay well within this generous number set by the oddsmakers. Golden State has a poor ATS record overall this season (32-43-1) and especially at home (14-23-1). We're not sure what it is about Tuesday, but the Warriors are 3-19 ATS at home on Tuesday nights the past three seasons. They've lost four of their last eight home games outright. Take the points tonight. Play on DENVER AAA |
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04-02-19 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 107 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Arizona-San Diego The Padres are a team we've found success with in the early part of the season, playing them twice and winning both times. But both wins were at the Giants' expense and as they found out (the hard way) last night, Arizona is a much different animal. The Diamondbacks pummeled the Padres yesterday here at Petco, winning 10-3, with much of the damage done against San Diego starter Strahm. Starting pitching had been a strength for the Padres so far this season with today's starter Lauer getting the season off to a strong start with six scoreless innings on Opening Day. Again, facing Arizona is going to be a lot tougher than San Francisco was. In his rookie season (last year), Lauer was hit hard in two games against the Diamondbacks with the Arizona lineup recording a .311 batting average and Lauer ending up with a 1.50 WHIP. It sounds weird to say this, but the Diamondbacks may have to worry about Zack Greinke tonight consider how bad he looked in his first start. Greinke gave up seven runs and four homers against the Dodgers Opening Day. San Diego's offense is much more formidable now than in past years. Play OVER Arizona-San Diego AAA |
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04-02-19 | Angels +100 v. Mariners | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the ANGELS Seattle is already 6-1 thanks to starting the year in Japan where they picked up a couple wins at Oakland's expense. But they've also played pretty well here in the U.S.A. where they are 4-1 including a 6-3 win last night over the Angels. But this run is going to come to a screeching halt sooner than later. The Mariners intend to rebuild and figure to lose at least 85 games this season. Look for a loss tonight as we can't see Marco Gonzales continuing to succeed with his current numbers (4.77 ERA, 1.59 WHIP). He's 2-0, but that's thanks to the Mariners offense scoring 21 runs in those two games. The Angels might be off to a slow start, but an offense that has been held to three runs or less four times already should break out agianst Gonzales, who they saw six different times last season. Mike Trout is 8 for 17 lifetime against Gonzales. Trevor Cahill will start for LA and should pitch better than he did in Oakland on Opening Day. The last time Cahill faced the M's, he was with the A's and allowed just two runs on four hits. He has a 3.40 ERA against Seattle in 14 career starts. Play on LOS ANGELES AAA |
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04-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets -140 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on COLUMBUS Tonight is the Blue Jackets final home game of the regular season, but the faithful in Columbus are certainly hoping its not the final home game of the year. Right now, the Blue Jackets sit in the top Wild Card spot with 94 points, but have two teams (Carolina, Montreal) within two points and only two of those three can make it to the playoffs. Columbus is certainly doing its best to ensure there will be more games played here in Ohio's state capital as they've won five in a row with three of those wins coming in shutout fashion. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has a .957 save percentage his last 11 starts and a 38-save shutout of Buffalo on Sunday was his league-leading ninth of the season. With the final two games of the year at Ottawa and New York (Rangers), we see Columbus as having an excellent shot at making the playoffs. But they want that top Wild Card spot as it will allow them to avoid facing the juggernaut known as Tampa Bay in Round 1. Boston doesn't really have anything left to play for except formally clinching home ice advantage for their Round 1 series against Toronto. But that's pretty much a formality at this point anyway. The Bruins have allowed 10 goals in their last two games, which is two more than Columbus has allowed in its last six games. Play on COLUMBUS AAA |
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04-02-19 | Brewers v. Reds +101 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on CINCINNATI The Reds came into this season with plenty of promise, which was part of the reason I took them on Opening Day. They won that first game, 5-3 over Pittsburgh, but haven't won since. That's misleading though as they've only played two games due to an off-day and a rainout. Last night saw them drop a 4-3 decision to the Brewers with Christian Yelich delivering a game winning double in the top of the ninth. Milwaukee is now 4-1, though every win has been close (three by 1 run), led by Yelich homering in every game but yesterday. I think the Brewers luck is about to run out here as it's difficult to keep winning in the manner than they have. The Reds are a better team this season and will not be the pushover they were a year ago. Brewers starter Chacin has a losing record against Cincy in his career (2-3 in 10 starts) and last year's two starts against them saw him allow five runs in only 9 1/3 innings. Chacin's first start of 2019 saw him give up multiple home runs and walks. Anthony DeSclafani will oppose him today and we feel he's the better starter in this matchup. This will be his first start of the year. Look for the Reds offense to "pick up" in this game as well. Play on CINCINNATI AAA |
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04-01-19 | Bulls v. Knicks OVER 212.5 | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play OVER Chicago-New York Not much defense should be expected in this game as the Bulls and Knicks have just two weeks left in what has been a miserable (as expected) season for both. The key will be whether or not they can make some shots. The Knicks are 0-6 straight up and against the spread their last six games and a big reason for that is they've failed to top 100 points four times. But the other two games saw them score 116 and 113 points and we should see something in line with those numbers here. The Bulls have been held to 103 points or fewer in four straight games. All were losses. But the big key here is all of the games in both teams losing streaks have come against playoff teams. Each will find far less resistance at the defensive end tonight. The Over is 4-1-1 in Chicago's last six games vs. sub-.400 teams. Play OVER Chicago-New York AAA |