Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-26-19 | Knicks v. Nets OVER 221.5 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Neither of these teams were about to get featured on Christmas, but they get to face off the day after. The Knicks are clearly one of the worst teams in the NBA as they are just 7-24 and getting outscored by more than nine points per game. They are tied with Orlando for the lowest scoring average at 103.5 points/game. Brooklyn is simply mediocre as they are seventh in the East with a 16-13 record. It's been pretty impressive how the Nets have managed to stay afloat despite a myriad of injuries. Kyrie Irving, Caris LeVert and Kevin Durant all remain out indefinitely. We like this game to go Over as there won't be much defense played. The Knicks have given up at least 120 points in four straight games. Seven of their last eight opponents have topped their season scoring averages. Brooklyn comes in averaging 111.7 points/game. They just scored 122 in their last game, which was all the way back on Saturday against the Hawks. Spencer Dinwiddie has been on fire for this team. Play OVER New York-Brooklyn AAA |
|||||||
12-25-19 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NEW ORLEANS It's been a pretty ugly first two months of the season for New Orleans. Top draft choice Zion Williamson hasn't played a game and his teammates have managed to win only eight of 31 games. But there's been a glimmer of hope recently in that the Pelicans have won two of their last three games and the only loss was by four points. They've suffered just two double digit losses in the last seven games and one was to Milwaukee. So even though they are a decided underdog tonight in Denver, don't be scared to take the points. The Pelicans beat the Nuggets in the first game of the season, 122-107 as a four-point home dog. While Denver storms into Christmas on a seven-game win streak, they are just 3-3-1 ATS in those games and none of the spreads that they covered were as large as this one. When off three or more straight wins, the Nuggets are just 3-7 ATS this season. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
|||||||
12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers UNDER 222 | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The NBA's marquee showdown on Christmas Day takes place in LA with the Clippers taking on the Lakers. Both teams are expected to be at full strength, which hasn't always been the case this year. But despite the Lakers recent slide and Kawhi Leonard's "load management" for the Clippers, these remain two of the best of the West. The Lakers had won 24 of their first 27 games before losing the last three. The Clippers have a near .800 win percentage when Leonard and George both play. We are expecting this game to be a little more "defensive-minded." The Under is 10-3 in Clippers games when they are facing a team with a winning record. The Lakers, playing without LeBron James, allowed a season high 128 points last game. The good news is that after the three games where they allowed 115 or more points this season, the next game has gone Under every time. Play UNDER Clippers-Lakers AAA |
|||||||
12-25-19 | Celtics v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Boston and Toronto come into Christmas vying for that #2 spot in the Eastern Conference pecking order (behind Milwaukee of course). Right now, it belongs to Boston, who has won three in a row and seven of nine this month. Most of these wins have come at home, however. Toronto has been a difficult place to play for the Celtics as they are 0-4 SU and ATS here the last two seasons. Overall, it's been eight straight defeats in Canada. The Raptors are without Pascal Siakam right now, but they've been playing undermanned and thus undervalued much of the year. This is a team that's gone 13-3 at home. They haven't lost a game in regulation in two weeks, so we can't pass up the opportunity to take points with them. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
12-24-19 | BYU -1.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 34-38 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BYU Obviously, this is a home game for Hawaii. But that doesn't necessarily guarantee victory on its own. The Warriors last four bowl appearances have all come in the Hawaii Bowl and three of them have resulted in losses. The most recent was last year to Louisiana Tech, 31-14. We think BYU is disciplined enough to avoid the distractions of going out to Honolulu for Christmas Ever and come away with a victory here. The Cougars are 7-5 with wins over Tennessee, USC and Boise State. Hawaii has the edge on offense with QB McDonald, but BYU is better defensively by a wider margin. In the last three games, BYU allowed just 277 yards/game. They have not allowed more than 24 points in any game since October. The Hawaii defense gives up 6.9 yards per play. While BYU scored only three points against San Diego State in the regular season finale, that was against one of the top defenses in the country and they actually rolled up over 400 yards (couldn't finish drives). One final thing to consider is that Hawaii turned the ball over 30 times in 14 games. Their turnover margin for the year was worse than all but three teams in the entire FBS. Play on BYU AAA |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Barring the Packers losing both this week and next week, the Vikings are going to be a Wild Card team in the NFC. Seeing as Green Bay plays at Detroit next week (Lions have lost eight in a row), it's highly unlikely that they lose out. But Minnesota can accomplish half the task at hand simply by winning tonight as they host the Packers. Green Bay hasn't won in this stadium since it opened and despite their 11-3 record this season, there's a lot of reason to be suspicious of this team. Only four of their 11 wins have been by more than one score. Statistically, they rank in the bottom half of the league in rushing offense, passing offense, rushing defense and passing defense. The Vikings are 6-0 at home, winning those games by an average of nearly two touchdowns per game. It's not just Minnesota where GB has struggled either. They are 0-5 SU and ATS their last five dome games. The Vikings offense is averaging 29.4 points its last 10 games despite receiver Adam Thielen missing much of that time. So don't expect them to skip a beat with RB Cook sitting this week. The Vikings did lose at Lambeau Field back in Week 2, 21-16, but actually dominated that game statistically. This is their chance at revenge. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Coyotes v. Predators -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on NASHVILLE We like the spot here for Nashville and on the flip side, it's a tough one for Arizona. The Coyotes played Sunday and while they won 5-2, it was against Detroit, who is the worst team in the league. Two games ago, they lost goalie Darcy Keumper to injury, meaning that Antti Raanta is likely to be called into duty for consecutive nights. Despite getting the win yesterday, Raanta has been far from lights out this season. Following a 3-0-1 road trip, Nashville had Sunday off. Look for the Predators to take full advantage of Keumper's absence here as they are second in the Western Conference in goals scored. While Arizona is in first place of its division and Nashville is fifth in theirs, there isn't a huge difference in points. Play on NASHVILLE AAA |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Wizards v. Knicks -3 | Top | 121-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW YORK The Knicks being favored AND getting a ringing endorsement like this from us is a pretty rare occurrence. But the Wizards are in pretty rough shape here as they have numerous players injured and have lost 12 of their last 15 games. Defensively, Washington is as bad as they come. They've allowed 122.8 points/game those last 15 games as opponents are shooting better than 50% overall and 38% from three-point range. Yes, the Knicks have been blown out two straight games, but those were against Miami and Milwaukee. The Wizards are a team they should beat at home. NY has won its last three games vs. teams that are below .500 including a 143-120 triumph over Atlanta here at Madison Square Garden last week. They'd actually covered four straight games before running into the Heat and Bucks. The Wizards are 4-13 on the road. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears OVER 44.5 | Top | 26-3 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER We know that Kansas City is capable of putting up a lot of points. Chicago not as much, but the Bears offense has at least been better of late. They still put up over 400 yards in a 21-13 loss to Green Bay Sunday. Mitchell Trubisky threw for over 300 yards for the second time in three games. The offense is now averaging nearly six yards per play those last three weeks. It's not like the Chiefs defense is very good. Disregard last week's performance as it was in the snow against a rookie quarterback. The Chiefs still give up 357.8 yards per game and 5.7 yards per play for the season. Recently, they have faced some struggling offenses. Patrick Mahomes had no issues with the snow last week. He threw for 340 yards. There were a lot of long drives that ended with field goals in that Denver-KC game. The road still sees KC averaging over 30 points/game. This number is just too low not to try the Over. Four straight KC games have gone Under, which is rare. Play OVER Kansas City-Chicago AAA |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Hornets v. Celtics -13 | Top | 93-119 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON Often you'll find that in the NBA, oddsmakers fail to properly account for the massive discrepancy between the league's best and worst teams. Such is the case in this one. You may be hesitant to call Charlotte one of the league's worst, but the Hornets certainly have "the point differential to prove it" as they're getting outscored by an even six points per contest. That's sixth worst in the entire NBA. The Hornets lost by seven last night at home to Utah. Being in a back to back isn't ideal when traveling to Boston to face the Celtics, who are near the top of the league in point differential. The Celtics are 11-1 at home and did cover the only other time they were asked to lay this many points. That was against Cleveland two weeks ago. It was yet another blowout win at home Friday when the Celtics beat the Pistons 114-93 as a nine-point favorite. That was despite Kemba Walker scoring only two points on 0 of 6 shooting. Expect Walker to shoot a lot better against his former team on Sunday and this should be a blowout for one of the deepest teams in the NBA. Play on BOSTON AAA |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Lions +7 v. Broncos | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -109 | 88 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DETROIT Detroit has definitely fallen on hard times. Seven straight losses (NFL's longest losing streak) amidst a myriad of injuries is tough. The team has actually lost 10 of its last 11 games since a 2-0-1 start. While we would be slightly surprised if the Lions were to win this week, we're also not about to lay a touchdown with a Denver team starting a rookie QB that is 5-9 and just lost 23-3. While the Broncos did win Drew Lock's first two starts, they did not look good last week. Yes, that was against the Chiefs. But here's the issue. This team is not accustomed to laying points. They've been an underdog eight straight weeks. They've been favored in only three games all year. Two of those three times resulted in losses. Not just ATS losses, but SU losses. Half of the Broncos games this year have been decided by seven points or fewer. Five of the seven that weren't were losses. So that's just two wins by more than a touchdown all year. We realize Detroit is struggling. But they can stay close here as they're facing a team that doesn't often blow teams out. The Broncos are 5-13 ATS the last 18 times they've been favored. Play on DETROIT AAA |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Davidson +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 59-56 | Win | 102 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAVIDSON Most are quite familiar with these two mid-major programs. Davidson's most famous alum is former NBA MVP Steph Curry, who led the school on a magical run to the Elite Eight his senior year here. Loyola Chicago, backed by #1 fan Sister Jean, made it one step further - all the way to the Final Four - a few years ago. This year's editions aren't as good as those past teams, but they meet Sunday in Chicago. We feel Davidson is the better team. Yes, the Wildcats have lost five times, but most of those came to really good opponents. Loyola has won five in a row, but their "best" win was either Old Dominion or Ball State. Also, Davidson has been off for exams since December 10th, so they'll come in well rested. Loyola has played twice in the last week, including a neutral site win over Vanderbilt. This is the Ramblers longest win streak since the Final Four team. Davidson won 88-52 in its last game, so they can score. Play on DAVIDSON AAA |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Ravens v. Browns +11.5 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -135 | 85 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND Even for Baltimore, this is too many points to lay to a Cleveland team that has been favored each of its last seven games. Now the Browns haven't done all that well as chalk - at least when they were the road team. Last week they lost at Arizona, their fifth straight road loss. But they've won four straight games here at home. They've also already beaten Baltimore this year - on the road. That was the Ravens last loss - it was all the way back in Week 4 - and probably the Browns best played game of the year. It was 40-25 game where the Browns were a seven-point road dogs. Now they are 10-point home dogs. Not saying there shouldn't be some shifting by the oddsmakers for this rematch. After all, the Ravens are playing for homefield advantage in the playoffs while the Browns postseason hopes are on life support. But unless Cleveland is prepared to quit on coach Freddie Kitchens - and we don't think that's the case - this is too many points for the Browns to be getting at home. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Clippers v. Spurs OVER 225 | Top | 134-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER A big difference for the Clippers when they're on the road is how many more points they allow. At home, they are giving up just 104.4 PPG, a very solid average. But on the road, the number of points per game allowed rises to 112.6. It's pretty common for a team, even a good one like the Clippers, to allow more points on the road. But the difference here is pretty noteworthy. It's one of the main reasons the team is 7-7 on the road and 14-2 at home. Tonight LA is in San Antonio to face the Spurs, who are looking to win for a sixth time in nine games. This isn't the "same old Spurs" defensively though. They give up 115 points/game, the highest average ever under Greg Popovich. This will be the third meeting of the year between the Clippers and Spurs. The first two were both pretty low-scoring, but we get the feeling that this one is going to see lots more offense. The Clippers just gave up 122 points in their last game (to Houston), which was at home. Play OVER LA Clippers-San Antonio AAA |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Rams +7 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 68 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LA RAMS You have to feel a bit for the Rams. They've got the same exact point differential as Seattle (+26) yet are three games back in the NFC West, even though they split two games with the Seahawks. Things appeared to be trending up in LA after they beat Seattle 28-12 two weeks ago, on a Sunday night. But then came last week's result. In what was our 10* NFL Game of the Year, Dallas destroyed the Rams 44-21, all but ending the Rams hopes of making the playoffs. In taking the Cowboys, even we did not think it would be that easy as it would end up being. Two of the Rams touchdowns came in the final three minutes when the game was out of reach. But San Francisco lost last week too and that was far more surprising. The 49ers were at home and double digit favorites against a bad Atlanta team. This was the Niners third loss in the last six weeks after an 8-0 start. Seven starters missed last week's game due to injuries. CB's Sherman and Williams are both set to return this week, but we don't like the Niners laying this many points to a desperate Rams team. This is the first time since Week 4 of the 2017 season that a Rams team not resting starters has gotten at least six points. They won that last time outright. Play on LA RAMS AAA |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Washington -3.5 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 93 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WASHINGTON The only Saturday bowl game with any sort of "national appeal" goes down in Las Vegas with Washington taking on #19 Boise State. There is a tremendous storyline for this game as Chris Petersen, who built the Boise State program to national prominance, will be coaching his final game at Washington. While Boise is the ranked team, we agree with the oddsmakers that Washington is better. Yes, it was a disappointing 7-5 season for Petersen in Seattle. But four of those five losses came by six points or less and two of them were blown leads against Oregon and Utah. As a favorite, the Huskies are 7-3 straight up and against the spread. Boise State has the better record (12-1) but that was against a much weaker schedule than what Washington faced. The Mountain West was pretty down this year. The Broncos may be a little disappointed from getting left out of a "New Year's Six" bowl. We also question how much they'll want to beat their former coach in his final game! Washington has lost its last three bowls, so their motivation will be through the roof in Petersen's final game. The defensive numbers of these two teams are pretty similar, but remember Washington faced a much tougher slate of offenses. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Northern Kentucky v. NC-Greensboro -7 | Top | 50-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNC Greensboro As a five-point underdog, UNC Greensboro just recorded a nice 55-54 win up in Vermont. As you can tell from that score, the Spartans did an excellent job defensively, holding the Catamounts to 21.4% from three-point land. It wasn't exactly a banner shooting night for UNC Greensboro themselves, but they'll take the quality road win. Tonight the return home to face a Northern Kentucky team that comes in on a bit of a roll. The Norse have won three in a row and covered four straight. They have some road wins to their credit, but they haven't scored much in those games and the defensive effort we saw from UNC Greensboro against Vermont was definitely not a "one-time thing." They are allowing just 56.8 points per game for the season. That's top 10 in the country. The Spartans have also won 37 of their last 42 home games. Play on UNC Greensboro AAA |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Liberty +5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 88 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LIBERTY The Cure Bowl in Orlando pits 7-5 Liberty against 7-5 Georgia Southern. Liberty is an independent (no conference affiliation) and it's pretty impressive they got to a bowl in just their second season at the FBS level. The Flames don't exactly have the most impressive resume as they were just 1-4 against bowl teams, but we like Hugh Freeze's team getting points here. Georgia Southern also got here by mostly beating up the weaklings on their schedule. They were 5-3 in the Sun Belt. Without question, their most impressive win came on a Thursday night at Appalachian State. The Eagles were the only team to beat the Mountaineers in the regular season. Outside of that signature win though, there doesn't seem to be much difference between GSU and Liberty. The Eagles do have the nation's eighth ranked rushing offense and are 2-0 all-time in bowls. But they are averaging only 23.3 points/game on the road, making them a shaky favorite. Look for Liberty to stay inside the number. Play on LIBERTY AAA |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Knicks v. Heat UNDER 215 | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
analysis soon |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Capitals -183 v. Devils | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 7* on WASHINGTON Should be an easy two points for the Capitals this evening. They are playing the Devils, who just traded Taylor Hall and are at the opposite end of the division. Washington leads the Metro with 53 points. New Jersey is last with 27. Keep in mind we've only played 30-something games. By the end of the season, the points gap between these teams should be among the largest in the league. Washington isn't going to fool around tonight either. They've had three days off since being blanked by Columbus, 3-0. That was just the second loss in the last 10 games. Both were against the Blue Jackets. New Jersey, which has won back to back games for just the fourth time all season, hasn't won three in a row in almost a full calendar year. The Capitals are 26-10 SU the last three years after getting held to one or zero goals in their last game. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
12-20-19 | James Madison v. Fordham -3 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FORDHAM Fordham is currently on a streak the likes of which you rarely see. The Rams have lost their last three games, all at home and all as favorites. Those losses were to Manhattan, Bryant and Tennessee State. The good news, if there is one, is that every game was close. All three losses were by eight points or less and by a total of 14 points. One was an overtime game. Two saw them blow halftime leads. So it's not as if the Rams are being blown out. Tonight they try again as home favorites, this time against James Madison. The Dukes won big on Monday, beating Charleston Southern by 21. But that was at home. Three of their four road games have resulted in double digit losses while the one win (over Old Dominion) was by two points as an 11-point underdog. Can't see Fordham losing a fourth straight game as a home favorite and with the number being so small, we'll lay it. Play on Fordham AAA |
|||||||
12-20-19 | Buffalo -6.5 v. Charlotte | Top | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 67 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BUFFALO Two schools that have never even won a bowl game kick off the 2019-20 bowl season as Buffalo takes on Charlotte in the Bahamas Bowl. This is Charlotte's first ever bowl game. The 49ers have only been playing football since 2013 and got to the FBS level in 2015. This, their fifth season in Conference USA, proved to be their first winning campaign as they finished a surprising 7-5 overall and 5-3 in conference play. They are one of seven Conference USA teams in a bowl. Buffalo also brings a 7-5 record to the Bahamas. They were 5-3 in the MAC and one of seven teams from that conference to get into a bowl game. The Bulls are 0-3 SU all-time in bowls, the most recent loss coming last year in the Dollar General Bowl, 42-32, as a one-point favorite to Troy. We'll lean on UB's previous bowl experience as a motivating factor plus they have the better defense. The Bulls allow less than 300 yds/game and set a school record with 38 sacks. Charlotte's defense allows significantly more points and yards and is going to have to figure out a way to stop a Buffalo offense that reached 40 points in each of its last four wins. Play on BUFFALO AAA |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CALGARY Calgary has lost two in a row at the Saddledome and we're willing to bank that streak won't reach three. While the Flames were outscored 8-1 by the Hurricanes and Penguins, let's not lose sight of the fact that they'd won seven in a row before suffering those back to back home losses. Montreal comes in with a solid road record, but you also can't forget that they recently lost at home to Detroit, the worst team in the entire NHL. The level of goaltending the Canadiens are getting from Carey Price lately is pretty remarkable, but the chances of Price keeping it up are small. He's got a .952 save percentage his last five starts, an unsustainable number. The Flames have had lots of scoring chances the last two games, but just haven't been able to cash in. Our guess is they're going to find the back of the net more times than you think tonight. Montreal gives up a lot of shots when they're on the road. Play on CALGARY AAA |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Nets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 105-118 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BROOKLYN Brooklyn somehow escaped New Orleans with a win on Tuesday. By their own admission, they were "pretty bad offensively" against the Pelicans, but a strong defensive effort led them to a 108-101 win in overtime. Now beating a team that hadn't won a game in almost a month is no cause for celebration. But remember the Nets are shorthanded. Kyrie Irving and Caris LeVert remain out with injuries and Kevin Durant is unlikely to play this year. Thankfully Spencer Dinwiddie has stepped up, averaging 24.3 points/game in Irving's absence. The Nets are 11-5 SU so far without Kyrie and are a solid seventh in the Eastern Conference. They are also playing great defense, holding the last five opponents to an 103-point average on 39% shooting. Despite the injuries, we still see them as the better team compared to San Antonio, who has been a disaster at the betting window all season with a league-worst 6-18 ATS record. After playing a league-record four consecutive overtime games, the Spurs blew a 25-point lead on Tuesday and lost in Houston. This is a team running on fumes and we'll take the points here. Play on BROOKLYN AAA |
|||||||
12-19-19 | UTEP v. Houston -10 | Top | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* on HOUSTON Houston comes into this all-Texas matchup way undervalued as we had the spread several points higher. Some have already caught onto this as the Cougars have been bet up a bit this morning. But it's still not enough for UTEP to finish in the money Thursday. UTEP may be 8-1 straight up, but they haven't really played anybody (that's good) and they've left El Paso just one time. That one time just so happened to result in the Miners only defeat, which came at the hands of New Mexico State. It's a big step up in class tonight facing Houston, who is in an angry mood after losing to Oklahoma State on Sunday. The Cougars were seven-point favorites, but they went down 61-55 on a poor shooting night (31.1 FG%). Prior to that, their only two losses were to Oregon (top 10 team) and by 1 to BYU. We view this team as being a bit of a "sleeping giant" right now and UTEP is coming to town at the wrong time. At home, Houston is holding opponents to a 35.0 field goal percentage. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Stars v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Dallas is tied for third place in the Central Division, but you get the feeling they should be doing better than that. They rank second in the entire league in goals allowed (82) and have played three more games than the Islanders (who have given up only 80), so the Stars goals against average is actually the lowest in the league. The problem then obviously resides at the other end of the ice. Among Western Conference teams, only Anaheim has scored fewer goals. Sure enough, the last five Dallas games have all stayed Under the total. Tonight is a matchup with another underachieving team, Tampa Bay, who has gone from a record setting regular season last year to mediocrity this year. Right now, the Lightning wouldn't even be a playoff team, even though they have a goal differential that says they should be one. They still score lots of goals at home (3.9 per game) but they actually needed overtime to get by Ottawa. Look for this game to be played on "Dallas terms," meaning it'll be low-scoring. Play UNDER Dallas-Tampa Bay AAA |
|||||||
12-19-19 | Eastern Kentucky v. Marshall UNDER 158.5 | Top | 72-90 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Marshall hosts Eastern Kentucky Thursday night in a battle of teams on five-game streaks. Marshall has gone Over five straight times while Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 ATS its last five games. Let's concentrate on the former streak tonight. This is now the largest total for any Marshall game this season. Interestingly enough, only two of their 10 games played so far would have gone Over tonight's total. The Thundering Herd can probably count on their opponent not scoring much tonight. Eastern Kentucky has lost all six of its road games while averaging just over 60 points. This is the fourth straight road game for the Colonels. But at least this one isn't against Louisville, who dropped 99 points on them Saturday. Eastern Kentucky doesn't shoot the ball well at all as their FG% is below 40% for the season. It's at 31.9% on the road. Marshall is a poor three-point shooting team at 27.4%. Add it all up and you shouldn't see that much scoring tonight. Play UNDER Eastern Kentucky-Marshall AAA |
|||||||
12-18-19 | Heat +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI Philadelphia is getting a lot of respect here because they are undefeated at home. Their perfect 14-0 record at the Wells Fargo Center certainly should carry some weight as no other team in the NBA can claim to still be perfect at home. But Miami is a worth adversary and certainly capable of winning this game. It just so happens the 76ers are off their worst loss of the year. A severely depleted Brooklyn team beat them by 20 on Sunday. Now the Sixers didn't have Embiid, who should be returning tonight. But the Heat are a lot tougher than the Nets, even though they (Miami) just lost at Memphis two nights ago. Prior to that, the Heat hadn't lost to a team with a losing record all year. So they're in bounce back mode just like Philly is and taking the points seems to be the best option in this battle of top five Eastern Conference teams. The Heat are 3-1 ATS this year after giving up 115+ points in their last game. The Sixers didn't do well the only other time they were off a double digit loss, losing to Oklahoma City the next time out. Play on MIAMI AAA |
|||||||
12-18-19 | Illinois-Chicago v. Illinois State -5.5 | Top | 66-67 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ILLINOIS STATE Each team is coming off a double-digit loss. UIC got beat by 21 at DePaul, snapping what had been a three-game ATS win streak. The Flames are now 4-7 and find themselves playing back to back true road games for the first time. It's not a long trip to face Illinois State, who is 4-6 after taking a 15-point loss down at Northern Kentucky on Sunday. What we are leaning on for this one is the home team's defense. The Redbirds give up only 63.2 points/game at home. UIC is giving up 79.4 points/game on the road. With this game taking place in Normal, we don't think Illinois State is favored by nearly enough. Certainly, they remember getting blown out by UIC 94-75 last season. Before that, it had been Illinois State winning the last seven matchups. This spread just seems too low for a game the home team should win pretty comfortably. Play on ILLINOIS STATE AAA |
|||||||
12-18-19 | East Tennessee State +10.5 v. LSU | Top | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EAST TENNESSEE STATE East Tennessee State has lost just two times this year. One was to Kansas where they stayed inside 15-point spread. The other was an upset loss at North Dakota State 11 days ago. Having already successfully bounced back from that second defeat (easily beat Milligan College 97-41), the Buccaneers now set their sights on LSU, their first Power 5 opponent since the Kansas game. LSU has also lost just twice and both were by just two points. The Tigers have been rolling of late, winning and covering four straight. During that win streak, they've shot the ball ridiculously well as in over 54%! Don't look for that percentage to hold up tonight against the toughest team they've faced in awhile. East Tennessee State is a legit team and getting points for only the second time all year. They are 19-8 ATS in non-conference games while LSU is 10-25 ATS the last 35 times it has been a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. Play on EAST TENNESSEE STATE AAA |
|||||||
12-17-19 | Miami-FL v. Temple -1.5 | Top | 78-77 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TEMPLE This game is part of the Hall of Fame Invitational at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Miami enters on a two-game win streak, but there are some real underlying defensive issues with this Hurricanes team as it has given up an average of 76.2 points in last five games with the last four opponents combining to shoot better than 52% overall. That's bad news when getting set to face a Temple team that just hung 108 points on St. Joe's a week ago. The Owls are well rested as that St. Joe's game took place seven days ago. Miami played Saturday. While it was only a home game vs. Alabama A&M, they still gave up 74 points on 51.7% shooting. The Canes last two neutral site games both resulted in blowout losses, by a combined 45 points, to Florida and UConn. Temple's two losses this year were each a result of poor shooting nights, but that's not going to be the case here. They shot 62.7% against St. Joe's. Miami is 3-11 ATS its last 14 neutral site games. Play on TEMPLE AAA |
|||||||
12-17-19 | Hurricanes v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Winnipeg busted loose for seven goals on Sunday as they easily beat Philadelphia here at Bell MTS Place. Tonight they can expect a stiffer test from Carolina, who is off a shutout and won four of its last five. Like the Jets, the Hurricanes are definitely capable of a big offensive game. It was a 4-0 shutout of Calgary on Saturday and before that they had two games where they found the back of the net six times. But this will be their fourth straight road game, all of them in Western Canada. On the flip side, the Canes are allowing an average of just 1.6 goals during the 4-0-1 stretch. The one loss was 1-0 OT game at Vancouver. Winnipeg is a strong home team, so it won't be easy to score tonight. Only three teams have allowed less goals that Carolina this year. All are division leaders. Winnipeg isn't too far behind, ranking 7th in goals allowed. Play UNDER Carolina-Winnipeg AAA |
|||||||
12-17-19 | Hawks v. Knicks OVER 222 | Top | 120-143 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Two of the NBA's worst teams meet Tuesday night in the Big Apple and that means plenty of points. Bad teams don't play good defense and both the Hawks and Knicks resemble that remark. Atlanta is allowing 117.8 points/game, second most in the Eastern Conference. On the road, they are allowing 124.1! In three of their last four road games, they've given up 136, 135 and 158 points! The Knicks join the Hawks in the bottom five teams in defensive efficiency as they let opponents shoot 38.5% from three-point land. New York had actually won two in a row before losing 111-105 to Denver Sunday. Atlanta's game vs. the Lakers on Sunday was far lower scoring than expected. But with two bad teams facing off, expect a wide open pace of play and little defense. The Over is 10-4 in Hawks road games. Play OVER Atlanta-New York AAA |
|||||||
12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHARLOTTE Sacramento rolled to a 100-79 victory over Golden State in its last game. Because it was such an easy win (we had the Under), the Kings now find themselves favored by more than they should be tonight in Charlotte. While its true the Kings have now won four of five, three of those wins were by a total of six points. This is actually their fourth straight game being favored, but before blowing out the Warriors, they'd failed the previous two times and were 0-3 ATS L3 as chalk. The Kings were seven-point favorites over the Hornets at home back on October 30th and lost that game straight up, 118-111. Surprisingly, the Kings are 3-0 ATS as road favorites this year, but this should be closer to a pick 'em as we're getting value on Charlotte due them suffering a blowout loss at Indiana on Sunday. Play on CHARLOTTE AAA |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Loyola Marymount v. UC-Davis | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LOYOLA MARYMOUNT Loyola Marymount is looking to win for a third straight time tonight. To do so, they'll have to make the short trip over to UC Davis. The home team has covered five in a row, but all of those ATS wins came as underdogs of at least 3.5 points. They were getting at least six points in four of the games. Tonight the oddsmakers generosity isn't there for the Aggies, who did not fare well against Loyola Marymount last season when they lost to them by 18 on the road. They were eight-point underdogs for that matchup. Loyola Marymount has lost both of its road games so far, but this is a weaker opponent than either Nevada or Colorado. In home games where the spread is three points or less, UC Davis is 1-6 straight up and against the spread. LMU is shooting the basketball very well (51.5 FG%), which is more than we can say for UC Davis, who is at just 45.2%. Lions roar in this one. Play on LOYOLA MARYMOUNT AAA |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Colts v. Saints OVER 46.5 | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER A critical game for both teams, though that's for different reasons. The Saints are still in play for the NFC's top seed. They are tied with the 49ers, Seahawks and Packers, all of whom also have just three losses. The Colts have lost three in a row, blowing leads in every game, to fall to 6-7 and see their own playoff chances go on life support. The fact that Indy has only been beaten once by more than one score means we won't be laying points Monday night. But the Over is something we can get behind after the way both of these defenses played last week. The Colts gave up over 500 yards in a 38-35 loss to the Bucs, almost all of it coming through the air. That's good news for the Saints' Drew Brees, who threw for 349 in a losing effort last week. The reason New Orleans lost last week was because their defense was torched for 8.2 yards per play by the 49ers. That was right here at home too. Over the last seven weeks, the Saints have scored at least 31 points every game except when facing the Falcons (familiar opponent). The Colts have allowed 69 points the last two games. Play OVER Colts-Saints AAA |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Spurs v. Rockets -10 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HOUSTON This is a very bad spot for San Antonio, who has played a NBA record four straight overtime games. Three of those have resulted in wins. One, a double OT affair, saw them beat tonight's opponent. But it was not without controversy. That was the game where referees mistakenly disallowed a James Harden dunk, leading to a wild sequence of events where the Spurs ended up erasing a 22-point deficit. While the Rockets protest of that game was not upheld, they'll get their revenge tonight. Adding fuel to the fire is that they are off an upset loss the other night to Detroit. They shot just 40% in the loss and scored the fewest number of points in a game (107) in nearly a month. The Spurs are a league-worst 5-18 against the spread this year and that includes 0-8 if they scored 115 or more points in their last game. They are coming off a 121-119 win over Phoenix, which was played in Mexico City. That detour "south of the border" is another disadvantage the Spurs are facing and it's really difficult to see them playing well tonight. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Golden State's fall from grace has been ugly. The three-time NBA champs are 5-22 this year and it would absolutely be fair to call them the worst team in the Western Conference. Just to further illustrate what we're dealing with here, the Warriors were underdogs in 23 of their first 24 games. That's more times being a dog than the previous two seasons combined! Sunday night marks the ninth time they will be a home dog this year. It's a division game with Sacramento, who certainly isn't complaining about what's going on in Oakland. But the Kings did just lose to the Knicks on Friday. We want no part of either side tonight, but like the Under as you've got two teams that are near the bottom of the league in scoring. It's the first meeting of the year. The Warriors are 11-3 Under against teams with losing records. The only time they've topped 105 points in the last 10 games was an overtime loss to the Knicks. Play UNDER Sacramento-Golden State AAA |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Samford v. Hawaii -6 | Top | 73-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HAWAII Samford makes the long trip out to Honolulu Sunday night. The Bulldogs just won on the road, 112-90 at Houston Baptist last Saturday. But prior to that, they'd been 0-5 in road games with a couple of losses by more than 20 points. Samford can score, but not surprisingly they don't shoot nearly as well when they're the road team. That's a problem when you're giving up 83.3 points/game (on the road). Hawaii figures to be in a foul mood this evening as it is coming off a 25-point loss at Oregon. That was just the third loss overall for the Warriors, two of them on the road to P5 teams. They are 6-1 at home. This result likely boils down to who's senior guard performs better tonight - Josh Sharkey for Samford or Eddie Stansberry for Hawaii. In the end, we like how Hawaii has been shooting the three-ball recently (averaging 9.3 makes L3 games). For the year, they are second among Big West teams in three-pointers made. Play on HAWAII AAA |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys +1.5 | Top | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 90 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS The Cowboys have nosedived, losing three in a row for the second time this season. If they were in any other division, their playoff chances might be toast. But the NFC East is a different story. Dallas is still tied with Philadelphia atop the division despite both teams being just 6-7. Next week's game in Philly is likely to determine who makes the playoffs. But more pressing for the 'Boys is this week's home game vs. the Rams. Unlike their opponents, LA comes in with plenty of confidence. They just thwarted the Seahawks 28-12 on Sunday Night Football. But we're still willing to back the Cowboys in this one. The lookahead line had them laying four points. As a result of not only their loss last Thursday (to the Bears), but what the Rams did to Seattle, the line has moved considerably. A couple weeks ago, Dallas not being favored here would have been considered crazy. This is a team that's been an underdog just one time all season and that was at New England where they covered the spread. Remember it was only a few weeks ago when the Rams looked to have more questions than answers as they'd been held to just 35 points over a three-game stretch, which included a humiliating 45-6 home loss at the hands of Baltimore. The Cowboys probably played their worst game of the season last week in Chicago. They've had extra time to prepare here and were 2-0 ATS as a home dog last year, winning both games outright. They are healthy and lead the league in total offense. This is a classic "buy low" situation. Play on DALLAS AAA |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TENNESSEE Tennessee and Houston will play twice over the next three weeks and those two games figure to decide who wins the AFC South. The Titans have come back from the dead, led by Ryan Tannehill, to win six of their last seven games. Both teams are 8-5 on the year. Houston is off a very ugly loss to Denver last week, leaving real questions about where it stands right now. Though we're talking same records, the Titans have a much better point differential. They are +63 while the Texans are only +8. Which do you think is more indicative of a division winner? This first meeting is in Tennessee where the Titans have won four in a row. In Tannehill's seven starts, the Titans offense ranks #2 in the league in scoring. They have scored 31 or more points four straight games. Houston hasn't scored more than 31 points in its last seven games. The Titans have the better defense as well, which is even more true now that J.J. Watt is out for the Texans. Houston has failed to cover eight of the last nine times it has faced a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. Play on TENNESSEE AAA |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Northern Arizona +7.5 v. Utah Valley | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NORTHERN ARIZONA Northern Arizona has played what we'd call a "light schedule" so far. The Lumberjacks have taken the floor only six times, which is tied for the second fewest in the whole country. Only Iona (5) has played fewer games. Yet NAU still has the same number of wins (4) as their opponent for Saturday (Utah Valley St). The difference is UVSU has lost seven times, more than the total number of games played for NAU! We've got the teams rated pretty evenly, so the chance to grab this many points looks to be a steal. Utah Valley State has lost four in a row and six of seven. The only win came when they were an underdog. So laying points isn't a great option for the Wolverines. Wouldn't you know they are not only 0-4 ATS as favorites this year, every one of those games have resulted in a straight up defeat. Gotta take the points here. Play on NORTHERN ARIZONA AAA |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets OVER 205 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Denver has been the top Under team in the league so far with 18 of their 23 games staying below the number. There's a number of reasons for this, one of which is that they are near the bottom in number of possessions per game. They've also quietly become one of the league's top defensive teams, giving up just 101.6 points/game, which is tops in the league. But eventually the oddsmakers are going to catch up with them and tonight's total vs. OKC looks too low. The Thunder are 6-1 Under their last seven games, obviously contributing to the low total we have tonight. They've held three straight opponents below 100 points, but that's not something we see taking place here. When you look at the amount of scoring taking place around the league, this total sticks out like a sore thumb. Yesterday was the anniversary of the highest scoring game in league history (it involved Denver) and "in honor" of that, the Nuggets go Over. Play OVER OKC-DENVER AAA |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Nets v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Toronto is in its worst stretch of the season, having lost four of five games. They've gone 0-5 ATS and now face division foe Brooklyn, who is 8-2 ATS as an underdog. But with Kyrie Irving set to miss a 14th straight game, I don't see the Nets competing tonight. They just lost to Charlotte, as a 9.5-point favorite, Wednesday. That game saw them blow a 20-point lead. Caris LeVert has missed 15 straight games. Toronto is fully healthy, so the stretch of losing seems oddly timed. But also look at who they've lost to - Houston, Miami, Philadelphia and the Clippers. All of those are top teams. Brooklyn is below average and has lost eight straight times here in Toronto. After shooting poorly the last five games (below 40%), look for the Raptors to get it going offensively tonight. They average 116 points/game at home. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
12-14-19 | College of Charleston v. Richmond OVER 134 | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The Spiders of Richmond are 8-1 and have covered three straight, all as favorites. They've also gone Under in seven consecutive tries. That has led us to the lowest O/U for any Richmond game to date, a great time for us to spring into action. The opponent is College of Charleston, a team that has also seen its fair share of Unders so far, but two of their three Overs have come when the total is 135.5 points or lower. Richmond should not have much trouble scoring in this game. They are averaging 84.8 points/game at home and 79.6 points/game for the year. So we're counting on them holding up their end of the bargain. They've scored 75 in every game vs. a non-power conference foe. Both teams have held opponents to just over 40% shooting so far this year. Don't look for that to continue. Play OVER Charleston-Richmond AAA |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Middle Tennessee +17 v. Ole Miss | Top | 64-82 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MIDDLE TENNESSEE Middle Tennessee probably isn't going to be able to get a win here, but they'll take a cover as they come into this game at 0-6 ATS. The Blue Raiders have played 10 games mind you, but four were not lined. As you might expect, those have been the Blue Raiders best performances. They haven't won any of the six lined contests, but tonight marks just the second time they'll be catching double digits. The first was against Villanova, who is a heck of a lot better than Ole Miss. Prior to last Saturday's 83-67 win over Cal State Bakersfield, the Rebels had looked downright dreadful in a pair of losses to Butler and Oklahoma State. They scored just 37 points vs. OSU and I don't see this being a game where the favorite is going to give a solid 40 minutes. Too many points for a team not rated in the Top 50 to be laying here. Play on MIDDLE TENNESSEE AAA |
|||||||
12-13-19 | Hornets v. Bulls UNDER 214 | Top | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER This is the second straight game where the Bulls are being asked to lay points. They covered Wednesday, easily beating Atlanta 136-102. The Bulls have been favored more times than you probably realize (13x) including five of the first six games of the season. But we're approaching them with some caution coming off such a uncharacteristically big win. Plus Charlotte has pulled two straight upsets, winning at Brooklyn and at home vs. Washington. What we see is this game staying Under. Chicago certainly won't be shooting as well as it did vs. Atlanta when it finished with a season-best 57.4 field goal percentage. It had been nearly a month since they even finished a game at 50%. Charlotte has gone 10 straight games without shooting 50%. The last time they did was actually against Chicago, but we don't see history repeating itself. The first two times these teams played this year, the games were high scoring. But this one just "reeks" of an "off-shooting night for both teams. Play UNDER Charlotte-Chicago AAA |
|||||||
12-13-19 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 228 | Top | 127-114 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER The Bucks face the Grizzlies tonight and it should be an easy win. The pointspread does make things a little complicated as it falls pretty close to the average margin the Bucks are winning by on the road this year. Memphis is also in off two straight upset victories, though those came against Golden State and Phoenix. But the big news for this game concerns each team's best player. There's a chance neither Giannis Antetokounmpo nor Ja Morant may suit up. We know Morant has been ruled out due to his ongoing back issue. Antetokounmpo sat out Wednesday with a sore right quad. Either way, you can look for this game to stay Under. The Bucks are an elite defensive team that ranks #1 in the league in defensive efficiency. The last five games have seen them allow an average of just 99 points. Memphis is toward the bottom of the league in offensive efficiency and that's with Morant. The Grizzlies are 5-1 under this year after scoring 115 or more their last game. Play UNDER Milwaukee-Memphis AAA |
|||||||
12-13-19 | Colorado -5 v. Colorado State | Top | 56-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO Colorado State losing by 22 at home to San Diego State last week sets the precedent for them not doing well tonight. The Rams looked badly outclassed in that game. That shouldn't have been too surprising considering SDSU is one of the five teams in the country still without a loss. That tidbit is relevant today because it wasn't all that long ago that Colorado was still undefeated. As in this time last week. We called for them to suffer their first defeat of the season last Saturday at Kansas, which they did, and just as we predicted they did not cover the spread either (lost 72-58). The Buffaloes then lost again Tuesday, to a good Northern Iowa team (10-1), a game which they were 9.5-point favorites. After failing to cover in six straight, this is where Colorado gets its mojo back. This is still a ranked team (#24). They were a 13.5-point favorite in this game last year when it was played in Boulder. They might be a better team in 2019. They've already won at Arizona State, so I'm not concerned with Colorado winning on the road. Play COLORADO AAA |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Maple Leafs -116 v. Flames | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Calgary has won six in a row, but we’re not buying it as they’ve still got a negative goal differential this season. Give them credit for winning at both Colorado and Arizona, but before that it had been some weak competition. Tonight it’s a Toronto team that is also off two impressive road wins. They won at St. Louis and Vancouver, scoring nine goals in the process. Frederik Andersen continues to produce in goal for the Maple Leafs as he made 38 saves against the Coyotes. He has a .941 save percentage in non-conference games. The Leafs average 3.5 goals per game on the road. That’s tied for third best in the league. The Flames have responded well to the coaching change, but it’s just a temporary thing. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -15.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 10* on BALTIMORE After a couple of close calls with San Francisco and Buffalo, the Ravens should have little difficulty blowing past the Jets Thursday night. We say that knowing full well that QB Lamar Jackson has been bothered by a hamstring injury this week. But the MVP candidate still has more than enough support to get him through this game, against one of the league's worst teams. The Jets could barely get by the Dolphins last week. That's a team Baltimore defeated in Week 1 by a score of 59-10. It's been nine straight wins for the Ravens, five of those coming by 14 points or more. New York simply does not have the capability to hang with the league's highest scoring team. Yes, the Jets have had some big offensive games this year, but those were all against bad teams. This is a team that lost by 16 points to a winless Cincinnati team the last time it was on the road. They are 0-7 straight up and 2-5 against the spread as an underdog of 10 or more points. The Ravens are 1st in scoring and 2nd in total offense. The Jets are 29th and 31st. Total mismatch. Play on BALTIMORE AAA |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Austin Peay v. West Virginia -16 | Top | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WEST VIRGINIA Look for West Virginia to bounce back from its first loss of the season. They are facing an overmatched Austin Peay team tonight in Morgantown. Saturday they went to St. John’s and lost 70-68 as a four-point favorite. They did the job defensively, holding the Red Storm to 32.7 percent shooting, including 2 of 17 from three-point range. But that effort was undermined by too many turnovers and getting outshot at the free throw line (were -15 in attempts). In a two-point game, that’ll cost you. Austin Peay is 0-4 on the road, losing by an average of 13.8 points per game. The teams the Governors have beaten this year are not anywhere near the same class as WVU. Even in a win over North Florida on Saturday, they struggled defensively by giving up 83 points. Look for the Mountaineers to be more careful with the basketball tonight and they’ll have the free throw edge at home. Play on WEST VIRGINIA AAA |
|||||||
12-11-19 | Pelicans v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The potential for Milwaukee to score a lot of points tonight is definitely there. New Orleans gives up almost 120 points/game. Only Washington gives up more than that. But this will only be the third time that a Bucks home game has had a total of at least 230 points attached to it. The first two both stayed Under - by very comfortable margins. The most recent was last Friday's 119-91 win over the Clippers. That was followed with yet another Under, this one with a much lower number, against Orlando on Monday as the Bucks won 110-101. Often lost in all the success Milwaukee has had the last two regular seasons is that they have been the #1 team in defensive efficiency. They should have little difficulty shutting down this terrible Pelicans team tonight. New Orleans has lost nine in a row has been been held under 105 points in five of its last six. They've missed 59 of 70 three-point attempts the last two games. The Bucks have won 15 in a row, should have no problem getting to 16 here and will keep the Pelicans in check. Play UNDER New Orleans-Milwaukee AAA |
|||||||
12-11-19 | Celtics v. Pacers +1 | Top | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Winners of four straight, Boston has a 17-5 record. They've also covered the spread the last four games. But here's where we start adding caveats. The Celtics are 10-0 at home. That's where they've played the last three games. The road finds them at a less impressive 7-5. Tonight they're in Indiana to a face a Pacers team that's not to be taken lightly. Coming off a five-game road trip where every game was close (finished 3-2 SU/ATS), the Pacers returned home Monday to face the Clippers. They lost 110-99 as it was a poor shooting night. But the Pacers haven't lost two straight at home all year. They are 9-3 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Boston is a shocking 11-0 ATS vs. teams with winning records this season. But a good number of those games were at home where they are undefeated. Before they won New York on December 1st, the Celtics had failed to cover three straight times as road favorites with two outright losses. Indiana will be taking this game quite seriously. Not that Boston won't. But the Pacers have a score to settle in the sense that they have lost seven in a row to the Celtics, including a four-game sweep in last year's playoffs. Time for some revenge! Play on INDIANA AAA |
|||||||
12-11-19 | Yale v. Massachusetts +4.5 | Top | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on UMass Massachusetts season started well enough. The Minutemen were a perfect 5-0 going into the Hall of Fame Classic in Connecticut. They lost both games that weekend and haven't recovered since. It's now a five-game losing streak after getting blown out by Harvard this past weekend. They haven't covered in four games. But just one of those five losses was at home and that was by just four points to South Carolina. Poor shooting has doomed the Minutemen during this five-game losing streak and at the same time they've given up at least 80 points in three straight. Yale, who has won five in a row straight up and covered its last eight, comes to Amherst tonight. While this looks like two ships sailing in opposite directions, we're not about to discount the benefits of home court advantage. Yale is playing its third straight road game. This is the most points UMass has gotten for any home game yet. Take the points. Play on UMass AAA |
|||||||
12-10-19 | Nuggets v. 76ers UNDER 206 | Top | 92-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER This may look like a low total, but the teams combined for only 197 points when they met last month. That 100-97 win by Denver didn't even feature that bad of shooting. When it came to three-point shooting, the teams combined to go 22 of 48, which is quite good! The Nuggets have been a strictly Under team thus far with a 16-5 mark that includes 10-1 vs. winning teams. They give up just 101.9 points/game, which is #1 in the league. Another key to their "Under success" is that they play at one of the league's slowest paces. Only three teams see a lower average of total possessions per game. Something else that has us on the Under here is Philadelphia being the home team. The Sixers 12-0 home record has been built on them allowing only 98.7 points/game here. That's the fewest number of points allowed by any team at home. These teams have combined to go 11-3-1 Under their last 15 games. Play UNDER Denver-Philadelphia AAA |
|||||||
12-10-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Kansas -26 | Top | 68-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* on KANSAS Kansas' season started with a 68-66 loss to Duke. Since then, the Jayhawks have looked as good as any team in the country. They've won seven in a row, six of those wins coming by at least 12 points. We used them as our Game of the Week on Saturday as they ended Colorado's unbeaten run with a resounding 72-58 victory. Tonight promises to be among the Jayhawks easiest games to date as they'll be hosting Wisconsin-Milwaukee. While all four of their losses have been by six points or less, the Panthers haven't played anybody close to the caliber of Kansas. Their most recent game was a 56-53 loss at Drake, which took place exactly one week ago. Despite having a week off, the spot is still not great for the underdog here. Before Drake, which was their first real road game, they'd played three games in three days in the Bahamas. The offensive numbers in those last four games aren't very good, which is a concern facing a Kansas team that has held its opponents to 37.7% shooting. The Jayhawks are already winning by an average of 17.7 points/game and this should be their easiest game since facing Chaminade. Play on KANSAS AAA |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Thunder +8 v. Jazz | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OKC Oklahoma City is in a back to back but this is too many points for Utah to be laying. They lost two All-Stars in the offseason, but the Thunder are hanging tough and a pretty average team. That may not sound like any kind of ringing endorsement, but most were thinking this team was going to finish well below .500. Truthfully, Utah hasn't been a whole lot better than OKC this season. They have. Both teams have outscored the opposition by < than 1 pt per game. The Thunder have won 4 of 5 did go into Portland last night and come away with a 108-96 win as 3.5-point dogs. The Jazz beat Memphis Saturday night, but have lost five of seven overall and both wins were against Memphis. It's been awhile since Utah beat a decent team. Just because the Thunder played last night doesn't mean they should be the big of an underdog. Play on OKLAHOMA CITY AAA |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Eli Manning will be starting for the Giants this evening. Not by choice, but rather due to the fact his replacement (Daniel Jones) is injured. You may recall things were not looking so good for Eli at the start of the season. In two games, both losses, he posted a QBR of 38.4. The Giants offense scored just 31 points. Things haven't been looking good for the Giants for some time now. They did win Jones' first two starts, but have dropped eight in a row since. During that losing streak, they've been held to 18 points or less five times. To think Manning will come in and right the ship seems outlandish. The Eagles also have issues. Last week saw them suffer an embarrassing 37-31 loss to Miami. Not sure where that (lack of) defensive effort came from. The previous four games all saw the Eagles defense give up no more than 17 points. At the same time, we don't trust what the Eagles did on offense in that game either. The previous three weeks saw them score a total of 41 points. Three times in the last six games, they scored 10 points or less. Philadelphia obviously needs this game more as somehow they've remained in playoff contention. But don't look for them to put up many points either. Same with the Giants. Play UNDER Giants-Eagles AAA |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Pistons v. Pelicans UNDER 227 | Top | 105-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER This has all the makings of a pretty ugly matchup. New Orleans has lost eight straight and their last game was the most shameful of the bunch as they were beaten by 46 points. Detroit is 2-9 on the road. The Pelicans have given up 130 or more points three times during the eight-game losing skid, including back to back games. They are without question one of the worst defensive teams in the league. But facing the Pistons is a bit of a break. Detroit only averages 105.8 points/game on the road. The Pistons last two games were each at home and they managed only 103 and 108 points in those. New Orleans has shot just 43.2% its last five games. In both losses to Dallas last week, they were held below 100 points. Under is 25-12 for Detroit last 37 times the total has been 220 or higher. When on the road, the Under is 15-3 in those games. New Orleans has gone Under in five of its last six games. Play UNDER Detroit-New Orleans AAA |
|||||||
12-09-19 | Islanders v. Lightning -183 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -183 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 6* on TAMPA BAY After a record-setting regular season and a shocking first round playoff exit last season, the Lightning made for an interesting team to evaluate coming into 2019-20. Right now, they actually sit in sixth place in the Atlantic, a division they won by 21 points a season ago. However, they actually scored 15 more goals than they've allowed, which tells us that better results could be on the horizon. The Lightning are certainly being price like a real "heavyweight" for tonight's game against the Islanders. Maybe that's because of they beat San Jose 7-1 on Saturday. Or maybe it's just because the linesmakers know that this is still one of the better home teams in the league. Despite being in sixth place, the Lightning lead the league with an average of 4.3 goals/game scored at home. The Islanders aren't a great road team, primarily because they only average 2.3 goals/game there. Too much scoring will be the difference for the hosts in this one. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Sabres v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Buffalo has been involved in some real high-scoring affairs lately. Last night's 6-5 loss in Vancouver was the highest scoring of the bunch. We have (many) reasons to believe tonight's game in Edmonton will follow the recent pattern. The two meetings last year resulted in 9 and 7 goals being scored. The Oilers have averaged just 2.0 goals the last five games, but are at 3.4 for the year here at home. They also allow 3.3 goals/game at home. So Oilers home games are typically high scoring to begin with, then you throw in the fact Buffalo is giving up 3.5 goals/game on the road. Key forwards are back for both sides. Edmonton has given up four goals three times in the last five games. Play OVER Buffalo-Edmonton AAA |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Kings v. Mavs -7.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DALLAS The oddmakers have essentially been "asleep at the wheel" when it comes to the Mavericks team, which just surpassed the Lakers for the best point differential in the Western Conference. Following Saturday's 130-84 beatdown of New Orleans, the Mavs are outscoring teams by 10.3 points per game this season. Thus the oddsmakers probably couldn't make this number high enough for a home date with Sacramento. Dallas is 10-1 straight up and against the spread its last 11 games. Three wins, including yesterday's, have come by more than 40 points! Barring some kind of mental letdown, they should win tonight's home game with ease. The Kings have lost three games in a row, all of them to teams with losing records. This will be a third straight road game for them as well. They are just 3-9 on the road so far. Sacramento actually has the same ATS record as Dallas for the season. Both are 13-8. But the difference is that the Mavericks have seven more straight up wins. The Kings actually swept last year's season series, winning all three matchups. This is a different year. The Kings may be without both De'Aron Fox and Marvin Bagley III. They are in trouble here. Play on DALLAS. AAA |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Steelers -1 v. Cardinals | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PITTSBURGH Because they are down to their third string quarterback, who is a rookie that came from a FCS school, the Steelers are not being taken all that seriously as playoff contenders. But compared to most teams, they are better suited to still make a run. They shouldn't have much trouble beating the 3-8-1 Cardinals this week. Pittsburgh's success starts with a defense that is allowing just 18.8 points/game. Only five teams allow fewer. Only four allow fewer than the 317.2 yards/game allowed. Now compare that to Arizona, who is last in the league at 426.3 yards/game allowed. Miami is the only team that has allowed more points. Devlin "Duck" Hodges won the Walter Payton Award last year at Samford. That award is given out annually to the top offensive player in the FCS. Moving forward, Hodges is a better option than Mason Rudolph for Mike Tomlin. The Cardinals have just three wins and they are by a combined 10 points. The last one came on October 20th. They aren't going to beat the Steelers. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals OVER 43 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER We also like this game to go Over the total. That may sound surprising given all that is true about this Steelers defense. But remember what we said about Arizona's defense. The Cardinals are last in the league at 426.3 yards/game allowed. Miami is the only team that has allowed more points. The 2-10 Giants are the only opponent that failed to reach 23 points on them. Five of the last six games have seen the Cards give up at least 30. If Pittsburgh is able to get to 30, then we're looking at a pretty easy Over here. Arizona's offense was pathetic in a 34-7 loss to the Rams last week, but had averaged 26 points over its three previous games. They can score between 14 and 20 here, right? The Under has hit in every Steelers road game so far (five of them). But three of those came against teams that have top four defenses (in yards allowed). Another was against the 31st ranked scoring offense (Cincinnati). Finally, the last one that needs accounted for was on a short week (Thursday night loss to the Browns). Weather won't be a factor this week either. Play OVER Pittsburgh-Arizona AAA |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Titans -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show |
analysis soon |
|||||||
12-08-19 | 49ers +2.5 v. Saints | Top | 48-46 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN FRANCISCO It doesn't happen often, but both teams are 10-2. This is only the fifth such matchup in the last 35 seasons and the first since 2005. San Francisco lost a tough one last week to Baltimore to drop to 10-2. New Orleans won on Thanksgiving, though they didn't make it easy on themselves when they allowed Atlanta to recover two onside kicks. While the records may be the same, other numbers say the 49ers have been the more dominant team. Their point differential is +166, best in the NFC. The Saints point differential is only +50. The Niners outgained the Ravens 6.4 to 4.6 yards per play, which is substantial. The Saints were outgained by the Falcons, had half as many first downs, but managed to force four turnovers. The 49ers defense, which is #1 against the pass, does far better when not facing a mobile QB like Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson or Lamar Jackson. Against all other offenses, they have allowed 221.1 yards (total) and 10.6 points/game. Look for them to have success pressuring Drew Brees, who is not mobile. The better team is getting points and that's a combination we like. After falling from the #1 seed in the NFC because of last week's loss, a win here would put San Francisco right back in the driver's seat. Play on SAN FRANCISCO AAA |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 41.5 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The Browns saw their playoff hopes take a major hit with last week's loss to the Steelers. This game with the Bengals no longer looks like a cakewalk as for the first time all season, Cincinnati is off a win. At least the game is at home where the Browns have won three in a row. This offense is having all sorts of problems but did score 41 two weeks ago here vs. Miami. Browns home games are seeing a total of 46.2 points/game scored this year. That's up from 40.2 on the road. With Andy Dalton back as the starting quarterback for the Bengals, they are a far greater threat to put some points on the board. We saw this last week when they put up 22 on the Jets, ending what had been a 13-game losing streak dating back to last season. That may not sound like much, but it was the most points put up by Cincy since a Week 5 loss to Arizona, a game which Dalton also started. Going with Ryan Finley was not a terrible idea by a first year coach, but it was painfully obvious Finley wasn't very good. Dalton makes this a better offense as he's auditioning for a job (probably somewhere else) next year. The Under is 6-0 in Bengals road games, but this game puts an end to that streak. Play OVER Cincinnati-Cleveland AAA |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 218.5 | Top | 112-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Utah is mired in an awful stretch where they've lost three times by 19 or more points and five of six overall. However, lucky for them, tonight's game is against the one team they've beaten during that stretch. Memphis has lost eight of its last nine including 104-93 to the Jazz at home on November 29th. That game stayed well Under the total as neither team shot well. However, the Grizzlies did have a 55-40 halftime lead. For tonight's rematch, we like the Over. The Grizzlies are giving up 116.5 points/game and the Jazz are pretty strong at home where they are 8-2 straight up an averaging 109.0 points/game. They should do their part in getting this one Over the total, but what about Memphis? Well, while Ja Morant is still injured, Jonas Valanciunas has picked up the slack by averaging 28 points and 15.3 rebounds the last three games. The Jazz aren't quite as tight defensively as they've been in past years. Play OVER Memphis-Utah AAA |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Colorado v. Kansas -9.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on KANSAS We're down to 16 teams that have yet to taste defeat this College Basketball season. One of them is involved here and surprisingly it is not Kansas. Colorado has begun 7-0, but of the 10 unbeatens in action today they are one of just two getting points (Arizona @ Baylor is the other). Certainly, it would appear as if this is the time for the Buffaloes to lose for the first time. The only question is: can Kansas cover the spread? We think so. The Jayhawks have been off since the night before Thanksgiving when they rallied to defeat Dayton in overtime to win the Maui Invitational. Returning to Lawrence - where they have not played since November 19th - should be a big boon. Colorado is just 7-19 SU, 7-18-1 ATS its last 26 road games and this figures to be among the most challenging of all of them. This is their first road game this year. The Buffaloes needed a late 15-1 run to beat back Loyola Marymount Wednesday. They seem ripe for the picking here. Play on KANSAS AAA |
|||||||
12-07-19 | UAB v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 50 | Top | 6-49 | Loss | -112 | 64 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER UAB and Florida Atlantic will play Saturday in Boca Raton for the Conference USA Championship. These are the two previous Championship Game winners with FAU winning in 2017 and UAB winning last year. Obviously, Florida Atlantic has an edge with this Championship Game being played at home. Conference USA is one of only three conferences that play its Title Game at a campus site (American and Mountain West are the others). Though conference rivals, it's not like UAB and FAU are regular opponents. They haven't met since 2014. From 2008-14, they did play six times. All six games went Over. We believe this one is going to go a little differently. UAB has a great defense. They give up only 18.5 points/game. Problem is the offense struggles to score big time when it is on the road. There were back to back games at Tennessee and Southern Miss where the Blazers managed only nine points - total! UAB only faced four teams that are bowl eligible this year. The most points they scored in any of those games was 20. Florida Atlantic surged down the stretch and has won five in a row coming into Saturday. They've averaged an impressive 37.4 points/game during that win streak. But look for the Owls to be held well below that number here. At the same time, three of those five wins saw them allow 17 points or less. Given what we know about the UAB offense, that's a realistic number here. Play UNDER UAB-Florida Atlantic AAA |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Miami-OH +7 v. Central Michigan | Top | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 62 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI Central Michigan's only win of 2018 was against Maine, an FCS team. But the Chippewas have gone from 1-11 to 8-4 and MAC Championship Game favorite in just a year's time. Collectively, the MAC was pretty weak this year. So the idea any team would be favored by a touchdown in a Championship Game scenario just doesn't seem right. This line surprised us. Miami finished 7-5 overall and won the MAC East with a 6-2 conference record. Because they wrapped the division up three weeks ago, it meant they had nothing to play for the last two games. They only beat Akron by three and then lost by 14 last week at Ball State. We played against them both times and won! There is no shame in the RedHawks three non-conference losses as they were to Iowa, Cincinnati and Ohio State. The RedHawks are 24-8 straight up their last 34 conference games. Last week saw them rest starters in the second half, which is how a 27-14 halftime lead turned into a 41-27 loss. QB Gabbert got hurt in the 1st half, but is ready to go this week. Both teams were much better at home than on the road in the regular season. But Central Michigan had some bad losses (Buffalo, Western Michigan) and was lucky to beat Ball State after a big comeback. Expect a close game here. Rumors of Central Michigan coach Jim McElwain going to Missouri may be a distraction. Play on MIAMI OHIO AAA |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Clippers v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 91-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MILWAUKEE No idea why this early season showdown isn't on ESPN. But we'll be watching as the Bucks bring a 13-game win streak into Friday. They lost just one time in November and that was in the second night of a back to back, by three points, at Utah. Ironically, that last defeat came one night after the Bucks beat the Clippers. It was 129-124 in LA as the Bucks were actually six-point road favorites. Paul George did not play in that game and neither did Kawhi Leonard. The presence of the two LA superstars is not something we feel is enough to stem the tide here in Milwaukee. The Clippers have been a dominant home team so far, going 13-1 straight up at Staples Center. But they are only 3-5 on the road (2-6 ATS). This will be among the toughest road games of the year, if not THE toughest. The Bucks are 9-1 at home. But they're not just winning, they are consistently blowing teams out. Their average margin of victory here in Milwaukee is 15.1 points/game! Look for them to sweep this season series. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Magic -3.5 v. Cavs | Top | 93-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ORLANDO Cleveland has been the gift that keeps on giving for Orlando. The Magic are already 2-0 against the Cavs this season with those wins have come by 9 and 12 points. For this third meeting, the Magic come in on a three-game win streak. This is the second time Orlando has been on a three-game win streak. The first ended with a 113-97 loss to Toronto. But there's a big difference in facing the NBA Champs and the pitiful Cavs. Cleveland has lost 10 of 11 and was just beaten by 27 here at home Tuesday night. That 27-point loss was to a Pistons team that had not won consecutive games all season. The Cavs were never really in the game and trailed by as many as 35 points. While still under .500 for the year, the Magic have always done one thing well. That's play defense. The number of points they allow - 103.4 per game - is tops in the conference. More encouraging is the way they've increased their own scoring recently. The last two games have seen them post season-highs with 127 and 128 points. Orlando may not have a good road record, but neither does Detroit and they just blew out the Cavs. Look for the Magic to win a season-best fourth straight game. Play on ORLANDO AAA |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Northern Illinois v. St. Mary's UNDER 130.5 | Top | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The last four St. Mary's games have all gone Over. Look for this one to buck that trend. For starters, they'll be matched up with an opponent that can play some defense. Northern Illinois opponents have shot just 38.4% for the season. The spread also suggests that we're in store for an Under. Of the last 28 times St. Mary's has been a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points, the Under has come through 20 times. That includes a 5-1 run the last six times in the situation. Northern Illinois is going to need its defense because it doesn't shoot very well on the road. They're hitting below 40% in their three previous road games. St. Mary's has allowed more than 66 points in a game just one time and that was to nationally ranked Utah State. NIU has only had one bad defensive effort thus far. It wasn't the last game where they kept Oakland to 50 points. Both games where Northern Illinois has been an underdog, the game has gone Under. They averaged just 53 points in the two losses. Play UNDER Northern Illinois-St. Mary's AAA |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHICAGO The Bears, like the Cowboys, are 6-6. But they won on Thanksgiving. It was against a 3rd string QB mind you and by only four points, but a win is a win in this league. Dallas lost to Buffalo 26-15, which was their third setback in the last four games. They've lost six of the last nine games. We just aren't of the mindset to be laying points with this Dallas team on the road right now. Just to illustrate how overvalued this team has been, they've been favored in all but one game this year. They have six losses. This is the third straight week that the Cowboys are facing a top five scoring defense. Against New England and Buffalo, they managed just 9 and 15 points. The Bears have not allowed more than 22 points in any of their last six games. Chicago has only covered one of its last eight games, but what you may be surprised to learn is that this is only the third time they will be an underdog. Like Dallas, they've been an overvalued team much of the year. Not anymore. Trubisky has actually played better of late. He's thrown for 979 yards the last four games including a season-high 338 on Thanksgiving. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears OVER 43 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Both teams are 6-6 and coming off Thanksgiving Day games. Chicago won on Turkey Day, 24-20 over Detroit, while Dallas lost 26-15 to Buffalo. The Cowboys have lost three of their last four games and six of the last nine. This is the third straight week the Cowboys are facing a top five scoring defense. Against New England and Buffalo, they managed just 9 and 15 points. The Bears have not allowed more than 22 points in any of their last six games. However, despite some of the recent struggles, Dallas still has the league's #1 ranked offense. We believe they'll find more success here against the Bears than they did vs. Buffalo or New England. The Bears defense has gotten to face some pretty weak opposing quarterbacks of late, third stringer David Blough being the most recent example. Dak Prescott is the NFL's leading passer. Speaking of quarterbacks, Mitchell Trubisky has actually played better of late. He's thrown for 979 yards the last four games including a season-high 338 on Thanksgiving. This total is just too low. Even if the final score is 24-21, the game goes Over. This could end up being the lowest total for any Dallas game this season. Play OVER Dallas-Chicago AAA |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Suns v. Pelicans OVER 235 | Top | 139-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER This game has the potential for lots of points. Even though their previous four have all stayed Under, Pelicans games are averaging 232.5 points this year, one of the highest marks in the league. The Suns aren't far behind at 227.7. They just allowed 128 last night and that was to an Orlando team that is last in the league in scoring. It was the third time in the last four games that Phoenix gave up at least 120 points. So New Orleans should break out of its recent scoring slump tonight. The total is obviously high for this one. But it should be. The last four times the Suns and Pelicans have met, the fewest number of points they've combined for is 245! Obviously, all four times the Over hit. Two weeks ago, the Pelicans won 124-121 in Phoenix as both teams shot exceptionally well. The Over is 3-0 this year when the Suns are playing in the second night of a back to back (as they are here). Play OVER Phoenix-New Orleans AAA |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -2 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO Toronto is a team that continues to be underrated by the oddsmakers. Only the Bucks and Lakers have a better point differential on a per possession basis. Because they lost Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard, it was thought the NBA Champs would take a step back this year. That hasn't been the case at all. The Raptors just suffered their first loss at home. It saw them go to overtime with Miami on Tuesday. Given the game went to OT, the fact they lost by 11 points is misleading. They went 0 for 9 from the field in OT, eight of those misses coming from three-point land. Toronto is healthier than its been in awhile with both Serge Ibaka and Kyle Lowry back. Lowry actually returned for the Heat game. In his absence, the team played remarkably well. They'd won seven in a row prior to Tuesday. Houston is also coming off an overtime loss here. Theirs was a 2OT affair. They blew a 22-point lead, which makes things even more painful. There was a controversial call where a James Harden dunk was disallowed and obviously that was the difference in a 135-133 final. The Rockets had their own long win streak last month (eight in a row), but have actually lost four of six since. They are 5-5 on the road. Toronto deserves more respect at home. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 9* on COLUMBUS Neither team is playing "well" at the moment. The Rangers are coming off a 4-1 loss to Vegas where it could be argued that the power play was the difference. Vegas scored twice when it had the man advantage. New York was 0 for 6. Columbus has had issues scoring - whether on the power play or at even strength. They've gone 6-9-2 the last 17 games while being held to three goals or fewer 14 times. They lost 4-2 to Arizona Tuesday right here in Ohio. This boils down to the fact the Blue Jackets have had the Rangers number. Columbus is 5-0-1 the past six meetings. We also don't see the Blue Jackets losing two straight at home. It was a similar spot on 11/29 when they were facing Pittsburgh. Two days earlier they'd dropped a home game to the Flyers. They'd go on to beat the Penguins 5-2. The Rangers are allowing far too many shots on goal. The number is 36.5/game on the road. While they often struggle to score, the Blue Jackets are a good defensive team. Play on COLUMBUS AAA |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Capitals -128 v. Kings | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON This seems like an easy one for the Capitals, no? The leaders in the Metropolitan travel to Los Angeles to take on the last place team in the Pacific. There is a 21-point gap between the Caps and the Kings. Sometimes that can be misleading. Not here. Last night's 5-2 win at San Jose made it four straight for Washington. They've scored at least four goals in each of the four wins. This all makes it seem like a real cheap price on what anyone would feel is the better team tonight. If you were wondering, the Capitals are 3-1 in the second night of a back to back so far this season. The Kings lost Monday in Anaheim by a score of 4-2. They have been a better team at home, but most of the teams that come to Staples Center aren't as good as the one visiting tonight. The Capitals are 12-4 after scoring at least four goals the previous game. They've won three straight in this scenario, obviously. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Ohio State v. North Carolina -4 | Top | 74-49 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNC Don't look now but Ohio State is #6 in the country ... in basketball! But the unbeaten Buckeyes will face by far their toughest test of the season tonight when they visit #7 North Carolina. This is Ohio State's first road game. North Carolina finished third in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. Friday's 78-74 win over Oregon (a Top 25 team) ended what was an 0-5 ATS streak. The Tar Heels only loss this year was to Michigan in that same Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. There's no shame in that. Ohio State has covered five in a row. But they are 0-5 ATS all-time vs. UNC. Needless to say, we're going to learn just how good this team is tonight. Our view is that the Buckeyes could be at their "peak" right now and it's a good time to sell on them. This will be their biggest test defensively and while UNC has underperformed offensively (by its standard), they've still scored 75 points in every game besides the loss to Michigan. We can't see OSU going to Chapel Hill and winning. Play on NORTH CAROLINA AAA |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 230.5 | Top | 114-121 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Dallas won another game last night. They beat New Orleans 118-97. Luka Doncic continues to dazzle. He had a career high 18 rebounds in Tuesday's win. The Mavs are now 8-1 straight up and against the spread their last nine games after sweeping a three-game road trip. Tonight the Mavs return home to face Minnesota. The Timberwolves just suffered an embarrassing home loss to Memphis. In a game where they were 12-point favorites, they could only muster 107 points. Minny has gone Under in six of its last seven games. Despite Dallas having the most efficient offense in the NBA, they have gone Under in two straight. They haven't shot better than 43.3% in any of their last four games. Playing in the second night of a back to back should have the usual adverse effect on shooting here. This is just the second time the Mavs have had to do it this year. Minnesota has played really well on the road so far. But we don't expect that to continue moving forward. They are currently 7-2 in road games and averaging 118.3 points/game. Seems destined for a fall. Dallas has had only one game with a total of at least 230 points. It was last night's game, which went Under by 19 points. Play UNDER Minnesota-Dallas AAA |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Pacers v. Thunder | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA The Pacers deserve to be favorites here and we anticipate they will be by tipoff. They've won six of their last seven games and shot at least 50% from the field in their last five victories. Oklahoma City has actually performed a whole lot better than we thought they would. There was a mass talent exodus in the offseason with Paul George leaving for LA and Russell Westbrook going to Houston. Yet the Thunder are a somewhat respectable 8-11 SU on the year. But they just swept a home and home from New Orleans, meaning they were 6-11. Both wins over the Pelicans were close as it was a five-point win in OKC and a three-point win in NO. Since starting 0-3, Indiana has gone 13-4 with two of the four losses coming by three points or less. The other two were to Houston and Milwaukee, two of the league's better teams. The big key here is that OKC is just 1-7 SU vs. teams that have winning records. Play on INDIANA AAA |
|||||||
12-03-19 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 229.5 | Top | 97-117 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The Clippers scored 150 points in their last game and did so in a most unique way. Only four players scored more than 10 points. It was just the fifth time in NBA history that's happened and the first since the '89 Sonics. It wasn't even the first time the Clippers scored 150 this year. They did so against Atlanta on November 16th, also at home. In putting together a 12-1 home record, LA has averaged 116.4 points/game at Staples Center. This is a very good team, obviously. Even with three straight wins, Portland is a disappointing 8-12 this season. But the three-game win streak is encouraging, even if two of the wins came against Chicago. In between beating the Bulls twice, the Blazers scored 136 against Oklahoma City. So expect a high scoring game tonight. The Blazers are 5-1 Over this year when facing a team with a winning record. When these teams played last month, they combined to miss 47 of 62 three-point attempts (Clippers were in the second night of a back to back). That won't happen again. Play OVER Portland-LA Clippers AAA |
|||||||
12-03-19 | UTEP v. New Mexico State -4.5 | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW MEXICO STATE This is actually an early season rematch. UTEP won the first game, 65-50 as 2.5-point underdogs. But that was in El Paso. Tonight's visit to Las Cruces marks the first time the Miners have to hit the road this season. UTEP is undefeated (5-0), but has hardly faced the stiffest competition. Three of their wins have come against non-board teams. They beat New Mexico by three. The win over NMSU, which was the second game of the season, was the most impressive so far. But it speaks volumes that they are still underdogs to a 4-4 team they've already beaten. New Mexico State should be plenty motivated tonight. Not just because they are taking the court with revenge, but also because they were upset by George Mason in their last game. As a 5.5-point favorite, they lost 68-64. That game took place out on the Cayman Islands and saw NMSU blow a 12-point halftime advantage. There are several reasons the Aggies lost that first game vs. UTEP. One was they missed 9 of 11 free throw attempts. It was an all-around bad shooting night at 36.8% from the floor. That shouldn't be the case tonight at home. This Aggies team could easily be 6-2 right now and should get its revenge. Play on NEW MEXICO STATE AAA |
|||||||
12-03-19 | Wild v. Panthers -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is an 8* on FLORIDA Minnesota has won three in a row. We took them on Friday when they downed Ottawa 7-2, which was their biggest win to date in terms of margin. But that was at home as was Sunday's 3-1 win over Dallas. The Wild have been a much better team at home so far, going 7-1-2 as opposed to 5-10-2 on the road. They are back on the road tonight, visiting Florida. The Panthers are in second place in the Atlantic Division right now with only the red hot Bruins ahead of them. What's interesting is that the gap between the Panthers and Bruins is almost as large as the gap between the Panthers and the last place team in the division, Detroit. While a division title may not be in the cards for Florida, they still should easily beat this Minnesota team. The Panthers are 7-3-2 SU at home. The favorite has won eight of the last 10 times these teams have played. The home team has won four straight. Minnesota has been without goalie Devan Dubnyk, which will eventually catch up with them. Florida has turned to 25-year old Chris Driedger, who earned a shutout in his first career NHL start on Saturday. The Panthers won 3-0 over Nashville. While the Wild are only averaging 2.4 goals/game on the road, the Panthers average 3.7 here at home. Play FLORIDA AAA |
|||||||
12-02-19 | Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Vikings come into this game at 8-3. The Seahawks are 9-2. It should be a good one at Century Link Field on Monday with two of the NFC's best teams looking to improve their respective playoff positioning. Minnesota is off a bye, which seems helpful. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has had his fair share of struggles on Monday Night Football (0-7 SU and ATS!), but he comes into tonight's game with the highest passer rating in the NFL. Seattle QB Russell Wilson is #2. Both teams come in averaging roughly the same number of points per game. Minnesota is at 26.3 while Seattle is at 26.5. The Vikings defense allows about six points/game fewer. The Vikings have scored at least 23 points in seven of the last eight games. There have been only three games this season where they failed to score 23 points. Five of the last six have gone Over including three straight. The Seahawks are coming off a low-scoring win over Philadelphia (17-9), but before that had scored at least 27 points in eight of nine games. Really surprising is that Seattle allows 29.2 points/game at home. The Vikings defense has allowed an average of 6.2 yards/play the last three games, which isn't good. Play OVER Minnesota-Seattle AAA |
|||||||
12-02-19 | Jazz v. 76ers UNDER 207.5 | Top | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The Jazz suffered a humiliating 130-110 loss in Toronto last night, which included an all-time bad first half. They were down 77-37 going into the break. That's the largest halftime deficit in Utah history and the eighth largest in NBA history! It was the second time on this road trip where the Jazz got blown out. They also lost by 19 at Indiana on Wednesday. They are just 1-3 SU on said trip, which ends tonight in Philadelphia. The Sixers have won three in a row including beating Indiana on Saturday, which improved their home record to a perfect 9-0. This is the second straight game where the Jazz are facing a team that hasn't lost a home game. The Raptors and Sixers are two of only three teams yet to lose at home. Miami is the other. You have to figure the Jazz will come out motivated tonight. We expect better play at the defensive end where they still rank in the top 10 in efficiency. They are 9th, one spot below Philadelphia. Neither team ranks in the top half in offensive efficiency. This is a rematch from an early season game won by the Jazz in Utah, 106-104. Look for a little less scoring this time. Play UNDER Utah-Philadelphia AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Oilers v. Canucks -123 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER Vancouver goes for a home and home sweep tonight against Edmonton. They won in Alberta 5-2 yesterday. Key to last night's win were a couple of early goals, one on the power play and the other short-handed. The teams were even at even strength, though the Canucks had the edge in shots. Despite being the 1st place team in the Pacific, the Oilers give up a lot of goals. They've allowed 19 in the last five games and 34 in the last nine. Three times in their last five games, Vancouver has scored five or more. The Canucks have won 3 of 5 and one of the losses saw them blow a three-goal lead in the final six minutes. Edmonton has pulled off a lot of come from behind victories this year, which isn't really a viable pathway for success. They are 25th in Corsi For %. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans OVER 46 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on OVER The Patriots have held every opponent but one to 14 points or less. That one exception was Baltimore, who hung 37. That's New England's only loss. Tonight, they face another dynamic, playmaking QB in DeShaun Watson. While the Patriots may very well win this game, expect them to give up more points than they usually do. The Texans are 7-4 and lead the AFC South by one game over Indianapolis and Tennessee. With those two teams playing each other this week, a loss here by Houston would guarantee a first place tie in the division. So this is a really important game for the Texans. Unfortunately, they've managed to beat the Patriots only one time in franchise history. Eight of the 11 all-time meetings have gone Over with New England scoring at least 27 in the last 10. Houston has scored at least 20 points in every game but three. Two of those three came in the first four weeks. The other was vs. Baltimore. While they've gone Under in four straight, the only time the defense was really tested, they gave up 41 points. Much is being made of New England's recent offensive struggles. Even Tom Brady has been pretty vocal about it. But we expect a big game from Brady tonight. Houston's defense has allowed over 500 yards rushing in the three games since JJ Watt got hurt. Keep an eye on receiver N'Keal Henry, who caught a TD last week for the Patriots. Play OVER New England-Houston AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Celtics -8 v. Knicks | Top | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON Boston took a loss in Brooklyn Friday afternoon, a game in which they didn't even face former teammate Kyrie Irving. Maybe it was the early start, but the Celtics didn't come out sharp and fell behind by 14 points in the first quarter. They never really recovered. It should be a much easier time against New York's other team, the Knicks, who have lost five straight to fall to 4-15. In those five straight losses, NY has scored no more than 104 points. They couldn't even hold a 16-point lead against Philadelphia Friday, losing here at home 101-95. The Celtics remain one of the league's premier defensive teams as they are holding opponents to a 43.2 FG%. They have lost two games in a row just one time this season and those were road games vs. the Nuggets and Clippers. The only previous time they lost a game where they were favored to win, they came back and won the next one by 14 points. This is the third meeting already this season. The Knicks played the Celtics tough in Boston, losing by just two, but also lost at home to them by 23. This is a bottom five team with nothing going for it. Play accordingly. Play on BOSTON AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Redskins +11 v. Panthers | Top | 29-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WASHINGTON We just don't see Carolina winning this game by double digits. Not after last week's tough 34-31 loss to New Orleans, their fourth loss in the past five weeks. Washington actually won last week, so there's at least some positivity for a 2-win team. The Panthers haven't been a double digit favorite in over three years. Believe it or not, they've been asked to lay this many only six previous times in franchise history! The only two times they were favored by more than a field goal this year came in home games against Atlanta and Tampa Bay. They lost both. There are two key injuries Carolina will have to deal with, both of them season enders. The bigger of the two is to DT Dontari Poe, who had been quite the disruptive presence. The other is along the offensive line with Greg Van Roten. The Redskins defense has actually done a somewhat admirable job recently. They've held four of their last six opponents below 20 points and only one scored more than 24. If they can do that again, then this should be an easy cover. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Bucs v. Jaguars UNDER 47.5 | Top | 28-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER We'll try this again. Nine straight Tampa Bay games have gone Over. At least this week, they've got an opponent that shouldn't do much in the way of scoring.Jacksonville has lost three straight (all division games) and averaged only 12 points/game in doing so. Since returning, Nick Foles hasn't meant much. Whether it's been Foles or Gardner Minshew II at quarterback, the Jaguars are still averaging less than 20 points/game this year. The Jaguars defense was gashed badly last week by Tennessee. At one point, they allowed four touchdowns in six plays. Now they are dealing with injuries on top of that. It looks bad and Tampa Bay's offense certainly has big play capability. But look for the Jags somehow, someway to be better on defense. Bucs QB Jameis Winston can certainly be a drive-killer with his turnovers. Jacksonville's offense isn't going to do much here and because of that, the game will stay Under. Each of the last three weeks, Tampa's games have not gone Over until the final minute. Play UNDER Tampa Bay-Jacksonville AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | Top | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CINCINNATI The Bengals are 0-11 (have lost 13 in a row going back to last year), are turning back to Andy Dalton (seems desperate) and are 0-4 ATS this year when getting less than six points. But we're still going to go with them. That may sound suicidal. But consider what we're fading here. The Jets are road favorites just three weeks removed from a 1-7 start. They have won three in a row, scoring 34 in every game. But they are 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season and lost outright both times. Going back more, they are 1-5 SU and ATS their last six times as a favorite. Cincy hasn't won this year, but they've been close numerous times. Over half their defeats have seen them come within one score. In terms of trying to get a win, Dalton is probably better than the ineffective Ryan Finley. The coaching staff was right to see what they had in Finley, but it turns out it wasn't much. Remember that the Jets lost in Miami. Before that, it had been two years since they'd been a road favorite. They lost that time too, 23-0. They have not closed higher than -3 on the road since 2011. Play on CINCINNATI AAA |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Army +3 v. Hawaii | Top | 31-52 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ARMY Army is 5-6 and needs a win to go bowling for a third consecutive season. Hawaii is 8-3 and has the Mountain West Championship Game (vs. Boise State) on deck. This seems like an excellent opportunity to take Army plus the points. Army is also coming off a bye as well as two easy opponents before that. Hawaii just won a hard fought game last week against San Diego State that came down to a missed field goal. The Warriors won 14-11 to clinch their division and thus move onto the Mt West's Championship Game next week. For the record, we were on Hawaii last week. They were our 10* Game of the Week, in fact! When getting set to face Army, an extra week of preparation is beneficial because of the triple option. Well, not only does Hawaii not have the extra week to prepare, they've got to be thinking about next week's game vs. Boise State. That one is more important to these players and coaching staff. As for Army, winning here is all that matters so that they can get to six wins. When coming off a bye, they've gone 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS. They've also covered 9 of 13 as underdogs with five outright wins. Hawaii is 3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS coming off back to back wins. Play on ARMY AAA |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Hawks v. Rockets UNDER 236.5 | Top | 111-158 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER There are definitely some distinct patterns emerging with these two teams. Really, the recent results couldn't be any more different. Houston has won 9 of its last 12 games (also going 10-2 ATS) while Atlanta has lost 12 of 13, including eight straight. The Hawks lost last night, in overtime, 105-104 at Indiana. But the Hawks have at least managed to halt one streak this week. Prior to Wednesday's 111-102 loss to Milwaukee, they'd gone Over in 10 consecutive games. Last night's loss also stayed Under even though the game went to overtime. This many Atlanta games going Over the total is a little bit surprising in that they are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency. While also bad defensively, they're not quite as inept, ranking only 24th in efficiency there. The Rockets are 6-1 to the Under when facing an Eastern Conference team this season. They are 10-4 their last 14 games overall. Both times these teams met last season, the Under hit. The totals were pretty similar to the number we're getting tonight. Play UNDER Atlanta-Houston AAA |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Youngstown State v. Central Michigan -6.5 | Top | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CENTRAL MICHIGAN As a double digit dog, Central Michigan was up 50-32 at halftime on undefeated DePaul Tuesday. Not only did the Chippewas end up not winning, they also failed to cover! A disastrous second half yielded a final score of 88-75. They were getting 11 from the oddsmakers. CMU will need to "dust itself off" as they are back home Saturday to take on Youngstown State. This is a team they defeated last year, on the road, 100-94. They were 8-point favorites, meaning that they didn't cover there either. But it also means we're getting some good value. Here, the Chippewas are favored by less at home than they were last year on the road. Unless there's been some substantial improvement with YSU that we're unaware of, then this line makes no sense. The Penguins have played only one team of any real note, that being Louisville. They lost by 33 points. They've also lost by 22 to Akron and 12 to Louisiana. Both of those were road games. Central Michigan's schedule hasn't been all that impressive either, but they are among the highest scoring teams in the country at 96.1 points/game. Coming off the disappointing loss, we're looking for them to win in blowout fashion here. Play on CENTRAL MICHIGAN AAA |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Boston College +9.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON COLLEGE Boston College has won exactly 7 games in five of Steve Adazzio's six seasons here in Chesnut Hill. The outlier season was 2015 when the Golden Eagles went 3-9. To get to 7 wins again this year, they are going to have to first win this week and then a bowl game. There won't be a bowl for B.C. if they lose this week at Pittsburgh. They enter in at 5-6 after losing 40-7 last week at Notre Dame. This will now be the third try for six wins. They also lost at home to Florida State three weeks ago. Fortunately for BC, Pitt doesn't have much to play for here. The Panthers have 7 wins, so they'll be in a bowl. But they were shutout last week, 28-0, by Virginia Tech. We question whether this Panthers team can even score enough to cover a spread this big. They only average 20.2 points/game. None of Pitt's seven wins have been by more than 10 points. With only one meeting as ACC rivals, there's some unfamiliarity here. Pitt has been outscored despite a 7-4 record - by 1.3 points/game. B.C. has a virtually identical scoring differential. So this is a line that should be closer to a field goal. Some real value on a underdog that will be more motivated than the favorite. Play on BOSTON COLLEGE AAA |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech OVER 46.5 | Top | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Georgia will be playing LSU in the SEC Championship Game next week, but first they've got this date with Georgia Tech. It shouldn't be a very difficult game as the Yellow Jackets are struggling this year. We look for the Bulldogs to score a lot of points in this one, many more than they've been scoring against SEC defenses. Georgia Tech used to run the option under Paul Johnson, but has transitioned to a more pro style offense under first year coach Geoff Collins. As you'd expect, it's been a difficult transition with personnel fit for the old system. The Yellow Jackets are averaging only 17.5 points/game. But they did just score 28 in win over NC State last week. QB James Graham accounted for all four touchdowns, three throwing and one running. Georgia hasn't scored more than 27 points in six straight games. But look at some of the defenses they've had to go up against. Georgia Tech is giving up over 30 points/game, so expect this to be a big day for QB Jake Fromm and the rest of the Bulldogs offense. Georgia did score at least 30 in four of its first five games including 55+ in the two non-conference games that weren't Notre Dame. Six straight Unders is the streak Georgia is on coming into this game. It's time for the offense to finally get rolling again. They've scored 83 on Ga Tech the last two years and can send this one Over by themselves. Play OVER Georgia-Georgia Tech AAA |