Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-02-21 | Hornets +4.5 v. Pacers | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Indiana 8:15 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Charlotte +4.5 (5*) I had Charlotte last night and they let me down in a 21-point loss at Brooklyn. I am not going to let that deter me from coming back with them again today. Last night’s defeat dropped the Hornets season record to 24-23 (.511). Indiana has gone an abysmal 0-8 ATS and 1-7 straight up during their last 8 home games. The Pacers have a current season record of 21-25 (.457). Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season, any team with a win percentage of .510-600 that’s coming off a road loss by 20 points or more, and they are facing an opponent (Indiana) with a win percentage of .467 or worse, resulted in those teams going 27-4 (87.1%) straight up. Considering this straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this matchup it takes on added significance. Additionally, if those teams were an underdog in that previously mentioned betting angle, they were a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in those contests and won by a decisive margin of 11.5 points per game. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-21 | Mavs -5.5 v. Knicks | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Dallas @ New York 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Dallas -5.5 (5*) New York is coming off a 1-point loss at Minnesota on Wednesday in a game in which they squandered an 11-point lead heading into the 4th quarter. The Knicks have gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 this season as a home underdog of 1.5 or greater. The Knicks average point-spread during those 6 contests was +5.9 and they lost by an average of 11.6 points per game. Conversely, Dallas is 6-1 ATS and 7-0 straight up in their last 6 this season as a road favorite when facing an opponent that lost its previous game. The Mavericks outscored those 7 opponents by an average of 10.7 points per game. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-01-21 | Hornets +2.5 v. Nets | 89-111 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Charlotte +2.5 (5*) Since the start of the 1998 NBA season, any road team (Charlotte) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off a division SU&ATS win in which they allowed 107 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) with a win percentage of .384 or better, resulted in those road teams going 27-3 ATS (90%). Those road teams also won 26 of those 30 games straight up. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-21 | Kings +2.5 v. Spurs | 106-120 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ San Antonio 8:35 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Sacramento +2.5 (5*) San Antonio has lost 5 of their previous 6 games. The Spurs have gone a solid 12-7 on the road this season but are just 11-14 at home. Sacramento enters this contest riding a 5-game win streak and that includes a 132-117 victory at San Antonio on Monday. The Kings won those 5 contests by an average of 11.4 points per game. During that successful stretch, Sacramento has scored 120.4 points per game while shooting a red-hot 53.9% and made an impressive 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
New York @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New York -3.5 (10*) New York is coming off a 98-88 home loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 24-23 (.511). The Knicks have gone 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite following straight up loss. Their average line in those 8 contests was -3.6 and they won straight up by an average of 12.5 points per game. Conversely Minnesota enters today with a dismal 11-36 (.234) season record. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.0-points (New York) that’s playing after Game 11 of their season and is coming off a home SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 3.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Minnesota) with a win percentage of .244 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 29-1 (96.7%) since the 2005-2006 season began. Bet on New York minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-21 | Blazers -7.5 v. Pistons | 124-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Portland @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland -7.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 118-104 win over Toronto and did so as a 5.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, the Piston have gone a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS at home following a win by 7-points or more. All 6 of those losses came by 13-points or greater. Today will be the finale of a 4-game in 7-day road trip for Portland. They have gone 3-0 in the first 3 games of this trip. Portland is now a more than respectable 14-9 SU&ATS on the road this season. Portland has gone 20-5 straight up in their last 25 this season when facing teams with a losing record, and that includes 5-1 SU&ATS as a favorite of 5.5 or greater. Any NBA road favorite of 6.5 or more, versus an opponent coming off a win by 14 points or more, and they did so as an underdog of 9.5 or less, resulted in those road favorites going 14-0 ATS since the start of the 2015-2016 season. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was 15.2 points per game. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -6.5 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
UCLA vs. Michigan 9:55 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Michigan -6.5 (10*) #1 seed Michigan (23-4/.852) takes on #11 seed UCLA (21-9/.700) in Tuesday’s NCAA Tournament East Regional Final. The Wolverines are coming off a 76-58 win over Florida State while covering with ease as a 2.0-point favorite. UCLA is coming off an overtime win over Alabama and did so as a 6.0-point underdog. Since the 1990 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed that’s a favorite of 10.0 or less who possesses a win percentage of .851 to .944, and is playing after Round 1, and they covered their previous game by 4.5-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .771 or less and they are coming off an upset win, resulted in those top seeds going 12-0 ATS. The average line in those 12 contests was 8.8 and those #1 seeds won by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-21 | USC +8.5 v. Gonzaga | 66-85 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
USC vs. Gonzaga 7:15 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: USC +8.5 (5*) Besides Baylor, I believe that USC is the only other remaining team capable of giving Gonzaga a competitive game. The Trojans are excellent defensively. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins over Drake, Kansas, and Oregon, USC held those opponents 58.3 points scored per game and a combined 32.1% shooting. Furthermore, they have also averaged 83.0 points scored per game in the Big Dance and shot a sizzling hot 54.8% from the floor. I am not going to sit here and attempt poking holes in Gonzaga’s game. Quite frankly the Bulldogs have very few if any weaknesses to expose. Nevertheless, it’s all about beating the number and that’s my only concern. I am not going to go out on a limb and predict an outright upset. However, in my eyes there’s ample betting value on the sizable underdog USC. Bet on USC plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Arkansas vs. Baylor 9:57 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Baylor -7.5 (10*) Baylor is coming off a 62-51 win over Villanova and covered as a 7.5-point favorite. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Baylor has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 55 points or fewer and they outscored their opponents by an average of 16.1 points per game. Furthermore, Arkansas averages a robust 65 field goal attempts per game this season which translates to playing at a lightning-fast tempo. However, Baylor is 9-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons versus opponents averaging 62 or more field goal attempts per game and outscored those team by a decisive margin of 20.0 points per contest. Simply put, attempting to play up tempo basketball plays right into the Bears hands. Arkansas barely escaped with a 72-70 win over #15 seed Oral Roberts in their previous game while failing to cover as an 11.0-point favorite. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 9.0 or less that’s playing after Round 1, and they’re coming off an ATS cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Arkansas) coming off game in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and that opponent has a win percentage of .687 or better, resulted in those favorites going 7-0 ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests was 17.7 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Oregon State vs. Houston 7:15 PM ET Game# 655-656 Play On: Oregon State +8.0 (5*) When it comes to NCAA Tournament betting, it’s not just about who has the better record, higher ranking, or lower seed. It’s often about who is playing their best basketball at the right time. I think it’s safe to say that this recent surge by Oregon State is no longer a fluke. The Beavers have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 and 9-1 SU&ATS during its previous 10 games played. Additionally, Oregon State is 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 not played on their home floor and they were an underdog on 8 of those occasions. During their 3 NCAA Tournament wins, Oregon State has allowed a mere 61.3 points per game, held opponents to an eye-popping 31.3% shooting, and had a +9 per game rebounding advantage. By the way, Houston’s last 2 wins have come over Rutgers and Syracuse, the Cougars shot just 37.2% and scored only 62.5 points per contest. Bet on Oregon State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon v. USC -2 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. USC 9:45 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: USC -2.0 (5*) Oregon has gone 12-2 during their last 14 games. Nonetheless, since the start of last season, they have gone 0-5 straight up after winning 12 or more of their last 15 games and were beaten by 11.2 points per contest. The Ducks have shot the ball extremely well of late. However, they have also allowed their previous 5 opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 49.0%. Saying that USC has been stout defensively during the first 2 rounds of this NCAA Tournament is surely a vast understatement. The Trojans held Drake and Kansas to 53.5 points per game and a combined 29.2% shooting. Conversely, throughout their previous 4 contests, USC averaged 79.5 points scored per game while shooting a scalding hot 51.8%. The Trojans have also made an impressive 40.7% of its 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 outings. Bet on USC for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
UCLA @ Alabama 7:15 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Alabama -6.5 (10*) History isn’t on the side of UCLA in this contest. Since the NCAA Tournament Play-In Round was established in 2015, no team has advanced from that round to a Regional Final. As a matter of fact, the only other team to even reach the Sweet 16 was Syracuse in 2018. The Bruins have been beneficiaries of a favorable draw in their NCAA Tournament wins while defeating #11 seed Michigan State, #6 seed BYU, and #14 seed Abilene Christian. They will be facing a whole other level of competition on Sunday when they square off against #2 seed Alabama. Alabama enters this Sweet 16 contest having won their last 8 and 22 of its previous 25 games. The Crimson Tide had a combined +37 rebounding advantage in the first 2 rounds versus Iona and Maryland. Alabama has the lethal combination of being a good 3-point shooting team and they defend the 3-point line extremely well (28.9%). The Crimson Tide has allowed their last 5 opponents to average a mere 11 free throw attempts per game. Alabama enters this contest with a season record of 26-6 (.813). The Crimson Tide is coming off an impressive 96-77 win over Maryland in a game they easily covered as a 6.0-point favorite. They will be facing a UCLA team with a season record of 20-9 (.690). The combination of this data sets up an NCAA Tournament betting angle which has remained perfect since 2002 and is shown below. Any Sweet 16 favorite of 3.5 or more that’s a #2 seed (Alabama), and they possess a win percentage of .806 to .870, and they’re coming off an ATS win as a favorite in which they scored 68 points or greater, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of .685 or better, resulted in those #2 seeds going 12-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by 13.5 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +2.5 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
Florida State vs. Michigan 5:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Florida State +2.5 (5*) This the game that the loss of 6’7 senior forward Isaiah Livers (13.7 PPG/6.1 RPG) catches up with Michigan. Livers went out with a foot injury during the Big Ten Conference Tournament win over Maryland and has been ruled out for the season. Without Livers, Michigan is 2-1 and one of those wins came over #16 seed Texas Southern in a game the Wolverines failed to cover by a sizable 12.5-points. They were able to get by LSU 86-78 in 2nd round action. However, LSU is far from being considered a strong defensive team. Florida State presents a whole different challenge for Michigan and will matchup very well against Sunday’s higher seeded opponent. During the first 2 rounds of the “Big Dance” Florida State all 53.5 points per game and held their opponents to a combined 39-116 (33.6%) shooting. Additionally, throughout their previous 3 games, the Seminoles shot a sizzling hot 53.5%. This will be just a 3rd time all season that Florida State will have been an underdog which should serve as extra motivation. The Seminoles will be facing a Michigan team which has held their opponents to only 39.3% shooting this season. Florida State is 7-1 straight up this season when facing teams who hold their opponents to 42% or worse shooting. Bet on Florida State for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
Creighton vs. Gonzaga 2:10 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Gonzaga -13.0 (5*) Even for a #1 seed, this is a rare heavy number for them to cover from Round 3 and beyond. Nevertheless, those top seeds have been quite successful in doing so when cast into in this exact betting situation. Gonzaga is coming off wins over Norfolk State 98-55 and Oklahoma 87-71 during in the first 2 rounds while covering both contests as double-digit favorites. Creighton will be able to hang with Gonzaga early on before the #1 and undefeated Bulldogs will eventually pull away for the double-digit cover. Moreover, this will be the first ever Sweet 16 appearance for the Creighton men’s basketball program and the challenge will ultimately be too overwhelming considering the quality of opponent they’ll be up against. Since the 1990 tournament and after 2nd round action, #1 seeds that are favorite by 12.5 points or more and coming off a win by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Creighton) with a win percentage of .733 or better, resulted in those #1 seeds going 6-0 ATS. The average point-spread in those 6 contests was 13.5 and the average margin of victory came by a dominating 25.4 points per game. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-21 | Suns -6 v. Hornets | 101-97 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Charlotte 1:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Phoenix -6.0 (5*) Phoenix has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a road favorite of 4.0 or more. The Suns are an excellent 15-6 SU&ATS on the road this season. Charlotte is coming off a 110-105 home win over Miami on Friday and that’s the good news. The bad news, the Hornets led that game by as many as 30 points and came close to squandering a 23-point halftime lead. The win improved the Hornets season record to 23-21 (.523). Since the start of the 2012-2013 NBA season, any road favorite who is facing a team with a win percentage of less than .600, and that opponent (Charlotte) led their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, resulted in those road favorites going 25-2 ATS (92.6%). Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse +6.5 v. Houston | 46-62 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
Syracuse vs. Houston 9:55 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Syracuse +6.5 (5*) The #2 seed Houston Cougars narrowly escaped with a 63-60 win over Rutgers to reach the Sweet 16. They failed to cover as a 7.0-point favorite and at no time throughout the game were they doing so. Houston is a terrific team that will enter Saturday night’s contest on a 9-game win streak. However, they have not faced nearly as difficult a schedule as Syracuse. Saturday will be just their 2nd Sweet 16 appearance since the “Phi Slama Jama” teams led by Hakeem Olajuwon Clyde Drexler played in 3 consecutive “Final Four” appearances. Jim Boeheim has spent 40 plus years as head coach at Syracuse. Along the way his teams have enjoyed a high degree of success during NCAA Tournament action and especially when cast into the role of an underdog. Since the 1996 his Orange have gone 35-16 (.686) straight up and 30-21 (58.8%) ATS. Furthermore, since the 2003 “Big Dance”, Syracuse has gone 7-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 3.0 to 9.5-points. Basically speaking, Boeheim has his teams playing their best basketball in March. This year is no different as Syracuse upset both #6 seed San Diego State and #3 seed West Virginia during the first 2 rounds. Additionally, since the 2016 NCAA Tournament, Syracuse is 9-2 straight up and 10-1 ATS as either a #10 or #11 seed. Additionally, Syracuse has gone 5-1 straight up and 6-0 ATS over their last 6 games. Their only setback during that time was when Virginia hit a buzzer beating 3-point shot against them in the ACC Quarterfinals, but they still were inside the number as a 5.5-point underdog. The Orange also held 5 of those 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting while converting 51.9% or more of its field goal attempts 3 times. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -7 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Villanova vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Baylor -7.0 (10*) Villanova entered the NCAA Tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games. That funk coincided with them losing senior starting point guard Conor Gillaspie to a season ending knee injury during a 73-61 loss at Butler on 2/28. The Wildcats also had favorable matchups in the first 2 rounds against #12 seed Winthrop and #13 seed North Texas. Villanova will be facing a much different animal on Saturday in #1 seed Baylor (24-2). The Bears began the season 18-0 before COVID protocols shut them down for 23 days. When returning they were unimpressive in their first 2 games before gradually returning to form. Anything short of a national championship with this loaded roster would be considered a failure in Waco. This team seems to be more than capable of living up to those expectations and Saturday will be a statement game for them in that regard. Since the 1993 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed playing in a “Sweet 16” game that’s favorite of 3.5 to 9.5, coming off a favorite ATS cover, and they’re facing a #5 seed or higher with a win percentage of .687 or better, and that underdog is coming off ATS covers in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those #1 seeds going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was by a decisive 14.9 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-26-21 | Heat v. Hornets +1 | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Miami @ Charlotte 8:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Charlotte +1.0 (10*) The Miami Heat have gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 and that includes their previous 4 being at home. That has dropped their season record to a disappointing 22-23 (.489) and especially so when considering they made it to the NBA Finals last season. The Charlotte Hornets have won 7 of their last 8 including its previous 4 on their home floor. Furthermore, Charlotte is coming off road wins of 100-97 at San Antonio and 122-97 over Houston during their previous 2 contests. The Hornets enter today with a somewhat respectable 22-21 (.511) record. Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .511 or better that’s playing after Game 14 of the season, and they’re coming off back-to-back road wins while scoring 121 points or more during its previous contest, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .492 or worse and they’re coming off 5 consecutive losses, resulted in those teams going 24-0 straight up since the start of the 2001-2002 season. Considering the current point-spread, this NBA straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-25-21 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky +1 | 72-65 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech 10:00 PM Game# 617-618 Play On: Western Kentucky +1.0 (5*) This is a game that will be played between teams from Conference USA. Western Kentucky will look to avenge a 63-58 loss to Louisiana Tech on 1/9. However, they did defeat the Bulldogs the day before 66-64. Since joining Conference USA in 2015, Western Kentucky has never lost 2 games to Louisiana Tech. This is the same Western Kentucky team that pulled off a huge upset at #5 Alabama earlier this season. They also gave #11 West Virginia all they can handle before falling by 6 points on a neutral court. Conversely, he only game that Louisiana Tech stepped up in class this season they failed miserably during a 31-point loss at LSU. Western Kentucky is coming off a NIT 1st round 69-67 win over St. Mary’s and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. Louisiana Tech enters this contest with a 22-7 (.759) season record. This sets up an unbeaten NIT betting angle which is displayed below. Any NIT team with a point-spread of 0.0 to 2.5 that’s playing a game in round 2 or beyond and is coming off a straight up underdog win by 9 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Louisiana Tech) with a win percentage of .700 or better, resulted in those teams going 7-0 SU&ATS since 2001. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests came by 7.3 points per game. Bet on Western Kentucky for a 5* wager. |
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03-25-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6 | 98-85 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Spurs 8:35 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Spurs +6.0 (5*) Any NBA home underdog of 4.0 to 8.5-points that’s playing with no rest coming off back-to-back losses, they have a win percentage of .600 or less and have won 25 or more of their last 82 home games, versus an opponent (Clippers) who have a win percentage of .53 or better, resulted in those home teams going 16-1 ATS (94.7%) since the start of the 2016-2017 season. Those home underdogs also won 11 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on the Spurts plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-21 | 76ers -4 v. Warriors | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Philadelphia -4.0 (5*) Golden State will be without superstar guard Stephen Curry this evening who sustained a tailbone injury. Furthermore, the Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.0 or less and lost by an alarming 19.8 points per contest. The absence of star center Joel Embid has certainly not hurt Philadelphia at least in the short term as they continue to play well. The 76ers have seemed to figure out their road woes that have plagued them over the past 2 seasons. Philadelphia has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 on the road and won by a substantial 14.0 points per game. |
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03-23-21 | Nets v. Blazers -3.5 | 116-112 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Portland -3.5 (5*) Brooklyn will once again be without the services of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. Additionally, James Harden is listed as questionable with a neck injury. With that being said, the point-spread has been adjusted accordingly. The Nets enter this contest with a season record of 29-14 (.674). Portland is coming off an embarrassing 132-92 home loss to Dallas on Saturday. That defeat dropped their season record to a still respectable 25-17 (.595). Any NBA regular season home favorite (Phoenix) with a win percentage of .595 or better that’s playing after game 15 and is coming off a home loss by 12 points or greater in which they allowed 111 points or more, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) with a win percentage of .681 or less, resulted in those home favorites going 27-9 ATS (75%) since the NBA 2004-2005 campaign began. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-21 | Hawks +6.5 v. Clippers | 110-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Hawks @ Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Atlanta +6.5 (5*) Atlanta will enter this contest on a red-hot 8-game win streak and covered on 7 of those occasions. That winning run has improved their season record to 22-20. The Clippers are coming off a 125-98 blowout win over Charlotte and did so as a 10.0-points favorite. Any NBA road underdog of 2.5 to 7.5 that’s won 8 or more games in a row, and they’re playing after game 25 of their season, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win in which they covered by 3.0-points or greater, resulted in those away underdogs going 15-1 ATS (93.8%) since 1993. Those road dogs also won 13 of those 16 games straight up. Bet on the Hawks plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 77-96 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Maryland vs. Alabama 8:45 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Alabama -5.5 (10*) Alabama is coming off a 68-55 win over Iona on Saturday but failed to cover as a 16.5-point favorite. Maryland was a 63-54 winner on Saturday over Connecticut and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. This sets up an NCAA Tournament against-the-spread betting angle that has remained unbeaten since 1990 and is displayed below. Any NCAA Tournament 2nd Round favorite of 15.0-points (Alabama) or less that’s coming off a double-digit win but failed to cover as a favorite of 15.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Maryland) off a straight up underdog win by 5-points or more, resulted in those favorites going 18-0 ATS since 1990. Those 15 favorites won by a decisive margin of 17.9 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-22-21 | Colorado +2 v. Florida State | 53-71 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Colorado vs. Florida State 7:45 PM ET Game# 827-828 Play On: Colorado +2.0 (5*) Colorado is coming off a 1st round 96-73 win over Georgetown while easily covering as a 5.5-point favorite. That win improved the Buffaloes season record to 23-8 (.742). Teams like Colorado coming off such a performance are unbeaten in 2nd round action over the past 32 NCAA Tournaments. The specific details are displayed below. Any NCAA Tournament team playing in the 2nd round that’s coming off a favorite ATS win in which they covered by 21.0 points or less while winning straight up by 22 points or more, they scored 94 points or greater in that 1st round victory, and possesses a win percentage of .696 or better, resulted in those teams going a perfect 35-0 straight up since 1990. This straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering the current point-spread. Bet on Colorado for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-21 | LSU v. Michigan -4.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
LSU vs. Michigan 7:10 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Michigan -4.5 (5*) Michigan is coming off a 1st round 82-66 win over Texas Southern but failed to cover as a 28.5-point favorite. The Wolverines will be taking on #9 seed LSU. Any NCAA Tournament round 2 team with a point-spread of 6.5 or less that’s coming off a win in which they failed to cover by 6.5 to 18.0-points, and they won straight up by 8 to 17 points while scoring 70 points or more in that 1st round contest, versus an opponent which is a #9 seed or lower, resulted in those teams going 18-1 SU&ATS since 1990. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-21 | Abilene Christian v. UCLA -4.5 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Abilene Christian vs. UCLA 5:15 PM ET Game# 829-830 Play On: UCLA -4.5 (5*) The #11 seed UCLA Bruins have advanced to the 2nd Round by way of wins over Michigan State and BYU. PAC-12 teams have now gone an outstanding 6-0 SU&ATS thus far in the 2021 NCAA Tournament. The #14 seed Abilene Christian is coming off a shocking upset of Texas on Saturday which accounted for their 5th straight win. They managed to win that contest despite shooting an awful 29.9%. However, they forced 23 Texas turnovers, limited them to just 40 field goal attempts, and had a 36-31 rebounding advantage. They’ll have an extremely difficult time duplicating that defensive effort against a UCLA team that has committed just a combined 12 turnovers in their first 2 NCAA Tournament games while shooting 47.3%. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 3.5 to 8.0 (UCLA) versus an opponent who has won 5 or more games in a row, and that opponent (Abilene Christian) is a #13 to #16 seed, resulted in those favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1999. The average victory margin in those 15 contests was 15.2 points per game. Bet on UCLA minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-21 | Syracuse +3.5 v. West Virginia | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Syracuse vs. West Virginia 5:15 PM ET Game# 813-814 Play On: Syracuse +3.5 (5*) Syracuse is coming off an impressive 1st round 16-point win over San Diego State in a game they were a 3.0-point underdog. The Orange have now gone 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS during their previous 5 games. Their only straight up loss in that span came in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals to Virginia when the Cavaliers hit a buzzer beating 3-point shot. During that stretch, Syracuse has averaged making 11 three-point shots per game while converting on a stellar 40.1% of those long-distance attempts. The Orange 2-3 zone has been extremely effective during that identical period evidenced by the limiting their 5 opponents to a combined 37.8% shooting. West Virginia is coming off a 1st round 84-67 win over Morehead State while covering as a substantial 13.0-point favorite. As good as West Virginia has been this season, this isn’t your typical defensively stingy Mountaineers team. As a matter of fact, over their last 5 games the Mountaineers have allowed opponents to score 77.0 points per contest while they shot a combined 49.0% Any NCAA Tourney Round 2 underdog of 4.5 or less who was an underdog in their 1st round game, versus an opponent coming off a favorite ATS win in which they covered by 4.0-points or greater, resulted in those underdogs going 6-0 ATS since 2002. Those underdogs also won 5 of those 6 games straight up. Bet on Syracuse plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Baylor -6 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs. Baylor 2:40 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Baylor -6.0 (10*) #1 seed Baylor is coming off an 85-62 win over Hartford in Round 1. That win improved their season record to 23-2 (.920). Wisconsin is coming off an 85-62 Round 1 blowout win over North Carolina in a game they closed as a 2.0-point underdog. The Badgers enter this Round 2 matchup with a modest 15-9 (.600) season record. This data leads to a terrific NCAA Tournament betting angle which is displayed below. Any NCAA Tourney #1 or #2 seed with a win percentage of .920 or less that’s playing in a 2nd round game, and they’re a favorite of 6.0 or greater, versus an opponent coming off a straight up underdog win by 12 points or more in the first round, and they have a win percentage of .812 or less, resulted in those top 2 seeds going 16-1 ATS (94.2%) since 1990. They outscored those 17 lower seeds by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. |
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03-20-21 | Ohio +7.5 v. Virginia | 62-58 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
Ohio vs. Virginia 7:15 PM ET Game# 771-772 Play On: Ohio +7.5 (5*) Virginia had to exit the NCAA Tournament after a narrow quarterfinal win over Syracuse due to COVID issues. They haven’t been able to practice all week as a result and didn’t arrive in Indiana until Friday. That’s bound to have some kind of negative effect on the Cavaliers performance and it’s just a matter of how much. It’s not like Virginia was playing great leading up to the “Big Dance”. Virginia has gone an uninspiring 3-3 straight up and 1-5 ATS over their previous 6 games which included losses to 2 teams (NC State, Duke) not invited to the NCAA Tournament. Furthermore, they will be facing an Ohio team that’s gone 9-1 SU&ATS over their last 10 games and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+10.0 PPG) as an underdog. The Bobcats have scored 83 points or more in 6 of its last 7 and shot 48.6% or better during 7 of their previous 8 games. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-20-21 | UC-Santa Barbara +7.5 v. Creighton | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
UCSB vs. Creighton 3:30 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: UCSB +7.5 (5*) Creighton enters the NCAA Tournament with a 20-8 (.714) record. The #12 seed UCSB is currently 21-4 (.840). This sets up an outstanding betting angle which has covered at a very high rate over the past 31 NCAA Tournaments. Any NCAA Tournament #12 seed with a win percentage of .764 or better that’s playing in a 1st round game, and there’s a point-spread of 10.0 or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .714 or better, resulted in those #12 seeds going an extremely profitable 21-3 (87.5%) since 1990. Those #5 seeds also won 14 of those 24 games straight up. Bet on UCSB plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-20-21 | St Bonaventure +1.5 v. LSU | 61-76 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure vs. LSU 1:45 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: St. Bonaventure +1.5 (5*) This line jumped right off my computer screen when I first viewed it. We have an LSU team that advanced to the SEC Tournament Final where they lost by 1 to #5 Alabama, and now is barely a favorite versus a mid-major opponent. However, this is a sneaky good St. Bonaventure team who is 16-4 and all 5 of their starters average double-digit scoring. Additionally, the Bonnies are one of the best defensive teams in the nation who have held their opponents to 62 points per game and less than 40% shooting. St. Bonaventure also likes to play at a slow and methodical pace offensively. That potentially can frustrate an LSU team who prefers playing up tempo basketball and will be especially evident if the Tigers need to play from behind in 2nd half action. Bet on St. Bonaventure for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-21 | Winthrop +6.5 v. Villanova | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 36 m | Show | |
Winthrop vs. Villanova 9:57 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Winthrop +6.5 (5*) If you have been an avid follower of the NCAA Tournament on an annual basis, then you are well aware of the success that #12 seeds have attained when facing #5 seeds in 1st round action. The #12 seed Winthrop enters the “Big Dance” with an excellent 23-1 (.958) record. Villanova enters the NCAA Tournament sporting a 16-6 record (.727) and a #5 seed. The Wildcats lost their starting senior point guard Connor Gillespie (14.0 PPG/4.6 APG) late in the season and haven’t performed well since that occurred. Villanova lost 3 of their last 4 games while suffering losses to teams (Butler, Providence, Georgetown) who have a combined 36-40 record. Any NCAA Tournament #12 seed (Winthrop) with a season win percentage of .765 or better, they won their conference tournament, and they are playing against a #5 seed with a win percentage of .714 or better, and there’s a point-spread of 10.0 or less, resulted in those #5 seeds going 21-3 ATS (87.5%) since 1990. They also won 14 of those 24 contests straight up. Bet on Winthrop plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-21 | North Texas v. Purdue -7 | 78-69 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
North Texas vs. Purdue 7:25 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Purdue -7.0 (5*) Purdue is coming off an 87-78 overtime loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. That defeat dropped their season record to 16-8 (.667). North Texas won 4 games in 4 days to capture the Sun Belt Conference Tournament title. The Mean Green enters the “Big Dance” with a 17-9 (.654) record. Any NCAA Tournament #4 seed (Purdue) playing in a 1st round game that’s coming off a loss, and is a favorite of 9.5 or less, and they possess a win percentage of .781 or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .774 or less, resulted in those #4 seeds going 21-2 ATS (91.3%) since 1996. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-21 | Celtics v. Cavs +8.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston @ Cleveland 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Cleveland +8.5 (5*) Boston has gone 1-7 SU&ATS in their last 8 away games. Their only win in that stretch was over a Houston Rockets team which is currently on a mammoth 17-game losing streak and failed to cover on 15 of those occasions. The Celtics will be facing a Cavaliers team which is 3-0 ATS and 2-1 straight up in their last 3 at home. Cleveland is coming off a 3-game in 4-day road in which they went winless and scored 98 points or fewer on each occasion. The latest of which was last nights 113-98 defeat at Miami. Any NBA underdog of 10.0 or less (Cleveland) that’s playing with no rest and is coming off road losses in each of their previous 3 games, and they scored 106 points or fewer during its last 2 contests, resulted in those underdogs going a perfect 15-0 ATS since the start of the 2016-2017. Those 15 underdogs also won 12 of those contests straight up. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-21 | Raptors v. Pistons +5.5 | 112-116 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Detroit +5.5 (5*) Toronto has lost 5 straight and 7 of its last 8 games. The Raptors last time out was a 118-95 loss at Chicago on Sunday. The Detroit Pistons have gone an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS this season as a home underdog of 5.0 or more and that won 5 of those contests straight up. Any home team (Detroit) versus an opponent (Toronto) come off a road loss by 20 points or more and they’re playing on exactly 2-days of rest, resulted in those home teams going 37-9 straight up over the past 5 seasons. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it’s backing the home underdog. If those home teams were an underdog during that identical stretch, they were an impressive 8-2 SU&ATS. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-21 | Toledo -2.5 v. Richmond | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Toledo vs. Richmond 7:00 PM ET Game# 705-706 Play On: Toledo -2.5 (5*) Richmond enters the NIT on a 3-game losing streak and failed to cover on each occasion. One of those defeats occurred as a 15.0-point home favorite against a St. Joseph’s team that finished the season with a terrible 5-15 record. After starting the season 6-1, Richmond was a mediocre 7-7 over their last 14 games. The Spiders are 0-4 SU&ATS in its last 4 games when the point-spread is +4.5 to -4.5. Toledo is ranked #15 in the nation when it comes to offensive efficiency. As a matter of fact, the Rockets have scored 79 points or more in 8 consecutive games in addition to 76 or great during 17 of its previous 18 contests. Toledo was upset by eventual MAC champion Ohio during the conference tournament semifinals. The Rockets have gone 6-1 straight up this season following a loss. Bet on Toledo for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +2 | 109-99 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Mavericks 9:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Mavericks +2.0 (5*) The Clippers are coming off yesterday’s 135-15 blowout loss at New Orleans. They have now gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 away games. During that stretch they allowed an average of 119.0 points per game and their 4 opponents shot a combined 50.9%. Conversely, Dallas is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 at home. The Mavericks are also 11-3 straight up in their last 14. Bet on the Mavericks for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-21 | Bucks v. Wizards +8.5 | 133-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Wizards 7:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Wizards +8.5 (5*) The Washington Wizards have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season as a home underdog of 4.0-points or greater, and they won 3 of those contests straight up. Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in their previous 5 away games and they lost 3 of those contests straight up. Any NBA home team (Wizards) with a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Bucks) coming off a road win and they have a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going 55-26 (67.9%) ATS over the past 5 seasons. Those 81 home teams had an average point-spread of +5.3 and they won 48.1% of those contests straight up. Bet on the Wizards plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-15-21 | Kings v. Hornets -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Kings @ Hornets 7:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Hornets -3.0 (5*) The Sacramento Kings have gone 0-8 straight up and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as an underdog and were outscored by an average of 11.6 points per game. Conversely, Charlotte enters today riding a 3-game win streak and is also a more than respectable 9-5 straight up during their previous 14 contests. Bet on the Hornets minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-14-21 | Heat -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 102-97 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Miami @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Miami -7.5 (10*) This Orlando team has scored fewer than 100 points in 15 of their 38 games this season. That’s not good news for Magic backers since Miami has allowed 94 points or less in each of its previous 4 games. As a matter of fact, the Heat have won 9 of their last 10 games and allowed fewer than 100 points on 6 of those occasions. When Orlando scored less than 100 as an underdog, they have gone an abysmal 0-11 ATS this season and lost by a mammoth 24.8 points per game. Orlando scored 77 points in their previous game which resulted in a loss at San Antonio. Since the start of last season, Orlando is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog following a game in which they scored less than 100 points. The Magic lost those 7 contests by 17.8 points per game. There’s a good chance that Orlando will be without 5 of their 6 top scorers today for a variety of reasons. Thus, the reason for the sizable number the road favorite will be asked to cover. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-14-21 | Ohio State v. Illinois -5.5 | 88-91 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Ohio State vs. Illinois 3:30 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Illinois -5.5 (5*) This will be the 4th game in as many days for Ohio State. Prior to the start of conference tournament action, the Buckeyes finished their regular season by going 0-4 SU&ATS in their final 4 games. Conversely, Illinois had a 1st round bye in the Big 10 Tournament. The Illinois defeated Rutgers 90-68 and #5 Iowa 82-71 the past 2 days. Illinois is now a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests while winning by an average of 16.3 points per game. Additionally, the Illini are 13-1 in their previous 4 games played. Bet on Illinois minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-21 | Oregon State v. Colorado -9 | 70-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Oregon State vs. Colorado 10:30 ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Colorado -9.0 (5*) It’s easy to fall in love with a Cinderella in the month of March like Oregon State. The Beavers are coming off upset wins over UCLA and Oregon during their first 2 games of this PAC-12 Tournament. I am here to tell you that their magical run comes to a screeching halt tonight. Oregon State has allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot 48.1% and make 39.1% of their 3-point attempts. Conversely, Colorado has converted on an impressive 40.4% of their 3-point shots and made an excellent 84.7% of their free throws throughout its previous 5 contests. Colorado also swept Oregon State this season by winning 78-49 at home and 61-57 on the road. The Beavers shot a miserable 34.5% from the field in those 2 defeats. Furthermore, Colorado will enter tonight’s conference title riding a 6-game winning streak. Bet on Colorado minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-21 | Pacers v. Suns -7 | 122-111 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Phoenix -7.0 (5*) The Indiana Pacers have gone a money-draining 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Pacers have been terrible defensively over their previous 5 contests while permitting opponents to shoot 52.3% and that includes 41.6% from 3-point territory. Conversely, Phoenix has averaged 117.0 points scored per game while shooting 51.7% and connected on 40.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. Furthermore, the Suns are 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 outings and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 games. Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-21 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State -4 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Georgia Tech vs. Florida State 8:30 PM ET Game# 625-626 Play On: Florida State -4.0 (10*) Florida State will have plenty of motivation after squandering a chance to with the ACC regular season title by being upset at Notre Dame in their final game. The Seminoles will also be out to avenge a 76-65 loss at Georgia Tech the last times these teams squared off. Florida State won their only ACC Conference Tournament championship in 2012. They will be facing a Georgia Tech team on a 7-game win streak. However, the Yellowjackets only need to win 1 game to reach the ACC Finals after Virginia needed to bow out in their scheduled semifinal game due to COVID protocols. This is a textbook case of one team just being happy to be here (Georgia Tech) versus an opponent (Florida) which is very hungry to receive top billing. Bet on Florida State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-13-21 | Ohio v. Buffalo -2.5 | 84-69 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Ohio vs. Buffalo 7:30 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (5*) This will be Buffalo’s 3rd straight appearance in the MAC Championship Game and they’ll be seeking their 3rd straight conference tournament title. The Bulls are a red-hot 7-0 in their last 10 and 10-1 during its previous 11 games. Buffalo has been a high-powered offense that like to playing at a turbo charged tempo. However, it’s been their defensive play which has really impressed me of late. The Bulls have held their last 5 opponents to 38.7% shooting, 23.6% from 3-point territory, and a mere 11 free throw attempts per game. Buffalo is also an outstanding rebounding team that is +8 per contest in that category this season. Conversely, Ohio has gone a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS during the past 2 seasons when facing an opponent with a +4 or greater rebounding edge per game, and they lost by a decisive margin of 17.5 points per contest. Bet on Buffalo for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-21 | Wisconsin v. Iowa -4 | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Wisconsin vs. Iowa 8:55 PM ET Game# 841-842 Play On: Iowa -4.0 (5*) Wisconsin barely escaped with a 1-point win over Penn State last night. The Badgers led by 18 with 7:24 left to play and were outscored 24-7 the rest of the way. The good news is they advanced to the Big 10 Conference quarterfinals. The bad news for Wisconsin backers, their team is a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 games following a win and were beaten by an average of 10.0 points per contest. Iowa had a 1st round bye and finished their regular season slate with a 77-73 home win over this same Badgers team. However, the Hawkeyes failed to cover that contest as a 7.5-point favorite after having a comfortable 9-point halftime lead. Any college basketball postseason favorite of 3.0 to 5.5-points (Iowa) that’s coming off a home win in which they failed to cover, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory in those 19 contests was 11.5 points per game. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +4.5 | 127-101 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Washington +4.5 (5*) Philadelphia is coming off last night’s win at Chicago. The 76ers are just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS this season when playing with no rest. Washington came back from the break with a disappointing 15-point loss at Memphis. Nevertheless, the Wizards have still gone a solid 8-4 straight up and 9-3 ATS during their previous 12 games. Additionally, the Wizards are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games this season as a home underdog. The Wizards point-spread average in those 3 wins was +7.8. Washington is playing with more confidence and cohesion compared to how they performed earlier in the season. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-21 | Akron v. Buffalo -4 | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Akron vs. Buffalo 7:30 PM ET Game# 841-842 Play On: Buffalo -4.0 (5*) Buffalo is a program that has been quite accustomed to reaching this point of the MAC Tournament in recent years. As a matter of fact, they have won the last 2 MAC Tournaments that have been played while also being crowned in 2015 as well. The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season at the most opportune time. They have reeled off 6 straight wins and scored 80 points or more in 5 of those contests. Additionally, during their previous 4 games played they held opponents to less than 40% shooting on all those occasions. Lastly, Buffalo lost at Akron earlier this year but got their revenge at home a couple of weeks ago. Buffalo has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games against Akron. Bet on Buffalo minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -5 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Missouri vs. Arkansas 7:00 PM ET Game# 831-832 Play On: Arkansas -5.0 (10*) Missouri got off to a fast 13-3 start to the season and were ranked in the Top 25 for several weeks. However, since that time the Tigers lost 5 of its next 8 games leading up to today. The Tigers narrowly escaped in a 3-point win over Georgia yesterday. Missouri has gone 0-6 SU&ATS the over the past 2 seasons following a win by 3 points or fewer. Arkansas comes into this SEC Tournament quarterfinal matchup on a red-hot 8 games winning streak. The Razorbacks are also an extremely profitable 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite of 9.5 or less and they won by 15.3 points per game. Bet on Arkansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-12-21 | Georgetown v. Seton Hall -3 | 66-58 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Georgetown vs. Seton Hall 6:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Seton Hall -3.0 (5*) Georgetown upset Marquette and Villanova in the first 2 rounds of this Big East Tournament. The Hoya have failed to string together 3 straight wins in a row all season long. As a matter of fact, Georgetown has gone 0-3 SU&ATS this season immediately after back-to-back wins. They lost those 3 contests by an average of 14.7 points per game. Seton Hall comes into this Big East Conference Semifinal with a 13-12 record. Georgetown enters at 11-12 (.478). Any college basketball favorite (Seton Hall) that’s playing in a conference tournament semifinal game, and they posses a winning record, versus an opponent with a season win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those favorites going 30-8 ATS (78.9%) over the last 5 seasons. Bet on Seton Hall minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-21 | South Florida v. Wichita State -10 | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
South Florida vs. Wichita State 12:00 ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Wichita State -10.0 (5*) South Florida won their AAC Tournament opening round game yesterday with a nail biting 73-71 win over Temple. That victory snapped a 4-game losing streak. However, South Florida is an abysmal 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 4.0 or more and lost by a decisive margin of 23.4 points per game. The Bulls are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a win. Furthermore, South Florida has shot the ball terrible throughout their previous 5 contests. During that time, they shot 35.3% from the field and went a poor 63.4% from the free throw line. Wichita State enters AAC Tournament action riding a 7-game win streak. That includes a 68-63 upset win over #7 Houston. The Shockers will be facing a South Florida team that has shot a terrible 40.2% from the field this season. Since the start of last season, Wichita State has gone 6-0 SU&ATS versus opponents that have shot 45% or worse on the season. Bet on Wichita State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-11-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Phoenix -4.5 (10*) Both teams entered the all-star break on a high note with Portland winning 3 straight games and Phoenix 4 in a row. However, the Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season as a road favorite and won by a decisive margin of 19.2 points per game. Furthermore, Phoenix is coming off an 120-102 win over Golden State as a 13.0-point chalk in their previous game. Since the start of last season, Phoenix has gone 12-0 ATS on the road following a win by 10 points or more, and they outscored those 12 opponents by an average of 10.1 points per game. Additionally, the last time these teams met was on 2/22 and Phoenix came away with a lopsided 132-100 win. Any NBA road favorite that’s coming off an ATS cover as a double-digit favorite, and they’re facing an opponent playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 30 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 29-7 ATS (80.6%) since 1996. Those 36 road favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 13.7 points per game. Bet on Phoenix minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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03-11-21 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -5 | 74-75 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Penn State vs. Wisconsin 8:55 PM ET Game# 677-678 Play On: Wisconsin -5.0 (5*) Penn State enters this game on their first 3-game win streak of the season. However, those 3 wins came over Minnesota, Maryland, and Northwestern who have combined to go a dismal 21-38 (.356) in Big 10 Conference games. Conversely, Wisconsin has gone 1-5 in their last 6 contests and fell out of the AP Top 25 for a first time all season. Nevertheless, it must be noted, those 5 defeats came at the hands of #5 Iowa twice, #4 Michigan, #3 Illinois, and #20 Purdue. Those 4 teams have combined to go 57-19 (.750). So, before you think you’re getting a steal by taking the underdog you should seriously reconsider. Bet on Wisconsin minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-11-21 | Nevada v. Boise State -4 | 89-82 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Nevada vs. Boise State 5:30 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: Boise State -4.0 (5*) Nevada won the 2 regular season meeting versus Boise State. The Wolfpack went 5-2 in their final 7 regular season games. Conversely enters this Mountain West Conference Tournament game on a 3-game losing skid. Yet, it’s the Broncos who come up favorite. I’m going with a contrarian approach in this one. Bet on Boise State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -3 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Memphis -3.0 (5*) Washington had been playing very well prior to the NBA All-Star break as they went 8-4 in their last 12. However, Memphis has thrived in the role of a favorite this season by going 10-3 ATS. Furthermore, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a favorite and won by a substantial margin of 19.3 points scored per game. Washington ranks 27th of 30 NBA teams in defensive efficiency while the Grizzlies rank 8th. The ability to get more defensive stops in what should be a higher scoring affair will be the key to the Grizzlies covering this contest. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-10-21 | Duke -2 v. Louisville | Top | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Duke vs. Louisville 6:30 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Duke -2.0 (10*) If there was ever a trap play in this year’s conference tournament action, then this is it. Louisville is the higher seed with a better record and beat Duke twice already this season. Yet, they find themselves as the current underdog in this matchup. Taking the underdog would seem logical right? Not so fast my fellow sports bettors. It’s rarely ever that simple or easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true, then more times than not it is. Throughout their previous 10 games Duke has averaged 78.9 points scored per contest and shot 49.5% from the field. Conversely, Louisville shot a combined 39.3% during their previous 5 games played. This extremely young Blue Devils team makes a statement in this one. Bet on Duke for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-21 | Southern Miss v. Rice -4 | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Southern Miss vs. Rice 8:00 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Rice -4.0 (5*) These 2 teams struggled mightily down the final stretch of regular season action. Nonetheless, Rice is by far the lesser of 2 evils in this matchup. The Owls defeated Southern Miss in their 2 regular season meetings 88-62 and 76-68. During those pair of wins, Rice was a terrific 27-64 (42.1%) from 3-point territory and had a substantial +22 rebounding advantage. Furthermore, Southern Miss has lost 10 of its last 11 and failed to cover on 9 of those occasions. Bet on Rice minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-21 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -8 | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Notre Dame -8.0 (5*) Wake Forest enters the ACC Tournament on a 7-game losing streak. Additionally, they failed to cover the last 6 while losing by an enormous 26.0 points per game. During their last 5 contests Wake Forest has been anemic offensively while averaging a mere 53.4 points scored per game while shooting an awful 35.1% from the field. Notre Dame has gone through a down year which is evidenced by their 10-14 record. However, there are coming off a huge upset win over Florida State 83-73 as a 5.5-point home underdog. I look for them to carry that momentum into this contest against a fragile opponent who’s season can’t end soon enough. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-21 | Elon +4 v. Drexel | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Elon vs. Drexel 7:00 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Elon +4.0 (5*) Elon may have entered this Colonial Conference Tournament as a #8 seed but they are clearly the hottest team. Elon has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 contests and 5 of those came as an underdog like they will be in today’s conference championship game. They also held 5 of those 7 opponents to 58 points or fewer. Elon is also +8 rebounds per game throughout their previous 5 contests. Drexel has allowed 74.8 points per game and allowed opponent to shoot just a tad under 47% over their previous 4 contests. Bet on Elon plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-08-21 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -18 | 55-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
St. Mary’s @ Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET Game# 797-798 Play On: Gonzaga -18.0 (5*) I very rarely if ever lay this many points. However, there’s always an exception to the rule and this classifies as one for me. Gonzaga handled St. Mary’s with relative ease in their 2 regular season matchups versus the Gaels. This isn’t the high caliber of a St. Mary’s team we have witnessed in the recent years. They have gone just 5-6 in conference games this season while averaging a mere 59.7 points scored per game. Conversely, Gonzaga is 15-0 versus conference opponents while averaging a robust 90.9 points scored per game and went a scintillatingly hot 55.1% from the field. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-08-21 | Appalachian State v. Georgia State -6.5 | 80-73 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Appalachian State vs. Georgia State 7:00 PM ET Game# 793-794 Play On: Georgia State -6.5 (5*) Appalachian State entered the Sun Belt Conference Tournament with an uninspiring 13-11 record and that included losing 6 of their last 7 regular season games. The Mountaineers will be playing their 4th game in 4 days after winning in the first 3 rounds including upsets in their previous 2 over Coastal Carolina and Texas State. Georgia State coming into this Sun Belt Championship Game riding an 8-game win streak while covering on 6 of those occasions. During this stretch, 5 of their last 7 wins have come by 9 points or more. They will have fresher legs than Appalachian State after earning a first-round bye. The Panthers are 10-4 versus conference opponents and 16-5 overall. Bet on Georgia State minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-08-21 | Mercer v. NC-Greensboro -4.5 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Mercer vs. UNC-Greensboro 7:00 PM ET Game# 795-796 Play On: UNC-Greensboro -4.5 (5*) For starters, Greensboro has won each of their previous 6 meetings versus Mercer. That includes going 2-0 ATS against them this year. They dominated those 2 contests on the glass and were a combined +19 on the boards which includes an enormous 27 offensive rebounds. Similar to my Georgia State pick, Greensboro earned a 1st round bye in this Southern Conference Tournament while Mercer will be playing their 4th game in as many days. Bet on UNC-Greensboro minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-07-21 | Wisconsin v. Iowa -6.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Iowa 12:30 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Iowa -6.5 (10*) #25 Wisconsin is 4-7 in their last 11 and that includes losing 4 of its previous 5 contests. Conversely, #5 Iowa has won 6 of its last 7 and covered in 5 of those contests. The lone blemish during that stretch was a loss at #2 Michigan. So clearly these are teams headed down opposite paths with one being a serious contender for a national title and the other a textbook pretender. These teams met in Madison earlier this season and Iowa walked away with a convincing 77-62 win. The Hawkeyes are averaging a robust 80.4 points per game in Big 10 action while Wisconsin has scored fewer than 70 during each of their previous 7 outings. Furthermore, Iowa has held 4 of their last 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-06-21 | Indiana v. Purdue -6.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Purdue 2:00 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Purdue -6.5 (5*) Indiana has fallen off a cliff of late which is evidenced by them going 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Conversely, Purdue is 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with an average victory margin of 13.0 points per game. The Boilermakers are 10-1 at home this season with their sole defeat coming against #2 Michigan. Purdue has won 8 straight over Indiana and that includes an 81-69 win in Bloomington earlier this season. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-06-21 | Mississippi State +2 v. Auburn | 71-78 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Mississippi State @ Auburn 1:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Mississippi State +2.0 (5*) Auburn has really struggled down the final stretch of regular season action. The Tigers have gone 2-7 straight up and 1-7-1 ATS over their previous 9 games. Mississippi State is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 on the road and was an underdog on 2 of those occasions. The Bulldogs have been extremely stingy defensively throughout their last 5 contests while allowing a mere 59.4 points per game and holding those opponents to a combined 35.0% shooting. That’s not good news for Auburn backers since their team has shot an awful 38.7% in their last 5 outings and that includes 26.8% from 3-point territory. Bet on Mississippi State for a 5* wager. |
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03-06-21 | Pittsburgh v. Clemson -8 | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh @ Clemson 12:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Clemson -8.0 (5*) This is a depleted Pittsburgh team which has recently seen 2 of their top scorers opt out of the season and put their names in the transfer portal. The Panthers are also a dismal 0-4 in their last 4 conference away games. On a positive note, Pitt is coming off a home win over ACC cellar dweller Wake Forest that snapped a 5-game losing skid. Nonetheless, they have lost 8 of their last 10 and playing out the string at this juncture. Clemson has gone an excellent 10-1 at home this season while covering 7 of those 11 games. Their lone defeat came against #11 Florida State. The Tigers have gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games against Pittsburgh with an average victory margin of 14.3 points per contest. The held the Panthers to 60 points or fewer in 7 of those 8 contests. I look for more of the same today. Bet on Clemson minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-05-21 | Dayton +4 v. VCU | 68-73 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Dayton vs. VCU 3:30 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Dayton +4.0 (5*) I cashed in with Dayton yesterday as they defeated Rhode Island 84-72 thus covering easily as a 3.0-point favorite. I am coming right back with them again today. The Flyers are arguably playing their best basketball of the season right now and at the most opportune time. Furthermore, Dayton has gone 4-1 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 3.0 or more and ironically enough their lone loss in that role came against VCU. The Flyers are also 4-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they scored 80 points or more and were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. VCU has enjoyed a terrific season but has dropped 2 of their last 3 games. Bet on Dayton plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-04-21 | Nuggets -5 v. Pacers | 113-103 | Win | 103 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Denver @ Indiana 8:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Denver -5.0 (10*) Indiana has gone an abysmal 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and lost by a substantial 14.2 points per contest. The Pacers defensive play has left much to be desired throughout their previous 8 games as they have allowed 110 points or more in each of those contests. That’s not good news considering they will be facing a Nuggets team which has averaged 116.3 points scored per contest while shooting 50.1% from the floor during their previous 5 contests. Indiana needed to overcome a 19-point deficit at home to defeat Cleveland 114-11 in their previous outing which halted an 0-4 SU&ATS slide. However, they will be facing a much tougher opponent this evening which reached last season’s Western Conference Finals. Denver has gone an unblemished 7-0 ATS this season as a road favorite of 4.0 or more and had an enormous winning margin of 18.9 points per game. The Nuggets are 3-0 SU&ATS in their current 5-game road trip and won by a whopping 22.3 points per contest. Any NBA non-conference road favorite (Denver) versus an opponent (Indiana) that’s coming off a division win by 3 points or fewer has gone 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1996. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-04-21 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -3 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Rhode Island vs. Dayton 3:30 PM ET Game# 763-764 Play On: Dayton -3.0 (5*) Rhode Island finished their regular season slate by going 1-6 straight up and 2-5 ATS in their final 7 games. During their 2 regular season battles versus Dayton this season the Rams shot 38.6% of their shots and that includes a terrible 12-48 (25%) from beyond the 3-point line. Dayton enters the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament with momentum after a road upset win at St. Bonaventure in their regular season finale. The Bonnies entered that game unbeaten at home. Throughout their previous 6 outings Dayton has averaged 74.2 points per game and shot a stellar 48.9%. During that identical stretch, the Flyers also held their opponents to just 38.2% shooting. Bet on Dayton minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Maryland -4 v. Northwestern | 55-60 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Maryland @ Northwestern 9:05 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Maryland -4.0 (5*) Maryland enters this contest riding a 5-game win streak which has improved their season record to 15-10. By doing so the Terrapins have plated themselves onto the NCAA Tournament bubble. Maryland can now ill afford to lose to a Northwestern team that is 4-13 in Big 10 action and that includes losing 13 of its last 14 games. As a matter of fact, they probably need a decisive win tonight in order to improve their NCAA Tournament resume. They will be taken on a Wildcats team that has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games and lost by a sizable margin of 17.2 points per game. Bet on Maryland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Creighton v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Creighton @ Villanova 8:30 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Villanova -4.5 (10*) Villanova has a couple of things to atone for in this game and I am confident they will be more than up to the challenge. First, they’ll look to avenge an 86-70 loss at Creighton earlier this season. By the way, since the start of the 2014-2015 season, Villanova has gone a stellar 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Secondly, the #10 Wildcats will look to bounce back from an embarrassing 73-61 upset loss as a 12.5-point road favorite versus Butler in their previous game. However, Villanova is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a home favorite of 11.5 or less and won by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. The Wildcats allowed Butler to shoot 50% in their previous game. Additionally, Villanova is 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better and they won by 18.3 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-03-21 | Bulls +6 v. Pelicans | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Chicago @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Chicago +6.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a huge 129-124 upset win over Utah (27-8) and did so as a 6.5-point home underdog. Now they turn around 2 days later and are a home favorite versus a Bulls team with a losing record. I look for this to be an emotional flat spot for the Pelicans and that will reflect upon their performance today. Chicago burned me on Monday night by losing by 6 to Denver as a 5.0-point home underdog. The Bulls were down 2 with just 8 seconds to play before Denver scored 4 unanswered points from the free throw line. Nevertheless, I am not going to let that deter my decision to come right back with Chicago again. By the way, the Bulls are 10-0 ATS this season as a road underdog of 13.0 or less and won 6 of those contests straight up. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Nets -9.5 v. Rockets | 132-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Houston 7:35 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Brooklyn -9.5 (5*) The Rockets have hit rock bottom while having lost 12 games in a row and failing to cover in 11 of those contests. Houston was outscored in those 12 defeats by a substantial 17.6 points per game. Houston is also an abysmal 0-6 SU&ATS as a home underdog this season and lost by an enormous average of 19.5 points per game. Brooklyn is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and won by 15.9 points per contest. Brooklyn is also a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 away games. Furthermore, the Nets are 10-1 SU&ATS this season in their last 11 non-conference games. During their previous 10 games this season as a road favorite, Brooklyn scored a hefty 129.4 points per contest and shot a sizzling hot 51.6%. Conversely, Houston has scored 107 points or fewer in each of their last 7 home games. I very rarely lay this many points in an NBA game and especially so on a road team. However, this is one of those rare situations I am going to do so. Bet on Brooklyn minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Pacers v. Cavs +7 | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Cleveland 7:05 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Cleveland +7.0 (5*) I know the Pacers have been a cash cow as a road favorite during the past 2 seasons, but I don’t see this as a good spot to follow that trend. This will be the Pacers 4th road game in 6 days. Indiana is a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 overall and defense has been an afterthought throughout this stretch. The Pacers will be facing a Cleveland tonight that has a season record of 14-21 (.400). Indiana has gone an alarmingly bad 3-7 straight up this season versus teams with a win percentage of .250 to .400. Cleveland is currently riding a 4-0 SU&ATS run in which they were an underdog on each occasion. The Cavaliers are a respectable 7-4 straight up this season following a straight up underdog win. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-03-21 | Minnesota v. Penn State -5 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Penn State 7:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Penn State -5.0 (5*) These are 2 Big 10 teams that have gone on a late season tailspin. However, something has to change for one of them today and in my mind Penn State is much the lesser of two evils. Minnesota is an abysmal 0-9 SU&ATS in true road games this season and only managed to cover twice by doing so. Furthermore, the Golden Gophers are 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 overall while being outscored by 13.2 points per game. Even worse, their last 2 defeats came against Nebraska and Northwestern who currently are the bottom 2 teams in the Big 10 regular season standing. The loss to Northwestern came by 8 points at home and it halted a Wildcats 13-game losing streak. Despite their recent struggles, Penn State will be good enough to get the cover tonight against an opponent who’s season can’t end soon enough. Bet on Penn State minus the points for 5*. |
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03-02-21 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Phoenix +1.5 (10*) This line raised my eyebrows as soon as I laid eyes on it. We have the defending world champion Lakers at home as an extremely short favorite against an opponent that didn’t even make the playoffs a season ago. However, don’t be misled. Dating back to last season, Phoenix has gone 30-11 SU&ATS (73.2%) in their last 41 games and that includes 10-4 SU&ATS during their previous 14 on the road. Furthermore, the Suns are an impressive 14-3 SU&ATS in their last 17 outings and 6-1 SU&ATS during its previous 7 road games. Bet on the Suns for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-02-21 | Kentucky v. Ole Miss -3 | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Kentucky @ Ole Miss 9:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Ole Miss -3.0 (5*) Kentucky went into last Saturday’s home tilt with Florida riding a season high 3-game win streak. That momentum was squashed after suffering a 71-67 loss to the Gators. The harsh reality of the situation for Kentucky is they are now an extremely disappointing 8-13 this season. Kentucky has beaten Ole Miss the last 11 times they met. Nonetheless, the odds-makers had Ole Miss opening as a favorite. They did so even with the Rebels coming off a crushing loss to ACC cellar dweller Vanderbilt that just about eliminated them from receiving an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. Despite that disheartening defeat, Ole Miss has won 6 of their last 8 games. Bet on Ole Miss for a 5* wager. |
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03-02-21 | Tulsa v. UCF -3 | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Tulsa @ Central Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Central Florida -3.0 (5*) Public betting trends shows a high number of wagers and a lopsided amount of money going on Tulsa plus the points. I on the other hand will take a contrarian approach here. Tulsa started the season with a promising 7-3 record. Since that time, they have gone a dismal 3-7. Conversely, UCF is 4-2 in their last 6 games and both losses came by exactly 1-point. I am going with the side which has been competing harder of late. Bet on Central Florida for a 5* wager. |
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03-01-21 | Nuggets v. Bulls +5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Denver @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Chicago +5.0 (10*) There were lofty expectations for the Denver Nuggets this season after advancing to the 2019-2020 NBA Western Conference Finals. However, they’re off to a rather uninspiring 18-15 start to the season. The Nuggets are also a poor 2-6 in their previous 8 road games. Nonetheless, 1 of those 2 road wins occurred in their previous game during a 126-96 blowout of Oklahoma City. Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games following a win. Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Denver is a dismal 4-16 ATS immediately following a road win by 15 points or more and were outscored by an average of 8.8 points per contest. I love the compete level and improvement the Bulls have shown under newly hired head coach Billy Donovan. Chicago is 5-2 straight up in their last 7 games. During their previous 4 games Chicago is averaging a robust 118.0 points scored per contest and shot a scalding hot 52.6%. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-01-21 | North Carolina v. Syracuse +2 | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
North Carolina @ Syracuse 7:00 PM ET Game# 839-840 Play On: Syracuse +2.0 (5*) North Carolina is coming off a huge win over then #7 and now #11 Florida State in their previous game. The Tar Heels have bitter rival Duke up next which will be their regular season finale. Sandwiched between those 2 contests is a road game against Syracuse who they just beat recently. This sets up as a classic look ahead or flat spot for North Carolina depending on what phrase you like best. Syracuse is coming off road losses to Duke and Georgia Tech in their previous 2 games. The Orange haven’t lost 3 games in a row all season. Furthermore, Syracuse is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home. This is an attractive college basketball situation that favors the home team. Bet on Syracuse for a 5* wager. |
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02-28-21 | Grizzlies -3.5 v. Rockets | 133-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Houston 8:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Memphis -3.5 (5*) Houston has lost 10 straight games and failed to cover on 9 of those occasions. The Rockets saw 7 of those 10 losses come by 11 points or more. Throughout their previous 6 games the Rockets have allowed 120.7 points per contest while there opponents shot a combined 50.4% and made 42.1% of their 3-point attempts. It’s hard to win in the NBA when giving that terrible of a defensive effort. Memphis is an uninspiring 4-5 ATS as a road underdog this season. However, they’re 3-0 ATS as a road favorite with a substantial average victory margin of 19.7 pints per game. Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-28-21 | Iowa v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Iowa @ Ohio State 4:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Ohio State -3.0 (10*) #4 Ohio State will be in a sour mood today after coming off back-to-back losses for the first time this season. The Buckeyes have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 4.0 to 17.0 points and with an average victory margin of 20.0 points per game. Ohio State is also 12-2 ATS since the start of the 2017-2018 season under current head coach Chris Holtmann as a conference home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Iowa and won by an average of 14.0 points per contest. Ohio State won 89-85 at Iowa earlier this season despite Iowa going 14-32 (43.7%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Ohio State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-21 | Baylor v. Kansas +3.5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Baylor @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Kansas +3.5 (10*) Baylor (18-0) is a terrific team so let’s get that out of the way. However, it’s going to be extremely difficult for them to remain unbeaten going into the NCAA Tournament while playing in an extremely strong conference like the Big 12. The #2 ranked Bears are coming off a flat performance in a 5-point home win over a 2-17 Iowa State team. They closed as a massive 24.0-point favorite in that contest. For starters, Kansas has gone a terrific 47-2 in their last 50 home games. That includes 11-1 this season with their lone defeat coming against #14 Texas. Since that Texas loss, Kansas has won 6 straight at home and covered on each of their last 4. The Jayhawks have improved dramatically on the defensive end as the season has progressed. As a matter of fact, over their previous 6 contests Kansas allowed 59.8 points per game and held opponents to a combined 35.4% shooting. The Jayhawks won 5 of those contests and their only defeat came in overtime at Texas. Furthermore, Kansas is 15-1 in their last 16 at home versus Baylor. Their only home loss to the Bears came last season. That should provide extra motivation and emotion for a program which prides itself on defending their home court. Bet on Kansas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Washington -4.0 (10*) These 2 teams are clearly headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and lost by 9.5 points per contest. Conversely, Washington is an extremely profitable 6-1 SU&ATS during their previous 7 and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS at home with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game. Washington has been red-hot offensively over their previous 5 outings while averaging 120.6 points scored per game, shooting 50.3% from the field, and converted on 37.7% of its 3-point attempts. That’s not good news for a Minnesota team which has allowed 119.0 points per game and opponents shot 48.2% from the floor in addition to making 40.4% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-21 | Florida State -1.5 v. North Carolina | 70-78 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Florida State @ North Carolina 4:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Florida State -1.5 (5*) Florida State is on a 4-game win streak and has also been victorious in 9 of their previous 10 contests. North Carolina relies heavily on their big men to dominate the offensive glass. However, Florida State has the size to neutralize the Tar Heels offensive rebounding prowess. The Tar Heels aren’t a proficient 3-point shooting team, so things won’t come easily for them against a Seminoles team that has limited their opponents in conference play to just 40.4% shooting. Conversely, North Carolina is come off a disappointing 83-70 home loss to Marquette in a game in which they closed as a 9.5-point favorite. Bet on Florida State minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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02-27-21 | Florida v. Kentucky -1.5 | 71-67 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Florida @ Kentucky 4:00 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Kentucky -1.5 (5*) Florida is an uninspiring 2-3 in conference road games this season. They have also failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games. Conversely, Kentucky is riding a current 3-game win streak with the last 2 coming on the road. The Wildcats confidence level should be even higher considering they blew out the Gators on their own home floor 76-58 earlier this season. That win was the 5th straight for Kentucky when playing Florida. By the way, Florida is a dismal 1-7 straight up during the past 3 seasons when playing with same season revenge from a loss by 10 points or more. Lastly, we have an 8-13 Kentucky team as a small favorite in this contest against an opponent who is 12-6. The sportsbooks are attempting to entice you into taking the road underdog that possesses a much better season record than the team they’re facing. I’m not taking the bait. Bet on Kentucky for a 5* wager. |
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02-27-21 | Texas v. Texas Tech -3 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Texas @ Texas Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Texas Tech -3.0 (5*) Texas Tech (14-8) has lost their last 3 and failed to cover its previous 5 contests. Despite those recent failures they are a favorite against #14 Texas (14-6) who is coming off a thrilling 75-72 overtime win at home against #17 Kansas. The degree of urgency in this matchup clearly favors Texas Tech and that will be a huge factor in determining the outcome of this contest. Texas Tech has lost 4 games in a row just once since the start of the 2015-2016 college basketball season and that came late in the 2017-2018 campaign. Additionally, the Red Raiders are 6-1 in their last 7 games against Texas and that includes a 79-77 win in Austin earlier this season. Here’s an extremely profitable college basketball betting angle which is applicable to this matchup and dates back to the start of the 2016-2017 season. Any conference home favorite of 4.0 or less (Texas Tech) who has lost 3 straight games and they possess a win percentage of .650 or less, versus an opponent (Texas) coming off a win and is playing with revenge, and that opponent has a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those conference favorites of 4.0 or less going 17-4 ATS (80.9%). Bet on Texas Tech minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-26-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Heat | Top | 116-124 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Utah @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Utah -6.5 (10*) Miami is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. Yet, they find themselves as a sizable home underdog tonight and for good reason. They will be facing a Utah team which has gone 18-0 ATS in their last 18 games this season as a favorite of 12.0 or less. The Jazz are also 22-2 straight up and 21-3 ATS during their previous 24 games. Additionally, Utah is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a road favorite and allowed a mere 97.3 points per game while holding opponents to an ice cold 39.4% shooting. The Jazz have averaged 121.2 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 41.9% from 3-point territory over their previous 5 games. Throughout that identical time span, Utah also averaged making an incredible 19 three-point shots per game. This more about me betting on Utah a lot more than wagering against Miami. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-25-21 | Ohio State v. Michigan State +4 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Ohio State @ Michigan State 9:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Michigan State +4.0 (5*) Tom Izzo has been extremely successful throughout his career of having his Michigan State teams playing their best basketball late in the season. Based on the Spartans performances in their last 2 games it appears that trend is continuing. Michigan State is coming off back-to-back upset wins at Indiana and then #5 Illinois at home. Now they take on an Ohio State team that seems set up for a flat spot. The Buckeyes are coming off a game against #3 Michigan at home and are set to host #9 Iowa on Saturday. Between those contests versus Top 10 teams is a game against Michigan State who is an uninspiring 6-9 in conference action and just 12-9 overall. This is a classic sandwich game and look ahead situation for Ohio State. It’s also worth noting that Michigan State has won each of their last 7 home games against Ohio State. Bet on Michigan State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-25-21 | USC v. Colorado -3 | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
USC @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Colorado -2.5 (5*) These teams met this past New Year’s Eve and Colorado walked away with a 72-62 win as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Buffaloes are a shiny 8-1 straight up and 6-3 ATS at home this season and outscored those 9 opponents by a decisive 18.7 points per game. This is a classic example of an unranked team like Colorado being a favorite against a ranked opponent in #17 USC. The oddsmakers and sportsbooks aren’t that generous, and this is a clear case of baiting bettors to take the ranked underdog. Bet on Colorado minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-25-21 | Kings v. Knicks -1.5 | 121-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: New York -1.0 (5*) For starters, Sacramento has been ice cold of late having gone 0-8 SU&ATS in their last 8 games. During that futile stretch, the Kings have allowed 124.6 points per game while opponents shot an alarmingly high 52.3% and made an eye-popping 44.9% of its 3-point attempts. The Kings allowed 118 points or more in each of those 8 losses and that doesn’t bode well for their chances on most nights but is especially applicable today. They will be facing a Knicks team that has gone 7-2 straight up and 8-1 ATS this season when facing teams that allowing 110.0 or more points per game. The Knicks are by far the superior defensive team in this non-conference matchup. Case in point, New York has allowed 110 points or greater in just 9 of their 32 games this season. Conversely, Sacramento has allowed 110 points or greater in 25 of their 31 games. New York has also gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 and they won by an average of 13.4 points per contest. Bet on New York for a 5* wager. |
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02-25-21 | Western Kentucky +11.5 v. Houston | 57-81 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky @ Houston 7:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Western Kentucky +11.5 (5*) Both teams take a break from their busy conference schedules as Houston (18-3) hosts Western Kentucky (15-4). Thinking unranked Western Kentucky can’t play with #12 Houston would be a careless error in judgement. All you need to do is point to the Hilltoppers winning at #6 Alabama, and then giving #10 West Virginia all they could handle before losing by 6 in Morgantown. They say an ability to make 3-point shots at a high percentage is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. Well then Western Kentucky fits that mold based on them making a superb 44.8% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. The Hilltoppers will make this game a lot more competitive than Houston fans would feel comfortable with. Bet on Western Kentucky plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | Connecticut v. Georgetown +4.5 | 70-57 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Connecticut @ Georgetown 9:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Georgetown +4.5 (5*) Connecticut is just 3-5 SU&ATS in their last 8 and that includes 1-3 SU&ATS in conference road games. Georgetown is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS this season in conference home games versus unranked opponents. They say the ability to make 3-point shots is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. During their previous 5 games Georgetown has gone an excellent 42.7% from 3-point territory. Throughout that identical stretch, Georgetown has also connected on a terrific 78.4% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Georgetown plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | Warriors v. Knicks +3 | 114-106 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Golden State @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: New York +3.0 (5*) Golden State has gone 2-6 straight up in their last 8 road games. That recent road mark hardly bodes well for confidence if one is thinking of taking the favorite Warriors. Especially when considering the Knicks have gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home. Furthermore, New York has gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 as an underdog and won 4 of those contests straight up. There will also be approximately 2000 fans in attendance tonight at Madison Square Garden for a first time this season. The Knicks are an outstanding defensive team that’s #1 in the NBA in points allowed per game. Case in point, New York has allowed less than 100 points in 5 of its last 8 at home. Bet on New York plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | 76ers v. Raptors +1.5 | 109-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Toronto +2.0 (5*) The inexplicable road woes for Philadelphia have continued as they have gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 away games. As a matter of fact, since the start of last season, the 76ers are 16-34 SU&ATS in true road games which includes a 110-103 loss at Toronto on Sunday as a closing 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Toronto is starting to finally heat up having gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games with an average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Lastly, Toronto has gone a dominating 19-1 straight up in their previous 20 home games against Philadelphia. Bet on Toronto for a 5* wager. |
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02-23-21 | Pistons v. Magic -3.5 | 105-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Orlando 7:05 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Orlando -3.5 (5*) For starters, Detroit is 1-10 straight up in their last 11 road games. Additionally, the Pistons are a poor 8-21 ATS (27.6%) as a road underdog of 6.0 or less since the start of the 2018-2019 season. During that identical time frame, Orlando is 28-12 straight up when facing an opponent like Detroit that possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400. The Magic are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games overall and that includes a 105-96 win over Detroit on Sunday as a 3.5-point favorite. Orland is 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a conference home favorite with an average victory margin of 12.0 points per game. Bet on Orlando minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-21 | Wizards +7 v. Lakers | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Washington @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Washington +7.0 (5*) With Anthony Davis (22.3 PPG/8.4 RPG) sidelined with an injury, the Lakers have looked a bit vulnerable of late. As a matter of fact, they have lost 3 of their last 4 while scoring just 96 and 94 points in their previous 2. The Lakers will also be without starting guard Dennis Schroeder (quarantine) who averages 14.2 points and 4.5 assists per game. The Lakers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a home favorite of 8.5 or less, and they lost 5 of those contests straight up. It’s been well documented that the Lakers have been much better on the road (13-3) than at home (9-6) this season. The Lakers will be facing a 10-17 (.370) Washington team that has been outscored by an average of 5.1 points per game this season. The Lakers are 0-7 ATS at home this season when facing an opponent who has been outscored by 3.0 or more points per game. Washington has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games and 3 of those came as an underdog. Furthermore, the Wizards averaged 126.3 points scored per contest and have shot 51.3% throughout their previous 3 games. Washington is coming off an impressive 118-111 win at Portland in their previous game. That Wizards victory halted an extremely profitable 6-0 SU&ATS for Portland. Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season, any road underdog of 7.5 or less (Washington) that’s coming off a road in which they scored 118 points or fewer, and they possess a season win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Lakers) with a winning record, resulted in those road underdogs going 16-1 ATS (94.1%). Those road dogs also won 10 of those 17 games straight up. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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02-22-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State 9:00 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Oklahoma State +3.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off back-to-back losses to West Virginia and Kansas. The #15 Red Raiders have now gone just 3-4 straight up in their last 7 games played. Texas Tech will be playing with revenge from an 82-77 home defeat to Oklahoma State on 1/2/21. However, I don’t think revenge will be a determining factor in this one. Oklahoma State has gone 4-0 in their last 4 conference home games. Additionally, 3 of those victories came over nationally ranked teams in Kansas, Arkansas, and Texas. Nevertheless, they find themselves as a home underdog versus a visiting team that isn’t performing like a Top 25 team right now. During their previous 5 games, Oklahoma State has held its opponents to a mere 36.9% shooting and that includes 24.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-21-21 | Nets v. Clippers -6.5 | 112-108 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ LA Clippers 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: LA Clippers -6.5 (5*) This will be the finale of a 5-game in 9-day road trip for Brooklyn which has seen them go 4-0 SU&ATS thus far. They have accomplished that feat without having the services of Kevin Durant (29.0 PPG/7.3 RPG) who continues to be sidelined today with a hamstring injury. This is a spot in which he will be sorely missed against a Clippers team when healthy is an excellent defensive team. That was the finally the case on Friday night when they won at home against a Utah team which sports the best record in the NBA to this point. The Clippers are 11-2 this season when they have their full compliment of core players. This will be a statement game for the home team in this matchup. Bet on the LA Clippers minus the points for a 5* wager. |